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diff --git a/.gitattributes b/.gitattributes new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6833f05 --- /dev/null +++ b/.gitattributes @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +* text=auto +*.txt text +*.md text diff --git a/20694-8.txt b/20694-8.txt new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e3f1e47 --- /dev/null +++ b/20694-8.txt @@ -0,0 +1,11237 @@ +The Project Gutenberg EBook of An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace And The +Terms Of Its Perpetuation, by Thorstein Veblen + +This eBook is for the use of anyone anywhere at no cost and with +almost no restrictions whatsoever. You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace And The Terms Of Its Perpetuation + +Author: Thorstein Veblen + +Release Date: February 27, 2007 [EBook #20694] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ISO-8859-1 + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE NATURE OF PEACE *** + + + + +Produced by Irma pehar, Graeme Mackreth and the Online +Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net. (This +file made using scans of public domain works at the +University of Georgia.) + + + + + + + +AN INQUIRY INTO + +THE NATURE OF PEACE + +AND + +THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + +BY + +THORSTEIN VEBLEN + + +New York +B.W. HUEBSCH +1919 + +_All rights reserved_ + + + + +COPYRIGHT, 1917. +BY THE MACMILLAN COMPANY. + +Published April, 1917: +Reprinted August, 1917. + +New edition published by +B.W. HUEBSCH. +January, 1919. + + + + +PREFACE + + +It is now some 122 years since Kant wrote the essay, _Zum ewigen +Frieden_. Many things have happened since then, although the Peace to +which he looked forward with a doubtful hope has not been among them. +But many things have happened which the great critical philosopher, and +no less critical spectator of human events, would have seen with +interest. To Kant the quest of an enduring peace presented itself as an +intrinsic human duty, rather than as a promising enterprise. Yet through +all his analysis of its premises and of the terms on which it may be +realised there runs a tenacious persuasion that, in the end, the régime +of peace at large will be installed. Not as a deliberate achievement of +human wisdom, so much as a work of Nature the Designer of +things--_Natura daedala rerum_. + +To any attentive reader of Kant's memorable essay it will be apparent +that the title of the following inquiry--On the nature of peace and the +terms of its perpetuation--is a descriptive translation of the caption +under which he wrote. That such should be the case will not, it is +hoped, be accounted either an unseemly presumption or an undue +inclination to work under a borrowed light. The aim and compass of any +disinterested inquiry in these premises is still the same as it was in +Kant's time; such, indeed, as he in great part made it,--viz., a +systematic knowledge of things as they are. Nor is the light of Kant's +leading to be dispensed with as touches the ways and means of +systematic knowledge, wherever the human realities are in question. + +Meantime, many things have also changed since the date of Kant's essay. +Among other changes are those that affect the direction of inquiry and +the terms of systematic formulation. _Natura daedala rerum_ is no longer +allowed to go on her own recognizances, without divulging the ways and +means of her workmanship. And it is such a line of extension that is +here attempted, into a field of inquiry which in Kant's time still lay +over the horizon of the future. + +The quest of perpetual peace at large is no less a paramount and +intrinsic human duty today than it was, nor is it at all certain that +its final accomplishment is nearer. But the question of its pursuit and +of the conditions to be met in seeking this goal lies in a different +shape today; and it is this question that concerns the inquiry which is +here undertaken,--What are the terms on which peace at large may +hopefully be installed and maintained? What, if anything, is there in +the present situation that visibly makes for a realisation of these +necessary terms within the calculable future? And what are the +consequences presumably due to follow in the nearer future from the +installation of such a peace at large? And the answer to these questions +is here sought not in terms of what ought dutifully to be done toward +the desired consummation, but rather in terms of those known factors of +human behaviour that can be shown by analysis of experience to control +the conduct of nations in conjunctures of this kind. + +February 1917 + + + + +CONTENTS + + +CHAPTER I + +INTRODUCTORY: ON THE STATE AND ITS RELATION TO WAR +AND PEACE 1 + +The inquiry is not concerned with the intrinsic merits +of peace or war, 2. + +--But with the nature, causes and consequences of the +preconceptions favoring peace or war, 3. + +--A breach of the peace is an act of the government, +or State, 3. + +--Patriotism is indispensable to furtherance of warlike +enterprise, 4. + +--All the peoples of Christendom are sufficiently patriotic, 6. + +--Peace established by the State, an armistice--the State +is an instrumentality for making peace, not for perpetuating it, 7. + +--The governmental establishments and their powers in all +the Christian nations are derived from the feudal establishments +of the Middle Ages, 9. + +--Still retain the right of coercively controlling the actions +of their citizens, 11. + +--Contrast of Icelandic Commonwealth, 12. + +--The statecraft of the past half century has been +one of competitive preparedness, 14. + +--Prussianised Germany has forced the pace in this +competitive preparedness, 20. + +--An avowedly predatory enterprise no longer meets +with approval, 21. + +--When a warlike enterprise has been entered upon, it +will have the support of popular sentiment even if it +is an aggressive war, 22. + +--The moral indignation of both parties to the quarrel +is to be taken for granted, 23. + +--The spiritual forces of any Christian nation may be +mobilised for war by either of two pleas: (1) The +preservation or furtherance of the community's material +interests, real or fancied, and (2) vindication of the +National Honour; as perhaps also perpetuation of the +national "Culture," 23. + + +CHAPTER II + +ON THE NATURE AND USES OF PATRIOTISM 31 + +The nature of Patriotism, 31. + +--Is a spirit of Emulation, 33. + +--Must seem moral, if only to a biased populace, 33. + +--The common man is sufficiently patriotic but is hampered +with a sense of right and honest dealing, 38. + +--Patriotism is at cross purposes with modern life, 38. + +--Is an hereditary trait? 41. + +--Variety of racial stocks in Europe, 43. + +--Patriotism a ubiquitous trait, 43. + +--Patriotism disserviceable, yet men hold to it, 46. + +--Cultural evolution of Europeans, 48. + +--Growth of a sense of group solidarity, 49. + +--Material interests of group falling into abeyance +as class divisions have grown up, until prestige +remains virtually the sole community interest, 51. + +--Based upon warlike prowess, physical magnitude and +pecuniary traffic of country, 54. + +--Interests of the master class are at cross purposes +with the fortunes of the common man, 57. + +--Value of superiors is a "prestige value," 57. + +--The material benefits which this ruling class contribute +are: defense against aggression, and promotion of the +community's material gain, 60. + +--The common defense is a remedy for evils due to the +patriotic spirit, 61. + +--The common defense the usual blind behind which events +are put in train for eventual hostilities, 62. + +--All the nations of warring Europe convinced that they +are fighting a defensive war, 62. + +--Which usually takes the form of a defense of the National +Honour, 63. + +--Material welfare is of interest to the Dynastic statesman +only as it conduces to political success, 64. + +--The policy of national economic self-sufficiency, 67. + +--The chief material use of patriotism is its use to a +limited number of persons in their quest of private gain, 67. + +--And has the effect of dividing the nations on lines of +rivalry, 76. + + +CHAPTER III + +ON THE CONDITIONS OF A LASTING PEACE 77 + +The patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding +source of contention among nations, 77. + +--Hence any calculus of the Chances of Peace will be +a reckoning of forces which may be counted on to keep +a patriotic nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace, 78. + +--The question of peace and war at large is a question of +peace and war among the Powers, which are of two contrasted +kinds: those which may safely be counted on spontaneously +to take the offensive and those which will fight on provocation, 79. + +--War not a question of equity but of opportunity, 81. + +--The Imperial designs of Germany and Japan as the prospective +cause of war, 82. + +--Peace can be maintained in two ways: submission to +their dominion, or elimination of these two Powers; +No middle course open, 84. + +--Frame of mind of states; men and popular sentiment in +a Dynastic State, 84. + +--Information, persuasion and reflection will not subdue +national animosities and jealousies; Peoples of Europe +are racially homogeneous along lines of climatic latitude, 88. + +--But loyalty is a matter of habituation, 89. + +--Derivation and current state of German nationalism, 94. + +--Contrasted with the animus of the citizens of a commonwealth, +103;--A neutral peace-compact may be practicable in the +absence of Germany and Japan, but it has no chance in +their presence, 106. + +--The national life of Germany: the Intellectuals, 108. + +--Summary of chapter, 116. + + +CHAPTER IV + +PEACE WITHOUT HONOUR 118 + +Submission to the Imperial Power one of the conditions +precedent to a peaceful settlement, 118. + +--Character of the projected tutelage, 118. + +--Life under the _Pax Germanica_ contrasted with +the Ottoman and Russian rule, 124. + +--China and biological and cultural success, 130. + +--Difficulty of non-resistant subjection is of a psychological +order, 131. + +--Patriotism of the bellicose kind is of the nature of +habit, 134. + +--And men may divest themselves of it, 140. + +--A decay of the bellicose national spirit must be of +the negative order, the disuse of the discipline out +of which it has arisen, 142. + +--Submission to Imperial authorities necessitates +abeyance of national pride among the other peoples, 144. + +--Pecuniary merits of the projected Imperial dominion, 145. + +--Pecuniary class distinctions in the commonwealths and +the pecuniary burden on the common man, 150. + +--Material conditions of life for the common man under +the modern rule of big business, 156. + +--The competitive régime, "what the traffic will bear," +and the life and labor of the common man, 158. + +--Industrial sabotage by businessmen, 165. + +--Contrasted with the Imperial usufruct and its material +advantages to the common man, 174. + + +CHAPTER V + +PEACE AND NEUTRALITY 178 + +Personal liberty, not creature comforts, the ulterior +springs of action of the common man of the democratic +nations, 178. + +--No change of spiritual state to be looked for in the +life-time of the oncoming generation, 185. + +--The Dynastic spirit among the peoples of the Empire +will, under the discipline of modern economic conditions, +fall into decay, 187. + +--Contrast of class divisions in Germany and England, 192. + +--National establishments are dependent for their +continuance upon preparation for hostilities, 196. + +--The time required for the people of the Dynastic +States to unlearn their preconceptions will be longer +than the interval required for a new onset, 197. + +--There can be no neutral course between peace by +unconditional surrender and submission or peace by +the elimination of Imperial Germany and Japan, 202. + +--Peace by submission not practicable for the modern +nations, 203. + +--Neutralisation of citizenship, 205. + +--Spontaneous move in that direction not to be looked for, 213. + +--Its chances of success, 219. + +--The course of events in America, 221. + + +CHAPTER VI + +ELIMINATION OF THE UNFIT 233 + +A league of neutrals, its outline, 233. + +--Need of security from aggression of Imperial Germany, 234. + +--Inclusion of the Imperial States in the league, 237. + +--Necessity of elimination of Imperial military clique, 239. + +--Necessity of intermeddling in internal affairs of Germany even +if not acceptable to the German people, 240. + +--Probability of pacific nations taking measures to insure peace, 244-298. + +--The British gentleman and his control of the English government, 244. + +--The shifting of control out of the hands of the gentleman into +those of the underbred common man, 251. + +--The war situation and its probable effect on popular habits +of thought in England, 252. + +--The course of such events and their bearing on the chances +of a workable pacific league, 255. + +--Conditions precedent to a successful pacific league +of neutrals, 258. + +--Colonial possessions, 259. + +--Neutralisation of trade relations, 263. + +--Futility of economic boycott, 266. + +--The terms of settlement, 269. + +--The effect of the war and the chances of the British people +being able to meet the exigencies of peace, 273. + +--Summary of the terms of settlement, 280. + +--Constitutional monarchies and the British gentlemanly +government, 281. + +--The American national establishment, a government +by businessmen, and its economic policy, 292. + +--America and the league, 294. + + +CHAPTER VII + +PEACE AND THE PRICE SYSTEM 299 + +The different conceptions of peace, 299. + +--Psychological effects of the war, 303. + +--The handicraft system and the machine industry, +and their psychological effect on political preconceptions, 306. + +--The machine technology and the decay of patriotic loyalty, 310. + +--Summary, 313. + +--Ownership and the right of contract, 315. + +--Standardised under handicraft system, 319. + +--Ownership and the machine industry. 320. + +--Business control and sabotage, 322. + +--Governments of pacific nations controlled by privileged classes, 326. + +--Effect of peace on the economic situation, 328. + +--Economic aspects of a régime of peace, especially as related +to the development of classes, 330. + +--The analogy of the Victorian Peace, 344. + +--The case of the American Farmer, 348. + +--The leisure class, 350. + +--The rising standard of living, 354. + +--Culture, 355. + +--The eventual cleavage of classes, those who own and those +who do not, 360. + +--Conditioned by peace at large, 366. + +--Necessary conditions of a lasting peace, 367. + + +AN INQUIRY INTO THE NATURE OF PEACE AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + + + + +ON THE NATURE OF PEACE AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + + + + +CHAPTER I + +INTRODUCTORY: ON THE STATE AND ITS RELATION TO WAR AND PEACE + + +To many thoughtful men ripe in worldly wisdom it is known of a verity +that war belongs indefeasibly in the Order of Nature. Contention, with +manslaughter, is indispensable in human intercourse, at the same time +that it conduces to the increase and diffusion of the manly virtues. So +likewise, the unspoiled youth of the race, in the period of adolescence +and aspiring manhood, also commonly share this gift of insight and back +it with a generous commendation of all the martial qualities; and women +of nubile age and no undue maturity gladly meet them half way. + +On the other hand, the mothers of the people are commonly unable to see +the use of it all. It seems a waste of dear-bought human life, with a +large sum of nothing to show for it. So also many men of an elderly +turn, prematurely or otherwise, are ready to lend their countenance to +the like disparaging appraisal; it may be that the spirit of prowess in +them runs at too low a tension, or they may have outlived the more vivid +appreciation of the spiritual values involved. There are many, also, +with a turn for exhortation, who find employment for their best +faculties in attesting the well-known atrocities and futility of war. + +Indeed, not infrequently such advocates of peace will devote their +otherwise idle powers to this work of exhortation without stipend or +subsidy. And they uniformly make good their contention that the +currently accepted conception of the nature of war--General Sherman's +formula--is substantially correct. All the while it is to be admitted +that all this axiomatic exhortation has no visible effect on the course +of events or on the popular temper touching warlike enterprise. Indeed, +no equal volume of speech can be more incontrovertible or less +convincing than the utterances of the peace advocates, whether +subsidised or not. "War is Bloodier than Peace." This would doubtless be +conceded without argument, but also without prejudice. Hitherto the +pacifists' quest of a basis for enduring peace, it must be admitted, has +brought home nothing tangible--with the qualification, of course, that +the subsidised pacifists have come in for the subsidy. So that, after +searching the recesses of their imagination, able-bodied pacifists whose +loquacity has never been at fault hitherto have been brought to ask: +"What Shall We Say?" + + * * * * * + +Under these circumstances it will not be out of place to inquire into +the nature of this peace about which swings this wide orbit of opinion +and argument. At the most, such an inquiry can be no more gratuitous and +no more nugatory than the controversies that provoke it. The intrinsic +merits of peace at large, as against those of warlike enterprise, it +should be said, do not here come in question. That question lies in the +domain of preconceived opinion, so that for the purposes of this +inquiry it will have no significance except as a matter to be inquired +into; the main point of the inquiry being the nature, causes and +consequences of such a preconception favoring peace, and the +circumstances that make for a contrary preconception in favor of war. + +By and large, any breach of the peace in modern times is an official act +and can be taken only on initiative of the governmental establishment, +the State. The national authorities may, of course, be driven to take +such a step by pressure of warlike popular sentiment. Such, e.g., is +presumed to have been the case in the United States' attack on Spain +during the McKinley administration; but the more that comes to light of +the intimate history of that episode, the more evident does it become +that the popular war sentiment to which the administration yielded had +been somewhat sedulously "mobilised" with a view to such yielding and +such a breach. So also in the case of the Boer war, the move was made +under sanction of a popular war spirit, which, again, did not come to a +head without shrewd surveillance and direction. And so again in the +current European war, in the case, e.g., of Germany, where the +initiative was taken, the State plainly had the full support of popular +sentiment, and may even be said to have precipitated the war in response +to this urgent popular aspiration; and here again it is a matter of +notoriety that the popular sentiment had long been sedulously nursed and +"mobilised" to that effect, so that the populace was assiduously kept in +spiritual readiness for such an event. The like is less evident as +regards the United Kingdom, and perhaps also as regards the other +Allies. + +And such appears to have been the common run of the facts as regards all +the greater wars of the last one hundred years,--what may be called the +"public" wars of this modern era, as contrasted with the "private" or +administrative wars which have been carried on in a corner by one and +another of the Great Powers against hapless barbarians, from time to +time, in the course of administrative routine. + +It is also evident from the run of the facts as exemplified in these +modern wars that while any breach of the peace takes place only on the +initiative and at the discretion of the government, or State,[1] it is +always requisite in furtherance of such warlike enterprise to cherish +and eventually to mobilise popular sentiment in support of any warlike +move. Due fomentation of a warlike animus is indispensable to the +procuring and maintenance of a suitable equipment with which eventually +to break the peace, as well as to ensure a diligent prosecution of such +enterprise when once it has been undertaken. Such a spirit of militant +patriotism as may serviceably be mobilised in support of warlike +enterprise has accordingly been a condition precedent to any people's +entry into the modern Concert of Nations. This Concert of Nations is a +Concert of Powers, and it is only as a Power that any nation plays its +part in the concert, all the while that "power" here means eventual +warlike force. + +[Footnote 1: A modern nation constitutes a State only in respect of or +with ulterior bearing on the question of International peace or war.] + +Such a people as the Chinese, e.g., not pervaded with an adequate +patriotic spirit, comes into the Concert of Nations not as a Power but +as a bone of contention. Not that the Chinese fall short in any of the +qualities that conduce to efficiency and welfare in time of peace, but +they appear, in effect, to lack that certain "solidarity of prowess" by +virtue of which they should choose to be (collectively) formidable +rather than (individually) fortunate and upright; and the modern +civilised nations are not in a position, nor in a frame of mind, to +tolerate a neighbor whose only claim on their consideration falls under +the category of peace on earth and good-will among men. China appears +hitherto not to have been a serviceable people for warlike ends, except +in so far as the resources of that country have been taken over and +converted to warlike uses by some alien power working to its own ends. +Such have been the several alien dynasties that have seized upon that +country from time to time and have achieved dominion by usufruct of its +unwarlike forces. Such has been the nature of the Manchu empire of the +recent past, and such is the evident purpose of the prospective Japanese +usufruct of the same country and its populace. Meantime the Chinese +people appear to be incorrigibly peaceable, being scarcely willing to +fight in any concerted fashion even when driven into a corner by +unprovoked aggression, as in the present juncture. Such a people is very +exceptional. Among civilised nations there are, broadly speaking, none +of that temper, with the sole exception of the Chinese,--if the Chinese +are properly to be spoken of as a nation. + +Modern warfare makes such large and direct use of the industrial arts, +and depends for its successful prosecution so largely on a voluminous +and unremitting supply of civilian services and wrought goods, that any +inoffensive and industrious people, such as the Chinese, could doubtless +now be turned to good account by any warlike power that might have the +disposal of their working forces. To make their industrial efficiency +count in this way toward warlike enterprise and imperial dominion, the +usufruct of any such inoffensive and unpatriotic populace would have to +fall into the hands of an alien governmental establishment. And no alien +government resting on the support of a home population trained in the +habits of democracy or given over to ideals of common honesty in +national concerns could hopefully undertake the enterprise. This work of +empire-building out of unwarlike materials could apparently be carried +out only by some alien power hampered by no reserve of scruple, and +backed by a servile populace of its own, imbued with an impeccable +loyalty to its masters and with a suitably bellicose temper, as, e.g., +Imperial Japan or Imperial Germany. + +However, for the commonplace national enterprise the common run will do +very well. Any populace imbued with a reasonable measure of patriotism +will serve as ways and means to warlike enterprise under competent +management, even if it is not habitually prone to a bellicose temper. +Rightly managed, ordinary patriotic sentiment may readily be mobilised +for warlike adventure by any reasonably adroit and single-minded body of +statesmen,--of which there is abundant illustration. All the peoples of +Christendom are possessed of a sufficiently alert sense of nationality, +and by tradition and current usage all the national governments of +Christendom are warlike establishments, at least in the defensive sense; +and the distinction between the defensive and the offensive in +international intrigue is a technical matter that offers no great +difficulty. None of these nations is of such an incorrigibly peaceable +temper that they can be counted on to keep the peace consistently in the +ordinary course of events. + +Peace established by the State, or resting in the discretion of the +State, is necessarily of the nature of an armistice, in effect +terminable at will and on short notice. It is maintained only on +conditions, stipulated by express convention or established by custom, +and there is always the reservation, tacit or explicit, that recourse +will be had to arms in case the "national interests" or the punctilios +of international etiquette are traversed by the act or defection of any +rival government or its subjects. The more nationally-minded the +government or its subject populace, the readier the response to the call +of any such opportunity for an unfolding of prowess. The most peaceable +governmental policy of which Christendom has experience is a policy of +"watchful waiting," with a jealous eye to the emergence of any occasion +for national resentment; and the most irretrievably shameful dereliction +of duty on the part of any civilised government would be its eventual +insensibility to the appeal of a "just war." Under any governmental +auspices, as the modern world knows governments, the keeping of the +peace comes at its best under the precept, "Speak softly and carry a big +stick." But the case for peace is more precarious than the wording of +the aphorism would indicate, in as much as in practical fact the "big +stick" is an obstacle to soft speech. Evidently, in the light of recent +history, if the peace is to be kept it will have to come about +irrespective of governmental management,--in spite of the State rather +than by its good offices. At the best, the State, or the government, is +an instrumentality for making peace, not for perpetuating it. + + * * * * * + +Anyone who is interested in the nature and derivation of governmental +institutions and establishments in Europe, in any but the formal +respect, should be able to satisfy his curiosity by looking over the +shoulders of the professed students of Political Science. Quite properly +and profitably that branch of scholarship is occupied with the authentic +pedigree of these institutions, and with the documentary instruments in +the case; since Political Science is, after all, a branch of theoretical +jurisprudence and is concerned about a formally competent analysis of +the recorded legal powers. The material circumstances from which these +institutions once took their beginning, and the exigencies which have +governed the rate and direction of their later growth and mutation, as +well as the _de facto_ bearing of the institutional scheme on the +material welfare or the cultural fortunes of the given community,--while +all these matters of fact may be germane to the speculations of +Political Theory, they are not intrinsic to its premises, to the logical +sequence of its inquiry, or to its theoretical findings. The like is +also true, of course, as regards that system of habits of thought, that +current frame of mind, in which any given institutional scheme +necessarily is grounded, and without the continued support of which any +given scheme of governmental institutions or policy would become +nugatory and so would pass into the province of legal fiction. All these +are not idle matters in the purview of the student of Political Science, +but they remain after all substantially extraneous to the structure of +political theory; and in so far as matters of this class are to be +brought into the case at all, the specialists in the field can not +fairly be expected to contribute anything beyond an occasional _obiter +dictum_. There can be no discourteous presumption, therefore, in +accepting the general theorems of current political theory without +prejudice, and looking past the received theoretical formulations for a +view of the substantial grounds on which the governmental establishments +have grown into shape, and the circumstances, material and spiritual, +that surround their continued working and effect. + +By lineal descent the governmental establishments and the powers with +which they are vested, in all the Christian nations, are derived from +the feudal establishments of the Middle Ages; which, in turn, are of a +predatory origin and of an irresponsible character.[2] In nearly all +instances, but more particularly among the nations that are accounted +characteristically modern, the existing establishments have been greatly +altered from the mediaeval pattern, by concessive adaptation to later +exigencies or by a more or less revolutionary innovation. The degree of +their modernity is (conventionally) measured, roughly, by the degree in +which they have departed from the mediaeval pattern. Wherever the +unavoidable concessions have been shrewdly made with a view to +conserving the autonomy and irresponsibility of the governmental +establishment, or the "State," and where the state of national sentiment +has been led to favor this work of conservation, as, e.g., in the case +of Austria, Spain or Prussia, there the modern outcome has been what may +be called a Dynastic State. Where, on the other hand, the run of +national sentiment has departed notably from the ancient holding ground +of loyal abnegation, and has enforced a measure of revolutionary +innovation, as in the case of France or of the English-speaking peoples, +there the modern outcome has been an (ostensibly) democratic +commonwealth of ungraded citizens. But the contrast so indicated is a +contrast of divergent variants rather than of opposites. These two +type-forms may be taken as the extreme and inclusive limits of variation +among the governmental establishments with which the modern world is +furnished.[3] + +[Footnote 2: The partial and dubious exception of the Scandinavian +countries or of Switzerland need raise no question on this head.] + +[Footnote 3: Cf., e.g., Eduard Meyer, _England: its political +organisation and development_. ch. ii.] + +The effectual difference between these two theoretically contrasted +types of governmental establishments is doubtless grave enough, and for +many purposes it is consequential, but it is after all not of such a +nature as need greatly detain the argument at this point. The two differ +less, in effect, in that range of their functioning which comes in +question here than in their bearing on the community's fortunes apart +from questions of war and peace. In all cases there stand over in this +bearing certain primary characteristics of the ancient régime, which all +these modern establishments have in common, though not all in an equal +degree of preservation and effectiveness. They are, e.g., all vested +with certain attributes of "sovereignty." In all cases the citizen still +proves on closer attention to be in some measure a "subject" of the +State, in that he is invariably conceived to owe a "duty" to the +constituted authorities in one respect and another. All civilised +governments take cognizance of Treason, Sedition, and the like; and all +good citizens are not only content but profoundly insistent on the clear +duty of the citizen on this head. The bias of loyalty is not a matter on +which argument is tolerated. By virtue of this bias of loyalty, or +"civic duty"--which still has much of the color of feudal +allegiance--the governmental establishment is within its rights in +coercively controlling and directing the actions of the citizen, or +subject, in those respects that so lie within his duty; as also in +authoritatively turning his abilities to account for the purposes that +so lie within the governmental discretion, as, e.g., the Common Defense. + +These rights and powers still remain to the governmental establishment +even at the widest democratic departure from that ancient pattern of +masterful tutelage and usufruct that marked the old-fashioned +patrimonial State,--and that still marks the better preserved ones among +its modern derivatives. And so intrinsic to these governmental +establishments are these discretionary powers, and by so unfailing a +popular bias are they still accounted a matter of course and of +axiomatic necessity, that they have invariably been retained also among +the attributes of those democratic governments that trace their origin +to a revolutionary break with the old order. + +To many, all this will seem a pedantic taking note of commonplaces,--as +if it were worth while remarking that the existing governments are +vested with the indispensable attributes of government. Yet history +records an instance at variance with this axiomatic rule, a rule which +is held to be an unavoidable deliverance of common sense. And it is by +no means an altogether unique instance. It may serve to show that these +characteristic and unimpeachable powers that invest all current +governmental establishments are, after all, to be rated as the marks of +a particular species of governments, and not characteristics of the +genus of governmental establishments at large. These powers answer to an +acquired bias, not to an underlying trait of human nature; a matter of +habit, not of heredity. + +Such an historical instance is the so-called Republic, or Commonwealth, +of Iceland--tenth to thirteenth centuries. Its case is looked on by +students of history as a spectacular anomaly, because it admitted none +of these primary powers of government in its constituted authorities. +And yet, for contrast with these matter-of-course preconceptions of +these students of history, it is well to note that in the deliberations +of those ancients who installed the Republic for the management of their +joint concerns, any inclusion of such powers in its competency appears +never to have been contemplated, not even to the extent of its being +rejected. This singularity--as it would be rated by modern statesmen and +students--was in no degree a new departure in state-making on the part +of the founders of the Republic. They had no knowledge of such powers, +duties and accountabilities, except as unwholesome features of a novel +and alien scheme of irresponsible oppression that was sought to be +imposed on them by Harald Fairhair, and which they incontinently made it +their chief and immediate business to evade. They also set up no joint +or collective establishment with powers for the Common Defense, nor does +it appear that such a notion had occurred to them. + +In the history of its installation there is no hint that the men who set +up this Icelandic Commonwealth had any sense of the need, or even of the +feasibility, of such a coercive government as would be involved in +concerted preparation for the common defense. Subjection to personal +rule, or to official rule in any degree of attenuation, was not +comprised in their traditional experience of citizenship; and it was +necessarily out of the elements comprised in this traditional experience +that the new structure would have to be built up. The new commonwealth +was necessarily erected on the premises afforded by the received scheme +of use and wont; and this received scheme had come down out of +pre-feudal conditions, without having passed under the discipline of +that régime of coercion which the feudal system had imposed on the rest +of Europe, and so had established as an "immemorial usage" and a "second +nature" among the populations of Christendom. The resulting character of +the Icelandic Commonwealth is sufficiently striking when contrasted with +the case of the English commonwealth of the seventeenth century, or the +later French and American republics. These, all and several, came out of +a protracted experience in feudalistic state-making and State policy; +and the common defense--frequently on the offensive--with its necessary +coercive machinery and its submissive loyalty, consequently would take +the central place in the resulting civic structure. + +To close the tale of the Icelandic commonwealth it may be added that +their republic of insubordinate citizens presently fell into default, +systematic misuse, under the disorders brought on by an accumulation of +wealth, and that it died of legal fiction and constitutional formalities +after some experience at the hands of able and ambitious statesmen in +contact with an alien government drawn on the coercive plan. The clay +vessel failed to make good among the iron pots, and so proved its +unfitness to survive in the world of Christian nations,--very much as +the Chinese are today at the mercy of the defensive rapacity of the +Powers. + + And the mercy that we gave them + Was to sink them in the sea, + Down on the coast of High Barbarie. + +No doubt, it will be accepted as an axiomatic certainty that the +establishment of a commonwealth after the fashion of the Icelandic +Republic, without coercive authority or provision for the common +defense, and without a sense of subordination or collective +responsibility among its citizens, would be out of all question under +existing circumstances of politics and international trade. Nor would +such a commonwealth be workable on the scale and at the pace imposed by +modern industrial and commercial conditions, even apart from +international jealousy and ambitions, provided the sacred rights of +ownership were to be maintained in something like their current shape. +And yet something of a drift of popular sentiment, and indeed something +of deliberate endeavour, setting in the direction of such a harmless and +helpless national organisation is always visible in Western Europe, +throughout modern times; particularly through the eighteenth and the +early half of the nineteenth centuries; and more particularly among the +English-speaking peoples and, with a difference, among the French. The +Dutch and the Scandinavian countries answer more doubtfully to the same +characterisation. + +The movement in question is known to history as the Liberal, +Rationalistic, Humanitarian, or Individualistic departure. Its ideal, +when formulated, is spoken of as the System of Natural Rights; and its +goal in the way of a national establishment has been well characterised +by its critics as the Police State, or the Night-Watchman State. The +gains made in this direction, or perhaps better the inroads of this +animus in national ideals, are plainly to be set down as a shift in the +direction of peace and amity; but it is also plain that the shift of +ground so initiated by this strain of sentiment has never reached a +conclusion and never has taken effect in anything like an effectual +working arrangement. Its practical consequences have been of the nature +of abatement and defection in the pursuit of national ambitions and +dynastic enterprise, rather than a creative work of installing any +institutional furniture suitable to its own ends. It has in effect gone +no farther than what would be called an incipient correction of abuses. +The highest rise, as well as the decline, of this movement lie within +the nineteenth century. + +In point of time, the decay of this amiable conceit of _laissez-faire_ +in national policy coincides with the period of great advance in the +technology of transport and communication in the nineteenth century. +Perhaps, on a larger outlook, it should rather be said that the run of +national ambitions and animosities had, in the eighteenth and nineteenth +centuries, suffered a degree of decay through the diffusion of this +sentimental predilection for Natural Liberty, and that this decline of +the manlier aspirations was then arrested and corrected by help of these +improvements in the technological situation; which enabled a closer and +more coercive control to be exercised over larger areas, and at the same +time enabled a more massive aggregate of warlike force to strike more +effectively at a greater distance. This whole episode of the rise and +decline of _laissez-faire_ in modern history is perhaps best to be +conceived as a transient weakening of nationalism, by neglect; rather +than anything like the growth of a new and more humane ideal of national +intercourse. Such would be the appraisal to be had at the hands of those +who speak for a strenuous national life and for the arbitrament of +sportsmanlike contention in human affairs. And the latterday growth of +more militant aspirations, together with the more settled and sedulous +attention to a development of control and of formidable armaments, such +as followed on through the latter half of the nineteenth century, would +then be rated as a resumption of those older aims and ideals that had +been falling somewhat into abeyance in the slack-water days of +Liberalism. + +There is much to be said for this latter view; and, indeed, much has +been said for it, particularly by the spokesmen of imperialist politics. +This bias of Natural Liberty has been associated in history with the +English-speaking peoples, more intimately and more extensively than with +any other. Not that this amiable conceit is in any peculiar degree a +race characteristic of this group of peoples; nor even that the history +of its rise and decline runs wholly within the linguistic frontiers +indicated by this characterisation. The French and the Dutch have borne +their share, and at an earlier day Italian sentiment and speculation +lent its impulsion to the same genial drift of faith and aspiration. +But, by historical accident, its center of gravity and of diffusion has +lain with the English-speaking communities during the period when this +bias made history and left its impress on the institutional scheme of +the Western civilisation. By grace of what may, for the present purpose, +be called historical accident, it happens that the interval of history +during which the bias of Natural Liberty made visible headway was also a +period during which these English-speaking peoples, among whom its +effects are chiefly visible, were relatively secure from international +disturbance, by force of inaccessibility. Little strain was put upon +their sense of national solidarity or national prowess; so little, +indeed, that there was some danger of their patriotic animosity falling +into decay by disuse; and then they were also busy with other things. +Peaceable intercourse, it is true, was relatively easy, active and +far-reaching--eighteenth and nineteenth centuries--as compared with what +had been the case before that time; but warlike intercourse on such a +scale as would constitute a substantial menace to any large nation was +nearly out of the question, so far as regards the English-speaking +peoples. The available means of aggression, as touches the case of these +particular communities, were visibly and consciously inadequate as +compared with the means of defense. The means of internal or +intra-national control or coercion were also less well provided by the +state of the arts current at that time than the means of peaceable +intercourse. These means of transport and communication were, at that +stage of their development, less well suited for the purposes of +far-reaching warlike strategy and the exercise of surveillance and +coercion over large spaces than for the purposes of peaceable traffic. + +But the continued improvement in the means of communication during the +nineteenth century presently upset that situation, and so presently +began to neutralise the geographical quarantine which had hedged about +these communities that were inclined to let well enough alone. The +increasing speed and accuracy of movement in shipping, due to the +successful introduction of steam, as well as the concomitant increasing +size of the units of equipment, all runs to this effect and presently +sets at naught the peace barriers of sea and weather. So also the +development of railways and their increasing availability for strategic +uses, together with the far-reaching coordination of movement made +possible by their means and by the telegraph; all of which is further +facilitated by the increasing mass and density of population. +Improvements in the technology of arms and armament worked to the like +effect, of setting the peace of any community on an increasingly +precarious footing, through the advantage which this new technology gave +to a ready equipment and a rapid mobilisation. The new state of the +industrial arts serviceable for warlike enterprise put an increasingly +heavy premium on readiness for offense or defense, but more particularly +it all worked increasingly to the advantage of the offensive. It put the +Fabian strategy out of date, and led to the doctrine of a defensive +offense. + +Gradually it came true, with the continued advance in those industrial +arts that lend themselves to strategic uses, and it came also to be +realised, that no corner of the earth was any longer secure by mere +favor of distance and natural difficulty, from eventual aggression at +the hands of any provident and adventurous assailant,--even by help of a +modicum of defensive precaution. The fear of aggression then came +definitively to take the place of international good-will and became the +chief motive in public policy, so fast and so far as the state of the +industrial arts continued to incline the balance of advantage to the +side of the aggressor. All of which served greatly to strengthen the +hands of those statesmen who, by interest or temperament, were inclined +to imperialistic enterprise. Since that period all armament has +conventionally been accounted defensive, and all statesmen have +professed that the common defense is their chief concern. Professedly +all armament has been designed to keep the peace; so much of a shadow of +the peaceable bias there still stands over. + +Throughout this latest phase of modern civilisation the avowed fear of +aggression has served as apology, possibly as provocation in fact, to +national armaments; and throughout the same period any analysis of the +situation will finally run the chain of fear back to Prussia as the +putative or actual, center of disturbance and apprehension. No doubt, +Prussian armament has taken the lead and forced the pace among the +nations of Christendom; but the Prussian policy, too, has been +diligently covered with the same decorous plea of needful provision for +the common defense and an unremitting solicitude for international +peace,--to which has been added the canny afterthought of the "defensive +offense." + +It is characteristic of this era of armed peace that in all these +extensive preparations for breaking the peace any formal avowal of other +than a defensive purpose has at all times been avoided as an +insufferable breach of diplomatic decorum. It is likewise characteristic +of the same era that armaments have unremittingly been increased, beyond +anything previously known; and that all men have known all the while +that the inevitable outcome of this avowedly defensive armament must +eventually be war on an unprecedented scale and of unexampled ferocity. +It would be neither charitable nor otherwise to the point to call +attention to the reflection which this state of the case throws on the +collective sagacity or the good faith of the statesmen who have had the +management of affairs. It is not practicable to imagine how such an +outcome as the present could have been brought about by any degree of +stupidity or incapacity alone, nor is it easier to find evidence that +the utmost sagacity of the statecraft engaged has had the slightest +mitigating effect on the evil consummation to which the whole case has +been brought. It has long been a commonplace among observers of public +events that these professedly defensive warlike preparations have in +effect been preparations for breaking the peace; against which, at +least ostensibly, a remedy had been sought in the preparation of still +heavier armaments, with full realisation that more armament would +unfailingly entail a more unsparing and more disastrous war,--which sums +up the statecraft of the past half century. + +Prussia, and afterwards Prussianised Germany, has come in for the +distinction of taking the lead and forcing the pace in this competitive +preparation--or "preparedness"--for war in time of peace. That such has +been the case appears in good part to be something of a fortuitous +circumstance. The season of enterprising force and fraud to which that +country owes its induction into the concert of nations is an episode of +recent history; so recent, indeed, that the German nation has not yet +had time to live it down and let it be forgotten; and the Imperial State +is consequently burdened with an irritably uneasy sense of odium and an +established reputation for unduly bad faith. From which it has followed, +among other things, that the statesmen of the Empire have lived in the +expectation of having their unforgotten derelictions brought home, and +so have, on the one hand, found themselves unable to credit any pacific +intentions professed by the neighboring Powers, while on the other hand +they have been unable to gain credence for their own voluble professions +of peace and amity. So it has come about that, by a fortuitous +conjuncture of scarcely relevant circumstances, Prussia and the Empire +have been thrown into the lead in the race of "preparedness" and have +been led assiduously to hasten a breach which they could ill afford. It +is, to say the least, extremely doubtful if the event would have been +substantially different in the absence of that special provocation to +competitive preparedness that has been injected into the situation by +this German attitude; but the rate of approach to a warlike climax has +doubtless been hastened by the anticipatory policy of preparedness which +the Prussian dynasty has seen itself constrained to pursue. Eventually, +the peculiar circumstances of its case--embarrassment at home and +distaste and discredit abroad--have induced the Imperial State to take +the line of a defensive offense, to take war by the forelock and +retaliate on presumptive enemies for prospective grievances. But in any +case, the progressive improvement in transport and communication, as +well as in the special technology of warfare, backed by greatly enhanced +facilities for indoctrinating the populace with militant +nationalism,--these ways and means, working under the hand of patriotic +statesmen must in course of the past century have brought the peace of +Europe to so precarious a footing as would have provoked a material +increase in the equipment for national defense; which would unavoidably +have led to competitive armament and an enhanced international distrust +and animosity, eventually culminating in hostilities. + + * * * * * + +It may well be that the plea of defensive preparation advanced by the +statesmen, Prussian and others, in apology for competitive armaments is +a diplomatic subterfuge,--there are indications that such has commonly +been the case; but even if it commonly is visibly disingenuous, the need +of making such a plea to cover more sinister designs is itself an +evidence that an avowedly predatory enterprise no longer meets with the +requisite popular approval. Even if an exception to this rule be +admitted in the recent attitude of the German people, it is to be +recalled that the exception was allowed to stand only transiently, and +that presently the avowal of a predatory design in this case was +urgently disclaimed in the face of adversity. Even those who speak most +fluently for the necessity of war, and for its merits as a needed +discipline in the manly virtues, are constrained by the prevailing +sentiment to deprecate its necessity. + +Yet it is equally evident that when once a warlike enterprise has been +entered upon so far as to commit the nation to hostilities, it will have +the cordial support of popular sentiment even if it is patently an +aggressive war. Indeed, it is quite a safe generalisation that when +hostilities have once been got fairly under way by the interested +statesmen, the patriotic sentiment of the nation may confidently be +counted on to back the enterprise irrespective of the merits of the +quarrel. But even if the national sentiment is in this way to be counted +in as an incidental matter of course, it is also to be kept in mind in +this connection that any quarrel so entered upon by any nation will +forthwith come to have the moral approval of the community. Dissenters +will of course be found, sporadically, who do not readily fall in with +the prevailing animus; but as a general proposition it will still hold +true that any such quarrel forthwith becomes a just quarrel in the eyes +of those who have so been committed to it. + +A corollary following from this general theorem may be worth noting in +the same connection. Any politician who succeeds in embroiling his +country in a war, however nefarious, becomes a popular hero and is +reputed a wise and righteous statesman, at least for the time being. +Illustrative instances need perhaps not, and indeed can not gracefully, +be named; most popular heroes and reputed statesmen belong in this +class. + +Another corollary, which bears more immediately on the question in hand, +follows also from the same general proposition: Since the ethical values +involved in any given international contest are substantially of the +nature of afterthought or accessory, they may safely be left on one side +in any endeavour to understand or account for any given outbreak of +hostilities. The moral indignation of both parties to the quarrel is to +be taken for granted, as being the statesman's chief and necessary ways +and means of bringing any warlike enterprise to a head and floating it +to a creditable finish. It is a precipitate of the partisan animosity +that inspires both parties and holds them to their duty of +self-sacrifice and devastation, and at its best it will chiefly serve as +a cloak of self-righteousness to extenuate any exceptionally profligate +excursions in the conduct of hostilities. + +Any warlike enterprise that is hopefully to be entered on must have the +moral sanction of the community, or of an effective majority in the +community. It consequently becomes the first concern of the warlike +statesman to put this moral force in train for the adventure on which he +is bent. And there are two main lines of motivation by which the +spiritual forces of any Christian nation may so be mobilised for warlike +adventure: (1) The preservation or furtherance of the community's +material interests, real or fancied, and (2) vindication of the national +honour. To these should perhaps be added as a third, the advancement and +perpetuation of the nation's "Culture;" that is to say, of its habitual +scheme of use and wont. It is a nice question whether, in practical +effect, the aspiration to perpetuate the national Culture is +consistently to be distinguished from the vindication of the national +honour. There is perhaps the distinction to be made that "the +perpetuation of the national Culture" lends a readier countenance to +gratuitous aggression and affords a broader cover for incidental +atrocities, since the enemies of the national Culture will necessarily +be conceived as an inferior and obstructive people, falling beneath the +rules of commonplace decorum. + +Those material interests for which modern nations are in the habit of +taking to arms are commonly of a fanciful character, in that they +commonly have none but an imaginary net value to the community at large. +Such are, e.g., the national trade or the increase of the national +territory. These and the like may serve the warlike or dynastic +ambitions of the nation's masters; they may also further the interests +of office-holders, and more particularly of certain business houses or +businessmen who stand to gain some small advantage by help of the powers +in control; but it all signifies nothing more to the common man than an +increased bill of governmental expense and a probable increase in the +cost of living. + +That a nation's trade should be carried in vessels owned by its citizens +or registered in its ports will doubtless have some sentimental value to +the common run of its citizens, as is shown by the fact that +disingenuous politicians always find it worth their while to appeal to +this chauvinistic predilection. But it patently is all a completely idle +question, in point of material advantage, to anyone but the owners of +the vessels; and to these owners it is also of no material consequence +under what flag their investments sail, except so far as the government +in question may afford them some preferential opportunity for +gain,--always at the cost of their fellow citizens. The like is equally +true as regards the domicile and the national allegiance of the +businessmen who buy and sell the country's imports and exports. The +common man plainly has no slightest material interest in the nationality +or the place of residence of those who conduct this traffic; though all +the facts go to say that in some puzzle-headed way the common man +commonly persuades himself that it does make some occult sort of +difference to him; so that he is commonly willing to pay something +substantial toward subsidising businessmen of his own nationality, in +the way of a protective tariff and the like. + +The only material advantage to be derived from such a preferential trade +policy arises in the case of international hostilities, in which case +the home-owned vessels and merchants may on occasion count toward +military readiness; although even in that connection their value is +contingent and doubtful. But in this way they may contribute in their +degree to a readiness to break off peaceable relations with other +countries. It is only for warlike purposes, that is to say for the +dynastic ambitions of warlike statesmen, that these preferential +contrivances in economic policy have any substantial value; and even in +that connection their expediency is always doubtful. They are a source +of national jealousy, and they may on occasion become a help to military +strategy when this national jealousy eventuates in hostilities. + +The run of the facts touching this matter of national trade policy is +something as follows: At the instance of businessmen who stand to gain +by it, and with the cordial support of popular sentiment, the +constituted authorities sedulously further the increase of shipping and +commerce under protection of the national power. At the same time they +spend substance and diplomatic energy in an endeavor to extend the +international market facilities open to the country's businessmen, with +a view always to a preferential advantage in favor of these +businessmen, also with the sentimental support of the common man and at +his cost. To safeguard these commercial interests, as well as +property-holdings of the nation's citizens in foreign parts, the nation +maintains naval, military, consular and diplomatic establishments, at +the common expense. The total gains derivable from these commercial and +investment interests abroad, under favorable circumstances, will never +by any chance equal the cost of the governmental apparatus installed to +further and safeguard them. These gains, such as they are, go to the +investors and businessmen engaged in these enterprises; while the costs +incident to the adventure are borne almost wholly by the common man, who +gets no gain from it all. Commonly, as in the case of a protective +tariff or a preferential navigation law, the cost to the common man is +altogether out of proportion to the gain which accrues to the +businessmen for whose benefit he carries the burden. The only other +class, besides the preferentially favored businessmen, who derive any +material benefit from this arrangement is that of the office-holders who +take care of this governmental traffic and draw something in the way of +salaries and perquisites; and whose cost is defrayed by the common man, +who remains an outsider in all but the payment of the bills. The common +man is proud and glad to bear this burden for the benefit of his +wealthier neighbors, and he does so with the singular conviction that in +some occult manner he profits by it. All this is incredible, but it is +everyday fact. + +In case it should happen that these business interests of the nation's +businessmen interested in trade or investments abroad are jeopardised by +a disturbance of any kind in these foreign parts in which these +business interests lie, then it immediately becomes the urgent concern +of the national authorities to use all means at hand for maintaining the +gainful traffic of these businessmen undiminished, and the common man +pays the cost. Should such an untoward situation go to such sinister +lengths as to involve actual loss to these business interests or +otherwise give rise to a tangible grievance, it becomes an affair of the +national honour; whereupon no sense of proportion as between the +material gains at stake and the cost of remedy or retaliation need +longer be observed, since the national honour is beyond price. The +motivation in the case shifts from the ground of material interest to +the spiritual ground of the moral sentiments. + +In this connection "honour" is of course to be taken in the euphemistic +sense which the term has under the _code duello_ governing "affairs of +honour." It carries no connotation of honesty, veracity, equity, +liberality, or unselfishness. This national honour is of the nature of +an intangible or immaterial asset, of course; it is a matter of +prestige, a sportsmanlike conception; but that fact must not be taken to +mean that it is of any the less substantial effect for purposes of a +_casus belli_ than the material assets of the community. Quite the +contrary: "Who steals my purse, steals trash," etc. In point of fact, it +will commonly happen that any material grievance must first be converted +into terms of this spiritual capital, before it is effectually turned to +account as a stimulus to warlike enterprise. + +Even among a people with so single an eye to the main chance as the +American community it will be found true, on experiment or on review of +the historical evidence, that an offense against the national honour +commands a profounder and more unreserved resentment than any +infraction of the rights of person or property simply. This has latterly +been well shown in connection with the manoeuvres of the several +European belligerents, designed to bend American neutrality to the +service of one side or the other. Both parties have aimed to intimidate +and cajole; but while the one party has taken recourse to effrontery and +has made much and ostentatious use of threats and acts of violence +against person and property, the other has constantly observed a +deferential attitude toward American national self-esteem, even while +engaged on a persistent infraction of American commercial rights. The +first named line of diplomacy has convicted itself of miscarriage and +has lost the strategic advantage, as against the none too adroit finesse +of the other side. The statesmen of this European war power were so ill +advised as to enter on a course of tentatively cumulative intimidation, +by threats and experimentally graduated crimes against the property and +persons of American citizens, with a view to coerce American cupidity +and yet to avoid carrying these manoeuvres of terrorism far enough to +arouse an unmanageable sense of outrage. The experiment has served to +show that the breaking point in popular indignation will be reached +before the terrorism has gone far enough to raise a serious question of +pecuniary caution. + +This national honour, which so is rated a necessary of life, is an +immaterial substance in a peculiarly high-wrought degree, being not only +not physically tangible but also not even capable of adequate statement +in pecuniary terms,--as would be the case with ordinary immaterial +assets. It is true, where the point of grievance out of which a question +of the national honour arises is a pecuniary discrepancy, the national +honour can not be satisfied without a pecuniary accounting; but it needs +no argument to convince all right-minded persons that even at such a +juncture the national honour that has been compromised is indefinitely +and indefinably more than what can be made to appear on an accountant's +page. It is a highly valued asset, or at least a valued possession, but +it is of a metaphysical, not of a physical nature, and it is not known +to serve any material or otherwise useful end apart from affording a +practicable grievance consequent upon its infraction. + +This national honour is subject to injury in divers ways, and so may +yield a fruitful grievance even apart from offences against the person +or property of the nation's businessmen; as, e.g., through neglect or +disregard of the conventional punctilios governing diplomatic +intercourse, or by disrespect or contumelious speech touching the Flag, +or the persons of national officials, particularly of such officials as +have only a decorative use, or the costumes worn by such officials, or, +again, by failure to observe the ritual prescribed for parading the +national honour on stated occasions. When duly violated the national +honour may duly be made whole again by similarly immaterial +instrumentalities; as, e.g., by recital of an appropriate formula of +words, by formal consumption of a stated quantity of ammunition in the +way of a salute, by "dipping" an ensign, and the like,--procedure which +can, of course, have none but a magical efficacy. The national honour, +in short, moves in the realm of magic, and touches the frontiers of +religion. + +Throughout this range of duties incumbent on the national defense, it +will be noted, the offenses or discrepancies to be guarded against or +corrected by recourse to arms have much of a ceremonial character. +Whatever may be the material accidents that surround any given concrete +grievance that comes up for appraisal and redress, in bringing the case +into the arena for trial by combat it is the spiritual value of the +offense that is played up and made the decisive ground of action, +particularly in so far as appeal is made to the sensibilities of the +common man, who will have to bear the cost of the adventure. And in such +a case it will commonly happen that the common man is unable, without +advice, to see that any given hostile act embodies a sacrilegious +infraction of the national honour. He will at any such conjuncture +scarcely rise to the pitch of moral indignation necessary to float a +warlike reprisal, until the expert keepers of the Code come in to +expound and certify the nature of the transgression. But when once the +lesion to the national honour has been ascertained, appraised and duly +exhibited by those persons whose place in the national economy it is to +look after all that sort of thing, the common man will be found nowise +behindhand about resenting the evil usage of which he so, by force of +interpretation, has been a victim. + + + + +CHAPTER II + +ON THE NATURE AND USES OF PATRIOTISM + + +Patriotism may be defined as a sense of partisan solidarity in respect +of prestige. What the expert psychologists, and perhaps the experts in +Political Science, might find it necessary to say in the course of an +exhaustive analysis and definition of this human faculty would +presumably be something more precise and more extensive. There is no +inclination here to forestall definition, but only to identify and +describe the concept that loosely underlies the colloquial use of this +term, so far as seems necessary to an inquiry into the part played by +the patriotic animus in the life of modern peoples, particularly as it +bears on questions of war and peace. + +On any attempt to divest this concept of all extraneous or adventitious +elements it will be found that such a sense of an undivided joint +interest in a collective body of prestige will always remain as an +irreducible minimum. This is the substantial core about which many and +divers subsidiary interests cluster, but without which these other +clustering interests and aspirations will not, jointly or severally, +make up a working palladium of the patriotic spirit. + +It is true, seen in some other light or rated in some other bearing or +connection, one and another of these other interests, ideals, +aspirations, beatitudes, may well be adjudged nobler, wiser, possibly +more urgent than the national prestige; but in the forum of patriotism +all these other necessaries of human life--the glory of God and the good +of man--rise by comparison only to the rank of subsidiaries, +auxiliaries, amenities. He is an indifferent patriot who will let "life, +liberty and the pursuit of happiness" cloud the issue and get in the way +of the main business in hand. + +There once were, we are told, many hardy and enterprising spirits banded +together along the Spanish Main for such like ends, just as there are in +our day an even greater number of no less single-minded spirits bent on +their own "life, liberty and pursuit of happiness," according to their +light, in the money-markets of the modern world; but for all their +admirable qualities and splendid achievements, their passionate quest of +these amenities has not entitled these Gentlemen Adventurers to claim +rank as patriots. The poet says: + + "Strike for your altars and your fires! + Strike for the green graves of your sires! + God and your native land!" + +But, again, a temperate scrutiny of the list of desiderata so enumerated +in the poet's flight, will quickly bring out the fact that any or all of +them might drop out of the situation without prejudice to the plain call +of patriotic duty. In the last resort, when the patriotic spirit falls +back on its naked self alone, it is not reflection on the merits of +these good and beautiful things in Nature that gives him his cue and +enforces the ultimate sacrifice. Indeed it is something infinitely more +futile and infinitely more urgent,--provided only that the man is imbued +with the due modicum of patriotic devotion; as, indeed, men commonly +are. It is not faith, hope or charity that abide as the irreducible +minimum of virtue in the patriot's scheme of things; particularly not +that charity that has once been highly spoken of as being the greatest +of these. It may be that, viewed in the light of reason, as Doctor +Katzenberger would say, patriotic devotion is the most futile thing in +the world; but, for good or ill, the light of reason has nothing to do +with the case,--no more than "The flowers that bloom in the spring." + +The patriotic spirit is a spirit of emulation, evidently, at the same +time that it is emulation shot through with a sense of solidarity. It +belongs under the general caption of sportsmanship, rather than of +workmanship. Now, any enterprise in sportsmanship is bent on an +invidious success, which must involve as its major purpose the defeat +and humiliation of some competitor, whatever else may be comprised in +its aim. Its aim is a differential gain, as against a rival; and the +emulative spirit that comes under the head of patriotism commonly, if +not invariably, seeks this differential advantage by injury of the rival +rather than by an increase of home-bred well-being. + +Indeed, well-being is altogether out of the perspective, except as +underpinning for an edifice of national prestige. It is, at least, a +safe generalisation that the patriotic sentiment never has been known to +rise to the consummate pitch of enthusiastic abandon except when bent on +some work of concerted malevolence. Patriotism is of a contentious +complexion, and finds its full expression in no other outlet than +warlike enterprise; its highest and final appeal is for the death, +damage, discomfort and destruction of the party of the second part. + +It is not that the spirit of patriotism will tolerate no other +sentiments bearing on matters of public interest, but only that it will +tolerate none that traverse the call of the national prestige. Like +other men, the patriot may be moved by many and divers other +considerations, besides that of the national prestige; and these other +considerations may be of the most genial and reasonable kind, or they +may also be as foolish and mischievous as any comprised in the range of +human infirmities. He may be a humanitarian given over to the kindliest +solicitude for the common good, or a religious devotee hedged about in +all his motions by the ever present fear of God, or taken up with +artistic, scholarly or scientific pursuits; or, again, he may be a +spendthrift devotee of profane dissipation, whether in the slums or on +the higher levels of gentility, or he may be engaged on a rapacious +quest of gain, as a businessman within the law or as a criminal without +its benefit, or he may spend his best endeavors in advancing the +interests of his class at the cost of the nation at large. All that is +understood as a matter of course and is beside the point. In so far as +he is a complete patriot these other interests will fall away from him +when the one clear call of patriotic duty comes to enlist him in the +cause of the national prestige. There is, indeed, nothing to hinder a +bad citizen being a good patriot; nor does it follow that a good +citizen--in other respects--may not be a very indifferent patriot. + +Many and various other preferences and considerations may coincide with +the promptings of the patriotic spirit, and so may come in to coalesce +with and fortify its driving force; and it is usual for patriotic men to +seek support for their patriotic impulses in some reasoned purpose of +this extraneous kind that is believed to be served by following the call +of the national prestige,--it may be a presumptive increase and +diffusion of culture at large, or the spread and enhancement of a +presumptively estimable religious faith, or a prospective liberation of +mankind from servitude to obnoxious masters and outworn institutions; +or, again, it may be the increase of peace and material well-being among +men, within the national frontiers or impartially throughout the +civilised world. There are, substantially, none of the desirable things +in this world that are not so counted on by some considerable body of +patriots to be accomplished by the success of their own particular +patriotic aspirations. What they will not come to an understanding about +is the particular national ascendency with which the attainment of these +admirable ends is conceived to be bound up. + +The ideals, needs and aims that so are brought into the patriotic +argument to lend a color of rationality to the patriotic aspiration in +any given case will of course be such ideals, needs and aims as are +currently accepted and felt to be authentic and self-legitimating among +the people in whose eyes the given patriotic enterprise is to find +favor. So one finds that, e.g., among the followers of Islam, devout and +resolute, the patriotic statesman (that is to say the politician who +designs to make use of the popular patriotic fervor) will in the last +resort appeal to the claims and injunctions of the faith. In a similar +way the Prussian statesman bent on dynastic enterprise will conjure in +the name of the dynasty and of culture and efficiency; or, if worse +comes to worst, an outbreak will be decently covered with a plea of +mortal peril and self-defense. Among English-speaking peoples much is to +be gained by showing that the path of patriotic glory is at the same +time the way of equal-handed justice under the rule of free +institutions; at the same time, in a fully commercialised community, +such as the English-speaking commonly are, material benefits in the way +of trade will go far to sketch in a background of decency for any +enterprise that looks to the enhancement of the national prestige. + +But any promise of gain, whether in the nation's material or immaterial +assets, will not of itself carry full conviction to the commonplace +modern citizen; or even to such modern citizens as are best endowed with +a national spirit. By and large, and overlooking that appreciable +contingent of morally defective citizens that is to be counted on in any +hybrid population, it will hold true that no contemplated enterprise or +line of policy will fully commend itself to the popular sense of merit +and expediency until it is given a moral turn, so as to bring it to +square with the dictates of right and honest dealing. On no terms short +of this will it effectually coalesce with the patriotic aspiration. To +give the fullest practical effect to the patriotic fervor that animates +any modern nation, and so turn it to use in the most effective way, it +is necessary to show that the demands of equity are involved in the +case. Any cursory survey of modern historical events bearing on this +point, among the civilised peoples, will bring out the fact that no +concerted and sustained movement of the national spirit can be had +without enlisting the community's moral convictions. The common man must +be persuaded that right is on his side. "Thrice is he armed who knows +his quarrel just." The grounds of this conviction may often be tawdry +enough, but the conviction is a necessary factor in the case. + +The requisite moral sanction may be had on various grounds, and, on the +whole, it is not an extremely difficult matter to arrange. In the +simplest and not infrequent case it may turn on a question of equity in +respect of trade or investment as between the citizens or subjects of +the several rival nations; the Chinese "Open Door" affords as sordid an +example as may be desired. Or it may be only an envious demand for a +share in the world's material resources--"A Place in the Sun," as a +picturesque phrase describes it; or "The Freedom of the Seas," as +another equally vague and equally invidious demand for international +equity phrases it. These demands are put forward with a color of +demanding something in the way of equitable opportunity for the +commonplace peaceable citizen; but quite plainly they have none but a +fanciful bearing on the fortunes of the common man in time of peace, and +they have a meaning to the nation only as a fighting unit; apart from +their prestige value, these things are worth fighting for only as +prospective means of fighting. The like appeal to the moral +sensibilities may, again, be made in the way of a call to self-defense, +under the rule of Live and let live; or it may also rest on the more +tenuous obligation to safeguard the national integrity of a weaker +neighbor, under a broader interpretation of the same equitable rule of +Live and let live. But in one way or another it is necessary to set up +the conviction that the promptings of patriotic ambition have the +sanction of moral necessity. + +It is not that the line of national policy or patriotic enterprise so +entered upon with the support of popular sentiment need be right and +equitable as seen in dispassionate perspective from the outside, but +only that it should be capable of being made to seem right and equitable +to the biased populace whose moral convictions are requisite to its +prosecution; which is quite another matter. Nor is it that any such +patriotic enterprise is, in fact, entered on simply or mainly on these +moral grounds that so are alleged in its justification, but only that +some such colorable ground of justification or extenuation is necessary +to be alleged, and to be credited by popular belief. + +It is not that the common man is not sufficiently patriotic, but only +that he is a patriot hampered with a plodding and uneasy sense of right +and honest dealing, and that one must make up one's account with this +moral bias in looking to any sustained and concerted action that draws +on the sentiment of the common man for its carrying on. But the moral +sense in the case may be somewhat easily satisfied with a modicum of +equity, in case the patriotic bias of the people is well pronounced, or +in case it is reenforced with a sufficient appeal to self-interest. In +those cases where the national fervor rises to an excited pitch, even +very attenuated considerations of right and justice, such as would under +ordinary conditions doubtfully bear scrutiny as extenuating +circumstances, may come to serve as moral authentication for any +extravagant course of action to which the craving for national prestige +may incite. The higher the pitch of patriotic fervor, the more tenuous +and more thread-bare may be the requisite moral sanction. By cumulative +excitation some very remarkable results have latterly been attained +along this line. + + * * * * * + +Patriotism is evidently a spirit of particularism, of aliency and +animosity between contrasted groups of persons; it lives on invidious +comparison, and works out in mutual hindrance and jealousy between +nations. It commonly goes the length of hindering intercourse and +obstructing traffic that would patently serve the material and cultural +well-being of both nationalities; and not infrequently, indeed +normally, it eventuates in competitive damage to both. + +All this holds true in the world of modern civilisation, at the same +time that the modern civilised scheme of life is, notoriously, of a +cosmopolitan character, both in its cultural requirements and in its +economic structure. Modern culture is drawn on too large a scale, is of +too complex and multiform a character, requires the cooperation of too +many and various lines of inquiry, experience and insight, to admit of +its being confined within national frontiers, except at the cost of +insufferable crippling and retardation. The science and scholarship that +is the peculiar pride of civilised Christendom is not only +international, but rather it is homogeneously cosmopolitan; so that in +this bearing there are, in effect, no national frontiers; with the +exception, of course, that in a season of patriotic intoxication, such +as the current war has induced, even the scholars and scientists will be +temporarily overset by their patriotic fervour. Indeed, with the best +efforts of obscurantism and national jealousy to the contrary, it +remains patently true that modern culture is the culture of Christendom +at large, not the culture of one and another nation in severalty within +the confines of Christendom. It is only as and in so far as they partake +in and contribute to the general run of Western civilisation at large +that the people of any one of these nations of Christendom can claim +standing as a cultured nation; and even any distinctive variation from +this general run of civilised life, such as may give a "local colour" of +ideals, tastes and conventions, will, in point of cultural value, have +to be rated as an idle detail, a species of lost motion, that serves no +better purpose than a transient estrangement. + +So also, the modern state of the industrial arts is of a like +cosmopolitan character, in point of scale, specialisation, and the +necessary use of diversified resources, of climate and raw materials. +None of the countries of Europe, e.g., is competent to carry on its +industry by modern technological methods without constantly drawing on +resources outside of its national boundaries. Isolation in this +industrial respect, exclusion from the world market, would mean +intolerable loss of efficiency, more pronounced the more fully the given +country has taken over this modern state of the industrial arts. +Exclusion from the general body of outlying resources would seriously +cripple any one or all of them, and effectually deprive them of the +usufruct of this technology; and partial exclusion, by prohibitive or +protective tariffs and the like, unavoidably results in a partial +lowering of the efficiency of each, and therefore a reduction of the +current well-being among them all together. + +Into this cultural and technological system of the modern world the +patriotic spirit fits like dust in the eyes and sand in the bearings. +Its net contribution to the outcome is obscuration, distrust, and +retardation at every point where it touches the fortunes of modern +mankind. Yet it is forever present in the counsels of the statesmen and +in the affections of the common man, and it never ceases to command the +regard of all men as the prime attribute of manhood and the final test +of the desirable citizen. It is scarcely an exaggeration to say that no +other consideration is allowed in abatement of the claims of patriotic +loyalty, and that such loyalty will be allowed to cover any multitude of +sins. When the ancient philosopher described Man as a "political animal," +this, in effect, was what he affirmed; and today the ancient maxim is as +good as new. The patriotic spirit is at cross purposes with modern life, +but in any test case it is found that the claims of life yield before +those of patriotism; and any voice that dissents from this order of things +is as a voice crying in the wilderness. + + * * * * * + +To anyone who is inclined to moralise on the singular discrepancies of +human life this state of the case will be fruitful of much profound +speculation. The patriotic animus appears to be an enduring trait of +human nature, an ancient heritage that has stood over unshorn from time +immemorial, under the Mendelian rule of the stability of racial types. +It is archaic, not amenable to elimination or enduring suppression, and +apparently not appreciably to be mitigated by reflection, education, +experience or selective breeding. + +Throughout the historical period, and presumably through an incalculable +period of the unrecorded past, patriotic manslaughter has consistently +been weeding out of each successive generation of men the most patriotic +among them; with the net result that the level of patriotic ardor today +appears to be no lower than it ever was. At the same time, with the +advance of population, of culture and of the industrial arts, patriotism +has grown increasingly disserviceable; and it is to all appearance as +ubiquitous and as powerful as ever, and is held in as high esteem. + +The continued prevalence of this archaic animus among the modern +peoples, as well as the fact that it is universally placed high among +the virtues, must be taken to argue that it is, in its elements, an +hereditary trait, of the nature of an inborn impulsive propensity, +rather than a product of habituation. It is, in substance, not +something that can be learned and unlearned. From one generation to +another, the allegiance may shift from one nationality to another, but +the fact of unreflecting allegiance at large remains. And it all argues +also that no sensible change has taken effect in the hereditary +endowment of the race, at least in this respect, during the period known +by record or by secure inference,--say, since the early Neolithic in +Europe; and this in spite of the fact that there has all this while been +opportunity for radical changes in the European population by +cross-breeding, infiltration and displacement of the several racial +stocks that go to make up this population. Hence, on slight reflection +the inference has suggested itself and has gained acceptance that this +trait of human nature must presumably have been serviceable to the +peoples of the earlier time, on those levels of savagery or of the lower +barbarism on which the ancestral stocks of the European population first +made good their survival and proved their fitness to people that quarter +of the earth. Such, indeed, is the common view; so common as to pass for +matter-of-course, and therefore habitually to escape scrutiny. + +Still it need not follow, as more patient reflection will show. All the +European peoples show much the same animus in this respect; whatever +their past history may have been, and whatever the difference in past +experience that might be conceived to have shaped their temperament. Any +difference in the pitch of patriotic conceit and animosity, between the +several nationalities or the several localities, is by no means wide, +even in cases where the racial composition of the population is held to +be very different, as, e.g., between the peoples on the Baltic seaboard +and those on the Mediterranean. In point of fact, in this matter of +patriotic animus there appears to be a wider divergence, +temperamentally, between individuals within any one of these communities +than between the common run in any one community and the corresponding +common run in any other. But even such divergence of individual temper +in respect of patriotism as is to be met with, first and last, is after +all surprisingly small in view of the scope for individual variation +which this European population would seem to offer. + + * * * * * + +These peoples of Europe, all and several, are hybrids compounded out of +the same run of racial elements, but mixed in varying proportions. On +any parallel of latitude--taken in the climatic rather than in the +geometric sense--the racial composition of the west-European population +will be much the same, virtually identical in effect, although always of +a hybrid complexion; whereas on any parallel of longitude--also in the +climatic sense--the racial composition will vary progressively, but +always within the limits of the same general scheme of hybridisation,--the +variation being a variation in the proportion in which the several racial +elements are present in any given case. But in no case does a notable +difference in racial composition coincide with a linguistic or national +frontier. But in point of patriotic animus these European peoples are one +as good as another, whether the comparison be traced on parallels of +latitude or of longitude. And the inhabitants of each national territory, +or of each detail locality, appear also to run surprisingly uniform in +respect of their patriotic spirit. + +Heredity in any such community of hybrids will, superficially, appear to +run somewhat haphazard. There will, of course, be no traceable +difference between social or economic classes, in point of heredity,--as +is visibly the case in Christendom. But variation--of an apparently +haphazard description--will be large and ubiquitous among the +individuals of such a populace. Indeed, it is a matter of course and of +easy verification that individual variation within such a hybrid stock +will greatly exceed the extreme differences that may subsist between the +several racial types that have gone to produce the hybrid stock. Such is +the case of the European peoples. The inhabitants vary greatly among +themselves, both in physical and in mental traits, as would be expected; +and the variation between individuals in point of patriotic animus +should accordingly also be expected to be extremely wide,--should, in +effect, greatly exceed the difference, if any, in this respect between +the several racial elements engaged in the European population. Some +appreciable difference in this respect there appears to be, between +individuals; but individual divergence from the normal or average +appears always to be of a sporadic sort,--it does not run on class +lines, whether of occupation, status or property, nor does it run at all +consistently from parent to child. When all is told the argument returns +to the safe ground that these variations in point of patriotic animus +are sporadic and inconsequential, and do not touch the general +proposition that, one with another, the inhabitants of Europe and the +European Colonies are sufficiently patriotic, and that the average +endowment in this respect runs with consistent uniformity across all +differences of time, place and circumstance. It would, in fact, be +extremely hazardous to affirm that there is a sensible difference in the +ordinary pitch of patriotic sentiment as between any two widely diverse +samples of these hybrid populations, in spite of the fact that the +diversity in visible physical traits may be quite pronounced. + +In short, the conclusion seems safe, on the whole, that in this respect +the several racial stocks that have gone to produce the existing +populations of Christendom have all been endowed about as richly one as +another. Patriotism appears to be a ubiquitous trait, at least among the +races and peoples of Christendom. From which it should follow, that +since there is, and has from the beginning been, no differential +advantage favoring one racial stock or one fashion of hybrid as against +another, in this matter of patriotic animus, there should also be no +ground of selective survival or selective elimination on this account as +between these several races and peoples. So that the undisturbed and +undiminished prevalence of this trait among the European population, +early or late, argues nothing as to its net serviceability or +disserviceability under any of the varying conditions of culture and +technology to which these Europeans have been subjected, first and last; +except that it has, in any case, not proved so disserviceable under the +conditions prevailing hitherto as to result in the extinction of these +Europeans, one with another.[4] + +[Footnote 4: For a more extended discussion of this matter, cf. +_Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution_, ch. i. and +Supplementary Notes i. and ii.] + +The patriotic frame of mind has been spoken of above as if it were an +hereditary trait, something after the fashion of a Mendelian unit +character. Doubtless this is not a competent account of the matter; but +the present argument scarcely needs a closer analysis. Still, in a +measure to quiet title and avoid annoyance, it may be noted that this +patriotic animus is of the nature of a "frame of mind" rather than a +Mendelian unit character; that it so involves a concatenation of +several impulsive propensities (presumably hereditary); and that both +the concatenation and the special mode and amplitude of the response are +a product of habituation, very largely of the nature of conventionalised +use and wont. What is said above, therefore, goes little farther than +saying that the underlying aptitudes requisite to this patriotic frame +of mind are heritable, and that use and wont as bearing on this point +run with sufficient uniformity to bring a passably uniform result. It +may be added that in this concatenation spoken of there seems to be +comprised, ordinarily, that sentimental attachment to habitat and custom +that is called love of home, or in its accentuated expression, +home-sickness; so also an invidious self-complacency, coupled with a +gregarious bent which gives the invidious comparison a group content; +and further, commonly if not invariably, a bent of abnegation, +self-abasement, subservience, or whatever it may best be called, that +inclines the bearer unreasoningly and unquestioningly to accept and +serve a prescriptive ideal given by custom or by customary authority. + + * * * * * + +The conclusion would therefore provisionally run to the effect that +under modern conditions the patriotic animus is wholly a disserviceable +trait in the spiritual endowment of these peoples,--in so far as bears +on the material conditions of life unequivocally, and as regards the +cultural interests more at large presumptively; whereas there is no +assured ground for a discriminating opinion as touches its possible +utility or disutility at any remote period in the past. There is, of +course, always room for the conservative estimate that, as the +possession of this spiritual trait has not hitherto resulted in the +extinction of the race, so it may also in the calculable future +continue to bring no more grievous results than a degree of mischief, +without even stopping or greatly retarding the increase of population. + +All this, of course, is intended to apply only so far as it goes. It +must not be taken as intending to say any least word in derogation of +those high qualities that inspire the patriotic citizen. In its +economic, biological and cultural incidence patriotism appears to be an +untoward trait of human nature; which has, of course, nothing to say as +to its moral excellence, its aesthetic value, or its indispensability to +a worthy life. No doubt, it is in all these respects deserving of all +the esteem and encomiums that fall to its share. Indeed, its well-known +moral and aesthetic value, as well as the reprobation that is visited on +any shortcomings in this respect, signify, for the purposes of the +present argument, nothing more than that the patriotic animus meets the +unqualified approval of men because they are, all and several, infected +with it. It is evidence of the ubiquitous, intimate and ineradicable +presence of this quality in human nature; all the more since it +continues untiringly to be held in the highest esteem in spite of the +fact that a modicum of reflection should make its disserviceability +plain to the meanest understanding. No higher praise of moral +excellence, and no profounder test of loyalty, can be asked than this +current unreserved commendation of a virtue that makes invariably for +damage and discomfort. The virtuous impulse must be deep-seated and +indefeasible that drives men incontinently to do good that evil may come +of it. "Though He slay me, yet will I trust in Him." + +In the light--and it is a dim and wavering light--of the archaeological +evidence, helped out by circumstantial evidence from such parallel or +analogous instances as are afforded by existing communities on a +comparable level of culture, one may venture more or less confidently on +a reconstruction of the manner of life among the early Europeans, of +early neolithic times and later.[5] And so one may form some conception +of the part played by this patriotic animus among those beginnings, +when, if not the race, at least its institutions were young; and when +the native temperament of these peoples was tried out and found fit to +survive through the age-long and slow-moving eras of stone and bronze. +In this connection, it appears safe to assume that since early neolithic +times no sensible change has taken effect in the racial complexion of +the European peoples; and therefore no sensible change in their +spiritual and mental make-up. So that in respect of the spiritual +elements that go to make up this patriotic animus the Europeans of today +will be substantially identical with the Europeans of that early time. +The like is true as regards those other traits of temperament that come +in question here, as being included among the stable characteristics +that still condition the life of these peoples under the altered +circumstances of the modern age. + +[Footnote 5: Cf. _Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution_, as +above.] + +The difference between prehistoric Europe and the present state of these +peoples resolves itself on analysis into a difference in the state of +the industrial arts, together with such institutional changes as have +come on in the course of working out this advance in the industrial +arts. The habits and the exigencies of life among these peoples have +greatly changed; whereas in temperament and capacities the peoples that +now live by and under the rule of this altered state of the industrial +arts are the same as they were. It is to be noted, therefore, that the +fact of their having successfully come through the long ages of +prehistory by the use of this mental and spiritual endowment can not be +taken to argue that these peoples are thereby fit to meet the exigencies +of this later and gravely altered age; nor will it do to assume that +because these peoples have themselves worked out this modern culture and +its technology, therefore it must all be suitable for their use and +conducive to their biological success. The single object lesson of the +modern urban community, with its endless requirements in the way of +sanitation, police, compulsory education, charities,--all this and many +other discrepancies in modern life should enjoin caution on anyone who +is inclined off-hand to hold that because modern men have created these +conditions, therefore these must be the most suitable conditions of life +for modern mankind. + +In the beginning, that is to say in the European beginning, men lived in +small and close groups. Control was close within the group, and the +necessity of subordinating individual gains and preferences to the +common good was enjoined on the group by the exigencies of the case, on +pain of common extinction. The situation and usages of existing Eskimo +villages may serve to illustrate and enforce the argument on this head. +The solidarity of sentiment necessary to support the requisite +solidarity of action in the case would be a prime condition of survival +in any racial stock exposed to the conditions which surrounded these +early Europeans. This needful sense of solidarity would touch not simply +or most imperatively the joint prestige of the group, but rather the +joint material interests; and would enforce a spirit of mutual support +and dependence. Which would be rather helped than hindered by a jealous +attitude of joint prestige; so long as no divergent interests of members +within the group were in a position to turn this state of the common +sentiment to their own particular advantage. + +This state of the case will have lasted for a relatively long time; long +enough to have tested the fitness of these peoples for that manner of +life,--longer, no doubt, than the interval that has elapsed since +history began. Special interests--e.g., personal and family +interests--will have been present and active in these days of the +beginning; but so long as the group at large was small enough to admit +of a close neighborly contact throughout its extent and throughout the +workday routine of life, at the same time that it was too small and +feeble to allow any appreciable dissipation of its joint energies in +such pursuit of selfish gains as would run counter to the paramount +business of the common livelihood, so long the sense of a common +livelihood and a joint fortune would continue to hold any particularist +ambitions effectually in check. Had it fallen out otherwise, the story +of the group in question would have been ended, and another and more +suitably endowed type of men would have taken the place vacated by its +extinction. + +With a sensible advance in the industrial arts the scale of operations +would grow larger, and the group more numerous and extensive. The margin +between production and subsistence would also widen and admit additional +scope for individual ambitions and personal gains. And as this process +of growth and increasing productive efficiency went on, the control +exercised by neighborly surveillance, through the sentiment of the +common good as against the self-seeking pursuits of individuals and +sub-groups, would gradually slacken; until by progressive disuse it +would fall into a degree of abeyance; to be called into exercise and +incite to concerted action only in the face of unusual exigencies +touching the common fortunes of the group at large, or on persuasion +that the collective interest of the group at large was placed in +jeopardy in the molestation of one and another of its members from +without. The group's prestige at least would be felt to suffer in the +defeat or discourtesy suffered by any of its members at the hands of any +alien; and, under compulsion of the ancient sense of group solidarity, +whatever material hardship or material gain might so fall to individual +members in their dealings with the alien would pass easy scrutiny as +material detriment or gain inuring to the group at large,--in the +apprehension of men whose sense of community interest is inflamed with a +jealous disposition to safeguard their joint prestige. + +With continued advance in the industrial arts the circumstances +conditioning life will undergo a progressive change of such a character +that the joint interest of the group at large, in the material respect, +will progressively be less closely bound up with the material fortunes +of any particular member or members; until in the course of time and +change there will, in effect, in ordinary times be no general and +inclusive community of material interest binding the members together in +a common fortune and working for a common livelihood. As the rights of +ownership begin to take effect, so that the ownership of property and +the pursuit of a livelihood under the rules of ownership come to govern +men's economic relations, these material concerns will cease to be a +matter of undivided joint interest, and will fall into the shape of +interest in severalty. So soon and so far as this institution of +ownership or property takes effect, men's material interests cease to +run on lines of group solidarity. Solely, or almost solely, in the +exceptional case of defense against a predatory incursion from outside, +do the members of the group have a common interest of a material kind. +Progressively as the state of the arts advances, the industrial +organisation advances to a larger scale and a more extensive +specialisation, with increasing divergence among individual interests +and individual fortunes; and intercourse over larger distances grows +easier and makes a larger grouping practicable; which enables a larger, +prompter and more effective mobilisation of forces with which to defend +or assert any joint claims. But by the same move it also follows, or at +least it appears uniformly to have followed in the European case, that +the accumulation of property and the rights of ownership have +progressively come into the first place among the material interests of +these peoples; while anything like a community of usufruct has +imperceptibly fallen into the background, and has presently gone +virtually into abeyance, except as an eventual recourse _in extremis_ +for the common defense. Property rights have displaced community of +usufruct; and invidious distinctions as between persons, sub-groups, and +classes have displaced community of prestige in the workday routine of +these peoples; and the distinctions between contrasted persons or +classes have come to rest, in an ever increasing degree, directly or +indirectly, on invidious comparisons in respect of pecuniary standing +rather than on personal affiliation with the group at large. + +So, with the advance of the industrial arts a differentiation of a new +character sets in and presently grows progressively more pronounced and +more effectual, giving rise to a regrouping on lines that run regardless +of those frontiers that divide one community from another for purposes +of patriotic emulation. So far as it comes chiefly and typically in +question here, this regrouping takes place on two distinct but somewhat +related principles of contrast: that of wealth and poverty, and that of +master and servant, or authority and obedience. The material interests +of the population in this way come to be divided between the group of +those who own and those who command, on the one hand, and of those who +work and who obey, on the other hand. + +Neither of these two contrasted categories of persons have any direct +material interest in the maintenance of the patriotic community; or at +any rate no such interest as should reasonably induce them to spend +their own time and substance in support of the political (patriotic) +organisation within which they live. It is only in so far as one or +another of these interests looks for a more than proportionate share in +any prospective gain from the joint enterprise, that the group or class +in question can reasonably be counted on to bear its share in the joint +venture. And it is only when and in so far as their particular material +or self-regarding interest is reenforced by patriotic conceit, that they +can be counted on to spend themselves in furtherance of the patriotic +enterprise, without the assurance of a more than proportionate share in +any gains that may be held in prospect from any such joint enterprise; +and it is only in its patriotic bearing that the political community +continues to be a joint venture. That is to say, in more generalised +terms, through the development of the rights of property, and of such +like prescriptive claims of privilege and prerogative, it has come +about that other community interests have fallen away, until the +collective prestige remains as virtually the sole community interest +which can hold the sentiment of the group in a bond of solidarity. + +To one or another of these several interested groups or classes within +the community the political organisation may work a benefit; but only to +one or another, not to each and several, jointly or collectively. Since +by no chance will the benefit derived from such joint enterprise on the +part of the community at large equal the joint cost; in as much as all +joint enterprise of the kind that looks to material advantage works by +one or another method of inhibition and takes effect, if at all, by +lowering the aggregate efficiency of the several countries concerned, +with a view to the differential gain of one at the cost of another. So, +e.g., a protective tariff is plainly a conspiracy in restraint of trade, +with a view to benefit the conspirators by hindering their competitors. +The aggregate cost to the community at large of such an enterprise in +retardation is always more than the gains it brings to those who may +benefit by it. + +In so speaking of the uses to which the common man's patriotic devotion +may be turned, there is no intention to underrate its intrinsic value as +a genial and generous trait of human nature. Doubtless it is best and +chiefly to be appreciated as a spiritual quality that beautifies and +ennobles its bearer, and that endows him with the full stature of +manhood, quite irrespective of ulterior considerations. So it is to be +conceded without argument that this patriotic animus is a highly +meritorious frame of mind, and that it has an aesthetic value scarcely +to be overstated in the farthest stretch of poetic license. But the +question of its serviceability to the modern community, in any other +than this decorative respect, and particularly its serviceability to the +current needs of the common man in such a modern community, is not +touched by such an admission; nor does this recognition of its generous +spiritual nature afford any help toward answering a further question as +to how and with what effect this animus may be turned to account by +anyone who is in position to make use of the forces which it sets free. + +Among Christian nations there still is, on the whole, a decided +predilection for that ancient and authentic line of national repute that +springs from warlike prowess. This repute for warlike prowess is what +first comes to mind among civilised peoples when speaking of national +greatness. And among those who have best preserved this warlike ideal of +worth, the patriotic ambition is likely to converge on the prestige of +their sovereign; so that it takes the concrete form of personal loyalty +to a master, and so combines or coalesces with a servile habit of mind. + +But peace hath its victories no less renowned than war, it is said; and +peaceable folk of a patriotic temper have learned to make the best of +their meager case and have found self-complacency in these victories of +the peaceable order. So it may broadly be affirmed that all nations look +with complacency on their own peculiar Culture--the organised complex of +habits of thought and of conduct by which their own routine of life is +regulated--as being in some way worthier than the corresponding habits +of their neighbors. The case of the German Culture has latterly come +under a strong light in this way. But while it may be that no other +nation has been so naive as to make a concerted profession of faith to +the effect that their own particular way of life is altogether +commendable and is the only fashion of civilisation that is fit to +survive; yet it will scarcely be an extravagance to assert that in their +own secret mind these others, too, are blest with much the same +consciousness of unique worth. Conscious virtue of this kind is a good +and sufficient ground for patriotic inflation, so far as it goes. It +commonly does not go beyond a defensive attitude, however. Now and +again, as in the latterday German animation on this head, these +phenomena of national use and wont may come to command such a degree of +popular admiration as will incite to an aggressive or proselyting +campaign. + +In all this there is nothing of a self-seeking or covetous kind. The +common man who so lends himself to the aggressive enhancement of the +national Culture and its prestige has nothing of a material kind to gain +from the increase of renown that so comes to his sovereign, his +language, his countrymen's art or science, his dietary, or his God. +There are no sordid motives in all this. These spiritual assets of +self-complacency are, indeed, to be rated as grounds of high-minded +patriotism without afterthought. These aspirations and enthusiasms would +perhaps be rated as Quixotic by men whose horizon is bounded by the main +chance; but they make up that substance of things hoped for that +inflates those headlong patriotic animosities that stir universal +admiration. + +So also, men find an invidious distinction in such matters of physical +magnitude as their country's area, the number of its population, the +size of its cities, the extent of its natural resources, its aggregate +wealth and its wealth per capita, its merchant marine and its foreign +trade. As a ground of invidious complacency these phenomena of physical +magnitude and pecuniary traffic are no better and no worse than such +immaterial assets as the majesty of the sovereign or the perfections of +the language. They are matters in which the common man is concerned +only by the accident of domicile, and his only connection with these +things is an imaginary joint interest in their impressiveness. To these +things he has contributed substantially nothing, and from them he +derives no other merit or advantage than a patriotic inflation. He takes +pride in these things in an invidious way, and there is no good reason +why he should not; just as there is also no good reason why he should, +apart from the fact that the common man is so constituted that he, +mysteriously, takes pride in these things that concern him not. + + * * * * * + +Of the several groups or classes of persons within the political +frontiers, whose particular interests run systematically at cross +purposes with those of the community at large under modern conditions, +the class of masters, rulers, authorities,--or whatever term may seem +most suitable to designate that category of persons whose characteristic +occupation is to give orders and command deference,--of the several +orders and conditions of men these are, in point of substantial motive +and interest, most patently at variance with all the rest, or with the +fortunes of the common man. The class will include civil and military +authorities and whatever nobility there is of a prescriptive and +privileged kind. The substantial interest of these classes in the common +welfare is of the same kind as the interest which a parasite has in the +well-being of his host; a sufficiently substantial interest, no doubt, +but there is in this relation nothing like a community of interest. Any +gain on the part of the community at large will materially serve the +needs of this group of personages, only in so far as it may afford them +a larger volume or a wider scope for what has in latterday colloquial +phrase been called "graft." These personages are, of course, not to be +spoken of with disrespect or with the slightest inflection of +discourtesy. They are all honorable men. Indeed they afford the +conventional pattern of human dignity and meritorious achievement, and +the "Fountain of Honor" is found among them. The point of the argument +is only that their material or other self-regarding interests are of +such a nature as to be furthered by the material wealth of the +community, and more particularly by the increasing volume of the body +politic; but only with the proviso that this material wealth and this +increment of power must accrue without anything like a corresponding +cost to this class. At the same time, since this class of the superiors +is in some degree a specialised organ of prestige, so that their value, +and therefore their tenure, both in the eyes of the community and in +their own eyes, is in the main a "prestige value" and a tenure by +prestige; and since the prestige that invests their persons is a shadow +cast by the putative worth of the community at large, it follows that +their particular interest in the joint prestige is peculiarly alert and +insistent. But it follows also that these personages cannot of their own +substance or of their own motion contribute to this collective prestige +in the same proportion in which it is necessary for them to draw on it +in support of their own prestige value. It would, in other words, be a +patent absurdity to call on any of the current ruling classes, +dynasties, nobility, military and diplomatic corps, in any of the +nations of Europe, e.g., to preserve their current dignity and command +the deference that is currently accorded them, by recourse to their own +powers and expenditure of their own substance, without the usufruct of +the commonalty whose organ of dignity they are. The current prestige +value which they enjoy is beyond their unaided powers to create or +maintain, without the usufruct of the community. Such an enterprise does +not lie within the premises of the case. + +In this bearing, therefore, the first concern with which these +personages are necessarily occupied is the procurement and retention of +a suitable usufruct in the material resources and good-will of a +sufficiently large and industrious population. The requisite good-will +in these premises is called loyalty, and its retention by the line of +personages that so trade on prestige rests on a superinduced association +of ideas, whereby the national honour comes to be confounded in popular +apprehension with the prestige of these personages who have the keeping +of it. But the potentates and the establishments, civil and military, on +whom this prestige value rests will unavoidably come into invidious +comparison with others of their kind; and, as invariably happens in +matters of invidious comparison, the emulative needs of all the +competitors for prestige are "indefinitely extensible," as the phrase of +the economists has it. Each and several of them incontinently needs a +further increment of prestige, and therefore also a further increment of +the material assets in men and resources that are needful as ways and +means to assert and augment the national honor. + +It is true, the notion that their prestige value is in any degree +conditioned by the material circumstances and the popular imagination of +the underlying nation is distasteful to many of these vicars of the +national honour. They will incline rather to the persuasion that this +prestige value is a distinctive attribute, of a unique order, intrinsic +to their own persons. But, plainly, any such detached line of magnates, +notables, kings and mandarins, resting their notability on nothing more +substantial than a slightly sub-normal intelligence and a moderately +scrofulous habit of body could not long continue to command that eager +deference that is accounted their due. Such a picture of majesty would +be sadly out of drawing. There is little conviction and no great dignity +to be drawn from the unaided pronouncement: + + "We're here because, + We're here because, + We're here because + We're here," + +even when the doggerel is duly given the rhetorical benefit of a "Tenure +by the Grace of God." The personages that carry this dignity require the +backing of a determined and patriotic populace in support of their +prestige value, and they commonly have no great difficulty in procuring +it. And their prestige value is, in effect, proportioned to the volume +of material resources and patriotic credulity that can be drawn on for +its assertion. It is true, their draught on the requisite sentimental +and pecuniary support is fortified with large claims of serviceability +to the common good, and these claims are somewhat easily, indeed +eagerly, conceded and acted upon; although the alleged benefit to the +common good will scarcely be visible except in the light of glory shed +by the blazing torch of patriotism. + +In so far as it is of a material nature the benefit which the +constituted authorities so engage to contribute to the common good, or +in other words to confer on the common man, falls under two heads: +defense against aggression from without; and promotion of the +community's material gain. It is to be presumed that the constituted +authorities commonly believe more or less implicitly in their own +professions in so professing to serve the needs of the common man in +these respects. The common defense is a sufficiently grave matter, and +doubtless it claims the best affections and endeavour of the citizen; +but it is not a matter that should claim much attention at this point in +the argument, as bearing on the service rendered the common man by the +constituted authorities, taken one with another. Any given governmental +establishment at home is useful in this respect only as against another +governmental establishment elsewhere. So that on the slightest +examination it resolves itself into a matter of competitive patriotic +enterprise, as between the patriotic aspirations of different +nationalities led by different governmental establishments; and the +service so rendered by the constituted authorities in the aggregate +takes on the character of a remedy for evils of their own creation. It +is invariably a defense against the concerted aggressions of other +patriots. Taken in the large, the common defense of any given nation +becomes a detail of the competitive struggle between rival nationalities +animated with a common spirit of patriotic enterprise and led by +authorities constituted for this competitive purpose. + +Except on a broad basis of patriotic devotion, and except under the +direction of an ambitious governmental establishment, no serious +international aggression is to be had. The common defense, therefore, is +to be taken as a remedy for evils arising out of the working of the +patriotic spirit that animates mankind, as brought to bear under a +discretionary authority; and in any balance to be struck between the +utility and disutility of this patriotic spirit and of its service in +the hands of the constituted authorities, it will have to be cancelled +out as being at the best a mitigation of some of the disorders brought +on by the presence of national governments resting on patriotic loyalty +at large. + +But this common defense is by no means a vacant rubric in any attempted +account of modern national enterprise. It is the commonplace and +conclusive plea of the dynastic statesmen and the aspiring warlords, and +it is the usual blind behind which events are put in train for eventual +hostilities. Preparation for the common defense also appears unfailingly +to eventuate in hostilities. With more or less _bona fides_ the +statesmen and warriors plead the cause of the common defense, and with +patriotic alacrity the common man lends himself to the enterprise aimed +at under that cover. In proportion as the resulting equipment for +defense grows great and becomes formidable, the range of items which a +patriotically biased nation are ready to include among the claims to be +defended grows incontinently larger, until by the overlapping of +defensive claims between rival nationalities the distinction between +defense and aggression disappears, except in the biased fancy of the +rival patriots. + +Of course, no reflections are called for here on the current American +campaign of "Preparedness." Except for the degree of hysteria it appears +to differ in no substantial respect from the analogous course of +auto-intoxication among the nationalities of Europe, which came to a +head in the current European situation. It should conclusively serve the +turn for any self-possessed observer to call to mind that all the +civilised nations of warring Europe are, each and several, convinced +that they are fighting a defensive war. + +The aspiration of all right-minded citizens is presumed to be "Peace +with Honour." So that first, as well as last, among those national +interests that are to be defended, and in the service of which the +substance and affections of the common man are enlisted under the aegis +of the national prowess, comes the national prestige, as a matter of +course. And the constituted authorities are doubtless sincere and +single-minded in their endeavors to advance and defend the national +honour, particularly those constituted authorities that hold their place +of authority on grounds of fealty; since the national prestige in such a +case coalesces with the prestige of the nation's ruler in much the same +degree in which the national sovereignty devolves upon the person of its +ruler. In so defending or advancing the national prestige, such a +dynastic or autocratic overlord, together with the other privileged +elements assisting and dependent on him, is occupied with his own +interest; his own tenure is a tenure by prestige, and the security of +his tenure lies in the continued maintenance of that popular fancy that +invests his person with this national prestige and so constitutes him +and his retinue of notables and personages its keeper. + +But it is uniformly insisted by the statesmen--potentates, notables, +kings and mandarins--that this aegis of the national prowess in their +hands covers also many interests of a more substantial and more tangible +kind. These other, more tangible interests of the community have also a +value of a direct and personal sort to the dynasty and its hierarchy of +privileged subalterns, in that it is only by use of the material forces +of the nation that the dynastic prestige can be advanced and maintained. +The interest of such constituted authorities in the material welfare of +the nation is consequently grave and insistent; but it is evidently an +interest of a special kind and is subject to strict and peculiar +limitations. The common good, in the material respect, interests the +dynastic statesman only as a means to dynastic ends; that is to say, +only in so far as it can be turned to account in the achievement of +dynastic aims. These aims are "The Kingdom, the Power and the Glory," as +the sacred formula phrases the same conception in another bearing. + +That is to say, the material welfare of the nation is a means to the +unfolding of the dynastic power; provided always that this material +welfare is not allowed to run into such ramifications as will make the +commonwealth an unwieldy instrument in the hands of the dynastic +statesmen. National welfare is to the purpose only in so far as it +conduces to political success, which is always a question of warlike +success in the last resort. The limitation which this consideration +imposes on the government's economic policy are such as will make the +nation a self-sufficient or self-balanced economic commonwealth. It must +be a self-balanced commonwealth at least in such measure as will make it +self-sustaining in case of need, in all those matters that bear directly +on warlike efficiency. + +Of course, no community can become fully self-sustaining under modern +conditions, by use of the modern state of the industrial arts, except by +recourse to such drastic measures of repression as would reduce its +total efficiency in an altogether intolerable degree. This will hold +true even of those nations who, like Russia or the United States, are +possessed of extremely extensive territories and extremely large and +varied resources; but it applies with greatly accentuated force to +smaller and more scantily furnished territorial units. Peoples living +under modern conditions and by use of the modern state of the industrial +arts necessarily draw on all quarters of the habitable globe for +materials and products which they can procure to the best advantage +from outside their own special field so long as they are allowed access +to these outlying sources of supply; and any arbitrary limitation on +this freedom of traffic makes the conditions of life that much harder, +and lowers the aggregate efficiency of the community by that much. +National self-sufficiency is to be achieved only by a degree of economic +isolation; and such a policy of economic isolation involves a degree of +impoverishment and lowered efficiency, but it will also leave the nation +readier for warlike enterprise on such a scale as its reduced efficiency +will compass. + +So that the best that can be accomplished along this line by the +dynastic statesmen is a shrewd compromise, embodying such a degree of +isolation and inhibition as will leave the country passably +self-sufficient in case of need, without lowering the national +efficiency to such a point as to cripple its productive forces beyond +what will be offset by the greater warlike readiness that is so +attained. The point to which such a policy of isolation and sufficiency +will necessarily be directed is that measure of inhibition that will +yield the most facile and effective ways and means of warlike +enterprise, the largest product of warlike effectiveness to be had on +multiplying the nation's net efficiency into its readiness to take the +field. + +Into any consideration of this tactical problem a certain subsidiary +factor enters, in that the patriotic temper of the nation is always more +or less affected by such an economic policy. The greater the degree of +effectual isolation and discrimination embodied in the national policy, +the greater will commonly be its effect on popular sentiment in the way +of national animosity and spiritual self-sufficiency; which may be an +asset of great value for the purposes of warlike enterprise. + +Plainly, any dynastic statesman who should undertake to further the +common welfare regardless of its serviceability for warlike enterprise +would be defeating his own purpose. He would, in effect, go near to +living up to his habitual professions touching international peace, +instead of professing to live up to them, as the exigencies of his +national enterprise now conventionally require him to do. In effect, he +would be _functus officio_. + +There are two great administrative instruments available for this work +of repression and national self-sufficiency at the hands of the +imperialistic statesman: the protective tariff, and commercial +subvention. The two are not consistently to be distinguished from one +another at all points, and each runs out into a multifarious convolution +of variegated details; but the principles involved are, after all, +fairly neat and consistent. The former is of the nature of a conspiracy +in restraint of trade by repression; the latter, a conspiracy to the +like effect by subsidised monopoly; both alike act to check the pursuit +of industry in given lines by artificially increasing the cost of +production for given individuals or classes of producers, and both alike +impose a more than proportionate cost on the community within which they +take effect. Incidentally, both of these methods of inhibition bring a +degree, though a less degree, of hardship, to the rest of the industrial +world. + +All this is matter of course to all economic students, and it should, +reasonably, be plain to all intelligent persons; but its voluble denial +by interested parties, as well as the easy credulity with which +patriotic citizens allow themselves to accept the sophistries offered in +defense of these measures of inhibition, has made it seem worth while +here to recall these commonplaces of economic science. + +The ground of this easy credulity is not so much infirmity of intellect +as it is an exuberance of sentiment, although it may reasonably be +believed that its more pronounced manifestations--as, e.g., the high +protective tariff--can be had only by force of a formidable cooperation +of the two. The patriotic animus is an invidious sentiment of joint +prestige; and it needs no argument or documentation to bear out the +affirmation that its bias will lend a color of merit and expediency to +any proposed measure that can, however speciously, promise an increase +of national power or prestige. So that when the statesmen propose a +policy of inhibition and mitigated isolation on the professed ground +that such a policy will strengthen the nation economically by making it +economically self-supporting, as well as ready for any warlike +adventure, the patriotic citizen views the proposed measures through the +rosy haze of national aspirations and lets the will to believe persuade +him that whatever conduces to a formidable national battle-front will +also contribute to the common good. At the same time all these national +conspiracies in restraint of trade are claimed, with more or less +reason, to inflict more or less harm on rival nationalities with whom +economic relations are curtailed; and patriotism being an invidious +sentiment, the patriotic citizen finds comfort in the promise of +mischief to these others, and is all the more prone to find all kinds of +merit in proposals that look to such an invidious outcome. In any +community imbued with an alert patriotic spirit, the fact that any given +circumstance, occurrence or transaction can be turned to account as a +means of invidious distinction or invidious discrimination against +humanity beyond the national pale, will always go far to procure +acceptance of it as being also an article of substantial profit to the +community at large, even though the slightest unbiased scrutiny would +find it of no ascertainable use in any other bearing than that of +invidious mischief. And whatever will bear interpretation as an +increment of the nation's power or prowess, in comparison with rival +nationalities, will always be securely counted as an item of joint +credit, and will be made to serve the collective conceit as an invidious +distinction; and patriotic credulity will find it meritorious also in +other respects. + +So, e.g., it is past conception that such a patent imbecility as a +protective tariff should enlist the support of any ordinarily +intelligent community except by the help of some such chauvinistic +sophistry. So also, the various royal establishments of Europe, e.g., +afford an extreme but therefore all the more convincing illustration of +the same logical fallacy. These establishments and personages are great +and authentic repositories of national prestige, and they are therefore +unreflectingly presumed by their several aggregations of subjects to be +of some substantial use also in some other bearing; but it would be a +highly diverting exhibition of credulity for any outsider to fall into +that amazing misconception. But the like is manifestly true of +commercial turnover and export trade among modern peoples; although on +this head the infatuation is so ingrained and dogmatic that even a rank +outsider is expected to accept the fallacy without reflection, on pain +of being rated as unsafe or unsound. Such matters again, as the +dimensions of the national territory, or the number of the population +and the magnitude of the national resources, are still and have perhaps +always been material for patriotic exultation, and are fatuously +believed to have some great significance for the material fortunes of +the common man; although it should be plain on slight reflection that +under modern conditions of ownership, these things, one and all, are of +no consequence to the common man except as articles of prestige to +stimulate his civic pride. The only conjuncture under which these and +the like national holdings can come to have a meaning as joint or +collective assets would arise in case of a warlike adventure carried to +such extremities as would summarily cancel vested rights of ownership +and turn them to warlike uses. While the rights of ownership hold, the +common man, who does not own these things, draws no profit from their +inclusion in the national domain; indeed, he is at some cost to +guarantee their safe tenure by their rightful owners. + +In so pursuing their quest of the Kingdom, the Power and the Glory, by +use of the national resources and by sanction of the national spirit, +the constituted authorities also assume the guardianship of sundry +material interests that are presumed to touch the common good; such as +security of person and property in dealings with aliens, whether at home +or abroad; security of investment and trade, and vindication of their +citizens before the law in foreign parts; and, chiefly and ubiquitously, +furtherance and extension of the national trade into foreign parts, +particularly of the export trade, on terms advantageous to the traders +of the nation. + +The last named of these advantages is the one on which stress is apt to +fall in the argument of all those who advocate an unfolding of national +power, as being a matter of vital material benefit to the common man. +The other items indicated above, it is plain on the least reflection, +are matters of slight if any material consequence to him. The common +man--that is ninety-nine and a fraction in one hundred of the nation's +common men--has no dealings with aliens in foreign parts, as capitalist, +trader, missionary or wayfaring man, and has no occasion for security of +person or property under circumstances that raise any remotest question +of the national prowess or the national prestige; nor does he seek or +aspire to trade to foreign parts on any terms, equitable or otherwise, +or to invest capital among aliens under foreign rule, or to exploit +concessions or take orders, for acceptance or delivery; nor, indeed, +does he at all commonly come into even that degree of contact with +abroad that is implied in the purchase of foreign securities. Virtually +the sole occasion on which he comes in touch with the world beyond the +frontier is when, and if, he goes away from home as an emigrant, and so +ceases to enjoy the tutelage of the nation's constituted authorities. +But the common man, in point of fact, is a home-keeping body, who +touches foreign parts and aliens outside the national frontiers only at +the second or third remove, if at all, in the occasional purchase of +foreign products, or in the sale of goods that may find their way abroad +after he has lost sight of them. The exception to this general rule +would be found in the case of those under-sized nations that are too +small to contain the traffic in which their commonplace population are +engaged, and that have neither national prowess nor national prestige to +fall back on in a conceivable case of need,--and whose citizens, +individually, appear to be as fortunately placed in their workday +foreign relations, without a background of prowess and prestige, as the +citizens of the great powers who are most abundantly provided in these +respects. + +With wholly negligible exceptions, these matters touch the needs or the +sensibilities of the common man only through the channel of the +national honour, which may be injured in the hardships suffered by his +compatriots in foreign parts, or which may, again, be repaired or +enhanced by the meritorious achievements of the same compatriots; of +whose existence he will commonly have no other or more substantial +evidence, and in whose traffic he has no share other than this vicarious +suffering of vague and remote indignity or vainglory by force of the +wholly fortuitous circumstance that they are (inscrutably) his +compatriots. These immaterial goods of vicarious prestige are, of +course, not to be undervalued, nor is the fact to be overlooked or +minimised that they enter into the sum total of the common citizen's +"psychic income," for whatever they may foot up to; but evidently their +consideration takes us back to the immaterial category of prestige +value, from which the argument just now was hopefully departing with a +view to consideration of the common man's material interest in that +national enterprise about which patriotic aspirations turn. + +These things, then, are matters in which the common man has an interest +only as they have a prestige value. But there need be no question as to +their touching his sensibilities and stirring him to action, and even to +acts of bravery and self-sacrifice. Indignity or ill treatment of his +compatriots in foreign parts, even when well deserved, as is not +infrequently the case, are resented with a vehemence that is greatly to +the common man's credit, and greatly also to the gain of those patriotic +statesmen who find in such grievances their safest and most reliable raw +materials for the production of international difficulty. That he will +so respond to the stimulus of these, materially speaking irrelevant, +vicissitudes of good or ill that touch the fortunes of his compatriots, +as known to him by hearsay, bears witness, of course, to the high +quality of his manhood; but it falls very far short of arguing that +these promptings of his patriotic spirit have any value as traits that +count toward his livelihood or his economic serviceability in the +community in which he lives. It is all to his credit, and it goes to +constitute him a desirable citizen, in the sense that he is properly +amenable to the incitements of patriotic emulation; but it is none the +less to be admitted, however reluctantly, that this trait of impulsively +vicarious indignation or vainglory is neither materially profitable to +himself nor an asset of the slightest economic value to the community in +which he lives. Quite the contrary, in fact. So also is it true that the +common man derives no material advantage from the national success along +this line, though he commonly believes that it all somehow inures to his +benefit. It would seem that an ingrown bias of community interest, +blurred and driven by a jealously sensitive patriotic pride, bends his +faith uncritically to match his inclination. His persuasion is a work of +preconception rather than of perception. + +But the most substantial and most unqualified material benefit currently +believed to be derivable from a large unfolding of national prowess and +a wide extension of the national domain is an increased volume of the +nation's foreign trade, particularly of the export trade. "Trade follows +the Flag." And this larger trade and enhanced profit is presumed to +inure to the joint benefit of the citizens. Such is the profession of +faith of the sagacious statesmen and such is also the unreflecting +belief of the common man. + +It may be left an open question if an unfolding of national prowess and +prestige increases the nation's trade, whether in imports or in +exports. There is no available evidence that it has any effect of the +kind. What is not an open question is the patent fact that such an +extension of trade confers no benefit on the common man, who is not +engaged in the import or export business. More particularly does it +yield him no advantage at all commensurate with the cost involved in any +endeavour so to increase the volume of trade by increasing the nation's +power and extending its dominion. The profits of trade go not to the +common man at large but to the traders whose capital is invested; and it +is a completely idle matter to the common citizen whether the traders +who profit by the nation's trade are his compatriots or not.[6] + +[Footnote 6: All this, which should be plain without demonstration, has +been repeatedly shown in the expositions of various peace advocates, +typically by Mr. Angell.] + +The pacifist argument on the economic futility of national ambitions +will commonly rest its case at this point; having shown as unreservedly +as need be that national ambition and all its works belong of right +under that rubric of the litany that speaks of Fire, Flood and +Pestilence. But an hereditary bent of human nature is not to be put out +of the way with an argument showing that it has its disutilities. So +with the patriotic animus; it is a factor to be counted with, rather +than to be exorcised. + +As has been remarked above, in the course of time and change the advance +of the industrial arts and of the institutions of ownership have taken +such a turn that the working system of industry and business no longer +runs on national lines and, indeed, no longer takes account of national +frontiers,--except in so far as the national policies and legislation, +arbitrarily and partially, impose these frontiers on the workings of +trade and industry. The effect of such regulation for political ends is, +with wholly negligible exceptions, detrimental to the efficient working +of the industrial system under modern conditions; and it is therefore +detrimental to the material interests of the common citizen. But the +case is not the same as regards the interests of the traders. Trade is a +competitive affair, and it is to the advantage of the traders engaged in +any given line of business to extend their own markets and to exclude +competing traders. Competition may be the soul of trade, but monopoly is +necessarily the aim of every trader. And the national organisation is of +service to its traders in so far as it shelters them, wholly or partly, +from the competition of traders of other nationalities, or in so far as +it furthers their enterprise by subvention or similar privileges as +against their competitors, whether at home or abroad. The gain that so +comes to the nation's traders from any preferential advantage afforded +them by national regulations, or from any discrimination against traders +of foreign nationality, goes to the traders as private gain. It is of no +benefit to any of their compatriots; since there is no community of +usufruct that touches these gains of the traders. So far as concerns his +material advantage, it is an idle matter to the common citizen whether +he deals with traders of his own nationality or with aliens; both alike +will aim to buy cheap and sell dear, and will charge him "what the +traffic will bear." Nor does it matter to him whether the gains of this +trade go to aliens or to his compatriots; in either case equally they +immediately pass beyond his reach, and are equally removed from any +touch of joint interest on his part. Being private property, under +modern law and custom he has no use of them, whether a national frontier +does or does not intervene between his domicile and that of their owner. + +These are facts that every man of sound mind knows and acts on without +doubt or hesitation in his own workday affairs. He would scarcely even +find amusement in so futile a proposal as that his neighbor should share +his business profits with him for no better reason than that he is a +compatriot. But when the matter is presented as a proposition in +national policy and embroidered with an invocation of his patriotic +loyalty the common citizen will commonly be found credulous enough to +accept the sophistry without abatement. His archaic sense of group +solidarity will still lead him at his own cost to favor his trading +compatriots by the imposition of onerous trade regulations for their +private advantage, and to interpose obstacles in the way of alien +traders. All this ingenious policy of self-defeat is greatly helped out +by the patriotic conceit of the citizens; who persuade themselves to see +in it an accession to the power and prestige of their own nation and a +disadvantage to rival nationalities. It is, indeed, more than doubtful +if such a policy of self-defeat as is embodied in current international +trade discriminations could be insinuated into the legislation of any +civilized nation if the popular intelligence were not so clouded with +patriotic animosity as to let a prospective detriment to their foreign +neighbors count as a gain to themselves. + +So that the chief material use of the patriotic bent in modern +populations, therefore, appears to be its use to a limited class of +persons engaged in foreign trade, or in business that comes in +competition with foreign industry. It serves their private gain by +lending effectual countenance to such restraint of international trade +as would not be tolerated within the national domain. In so doing it has +also the secondary and more sinister effect of dividing the nations on +lines of rivalry and setting up irreconcilable claims and ambitions, of +no material value but of far-reaching effect in the way of provocation +to further international estrangement and eventual breach of the peace. + +How all this falls in with the schemes of militant statesmen, and +further reacts on the freedom and personal fortunes of the common man, +is an extensive and intricate topic, though not an obscure one; and it +has already been spoken of above, perhaps as fully as need be. + + + + +CHAPTER III + +ON THE CONDITIONS OF A LASTING PEACE + + +The considerations set out in earlier chapters have made it appear that +the patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding source of +contention among nations. Except for their patriotism a breach of the +peace among modern peoples could not well be had. So much will doubtless +be assented to as a matter of course. It is also a commonplace of +current aphoristic wisdom that both parties to a warlike adventure in +modern times stand to lose, materially; whatever nominal--that is to say +political--gains may be made by one or the other. It has also appeared +from these considerations recited in earlier passages that this +patriotic spirit prevails throughout, among all civilised peoples, and +that it pervades one nation about as ubiquitously as another. Nor is +there much evidence of a weakening of this sinister proclivity with the +passage of time or the continued advance in the arts of life. The only +civilized nations that can be counted on as habitually peaceable are +those who are so feeble or are so placed as to be cut off from hope of +gain through contention. Vainglorious arrogance may run at a higher +tension among the more backward and boorish nations; but it is not +evident that the advance guard among the civilised peoples are imbued +with a less complete national self-complacency. If the peace is to be +kept, therefore, it will have to be kept by and between peoples made up, +in effect, of complete patriots; which comes near being a contradiction +in terms. Patriotism is useful for breaking the peace, not for keeping +it. It makes for national pretensions and international jealously and +distrust, with warlike enterprise always in perspective; as a way to +national gain or a recourse in case of need. And there is commonly no +settled demarkation between these two contrasted needs that urge a +patriotic people forever to keep one eye on the chance of a recourse to +arms. + +Therefore any calculus of the Chances of Peace appears to become a +reckoning of the forces which may be counted on to keep a patriotic +nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace for the time being. As has +just been remarked above, among civilised peoples only those nations can +be counted on consistently to keep the peace who are so feeble or +otherwise so placed as to be cut off from hope of national gain. And +these can apparently be so counted on only as regards aggression, not as +regards the national defense, and only in so far as they are not drawn +into warlike enterprise, collectively, by their more competent +neighbors. Even the feeblest and most futile of them feels in honour +bound to take up arms in defense of such national pretensions as they +still may harbour; and all of them harbour such pretensions. In certain +extreme cases, which it might seem invidious to specify more explicitly, +it is not easy to discover any specific reasons for the maintenance of a +national establishment, apart from the vindication of certain national +pretensions which would quietly lapse in the absence of a national +establishment on whom their vindication is incumbent. + +Of the rest, the greater nations that are spoken of as Powers no such +general statement will hold. These are the peoples who stand, in +matters of national concern, on their own initiative; and the question +of peace and war at large is in effect, a question of peace and war +among these Powers. They are not so numerous that they can be sifted +into distinct classes, and yet they differ among themselves in such a +way that they may, for the purpose in hand, fairly be ranged under two +distinguishable if not contrasted heads: those which may safely be +counted on spontaneously to take the offensive, and those which will +fight on provocation. Typically of the former description are Germany +and Japan. Of the latter are the French and British, and less +confidently the American republic. In any summary statement of this kind +Russia will have to be left on one side as a doubtful case, for reasons +to which the argument may return at a later point; the prospective +course of things in Russia is scarcely to be appraised on the ground of +its past. Spain and Italy, being dubious Powers at the best, need not +detain the argument; they are, in the nature of things, subsidiaries who +wait on the main chance. And Austria, with whatever the name may cover, +is for the immediate purpose to be counted under the head of Germany. + +There is no invidious comparison intended in so setting off these two +classes of nations in contrast to one another. It is not a contrast of +merit and demerit or of prestige. Imperial Germany and Imperial Japan +are, in the nature of things as things go, bent in effect on a +disturbance of the peace,--with a view to advance the cause of their own +dominion. On a large view of the case, such as many German statesmen +were in the habit of professing in the years preceding the great war, it +may perhaps appear reasonable to say--as they were in the habit of +saying--that these Imperial Powers are as well within the lines of fair +and honest dealing in their campaign of aggression as the other Powers +are in taking a defensive attitude against their aggression. Some sort +of international equity has been pleaded in justification of their +demand for an increased share of dominion. At least it has appeared that +these Imperial statesmen have so persuaded themselves after very mature +deliberation; and they have showed great concern to persuade others of +the equity of their Imperial claim to something more than the law would +allow. These sagacious, not to say astute, persons have not only reached +a conviction to this effect, but they have become possessed of this +conviction in such plenary fashion that, in the German case, they have +come to admit exceptions or abatement of the claim only when and in so +far as the campaign of equitable aggression on which they had entered +has been proved impracticable by the fortunes of war. + +With some gift for casuistry one may, at least conceivably, hold that +the felt need of Imperial self-aggrandisement may become so urgent as to +justify, or at least to condone, forcible dispossession of weaker +nationalities. This might, indeed it has, become a sufficiently +perplexing question of casuistry, both as touches the punctilios of +national honour and as regards an equitable division between rival +Powers in respect of the material means of mastery. So in private life +it may become a moot question--in point of equity--whether the craving +of a kleptomaniac may not on occasion rise to such an intolerable pitch +of avidity as to justify him in seizing whatever valuables he can safely +lay hands on, to ease the discomfort of ungratified desire. In private +life any such endeavour to better oneself at one's neighbors' cost is +not commonly reprobated if it takes effect on a decently large scale +and shrewdly within the flexibilities of the law or with the connivance +of its officers. Governing international endeavours of this class there +is no law so inflexible that it can not be conveniently made over to fit +particular circumstances. And in the absence of law the felt need of a +formal justification will necessarily appeal to the unformulated +equities of the case, with some such outcome as alluded to above. All +that, of course, is for the diplomatists to take care of. + +But any speculation on the equities involved in the projected course of +empire to which these two enterprising nations are committing themselves +must run within the lines of diplomatic parable, and will have none but +a speculative interest. It is not a matter of equity. Accepting the +situation as it stands, it is evident that any peace can only have a +qualified meaning, in the sense of armistice, so long as there is +opportunity for national enterprise of the character on which these two +enterprising national establishments are bent, and so long as these and +the like national establishments remain. So, taking the peaceable +professions of their spokesmen at a discount of one hundred percent, as +one necessarily must, and looking to the circumstantial evidence of the +case, it is abundantly plain that at least these two imperial Powers may +be counted on consistently to manoeuvre for warlike advantage so long as +any peace compact holds, and to break the peace so soon as the strategy +of Imperial enterprise appears to require it. + +There has been much courteous make-believe of amiable and upright +solicitude on this head the past few years, both in diplomatic +intercourse and among men out of doors; and since make-believe is a +matter of course in diplomatic intercourse it is right and seemly, of +course, that no overt recognition of unavowed facts should be allowed +to traverse this run of make-believe within the precincts of diplomatic +intercourse. But in any ingenuous inquiry into the nature of peace and +the conditions of its maintenance there can be no harm in conveniently +leaving the diplomatic make-believe on one side and looking to the +circumstances that condition the case, rather than to the formal +professions designed to mask the circumstances. + + * * * * * + +Chief among the relevant circumstances in the current situation are the +imperial designs of Germany and Japan. These two national establishments +are very much alike. So much so that for the present purpose a single +line of analysis will passably cover both cases. The same line of +analysis will also apply, with slight adaptation, to more than one of +the other Powers, or near-Powers, of the modern world; but in so far as +such is held to be the case, that is not a consideration that weakens +the argument as applied to these two, which are to be taken as the +consummate type-form of a species of national establishments. They are, +between them, the best instance there is of what may be called a +Dynastic State. + +Except as a possible corrective of internal disorders and discontent, +neither of the two States "desires" war; but both are bent on dominion, +and as the dominion aimed at is not to be had except by fighting for it, +both in effect are incorrigibly bent on warlike enterprise. And in +neither case will considerations of equity, humanity, decency, veracity, +or the common good be allowed to trouble the quest of dominion. As lies +in the nature of the dynastic State, imperial dominion, in the ambitions +of both, is beyond price; so that no cost is too high so long as +ultimate success attends the imperial enterprise. So much is commonplace +knowledge among all men who are at all conversant with the facts. + +To anyone who harbors a lively sentimental prejudice for or against +either or both of the two nations so spoken of, or for or against the +manner of imperial enterprise to which both are committed, it may seem +that what has just been said of them and their relation to the world's +peace runs on something of a bias and conveys something of dispraise and +reprobation. Such is not the intention, however, though the appearance +is scarcely to be avoided. It is necessary for the purposes of the +argument unambiguously to recognise the nature of these facts with which +the inquiry is concerned; and any plain characterisation of the facts +will unavoidably carry a fringe of suggestions of this character, +because current speech is adapted for their reprobation. The point aimed +at is not this inflection of approval or disapproval. The facts are to +be taken impersonally for what they are worth in their causal bearing on +the chance of peace or war; not at their sentimental value as traits of +conduct to be appraised in point of their goodness or expediency. + +So seen without prejudice, then, if that may be, this Imperial +enterprise of these two Powers is to be rated as the chief circumstance +bearing on the chances of peace and conditioning the terms on which any +peace plan must be drawn. Evidently, in the presence of these two +Imperial Powers any peace compact will be in a precarious case; equally +so whether either or both of them are parties to such compact or not. No +engagement binds a dynastic statesman in case it turns out not to +further the dynastic enterprise. The question then recurs: How may peace +be maintained within the horizon of German or Japanese ambitions? There +are two obvious alternatives, neither of which promises an easy way out +of the quandary in which the world's peace is placed by their presence: +Submission to their dominion, or Elimination of these two Powers. Either +alternative would offer a sufficiently deterrent outlook, and yet any +project for devising some middle course of conciliation and amicable +settlement, which shall be practicable and yet serve the turn, scarcely +has anything better to promise. The several nations now engaged on a war +with the greater of these Imperial Powers hold to a design of +elimination, as being the only measure that merits hopeful +consideration. The Imperial Power in distress bespeaks peace and +good-will. + +Those advocates, whatever their nationality, who speak for negotiation +with a view to a peace compact which is to embrace these States intact, +are aiming, in effect, to put things in train for ultimate submission to +the mastery of these Imperial Powers. In these premises an amicable +settlement and a compact of perpetual peace will necessarily be +equivalent to arranging a period of recuperation and recruiting for a +new onset of dynastic enterprise. For, in the nature of the case, no +compact binds the dynastic statesman, and no consideration other than +the pursuit of Imperial dominion commands his attention. + +There is, of course, no intention to decry this single-mindedness that +is habitually put in evidence by the dynastic statesmen. Nor should it +be taken as evidence of moral obliquity in them. It is rather the result +of a peculiar moral attitude or bent, habitual to such statesmen, and in +its degree also habitual to their compatriots, and is indispensably +involved in the Imperial frame of mind. The consummation of Imperial +mastery being the highest and ubiquitously ulterior end of all +endeavour, its pursuit not only relieves its votaries from the +observance of any minor obligations that run counter to its needs, but +it also imposes a moral obligation to make the most of any opportunity +for profitable deceit and chicanery that may offer. In short, the +dynastic statesman is under the governance of a higher morality, binding +him to the service of his nation's ambition--or in point of fact, to the +personal service of his dynastic master--to which it is his dutiful +privilege loyally to devote all his powers of force and fraud. + +Democratically-minded persons, who are not moved by the call of loyalty +to a gratuitous personal master, may have some difficulty in +appreciating the force and the moral austerity of this spirit of +devotion to an ideal of dynastic aggrandisement, and in seeing how its +paramount exigence will set aside all meticulous scruples of personal +rectitude and veracity, as being a shabby with-holding of service due. + +To such of these doubters as still have retained some remnants of their +religious faith this attitude of loyalty may perhaps be made +intelligible by calling to mind the analogous self-surrender of the +religious devotee. And in this connection it may also be to the purpose +to recall that in point of its genesis and derivation that unreserved +self-abasement and surrender to the divine ends and guidance, which is +the chief grace and glory of the true believer, is held by secular +students of these matters to be only a sublimated analogue or +counterfeit of this other dutiful abasement that constitutes loyalty to +a temporal master. The deity is currently spoken of as The Heavenly +King, under whose dominion no sinner has a right that He is bound to +respect; very much after the fashion in which no subject of a dynastic +state has a right which the State is bound to respect. Indeed, all these +dynastic establishments that so seek the Kingdom, the Power and the +Glory are surrounded with a penumbra of divinity, and it is commonly a +bootless question where the dynastic powers end and the claims of +divinity begin. There is something of a coalescence.[7] + +[Footnote 7: "To us the state is the most indispensable as well as the +highest requisite to our earthly existence.... All individualistic +endeavor ... must be unreservedly subordinated to this lofty claim.... +The state ... eventually is of infinitely more value than the sum of all +the individuals within its jurisdiction." "This conception of the state, +which is as much a part of our life as is the blood in our veins, is +nowhere to be found in the English Constitution, and is quite foreign to +English thought, and to that of America as well."--Eduard Meyer, +_England, its Political Organisation and Development and the War against +Germany_, translated by H.S. White. Boston 1916. pp. 30-31.] + +The Kaiser holds dominion by divine grace and is accountable to none but +God, if to Him. The whole case is in a still better state of repair as +touches the Japanese establishment, where the Emperor is a lineal +descendant of the supreme deity, Amaterazu (_o mi Kami_), and where, by +consequence, there is no line of cleavage between a divine and a secular +mastery. Pursuant to this more unqualified authenticity of autocratic +rule, there is also to be found in this case a correspondingly +unqualified devotion in the subjects and an unqualified subservience to +dynastic ends on the part of the officers of the crown. The coalescence +of dynastic rule with the divine order is less complete in the German +case, but all observers bear witness that it all goes far enough also in +the German case. This state of things is recalled here as a means of +making plain that the statesmen of these Imperial Powers must in the +nature of the case, and without blame, be drawn out from under the +customary restraint of those principles of vulgar morality that are +embodied in the decalogue. It is not that the subject, or--what comes to +the same thing--the servant of such a dynastic State may not be upright, +veracious and humane in private life, but only that he must not be +addicted to that sort of thing in such manner or degree as might hinder +his usefulness for dynastic purposes. These matters of selfishly +individual integrity and humanity have no weight as against the +exigencies of the dynastic enterprise. + +These considerations may not satisfy all doubters as to the moral +sufficiency of these motives that so suffice to decide the dynastic +statesmen on their enterprise of aggression by force and fraud; but it +should be evident that so long as these statesmen continue in the frame +of mind spoken of, and so long as popular sentiment in these countries +continues, as hitherto, to lend them effectual support in the pursuit of +such Imperial enterprise, so long it must also remain true that no +enduring peace can be maintained within the sweep of their Imperial +ambition. Any peace compact would necessarily be, in effect, an +armistice terminable at will and serving as a season of preparation to +meet a deferred opportunity. For the peaceable nations it would, in +effect, be a respite and a season of preparation for eventual submission +to the Imperial rule. + +By advocates of such a negotiated compact of perpetual peace it has been +argued that the populace underlying these Imperial Powers will readily +be brought to realise the futility and inexpediency of such dynastic +enterprise, if only the relevant facts are brought to their knowledge, +and that so these Powers will be constrained to keep the peace by +default of popular support for their warlike projects. What is required, +it is believed by these sanguine persons, is that information be +competently conveyed to the common people of these warlike nations, +showing them that they have nothing to apprehend in the way of +aggression or oppressive measures from the side of their more peaceable +neighbours; whereupon their warlike animus will give place to a +reasonable and enlightened frame of mind. This argument runs tacitly or +explicitly, on the premise that these peoples who have so +enthusiastically lent themselves to the current warlike enterprise are +fundamentally of the same racial complexion and endowed with the same +human nature as their peaceable neighbours, who would be only too glad +to keep the peace on any terms of tolerable security from aggression. If +only a fair opportunity is offered for the interested peoples to come to +an understanding, it is held, a good understanding will readily be +reached; at least so far as to result in a reasonable willingness to +submit questions in dispute to an intelligent canvass and an equitable +arbitration. + +Projects for a negotiated peace compact, to include the dynastic States, +can hold any prospect of a happy issue only if this line of argument, or +its equivalent, is pertinent and conclusive; and the argument is to the +point only in so far as its premises are sound and will carry as far as +the desired conclusion. Therefore a more detailed attention to the +premises on which it runs will be in place, before any project of the +kind is allowed to pass inspection. + +As to homogeneity of race and endowment among the several nations in +question, the ethnologists, who are competent to speak of that matter, +are ready to assert that this homogeneity goes much farther among the +nations of Europe than any considerable number of peace advocates would +be ready to claim. In point of race, and broadly speaking, there is +substantially no difference between these warring nations, along any +east-and-west line; while the progressive difference in racial +complexion that is always met with along any north-and-south line, +nowhere coincides with a national or linguistic frontier. In no case +does a political division between these nations mark or depend on a +difference of race or of hereditary endowment. And, to give full +measure, it may be added that also in no case does a division of classes +within any one of these nations, into noble and base, patrician and +plebeian, lay and learned, innocent and vicious, mark or rest on any +slightest traceable degree of difference in race or in heritable +endowment. On the point of racial homogeneity there is no fault to find +with the position taken. + +If the second postulate in this groundwork of premises on which the +advocates of negotiable peace base their hopes were as well taken there +need be no serious misgiving as to the practicability of such a plan. +The plan counts on information, persuasion and reflection to subdue +national animosities and jealousies, at least in such measure as would +make them amenable to reason. The question of immediate interest on this +head, therefore, would be as to how far this populace may be accessible +to the contemplated line of persuasion. At present they are, +notoriously, in a state of obsequious loyalty to the dynasty, +single-minded devotion to the fortunes of the Fatherland, and +uncompromising hatred of its enemies. In this frame of mind there is +nothing that is new, except the degree of excitement. The animus, it +will be recalled, was all there and on the alert when the call came, so +that the excitement came on with the sweep of a conflagration on the +first touch of a suitable stimulus. The German people at large was +evidently in a highly unstable equilibrium, so that an unexampled +enthusiasm of patriotic self-sacrifice followed immediately on the first +incitement to manslaughter, very much as if the nation had been held +under an hypnotic spell. One need only recall the volume of overbearing +magniloquence that broke out all over the place in that beginning, when +The Day was believed to be dawning. + +Such a popular frame of mind is not a transient episode, to be created +at short notice and put aside for a parcel of salutary advice. The +nation that will make such a massive concerted move with the alacrity +shown in this instance must be living in a state of alert readiness for +just such an onset. Yet this is not to be set down as anything in the +way of a racial trait specifically distinguishing the German people from +those other adjacent nationalities that are incapable of a similarly +swift and massive response to the appeal of patriotism. These adjacent +nationalities are racially identical with the German people, but they do +not show the same warlike abandon in nearly the same degree. + +But for all that, it is a national trait, not to be acquired or put away +by taking thought. It is just here that the line of definition runs: it +is a national trait, not a racial one. It is not Nature, but it is +Second Nature. But a national trait, while it is not heritable in the +simple sense of that term, has the same semblance, or the same degree, +of hereditary persistence that belongs to the national institutions, +usages, conventionalities, beliefs, which distinguish the given nation +from its neighbors. In this instance it may be said more specifically +that this eager loyalty is a heritage of the German people at large in +the same sense and with the same degree of permanence as the institution +of an autocratic royalty has among them, or a privileged nobility. +Indeed, it is the institutional counterfoil of these establishments. It +is of an institutional character, just as the corresponding sense of +national solidarity and patriotic devotion is among the neighboring +peoples with whom the German nation comes in comparison. And an +institution is an historical growth, with just so much of a character of +permanence and continuity of transmission as is given it by the +circumstances out of which it has grown. Any institution is a product of +habit, or perhaps more accurately it is a body of habits of thought +bearing on a given line of conduct, which prevails with such generality +and uniformity throughout the group as to have become a matter of common +sense. + +Such an article of institutional furniture is an outcome of usage, not +of reflection or deliberate choice; and it has consequently a character +of self-legitimation, so that it stands in the accredited scheme of +things as intrinsically right and good, and not merely as a shrewdly +chosen expedient _ad interim_. It affords a norm of life, inosculating +with a multiplicity of other norms, with which it goes to make up a +balanced scheme of ends, ways and means governing human conduct; and no +one such institutional item, therefore, is materially to be disturbed, +discarded or abated except at the cost of serious derangement to the +balanced scheme of things in which it belongs as an integral +constituent. Nor can such a detail norm of conduct and habitual +propensity come into bearing and hold its place, except by force of +habituation which is at the same time consonant with the common run of +habituation to which the given community is subject. It follows that +the more rigorous, comprehensive, unremitting and long-continued the +habituation to which a given institutional principle owes its vogue, the +more intimately and definitively will it be embedded in the common sense +of the community, the less chance is there of its intrinsic necessity +being effectually questioned or doubted, and the less chance is there of +correcting it or abating its force in case circumstances should so +change as to make its continued rule visibly inexpedient. Its abatement +will be a work not of deliberation and design, but of defection through +disuse. + +Not that reflection and sane counsel will count for nothing in these +premises, but only that these exertions of intelligence will count for +relatively very little by comparison with the run of habituation as +enforced by the circumstances conditioning any given case; and further, +that wise counsel and good resolutions can take effect in the way of +amending any untoward institutional bent only by way of suitable +habituation, and only at such a rate of change as the circumstances +governing habituation will allow. It is, at the best, slow work to shift +the settled lines of any community's scheme of common sense. Now, +national solidarity, and more particularly an unquestioning loyalty to +the sovereign and the dynasty, is a matter of course and of commonsense +necessity with the German people. It is not necessary to call to mind +that the Japanese nation, which has here been coupled with the German, +are in the same case, only more so. + +Doubtless it would be exceeding the premises to claim that it should +necessarily take the German people as long-continued and as harsh a +schooling to unlearn their excess of chauvinism, their servile stooping +to gratuitous authority, and their eager subservience to the dynastic +ambitions of their masters, as that which has in the course of history +induced these habits in them. But it would seem reasonable to expect +that there should have to be some measure of proportion between what it +has cost them in time and experience to achieve their current frame of +mind in this bearing and what it would cost to divest themselves of it. +It is a question of how long a time and how exacting a discipline would +be required so far to displace the current scheme of commonsense values +and convictions in force in the Fatherland as to neutralise their +current high-wrought principles of servility, loyalty and national +animosity; and on the solution of this difficulty appear to depend the +chances of success for any proposed peace compact to which the German +nation shall be made a party, on terms of what is called an "honorable +peace." + +The national, or rather the dynastic and warlike, animus of this people +is of the essence of their social and political institutions. Without +such a groundwork of popular sentiment neither the national +establishment, nor the social order on which it rests and through which +it works, could endure. And with this underlying national sentiment +intact nothing but a dynastic establishment of a somewhat ruthless +order, and no enduring system of law and order not based on universal +submission to personal rule, could be installed. Both the popular animus +and the correlative coercive scheme of law and order are of historical +growth. Both have been learned, acquired, and are in no cogent sense +original with the German people. But both alike and conjointly have come +out of a very protracted, exacting and consistent discipline of mastery +and subjection, running virtually unbroken over the centuries that have +passed since the region that is now the Fatherland first passed under +the predaceous rule of its Teutonic invaders,--for no part of the +"Fatherland" is held on other tenure than that of forcible seizure in +ancient times by bands of invaders, with the negligible exception of +Holstein and a slight extent of territory adjoining that province to the +south and south-west. Since the time when such peoples as were overtaken +in this region by the Germanic barbarian invasions, and were reduced to +subjection and presently merged with their alien masters, the same +general fashion of law and order that presently grew out of that +barbarian conquest has continued to govern the life of those peoples, +with relatively slight and intermittent relaxation of its rigors. +Contrasted with its beginnings, in the shameful atrocities of the Dark +Ages and the prehistoric phases of this German occupation, the later +stages of this system of coercive law and order in the Fatherland will +appear humane, not to say genial; but as compared with the degree of +mitigation which the like order of things presently underwent elsewhere +in western Europe, it has throughout the historical period preserved a +remarkable degree of that character of arrogance and servility which it +owes to its barbarian and predatory beginnings. + + * * * * * + +The initial stages of this Germanic occupation of the Fatherland are +sufficiently obscure under the cloud of unrecorded antiquity that covers +them; and then, an abundance of obscurantism has also been added by the +vapours of misguided vanity that have surrounded so nearly all +historical inquiry on the part of patriotic German scholars. Yet there +are certain outstanding features in the case, in history and prehistory, +that are too large or too notorious to be set aside or to be covered +over, and these may suffice to show the run of circumstances which have +surrounded the German peoples and shaped their civil and political +institutions, and whose discipline has guided German habits of thought +and preserved the German spirit of loyalty in the shape in which it +underlies the dynastic State of the present day. + +Among the most engaging of those fables that make the conventional +background of German history is the academic legend of a free +agricultural village community made up of ungraded and masterless men. +It is not necessary here to claim that such a village community never +played a part in the remoter prehistoric experiences out of which the +German people, or their ruling classes, came into the territory of the +Fatherland; such a claim might divert the argument. But it is +sufficiently patent to students of those matters today that no such +community of free and ungraded men had any part in the Germanic +beginnings; that is to say, in the early experiences of the Fatherland +under German rule. The meager and ambiguous remarks of Tacitus on the +state of domestic and civil economy among the inhabitants of Germany +need no longer detain anyone, in the presence of the available +archaeological and historical evidence. The circumstantial evidence of +the prehistoric antiquities which touch this matter, as well as the +slight allusions of historical records in antiquity, indicate +unambiguously enough that when the Germanic immigrants moved into the +territories of the Fatherland they moved in as invaders, or rather as +marauders, and made themselves masters of the people already living on +the land. And history quite as unambiguously declares that when the +Fatherland first comes under its light it presents a dark and bloody +ground of tumultuous contention and intrigue; where princes and +princelings, captains of war and of rapine as well as the captains of +superstition, spend the substance of an ignominiously sordid and servile +populace in an endless round of mutual raiding, treachery, +assassinations and supersession. + +Taken at their face value, the recorded stories of that early time would +leave one to infer that the common people, whose industry supported this +superstructure of sordid mastery, could have survived only by oversight. +But touched as it is with poetic license and devoted to the admirable +life of the master class--admirable in their own eyes and in those of +their chroniclers, as undoubtedly also in the eyes of the subject +populace--the history of that time doubtless plays up the notable +exploits and fortunes of its conspicuous personages, somewhat to the +neglect of the obscure vicissitudes of life and fortune among that human +raw material by use of which the admirable feats of the master class +were achieved, and about the use of which the dreary traffic of greed +and crime went on among the masters. + +Of the later history, what covers, say, the last one thousand years, +there is no need to speak at length. With transient, episodic, +interruptions it is for the Fatherland a continuation out of these +beginnings, leading out into a more settled system of subjection and +mastery and a progressively increased scale of princely enterprise, +resting on an increasingly useful and increasingly loyal populace. In +all this later history the posture of things in the Fatherland is by no +means unique, nor is it even strikingly peculiar, by contrast with the +rest of western Europe, except in degree. It is of the same general kind +as the rest of what has gone to make the historical advance of medieval +and modern times; but it differs from the generality in a more sluggish +movement and a more tenacious adherence to what would be rated as the +untoward features of mediaevalism. The approach to a modern scheme of +institutions and modern conceptions of life and of human values has been +slow, and hitherto incomplete, as compared with those communities that +have, for good or ill, gone farthest along the ways of modernity. +Habituation to personal subjection and subservience under the rigorous +and protracted discipline of standardised service and fealty has +continued later, and with later and slighter mitigation, in the +Fatherland; so as better to have conserved the spiritual attitude of the +feudal order. Law and order in the Fatherland has in a higher degree +continued to mean unquestioning obedience to a personal master and +unquestioning subservience to the personal ambitions of the master. And +since freedom, in the sense of discretionary initiative on the part of +the common man, does not fit into the framework of such a system of +dependence on personal authority and surveillance, any degree of such +free initiative will be "licence" in the eyes of men bred into the +framework of this system; whereas "liberty," as distinct from "licence," +is not a matter of initiative and self-direction, but of latitude in the +service of a master. Hence no degree of curtailment in this delegated +"liberty" will be resented or repudiated by popular indignation, so long +as the master to whom service is due can give assurance that it is +expedient for his purposes. + +The age-long course of experience and institutional discipline out of +which the current German situation has come may be drawn schematically +to the following effect: In the beginning a turmoil of conquest, rapine, +servitude, and contention between rival bands of marauders and their +captains, gradually, indeed imperceptibly, fell into lines of settled +and conventionalised exploitation; with repeated interruptions due to +new incursions and new combinations of rapacious chieftains. Out of it +all in the course of time came a feudal régime, under which personal +allegiance and service to petty chiefs was the sole and universal +accredited bond of solidarity. As the outcome of further unremitting +intrigue and contention among feudal chiefs, of high and low degree, the +populace fell into larger parcels, under the hands of feudal lords of +larger dominion, and the bias of allegiance and service came to hold +with some degree of permanence and uniformity, or at least of +consistency, over a considerable reach of country, including its +inhabitants. With the rise of States came allegiance to a dynasty, as +distinguished from the narrower and more ephemeral allegiance to the +semi-detached person of a victorious prince; and the relative permanence +of territorial frontiers under this rule gave room for an effectual +recrudescence of the ancient propensity to a sentimental group +solidarity; in which the accredited territorial limits of the dynastic +dominion served to outline the group that so was felt to belong together +under a joint dispensation and with something of a joint interest in +matters of fame and fortune. As the same notion is more commonly and +more suggestively expressed, a sense of nationality arose within the +sweep of the dynastic rule. This sense of community interest that is +called nationality so came in to reenforce the sense of allegiance to +the dynastic establishment and so has coalesced with it to produce that +high-wrought loyalty to the State, that draws equally on the sentiment +of community interest in the nation and on the prescriptive docility to +the dynastic head. The sense of national solidarity and of feudal +loyalty and service have coalesced, to bring this people to that climax +of patriotic devotion beyond which there lies no greater height along +this way. But this is also as far as the German people have gone; and it +is scarcely to be claimed that the Japanese have yet reached this stage; +they would rather appear to be, essentially, subjects of the emperor, +and only inchoately a Japanese nation. Of the German people it seems +safe to say that they have achieved such a coalescence of unimpaired +feudal fealty to a personal master and a full-blown sense of national +solidarity, without any perceptible slackening in either strand of the +double tie which so binds them in the service of the dynastic State. + +Germany, in other words, is somewhat in arrears, as compared with those +Europeans that have gone farthest along this course of institutional +growth, or perhaps rather institutional permutation. It is not that this +retardation of the German people in this matter of national spirit is to +be counted as an infirmity, assuredly not as a handicap in the pursuit +of that national prestige on which all patriotic endeavour finally +converges. For this purpose the failure to distinguish between the +ambitions of the dynastic statesmen and the interests of the +commonwealth is really a prodigious advantage, which their rivals, of +more mature growth politically, have lost by atrophy of this same +dynastic axiom of subservience. These others, of whom the French and the +English-speaking peoples make up the greater part and may be taken as +the typical instance, have had a different history, in part. The +discipline of experience has left a somewhat different residue of habits +of thought embedded in their institutional equipment and effective as +axiomatic premises in their further apprehension of what is worth while, +and why. + +It is not that the difference between these two contrasted strains of +the Western civilisation is either profound or very pronounced; it is +perhaps rather to be stated as a difference of degree than of kind; a +retardation of spiritual growth, in respect of the prevalent and +controlling habits of thought on certain heads, in the one case as +against the other. Therefore any attempt to speak with sufficient +definition, so as to bring out this national difference of animus in any +convincing way, will unavoidably have an appearance of overstatement, if +not also of bias. And in any case, of course, it is not to be expected +that the national difference here spoken for can be brought home to the +apprehension of any unspoiled son of the Fatherland, since it does not +lie within that perspective. + +It is not of the nature of a divergence, but rather a differential in +point of cultural maturity, due to a differential in the rate of +progression through that sequence of institutional phases through which +the civilised peoples of Europe, jointly and severally, have been led by +force of circumstance. In this movement out of the Dark Ages and onward, +circumstances have fallen out differently for those Europeans that +chanced to live within the confines of the Fatherland, different with +such effect as to have in the present placed these others at a farther +remove from the point of departure, leaving them furnished with less of +that archaic frame of mind that is here in question. Possessed of less, +but by no means shorn of all--perhaps not of the major part--of that +barbaric heritage. + +Circumstances have so fallen out that these--typically the French and +the English-speaking peoples--have left behind and partly forgotten that +institutional phase in which the people of Imperial Germany now live and +move and have their being. The French partly because they--that is the +common people of the French lands--entered the procession with a very +substantial lead, having never been put back to a point abreast of their +neighbors across the Rhine, in that phase of European civilisation from +which the peoples of the Fatherland tardily emerged into the feudal age. +So, any student who shall set out to account for the visible lead which +the French people still so obstinately maintain in the advance of +European culture, will have to make up his account with this notable +fact among the premises of his inquiry, that they have had a shorter +course to cover and have therefore, in the sporting phrase, had the +inside track. They measure from a higher datum line. Among the +advantages which so have come, in a sense unearned, to the French +people, is their uninterrupted retention, out of Roman--and perhaps +pre-Roman--times, of the conception of a commonwealth, a community of +men with joint and mutual interests apart from any superimposed +dependence on a joint feudal superior. The French people therefore +became a nation, with unobtrusive facility, so soon as circumstances +permitted, and they are today the oldest "nation" in Europe. They +therefore were prepared from long beforehand, with an adequate principle +(habit of thought) of national cohesion and patriotic sentiment, to make +the shift from a dynastic State to a national commonwealth whenever the +occasion for such a move should arise; that is to say, whenever the +dynastic State, by a suitable conjunction of infirmity and irksomeness, +should pass the margin of tolerance in this people's outraged sense of +national shame. The case of the German people in their latterday +attitude toward dynastic vagaries may afford a term of comparison. These +appear yet incapable of distinguishing between national shame and +dynastic ambition. + +By a different course and on lines more nearly parallel with the +life-history of the German peoples, the English-speaking peoples have +reached what is for the present purpose much the same ground as the +French, in that they too have made the shift from the dynastic State to +the national commonwealth. The British started late, but the discipline +of servitude and unmitigated personal rule in their case was relatively +brief and relatively ineffectual; that is to say, as compared with what +their German cousins had to endure and to learn in the like connection. +So that the British never learned the lesson of dynastic loyalty fully +by heart; at least not the populace; whatever may be true for the +privileged classes, the gentlemen, whose interests were on the side of +privilege and irresponsible mastery. Here as in the French case it was +the habits of thought of the common man, not of the class of gentlemen, +that made the obsolescence of the dynastic State a foregone conclusion +and an easy matter--as one speaks of easy achievement in respect of +matters of that magnitude. It is now some two and a half centuries since +this shift in the national point of view overtook the English-speaking +community. Perhaps it would be unfair to say that that period, or that +period plus what further time may yet have to be added, marks the +interval by which German habits of thought in these premises are in +arrears, but it is not easy to find secure ground for a different and +more moderate appraisal. + +The future, of course, is not to be measured in terms of the past, and +the tempo of the present and of the calculable future is in many +bearings very different from that which has ruled even in the recent +historical past. But then, on the other hand, habituation always +requires time; more particularly such habituation as is to take effect +throughout a populous nation and is counted on to work a displacement of +a comprehensive institutional system and of a people's outlook on life. + +Germany is still a dynastic State. That is to say, its national +establishment is, in effect, a self-appointed and irresponsible +autocracy which holds the nation in usufruct, working through an +appropriate bureaucratic organisation, and the people is imbued with +that spirit of abnegation and devotion that is involved in their +enthusiastically supporting a government of that character. Now, it is +in the nature of a dynastic State to seek dominion, that being the whole +of its nature. And a dynastic establishment which enjoys the unqualified +usufruct of such resources as are placed at its disposal by the +feudalistic loyalty of the German people runs no chance of keeping the +peace, except on terms of the unconditional surrender of all those whom +it may concern. No solemn engagement and no pious resolution has any +weight in the balance against a cultural fatality of this magnitude. + + * * * * * + +This account of the derivation and current state of German nationalism +will of course appear biased to anyone who has been in the habit of +rating German Culture high in all its bearings, and to whom at the same +time the ideals of peace and liberty appeal. Indeed, such a critic, +gifted with the due modicum of asperity, might well be provoked to call +it all a more or less ingenious diatribe of partisan malice. But it can +be so construed only by those who see the question at issue as a point +of invidious distinction between this German animus on the one hand and +the corresponding frame of mind of the neighboring peoples on the other +hand. There may also appear to the captious to be some air of +deprecation about the characterisation here offered of the past history +of political traffic within the confines of the Fatherland. All of +which, of course, touches neither the veracity of the characterisation +nor the purpose with which so ungrateful a line of analysis and +exposition has been entered upon. It is to be regretted if facts that +may flutter the emotions of one and another among the sensitive and +unreflecting can not be drawn into such an inquiry without having their +cogency discounted beforehand on account of the sentimental value +imputed to them. Of course no offense is intended and no invidious +comparison is aimed at. + +Even if the point of it all were an invidious comparison it would +immediately have to be admitted that the net showing in favor of these +others, e.g., the French or the English-speaking peoples, is by no means +so unreservedly to their credit as such a summary statement of the +German case might seem to imply. As bearing on the chances of a peace +contingent upon the temper of the contracting nationalities, it is by no +means a foregone conclusion that such a peace compact would hold +indefinitely even if it depended solely on the pacific animus of these +others that have left the dynastic State behind. These others, in fact, +are also not yet out of the woods. They may not have the same gift of +gratuitous and irresponsible truculence as their German cousins, in the +same alarming degree; but as was said in an earlier passage, they too +are ready to fight on provocation. They are patriotic to a degree; +indeed to such a degree that anything which visibly touches the national +prestige will readily afford a _casus belli_. But it remains true that +the popular temper among them is of the defensive order; perhaps of an +unnecessarily enthusiastic defensive order, but after all in such a +frame of mind as leaves them willing to let well enough alone, to live +and let live. + +And herein appears to lie the decisive difference between those peoples +whose patriotic affections center about the fortunes of an impersonal +commonwealth and those in whom is superadded a fervent aspiration for +dynastic ascendency. The latter may be counted on to break the peace +when a promising opportunity offers. + +The contrast may be illustrated, though not so sharply as might be +desirable, in the different temper shown by the British people in the +Boer war on the one hand, as compared with the popularity of the +French-Prussian war among the German people on the other hand. Both were +aggressive wars, and both were substantially unprovoked. Diplomatically +speaking, of course, sufficient provocation was found in either case, as +how should it not? But in point of substantial provocation and of +material inducement, both were about equally gratuitous. In either case +the war could readily have been avoided without material detriment to +the community and without perceptible lesion to the national honour. +Both were "engineered" on grounds shamelessly manufactured _ad hoc_ by +interested parties; in the one case by a coterie of dynastic statesmen, +in the other by a junta of commercial adventurers and imperialistic +politicians. In neither case had the people any interest of gain or loss +in the quarrel, except as it became a question of national prestige. But +both the German and the British community bore the burden and fought the +campaign to a successful issue for those interested parties who had +precipitated the quarrel. The British people at large, it is true, bore +the burden; which comes near being all that can be said in the way of +popular approval of this war, which political statesmen have since then +rated as one of the most profitable enterprises in which the forces of +the realm have been engaged. On the subject of this successful war the +common man is still inclined to cover his uneasy sense of decency with a +recital of extenuating circumstances. What parallels all this in the +German case is an outbreak of patriotic abandon and an admirable spirit +of unselfish sacrifice in furtherance of the dynastic prestige, an +intoxication of patriotic blare culminating in the triumphant coronation +at Versailles. Nor has the sober afterthought of the past forty-six +years cast a perceptible shadow of doubt across the glorious memory of +that patriotic debauch. + +Such is the difference of animus between a body of patriotic citizens in +a modern commonwealth on the one hand and the loyal subjects of a +dynastic State on the other hand. There need be no reflections on the +intrinsic merits of either. Seen in dispassionate perspective from +outside the turmoil, there is not much to choose, in point of sane and +self-respecting manhood, between the sluggish and shamefaced abettor of +a sordid national crime, and a ranting patriot who glories in serving as +cat's-paw to a syndicate of unscrupulous politicians bent on dominion +for dominion's sake. But the question here is not as to the relative +merits or the relative manhood contents of the two contrasted types of +patriot. Doubtless both and either have manhood enough and to spare; at +least, so they say. But the point in question is the simpler and nowise +invidious one, as to the availability of both or either for the +perpetuation of the world's peace under a compact of vigilant +neutrality. Plainly the German frame of mind admits of no neutrality; +the quest of dominion is not compatible with neutrality, and the +substantial core of German national life is still the quest of dominion +under dynastic tutelage. How it stands with the spirit that has +repeatedly come in sight in the international relations of the British +community is a question harder to answer. + +It may be practicable to establish a peace of neutrals on the basis of +such national spirit as prevails among these others--the French and +English-speaking peoples, together with the minor nationalities that +cluster about the North Sea--because their habitual attitude is that of +neutrality, on the whole and with allowance for a bellicose minority in +all these countries. By and large, these peoples have come to the +tolerant attitude that finds expression in the maxim, Live and let live. +But they are all and several sufficiently patriotic. It may, indeed, +prove that they are more than sufficiently patriotic for the purposes of +a neutral peace. They stand for peace, but it is "peace with honour;" +which means, in more explicit terms, peace with undiminished national +prestige. Now, national prestige is a very particular commodity, as has +been set out in earlier passages of this inquiry; and a peace which is +to be kept only on terms of a jealous maintenance of the national honour +is likely to be in a somewhat precarious case. If, and when, the +national honour is felt to require an enhanced national ascendancy, the +case for a neutral peace immediately becomes critical. And the greater +the number and diversity of pretensions and interests that are conceived +to be bound up with the national honour, the more unstable will the +resulting situation necessarily be. + +The upshot of all this recital of considerations appears to be that a +neutral peace compact may, or it may not, be practicable in the absence +of such dynastic States as Germany and Japan; whereas it has no chance +in the presence of these enterprising national establishments. + +No one will be readier or more voluble in exclaiming against the falsity +of such a discrimination as is here attempted, between the democratic +and the dynastic nations of the modern world, than the spokesmen of +these dynastic Powers. No one is more outspoken in professions of +universal peace and catholic amity than these same spokesmen of the +dynastic Powers; and nowhere is there more urgent need of such +professions. Official and "inspired" professions are, of course, to be +overlooked; at least, so charity would dictate. But there have, in the +historic present, been many professions of this character made also by +credible spokesmen of the German, and perhaps of the Japanese, people, +and in all sincerity. By way of parenthesis it should be said that this +is not intended to apply to expressions of conviction and intention that +have come out of Germany these two years past (December 1916). Without +questioning the credibility of these witnesses that have borne witness +to the pacific and genial quality of national sentiment in the German +people, it will yet be in place to recall the run of facts in the +national life of Germany in this historical present and the position of +these spokesmen in the German community. + + * * * * * + +The German nation is of a peculiar composition in respect of its social +structure. So far as bears on the question in hand, it is made up of +three distinctive constituent factors, or perhaps rather categories or +conditions of men. The populace is of course the main category, and in +the last resort always the main and decisive factor. Next in point of +consequence as well as of numbers and initiative is the personnel of the +control,--the ruling class, the administration, the official community, +the hierarchy of civil and political servants, or whatever designation +may best suit; the category comprises that pyramidal superstructure of +privilege and control whereof the sovereign is the apex, and in whom, +under any dynastic rule, is in effect vested the usufruct of the +populace. These two classes or conditions of men, the one of which +orders and the other obeys, make up the working structure of the nation, +and they also between them embody the national life and carry forward +the national work and aim. Intermediate between them, or rather beside +them and overlapping the commissure, is a third category whose life +articulates loosely with both the others at the same time that it still +runs along in a semi-detached way. This slighter but more visible, and +particularly more audible, category is made up of the "Intellectuals," +as a late, and perhaps vulgar, designation would name them. + +These are they who chiefly communicate with the world outside, and at +the same time they do what is academically called thinking. They are in +intellectual contact and communication with the world at large, in a +contact of give and take, and they think and talk in and about those +concepts that go in under the caption of the humanities in the world at +large. The category is large enough to constitute an intellectual +community, indeed a community of somewhat formidable magnitude, taken in +absolute terms, although in percentages of the population at large their +numbers will foot up to only an inconsiderable figure. Their contact +with the superior class spoken of above is fairly close, being a +contact, in the main, of service on the one side and of control on the +other. With the populace their contact and communion is relatively +slight, the give and take in the case being neither intimate nor +far-reaching. More particularly is there a well-kept limit of moderation +on any work of indoctrination or intellectual guidance which this class +may carry down among the people at large, dictated and enforced by +dynastic expediency. This category, of the Intellectuals, is +sufficiently large to live its own life within itself, without drawing +on the spiritual life of the community at large, and of sufficiently +substantial quality to carry its own peculiar scheme of intellectual +conventions and verities. Of the great and highly meritorious place and +work of these Intellectuals in the scheme of German culture it is +needless to speak. What is to the point is that they are the accredited +spokesmen of the German nation in all its commonplace communication with +the rest of civilised Europe. + +The Intellectuals have spoken with conviction and sincerity of the +spiritual state of the German people, but in so doing, and in so far as +bears on the character of German nationalism, they have been in closer +contact, intellectually and sympathetically, with the intellectual and +spiritual life of civilised Europe at large than with the movements of +the spirit among the German populace. And their canvassing of the +concepts which so have come under their attention from over the national +frontiers has been carried forward--so far, again, as bears on the +questions that are here in point--with the German-dynastic principles, +logic and mechanism of execution under their immediate observation and +supplying the concrete materials for inquiry. Indeed, it holds true, by +and large, that nothing else than this German-dynastic complement of +ways and means has, or can effectually, come under their observation in +such a degree of intimacy as to give body and definition to the somewhat +abstract theorems on cultural aims and national preconceptions that have +come to them from outside. In short, they have borrowed these +theoretical formulations from abroad, without the concrete apparatus of +ways and means in which these theorems are embodied in their foreign +habitat, and have so found themselves construing these theoretical +borrowings in the only concrete terms of which they have had first-hand +and convincing knowledge. Such an outcome would be fairly unavoidable, +inasmuch as these Intellectuals, however much they are, in the spirit, +citizens of the cosmopolitan republic of knowledge and intelligence, +they are after all, _in propria persona_, immediately and unremittingly +subjects of the German-dynastic State; so that all their detail thinking +on the aims, ways and means of life, in all its civil and political +bearings, is unavoidably shaped by the unremitting discipline of their +workday experience under this dynastic scheme. The outcome has been that +while they have taken up, as they have understood them, the concepts +that rule the civic life of these other, maturer nations, they have +apprehended and developed these theorems of civic life in the terms and +by the logic enforced in that system of control and surveillance known +to them by workday experience,--the only empirical terms at hand. + +The apex of growth and the center of diffusion as regards the modern +culture in respect of the ideals and logic of civic life--other phases +of this culture than this its civil aspect do not concern the point here +in question--this apex of growth and center of diffusion lie outside the +Fatherland, in an environment alien to the German institutional scheme. +Yet so intrinsic to the cultural drift of modern mankind are these aims +and this logic, that in taking over and further enriching the +intellectual heritage of this modern world the Intellectuals of the +Fatherland have unavoidably also taken over those conceptions of civil +initiative and masterless self-direction that rule the logic of life in +a commonwealth of ungraded men. They have taken these over and +assimilated them as best their experience would permit. But workday +experience and its exigencies are stubborn things; and in this process +of assimilation of these alien conceptions of right and honest living, +it is the borrowed theorems concerning civic rights and duties that have +undergone adaptation and revision, not the concrete system of ways and +means in which these principles, so accepted, are to be put in practice. +Necessarily so, since in the German scheme of law and order the major +premise is the dynastic State, whereas the major premise of the modern +civilised scheme of civic life is the absence of such an organ. So, the +development and elaboration of these modern principles of civic +liberty--and this elaboration has taken on formidable dimensions--under +the hand of the German Intellectuals has uniformly run out into +Pickwickian convolutions, greatly suggestive of a lost soul seeking a +place to rest. With unquestionably serious purpose and untiring +endeavour, they have sought to embody these modern civilised +preconceptions in terms afforded by, or in terms compatible with, the +institutions of the Fatherland; and they have been much concerned and +magniloquently elated about the German spirit of freedom that so was to +be brought to final and consummate realisation in the life of a free +people. But at no point and in no case have either the proposals or +their carrying out taken shape as a concrete application of the familiar +principle of popular self-direction. It has always come to something in +the way of a concessive or expedient mitigation of the antagonistic +principle of personal authority. Where the forms of self-government or +of individual self-direction have concessively been installed, under the +Imperial rule, they have turned out to be an imitative structure with +some shrewd provision for their coercion or inhibition at the discretion +of an irresponsible authority. + +Neither the sound intelligence nor the good faith of these Intellectuals +of the Fatherland is to be impugned. That the--necessarily vague and +circumlocutory--expositions of civic institutions and popular liberty +which they have so often and so largely promulgated should have been +used as a serviceable blind of dynastic statecraft is not to be set down +to their discredit. Circumstances over which they could have no control, +since they were circumstances that shaped their own habits of thought, +have placed it beyond their competence to apprehend or to formulate +these alien principles (habits of thought) concretely in those alien +institutional details and by the alien logic with which they could have +no working acquaintance. + +To one and another this conception of cultural solidarity within the +nation, and consequent cultural aliency between nations, due to the +different habits of life and of thought enforced by the two diverse +institutional systems, may be so far unfamiliar as to carry no +conviction. It may accordingly not seem out of place to recall that the +institutional system of any given community, particularly for any +community living under a home-bred and time-tried system of its own, +will necessarily be a balanced system of interdependent and mutually +concordant parts working together in one comprehensive plan of law and +order. Through such an institutional system, as, e.g., the German +Imperial organisation, there will run a degree of logical consistency, +consonant with itself throughout, and exerting a consistent discipline +throughout the community; whereby there is enforced a consistent drift +or bent in the prevalent habits of life, and a correlative bent in the +resulting habits of thought prevalent in the community. It is, in fact, +this possession of a common scheme of use and wont, and a consequent +common outlook and manner of thinking, that constitutes the most +intrinsic bond of solidarity in any nationality, and that finally marks +it off from any other. + +It is equally a matter of course that any other given community, living +under the rule of a substantially different, or divergent, system of +institutions, will be exposed to a course of workday discipline running +to a different, perhaps divergent, effect; and that this other community +will accordingly come in for a characteristically different discipline +and fall under the rule of a different commonsense outlook. Where an +institutional difference of this kind is somewhat large and consistent, +so as to amount in effect to a discrepancy, as may fairly be said of the +difference between Imperial Germany and its like on the one hand, and +the English-speaking nations on the other hand, there the difference in +everyday conceptions may readily make the two peoples mutually +unintelligible to one another, on those points of institutional +principle that are involved in the discrepancy. This is the state of the +case as between the German people, including the Intellectuals, and the +peoples against whom their preconceptions of national destiny have +arrayed them. And the many vivid expressions of consternation, +abhorrence and incredulity that have come out of this community of +Intellectuals in the course of the past two years of trial and error, +bear sufficient testimony to the rigorous constraint which these German +preconceptions and their logic exercise over the Intellectuals, no less +than over the populace. + +Conversely, of course, it is nearly as impracticable for those who have +grown up under the discipline of democratic institutions to comprehend +the habitual outlook of the commonplace German patriot on national +interests and aims; not quite, perhaps, because the discipline of use +and wont and indoctrination is neither so rigorous nor so consistent in +their case. But there is, after all, prevalent among them a sufficiently +evident logical inability to understand and appreciate the paramount +need of national, that is to say dynastic, ascendancy that actuates all +German patriots; just as these same patriots are similarly unable to +consider national interests in any other light than that of dynastic +ascendancy. + +Going simply on the face value of the available evidence, any outsider +might easily fall into the error of believing that when the great +adventure of the war opened up before them, as well as when presently +the shock of baffled endeavour brought home its exasperating futility, +the Intellectuals of the Fatherland distinguished themselves above all +other classes and conditions of men in the exuberance of their patriotic +abandon. Such a view would doubtless be almost wholly erroneous. It is +not that the Intellectuals reached a substantially superior pitch of +exaltation, but only that, being trained in the use of language, they +were able to express their emotions with great facility. There seems no +reason to believe that the populace fell short of the same measure in +respect of their prevalent frame of mind. + +To return to the workings of the Imperial dynastic State and the forces +engaged. It plainly appears that the Intellectuals are to be counted as +supernumeraries, except so far as they serve as an instrument of +publicity and indoctrination in the hands of the discretionary +authorities. The working factors in the case are the dynastic +organisation of control, direction and emolument, and the populace at +large by use of whose substance the traffic in dynastic ascendancy and +emolument is carried on. These two are in fairly good accord, on the +ancient basis of feudal loyalty. Hitherto there is no evident ground for +believing that this archaic tie that binds the populace to the dynastic +ambitions has at all perceptibly weakened. And the possibility of +dynastic Germany living at peace with the world under any compact, +therefore translates itself into the possibility of the German people's +unlearning its habitual deference and loyalty to the dynasty. + +As its acquirement has been a work of protracted habituation, so can its +obsolescence also come about only through more or less protracted +habituation under a system of use and wont of a different or divergent +order. The elements of such a systematic discipline running to an effect +at cross purposes with this patriotic animus are not absent from the +current situation in the Fatherland; the discipline of the modern +industrial system, for instance, runs to such a divergent effect; but +this, and other conceivable forces which may reenforce it, will after +all take time, if they are to work a decisive change in the current +frame of mind of the patriotic German community. During the interval +required for such a change in the national temper, the peace of the +world would be conditioned on the inability of the dynastic State to +break it. So that the chances of success for any neutral peace league +will vary inversely as the available force of Imperial Germany, and it +could be accounted secure only in the virtual elimination of the +Imperial State as a national Power. + +If the gradual obsolescence of the spirit of militant loyalty in the +German people, through disuse under a régime of peace, industry, self +government and free trade, is to be the agency by force of which +dynastic imperialism is to cease, the chance of a neutral peace will +depend on the thoroughness with which such a régime of self-direction +can be installed in this case, and on the space of time required for +such obsolescence through disuse. Obviously, the installation of a +workable régime of self-government on peaceable lines would in any case +be a matter of great difficulty among a people whose past experience has +so singularly incapacitated them for self-government; and obviously, +too, the interval of time required to reach secure ground along this +line of approach would be very considerable. Also, in view of these +conditions, obviously, this scheme for maintaining the peace of nations +by a compact of neutrals based on a compromise with an aspiring dynastic +State resolves itself into the second of the two alternatives spoken of +at the outset, viz., a neutral peace based on the elimination of Germany +as a war power, together with the elimination of any materials suitable +for the formation of a formidable coalition. And then, with Imperial +Germany supposedly eliminated or pacified, there would still remain the +Japanese establishment, to which all the arguments pertinent in the case +of Germany will apply without abatement; except that, at least hitherto, +the dynastic statesmen of Japan have not had the disposal of so massive +a body of resources, in population, industry, or raw materials. + + + + +CHAPTER IV + +PEACE WITHOUT HONOUR + + +The argument therefore turns back to a choice between the two +alternatives alluded to: peace in submission to the rule of the German +dynastic establishment (and to Japan), or peace through elimination of +these enterprising Powers. The former alternative, no doubt, is +sufficiently unattractive, but it is not therefore to be put aside +without a hearing. As goes without saying, it is repugnant to the +patriotic sentiments of those peoples whom the Imperial German +establishment have elected for submission. But if this unreflecting +patriotic revulsion can once be made amenable to reason, there is always +something to be said in favor of such a plan of peaceable submission, or +at least in extenuation of it; and if it is kept in mind that the +ulterior necessity of such submission must always remain in perspective +as a condition precedent to a peaceful settlement, so long as one or +both of these enterprising Powers remains intact, it will be seen that a +sane appraisal of the merits of such a régime of peace is by no means +uncalled for. For neither of these two Powers is there a conclusive +issue of endeavour short of paramount dominion. + + * * * * * + +There should also be some gain of insight and sobriety in recalling that +the Intellectuals of the Fatherland, who have doubtless pondered this +matter longer and more dispassionately than all other men, have spoken +very highly of the merits of such a plan of universal submission to the +rule of this German dynastic establishment. They had, no doubt, been +considering the question both long and earnestly, as to what would, in +the light of reason, eventually be to the best interest of those peoples +whose manifest destiny was eventual tutelage under the Imperial crown; +and there need also be no doubt that in that time (two years past) they +therefore spoke advisedly and out of the fulness of the heart on this +head. The pronouncements that came out of the community of Intellectuals +in that season of unembarrassed elation and artless avowal are doubtless +to be taken as an outcome of much thoughtful canvassing of what had best +be done, not as an enforced compromise with untoward necessities but as +the salutary course freely to be pursued with an eye single to the best +good of all concerned. + +It is true, the captious have been led to speak slightingly of the many +utterances of this tenure coming out of the community of Intellectuals, +as, e.g., the lay sermons of Professor Ostwald dating back to that +season; but no unprejudiced reader can well escape the persuasion that +these, as well as the very considerable volume of similar pronouncements +by many other men of eminent scholarship and notable for benevolent +sentiments, are faithfully to be accepted as the expressions of a +profound conviction and a consciously generous spirit. In so speaking of +the advantages to be derived by any subject people from submission to +the German Imperial rule, these Intellectuals are not to be construed as +formulating the drift of vulgar patriotic sentiment among their +compatriots at large, but rather as giving out the deliverances of their +own more sensitive spirit and maturer deliberation, as men who are in a +position to see human affairs and interests in a larger perspective. +Such, no doubt, would be their own sense of the matter. + +Reflection on the analogous case of the tutelage exercised by the +American government over the subject Philippinos may contribute to a +just and temperate view of what is intended in the régime of tutelage +and submission so spoken for by the German Intellectuals,--and, it may +be added, found good by the Imperial statesmen. There would, of course, +be the difference, as against the case of the Philippinos, that whereas +the American government is after all answerable, in the last resort and +in a somewhat random fashion, to a popular opinion that runs on +democratic preconceptions, the German Imperial establishment on the +other hand is answerable to no one, except it be to God, who is +conceived to stand in somewhat the relation of a silent partner, or a +minority stockholder in this dynastic enterprise. + +Yet it should not be overlooked that any presumptive hard usage which +the vassal peoples might look for at the hands of the German dynasty +would necessarily be tempered with considerations of expediency as +dictated by the exigencies of usufruct. The Imperial establishment has +shown itself to be wise, indeed more wise than amiable, but wise at +least in its intentions, in the use which it has made of subject peoples +hitherto. It is true, a somewhat accentuated eagerness on the part of +the Imperial establishment to get the maximum service in a minimum of +time and at a minimum cost from these subject populations,--as, e.g., in +Silesia and Poland, in Schleswig-Holstein, in Alsace-Lorraine, or in its +African and Oceanic possessions,--has at times led to practices +altogether dubious on humanitarian grounds, at the same time that in +point of thrifty management they have gone beyond "what the traffic will +bear." Yet it is not to be overlooked--and in this connection it is a +point of some weight--that, so far as the predatory traditions of its +statecraft will permit, the Imperial establishment has in all these +matters been guided by a singularly unreserved attention to its own +material advantage. Where its management in these premises has yielded a +less profitable usufruct than the circumstances would reasonably admit, +the failure has been due to an excess of cupidity rather than the +reverse. + +The circumstantial evidence converges to the effect that the Imperial +establishment may confidently be counted on to manage the affairs of its +subject peoples with an eye single to its own material gain, and it may +with equal confidence be counted on that in the long run no unadvised +excesses will be practised. Of course, an excessive adventure in +atrocity and predation, due to such human infirmity in its agents or in +its directorate as has been shown in various recent episodes, is to be +looked for now and again; but these phenomena would come in by way of +fluctuating variations from the authentic routine, rather than as +systematic features of it. + +That superfluity of naughtiness that has given character to the current +German Imperial policy in Belgium, e.g., or that similarly has +characterised the dealings of Imperial Japan in Korea during the late +"benevolent assimilation" of that people into Japanese-Imperial +usufruct, is not fairly to be taken to indicate what such an Imperial +establishment may be expected to do with a subject people on a footing +of settled and long-term exploitation. At the outset, in both instances, +the policy of frightfulness was dictated by a well-advised view to +economy of effort in reducing the subject people to an abject state of +intimidation, according to the art of war as set forth in the manuals; +whereas latterly the somewhat profligate excesses of the government of +occupation--decently covered with diplomatic parables on benevolence and +legality--have been dictated by military convenience, particularly by +the need of forced labor and the desirability of a reduced population in +the acquired territory. So also the "personally conducted" dealings with +the Armenians by use of the Turks should probably also best be explained +as an endeavour to reduce the numbers of an undesirable population +beforehand, without incurring unnecessary blame. All these things are, +at the most, misleading indications of what the Imperial policy would be +like under settled conditions and in the absence of insubordination. + +By way of contrast, such as may serve to bring the specific traits of +this prospective Imperial tutelage of nations into a better light, the +Ottoman usufruct of the peoples of the Turkish dominions offers an +instructive instance. The Ottoman tutelage is today spoken of by its +apologists in terms substantially identical with the sketches of the +future presented by hopeful German patriots in the early months of the +current war. But as is so frequently the case in such circumstances, +these expressions of the officers have to be understood in a diplomatic +sense; not as touching the facts in any other than a formal way. It is +sufficiently evident that the Ottoman management of its usufruct has +throughout been ill-advised enough persistently to charge more than the +traffic would bear, probably due in great part to lack of control over +its agents or ramifications, by the central office. The Ottoman +establishment has not observed, or enforced, the plain rules of economy +in its utilisation of the subject peoples, and finds itself today +bankrupt in consequence. What may afford more of a parallel to the +prospective German tutelage of the nations is the procedure of the +Japanese establishment in Korea, Manchuria, or China; which is also duly +covered with an ostensibly decent screen of diplomatic parables, but the +nature and purpose of which is overt enough in all respects but the +nomenclature. It is not unlikely that even this Japanese usufruct and +tutelage runs on somewhat less humane and complaisant lines than a +well-advised economy of resources would dictate for the prospective +German usufruct of the Western nations. + +There is the essential difference between the two cases that while Japan +is over-populated, so that it becomes the part of a wise government to +find additional lands for occupancy, and that so it is constrained by its +imperial ambitions to displace much of the population in its subject +territories, the Fatherland on the other hand is under-populated-- +notoriously, though not according to the letter of the diplomatic +parables on this head--and for the calculable future must continue to be +under-populated; provided that the state of the industrial arts +continues subject to change in the same general direction as hitherto, +and provided that no radical change affects the German birth-rate. So, +since the Imperial government has no need of new lands for occupancy by +its home population, it will presumably be under no inducement to take +measures looking to the partial depopulation of its subject territories. + +The case of Belgium and the measures looking to a reduction of its +population may raise a doubt, but probably not a well taken doubt. It is +rather that since it has become evident that the territory can not be +held, it is thought desirable to enrich the Fatherland with whatever +property can be removed, and to consume the accumulated man-power of the +Belgian people in the service of the war. It would appear that it is a +war-measure, designed to make use of the enemy's resources for his +defeat. Indeed, under conditions of settled occupation or subjection, +any degree of such depopulation would entail an economic loss, and any +well-considered administrative policy would therefore look to the +maintenance of the inhabitants of the acquired territories in +undiminished numbers and unimpaired serviceability. + +The resulting scheme of Imperial usufruct should accordingly be of a +considerate, not to say in effect humane, character,--always provided +that the requisite degree of submission and subservience ("law and +order") can be enforced by a system of coercion so humane as not to +reduce the number of the inhabitants or materially to lower their +physical powers. Such would, by reasonable expectation, be the character +of this projected Imperial tutelage and usufruct of the nations of +Christendom. In its working-out this German project should accordingly +differ very appreciably from the policy which its imperial ambitions +have constrained the Japanese establishment to pursue in its dealings +with the life and fortunes of its recently, and currently, acquired +subject peoples. + +The better to appreciate in some concrete fashion what should, by +reasonable expectation, be the terms on which life might so be carried +on _sub pace germanica_, attention may be invited to certain typical +instances of such peace by abnegation among contemporary peoples. +Perhaps at the top of the list stands India, with its many and varied +native peoples, subject to British tutelage, but, the British apologists +say, not subject to British usufruct. The margin of tolerance in this +instance is fairly wide, but its limits are sharply drawn. India is +wanted and held, not for tribute or revenue to be paid into the Imperial +treasury, nor even for exclusive trade privileges or preferences, but +mainly as a preserve to provide official occupation and emoluments for +British gentlemen not otherwise occupied or provided for; and +secondarily as a means of safeguarding lucrative British investments, +that is to say, investments by British capitalists of high and low +degree. The current British professions on the subject of this +occupation of India, and at times the shamefaced apology for it, is that +the people of India suffer no hardship by this means; the resulting +governmental establishment being no more onerous and no more expensive +to them than any equally, or even any less, competent government of +their own would necessarily be. The fact, however, remains, that India +affords a much needed and very considerable net revenue to the class of +British gentlemen, in the shape of official salaries and pensions, which +the British gentry at large can on no account forego. Narrowed to these +proportions it is readily conceivable that the British usufruct of India +should rest with no extraordinary weight on the Indian people at large, +however burdensome it may at times become to those classes who aspire to +take over the usufruct in case the British establishment can be +dislodged. This case evidently differs very appreciably from the +projected German usufruct of neighboring countries in Europe. + +A case that may be more nearly in point would be that of any one of the +countries subject to the Turkish rule in recent times; although these +instances scarcely show just what to expect under the projected German +régime. The Turkish rule has been notably inefficient, considered as a +working system of dynastic usufruct; whereas it is confidently expected +that the corresponding German system would show quite an exceptional +degree of efficiency for the purpose. This Turkish inefficiency has had +a two-fold effect, which should not appear in the German case. Through +administrative abuses intended to serve the personal advantage of the +irresponsible officials, the underlying peoples have suffered a +progressive exhaustion and dilapidation; whereby the central authority, +the dynastic establishment, has also grown progressively, cumulatively +weaker and therefore less able to control its agents; and, in the second +place, on the same grounds, in the pursuit of personal gain, and +prompted by personal animosities, these irresponsible agents have +persistently carried their measures of extortion beyond reasonable +bounds,--that is to say beyond the bounds which a well considered plan +of permanent usufruct would countenance. All this would be otherwise and +more sensibly arranged under German Imperial auspices. + +One of the nations that have fallen under Turkish rule--and Turkish +peace--affords a valuable illustration of a secondary point that is to +be considered in connection with any plan of peace by submission. The +Armenian people have in later time come partly under Russian dominion, +and so have been exposed to the Russian system of bureaucratic +exploitation; and the difference between Russian and Turkish Armenia is +instructive. According to all credible--that is unofficial--accounts, +conditions are perceptibly more tolerable in Russian Armenia. Well +informed persons relate that the cause for this more lenient, or less +extreme, administration of affairs under Russian officials is a +selective death rate among them, such that a local official who +persistently exceeds a certain ill-defined limit of tolerance is removed +by what would under other circumstances be called an untimely death. No +adequate remedy has been found, within the large limits which Russian +bureaucratic administration habitually allows itself in questions of +coercion. The Turk, on the other hand, less deterred by considerations +of long-term expediency, and, it may be, less easily influenced by +outside opinion on any point of humanity, has found a remedy in the +systematic extirpation of any village in which an illicit death occurs. +One will incline to presume that on this head the German Imperial +procedure would be more after the Russian than after the Turkish +pattern; although latterday circumstantial evidence will throw some +sinister doubt on the reasonableness of such an expectation. + +It is plain, however, that the Turkish remedy for this form of +insubordination is a wasteful means of keeping the peace. Plainly, to +the home office, the High Command, the extinction of a village with its +population is a more substantial loss than the unseasonable decease of +one of its administrative agents; particularly when it is called to mind +that such a decease will presumably follow only on such profligate +excesses of naughtiness as are bound to be inexcusably unprofitable to +the central authority. It may be left an open question how far a +corrective of this nature can hopefully be looked to as applicable, in +case of need, under the projected German Imperial usufruct. + +It may, I apprehend, be said without offense that there is no depth of +depravity below the ordinary reach of the Russian bureaucracy; but this +organisation finds itself constrained, after all, to use circumspection +and set some limits on individual excursions beyond the bounds of +decency and humanity, so soon as these excesses touch the common or +joint interest of the organisation. Any excess of atrocity, beyond a +certain margin of tolerance, on the part of any one of its members is +likely to work pecuniary mischief to the rest; and then, the +bureaucratic conduct of affairs is also, after all, in an uncertain +degree subject to some surveillance by popular sentiment at home or +abroad. The like appears not to hold true of the Turkish official +organisation. The difference may be due to a less provident spirit among +the latter, as already indicated. But a different tradition, perhaps an +outgrowth of this lack of providence and of the consequent growth of a +policy of "frightfulness," may also come in for a share in the outcome; +and there is also a characteristic difference in point of religious +convictions, which may go some way in the same direction. The followers +of Islam appear on the whole to take the tenets of their faith at their +face value--servile, intolerant and fanatic--whereas the Russian +official class may perhaps without undue reproach be considered to have +on the whole outlived the superstitious conceits to which they yield an +expedient _pro forma_ observance. So that when worse comes to worst, and +the Turk finds himself at length with his back against the last +consolations of the faith that makes all things straight, he has the +assured knowledge that he is in the right as against the unbelievers; +whereas the Russian bureaucrat in a like case only knows that he is in +the wrong. The last extremity is a less conclusive argument to the man +in whose apprehension it is not the last extremity. Again, there is some +shadow of doubt falls on the question as to which of these is more +nearly in the German Imperial spirit. + +On the whole, the case of China is more to the point. By and large, the +people of China, more particularly the people of the coastal-plains +region, have for long habitually lived under a régime of peace by +non-resistance. The peace has been broken transiently from time to time, +and local disturbances have not been infrequent; but, taken by and +large, the situation has habitually been of the peaceful order, on a +ground of non-resisting submission. But this submission has not commonly +been of a whole-hearted kind, and it has also commonly been associated +with a degree of persistent sabotage; which has clogged and retarded the +administration of governmental law and order, and has also been +conducive to a large measure of irresponsible official corruption. The +habitual scheme of things Chinese in this bearing may fairly be +described as a peace of non-resistance tempered with sabotage and +assassination. Such was the late Manchu régime, and there is no reason +in China for expecting a substantially different outcome from the +Japanese invasion that is now under way. The nature of this Japanese +incursion should be sufficiently plain. It is an enterprise in +statecraft after the order of Macchiavelli, Metternich, and Bismarck. Of +course, the conciliatory fables given out by the diplomatic service, and +by the other apologists, are to be taken at the normal discount of +one-hundred percent. The relatively large current output of such fables +may afford a hint as to the magnitude of the designs which the fables +are intended to cover. + +The Chinese people have had a more extended experience in peace of this +order than all others, and their case should accordingly be instructive +beyond all others. Not that a European peace by non-resistance need be +expected to run very closely on the Chinese lines, but there should be +a reasonable expectation that the large course of things would be +somewhat on the same order in both cases. Neither the European +traditions and habitual temperament nor the modern state of the +industrial arts will permit one to look for anything like a close +parallel in detail; but it remains true, when all is said, that the +Chinese experience of peace under submission to alien masters affords +the most instructive illustration of such a régime, as touches its +practicability, its methods, its cultural value, and its effect on the +fortunes of the subject peoples and of their masters. + +Now, it may be said by way of preliminary generalisation that the +life-history of the Chinese people and their culture is altogether the +most imposing achievement which the records of mankind have to show; +whereas the history of their successive alien establishments of mastery +and usufruct is an unbroken sequence of incredibly shameful +episodes,--always beginning in unbounded power and vainglory, running by +way of misrule, waste and debauchery, to an inglorious finish in abject +corruption and imbecility. Always have the gains in civilisation, +industry and in the arts, been made by the subject Chinese, and always +have their alien masters contributed nothing to the outcome but misrule, +waste, corruption and decay. And yet in the long run, with all this +handicap and misrule, the Chinese people have held their place and made +headway in those things to which men look with affection and esteem when +they come to take stock of what things are worth while. It would be a +hopeless task to count up how many dynasties of masterful barbarians, +here and there, have meanwhile come up and played their ephemeral role +of vainglorious nuisance and gone under in shame and confusion, and +dismissed with the invariable verdict of "Good Riddance!" + +It may at first sight seem a singular conjuncture of circumstances, but +it is doubtless a consequence of the same conjuncture, that the Chinese +people have also kept their hold through all history on the Chinese +lands. They have lived and multiplied and continued to occupy the land, +while their successive alien masters have come and gone. So that today, +as the outcome of conquest, and of what would be rated as defeat, the +people continue to be Chinese, with an unbroken pedigree as well as an +unbroken line of home-bred culture running through all the ages of +history. In the biological respect the Chinese plan of non-resistance +has proved eminently successful. + +And, by the way, much the same, though not in the same degree, is true +for the Armenian people; who have continued to hold their hill country +through good days and evil, apparently without serious or enduring +reduction of their numbers and without visible lapse into barbarism, +while the successive disconnected dynasties of their conquering rulers +have come and gone, leaving nothing but an ill name. "This fable +teaches" that a diligent attention to the growing of crops and children +is the sure and appointed way to the maintenance of a people and its +culture even under the most adverse conditions, and that eventual death +and shameful destruction inexorably wait on any "ruling race." Hitherto +the rule has not failed. The rule, indeed, is grounded in the heritable +traits of human nature, from which there is no escape. + +For its long-term biological success, as well as for the continued +integrity of a people's culture, a peace of non-resistance, under good +or evil auspices, is more to be desired than imperial dominion. But +these things are not all that modern peoples live for, perhaps it is +safe to say that in no case are these chief among the things for which +civilised Europeans are willing to live. They urgently need also freedom +to live their own life in their own way, or rather to live within the +bonds of convention which they have come in for by use and wont, or at +least they believe that such freedom is essential to any life that shall +be quite worth while. So also they have a felt need of security from +arbitrary interference in their pursuit of a livelihood and in the free +control of their own pecuniary concerns. And they want a discretionary +voice in the management of their joint interests, whether as a nation or +in a minor civil group. In short, they want personal, pecuniary and +political liberty, free from all direction or inhibition from without. +They are also much concerned to maintain favorable economic conditions +for themselves and their children. And last, but chiefly rather than +least, they commonly are hide-bound patriots inspired with an +intractable felt need of national prestige. + +It is an assemblage of peoples in such a frame of mind to whom the +pacifists are proposing, in effect, a plan for eventual submission to an +alien dynasty, under the form of a neutral peace compact to include the +warlike Powers. There is little likelihood of such a scheme being found +acceptable, with popular sentiment running as it now does in the +countries concerned. And yet, if the brittle temper in which any such +proposal is rejected by popular opinion in these countries today could +be made to yield sufficiently to reflection and deliberate appraisal, it +is by no means a foregone conclusion that its acceptance would not be +the best way out of a critical situation. The cost of disabling and +eliminating the warlike Power whose dominion is feared, or even of +staving off the day of surrender, is evidently serious enough. The +merits of the alternative should be open to argument, and should, +indeed, be allowed due consideration. And any endeavour to present them +without heat should presumably find a hearing. It appears to have been +much of the fault of the pacifists who speak for the Peace League that +they have failed or refused to recognise these ulterior consequences of +the plan which they advocate; so that they appear either not to know +what they are talking about, or to avoid talking about what they know. + +It will be evident from beforehand that the grave difficulty to be met +in any advocacy of peace on terms of non-resistant subjection to an +alien dynastic rule--"peace at any price"--is a difficulty of the +psychological order. Whatever may be conceived to hold true for the +Chinese people, such submission is repugnant to the sentiments of the +Western peoples. Which in turn evidently is due to the prevalence of +certain habitual preconceptions among modern civilised men,--certain +acquired traits of temper and bias, of the nature of fixed ideas. That +something in the way of a reasonably contented and useful life is +possible under such a régime as is held in prospect, and even some +tolerable degree of well-being, is made evident in the Chinese case. But +the Chinese tolerance of such a régime goes to argue that they are +charged with fewer preconceptions at variance with the exigencies of +life under these conditions. So, it is commonly accepted, and presumably +to be accepted, that the Chinese people at large have little if any +effectual sense of nationality; their patriotism appears to be nearly a +negligible quantity. This would appear to an outsider to have been their +besetting weakness, to which their successful subjection by various and +sundry ambitious aliens has been due. But it appears also to have been +the infirmity by grace of which this people have been obliged to learn +the ways of submission, and so have had the fortune to outlive their +alien masters, all and sundry, and to occupy the land and save the +uncontaminated integrity of their long-lived civilisation. + + * * * * * + +Some account of the nature and uses of this spirit of patriotism that is +held of so great account among Western nations has already been set out +in an earlier passage. One or two points in the case, that bear on the +argument here, may profitably be recalled. The patriotic spirit, or the +tie of nationalism, is evidently of the nature of habit, whatever +proclivity to the formation of such a habit may be native to mankind. +More particularly is it a matter of habit--it might even be called a +matter of fortuitous habit--what particular national establishment a +given human subject will become attached to on reaching what is called +"years of discretion" and so becoming a patriotic citizen. + +The analogy of the clam may not be convincing, but it may at least serve +to suggest what may be the share played by habituation in the matter of +national attachment. The young clam, after having passed the +free-swimming phase of his life, as well as the period of attachment to +the person of a carp or similar fish, drops to the bottom and attaches +himself loosely in the place and station in life to which he has been +led; and he loyally sticks to his particular patch of ooze and sand +through good fortune and evil. It is, under Providence, something of a +fortuitous matter where the given clam shall find a resting place for +the sole of his foot, but it is also, after all, "his own, his native +land" etc. It lies in the nature of a clam to attach himself after this +fashion, loosely, to the bottom where he finds a living, and he would +not be a "good clam and true" if he failed to do so; but the particular +spot for which he forms this attachment is not of the essence of the +case. At least, so they say. + +It may be, as good men appear to believe or know, that all men of sound, +or at least those of average, mind will necessarily be of a patriotic +temper and be attached by ties of loyalty to some particular national +establishment, ordinarily the particular establishment which is formally +identified with the land in which they live; although it is always +possible that a given individual may be an alien in the land, and so may +owe allegiance to and be ruled by a patriotic attachment to another +national establishment, to which the conventionalities governing his +special case have assigned him as his own proper nation. The analogy of +the clam evidently does not cover the case. The patriotic citizen is +attached to his own proper nationality not altogether by the accident of +domicile, but rather by the conventions, legal or customary, which +assign him to this or that national establishment according to certain +principles of use and wont. + +Mere legal citizenship or allegiance does not decide the matter either; +at least not by any means unavoidably; as appears in the case of the +Chinese subject under Manchu or Japanese rule; and as appears perhaps +more perspicuously in the case of the "hyphenate" American citizen, +whose formal allegiance is to the nation in whose land he prefers to +live, all the while that his patriotic affection centers on his +spiritual Fatherland in whose fortunes he has none but a non-resident +interest. Indeed, the particular national tie that will bind the +affections--that is to say the effectual patriotic attachment--of any +given individual may turn out on closer scrutiny to be neither that of +domicile or of formal legal allegiance, nor that of putative origin or +pedigree, but only a reflex of certain national animosities; which may +also turn out on examination to rest on putative grounds--as illustrated +by a subsidiary class of hyphenate American citizens whose affections +have come to be bound up in the national fortunes of one foreign Power +for the simple, but sufficient, reason that, on conventional grounds, +they bear malice against another equally foreign Power. + +Evidently there is much sophistication, not to say conventionalised +affectation, in all this national attachment and allegiance. It will +perhaps not do to say that it is altogether a matter of sophistication. +Yet it may not exceed the premises to say that the particular choice, +the concrete incidence, of this national attachment is in any given case +a matter of sophistication, largely tempered with fortuity. One is born +into a given nationality--or, in case of dynastic allegiance, into +service and devotion to a (fortuitously) given sovereign--or at least so +it is commonly believed. Still one can without blame, and without +excessive shame, shift one's allegiance on occasion. What is not +countenanced among civilised men is to shift out of allegiance to any +given nationality or dynasty without shifting into the like complication +of gainless obligations somewhere else. Such a shifting of national or +dynastic base is not quite reputable, though it is also not precisely +disreputable. The difficulty in the case appears to be a moral +difficulty, not a mental or a pecuniary one, and assuredly not a +physical difficulty, since the relation in question is not a physical +relation. It would appear to be of the moral order of things, in that +sense of the term in which conventional proprieties are spoken of as +moral. That is to say, it is a question of conforming to current +expectations under a code of conventional proprieties. Like much of the +conventional code of behavior this patriotic attachment has the benefit +of standardised decorum, and its outward manifestations are enjoined by +law. All of which goes to show how very seriously the whole matter is +regarded. + +And yet it is also a matter of common notoriety that large aggregates of +men, not to speak of sporadic individuals, will on occasion shift their +allegiance with the most felicitous effect and with no sensible loss of +self-respect or of their good name. Such a shift is to be seen in +multiple in the German nation within the past half-century, when, for +instance, the Hanoverians, the Saxons, and even the Holsteiners in very +appreciable numbers, not to mention the subjects of minuscular +principalities whose names have been forgotten in the shuffle, all +became good and loyal subjects of the Empire and of the Imperial +dynasty,--good and loyal without reservation, as has abundantly +appeared. So likewise within a similar period the inhabitants of the +Southern States repudiated their allegiance to the Union, putting in its +place an equivalent loyalty to their new-made country; and then, when +the new national establishment slipped out from under their feet they +returned as whole-heartedly as need be to their earlier allegiance. In +each of these moves, taken with deliberation, it is not to be doubted +that this body of citizens have been moved by an unimpeachable spirit of +patriotic honour. No one who is in any degree conversant with the facts +is likely to question the declaration that it would be a perversion, not +to say an inversion, of fact to rate their patriotic devotion to the +Union today lower than that of any other section of the country or any +other class or condition of men. + +But there is more, and in a sense worse, to be found along the same +general line of evidence touching this sublimated sentiment of group +solidarity that is called nationalism. The nation, of course, is large; +the larger the better, it is believed. It is so large, indeed, that +considered as a group or community of men living together it has no +sensible degree of homogeneity in any of their material circumstances or +interests; nor is anything more than an inconsiderable fraction of the +aggregate population, territory, industry, or daily life known to any +one of these patriotic citizens except by remote and highly dubious +hearsay. The one secure point on which there is a (constructive) +uniformity is the matter of national allegiance; which grows stronger +and more confident with every increase in aggregate mass and volume. It +is also not doubtful, e.g., that if the people of the British Dominions +in North America should choose to throw in their national lot with the +Union, all sections and classes, except those whose pecuniary interest +in a protective tariff might be conceived to suffer, would presently +welcome them; nor is it doubtful that American nationality would cover +the new and larger aggregate as readily as the old. Much the same will +hold true with respect to the other countries colonised under British +auspices. And there is no conclusive reason for drawing the limit of +admissible national extension at that point. + +So much, however, is fairly within the possibilities of the calculable +future; its realisation would turn in great measure on the +discontinuance of certain outworn or disserviceable institutional +arrangements; as, e.g., the remnants of a decayed monarchy, and the +legally protected vested interests of certain business enterprises and +of certain office-holding classes. What more and farther might +practicably be undertaken in this way, in the absence of marplot +office-holders, office-seekers, sovereigns, priests and monopolistic +business concerns sheltered under national animosities and restraints of +trade, would be something not easy to assign a limit to. All the minor +neutrals, that cluster about the North Sea, could unquestionably be +drawn into such a composite nationality, in the absence, or with due +disregard, of those classes, families and individuals whose pecuniary or +invidious gain is dependent on or furthered by the existing division of +these peoples. + +The projected defensive league of neutrals is, in effect, an inchoate +coalescence of the kind. Its purpose is the safeguarding of the common +peace and freedom, which is also the avowed purpose and justification of +all those modern nations that have outlived the régime of dynastic +ambition and so of enterprise in dominion for dominion's sake, and have +passed into the neutral phase of nationality; or it should perhaps +rather be said that such is the end of endeavour and the warrant of +existence and power for these modern national establishments in so far +as they have outlived and repudiated such ambitions of a dynastic or a +quasi-dynastic order, and so have taken their place as intrinsically +neutral commonwealths. + +It is only in the common defense (or in the defense of the like +conditions of life for their fellowmen elsewhere) that the citizens of +such a commonwealth can without shame entertain or put in evidence a +spirit of patriotic solidarity; and it is only by specious and +sophistical appeal to the national honour--a conceit surviving out of +the dynastic past--that the populace of such a commonwealth can be +stirred to anything beyond a defense of their own proper liberties or +the liberties of like-minded men elsewhere, in so far as they are not +still imbued with something of the dynastic animus and the chauvinistic +animosities which they have formally repudiated in repudiating the +feudalistic principles of the dynastic State. + +The "nation," without the bond of dynastic loyalty, is after all a +make-shift idea, an episodic half-way station in the sequence, and +loyalty, in any proper sense, to the nation as such is so much of a +make-believe, that in the absence of a common defense to be safeguarded +any such patriotic conceit must lose popular assurance and, with the +passing of generations, fall insensibly into abeyance as an archaic +affectation. The pressure of danger from without is necessary to keep +the national spirit alert and stubborn, in case the pressure from +within, that comes of dynastic usufruct working for dominion, has been +withdrawn. With further extension of the national boundaries, such that +the danger of gratuitous infraction from without grows constantly less +menacing, while the traditional régime of international animosities +falls more and more remotely into the background, the spirit of +nationalism is fairly on the way to obsolescence through disuse. In +other words, the nation, as a commonwealth, being a partisan +organisation for a defensive purpose, becomes _functa officio_ in +respect of its nationalism and its patriotic ties in somewhat the same +measure as the national coalition grows to such a size that partisanship +is displaced by a cosmopolitan security. + +Doubtless the falling into abeyance through disuse of so pleasing a +virtue as patriotic devotion will seem an impossibly distasteful +consummation; and about tastes there is no disputing, but tastes are +mainly creations of habit. Except for the disquieting name of the thing, +there is today little stands in the way of a cosmopolitan order of +human intercourse unobtrusively displacing national allegiance; except +for vested interests in national offices and international +discriminations, and except for those peoples among whom national life +still is sufficiently bound up with dynastic ambition. + +In an earlier passage the patriotic spirit has been defined as a sense +of partisan solidarity in point of prestige, and sufficient argument has +been spent in confirming the definition and showing its implications. +With the passing of all occasion for a partisan spirit as touches the +common good, through coalescence of the parts between which partisan +discrepancies have hitherto been kept up, there would also have passed +all legitimate occasion for or provocation to an intoxication of +invidious prestige on national lines,--and there is no prestige that is +not of an invidious nature, that being, indeed, the whole of its nature. +He would have to be a person of praeternatural patriotic sensibilities +who could fall into an emotional state by reason of the national +prestige of such a coalition commonwealth as would be made up, e.g., of +the French and English-speaking peoples, together with those other +neutrally and peaceably inclined European communities that are of a +sufficiently mature order to have abjured dynastic ambitions of +dominion, and perhaps including the Chinese people as well. Such a +coalition may now fairly be said to be within speaking distance, and +with its consummation, even in the inchoate shape of a defensive league +of neutrals, the eventual abeyance of that national allegiance and +national honour that bulks so large in the repertory of current +eloquence would also come in prospect. + +All this is by no means saying that love of country, and of use and wont +as it runs in one's home area and among one's own people, would suffer +decay, or even abatement. The provocation to nostalgia would presumably +be as good as ever. It is even conceivable that under such a +(contemplated) régime of unconditional security, attachment to one's own +habitat and social circumstances might grow to something more than is +commonly seen in the precarious situation in which the chances of a +quiet life are placed today. But nostalgia is not a bellicose distemper, +nor does it make for gratuitous disturbance of peaceable alien peoples; +neither is it the spirit in which men lend themselves to warlike +enterprise looking to profitless dominion abroad. Men make patriotic +sacrifices of life and substance in spite of home-sickness rather than +by virtue of it. + + * * * * * + +The aim of this long digression has been to show that patriotism, of +that bellicose kind that seeks satisfaction in inflicting damage and +discomfort on the people of other nations, is not of the essence of +human life; that it is of the nature of habit, induced by circumstances +in the past and handed on by tradition and institutional arrangements +into the present; and that men can, without mutilation, divest +themselves of it, or perhaps rather be divested of it by force of +circumstances which will set the current of habituation the contrary +way. + +The change of habituation necessary to bring about such a decay of the +bellicose national spirit would appear to be of a negative order, at +least in the main. It would be an habituation to unconditional peace and +security; in other words, to the absence of provocation, rather than a +coercive training away from the bellicose temper. This bellicose temper, +as it affects men collectively, appears to be an acquired trait; and it +should logically disappear in time in the absence of those conditions by +impact of which it has been acquired. Such obsolescence of patriotism, +however, would not therefore come about abruptly or swiftly, since the +patriotic spirit has by past use and wont, and by past indoctrination, +been so thoroughly worked into the texture of the institutional fabric +and into the commonsense taste and morality, that its effectual +obsolescence will involve a somewhat comprehensive displacement and +mutation throughout the range of institutions and popular conceits that +have been handed down. And institutional changes take time, being +creations of habit. Yet, again, there is the qualification to this last, +that since the change in question appears to be a matter, not of +acquiring a habit and confirming it in the shape of an article of +general use and wont, but of forgetting what once was learned, the time +and experience to be allowed for its decay need logically not equal that +required for its acquirement, either in point of duration or in point of +the strictness of discipline necessary to inculcate it. + +While the spirit of nationalism is such an acquired trait, and while it +should therefore follow that the chief agency in divesting men of it +must be disuse of the discipline out of which it has arisen, yet a +positive, and even something of a drastic discipline to the contrary +effect need not be altogether ineffectual in bringing about its +obsolescence. The case of the Chinese people seems to argue something of +the sort. Not that the Chinese are simply and neutrally unpatriotic; +they appear also to be well charged with disloyalty to their alien +rulers. But along with a sense of being on the defensive in their common +concerns, there is also the fact that they appear not to be appreciably +patriotic in the proper sense; they are not greatly moved by a spirit +of nationality. And this failure of the national spirit among them can +scarcely be set down to a neutral disuse of that discipline which has on +the other hand induced a militant nationalism in the peoples of +Christendom; it should seem more probable, at least, that this relative +absence of a national ambition is traceable in good part to its having +been positively bred out of them by the stern repression of all such +aspirations under the autocratic rule of their alien masters. + + * * * * * + +Peace on terms of submission and non-resistance to the ordinary +exactions and rulings of those Imperial authorities to whom such +submission may become necessary, then, will be contingent on the virtual +abeyance of the spirit of national pride in the peoples who so are to +come under Imperial rule. A sufficient, by no means necessarily a total, +elimination or decadence of this proclivity will be the condition +precedent of any practicable scheme for a general peace on this footing. +How large an allowance of such animus these prospectively subject +peoples might still carry, without thereby assuring the defeat of any +such plan, would in great measure depend on the degree of clemency or +rigor with which the superior authority might enforce its rule. It is +not that a peace plan of this nature need precisely be considered to +fall outside the limits of possibility, on account of this necessary +condition, but it is at the best a manifestly doubtful matter. Advocates +of a negotiated peace should not fail to keep in mind and make public +that the plan which they advocate carries with it, as a sequel or +secondary phase, such an unconditional surrender and a consequent régime +of non-resistance, and that there still is grave doubt whether the +peoples of these Western nations are at present in a sufficiently +tolerant frame of mind, or can in the calculable future come in for such +a tolerantly neutral attitude in point of national pride, as to submit +in any passable fashion to any alien Imperial rule. + +If the spiritual difficulty presented by this prevalent spirit of +national pride--sufficiently stubborn still, however inane a conceit it +may seem on sober reflection--if this animus of factional +insubordination could be overcome or in some passable measure be +conciliated or abated, there is much to be said in favor of such a plan +of peaceable submission to an extraneous and arbitrary authority, and +therefore also for that plan of negotiated peace by means of which +events would be put in train for its realisation. + +Any passably dispassionate consideration of the projected régime will +come unavoidably to the conclusion that the prospectively subject +peoples should have no legitimate apprehension of loss or disadvantage +in the material respect. It is, of course, easy for an unreflecting +person to jump to the conclusion that subjection to an alien power must +bring grievous burdens, in the way of taxes and similar impositions. But +reflection will immediately show that no appreciable increase, over the +economic burdens already carried by the populace under their several +national establishments, could come of such a move. + +As bearing on this question it is well to call to mind that the +contemplated imperial dominion is designed to be very wide-reaching and +with very ample powers. Its nearest historical analogue, of course, is +the Roman imperial dominion--in the days of the Antonines--and that the +nearest analogue to the projected German peace is the Roman peace, in +the days of its best security. There is every warrant for the +presumption that the contemplated Imperial dominion is to be +substantially all-inclusive. Indeed there is no stopping place for the +projected enterprise short of an all-inclusive dominion. And there will +consequently be no really menacing outside power to be provided against. +Consequently there will be but little provision necessary for the common +defense, as compared, e.g., with the aggregate of such provision found +necessary for self-defense on the part of the existing nations acting in +severalty and each jealously guarding its own national integrity. +Indeed, compared with the burden of competitive armament to which the +peoples of Europe have been accustomed, the need of any armed force +under the new régime should be an inconsiderable matter, even when there +is added to the necessary modicum of defensive preparation the more +imperative and weightier provision of force with which to keep the peace +at home. + +Into the composition of this necessary modicum of armed force slight if +any contingents of men would be drawn from the subject peoples, for the +reason that no great numbers would be needed; as also because no devoted +loyalty to the dynasty could reasonably be looked for among them, even +if no positive insecurity were felt to be involved in their employment. +On this head the projected scheme unambiguously commends itself as a +measure of economy, both in respect of the pecuniary burdens demanded +and as regards the personal annoyance of military service. + +As a further count, it is to be presumed that the burden of the Imperial +government and its bureaucratic administration--what would be called the +cost of maintenance and repairs of the dynastic establishment and its +apparatus of control--would be borne by the subject peoples. Here again +one is warranted in looking for a substantial economy to be effected by +such a centralised authority, and a consequent lighter aggregate burden +on the subjects. Doubtless, the "overhead charges" would not be reduced +to their practicable minimum. Such a governmental establishment, with +its bureaucratic personnel, its "civil list" and its privileged classes, +would not be conducted on anything like a parsimonious footing. There is +no reason to apprehend any touch of modesty in the exactions of such a +dynastic establishment for itself or in behalf of its underlying +hierarchy of gentlefolk. + +There is also to be counted in, in the concrete instance on which the +argument here turns, a more or less considerable burden of contributions +toward the maintenance and augmentation of that culture that has been +the topic of so many encomiums. At this point it should be recalled that +it is the pattern of Periclean Athens that is continually in mind in +these encomiums. Which brings up, in this immediate connection, the +dealings of Periclean Athens with the funds of the League, and the +source as well as the destination of these surplus funds. Out of it all +came the works on the Acropolis, together with much else of intellectual +and artistic life that converged upon and radiated from this Athenian +center of culture. The vista of _Denkmäler_ that so opens to the vision +of a courageous fancy is in itself such a substance of things hoped for +as should stir the heart of all humane persons.[8] The cost of this +subvention of Culture would doubtless be appreciable, but those grave +men who have spent most thought on this prospective cultural gain to be +had from the projected Imperial rule appear to entertain no doubt as to +its being worth all that it would cost. + +[Footnote 8: _Denk 'mall_] + +Any one who is inclined to rate the prospective pecuniary costs and +losses high would doubtless be able to find various and sundry items of +minor importance to add to this short list of general categories on the +side of cost; but such additional items, not fairly to be included under +these general captions, would after all be of minor importance, in the +aggregate or in detail, and would not appreciably affect the grand +balance of pecuniary profit and loss to be taken account of in any +appraisal of the projected Imperial régime. There should evidently be +little ground to apprehend that its installation would entail a net loss +or a net increase of pecuniary burdens. There is, of course, the +ill-defined and scarcely definable item of expenditure under the general +head of Gentility, Dignity, Distinction, Magnificence, or whatever term +may seem suitable to designate that consumption of goods and services +that goes to maintain the high repute of the Court and to keep the +underlying gentlefolk in countenance. In its pecuniary incidence this +line of (necessary) expenditure belongs under the rubric of Conspicuous +Waste; and one will always have to face the disquieting flexibility of +this item of expenditure. The consumptive demand of this kind is in an +eminent degree "indefinitely extensible," as the phrasing of the +economists would have it, and as various historical instances of courtly +splendor and fashionable magnificence will abundantly substantiate. +There is a constant proclivity to advance this conventional "standard of +living" to the limit set by the available means; and yet these +conventional necessities will ordinarily not, in the aggregate, take up +all the available means; although now and again, as under the _Ancien +Régime_, and perhaps in Imperial Rome, the standard of splendid living +may also exceed the current means in hand and lead to impoverishment of +the underlying community. + +An analysis of the circumstances governing this flexibility of the +conventional standard of living and of pecuniary magnificence can not be +gone into here. In the case under consideration it will have to be left +as an indeterminate but considerable item in the burden of cost which +the projected Imperial rule may be counted on to impose on the +underlying peoples. The cost of the Imperial court, nobility, and civil +service, therefore, would be a matter of estimate, on which no close +agreement would be expected; and yet, here as in an earlier connection, +it seems a reasonable expectation that sufficient dignity and +magnificence could be put in evidence by such a large-scale +establishment at a lower aggregate cost than the aggregate of +expenditures previously incurred for the like ends by various nations +working in severalty and at cross purposes. + +Doubtless it would be altogether a mistaken view of this production of +dignity by means of a lavish expenditure on superfluities, to believe +that the same principle of economy should apply here as was found +applicable in the matter of armament for defense. With the installation +of a collective national establishment, to include substantially all the +previously competing nations, the need of defensive armament should in +all reason decline to something very inconsiderable indeed. But it would +be hasty to conclude that with the coalescence of these nations under +one paramount control the need of creating notoriety and prestige for +this resulting central establishment by the consumption of decorative +superfluities would likewise decline. The need of such dignity and +magnificence is only in part, perhaps a minor part, of a defensive +character. For the greater part, no doubt, the motive to this +conspicuously wasteful consumption is personal vanity, in Imperial +policy as well as in the private life of fashion,--or perhaps one should +more deferentially say that it is a certain range of considerations +which would be identified as personal vanity in case they were met with +among men beneath the Imperial level. And so far as the creation of this +form of "good-will" by this manner of advertising is traceable to such, +or equivalent, motives of a personal incidence, the provocation to +economy along this line would presumably not be a notable factor in the +case. And one returns perforce to the principle already spoken of above, +that the consumptive need of superfluities is indefinitely extensible, +with the resulting inference that nothing conclusive is to be said as to +the prospective magnitude of this item in the Imperial bill of expense, +or of the consequent pecuniary burdens which it would impose on the +underlying peoples. + + * * * * * + +So far the argument has run on the pecuniary incidence of this projected +Imperial dominion as it falls on the underlying community as a whole, +with no attempt to discriminate between the divergent interests of the +different classes and conditions of men that go to make up any modern +community. The question in hand is a question of pecuniary burdens, and +therefore of the pecuniary interests of these several distinguishable +classes or conditions of men. In all these modern nations that now stand +in the article of decision between peace by submission or a doubtful and +melancholy alternative,--in all of them men are by statute and custom +inviolably equal before the law, of course; they are ungraded and +masterless men before the law. But these same peoples are also alike in +the respect that pecuniary duties and obligations among them are +similarly sacred and inviolable under the dispassionate findings of the +law. This pecuniary equality is, in effect, an impersonal equality +between pecuniary magnitudes; from which it follows that these citizens +of the advanced nations are not ungraded men in the pecuniary respect; +nor are they masterless, in so far as a greater pecuniary force will +always, under this impersonal equality of the law, stand in a relation +of mastery toward a lesser one. + +Class distinctions, except pecuniary distinctions, have fallen away. But +all these modern nations are made up of pecuniary classes, differing +from one another by minute gradations in the marginal cases, but +falling, after all, and in the large, into two broadly and securely +distinguishable pecuniary categories: those who have more and those who +have less. Statisticians have been at pains to ascertain that a +relatively very small numerical minority of the citizens in these modern +nations own all but a relatively very small proportion of the aggregate +wealth in the country. So that it appears quite safe to say that in such +a country as America, e.g., something less than ten percent of the +inhabitants own something more than ninety percent of the country's +wealth. It would scarcely be a wild overstraining of its practical +meaning to say that this population is made up of two classes: those who +own the country's wealth, and those who do not. In strict accuracy, as +before the law, this characterisation will not hold; whereas in +practical effect, it is a sufficiently close approximation. This latter +class, who have substantially no other than a fancied pecuniary interest +in the nation's material fortunes, are the category often spoken of as +The Common Man. It is not necessary, nor is it desired, to find a +corresponding designation for the other category, those who own. + +The articulate recognition of this division into contrasted pecuniary +classes or conditions, with correspondingly (at least potentially) +divergent pecuniary interests, need imply no degree of approval or +disapproval of the arrangement which is so recognised. The recognition +of it is necessary to a perspicuous control of the argument, as bears on +the possible systematic and inherent discrepancy among these men in +respect of their material interests under the projected Imperial rule. +Substantially, it is a distinction between those who have and those who +have not, and in a question of prospective pecuniary loss the man who +has nothing to lose is differently placed from the one who has. It would +perhaps seem flippant, and possibly lacking in the courtesy due one's +prospective lord paramount, to say with the poet, _Cantabit vacuus coram +latrone viator_. + +But the whole case is not so simple. It is only so long as the projected +pecuniary inroad is conceived as a simple sequestration of wealth in +hand, that such a characterisation can be made to serve. The Imperial +aim is not a passing act of pillage, but a perpetual usufruct; and the +whole question takes on a different and more complex shape when it so +touches the enduring conditions of life and livelihood. The citizen who +has nothing, or who has no capitalisable source of unearned income, yet +has a pecuniary interest in a livelihood to be gained from day to day, +and he is yet vulnerable in the pecuniary respect in that his livelihood +may with the utmost facility be laid under contribution by various and +sundry well-tried contrivances. Indeed, the common man who depends for +his livelihood on his daily earnings is in a more immediately +precarious position than those who have something appreciable laid up +against a rainy day, in the shape of a capitalised source of income. +Only that it is still doubtful if his position is precarious in such a +fashion as to lay him open to a notable increase of hardship, or to loss +of the amenities of life, in the same relative degree as his well-to-do +neighbour. + +In point of fact it may well be doubted if this common man has anything +to apprehend in the way of added hardship or loss of creature comforts +under the contemplated régime of Imperial tutelage. He would presumably +find himself in a precarious case under the arbitrary and irresponsible +authority of an alien master working through an alien master class. The +doubt which presents itself is as to whether this common man would be +more precariously placed, or would come in for a larger and surer sum of +hard usage and scant living, under this projected order of things, than +what he already is exposed to in his pecuniary relations with his +well-to-do compatriots under the current system of law and order. + +Under this current régime of law and order, according to the equitable +principles of Natural Rights, the man without means has no pecuniary +rights which his well-to-do pecuniary master is bound to respect. This +may have been an unintended, as it doubtless was an unforeseen, outcome +of the move out of feudalism and prescriptive rights and immunities, +into the system of individual liberty and manhood franchise; but as +commonly happens in case of any substantial change in the scheme of +institutional arrangements, unforeseen consequences come in along with +those that have been intended. In that period of history when Western +Europe was gathering that experience out of which the current habitual +scheme of law and order has come, the right of property and free +contract was a complement and safeguard to that individual initiative +and masterless equality of men for which the spokesmen of the new era +contended. That it is no longer so at every turn, or even in the main, +in later time, is in great part due to changes of the pecuniary order, +that have come on since then, and that seem not to have cast their +shadow before. + +In all good faith, and with none but inconsequential reservations, the +material fortunes of modern civilised men--together with much else--have +so been placed on a pecuniary footing, with little to safeguard them at +any point except the inalienable right of pecuniary self-direction and +initiative, in an environment where virtually all the indispensable +means of pecuniary self-direction and initiative are in the hands of +that contracted category of owners spoken of above. A numerical +minority--under ten percent of the population--constitutes a conclusive +pecuniary majority--over ninety percent of the means--under a system of +law and order that turns on the inalienable right of owners to dispose +of the means in hand as may suit their convenience and profit,--always +barring recourse to illegal force or fraud. There is, however, a very +appreciable margin of legal recourse to force and of legally protected +fraud available in case of need. Of course the expedients here referred +to as legally available force and fraud in the defense of pecuniary +rights and the pursuit of pecuniary gain are not force and fraud _de +jure_ but only _de facto_. They are further, and well known, +illustrations of how the ulterior consequences of given institutional +arrangements and given conventionalised principles (habits of thought) +of conduct may in time come to run at cross purposes with the initial +purpose that led to the acceptance of these institutions and to the +confirmation and standardisation of these habitual norms of conduct. For +the time being, however, they are "fundamentally and eternally right and +good." + +Being a pecuniary majority--what may be called a majority of the +corporate stock--of the nation, it is also fundamentally and eternally +right and good that the pecuniary interests of the owners of the +material means of life should rule unabated in all those matters of +public policy that touch on the material fortunes of the community at +large. Barring a slight and intermittent mutter of discontent, this +arrangement has also the cordial approval of popular sentiment in these +modern democratic nations. One need only recall the paramount importance +which is popularly attached to the maintenance and extension of the +nation's trade--for the use of the investors--or the perpetuation of a +protective tariff--for the use of the protected business concerns--or, +again, the scrupulous regard with which such a body of public servants +as the Interstate Commerce Commission will safeguard the legitimate +claim of the railway companies to a "reasonable" rate of earnings on the +capitalised value of the presumed earning-capacity of their property. + + * * * * * + +Again, in view of the unaccustomed freedom with which it is here +necessary to speak of these delicate matters, it may be in place to +disclaim all intention to criticise the established arrangements on +their merits as details of public policy. All that comes in question +here, touching these and the like features of the established law and +order, is the bearing of all this on the material fortunes of the common +man under the current régime, as contrasted with what he would +reasonably have to look for under the projected régime of Imperial +tutelage that would come in, consequent upon this national surrender to +Imperial dominion. + + * * * * * + +In these democratic countries public policy is guided primarily by +considerations of business expediency, and the administration, as well +as the legislative power, is in the hands of businessmen, chosen +avowedly on the ground of their businesslike principles and ability. +There is no power in such a community that can over-rule the exigencies +of business, nor would popular sentiment countenance any exercise of +power that should traverse these exigencies, or that would act to +restrain trade or discourage the pursuit of gain. An apparent exception +to the rule occurs in wartime, when military exigencies may over-rule +the current demands of business traffic; but the exception is in great +part only apparent, in that the warlike operations are undertaken in +whole or in part with a view to the protection or extension of business +traffic. + +National surveillance and regulation of business traffic in these +countries hitherto, ever since and in so far as the modern democratic +order of things has taken effect, has uniformly been of the nature of +interference with trade and investment in behalf of the nation's +mercantile community at large, as seen in port and shipping regulations +and in the consular service, or in behalf of particular favored groups +or classes of business concerns, as in protective tariffs and subsidies. +In all this national management of pecuniary affairs, under modern +democratic principles, the common man comes into the case only as raw +material of business traffic,--as consumer or as laborer. He is one of +the industrial agencies by use of which the businessman who employs him +supplies himself with goods for the market, or he is one of the units +of consumptive demand that make up this market in which the business man +sells his goods, and so "realises" on his investment. He is, of course, +free, under modern principles of the democratic order, to deal or not to +deal with this business community, whether as laborer or as consumer, or +as small-scale producer engaged in purveying materials or services on +terms defined by the community of business interests engaged on so large +a scale as to count in their determination. That is to say, he is free +_de jure_ to take or leave the terms offered. _De facto_ he is only free +to take them--with inconsequential exceptions--the alternative being +obsolescence by disuse, not to choose a harsher name for a distasteful +eventuality. + +The general ground on which the business system, as it works under the +over-ruling exigencies of the so-called "big business," so defines the +terms of life for the common man, who works and buys, is the ground +afforded by the principle of "charging what the traffic will bear;" that +is to say, fixing the terms of hiring, buying and selling at such a +figure as will yield the largest net return to the business concerns in +whom, collectively or in severalty, the discretion vests. Discretion in +these premises does not vest in any business concern that does not +articulate with the system of "big business," or that does not dispose +of resources sufficient to make it a formidable member of the system. +Whether these concerns act in severalty or by collusion and conspiracy, +in so defining the pecuniary terms of life for the community at large, +is substantially an idle question, so far as bears on the material +interest of the common man. The base-line is still what the traffic will +bear, and it is still adhered to, so nearly as the human infirmity of +the discretionary captains of industry will admit, whether the due +approximation to this base-line is reached by a process of competitive +bidding or by collusive advisement. + +The generalisation so offered, touching the material conditions of life +for the common man under the modern rule of big business, may seem +unwarrantably broad. It may be worth while to take note of more than one +point in qualification of it, chiefly to avoid the appearance of having +overlooked any of the material circumstances of the case. The "system" +of large business, working its material consequences through the system +of large-scale industry, but more particularly by way of the large-scale +and wide-reaching business of trade in the proper sense, draws into the +net of its control all parts of the community and all its inhabitants, +in some degree of dependence. But there is always, hitherto, an +appreciable fraction of the inhabitants--as, e.g., outlying agricultural +sections that are in a "backward" state--who are by no means closely +bound in the orderly system of business, or closely dependent on the +markets. They may be said to enjoy a degree of independence, by virtue +of their foregoing as much as may be of the advantages offered by modern +industrial specialisation. So also there are the minor and interstitial +trades that are still carried on by handicraft methods; these, too, are +still somewhat loosely held in the fabric of the business system. There +is one thing and another in this way to be taken account of in any +exhaustive survey, but the accounting for them will after all amount to +nothing better than a gleaning of remnants and partial exceptions, such +as will in no material degree derange the general proposition in hand. + +Again, there runs through the length and breadth of this business +community a certain measure of incompetence or inefficiency of +management, as seen from the point of view of the conceivable perfect +working of the system as a whole. It may be due to a slack attention +here and there; or to the exigencies of business strategy which may +constrain given business concerns to an occasional attitude of "watchful +waiting" in the hope of catching a rival off his guard; or to a lack of +perfect mutual understanding among the discretionary businessmen, due +sometimes to an over-careful guarding of trade secrets or advance +information; or, as also happens, and quite excusably, to a lack of +perfect mutual confidence among these businessmen, as to one another's +entire good faith or good-will. The system is after all a competitive +one, in the sense that each of the discretionary directors of business +is working for his own pecuniary gain, whether in cooperation with his +fellows or not. "An honest man will bear watching." As in other +collusive organisations for gain, confederates are apt to fall out when +it comes to a division of what is in hand. In one way and another the +system is beset with inherent infirmities, which hinder its perfect +work; and in so far it will fall short of the full realisation of that +rule of business that inculcates charging what the traffic will bear, +and also in so far the pressure which the modern system of business +management brings to bear on the common man will also fall short of the +last straw--perhaps even of the next-to-the-last. Again it turns out to +be a question not of the failure of the general proposition as +formulated, but rather as to the closeness of approximation to its +theoretically perfect work. It may be remarked by the way that vigilant +and impartial surveillance of this system of business enterprise by an +external authority interested only in aggregate results, rather than in +the differential gains of the interested individuals, might hopefully +be counted on to correct some of these shortcomings which the system +shows when running loose under the guidance of its own multifarious +incentives. + +On the opposite side of the account, it is also worth noting that, while +modern business management may now and again fall short of what the +traffic will bear, it happens more commonly that its exactions will +exceed that limit. This will particularly be true in businessmen's +dealings with hired labour, as also and perhaps with equally +far-reaching consequences in an excessive recourse to sophistications +and adulterants and an excessively parsimonious provision for the +safety, health or comfort of their customers--as, e.g., in passenger +traffic by rail, water or tramway. The discrepancy to which attention is +invited here is due to a discrepancy between business expediency, that +is expediency for the purpose of gain by a given businessman, on the one +hand, and serviceability to the common good, on the other hand. The +business concern's interest in the traffic in which it engages is a +short-term interest, or an interest in the short-term returns, as +contrasted with the long-term or enduring interest which the community +at large has in the public service over which any such given business +concern disposes. The business incentive is that afforded by the +prospective net pecuniary gain from the traffic, substantially an +interest in profitable sales; while the community at large, or the +common man that goes to make up such a community, has a material +interest in this traffic only as regards the services rendered and the +enduring effects that follow from it. + +The businessman has not, or at least is commonly not influenced by, any +interest in the ulterior consequences of the transactions in which he +is immediately engaged. This appears to hold true in an accentuated +degree in the domain of that large-scale business that draws its gains +from the large-scale modern industry and is managed on the modern +footing of corporation finance. This modern fashion of business +organisation and management apparently has led to a substantial +shortening of the term over which any given investor maintains an +effective interest in any given corporate enterprise, in which his +investments may be placed for the time being. With the current practice +of organising industrial and mercantile enterprises on a basis of +vendible securities, and with the nearly complete exemption from +personal responsibility and enduring personal attachment to any one +corporate enterprise which this financial expedient has brought, it has +come about that in the common run of cases the investor, as well as the +directorate, in any given enterprise, has an interest only for the time +being. The average term over which it is (pecuniarily) incumbent on the +modern businessman to take account of the working of any given +enterprise has shortened so far that the old-fashioned accountability, +that once was depended on to dictate a sane and considerate management +with a view to permanent good-will, has in great measure become +inoperative. + +By and large, it seems unavoidable that the pecuniary interests of the +businessmen on the one hand and the material interests of the community +on the other hand are diverging in a more and more pronounced degree, +due to institutional circumstances over which no prompt control can be +had without immediate violation of that scheme of personal rights in +which the constitution of modern democratic society is grounded. The +quandary in which these communities find themselves, as an outcome of +their entrance upon "the simple and obvious system of Natural Liberty," +is shown in a large and instructive way by what is called "labor +trouble," and in a more recondite but no less convincing fashion by the +fortunes of the individual workman under the modern system. + +The cost of production of a modern workman has constantly increased, +with the advance of the industrial arts. The period of preparation, of +education and training, necessary to turn out competent workmen, has +been increasing; and the period of full workmanlike efficiency has been +shortening, in those industries that employ the delicate and exacting +processes of the modern technology. The shortening of this working-life +of the workman is due both to a lengthening of the necessary period of +preparation, and to the demand of these processes for so full a use of +the workman's forces that even the beginning of senescence will count as +a serious disability,--in many occupations as a fatal disability. It is +also a well ascertained fact that effectual old age will be brought on +at an earlier period by overwork; overwork shortens the working +life-time of the workman. Thorough speeding-up ("Scientific +Management"?) will unduly shorten this working life-time, and so it may, +somewhat readily, result in an uneconomical consumption of the +community's man-power, by consuming the workmen at a higher rate of +speed, a higher pressure, with a more rapid rate of deterioration, than +would give the largest net output of product per unit of man-power +available, or per unit of cost of production of such man-power. + +On this head the guiding incentives of the businessman and the material +interest of the community at large--not to speak of the selfish interest +of the individual workman--are systematically at variance. The cost of +production of workmen does not fall on the business concern which +employs them, at least not in such definite fashion as to make it appear +that the given business concern or businessman has a material interest +in the economical consumption of the man-power embodied in this given +body of employees. Some slight and exceptional qualification of this +statement is to be noted, in those cases where the processes in use are +such as to require special training, not to be had except by a working +habituation to these processes in the particular industrial plant in +question. So far as such special training, to be had only as employees +of the given concern, is a necessary part of the workman's equipment for +this particular work, so far the given employer bears a share and an +interest in the cost of production of the workmen employed; and so far, +therefore, the employer has also a pecuniary interest in the economical +use of his employees; which usually shows itself in the way of some +special precautions being taken to prevent the departure of these +workmen so long as there is a clear pecuniary loss involved in replacing +them with men who have not yet had the special training required. +Evidently this qualifying consideration covers no great proportion of +the aggregate man-power consumed in industrial enterprises under +business management. And apart from the instances, essentially +exceptional, where such a special consideration comes in, the +businessmen in charge will, quite excusably as things go, endeavour to +consume the man-power of which they dispose in the persons of their +employees, not at the rate that would be most economical to the +community at large, in view of the cost of their replacement, nor at +such a rate as would best suit the taste or the viability of the +particular workman, but at such a rate as will yield the largest net +pecuniary gain to the employer. + +There is on record an illustrative, and indeed an illustrious, instance +of such cannily gainful consumption of man-power carried out +systematically and with consistently profitable effect in one of the +staple industries of the country. In this typical, though exceptionally +thoroughgoing and lucrative enterprise, the set rule of the management +was, to employ none but select workmen, in each respective line of work; +to procure such select workmen and retain them by offering wages +slightly over the ordinary standard; to work them at the highest pace +and pressure attainable with such a picked body; and to discharge them +on the first appearance of aging or of failing powers. In the rules of +the management was also included the negative proviso that the concern +assumed no responsibility for the subsequent fortunes of discharged +workmen, in the way of pension, insurance or the like. + +This enterprise was highly successful and exceedingly profitable, even +beyond the high average of profits among enterprises in the same line of +business. Out of it came one of the greater and more illustrious +fortunes that have been accumulated during the past century; a fortune +which has enabled one of the most impressive and most gracious of this +generation's many impressive philanthropists, never weary in well-doing; +but who, through this cannily gainful consumption of man-power, has been +placed in the singular position of being unable, in spite of avowedly +unremitting endeavour, to push his continued disbursements in the +service of humanity up to the figure of his current income. The case in +question is one of the most meritorious known to the records of modern +business, and while it will conveniently serve to illustrate many an +other, and perhaps more consequential truth come to realisation in the +march of Triumphant Democracy, it will also serve to show the +gainfulness of an unreservedly canny consumption of man-power with an +eye single to one's own net gain in terms of money. + + * * * * * + +Evidently this is a point in the articulation of the modern economic +system where a sufficiently ruthless outside authority, not actuated by +a primary regard for the pecuniary interests of the employers, might +conceivably with good effect enforce a more economical consumption of +the country's man-power. It is not a matter on which one prefers to +dwell, but it can do no harm to take note of the fact for once in a way, +that these several national establishments of the democratic order, as +they are now organised and administered, do somewhat uniformly and +pervasively operate with an effectual view to the advantage of a class, +so far as may plausibly be done. They are controlled by and administered +in behalf of those elements of the population that, for the purpose in +hand, make up a single loose-knit class,--the class that lives by income +rather than by work. It may be called the class of the business +interests, or of capital, or of gentlemen. It all comes to much the +same, for the purpose in hand. + +The point in speaking of this contingent whose place in the economy of +human affairs it is to consume, or to own, or to pursue a margin of +profit, is simply that of contrasting this composite human contingent +with the common man; whose numbers account for some nine-tenths or more +of the community, while his class accounts for something less than +one-tenth of the invested wealth, and appreciably less than that +proportion of the discretionary national establishment,--the government, +national or local, courts, attorneys, civil service, diplomatic and +consular, military and naval. The arrangement may be called a +gentlemen's government, if one would rather have it that way; but a +gentleman is necessarily one who lives on free income from invested +wealth--without such a source of free, that is to say unearned, income +he becomes a decayed gentleman. Again, pushing the phrasing back a step +farther toward the ground facts, there are those who would speak of the +current establishments as "capitalistic;" but this term is out of line +in that it fails to touch the human element in the case, and +institutions, such as governmental establishments and their functioning, +are after all nothing but the accustomed ways and means of human +behaviour; so that "capitalistic" becomes a synonym for "businessmen's" +government so soon as it is designated in terms of the driving +incentives and the personnel. It is an organisation had with a view to +the needs of business (i.e. pecuniary) enterprise, and is made up of +businessmen and gentlemen, which comes to much the same, since a +gentleman is only a businessman in the second or some later generation. +Except for the slightly odious suggestion carried by the phrase, one +might aptly say that the gentleman, in this bearing, is only a +businessman gone to seed. + +By and large, and taking the matter naively at the simple face value of +the material gain or loss involved, it should seem something of an idle +question to the common man whether his collective affairs are to be +managed by a home-bred line of businessmen and their successive filial +generations of gentlemen, with a view to accelerate the velocity and +increase the volume of competitive gain and competitive spending, on +the one hand, or by an alien line of officials, equally aloof from his +common interests, and managing affairs with a view to the usufruct of +his productive powers in furtherance of the Imperial dominion. + +Not that the good faith or the generous intentions of these governments +of gentlemen is questioned or is in any degree questionable; what is +here spoken of is only the practical effect of the policies which they +pursue, doubtless with benevolent intentions and well-placed +complacency. In effect, things being as they are today in the civilised +world's industry and trade, it happens, as in some sort an unintended +but all-inclusive accident, that the guidance of affairs by business +principles works at cross purposes with the material interests of the +common man. + +So ungraceful a view of the sacred core of this modern democratic +organisation will need whatever evidence can be cited to keep it in +countenance. Therefore indulgence is desired for one further count in +this distasteful recital of ineptitudes inherent in this institutional +scheme of civilised life. This count comes under the head of what may be +called capitalistic sabotage. "Sabotage" is employed to designate a +wilful retardation, interruption or obstruction of industry by +peaceable, and ordinarily by legally defensible, measures. In its +present application, particularly, there is no design to let the term +denote or insinuate a recourse to any expedients or any line of conduct +that is in any degree legally dubious, or that is even of questionable +legitimacy. + +Sabotage so understood, as not comprising recourse to force or fraud, is +a necessary and staple expedient of business management, and its +employment is grounded in the elementary and indefeasible rights of +ownership. It is simply that the businessman, like any other owner, is +vested with the right freely to use or not to use his property for any +given purpose. His decision, for reasons of his own, not to employ the +property at his disposal in a particular way at a particular time, is +well and blamelessly within his legitimate discretion, under the rights +of property as universally accepted and defended by modern nations. In +the particular instance of the American nation he is protected in this +right by a constitutional provision that he must not be deprived of his +property without due process of law. When the property at his disposal +is in the shape of industrial plant or industrial material, means of +transportation or stock of goods awaiting distribution, then his +decision not to employ this property, or to limit its use to something +less than full capacity, in the way for which it is adapted, becomes +sabotage, normally and with negligible exceptions. In so doing he +hinders, retards or obstructs the working of the country's industrial +forces by so much. It is a matter of course and of absolute necessity to +the conduct of business, that any discretionary businessman must be free +to deal or not to deal in any given case; to limit or to withhold the +equipment under his control, without reservation. Business discretion +and business strategy, in fact, has no other means by which to work out +its aims. So that, in effect, all business sagacity reduces itself in +the last analysis to a judicious use of sabotage. Under modern +conditions of large business, particularly, the relation of the +discretionary businessman to industry is that of authoritative +permission and of authoritative limitation or stoppage, and on his +shrewd use of this authority depends the gainfulness of his enterprise. + +If this authority were exercised with an eye single to the largest and +most serviceable output of goods and services, or to the most economical +use of the country's material resources and man-power, regardless of +pecuniary consequences, the course of management so carried out would be +not sabotage but industrial strategy. But business is carried on for +pecuniary gain, not with an unreserved view to the largest and most +serviceable output or to the economical use of resources. The volume and +serviceability of the output must wait unreservedly on the very +particular pecuniary question of what quantity and what degree of +serviceability will yield the largest net return in terms of price. +Uneconomical use of equipment, labor and resources is necessarily an +everyday matter under these circumstances, as in the duplication of +plant and processes between rival concerns, and in the wasteful use of +all resources that do not involve expenditure on the part of the given +concern. + +It has been the traditional dogma among economists and publicists in +these modern communities that free competition between the businessmen +in charge will indefeasibly act to bring the productiveness of industry +to the highest practicable pitch and would lead to the most unreserved +and vigilant endeavour to serve the community's material needs at all +points. The reasons for the failure of this genial expectation, +particularly under latterday business management, might be shown in some +detail, if that were needed to enforce the argument as it runs in the +present connection. But a summary indication of the commoner varieties +and effects of sabotage as it is systematically applied in the +businesslike conduct of industry will serve the purpose as well and with +less waste of words and patience. + +It is usual to notice, and not unusual to deplore the duplication of +plant and appliances in many lines of industry, due to competitive +management, as in factories engaged in the same class of manufacture, in +parallel or otherwise competing railways and boat lines, in retail +merchandising, and in some degree also in the wholesale trade. The +result, of course, is sabotage; in the sense that this volume of +appliances, materials and workmen are not employed to the best advantage +for the community. One effect of the arrangement is an increased +necessary cost of the goods and services supplied by these means. The +reason for it is competition for gain to be got from the traffic. That +all this is an untoward state of things is recognised on all hands; but +no lively regret is commonly spent on the matter, since it is commonly +recognised that under the circumstances there is no help for it except +at the cost of a more untoward remedy. + +The competitive system having been tried and found good--or at least so +it is assumed--it is felt that the system will have to be accepted with +the defects of its qualities. Its characteristic qualities are held to +be good, acceptable to the tastes of modern men whose habits of thought +have been standardised in its terms; and it would be only reluctantly +and by tardy concession that these modern men could bring themselves to +give up that scheme of "Natural Liberty" within the framework of which +runs this competitive system of business management and its wasteful +manifolding of half-idle equipment and nugatory work. The common man, at +the worst, comforts himself and his neighbour with the sage reflection +that "It might have been worse." The businessmen, on the other hand, +have also begun to take note of this systematic waste by duplication +and consequent incompetence, and have taken counsel how to intercept the +waste and divert it to their own profit. The businessmen's remedy is +consolidation of competing concerns, and monopoly control. + +To the common man, with his preconceptions on the head of "restraint of +trade," the proposed remedy seems more vicious than the evil it is +designed to cure. The fault of the remedy plainly is not that the +mismanagement of affairs due to competitive business can not be +corrected by recourse to monopoly, but only that the community, it is +presumed, would still suffer all the burdens and discomforts of the +régime of competition and sabotage, with, possibly, further +inconveniences and impositions at the hands of the businesslike +monopoly; which, men are agreed, may fairly be depended on to use its +advantage unsparingly under the business principle of charging what the +traffic will bear. + +There is also this other singular phenomenon in this modern industrial +world, that something not very far short of one-half the industrial +equipment systematically lies idle for something approaching one-half +the time, or is worked only to one-half its capacity half the time; not +because of competition between these several industrial concerns, but +because business conditions will not allow its continued productive use; +because the volume of product that would be turned out if the equipment +were working uninterruptedly at its full capacity could not be sold at +remunerative prices. From time to time one establishment and another +will shut down during a period of slack times, for the same reason. + +This state of things is singular only as seen from the point of view of +the community's material interest, not that it is in any degree +unfamiliar or that any serious fault is found with the captains of +industry for so shutting off the industrial process and letting the +industrial equipment lie waste. As all men know, the exigencies of +business will not tolerate production to supply the community's needs +under these circumstances; although, as is equally notorious, these +slack times, when production of goods is unadvisable on grounds of +business expediency, are commonly times of wide-spread privation, "hard +times," in the community at large, when the failure of the supply is +keenly felt. + +It is not that the captains of industry are at fault in so failing, or +refusing, to supply the needs of the community under these +circumstances, but only that they are helpless under the exigencies of +business. They can not supply the goods except for a price, indeed not +except for a remunerative price, a price which will add something to the +capital values which they are venturing in their various enterprises. So +long as the exigencies of price and of pecuniary gain rule the case, +there is manifestly no escaping this enforced idleness of the country's +productive forces. + +It may not be out of place also to remark, by way of parenthesis, that +this highly productive state of the industrial arts, which is embodied +in the industrial plant and processes that so are systematically and +advisedly retarded or arrested under the rule of business, is at the +same time the particular pride of civilised men and the most tangible +achievement of the civilised world. + +A conservative estimate of this one item of capitalistic sabotage could +scarcely appraise it at less than a twenty-five percent reduction from +the normally possible productive capacity of the community, at an +average over any considerable period; and a somewhat thorough review of +the pertinent facts would probably persuade any impartial observer that, +one year with another, such businesslike enforced idleness of plant and +personnel lowers the actual output of the country's industry by +something nearer fifty percent of its ordinary capacity when fully +employed. To many, such an assertion may seem extravagant, but with +further reflection on the well-known facts in the case it will seem less +so in proportion as the unfamiliarity of it wears off. + +However, the point of attention in the case is not the precise, nor the +approximate, percentages of this arrest and retardation, this partial +neutralisation of modern improvements in the industrial arts; it is only +the notorious fact that such arrest occurs, systematically and +advisedly, under the rule of business exigencies, and that there is no +corrective to be found for it that will comport with those fundamental +articles of the democratic faith on which the businessmen necessarily +proceed. Any effectual corrective would break the framework of +democratic law and order, since it would have to traverse the +inalienable right of men who are born free and equal, each freely to +deal or not to deal in any pecuniary conjuncture that arises. + +But it is at the same time plain enough that this, in the larger sense +untoward, discrepancy between productive capacity and current productive +output can readily be corrected, in some appreciable degree at least, by +any sufficient authority that shall undertake to control the country's +industrial forces without regard to pecuniary profit and loss. Any +authority competent to take over the control and regulate the conduct of +the community's industry with a view to maximum output as counted by +weight and tale, rather than by net aggregate price-income over +price-cost, can readily effect an appreciable increase in the effectual +productive capacity; but it can be done only by violating that +democratic order of things within which business enterprise runs. The +several belligerent nations of Europe are showing that it can be done, +that the sabotage of business enterprise can be put aside by +sufficiently heroic measures. And they are also showing that they are +all aware, and have always been aware, that the conduct of industry on +business principles is incompetent to bring the largest practicable +output of goods and services; incompetent to such a degree, indeed, as +not to be tolerable in a season of desperate need, when the nation +requires the full use of its productive forces, equipment and man-power, +regardless of the pecuniary claims of individuals. + + * * * * * + +Now, the projected Imperial dominion is a power of the character +required to bring a sufficient corrective to bear, in case of need, on +this democratic situation in which the businessmen in charge necessarily +manage the country's industry at cross purposes with the +community's--that is the common man's--material interest. It is an +extraneous power, to whom the continued pecuniary gain of these nations' +businessmen is a minor consideration, a negligible consideration in case +it shall appear that the Imperial usufruct of the underlying nation's +productive forces is in any degree impaired by the businessmen's +management of it for their own net gain. It is difficult to see on what +grounds of self-interest such an Imperial government could consent to +tolerate the continued management of these underlying nations' +industries on business principles, that is to say on the principle of +the maximum pecuniary gain to the businesslike managers; and recent +experience seems to teach that no excessive, that is to say no +inconvenient, degree of consideration for vested rights, and the like, +would long embarrass the Imperial government in its administration of +its usufruct. + +It should be a reasonable expectation that, without malice and with an +unprejudiced view to its own usufruct of these underlying countries, the +Imperial establishment would take due care that no systematically, and +in its view gratuitously, uneconomical methods should continue in the +ordinary conduct of their industry. Among other considerations of weight +in this connection is the fact that a contented, well-fed, and not +wantonly over-worked populace is a valuable asset in such a case. +Similarly, by contraries, as an asset in usufruct to such an alien +power, a large, wealthy, spendthrift, body of gentlefolk, held in high +esteem by the common people, would have but a slight value, conceivably +even a negative value, in such a case. A wise administration would +presumably look to their abatement, rather than otherwise. At this point +the material interest of the common man would seem to coincide with that +of the Imperial establishment. Still, his preconceived notions of the +wisdom and beneficence of his gentlefolk would presumably hinder his +seeing the matter in that reasonable light. + +Under the paramount surveillance of such an alien power, guided solely +by its own interest in the usufruct of the country and its population, +it is to be presumed that class privileges and discrimination would be +greatly abated if not altogether discontinued. The point is in some +doubt, partly because this alien establishment whose dominion is in +question is itself grounded in class prerogatives and discrimination, +and so, not improbably, it would carry over into its supervision of the +underlying nations something of a bias in favor of class privileges. And +a similar order of things might also result by choice of a class-system +as a convenient means of control and exploitation. The latter +consideration is presumably the more cogent, since the Imperial +establishment in question is already, by ancient habit, familiar with +the method of control by class and privilege; and, indeed, unfamiliar +with any other method. Such a government, which governs without +effectual advice or formal consent of the governed, will almost +necessarily rest its control of the country on an interested class, of +sufficient strength and bound by sufficiently grave interest to abet the +Imperial establishment effectually in all its adventures and +enterprises. + +But such a privileged order, that is to be counted in to share dynastic +usufruct and liabilities, in good days and evil, will be of a +feudalistic complexion rather than something after the fashion of a +modern business community doing business by investment and pecuniary +finesse. It would still be a reasonable expectation that discrimination +between pecuniary classes should fall away under this projected alien +tutelage; more particularly all such discrimination as is designed to +benefit any given class or interest at the cost of the whole, as, e.g., +protective tariffs, monopolistic concessions and immunities, engrossing +of particular lines of material resources, and the like. + +The character of the economic policy to be pursued should not be +difficult of apprehension, if only these underlying peoples are +conceived as an estate in tail within the dynastic line of descent. The +Imperial establishment which so is prospectively to take over the +surveillance of these modern peoples under this projected enterprise in +dominion, may all the more readily be conceived as handling its new and +larger resources somewhat unreservedly as an estate to be administered +with a shrewd eye to the main chance, since such has always been its +relation to the peoples and territories whose usufruct it already +enjoys. It is only that the circumstances of the case will admit a freer +and more sagacious application of those principles of usufruct that lie +at the root of the ancient Culture of the Fatherland. + + * * * * * + +This excessively long, and yet incomplete, review of the presumptive +material advantages to accrue to the common man under a régime of peace +by unconditional surrender to an alien dynasty, brings the argument +apparently to the conclusion that such an eventuality might be fortunate +rather than the reverse; or at least that it has its compensations, even +if it is not something to be desired. Such should particularly appear to +be the presumption in case one is at all inclined to make much of the +cultural gains to be brought in under the new régime. And more +particularly should a policy of non-resistant submission to the +projected new order seem expedient in view of the exceedingly high, not +to say prohibitive, cost of resistance, or even of materially retarding +its fulfillment. + + + + +CHAPTER V + +PEACE AND NEUTRALITY + + +Considered simply on the face of the tangible material interests +involved, the choice of the common man in these premises should seem +very much of a foregone conclusion, if he could persuade himself to a +sane and perspicuous consideration of these statistically apparent +merits of the case alone. It is at least safely to be presumed that he +has nothing to lose, in a material way, and there is reason to look for +some slight gain in creature comforts and in security of life and limb, +consequent upon the elimination, or at least the partial +disestablishment, of pecuniary necessity as the sole bond and criterion +of use and wont in economic concerns. + +But man lives not by bread alone. In point of fact, and particularly as +touches the springs of action among that common run that do not +habitually formulate their aspirations and convictions in extended and +grammatically defensible documentary form, and the drift of whose +impulses therefore is not masked or deflected by the illusive +consistencies of set speech,--as touches the common run, particularly, +it will hold true with quite an unacknowledged generality that the +material means of life are, after all, means only; and that when the +question of what things are worth while is brought to the final test, it +is not these means, nor the life conditioned on these means, that are +seen to serve as the decisive criterion; but always it is some +ulterior, immaterial end, in the pursuit of which these material means +find their ulterior ground of valuation. Neither the overt testimony nor +the circumstantial evidence to this effect is unequivocal; but seen in +due perspective, and regard being had chiefly to the springs of +concerted action as shown in any massive movement of this common run of +mankind, there is, after all, little room to question that the things +which commend themselves as indefeasibly worth while are the things of +the human spirit. + +These ideals, aspirations, aims, ends of endeavour, are by no means of a +uniform or homogeneous character throughout the modern communities, +still less throughout the civilised world, or throughout the checkered +range of classes and conditions of men; but, with such frequency and +amplitude that it must be taken as a major premise in any attempted +insight into human behaviour, it will hold true that they are of a +spiritual, immaterial nature. + +The caution may, parenthetically, not be out of place, that this +characterisation of the ulterior springs of action as essentially not of +the nature of creature comforts, need be taken in no wider extension +than that which so is specifically given it. It will be found to apply +as touches the conduct of the common run; what modification of it might +be required to make it at all confidently applicable to the case of one +and another of those classes into whose scheme of life creature comforts +enter with more pronounced effect may be more of a delicate point. But +since it is the behaviour, and the grounds of behaviour, of the common +run that are here in question, the case of their betters in this respect +may conveniently be left on one side. + +The question in hand touches the behavior of the common man, taken in +the aggregate, in face of the quandary into which circumstances have led +him; since the question of what these modern peoples will do is after +all a question of what the common man in the aggregate will do, of his +own motion or by persuasion. His betters may be in a position to guide, +persuade, cajole, mislead, and victimise him; for among the many +singular conceits that beset the common man is the persuasion that his +betters are in some way better than he, wiser, more beneficent. But the +course that may so be chosen, with or without guidance or persuasion +from the superior classes, as well as the persistence and energy with +which this course is pursued, is conditioned on the frame of mind of the +common run. + +Just what will be the nature and the concrete expression of these ideal +aspirations that move the common run is a matter of habitual +preconceptions; and habits of thought vary from one people to another +according to the diversity of experience to which they have been +exposed. Among the Western nations the national prestige has come to +seem worth while as an ulterior end, perhaps beyond all else that is +comprised in the secular scheme of things desirable to be had or to be +achieved. And in the apprehension of such of them as have best preserved +the habits of thought induced by a long experience in feudal subjection, +the service of the sovereign or the dynasty still stands over as the +substantial core of the cultural scheme, upon which sentiment and +endeavour converge. In the past ages of the democratic peoples, as well +as in the present-day use and wont among subjects of the dynastic +States--as e.g., Japan or Germany--men are known to have resolutely +risked, and lost, their life for the sake of the sovereign's renown, or +even to save the sovereign's life; whereas, of course, even the +slightest and most nebulous reflection would make it manifest that in +point of net material utility the sovereign's decease is an idle matter +as compared with the loss of an able-bodied workman. The sovereign may +always be replaced, with some prospect of public advantage, or failing +that, it should be remarked that a regency or inter-regnum will commonly +be a season of relatively economical administration. Again, religious +enthusiasm, and the furtherance of religious propaganda, may come to +serve the same general purpose as these secular ideals, and will perhaps +serve it just as well. Certain "principles," of personal liberty and of +opportunity for creative self-direction and an intellectually worthy +life, perhaps may also become the idols of the people, for which they +will then be willing to risk their material fortune; and where this has +happened, as among the democratic peoples of Christendom, it is not +selfishly for their own personal opportunity to live untroubled under +the light of these high principles that these opinionated men are ready +to contend, but rather impersonally for the human right which under +these principles is the due of all mankind, and particularly of the +incoming and of later generations. + +On these and the like intangible ends the common man is set with such +inveterate predilection that he will, on provocation, stick at nothing +to put the project through. For such like ends the common man will lay +down his life; at least, so they say. There may always be something of +rhetorical affectation in it all; but, after all, there is sufficient +evidence to hand of such substance and tenacity in the common man's hold +on these ideal aspirations, on these idols of his human spirit, as to +warrant the assertion that he is, rather commonly, prepared to go to +greater lengths in the furtherance of these immaterial gains that are to +inure to someone else than for any personal end of his own, in the way +of creature comforts or even of personal renown. + +For such ends the common man, in democratic Christendom is, on +provocation, willing to die; or again, the patient and perhaps more +far-seeing common man of pagan China is willing to live for these idols +of an inveterate fancy, through endless contumely and hard usage. The +conventional Chinese preconceptions, in the way of things that are worth +while in their own right, appear to differ from those current in the +Occident in such a way that the preconceived ideal is not to be realised +except by way of continued life. The common man's accountability to the +cause of humanity, in China, is of so intimately personal a character +that he can meet it only by tenaciously holding his place in the +sequence of generations; whereas among the peoples of Christendom there +has arisen out of their contentious past a preconception to the effect +that this human duty to mankind is of the nature of a debt, which can be +cancelled by bankruptcy proceedings, so that the man who unprofitably +dies fighting for the cause has thereby constructively paid the +reckoning in full. + +Evidently, if the common man of these modern nations that are +prospectively to be brought under tutelage of the Imperial government +could be brought to the frame of mind that is habitual with his Chinese +counterpart, there should be a fair hope that pacific counsels would +prevail and that Christendom would so come in for a régime of peace by +submission under this Imperial tutelage. But there are always these +preconceptions of self-will and insubordination to be counted with +among these nations, and there is the ancient habit of a contentious +national solidarity in defense of the nation's prestige, more urgent +among these peoples than any sentiment of solidarity with mankind at +large, or any ulterior gain in civilisation that might come of continued +discipline in the virtues of patience and diligence under distasteful +circumstances. + +The occidental conception of manhood is in some considerable measure +drawn in negative terms. So much so that whenever a question of the +manly virtues comes under controversy it presently appears that at least +the indispensable minimum, and indeed the ordinary marginal modicum, of +what is requisite to a worthy manner of life is habitually formulated in +terms of what not. This appearance is doubtless misleading if taken +without the universally understood postulate on the basis of which +negative demands are formulated. There is a good deal of what would be +called historical accident in all this. The indispensable demands of +this modern manhood take the form of refusal to obey extraneous +authority on compulsion; of exemption from coercive direction and +subservience; of insubordination, in short. But it is always understood +as a matter of course that this insubordination is a refusal to submit +to irresponsible or autocratic rule. Stated from the positive side it +would be freedom from restraint by or obedience to any authority not +constituted by express advice and consent of the governed. And as near +as it may be formulated, when reduced to the irreducible minimum of +concrete proviso, this is the final substance of things which neither +shame nor honour will permit the modern civilised man to yield. To no +arrangement for the abrogation of this minimum of free initiative and +self-direction will he consent to be a party, whether it touches the +conditions of life for his own people who are to come after, or as +touches the fortunes of such aliens as are of a like mind on this head +and are unable to make head against invasion of these human rights from +outside. + +As has just been remarked, the negative form so often taken by these +demands is something of an historical accident, due to the fact that +these modern peoples came into their highly esteemed system of Natural +Liberty out of an earlier system of positive checks on self-direction +and initiative; a system, in effect, very much after the fashion of that +Imperial jurisdiction that still prevails in the dynastic States--as, +e.g., Germany or Japan--whose projected dominion is now the immediate +object of apprehension and repugnance. How naively the negative +formulation gained acceptance, and at the same time how intrinsic to the +new dispensation was the aspiration for free initiative, appears in the +confident assertion of its most genial spokesman, that when these +positive checks are taken away, "The simple and obvious system of +Natural Liberty establishes itself of its own accord." + +The common man, in these modern communities, shows a brittle temper when +any overt move is made against this heritage of civil liberty. He may +not be altogether well advised in respect of what liberties he will +defend and what he will submit to; but the fact is to be counted with in +any projected peace, that there is always this refractory residue of +terms not open to negotiation or compromise. Now it also happens, also +by historical accident, that these residual principles of civil liberty +have come to blend and coalesce with a stubborn preconception of +national integrity and national prestige. So that in the workday +apprehension of the common man, not given to analytic excursions, any +infraction of the national integrity or any abatement of the national +prestige has come to figure as an insufferable infringement on his +personal liberty and on those principles of humanity that make up the +categorical articles of the secular creed of Christendom. The fact may +be patent on reflection that the common man's substantial interest in +the national integrity is slight and elusive, and that in sober common +sense the national prestige has something less than a neutral value to +him; but this state of the substantially pertinent facts is not greatly +of the essence of the case, since his preconceptions in these premises +do not run to that effect, and since they are of too hard and fast a +texture to suffer any serious abatement within such a space of time as +can come in question here and now. + + * * * * * + +The outlook for a speedy settlement of the world's peace on a plan of +unconditional surrender to the projected Imperial dominion seems +unpromisingly dubious, in view of the stubborn temper shown by these +modern peoples wherever their preconceived ideas of right and honest +living appear to be in jeopardy; and the expediency of entering into any +negotiated compact of diplomatic engagements and assurances designed to +serve as groundwork to an eventual enterprise of that kind must +therefore also be questionable in a high degree. It is even doubtful if +any allowance of time can be counted on to bring these modern peoples to +a more reasonable, more worldly-wise, frame of mind; so that they would +come to see their interest in such an arrangement, or would divest +themselves of their present stubborn and perhaps fantastic prejudice +against an autocratic régime of the kind spoken for. At least for the +present any such hope of a peaceable settlement seems illusive. What +may be practicable in this way in the course of time is of course still +more obscure; but argument on the premises which the present affords +does not point to a substantially different outcome in the calculable +future. + +For the immediate future--say, within the life-time of the oncoming +generation--the spiritual state of the peoples concerned in this +international quandary is not likely to undergo so radical a change as +to seriously invalidate an argument that proceeds on the present lie of +the land in this respect. Preconceptions are a work of habit impinging +on a given temperamental bent; and where, as in these premises, the +preconceptions have taken on an institutionalised form, have become +conventionalised and commonly accepted, and so have been woven into the +texture of popular common sense, they must needs be a work of protracted +and comprehensive habituation impinging on a popular temperamental bent +of so general a prevalence that it may be called congenital to the +community at large. A heritable bent pervading the group within which +inheritance runs, does not change, so long as the racial complexion of +the group remains passably intact; a conventionalised, commonly +established habit of mind will change only slowly, commonly not without +the passing of at least one generation, and only by grace of a +sufficiently searching and comprehensive discipline of experience. For +good or ill, the current situation is to be counted on not to lose +character over night or with a revolution of the seasons, so far as +concerns these spiritual factors that make or mar the fortunes of +nations. + +At the same time these spiritual assets, being of the nature of habit, +are also bound to change character more or less radically, by insensible +shifting of ground, but incontinently,--provided only that the +conditions of life, and therefore the discipline of experience, undergo +any substantial change. So the immediate interest shifts to the +presumptive rate and character of those changes that are in prospect, +due to the unremitting change of circumstances under which these modern +peoples live and to the discipline of which they are unavoidably +exposed. For the present and for the immediate future the current state +of things is a sufficiently stable basis of argument; but assurance as +to the sufficiency of the premises afforded by the current state of +things thins out in proportion as the perspective of the argument runs +out into the succeeding years. The bearing of it all is two-fold, of +course. This progressive, cumulative habituation under changing +circumstances affects the case both of those democratic peoples whose +fortunes are in the hazard, and also of those dynastic States by whom +the projected enterprise in dominion is to be carried into effect. + + * * * * * + +The case of the two formidable dynastic States whose names have been +coupled together in what has already been said is perhaps the more +immediately interesting in the present connection. As matters stand, and +in the measure in which they continue so to stand, the case of these is +in no degree equivocal. The two dynastic establishments seek dominion, +and indeed they seek nothing else, except incidentally to and in +furtherance of the main quest. As has been remarked before, it lies in +the nature of a dynastic State to seek dominion, that being the whole of +its nature in so far as it runs true to form. But a dynastic State, like +any other settled, institutionalised community of men, rests on and +draws its effectual driving force from the habit of mind of its +underlying community, the common man in the aggregate, his +preconceptions and ideals as to what things are worth while. Without a +suitable spiritual ground of this kind such a dynastic State passes out +of the category of formidable Powers and into that of precarious +despotism. + +In both of the two States here in question the dynastic establishment +and its bodyguard of officials and gentlefolk may be counted on to +persevere in the faith that now animates them, until an uneasy +displacement of sentiment among the underlying populace may in time +induce them judiciously to shift their footing. Like the ruling classes +elsewhere, they are of a conservative temper and may be counted on so to +continue. They are also not greatly exposed to the discipline of +experience that makes for adaptive change in habits of life, and +therefore in the correlated habits of thought. It is always the common +man that is effectually reached by any exacting or wide-reaching change +in the conditions of life. He is relatively unsheltered from any forces +that make for adaptive change, as contrasted with the case of his +betters; and however sluggish and reluctant may be his response to such +discipline as makes for a displacement of outworn preconceptions, yet it +is always out of the mass of this common humanity that those movements +of disaffection and protest arise, which lead, on occasion, to any +material realignment of the institutional fabric or to any substantial +shift in the line of policy to be pursued under the guidance of their +betters. + +The common mass of humanity, it may be said in parenthesis, is of course +not a homogeneous body. Uncommon men, in point of native gifts of +intelligence, sensibility, or personal force, will occur as frequently, +in proportion to the aggregate numbers, among the common mass as among +their betters. Since in any one of these nations of Christendom, with +their all-inclusive hybridisation, the range, frequency and amplitude of +variations in hereditary endowment is the same throughout all classes. +Class differentiation is a matter of habit and convention; and in +distinction from his betters the common man is common only in point of +numbers and in point of the more general and more exacting conditions to +which he is exposed. He is in a position to be more hardly ridden by the +discipline of experience, and is at the same time held more consistently +to such a body of preconceptions, and to such changes only in this body +of preconceptions, as fall in with the drift of things in a larger mass +of humanity. But all the while it is the discipline which impinges on +the sensibilities of this common mass that shapes the spiritual attitude +and temper of the community and so defines what may and what may not be +undertaken by the constituted leaders. So that, in a way, these dynastic +States are at the mercy of that popular sentiment whose creatures they +are, and are subject to undesired changes of direction and efficiency in +their endeavors, contingent on changes in the popular temper; over which +they have only a partial, and on the whole a superficial control. + +A relatively powerful control and energetic direction of the popular +temper is and has been exercised by these dynastic establishments, with +a view to its utilisation in the pursuit of the dynastic enterprise; and +much has visibly been accomplished in that way; chiefly, perhaps, by +military discipline in subordination to personal authority, and also by +an unsparing surveillance of popular education, with a view to fortify +the preconceptions handed down from the passing order as well as to +eliminate all subversive innovation. Yet in spite of all the +well-conceived and shrewdly managed endeavors of the German Imperial +system in this direction, e.g., there has been evidence of an obscurely +growing uneasiness, not to say disaffection, among the underlying mass. +So much so that hasty observers, and perhaps biased, have reached the +inference that one of the immediate contributory causes that led to the +present war was the need of a heroic remedy to correct this untoward +drift of sentiment. + +For the German people the government of the present dynastic incumbent +has done all that could (humanly speaking) be expected in the way of +endeavoring to conserve the passing order and to hold the popular +imagination to the received feudalistic ideals of loyal service. And yet +the peoples of the Empire are already caught in the net of that newer +order which they are now endeavoring to break by force of arms. They are +inextricably implicated in the cultural complex of Christendom; and +within this Western culture those peoples to whom it fell to lead the +exodus out of the Egypt of feudalism have come quite naturally to set +the pace in all the larger conformities of civilised life. Within the +confines of Christendom today, for good or ill, whatever usage or +customary rule of conduct falls visibly short of the precedent set by +these cultural pioneers is felt to fall beneath the prescriptive +commonplace level of civilisation. Failure to adopt and make use of +those tried institutional expedients on which these peoples of the +advance guard have set their mark of authentication is today +presumptively a mistake and an advantage foregone; and a people who are +denied the benefit of these latterday ways and means of civic life are +uneasy with a sense of grievance at the hands of their rulers. Besides +which, the fashion in articles of institutional equipage so set by the +authentic pioneers of culture has also come to be mandatory, as a +punctilio of the governmental proprieties; so that no national +establishment which aspires to a decorous appearance in the eyes of the +civilised world can longer afford to be seen without them. The forms at +least must be observed. Hence the "representative" and +pseudo-representative institutions of these dynastic States. + +These dynastic States among the rest have partly followed the dictates +of civilised fashion, partly yielded to the, more or less intelligent, +solicitations of their subjects, or the spokesmen of their subjects, and +have installed institutional apparatus of this modern pattern--more in +point of form than of substance, perhaps. Yet in time the adoption of +the forms is likely to have an effect, if changing circumstances favor +their taking effect. Such has on the whole been the experience of those +peoples who have gone before along this trail of political advance. As +instance the growth of discretionary powers under the hands of +parliamentary representatives in those cases where the movement has gone +on longest and farthest; and these instances should not be considered +idle, as intimations of what may presumptively be looked for under the +Imperial establishments of Germany or Japan. It may be true that +hitherto, along with the really considerable volume of imitative +gestures of discretionary deliberation delegated to these parliamentary +bodies, they have as regards all graver matters brought to their notice +only been charged with a (limited) power to talk. It may be true that, +for the present, on critical or weighty measures the parliamentary +discretion extends no farther than respectfully to say: "_Ja wohl_!" But +then, _Ja wohl_ is also something; and there is no telling where it may +all lead to in the long course of years. One has a vague apprehension +that this "_Ja wohl_!" may some day come to be a customarily necessary +form of authentication, so that with-holding it (_Behüt' es Gott_!) may +even come to count as an effectual veto on measures so pointedly +neglected. More particularly will the formalities of representation and +self-government be likely to draw the substance of such like "free +institutions" into the effectual conduct of public affairs if it turns +out that the workday experiences of these people takes a turn more +conducive to habits of insubordination than has been the case hitherto. + +Indications are, again, not wanting, that even in the Empire the +discipline of workday experience is already diverging from that line +that once trained the German subjects into the most loyal and unrepining +subservience to dynastic ambitions. Of course, just now, under the +shattering impact of warlike atrocities and patriotic clamour, the +workday spirit of insubordination and critical scrutiny is gone out of +sight and out of hearing. + +Something of this inchoate insubordination has showed itself repeatedly +during the present reign, sufficient to provoke many shrewd protective +measures on the side of the dynastic establishment, both by way of +political strategy and by arbitrary control. Disregarding many minor and +inconsequential divisions of opinion and counsel among the German people +during this eventful reign, the political situation has been moving on +the play of three, incipiently divergent, strains of interest and +sentiment: (a) the dynasty (together with the Agrarians, of whom in a +sense the dynasty is a part); (b) the businessmen, or commercial +interest (including investors); and (c) the industrial workmen. +Doubtless it would be easier to overstate than to indicate with any nice +precision what has been the nature, and especially the degree, of this +alienation of sentiment and divergence of conscious interest among these +several elements. It is not that there has at any point been a +perceptible faltering in respect of loyalty to the crown as such. But +since the crown belongs, by origin, tradition, interest and spiritual +identity, in the camp of the Agrarians, the situation has been such as +would inevitably take on a character of disaffection toward the dynastic +establishment, in the conceivable absence of that strong surviving +sentiment of dynastic loyalty that still animates all classes and +conditions of men in the Fatherland. It would accordingly, again, be an +overstatement to say that the crown has been standing precariously at +the apex of a political triangle, the other two corners of which are +occupied by these two divided and potentially recalcitrant elements of +the body politic, held apart by class antipathy and divergent pecuniary +interest, and held in check by divided counsels; but something after +that fashion is what would have resulted under similar conditions of +strain in any community where the modern spirit of insubordination has +taken effect in any large measure. + +Both of these elements of incipient disturbance in the dynastic economy, +the modern commercial and working classes, are creatures of the new era; +and they are systematically out of line with the received dynastic +tradition of fealty, both in respect of their pecuniary interests and in +respect of that discipline of experience to which their workday +employment subjects them. They are substantially the same two classes or +groupings that came forward in the modernisation of the British +community, with a gradual segregation of interest and a consequent +induced solidarity of class sentiment and class animosities. But with +the difference that in the British case the movement of changing +circumstances was slow enough to allow a fair degree of habituation to +the altered economic conditions; whereas in the German case the move +into modern economic conditions has been made so precipitately as to +have carried the mediaeval frame of mind over virtually intact into this +era of large business and machine industry. In the Fatherland the +commercial and industrial classes have been called on to play their part +without time to learn their lines. + +The case of the English-speaking peoples, who have gone over this course +of experience in more consecutive fashion than any others, teaches that +in the long run, if these modern economic conditions persist, one or the +other or both of these creatures of the modern era must prevail, and +must put the dynastic establishment out of commission; although the +sequel has not yet been seen in this British case, and there is no +ground afforded for inference as to which of the two will have the +fortune to survive and be invested with the hegemony. Meantime the +opportunity of the Imperial establishment to push its enterprise in +dominion lies in the interval of time so required for the discipline of +experience under modern conditions to work out through the growth of +modern habits of thought into such modern (i.e. civilised) institutional +forms and such settled principles of personal insubordination as will +put any effectual dynastic establishment out of commission. The same +interval of time, that must so be allowed for the decay of the dynastic +spirit among the German people under the discipline of life by the +methods of modern trade and industry, marks the period during which no +peace compact will be practicable, except with the elimination of the +Imperial establishment as a possible warlike power. All this, of +course, applies to the case of Japan as well, with the difference that +while the Japanese people are farther in arrears, they are also a +smaller, less formidable body, more exposed to outside forces, and their +mediaevalism is of a more archaic and therefore more precarious type. + +What length of time will be required for this decay of the dynastic +spirit among the people of the Empire is, of course, impossible to say. +The factors of the case are not of a character to admit anything like +calculation of the rate of movement; but in the nature of the factors +involved it is also contained that something of a movement in this +direction is unavoidable, under Providence. As a preliminary +consideration, these peoples of the Empire and its allies, as well as +their enemies in the great war, will necessarily come out of their +warlike experience in a more patriotic and more vindictive frame of mind +than that in which they entered on this adventure. Fighting makes for +malevolence. The war is itself to be counted as a set-back. A very large +proportion of those who have lived through it will necessarily carry a +warlike bent through life. By that much, whatever it may count for, the +decay of the dynastic spirit--or the growth of tolerance and equity in +national sentiment, if one chooses to put it that way--will be retarded +from beforehand. So also the Imperial establishment, or whatever is left +of it, may be counted on to do everything in its power to preserve the +popular spirit of loyalty and national animosity, by all means at its +disposal; since the Imperial establishment finally rests on the +effectual body of national animosity. What hindrance will come in from +this agency of retardation can at least vaguely be guessed at, in the +light of what has been accomplished in that way under the strenuously +reactionary rule of the present reign. + +Again, there is the chance, as there always is a chance of human folly, +that the neighboring peoples will undertake, whether jointly or +severally, to restrict or prohibit trade relations between the people of +the Empire and their enemies in the present war; thereby fomenting +international animosity, as well as contributing directly to the +economic readiness for war both on their own part and on that of the +Empire. This is also, and in an eminent degree, an unknown factor in the +case, on which not even a reasonable guess can be made beforehand. These +are, all and several, reactionary agencies, factors of retardation, +making for continuation of the current international situation of +animosity, distrust, chicane, trade rivalry, competitive armament, and +eventual warlike enterprise. + + * * * * * + +To offset these agencies of conservatism there is nothing much that can +be counted on but that slow, random, and essentially insidious working +of habituation that tends to the obsolescence of the received +preconceptions; partly by supplanting them with something new, but more +effectually by their falling into disuse and decay. There is, it will +have to be admitted, little of a positive character that can be done +toward the installation of a régime of peace and good-will. The +endeavours of the pacifists should suffice to convince any dispassionate +observer of the substantial futility of creative efforts looking to such +an end. Much can doubtless be done in the way of precautionary measures, +mostly of a negative character, in the way especially of removing +sources of infection and (possibly) of so sterilising the apparatus of +national life that its working shall neither maintain animosities and +interests at variance with the conditions of peace nor contribute to +their spread and growth. + +There is necessarily little hope or prospect that any national +establishment will contribute materially or in any direct way to the +obsolescence of warlike sentiments and ambitions; since such +establishments are designed for the making of war by keeping national +jealousies intact, and their accepted place in affairs is that of +preparation for eventual hostilities, defensive or offensive. Except for +the contingency of eventual hostilities, no national establishment could +be kept in countenance. They would all fall into the decay of desuetude, +just as has happened to the dynastic establishments among those peoples +who have (passably) lost the spirit of dynastic aggression. + +The modern industrial occupations, the modern technology, and that +modern empirical science that runs so close to the frontiers of +technology, all work at cross purposes with the received preconceptions +of the nationalist order; and in a more pronounced degree they are at +cross purposes with that dynastic order of preconceptions that converges +on Imperial dominion. The like is true, with a difference, of the ways, +means and routine of business enterprise as it is conducted in the +commercialised communities of today. The working of these agencies runs +to this effect not by way of deliberate and destructive antagonism, but +almost wholly by force of systematic, though unintended and incidental, +neglect of those values, standards, verities, and grounds of +discrimination and conviction that make up the working realities of the +national spirit and of dynastic ambition. The working concepts of this +new, essentially mechanistic, order of human interests, do not +necessarily clash with those of the old order, essentially the order of +personages and personalities; the two are incommensurable, and they are +incompatible only in the sense and degree implied in that state of the +case. The profoundest and most meritorious truths of dynastic politics +can on no provocation and by no sleight of hand be brought within the +logic of that system of knowledge and appraisal of values by which the +mechanistic technology proceeds. Within the premises of this modern +mechanistic industry and science all the best values and verities of the +dynastic order are simply "incompetent, irrelevant and impertinent." + +There is accordingly no unavoidable clash and no necessary friction +between the two schemes of knowledge or the two habits of mind that +characterise the two contrasted cultural eras. It is only that a given +individual--call him the common man--will not be occupied with both of +these incommensurable systems of logic and appreciation at the same time +or bearing on the same point; and further that in proportion as his +waking hours and his mental energy are fully occupied within the lines +of one of these systems of knowledge, design and employment, in much the +same measure he will necessarily neglect the other, and in time he will +lose proficiency and interest in its pursuits and its conclusions. The +man who is so held by his daily employment and his life-long attention +within the range of habits of thought that are valid in the mechanistic +technology, will, on an average and in the long run, lose his grip on +the spiritual virtues of national prestige and dynastic primacy; "for +they are foolishness unto him; neither can he know them, because they +are spiritually discerned." + +Not that the adepts in this modern mechanistic system of knowledge and +design may not also be very good patriots and devoted servants of the +dynasty. The artless and, on the whole, spontaneous riot of dynastic +avidity displayed to the astonished eyes of their fellow craftsmen in +the neutral countries by the most eminent scientists of the Fatherland +during the early months of the war should be sufficient warning that the +archaic preconceptions do not hurriedly fly out of the window when the +habits of thought of the mechanistic order come in at the door. But with +the passage of time, pervasively, by imperceptible displacement, by the +decay of habitual disuse, as well as by habitual occupation with these +other and unrelated ways and means of knowledge and belief, dynastic +loyalty and the like conceptions in the realm of religion and magic pass +out of the field of attention and fall insensibly into the category of +the lost arts. Particularly will this be true of the common man, who +lives, somewhat characteristically, in the mass and in the present, and +whose waking hours are somewhat fully occupied with what he has to do. + +With the commercial interests the Imperial establishment can probably +make such terms as to induce their support of the dynastic enterprise, +since they can apparently always be made to believe that an extension of +the Imperial dominion will bring correspondingly increased opportunities +of trade. It is doubtless a mistake, but it is commonly believed by the +interested parties, which is just as good for the purpose as if it were +true. And it should be added that in this, as in other instances of the +quest of larger markets, the costs are to be paid by someone else than +the presumed commercial beneficiaries; which brings the matter under the +dearest principle known to businessmen: that of getting something for +nothing. It will not be equally easy to keep the affections of the +common man loyal to the dynastic enterprise when he begins to lose his +grip on the archaic faith in dynastic dominion and comes to realise that +he has also--individually and in the mass--no material interest even in +the defense of the Fatherland, much less in the further extension of +Imperial rule. + +But the time when this process of disillusionment and decay of ideals +shall have gone far enough among the common run to afford no secure +footing in popular sentiment for the contemplated Imperial +enterprise,--this time is doubtless far in the future, as compared with +the interval of preparation required for a new onset. Habituation takes +time, particularly such habituation as can be counted on to derange the +habitual bent of a great population in respect of their dearest +preconceptions. It will take a very appreciable space of time even in +the case of a populace so accessible to new habits of thought as the +German people are by virtue of their slight percentage of illiteracy, +the very large proportion engaged in those modern industries that +constantly require some intelligent insight into mechanistic facts, the +density of population and the adequate means of communication, and the +extent to which the whole population is caught in the web of +mechanically standardised processes that condition their daily life at +every turn. As regards their technological situation, and their exposure +to the discipline of industrial life, no other population of nearly the +same volume is placed in a position so conducive to a rapid acquirement +of the spirit of the modern era. But, also, no other people comparable +with the population of the Fatherland has so large and well-knit a body +of archaic preconceptions to unlearn. Their nearest analogue, of course, +is the Japanese nation. + +In all this there is, of course, no inclination to cast a slur on the +German people. In point of racial characteristics there is no difference +between them and their neighbours. And there is no reason to question +their good intentions. Indeed, it may safely be asserted that no people +is more consciously well-meaning than the children of the Fatherland. It +is only that, with their archaic preconceptions of what is right and +meritorious, their best intentions spell malevolence when projected into +the civilised world as it stands today. And by no fault of theirs. Nor +is it meant to be intimated that their rate of approach to the accepted +Occidental standard of institutional maturity will be unduly slow or +unduly reluctant, so soon as the pertinent facts of modern life begin +effectively to shape their habits of thought. It is only that, human +nature--and human second nature--being what it always has been, the rate +of approach of the German people to a passably neutral complexion in +matters of international animosity and aggression must necessarily be +slow enough to allow ample time for the renewed preparation of a more +unsparing and redoubtable endeavour on the part of the Imperial +establishment. + +What makes this German Imperial establishment redoubtable, beyond +comparison, is the very simple but also very grave combination of +circumstances whereby the German people have acquired the use of the +modern industrial arts in the highest state of efficiency, at the same +time that they have retained unabated the fanatical loyalty of feudal +barbarism.[9] So long, and in so far, as this conjunction of forces +holds there is no outlook for peace except on the elimination of +Germany as a power capable of disturbing the peace. + +[Footnote 9: For an extended discussion of this point, see _Imperial +Germany and the Industrial Revolution_, especially ch. v. and vi.] + +It may seem invidious to speak so recurrently of the German Imperial +establishment as the sole potential disturber of the peace in Europe. +The reason for so singling out the Empire for this invidious +distinction--of merit or demerit, as one may incline to take it--is that +the facts run that way. There is, of course, other human material, and +no small volume of it in the aggregate, that is of much the same +character, and serviceable for the same purposes as the resources and +man-power of the Empire. But this other material can come effectually +into bearing as a means of disturbance only in so far as it clusters +about the Imperial dynasty and marches under his banners. In so speaking +of the Imperial establishment as the sole enemy of a European peace, +therefore, these outlying others are taken for granted, very much as one +takes the nimbus for granted in speaking of one of the greater saints of +God. + + * * * * * + +So the argument returns to the alternative: Peace by unconditional +surrender and submission, or peace by elimination of Imperial Germany +(and Japan). There is no middle course apparent. The old-fashioned--that +is to say nineteenth-century--plan of competitive defensive armament and +a balance of powers has been tried, and it has not proved to be a +success, even so early in the twentieth century. This plan offers a +substitute (_Ersatz_) for peace; but even as such it has become +impracticable. The modern, or rather the current late-modern, state of +the industrial arts does not tolerate it. Technological knowledge has +thrown the advantage in military affairs definitively to the offensive, +particularly to the offensive that is prepared beforehand with the +suitable appliances and with men ready matured in that rigorous and +protracted training by which alone they can become competent to make +warlike use of these suitable appliances provided by the modern +technology. At the same time, and by grace of the same advance in +technology, any well-designed offensive can effectually reach any given +community, in spite of distance or of other natural obstacles. The era +of defensive armaments and diplomatic equilibration, as a substitute for +peace, has been definitively closed by the modern state of the +industrial arts. + +Of the two alternatives spoken of above, the former--peace by submission +under an alien dynasty--is presumably not a practicable solution, as has +appeared in the course of the foregoing argument. + +The modern nations are not spiritually ripe for it. Whether they have +reached even that stage of national sobriety, or neutrality, that would +enable them to live at peace among themselves after elimination of the +Imperial Powers is still open to an uneasy doubt. It would be by a +precarious margin that they can be counted on so to keep the peace in +the absence of provocation from without the pale. Their predilection for +peace goes to no greater lengths than is implied in the formula: Peace +with Honour; which assuredly does not cover a peace of non-resistance, +and which, in effect, leaves the distinction between an offensive and a +defensive war somewhat at loose ends. The national prestige is still a +live asset in the mind of these peoples; and the limit of tolerance in +respect of this patriotic animosity appears to be drawn appreciably +closer than the formula cited above would necessarily presume. They will +fight on provocation, and the degree of provocation required to upset +the serenity of these sportsmanlike modern peoples is a point on which +the shrewdest guesses may diverge. Still, opinion runs more and more +consistently to the effect that if these modern--say the French and the +English-speaking--peoples were left to their own devices the peace might +fairly be counted on to be kept between them indefinitely, barring +unforeseen contingencies. + +Experience teaches that warlike enterprise on a moderate scale and as a +side interest is by no means incompatible with such a degree of neutral +animus as these peoples have yet acquired,--e.g., the Spanish-American +war, which was made in America, or the Boer war, which was made in +England. But these wars, in spite of the dimensions which they presently +took on, were after all of the nature of episodes,--the one chiefly an +extension of sportsmanship, which engaged the best attention of only the +more sportsmanlike elements, the other chiefly engineered by certain +business interests with a callous view to getting something for nothing. +Both episodes came to be serious enough, both in their immediate +incidence and in their consequences; but neither commanded the +deliberate and cordial support of the community at large. There is a +meretricious air over both; and there is apparent a popular inclination +to condone rather than to take pride in these _faits accomplis_. The one +excursion was a product of sportsmanlike bravado, fed on boyish +exuberance, fomented for mercenary objects by certain business interests +and place-hunting politicians, and incited by meretricious newspapers +with a view to increase their circulation. The other was set afoot by +interested businessmen, backed by politicians, seconded by newspapers, +and borne by the community at large, in great part under +misapprehension and stung by wounded pride. + +Opinions will diverge widely as to the chances of peace in a community +of nations among whom episodes of this character, and of such +dimensions, have been somewhat more than tolerated in the immediate +past. But the consensus of opinion in these same countries appears to be +setting with fair consistency to the persuasion that the popular spirit +shown in these and in analogous conjunctures in the recent past gives +warrant that peace is deliberately desired and is likely to be +maintained, barring unforeseen contingencies. + + * * * * * + +In the large, the measures conducive to the perpetuation of peace, and +necessary to be taken, are simple and obvious; and they are largely of a +negative character, exploits of omission and neglect. Under modern +conditions, and barring aggression from without, the peace is kept by +avoiding the breaking of it. It does not break of itself,--in the +absence of such national establishments as are organised with the sole +ulterior view of warlike enterprise. A policy of peace is obviously a +policy of avoidance,--avoidance of offense and of occasion for +annoyance. + +What is required to insure the maintenance of peace among pacific +nations is the neutralisation of all those human relations out of which +international grievances are wont to arise. And what is necessary to +assure a reasonable expectation of continued peace is the neutralisation +of so much of these relations as the patriotic self-conceit and +credulity of these peoples will permit. These two formulations are by no +means identical; indeed, the disparity between what could advantageously +be dispensed with in the way of national rights and pretensions, and +what the common run of modern patriots could be induced to relinquish, +is probably much larger than any sanguine person would like to believe. +It should be plain on slight reflection that the greater part, indeed +substantially the whole, of those material interests and demands that +now engage the policy of the nations, and that serve on occasion to set +them at variance, might be neutralised or relinquished out of hand, +without detriment to any one of the peoples concerned. + +The greater part of these material interests over which the various +national establishments keep watch and hold pretensions are, in point of +historical derivation, a legacy from the princely politics of what is +called the "Mercantilist" period; and they are uniformly of the nature +of gratuitous interference or discrimination between the citizens of the +given nation and outsiders. Except (doubtfully) in the English case, +where mercantilist policies are commonly believed to have been adopted +directly for the benefit of the commercial interest, measures of this +nature are uniformly traceable to the endeavours of the crown and its +officers to strengthen the finances of the prince and give him an +advantage in warlike enterprise. They are kept up essentially for the +same eventual end of preparation for war. So, e.g., protective tariffs, +and the like discrimination in shipping, are still advocated as a means +of making the nation self-supporting, self-contained, self-sufficient; +with a view to readiness in the event of hostilities. + +A nation is in no degree better off in time of peace for being +self-sufficient. In point of patent fact no nation can be industrially +self-sufficient except at the cost of foregoing some of the economic +advantages of that specialisation of industry which the modern state of +the industrial arts enforces. In time of peace there is no benefit +comes to the community at large from such restraint of trade with the +outside world, or to any class or section of the community except those +commercial concerns that are favored by the discrimination; and these +invariably gain their special advantage at the cost of their +compatriots. Discrimination in trade--export, import or shipping--has no +more beneficial effect when carried out publicly by the national +authorities than when effected surreptitiously and illegally by a +private conspiracy in restraint of trade within a group of interested +business concerns. + +Hitherto the common man has found it difficult to divest himself of an +habitual delusion on this head, handed down out of the past and +inculcated by interested politicians, to the effect that in some +mysterious way he stands to gain by limiting his own opportunities. But +the neutralisation of international trade, or the abrogation of all +discrimination in trade, is the beginning of wisdom as touches the +perpetuation of peace. The first effect of such a neutral policy would +be wider and more intricately interlocking trade relations, coupled with +a further specialisation and mutual dependence of industry between the +several countries concerned; which would mean, in terms of international +comity, a lessened readiness for warlike operations all around. + +It used to be an argument of the free-traders that the growth of +international commercial relations under a free-trade policy would +greatly conduce to a spirit of mutual understanding and forbearance +between the nations. There may or may not be something appreciable in +the contention; it has been doubted, and there is no considerable +evidence to be had in support of it. But what is more to the point is +the tangible fact that such specialisation of industry and consequent +industrial interdependence would leave all parties to this relation less +capable, materially and spiritually, to break off amicable relations. So +again, in time of peace and except with a view to eventual hostilities, +it would involve no loss, and presumably little pecuniary gain, to any +country, locality, town or class, if all merchant shipping were +registered indiscriminately under neutral colors and sailed under the +neutral no-man's flag, responsible indiscriminately to the courts where +they touched or where their business was transacted. + +Neither producers, shippers, merchants nor consumers have any slightest +interest in the national allegiance of the carriers of their freight, +except such as may artificially be induced by discriminatory shipping +regulations. In all but the name--in time of peace--the world's merchant +shipping already comes near being so neutralised, and the slight further +simplification required to leave it on a neutral peace footing would be +little else than a neglect of such vexatious discrimination as is still +in force. If no nation could claim the allegiance, and therefore the +usufruct, of any given item of merchant shipping in case of eventual +hostilities, on account of the domicile of the owners or the port of +registry, that would create a further handicap on eventual warlike +enterprise and add so much to the margin of tolerance. At the same time, +in the event of hostilities, shipping sailing under the neutral no-man's +flag and subject to no national allegiance would enjoy such immunities +as still inure to neutral shipping. It is true, neutrality has not +carried many immunities lately. + +Cumulatively effective usage and the exigencies of a large, varied, +shifting and extensive maritime trade have in the course of time +brought merchant shipping to something approaching a neutral footing. +For most, one might venture to say for virtually all, routine purposes +of business and legal liability the merchant shipping comes under the +jurisdiction of the local courts, without reservation. It is true, there +still are formalities and reservations which enable questions arising +out of incidents in the shipping trade to become subject of +international conference and adjustment, but they are after all not such +as would warrant the erection of national apparatus to take care of them +in case they were not already covered by usage to that effect. The +visible drift of usage toward neutralisation in merchant shipping, in +maritime trade, and in international commercial transactions, together +with the similarly visible feasibility of a closer approach to +unreserved neutralisation of this whole range of traffic, suggests that +much the same line of considerations should apply as regards the +personal and pecuniary rights of citizens traveling or residing abroad. +The extreme,--or, as seen from the present point of view, the +ultimate--term in the relinquishment of national pretensions along this +line would of course be the neutralisation of citizenship. + +This is not so sweeping a move as a patriotically-minded person might +imagine on the first alarm, so far as touches the practical status of +the ordinary citizen in his ordinary relations, and particularly among +the English-speaking peoples. As an illustrative instance, citizenship +has sat somewhat lightly on the denizens of the American republic, and +with no evident damage to the community at large or to the inhabitants +in detail. Naturalisation has been easy, and has been sought with no +more eagerness, on the whole, than the notably low terms of its +acquirement would indicate. Without loss or discomfort many law-abiding +aliens have settled in this country and spent the greater part of a +life-time under its laws without becoming citizens, and no one the worse +or the wiser for it. Not infrequently the decisive inducement to +naturalisation on the part of immigrant aliens has been, and is, the +desirability of divesting themselves of their rights of citizenship in +the country of their origin. Not that the privilege and dignity of +citizenship, in this or in any other country, is to be held of little +account. It is rather that under modern civilised conditions, and among +a people governed by sentiments of humanity and equity, the stranger +within our gates suffers no obloquy and no despiteful usage for being a +stranger. It may be admitted that of late, with the fomentation of a +more accentuated nationalism by politicians seeking a _raison d'ętre_, +additional difficulties have been created in the way of naturalisation +and the like incidents. Still, when all is told of the average American +citizen, _qua_ citizen, there is not much to tell. The like is true +throughout the English-speaking peoples, with inconsequential allowance +for local color. A definitive neutralisation of citizenship within the +range of these English-speaking countries would scarcely ripple the +surface of things as they are--in time of peace. + +All of which has not touched the sore and sacred spot in the received +scheme of citizenship and its rights and liabilities. It is in the event +of hostilities that the liabilities of the citizen at home come into the +foreground, and it is as a source of patriotic grievance looking to +warlike retaliation that the rights of the citizen abroad chiefly come +into the case. + +If, as was once, almost inaudibly, hinted by a well-regarded statesman, +the national establishment should refuse to jeopardise the public peace +for the safeguarding of the person and property of citizens who go out +_in partes infidelium_ on their own private concerns, and should so +leave them under the uncurbed jurisdiction of the authorities in those +countries into which they have intruded, the result might in many cases +be hardship to such individuals. This would, of course, be true almost +exclusively of such instances only as occur in such localities as are, +temporarily or permanently, outside the pale of modern law and order. +And, it may be in place to remark, instances of such hardship, with the +accompanying hazard of national complications, would, no doubt, greatly +diminish in frequency consequent upon the promulgation of such a +disclaimer of national responsibility for the continued well-being of +citizens who so expatriate themselves in the pursuit of their own +advantage or amusement. Meantime, let it not seem inconsiderate to +recall that to the community at large the deplorable case of such +expatriates under hardship involves no loss or gain in the material +respect; and that, except for the fortuitous circumstance of his being a +compatriot, the given individual's personal or pecuniary fortune in +foreign parts has no special claim on his compatriots' sympathy or +assistance; from which it follows also that with the definitive +neutralisation of citizenship as touches expatriates, the sympathy which +is now somewhat unintelligently confined to such cases, on what may +without offense be called extraneous grounds, would somewhat more +impartially and humanely extend to fellowmen in distress, regardless of +nativity or naturalisation. + +What is mainly to the point here, however, is the fact that if +citizenship were so neutralised within the range of neutral countries +here contemplated, one further source of provocation to international +jealousy and distrust would drop out of the situation. And it is not +easy to detect any element of material loss involved in such a move. In +the material respect no individual would be any the worse off, with the +doubtful and dubious exception of the expatriate fortune-hunter, who +aims to fish safely in troubled waters at his compatriots' expense. But +the case stands otherwise as regards the balance of immaterial assets. +The scaffolding of much highly-prized sentiment would collapse, and the +world of poetry and pageantry--particularly that of the tawdrier and +more vendible poetry and pageantry--would be poorer by so much. The Man +Without a Country would lose his pathetic appeal, or would at any rate +lose much of it. It may be, of course, that in the sequel there would +result no net loss even in respect of these immaterial assets of +sentimental animation and patriotic self-complacency, but it is after +all fairly certain that something would be lost, and it is by no means +clear what if anything would come in to fill its place. + +An historical parallel may help to illustrate the point. In the movement +out of what may be called the royal age of dynasties and chivalric +service, those peoples who have moved out of that age and out of its +spiritual atmosphere have lost much of the conscious magnanimity and +conviction of merit that once characterised that order of things, as it +still continues to characterise the prevalent habit of mind in the +countries that still continue under the archaic order of dynastic +mastery and service. But it is also to be noted that these peoples who +so have moved out of the archaic order appear to be well content with +this change of spiritual atmosphere, and they are even fairly well +persuaded, in the common run, that the move has brought them some net +gain in the way of human dignity and neighbourly tolerance, such as to +offset any loss incurred on the heroic and invidious side of life. Such +is the tempering force of habit. Whereas, e.g., on the other hand, the +peoples of these surviving dynastic States, to which it is necessary +continually to recur, who have not yet moved out of that realm of +heroics, find themselves unable to see anything in such a prospective +shift but net loss and headlong decay of the spirit; that modicum of +forbearance and equity that is requisite to the conduct of life in a +community of ungraded masterless men is seen by these stouter stomachs +as a loosening of the moral fiber and a loss of nerve. + + * * * * * + +What is here tentatively projected under the phrase, "neutralization of +citizenship," is only something a little more and farther along the same +general line of movement which these more modern peoples have been +following in all that sequence of institutional changes that has given +them their present distinctive character of commonwealths, as contrasted +with the dynastic States of the mediaeval order. What may be in +prospect--if such a further move away from the mediaeval landmarks is to +take effect--may best be seen in the light of the later moves in the +same direction hitherto, more particularly as regards the moral and +aesthetic merits at large of such an institutional mutation. As touches +this last previous shifting of ground along this line, just spoken of, +the case stands in this singular but significant posture, in respect of +the spiritual values and valuations involved: These peoples who have, +even in a doubtful measure, made this transition from the archaic +institutional scheme, of fealty and dynastic exploit and coercion, to +the newer scheme of the ungraded commonwealth, are convinced, to the +point of martyrdom, that anything like a return to the old order is +morally impossible as well as insufferably shameful and irksome; whereas +those people, of the retarded division of the race, who have had no +experience of this new order, are equally convinced that it is all quite +incompatible with a worthy life. + +Evidently, there should be no disputing about tastes. Evidently, too, +these retarded others will not move on into the later institutional +phase, of the ungraded commonwealth, by preconceived choice; but only, +if at all, by such schooling of experience as will bring them insensibly +to that frame of mind out of which the ideal of the ungraded +commonwealth emerges by easy generalisation of workday practice. +Meantime, having not yet experienced that phase of sentiment and opinion +on civic rights and immunities that is now occupied by their +institutionally maturer neighbours, the subjects of the Imperial +Fatherland, e.g., in spite of the most laudable intentions and the best +endeavour, are, by failure of this experience, unable to comprehend +either the ground of opposition to their well-meaning projects of +dominion or the futility of trying to convert these their elder brothers +to their own prescriptive acceptation of what is worth while. In time, +and with experience, this retarded division of Christendom may come to +the same perspective on matters of national usage and ideals as has been +enforced on the more modern peoples by farther habituation. So, also, in +time and with experience, if the drift of circumstance shall turn out to +set that way, the further move away from mediaeval discriminations and +constraint and into the unspectacular scheme of neutralisation may come +to seem as right, good and beautiful as the democratic commonwealth now +seems to the English-speaking peoples, or as the Hohenzollern Imperial +State now seems to the subjects of the Fatherland. There is, in effect, +no disputing about tastes. + +There is little that is novel, and nothing that is to be rated as +constructive innovation, in this sketch of what might not inaptly be +called peace by neglect. The legal mind, which commonly takes the +initiative in counsels on what to do, should scarcely be expected to +look in that direction for a way out, or to see its way out in that +direction in any case; so that it need occasion no surprise if the many +current projects of pacification turn on ingenious and elaborate +provisions of apparatus and procedure, rather than on that simpler line +of expedients which the drift of circumstance, being not possessed of a +legal mind, has employed in the sequence of institutional change +hitherto. The legal mind that dominates in the current deliberations on +peace is at home in exhaustive specifications and meticulous +demarkations, and it is therefore prone to seek a remedy for the burden +of supernumerary devices by recourse to further excesses of regulation. + +This trait of the legal mind is not a bad fault at the worst, and the +quality in which this defect inheres is of the greatest moment in any +project of constructive engineering on the legal and political plane. +But it is less to the purpose, indeed it is at cross purposes, in such a +conjuncture as the present; when the nations are held up in their quest +of peace chiefly by an accumulation of institutional apparatus that has +out-stayed its usefulness. It is the fortune even of good institutions +to become imbecile with the change of conditioning circumstances, and it +then becomes a question of their disestablishment, not of their +rehabilitation. If there is anywhere a safe negative conclusion, it is +that an institution grown mischievous by obsolescence need not be +replaced by a substitute. + +Instances of such mischievous institutional arrangements, obsolete or in +process of obsolescence, would be, e.g., the French monarchy of the +ancient régime, the Spanish Inquisition, the British corn laws and the +"rotten boroughs," the Barbary pirates, the Turkish rule in Armenia, the +British crown, the German Imperial Dynasty, the European balance of +powers, the Monroe Doctrine. In some sense, at least in the sense and +degree implied in their selective survival, these various articles of +institutional furniture, and many like them, have once presumably been +suitable to some end, in the days of their origin and vigorous growth; +and they have at least in some passable fashion met some felt want; but +if they ever had a place and use in the human economy they have in time +grown imbecile and mischievous by force of changing circumstances, and +the question is not how to replace them with something else to the same +purpose after their purpose is outworn. A man who loses a wart off the +end of his nose does not apply to the _Ersatz_ bureau for a convenient +substitute. + +Now, a large proportion, perhaps even substantially the whole, of the +existing apparatus of international rights, pretensions, +discriminations, covenants and provisos, visibly fall in that class, in +so far as concerns their material serviceability to the nation at large, +and particularly as regards any other than a warlike purpose, offensive +or defensive. Of course, the national dignity and diplomatic punctilio, +and the like adjuncts and instrumentalities of the national honour, all +have their prestige value; and they are not likely to be given up out of +hand. In point of fact, however solicitous for a lasting peace these +patriotically-minded modern peoples may be, it is doubtful if they could +be persuaded to give up any appreciable share of these appurtenances of +national jealousy even when their retention implies an imminent breach +of the peace. Yet it is plain that the peace will be secure in direct +proportion to the measure in which national discrimination and prestige +are allowed to pass into nothingness and be forgot. + + * * * * * + +By so much as it might amount to, such neutralisation of outstanding +interests between these pacific nations should bring on a degree of +coalescence of these nationalities. In effect, they are now held apart +in many respects by measures of precaution against their coming to a +common plan of use and wont. The degree of coalescence would scarcely be +extreme; more particularly it could not well become onerous, since it +would rest on convenience, inclination and the neglect of artificial +discrepancies. The more intimate institutions of modern life, that +govern human conduct locally and in detail, need not be affected, or not +greatly affected, for better or worse. Yet something appreciable in that +way might also fairly be looked for in time. + +The nature, reach and prescriptive force of this prospective coalescence +through neutralisation may perhaps best be appreciated in the light of +what has already come to pass, without design or mandatory guidance, in +those lines of human interest where the national frontiers interpose no +bar, or at least no decisive bar, whether by force of unconcern or +through impotence. Fashions of dress, equipage and decorous usage, e.g., +run with some uniformity throughout these modern nations, and indeed +with some degree of prescriptive force. There is, of course, nothing +mandatory, in the simpler sense, about all this; nor is the degree of +conformity extreme or uniform throughout. But it is a ready-made +generalisation that only those communities are incorporated in this +cosmopolitan coalescence of usage that are moved by their own +incitement, and only so far as they have an effectually felt need of +conformity in these premises. It is true, a dispassionate outsider, if +such there be, would perhaps be struck by the degree of such painstaking +conformity to canons of conduct which it frequently must cost serious +effort even to ascertain in such detail as the case calls for. +Doubtless, or at least presumably, conformity under the jurisdiction of +the fashions, and in related provinces of decorum, is obligatory in a +degree that need not be looked for throughout the scheme of use and wont +at large, even under the advisedly established non-interference of the +authorities. Still, on a point on which the evidence hitherto is +extremely scant it is the part of discretion to hold no settled opinion. + +A more promising line of suggestion is probably that afforded by the +current degree of contact and consistency among the modern nations in +respect of science and scholarship, as also in the aesthetic or the +industrial arts. Local color and local pride, with one thing and another +in the way of special incitement or inhibition, may come in to vary the +run of things, or to blur or hinder a common understanding and mutual +furtherance and copartnery in these matters of taste and intellect. Yet +it is scarcely misleading to speak of the peoples of Christendom as one +community in these respects. The sciences and the arts are held as a +joint stock among these peoples, in their elements, and measurably also +in their working-out. It is true, these interests and achievements of +the race are not cultivated with the same assiduity or with identical +effect throughout; but it is equally true that no effectual bar could +profitably be interposed, or would be tolerated in the long run in this +field, where men have had occasion to learn that unlimited collusion is +more to the purpose than a clannish discrimination. + + * * * * * + +It is, no doubt, beyond reasonable hope that these democratic peoples +could be brought forthwith to concerted action on the lines of such a +plan of peace by neutralisation of all outstanding national pretensions. +Both the French and the English-speaking peoples are too eagerly set on +national aims and national prestige, to allow such a plan to come to a +hearing, even if something of the kind should be spoken for by their +most trusted leaders. By settled habit they are thinking in terms of +nationality, and just now they are all under the handicap of an inflamed +national pride. Advocacy of such a plan, of course, does not enter +seriously into the purpose of this inquiry; which is concerned with the +conditions under which peace is sought today, with the further +conditions requisite to its perpetuation, and with the probable effects +of such a peace on the fortunes of these peoples in case peace is +established and effectually maintained. + +It is a reasonable question, and one to which a provisional answer may +be found, whether the drift of circumstances in the present and for the +immediate future may be counted on to set in the direction of a +progressive neutralisation of the character spoken of above, and +therefore possibly toward a perpetuation of that peace that is to follow +the present season of war. So also is it an open and interesting +question whether the drift in that direction, if such is the set of it, +can be counted on to prove sufficiently swift and massive, so as not to +be overtaken and overborne by the push of agencies that make for +dissension and warlike enterprise. + +Anything like a categorical answer to these questions would have to be a +work of vaticination or of effrontery,--possibly as much to the point +the one as the other. But there are certain conditions precedent to a +lasting peace as the outcome of events now in train, and there are +certain definable contingencies conditioned on such current facts as the +existing state of the industrial arts and the state of popular +sentiment, together with the conjuncture of circumstances under which +these factors will come into action. + +The state of the industrial arts, as it bears on the peace and its +violation, has been spoken of above. It is of such a character that a +judiciously prepared offensive launched by any Power of the first rank +at an opportune time can reach and lay waste any given country of the +habitable globe. The conclusive evidence of this is at hand, and it is +the major premise underlying all current proposals and projects of +peace, as well as the refusal of the nations now on the defensive to +enter into negotiations looking to an "inconclusive peace." This state +of the case is not commonly recognised in so many words, but it is well +enough understood. So that all peace projects that shall hope to find a +hearing must make up their account with it, and must show cause why they +should be judged competent to balk any attempted offensive. In an +inarticulate or inchoate fashion, perhaps, but none the less with +ever-increasing certitude and increasing apprehension, this state of the +case is also coming to be an article of popular "knowledge and belief," +wherever much or little thought is spent on the outlook for peace. It +has already had a visible effect in diminishing the exclusiveness of +nationalities and turning the attention of the pacific peoples to the +question of feasible ways and means of international cooperation in case +of need; but it has not hitherto visibly lessened the militant spirit +among these nations, nor has it lowered the tension of their national +pride, at least not yet; rather the contrary, in fact. + +The effect, upon the popular temper, of this inchoate realisation of the +fatality that so lies in the modern state of the industrial arts, varies +from one country to another, according to the varying position in which +they are placed, or in which they conceive themselves to be placed. +Among the belligerent nations it has put the spur of fear to their need +of concerted action as well as to their efforts to strengthen the +national defense. But the state of opinion and sentiment abroad in the +nation in time of war is no secure indication of what it will be after +the return to peace. The American people, the largest and most +immediately concerned of the neutral nations, should afford more +significant evidence of the changes in the popular attitude likely to +follow from a growing realisation of this state of the case, that the +advantage has passed definitively to any well prepared and resolute +offensive, and that no precautions of diplomacy and no practicable +measures of defensive armament will any longer give security,--provided +always that there is anywhere a national Power actuated by designs of +imperial dominion. + +It is, of course, only little by little that the American people and +their spokesmen have come to realise their own case under this +late-modern situation, and hitherto only in an imperfect degree. Their +first response to the stimulus has been a display of patriotic +self-sufficiency and a move to put the national defense on a +war-footing, such as would be competent to beat off all aggression. +Those elements of the population who least realise the gravity of the +situation, and who are at the same time commercially interested in +measures of armament or in military preferment, have not begun to shift +forward beyond this position of magniloquence and resolution; nor is +there as yet much intimation that they see beyond it, although there is +an ever-recurring hint that they in a degree appreciate the practical +difficulty of persuading a pacific people to make adequate preparation +beforehand, in equipment and trained man-power, for such a plan of +self-sufficient self-defense. But increasingly among those who are, by +force of temperament or insight or by lack of the pecuniary and the +placeman's interest, less confident of an appeal to the nation's +prowess, there is coming forward an evident persuasion that warlike +preparations--"preparedness"--alone and carried through by the Republic +in isolation, will scarcely serve the turn. + +There are at least two lines of argument, or of persuasion, running to +the support of such a view; readiness for a warlike defense, by +providing equipment and trained men, might prove a doubtfully effectual +measure even when carried to the limit of tolerance that will always be +reached presently in any democratic country; and then, too, there is +hope of avoiding the necessity of such warlike preparation, at least in +the same extreme degree, by means of some practicable working +arrangement to be effected with other nations who are in the same case. +Hitherto the farthest reach of these pacific schemes for maintaining the +peace, or for the common defense, has taken the shape of a projected +league of neutral nations to keep the peace by enforcement of specified +international police regulations or by compulsory arbitration of +international disputes. It is extremely doubtful how far, if at all, +popular sentiment of any effectual force falls in with this line of +precautionary measures. Yet it is evident that popular sentiment, and +popular apprehension, has been stirred profoundly by the events of the +past two years, and the resulting change that is already visible in the +prevailing sentiment as regards the national defense would argue that +more far-reaching changes in the same connection are fairly to be looked +for within a reasonable allowance of time. + +In this American case the balance of effectual public opinion hitherto +is to all appearance quite in doubt, but it is also quite unsettled. The +first response has been a display of patriotic emotion and national +self-assertion. The further, later and presumably more deliberate, +expressions of opinion carry a more obvious note of apprehension and +less of stubborn or unreflecting national pride. It may be too early to +anticipate a material shift of base, to a more neutral, or less +exclusively national footing in matters of the common defense. + +The national administration has been moving at an accelerated rate in +the direction not of national isolation and self-reliance resting on a +warlike equipment formidable enough to make or break the peace at +will--such as the more truculent and irresponsible among the politicians +have spoken for--but rather in the direction of moderating or curtailing +all national pretensions that are not of undoubted material consequence, +and of seeking a common understanding and concerted action with those +nationalities whose effectual interests in the matters of peace and war +coincide with the American. The administration has grown visibly more +pacific in the course of its exacting experience,--more resolutely, one +might even say more aggressively pacific; but the point of chief +attention in all this strategy of peace has also visibly been shifting +somewhat from the maintenance of a running equilibrium between +belligerents and a keeping of the peace from day to day, to the ulterior +and altogether different question of what is best to be done toward a +conclusive peace at the close of hostilities, and the ways and means of +its subsequent perpetuation. + +This latter is, in effect, an altogether different question from that of +preserving neutrality and amicable relations in the midst of importunate +belligerents, and it may even, conceivably, perhaps not unlikely, come +to involve a precautionary breach of the current peace and a taking of +sides in the war with an urgent view to a conclusive outcome. It would +be going too far to impute to the administration, at the present stage, +such an aggressive attitude in its pursuit of a lasting peace as could +be called a policy of defensive offense; but it will shock no one's +sensibilities to say that such a policy, involving a taking of sides and +a renouncing of national isolation, is visibly less remote from the +counsels of the administration today than it has been at any earlier +period. + +In this pacific attitude, increasingly urgent and increasingly +far-reaching and apprehensive, the administration appears to be speaking +for the common man rather than for the special interests or the +privileged classes. Such would appear, on the face of the returns, to be +the meaning of the late election. It is all the more significant on that +account, since in the long run it is after all the common man that will +have to pass on the expediency of any settled line of policy and to bear +the material burden of carrying it into effect. + +It may seem rash to presume that a popularly accredited administration +in a democratic country must approximately reflect the effectual changes +of popular sentiment and desire. Especially would it seem rash to anyone +looking on from the point of view of an undemocratic nation, and +therefore prone to see the surface fluctuations of excitement and +shifting clamor. But those who are within the democratic pale will know +that any administration in such a country, where official tenure and +continued incumbency of the party rest on a popular vote,--any such +administration is a political organisation and is guided by political +expediency, in the tawdry sense of the phrase. Such a political +situation has the defects of its qualities, as has been well and +frequently expounded by its critics, but it has also the merits of its +shortcomings. In a democracy of this modern order any incumbent of high +office is necessarily something of a politician, quite indispensably so; +and a politician at the same time necessarily is something of a +demagogue. He yields to the popular drift, or to the set of opinion and +demands among the effective majority on whom he leans; and he can not +even appear to lead, though he may surreptitiously lead opinion in +adroitly seeming to reflect it and obey it. Ostensible leadership, such +as has been staged in this country from time to time, has turned out to +be ostensible only. The politician must be adroit; but if he is also to +be a statesman he must be something more. He is under the necessity of +guessing accurately what the drift of events and opinion is going to be +on the next reach ahead; and in taking coming events by the forelock he +may be able to guide and shape the drift of opinion and sentiment +somewhat to his own liking. But all the while he must keep within the +lines of the long-term set of the current as it works out in the habits +of thought of the common man. + +Such foresight and flexibility is necessary to continued survival, but +flexibility of convictions alone does not meet the requirements. Indeed, +it has been tried. It is only the minor politicians--the most numerous +and long-lived, it is true--who can hold their place in the crevices of +the party organisation, and get their livelihood from the business of +party politics, without some power of vision and some hazard of +forecast. It results from this state of the case that the drift of +popular sentiment and the popular response to the stimulus of current +events is reflected more faithfully and more promptly by the short-lived +administrations of a democracy than by the stable and formally +irresponsible governmental establishments of the older order. It should +also be noted that these democratic administrations are in a less +advantageous position for the purpose of guiding popular sentiment and +shaping it to their own ends. + + * * * * * + +Now, it happens that at no period within the past half-century has the +course of events moved with such celerity or with so grave a bearing on +the common good and the prospective contingencies of national life as +during the present administration. This apparent congruity of the +administration's policy with the drift of popular feeling and belief +will incline anyone to put a high rating on the administration's course +of conduct, in international relations as well as in national measures +that have a bearing on international relations, as indicating the course +taken by sentiment and second thought in the community at large,--for, +in effect, whether or not in set form, the community at large reflects +on any matters of such gravity and urgency as to force themselves upon +the attention of the common man. + +Two main lines of reflection have visibly been enforced on the +administration by the course of events in the international field. There +has been a growing apprehension, mounting in the later months to +something like the rank of a settled conviction, that the Republic has +been marked down for reduction to a vassal state by the dynastic Empire +now engaged with its European adversaries. In so saying that the +Republic has been marked down for subjection it is not intended to +intimate that deliberate counsel has been had by the Imperial +establishment on that prospective enterprise; still less that a +resolution to such effect, with specification of ways and means, has +been embodied in documentary form and deposited for future reference in +the Imperial archives. All that is intended, and all that is necessary +to imply, is that events are in train to such effect that the +subjugation of the American republic will necessarily find its place in +the sequence presently, provided that the present Imperial adventure is +brought to a reasonably auspicious issue; though it does not follow that +this particular enterprise need be counted on as the next large +adventure in dominion to be undertaken when things again fall into +promising shape. This latter point would, of course, depend on the +conjuncture of circumstances, chief of which would have to be the +exigencies of imperial dominion shaping the policy of the Empire's +natural and necessary ally in the Far East. All this has evidently been +coming more and more urgently into the workday deliberations of the +American administration. Of course, it is not spoken of in set terms to +this effect in official utterances, perhaps not even within doors; that +sort of thing is not done. But it can do no harm to use downright +expressions in a scientific discussion of these phenomena, with a view +to understanding the current drift of things in this field. + +Beyond this is the similar apprehension, similarly though more slowly +and reluctantly rising to the level of settled conviction, that the +American commonwealth is not fit to take care of its own case +single-handed. This apprehension is enforced more and more unmistakably +with every month that passes on the theatre of war. And it is reenforced +by the constantly more obvious reflection that the case of the American +commonwealth in this matter is the same as that of the democratic +countries of Europe, and of the other European colonies. It is not, or +at least one may believe it is not yet, that in the patriotic +apprehension of the common man, or of the administration which speaks +for him, the resources of the country would be inadequate to meet any +contingencies of the kind that might arise, whether in respect of +industrial capacity or in point of man-power, if these resources were +turned to this object with the same singleness of purpose and the same +drastic procedure that marks the course of a national establishment +guided by no considerations short of imperial dominion. The doubt +presents itself rather as an apprehension that the cost would be +extravagantly high, in all respects in which cost can be counted; which +is presently seconded, on very slight reflection and review of +experience, by recognition of the fact that a democracy is, in point of +fact, not to be persuaded to stand under arms interminably in mere +readiness for a contingency, however distasteful the contingency may be. + +In point of fact, a democratic commonwealth is moved by other interests +in the main, and the common defense is a secondary consideration, not a +primary interest,--unless in the exceptional case of a commonwealth so +placed under the immediate threat of invasion as to have the common +defense forced into the place of paramount consequence in its workday +habits of thought. The American republic is not so placed. Anyone may +satisfy himself by reasonable second thought that the people of this +nation are not to be counted on to do their utmost in time of peace to +prepare for war. They may be persuaded to do much more than has been +their habit, and adventurous politicians may commit them to much more +than the people at large would wish to undertake, but when all is done +that can be counted on for a permanency, up to the limit of popular +tolerance, it would be a bold guess that should place the result at more +than one-half of what the country is capable of. Particularly would the +people's patience balk at the extensive military training requisite to +put the country in an adequate position of defense against a sudden and +well-prepared offensive. It is otherwise with a dynastic State, to the +directorate of which all other interests are necessarily secondary, +subsidiary, and mainly to be considered only in so far as they are +contributory to the nation's readiness for warlike enterprise. + +America at the same time is placed in an extra-hazardous position, +between the two seas beyond which to either side lie the two Imperial +Powers whose place in the modern economy of nations it is to disturb the +peace in an insatiable quest of dominion. This position is no longer +defensible in isolation, under the later state of the industrial arts, +and the policy of isolation that has guided the national policy hitherto +is therefore falling out of date. The question is as to the manner of +its renunciation, rather than the fact of it. It may end in a defensive +copartnership with other nations who are placed on the defensive by the +same threatening situation, or it may end in a bootless struggle for +independence, but the choice scarcely extends beyond this alternative. +It will be said, of course, that America is competent to take care of +itself and its Monroe doctrine in the future as in the past. But that +view, spoken for cogently by thoughtful men and by politicians looking +for party advantage, overlooks the fact that the modern technology has +definitively thrown the advantage to the offensive, and that intervening +seas can no longer be counted on as a decisive obstacle. On this latter +head, what was reasonably true fifteen years ago is doubtful today, and +it is in all reasonable expectation invalid for the situation fifteen +years hence. + +The other peoples that are of a neutral temper may need the help of +America sorely enough in their endeavours to keep the peace, but +America's need of cooperation is sorer still, for the Republic is coming +into a more precarious place than any of the others. America is also, at +least potentially, the most democratic of the greater Powers, and is +handicapped with all the disabilities of a democratic commonwealth in +the face of war. America is also for the present, and perhaps for the +calculable future, the most powerful of these greater Powers, in point +of conceivably available resources, though not in actually available +fighting-power; and the entrance of America unreservedly into a neutral +league would consequently be decisive both of the purposes of the league +and of its efficiency for the purpose; particularly if the +neutralisation of interests among the members of the league were carried +so far as to make withdrawal and independent action disadvantageous. + +On the establishment of such a neutral league, with such neutralisation +of national interests as would assure concerted action in time of +stress, the need of armament on the part of the American republic would +disappear, at least to the extent that no increase of armed force would +be advisable. The strength of the Republic lies in its large and varied +resources and the unequalled industrial capacity of its population,--a +capacity which is today seriously hampered by untoward business +interests and business methods sheltered under national discrimination, +but which would come more nearly to its own so soon as these national +discriminations were corrected or abrogated in the neutralisation of +national pretensions. The neutrally-minded countries of Europe have been +constrained to learn the art of modern war, as also to equip themselves +with the necessary appliances, sufficient to meet all requirements for +keeping the peace through such a period as can or need be taken into +account,--provided the peace that is to come on the conclusion of the +present war shall be placed on so "conclusive" a footing as will make it +anything substantially more than a season of recuperation for that +warlike Power about whose enterprise in dominion the whole question +turns. Provided that suitably "substantial guarantees" of a reasonable +quiescence on the part of this Imperial Power are had, there need be no +increase of the American armament. Any increased armament would in that +case amount to nothing better than an idle duplication of plant and +personnel already on hand and sufficient to meet the requirements. + +To meet the contingencies had in view in its formation, such a league +would have to be neutralised to the point that all pertinent national +pretensions would fall into virtual abeyance, so that all the necessary +resources at the disposal of the federated nations would automatically +come under the control of the league's appointed authorities without +loss of time, whenever the need might arise. That is to say, national +interests and pretensions would have to give way to a collective control +sufficient to insure prompt and concerted action. In the face of such a +neutral league Imperial Japan alone would be unable to make a really +serious diversion or to entertain much hope of following up its quest of +dominion. The Japanese Imperial establishment might even be persuaded +peaceably to let its unoffending neighbours live their own life +according to their own light. It is, indeed, possibly the apprehension +of some such contingency that has hurried the rapacity of the Island +Empire into the headlong indecencies of the past year or two. + + + + +CHAPTER VI + +ELIMINATION OF THE UNFIT + + +It may seem early (January 1917) to offer a surmise as to what must be +the manner of league into which the pacific nations are to enter and by +which the peace will be kept, in case such a move is to be made. But the +circumstances that are to urge such a line of action, and that will +condition its carrying out in case it is entered on, have already come +into bearing and should, on the whole, no longer be especially obscure +to anyone who will let the facts of the case rather than his own +predilections decide what he will believe. By and large, the pressure of +these conditioning circumstances may be seen, and the line of least +resistance under this pressure may be calculated, with due allowance of +a margin of error owing to unknown contingencies of time and minor +variables. + +Time is of the essence of the case. So that what would have been +dismissed as idle vapour two years ago has already become subject of +grave deliberation today, and may rise to paramount urgency that far +hence. Time is needed to appreciate and get used to any innovation of +appreciable gravity, particularly where the innovation depends in any +degree on a change in public sentiment, as in this instance. The present +outlook would seem to be that no excess of time is allowed in these +premises; but it should also be noted that events are moving with +unexampled celerity, and are impinging on the popular apprehension with +unexampled force,--unexampled on such a scale. It is hoped that a +recital of these circumstances that provoke to action along this line +will not seem unwarrantably tedious, and that a tentative definition of +the line of least resistance under pressure of these circumstances may +not seem unwarrantably presumptuous. + +The major premise in the case is the felt need of security from +aggression at the hands of Imperial Germany and its auxiliary Powers; +seconded by an increasingly uneasy apprehension as to the prospective +line of conduct on the part of Imperial Japan, bent on a similar quest +of dominion. There is also the less articulate apprehension of what, if +anything, may be expected from Imperial Russia; an obscure and scarcely +definable factor, which comes into the calculation chiefly by way of +reenforcing the urgency of the situation created by the dynastic +ambitions of these other two Imperial States. Further, the pacific +nations, the leading ones among them being the French and +English-speaking peoples, are coming to recognise that no one among them +can provide for its own security single-handed, even at the cost of +their utmost endeavour in the way of what is latterly called +"preparedness;" and they are at the same time unwilling to devote their +force unreservedly to warlike preparation, having nothing to gain. The +solution proposed is a league of the pacific nations, commonly spoken of +at the present stage as a league to enforce peace, or less ambitiously +as a league to enforce arbitration. The question being left somewhat at +loose ends, whether the projected league is to include the two or three +Imperial Powers whose pacific intentions are, euphemistically, open to +doubt. + +Such is the outline of the project and its premises. An attempt to fill +in this outline will, perhaps, conduce to an appreciation of what is +sought and of what the conditioning circumstances will enforce in the +course of its realisation. As touches the fear of aggression, it has +already been indicated, perhaps with unnecessary iteration, that these +two Imperial Powers are unable to relinquish the quest of dominion +through warlike enterprise, because as dynastic States they have no +other ulterior aim; as has abundantly appeared in the great volume of +expository statements that have come out of the Fatherland the past few +years, official, semi-official, inspired, and spontaneous. "Assurance of +the nation's future" is not translatable into any other terms. The +Imperial dynasty has no other ground to stand on, and can not give up +the enterprise so long as it can muster force for any formidable +diversion, to get anything in the way of dominion by seizure, threat or +chicane. + +This is coming to be informally and loosely, but none the less +definitively, realised by the pacific nations; and the realisation of it +is gaining in clearness and assurance as time passes. And it is backed +by the conviction that, in the nature of things, no engagement on the +part of such a dynastic State has any slightest binding force, beyond +the material constraint that would enforce it from the outside. So the +demand has been diplomatically phrased as a demand for "substantial +guarantees." Any gain in resources on the part of these Powers is to be +counted as a gain in the ways and means of disturbing the peace, without +reservation. + +The pacific nations include among them two large items, both of which +are indispensable to the success of the project, the United States and +the United Kingdom. The former brings in its train, virtually without +exception or question, the other American republics, none of which can +practicably go in or stay out except in company and collusion with the +United States. The United Kingdom after the same fashion, and with +scarcely less assurance, may be counted on to carry the British +colonies. Evidently, without both of these groups the project would not +even make a beginning. Beyond this is to be counted in as elements of +strength, though scarcely indispensable, France, Belgium, the +Netherlands and the Scandinavian countries. The other west-European +nations would in all probability be found in the league, although so far +as regards its work and its fortunes their adhesion would scarcely be a +matter of decisive consequence; they may therefore be left somewhat on +one side in any consideration of the circumstances that would shape the +league, its aims and its limitations. The Balkan states, in the wider +acceptance, they that frequent the Sign of the Double Cross, are +similarly negligible in respect of the organisation of such a league or +its resources and the mutual concessions necessary to be made between +its chief members. Russia is so doubtful a factor, particularly as +regards its place and value in industry, culture and politics, in the +near future, as to admit nothing much more than a doubt on what its +relation to the situation will be. The evil intentions of the +Imperial-bureaucratic establishment are probably no more to be +questioned than the good intentions of the underlying peoples of Russia. +China will have to be taken in, if for no other reason than the use to +which the magnificent resources of that country would be turned by its +Imperial neighbour in the absence of insurmountable interference from +outside. But China will come in on any terms that include neutrality and +security. + +The question then arises as to the Imperial Powers whose dynastic +enterprise is primarily to be hedged against by such a league. +Reflection will show that if the league is to effect any appreciable +part of its purpose, these Powers will also be included in the league, +or at least in its jurisdiction. A pacific league not including these +Powers, or not extending its jurisdiction and surveillance to them and +their conduct, would come to the same thing as a coalition of nations in +two hostile groups, the one standing on the defensive against the +warlike machinations of the other, and both groups bidding for the favor +of those minor Powers whose traditions and current aspirations run to +national (dynastic) aggrandizement by way of political intrigue. It +would come to a more articulate and accentuated form of that balance of +power that has latterly gone bankrupt in Europe, with the most corrupt +and unreliable petty monarchies of eastern Europe vested with a casting +vote; and it would also involve a system of competitive armaments of the +same general character as what has also shown itself bankrupt. It would, +in other words, mean a virtual return to the _status quo ante_, but with +an overt recognition of its provisional character, and with the lines of +division more sharply drawn. That is to say, it would amount to +reinstating the situation which the projected league is intended to +avert. It is evidently contained in the premises that the projected +league must be all-inclusive, at least as regards its jurisdiction and +surveillance. The argument will return to this point presently. + +The purpose of the projected league is peace and security, commonly +spoken of under patriotic preconceptions as "national" peace and +security. This will have to mean a competent enforcement of peace, on +such a footing of overmastering force at the disposal of the associated +pacific nations as to make security a matter of ordinary routine. It is +true, the more genial spokesmen of the project are given to the view +that what is to come of it all is a comity of neutral nations, amicably +adjusting their own relations among themselves in a spirit of peace and +good-will. But this view is over-sanguine, in that it overlooks the +point that into this prospective comity of nations Imperial Germany (and +Imperial Japan) fit like a drunken savage with a machine gun. It also +overlooks the patent fatality that these two are bound to come into a +coalition at the next turn, with whatever outside and subsidiary +resources they can draw on; provided only that a reasonable opening for +further enterprise presents itself. The league, in other terms, must be +in a position to enforce peace by overmastering force, and to anticipate +any move at cross purposes with the security of the pacific nations. + +This end can be reached by either one of two ways. If the dynastic +States are left to their own devices, it will be incumbent on the +associated nations to put in the field a standing force sufficient to +prevent a recourse to arms; which means competitive armament and +universal military rule. Or the dynastic States may be taken into +partnership and placed under such surveillance and constraint as to +practically disarm them; which would admit virtual disarmament of the +federated nations. The former arrangement has nothing in its favour, +except the possibility that no better or less irksome arrangement can be +had under existing circumstances; that is to say that the pacific +nations may not be able to bring these dynastic states to terms of +disarmament under surveillance. They assuredly can not except by force; +and this is the precise point on which the continued hostilities in +Europe turn today. In diplomatic parable the German Imperial spokesmen +say that they can accept (or as they prefer to phrase it, grant) no +terms that do not fully safeguard the Future of the Fatherland; and in +similarly diplomatic parable the spokesmen of the Entente insist that +Prussian militarism must be permanently put out of commission; but it +all means the same thing, viz. that the Imperial establishment is to be +(or is not to be) disabled beyond the possibility of its entering on a +similar warlike enterprise again, when it has had time for recuperation. +The dynastic statesmen, and the lay subjects of the Imperial +establishment, are strenuously set on securing a fair opportunity for +recuperation and a wiser endeavour to achieve that dominion which the +present adventure promises to defeat; while the Entente want no +recurrence, and are persuaded that a recurrence can be avoided only on +the footing of a present collapse of the Imperial power and a +scrupulously enforced prostration of it henceforth. + +Without the definitive collapse of the Imperial power no pacific league +of nations can come to anything much more than armistice. On the basis +of such a collapse the league may as well administer its affairs +economically by way of an all-around reduction of armaments, as by the +costlier and more irksome way of "preparedness." But a sensible +reduction of armaments on the part of the neutral nations implies +disarmament of the dynastic States. Which would involve a neutral +surveillance of the affairs of these dynastic States in such detail and +with such exercise of authority as would reduce their governments to the +effective status of local administrative officials. Out of which, in +turn, would arise complications that would lead to necessary +readjustments all along the line. It would involve the virtual, if not +also the formal, abolition of the monarchy, since the monarchy has no +other use than that of international war and intrigue; or at least it +would involve the virtual abrogation of its powers, reducing it to the +same status of _faineantise_ as now characterises the British crown. +Evidently this means a serious intermeddling in the domestic concerns +and arrangements of the Fatherland, such as is not admissible under the +democratic principle that any people must be left free to follow their +own inclinations and devices in their own concerns; at the same time +that this degree of interference is imperative if the peace is to be +kept on any other footing than that of eternal vigilance and superior +armed force, with a people whose own inclinations and devices are of the +kind now grown familiar in the German case,--all of which also applies, +with accentuation, in the case of Imperial Japan. + + * * * * * + +Some such policy of neutral surveillance in the affairs of these peoples +whose pacific temper is under suspicion, is necessarily involved in a +plan to enforce peace by concert of the pacific nations, and it will +necessarily carry implications and farther issues, touching not only +these supposedly recalcitrant peoples, but also as regards the pacific +nations themselves. Assuming always that the prime purpose and +consistent aim of the projected league is the peace and security of +those pacific nations on whose initiative it is to be achieved, then it +should be reasonable to assume that the course of procedure in its +organisation, administration and further adaptations and adjustments +must follow the logic of necessities leading to that end. He who wills +the end must make up his account with the means. + +The end in this case is peace and security; which means, for practical +purposes, peace and good-will. Ill-will is not a secure foundation of +peace. Even the military strategists of the Imperial establishment +recommend a programme of "frightfulness" only as a convenient military +expedient, essentially a provisional basis of tranquility. In the long +run and as a permanent peace measure it is doubtless not to the point. +Security is finally to be had among or between modern peoples only on +the ground of a common understanding and an impartially common basis of +equity, or something approaching that basis as nearly as circumstances +will permit. Which means that in so far as the projected peace-compact +is to take effect in any enduring way, and leave the federated nations +some degree of freedom from persistent apprehension and animosity, as +well as from habitual insecurity of life and limb, the league must not +only be all-inclusive, but it must be inclusively uniform in all its +requirements and regulations. + +The peoples of the quondam Imperial nations must come into the league on +a footing of formal equality with the rest. This they can not do without +the virtual abdication of their dynastic governmental establishments and +a consequent shift to a democratic form of organisation, and a formal +abrogation of class privileges and prerogatives. + +However, a virtual abdication or cancelment of the dynastic rule, such +as to bring it formally into the same class with the British crown, +would scarcely meet the requirements in the case of the German Imperial +establishment; still more patently not in the case of Imperial Japan. +If, following the outlines of the decayed British crown, one or the +other of these Imperial establishments were by formal enactment reduced +to a state of nominal desuetude, the effect would be very appreciably +different from what happens in the British community, where the crown +has lost its powers by failure of the requisite subordination on the +part of the people, and not by a formal abdication of rights. In the +German case, and even more in the Japanese case, the strength of the +Imperial establishment lies in the unimpaired loyalty of the populace; +which would remain nearly intact at the outset, and would thin out only +by insensible degrees in the sequel; so that if only the Imperial +establishment were left formally standing it would command the fealty of +the common run in spite of any formal abrogation of its powers, and the +course of things would, in effect, run as before the break. In effect, +to bring about a shift to a democratic basis the dynastic slate would +have to be wiped very clean indeed. And this shift would be +indispensable to the successful conduct of such a pacific league of +nations, since any other than an effectually democratic national +establishment is to be counted on unfailingly to intrigue for dynastic +aggrandizement, through good report and evil. + +In a case like that of Imperial Germany, with its federated States and +subsidiaries, where royalty and nobility still are potent preconceptions +investing the popular imagination, and where loyal abnegation in the +presence of authority still is the chief and staple virtue of the common +man,--in all such cases virtual abdication of the dynastic initiative +under constitutional forms can be had only by a formal and scrupulously +complete abrogation of all those legal and customary arrangements on +which this irresponsible exercise of authority has rested and through +which it has taken effect. Neutralisation in these instances will mean +reduction to an unqualified democratic footing; which will, at least at +the outset, not be acceptable to the common people, and will be wholly +intolerable to the ruling classes. Such a régime, therefore, while it is +indispensable as a working basis for a neutral league of peace, would +from the outset have to be enforced against the most desperate +resistance of the ruling classes, headed by the dynastic statesmen and +warlords, and backed by the stubborn loyalty of the subject populace. It +would have to mean the end of things for the ruling classes and the most +distasteful submission to an alien scheme of use and wont for the +populace. And yet it is also an indispensable element in any scheme of +pacification that aims at permanent peace and security. In time, it may +well be believed, the people of the Fatherland might learn to do well +enough without the gratuitous domination of their ruling classes, but at +the outset it would be a heartfelt privation. + +It follows that a league to enforce peace would have to begin its régime +with enforcing peace on terms of the unconditional surrender of the +formidable warlike nations; which could be accomplished only by the +absolute and irretrievable defeat of these Powers as they now stand. The +question will, no doubt, present itself, Is the end worth the cost? That +question can, of course, not be answered in absolute terms, inasmuch as +it resolves itself into a question of taste and prepossession. An answer +to it would also not be greatly to the purpose here, since it would have +no particular bearing on the course of action likely to be pursued by +these pacific nations in their quest of a settled peace. It is more to +the point to ask what is likely to be the practical decision of these +peoples on that head when the question finally presents itself in a +concrete form. + +Again it is necessary to call to mind that any momentous innovation +which rests on popular sentiment will take time; that consequently +anything like a plébiscite on the question today would scarcely give a +safe index of what the decision is likely to be when presently put to +the test; and that as things go just now, swiftly and urgent, any +time-allowance counts at something more than its ordinary workday +coefficient. What can apparently be said with some degree of confidence +is that just now, during these two years past, sentiment has been moving +in the direction indicated, and that any growing inclination of the kind +is being strongly reenforced by a growing realisation that nothing but +heroic remedies will avail at this juncture. If it comes to be currently +recognised that a settled peace can be had only at the cost of +eradicating privilege and royalty from the warlike nations, it would +seem reasonable to expect, from their present state of mind, that the +pacific nations will scarcely hesitate to apply that remedy,--provided +always that the fortunes of war fall out as that measure would require, +and provided also that the conflict lasts long enough and severe enough +to let them make up their mind to anything so drastic. + + * * * * * + +There is a certain side issue bearing on this question of the ulterior +probabilities of popular sentiment and national policy as to what is to +be done with the warlike nations in the event that the allied nations +who fight for neutrality have the disposal of such matters. This side +issue may seem remote, and it may not unlikely be overlooked among the +mass of graver and more tangible considerations. It was remarked above +that the United Kingdom is one of the two chief pillars of the projected +house of peace; and it may be added without serious fear of +contradiction or annoyance that the United Kingdom is also the one among +these pacific nations that comes nearest being capable, in the event of +such an emergency, to take care of its own case single-handed. For +better or worse, British adhesion to the project is indispensable, and +the British are in a position virtually to name their own terms of +adhesion. The British commonwealth--a very inclusive phrase in this +connection--must form the core of the pacific league, if any, and +British sentiment will have a very great place in the terms of its +formation and in the terms which it will be inclined to offer the +Imperial coalition at the settlement. + +Now, it happens that the British community entered on this war as a +democratic monarchy ruled and officered by a body of gentlemen--doubtless +the most correct and admirable muster of gentlemen, of anything approaching +its volume, that the modern world can show. But the war has turned out not +to be a gentlemen's war. It has on the contrary been a war of technological +exploits, reenforced with all the beastly devices of the heathen. It is a +war in which all the specific traits of the well-bred and gently-minded man +are a handicap; in which veracity, gallantry, humanity, liberality are +conducive to nothing but defeat and humiliation. The death-rate among the +British gentlemen-officers in the early months, and for many months, ran +extravagantly high, for the most part because they were gallant +gentlemen as well as officers imbued with the good, old class spirit of +_noblesse oblige_, that has made half the tradition and more than half +the working theory of the British officer in the field,--good, but old, +hopelessly out of date. That generation of officers died, for the most +part; being unfit to survive or to serve the purpose under these modern +conditions of warfare, to which their enemy on the other hand had +adapted themselves with easy facility from beforehand. The gentlemanly +qualifications, and the material apparatus of gentility, and, it will +perhaps have to be admitted, the gentlemen, have fallen into the +background, or perhaps rather have measurably fallen into abeyance, +among the officers of the line. There may be more doubt as to the state +of things in respect of the gentility of the staff, but the best that +can confidently be said is that it is a point in doubt. + +It is hoped that one may say without offense that in the course of time +the personnel has apparently worked down to the level of vulgarity +defined by the ways and means of this modern warfare; which means the +level on which runs a familiar acquaintance with large and complex +mechanical apparatus, railway and highway transport and power, +reenforced concrete, excavations and mud, more particularly mud, +concealment and ambush, and unlimited deceit and ferocity. It is not +precisely that persons of pedigree and gentle breeding have ceased to +enter or seek entrance to employment as officers, still less that +measures have been taken to restrain their doing so or to eliminate from +the service those who have come into it--though there may present itself +a doubt on this point as touches the more responsible discretionary +positions--but only that the stock of suitable gentlemen, uncommonly +large as it is, has been overdrawn; that those who have latterly gone +into service, or stayed in, have perforce divested themselves of their +gentility in some appreciable measure, particularly as regards class +distinction, and have fallen on their feet in the more commonplace role +of common men. + +Serviceability in this modern warfare is conditioned on much the same +traits of temperament and training that make for usefulness in the +modern industrial processes, where large-scale coordinations of movement +and an effective familiarity with precise and far-reaching mechanical +processes is an indispensable requirement,--indispensable in the same +measure as the efficient conduct of this modern machine industry is +indispensable. But the British gentleman, in so far as he runs true to +type, is of no use to modern industry; quite the contrary, in fact. +Still, the British gentleman is, in point of heredity, the same thing +over again as the British common man; so that, barring the misdirected +training that makes him a gentleman, and which can largely be undone +under urgent need and pressure, he can be made serviceable for such uses +as the modern warfare requires. Meantime the very large demand for +officers, and the insatiable demand for capable officers, has brought +the experienced and capable common man into the case and is in a fair +way to discredit gentility as a necessary qualification of field +officers. + +But the same process of discredit and elimination is also extending to +the responsible officials who have the administration of things in hand. +Indeed, the course of vulgarisation among the responsible officials has +now been under way for some appreciable time and with very perceptible +effect, and the rate of displacement appears to be gathering velocity +with every month that passes. Here, as in the field operations, it also +appears that gentlemanly methods, standards, preconceptions, and +knowledge of men and things, is no longer to the purpose. Here, too, it +is increasingly evident that this is not a gentlemen's war. And the +traditional qualifications that have sufficed in the past, at least to +the extent of enabling the British management to "muddle through," as +they are proudly in the habit of saying,--these qualifications are of +slight account in this technological conjuncture of the nation's +fortunes. It would perhaps be an under-statement to say that these +gentlemanly qualifications are no longer of any account, for the purpose +immediately in hand, and it would doubtless not do to say that they are +wholly and unreservedly disserviceable as things run today; but captious +critics might find at least a precarious footing of argument on such a +proposition. + +Through the course of the nineteenth century the British government had +progressively been taking on the complexion of a "gentlemen's +agreement;" a government by gentlemen, for gentlemen, and of gentlemen, +too, beyond what could well be alleged in any other known instance, +though never wholly so. No government could be a government of gentlemen +exclusively, since there is no pecuniary profit in gentlemen as such, +and therefore no object in governing them; more particularly could there +never be any incentive in it for gentlemen, whose livelihood is, in the +nature of the case, drawn from some one else. A gentlemen's government +can escape death by inanition only in so far as it serves the material +interest of its class, as contrasted with the underlying population from +which the class draws its livelihood. This British arrangement of a +government by prudent and humane gentlemen with a view to the +conservation of that state of things that best conduced to the material +well-being of their own class, has on the whole had the loyal support of +the underlying populace, with an occasional floundering protest. But +the protest has never taken the shape of an expressed distrust of +gentlemen, considered as the staple ways and means of government; nor +has the direction of affairs ever descended into the hands of any other +or lower class or condition of men. + +On the whole, this British arrangement for the control of national +affairs by a body of interested gentlemen-investors has been, and +perhaps still is, just as well at home in the affectionate +preconceptions of the nineteenth-century British as the corresponding +German usufruct by self-appointed swaggering aristocrats has been among +the underlying German population, or as the American arrangement of +national control by business men for business ends. The British and the +American arrangements run very much to the same substantial effect, of +course, inasmuch as the British gentlemen represent, as a class, the +filial generations of a business community, and their aims and standards +of conduct continue to be such as are enforced by the pecuniary +interests on which their gentility is conditioned. They continue to draw +the ways and means of a worthy life from businesslike arrangements of a +"vested" character, made and provided with a view to their nourishment +and repose. Their resulting usufruct of the community's productive +efforts rests on a vested interest of a pecuniary sort, sanctioned by +the sacred rights of property; very much as the analogous German +dynastic and aristocratic usufruct rests on personal prerogative, +sanctioned by the sacred rights of authentic prescription, without +afterthought. The two, it will be noted are very much alike, in effect, +"under the skin." The great distinguishing mark being that the German +usufructuary gentlemen are, in theory at least, gentlemen-adventurers of +prowess and proud words, whose place in the world's economy it is to +glorify God and disturb the peace; whereas their British analogues are +gentlemen-investors, of blameless propriety, whose place it is more +simply to glorify God and enjoy Him forever. + +All this arrangement of a usufruct with a view to the reputable +consumption of the community's superfluous production has had the +cordial support of British sentiment, perhaps fully as cordial as the +German popular subservience in the corresponding German scheme; both +being well embedded in the preconceptions of the common man. But the war +has put it all to a rude test, and has called on the British gentlemen's +executive committee to take over duties for which it was not designed. +The exigencies of this war of technological exploits have been almost +wholly, and very insistently, of a character not contemplated in the +constitution of such an executive committee of gentlemen-investors +designed to safeguard class interests and promote their pecuniary class +advantage by a blamelessly inconspicuous and indirect management of +national affairs. The methods are of the class known colloquially among +the vulgar-spoken American politicians as "pussyfooting" and +"log-rolling"; but always with such circumstance of magnitude, +authenticity and well-bred deference to precedent, as to give the +resulting routine of subreption, trover and conversion, an air not only +of benevolent consideration but of austere morality. + +But the most austere courtesy and the most authentically dispassionate +division of benefits will not meet the underbred exigencies of a war +conducted on the mechanistic lines of the modern state of the industrial +arts. So the blameless, and for the purpose imbecile, executive +committee of gentlemen-investors has been insensibly losing the +confidence and the countenance of the common man; who, when all is said, +will always have to do what is to be done. The order of gentlemanly +parleying and brokery has, therefore, with many apprehensions of +calamity, been reluctantly and tardily giving ground before something +that is of a visibly underbred order. Increasingly underbred, and +thereby insensibly approaching the character of this war situation, but +accepted with visible reluctance and apprehension both by the ruling +class and by the underlying population. The urgent necessity of going to +such a basis, and of working out the matter in hand by an unblushing +recourse to that matter-of-fact logic of mechanical efficiency, which +alone can touch the difficulties of the case, but which has no respect +of persons,--this necessity has been present from the outset and has +been vaguely apprehended for long past, but it is only tardily and after +the chastening of heavy penalties on this gentlemanly imbecility that a +substantial move in that direction has been made. It has required much +British resolution to overcome the night-fear of going out into the +unhallowed ground of matter-of-fact, where the farthest earlier +excursions of the governmental agencies had taken them no farther than +such financial transactions as are incident to the accomplishment of +anything whatever in a commercial nation. And then, too, there is a +pecuniary interest in being interested in financial transactions. + +This shifting of discretionary control out of the hands of the gentlemen +into those of the underbred common run, who know how to do what is +necessary to be done in the face of underbred exigencies, may +conceivably go far when it has once been started, and it may go forward +at an accelerated rate if the pressure of necessity lasts long enough. +If time be given for habituation to this manner of directorate in +national affairs, so that the common man comes to realise how it is +feasible to get along without gentlemen-investors holding the +discretion, the outcome may conceivably be very grave. It is a point in +doubt, but it is conceivable that in such a case the gentlemanly +executive committee administering affairs in the light of the +gentlemanly pecuniary interest, will not be fully reinstated in the +discretionary control of the United Kingdom for an appreciable number of +years after the return of peace. Possibly, even, the régime may be +permanently deranged, and there is even a shadowy doubt possible to be +entertained as to whether the vested pecuniary rights, on which the +class of gentlemen rests, may not suffer some derangement, in case the +control should pass into the hands of the underbred and unpropertied for +so long a season as to let the common man get used to thinking that the +vested interests and the sacred rights of gentility are so much ado +about nothing. + +Such an outcome would be extreme, but as a remote contingency it is to +be taken into account. The privileged classes of the United Kingdom +should by this time be able to see the danger there may be for them and +their vested interests, pecuniary and moral, in an excessive +prolongation of the war; in such postponement of peace as would afford +time for a popular realisation of their incompetence and +disserviceability as touches the nation's material well-being under +modern conditions. To let the nation's war experience work to such an +outcome, the season of war would have to be prolonged beyond what either +the hopes or the fears of the community have yet contemplated; but the +point is after all worth noting, as being within the premises of the +case, that there is herein a remote contingency of losing, at least for +a time, that unformulated clause in the British constitution which has +hitherto restricted the holding of responsible office to men of pedigree +and of gentle breeding, or at least of very grave pecuniary weight; so +grave as to make the incumbents virtual gentlemen, with a virtual +pedigree, and with a virtual gentleman's accentuated sense of class +interest. Should such an eventuality overtake British popular sentiment +and belief there is also the remote contingency that the rights of +ownership and investment would lose a degree of sanctity. + +It seems necessary to note a further, and in a sense more improbable, +line of disintegration among modern fixed ideas. Among the best +entrenched illusions of modern economic preconceptions, and in economic +as well as legal theory, has been the indispensability of funds, and the +hard and fast limitation of industrial operations by the supply or +with-holding of funds. The war experience has hitherto gone tentatively +to show that funds and financial transactions, of credit, bargain, sale +and solvency, may be dispensed with under pressure of necessity; and +apparently without seriously hindering that run of mechanical fact, on +which interest in the present case necessarily centers, and which must +be counted on to give the outcome. Latterly the case is clearing up a +little further, on further experience and under further pressure of +technological exigencies, to the effect that financial arrangements are +indispensable in this connection only because and in so far as it has +been arranged to consider them indispensable; as in international trade. +They are an indispensable means of intermediation only in so far as +pecuniary interests are to be furthered or safeguarded in the +intermediation. When, as has happened with the belligerents in the +present instance, the national establishment becomes substantially +insolvent, it is beginning to appear that its affairs can be taken care +of with less difficulty and with better effect without the use of +financial expedients. Of course, it takes time to get used to doing +things by the more direct method and without the accustomed +circumlocution of accountancy, or the accustomed allowance for profits +to go to interested parties who, under the financial régime, hold a +power of discretionary permission in all matters that touch the use of +the industrial arts. Under these urgent material exigencies, investment +comes to have much of the appearance of a gratuitous drag and drain on +the processes of industry. + +Here, again, is a sinister contingency; sinister, that is, for those +vested rights of ownership by force of which the owners of "capital" are +enabled to permit or withhold the use of the industrial arts by the +community at large, on pain of privation in case the accustomed toll to +the owners of capital is not paid. It is, of course, not intended to +find fault with this arrangement; which has the sanction of "time +immemorial" and of a settled persuasion that it lies at the root of all +civilised life and intercourse. It is only that in case of extreme need +this presumed indispensable expedient of industrial control has broken +down, and that experience is proving it to be, in these premises, an +item of borrowed trouble. Should experience continue to run on the same +lines for an appreciable period and at a high tension, it is at least +conceivable that the vested right of owners to employ unlimited sabotage +in the quest of profits might fall so far into disrepute as to leave +them under a qualified doubt on the return of "normal" conditions. The +common man, in other words, who gathers nothing but privation and +anxiety from the owners' discretionary sabotage, may conceivably stand +to lose his preconception that the vested rights of ownership are the +cornerstone of his life, liberty and pursuit of happiness. + + * * * * * + +The considerations recited in this lengthy excursion on the war +situation and its probable effects on popular habits of thought in the +United Kingdom go to say that when peace comes to be negotiated, with +the United Kingdom as the chief constituent and weightiest spokesman of +the allied nations and of the league of pacific neutrals, the +representatives of British aims and opinions are likely to speak in a +different, chastened, and disillusioned fashion, as contrasted with what +the British attitude was at the beginning of hostilities. The +gentlemanly British animus of arrogant self-sufficiency will have been +somewhat sobered, perhaps somewhat subdued. Concession to the claims and +pretensions of the other pacific nations is likely to go farther than +might once have been expected, particularly in the way of concession to +any demand for greater international comity and less international +discrimination; essentially concession looking to a reduction of +national pretensions and an incipient neutralisation of national +interests. Coupled with this will presumably be a less conciliatory +attitude toward the members of the dynastic coalition against whom the +war has been fought, owing to a more mature realisation of the +impossibility of a lasting peace negotiated with a Power whose +substantial core is a warlike and irresponsible dynastic establishment. +The peace negotiations are likely to run on a lower level of diplomatic +deference to constituted authorities, and with more of a view to the +interests and sentiments of the underlying population, than was evident +in the futile negotiations had at the outbreak of hostilities. The +gentle art of diplomacy, that engages the talents of exalted personages +and well-bred statesmen, has been somewhat discredited; and if it turns +out that the vulgarisation of the directorate in the United Kingdom and +its associated allies and neutrals will have time to go on to something +like dominance and authenticity, then the deference which the spokesmen +of these nations are likely to show for the prescriptive rights of +dynasty, nobility, bureaucracy, or even of pecuniary aristocracy, in the +countries that make up the party of the second part, may be expected to +have shrunk appreciably, conceivably even to such precarious dimensions +as to involve the virtual neglect or possible downright abrogation of +them, in sum and substance. + +Indeed, the chances of a successful pacific league of neutrals to come +out of the current situation appear to be largely bound up with the +degree of vulgarisation due to overtake the several directorates of the +belligerent nations as well as the popular habits of thought in these +and in the neutral countries, during the further course of the war. It +is too broad a generalisation, perhaps, to say that the longer the war +lasts the better are the chances of such a neutral temper in the +interested nations as will make a pacific league practicable, but the +contrary would appear a much less defensible proposition. It is, of +course, the common man that has the least interest in warlike +enterprise, if any, and it is at the same time the common man that bears +the burden of such enterprise and has also the most immediate interest +in keeping the peace. If, slowly and pervasively, in the course of hard +experience, he learns to distrust the conduct of affairs by his betters, +and learns at the same move to trust to his own class to do what is +necessary and to leave undone what is not, his deference to his betters +is likely to suffer a decline, such as should show itself in a somewhat +unguarded recourse to democratic ways and means. + +In short, there is in this progressive vulgarisation of effectual use +and wont and of sentiment, in the United Kingdom and elsewhere, some +slight ground for the hope, or the apprehension, that no peace will be +made with the dynastic Powers of the second part until they cease to be +dynastic Powers and take on the semblance of democratic commonwealths, +with dynasties, royalties and privileged classes thrown in the discard. + +This would probably mean some prolongation of hostilities, until the +dynasties and privileged classes had completely exhausted their +available resources; and, by the same token, until the privileged +classes in the more modern nations among the belligerents had also been +displaced from direction and discretion by those underbred classes on +whom it is incumbent to do what is to be done; or until a juncture were +reached that comes passably near to such a situation. On the contingency +of such a course of events and some such outcome appears also to hang +the chance of a workable pacific league. Without further experience of +the futility of upper-class and pecuniary control, to discredit +precedent and constituted authority, it is scarcely conceivable, e.g., +that the victorious allies would go the length of coercively discarding +the German Imperial dynasty and the kept classes that with it constitute +the Imperial State, and of replacing it with a democratic organisation +of the people in the shape of a modern commonwealth; and without a +change of that nature, affecting that nation and such of its allies as +would remain on the map, no league of pacific neutrals would be able to +manage its affairs, even for a time, except on a war-footing that would +involve a competitive armament against future dynastic enterprises from +the same quarter. Which comes to saying that a lasting peace is possible +on no other terms than the disestablishment of the Imperial dynasty and +the abrogation of all feudalistic remnants of privilege in the +Fatherland and its allies, together with the reduction of those +countries to the status of commonwealths made up of ungraded men. + + * * * * * + +It is easy to speculate on what the conditions precedent to such a +pacific league of neutrals must of necessity be; but it is not therefore +less difficult to make a shrewd guess as to the chances of these +conditions being met. Of these conditions precedent, the chief and +foremost, without which any other favorable circumstances are +comparatively idle, is a considerable degree of neutralisation, +extending to virtually all national interests and pretensions, but more +particularly to all material and commercial interests of the federated +peoples; and, indispensably and especially, such neutralisation would +have to extend to the nations from whom aggression is now apprehended, +as, e.g., the German people. But such neutralisation could not +conceivably reach the Fatherland unless that nation were made over in +the image of democracy, since the Imperial State is, by force of the +terms, a warlike and unneutral power. This would seem to be the +ostensibly concealed meaning of the allied governments in proclaiming +that their aim is to break German militarism without doing harm to the +German people. + +As touches the neutralisation of the democratically rehabilitated +Fatherland, or in default of that, as touches the peace terms to be +offered the Imperial government, the prime article among the +stipulations would seem to be abolition of all trade discrimination +against Germany or by Germany against any other nationality. Such +stipulation would, of course, cover all manner of trade +discrimination,--e.g., import, export and excise tariff, harbor and +registry dues, subsidy, patent right, copyright, trade mark, tax +exemption whether partial or exclusive, investment preferences at home +and abroad,--in short it would have to establish a thoroughgoing +neutralisation of trade relations in the widest acceptation of the term, +and to apply in perpetuity. The like applies, of course, to all that +fringe of subsidiary and outlying peoples on whom Imperial Germany +relies for much of its resources in any warlike enterprise. Such a move +also disposes of the colonial question in a parenthesis, so far as +regards any special bond of affiliation between the Empire, or the +Fatherland, and any colonial possessions that are now thought desirable +to be claimed. Under neutralisation, colonies would cease to be +"colonial possessions," being necessarily included under the general +abrogation of commercial discriminations, and also necessarily exempt +from special taxation or specially favorable tax rates. + +Colonies there still would be, though it is not easy to imagine what +would be the meaning of a "German Colony" in such a case. Colonies would +be free communities, after the fashion of New Zealand or Australia, but +with the further sterilisation of the bond between colony and mother +country involved in the abolition of all appointive offices and all +responsibility to the crown or the imperial government. Now, there are +no German colonies in this simpler British sense of the term, which +implies nothing more than community of blood, institutions and language, +together with that sense of solidarity between the colony and the mother +country which this community of pedigree and institutions will +necessarily bring; but while there are today no German colonies, in the +sense of the term so given, there is no reason to presume that no such +German colonies would come into bearing under the conditions of this +prospective régime of neutrality installed by such a pacific league, +when backed by the league's guarantee that no colony from the Fatherland +will be exposed to the eventual risk of coming under the discretionary +tutelage of the German Imperial establishment and so falling into a +relation of step-childhood to the Imperial dynasty. + +As is well known, and as has by way of superfluous commonplace been set +forth by a sometime Colonial Secretary of the Empire, the decisive +reason for there being no German colonies in existence is the +consistently impossible colonial policy of the German government, +looking to the usufruct of the colonies by the government, and the fear +of further arbitrary control and nepotic discrimination at the pleasure +of the self-seeking dynastic establishment. It is only under Imperial +rule that no German colony, in this modern sense of the term, is +possible; and only because Imperial rule does not admit of a free +community being formed by colonists from the Fatherland; or of an +ostensibly free community of that kind ever feeling secure from +unsolicited interference with its affairs. + +The nearest approach to a German Colony, as contrasted with a "Colonial +Possession," hitherto have been the very considerable, number of +escaped German subjects who have settled in English-speaking or +Latin-speaking countries, particularly in North and South America. And +considering that the chief common trait among them is their successful +evasion of the Imperial government's heavy hand, they show an admirable +filial piety toward the Imperial establishment; though troubled with no +slightest regret at having escaped from the Imperial surveillance and no +slightest inclination to return to the shelter of the Imperial tutelage. +A colloquialism--"hyphenate"--has latterly grown up to meet the need of +a term to designate these evasive and yet patriotic colonists. It is +scarcely misleading to say that the German-American hyphenate, e.g., in +so far as he runs true to form, is still a German subject with his +heart, but he is an American citizen with his head. All of which goes to +argue that if the Fatherland were to fall into such a state of +democratic tolerance that no recidivist need carry a defensive hyphen to +shield him from the importunate attentions of the Imperial government, +German colonies would also come into bearing; although, it is true, they +would have no value to the German government. + +In the Imperial colonial policy colonies are conceived to stand to their +Imperial guardian or master in a relation between that of a step-child +and that of an indentured servant; to be dealt with summarily and at +discretion and to be made use of without scruple. The like attitude +toward colonies was once familiar matter-of-course with the British and +Spanish statesmen. The British found the plan unprofitable, and also +unworkable, and have given it up. The Spanish, having no political +outlook but the dynastic one, could of course not see their way to +relinquish the only purpose of their colonial enterprise, except in +relinquishing their colonial possessions. The German (Imperial) colonial +policy is and will be necessarily after the Spanish pattern, and +necessarily, too, with the Spanish results. + +Under the projected neutral scheme there would be no colonial policy, +and of course, no inducement to the acquisition of colonies, since +there would be no profit to be derived, or to be fancied, in the case. +But while no country, as a commonwealth, has any material interest in +the acquisition or maintenance of colonies, it is otherwise as regards +the dynastic interests of an Imperial government; and it is also +otherwise, at least in the belief of the interested parties, as regards +special businessmen or business concerns who are in a position to gain +something by help of national discrimination in their favor. As regards +the pecuniary interests of favored businessmen or business concerns, and +of investors favored by national discrimination in colonial relations, +the case falls under the general caption of trade discrimination, and +does not differ at all materially from such expedients as a protective +tariff, a ship subsidy, or a bounty on exports. But as regards the +warlike, that is to say dynastic, interest of an Imperial government the +case stands somewhat different. + +Colonial Possessions in such a case yield no material benefit to the +country at large, but their possession is a serviceable plea for warlike +preparations with which to retain possession of the colonies in the face +of eventualities, and it is also a serviceable means of stirring the +national pride and keeping alive a suitable spirit of patriotic +animosity. The material service actually to be derived from such +possessions in the event of war is a point in doubt, with the +probabilities apparently running against their being of any eventual net +use. But there need be no question that such possessions, under the hand +of any national establishment infected with imperial ambitions, are a +fruitful source of diplomatic complications, excuses for armament, +international grievances, and eventual aggression. A pacific league of +neutrals can evidently not tolerate the retention of colonial +possessions by any dynastic State that may be drawn into the league or +under its jurisdiction, as, e.g., the German Empire in case it should be +left on an Imperial footing. Whereas, in case the German peoples are +thrown back on a democratic status, as neutralised commonwealths without +a crown or a military establishment, the question of their colonial +possessions evidently falls vacant. + +As to the neutralisation of trade relations apart from the question of +colonies, and as bears on the case of Germany under the projected +jurisdiction of a pacific league of neutrals, the considerations to be +taken account of are of much the same nature. As it would have to take +effect, e.g., in the abolition of commercial and industrial +discriminations between Germany and the pacific nations, such +neutralisation would doubtless confer a lasting material benefit on the +German people at large; and it is not easy to detect any loss or +detriment to be derived from such a move so long as peace prevails. +Protective, that is to say discriminating, export, import, or excise +duties, harbor and registry dues, subsidies, tax exemptions and trade +preferences, and all the like devices of interference with trade and +industry, are unavoidably a hindrance to the material interests of any +people on whom they are imposed or who impose these disabilities on +themselves. So that exemption from these things by a comprehensive +neutralisation of trade relations would immediately benefit all the +nations concerned, in respect of their material well-being in times of +peace. There is no exception and no abatement to be taken account of +under this general statement, as is well known to all men who are +conversant with these matters. + +But it is otherwise as regards the dynastic interest in the case, and as +regards any national interest in warlike enterprise. It is doubtless +true that all restraint of trade between nations, and between classes or +localities within the national frontiers, unavoidably acts to weaken and +impoverish the people on whose economic activities this restraint is +laid; and to the extent to which this effect is had it will also be true +that the country which so is hindered in its work will have a less +aggregate of resources to place at the disposal of its enterprising +statesmen for imperialist ends. But these restraints may yet be useful +for dynastic, that is to say warlike, ends by making the country more +nearly a "self-contained economic whole." A country becomes a +"self-contained economic whole" by mutilation, in cutting itself off +from the industrial system in which industrially it belongs, but in +which it is unwilling nationally to hold its place. National frontiers +are industrial barriers. But as a result of such mutilation of its +industrial life such a country is better able--it has been believed--to +bear the shock of severing its international trade relations entirely, +as is likely to happen in case of war. + +In a large country, such as America or Russia, which comprises within +its national boundaries very extensive and very varied resources and a +widely distributed and diversified population, the mischief suffered +from restraints of trade that hinder industrial relations with the world +at large will of course be proportionately lessened. Such a country +comes nearer being a miniature industrial world; although none of the +civilised nations, large or small, can carry on its ordinary industrial +activities and its ordinary manner of life without drawing on foreign +parts to some appreciable extent. But a country of small territorial +extent and of somewhat narrowly restricted natural resources, as, e.g., +Germany or France, can even by the most drastic measures of restraint +and mutilation achieve only a very mediocre degree of industrial +isolation and "self-sufficiency,"--as has, e.g., appeared in the present +war. But in all cases, though in varying measure, the mitigated +isolation so enforced by these restraints on trade will in their degree +impair the country's industrial efficiency and lower the people's +material well-being; yet, if the restrictions are shrewdly applied this +partial isolation and partial "self-sufficiency" will go some way toward +preparing the nation for the more thorough isolation that follows on the +outbreak of hostilities. + +The present plight of the German people under war conditions may serve +to show how nearly that end may be attained, and yet how inadequate even +the most unreserved measures of industrial isolation must be in face of +the fact that the modern state of the industrial arts necessarily draws +on the collective resources of the world at large. It may well be +doubted, on an impartial view, if the mutilation of the country's +industrial system by such measures of isolation does not after all +rather weaken the nation even for warlike ends; but then, the +discretionary authorities in the dynastic States are always, and it may +be presumed necessarily, hampered with obsolete theories handed down +from that cameralistic age, when the little princes of the Fatherland +were making dynastic history. So, e.g., the current, nineteenth and +twentieth century, economic policy of the Prussian-Imperial statesmen is +still drawn on lines within which Frederick II, called the Great, would +have felt well at home. + +Like other preparation for hostilities this reduction of the country to +the status of a self-contained economic organisation is costly, but +like other preparation for hostilities it also puts the nation in a +position of greater readiness to break off friendly relations with its +neighbors. It is a war measure, commonly spoken for by its advocates as +a measure of self-defense; but whatever the merits of the +self-defenders' contention, this measure is a war measure. As such it +can reasonably claim no hearing in the counsels of a pacific league of +neutrals, whose purpose it is to make war impracticable. Particularly +can there be no reasonable question of admitting a policy of trade +discrimination and isolation on the part of a nation which has, for +purposes of warlike aggression, pursued such a policy in the past, and +which it is the immediate purpose of the league to bind over to keep the +peace. + +There has been a volume of loose talk spent on the justice and +expediency of boycotting the trade of the peoples of the Empire after +the return of peace, as a penalty and as a preventive measure designed +to retard their recovery of strength with which to enter on a further +warlike enterprise. Such a measure would necessarily be somewhat futile; +since "Business is business," after all, and the practical limitations +imposed on an unprofitable boycott by the moral necessity to buy cheap +and sell dear that rests on all businessmen would surreptitiously +mitigate it to the point of negligibility. It is inconceivable--or it +would be inconceivable in the absence of imbecile politicians and +self-seeking businessmen--that measures looking to the trade isolation +of any one of these countries could be entertained as a point of policy +to be pursued by a league of neutrals. And it is only in so far as +patriotic jealousy and vindictive sentiments are allowed to displace the +aspiration for peace and security, that such measures can claim +consideration. Considered as a penalty to be imposed on the erring +nations who set this warlike adventure afoot, it should be sufficiently +plain that such a measure as a trade boycott could not touch the chief +offenders, or even their responsible abettors. It would, rather, play +into the hands of the militarist interests by keeping alive the spirit +of national jealousy and international hatred, out of which wars arise +and without which warlike enterprise might hopefully be expected to +disappear out of the scheme of human intercourse. The punishment would +fall, as all economic burdens and disabilities must always fall, on the +common man, the underlying population. + +The chief relation of this common run, this underlying population of +German subjects, to the inception and pursuit of this Imperial warlike +enterprise, is comprised in the fact that they are an underlying +population of subjects, held in usufruct by the Imperial establishment +and employed at will. It is true, they have lent themselves unreservedly +to the uses for which the dynasty has use for them, and they have +entered enthusiastically into the warlike adventure set afoot by the +dynastic statesmen; but that they have done so is their misfortune +rather than their fault. By use and wont and indoctrination they have +for long been unremittingly, and helplessly, disciplined into a spirit +of dynastic loyalty, national animosity and servile abnegation; until it +would be nothing better than a pathetic inversion of all the equities of +the case to visit the transgressions of their masters upon the common +run; whose fault lies, after all, in their being an underlying +population of subjects, who have not had a chance to reach that +spiritual level on which they could properly be held accountable for the +uses to which they are turned. It is true, men are ordinarily punished +for their misfortunes; but the warlike enterprise of the Imperial +dynasty has already brought what might fairly be rated as a good measure +of punishment on this underlying populace, whose chief fault and chief +misfortune lies in an habitual servile abnegation of those traits of +initiative and discretion in man that constitute him an agent +susceptible of responsibility or retribution. + +It would be all the more of a pathetic mockery to visit the +transgressions of their masters on these victims of circumstance and +dynastic mendacity, since the conventionalities of international equity +will scarcely permit the high responsible parties in the case to be +chastised with any penalty harsher than a well-mannered figure of +speech. To serve as a deterrent, the penalty must strike the point where +vests the discretion; but servile use and wont is still too well intact +in these premises to let any penalty touch the guilty core of a +profligate dynasty. Under the wear and tear of continued war and its +incident continued vulgarisation of the directorate and responsible +staff among the pacific allies, the conventional respect of persons is +likely to suffer appreciable dilapidation; but there need be no +apprehension of such a loss of decent respect for personages as would +compromise the creature comforts of that high syndicate of personages on +whose initiative the Fatherland entered upon this enterprise in +dominion. + +Bygone shortcomings and transgressions can have no reasonable place in +the arrangements by which a pacific league of neutrals designs to keep +the peace. Neither can bygone prerogatives and precedents of +magnificence and of mastery, except in so far as they unavoidably must +come into play through the inability of men to divest themselves of +their ingrained preconceptions, by virtue of which a Hohenzollern or a +Hapsburger is something more formidable and more to be considered than a +recruiting sergeant or a purveyor of light literature. The league can do +its work of pacification only by elaborately forgetting differences and +discrepancies of the kind that give rise to international grievances. +Which is the same as saying that the neutralisation of national +discriminations and pretensions will have to go all the way, if it is to +serve. But this implies, as broadly as need be, that the pacific nations +who make the league and provisionally administer its articles of +agreement and jurisdiction, can not exempt themselves from any of the +leveling measures of neutralisation to which the dynastic suspects among +them are to be subject. It would mean a relinquishment of all those +undemocratic institutional survivals out of which international +grievances are wont to arise. As a certain Danish adage would have it, +the neutrals of the league must all be shorn over the same comb. + + * * * * * + +What is to be shorn over this one comb of neutralisation and democracy +is all those who go into the pacific league of neutrals and all who come +under its jurisdiction, whether of their own choice or by the +necessities of the case. It is of the substance of the case that those +peoples who have been employed in the campaigns of the German-Imperial +coalition are to come in on terms of impartial equality with those who +have held the ground against them; to come under the jurisdiction, and +prospectively into the copartnery, of the league of neutrals--all on the +presumption that the Imperial coalition will be brought to make peace on +terms of unconditional surrender. + +Let it not seem presumptuous to venture on a recital of summary +specifications intended to indicate the nature of those concrete +measures which would logically be comprised in a scheme of pacification +carried out with such a view to impartial equality among the peoples who +are to make up the projected league. There is a significant turn of +expression that recurs habitually in the formulation of terms put forth +by the spokesmen of the Entente belligerents, where it is insisted that +hostilities are carried on not against the German people or the other +peoples associated with them, but only against the Imperial +establishments and their culpable aids and abettors in the enterprise. +So it is further insisted that there is no intention to bring pains and +penalties on these peoples, who so have been made use of by their +masters, but only on the culpable master class whose tools these peoples +have been. And later, just now (January 1917), and from a responsible +and disinterested spokesman for the pacific league, there comes the +declaration that a lasting peace at the hands of such a league can be +grounded only in a present "peace without victory." + +The mutual congruity of these two declarations need not imply collusion, +but they are none the less complementary propositions and they are none +the less indicative of a common trend of convictions among the men who +are best able to speak for those pacific nations that are looked to as +the mainstay of the prospective league. They both converge to the point +that the objective to be achieved is not victory for the Entente +belligerents but defeat for the German-Imperial coalition; that the +peoples underlying the defeated governments are not to be dealt with as +vanquished enemies but as fellows in undeserved misfortune brought on by +their culpable masters; and that no advantage is designed to be taken of +these peoples, and no gratuitous hardship to be imposed on them. Their +masters are evidently to be put away, not as defeated antagonists but as +a public nuisance to be provided against as may seem expedient for the +peace and security of those nations whom they have been molesting. + +Taking this position as outlined, it should not be extremely difficult +to forecast the general line of procedure which it would logically +demand,--barring irrelevant regard for precedents and overheated +resentment, and provided that the makers of these peace terms have a +free hand and go to their work with an eye single to the establishment +of an enduring peace. The case of Germany would be typical of all the +rest; and the main items of the bill in this case would seem logically +to run somewhat as follows: + +(1) The definitive elimination of the Imperial establishment, together +with the monarchical establishments of the several states of the Empire +and the privileged classes; + +(2) Removal or destruction of all warlike equipment, military and naval, +defensive and offensive; + +(3) Cancelment of the public debt, of the Empire and of its +members--creditors of the Empire being accounted accessory to the +culpable enterprise of the Imperial government; + +(4) Confiscation of such industrial equipment and resources as have +contributed to the carrying on of the war, as being also accessory; + +(5) Assumption by the league at large of all debts incurred, by the +Entente belligerents or by neutrals, for the prosecution or by reason of +the war, and distribution of the obligation so assumed, impartially +among the members of the league, including the peoples of the defeated +nations; + +(6) Indemnification for all injury done to civilians in the invaded +territories; the means for such indemnification to be procured by +confiscation of all estates in the defeated countries exceeding a +certain very modest maximum, calculated on the average of property +owned, say, by the poorer three-fourths of the population,--the kept +classes being properly accounted accessory to the Empire's culpable +enterprise. + +The proposition to let the war debt be shared by all members of the +league on a footing of impartial equality may seem novel, and perhaps +extravagant. But all projects put forth for safeguarding the world's +peace by a compact among the pacific nations run on the patent, though +often tacit, avowal that the Entente belligerents are spending their +substance and pledging their credit for the common cause. Among the +Americans, the chief of the neutral nations, this is coming to be +recognised more and more overtly. So that, in this instance at least, no +insurmountable reluctance to take over their due share of the common +burden should fairly be looked for, particularly when it appears that +the projected league, if it is organised on a footing of neutrality, +will relieve the republic of virtually all outlay for their own defense. + +Of course, there is, in all this, no temerarious intention to offer +advice as to what should be done by those who have it to do, or even to +sketch the necessary course which events are bound to take. As has been +remarked in another passage, that would have to be a work of prophesy or +of effrontery, both of which, it is hoped, lie equally beyond the +horizon of this inquiry; which is occupied with the question of what +conditions will logically have to be met in order to an enduring peace, +not what will be the nature and outcome of negotiations entered into by +astute delegates pursuing the special advantage, each of his own nation. +And yet the peremptory need of reaching some practicable arrangement +whereby the peace may be kept, goes to say that even the most astute +negotiations will in some degree be controlled by that need, and may +reasonably be expected to make some approach to the simple and obvious +requirements of the situation. + + * * * * * + +Therefore the argument returns to the United Kingdom and the probable +limit of tolerance of that people, in respect of what they are likely to +insist on as a necessary measure of democratisation in the nations of +the second part, and what measure of national abnegation they are likely +to accommodate themselves to. The United Kingdom is indispensable to the +formation of a pacific league of neutrals. And the British terms of +adhesion, or rather of initiation of such a league, therefore, will have +to constitute the core of the structure, on which details may be +adjusted and to which concessive adjustments will have to be made by all +the rest. This is not saying that the projected league must or will be +dominated by the United Kingdom or administered in the British interest. +Indeed, it can not well be made to serve British particular interests in +any appreciable degree, except at the cost of defeat to its main +purpose; since the purposes of an enduring peace can be served only by +an effectual neutralisation of national claims and interests. But it +would mean that the neutralisation of national interests and +discriminations to be effected would have to be drawn on lines +acceptable to British taste in these matters, and would have to go +approximately so far as would be dictated by the British notions of what +is expedient, and not much farther. The pacific league of neutrals would +have much of a British air, but "British" in this connection is to be +taken as connoting the English-speaking countries rather than as +applying to the United Kingdom alone; since the entrance of the British +into the league would involve the entrance of the British colonies, and, +indeed, of the American republic as well. + +The temper and outlook of this British community, therefore, becomes a +matter of paramount importance in any attempted analysis of the +situation resulting after the war, or of any prospective course of +conduct to be entered on by the pacific nations. And the question +touches not so much the temper and preconceptions of the British +community as known in recent history, but rather as it is likely to be +modified by the war experience. So that the practicability of a neutral +league comes to turn, in great measure, on the effect which this war +experience is having on the habits of thought of the British people, or +on that section of the British population which will make up the +effectual majority when the war closes. The grave interest that attaches +to this question must serve as justification for pursuing it farther, +even though there can be no promise of a definite or confident answer to +be found beforehand. + +Certain general assertions may be made with some confidence. The +experiences of the war, particularly among the immediate participants +and among their immediate domestic connections--a large and increasing +proportion of the people at large--are plainly impressing on them the +uselessness and hardship of such a war. There can be no question but +they are reaching a conviction that a war of this modern kind and scale +is a thing to be avoided if possible. They are, no doubt, willing to go +to very considerable lengths to make a repetition of it impossible, and +they may reasonably be expected to go farther along that line before +peace returns. But the lengths to which they are ready to go may be in +the way of concessions, or in the way of contest and compulsion. There +need be no doubt but a profound and vindictive resentment runs through +the British community, and there is no reason to apprehend that this +will be dissipated in the course of further hostilities; although it +should fairly be expected to lose something of its earlier exuberant +malevolence and indiscrimination, more particularly if hostilities +continue for some time. It is not too much to expect, that this popular +temper of resentment will demand something very tangible in the way of +summary vengeance on those who have brought the hardships of war upon +the nation. + +The manner of retribution which would meet the popular demand for +"justice" to be done on the enemy is likely to be affected by the +fortunes of war, as also the incidence of it. Should the governmental +establishment and the discretion still vest in the gentlemanly classes +at the close of hostilities, the retribution is likely to take the +accustomed gentlemanly shape of pecuniary burdens imposed on the people +of the defeated country, together with diplomatically specified +surrender of territorial and colonial possessions, and the like; such as +to leave the _de facto_ enemy courteously on one side, and to yield +something in the way of pecuniary benefit to the gentlemen-investors in +charge, and something more in the way of new emoluments of office to the +office-holding class included in the same order of gentlemen. The +retribution in the case would manifestly fall on the underlying +population in the defeated country, without seriously touching the +responsible parties, and would leave the defeated nation with a new +grievance to nourish its patriotic animosity and with a new incentive +to a policy of watchful waiting for a chance of retaliation. + +But it is to be noted that under the stress of the war there is going +forward in the British community a progressive displacement of +gentlemanly standards and official procedure by standards and procedure +of a visibly underbred character, a weakening of the hold of the +gentlemanly classes on the control of affairs and a weakening of the +hold which the sacred rights of property, investment and privilege have +long had over the imagination of the British people. Should hostilities +continue, and should the exigencies of the war situation continue to +keep the futility of these sacred rights, as well as the fatuity of +their possessors, in the public eye, after the same fashion as hitherto, +it would not be altogether unreasonable to expect that the discretion +would pass into the hands of the underbred, or into the hands of men +immediately and urgently accountable to the underbred. In such a case, +and with a constantly growing popular realisation that the directorate +and responsible enemy in the war is the Imperial dynasty and its +pedigreed aids and abettors, it is conceivable that the popular +resentment would converge so effectually on these responsible +instigators and directors of misfortune as to bring the incidence of the +required retribution effectually to bear on them. The outcome might, not +inconceivably, be the virtual erasure of the Imperial dynasty, together +with the pedigreed-class rule on which it rests and the apparatus of +irresponsible coercion through which it works, in the Fatherland and in +its subsidiaries and dependencies. + +With a sufficiently urgent realisation of their need of peace and +security, and with a realisation also that the way to avoid war is to +avoid the ways and means of international jealousy and of the national +discriminations out of which international jealousy grows, it is +conceivable that a government which should reflect the British temper +and the British hopes might go so far in insisting on a neutralisation +of the peoples of the Fatherland as would leave them without the +dynastic apparatus with which warlike enterprise is set afoot, and so +leave them also perforce in a pacific frame of mind. In time, in the +absence of their dearly beloved leavings of feudalism, an enforced +reliance on their own discretion and initiative, and an enforced respite +from the rant and prance of warlike swagger, would reasonably be +expected to grow into a popular habit. The German people are by no means +less capable of tolerance and neighbourly decorum than their British or +Scandinavian neighbours of the same blood,--if they can only be left to +their own devices, untroubled by the maggoty conceit of national +domination. + +There is no intention herewith to express an expectation that this +out-and-out neutralisation of the Fatherland's international relations +and of its dynastic government will come to pass on the return of peace, +or that the German people will, as a precaution against recurrent +Imperial rabies, be organised on a democratic pattern by constraint of +the pacific nations of the league. The point is only that this measure +of neutralisation appears to be the necessary condition, in the absence +of which no such neutral league can succeed, and that so long as the war +goes on there is something of a chance that the British community may in +time reach a frame of mind combining such settled determination to +safeguard the peace at all costs, with such a degree of disregard for +outworn conventions, that their spokesmen in the negotiations may push +the neutralisation of these peoples to that length. + +The achievement of such an outcome would evidently take time as well as +harsh experience, more time and harsher experience, perhaps, than one +likes to contemplate. + +Most men, therefore, would scarcely rate the chance of such an outcome +at all high. And yet it is to be called to mind that the war has lasted +long and the effect of its demands and its experience has already gone +far, and that the longer it lasts the greater are the chances of its +prolongation and of its continued hardships, at least to the extent that +with every month of war that passes the prospect of the allied nations +making peace on any terms short of unconditional surrender grows less. +And unconditional surrender is the first step in the direction of an +unconditional dispossession of the Imperial establishment and its war +prophets,--depending primarily on the state of mind of the British +people at the time. And however unlikely, it is also always possible, as +some contend, that in the course of further war experience the common +man in the Fatherland may come to reflect on the use and value of the +Imperial establishment, with the result of discarding and disowning it +and all its works. Such an expectation would doubtless underrate the +force of ancient habit, and would also involve a misapprehension of the +psychological incidence of a warlike experience. The German people have +substantially none of those preconceptions of independence and +self-direction to go on, in the absence of which an effectual revulsion +against dynastic rule can not come to pass. + +Embedded in the common sense of the British population at large is a +certain large and somewhat sullen sense of fair dealing. In this they +are not greatly different from their neighbours, if at all, except that +the body of common sense in which this British sense of fair dealing +lies embedded is a maturer fashion of common sense than that which +serves to guide the workday life of many of their neighbours. And the +maturity in question appears to be chiefly a matter of their having +unlearned, divested themselves of, or been by force of disuse divested +of, an exceptionally large proportion of that burden of untoward +conceits which western Europe, and more particularly middle Europe, at +large has carried over from the Middle Ages. They have had time and +occasion to forget more of what the exigencies of modern life make it +expedient to have forgotten. And yet they are reputed slow, +conservative. But they have been well placed for losing much of what +would be well lost. + +Among other things, their preconception of national animosity is not +secure, in the absence of provocation. They are now again in a position +to learn to do without some of the useless legacy out of the +past,--useless, that is, for life as it runs today, however it may be +rated in the setting in which it was all placed in that past out of +which it has come. And the question is whether now, under the pressure +of exigencies that make for a disestablishment of much cumbersome +inherited apparatus for doing what need not be done, they will be ruled +by their sense of expediency and of fair dealing to the extent of +cancelling out of their own scheme of life so much of this legacy of +conventional preconceptions as has now come visibly to hinder their own +material well-being, and at the same time to defeat that peace and +security for which they have shown themselves willing to fight. It is, +of course, a simpler matter to fight than it is to put away a +preconceived, even if it is a bootless, superstition; as, e.g., the +prestige of hereditary wealth, hereditary gentility, national +vainglory, and perhaps especially national hatred. But if the school is +hard enough and the discipline protracted enough there is no reason in +the nature of things why the common run of the British people should not +unlearn these futilities that once were the substance of things under an +older and outworn order. They have already shown their capacity for +divesting themselves of outworn institutional bonds, in discarding the +main substance of dynastic rule; and when they now come to face the +exigencies of this new situation it should cause no great surprise if +they are able to see their way to do what further is necessary to meet +these exigencies. + + * * * * * + +At the hands of this British commonwealth the new situation requires the +putting away of the German Imperial establishment and the military +caste; the reduction of the German peoples to a footing of unreserved +democracy with sufficient guarantees against national trade +discriminations; surrender of all British tutelage over outlying +possessions, except what may go to guarantee their local autonomy; +cancelment of all extra-territorial pretensions of the several nations +entering into the league; neutralisation of the several national +establishments, to comprise virtual disarmament, as well as cancelment +of all restrictions on trade and of all national defense of +extra-territorial pecuniary claims and interests on the part of +individual citizens. The naval control of the seas will best be left in +British hands. No people has a graver or more immediate interest in the +freedom and security of the sea-borne trade; and the United Kingdom has +shown that it is to be trusted in that matter. And then it may well be +that neither the national pride nor the apprehensions of the British +people would allow them to surrender it; whereas, if the league is to +be formed it will have to be on terms to which the British people are +willing to adhere. A certain provision of armed force will also be +needed to keep the governments of unneutral nations in check,--and for +the purpose in hand all effectively monarchical countries are to be +counted as congenitally unneutral, whatever their formal professions and +whether they are members of the league or not. Here again it will +probably appear that the people of the United Kingdom, and of the +English-speaking countries at large, will not consent to this armed +force and its discretionary use passing out of British hands, or rather +out of French-British hands; and here again the practical decision will +have to wait on the choice of the British people, all the more because +the British community has no longer an interest, real or fancied, in the +coercive use of this force for their own particular ends. No other power +is to be trusted, except France, and France is less well placed for the +purpose and would assuredly also not covet so invidious an honour and so +thankless an office. + + * * * * * + +The theory, i.e. the logical necessities, of such a pacific league of +neutral nations is simple enough, in its elements. War is to be avoided +by a policy of avoidance. Which signifies that the means and the motives +to warlike enterprise and warlike provocation are to be put away, so far +as may be. If what may be, in this respect, does not come up to the +requirements of the case, the experiment, of course, will fail. The +preliminary requirement,--elimination of the one formidable dynastic +State in Europe,--has been spoken of. Its counterpart in the Far East +will cease to be formidable on the decease of its natural ally in +Central Europe, in so far as touches the case of such a projected +league. The ever increasingly dubious empire of the Czar would appear to +fall in the same category. So that the pacific league's fortunes would +seem to turn on what may be called its domestic or internal +arrangements. + +Now, the means of warlike enterprise, as well as of unadvised +embroilment, is always in the last analysis the patriotic spirit of the +nation. Given this patriotic spirit in sufficient measure, both the +material equipment and the provocation to hostilities will easily be +found. It should accordingly appear to be the first care of such a +pacific league to reduce the sources of patriotic incitement to the +practicable minimum. This can be done, in such measure as it can be done +at all, by neutralisation of national pretensions. The finished outcome +in this respect, such as would assure perpetual peace among the peoples +concerned, would of course be an unconditional neutralisation of +citizenship, as has already been indicated before. The question which, +in effect, the spokesmen for a pacific league have to face is as to how +nearly that outcome can be brought to pass. The rest of what they may +undertake, or may come to by way of compromise and stipulation, is +relatively immaterial and of relatively transient consequence. + +A neutralisation of citizenship has of course been afloat in a somewhat +loose way in the projects of socialistic and other "undesirable" +agitators, but nothing much has come of it. Nor have specific projects +for its realisation been set afoot. That anything conclusive along that +line could now be reached would seem extremely doubtful, in view of the +ardent patriotic temper of all these peoples, heightened just now by the +experience of war. Still, an undesigned and unguided drift in that +direction has been visible in all those nations that are accounted the +vanguard among modern civilised peoples, ever since the dynastic rule +among them began to be displaced by a growth of "free" institutions, +that is to say institutions resting on an accepted ground of +insubordination and free initiative. + +The patriotism of these peoples, or their national spirit, is after all +and at the best an attenuated and impersonalised remnant of dynastic +loyalty, and it amounts after all, in effect, to nothing much else than +a residual curtailment or partial atrophy of that democratic habit of +mind that embodies itself in the formula: Live and let live. It is, no +doubt, both an ancient and a very meritorious habit. It is easily +acquired and hard to put away. The patriotic spirit and the national +life (prestige) on which it centers are the subject of untiring eulogy; +but hitherto its encomiasts have shown no cause and put forward no claim +to believe that it all is of any slightest use for any purpose that does +not take it and its paramount merit for granted. It is doubtless a very +meritorious habit; at least so they all say. But under the circumstances +of modern civilised life it is fruitful of no other net material result +than damage and discomfort. Still it is virtually ubiquitous among +civilised men, and in an admirable state of repair; and for the +calculable future it is doubtless to be counted in as an enduring +obstacle to a conclusive peace, a constant source of anxiety and +unremitting care. + +The motives that work out through this national spirit, by use of this +patriotic ardor, fall under two heads: dynastic ambition, and business +enterprise. The two categories have the common trait that neither the +one nor the other comprises anything that is of the slightest material +benefit to the community at large; but both have at the same time a +high prestige value in the conventional esteem of modern men. The +relation of dynastic ambition to warlike enterprise, and the uses of +that usufruct of the nation's resources and man-power which the nation's +patriotism places at the disposal of the dynastic establishment, have +already been spoken of at length above, perhaps at excessive length, in +the recurrent discussion of the dynastic State and its quest of dominion +for dominion's sake. What measures are necessary to be taken as regards +the formidable dynastic States that threaten the peace, have also been +outlined, perhaps with excessive freedom. + +But it remains to call attention to that mitigated form of dynastic rule +called a constitutional monarchy. Instances of such a constitutional +monarchy, designed to conserve the well-beloved abuses of dynastic rule +under a cover of democratic formalities, or to bring in effectual +democratic insubordination under cover of the ancient dignities of an +outworn monarchical system,--the characterisation may run either way +according to the fancy of the speaker, and to much the same practical +effect in either case,--instances illustrative of this compromise +monarchy at work today are to be had, as felicitously as anywhere, in +the Balkan states; perhaps the case of Greece will be especially +instructive. At the other, and far, end of the line will be found such +other typical instances as the British, the Dutch, or, in pathetic and +droll miniature, the Norwegian. + +There is, of course, a wide interval between the grotesque effrontery +that wears the Hellenic crown and the undeviatingly decorous +self-effacement of the Dutch sovereign; and yet there is something of a +common complexion runs through the whole range of establishments, all +the way from the quasi-dynastic to the pseudo-dynastic. For reasons +unavoidable and persistent, though not inscribed in the constituent law, +the governmental establishment associated with such a royal concern will +be made up of persons drawn from the kept classes, the nobility or +lesser gentlefolk, and will be imbued with the spirit of these "better" +classes rather than that of the common run. + +With what may be uncanny shrewdness, or perhaps mere tropismatic +response to the unreasoned stimulus of a "consciousness of kind," the +British government--habitually a syndicate of gentlefolk--has uniformly +insisted on the installation of a constitutional monarchy at the +formation of every new national organisation in which that government +has had a discretionary voice. And the many and various constitutional +governments so established, commonly under British auspices in some +degree, have invariably run true to form, in some appreciable degree. +They may be quasi-dynastic or pseudo-dynastic, but at this nearest +approach to democracy they always, and unavoidably, include at least a +circumlocution office of gentlefolk, in the way of a ministry and court +establishment, whose place in the economy of the nation's affairs it is +to adapt the run of these affairs to the needs of the kept classes. + +There need be no imputation of sinister designs to these gentlefolk, who +so are elected by force of circumstances to guard and guide the nation's +interests. As things go, it will doubtless commonly be found that they +are as well-intentioned as need be. But a well-meaning gentleman of good +antecedents means well in a gentlemanly way and in the light of good +antecedents. Which comes unavoidably to an effectual bias in favor of +those interests which honorable gentlemen of good antecedents have at +heart. And among these interests are the interests of the kept classes, +as contrasted with that common run of the population from which their +keep is drawn. + +Under the auspices, even if they are only the histrionic and decorative +auspices, of so decorous an article of institutional furniture as +royalty, it follows of logical necessity that the personnel of the +effectual government must also be drawn from the better classes, whose +place and station and high repute will make their association with the +First Gentleman of the Realm not too insufferably incongruous. And then, +the popular habit of looking up to this First Gentleman with that +deference that royalty commands, also conduces materially to the +attendant habitual attitude of deference to gentility more at large. + +Even in so democratic a country, and with so exanimate a crown as is to +be found in the United Kingdom, the royal establishment visibly, and +doubtless very materially, conduces to the continued tenure of the +effectual government by representatives of the kept classes; and it +therefore counts with large effect toward the retardation of the +country's further move in the direction of democratic insubordination +and direct participation in the direction of affairs by the underbred, +who finally pay the cost. And on the other hand, even so moderately +royal an establishment as the Norwegian has apparently a sensible effect +in the way of gathering the reins somewhat into the hands of the better +classes, under circumstances of such meagerness as might be expected to +preclude anything like a "better" class, in the conventional acceptation +of that term. It would appear that even the extreme of pseudo-dynastic +royalty, sterilised to the last degree, is something of an effectual +hindrance to democratic rule, and in so far also a hindrance to the +further continued neutralisation of nationalist pretensions, as also an +effectual furtherance of upper-class rule for upper-class ends. + +Now, a government by well-meaning gentlemen-investors will, at the +nearest, come no nearer representing the material needs and interests of +the common run than a parable comes to representing the concrete facts +which it hopes to illuminate. And as bears immediately on the point in +hand, these gentlemanly administrators of the nation's affairs who so +cluster about the throne, vacant though it may be of all but the bodily +presence of majesty, are after all gentlemen, with a gentlemanly sense +of punctilio touching the large proprieties and courtesies of political +life. The national honor is a matter of punctilio, always; and out of +the formal exigencies of the national honor arise grievances to be +redressed; and it is grievances of this character that commonly afford +the formal ground of a breach of the peace. An appeal on patriotic +grounds of wounded national pride, to the common run who have no trained +sense of punctilio, by the gentlemanly responsible class who have such a +sense, backed by assurances that the national prestige or the national +interests are at stake, will commonly bring a suitable response. It is +scarcely necessary that the common run should know just what the stir is +about, so long as they are informed by their trusted betters that there +is a grievance to redress. In effect, it results that the democratic +nation's affairs are administered by a syndicate composed of the least +democratic class in the population. + +Excepting what is to be excepted, it will commonly hold true today that +these gentlemanly governments are conducted in a commendably clean and +upright fashion, with a conscious rectitude and a benevolent intention. +But they are after all, in effect, class governments, and they +unavoidably carry the bias of their class. The gentlemanly officials and +law-givers come, in the main, from the kept classes, whose living comes +to them in the way of income from investments, at home or in foreign +parts, or from an equivalent source of accumulated wealth or official +emolument. The bias resulting from this state of the case need not be of +an intolerant character in order to bring its modicum of mischief into +the national policy, as regards amicable relations with other +nationalities. A slight bias running on a ground of conscious right and +unbroken usage may go far. So, e.g., anyone of these gentlemanly +governments is within its legitimate rights, or rather within its +imperative duty, in defending the foreign investments of its citizens +and enforcing due payment of its citizens' claims to income or principal +of such property as they may hold in foreign parts; and it is within its +ordinary lines of duty in making use of the nation's resources--that is +to say of the common man and his means of livelihood--in enforcing such +claims held by the investing classes. The community at large has no +interest in the enforcement of such claims; it is evidently a class +interest, and as evidently protected by a code of rights, duties and +procedure that has grown out of a class bias, at the cost of the +community at large. + +This bias favoring the interests of invested wealth may also, and indeed +it commonly does, take the aggressive form of aggressively forwarding +enterprise in investment abroad, particularly in commercially backward +countries abroad, by extension of the national jurisdiction and the +active countenancing of concessions in foreign parts, by subventions, +or by creation of offices to bring suitable emoluments to the younger +sons of deserving families. The protective tariffs to which recourse is +sometimes had, are of the same general nature and purpose. Of course, it +is in this latter, aggressive or excursive, issue of the well-to-do bias +in favor of investment and invested wealth that its most pernicious +effect on international relations is traceable. + +Free income, that is to say income not dependent on personal merit or +exertion of any kind, is the breath of life to the kept classes; and as +a corollary of the "First Law of Nature," therefore, the invested wealth +which gives a legally equitable claim to such income has in their eyes +all the sanctity that can be given by Natural Right. Investment--often +spoken of euphemistically as "savings"--is consequently a meritorious +act, conceived to be very serviceable to the community at large, and +properly to be furthered by all available means. Invested wealth is so +much added to the aggregate means at the community's disposal, it is +believed. Of course, in point of fact, income from investment in the +hands of these gentlefolk is a means of tracelessly consuming that much +of the community's yearly product; but to the kept classes, who see the +matter from the point of view of the recipient, the matter does not +present itself in that light. To them it is the breath of life. Like +other honorable men they are faithful to their bread; and by authentic +tradition the common man, in whose disciplined preconceptions the kept +classes are his indispensable betters, is also imbued with the +uncritical faith that the invested wealth which enables these betters +tracelessly to consume a due share of the yearly product is an addition +to the aggregate means in hand. + +The advancement of commercial and other business enterprise beyond the +national frontiers is consequently one of the duties not to be +neglected, and with which no trifling can be tolerated. It is so bound +up with national ideals, under any gentlemanly government, that any +invasion or evasion of the rights of investors in foreign parts, or of +other business involved in dealings with foreign parts, immediately +involves not only the material interest of the nation but the national +honour as well. Hence international jealousies and eventual embroilment. + +The constitutional monarchy that commonly covers a modern democratic +community is accordingly a menace to the common peace, and any pacific +league of neutrals will be laying up trouble and prospective defeat for +itself in allowing such an institution to stand over in any instance. +Acting with a free hand, if such a thing were possible, the projected +league should logically eliminate all monarchical establishments, +constitutional or otherwise, from among its federated nations. It is +doubtless not within reason to look for such a move in the negotiations +that are to initiate the projected league of neutrals; but the point is +called to mind here chiefly as indicating one of the difficult passages +which are to be faced in any attempted formation of such a league, as +well as one of the abiding sources of international irritation with +which the league's jurisdiction will be burdened so long as a decisive +measure of the kind is not taken. + +The logic of the whole matter is simple enough, and the necessary +measures to be taken to remedy it are no less simple--barring +sentimental objections which will probably prove insuperable. A +monarchy, even a sufficiently inane monarchy, carries the burden of a +gentlemanly governmental establishment--a government by and for the +kept classes; such a government will unavoidably direct the affairs of +state with a view to income on invested wealth, and will see the +material interests of the country only in so far as they present +themselves under the form of investment and business enterprise designed +to eventuate in investment; these are the only forms of material +interest that give rise to international jealousies, discriminations and +misunderstanding, at the same time that they are interests of +individuals only and have no material use or value to the community at +large. Given a monarchical establishment and the concomitant gentlemanly +governmental corps, there is no avoiding this sinister prime mover of +international rivalry, so long as the rights of invested wealth continue +in popular apprehension to be held inviolable. + +Quite obviously there is a certain _tu quoque_ ready to the hand of +these "gentlemen of the old school" who see in the constitutional +monarchy a God-given shelter from the unreserved vulgarisation of life +at the hands of the unblest and unbalanced underbred and underfed. The +formally democratic nations, that have not retained even a +pseudo-dynastic royalty, are not much more fortunately placed in respect +of national discrimination in trade and investment. The American +republic will obviously come into the comparison as the type-form of +economic policy in a democratic commonwealth. There is little to choose +between the economic policy pursued by such republics as France or +America on the one side and their nearest counterparts among the +constitutional monarchies on the other. It is even to be admitted out of +hand that the comparison does no credit to democratic institutions as +seen at work in these republics. They are, in fact, somewhat the crudest +and most singularly foolish in their economic policy of any peoples in +Christendom. And in view of the amazing facility with which these +democratic commonwealths are always ready to delude themselves in +everything that touches their national trade policies, it is obvious +that any league of neutrals whose fortunes are in any degree contingent +on their reasonable compliance with a call to neutralise their trade +regulations for the sake of peace, will have need of all the persuasive +power it can bring to bear. + +However, the powers of darkness have one less line of defense to shelter +them and their work of malversation in these commonwealths than in the +constitutional monarchies. The American national establishment, e.g., +which may be taken as a fairly characteristic type-form in this bearing, +is a government of businessmen for business ends; and there is no tabu +of axiomatic gentility or of certified pedigree to hedge about this +working syndicate of business interests. So that it is all nearer by one +remove to the disintegrating touch of the common man and his commonplace +circumstances. The businesslike régime of these democratic politicians +is as undeviating in its advocacy and aid of enterprise in pursuit of +private gain under shelter of national discrimination as the +circumstances will permit; and the circumstances will permit them to do +much and go far; for the limits of popular gullibility in all things +that touch the admirable feats of business enterprise are very wide in +these countries. There is a sentimental popular belief running to the +curious effect that because the citizens of such a commonwealth are +ungraded equals before the law, therefore somehow they can all and +several become wealthy by trading at the expense of their neighbours. + +Yet, the fact remains that there is only the one line of defense in +these countries where the business interests have not the countenance of +a time-honored order of gentlefolk, with the sanction of royalty in the +background. And this fact is further enhanced by one of its immediate +consequences. Proceeding upon the abounding faith which these peoples +have in business enterprise as a universal solvent, the unreserved +venality and greed of their businessmen--unhampered by the gentleman's +_noblesse oblige_--have pushed the conversion of public law to private +gain farther and more openly here than elsewhere. The outcome has been +divers measures in restraint of trade or in furtherance of profitable +abuses, of such a crass and flagrant character that if once the popular +apprehension is touched by matter-of-fact reflection on the actualities +of this businesslike policy the whole structure should reasonably be +expected to crumble. If the present conjuncture of circumstances should, +e.g., present to the American populace a choice between exclusion from +the neutral league, and a consequent probable and dubious war of +self-defense, on the one hand; as against entrance into the league, and +security at the cost of relinquishing their national tariff in restraint +of trade, on the other hand, it is always possible that the people might +be brought to look their protective tariff in the face and recognise it +for a commonplace conspiracy in restraint of trade, and so decide to +shuffle it out of the way as a good riddance. And the rest of the +Republic's businesslike policy of special favors would in such a case +stand a chance of going in the discard along with the protective tariff, +since the rest is of substantially the same disingenuous character. + +Not that anyone need entertain a confident expectation of such an +exploit of common sense on the part of the American voters. There is +little encouragement for such a hope in their past career of gullibility +on this head. But this is again a point of difficulty to be faced in +negotiations looking to such a pacific league of neutrals. Without a +somewhat comprehensive neutralisation of national trade regulations, the +outlook for lasting peace would be reduced by that much; there would be +so much material for international jealousy and misunderstanding left +standing over and requiring continued readjustment and compromise, +always with the contingency of a breach that much nearer. The +infatuation of the Americans with their protective tariff and other +businesslike discriminations is a sufficiently serious matter in this +connection, and it is always possible that their inability to give up +this superstition might lead to their not adhering to this projected +neutral league. Yet it is at least to be said that the longer the time +that passes before active measures are taken toward the organisation of +such a league--that is to say, in effect, the longer the great war +lasts--the more amenable is the temper of the Americans likely to be, +and the more reluctantly would they see themselves excluded. Should the +war be protracted to some such length as appears to be promised by +latterday pronunciamentos from the belligerents, or to something +passably approaching such a duration; and should the Imperial designs +and anomalous diplomacy of Japan continue to force themselves on the +popular attention at the present rate; at the same time that the +operations in Europe continue to demonstrate the excessive cost of +defense against a well devised and resolute offensive; then it should +reasonably be expected that the Americans might come to such a +realisation of their own case as to let no minor considerations of trade +discrimination stand in the way of their making common cause with the +other pacific nations. + +It appears already to be realised in the most responsible quarter that +America needs the succor of the other pacific nations, with a need that +is not to be put away or put off; as it is also coming to be realised +that the Imperial Powers are disturbers of the peace, by force of their +Imperial character. Of course, the politicians who seek their own +advantage in the nation's embarrassment are commonly unable to see the +matter in that light. But it is also apparent that the popular sentiment +is affected with the same apprehension, more and more as time passes and +the aims and methods of the Imperial Powers become more patent. + +Hitherto the spokesmen of a pacific federation of nations have spoken +for a league of such an (indeterminate) constitution as to leave all the +federated nations undisturbed in all their conduct of their own affairs, +domestic or international; probably for want of second thought as to the +complications of copartnership between them in so grave and unwonted an +enterprise. They have also spoken of America's share in the project as +being that of an interested outsider, whose interest in any +precautionary measures of this kind is in part a regard for his own +tranquility as a disinterested neighbour, but in greater part a humane +solicitude for the well-being of civilised mankind at large. In this +view, somewhat self-complacent it is to be admitted, America is +conceived to come into the case as initiator and guide, about whom the +pacific nations are to cluster as some sort of queen-bee. + +Now, there is not a little verisimilitude in this conception of America +as a sort of central office and a tower of strength in the projected +federation of neutral nations, however pharisaical an appearance it may +all have in the self-complacent utterances of patriotic Americans. The +American republic is, after all, the greatest of the pacific nations of +Christendom, in resources, population and industrial capacity; and it is +also not to be denied that the temper of this large population is, on +the whole, as pacific as that of any considerable people--outside of +China. The adherence of the American republic would, in effect, double +the mass and powers of the projected league, and would so place it +beyond all hazard of defeat from without, or even of serious outside +opposition to its aims. + +Yet it will not hold true that America is either disinterested or +indispensable. The unenviable position of the indispensable belongs to +the United Kingdom, and carries with it the customary suspicion of +interested motives that attaches to the stronger party in a bargain. To +America, on the other hand, the league is indispensable, as a refuge +from otherwise inevitable dangers ahead; and it is only a question of a +moderate allowance of time for the American voters to realise that +without an adequate copartnership with the other pacific nations the +outlook of the Republic is altogether precarious. Single-handed, America +can not defend itself, except at a prohibitive cost; whereas in +copartnership with these others the national defense becomes a virtually +negligible matter. It is for America a choice between a policy of +extravagant armament and aggressive diplomacy, with a doubtful issue, on +the one side, and such abatement of national pretensions as would +obviate bootless contention, on the other side. + +Yet, it must be admitted, the patriotic temper of the American people is +of such a susceptible kind as to leave the issue in doubt. Not that the +Americans will not endeavor to initiate some form of compact for the +keeping of the peace, when hostilities are concluded; barring unforeseen +contingencies, it is virtually a foregone conclusion that the attempt +will be made, and that the Americans will take an active part in its +promotion. But the doubt is as to their taking such a course as will +lead to a compact of the kind needed to safeguard the peace of the +country. The business interests have much to say in the counsels of the +Americans, and these business interests look to short-term +gains--American business interests particularly--to be derived from the +country's necessities. It is likely to appear that the business +interests, through representatives in Congress and elsewhere, will +disapprove of any peace compact that does not involve an increase of the +national armament and a prospective demand for munitions and an +increased expenditure of the national funds. + +With or without the adherence of America, the pacific nations of Europe +will doubtless endeavour to form a league or alliance designed to keep +the peace. If America does not come into the arrangement it may well +come to nothing much more than a further continued defensive alliance of +the belligerent nations now opposed to the German coalition. In any case +it is still a point in doubt whether the league so projected is to be +merely a compact of defensive armament against a common enemy--in which +case it will necessarily be transient, perhaps ephemeral--or a more +inclusive coalition of a closer character designed to avoid any breach +of the peace, by disarmament and by disallowance and disclaimer of such +national pretensions and punctilio as the patriotic sentiment of the +contracting parties will consent to dispense with. The nature of the +resulting peace, therefore, as well as its chances of duration, will in +great measure be conditioned on the fashion of peace-compact on which it +is to rest; which will be conditioned in good part on the degree in +which the warlike coalition under German Imperial control is effectually +to be eliminated from the situation as a prospective disturber of the +peace; which, in turn, is a question somewhat closely bound up with the +further duration of the war, as has already been indicated in an earlier +passage. + + + + +CHAPTER VII + +PEACE AND THE PRICE SYSTEM + + +Evidently the conception of peace on which its various spokesmen are +proceeding is by no means the same for all of them. In the current +German conception, e.g., as seen in the utterances of its many and +urgent spokesmen, peace appears to be of the general nature of a truce +between nations, whose God-given destiny it is, in time, to adjust a +claim to precedence by wager of battle. They will sometimes speak of it, +euphemistically, with a view to conciliation, as "assurance of the +national future," in which the national future is taken to mean an +opportunity for the extension of the national dominion at the expense of +some other national establishment. In the same connection one may recall +the many eloquent passages on the State and its paramount place and +value in the human economy. The State is useful for disturbing the +peace. This German notion may confidently be set down as the lowest of +the current conceptions of peace; or perhaps rather as the notion of +peace reduced to the lowest terms at which it continues to be +recognisable as such. Next beyond in that direction lies the notion of +armistice; which differs from this conception of peace chiefly in +connoting specifically a definite and relatively short interval between +warlike operations. + +The conception of peace as being a period of preparation for war has +many adherents outside the Fatherland, of course. Indeed, it has +probably a wider vogue and a readier acceptance among men who interest +themselves in questions of peace and war than any other. It goes hand in +hand with that militant nationalism that is taken for granted, +conventionally, as the common ground of those international relations +that play a part in diplomatic intercourse. It is the diplomatist's +_métier_ to talk war in parables of peace. This conception of peace as a +precarious interval of preparation has come down to the present out of +the feudal age and is, of course, best at home where the feudal range of +preconceptions has suffered least dilapidation; and it carries the +feudalistic presumption that all national establishments are competitors +for dominion, after the scheme of Macchiavelli. The peace which is had +on this footing, within the realm, is a peace of subjection, more or +less pronounced according as the given national establishment is more or +less on the militant order; a warlike organisation being necessarily of +a servile character, in the same measure in which it is warlike. + +In much the same measure and with much the same limitations as the +modern democratic nations have departed from the feudal system of civil +relations and from the peculiar range of conceptions which characterise +that system, they have also come in for a new or revised conception of +peace. Instead of its being valued chiefly as a space of time in which +to prepare for war, offensive or defensive, among these democratic and +provisionally pacific nations it has come to stand in the common +estimation as the normal and stable manner of life, good and commendable +in its own right. These modern, pacific, commonwealths stand on the +defensive, habitually. They are still pugnaciously national, but they +have unlearned so much of the feudal preconceptions as to leave them in +a defensive attitude, under the watch-word: Peace with honour. Their +quasi-feudalistic national prestige is not to be trifled with, though it +has lost so much of its fascination as ordinarily not to serve the +purposes of an aggressive enterprise, at least not without some shrewd +sophistication at the hands of militant politicians and their diplomatic +agents. Of course, an exuberant patriotism may now and again take on the +ancient barbarian vehemence and lead such a provisionally pacific nation +into an aggressive raid against a helpless neighbour; but it remains +characteristically true, after all, that these peoples look on the +country's peace as the normal and ordinary course of things, which each +nation is to take care of for itself and by its own force. + +The ideal of the nineteenth-century statesmen was to keep the peace by a +balance of power; an unstable equilibrium of rivalries, in which it was +recognised that eternal vigilance was the price of peace by +equilibration. Since then, by force of the object-lesson of the +twentieth-century wars, it has become evident that eternal vigilance +will no longer keep the peace by equilibration, and the balance of power +has become obsolete. At the same time things have so turned that an +effective majority of the civilised nations now see their advantage in +peace, without further opportunity to seek further dominion. These +nations have also been falling into the shape of commonwealths, and so +have lost something of their national spirit. + +With much reluctant hesitation and many misgivings, the statesmen of +these pacific nations are accordingly busying themselves with schemes +for keeping the peace on the unfamiliar footing of a stable equilibrium; +the method preferred on the whole being an equilibration of +make-believe, in imitation of the obsolete balance of power. There is a +meticulous regard for national jealousies and discriminations, which it +is thought necessary to keep intact. Of course, on any one of these +slightly diversified plans of keeping the peace on a stable footing of +copartnery among the pacific nations, national jealousies and national +integrity no longer have any substantial meaning. But statesmen think +and plan in terms of precedent; which comes to thinking and planning in +terms of make-believe, when altered circumstances have made the +precedents obsolete. So one comes to the singular proposal of the +statesmen, that the peace is to be kept in concert among these pacific +nations by a provision of force with which to break it at will. The +peace that is to be kept on this footing of national discriminations and +national armaments will necessarily be of a precarious kind; being, in +effect, a statesmanlike imitation of the peace as it was once kept even +more precariously by the pacific nations in severalty. + +Hitherto the movement toward peace has not gone beyond this conception +of it, as a collusive safeguarding of national discrepancies by force of +arms. Such a peace is necessarily precarious, partly because armed force +is useful for breaking the peace, partly because the national +discrepancies, by which these current peace-makers set such store, are a +constant source of embroilment. What the peace-makers might logically be +expected to concern themselves about would be the elimination of these +discrepancies that make for embroilment. But what they actually seem +concerned about is their preservation. A peace by collusive neglect of +those remnants of feudalistic make-believe that still serve to divide +the pacific nations has hitherto not seriously come under advisement. + +Evidently, hitherto, and for the calculable future, peace is a relative +matter, a matter of more or less, whichever of the several working +conceptions spoken of above may rule the case. Evidently, too, a peace +designed to strengthen the national establishment against eventual war, +will count to a different effect from a collusive peace of a defensive +kind among the pacific peoples, designed by its projectors to conserve +those national discrepancies on which patriotic statesmen like to dwell. +Different from both would be the value of a peace by neglect of such +useless national discriminations as now make for embroilment. A +protracted season of peace should logically have a somewhat different +cultural value according to the character of the public policy to be +pursued under its cover. So that a safe and sane conservation of the +received law and order should presumably best be effected under cover of +a collusive peace of the defensive kind, which is designed to retain +those national discrepancies intact that count for so much in the +national life of today, both as a focus of patriotic sentiment and as an +outlet for national expenditures. This plan would involve the least +derangement of the received order among the democratic peoples, although +the plan might itself undergo some change in the course of time. + + * * * * * + +Among the singularities of the latterday situation, in this connection, +and brought out by the experiences of the great war, is a close +resemblance between latterday warlike operations and the ordinary +processes of industry. Modern warfare and modern industry alike are +carried on by technological processes subject to surveillance and +direction by mechanical engineers, or perhaps rather experts in +engineering science of the mechanistic kind. War is not now a matter of +the stout heart and strong arm. Not that these attributes do not have +their place and value in modern warfare; but they are no longer the +chief or decisive factors in the case. The exploits that count in this +warfare are technological exploits; exploits of technological science, +industrial appliances, and technological training. As has been remarked +before, it is no longer a gentlemen's war, and the gentleman, as such, +is no better than a marplot in the game as it is played. + +Certain consequences follow from this state of the case. Technology and +industrial experience, in large volume and at a high proficiency, are +indispensable to the conduct of war on the modern plan, as well as a +large, efficient and up-to-date industrial community and industrial +plant to supply the necessary material of this warfare. At the same time +the discipline of the campaign, as it impinges on the rank and file as +well as on the very numerous body of officers and technicians, is not at +cross purposes with the ordinary industrial employments of peace, or not +in the same degree as has been the case in the past, even in the recent +past. The experience of the campaign does not greatly unfit the men who +survive for industrial uses; nor does it come in as a sheer interruption +of their industrial training, or break the continuity of that range of +habits of thought which modern industry of the technological order +induces; not in the same degree as was the case under the conditions of +war as carried on in the nineteenth century. The cultural, and +particularly the technological, incidence of this modern warfare should +evidently be appreciably different from what has been experienced in the +past, and from what this past experience has induced students of these +matters to look for among the psychological effects of warlike +experience. + +It remains true that the discipline of the campaign, however impersonal +it may tend to become, still inculcates personal subordination and +unquestioning obedience; and yet the modern tactics and methods of +fighting bear somewhat more on the individual's initiative, discretion, +sagacity and self-possession than once would have been true. Doubtless +the men who come out of this great war, the common men, will bring home +an accentuated and acrimonious patriotism, a venomous hatred of the +enemies whom they have missed killing; but it may reasonably be doubted +if they come away with a correspondingly heightened admiration and +affection for their betters who have failed to make good as foremen in +charge of this teamwork in killing. The years of the war have been +trying to the reputation of officials and officers, who have had to meet +uncharted exigencies with not much better chance of guessing the way +through than their subalterns have had. + +By and large, it is perhaps not to be doubted that the populace now +under arms will return from the experience of the war with some net gain +in loyalty to the nation's honour and in allegiance to their masters; +particularly the German subjects,--the like is scarcely true for the +British; but a doubt will present itself as to the magnitude of this net +gain in subordination, or this net loss in self-possession. A doubt may +be permitted as to whether the common man in the countries of the +Imperial coalition, e.g., will, as the net outcome of this war +experience, be in a perceptibly more pliable frame of mind as touches +his obligations toward his betters and subservience to the irresponsible +authority exercised by the various governmental agencies, than he was at +the outbreak of the war. At that time, there is reason to believe, there +was an ominous, though scarcely threatening, murmur of discontent +beginning to be heard among the working classes of the industrial towns. +It is fair to presume, however, that the servile discipline of the +service and the vindictive patriotism bred of the fight should combine +to render the populace of the Fatherland more amenable to the +irresponsible rule of the Imperial dynasty and its subaltern royal +establishments, in spite of any slight effect of a contrary character +exercised by the training in technological methods and in self-reliance, +with which this discipline of the service has been accompanied. As to +the case of the British population, under arms or under compulsion of +necessity at home, something has already been said in an earlier +passage; and much will apparently depend, in their case, on the further +duration of the war. The case of the other nationalities involved, both +neutrals and belligerents, is even more obscure in this bearing, but it +is also of less immediate consequence for the present argument. + + * * * * * + +The essentially feudal virtues of loyalty and bellicose patriotism would +appear to have gained their great ascendency over all men's spirit +within the Western civilisation by force of the peculiarly consistent +character of the discipline of life under feudal conditions, whether in +war or peace; and to the same uniformity of these forces that shaped the +workday habits of thought among the feudal nations is apparently due +that profound institutionalisation of the preconceptions of patriotism +and loyalty, by force of which these preconceptions still hold the +modern peoples in an unbreakable web of prejudice, after the conditions +favoring their acquirement have in great part ceased to operate. These +preconceptions of national solidarity and international enmity have come +down from the past as an integral part of the unwritten constitution +underlying all these modern nations, even those which have departed most +widely from the manner of life to which the peoples owe these ancient +preconceptions. Hitherto, or rather until recent times, the workday +experience of these peoples has not seriously worked at cross purposes +with the patriotic spirit and its bias of national animosity; and what +discrepancy there has effectively been between the discipline of workday +life and the received institutional preconceptions on this head, has +hitherto been overborne by the unremitting inculcation of these virtues +by interested politicians, priests and publicists, who speak habitually +for the received order of things. + +That order of things which is known on its political and civil side as +the feudal system, together with that era of the dynastic States which +succeeds the feudal age technically so called, was, on its industrial or +technological side, a system of trained man-power organised on a plan of +subordination of man to man. On the whole, the scheme and logic of that +life, whether in its political (warlike) or its industrial doings, +whether in war or peace, runs on terms of personal capacity, proficiency +and relations. The organisation of the forces engaged and the +constraining rules according to which this organisation worked, were of +the nature of personal relations, and the impersonal factors in the case +were taken for granted. Politics and war were a field for personal +valor, force and cunning, in practical effect a field for personal force +and fraud. Industry was a field in which the routine of life, and its +outcome, turned on "the skill, dexterity and judgment of the individual +workman," in the words of Adam Smith. + +The feudal age passed, being done to death by handicraft industry, +commercial traffic, gunpowder, and the state-making politicians. But the +political States of the statemakers, the dynastic States as they may +well be called, continued the conduct of political life on the personal +plane of rivalry and jealousy between dynasties and between their +States; and in spite of gunpowder and the new military engineering, +warfare continued also to be, in the main and characteristically, a +field in which man-power and personal qualities decided the outcome, by +virtue of personal "skill, dexterity and judgment." Meantime industry +and its technology by insensible degrees underwent a change in the +direction of impersonalisation, particularly in those countries in which +state-making and its warlike enterprise had ceased, or were ceasing, to +be the chief interests and the controlling preconception of the people. + +The logic of the new, mechanical industry which has supplanted +handicraft in these countries, is a mechanistic logic, which proceeds in +terms of matter-of-fact strains, masses, velocities, and the like, +instead of the "skill, dexterity and judgment" of personal agents. The +new industry does not dispense with the personal agencies, nor can it +even be said to minimise the need of skill, dexterity and judgment in +the personal agents employed, but it does take them and their attributes +for granted as in some sort a foregone premise to its main argument. The +logic of the handicraft system took the impersonal agencies for granted; +the machine industry takes the skill, dexterity and judgment of the +workmen for granted. The processes of thought, and therefore the +consistent habitual discipline, of the former ran in terms of the +personal agents engaged, and of the personal relations of discretion, +control and subordination necessary to the work; whereas the +mechanistic logic of the modern technology, more and more consistently, +runs in terms of the impersonal forces engaged, and inculcates an +habitual predilection for matter-of-fact statement, and an habitual +preconception that the findings of material science alone are +conclusive. + +In those nations that have made up the advance guard of Western +civilisation in its movement out of feudalism, the disintegrating effect +of this matter-of-fact animus inculcated by the later state of the +industrial arts has apparently acted effectively, in some degree, to +discredit those preconceptions of personal discrimination on which +dynastic rule is founded. But in no case has the discipline of this +mechanistic technology yet wrought its perfect work or come to a +definitive conclusion. Meantime war and politics have on the whole +continued on the ancient plane; it may perhaps be fair to say that +politics has so continued because warlike enterprise has continued still +to be a matter of such personal forces as skill, dexterity and judgment, +valor and cunning, personal force and fraud. Latterly, gradually, but +increasingly, the technology of war, too, has been shifting to the +mechanistic plane; until in the latest phases of it, somewhere about the +turn of the century, it is evident that the logic of warfare too has +come to be the same mechanistic logic that makes the modern state of the +industrial arts. + +What, if anything, is due by consequence to overtake the political +strategy and the political preconceptions of the new century, is a +question that will obtrude itself, though with scant hope of finding a +ready answer. It may even seem a rash, as well as an ungraceful, +undertaking to inquire into the possible manner and degree of +prospective decay to which the received political ideals and virtues +would appear to be exposed by consequence of this derangement of the +ancient discipline to which men have been subjected. So much, however, +would seem evident, that the received virtues and ideals of patriotic +animosity and national jealousy can best be guarded against untimely +decay by resolutely holding to the formal observance of all outworn +punctilios of national integrity and discrimination, in spite of their +increasing disserviceability,--as would be done, e.g., or at least +sought to be done, in the installation of a league of neutral nations to +keep the peace and at the same time to safeguard those "national +interests" whose only use is to divide these nations and keep them in a +state of mutual envy and distrust. + + * * * * * + +Those peoples who are subject to the constraining governance of this +modern state of the industrial arts, as all modern peoples are in much +the same measure in which they are "modern," are, therefore, exposed to +a workday discipline running at cross purposes with the received law and +order as it takes effect in national affairs; and to this is to be added +that, with warlike enterprise also shifted to this same +mechanistic-technological ground, war can no longer be counted on so +confidently as before to correct all the consequent drift away from the +ancient landmarks of dynastic, pseudo-dynastic, and national enterprise +in dominion. + +As has been noted above, modern warfare not only makes use of, and +indeed depends on, the modern industrial technology at every turn of the +operations in the field, but it draws on the ordinary industrial +resources of the countries at war in a degree and with an urgency never +equalled. No nation can hope to make a stand in modern warfare, much +less to make headway in warlike enterprise, without the most +thoroughgoing exploitation of the modern industrial arts. Which +signifies for the purpose in hand that any Power that harbors an +imperial ambition must take measures to let its underlying population +acquire the ways and means of the modern machine industry, without +reservation; which in turn signifies that popular education must be +taken care of to such an extent as may be serviceable in this manner of +industry and in the manner of life which this industrial system +necessarily imposes; which signifies, of course, that only the +thoroughly trained and thoroughly educated nations have a chance of +holding their place as formidable Powers in this latterday phase of +civilisation. What is needed is the training and education that go to +make proficiency in the modern fashion of technology and in those +material sciences that conduce to technological proficiency of this +modern order. It is a matter of course that in these premises any +appreciable illiteracy is an intolerable handicap. So is also any +training which discourages habitual self-reliance and initiative, or +which acts as a check on skepticism; for the skeptical frame of mind is +a necessary part of the intellectual equipment that makes for advance, +invention and understanding in the field of technological proficiency. + +But these requirements, imperatively necessary as a condition of warlike +success, are at cross purposes with that unquestioning respect of +persons and that spirit of abnegation that alone can hold a people to +the political institutions of the old order and make them a willing +instrument in the hands of the dynastic statesmen. The dynastic State is +apparently caught in a dilemma. The necessary preparation for warlike +enterprise on the modern plan can apparently be counted on, in the long +run, to disintegrate the foundations of the dynastic State. But it is +only in the long run that this effect can be counted on; and it is +perhaps not securely to be counted on even in a moderately long run of +things as they have run hitherto, if due precautions are taken by the +interested statesmen,--as would seem to be indicated by the successful +conservation of archaic traits in the German peoples during the past +half century under the archaising rule of the Hohenzollern. It is a +matter of habituation, which takes time, and which can at the same time +be neutralised in some degree by indoctrination. + +Still, when all is told, it will probably have to be conceded that, +e.g., such a nation as Russia will fall under this rule of inherent +disability imposed by the necessary use of the modern industrial arts. +Without a fairly full and free command of these modern industrial +methods on the part of the Russian people, together with the virtual +disappearance of illiteracy, and with the facile and far-reaching system +of communication which it all involves, the Russian Imperial +establishment would not be a formidable power or a serious menace to the +pacific nations; and it is not easy to imagine how the Imperial +establishment could retain its hold and its character under the +conditions indicated. + +The case of Japan, taken by itself, rests on somewhat similar lines as +these others. In time, and in this case the time-allowance should +presumably not be anything very large, the Japanese people are likely to +get an adequate command of the modern technology; which would, here as +elsewhere, involve the virtual disappearance of the present high +illiteracy, and the loss, in some passable measure, of the current +superstitiously crass nationalism of that people. There are indications +that something of that kind, and of quite disquieting dimensions, is +already under way; though with no indication that any consequent +disintegrating habits of thought have yet invaded the sacred close of +Japanese patriotic devotion. + +Again, it is a question of time and habituation. With time and +habituation the emperor may insensibly cease to be of divine pedigree, +and the syndicate of statesmen who are doing business under his +signature may consequently find their measures of Imperial expansion +questioned by the people who pay the bills. But so long as the Imperial +syndicate enjoy their present immunity from outside obstruction, and can +accordingly carry on an uninterrupted campaign of cumulative predation +in Korea, China and Manchuria, the patriotic infatuation is less likely +to fall off, and by so much the decay of Japanese loyalty will be +retarded. Yet, even if allowed anything that may seem at all probable in +the way of a free hand for aggression against their hapless neighbours, +the skepticism and insubordination to personal rule that seems +inseparable in the long run from addiction to the modern industrial arts +should be expected presently to overtake the Japanese spirit of loyal +servitude. And the opportunity of Imperial Japan lies in the interval. +So also does the menace of Imperial Japan as a presumptive disturber of +the peace at large. + + * * * * * + +At the cost of some unavoidable tedium, the argument as regards these +and similar instances may be summarised. It appears, in the (possibly +doubtful) light of the history of democratic institutions and of modern +technology hitherto, as also from the logical character of this +technology and its underlying material sciences, that consistent +addiction to the peculiar habits of thought involved in its carrying on +will presently induce a decay of those preconceptions in which dynastic +government and national ambitions have their ground. Continued addiction +to this modern scheme of industrial life should in time eventuate in a +decay of militant nationalism, with a consequent lapse of warlike +enterprise. At the same time, popular proficiency in the modern +industrial arts, with all that that implies in the way of intelligence +and information, is indispensable as a means to any successful warlike +enterprise on the modern plan. The menace of warlike aggression from +such dynastic States, e.g., as Imperial Germany and Imperial Japan is +due to their having acquired a competent use of this modern technology, +while they have not yet had time to lose that spirit of dynastic loyalty +which they have carried over from an archaic order of things, out of +which they have emerged at a very appreciably later period (last half of +the nineteenth century) than those democratic peoples whose peace they +now menace. As has been said, they have taken over this modern state of +the industrial arts without having yet come in for the defects of its +qualities. This modern technology, with its underlying material +sciences, is a novel factor in the history of human culture, in that +addiction to its use conduces to the decay of militant patriotism, at +the same time that its employment so greatly enhances the warlike +efficiency of even a pacific people, at need, that they can not be +seriously molested by any other peoples, however valorous and numerous, +who have not a competent use of this technology. A peace at large among +the civilised nations, by loss of the militant temper through addiction +to this manner of arts of peace, therefore, carries no risk of +interruption by an inroad of warlike barbarians,--always provided that +those existing archaic peoples who might pass muster as barbarians are +brought into line with the pacific nations on a footing of peace and +equality. The disparity in point of outlook as between the resulting +peace at large by neglect of bootless animosities, on the one hand, and +those historic instances of a peaceable civilisation that have been +overwhelmed by warlike barbarian invasions, on the other hand, should be +evident. + + * * * * * + +It is always possible, indeed it would scarcely be surprising to find, +that the projected league of neutrals or of nations bent on peace can +not be brought to realisation at this juncture; perhaps not for a long +time yet. But it should at the same time seem reasonable to expect that +the drift toward a peaceable settlement of national discrepancies such +as has been visible in history for some appreciable time past will, in +the absence of unforeseen hindrances, work out to some such effect in +the course of further experience under modern conditions. And whether +the projected peace compact at its inception takes one form or another, +provided it succeeds in its main purpose, the long-term drift of things +under its rule should logically set toward some ulterior settlement of +the general character of what has here been spoken of as a peace by +neglect or by neutralisation of discrepancies. + +It should do so, in the absence of unforeseen contingencies; more +particularly if there were no effectual factor of dissension included in +the fabric of institutions within the nation. But there should also, +e.g., be no difficulty in assenting to the forecast that when and if +national peace and security are achieved and settled beyond recall, the +discrepancy in fact between those who own the country's wealth and those +who do not is presently due to come to an issue. Any attempt to forecast +the form which this issue is to take, or the manner, incidents, +adjuncts and sequelae of its determination, would be a bolder and a more +ambiguous, undertaking. Hitherto attempts to bring this question to an +issue have run aground on the real or fancied jeopardy to paramount +national interests. How, if at all, this issue might affect national +interests and international relations, would obviously depend in the +first instance on the state of the given national establishment and the +character of the international engagements entered into in the formation +of this projected pacific league. It is always conceivable that the +transactions involving so ubiquitous an issue might come to take on an +international character and that they might touch the actual or fanciful +interests of these diverse nations with such divergent effect as to +bring on a rupture of the common understanding between them and of the +peace-compact in which the common understanding is embodied. + + * * * * * + +In the beginning, that is to say in the beginnings out of which this +modern era of the Western civilisation has arisen, with its scheme of +law and custom, there grew into the scheme of law and custom, by settled +usage, a right of ownership and of contract in disposal of +ownership,--which may or may not have been a salutary institutional +arrangement on the whole, under the circumstances of the early days. +With the later growth of handicraft and the petty trade in Western +Europe this right of ownership and contract came to be insisted on, +standardised under legal specifications, and secured against molestation +by the governmental interests; more particularly and scrupulously among +those peoples that have taken the lead in working out that system of +free or popular institutions that marks the modern civilised nations. So +it has come to be embodied in the common law of the modern world as an +inviolable natural right. It has all the prescriptive force of legally +authenticated immemorial custom. + +Under the system of handicraft and petty trade this right of property +and free contract served the interest of the common man, at least in +much of its incidence, and acted in its degree to shelter industrious +and economical persons from hardship and indignity at the hands of their +betters. There seems reason to believe, as is commonly believed, that so +long as that relatively direct and simple scheme of industry and trade +lasted, the right of ownership and contract was a salutary custom, in +its bearing on the fortunes of the common man. It appears also, on the +whole, to have been favorable to the fuller development of the +handicraft technology, as well as to its eventual outgrowth into the new +line of technological expedients and contrivances that presently gave +rise to the machine industry and the large-scale business enterprise. + +The standard theories of economic science have assumed the rights of +property and contract as axiomatic premises and ultimate terms of +analysis; and their theories are commonly drawn in such a form as would +fit the circumstances of the handicraft industry and the petty trade, +and such as can be extended to any other economic situation by shrewd +interpretation. These theories, as they run from Adam Smith down through +the nineteenth century and later, appear tenable, on the whole, when +taken to apply to the economic situation of that earlier time, in +virtually all that they have to say on questions of wages, capital, +savings, and the economy and efficiency of management and production by +the methods of private enterprise resting on these rights of ownership +and contract and governed by the pursuit of private gain. It is when +these standard theories are sought to be applied to the later situation, +which has outgrown the conditions of handicraft, that they appear +nugatory or meretricious. The "competitive system" which these standard +theories assume as a necessary condition of their own validity, and +about which they are designed to form a defensive hedge, would, under +those earlier conditions of small-scale enterprise and personal contact, +appear to have been both a passably valid assumption as a premise and a +passably expedient scheme of economic relations and traffic. At that +period of its life-history it can not be said consistently to have +worked hardship to the common man; rather the reverse. And the common +man in that time appears to have had no misgivings about the excellence +of the scheme or of that article of Natural Rights that underlies it. + +This complexion of things, as touches the effectual bearing of the +institution of property and the ancient customary rights of ownership, +has changed substantially since the time of Adam Smith. The "competitive +system," which he looked to as the economic working-out of that "simple +and obvious system of natural liberty" that always engaged his best +affections, has in great measure ceased to operate as a routine of +natural liberty, in fact; particularly in so far as touches the fortunes +of the common man, the impecunious mass of the people. _De jure_, of +course, the competitive system and its inviolable rights of ownership +are a citadel of Natural Liberty; but _de facto_ the common man is now, +and has for some time been, feeling the pinch of it. It is law, and +doubtless it is good law, grounded in immemorial usage and authenticated +with statute and precedent. But circumstances have so changed that this +good old plan has in a degree become archaic, perhaps unprofitable, or +even mischievous, on the whole, and especially as touches the conditions +of life for the common man. At least, so the common man in these modern +democratic and commercial countries is beginning to apprehend the +matter. + +Some slight and summary characterisation of these changing circumstances +that have affected the incidence of the rights of property during modern +times may, therefore, not be out of place; with a view to seeing how far +and why these rights may be due to come under advisement and possible +revision, in case a state of settled peace should leave men's attention +free to turn to these internal, as contrasted with national interests. + +Under that order of handicraft and petty trade that led to the +standardisation of these rights of ownership in the accentuated form +which belongs to them in modern law and custom, the common man had a +practicable chance of free initiative and self-direction in his choice +and pursuit of an occupation and a livelihood, in so far as rights of +ownership bore on his case. At that period the workman was the main +factor in industry and, in the main and characteristically, the question +of his employment was a question of what he would do. The material +equipment of industry--the "plant," as it has come to be called--was +subject of ownership, then as now; but it was then a secondary factor +and, notoriously, subsidiary to the immaterial equipment of skill, +dexterity and judgment embodied in the person of the craftsman. The body +of information, or general knowledge, requisite to a workmanlike +proficiency as handicraftsman was sufficiently slight and simple to fall +within the ordinary reach of the working class, without special +schooling; and the material equipment necessary to the work, in the way +of tools and appliances, was also slight enough, ordinarily, to bring it +within the reach of the common man. The stress fell on the acquirement +of that special personal skill, dexterity and judgment that would +constitute the workman a master of his craft. Given a reasonable measure +of pertinacity, the common man would be able to compass the material +equipment needful to the pursuit of his craft, and so could make his way +to a livelihood; and the inviolable right of ownership would then serve +to secure him the product of his own industry, in provision for his own +old-age and for a fair start in behalf of his children. At least in the +popular conception, and presumably in some degree also in fact, the +right of property so served as a guarantee of personal liberty and a +basis of equality. And so its apologists still look on the institution. + +In a very appreciable degree this complexion of things and of popular +conceptions has changed since then; although, as would be expected, the +change in popular conceptions has not kept pace with the changing +circumstances. In all the characteristic and controlling lines of +industry the modern machine technology calls for a very considerable +material equipment; so large an equipment, indeed, that this plant, as +it is called, always represents a formidable amount of invested wealth; +and also so large that it will, typically, employ a considerable number +of workmen per unit of plant. On the transition to the machine +technology the plant became the unit of operation, instead of the +workman, as had previously been the case; and with the further +development of this modern technology, during the past hundred and fifty +years or so, the unit of operation and control has increasingly come to +be not the individual or isolated plant but rather an articulated group +of such plants working together as a balanced system and keeping pace in +common, under a collective business management; and coincidently the +individual workman has been falling into the position of an auxiliary +factor, nearly into that of an article of supply, to be charged up as an +item of operating expenses. Under this later and current system, +discretion and initiative vest not in the workman but in the owners of +the plant, if anywhere. So that at this point the right of ownership has +ceased to be, in fact, a guarantee of personal liberty to the common +man, and has come to be, or is coming to be, a guarantee of dependence. +All of which engenders a feeling of unrest and insecurity, such as to +instill a doubt in the mind of the common man as to the continued +expediency of this arrangement and of the prescriptive rights of +property on which the arrangement rests. + +There is also an insidious suggestion, carrying a sinister note of +discredit, that comes in from ethnological science at this point; which +is adapted still further to derange the common man's faith in this +received institution of ownership and its control of the material +equipment of industry. To students interested in human culture it is a +matter of course that this material equipment is a means of utilising +the state of the industrial arts; that it is useful in industry and +profitable to its owners only because and in so far as it is a creation +of the current technological knowledge and enables its owner to +appropriate the usufruct of the current industrial arts. It is likewise +a matter of course that this technological knowledge, that so enables +the material equipment to serve the purposes of production and of +private gain, is a free gift of the community at large to the owners of +industrial plant; and, under latterday conditions, to them exclusively. +The state of the industrial arts is a joint heritage of the community at +large, but where, as in the modern countries, the work to be done by +this technology requires a large material equipment, the usufruct of +this joint heritage passes, in effect, into the hands of the owners of +this large material equipment. + +These owners have, ordinarily, contributed nothing to the technology, +the state of the industrial arts, from which their control of the +material equipment of industry enables them to derive a gain. Indeed, no +class or condition of men in the modern community--with the possible +exception of politicians and the clergy--can conceivably contribute less +to the community's store of technological knowledge than the large +owners of invested wealth. By one of those singular inversions due to +production being managed for private gain, it happens that these +investors are not only not given to the increase and diffusion of +technological knowledge, but they have a well-advised interest in +retarding or defeating improvements in the industrial arts in detail. +Improvements, innovations that heighten productive efficiency in the +general line of production in which a given investment is placed, are +commonly to be counted on to bring "obsolescence by supersession" to the +plant already engaged in that line; and therefore to bring a decline in +its income-yielding capacity, and so in its capital or investment value. + +Invested capital yields income because it enjoys the usufruct of the +community's technological knowledge; it has an effectual monopoly of +this usufruct because this machine technology requires large material +appliances with which to do its work; the interest of the owners of +established industrial plant will not tolerate innovations designed to +supersede these appliances. The bearing of ownership on industry and on +the fortunes of the common man is accordingly, in the main, the bearing +which it has by virtue of its monopoly control of the industrial arts, +and its consequent control of the conditions of employment and of the +supply of vendible products. It takes effect chiefly by inhibition and +privation; stoppage of production in case it brings no suitable profit +to the investor, refusal of employment and of a livelihood to the +workmen in case their product does not command a profitable price in the +market. + +The expediency of so having the nation's industry managed on a footing +of private ownership in the pursuit of private gain, by persons who can +show no equitable personal claim to even the most modest livelihood, and +whose habitual method of controlling industry is sabotage--refusal to +let production go on except it affords them an unearned income--the +expediency of all this is coming to be doubted by those who have to pay +the cost of it. And it does not go far to lessen their doubts to find +that the cost which they pay is commonly turned to no more urgent or +useful purpose than a conspicuously wasteful consumption of +superfluities by the captains of sabotage and their domestic +establishments. + +This may not seem a veracious and adequate account of these matters; it +may, in effect, fall short of the formulation: The truth, the whole +truth, and nothing but the truth; nor does the question here turn on its +adequacy as a statement of fact. Without prejudice to the question of +its veracity and adequacy, it is believed to be such an account of these +matters as will increasingly come easy and seem convincing to the common +man who, in an ever increasing degree, finds himself pinched with +privation and insecurity by a run of facts which will consistently bear +this construction, and who perforce sees these facts from the prejudiced +standpoint of a loser. To such a one, there is reason to believe, the +view so outlined will seem all the more convincing the more attentively +the pertinent facts and their bearing on his fortunes are considered. +How far the contrary prejudice of those whose interest or training +inclines them the other way may lead them to a different construction of +these pertinent facts, does not concern the present argument; which has +to do with this run of facts only as they bear on the prospective frame +of mind of that unblest mass of the population who will have opportunity +to present their proposals when peace at large shall have put national +interests out of their preferential place in men's regard. + +At the risk of what may seem an excessively wide digression, there is +something further to be said of the capitalistic sabotage spoken of +above. The word has by usage come to have an altogether ungraceful air +of disapproval. Yet it signifies nothing more vicious than a deliberate +obstruction or retardation of industry, usually by legitimate means, for +the sake of some personal or partisan advantage. This morally colorless +meaning is all that is intended in its use here. It is extremely common +in all industry that is designed to supply merchantable goods for the +market. It is, in fact, the most ordinary and ubiquitous of all +expedients in business enterprise that has to do with supplying the +market, being always present in the businessman's necessary +calculations; being not only a usual and convenient recourse but quite +indispensable as an habitual measure of business sagacity. So that no +personal blame can attach to its employment by any given businessman or +business concern. It is only when measures of this nature are resorted +to by employees, to gain some end of their own, that such conduct +becomes (technically) reprehensible. + +Any businesslike management of industry is carried on for gain, which is +to be got only on condition of meeting the terms of the market. The +price system under which industrial business is carried on will not +tolerate production in excess of the market demand, or without due +regard to the expenses of production as determined by the market on the +side of the supplies required. Hence any business concern must adjust +its operations, by due acceleration, retardation or stoppage, to the +market conditions, with a view to what the traffic will bear; that is to +say, with a view to what will yield the largest obtainable net gain. So +long as the price system rules, that is to say so long as industry is +managed on investment for a profit, there is no escaping this necessity +of adjusting the processes of industry to the requirements of a +remunerative price; and this adjustment can be taken care of only by +well-advised acceleration or curtailment of the processes of industry; +which answers to the definition of sabotage. Wise business management, +and more particularly what is spoken of as safe and sane business +management, therefore, reduces itself in the main to a sagacious use of +sabotage; that is to say a sagacious limitation of productive processes +to something less than the productive capacity of the means in hand. + + * * * * * + +To anyone who is inclined to see these matters of usage in the light of +their history and to appraise them as phenomena of habituation, +adaptation and supersession in the sequence of cultural proliferation, +there should be no difficulty in appreciating that this institution of +ownership that makes the core of the modern institutional structure is +a precipitate of custom, like any other item of use and wont; and that, +like any other article of institutional furniture, it is subject to the +contingencies of supersession and obsolescence. If prevalent habits of +thought, enforced by the prevalent exigencies of life and livelihood, +come to change in such a way as to make life under the rule imposed by +this institution seem irksome, or intolerable, to the mass of the +population; and if at the same time things turn in such a way as to +leave no other and more urgent interest or exigency to take precedence +of this one and hinder its being pushed to an issue; then it should +reasonably follow that contention is due to arise between the unblest +mass on whose life it is a burden and the classes who live by it. But it +is, of course, impossible to state beforehand what will be the precise +line of cleavage or what form the division between the two parties in +interest will take. Yet it is contained in the premises that, barring +unforeseen contingencies of a formidable magnitude, such a cleavage is +due to follow as a logical sequel of an enduring peace at large. And it +is also well within the possibilities of the case that this issue may +work into an interruption or disruption of the peace between the +nations. + +In this connection it may be called to mind that the existing +governmental establishments in these pacific nations are, in all cases, +in the hands of the beneficiary, or kept classes,--beneficiaries in the +sense in which a distinction to that effect comes into the premises of +the case at this point. The responsible officials and their chief +administrative officers,--so much as may at all reasonably be called the +"Government" or the "Administration,"--are quite invariably and +characteristically drawn from these beneficiary classes; nobles, +gentlemen, or business men, which all comes to the same thing for the +purpose in hand; the point of it all being that the common man does not +come within these precincts and does not share in these counsels that +assume to guide the destiny of the nations. + +Of course, sporadically and ephemerally, a man out of the impecunious +and undistinguished mass may now and again find his way within the +gates; and more frequently will a professed "Man of the People" sit in +council. But that the rule holds unbroken and inviolable is sufficiently +evident in the fact that no community will let the emoluments of office +for any of its responsible officials, even for those of a very scant +responsibility, fall to the level of the habitual livelihood of the +undistinguished populace, or indeed to fall below what is esteemed to be +a seemly income for a gentleman. Should such an impecunious one be +thrown up into a place of discretion in the government, he will +forthwith cease to be a common man and will be inducted into the rank of +gentleman,--so far as that feat can be achieved by taking thought or by +assigning him an income adequate to a reputably expensive manner of +life. So obvious is the antagonism between a vulgar station in life and +a position of official trust, that many a "selfmade man" has advisedly +taken recourse to governmental position, often at some appreciable cost, +from no apparent motive other than its known efficacy as a Levitical +corrective for a humble origin. And in point of fact, neither here nor +there have the underbred majority hitherto learned to trust one of their +own kind with governmental discretion; which has never yet, in the +popular conviction, ceased to be a perquisite of the gently-bred and the +well-to-do. + +Let it be presumed that this state of things will continue without +substantial alteration, so far as regards the complexion of the +governmental establishments of these pacific nations, and with such +allowance for overstatement in the above characterisation as may seem +called for. These governmental establishments are, by official position +and by the character of their personnel, committed more or less +consistently to the maintenance of the existing law and order. And +should no substantial change overtake them as an effect of the war +experience, the pacific league under discussion would be entered into by +and between governments of this complexion. Should difficulties then +arise between those who own and those who do not, in any one of these +countries, it would become a nice question whether the compact to +maintain the peace and national integrity of the several nations +comprised in the league should be held to cover the case of internal +dissensions and possible disorders partaking of the character of revolt +against the established authorities or against the established +provisions of law. A strike of the scope and character of the one +recently threatened, and narrowly averted, on the American railroads, +e.g., might easily give rise to disturbances sufficiently formidable to +raise a question of the peace league's jurisdiction; particularly if +such a disturbance should arise in a less orderly and less isolated +country than the American republic; so as unavoidably to carry the +effects of the disturbance across the national frontiers along the lines +of industrial and commercial intercourse and correlation. It is always +conceivable that a national government standing on a somewhat +conservative maintenance of the received law and order might feel itself +bound by its conception of the peace to make common cause with the +keepers of established rights in neighboring states, particularly if +the similar interests of their own nation were thought to be placed in +jeopardy by the course of events. + +Antecedently it seems highly probable that the received rights of +ownership and disposal of property, particularly of investment, will +come up for advisement and revision so soon as a settled state of peace +is achieved. And there should seem to be little doubt but this revision +would go toward, or at least aim at the curtailment or abrogation of +these rights; very much after the fashion in which the analogous vested +rights of feudalism and the dynastic monarchy have been revised and in +great part curtailed or abrogated in the advanced democratic countries. +Not much can confidently be said as to the details of such a prospective +revision of legal rights, but the analogy of that procedure by which +these other vested rights have been reduced to a manageable disability, +suggests that the method in the present case also would be by way of +curtailment, abrogation and elimination. Here again, as in analogous +movements of disuse and disestablishment, there would doubtless be much +conservative apprehension as to the procuring of a competent substitute +for the supplanted methods of doing what is no longer desirable to be +done; but here as elsewhere, in a like conjuncture, the practicable way +out would presumably be found to lie along the line of simple disuse and +disallowance of class prerogative. Taken at its face value, without +unavoidable prejudice out of the past, this question of a substitute to +replace the current exploitation of the industrial arts for private gain +by capitalistic sabotage is not altogether above a suspicion of +drollery. + +Yet it is not to be overlooked that private enterprise on the basis of +private ownership is the familiar and accepted method of conducting +industrial affairs, and that it has the sanction of immemorial usage, in +the eyes of the common man, and that it is reenforced with the urgency +of life and death in the apprehension of the kept classes. It should +accordingly be a possible outcome of such a peace as would put away +international dissension, that the division of classes would come on in +a new form, between those who stand on their ancient rights of +exploitation and mastery, and those who are unwilling longer to submit. +And it is quite within the possibilities of the case that the division +of opinion on these matters might presently shift back to the old +familiar ground of international hostilities; undertaken partly to put +down civil disturbances in given countries, partly by the more archaic, +or conservative, peoples to safeguard the institutions of the received +law and order against inroads from the side of the iconoclastic ones. + + * * * * * + +In the apprehension of those who are speaking for peace between the +nations and planning for its realisation, the outlook is that of a +return to, or a continuance of, the state of things before the great war +came on, with peace and national security added, or with the danger of +war eliminated. Nothing appreciable in the way of consequent innovation, +certainly nothing of a serious character, is contemplated as being among +the necessary consequences of such a move into peace and security. +National integrity and autonomy are to be preserved on the received +lines, and international division and discrimination is to be managed as +before, and with the accustomed incidents of punctilio and pecuniary +equilibration. Internationally speaking, there is to dawn an era of +diplomacy without afterthought, whatever that might conceivably mean. + +There is much in the present situation that speaks for such an +arrangement, particularly as an initial phase of the perpetual peace +that is aimed at, whatever excursive variations might befall presently, +in the course of years. The war experience in the belligerent countries +and the alarm that has disturbed the neutral nations have visibly raised +the pitch of patriotic solidarity in all these countries; and patriotism +greatly favors the conservation of established use and wont; more +particularly is it favorable to the established powers and policies of +the national government. The patriotic spirit is not a spirit of +innovation. The chances of survival, and indeed of stabilisation, for +the accepted use and wont and for the traditional distinctions of class +and prescriptive rights, should therefore seem favorable, at any rate in +the first instance. + +Presuming, therefore, as the spokesmen of such a peace-compact are +singularly ready to presume, that the era of peace and good-will which +they have in view is to be of a piece with the most tranquil decades of +the recent past, only more of the same kind, it becomes a question of +immediate interest to the common man, as well as to all students of +human culture, how the common man is to fare under this régime of law +and order,--the mass of the population whose place it is to do what is +to be done, and thereby to carry forward the civilisation of these +pacific nations. It may not be out of place to recall, by way of +parenthesis, that it is here taken for granted as a matter of course +that all governmental establishments are necessarily conservative in all +their dealings with this heritage of culture, except so far as they may +be reactionary. Their office is the stabilisation of archaic +institutions, the measure of archaism varying from one to another. + +With due stabilisation and with a sagacious administration of the +established scheme of law and order, the common man should find himself +working under conditions and to results of the familiar kind; but with +the difference that, while legal usage and legal precedent remain +unchanged, the state of the industrial arts can confidently be expected +to continue its advance in the same general direction as before, while +the population increases after the familiar fashion, and the investing +business community pursues its accustomed quest of competitive gain and +competitive spending in the familiar spirit and with cumulatively +augmented means. Stabilisation of the received law and order will not +touch these matters; and for the present it is assumed that these +matters will not derange the received law and order. The assumption may +seem a violent one to the students of human culture, but it is a simple +matter of course to the statesmen. + +To this piping time of peace the nearest analogues in history would seem +to be the Roman peace, say, of the days of the Antonines, and passably +the British peace of the Victorian era. Changes in the scheme of law and +order supervened in both of these instances, but the changes were, after +all, neither unconscionably large nor were they of a subversive nature. +The scheme of law and order, indeed, appears in neither instance to have +changed so far as the altered circumstances would seem to have called +for. To the common man the Roman peace appears to have been a peace by +submission, not widely different from what the case of China has +latterly brought to the appreciation of students. The Victorian peace, +which can be appreciated more in detail, was of a more genial character, +as regards the fortunes of the common man. It started from a reasonably +low level of hardship and _de facto_ iniquity, and was occupied with +many prudent endeavours to improve the lot of the unblest majority; but +it is to be admitted that these prudent endeavours never caught up with +the march of circumstances. Not that these prudent measures of +amelioration were nugatory, but it is clear that they were not an +altogether effectual corrective of the changes going on; they were, in +effect, systematically so far in arrears as always to leave an uncovered +margin of discontent with current conditions. It is a fact of history +that very appreciable sections of the populace were approaching an +attitude of revolt against what they considered to be intolerable +conditions when that era closed. Much of what kept them within bounds, +that is to say within legal bounds, was their continued loyalty to the +nation; which was greatly, and for the purpose needfully, reenforced by +a lively fear of warlike aggression from without. Now, under the +projected _pax orbis terrarum_ all fear of invasion, it is hopefully +believed, will be removed; and with the disappearance of this fear +should also disappear the drag of national loyalty on the counsels of +the underbred. + +If this British peace of the nineteenth century is to be taken as a +significant indication of what may be looked for under a régime of peace +at large, with due allowance for what is obviously necessary to be +allowed for, then what is held in promise would appear to be an era of +unexampled commercial prosperity, of investment and business enterprise +on a scale hitherto not experienced. These developments will bring their +necessary consequences affecting the life of the community, and some of +the consequences it should be possible to foresee. The circumstances +conditioning this prospective era of peace and prosperity will +necessarily differ from the corresponding circumstances that +conditioned the Victorian peace, and many of these points of difference +it is also possible to forecast in outline with a fair degree of +confidence. It is in the main these economic factors going to condition +the civilisation of the promised future that will have to be depended on +to give the cue to any student interested in the prospective unfolding +of events. + +The scheme of law and order governing all modern nations, both in the +conduct of their domestic affairs and in their national policies, is in +its controlling elements the scheme worked out through British (and +French) experience in the eighteenth century and earlier, as revised and +further accommodated in the nineteenth century. Other peoples, +particularly the Dutch, have of course had their part in the derivation +and development of this modern scheme of institutional principles, but +it has after all been a minor part; so that the scheme at large would +not differ very materially, if indeed it should differ sensibly, from +what it is, even if the contribution of these others had not been had. +The backward nations, as e.g., Germany, Russia, Spain, etc., have of +course contributed substantially nothing but retardation and +maladjustment to this modern scheme of civil life; whatever may be due +to students resident in those countries, in the way of scholarly +formulation. This nineteenth century scheme it is proposed to carry over +into the new era; and the responsible spokesmen of the projected new +order appear to contemplate no provision touching this scheme of law and +order, beyond the keeping of it intact in all substantial respects. + +When and in so far as the projected peace at large takes effect, +international interests will necessarily fall somewhat into the +background, as being no longer a matter of precarious equilibration, +with heavy penalties in the balance; and diplomacy will consequently +become even more of a make-believe than today--something after the +fashion of a game of bluff played with irredeemable "chips." Commercial, +that is to say business, enterprise will consequently come in for a more +undivided attention and be carried on under conditions of greater +security and of more comprehensive trade relations. The population of +the pacified world may be expected to go on increasing somewhat as in +the recent past; in which connection it is to be remarked that not more +than one-half, presumably something less than one-half, of the available +agricultural resources have been turned to account for the civilised +world hitherto. The state of the industrial arts, including means of +transport and communication, may be expected to develop farther in the +same general direction as before, assuming always that peace conditions +continue to hold. Popular intelligence, as it is called,--more properly +popular education,--may be expected to suffer a further advance; +necessarily so, since it is a necessary condition of any effectual +advance in the industrial arts,--every appreciable technological advance +presumes, as a requisite to its working-out in industry, an augmented +state of information and of logical facility in the workmen under whose +hands it is to take effect. + +Of the prescriptive rights carried over into the new era, under the +received law and order, the rights of ownership alone may be expected to +have any material significance for the routine of workday life; the +other personal rights that once seemed urgent will for everyday purposes +have passed into a state of half-forgotten matter-of-course. As now, but +in an accentuated degree, the rights of ownership will, in effect, +coincide and coalesce with the rights of investment and business +management. The market--that is to say the rule of the price-system in +all matters of production and livelihood--may be expected to gain in +volume and inclusiveness; so that virtually all matters of industry and +livelihood will turn on questions of market price, even beyond the +degree in which that proposition holds today. The progressive extension +and consolidation of investments, corporate solidarity, and business +management may be expected to go forward on the accustomed lines, as +illustrated by the course of things during the past few decades. Market +conditions should accordingly, in a progressively increased degree, fall +under the legitimate discretionary control of businessmen, or syndicates +of businessmen, who have the disposal of large blocks of invested +wealth,--"big business," as it is called, should reasonably be expected +to grow bigger and to exercise an increasingly more unhampered control +of market conditions, including the money market and the labor market. + +With such improvements in the industrial arts as may fairly be expected +to come forward, and with the possible enhancement of industrial +efficiency which should follow from a larger scale of organisation, a +wider reach of transport and communication, and an increased +population,--with these increasing advantages on the side of productive +industry, the per-capita product as well as the total product should be +increased in a notable degree, and the conditions of life should +possibly become notably easier and more attractive, or at least more +conducive to efficiency and personal comfort, for all concerned. Such +would be the first and unguarded inference to be drawn from the premises +of the case as they offer themselves in the large; and something of that +kind is apparently what floats before the prophetic vision of the +advocates of a league of nations for the maintenance of peace at large. +These premises, and the inferences so drawn from them, may be further +fortified and amplified in the same sense on considering that certain +very material economies also become practicable, and should take effect +"in the absence of disturbing causes," on the establishment of such a +peace at large. It will of course occur to all thoughtful persons that +armaments must be reduced, perhaps to a minimum, and that the cost of +these things, in point of expenditures as well as of man-power spent in +the service, would consequently fall off in a corresponding measure. So +also, as slight further reflection will show, would the cost of the +civil service presumably fall off very appreciably; more particularly +the cost of this service per unit of service rendered. Some such climax +of felicities might be looked for by hopeful persons, in the absence of +disturbing causes. + +Under the new dispensation the standard of living, that is to say the +standard of expenditure, would reasonably be expected to advance in a +very appreciable degree, at least among the wealthy and well-to-do; and +by pressure of imitative necessity a like effect would doubtless also be +had among the undistinguished mass. It is not a question of the standard +of living considered as a matter of the subsistence minimum, or even a +standard of habitually prevalent creature comfort, particularly not +among the wealthy and well-to-do. These latter classes have long since +left all question of material comfort behind in their accepted standards +of living and in the continued advance of these standards. For these +classes who are often spoken of euphemistically as being "in easy +circumstances," it is altogether a question of a standard of reputable +expenditure, to be observed on pain of lost self-respect and of lost +reputation at large. As has been remarked in an earlier passage, wants +of this kind are indefinitely extensible. So that some doubt may well be +entertained as to whether the higher productive efficiency spoken of +will necessarily make the way of life easier, in view of this need of a +higher standard of expenditure, even when due account is taken of the +many economies which the new dispensation is expected to make +practicable. + +One of the effects to be looked for would apparently be an increased +pressure on the part of aspiring men to get into some line of business +enterprise; since it is only in business, as contrasted with the +industrial occupations, that anyone can hope to find the relatively +large income required for such an expensive manner of life as will bring +any degree of content to aspirants for pecuniary good repute. So it +should follow that the number of businessmen and business concerns would +increase up to the limit of what the traffic could support, and that the +competition between these rival, and in a sense over-numerous, concerns +would push the costs of competition to the like limit. In this respect +the situation would be of much the same character as what it now is, +with the difference that the limit of competitive expenditures would be +rather higher than at present, to answer to the greater available margin +of product that could be devoted to this use; and that the competing +concerns would be somewhat more numerous, or at least that the aggregate +expenditure on competitive enterprise would be somewhat larger; as, +e.g., costs of advertising, salesmanship, strategic litigation, +procuration of legislative and municipal grants and connivance, and the +like. + +It is always conceivable, though it may scarcely seem probable, that +these incidents of increased pressure of competition in business traffic +might eventually take up all the slack, and leave no net margin of +product over what is available under the less favorable conditions of +industry that prevail today; more particularly when this increased +competition for business gains is backed by an increased pressure of +competitive spending for purposes of a reputable appearance. All this +applies in retail trade and in such lines of industry and public service +as partakes of the nature of retail trade, in the respect that +salesmanship and the costs of salesmanship enter into their case in an +appreciable measure; this is an extensive field, it is true, and +incontinently growing more extensive with the later changes in the +customary methods of marketing products; but it is by no means anything +like the whole domain of industrial business, and by no means a field in +which business is carried on without interference of a higher control +from outside its own immediate limits. + +All this generously large and highly expensive and profitable field of +trade and of trade-like industry, in which the businessmen in charge +deal somewhat directly with a large body of customers, is always subject +to limitations imposed by the condition of the market; and the condition +of the market is in part not under the control of these businessmen, but +is also in part controlled by large concerns in the background; which in +their turn are after all also not precisely free agents; in fact not +much more so than their cousins in the retail trade, being confined in +all their motions by the constraint of the price-system that dominates +the whole and gathers them all in its impersonal and inexorable net. + +There is a colloquial saying among businessmen, that they are not doing +business for their health; which being interpreted means that they are +doing business for a price. It is out of a discrepancy in price, between +purchase and sale, or between transactions which come to the same result +as purchase and sale, that the gains of business are drawn; and it is in +terms of price that these gains are rated, amassed and funded. It is +necessary, for a business concern to achieve a favorable balance in +terms of price; and the larger the balance in terms of price the more +successful the enterprise. Such a balance can not be achieved except by +due regard to the conditions of the market, to the effect that dealings +must not go on beyond what will yield a favorable balance in terms of +price between income and outgo. As has already been remarked above, the +prescriptive and indispensable recourse in all this conduct of business +is sabotage, limitation of supply to bring a remunerative price result. + +The new dispensation offers two new factors bearing on this businesslike +need of a sagacious sabotage, or rather it brings a change of +coefficients in two factors already familiar in business management: a +greater need, for gainful business, of resorting to such limitation of +traffic; and a greater facility of ways and means for enforcing the +needed restriction. So, it is confidently to be expected that in the +prospective piping time of peace the advance in the industrial arts will +continue at an accelerated rate; which may confidently be expected to +affect the practicable increased production of merchantable goods; from +which it follows that it will act to depress the prices of these goods; +from which it follows that if a profitable business is to be done in the +conduct of productive industry a greater degree of continence than +before will have to be exercised in order not to let prices fall to an +unprofitable figure; that is to say, the permissible output must be held +short of the productive capacity of such industry by a wider margin than +before. On the other hand, it is well known out of the experience of the +past few decades that a larger coalition of invested capital, +controlling a larger proportion of the output, can more effectually +limit the supply to a salutary maximum, such as will afford reasonable +profits. And with the new dispensation affording a freer scope for +business enterprise on conditions of greater security, larger coalitions +than before are due to come into bearing. So that the means will be at +hand competently to meet this more urgent need of a stricter limitation +of the output, in spite of any increased productive capacity conferred +on the industrial community by any conceivable advance in the industrial +arts. The outcome to be looked for should apparently be such an +effectual recourse to capitalistic sabotage as will neutralise any added +advantage that might otherwise accrue to the community from its +continued improvements in technology. + +In spite of this singularly untoward conjuncture of circumstances to be +looked for, there need be no serious apprehension that capitalistic +sabotage, with a view to maintaining prices and the rate of profits, +will go all the way, to the result indicated, at least not on the +grounds so indicated alone. There is in the modern development of +technology, and confidently to be counted on, a continued flow of new +contrivances and expedients designed to supersede the old; and these are +in fact successful, in greater or less measure, in finding their way +into profitable use, on such terms as to displace older appliances, +underbid them in the market, and render them obsolete or subject to +recapitalisation on a lowered earning-capacity. So far as this +unremitting flow of innovations has its effect, that is to say so far as +it can not be hindered from having an effect, it acts to lower the +effectual cost of products to the consumer. This effect is but a partial +and somewhat uncertain one, but it is always to be counted in as a +persistent factor, of uncertain magnitude, that will affect the results +in the long run. + +As has just been spoken of above, large coalitions of invested wealth +are more competent to maintain, or if need be to advance, prices than +smaller coalitions acting in severalty, or even when acting in +collusion. This state of the case has been well illustrated by the very +successful conduct of such large business organisations during the past +few decades; successful, that is, in earning large returns on the +investments engaged. Under the new dispensation, as has already been +remarked, coalitions should reasonably be expected to grow to a larger +size and achieve a greater efficiency for the same purpose. + +The large gains of the large corporate coalitions are commonly ascribed +by their promoters, and by sympathetic theoreticians of the ancient +line, to economies of production made practicable by a larger scale of +production; an explanation which is disingenuous only so far as it needs +be. What is more visibly true on looking into the workings of these +coalitions in detail is that they are enabled to maintain prices at a +profitable, indeed at a strikingly profitable, level by such a control +of the output as would be called sabotage if it were put in practice by +interested workmen with a view to maintain wages. The effects of this +sagacious sabotage become visible in the large earnings of these +investments and the large gains which, now and again, accrue to their +managers. Large fortunes commonly are of this derivation. + +In cases where no recapitalisation has been effected for a considerable +series of years the yearly earnings of such businesslike coalitions have +been known to approach fifty percent on the capitalised value. Commonly, +however, when earnings rise to a striking figure, the business will be +recapitalised on the basis of its earning-capacity, by issue of a stock +dividend, by reincorporation in a new combination with an increased +capitalisation, and the like. Such augmentation of capital not unusually +has been spoken of by theoretical writers and publicists as an increase +of the community's wealth, due to savings; an analysis of any given case +is likely to show that its increased capital value represents an +increasingly profitable procedure for securing a high price above cost, +by stopping the available output short of the productive capacity of the +industries involved. Loosely speaking, and within the limits of what the +traffic will bear, the gains in such a case are proportioned to the +deficiency by which the production or supply under control falls short +of productive capacity. So that the capitalisation in the case comes to +bear a rough proportion to the material loss which this organisation of +sabotage is enabled to inflict on the community at large; and instead of +its being a capitalisation of serviceable means of production it may, +now and again, come to little else than a capitalisation of chartered +sabotage. + +Under the new dispensation of peace and security at large this manner of +capitalisation and business enterprise might reasonably be expected to +gain something in scope and security of operation. Indeed, there are few +things within the range of human interest on which an opinion may more +confidently be formed beforehand. If the rights of property, in their +extent and amplitude, are maintained intact as they are before the law +today, the hold which business enterprise on the large scale now has on +the affairs and fortunes of the community at large is bound to grow +firmer and to be used more unreservedly for private advantage under the +new conditions contemplated. + +The logical result should be an accelerated rate of accumulation of the +country's wealth in the hands of a relatively very small class of +wealthy owners, with a relatively inconsiderable semi-dependent middle +class of the well-to-do, and with the mass of the population even more +nearly destitute than they are today. At the same time it is scarcely to +be avoided that this wholly dependent and impecunious mass of the +population must be given an appreciably better education than they have +today. The argument will return to the difficulties that are liable to +arise out of this conjuncture of facts, in the way of discontent and +possible disturbance. + + * * * * * + +Meantime, looking to the promise of the pacific future in the light of +the pacific past, certain further consequences, particularly +consequences of the economic order, that may reasonably be expected to +follow will also merit attention. The experience of the Victorian peace +is almost as pointed in its suggestion on this head as if it had been an +experiment made _ad hoc_; but with the reservation that the scale of +economic life, after all, was small in the Victorian era, and its pace +was slack, compared with what the twentieth century should have to offer +under suitable conditions of peace and pecuniary security. In the light +of this most instructive modern instance, there should appear to be in +prospect a growth of well-bred families resting on invested wealth and +so living on unearned incomes; larger incomes and consequently a more +imposingly well-bred body of gentlefolk, sustained and vouched for by a +more munificent expenditure on superfluities, than the modern world has +witnessed hitherto. Doubtless the resulting growth of gentlemen and +gentlewomen would be as perfect after their kind as these unexampled +opportunities of gentle breeding might be expected to engender; so that +even their British precursors on the trail of respectability would fall +somewhat into insignificance by comparison, whether in respect of +gentlemanly qualities or in point of cost per unit. + +The moral, and even more particularly the aesthetic, value of such a +line of gentlefolk, and of the culture which they may be expected to +place on view,--this cultural side of the case, of course, is what one +would prefer to dwell on, and on the spiritual gains that might be +expected to accrue to humanity at large from the steady contemplation of +this meritorious respectability so displayed at such a cost. + +But the prosaic necessity of the argument turns back to the economic and +civil bearing of this prospective development, this virtual bifurcation +of the pacified nation into a small number of gentlemen who own the +community's wealth and consume its net product in the pursuit of +gentility, on the one hand, and an unblest mass of the populace who do +the community's work on a meager livelihood tapering down toward the +subsistence minimum, on the other hand. Evidently, this prospective +posture of affairs may seem "fraught with danger to the common weal," as +a public spirited citizen might phrase it. Or, as it would be expressed +in less eloquent words, it appears to comprise elements that should +make for a change. At the same time it should be recalled, and the +statement will command assent on slight reflection, that there is no +avoiding substantially such a posture of affairs under the promised +régime of peace and security, provided only that the price-system stands +over intact, and the current rights of property continue to be held +inviolate. If the known principles of competitive gain and competitive +spending should need enforcement to that effect by an illustrative +instance, the familiar history of the Victorian peace is sufficient to +quiet all doubts. + +Of course, the resulting articulation of classes in the community will +not be expected to fall into such simple lines of sheer contrast as this +scheme would indicate. The class of gentlefolk, the legally constituted +wasters, as they would be rated from the economic point of view, can not +be expected personally to take care of so large a consumption of +superfluities as this posture of affairs requires at their hands. They +would, as the Victorian peace teaches, necessarily have the assistance +of a trained corps of experts in unproductive consumption, the first and +most immediate of whom would be those whom the genial phrasing of Adam +Smith designates "menial servants." Beyond these would come the +purveyors of superfluities, properly speaking, and the large, indeed +redundant, class of tradespeople of high and low degree,--dependent in +fact but with an illusion of semi-dependence; and farther out again the +legal and other professional classes of the order of stewards, whose +duty it will be to administer the sources of income and receive, +apportion and disburse the revenues so devoted to a traceless +extinguishment. + +There would, in other words, be something of a "substantial middle +class," dependent on the wealthy and on their expenditure of wealth, but +presumably imbued with the Victorian middle-class illusion that they are +of some account in their own right. Under the due legal forms and +sanctions this, somewhat voluminous, middle-class population would +engage in the traffic which is their perquisite, and would continue to +believe, in some passable fashion, that they touch the substance of +things at something nearer than the second remove. They would in great +part appear to be people of "independent means," and more particularly +would they continue in the hope of so appearing and of some time making +good the appearance. Hence their fancied, and therefore their +sentimental, interest would fall out on the side of the established law +and order; and they would accordingly be an element of stability in the +commonwealth, and would throw in their weight, and their voice, to +safeguard that private property and that fabric of prices and credit +through which the "income stream" flows to the owners of preponderant +invested wealth. + +Judged on the state of the situation as it runs in our time, and +allowing for the heightened efficiency of large-scale investment and +consolidated management under the prospective conditions of added +pecuniary security, it is to be expected that the middle-class +population with "independent means" should come in for a somewhat meager +livelihood, provided that they work faithfully at their business of +managing pecuniary traffic to the advantage of their pecuniary +betters,--meager, that is to say, when allowance is made for the +conventionally large expenditure on reputable appearances which is +necessarily to be included in their standard of living. It lies in the +nature of this system of large-scale investment and enterprise that the +(pecuniarily) minor agencies engaged on a footing of ostensible +independence will come in for only such a share in the aggregate gains +of the community as it is expedient for the greater business interests +to allow them as an incentive to go on with their work as purveyors of +traffic to these greater business interests. + +The current, and still more this prospective, case of the +quasi-self-directing middle class may fairly be illustrated by the case +of the American farmers, of the past and present. The American farmer +rejoices to be called "The Independent Farmer." He once was independent, +in a meager and toil-worn fashion, in the days before the price-system +had brought him and all his works into the compass of the market; but +that was some time ago. He now works for the market, ordinarily at +something like what is called a "living wage," provided he has +"independent means" enough to enable him by steady application to earn a +living wage; and of course, the market being controlled by the paramount +investment interests in the background, his work, in effect, inures to +their benefit; except so much as it may seem necessary to allow him as +incentive to go on. Also of course, these paramount investment interests +are in turn controlled in all their manoeuvres by the impersonal +exigencies of the price-system, which permits no vagaries in violation +of the rule that all traffic must show a balance of profit in terms of +price. + +The Independent Farmer still continues to believe that in some occult +sense he still is independent in what he will do and what not; or +perhaps rather that he can by shrewd management retain or regain a +tolerable measure of such independence, after the fashion of what is +held to have been the posture of affairs in the days before the coming +of corporation finance; or at least he believes that he ought to have, +or to regain or reclaim, some appreciable measure of such independence; +which ought then, by help of the "independent means" which he still +treasures, to procure him an honest and assured livelihood in return for +an honest year's work. Latterly he, that is the common run of the +farmers, has been taking note of the fact that he is, as he apprehends +it, at a disadvantage in the market; and he is now taking recourse to +concerted action for the purpose of what might be called "rigging the +market" to his own advantage. In this he overlooks the impregnable +position which the party of the second part, the great investment +interests, occupy; in fact, he is counting without his host. Hitherto he +has not been convinced of his own helplessness. And with a fine fancy he +still imagines that his own interest is on the side of the propertied +and privileged classes; so that the farmer constituency is the chief +pillar of conservative law and order, particularly in all that touches +the inviolable rights of property and at every juncture where a division +comes on between those who live by investment and those who live by +work. In pecuniary effect, the ordinary American farmer, who legally +owns a moderate farm of the common sort, belongs among those who work +for a livelihood; such a livelihood as the investment interests find it +worth while to allow him under the rule of what the traffic will bear; +but in point of sentiment and class consciousness he clings to a belated +stand on the side of those who draw a profit from his work. + +So it is also with the menial servants and the middle-class people of +"independent means," who are, however, in a position to see more clearly +their dependence on the owners of predominant wealth. And such, with a +further accentuation of the anomaly, may reasonably be expected to be +the further run of these relations under the promised régime of peace +and security. The class of well-kept gentlefolk will scarcely be called +on to stand alone, in case of a division between those who live by +investment and those who live by work; inasmuch as, for the calculable +future, it should seem a reasonable expectation that this very +considerable fringe of dependents and pseudo-independents will abide by +their time-tried principles of right and honest living, through good +days and evil, and cast in their lot unreservedly with that reputable +body to whom the control of trade and industry by investment assigns the +usufruct of the community's productive powers. + + * * * * * + +Something has already been said of the prospective breeding of pedigreed +gentlefolk under the projected régime of peace. Pedigree, for the +purpose in hand, is a pecuniary attribute and is, of course, a product +of funded wealth, more or less ancient. Virtually ancient pedigree can +be procured by well-advised expenditure on the conspicuous amenities; +that is to say pedigree effectually competent as a background of current +gentility. Gentlefolk of such syncopated pedigree may have to walk +circumspectly, of course; but their being in this manner put on their +good behavior should tend to heighten their effectual serviceability as +gentlefolk, by inducing a single-mindedness of gentility beyond what can +fairly be expected of those who are already secure in their tenure. + +Except conventionally, there is no hereditary difference between the +standard gentlefolk and, say, their "menial servants," or the general +population of the farms and the industrial towns. This is a +well-established commonplace among ethnological students; which has, of +course, nothing to say with respect to the conventionally distinct lines +of descent of the "Best Families." These Best Families are nowise +distinguishable from the common run in point of hereditary traits; the +difference that makes the gentleman and the gentlewoman being wholly a +matter of habituation during the individual's life-time. It is something +of a distasteful necessity to call attention to this total absence of +native difference between the well-born and the common, but it is a +necessity of the argument in hand, and the recalling of it may, +therefore, be overlooked for once in a way. There is no harm and no +annoyance intended. The point of it all is that, on the premises which +this state of the case affords, the body of gentlefolk created by such +an accumulation of invested wealth will have no less of an effectual +cultural value than they would have had if their virtually ancient +pedigree had been actual. + +At this point, again, the experience of the Victorian peace and the +functioning of its gentlefolk come in to indicate what may fairly be +hoped for in this way under this prospective régime of peace at large. +But with the difference that the scale of things is to be larger, the +pace swifter, and the volume and dispersion of this prospective leisure +class somewhat wider. The work of this leisure class--and there is +neither paradox nor inconsistency in the phrase--should be patterned on +the lines worked out by their prototypes of the Victorian time, but with +some appreciable accentuation in the direction of what chiefly +characterised the leisure class of that era of tranquility. The +characteristic feature to which attention naturally turns at this +suggestion is the tranquility that has marked that body of gentlefolk +and their code of clean and honest living. Another word than +"tranquility" might be hit upon to designate this characteristic animus, +but any other word that should at all adequately serve the turn would +carry a less felicitous suggestion of those upper-class virtues that +have constituted the substantial worth of the Victorian gentleman. The +conscious worth of these gentlefolk has been a beautifully complete +achievement. It has been an achievement of "faith without works," of +course; but, needless to say, that is as it should be, also of course. +The place of gentlefolk in the economy of Nature is tracelessly to +consume the community's net product, and in doing so to set a standard +of decent expenditure for the others emulatively to work up to as near +as may be. It is scarcely conceivable that this could have been done in +a more unobtrusively efficient manner, or with a more austerely virtuous +conviction of well-doing, than by the gentlefolk bred of the Victorian +peace. So also, in turn, it is not to be believed that the prospective +breed of gentlefolk derivable from the net product of the pacific +nations under the promised régime of peace at large will prove in any +degree less effective for the like ends. More will be required of them +in the way of a traceless consumption of superfluities and an unexampled +expensive standard of living. But this situation that so faces them may +be construed as a larger opportunity, quite as well as a more difficult +task. + +A theoretical exposition of the place and cultural value of a leisure +class in modern life would scarcely be in place here; and it has also +been set out in some detail elsewhere.[10] For the purpose in hand it +may be sufficient to recall that the canons of taste and the standards +of valuation worked out and inculcated by leisure-class life have in all +ages run, with unbroken consistency, to pecuniary waste and personal +futility. In its economic bearing, and particularly in its immediate +bearing on the material well-being of the community at large, the +leadership of the leisure class can scarcely be called by a less +derogatory epithet than "untoward." But that is not the whole of the +case, and the other side should be heard. The leisure-class life of +tranquility, running detached as it does above the turmoil out of which +the material of their sustenance is derived, enables a growth of all +those virtues that mark, or make, the gentleman; and that affect the +life of the underlying community throughout, pervasively, by imitation; +leading to a standardisation of the everyday proprieties on a +presumably, higher level of urbanity and integrity than might be +expected to result in the absence of this prescriptive model. + +[Footnote 10: Cf. _The Theory of the Leisure Class_, especially ch. +v.-ix. and xiv.] + +_Integer vitae scelerisque purus_, the gentleman of assured station +turns a placid countenance to all those petty vexations of breadwinning +that touch him not. Serenely and with an impassive fortitude he faces +those common vicissitudes of life that are impotent to make or mar his +material fortunes and that can neither impair his creature comforts nor +put a slur on his good repute. So that without afterthought he deals +fairly in all everyday conjunctures of give and take; for they are at +the most inconsequential episodes to him, although the like might spell +irremediable disaster to his impecunious counterfoil among the common +men who have the community's work to do. In short, he is a gentleman, in +the best acceptation of the word,--unavoidably, by force of +circumstance. As such his example is of invaluable consequence to the +underlying community of common folk, in that it keeps before their eyes +an object lesson in habitual fortitude and visible integrity such as +could scarcely have been created except under such shelter from those +disturbances that would go to mar habitual fortitude and integrity. +There can be little doubt but the high example of the Victorian +gentlefolk has had much to do with stabilising the animus of the British +common man on lines of integrity and fair play. What else and more in +the way of habitual preconceptions he may, by competitive imitation, owe +to the same high source is not immediately in question here. + + * * * * * + +Recalling once more that the canon of life whereby folk are gentlefolk +sums itself up in the requirements of pecuniary waste and personal +futility, and that these requirements are indefinitely extensible, at +the same time that the management of the community's industry by +investment for a profit enables the owners of invested wealth to divert +to their own use the community's net product, wherewith to meet these +requirements, it follows that the community at large which provides this +output of product will be allowed so much as is required by their +necessary standard of living,--with an unstable margin of error in the +adjustment. This margin of error should tend continually to grow +narrower as the businesslike management of industry grows more efficient +with experience; but it will also continually be disturbed in the +contrary sense by innovations of a technological nature that require +continual readjustment. This margin is probably not to be got rid of, +though it may be expected to become less considerable under more settled +conditions. + +It should also not be overlooked that the standard of living here spoken +of as necessarily to be allowed the working population by no means +coincides with the "physical subsistence minimum," from which in fact it +always departs by something appreciable. The necessary standard of +living of the working community is in fact made up of two +distinguishable factors: the subsistence minimum, and the requirements +of decorously wasteful consumption--the "decencies of life." These +decencies are no less requisite than the physical necessaries, in point +of workday urgency, and their amount is a matter of use and wont. This +composite standard of living is a practical minimum, below which +consumption will not fall, except by a fluctuating margin of error; the +effect being the same, in point of necessary consumption, as if it were +all of the nature of a physical subsistence minimum. + +Loosely speaking, the arrangement should leave nothing appreciable over, +after the requirements of genteel waste and of the workday standard of +consumption have been met. From which in turn it should follow that the +rest of what is comprised under the general caption of "culture" will +find a place only in the interstices of leisure-class expenditure and +only at the hands of aberrant members of the class of the gently-bred. +The working population should have no effectual margin of time, energy +or means for other pursuits than the day's work in the service of the +price-system; so that aberrant individuals in this class, who might by +native propensity incline, e.g., to pursue the sciences or the fine +arts, should have (virtually) no chance to make good. It would be a +virtual suppression of such native gifts among the common folk, not a +definitive and all-inclusive suppression. The state of the case under +the Victorian peace may, again, be taken in illustration of the point; +although under the presumably more effectual control to be looked for in +the pacific future the margin might reasonably be expected to run +somewhat narrower, so that this virtual suppression of cultural talent +among the common men should come nearer a complete suppression. + +The working of that free initiative that makes the advance of +civilisation, and also the greater part of its conservation, would in +effect be allowed only in the erratic members of the kept classes; where +at the same time it would have to work against the side-draught of +conventional usage, which discountenances any pursuit that is not +visibly futile according to some accepted manner of futility. Now under +the prospective perfect working of the price-system, bearers of the +banners of civilisation could effectually be drawn only from the kept +classes, the gentlefolk who alone would have the disposal of such free +income as is required for work that has no pecuniary value. And +numerically the gentlefolk are an inconsiderable fraction of the +population. The supply of competently gifted bearers of the community's +culture would accordingly be limited to such as could be drawn by +self-selection from among this inconsiderable proportion of the +community at large. + +It may be recalled that in point of heredity, and therefore in point of +native fitness for the maintenance and advance of civilisation, there is +no difference between the gentlefolk and the populace at large; or at +least there is no difference of such a nature as to count in abatement +of the proposition set down above. Some slight, but after all +inconsequential, difference there may be, but such difference as there +is, if any, rather counts against the gentlefolk as keepers of the +cultural advance. The gentlefolk are derived from business; the +gentleman represents a filial generation of the businessman; and if the +class typically is gifted with any peculiar hereditary traits, +therefore, they should presumably be such as typically mark the +successful businessman--astute, prehensile, unscrupulous. For a +generation or two, perhaps to the scriptural third and fourth +generation, it is possible that a diluted rapacity and cunning may +continue to mark the businessman's well-born descendants; but these are +not serviceable traits for the conservation and advancement of the +community's cultural heritage. So that no consideration of special +hereditary fitness in the well-born need be entertained in this +connection. + +As to the limitation imposed by the price-system on the supply of +candidates suited by native gift for the human work of civilisation; it +would no doubt, be putting the figure extravagantly high to say that the +gentlefolk, properly speaking, comprise as much as ten percent of the +total population; perhaps something less than one-half of that +percentage would still seem a gross overstatement. But, to cover loose +ends and vagrant cases, the gentlefolk may for the purpose be credited +with so high a percentage of the total population. If ten percent be +allowed, as an outside figure, it follows that the community's +scientists, artists, scholars, and the like individuals given over to +the workday pursuits of the human spirit, are by conventional +restriction to be drawn from one-tenth of the current supply of persons +suited by native gift for these pursuits. Or as it may also be +expressed, in so far as the projected scheme takes effect it should +result in the suppression of nine (or more) out of every ten persons +available for the constructive work of civilisation. The cultural +consequences to be looked for, therefore, should be quite markedly of +the conservative order. + +Of course, in actual effect, the retardation or repression of +civilisation by this means, as calculated on these premises, should +reasonably be expected to count up to something appreciably more than +nine-tenths of the gains that might presumably be achieved in the +conceivable absence of the price-system and the régime of investment. +All work of this kind has much of the character of teamwork; so that the +efforts of isolated individuals count for little, and a few working in +more or less of concert and understanding will count for proportionally +much less than many working in concert. The endeavours of the +individuals engaged count cumulatively, to such effect that doubling +their forces will more than double the aggregate efficiency; and +conversely, reducing the number will reduce the effectiveness of their +work by something more than the simple numerical proportion. Indeed, an +undue reduction of numbers in such a case may lead to the total defeat +of the few that are left, and the best endeavours of a dwindling remnant +may be wholly nugatory. There is needed a sense of community and +solidarity, without which the assurance necessary to the work is bound +to falter and dwindle out; and there is also needed a degree of popular +countenance, not to be had by isolated individuals engaged in an +unconventional pursuit of things that are neither to be classed as +spendthrift decorum nor as merchantable goods. In this connection an +isolated one does not count for one, and more than the critical minimum +will count for several per capita. It is a case where the "minimal dose" +is wholly inoperative. + +There is not a little reason to believe that consequent upon the +installation of the projected régime of peace at large and secure +investment the critical point in the repression of talent will very +shortly be reached and passed, so that the principle of the "minimal +dose" will come to apply. The point may readily be illustrated by the +case of many British and American towns and neighbourhoods during the +past few decades; where the dominant price-system and its commercial +standards of truth and beauty have over-ruled all inclination to +cultural sanity and put it definitively in abeyance. The cultural, or +perhaps the conventional, residue left over in these cases where +civilisation has gone stale through inefficiency of the minimal dose is +not properly to be found fault with; it is of a blameless character, +conventionally; nor is there any intention here to cast aspersion on the +desolate. The like effects of the like causes are to be seen in the +American colleges and universities, where business principles have +supplanted the pursuit of learning, and where the commercialisation of +aims, ideals, tastes, occupations and personnel is following much the +same lines that have led so many of the country towns effectually +outside the cultural pale. The American university or college is coming +to be an outlier of the price-system, in point of aims, standards and +personnel; hitherto the tradition of learning as a trait of +civilisation, as distinct from business, has not been fully displaced, +although it is now coming to face the passage of the minimal dose. The +like, in a degree, is apparently true latterly for many English, and +still more evidently for many German schools. + +In these various instances of what may be called dry-rot or local blight +on the civilised world's culture the decline appears to be due not to a +positive infection of a malignant sort, so much as to a failure of the +active cultural ferment, which has fallen below the critical point of +efficacy; perhaps through an unintended refusal of a livelihood to +persons given over to cultivating the elements of civilisation; perhaps +through the conventional disallowance of the pursuit of any other ends +than competitive gain and competitive spending. Evidently it is +something much more comprehensive in this nature that is reasonably to +be looked for under the prospective régime of peace, in case the +price-system gains that farther impetus and warrant which it should come +in for if the rights of ownership and investment stand over intact, and +so come to enjoy the benefit of a further improved state of the +industrial arts and a further enlarged scale of operation and enhanced +rate of turnover. + + * * * * * + +To turn back to the point from which this excursion branched off. It has +been presumed all the while that the technological equipment, or the +state of the industrial arts, must continue to advance under the +conditions offered by this régime of peace at large. But the last few +paragraphs will doubtless suggest that such a single-minded addiction to +competitive gain and competitive spending as the stabilised and +amplified price-system would enjoin, must lead to an effectual +retardation, perhaps to a decline, of those material sciences on which +modern technology draws; and that the state of the industrial arts +should therefore cease to advance, if only the scheme of investment and +businesslike sabotage can be made sufficiently secure. That such may be +the outcome is a contingency which the argument will have to meet and to +allow for; but it is after all a contingency that need not be expected +to derange the sequence of events, except in the way of retardation. +Even without further advance in technological expedients or in the +relevant material sciences, there will still necessarily ensue an +effectual advance in the industrial arts, in the sense that further +organisation and enlargement of the material equipment and industrial +processes on lines already securely known and not to be forgotten must +bring an effectually enhanced efficiency of the industrial process as a +whole. + +In illustration, it is scarcely to be assumed even as a tentative +hypothesis that the system of transport and communication will not +undergo extension and improvement on the lines already familiar, even in +the absence of new technological contrivances. At the same time a +continued increase of population is to be counted on; which has, for the +purpose in hand, much the same effect as an advance in the industrial +arts. Human contact and mutual understanding will necessarily grow wider +and closer, and will have its effect on the habits of thought prevalent +in the communities that are to live under the promised régime of peace. +The system of transport and communication having to handle a more +voluminous and exacting traffic, in the service of a larger and more +compact population, will have to be organised and administered on +mechanically drawn schedules of time, place, volume, velocity, and +price, of a still more exacting accuracy than hitherto. The like will +necessarily apply throughout the industrial occupations that employ +extensive plant or processes, or that articulate with industrial +processes of that nature; which will necessarily comprise a larger +proportion of the industrial process at large than hitherto. + +As has already been remarked more than once in the course of the +argument, a population that lives and does its work, and such play as is +allowed it, in and by an exactingly articulate mechanical system of this +kind will necessarily be an "intelligent" people, in the colloquial +sense of the word; that is to say it will necessarily be a people that +uses printed matter freely and that has some familiarity with the +elements of those material sciences that underlie this mechanically +organised system of appliances and processes. Such a population lives by +and within the framework of the mechanistic logic, and is in a fair way +to lose faith in any proposition that can not be stated convincingly in +terms of this mechanistic logic. Superstitions are liable to lapse by +neglect or disuse in such a community; that is to say propositions of a +non-mechanistic complexion are liable to insensible disestablishment in +such a case; "superstition" in these premises coming to signify whatever +is not of this mechanistic, or "materialistic" character. An exception +to this broad characterisation of non-mechanistic propositions as +"superstition" would be matters that are of the nature of an immediate +deliverance of the senses or of the aesthetic sensibilities. + +By a simile it might be said that what so falls under the caption of +"superstition" in such a case is subject to decay by inanition. It +should not be difficult to conceive the general course of such a decay +of superstitions under this unremitting discipline of mechanistic habits +of life. The recent past offers an illustration, in the unemotional +progress of decay that has overtaken religious beliefs in the more +civilised countries, and more particularly among the intellectually +trained workmen of the mechanical industries. The elimination of such +non-mechanistic propositions of the faith has been visibly going on, but +it has not worked out on any uniform plan, nor has it overtaken any +large or compact body of people consistently or abruptly, being of the +nature of obsolescence rather than of set repudiation. But in a slack +and unreflecting fashion the divestment has gone on until the aggregate +effect is unmistakable. + +A similar divestment of superstitions is reasonably to be looked for +also in that domain of preconceptions that lies between the supernatural +and the mechanistic. Chief among these time-warped preconceptions--or +superstitions--that so stand over out of the alien past among these +democratic peoples is the institution of property. As is true of +preconceptions touching the supernatural verities, so here too the +article of use and wont in question will not bear formulation in +mechanistic terms and is not congruous with that mechanistic logic that +is incontinently bending the habits of thought of the common man more +and more consistently to its own bent. There is, of course, the +difference that while no class--apart from the servants of the +church--have a material interest in the continued integrity of the +articles of the supernatural faith, there is a strong and stubborn +material interest bound up with the maintenance of this article of the +pecuniary faith; and the class in whom this material interest vests are +also, in effect, invested with the coercive powers of the law. + +The law, and the popular preconceptions that give the law its binding +force, go to uphold the established usage and the established +prerogatives on this head; and the disestablishment of the rights of +property and investment therefore is not a simple matter of obsolescence +through neglect. It may confidently be counted on that all the apparatus +of the law and all the coercive agencies of law and order, will be +brought in requisition to uphold the ancient rights of ownership, +whenever any move is made toward their disallowance or restriction. But +then, on the other hand, the movement to disallow or diminish the +prerogatives of ownership is also not to take the innocuous shape of +unstudied neglect. So soon, or rather so far, as the common man comes to +realise that these rights of ownership and investment uniformly work to +his material detriment, at the same time that he has lost the "will to +believe" in any argument that does not run in terms of the mechanistic +logic, it is reasonable to expect that he will take a stand on this +matter; and it is more than likely that the stand taken will be of an +uncompromising kind,--presumably something in the nature of the stand +once taken by recalcitrant Englishmen in protest against the +irresponsible rule of the Stuart sovereign. It is also not likely that +the beneficiaries under these proprietary rights will yield their ground +at all amicably; all the more since they are patently within their +authentic rights in insisting on full discretion in the disposal of +their own possessions; very much as Charles I or James II once were +within their prescriptive right,--which had little to say in the +outcome. + +Even apart from "time immemorial" and the patent authenticity of the +institution, there were and are many cogent arguments to be alleged in +favor of the position for which the Stuart sovereigns and their +spokesmen contended. So there are and will be many, perhaps more, cogent +reasons to be alleged for the maintenance of the established law and +order in respect of the rights of ownership and investment. Not least +urgent, nor least real, among these arguments is the puzzling question +of what to put in the place of these rights and of the methods of +control based on them, very much as the analogous question puzzled the +public-spirited men of the Stuart times. All of which goes to argue that +there may be expected to arise a conjuncture of perplexities and +complications, as well as a division of interests and claims. To which +should be added that the division is likely to come to a head so soon as +the balance of forces between the two parties in interest becomes +doubtful, so that either party comes to surmise that the success of its +own aims may depend on its own efforts. And as happens where two +antagonistic parties are each convinced of the justice of its cause, and +in the absence of an umpire, the logical recourse is the wager of +battle. + +Granting the premises, there should be no reasonable doubt as to this +eventual cleavage between those who own and those who do not; and of the +premises the only item that is not already an accomplished fact is the +installation of peace at large. The rest of what goes into the argument +is the well-known modern state of the industrial arts, and the equally +well-known price-system; which, in combination, give its character to +the modern state of business enterprise. It is only an unusually broad +instance of an institutional arrangement which has in the course of time +and changing conditions come to work at cross purposes with that +underlying ground of institutional arrangements that takes form in the +commonplace aphorism, Live and let live. With change setting in the +direction familiar to all men today, it is only a question of limited +time when the discrepancy will reach a critical pass, and the +installation of peace may be counted on to hasten this course of things. + +That a decision will be sought by recourse to forcible measures, is also +scarcely open to question; since the established law and order provides +for a resort to coercion in the enforcement of these prescriptive +rights, and since both parties in interest, in this as in other cases, +are persuaded of the justice of their claims. A decision either way is +an intolerable iniquity in the eyes of the losing side. History teaches +that in such a quarrel the recourse has always been to force. + +History teaches also, but with an inflection of doubt, that the outworn +institution in such a conjuncture faces disestablishment. At least, so +men like to believe. What the experience of history does not leave in +doubt is the grave damage, discomfort and shame incident to the +displacement of such an institutional discrepancy by such recourse to +force. What further appears to be clear in the premises, at least to the +point of a strong presumption, is that in the present case the decision, +or the choice, lies between two alternatives: either the price-system +and its attendant business enterprise will yield and pass out; or the +pacific nations will conserve their pecuniary scheme of law and order at +the cost of returning to a war footing and letting their owners preserve +the rights of ownership by force of arms. + +The reflection obviously suggests itself that this prospect of +consequences to follow from the installation of peace at large might +well be taken into account beforehand by those who are aiming to work +out an enduring peace. It has appeared in the course of the argument +that the preservation of the present pecuniary law and order, with all +its incidents of ownership and investment, is incompatible with an +unwarlike state of peace and security. This current scheme of +investment, business, and sabotage, should have an appreciably better +chance of survival in the long run if the present conditions of warlike +preparation and national insecurity were maintained, or if the projected +peace were left in a somewhat problematical state, sufficiently +precarious to keep national animosities alert, and thereby to the +neglect of domestic interests, particularly of such interests as touch +the popular well-being. On the other hand, it has also appeared that the +cause of peace and its perpetuation might be materially advanced if +precautions were taken beforehand to put out of the way as much as may +be of those discrepancies of interest and sentiment between nations and +between classes which make for dissension and eventual hostilities. + +So, if the projectors of this peace at large are in any degree inclined +to seek concessive terms on which the peace might hopefully be made +enduring, it should evidently be part of their endeavours from the +outset to put events in train for the present abatement and eventual +abrogation of the rights of ownership and of the price-system in which +these rights take effect. A hopeful beginning along this line would +manifestly be the neutralisation of all pecuniary rights of citizenship, +as has been indicated in an earlier passage. On the other hand, if peace +is not desired at the cost of relinquishing the scheme of competitive +gain and competitive spending, the promoters of peace should logically +observe due precaution and move only so far in the direction of a +peaceable settlement as would result in a sufficiently unstable +equilibrium of mutual jealousies; such as might expeditiously be upset +whenever discontent with pecuniary affairs should come to threaten this +established scheme of pecuniary prerogatives. + + +BOOKS BY THORSTEIN VEBLEN + + +THE THEORY OF THE LEISURE CLASS + +THE THEORY OF BUSINESS ENTERPRISE + +THE INSTINCT OF WORKMANSHIP + +IMPERIAL GERMANY +AND THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION + +THE NATURE OF PEACE +AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + +THE HIGHER LEARNING IN AMERICA + + + + + +End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace +And The Terms Of Its Perpetuation, by Thorstein Veblen + +*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE NATURE OF PEACE *** + +***** This file should be named 20694-8.txt or 20694-8.zip ***** +This and all associated files of various formats will be found in: + http://www.gutenberg.org/2/0/6/9/20694/ + +Produced by Irma pehar, Graeme Mackreth and the Online +Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net. 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You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace And The Terms Of Its Perpetuation + +Author: Thorstein Veblen + +Release Date: February 27, 2007 [EBook #20694] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ISO-8859-1 + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE NATURE OF PEACE *** + + + + +Produced by Irma pehar, Graeme Mackreth and the Online +Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net. (This +file made using scans of public domain works at the +University of Georgia.) + + + + + + +</pre> + + + + + + + + + +<h3> +AN INQUIRY INTO</h3> + +<h2>THE NATURE OF PEACE</h2> + +<h4>AND</h4> + +<h3>THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION</h3> + +<h3>BY</h3> + +<h3>THORSTEIN VEBLEN</h3> + +<p class='center' style="margin-top: 5em;"><small> +New York<br /> +B.W. HUEBSCH<br /> +1919<br /> +<br /> +<i>All rights reserved</i></small> +</p> + + + + +<p class='center' style="margin-bottom: 5em;"><small> +<span class="smcap">Copyright, 1917.<br /> +By THE MACMILLAN COMPANY.</span><br /> +<br /> +Published April, 1917:<br /> +Reprinted August, 1917.<br /> +<br /> +New edition published by<br /> +B.W. HUEBSCH.<br /> +January, 1919.</small> +</p> +<p> +<!-- Page vii --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg vii]</span> +</p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h3>PREFACE</h3> + + +<p>It is now some 122 years since Kant wrote the essay, <i>Zum ewigen +Frieden</i>. Many things have happened since then, although the Peace to +which he looked forward with a doubtful hope has not been among them. +But many things have happened which the great critical philosopher, and +no less critical spectator of human events, would have seen with +interest. To Kant the quest of an enduring peace presented itself as an +intrinsic human duty, rather than as a promising enterprise. Yet through +all his analysis of its premises and of the terms on which it may be +realised there runs a tenacious persuasion that, in the end, the régime +of peace at large will be installed. Not as a deliberate achievement of +human wisdom, so much as a work of Nature the Designer of +things—<i>Natura daedala rerum</i>.</p> + +<p>To any attentive reader of Kant's memorable essay it will be apparent +that the title of the following inquiry—On the nature of peace and the +terms of its perpetuation—is a descriptive translation of the caption +under which he wrote. That such should be the case will not, it is +hoped, be accounted either an unseemly presumption or an undue +inclination to work under a borrowed light. The aim and compass of any +disinterested inquiry in these premises is still the same as it was in +Kant's time; such, indeed, as he in great part made it,—viz., a +systematic knowledge of things as they are. Nor is the light of Kant's +leading to be dispensed with as touches<!-- Page viii --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg viii]</span> the ways and means of +systematic knowledge, wherever the human realities are in question.</p> + +<p>Meantime, many things have also changed since the date of Kant's essay. +Among other changes are those that affect the direction of inquiry and +the terms of systematic formulation. <i>Natura daedala rerum</i> is no longer +allowed to go on her own recognizances, without divulging the ways and +means of her workmanship. And it is such a line of extension that is +here attempted, into a field of inquiry which in Kant's time still lay +over the horizon of the future.</p> + +<p>The quest of perpetual peace at large is no less a paramount and +intrinsic human duty today than it was, nor is it at all certain that +its final accomplishment is nearer. But the question of its pursuit and +of the conditions to be met in seeking this goal lies in a different +shape today; and it is this question that concerns the inquiry which is +here undertaken,—What are the terms on which peace at large may +hopefully be installed and maintained? What, if anything, is there in +the present situation that visibly makes for a realisation of these +necessary terms within the calculable future? And what are the +consequences presumably due to follow in the nearer future from the +installation of such a peace at large? And the answer to these questions +is here sought not in terms of what ought dutifully to be done toward +the desired consummation, but rather in terms of those known factors of +human behaviour that can be shown by analysis of experience to control +the conduct of nations in conjunctures of this kind.</p> + +<p>February 1917 +<!-- Page ix --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg ix]</span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2>CONTENTS</h2> + + + +<h4><a href="#CHAPTER_I">CHAPTER I</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">Introductory: On the State and Its Relation To War<br /> +and Peace</span> <br /> +<br /> +The inquiry is not concerned with the intrinsic merits<br /> +of peace or war, <a href="#Page_2">2</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—But with the nature, causes and consequences of the<br /> +preconceptions favoring peace or war, <a href="#Page_3">3</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—A breach of the peace is an act of the government,<br /> +or State, <a href="#Page_3">3</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Patriotism is indispensable to furtherance of warlike<br /> +enterprise, <a href="#Page_4">4</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—All the peoples of Christendom are sufficiently patriotic, <a href="#Page_6">6</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Peace established by the State, an armistice—the State<br /> +is an instrumentality for making peace, not for perpetuating it, <a href="#Page_7">7</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The governmental establishments and their powers in all<br /> +the Christian nations are derived from the feudal establishments<br /> +of the Middle Ages, <a href="#Page_9">9</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Still retain the right of coercively controlling the actions<br /> +of their citizens, <a href="#Page_11">11</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Contrast of Icelandic Commonwealth, <a href="#Page_12">12</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The statecraft of the past half century has been<br /> +one of competitive preparedness, <a href="#Page_14">14</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Prussianised Germany has forced the pace in this<br /> +competitive preparedness, <a href="#Page_20">20</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—An avowedly predatory enterprise no longer meets<br /> +with approval, <a href="#Page_21">21</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—When a warlike enterprise has been entered upon, it<br /> +will have the support of popular sentiment even if it<br /> +is an aggressive war, <a href="#Page_22">22</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The moral indignation of both parties to the quarrel<br /> +is to be taken for granted, <a href="#Page_23">23</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The spiritual forces of any Christian nation may be<br /> +mobilised for war by either of two pleas: (1) The<br /> +preservation or furtherance of the community's material<br /> +interests, real or fancied, and (2) vindication of the<br /> +National Honour; as perhaps also perpetuation of the<br /> +national "Culture," <a href="#Page_23">23</a>.<br /> +</p> + +<h4><a href="#CHAPTER_II">CHAPTER II</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">On The Nature and Uses Of Patriotism</span> <br /> +<br /> +The nature of Patriotism, <a href="#Page_31">31</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Is a spirit of Emulation, <a href="#Page_33">33</a>.<br /> +<br /> +<!-- Page x --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg x]</span>—Must seem moral, if only to a biased populace,<a href="#Page_33"> 33</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The common man is sufficiently patriotic but is hampered<br /> +with a sense of right and honest dealing, <a href="#Page_38">38</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Patriotism is at cross purposes with modern life, <a href="#Page_38">38</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Is an hereditary trait? <a href="#Page_41">41</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Variety of racial stocks in Europe, <a href="#Page_43">43</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Patriotism a ubiquitous trait, <a href="#Page_43">43</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Patriotism disserviceable, yet men hold to it, <a href="#Page_46">46</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Cultural evolution of Europeans, <a href="#Page_48">48</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Growth of a sense of group solidarity, <a href="#Page_49">49</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Material interests of group falling into abeyance<br /> +as class divisions have grown up, until prestige<br /> +remains virtually the sole community interest, <a href="#Page_51">51</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Based upon warlike prowess, physical magnitude and<br /> +pecuniary traffic of country, <a href="#Page_54">54</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Interests of the master class are at cross purposes<br /> +with the fortunes of the common man, <a href="#Page_57">57</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Value of superiors is a "prestige value," <a href="#Page_57">57</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The material benefits which this ruling class contribute<br /> +are: defense against aggression, and promotion of the<br /> +community's material gain, <a href="#Page_60">60</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The common defense is a remedy for evils due to the<br /> +patriotic spirit, <a href="#Page_61">61</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The common defense the usual blind behind which events<br /> +are put in train for eventual hostilities, <a href="#Page_62">62</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—All the nations of warring Europe convinced that they<br /> +are fighting a defensive war, <a href="#Page_62">62</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Which usually takes the form of a defense of the National<br /> +Honour, <a href="#Page_63">63</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Material welfare is of interest to the Dynastic statesman<br /> +only as it conduces to political success, <a href="#Page_64">64</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The policy of national economic self-sufficiency, <a href="#Page_67">67</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The chief material use of patriotism is its use to a<br /> +limited number of persons in their quest of private gain, <a href="#Page_67">67</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—And has the effect of dividing the nations on lines of<br /> +rivalry, <a href="#Page_76">76</a>.<br /> +</p> + +<h4><a href="#Chapter_III">CHAPTER III</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">On The Conditions of a Lasting Peace</span> <br /> +<br /> +The patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding<br /> +source of contention among nations, <a href="#Page_77">77</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Hence any calculus of the Chances of Peace will be<br /> +a reckoning of forces which may be counted on to keep<br /> +a patriotic nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace, <a href="#Page_78">78</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The question of peace and war at large is a question of<br /> +peace and war among the Powers, which are of two contrasted<br /> +kinds: those which may safely be counted on spontaneously<br /> +to take the offensive and those which will fight on provocation, <a href="#Page_79">79</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—War not a question of equity but of opportunity, <a href="#Page_81">81</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The Imperial designs of Germany and Japan as the prospective<br /> +cause of war, <a href="#Page_82">82</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Peace can be maintained in two ways: submission to<br /> +their dominion, or elimination of these two Powers;<br /> +No middle course open, <a href="#Page_84">84</a>.<br /> +<br /> +<!-- Page xi --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg xi]</span>—Frame of mind of states; men and popular sentiment in<br /> +a Dynastic State, <a href="#Page_84">84</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Information, persuasion and reflection will not subdue<br /> +national animosities and jealousies; Peoples of Europe<br /> +are racially homogeneous along lines of climatic latitude, <a href="#Page_88">88</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—But loyalty is a matter of habituation, <a href="#Page_89">89</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Derivation and current state of German nationalism, <a href="#Page_94">94</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Contrasted with the animus of the citizens of a commonwealth, +<a href="#Page_103">103</a><br /><br />—A neutral peace-compact may be practicable in the +absence of Germany and Japan,<br /> but it has no chance in +their presence, <a href="#Page_106">106</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The national life of Germany: the Intellectuals, <a href="#Page_108">108</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Summary of chapter, <a href="#Page_116">116</a>.<br /> +</p> + +<h4><a href="#CHAPTER_IV">CHAPTER IV</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">Peace Without Honour</span> <br /> +<br /> +Submission to the Imperial Power one of the conditions<br /> +precedent to a peaceful settlement, <a href="#Page_118">118</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Character of the projected tutelage, <a href="#Page_118">118</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Life under the <i>Pax Germanica</i> contrasted with<br /> +the Ottoman and Russian rule, <a href="#Page_124">124</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—China and biological and cultural success, <a href="#Page_130">130</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Difficulty of non-resistant subjection is of a psychological<br /> +order, <a href="#Page_131">131</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Patriotism of the bellicose kind is of the nature of<br /> +habit, <a href="#Page_134">134</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—And men may divest themselves of it, <a href="#Page_140">140</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—A decay of the bellicose national spirit must be of<br /> +the negative order, the disuse of the discipline out<br /> +of which it has arisen, <a href="#Page_142">142</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Submission to Imperial authorities necessitates<br /> +abeyance of national pride among the other peoples, <a href="#Page_144">144</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Pecuniary merits of the projected Imperial dominion, <a href="#Page_145">145</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Pecuniary class distinctions in the commonwealths and<br /> +the pecuniary burden on the common man, <a href="#Page_150">150</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Material conditions of life for the common man under<br /> +the modern rule of big business, <a href="#Page_156">156</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The competitive régime, "what the traffic will bear,"<br /> +and the life and labor of the common man, <a href="#Page_158">158</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Industrial sabotage by businessmen, <a href="#Page_165">165</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Contrasted with the Imperial usufruct and its material<br /> +advantages to the common man, <a href="#Page_174">174</a>.<br /> +</p> + +<h4><a href="#CHAPTER_V">CHAPTER V</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">Peace and Neutrality</span> <br /> +<br /> +Personal liberty, not creature comforts, the ulterior<br /> +springs of action of the common man of the democratic<br /> +nations, <a href="#Page_178">178</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—No change of spiritual state to be looked for in the<br /> +life-time of the oncoming generation, <a href="#Page_185">185</a>.<br /> +<br /> +<!-- Page xii --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg xii]</span>—The Dynastic spirit among the peoples of the Empire<br /> +will, under the discipline of modern economic conditions,<br /> +fall into decay, <a href="#Page_187">187</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Contrast of class divisions in Germany and England, <a href="#Page_192">192</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—National establishments are dependent for their<br /> +continuance upon preparation for hostilities, <a href="#Page_196">196</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The time required for the people of the Dynastic<br /> +States to unlearn their preconceptions will be longer<br /> +than the interval required for a new onset, <a href="#Page_197">197</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—There can be no neutral course between peace by<br /> +unconditional surrender and submission or peace by<br /> +the elimination of Imperial Germany and Japan, <a href="#Page_202">202</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Peace by submission not practicable for the modern<br /> +nations, <a href="#Page_203">203</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Neutralisation of citizenship, <a href="#Page_205">205</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Spontaneous move in that direction not to be looked for, <a href="#Page_213">213</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Its chances of success, <a href="#Page_219">219</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The course of events in America, <a href="#Page_221">221</a>.<br /> +</p> + +<h4><a href="#CHAPTER_VI">CHAPTER VI</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">Elimination of the Unfit</span> <br /> +<br /> +A league of neutrals, its outline, <a href="#Page_233">233</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Need of security from aggression of Imperial Germany, <a href="#Page_234">234</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Inclusion of the Imperial States in the league, <a href="#Page_237">237</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Necessity of elimination of Imperial military clique, <a href="#Page_239">239</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Necessity of intermeddling in internal affairs of Germany even<br /> +if not acceptable to the German people, <a href="#Page_240">240</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Probability of pacific nations taking measures to insure peace, <a href="#Page_244">244</a>-298.<br /> +<br /> +—The British gentleman and his control of the English government, <a href="#Page_244">244</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The shifting of control out of the hands of the gentleman into<br /> +those of the underbred common man, <a href="#Page_251">251</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The war situation and its probable effect on popular habits<br /> +of thought in England, <a href="#Page_252">252</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The course of such events and their bearing on the chances<br /> +of a workable pacific league, <a href="#Page_255">255</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Conditions precedent to a successful pacific league<br /> +of neutrals, <a href="#Page_258">258</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Colonial possessions, <a href="#Page_259">259</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Neutralisation of trade relations, <a href="#Page_263">263</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Futility of economic boycott, <a href="#Page_266">266</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The terms of settlement, <a href="#Page_269">269</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The effect of the war and the chances of the British people<br /> +being able to meet the exigencies of peace, <a href="#Page_273">273</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Summary of the terms of settlement, <a href="#Page_280">280</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Constitutional monarchies and the British gentlemanly<br /> +government, <a href="#Page_281">281</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The American national establishment, a government<br /> +by businessmen, and its economic policy, <a href="#Page_292">292</a>.<br /> +<br /> +<!-- Page xiii --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg xiii]</span> +—America and the league,<a href="#Page_294"> 294.</a><br /> +<br /> +</p> +<h4><a href="#CHAPTER_VII">CHAPTER VII</a></h4> +<p> +<span class="smcap">Peace and the Price System</span> <br /> +<br /> +The different conceptions of peace, <a href="#Page_299">299</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Psychological effects of the war, <a href="#Page_303">303</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The handicraft system and the machine industry,<br /> +and their psychological effect on political preconceptions, <a href="#Page_306">306</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The machine technology and the decay of patriotic loyalty, <a href="#Page_310">310</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Summary, <a href="#Page_313">313</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Ownership and the right of contract, <a href="#Page_315">315</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Standardised under handicraft system, <a href="#Page_319">319</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Ownership and the machine industry. <a href="#Page_320">320</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Business control and sabotage, <a href="#Page_322">322</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Governments of pacific nations controlled by privileged classes, <a href="#Page_326">326</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Effect of peace on the economic situation, <a href="#Page_328">328</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Economic aspects of a régime of peace, especially as related<br /> +to the development of classes, <a href="#Page_330">330</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The analogy of the Victorian Peace, <a href="#Page_344">344</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The case of the American Farmer, <a href="#Page_348">348</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The leisure class, <a href="#Page_350">350</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The rising standard of living, <a href="#Page_354">354</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Culture, <a href="#Page_355">355</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—The eventual cleavage of classes, those who own and those<br /> +who do not, <a href="#Page_360">360</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Conditioned by peace at large, <a href="#Page_366">366</a>.<br /> +<br /> +—Necessary conditions of a lasting peace, <a href="#Page_367">367</a>. +</p> + + + +<h2>AN INQUIRY INTO THE NATURE OF PEACE AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION</h2> +<p> +<!-- Page 1 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 1]</span> +</p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2>ON THE NATURE OF PEACE AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION</h2> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="CHAPTER_I" id="CHAPTER_I"></a>CHAPTER I</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">Introductory: On the State and its Relation to War and Peace</span></p> + + +<p>To many thoughtful men ripe in worldly wisdom it is known of a verity +that war belongs indefeasibly in the Order of Nature. Contention, with +manslaughter, is indispensable in human intercourse, at the same time +that it conduces to the increase and diffusion of the manly virtues. So +likewise, the unspoiled youth of the race, in the period of adolescence +and aspiring manhood, also commonly share this gift of insight and back +it with a generous commendation of all the martial qualities; and women +of nubile age and no undue maturity gladly meet them half way.</p> + +<p>On the other hand, the mothers of the people are commonly unable to see +the use of it all. It seems a waste of dear-bought human life, with a +large sum of nothing to show for it. So also many men of an elderly +turn, prematurely or otherwise, are ready to lend their countenance to +the like disparaging appraisal; it may be that the spirit of prowess in +them runs at too low a tension, or they may have outlived the more vivid +appreciation of the spiritual values involved. There are many, also, +with<!-- Page 2 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_2" id="Page_2">[Pg 2]</a></span> a turn for exhortation, who find employment for their best +faculties in attesting the well-known atrocities and futility of war.</p> + +<p>Indeed, not infrequently such advocates of peace will devote their +otherwise idle powers to this work of exhortation without stipend or +subsidy. And they uniformly make good their contention that the +currently accepted conception of the nature of war—General Sherman's +formula—is substantially correct. All the while it is to be admitted +that all this axiomatic exhortation has no visible effect on the course +of events or on the popular temper touching warlike enterprise. Indeed, +no equal volume of speech can be more incontrovertible or less +convincing than the utterances of the peace advocates, whether +subsidised or not. "War is Bloodier than Peace." This would doubtless be +conceded without argument, but also without prejudice. Hitherto the +pacifists' quest of a basis for enduring peace, it must be admitted, has +brought home nothing tangible—with the qualification, of course, that +the subsidised pacifists have come in for the subsidy. So that, after +searching the recesses of their imagination, able-bodied pacifists whose +loquacity has never been at fault hitherto have been brought to ask: +"What Shall We Say?"</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Under these circumstances it will not be out of place to inquire into +the nature of this peace about which swings this wide orbit of opinion +and argument. At the most, such an inquiry can be no more gratuitous and +no more nugatory than the controversies that provoke it. The intrinsic +merits of peace at large, as against those of warlike enterprise, it +should be said, do not here come in question. That question lies in the +domain of precon<!-- Page 3 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_3" id="Page_3">[Pg 3]</a></span>ceived opinion, so that for the purposes of this +inquiry it will have no significance except as a matter to be inquired +into; the main point of the inquiry being the nature, causes and +consequences of such a preconception favoring peace, and the +circumstances that make for a contrary preconception in favor of war.</p> + +<p>By and large, any breach of the peace in modern times is an official act +and can be taken only on initiative of the governmental establishment, +the State. The national authorities may, of course, be driven to take +such a step by pressure of warlike popular sentiment. Such, e.g., is +presumed to have been the case in the United States' attack on Spain +during the McKinley administration; but the more that comes to light of +the intimate history of that episode, the more evident does it become +that the popular war sentiment to which the administration yielded had +been somewhat sedulously "mobilised" with a view to such yielding and +such a breach. So also in the case of the Boer war, the move was made +under sanction of a popular war spirit, which, again, did not come to a +head without shrewd surveillance and direction. And so again in the +current European war, in the case, e.g., of Germany, where the +initiative was taken, the State plainly had the full support of popular +sentiment, and may even be said to have precipitated the war in response +to this urgent popular aspiration; and here again it is a matter of +notoriety that the popular sentiment had long been sedulously nursed and +"mobilised" to that effect, so that the populace was assiduously kept in +spiritual readiness for such an event. The like is less evident as +regards the United Kingdom, and perhaps also as regards the other +Allies.<!-- Page 4 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_4" id="Page_4">[Pg 4]</a></span></p> + +<p>And such appears to have been the common run of the facts as regards all +the greater wars of the last one hundred years,—what may be called the +"public" wars of this modern era, as contrasted with the "private" or +administrative wars which have been carried on in a corner by one and +another of the Great Powers against hapless barbarians, from time to +time, in the course of administrative routine.</p> + +<p>It is also evident from the run of the facts as exemplified in these +modern wars that while any breach of the peace takes place only on the +initiative and at the discretion of the government, or State,<a name="FNanchor_1_1" id="FNanchor_1_1"></a><a href="#Footnote_1_1" class="fnanchor">[1]</a> it is +always requisite in furtherance of such warlike enterprise to cherish +and eventually to mobilise popular sentiment in support of any warlike +move. Due fomentation of a warlike animus is indispensable to the +procuring and maintenance of a suitable equipment with which eventually +to break the peace, as well as to ensure a diligent prosecution of such +enterprise when once it has been undertaken. Such a spirit of militant +patriotism as may serviceably be mobilised in support of warlike +enterprise has accordingly been a condition precedent to any people's +entry into the modern Concert of Nations. This Concert of Nations is a +Concert of Powers, and it is only as a Power that any nation plays its +part in the concert, all the while that "power" here means eventual +warlike force.</p> + +<p>Such a people as the Chinese, e.g., not pervaded with an adequate +patriotic spirit, comes into the Concert of Nations not as a Power but +as a bone of contention. Not that the Chinese fall short in any of the +qualities that con<!-- Page 5 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 5]</span>duce to efficiency and welfare in time of peace, but +they appear, in effect, to lack that certain "solidarity of prowess" by +virtue of which they should choose to be (collectively) formidable +rather than (individually) fortunate and upright; and the modern +civilised nations are not in a position, nor in a frame of mind, to +tolerate a neighbor whose only claim on their consideration falls under +the category of peace on earth and good-will among men. China appears +hitherto not to have been a serviceable people for warlike ends, except +in so far as the resources of that country have been taken over and +converted to warlike uses by some alien power working to its own ends. +Such have been the several alien dynasties that have seized upon that +country from time to time and have achieved dominion by usufruct of its +unwarlike forces. Such has been the nature of the Manchu empire of the +recent past, and such is the evident purpose of the prospective Japanese +usufruct of the same country and its populace. Meantime the Chinese +people appear to be incorrigibly peaceable, being scarcely willing to +fight in any concerted fashion even when driven into a corner by +unprovoked aggression, as in the present juncture. Such a people is very +exceptional. Among civilised nations there are, broadly speaking, none +of that temper, with the sole exception of the Chinese,—if the Chinese +are properly to be spoken of as a nation.</p> + +<p>Modern warfare makes such large and direct use of the industrial arts, +and depends for its successful prosecution so largely on a voluminous +and unremitting supply of civilian services and wrought goods, that any +inoffensive and industrious people, such as the Chinese, could doubtless +now be turned to good account by any warlike power that might have the +disposal of their working<!-- Page 6 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_6" id="Page_6">[Pg 6]</a></span> forces. To make their industrial efficiency +count in this way toward warlike enterprise and imperial dominion, the +usufruct of any such inoffensive and unpatriotic populace would have to +fall into the hands of an alien governmental establishment. And no alien +government resting on the support of a home population trained in the +habits of democracy or given over to ideals of common honesty in +national concerns could hopefully undertake the enterprise. This work of +empire-building out of unwarlike materials could apparently be carried +out only by some alien power hampered by no reserve of scruple, and +backed by a servile populace of its own, imbued with an impeccable +loyalty to its masters and with a suitably bellicose temper, as, e.g., +Imperial Japan or Imperial Germany.</p> + +<p>However, for the commonplace national enterprise the common run will do +very well. Any populace imbued with a reasonable measure of patriotism +will serve as ways and means to warlike enterprise under competent +management, even if it is not habitually prone to a bellicose temper. +Rightly managed, ordinary patriotic sentiment may readily be mobilised +for warlike adventure by any reasonably adroit and single-minded body of +statesmen,—of which there is abundant illustration. All the peoples of +Christendom are possessed of a sufficiently alert sense of nationality, +and by tradition and current usage all the national governments of +Christendom are warlike establishments, at least in the defensive sense; +and the distinction between the defensive and the offensive in +international intrigue is a technical matter that offers no great +difficulty. None of these nations is of such an incorrigibly peaceable +temper that they can be counted on to keep the peace consistently in the +ordinary course of events.<!-- Page 7 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_7" id="Page_7">[Pg 7]</a></span></p> + +<p>Peace established by the State, or resting in the discretion of the +State, is necessarily of the nature of an armistice, in effect +terminable at will and on short notice. It is maintained only on +conditions, stipulated by express convention or established by custom, +and there is always the reservation, tacit or explicit, that recourse +will be had to arms in case the "national interests" or the punctilios +of international etiquette are traversed by the act or defection of any +rival government or its subjects. The more nationally-minded the +government or its subject populace, the readier the response to the call +of any such opportunity for an unfolding of prowess. The most peaceable +governmental policy of which Christendom has experience is a policy of +"watchful waiting," with a jealous eye to the emergence of any occasion +for national resentment; and the most irretrievably shameful dereliction +of duty on the part of any civilised government would be its eventual +insensibility to the appeal of a "just war." Under any governmental +auspices, as the modern world knows governments, the keeping of the +peace comes at its best under the precept, "Speak softly and carry a big +stick." But the case for peace is more precarious than the wording of +the aphorism would indicate, in as much as in practical fact the "big +stick" is an obstacle to soft speech. Evidently, in the light of recent +history, if the peace is to be kept it will have to come about +irrespective of governmental management,—in spite of the State rather +than by its good offices. At the best, the State, or the government, is +an instrumentality for making peace, not for perpetuating it.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Anyone who is interested in the nature and derivation of governmental +institutions and establishments in Eu<!-- Page 8 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 8]</span>rope, in any but the formal +respect, should be able to satisfy his curiosity by looking over the +shoulders of the professed students of Political Science. Quite properly +and profitably that branch of scholarship is occupied with the authentic +pedigree of these institutions, and with the documentary instruments in +the case; since Political Science is, after all, a branch of theoretical +jurisprudence and is concerned about a formally competent analysis of +the recorded legal powers. The material circumstances from which these +institutions once took their beginning, and the exigencies which have +governed the rate and direction of their later growth and mutation, as +well as the <i>de facto</i> bearing of the institutional scheme on the +material welfare or the cultural fortunes of the given community,—while +all these matters of fact may be germane to the speculations of +Political Theory, they are not intrinsic to its premises, to the logical +sequence of its inquiry, or to its theoretical findings. The like is +also true, of course, as regards that system of habits of thought, that +current frame of mind, in which any given institutional scheme +necessarily is grounded, and without the continued support of which any +given scheme of governmental institutions or policy would become +nugatory and so would pass into the province of legal fiction. All these +are not idle matters in the purview of the student of Political Science, +but they remain after all substantially extraneous to the structure of +political theory; and in so far as matters of this class are to be +brought into the case at all, the specialists in the field can not +fairly be expected to contribute anything beyond an occasional <i>obiter +dictum</i>. There can be no discourteous presumption, therefore, in +accepting the general theorems of current political theory without +prejudice, and looking past<!-- Page 9 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_9" id="Page_9">[Pg 9]</a></span> the received theoretical formulations for a +view of the substantial grounds on which the governmental establishments +have grown into shape, and the circumstances, material and spiritual, +that surround their continued working and effect.</p> + +<p>By lineal descent the governmental establishments and the powers with +which they are vested, in all the Christian nations, are derived from +the feudal establishments of the Middle Ages; which, in turn, are of a +predatory origin and of an irresponsible character.<a name="FNanchor_2_2" id="FNanchor_2_2"></a><a href="#Footnote_2_2" class="fnanchor">[2]</a> In nearly all +instances, but more particularly among the nations that are accounted +characteristically modern, the existing establishments have been greatly +altered from the mediaeval pattern, by concessive adaptation to later +exigencies or by a more or less revolutionary innovation. The degree of +their modernity is (conventionally) measured, roughly, by the degree in +which they have departed from the mediaeval pattern. Wherever the +unavoidable concessions have been shrewdly made with a view to +conserving the autonomy and irresponsibility of the governmental +establishment, or the "State," and where the state of national sentiment +has been led to favor this work of conservation, as, e.g., in the case +of Austria, Spain or Prussia, there the modern outcome has been what may +be called a Dynastic State. Where, on the other hand, the run of +national sentiment has departed notably from the ancient holding ground +of loyal abnegation, and has enforced a measure of revolutionary +innovation, as in the case of France or of the English-speaking peoples, +there the modern outcome has been an (ostensibly) democratic<!-- Page 10 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 10]</span> +commonwealth of ungraded citizens. But the contrast so indicated is a +contrast of divergent variants rather than of opposites. These two +type-forms may be taken as the extreme and inclusive limits of variation +among the governmental establishments with which the modern world is +furnished.<a name="FNanchor_3_3" id="FNanchor_3_3"></a><a href="#Footnote_3_3" class="fnanchor">[3]</a></p> + +<p>The effectual difference between these two theoretically contrasted +types of governmental establishments is doubtless grave enough, and for +many purposes it is consequential, but it is after all not of such a +nature as need greatly detain the argument at this point. The two differ +less, in effect, in that range of their functioning which comes in +question here than in their bearing on the community's fortunes apart +from questions of war and peace. In all cases there stand over in this +bearing certain primary characteristics of the ancient régime, which all +these modern establishments have in common, though not all in an equal +degree of preservation and effectiveness. They are, e.g., all vested +with certain attributes of "sovereignty." In all cases the citizen still +proves on closer attention to be in some measure a "subject" of the +State, in that he is invariably conceived to owe a "duty" to the +constituted authorities in one respect and another. All civilised +governments take cognizance of Treason, Sedition, and the like; and all +good citizens are not only content but profoundly insistent on the clear +duty of the citizen on this head. The bias of loyalty is not a matter on +which argument is tolerated. By virtue of this bias of loyalty, or +"civic duty"—which still has much of the color of feudal +allegiance—the governmental establish<!-- Page 11 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_11" id="Page_11">[Pg 11]</a></span>ment is within its rights in +coercively controlling and directing the actions of the citizen, or +subject, in those respects that so lie within his duty; as also in +authoritatively turning his abilities to account for the purposes that +so lie within the governmental discretion, as, e.g., the Common Defense.</p> + +<p>These rights and powers still remain to the governmental establishment +even at the widest democratic departure from that ancient pattern of +masterful tutelage and usufruct that marked the old-fashioned +patrimonial State,—and that still marks the better preserved ones among +its modern derivatives. And so intrinsic to these governmental +establishments are these discretionary powers, and by so unfailing a +popular bias are they still accounted a matter of course and of +axiomatic necessity, that they have invariably been retained also among +the attributes of those democratic governments that trace their origin +to a revolutionary break with the old order.</p> + +<p>To many, all this will seem a pedantic taking note of commonplaces,—as +if it were worth while remarking that the existing governments are +vested with the indispensable attributes of government. Yet history +records an instance at variance with this axiomatic rule, a rule which +is held to be an unavoidable deliverance of common sense. And it is by +no means an altogether unique instance. It may serve to show that these +characteristic and unimpeachable powers that invest all current +governmental establishments are, after all, to be rated as the marks of +a particular species of governments, and not characteristics of the +genus of governmental establishments at large. These powers answer to an +acquired bias, not to an underlying trait of human nature; a matter of +habit, not of heredity.<!-- Page 12 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_12" id="Page_12">[Pg 12]</a></span></p> + +<p>Such an historical instance is the so-called Republic, or Commonwealth, +of Iceland—tenth to thirteenth centuries. Its case is looked on by +students of history as a spectacular anomaly, because it admitted none +of these primary powers of government in its constituted authorities. +And yet, for contrast with these matter-of-course preconceptions of +these students of history, it is well to note that in the deliberations +of those ancients who installed the Republic for the management of their +joint concerns, any inclusion of such powers in its competency appears +never to have been contemplated, not even to the extent of its being +rejected. This singularity—as it would be rated by modern statesmen and +students—was in no degree a new departure in state-making on the part +of the founders of the Republic. They had no knowledge of such powers, +duties and accountabilities, except as unwholesome features of a novel +and alien scheme of irresponsible oppression that was sought to be +imposed on them by Harald Fairhair, and which they incontinently made it +their chief and immediate business to evade. They also set up no joint +or collective establishment with powers for the Common Defense, nor does +it appear that such a notion had occurred to them.</p> + +<p>In the history of its installation there is no hint that the men who set +up this Icelandic Commonwealth had any sense of the need, or even of the +feasibility, of such a coercive government as would be involved in +concerted preparation for the common defense. Subjection to personal +rule, or to official rule in any degree of attenuation, was not +comprised in their traditional experience of citizenship; and it was +necessarily out of the elements comprised in this traditional experience +that the new structure would have to be built up. The new commonwealth<!-- Page 13 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 13]</span> +was necessarily erected on the premises afforded by the received scheme +of use and wont; and this received scheme had come down out of +pre-feudal conditions, without having passed under the discipline of +that régime of coercion which the feudal system had imposed on the rest +of Europe, and so had established as an "immemorial usage" and a "second +nature" among the populations of Christendom. The resulting character of +the Icelandic Commonwealth is sufficiently striking when contrasted with +the case of the English commonwealth of the seventeenth century, or the +later French and American republics. These, all and several, came out of +a protracted experience in feudalistic state-making and State policy; +and the common defense—frequently on the offensive—with its necessary +coercive machinery and its submissive loyalty, consequently would take +the central place in the resulting civic structure.</p> + +<p>To close the tale of the Icelandic commonwealth it may be added that +their republic of insubordinate citizens presently fell into default, +systematic misuse, under the disorders brought on by an accumulation of +wealth, and that it died of legal fiction and constitutional formalities +after some experience at the hands of able and ambitious statesmen in +contact with an alien government drawn on the coercive plan. The clay +vessel failed to make good among the iron pots, and so proved its +unfitness to survive in the world of Christian nations,—very much as +the Chinese are today at the mercy of the defensive rapacity of the +Powers.</p> + +<p style="margin-left: 15em;"> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">And the mercy that we gave them</span><br /> +Was to sink them in the sea,<br /> +Down on the coast of High Barbarie.<br /> +<!-- Page 14 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_14" id="Page_14">[Pg 14]</a></span></p> + +<p>No doubt, it will be accepted as an axiomatic certainty that the +establishment of a commonwealth after the fashion of the Icelandic +Republic, without coercive authority or provision for the common +defense, and without a sense of subordination or collective +responsibility among its citizens, would be out of all question under +existing circumstances of politics and international trade. Nor would +such a commonwealth be workable on the scale and at the pace imposed by +modern industrial and commercial conditions, even apart from +international jealousy and ambitions, provided the sacred rights of +ownership were to be maintained in something like their current shape. +And yet something of a drift of popular sentiment, and indeed something +of deliberate endeavour, setting in the direction of such a harmless and +helpless national organisation is always visible in Western Europe, +throughout modern times; particularly through the eighteenth and the +early half of the nineteenth centuries; and more particularly among the +English-speaking peoples and, with a difference, among the French. The +Dutch and the Scandinavian countries answer more doubtfully to the same +characterisation.</p> + +<p>The movement in question is known to history as the Liberal, +Rationalistic, Humanitarian, or Individualistic departure. Its ideal, +when formulated, is spoken of as the System of Natural Rights; and its +goal in the way of a national establishment has been well characterised +by its critics as the Police State, or the Night-Watchman State. The +gains made in this direction, or perhaps better the inroads of this +animus in national ideals, are plainly to be set down as a shift in the +direction of peace and amity; but it is also plain that the shift of +ground so initiated by this strain of sentiment has never reached<!-- Page 15 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 15]</span> a +conclusion and never has taken effect in anything like an effectual +working arrangement. Its practical consequences have been of the nature +of abatement and defection in the pursuit of national ambitions and +dynastic enterprise, rather than a creative work of installing any +institutional furniture suitable to its own ends. It has in effect gone +no farther than what would be called an incipient correction of abuses. +The highest rise, as well as the decline, of this movement lie within +the nineteenth century.</p> + +<p>In point of time, the decay of this amiable conceit of <i>laissez-faire</i> +in national policy coincides with the period of great advance in the +technology of transport and communication in the nineteenth century. +Perhaps, on a larger outlook, it should rather be said that the run of +national ambitions and animosities had, in the eighteenth and nineteenth +centuries, suffered a degree of decay through the diffusion of this +sentimental predilection for Natural Liberty, and that this decline of +the manlier aspirations was then arrested and corrected by help of these +improvements in the technological situation; which enabled a closer and +more coercive control to be exercised over larger areas, and at the same +time enabled a more massive aggregate of warlike force to strike more +effectively at a greater distance. This whole episode of the rise and +decline of <i>laissez-faire</i> in modern history is perhaps best to be +conceived as a transient weakening of nationalism, by neglect; rather +than anything like the growth of a new and more humane ideal of national +intercourse. Such would be the appraisal to be had at the hands of those +who speak for a strenuous national life and for the arbitrament of +sportsmanlike contention in human affairs. And the latterday growth of +more militant aspirations,<!-- Page 16 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 16]</span> together with the more settled and sedulous +attention to a development of control and of formidable armaments, such +as followed on through the latter half of the nineteenth century, would +then be rated as a resumption of those older aims and ideals that had +been falling somewhat into abeyance in the slack-water days of +Liberalism.</p> + +<p>There is much to be said for this latter view; and, indeed, much has +been said for it, particularly by the spokesmen of imperialist politics. +This bias of Natural Liberty has been associated in history with the +English-speaking peoples, more intimately and more extensively than with +any other. Not that this amiable conceit is in any peculiar degree a +race characteristic of this group of peoples; nor even that the history +of its rise and decline runs wholly within the linguistic frontiers +indicated by this characterisation. The French and the Dutch have borne +their share, and at an earlier day Italian sentiment and speculation +lent its impulsion to the same genial drift of faith and aspiration. +But, by historical accident, its center of gravity and of diffusion has +lain with the English-speaking communities during the period when this +bias made history and left its impress on the institutional scheme of +the Western civilisation. By grace of what may, for the present purpose, +be called historical accident, it happens that the interval of history +during which the bias of Natural Liberty made visible headway was also a +period during which these English-speaking peoples, among whom its +effects are chiefly visible, were relatively secure from international +disturbance, by force of inaccessibility. Little strain was put upon +their sense of national solidarity or national prowess; so little, +indeed, that there was some danger of their patriotic animosity falling +into decay by disuse; and then they were<!-- Page 17 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 17]</span> also busy with other things. +Peaceable intercourse, it is true, was relatively easy, active and +far-reaching—eighteenth and nineteenth centuries—as compared with what +had been the case before that time; but warlike intercourse on such a +scale as would constitute a substantial menace to any large nation was +nearly out of the question, so far as regards the English-speaking +peoples. The available means of aggression, as touches the case of these +particular communities, were visibly and consciously inadequate as +compared with the means of defense. The means of internal or +intra-national control or coercion were also less well provided by the +state of the arts current at that time than the means of peaceable +intercourse. These means of transport and communication were, at that +stage of their development, less well suited for the purposes of +far-reaching warlike strategy and the exercise of surveillance and +coercion over large spaces than for the purposes of peaceable traffic.</p> + +<p>But the continued improvement in the means of communication during the +nineteenth century presently upset that situation, and so presently +began to neutralise the geographical quarantine which had hedged about +these communities that were inclined to let well enough alone. The +increasing speed and accuracy of movement in shipping, due to the +successful introduction of steam, as well as the concomitant increasing +size of the units of equipment, all runs to this effect and presently +sets at naught the peace barriers of sea and weather. So also the +development of railways and their increasing availability for strategic +uses, together with the far-reaching coordination of movement made +possible by their means and by the telegraph; all of which is further +facilitated by the increasing mass and density of population. +Improvements<!-- Page 18 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 18]</span> in the technology of arms and armament worked to the like +effect, of setting the peace of any community on an increasingly +precarious footing, through the advantage which this new technology gave +to a ready equipment and a rapid mobilisation. The new state of the +industrial arts serviceable for warlike enterprise put an increasingly +heavy premium on readiness for offense or defense, but more particularly +it all worked increasingly to the advantage of the offensive. It put the +Fabian strategy out of date, and led to the doctrine of a defensive +offense.</p> + +<p>Gradually it came true, with the continued advance in those industrial +arts that lend themselves to strategic uses, and it came also to be +realised, that no corner of the earth was any longer secure by mere +favor of distance and natural difficulty, from eventual aggression at +the hands of any provident and adventurous assailant,—even by help of a +modicum of defensive precaution. The fear of aggression then came +definitively to take the place of international good-will and became the +chief motive in public policy, so fast and so far as the state of the +industrial arts continued to incline the balance of advantage to the +side of the aggressor. All of which served greatly to strengthen the +hands of those statesmen who, by interest or temperament, were inclined +to imperialistic enterprise. Since that period all armament has +conventionally been accounted defensive, and all statesmen have +professed that the common defense is their chief concern. Professedly +all armament has been designed to keep the peace; so much of a shadow of +the peaceable bias there still stands over.</p> + +<p>Throughout this latest phase of modern civilisation the avowed fear of +aggression has served as apology, possibly as provocation in fact, to +national armaments; and<!-- Page 19 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 19]</span> throughout the same period any analysis of the +situation will finally run the chain of fear back to Prussia as the +putative or actual, center of disturbance and apprehension. No doubt, +Prussian armament has taken the lead and forced the pace among the +nations of Christendom; but the Prussian policy, too, has been +diligently covered with the same decorous plea of needful provision for +the common defense and an unremitting solicitude for international +peace,—to which has been added the canny afterthought of the "defensive +offense."</p> + +<p>It is characteristic of this era of armed peace that in all these +extensive preparations for breaking the peace any formal avowal of other +than a defensive purpose has at all times been avoided as an +insufferable breach of diplomatic decorum. It is likewise characteristic +of the same era that armaments have unremittingly been increased, beyond +anything previously known; and that all men have known all the while +that the inevitable outcome of this avowedly defensive armament must +eventually be war on an unprecedented scale and of unexampled ferocity. +It would be neither charitable nor otherwise to the point to call +attention to the reflection which this state of the case throws on the +collective sagacity or the good faith of the statesmen who have had the +management of affairs. It is not practicable to imagine how such an +outcome as the present could have been brought about by any degree of +stupidity or incapacity alone, nor is it easier to find evidence that +the utmost sagacity of the statecraft engaged has had the slightest +mitigating effect on the evil consummation to which the whole case has +been brought. It has long been a commonplace among observers of public +events that these professedly defensive warlike preparations have in +effect been preparations<!-- Page 20 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_20" id="Page_20">[Pg 20]</a></span> for breaking the peace; against which, at +least ostensibly, a remedy had been sought in the preparation of still +heavier armaments, with full realisation that more armament would +unfailingly entail a more unsparing and more disastrous war,—which sums +up the statecraft of the past half century.</p> + +<p>Prussia, and afterwards Prussianised Germany, has come in for the +distinction of taking the lead and forcing the pace in this competitive +preparation—or "preparedness"—for war in time of peace. That such has +been the case appears in good part to be something of a fortuitous +circumstance. The season of enterprising force and fraud to which that +country owes its induction into the concert of nations is an episode of +recent history; so recent, indeed, that the German nation has not yet +had time to live it down and let it be forgotten; and the Imperial State +is consequently burdened with an irritably uneasy sense of odium and an +established reputation for unduly bad faith. From which it has followed, +among other things, that the statesmen of the Empire have lived in the +expectation of having their unforgotten derelictions brought home, and +so have, on the one hand, found themselves unable to credit any pacific +intentions professed by the neighboring Powers, while on the other hand +they have been unable to gain credence for their own voluble professions +of peace and amity. So it has come about that, by a fortuitous +conjuncture of scarcely relevant circumstances, Prussia and the Empire +have been thrown into the lead in the race of "preparedness" and have +been led assiduously to hasten a breach which they could ill afford. It +is, to say the least, extremely doubtful if the event would have been +substantially different in the absence of that special provocation to +com<!-- Page 21 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_21" id="Page_21">[Pg 21]</a></span>petitive preparedness that has been injected into the situation by +this German attitude; but the rate of approach to a warlike climax has +doubtless been hastened by the anticipatory policy of preparedness which +the Prussian dynasty has seen itself constrained to pursue. Eventually, +the peculiar circumstances of its case—embarrassment at home and +distaste and discredit abroad—have induced the Imperial State to take +the line of a defensive offense, to take war by the forelock and +retaliate on presumptive enemies for prospective grievances. But in any +case, the progressive improvement in transport and communication, as +well as in the special technology of warfare, backed by greatly enhanced +facilities for indoctrinating the populace with militant +nationalism,—these ways and means, working under the hand of patriotic +statesmen must in course of the past century have brought the peace of +Europe to so precarious a footing as would have provoked a material +increase in the equipment for national defense; which would unavoidably +have led to competitive armament and an enhanced international distrust +and animosity, eventually culminating in hostilities.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>It may well be that the plea of defensive preparation advanced by the +statesmen, Prussian and others, in apology for competitive armaments is +a diplomatic subterfuge,—there are indications that such has commonly +been the case; but even if it commonly is visibly disingenuous, the need +of making such a plea to cover more sinister designs is itself an +evidence that an avowedly predatory enterprise no longer meets with the +requisite popular approval. Even if an exception to this rule be +admitted in the recent attitude of the German people, it is to be +recalled that the exception was allowed to stand<!-- Page 22 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_22" id="Page_22">[Pg 22]</a></span> only transiently, and +that presently the avowal of a predatory design in this case was +urgently disclaimed in the face of adversity. Even those who speak most +fluently for the necessity of war, and for its merits as a needed +discipline in the manly virtues, are constrained by the prevailing +sentiment to deprecate its necessity.</p> + +<p>Yet it is equally evident that when once a warlike enterprise has been +entered upon so far as to commit the nation to hostilities, it will have +the cordial support of popular sentiment even if it is patently an +aggressive war. Indeed, it is quite a safe generalisation that when +hostilities have once been got fairly under way by the interested +statesmen, the patriotic sentiment of the nation may confidently be +counted on to back the enterprise irrespective of the merits of the +quarrel. But even if the national sentiment is in this way to be counted +in as an incidental matter of course, it is also to be kept in mind in +this connection that any quarrel so entered upon by any nation will +forthwith come to have the moral approval of the community. Dissenters +will of course be found, sporadically, who do not readily fall in with +the prevailing animus; but as a general proposition it will still hold +true that any such quarrel forthwith becomes a just quarrel in the eyes +of those who have so been committed to it.</p> + +<p>A corollary following from this general theorem may be worth noting in +the same connection. Any politician who succeeds in embroiling his +country in a war, however nefarious, becomes a popular hero and is +reputed a wise and righteous statesman, at least for the time being. +Illustrative instances need perhaps not, and indeed can not gracefully, +be named; most popular heroes and reputed statesmen belong in this +class.<!-- Page 23 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_23" id="Page_23">[Pg 23]</a></span></p> + +<p>Another corollary, which bears more immediately on the question in hand, +follows also from the same general proposition: Since the ethical values +involved in any given international contest are substantially of the +nature of afterthought or accessory, they may safely be left on one side +in any endeavour to understand or account for any given outbreak of +hostilities. The moral indignation of both parties to the quarrel is to +be taken for granted, as being the statesman's chief and necessary ways +and means of bringing any warlike enterprise to a head and floating it +to a creditable finish. It is a precipitate of the partisan animosity +that inspires both parties and holds them to their duty of +self-sacrifice and devastation, and at its best it will chiefly serve as +a cloak of self-righteousness to extenuate any exceptionally profligate +excursions in the conduct of hostilities.</p> + +<p>Any warlike enterprise that is hopefully to be entered on must have the +moral sanction of the community, or of an effective majority in the +community. It consequently becomes the first concern of the warlike +statesman to put this moral force in train for the adventure on which he +is bent. And there are two main lines of motivation by which the +spiritual forces of any Christian nation may so be mobilised for warlike +adventure: (1) The preservation or furtherance of the community's +material interests, real or fancied, and (2) vindication of the national +honour. To these should perhaps be added as a third, the advancement and +perpetuation of the nation's "Culture;" that is to say, of its habitual +scheme of use and wont. It is a nice question whether, in practical +effect, the aspiration to perpetuate the national Culture is +consistently to be distinguished from the vindication of the national +honour. There is perhaps the distinction to<!-- Page 24 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 24]</span> be made that "the +perpetuation of the national Culture" lends a readier countenance to +gratuitous aggression and affords a broader cover for incidental +atrocities, since the enemies of the national Culture will necessarily +be conceived as an inferior and obstructive people, falling beneath the +rules of commonplace decorum.</p> + +<p>Those material interests for which modern nations are in the habit of +taking to arms are commonly of a fanciful character, in that they +commonly have none but an imaginary net value to the community at large. +Such are, e.g., the national trade or the increase of the national +territory. These and the like may serve the warlike or dynastic +ambitions of the nation's masters; they may also further the interests +of office-holders, and more particularly of certain business houses or +businessmen who stand to gain some small advantage by help of the powers +in control; but it all signifies nothing more to the common man than an +increased bill of governmental expense and a probable increase in the +cost of living.</p> + +<p>That a nation's trade should be carried in vessels owned by its citizens +or registered in its ports will doubtless have some sentimental value to +the common run of its citizens, as is shown by the fact that +disingenuous politicians always find it worth their while to appeal to +this chauvinistic predilection. But it patently is all a completely idle +question, in point of material advantage, to anyone but the owners of +the vessels; and to these owners it is also of no material consequence +under what flag their investments sail, except so far as the government +in question may afford them some preferential opportunity for +gain,—always at the cost of their fellow citizens. The like is equally +true as regards the domicile and the national allegiance of the +businessmen who buy<!-- Page 25 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 25]</span> and sell the country's imports and exports. The +common man plainly has no slightest material interest in the nationality +or the place of residence of those who conduct this traffic; though all +the facts go to say that in some puzzle-headed way the common man +commonly persuades himself that it does make some occult sort of +difference to him; so that he is commonly willing to pay something +substantial toward subsidising businessmen of his own nationality, in +the way of a protective tariff and the like.</p> + +<p>The only material advantage to be derived from such a preferential trade +policy arises in the case of international hostilities, in which case +the home-owned vessels and merchants may on occasion count toward +military readiness; although even in that connection their value is +contingent and doubtful. But in this way they may contribute in their +degree to a readiness to break off peaceable relations with other +countries. It is only for warlike purposes, that is to say for the +dynastic ambitions of warlike statesmen, that these preferential +contrivances in economic policy have any substantial value; and even in +that connection their expediency is always doubtful. They are a source +of national jealousy, and they may on occasion become a help to military +strategy when this national jealousy eventuates in hostilities.</p> + +<p>The run of the facts touching this matter of national trade policy is +something as follows: At the instance of businessmen who stand to gain +by it, and with the cordial support of popular sentiment, the +constituted authorities sedulously further the increase of shipping and +commerce under protection of the national power. At the same time they +spend substance and diplomatic energy in an endeavor to extend the +international market facilities open to the country's businessmen, with +a view<!-- Page 26 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 26]</span> always to a preferential advantage in favor of these +businessmen, also with the sentimental support of the common man and at +his cost. To safeguard these commercial interests, as well as +property-holdings of the nation's citizens in foreign parts, the nation +maintains naval, military, consular and diplomatic establishments, at +the common expense. The total gains derivable from these commercial and +investment interests abroad, under favorable circumstances, will never +by any chance equal the cost of the governmental apparatus installed to +further and safeguard them. These gains, such as they are, go to the +investors and businessmen engaged in these enterprises; while the costs +incident to the adventure are borne almost wholly by the common man, who +gets no gain from it all. Commonly, as in the case of a protective +tariff or a preferential navigation law, the cost to the common man is +altogether out of proportion to the gain which accrues to the +businessmen for whose benefit he carries the burden. The only other +class, besides the preferentially favored businessmen, who derive any +material benefit from this arrangement is that of the office-holders who +take care of this governmental traffic and draw something in the way of +salaries and perquisites; and whose cost is defrayed by the common man, +who remains an outsider in all but the payment of the bills. The common +man is proud and glad to bear this burden for the benefit of his +wealthier neighbors, and he does so with the singular conviction that in +some occult manner he profits by it. All this is incredible, but it is +everyday fact.</p> + +<p>In case it should happen that these business interests of the nation's +businessmen interested in trade or investments abroad are jeopardised by +a disturbance of any<!-- Page 27 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 27]</span> kind in these foreign parts in which these +business interests lie, then it immediately becomes the urgent concern +of the national authorities to use all means at hand for maintaining the +gainful traffic of these businessmen undiminished, and the common man +pays the cost. Should such an untoward situation go to such sinister +lengths as to involve actual loss to these business interests or +otherwise give rise to a tangible grievance, it becomes an affair of the +national honour; whereupon no sense of proportion as between the +material gains at stake and the cost of remedy or retaliation need +longer be observed, since the national honour is beyond price. The +motivation in the case shifts from the ground of material interest to +the spiritual ground of the moral sentiments.</p> + +<p>In this connection "honour" is of course to be taken in the euphemistic +sense which the term has under the <i>code duello</i> governing "affairs of +honour." It carries no connotation of honesty, veracity, equity, +liberality, or unselfishness. This national honour is of the nature of +an intangible or immaterial asset, of course; it is a matter of +prestige, a sportsmanlike conception; but that fact must not be taken to +mean that it is of any the less substantial effect for purposes of a +<i>casus belli</i> than the material assets of the community. Quite the +contrary: "Who steals my purse, steals trash," etc. In point of fact, it +will commonly happen that any material grievance must first be converted +into terms of this spiritual capital, before it is effectually turned to +account as a stimulus to warlike enterprise.</p> + +<p>Even among a people with so single an eye to the main chance as the +American community it will be found true, on experiment or on review of +the historical evidence, that an offense against the national honour +commands a<!-- Page 28 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 28]</span> profounder and more unreserved resentment than any +infraction of the rights of person or property simply. This has latterly +been well shown in connection with the manoeuvres of the several +European belligerents, designed to bend American neutrality to the +service of one side or the other. Both parties have aimed to intimidate +and cajole; but while the one party has taken recourse to effrontery and +has made much and ostentatious use of threats and acts of violence +against person and property, the other has constantly observed a +deferential attitude toward American national self-esteem, even while +engaged on a persistent infraction of American commercial rights. The +first named line of diplomacy has convicted itself of miscarriage and +has lost the strategic advantage, as against the none too adroit finesse +of the other side. The statesmen of this European war power were so ill +advised as to enter on a course of tentatively cumulative intimidation, +by threats and experimentally graduated crimes against the property and +persons of American citizens, with a view to coerce American cupidity +and yet to avoid carrying these manoeuvres of terrorism far enough to +arouse an unmanageable sense of outrage. The experiment has served to +show that the breaking point in popular indignation will be reached +before the terrorism has gone far enough to raise a serious question of +pecuniary caution.</p> + +<p>This national honour, which so is rated a necessary of life, is an +immaterial substance in a peculiarly high-wrought degree, being not only +not physically tangible but also not even capable of adequate statement +in pecuniary terms,—as would be the case with ordinary immaterial +assets. It is true, where the point of grievance out of which a question +of the national honour arises is a pe<!-- Page 29 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 29]</span>cuniary discrepancy, the national +honour can not be satisfied without a pecuniary accounting; but it needs +no argument to convince all right-minded persons that even at such a +juncture the national honour that has been compromised is indefinitely +and indefinably more than what can be made to appear on an accountant's +page. It is a highly valued asset, or at least a valued possession, but +it is of a metaphysical, not of a physical nature, and it is not known +to serve any material or otherwise useful end apart from affording a +practicable grievance consequent upon its infraction.</p> + +<p>This national honour is subject to injury in divers ways, and so may +yield a fruitful grievance even apart from offences against the person +or property of the nation's businessmen; as, e.g., through neglect or +disregard of the conventional punctilios governing diplomatic +intercourse, or by disrespect or contumelious speech touching the Flag, +or the persons of national officials, particularly of such officials as +have only a decorative use, or the costumes worn by such officials, or, +again, by failure to observe the ritual prescribed for parading the +national honour on stated occasions. When duly violated the national +honour may duly be made whole again by similarly immaterial +instrumentalities; as, e.g., by recital of an appropriate formula of +words, by formal consumption of a stated quantity of ammunition in the +way of a salute, by "dipping" an ensign, and the like,—procedure which +can, of course, have none but a magical efficacy. The national honour, +in short, moves in the realm of magic, and touches the frontiers of +religion.</p> + +<p>Throughout this range of duties incumbent on the national defense, it +will be noted, the offenses or discrepancies to be guarded against or +corrected by recourse to<!-- Page 30 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 30]</span> arms have much of a ceremonial character. +Whatever may be the material accidents that surround any given concrete +grievance that comes up for appraisal and redress, in bringing the case +into the arena for trial by combat it is the spiritual value of the +offense that is played up and made the decisive ground of action, +particularly in so far as appeal is made to the sensibilities of the +common man, who will have to bear the cost of the adventure. And in such +a case it will commonly happen that the common man is unable, without +advice, to see that any given hostile act embodies a sacrilegious +infraction of the national honour. He will at any such conjuncture +scarcely rise to the pitch of moral indignation necessary to float a +warlike reprisal, until the expert keepers of the Code come in to +expound and certify the nature of the transgression. But when once the +lesion to the national honour has been ascertained, appraised and duly +exhibited by those persons whose place in the national economy it is to +look after all that sort of thing, the common man will be found nowise +behindhand about resenting the evil usage of which he so, by force of +interpretation, has been a victim.<!-- Page 31 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_31" id="Page_31">[Pg 31]</a></span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="CHAPTER_II" id="CHAPTER_II"></a>CHAPTER II</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">On the Nature and Uses of Patriotism</span></p> + + +<p>Patriotism may be defined as a sense of partisan solidarity in respect +of prestige. What the expert psychologists, and perhaps the experts in +Political Science, might find it necessary to say in the course of an +exhaustive analysis and definition of this human faculty would +presumably be something more precise and more extensive. There is no +inclination here to forestall definition, but only to identify and +describe the concept that loosely underlies the colloquial use of this +term, so far as seems necessary to an inquiry into the part played by +the patriotic animus in the life of modern peoples, particularly as it +bears on questions of war and peace.</p> + +<p>On any attempt to divest this concept of all extraneous or adventitious +elements it will be found that such a sense of an undivided joint +interest in a collective body of prestige will always remain as an +irreducible minimum. This is the substantial core about which many and +divers subsidiary interests cluster, but without which these other +clustering interests and aspirations will not, jointly or severally, +make up a working palladium of the patriotic spirit.</p> + +<p>It is true, seen in some other light or rated in some other bearing or +connection, one and another of these other interests, ideals, +aspirations, beatitudes, may well be adjudged nobler, wiser, possibly +more urgent than the<!-- Page 32 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 32]</span> national prestige; but in the forum of patriotism +all these other necessaries of human life—the glory of God and the good +of man—rise by comparison only to the rank of subsidiaries, +auxiliaries, amenities. He is an indifferent patriot who will let "life, +liberty and the pursuit of happiness" cloud the issue and get in the way +of the main business in hand.</p> + +<p>There once were, we are told, many hardy and enterprising spirits banded +together along the Spanish Main for such like ends, just as there are in +our day an even greater number of no less single-minded spirits bent on +their own "life, liberty and pursuit of happiness," according to their +light, in the money-markets of the modern world; but for all their +admirable qualities and splendid achievements, their passionate quest of +these amenities has not entitled these Gentlemen Adventurers to claim +rank as patriots. The poet says:</p> + +<p style="margin-left: 5em;"> +"Strike for your altars and your fires!<br /> +Strike for the green graves of your sires!<br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">God and your native land!"</span><br /> +</p> + +<p>But, again, a temperate scrutiny of the list of desiderata so enumerated +in the poet's flight, will quickly bring out the fact that any or all of +them might drop out of the situation without prejudice to the plain call +of patriotic duty. In the last resort, when the patriotic spirit falls +back on its naked self alone, it is not reflection on the merits of +these good and beautiful things in Nature that gives him his cue and +enforces the ultimate sacrifice. Indeed it is something infinitely more +futile and infinitely more urgent,—provided only that the man is imbued +with the due modicum of patriotic devotion; as, indeed, men commonly +are. It is not faith, hope or charity that abide as the irreducible +minimum of virtue in the patriot's<!-- Page 33 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_33" id="Page_33">[Pg 33]</a></span> scheme of things; particularly not +that charity that has once been highly spoken of as being the greatest +of these. It may be that, viewed in the light of reason, as Doctor +Katzenberger would say, patriotic devotion is the most futile thing in +the world; but, for good or ill, the light of reason has nothing to do +with the case,—no more than "The flowers that bloom in the spring."</p> + +<p>The patriotic spirit is a spirit of emulation, evidently, at the same +time that it is emulation shot through with a sense of solidarity. It +belongs under the general caption of sportsmanship, rather than of +workmanship. Now, any enterprise in sportsmanship is bent on an +invidious success, which must involve as its major purpose the defeat +and humiliation of some competitor, whatever else may be comprised in +its aim. Its aim is a differential gain, as against a rival; and the +emulative spirit that comes under the head of patriotism commonly, if +not invariably, seeks this differential advantage by injury of the rival +rather than by an increase of home-bred well-being.</p> + +<p>Indeed, well-being is altogether out of the perspective, except as +underpinning for an edifice of national prestige. It is, at least, a +safe generalisation that the patriotic sentiment never has been known to +rise to the consummate pitch of enthusiastic abandon except when bent on +some work of concerted malevolence. Patriotism is of a contentious +complexion, and finds its full expression in no other outlet than +warlike enterprise; its highest and final appeal is for the death, +damage, discomfort and destruction of the party of the second part.</p> + +<p>It is not that the spirit of patriotism will tolerate no other +sentiments bearing on matters of public interest, but only that it will +tolerate none that traverse the call<!-- Page 34 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 34]</span> of the national prestige. Like +other men, the patriot may be moved by many and divers other +considerations, besides that of the national prestige; and these other +considerations may be of the most genial and reasonable kind, or they +may also be as foolish and mischievous as any comprised in the range of +human infirmities. He may be a humanitarian given over to the kindliest +solicitude for the common good, or a religious devotee hedged about in +all his motions by the ever present fear of God, or taken up with +artistic, scholarly or scientific pursuits; or, again, he may be a +spendthrift devotee of profane dissipation, whether in the slums or on +the higher levels of gentility, or he may be engaged on a rapacious +quest of gain, as a businessman within the law or as a criminal without +its benefit, or he may spend his best endeavors in advancing the +interests of his class at the cost of the nation at large. All that is +understood as a matter of course and is beside the point. In so far as +he is a complete patriot these other interests will fall away from him +when the one clear call of patriotic duty comes to enlist him in the +cause of the national prestige. There is, indeed, nothing to hinder a +bad citizen being a good patriot; nor does it follow that a good +citizen—in other respects—may not be a very indifferent patriot.</p> + +<p>Many and various other preferences and considerations may coincide with +the promptings of the patriotic spirit, and so may come in to coalesce +with and fortify its driving force; and it is usual for patriotic men to +seek support for their patriotic impulses in some reasoned purpose of +this extraneous kind that is believed to be served by following the call +of the national prestige,—it may be a presumptive increase and +diffusion of culture at large, or the spread and enhancement of a +presump<!-- Page 35 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 35]</span>tively estimable religious faith, or a prospective liberation of +mankind from servitude to obnoxious masters and outworn institutions; +or, again, it may be the increase of peace and material well-being among +men, within the national frontiers or impartially throughout the +civilised world. There are, substantially, none of the desirable things +in this world that are not so counted on by some considerable body of +patriots to be accomplished by the success of their own particular +patriotic aspirations. What they will not come to an understanding about +is the particular national ascendency with which the attainment of these +admirable ends is conceived to be bound up.</p> + +<p>The ideals, needs and aims that so are brought into the patriotic +argument to lend a color of rationality to the patriotic aspiration in +any given case will of course be such ideals, needs and aims as are +currently accepted and felt to be authentic and self-legitimating among +the people in whose eyes the given patriotic enterprise is to find +favor. So one finds that, e.g., among the followers of Islam, devout and +resolute, the patriotic statesman (that is to say the politician who +designs to make use of the popular patriotic fervor) will in the last +resort appeal to the claims and injunctions of the faith. In a similar +way the Prussian statesman bent on dynastic enterprise will conjure in +the name of the dynasty and of culture and efficiency; or, if worse +comes to worst, an outbreak will be decently covered with a plea of +mortal peril and self-defense. Among English-speaking peoples much is to +be gained by showing that the path of patriotic glory is at the same +time the way of equal-handed justice under the rule of free +institutions; at the same time, in a fully commercialised community, +such as the English-speaking commonly are, material benefits in the<!-- Page 36 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 36]</span> way +of trade will go far to sketch in a background of decency for any +enterprise that looks to the enhancement of the national prestige.</p> + +<p>But any promise of gain, whether in the nation's material or immaterial +assets, will not of itself carry full conviction to the commonplace +modern citizen; or even to such modern citizens as are best endowed with +a national spirit. By and large, and overlooking that appreciable +contingent of morally defective citizens that is to be counted on in any +hybrid population, it will hold true that no contemplated enterprise or +line of policy will fully commend itself to the popular sense of merit +and expediency until it is given a moral turn, so as to bring it to +square with the dictates of right and honest dealing. On no terms short +of this will it effectually coalesce with the patriotic aspiration. To +give the fullest practical effect to the patriotic fervor that animates +any modern nation, and so turn it to use in the most effective way, it +is necessary to show that the demands of equity are involved in the +case. Any cursory survey of modern historical events bearing on this +point, among the civilised peoples, will bring out the fact that no +concerted and sustained movement of the national spirit can be had +without enlisting the community's moral convictions. The common man must +be persuaded that right is on his side. "Thrice is he armed who knows +his quarrel just." The grounds of this conviction may often be tawdry +enough, but the conviction is a necessary factor in the case.</p> + +<p>The requisite moral sanction may be had on various grounds, and, on the +whole, it is not an extremely difficult matter to arrange. In the +simplest and not infrequent case it may turn on a question of equity in +respect of trade or investment as between the citizens or subjects of +the<!-- Page 37 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 37]</span> several rival nations; the Chinese "Open Door" affords as sordid an +example as may be desired. Or it may be only an envious demand for a +share in the world's material resources—"A Place in the Sun," as a +picturesque phrase describes it; or "The Freedom of the Seas," as +another equally vague and equally invidious demand for international +equity phrases it. These demands are put forward with a color of +demanding something in the way of equitable opportunity for the +commonplace peaceable citizen; but quite plainly they have none but a +fanciful bearing on the fortunes of the common man in time of peace, and +they have a meaning to the nation only as a fighting unit; apart from +their prestige value, these things are worth fighting for only as +prospective means of fighting. The like appeal to the moral +sensibilities may, again, be made in the way of a call to self-defense, +under the rule of Live and let live; or it may also rest on the more +tenuous obligation to safeguard the national integrity of a weaker +neighbor, under a broader interpretation of the same equitable rule of +Live and let live. But in one way or another it is necessary to set up +the conviction that the promptings of patriotic ambition have the +sanction of moral necessity.</p> + +<p>It is not that the line of national policy or patriotic enterprise so +entered upon with the support of popular sentiment need be right and +equitable as seen in dispassionate perspective from the outside, but +only that it should be capable of being made to seem right and equitable +to the biased populace whose moral convictions are requisite to its +prosecution; which is quite another matter. Nor is it that any such +patriotic enterprise is, in fact, entered on simply or mainly on these +moral grounds that so are alleged in its justification, but only<!-- Page 38 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_38" id="Page_38">[Pg 38]</a></span> that +some such colorable ground of justification or extenuation is necessary +to be alleged, and to be credited by popular belief.</p> + +<p>It is not that the common man is not sufficiently patriotic, but only +that he is a patriot hampered with a plodding and uneasy sense of right +and honest dealing, and that one must make up one's account with this +moral bias in looking to any sustained and concerted action that draws +on the sentiment of the common man for its carrying on. But the moral +sense in the case may be somewhat easily satisfied with a modicum of +equity, in case the patriotic bias of the people is well pronounced, or +in case it is reenforced with a sufficient appeal to self-interest. In +those cases where the national fervor rises to an excited pitch, even +very attenuated considerations of right and justice, such as would under +ordinary conditions doubtfully bear scrutiny as extenuating +circumstances, may come to serve as moral authentication for any +extravagant course of action to which the craving for national prestige +may incite. The higher the pitch of patriotic fervor, the more tenuous +and more thread-bare may be the requisite moral sanction. By cumulative +excitation some very remarkable results have latterly been attained +along this line.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Patriotism is evidently a spirit of particularism, of aliency and +animosity between contrasted groups of persons; it lives on invidious +comparison, and works out in mutual hindrance and jealousy between +nations. It commonly goes the length of hindering intercourse and +obstructing traffic that would patently serve the material and cultural +well-being of both nationalities; and not<!-- Page 39 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 39]</span> infrequently, indeed +normally, it eventuates in competitive damage to both.</p> + +<p>All this holds true in the world of modern civilisation, at the same +time that the modern civilised scheme of life is, notoriously, of a +cosmopolitan character, both in its cultural requirements and in its +economic structure. Modern culture is drawn on too large a scale, is of +too complex and multiform a character, requires the cooperation of too +many and various lines of inquiry, experience and insight, to admit of +its being confined within national frontiers, except at the cost of +insufferable crippling and retardation. The science and scholarship that +is the peculiar pride of civilised Christendom is not only +international, but rather it is homogeneously cosmopolitan; so that in +this bearing there are, in effect, no national frontiers; with the +exception, of course, that in a season of patriotic intoxication, such +as the current war has induced, even the scholars and scientists will be +temporarily overset by their patriotic fervour. Indeed, with the best +efforts of obscurantism and national jealousy to the contrary, it +remains patently true that modern culture is the culture of Christendom +at large, not the culture of one and another nation in severalty within +the confines of Christendom. It is only as and in so far as they partake +in and contribute to the general run of Western civilisation at large +that the people of any one of these nations of Christendom can claim +standing as a cultured nation; and even any distinctive variation from +this general run of civilised life, such as may give a "local colour" of +ideals, tastes and conventions, will, in point of cultural value, have +to be rated as an idle detail, a species of lost motion, that serves no +better purpose than a transient estrangement.<!-- Page 40 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 40]</span></p> + +<p>So also, the modern state of the industrial arts is of a like +cosmopolitan character, in point of scale, specialisation, and the +necessary use of diversified resources, of climate and raw materials. +None of the countries of Europe, e.g., is competent to carry on its +industry by modern technological methods without constantly drawing on +resources outside of its national boundaries. Isolation in this +industrial respect, exclusion from the world market, would mean +intolerable loss of efficiency, more pronounced the more fully the given +country has taken over this modern state of the industrial arts. +Exclusion from the general body of outlying resources would seriously +cripple any one or all of them, and effectually deprive them of the +usufruct of this technology; and partial exclusion, by prohibitive or +protective tariffs and the like, unavoidably results in a partial +lowering of the efficiency of each, and therefore a reduction of the +current well-being among them all together.</p> + +<p>Into this cultural and technological system of the modern world the +patriotic spirit fits like dust in the eyes and sand in the bearings. +Its net contribution to the outcome is obscuration, distrust, and +retardation at every point where it touches the fortunes of modern +mankind. Yet it is forever present in the counsels of the statesmen and +in the affections of the common man, and it never ceases to command the +regard of all men as the prime attribute of manhood and the final test +of the desirable citizen. It is scarcely an exaggeration to say that no +other consideration is allowed in abatement of the claims of patriotic +loyalty, and that such loyalty will be allowed to cover any multitude of +sins. When the ancient philosopher described Man as a "political animal," +this, in effect, was what he affirmed; and today the<!-- Page 41 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_41" id="Page_41">[Pg 41]</a></span> ancient maxim is as +good as new. The patriotic spirit is at cross purposes with modern life, +but in any test case it is found that the claims of life yield before +those of patriotism; and any voice that dissents from this order of things +is as a voice crying in the wilderness.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>To anyone who is inclined to moralise on the singular discrepancies of +human life this state of the case will be fruitful of much profound +speculation. The patriotic animus appears to be an enduring trait of +human nature, an ancient heritage that has stood over unshorn from time +immemorial, under the Mendelian rule of the stability of racial types. +It is archaic, not amenable to elimination or enduring suppression, and +apparently not appreciably to be mitigated by reflection, education, +experience or selective breeding.</p> + +<p>Throughout the historical period, and presumably through an incalculable +period of the unrecorded past, patriotic manslaughter has consistently +been weeding out of each successive generation of men the most patriotic +among them; with the net result that the level of patriotic ardor today +appears to be no lower than it ever was. At the same time, with the +advance of population, of culture and of the industrial arts, patriotism +has grown increasingly disserviceable; and it is to all appearance as +ubiquitous and as powerful as ever, and is held in as high esteem.</p> + +<p>The continued prevalence of this archaic animus among the modern +peoples, as well as the fact that it is universally placed high among +the virtues, must be taken to argue that it is, in its elements, an +hereditary trait, of the nature of an inborn impulsive propensity, +rather than a product of habituation. It is, in substance, not +something<!-- Page 42 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 42]</span> that can be learned and unlearned. From one generation to +another, the allegiance may shift from one nationality to another, but +the fact of unreflecting allegiance at large remains. And it all argues +also that no sensible change has taken effect in the hereditary +endowment of the race, at least in this respect, during the period known +by record or by secure inference,—say, since the early Neolithic in +Europe; and this in spite of the fact that there has all this while been +opportunity for radical changes in the European population by +cross-breeding, infiltration and displacement of the several racial +stocks that go to make up this population. Hence, on slight reflection +the inference has suggested itself and has gained acceptance that this +trait of human nature must presumably have been serviceable to the +peoples of the earlier time, on those levels of savagery or of the lower +barbarism on which the ancestral stocks of the European population first +made good their survival and proved their fitness to people that quarter +of the earth. Such, indeed, is the common view; so common as to pass for +matter-of-course, and therefore habitually to escape scrutiny.</p> + +<p>Still it need not follow, as more patient reflection will show. All the +European peoples show much the same animus in this respect; whatever +their past history may have been, and whatever the difference in past +experience that might be conceived to have shaped their temperament. Any +difference in the pitch of patriotic conceit and animosity, between the +several nationalities or the several localities, is by no means wide, +even in cases where the racial composition of the population is held to +be very different, as, e.g., between the peoples on the Baltic seaboard +and those on the Mediterranean. In point of fact, in this matter of +patriotic animus there appears<!-- Page 43 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_43" id="Page_43">[Pg 43]</a></span> to be a wider divergence, +temperamentally, between individuals within any one of these communities +than between the common run in any one community and the corresponding +common run in any other. But even such divergence of individual temper +in respect of patriotism as is to be met with, first and last, is after +all surprisingly small in view of the scope for individual variation +which this European population would seem to offer.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>These peoples of Europe, all and several, are hybrids compounded out of +the same run of racial elements, but mixed in varying proportions. On +any parallel of latitude—taken in the climatic rather than in the +geometric sense—the racial composition of the west-European population +will be much the same, virtually identical in effect, although always of +a hybrid complexion; whereas on any parallel of longitude—also in the +climatic sense—the racial composition will vary progressively, but +always within the limits of the same general scheme of hybridisation,—the +variation being a variation in the proportion in which the several racial +elements are present in any given case. But in no case does a notable +difference in racial composition coincide with a linguistic or national +frontier. But in point of patriotic animus these European peoples are one +as good as another, whether the comparison be traced on parallels of +latitude or of longitude. And the inhabitants of each national territory, +or of each detail locality, appear also to run surprisingly uniform in +respect of their patriotic spirit.</p> + +<p>Heredity in any such community of hybrids will, superficially, appear to +run somewhat haphazard. There will, of course, be no traceable +difference between social or economic classes, in point of heredity,—as +is visibly<!-- Page 44 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 44]</span> the case in Christendom. But variation—of an apparently +haphazard description—will be large and ubiquitous among the +individuals of such a populace. Indeed, it is a matter of course and of +easy verification that individual variation within such a hybrid stock +will greatly exceed the extreme differences that may subsist between the +several racial types that have gone to produce the hybrid stock. Such is +the case of the European peoples. The inhabitants vary greatly among +themselves, both in physical and in mental traits, as would be expected; +and the variation between individuals in point of patriotic animus +should accordingly also be expected to be extremely wide,—should, in +effect, greatly exceed the difference, if any, in this respect between +the several racial elements engaged in the European population. Some +appreciable difference in this respect there appears to be, between +individuals; but individual divergence from the normal or average +appears always to be of a sporadic sort,—it does not run on class +lines, whether of occupation, status or property, nor does it run at all +consistently from parent to child. When all is told the argument returns +to the safe ground that these variations in point of patriotic animus +are sporadic and inconsequential, and do not touch the general +proposition that, one with another, the inhabitants of Europe and the +European Colonies are sufficiently patriotic, and that the average +endowment in this respect runs with consistent uniformity across all +differences of time, place and circumstance. It would, in fact, be +extremely hazardous to affirm that there is a sensible difference in the +ordinary pitch of patriotic sentiment as between any two widely diverse +samples of these hybrid populations, in spite of the fact that the +diversity in visible physical traits may be quite pronounced.<!-- Page 45 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 45]</span></p> + +<p>In short, the conclusion seems safe, on the whole, that in this respect +the several racial stocks that have gone to produce the existing +populations of Christendom have all been endowed about as richly one as +another. Patriotism appears to be a ubiquitous trait, at least among the +races and peoples of Christendom. From which it should follow, that +since there is, and has from the beginning been, no differential +advantage favoring one racial stock or one fashion of hybrid as against +another, in this matter of patriotic animus, there should also be no +ground of selective survival or selective elimination on this account as +between these several races and peoples. So that the undisturbed and +undiminished prevalence of this trait among the European population, +early or late, argues nothing as to its net serviceability or +disserviceability under any of the varying conditions of culture and +technology to which these Europeans have been subjected, first and last; +except that it has, in any case, not proved so disserviceable under the +conditions prevailing hitherto as to result in the extinction of these +Europeans, one with another.<a name="FNanchor_4_4" id="FNanchor_4_4"></a><a href="#Footnote_4_4" class="fnanchor">[4]</a></p> + +<p>The patriotic frame of mind has been spoken of above as if it were an +hereditary trait, something after the fashion of a Mendelian unit +character. Doubtless this is not a competent account of the matter; but +the present argument scarcely needs a closer analysis. Still, in a +measure to quiet title and avoid annoyance, it may be noted that this +patriotic animus is of the nature of a "frame of mind" rather than a +Mendelian unit character;<!-- Page 46 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_46" id="Page_46">[Pg 46]</a></span> that it so involves a concatenation of +several impulsive propensities (presumably hereditary); and that both +the concatenation and the special mode and amplitude of the response are +a product of habituation, very largely of the nature of conventionalised +use and wont. What is said above, therefore, goes little farther than +saying that the underlying aptitudes requisite to this patriotic frame +of mind are heritable, and that use and wont as bearing on this point +run with sufficient uniformity to bring a passably uniform result. It +may be added that in this concatenation spoken of there seems to be +comprised, ordinarily, that sentimental attachment to habitat and custom +that is called love of home, or in its accentuated expression, +home-sickness; so also an invidious self-complacency, coupled with a +gregarious bent which gives the invidious comparison a group content; +and further, commonly if not invariably, a bent of abnegation, +self-abasement, subservience, or whatever it may best be called, that +inclines the bearer unreasoningly and unquestioningly to accept and +serve a prescriptive ideal given by custom or by customary authority.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The conclusion would therefore provisionally run to the effect that +under modern conditions the patriotic animus is wholly a disserviceable +trait in the spiritual endowment of these peoples,—in so far as bears +on the material conditions of life unequivocally, and as regards the +cultural interests more at large presumptively; whereas there is no +assured ground for a discriminating opinion as touches its possible +utility or disutility at any remote period in the past. There is, of +course, always room for the conservative estimate that, as the +possession of this spiritual trait has not hitherto resulted in the +extinc<!-- Page 47 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 47]</span>tion of the race, so it may also in the calculable future +continue to bring no more grievous results than a degree of mischief, +without even stopping or greatly retarding the increase of population.</p> + +<p>All this, of course, is intended to apply only so far as it goes. It +must not be taken as intending to say any least word in derogation of +those high qualities that inspire the patriotic citizen. In its +economic, biological and cultural incidence patriotism appears to be an +untoward trait of human nature; which has, of course, nothing to say as +to its moral excellence, its aesthetic value, or its indispensability to +a worthy life. No doubt, it is in all these respects deserving of all +the esteem and encomiums that fall to its share. Indeed, its well-known +moral and aesthetic value, as well as the reprobation that is visited on +any shortcomings in this respect, signify, for the purposes of the +present argument, nothing more than that the patriotic animus meets the +unqualified approval of men because they are, all and several, infected +with it. It is evidence of the ubiquitous, intimate and ineradicable +presence of this quality in human nature; all the more since it +continues untiringly to be held in the highest esteem in spite of the +fact that a modicum of reflection should make its disserviceability +plain to the meanest understanding. No higher praise of moral +excellence, and no profounder test of loyalty, can be asked than this +current unreserved commendation of a virtue that makes invariably for +damage and discomfort. The virtuous impulse must be deep-seated and +indefeasible that drives men incontinently to do good that evil may come +of it. "Though He slay me, yet will I trust in Him."<!-- Page 48 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_48" id="Page_48">[Pg 48]</a></span></p> + +<p>In the light—and it is a dim and wavering light—of the archaeological +evidence, helped out by circumstantial evidence from such parallel or +analogous instances as are afforded by existing communities on a +comparable level of culture, one may venture more or less confidently on +a reconstruction of the manner of life among the early Europeans, of +early neolithic times and later.<a name="FNanchor_5_5" id="FNanchor_5_5"></a><a href="#Footnote_5_5" class="fnanchor">[5]</a> And so one may form some conception +of the part played by this patriotic animus among those beginnings, +when, if not the race, at least its institutions were young; and when +the native temperament of these peoples was tried out and found fit to +survive through the age-long and slow-moving eras of stone and bronze. +In this connection, it appears safe to assume that since early neolithic +times no sensible change has taken effect in the racial complexion of +the European peoples; and therefore no sensible change in their +spiritual and mental make-up. So that in respect of the spiritual +elements that go to make up this patriotic animus the Europeans of today +will be substantially identical with the Europeans of that early time. +The like is true as regards those other traits of temperament that come +in question here, as being included among the stable characteristics +that still condition the life of these peoples under the altered +circumstances of the modern age.</p> + +<p>The difference between prehistoric Europe and the present state of these +peoples resolves itself on analysis into a difference in the state of +the industrial arts, together with such institutional changes as have +come on in the course of working out this advance in the industrial +arts. The habits and the exigencies of life among these peoples have +greatly changed; whereas in temper<!-- Page 49 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_49" id="Page_49">[Pg 49]</a></span>ament and capacities the peoples that +now live by and under the rule of this altered state of the industrial +arts are the same as they were. It is to be noted, therefore, that the +fact of their having successfully come through the long ages of +prehistory by the use of this mental and spiritual endowment can not be +taken to argue that these peoples are thereby fit to meet the exigencies +of this later and gravely altered age; nor will it do to assume that +because these peoples have themselves worked out this modern culture and +its technology, therefore it must all be suitable for their use and +conducive to their biological success. The single object lesson of the +modern urban community, with its endless requirements in the way of +sanitation, police, compulsory education, charities,—all this and many +other discrepancies in modern life should enjoin caution on anyone who +is inclined off-hand to hold that because modern men have created these +conditions, therefore these must be the most suitable conditions of life +for modern mankind.</p> + +<p>In the beginning, that is to say in the European beginning, men lived in +small and close groups. Control was close within the group, and the +necessity of subordinating individual gains and preferences to the +common good was enjoined on the group by the exigencies of the case, on +pain of common extinction. The situation and usages of existing Eskimo +villages may serve to illustrate and enforce the argument on this head. +The solidarity of sentiment necessary to support the requisite +solidarity of action in the case would be a prime condition of survival +in any racial stock exposed to the conditions which surrounded these +early Europeans. This needful sense of solidarity would touch not simply +or most imperatively the joint prestige of the group, but rather the +joint ma<!-- Page 50 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 50]</span>terial interests; and would enforce a spirit of mutual support +and dependence. Which would be rather helped than hindered by a jealous +attitude of joint prestige; so long as no divergent interests of members +within the group were in a position to turn this state of the common +sentiment to their own particular advantage.</p> + +<p>This state of the case will have lasted for a relatively long time; long +enough to have tested the fitness of these peoples for that manner of +life,—longer, no doubt, than the interval that has elapsed since +history began. Special interests—e.g., personal and family +interests—will have been present and active in these days of the +beginning; but so long as the group at large was small enough to admit +of a close neighborly contact throughout its extent and throughout the +workday routine of life, at the same time that it was too small and +feeble to allow any appreciable dissipation of its joint energies in +such pursuit of selfish gains as would run counter to the paramount +business of the common livelihood, so long the sense of a common +livelihood and a joint fortune would continue to hold any particularist +ambitions effectually in check. Had it fallen out otherwise, the story +of the group in question would have been ended, and another and more +suitably endowed type of men would have taken the place vacated by its +extinction.</p> + +<p>With a sensible advance in the industrial arts the scale of operations +would grow larger, and the group more numerous and extensive. The margin +between production and subsistence would also widen and admit additional +scope for individual ambitions and personal gains. And as this process +of growth and increasing productive efficiency went on, the control +exercised by neighborly surveillance, through the sentiment of the +common good<!-- Page 51 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_51" id="Page_51">[Pg 51]</a></span> as against the self-seeking pursuits of individuals and +sub-groups, would gradually slacken; until by progressive disuse it +would fall into a degree of abeyance; to be called into exercise and +incite to concerted action only in the face of unusual exigencies +touching the common fortunes of the group at large, or on persuasion +that the collective interest of the group at large was placed in +jeopardy in the molestation of one and another of its members from +without. The group's prestige at least would be felt to suffer in the +defeat or discourtesy suffered by any of its members at the hands of any +alien; and, under compulsion of the ancient sense of group solidarity, +whatever material hardship or material gain might so fall to individual +members in their dealings with the alien would pass easy scrutiny as +material detriment or gain inuring to the group at large,—in the +apprehension of men whose sense of community interest is inflamed with a +jealous disposition to safeguard their joint prestige.</p> + +<p>With continued advance in the industrial arts the circumstances +conditioning life will undergo a progressive change of such a character +that the joint interest of the group at large, in the material respect, +will progressively be less closely bound up with the material fortunes +of any particular member or members; until in the course of time and +change there will, in effect, in ordinary times be no general and +inclusive community of material interest binding the members together in +a common fortune and working for a common livelihood. As the rights of +ownership begin to take effect, so that the ownership of property and +the pursuit of a livelihood under the rules of ownership come to govern +men's economic relations, these material concerns will cease to be a +matter of undivided joint interest, and will fall into the shape of +interest in<!-- Page 52 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 52]</span> severalty. So soon and so far as this institution of +ownership or property takes effect, men's material interests cease to +run on lines of group solidarity. Solely, or almost solely, in the +exceptional case of defense against a predatory incursion from outside, +do the members of the group have a common interest of a material kind. +Progressively as the state of the arts advances, the industrial +organisation advances to a larger scale and a more extensive +specialisation, with increasing divergence among individual interests +and individual fortunes; and intercourse over larger distances grows +easier and makes a larger grouping practicable; which enables a larger, +prompter and more effective mobilisation of forces with which to defend +or assert any joint claims. But by the same move it also follows, or at +least it appears uniformly to have followed in the European case, that +the accumulation of property and the rights of ownership have +progressively come into the first place among the material interests of +these peoples; while anything like a community of usufruct has +imperceptibly fallen into the background, and has presently gone +virtually into abeyance, except as an eventual recourse <i>in extremis</i> +for the common defense. Property rights have displaced community of +usufruct; and invidious distinctions as between persons, sub-groups, and +classes have displaced community of prestige in the workday routine of +these peoples; and the distinctions between contrasted persons or +classes have come to rest, in an ever increasing degree, directly or +indirectly, on invidious comparisons in respect of pecuniary standing +rather than on personal affiliation with the group at large.</p> + +<p>So, with the advance of the industrial arts a differentiation of a new +character sets in and presently grows pro<!-- Page 53 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 53]</span>gressively more pronounced and +more effectual, giving rise to a regrouping on lines that run regardless +of those frontiers that divide one community from another for purposes +of patriotic emulation. So far as it comes chiefly and typically in +question here, this regrouping takes place on two distinct but somewhat +related principles of contrast: that of wealth and poverty, and that of +master and servant, or authority and obedience. The material interests +of the population in this way come to be divided between the group of +those who own and those who command, on the one hand, and of those who +work and who obey, on the other hand.</p> + +<p>Neither of these two contrasted categories of persons have any direct +material interest in the maintenance of the patriotic community; or at +any rate no such interest as should reasonably induce them to spend +their own time and substance in support of the political (patriotic) +organisation within which they live. It is only in so far as one or +another of these interests looks for a more than proportionate share in +any prospective gain from the joint enterprise, that the group or class +in question can reasonably be counted on to bear its share in the joint +venture. And it is only when and in so far as their particular material +or self-regarding interest is reenforced by patriotic conceit, that they +can be counted on to spend themselves in furtherance of the patriotic +enterprise, without the assurance of a more than proportionate share in +any gains that may be held in prospect from any such joint enterprise; +and it is only in its patriotic bearing that the political community +continues to be a joint venture. That is to say, in more generalised +terms, through the development of the rights of property, and of such +like prescriptive claims of privilege and prerogative, it<!-- Page 54 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_54" id="Page_54">[Pg 54]</a></span> has come +about that other community interests have fallen away, until the +collective prestige remains as virtually the sole community interest +which can hold the sentiment of the group in a bond of solidarity.</p> + +<p>To one or another of these several interested groups or classes within +the community the political organisation may work a benefit; but only to +one or another, not to each and several, jointly or collectively. Since +by no chance will the benefit derived from such joint enterprise on the +part of the community at large equal the joint cost; in as much as all +joint enterprise of the kind that looks to material advantage works by +one or another method of inhibition and takes effect, if at all, by +lowering the aggregate efficiency of the several countries concerned, +with a view to the differential gain of one at the cost of another. So, +e.g., a protective tariff is plainly a conspiracy in restraint of trade, +with a view to benefit the conspirators by hindering their competitors. +The aggregate cost to the community at large of such an enterprise in +retardation is always more than the gains it brings to those who may +benefit by it.</p> + +<p>In so speaking of the uses to which the common man's patriotic devotion +may be turned, there is no intention to underrate its intrinsic value as +a genial and generous trait of human nature. Doubtless it is best and +chiefly to be appreciated as a spiritual quality that beautifies and +ennobles its bearer, and that endows him with the full stature of +manhood, quite irrespective of ulterior considerations. So it is to be +conceded without argument that this patriotic animus is a highly +meritorious frame of mind, and that it has an aesthetic value scarcely +to be overstated in the farthest stretch of poetic license. But the +question of its serviceability to the modern commu<!-- Page 55 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 55]</span>nity, in any other +than this decorative respect, and particularly its serviceability to the +current needs of the common man in such a modern community, is not +touched by such an admission; nor does this recognition of its generous +spiritual nature afford any help toward answering a further question as +to how and with what effect this animus may be turned to account by +anyone who is in position to make use of the forces which it sets free.</p> + +<p>Among Christian nations there still is, on the whole, a decided +predilection for that ancient and authentic line of national repute that +springs from warlike prowess. This repute for warlike prowess is what +first comes to mind among civilised peoples when speaking of national +greatness. And among those who have best preserved this warlike ideal of +worth, the patriotic ambition is likely to converge on the prestige of +their sovereign; so that it takes the concrete form of personal loyalty +to a master, and so combines or coalesces with a servile habit of mind.</p> + +<p>But peace hath its victories no less renowned than war, it is said; and +peaceable folk of a patriotic temper have learned to make the best of +their meager case and have found self-complacency in these victories of +the peaceable order. So it may broadly be affirmed that all nations look +with complacency on their own peculiar Culture—the organised complex of +habits of thought and of conduct by which their own routine of life is +regulated—as being in some way worthier than the corresponding habits +of their neighbors. The case of the German Culture has latterly come +under a strong light in this way. But while it may be that no other +nation has been so naive as to make a concerted profession of faith to +the effect that their own particular way of life is altogether +commendable and is the only fashion of civilisation that is<!-- Page 56 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 56]</span> fit to +survive; yet it will scarcely be an extravagance to assert that in their +own secret mind these others, too, are blest with much the same +consciousness of unique worth. Conscious virtue of this kind is a good +and sufficient ground for patriotic inflation, so far as it goes. It +commonly does not go beyond a defensive attitude, however. Now and +again, as in the latterday German animation on this head, these +phenomena of national use and wont may come to command such a degree of +popular admiration as will incite to an aggressive or proselyting +campaign.</p> + +<p>In all this there is nothing of a self-seeking or covetous kind. The +common man who so lends himself to the aggressive enhancement of the +national Culture and its prestige has nothing of a material kind to gain +from the increase of renown that so comes to his sovereign, his +language, his countrymen's art or science, his dietary, or his God. +There are no sordid motives in all this. These spiritual assets of +self-complacency are, indeed, to be rated as grounds of high-minded +patriotism without afterthought. These aspirations and enthusiasms would +perhaps be rated as Quixotic by men whose horizon is bounded by the main +chance; but they make up that substance of things hoped for that +inflates those headlong patriotic animosities that stir universal +admiration.</p> + +<p>So also, men find an invidious distinction in such matters of physical +magnitude as their country's area, the number of its population, the +size of its cities, the extent of its natural resources, its aggregate +wealth and its wealth per capita, its merchant marine and its foreign +trade. As a ground of invidious complacency these phenomena of physical +magnitude and pecuniary traffic are no better and no worse than such +immaterial assets as the majesty of the sovereign or the perfections of +the<!-- Page 57 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_57" id="Page_57">[Pg 57]</a></span> language. They are matters in which the common man is concerned +only by the accident of domicile, and his only connection with these +things is an imaginary joint interest in their impressiveness. To these +things he has contributed substantially nothing, and from them he +derives no other merit or advantage than a patriotic inflation. He takes +pride in these things in an invidious way, and there is no good reason +why he should not; just as there is also no good reason why he should, +apart from the fact that the common man is so constituted that he, +mysteriously, takes pride in these things that concern him not.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Of the several groups or classes of persons within the political +frontiers, whose particular interests run systematically at cross +purposes with those of the community at large under modern conditions, +the class of masters, rulers, authorities,—or whatever term may seem +most suitable to designate that category of persons whose characteristic +occupation is to give orders and command deference,—of the several +orders and conditions of men these are, in point of substantial motive +and interest, most patently at variance with all the rest, or with the +fortunes of the common man. The class will include civil and military +authorities and whatever nobility there is of a prescriptive and +privileged kind. The substantial interest of these classes in the common +welfare is of the same kind as the interest which a parasite has in the +well-being of his host; a sufficiently substantial interest, no doubt, +but there is in this relation nothing like a community of interest. Any +gain on the part of the community at large will materially serve the +needs of this group of personages, only in so far as it may afford them +a larger volume or a wider scope for what has in latterday col<!-- Page 58 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 58]</span>loquial +phrase been called "graft." These personages are, of course, not to be +spoken of with disrespect or with the slightest inflection of +discourtesy. They are all honorable men. Indeed they afford the +conventional pattern of human dignity and meritorious achievement, and +the "Fountain of Honor" is found among them. The point of the argument +is only that their material or other self-regarding interests are of +such a nature as to be furthered by the material wealth of the +community, and more particularly by the increasing volume of the body +politic; but only with the proviso that this material wealth and this +increment of power must accrue without anything like a corresponding +cost to this class. At the same time, since this class of the superiors +is in some degree a specialised organ of prestige, so that their value, +and therefore their tenure, both in the eyes of the community and in +their own eyes, is in the main a "prestige value" and a tenure by +prestige; and since the prestige that invests their persons is a shadow +cast by the putative worth of the community at large, it follows that +their particular interest in the joint prestige is peculiarly alert and +insistent. But it follows also that these personages cannot of their own +substance or of their own motion contribute to this collective prestige +in the same proportion in which it is necessary for them to draw on it +in support of their own prestige value. It would, in other words, be a +patent absurdity to call on any of the current ruling classes, +dynasties, nobility, military and diplomatic corps, in any of the +nations of Europe, e.g., to preserve their current dignity and command +the deference that is currently accorded them, by recourse to their own +powers and expenditure of their own substance, without the usufruct of +the commonalty whose organ of dignity<!-- Page 59 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 59]</span> they are. The current prestige +value which they enjoy is beyond their unaided powers to create or +maintain, without the usufruct of the community. Such an enterprise does +not lie within the premises of the case.</p> + +<p>In this bearing, therefore, the first concern with which these +personages are necessarily occupied is the procurement and retention of +a suitable usufruct in the material resources and good-will of a +sufficiently large and industrious population. The requisite good-will +in these premises is called loyalty, and its retention by the line of +personages that so trade on prestige rests on a superinduced association +of ideas, whereby the national honour comes to be confounded in popular +apprehension with the prestige of these personages who have the keeping +of it. But the potentates and the establishments, civil and military, on +whom this prestige value rests will unavoidably come into invidious +comparison with others of their kind; and, as invariably happens in +matters of invidious comparison, the emulative needs of all the +competitors for prestige are "indefinitely extensible," as the phrase of +the economists has it. Each and several of them incontinently needs a +further increment of prestige, and therefore also a further increment of +the material assets in men and resources that are needful as ways and +means to assert and augment the national honor.</p> + +<p>It is true, the notion that their prestige value is in any degree +conditioned by the material circumstances and the popular imagination of +the underlying nation is distasteful to many of these vicars of the +national honour. They will incline rather to the persuasion that this +prestige value is a distinctive attribute, of a unique order, intrinsic +to their own persons. But, plainly, any such detached line of magnates, +notables, kings and mandarins,<!-- Page 60 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_60" id="Page_60">[Pg 60]</a></span> resting their notability on nothing more +substantial than a slightly sub-normal intelligence and a moderately +scrofulous habit of body could not long continue to command that eager +deference that is accounted their due. Such a picture of majesty would +be sadly out of drawing. There is little conviction and no great dignity +to be drawn from the unaided pronouncement:</p> + +<p style="margin-left: 5em;"> +"We're here because,<br /> +We're here because,<br /> +We're here because<br /> +We're here,"<br /> +</p> + +<p>even when the doggerel is duly given the rhetorical benefit of a "Tenure +by the Grace of God." The personages that carry this dignity require the +backing of a determined and patriotic populace in support of their +prestige value, and they commonly have no great difficulty in procuring +it. And their prestige value is, in effect, proportioned to the volume +of material resources and patriotic credulity that can be drawn on for +its assertion. It is true, their draught on the requisite sentimental +and pecuniary support is fortified with large claims of serviceability +to the common good, and these claims are somewhat easily, indeed +eagerly, conceded and acted upon; although the alleged benefit to the +common good will scarcely be visible except in the light of glory shed +by the blazing torch of patriotism.</p> + +<p>In so far as it is of a material nature the benefit which the +constituted authorities so engage to contribute to the common good, or +in other words to confer on the common man, falls under two heads: +defense against aggression from without; and promotion of the +community's material gain. It is to be presumed that the constituted<!-- Page 61 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_61" id="Page_61">[Pg 61]</a></span> +authorities commonly believe more or less implicitly in their own +professions in so professing to serve the needs of the common man in +these respects. The common defense is a sufficiently grave matter, and +doubtless it claims the best affections and endeavour of the citizen; +but it is not a matter that should claim much attention at this point in +the argument, as bearing on the service rendered the common man by the +constituted authorities, taken one with another. Any given governmental +establishment at home is useful in this respect only as against another +governmental establishment elsewhere. So that on the slightest +examination it resolves itself into a matter of competitive patriotic +enterprise, as between the patriotic aspirations of different +nationalities led by different governmental establishments; and the +service so rendered by the constituted authorities in the aggregate +takes on the character of a remedy for evils of their own creation. It +is invariably a defense against the concerted aggressions of other +patriots. Taken in the large, the common defense of any given nation +becomes a detail of the competitive struggle between rival nationalities +animated with a common spirit of patriotic enterprise and led by +authorities constituted for this competitive purpose.</p> + +<p>Except on a broad basis of patriotic devotion, and except under the +direction of an ambitious governmental establishment, no serious +international aggression is to be had. The common defense, therefore, is +to be taken as a remedy for evils arising out of the working of the +patriotic spirit that animates mankind, as brought to bear under a +discretionary authority; and in any balance to be struck between the +utility and disutility of this patriotic spirit and of its service in +the hands of the constituted authorities, it will have to be cancelled +out as being at<!-- Page 62 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_62" id="Page_62">[Pg 62]</a></span> the best a mitigation of some of the disorders brought +on by the presence of national governments resting on patriotic loyalty +at large.</p> + +<p>But this common defense is by no means a vacant rubric in any attempted +account of modern national enterprise. It is the commonplace and +conclusive plea of the dynastic statesmen and the aspiring warlords, and +it is the usual blind behind which events are put in train for eventual +hostilities. Preparation for the common defense also appears unfailingly +to eventuate in hostilities. With more or less <i>bona fides</i> the +statesmen and warriors plead the cause of the common defense, and with +patriotic alacrity the common man lends himself to the enterprise aimed +at under that cover. In proportion as the resulting equipment for +defense grows great and becomes formidable, the range of items which a +patriotically biased nation are ready to include among the claims to be +defended grows incontinently larger, until by the overlapping of +defensive claims between rival nationalities the distinction between +defense and aggression disappears, except in the biased fancy of the +rival patriots.</p> + +<p>Of course, no reflections are called for here on the current American +campaign of "Preparedness." Except for the degree of hysteria it appears +to differ in no substantial respect from the analogous course of +auto-intoxication among the nationalities of Europe, which came to a +head in the current European situation. It should conclusively serve the +turn for any self-possessed observer to call to mind that all the +civilised nations of warring Europe are, each and several, convinced +that they are fighting a defensive war.</p> + +<p>The aspiration of all right-minded citizens is presumed to be "Peace +with Honour." So that first, as well as last,<!-- Page 63 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_63" id="Page_63">[Pg 63]</a></span> among those national +interests that are to be defended, and in the service of which the +substance and affections of the common man are enlisted under the aegis +of the national prowess, comes the national prestige, as a matter of +course. And the constituted authorities are doubtless sincere and +single-minded in their endeavors to advance and defend the national +honour, particularly those constituted authorities that hold their place +of authority on grounds of fealty; since the national prestige in such a +case coalesces with the prestige of the nation's ruler in much the same +degree in which the national sovereignty devolves upon the person of its +ruler. In so defending or advancing the national prestige, such a +dynastic or autocratic overlord, together with the other privileged +elements assisting and dependent on him, is occupied with his own +interest; his own tenure is a tenure by prestige, and the security of +his tenure lies in the continued maintenance of that popular fancy that +invests his person with this national prestige and so constitutes him +and his retinue of notables and personages its keeper.</p> + +<p>But it is uniformly insisted by the statesmen—potentates, notables, +kings and mandarins—that this aegis of the national prowess in their +hands covers also many interests of a more substantial and more tangible +kind. These other, more tangible interests of the community have also a +value of a direct and personal sort to the dynasty and its hierarchy of +privileged subalterns, in that it is only by use of the material forces +of the nation that the dynastic prestige can be advanced and maintained. +The interest of such constituted authorities in the material welfare of +the nation is consequently grave and insistent; but it is evidently an +interest of a special kind and is subject to strict and peculiar +limitations. The common good,<!-- Page 64 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_64" id="Page_64">[Pg 64]</a></span> in the material respect, interests the +dynastic statesman only as a means to dynastic ends; that is to say, +only in so far as it can be turned to account in the achievement of +dynastic aims. These aims are "The Kingdom, the Power and the Glory," as +the sacred formula phrases the same conception in another bearing.</p> + +<p>That is to say, the material welfare of the nation is a means to the +unfolding of the dynastic power; provided always that this material +welfare is not allowed to run into such ramifications as will make the +commonwealth an unwieldy instrument in the hands of the dynastic +statesmen. National welfare is to the purpose only in so far as it +conduces to political success, which is always a question of warlike +success in the last resort. The limitation which this consideration +imposes on the government's economic policy are such as will make the +nation a self-sufficient or self-balanced economic commonwealth. It must +be a self-balanced commonwealth at least in such measure as will make it +self-sustaining in case of need, in all those matters that bear directly +on warlike efficiency.</p> + +<p>Of course, no community can become fully self-sustaining under modern +conditions, by use of the modern state of the industrial arts, except by +recourse to such drastic measures of repression as would reduce its +total efficiency in an altogether intolerable degree. This will hold +true even of those nations who, like Russia or the United States, are +possessed of extremely extensive territories and extremely large and +varied resources; but it applies with greatly accentuated force to +smaller and more scantily furnished territorial units. Peoples living +under modern conditions and by use of the modern state of the industrial +arts necessarily draw on all quarters of the habitable globe for +materials and products which they can pro<!-- Page 65 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 65]</span>cure to the best advantage +from outside their own special field so long as they are allowed access +to these outlying sources of supply; and any arbitrary limitation on +this freedom of traffic makes the conditions of life that much harder, +and lowers the aggregate efficiency of the community by that much. +National self-sufficiency is to be achieved only by a degree of economic +isolation; and such a policy of economic isolation involves a degree of +impoverishment and lowered efficiency, but it will also leave the nation +readier for warlike enterprise on such a scale as its reduced efficiency +will compass.</p> + +<p>So that the best that can be accomplished along this line by the +dynastic statesmen is a shrewd compromise, embodying such a degree of +isolation and inhibition as will leave the country passably +self-sufficient in case of need, without lowering the national +efficiency to such a point as to cripple its productive forces beyond +what will be offset by the greater warlike readiness that is so +attained. The point to which such a policy of isolation and sufficiency +will necessarily be directed is that measure of inhibition that will +yield the most facile and effective ways and means of warlike +enterprise, the largest product of warlike effectiveness to be had on +multiplying the nation's net efficiency into its readiness to take the +field.</p> + +<p>Into any consideration of this tactical problem a certain subsidiary +factor enters, in that the patriotic temper of the nation is always more +or less affected by such an economic policy. The greater the degree of +effectual isolation and discrimination embodied in the national policy, +the greater will commonly be its effect on popular sentiment in the way +of national animosity and spiritual self-sufficiency; which may be an +asset of great value for the purposes of warlike enterprise.<!-- Page 66 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 66]</span></p> + +<p>Plainly, any dynastic statesman who should undertake to further the +common welfare regardless of its serviceability for warlike enterprise +would be defeating his own purpose. He would, in effect, go near to +living up to his habitual professions touching international peace, +instead of professing to live up to them, as the exigencies of his +national enterprise now conventionally require him to do. In effect, he +would be <i>functus officio</i>.</p> + +<p>There are two great administrative instruments available for this work +of repression and national self-sufficiency at the hands of the +imperialistic statesman: the protective tariff, and commercial +subvention. The two are not consistently to be distinguished from one +another at all points, and each runs out into a multifarious convolution +of variegated details; but the principles involved are, after all, +fairly neat and consistent. The former is of the nature of a conspiracy +in restraint of trade by repression; the latter, a conspiracy to the +like effect by subsidised monopoly; both alike act to check the pursuit +of industry in given lines by artificially increasing the cost of +production for given individuals or classes of producers, and both alike +impose a more than proportionate cost on the community within which they +take effect. Incidentally, both of these methods of inhibition bring a +degree, though a less degree, of hardship, to the rest of the industrial +world.</p> + +<p>All this is matter of course to all economic students, and it should, +reasonably, be plain to all intelligent persons; but its voluble denial +by interested parties, as well as the easy credulity with which +patriotic citizens allow themselves to accept the sophistries offered in +defense of these measures of inhibition, has made it seem worth while +here to recall these commonplaces of economic science.<!-- Page 67 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_67" id="Page_67">[Pg 67]</a></span></p> + +<p>The ground of this easy credulity is not so much infirmity of intellect +as it is an exuberance of sentiment, although it may reasonably be +believed that its more pronounced manifestations—as, e.g., the high +protective tariff—can be had only by force of a formidable cooperation +of the two. The patriotic animus is an invidious sentiment of joint +prestige; and it needs no argument or documentation to bear out the +affirmation that its bias will lend a color of merit and expediency to +any proposed measure that can, however speciously, promise an increase +of national power or prestige. So that when the statesmen propose a +policy of inhibition and mitigated isolation on the professed ground +that such a policy will strengthen the nation economically by making it +economically self-supporting, as well as ready for any warlike +adventure, the patriotic citizen views the proposed measures through the +rosy haze of national aspirations and lets the will to believe persuade +him that whatever conduces to a formidable national battle-front will +also contribute to the common good. At the same time all these national +conspiracies in restraint of trade are claimed, with more or less +reason, to inflict more or less harm on rival nationalities with whom +economic relations are curtailed; and patriotism being an invidious +sentiment, the patriotic citizen finds comfort in the promise of +mischief to these others, and is all the more prone to find all kinds of +merit in proposals that look to such an invidious outcome. In any +community imbued with an alert patriotic spirit, the fact that any given +circumstance, occurrence or transaction can be turned to account as a +means of invidious distinction or invidious discrimination against +humanity beyond the national pale, will always go far to procure +acceptance of it as being also an article<!-- Page 68 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 68]</span> of substantial profit to the +community at large, even though the slightest unbiased scrutiny would +find it of no ascertainable use in any other bearing than that of +invidious mischief. And whatever will bear interpretation as an +increment of the nation's power or prowess, in comparison with rival +nationalities, will always be securely counted as an item of joint +credit, and will be made to serve the collective conceit as an invidious +distinction; and patriotic credulity will find it meritorious also in +other respects.</p> + +<p>So, e.g., it is past conception that such a patent imbecility as a +protective tariff should enlist the support of any ordinarily +intelligent community except by the help of some such chauvinistic +sophistry. So also, the various royal establishments of Europe, e.g., +afford an extreme but therefore all the more convincing illustration of +the same logical fallacy. These establishments and personages are great +and authentic repositories of national prestige, and they are therefore +unreflectingly presumed by their several aggregations of subjects to be +of some substantial use also in some other bearing; but it would be a +highly diverting exhibition of credulity for any outsider to fall into +that amazing misconception. But the like is manifestly true of +commercial turnover and export trade among modern peoples; although on +this head the infatuation is so ingrained and dogmatic that even a rank +outsider is expected to accept the fallacy without reflection, on pain +of being rated as unsafe or unsound. Such matters again, as the +dimensions of the national territory, or the number of the population +and the magnitude of the national resources, are still and have perhaps +always been material for patriotic exultation, and are fatuously +believed to have some great significance for the material for<!-- Page 69 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 69]</span>tunes of +the common man; although it should be plain on slight reflection that +under modern conditions of ownership, these things, one and all, are of +no consequence to the common man except as articles of prestige to +stimulate his civic pride. The only conjuncture under which these and +the like national holdings can come to have a meaning as joint or +collective assets would arise in case of a warlike adventure carried to +such extremities as would summarily cancel vested rights of ownership +and turn them to warlike uses. While the rights of ownership hold, the +common man, who does not own these things, draws no profit from their +inclusion in the national domain; indeed, he is at some cost to +guarantee their safe tenure by their rightful owners.</p> + +<p>In so pursuing their quest of the Kingdom, the Power and the Glory, by +use of the national resources and by sanction of the national spirit, +the constituted authorities also assume the guardianship of sundry +material interests that are presumed to touch the common good; such as +security of person and property in dealings with aliens, whether at home +or abroad; security of investment and trade, and vindication of their +citizens before the law in foreign parts; and, chiefly and ubiquitously, +furtherance and extension of the national trade into foreign parts, +particularly of the export trade, on terms advantageous to the traders +of the nation.</p> + +<p>The last named of these advantages is the one on which stress is apt to +fall in the argument of all those who advocate an unfolding of national +power, as being a matter of vital material benefit to the common man. +The other items indicated above, it is plain on the least reflection, +are matters of slight if any material consequence to him. The common +man—that is ninety-nine and a<!-- Page 70 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 70]</span> fraction in one hundred of the nation's +common men—has no dealings with aliens in foreign parts, as capitalist, +trader, missionary or wayfaring man, and has no occasion for security of +person or property under circumstances that raise any remotest question +of the national prowess or the national prestige; nor does he seek or +aspire to trade to foreign parts on any terms, equitable or otherwise, +or to invest capital among aliens under foreign rule, or to exploit +concessions or take orders, for acceptance or delivery; nor, indeed, +does he at all commonly come into even that degree of contact with +abroad that is implied in the purchase of foreign securities. Virtually +the sole occasion on which he comes in touch with the world beyond the +frontier is when, and if, he goes away from home as an emigrant, and so +ceases to enjoy the tutelage of the nation's constituted authorities. +But the common man, in point of fact, is a home-keeping body, who +touches foreign parts and aliens outside the national frontiers only at +the second or third remove, if at all, in the occasional purchase of +foreign products, or in the sale of goods that may find their way abroad +after he has lost sight of them. The exception to this general rule +would be found in the case of those under-sized nations that are too +small to contain the traffic in which their commonplace population are +engaged, and that have neither national prowess nor national prestige to +fall back on in a conceivable case of need,—and whose citizens, +individually, appear to be as fortunately placed in their workday +foreign relations, without a background of prowess and prestige, as the +citizens of the great powers who are most abundantly provided in these +respects.</p> + +<p>With wholly negligible exceptions, these matters touch the needs or the +sensibilities of the common man only<!-- Page 71 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 71]</span> through the channel of the +national honour, which may be injured in the hardships suffered by his +compatriots in foreign parts, or which may, again, be repaired or +enhanced by the meritorious achievements of the same compatriots; of +whose existence he will commonly have no other or more substantial +evidence, and in whose traffic he has no share other than this vicarious +suffering of vague and remote indignity or vainglory by force of the +wholly fortuitous circumstance that they are (inscrutably) his +compatriots. These immaterial goods of vicarious prestige are, of +course, not to be undervalued, nor is the fact to be overlooked or +minimised that they enter into the sum total of the common citizen's +"psychic income," for whatever they may foot up to; but evidently their +consideration takes us back to the immaterial category of prestige +value, from which the argument just now was hopefully departing with a +view to consideration of the common man's material interest in that +national enterprise about which patriotic aspirations turn.</p> + +<p>These things, then, are matters in which the common man has an interest +only as they have a prestige value. But there need be no question as to +their touching his sensibilities and stirring him to action, and even to +acts of bravery and self-sacrifice. Indignity or ill treatment of his +compatriots in foreign parts, even when well deserved, as is not +infrequently the case, are resented with a vehemence that is greatly to +the common man's credit, and greatly also to the gain of those patriotic +statesmen who find in such grievances their safest and most reliable raw +materials for the production of international difficulty. That he will +so respond to the stimulus of these, materially speaking irrelevant, +vicissitudes of good or ill that touch the fortunes of his compatriots, +as known to<!-- Page 72 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 72]</span> him by hearsay, bears witness, of course, to the high +quality of his manhood; but it falls very far short of arguing that +these promptings of his patriotic spirit have any value as traits that +count toward his livelihood or his economic serviceability in the +community in which he lives. It is all to his credit, and it goes to +constitute him a desirable citizen, in the sense that he is properly +amenable to the incitements of patriotic emulation; but it is none the +less to be admitted, however reluctantly, that this trait of impulsively +vicarious indignation or vainglory is neither materially profitable to +himself nor an asset of the slightest economic value to the community in +which he lives. Quite the contrary, in fact. So also is it true that the +common man derives no material advantage from the national success along +this line, though he commonly believes that it all somehow inures to his +benefit. It would seem that an ingrown bias of community interest, +blurred and driven by a jealously sensitive patriotic pride, bends his +faith uncritically to match his inclination. His persuasion is a work of +preconception rather than of perception.</p> + +<p>But the most substantial and most unqualified material benefit currently +believed to be derivable from a large unfolding of national prowess and +a wide extension of the national domain is an increased volume of the +nation's foreign trade, particularly of the export trade. "Trade follows +the Flag." And this larger trade and enhanced profit is presumed to +inure to the joint benefit of the citizens. Such is the profession of +faith of the sagacious statesmen and such is also the unreflecting +belief of the common man.</p> + +<p>It may be left an open question if an unfolding of national prowess and +prestige increases the nation's trade,<!-- Page 73 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 73]</span> whether in imports or in +exports. There is no available evidence that it has any effect of the +kind. What is not an open question is the patent fact that such an +extension of trade confers no benefit on the common man, who is not +engaged in the import or export business. More particularly does it +yield him no advantage at all commensurate with the cost involved in any +endeavour so to increase the volume of trade by increasing the nation's +power and extending its dominion. The profits of trade go not to the +common man at large but to the traders whose capital is invested; and it +is a completely idle matter to the common citizen whether the traders +who profit by the nation's trade are his compatriots or not.<a name="FNanchor_6_6" id="FNanchor_6_6"></a><a href="#Footnote_6_6" class="fnanchor">[6]</a></p> + +<p>The pacifist argument on the economic futility of national ambitions +will commonly rest its case at this point; having shown as unreservedly +as need be that national ambition and all its works belong of right +under that rubric of the litany that speaks of Fire, Flood and +Pestilence. But an hereditary bent of human nature is not to be put out +of the way with an argument showing that it has its disutilities. So +with the patriotic animus; it is a factor to be counted with, rather +than to be exorcised.</p> + +<p>As has been remarked above, in the course of time and change the advance +of the industrial arts and of the institutions of ownership have taken +such a turn that the working system of industry and business no longer +runs on national lines and, indeed, no longer takes account of national +frontiers,—except in so far as the<!-- Page 74 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 74]</span> national policies and legislation, +arbitrarily and partially, impose these frontiers on the workings of +trade and industry. The effect of such regulation for political ends is, +with wholly negligible exceptions, detrimental to the efficient working +of the industrial system under modern conditions; and it is therefore +detrimental to the material interests of the common citizen. But the +case is not the same as regards the interests of the traders. Trade is a +competitive affair, and it is to the advantage of the traders engaged in +any given line of business to extend their own markets and to exclude +competing traders. Competition may be the soul of trade, but monopoly is +necessarily the aim of every trader. And the national organisation is of +service to its traders in so far as it shelters them, wholly or partly, +from the competition of traders of other nationalities, or in so far as +it furthers their enterprise by subvention or similar privileges as +against their competitors, whether at home or abroad. The gain that so +comes to the nation's traders from any preferential advantage afforded +them by national regulations, or from any discrimination against traders +of foreign nationality, goes to the traders as private gain. It is of no +benefit to any of their compatriots; since there is no community of +usufruct that touches these gains of the traders. So far as concerns his +material advantage, it is an idle matter to the common citizen whether +he deals with traders of his own nationality or with aliens; both alike +will aim to buy cheap and sell dear, and will charge him "what the +traffic will bear." Nor does it matter to him whether the gains of this +trade go to aliens or to his compatriots; in either case equally they +immediately pass beyond his reach, and are equally removed from any +touch of joint interest on his part. Being<!-- Page 75 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 75]</span> private property, under +modern law and custom he has no use of them, whether a national frontier +does or does not intervene between his domicile and that of their owner.</p> + +<p>These are facts that every man of sound mind knows and acts on without +doubt or hesitation in his own workday affairs. He would scarcely even +find amusement in so futile a proposal as that his neighbor should share +his business profits with him for no better reason than that he is a +compatriot. But when the matter is presented as a proposition in +national policy and embroidered with an invocation of his patriotic +loyalty the common citizen will commonly be found credulous enough to +accept the sophistry without abatement. His archaic sense of group +solidarity will still lead him at his own cost to favor his trading +compatriots by the imposition of onerous trade regulations for their +private advantage, and to interpose obstacles in the way of alien +traders. All this ingenious policy of self-defeat is greatly helped out +by the patriotic conceit of the citizens; who persuade themselves to see +in it an accession to the power and prestige of their own nation and a +disadvantage to rival nationalities. It is, indeed, more than doubtful +if such a policy of self-defeat as is embodied in current international +trade discriminations could be insinuated into the legislation of any +civilized nation if the popular intelligence were not so clouded with +patriotic animosity as to let a prospective detriment to their foreign +neighbors count as a gain to themselves.</p> + +<p>So that the chief material use of the patriotic bent in modern +populations, therefore, appears to be its use to a limited class of +persons engaged in foreign trade, or in business that comes in +competition with foreign industry. It serves their private gain by +lending effectual counte<!-- Page 76 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_76" id="Page_76">[Pg 76]</a></span>nance to such restraint of international trade +as would not be tolerated within the national domain. In so doing it has +also the secondary and more sinister effect of dividing the nations on +lines of rivalry and setting up irreconcilable claims and ambitions, of +no material value but of far-reaching effect in the way of provocation +to further international estrangement and eventual breach of the peace.</p> + +<p>How all this falls in with the schemes of militant statesmen, and +further reacts on the freedom and personal fortunes of the common man, +is an extensive and intricate topic, though not an obscure one; and it +has already been spoken of above, perhaps as fully as need be.<!-- Page 77 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_77" id="Page_77">[Pg 77]</a></span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="Chapter_III" id="Chapter_III"></a>CHAPTER III</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">On the Conditions of a Lasting Peace</span></p> + + +<p>The considerations set out in earlier chapters have made it appear that +the patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding source of +contention among nations. Except for their patriotism a breach of the +peace among modern peoples could not well be had. So much will doubtless +be assented to as a matter of course. It is also a commonplace of +current aphoristic wisdom that both parties to a warlike adventure in +modern times stand to lose, materially; whatever nominal—that is to say +political—gains may be made by one or the other. It has also appeared +from these considerations recited in earlier passages that this +patriotic spirit prevails throughout, among all civilised peoples, and +that it pervades one nation about as ubiquitously as another. Nor is +there much evidence of a weakening of this sinister proclivity with the +passage of time or the continued advance in the arts of life. The only +civilized nations that can be counted on as habitually peaceable are +those who are so feeble or are so placed as to be cut off from hope of +gain through contention. Vainglorious arrogance may run at a higher +tension among the more backward and boorish nations; but it is not +evident that the advance guard among the civilised peoples are imbued +with a less complete national self-complacency. If the peace is to be +kept, therefore, it will have to be kept by and between peoples made up, +in effect,<!-- Page 78 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_78" id="Page_78">[Pg 78]</a></span> of complete patriots; which comes near being a contradiction +in terms. Patriotism is useful for breaking the peace, not for keeping +it. It makes for national pretensions and international jealously and +distrust, with warlike enterprise always in perspective; as a way to +national gain or a recourse in case of need. And there is commonly no +settled demarkation between these two contrasted needs that urge a +patriotic people forever to keep one eye on the chance of a recourse to +arms.</p> + +<p>Therefore any calculus of the Chances of Peace appears to become a +reckoning of the forces which may be counted on to keep a patriotic +nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace for the time being. As has +just been remarked above, among civilised peoples only those nations can +be counted on consistently to keep the peace who are so feeble or +otherwise so placed as to be cut off from hope of national gain. And +these can apparently be so counted on only as regards aggression, not as +regards the national defense, and only in so far as they are not drawn +into warlike enterprise, collectively, by their more competent +neighbors. Even the feeblest and most futile of them feels in honour +bound to take up arms in defense of such national pretensions as they +still may harbour; and all of them harbour such pretensions. In certain +extreme cases, which it might seem invidious to specify more explicitly, +it is not easy to discover any specific reasons for the maintenance of a +national establishment, apart from the vindication of certain national +pretensions which would quietly lapse in the absence of a national +establishment on whom their vindication is incumbent.</p> + +<p>Of the rest, the greater nations that are spoken of as Powers no such +general statement will hold. These are<!-- Page 79 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_79" id="Page_79">[Pg 79]</a></span> the peoples who stand, in +matters of national concern, on their own initiative; and the question +of peace and war at large is in effect, a question of peace and war +among these Powers. They are not so numerous that they can be sifted +into distinct classes, and yet they differ among themselves in such a +way that they may, for the purpose in hand, fairly be ranged under two +distinguishable if not contrasted heads: those which may safely be +counted on spontaneously to take the offensive, and those which will +fight on provocation. Typically of the former description are Germany +and Japan. Of the latter are the French and British, and less +confidently the American republic. In any summary statement of this kind +Russia will have to be left on one side as a doubtful case, for reasons +to which the argument may return at a later point; the prospective +course of things in Russia is scarcely to be appraised on the ground of +its past. Spain and Italy, being dubious Powers at the best, need not +detain the argument; they are, in the nature of things, subsidiaries who +wait on the main chance. And Austria, with whatever the name may cover, +is for the immediate purpose to be counted under the head of Germany.</p> + +<p>There is no invidious comparison intended in so setting off these two +classes of nations in contrast to one another. It is not a contrast of +merit and demerit or of prestige. Imperial Germany and Imperial Japan +are, in the nature of things as things go, bent in effect on a +disturbance of the peace,—with a view to advance the cause of their own +dominion. On a large view of the case, such as many German statesmen +were in the habit of professing in the years preceding the great war, it +may perhaps appear reasonable to say—as they were in the habit of +saying—that these Imperial Powers are as well<!-- Page 80 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 80]</span> within the lines of fair +and honest dealing in their campaign of aggression as the other Powers +are in taking a defensive attitude against their aggression. Some sort +of international equity has been pleaded in justification of their +demand for an increased share of dominion. At least it has appeared that +these Imperial statesmen have so persuaded themselves after very mature +deliberation; and they have showed great concern to persuade others of +the equity of their Imperial claim to something more than the law would +allow. These sagacious, not to say astute, persons have not only reached +a conviction to this effect, but they have become possessed of this +conviction in such plenary fashion that, in the German case, they have +come to admit exceptions or abatement of the claim only when and in so +far as the campaign of equitable aggression on which they had entered +has been proved impracticable by the fortunes of war.</p> + +<p>With some gift for casuistry one may, at least conceivably, hold that +the felt need of Imperial self-aggrandisement may become so urgent as to +justify, or at least to condone, forcible dispossession of weaker +nationalities. This might, indeed it has, become a sufficiently +perplexing question of casuistry, both as touches the punctilios of +national honour and as regards an equitable division between rival +Powers in respect of the material means of mastery. So in private life +it may become a moot question—in point of equity—whether the craving +of a kleptomaniac may not on occasion rise to such an intolerable pitch +of avidity as to justify him in seizing whatever valuables he can safely +lay hands on, to ease the discomfort of ungratified desire. In private +life any such endeavour to better oneself at one's neighbors' cost is +not commonly reprobated if it takes effect on a decently large<!-- Page 81 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_81" id="Page_81">[Pg 81]</a></span> scale +and shrewdly within the flexibilities of the law or with the connivance +of its officers. Governing international endeavours of this class there +is no law so inflexible that it can not be conveniently made over to fit +particular circumstances. And in the absence of law the felt need of a +formal justification will necessarily appeal to the unformulated +equities of the case, with some such outcome as alluded to above. All +that, of course, is for the diplomatists to take care of.</p> + +<p>But any speculation on the equities involved in the projected course of +empire to which these two enterprising nations are committing themselves +must run within the lines of diplomatic parable, and will have none but +a speculative interest. It is not a matter of equity. Accepting the +situation as it stands, it is evident that any peace can only have a +qualified meaning, in the sense of armistice, so long as there is +opportunity for national enterprise of the character on which these two +enterprising national establishments are bent, and so long as these and +the like national establishments remain. So, taking the peaceable +professions of their spokesmen at a discount of one hundred percent, as +one necessarily must, and looking to the circumstantial evidence of the +case, it is abundantly plain that at least these two imperial Powers may +be counted on consistently to manoeuvre for warlike advantage so long as +any peace compact holds, and to break the peace so soon as the strategy +of Imperial enterprise appears to require it.</p> + +<p>There has been much courteous make-believe of amiable and upright +solicitude on this head the past few years, both in diplomatic +intercourse and among men out of doors; and since make-believe is a +matter of course in diplomatic intercourse it is right and seemly, of +course,<!-- Page 82 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_82" id="Page_82">[Pg 82]</a></span> that no overt recognition of unavowed facts should be allowed +to traverse this run of make-believe within the precincts of diplomatic +intercourse. But in any ingenuous inquiry into the nature of peace and +the conditions of its maintenance there can be no harm in conveniently +leaving the diplomatic make-believe on one side and looking to the +circumstances that condition the case, rather than to the formal +professions designed to mask the circumstances.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Chief among the relevant circumstances in the current situation are the +imperial designs of Germany and Japan. These two national establishments +are very much alike. So much so that for the present purpose a single +line of analysis will passably cover both cases. The same line of +analysis will also apply, with slight adaptation, to more than one of +the other Powers, or near-Powers, of the modern world; but in so far as +such is held to be the case, that is not a consideration that weakens +the argument as applied to these two, which are to be taken as the +consummate type-form of a species of national establishments. They are, +between them, the best instance there is of what may be called a +Dynastic State.</p> + +<p>Except as a possible corrective of internal disorders and discontent, +neither of the two States "desires" war; but both are bent on dominion, +and as the dominion aimed at is not to be had except by fighting for it, +both in effect are incorrigibly bent on warlike enterprise. And in +neither case will considerations of equity, humanity, decency, veracity, +or the common good be allowed to trouble the quest of dominion. As lies +in the nature of the dynastic State, imperial dominion, in the ambitions +of both, is beyond price; so that no cost is too high so long<!-- Page 83 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 83]</span> as +ultimate success attends the imperial enterprise. So much is commonplace +knowledge among all men who are at all conversant with the facts.</p> + +<p>To anyone who harbors a lively sentimental prejudice for or against +either or both of the two nations so spoken of, or for or against the +manner of imperial enterprise to which both are committed, it may seem +that what has just been said of them and their relation to the world's +peace runs on something of a bias and conveys something of dispraise and +reprobation. Such is not the intention, however, though the appearance +is scarcely to be avoided. It is necessary for the purposes of the +argument unambiguously to recognise the nature of these facts with which +the inquiry is concerned; and any plain characterisation of the facts +will unavoidably carry a fringe of suggestions of this character, +because current speech is adapted for their reprobation. The point aimed +at is not this inflection of approval or disapproval. The facts are to +be taken impersonally for what they are worth in their causal bearing on +the chance of peace or war; not at their sentimental value as traits of +conduct to be appraised in point of their goodness or expediency.</p> + +<p>So seen without prejudice, then, if that may be, this Imperial +enterprise of these two Powers is to be rated as the chief circumstance +bearing on the chances of peace and conditioning the terms on which any +peace plan must be drawn. Evidently, in the presence of these two +Imperial Powers any peace compact will be in a precarious case; equally +so whether either or both of them are parties to such compact or not. No +engagement binds a dynastic statesman in case it turns out not to +further the dynastic enterprise. The question then recurs: How may peace +be maintained within the horizon of German or Japanese<!-- Page 84 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_84" id="Page_84">[Pg 84]</a></span> ambitions? There +are two obvious alternatives, neither of which promises an easy way out +of the quandary in which the world's peace is placed by their presence: +Submission to their dominion, or Elimination of these two Powers. Either +alternative would offer a sufficiently deterrent outlook, and yet any +project for devising some middle course of conciliation and amicable +settlement, which shall be practicable and yet serve the turn, scarcely +has anything better to promise. The several nations now engaged on a war +with the greater of these Imperial Powers hold to a design of +elimination, as being the only measure that merits hopeful +consideration. The Imperial Power in distress bespeaks peace and +good-will.</p> + +<p>Those advocates, whatever their nationality, who speak for negotiation +with a view to a peace compact which is to embrace these States intact, +are aiming, in effect, to put things in train for ultimate submission to +the mastery of these Imperial Powers. In these premises an amicable +settlement and a compact of perpetual peace will necessarily be +equivalent to arranging a period of recuperation and recruiting for a +new onset of dynastic enterprise. For, in the nature of the case, no +compact binds the dynastic statesman, and no consideration other than +the pursuit of Imperial dominion commands his attention.</p> + +<p>There is, of course, no intention to decry this single-mindedness that +is habitually put in evidence by the dynastic statesmen. Nor should it +be taken as evidence of moral obliquity in them. It is rather the result +of a peculiar moral attitude or bent, habitual to such statesmen, and in +its degree also habitual to their compatriots, and is indispensably +involved in the Imperial frame of mind. The consummation of Imperial +mastery being the<!-- Page 85 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 85]</span> highest and ubiquitously ulterior end of all +endeavour, its pursuit not only relieves its votaries from the +observance of any minor obligations that run counter to its needs, but +it also imposes a moral obligation to make the most of any opportunity +for profitable deceit and chicanery that may offer. In short, the +dynastic statesman is under the governance of a higher morality, binding +him to the service of his nation's ambition—or in point of fact, to the +personal service of his dynastic master—to which it is his dutiful +privilege loyally to devote all his powers of force and fraud.</p> + +<p>Democratically-minded persons, who are not moved by the call of loyalty +to a gratuitous personal master, may have some difficulty in +appreciating the force and the moral austerity of this spirit of +devotion to an ideal of dynastic aggrandisement, and in seeing how its +paramount exigence will set aside all meticulous scruples of personal +rectitude and veracity, as being a shabby with-holding of service due.</p> + +<p>To such of these doubters as still have retained some remnants of their +religious faith this attitude of loyalty may perhaps be made +intelligible by calling to mind the analogous self-surrender of the +religious devotee. And in this connection it may also be to the purpose +to recall that in point of its genesis and derivation that unreserved +self-abasement and surrender to the divine ends and guidance, which is +the chief grace and glory of the true believer, is held by secular +students of these matters to be only a sublimated analogue or +counterfeit of this other dutiful abasement that constitutes loyalty to +a temporal master. The deity is currently spoken of as The Heavenly +King, under whose dominion no sinner has a right that He is bound to +respect; very much after the<!-- Page 86 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 86]</span> fashion in which no subject of a dynastic +state has a right which the State is bound to respect. Indeed, all these +dynastic establishments that so seek the Kingdom, the Power and the +Glory are surrounded with a penumbra of divinity, and it is commonly a +bootless question where the dynastic powers end and the claims of +divinity begin. There is something of a coalescence.<a name="FNanchor_7_7" id="FNanchor_7_7"></a><a href="#Footnote_7_7" class="fnanchor">[7]</a></p> + +<p>The Kaiser holds dominion by divine grace and is accountable to none but +God, if to Him. The whole case is in a still better state of repair as +touches the Japanese establishment, where the Emperor is a lineal +descendant of the supreme deity, Amaterazu (<i>o mi Kami</i>), and where, by +consequence, there is no line of cleavage between a divine and a secular +mastery. Pursuant to this more unqualified authenticity of autocratic +rule, there is also to be found in this case a correspondingly +unqualified devotion in the subjects and an unqualified subservience to +dynastic ends on the part of the officers of the crown. The coalescence +of dynastic rule with the divine order is less complete in the German +case, but all observers bear witness that it all goes far enough also in +the German case. This state of things is recalled here as a means of +making plain that the statesmen of these Imperial<!-- Page 87 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 87]</span> Powers must in the +nature of the case, and without blame, be drawn out from under the +customary restraint of those principles of vulgar morality that are +embodied in the decalogue. It is not that the subject, or—what comes to +the same thing—the servant of such a dynastic State may not be upright, +veracious and humane in private life, but only that he must not be +addicted to that sort of thing in such manner or degree as might hinder +his usefulness for dynastic purposes. These matters of selfishly +individual integrity and humanity have no weight as against the +exigencies of the dynastic enterprise.</p> + +<p>These considerations may not satisfy all doubters as to the moral +sufficiency of these motives that so suffice to decide the dynastic +statesmen on their enterprise of aggression by force and fraud; but it +should be evident that so long as these statesmen continue in the frame +of mind spoken of, and so long as popular sentiment in these countries +continues, as hitherto, to lend them effectual support in the pursuit of +such Imperial enterprise, so long it must also remain true that no +enduring peace can be maintained within the sweep of their Imperial +ambition. Any peace compact would necessarily be, in effect, an +armistice terminable at will and serving as a season of preparation to +meet a deferred opportunity. For the peaceable nations it would, in +effect, be a respite and a season of preparation for eventual submission +to the Imperial rule.</p> + +<p>By advocates of such a negotiated compact of perpetual peace it has been +argued that the populace underlying these Imperial Powers will readily +be brought to realise the futility and inexpediency of such dynastic +enterprise, if only the relevant facts are brought to their knowledge, +and that so these Powers will be constrained to keep the<!-- Page 88 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_88" id="Page_88">[Pg 88]</a></span> peace by +default of popular support for their warlike projects. What is required, +it is believed by these sanguine persons, is that information be +competently conveyed to the common people of these warlike nations, +showing them that they have nothing to apprehend in the way of +aggression or oppressive measures from the side of their more peaceable +neighbours; whereupon their warlike animus will give place to a +reasonable and enlightened frame of mind. This argument runs tacitly or +explicitly, on the premise that these peoples who have so +enthusiastically lent themselves to the current warlike enterprise are +fundamentally of the same racial complexion and endowed with the same +human nature as their peaceable neighbours, who would be only too glad +to keep the peace on any terms of tolerable security from aggression. If +only a fair opportunity is offered for the interested peoples to come to +an understanding, it is held, a good understanding will readily be +reached; at least so far as to result in a reasonable willingness to +submit questions in dispute to an intelligent canvass and an equitable +arbitration.</p> + +<p>Projects for a negotiated peace compact, to include the dynastic States, +can hold any prospect of a happy issue only if this line of argument, or +its equivalent, is pertinent and conclusive; and the argument is to the +point only in so far as its premises are sound and will carry as far as +the desired conclusion. Therefore a more detailed attention to the +premises on which it runs will be in place, before any project of the +kind is allowed to pass inspection.</p> + +<p>As to homogeneity of race and endowment among the several nations in +question, the ethnologists, who are competent to speak of that matter, +are ready to assert that this<!-- Page 89 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_89" id="Page_89">[Pg 89]</a></span> homogeneity goes much farther among the +nations of Europe than any considerable number of peace advocates would +be ready to claim. In point of race, and broadly speaking, there is +substantially no difference between these warring nations, along any +east-and-west line; while the progressive difference in racial +complexion that is always met with along any north-and-south line, +nowhere coincides with a national or linguistic frontier. In no case +does a political division between these nations mark or depend on a +difference of race or of hereditary endowment. And, to give full +measure, it may be added that also in no case does a division of classes +within any one of these nations, into noble and base, patrician and +plebeian, lay and learned, innocent and vicious, mark or rest on any +slightest traceable degree of difference in race or in heritable +endowment. On the point of racial homogeneity there is no fault to find +with the position taken.</p> + +<p>If the second postulate in this groundwork of premises on which the +advocates of negotiable peace base their hopes were as well taken there +need be no serious misgiving as to the practicability of such a plan. +The plan counts on information, persuasion and reflection to subdue +national animosities and jealousies, at least in such measure as would +make them amenable to reason. The question of immediate interest on this +head, therefore, would be as to how far this populace may be accessible +to the contemplated line of persuasion. At present they are, +notoriously, in a state of obsequious loyalty to the dynasty, +single-minded devotion to the fortunes of the Fatherland, and +uncompromising hatred of its enemies. In this frame of mind there is +nothing that is new, except the degree of excitement. The animus, it +will be recalled, was all there and on the alert when the call came, so +that the<!-- Page 90 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 90]</span> excitement came on with the sweep of a conflagration on the +first touch of a suitable stimulus. The German people at large was +evidently in a highly unstable equilibrium, so that an unexampled +enthusiasm of patriotic self-sacrifice followed immediately on the first +incitement to manslaughter, very much as if the nation had been held +under an hypnotic spell. One need only recall the volume of overbearing +magniloquence that broke out all over the place in that beginning, when +The Day was believed to be dawning.</p> + +<p>Such a popular frame of mind is not a transient episode, to be created +at short notice and put aside for a parcel of salutary advice. The +nation that will make such a massive concerted move with the alacrity +shown in this instance must be living in a state of alert readiness for +just such an onset. Yet this is not to be set down as anything in the +way of a racial trait specifically distinguishing the German people from +those other adjacent nationalities that are incapable of a similarly +swift and massive response to the appeal of patriotism. These adjacent +nationalities are racially identical with the German people, but they do +not show the same warlike abandon in nearly the same degree.</p> + +<p>But for all that, it is a national trait, not to be acquired or put away +by taking thought. It is just here that the line of definition runs: it +is a national trait, not a racial one. It is not Nature, but it is +Second Nature. But a national trait, while it is not heritable in the +simple sense of that term, has the same semblance, or the same degree, +of hereditary persistence that belongs to the national institutions, +usages, conventionalities, beliefs, which distinguish the given nation +from its neighbors. In this instance it may be said more specifically +that this eager<!-- Page 91 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 91]</span> loyalty is a heritage of the German people at large in +the same sense and with the same degree of permanence as the institution +of an autocratic royalty has among them, or a privileged nobility. +Indeed, it is the institutional counterfoil of these establishments. It +is of an institutional character, just as the corresponding sense of +national solidarity and patriotic devotion is among the neighboring +peoples with whom the German nation comes in comparison. And an +institution is an historical growth, with just so much of a character of +permanence and continuity of transmission as is given it by the +circumstances out of which it has grown. Any institution is a product of +habit, or perhaps more accurately it is a body of habits of thought +bearing on a given line of conduct, which prevails with such generality +and uniformity throughout the group as to have become a matter of common +sense.</p> + +<p>Such an article of institutional furniture is an outcome of usage, not +of reflection or deliberate choice; and it has consequently a character +of self-legitimation, so that it stands in the accredited scheme of +things as intrinsically right and good, and not merely as a shrewdly +chosen expedient <i>ad interim</i>. It affords a norm of life, inosculating +with a multiplicity of other norms, with which it goes to make up a +balanced scheme of ends, ways and means governing human conduct; and no +one such institutional item, therefore, is materially to be disturbed, +discarded or abated except at the cost of serious derangement to the +balanced scheme of things in which it belongs as an integral +constituent. Nor can such a detail norm of conduct and habitual +propensity come into bearing and hold its place, except by force of +habituation which is at the same time consonant with the common run of +habituation to which the given community is subject. It follows<!-- Page 92 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 92]</span> that +the more rigorous, comprehensive, unremitting and long-continued the +habituation to which a given institutional principle owes its vogue, the +more intimately and definitively will it be embedded in the common sense +of the community, the less chance is there of its intrinsic necessity +being effectually questioned or doubted, and the less chance is there of +correcting it or abating its force in case circumstances should so +change as to make its continued rule visibly inexpedient. Its abatement +will be a work not of deliberation and design, but of defection through +disuse.</p> + +<p>Not that reflection and sane counsel will count for nothing in these +premises, but only that these exertions of intelligence will count for +relatively very little by comparison with the run of habituation as +enforced by the circumstances conditioning any given case; and further, +that wise counsel and good resolutions can take effect in the way of +amending any untoward institutional bent only by way of suitable +habituation, and only at such a rate of change as the circumstances +governing habituation will allow. It is, at the best, slow work to shift +the settled lines of any community's scheme of common sense. Now, +national solidarity, and more particularly an unquestioning loyalty to +the sovereign and the dynasty, is a matter of course and of commonsense +necessity with the German people. It is not necessary to call to mind +that the Japanese nation, which has here been coupled with the German, +are in the same case, only more so.</p> + +<p>Doubtless it would be exceeding the premises to claim that it should +necessarily take the German people as long-continued and as harsh a +schooling to unlearn their excess of chauvinism, their servile stooping +to gratuitous authority, and their eager subservience to the dynastic +ambitions<!-- Page 93 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 93]</span> of their masters, as that which has in the course of history +induced these habits in them. But it would seem reasonable to expect +that there should have to be some measure of proportion between what it +has cost them in time and experience to achieve their current frame of +mind in this bearing and what it would cost to divest themselves of it. +It is a question of how long a time and how exacting a discipline would +be required so far to displace the current scheme of commonsense values +and convictions in force in the Fatherland as to neutralise their +current high-wrought principles of servility, loyalty and national +animosity; and on the solution of this difficulty appear to depend the +chances of success for any proposed peace compact to which the German +nation shall be made a party, on terms of what is called an "honorable +peace."</p> + +<p>The national, or rather the dynastic and warlike, animus of this people +is of the essence of their social and political institutions. Without +such a groundwork of popular sentiment neither the national +establishment, nor the social order on which it rests and through which +it works, could endure. And with this underlying national sentiment +intact nothing but a dynastic establishment of a somewhat ruthless +order, and no enduring system of law and order not based on universal +submission to personal rule, could be installed. Both the popular animus +and the correlative coercive scheme of law and order are of historical +growth. Both have been learned, acquired, and are in no cogent sense +original with the German people. But both alike and conjointly have come +out of a very protracted, exacting and consistent discipline of mastery +and subjection, running virtually unbroken over the centuries that have +passed since the region that is now the Fatherland first passed under +the predaceous rule of its<!-- Page 94 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_94" id="Page_94">[Pg 94]</a></span> Teutonic invaders,—for no part of the +"Fatherland" is held on other tenure than that of forcible seizure in +ancient times by bands of invaders, with the negligible exception of +Holstein and a slight extent of territory adjoining that province to the +south and south-west. Since the time when such peoples as were overtaken +in this region by the Germanic barbarian invasions, and were reduced to +subjection and presently merged with their alien masters, the same +general fashion of law and order that presently grew out of that +barbarian conquest has continued to govern the life of those peoples, +with relatively slight and intermittent relaxation of its rigors. +Contrasted with its beginnings, in the shameful atrocities of the Dark +Ages and the prehistoric phases of this German occupation, the later +stages of this system of coercive law and order in the Fatherland will +appear humane, not to say genial; but as compared with the degree of +mitigation which the like order of things presently underwent elsewhere +in western Europe, it has throughout the historical period preserved a +remarkable degree of that character of arrogance and servility which it +owes to its barbarian and predatory beginnings.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The initial stages of this Germanic occupation of the Fatherland are +sufficiently obscure under the cloud of unrecorded antiquity that covers +them; and then, an abundance of obscurantism has also been added by the +vapours of misguided vanity that have surrounded so nearly all +historical inquiry on the part of patriotic German scholars. Yet there +are certain outstanding features in the case, in history and prehistory, +that are too large or too notorious to be set aside or to be covered +over, and these may suffice to show the run of circumstances which<!-- Page 95 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 95]</span> have +surrounded the German peoples and shaped their civil and political +institutions, and whose discipline has guided German habits of thought +and preserved the German spirit of loyalty in the shape in which it +underlies the dynastic State of the present day.</p> + +<p>Among the most engaging of those fables that make the conventional +background of German history is the academic legend of a free +agricultural village community made up of ungraded and masterless men. +It is not necessary here to claim that such a village community never +played a part in the remoter prehistoric experiences out of which the +German people, or their ruling classes, came into the territory of the +Fatherland; such a claim might divert the argument. But it is +sufficiently patent to students of those matters today that no such +community of free and ungraded men had any part in the Germanic +beginnings; that is to say, in the early experiences of the Fatherland +under German rule. The meager and ambiguous remarks of Tacitus on the +state of domestic and civil economy among the inhabitants of Germany +need no longer detain anyone, in the presence of the available +archaeological and historical evidence. The circumstantial evidence of +the prehistoric antiquities which touch this matter, as well as the +slight allusions of historical records in antiquity, indicate +unambiguously enough that when the Germanic immigrants moved into the +territories of the Fatherland they moved in as invaders, or rather as +marauders, and made themselves masters of the people already living on +the land. And history quite as unambiguously declares that when the +Fatherland first comes under its light it presents a dark and bloody +ground of tumultuous contention and intrigue; where princes and +princelings, captains of war and of<!-- Page 96 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 96]</span> rapine as well as the captains of +superstition, spend the substance of an ignominiously sordid and servile +populace in an endless round of mutual raiding, treachery, +assassinations and supersession.</p> + +<p>Taken at their face value, the recorded stories of that early time would +leave one to infer that the common people, whose industry supported this +superstructure of sordid mastery, could have survived only by oversight. +But touched as it is with poetic license and devoted to the admirable +life of the master class—admirable in their own eyes and in those of +their chroniclers, as undoubtedly also in the eyes of the subject +populace—the history of that time doubtless plays up the notable +exploits and fortunes of its conspicuous personages, somewhat to the +neglect of the obscure vicissitudes of life and fortune among that human +raw material by use of which the admirable feats of the master class +were achieved, and about the use of which the dreary traffic of greed +and crime went on among the masters.</p> + +<p>Of the later history, what covers, say, the last one thousand years, +there is no need to speak at length. With transient, episodic, +interruptions it is for the Fatherland a continuation out of these +beginnings, leading out into a more settled system of subjection and +mastery and a progressively increased scale of princely enterprise, +resting on an increasingly useful and increasingly loyal populace. In +all this later history the posture of things in the Fatherland is by no +means unique, nor is it even strikingly peculiar, by contrast with the +rest of western Europe, except in degree. It is of the same general kind +as the rest of what has gone to make the historical advance of medieval +and modern times; but it differs from the generality in a more sluggish +movement and a more<!-- Page 97 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 97]</span> tenacious adherence to what would be rated as the +untoward features of mediaevalism. The approach to a modern scheme of +institutions and modern conceptions of life and of human values has been +slow, and hitherto incomplete, as compared with those communities that +have, for good or ill, gone farthest along the ways of modernity. +Habituation to personal subjection and subservience under the rigorous +and protracted discipline of standardised service and fealty has +continued later, and with later and slighter mitigation, in the +Fatherland; so as better to have conserved the spiritual attitude of the +feudal order. Law and order in the Fatherland has in a higher degree +continued to mean unquestioning obedience to a personal master and +unquestioning subservience to the personal ambitions of the master. And +since freedom, in the sense of discretionary initiative on the part of +the common man, does not fit into the framework of such a system of +dependence on personal authority and surveillance, any degree of such +free initiative will be "licence" in the eyes of men bred into the +framework of this system; whereas "liberty," as distinct from "licence," +is not a matter of initiative and self-direction, but of latitude in the +service of a master. Hence no degree of curtailment in this delegated +"liberty" will be resented or repudiated by popular indignation, so long +as the master to whom service is due can give assurance that it is +expedient for his purposes.</p> + +<p>The age-long course of experience and institutional discipline out of +which the current German situation has come may be drawn schematically +to the following effect: In the beginning a turmoil of conquest, rapine, +servitude, and contention between rival bands of marauders and their +captains, gradually, indeed imperceptibly, fell into<!-- Page 98 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 98]</span> lines of settled +and conventionalised exploitation; with repeated interruptions due to +new incursions and new combinations of rapacious chieftains. Out of it +all in the course of time came a feudal régime, under which personal +allegiance and service to petty chiefs was the sole and universal +accredited bond of solidarity. As the outcome of further unremitting +intrigue and contention among feudal chiefs, of high and low degree, the +populace fell into larger parcels, under the hands of feudal lords of +larger dominion, and the bias of allegiance and service came to hold +with some degree of permanence and uniformity, or at least of +consistency, over a considerable reach of country, including its +inhabitants. With the rise of States came allegiance to a dynasty, as +distinguished from the narrower and more ephemeral allegiance to the +semi-detached person of a victorious prince; and the relative permanence +of territorial frontiers under this rule gave room for an effectual +recrudescence of the ancient propensity to a sentimental group +solidarity; in which the accredited territorial limits of the dynastic +dominion served to outline the group that so was felt to belong together +under a joint dispensation and with something of a joint interest in +matters of fame and fortune. As the same notion is more commonly and +more suggestively expressed, a sense of nationality arose within the +sweep of the dynastic rule. This sense of community interest that is +called nationality so came in to reenforce the sense of allegiance to +the dynastic establishment and so has coalesced with it to produce that +high-wrought loyalty to the State, that draws equally on the sentiment +of community interest in the nation and on the prescriptive docility to +the dynastic head. The sense of national solidarity and of feudal +loyalty and service have coalesced,<!-- Page 99 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 99]</span> to bring this people to that climax +of patriotic devotion beyond which there lies no greater height along +this way. But this is also as far as the German people have gone; and it +is scarcely to be claimed that the Japanese have yet reached this stage; +they would rather appear to be, essentially, subjects of the emperor, +and only inchoately a Japanese nation. Of the German people it seems +safe to say that they have achieved such a coalescence of unimpaired +feudal fealty to a personal master and a full-blown sense of national +solidarity, without any perceptible slackening in either strand of the +double tie which so binds them in the service of the dynastic State.</p> + +<p>Germany, in other words, is somewhat in arrears, as compared with those +Europeans that have gone farthest along this course of institutional +growth, or perhaps rather institutional permutation. It is not that this +retardation of the German people in this matter of national spirit is to +be counted as an infirmity, assuredly not as a handicap in the pursuit +of that national prestige on which all patriotic endeavour finally +converges. For this purpose the failure to distinguish between the +ambitions of the dynastic statesmen and the interests of the +commonwealth is really a prodigious advantage, which their rivals, of +more mature growth politically, have lost by atrophy of this same +dynastic axiom of subservience. These others, of whom the French and the +English-speaking peoples make up the greater part and may be taken as +the typical instance, have had a different history, in part. The +discipline of experience has left a somewhat different residue of habits +of thought embedded in their institutional equipment and effective as +axiomatic premises in their further apprehension of what is worth while, +and why.<!-- Page 100 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 100]</span></p> + +<p>It is not that the difference between these two contrasted strains of +the Western civilisation is either profound or very pronounced; it is +perhaps rather to be stated as a difference of degree than of kind; a +retardation of spiritual growth, in respect of the prevalent and +controlling habits of thought on certain heads, in the one case as +against the other. Therefore any attempt to speak with sufficient +definition, so as to bring out this national difference of animus in any +convincing way, will unavoidably have an appearance of overstatement, if +not also of bias. And in any case, of course, it is not to be expected +that the national difference here spoken for can be brought home to the +apprehension of any unspoiled son of the Fatherland, since it does not +lie within that perspective.</p> + +<p>It is not of the nature of a divergence, but rather a differential in +point of cultural maturity, due to a differential in the rate of +progression through that sequence of institutional phases through which +the civilised peoples of Europe, jointly and severally, have been led by +force of circumstance. In this movement out of the Dark Ages and onward, +circumstances have fallen out differently for those Europeans that +chanced to live within the confines of the Fatherland, different with +such effect as to have in the present placed these others at a farther +remove from the point of departure, leaving them furnished with less of +that archaic frame of mind that is here in question. Possessed of less, +but by no means shorn of all—perhaps not of the major part—of that +barbaric heritage.</p> + +<p>Circumstances have so fallen out that these—typically the French and +the English-speaking peoples—have left behind and partly forgotten that +institutional phase in which the people of Imperial Germany now live and +move<!-- Page 101 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 101]</span> and have their being. The French partly because they—that is the +common people of the French lands—entered the procession with a very +substantial lead, having never been put back to a point abreast of their +neighbors across the Rhine, in that phase of European civilisation from +which the peoples of the Fatherland tardily emerged into the feudal age. +So, any student who shall set out to account for the visible lead which +the French people still so obstinately maintain in the advance of +European culture, will have to make up his account with this notable +fact among the premises of his inquiry, that they have had a shorter +course to cover and have therefore, in the sporting phrase, had the +inside track. They measure from a higher datum line. Among the +advantages which so have come, in a sense unearned, to the French +people, is their uninterrupted retention, out of Roman—and perhaps +pre-Roman—times, of the conception of a commonwealth, a community of +men with joint and mutual interests apart from any superimposed +dependence on a joint feudal superior. The French people therefore +became a nation, with unobtrusive facility, so soon as circumstances +permitted, and they are today the oldest "nation" in Europe. They +therefore were prepared from long beforehand, with an adequate principle +(habit of thought) of national cohesion and patriotic sentiment, to make +the shift from a dynastic State to a national commonwealth whenever the +occasion for such a move should arise; that is to say, whenever the +dynastic State, by a suitable conjunction of infirmity and irksomeness, +should pass the margin of tolerance in this people's outraged sense of +national shame. The case of the German people in their latterday +attitude toward dynastic vagaries may afford a term of comparison. These +appear yet incapable of dis<!-- Page 102 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 102]</span>tinguishing between national shame and +dynastic ambition.</p> + +<p>By a different course and on lines more nearly parallel with the +life-history of the German peoples, the English-speaking peoples have +reached what is for the present purpose much the same ground as the +French, in that they too have made the shift from the dynastic State to +the national commonwealth. The British started late, but the discipline +of servitude and unmitigated personal rule in their case was relatively +brief and relatively ineffectual; that is to say, as compared with what +their German cousins had to endure and to learn in the like connection. +So that the British never learned the lesson of dynastic loyalty fully +by heart; at least not the populace; whatever may be true for the +privileged classes, the gentlemen, whose interests were on the side of +privilege and irresponsible mastery. Here as in the French case it was +the habits of thought of the common man, not of the class of gentlemen, +that made the obsolescence of the dynastic State a foregone conclusion +and an easy matter—as one speaks of easy achievement in respect of +matters of that magnitude. It is now some two and a half centuries since +this shift in the national point of view overtook the English-speaking +community. Perhaps it would be unfair to say that that period, or that +period plus what further time may yet have to be added, marks the +interval by which German habits of thought in these premises are in +arrears, but it is not easy to find secure ground for a different and +more moderate appraisal.</p> + +<p>The future, of course, is not to be measured in terms of the past, and +the tempo of the present and of the calculable future is in many +bearings very different from that which has ruled even in the recent +historical past.<!-- Page 103 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_103" id="Page_103">[Pg 103]</a></span> But then, on the other hand, habituation always +requires time; more particularly such habituation as is to take effect +throughout a populous nation and is counted on to work a displacement of +a comprehensive institutional system and of a people's outlook on life.</p> + +<p>Germany is still a dynastic State. That is to say, its national +establishment is, in effect, a self-appointed and irresponsible +autocracy which holds the nation in usufruct, working through an +appropriate bureaucratic organisation, and the people is imbued with +that spirit of abnegation and devotion that is involved in their +enthusiastically supporting a government of that character. Now, it is +in the nature of a dynastic State to seek dominion, that being the whole +of its nature. And a dynastic establishment which enjoys the unqualified +usufruct of such resources as are placed at its disposal by the +feudalistic loyalty of the German people runs no chance of keeping the +peace, except on terms of the unconditional surrender of all those whom +it may concern. No solemn engagement and no pious resolution has any +weight in the balance against a cultural fatality of this magnitude.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>This account of the derivation and current state of German nationalism +will of course appear biased to anyone who has been in the habit of +rating German Culture high in all its bearings, and to whom at the same +time the ideals of peace and liberty appeal. Indeed, such a critic, +gifted with the due modicum of asperity, might well be provoked to call +it all a more or less ingenious diatribe of partisan malice. But it can +be so construed only by those who see the question at issue as a point +of invidious distinction between this German animus on the one hand and +the corresponding frame of mind of the<!-- Page 104 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 104]</span> neighboring peoples on the other +hand. There may also appear to the captious to be some air of +deprecation about the characterisation here offered of the past history +of political traffic within the confines of the Fatherland. All of +which, of course, touches neither the veracity of the characterisation +nor the purpose with which so ungrateful a line of analysis and +exposition has been entered upon. It is to be regretted if facts that +may flutter the emotions of one and another among the sensitive and +unreflecting can not be drawn into such an inquiry without having their +cogency discounted beforehand on account of the sentimental value +imputed to them. Of course no offense is intended and no invidious +comparison is aimed at.</p> + +<p>Even if the point of it all were an invidious comparison it would +immediately have to be admitted that the net showing in favor of these +others, e.g., the French or the English-speaking peoples, is by no means +so unreservedly to their credit as such a summary statement of the +German case might seem to imply. As bearing on the chances of a peace +contingent upon the temper of the contracting nationalities, it is by no +means a foregone conclusion that such a peace compact would hold +indefinitely even if it depended solely on the pacific animus of these +others that have left the dynastic State behind. These others, in fact, +are also not yet out of the woods. They may not have the same gift of +gratuitous and irresponsible truculence as their German cousins, in the +same alarming degree; but as was said in an earlier passage, they too +are ready to fight on provocation. They are patriotic to a degree; +indeed to such a degree that anything which visibly touches the national +prestige will readily afford a <i>casus belli</i>. But it remains true that +the popular temper among<!-- Page 105 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 105]</span> them is of the defensive order; perhaps of an +unnecessarily enthusiastic defensive order, but after all in such a +frame of mind as leaves them willing to let well enough alone, to live +and let live.</p> + +<p>And herein appears to lie the decisive difference between those peoples +whose patriotic affections center about the fortunes of an impersonal +commonwealth and those in whom is superadded a fervent aspiration for +dynastic ascendency. The latter may be counted on to break the peace +when a promising opportunity offers.</p> + +<p>The contrast may be illustrated, though not so sharply as might be +desirable, in the different temper shown by the British people in the +Boer war on the one hand, as compared with the popularity of the +French-Prussian war among the German people on the other hand. Both were +aggressive wars, and both were substantially unprovoked. Diplomatically +speaking, of course, sufficient provocation was found in either case, as +how should it not? But in point of substantial provocation and of +material inducement, both were about equally gratuitous. In either case +the war could readily have been avoided without material detriment to +the community and without perceptible lesion to the national honour. +Both were "engineered" on grounds shamelessly manufactured <i>ad hoc</i> by +interested parties; in the one case by a coterie of dynastic statesmen, +in the other by a junta of commercial adventurers and imperialistic +politicians. In neither case had the people any interest of gain or loss +in the quarrel, except as it became a question of national prestige. But +both the German and the British community bore the burden and fought the +campaign to a successful issue for those interested parties who had +precipitated the quarrel. The British people at large, it is true, bore +the burden; which<!-- Page 106 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_106" id="Page_106">[Pg 106]</a></span> comes near being all that can be said in the way of +popular approval of this war, which political statesmen have since then +rated as one of the most profitable enterprises in which the forces of +the realm have been engaged. On the subject of this successful war the +common man is still inclined to cover his uneasy sense of decency with a +recital of extenuating circumstances. What parallels all this in the +German case is an outbreak of patriotic abandon and an admirable spirit +of unselfish sacrifice in furtherance of the dynastic prestige, an +intoxication of patriotic blare culminating in the triumphant coronation +at Versailles. Nor has the sober afterthought of the past forty-six +years cast a perceptible shadow of doubt across the glorious memory of +that patriotic debauch.</p> + +<p>Such is the difference of animus between a body of patriotic citizens in +a modern commonwealth on the one hand and the loyal subjects of a +dynastic State on the other hand. There need be no reflections on the +intrinsic merits of either. Seen in dispassionate perspective from +outside the turmoil, there is not much to choose, in point of sane and +self-respecting manhood, between the sluggish and shamefaced abettor of +a sordid national crime, and a ranting patriot who glories in serving as +cat's-paw to a syndicate of unscrupulous politicians bent on dominion +for dominion's sake. But the question here is not as to the relative +merits or the relative manhood contents of the two contrasted types of +patriot. Doubtless both and either have manhood enough and to spare; at +least, so they say. But the point in question is the simpler and nowise +invidious one, as to the availability of both or either for the +perpetuation of the world's peace under a compact of vigilant +neutrality. Plainly the German frame of mind admits of no neutrality; +the quest of dominion<!-- Page 107 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 107]</span> is not compatible with neutrality, and the +substantial core of German national life is still the quest of dominion +under dynastic tutelage. How it stands with the spirit that has +repeatedly come in sight in the international relations of the British +community is a question harder to answer.</p> + +<p>It may be practicable to establish a peace of neutrals on the basis of +such national spirit as prevails among these others—the French and +English-speaking peoples, together with the minor nationalities that +cluster about the North Sea—because their habitual attitude is that of +neutrality, on the whole and with allowance for a bellicose minority in +all these countries. By and large, these peoples have come to the +tolerant attitude that finds expression in the maxim, Live and let live. +But they are all and several sufficiently patriotic. It may, indeed, +prove that they are more than sufficiently patriotic for the purposes of +a neutral peace. They stand for peace, but it is "peace with honour;" +which means, in more explicit terms, peace with undiminished national +prestige. Now, national prestige is a very particular commodity, as has +been set out in earlier passages of this inquiry; and a peace which is +to be kept only on terms of a jealous maintenance of the national honour +is likely to be in a somewhat precarious case. If, and when, the +national honour is felt to require an enhanced national ascendancy, the +case for a neutral peace immediately becomes critical. And the greater +the number and diversity of pretensions and interests that are conceived +to be bound up with the national honour, the more unstable will the +resulting situation necessarily be.</p> + +<p>The upshot of all this recital of considerations appears to be that a +neutral peace compact may, or it may not,<!-- Page 108 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_108" id="Page_108">[Pg 108]</a></span> be practicable in the absence +of such dynastic States as Germany and Japan; whereas it has no chance +in the presence of these enterprising national establishments.</p> + +<p>No one will be readier or more voluble in exclaiming against the falsity +of such a discrimination as is here attempted, between the democratic +and the dynastic nations of the modern world, than the spokesmen of +these dynastic Powers. No one is more outspoken in professions of +universal peace and catholic amity than these same spokesmen of the +dynastic Powers; and nowhere is there more urgent need of such +professions. Official and "inspired" professions are, of course, to be +overlooked; at least, so charity would dictate. But there have, in the +historic present, been many professions of this character made also by +credible spokesmen of the German, and perhaps of the Japanese, people, +and in all sincerity. By way of parenthesis it should be said that this +is not intended to apply to expressions of conviction and intention that +have come out of Germany these two years past (December 1916). Without +questioning the credibility of these witnesses that have borne witness +to the pacific and genial quality of national sentiment in the German +people, it will yet be in place to recall the run of facts in the +national life of Germany in this historical present and the position of +these spokesmen in the German community.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The German nation is of a peculiar composition in respect of its social +structure. So far as bears on the question in hand, it is made up of +three distinctive constituent factors, or perhaps rather categories or +conditions of men. The populace is of course the main category, and in +the last resort always the main and decisive factor. Next in<!-- Page 109 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 109]</span> point of +consequence as well as of numbers and initiative is the personnel of the +control,—the ruling class, the administration, the official community, +the hierarchy of civil and political servants, or whatever designation +may best suit; the category comprises that pyramidal superstructure of +privilege and control whereof the sovereign is the apex, and in whom, +under any dynastic rule, is in effect vested the usufruct of the +populace. These two classes or conditions of men, the one of which +orders and the other obeys, make up the working structure of the nation, +and they also between them embody the national life and carry forward +the national work and aim. Intermediate between them, or rather beside +them and overlapping the commissure, is a third category whose life +articulates loosely with both the others at the same time that it still +runs along in a semi-detached way. This slighter but more visible, and +particularly more audible, category is made up of the "Intellectuals," +as a late, and perhaps vulgar, designation would name them.</p> + +<p>These are they who chiefly communicate with the world outside, and at +the same time they do what is academically called thinking. They are in +intellectual contact and communication with the world at large, in a +contact of give and take, and they think and talk in and about those +concepts that go in under the caption of the humanities in the world at +large. The category is large enough to constitute an intellectual +community, indeed a community of somewhat formidable magnitude, taken in +absolute terms, although in percentages of the population at large their +numbers will foot up to only an inconsiderable figure. Their contact +with the superior class spoken of above is fairly close, being a +contact, in the main, of service on the one side and of control on the +other. With the popu<!-- Page 110 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 110]</span>lace their contact and communion is relatively +slight, the give and take in the case being neither intimate nor +far-reaching. More particularly is there a well-kept limit of moderation +on any work of indoctrination or intellectual guidance which this class +may carry down among the people at large, dictated and enforced by +dynastic expediency. This category, of the Intellectuals, is +sufficiently large to live its own life within itself, without drawing +on the spiritual life of the community at large, and of sufficiently +substantial quality to carry its own peculiar scheme of intellectual +conventions and verities. Of the great and highly meritorious place and +work of these Intellectuals in the scheme of German culture it is +needless to speak. What is to the point is that they are the accredited +spokesmen of the German nation in all its commonplace communication with +the rest of civilised Europe.</p> + +<p>The Intellectuals have spoken with conviction and sincerity of the +spiritual state of the German people, but in so doing, and in so far as +bears on the character of German nationalism, they have been in closer +contact, intellectually and sympathetically, with the intellectual and +spiritual life of civilised Europe at large than with the movements of +the spirit among the German populace. And their canvassing of the +concepts which so have come under their attention from over the national +frontiers has been carried forward—so far, again, as bears on the +questions that are here in point—with the German-dynastic principles, +logic and mechanism of execution under their immediate observation and +supplying the concrete materials for inquiry. Indeed, it holds true, by +and large, that nothing else than this German-dynastic complement of +ways and means has, or can effectually, come under their<!-- Page 111 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 111]</span> observation in +such a degree of intimacy as to give body and definition to the somewhat +abstract theorems on cultural aims and national preconceptions that have +come to them from outside. In short, they have borrowed these +theoretical formulations from abroad, without the concrete apparatus of +ways and means in which these theorems are embodied in their foreign +habitat, and have so found themselves construing these theoretical +borrowings in the only concrete terms of which they have had first-hand +and convincing knowledge. Such an outcome would be fairly unavoidable, +inasmuch as these Intellectuals, however much they are, in the spirit, +citizens of the cosmopolitan republic of knowledge and intelligence, +they are after all, <i>in propria persona</i>, immediately and unremittingly +subjects of the German-dynastic State; so that all their detail thinking +on the aims, ways and means of life, in all its civil and political +bearings, is unavoidably shaped by the unremitting discipline of their +workday experience under this dynastic scheme. The outcome has been that +while they have taken up, as they have understood them, the concepts +that rule the civic life of these other, maturer nations, they have +apprehended and developed these theorems of civic life in the terms and +by the logic enforced in that system of control and surveillance known +to them by workday experience,—the only empirical terms at hand.</p> + +<p>The apex of growth and the center of diffusion as regards the modern +culture in respect of the ideals and logic of civic life—other phases +of this culture than this its civil aspect do not concern the point here +in question—this apex of growth and center of diffusion lie outside the +Fatherland, in an environment alien to the German institutional scheme. +Yet so intrinsic to the cultural drift<!-- Page 112 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 112]</span> of modern mankind are these aims +and this logic, that in taking over and further enriching the +intellectual heritage of this modern world the Intellectuals of the +Fatherland have unavoidably also taken over those conceptions of civil +initiative and masterless self-direction that rule the logic of life in +a commonwealth of ungraded men. They have taken these over and +assimilated them as best their experience would permit. But workday +experience and its exigencies are stubborn things; and in this process +of assimilation of these alien conceptions of right and honest living, +it is the borrowed theorems concerning civic rights and duties that have +undergone adaptation and revision, not the concrete system of ways and +means in which these principles, so accepted, are to be put in practice. +Necessarily so, since in the German scheme of law and order the major +premise is the dynastic State, whereas the major premise of the modern +civilised scheme of civic life is the absence of such an organ. So, the +development and elaboration of these modern principles of civic +liberty—and this elaboration has taken on formidable dimensions—under +the hand of the German Intellectuals has uniformly run out into +Pickwickian convolutions, greatly suggestive of a lost soul seeking a +place to rest. With unquestionably serious purpose and untiring +endeavour, they have sought to embody these modern civilised +preconceptions in terms afforded by, or in terms compatible with, the +institutions of the Fatherland; and they have been much concerned and +magniloquently elated about the German spirit of freedom that so was to +be brought to final and consummate realisation in the life of a free +people. But at no point and in no case have either the proposals or +their carrying out taken shape as a concrete application of the familiar +principle of popular self-direc<!-- Page 113 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 113]</span>tion. It has always come to something in +the way of a concessive or expedient mitigation of the antagonistic +principle of personal authority. Where the forms of self-government or +of individual self-direction have concessively been installed, under the +Imperial rule, they have turned out to be an imitative structure with +some shrewd provision for their coercion or inhibition at the discretion +of an irresponsible authority.</p> + +<p>Neither the sound intelligence nor the good faith of these Intellectuals +of the Fatherland is to be impugned. That the—necessarily vague and +circumlocutory—expositions of civic institutions and popular liberty +which they have so often and so largely promulgated should have been +used as a serviceable blind of dynastic statecraft is not to be set down +to their discredit. Circumstances over which they could have no control, +since they were circumstances that shaped their own habits of thought, +have placed it beyond their competence to apprehend or to formulate +these alien principles (habits of thought) concretely in those alien +institutional details and by the alien logic with which they could have +no working acquaintance.</p> + +<p>To one and another this conception of cultural solidarity within the +nation, and consequent cultural aliency between nations, due to the +different habits of life and of thought enforced by the two diverse +institutional systems, may be so far unfamiliar as to carry no +conviction. It may accordingly not seem out of place to recall that the +institutional system of any given community, particularly for any +community living under a home-bred and time-tried system of its own, +will necessarily be a balanced system of interdependent and mutually +concordant parts working together in one comprehensive plan of law and +order. Through such an institutional system, as, e.g.,<!-- Page 114 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 114]</span> the German +Imperial organisation, there will run a degree of logical consistency, +consonant with itself throughout, and exerting a consistent discipline +throughout the community; whereby there is enforced a consistent drift +or bent in the prevalent habits of life, and a correlative bent in the +resulting habits of thought prevalent in the community. It is, in fact, +this possession of a common scheme of use and wont, and a consequent +common outlook and manner of thinking, that constitutes the most +intrinsic bond of solidarity in any nationality, and that finally marks +it off from any other.</p> + +<p>It is equally a matter of course that any other given community, living +under the rule of a substantially different, or divergent, system of +institutions, will be exposed to a course of workday discipline running +to a different, perhaps divergent, effect; and that this other community +will accordingly come in for a characteristically different discipline +and fall under the rule of a different commonsense outlook. Where an +institutional difference of this kind is somewhat large and consistent, +so as to amount in effect to a discrepancy, as may fairly be said of the +difference between Imperial Germany and its like on the one hand, and +the English-speaking nations on the other hand, there the difference in +everyday conceptions may readily make the two peoples mutually +unintelligible to one another, on those points of institutional +principle that are involved in the discrepancy. This is the state of the +case as between the German people, including the Intellectuals, and the +peoples against whom their preconceptions of national destiny have +arrayed them. And the many vivid expressions of consternation, +abhorrence and incredulity that have come out of this community of +Intellectuals in the course of the past two years of trial<!-- Page 115 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 115]</span> and error, +bear sufficient testimony to the rigorous constraint which these German +preconceptions and their logic exercise over the Intellectuals, no less +than over the populace.</p> + +<p>Conversely, of course, it is nearly as impracticable for those who have +grown up under the discipline of democratic institutions to comprehend +the habitual outlook of the commonplace German patriot on national +interests and aims; not quite, perhaps, because the discipline of use +and wont and indoctrination is neither so rigorous nor so consistent in +their case. But there is, after all, prevalent among them a sufficiently +evident logical inability to understand and appreciate the paramount +need of national, that is to say dynastic, ascendancy that actuates all +German patriots; just as these same patriots are similarly unable to +consider national interests in any other light than that of dynastic +ascendancy.</p> + +<p>Going simply on the face value of the available evidence, any outsider +might easily fall into the error of believing that when the great +adventure of the war opened up before them, as well as when presently +the shock of baffled endeavour brought home its exasperating futility, +the Intellectuals of the Fatherland distinguished themselves above all +other classes and conditions of men in the exuberance of their patriotic +abandon. Such a view would doubtless be almost wholly erroneous. It is +not that the Intellectuals reached a substantially superior pitch of +exaltation, but only that, being trained in the use of language, they +were able to express their emotions with great facility. There seems no +reason to believe that the populace fell short of the same measure in +respect of their prevalent frame of mind.<!-- Page 116 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_116" id="Page_116">[Pg 116]</a></span></p> + +<p>To return to the workings of the Imperial dynastic State and the forces +engaged. It plainly appears that the Intellectuals are to be counted as +supernumeraries, except so far as they serve as an instrument of +publicity and indoctrination in the hands of the discretionary +authorities. The working factors in the case are the dynastic +organisation of control, direction and emolument, and the populace at +large by use of whose substance the traffic in dynastic ascendancy and +emolument is carried on. These two are in fairly good accord, on the +ancient basis of feudal loyalty. Hitherto there is no evident ground for +believing that this archaic tie that binds the populace to the dynastic +ambitions has at all perceptibly weakened. And the possibility of +dynastic Germany living at peace with the world under any compact, +therefore translates itself into the possibility of the German people's +unlearning its habitual deference and loyalty to the dynasty.</p> + +<p>As its acquirement has been a work of protracted habituation, so can its +obsolescence also come about only through more or less protracted +habituation under a system of use and wont of a different or divergent +order. The elements of such a systematic discipline running to an effect +at cross purposes with this patriotic animus are not absent from the +current situation in the Fatherland; the discipline of the modern +industrial system, for instance, runs to such a divergent effect; but +this, and other conceivable forces which may reenforce it, will after +all take time, if they are to work a decisive change in the current +frame of mind of the patriotic German community. During the interval +required for such a change in the national temper, the peace of the +world would be conditioned on the inability of the dynastic State to +break it. So that the chances of success for any<!-- Page 117 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 117]</span> neutral peace league +will vary inversely as the available force of Imperial Germany, and it +could be accounted secure only in the virtual elimination of the +Imperial State as a national Power.</p> + +<p>If the gradual obsolescence of the spirit of militant loyalty in the +German people, through disuse under a régime of peace, industry, self +government and free trade, is to be the agency by force of which +dynastic imperialism is to cease, the chance of a neutral peace will +depend on the thoroughness with which such a régime of self-direction +can be installed in this case, and on the space of time required for +such obsolescence through disuse. Obviously, the installation of a +workable régime of self-government on peaceable lines would in any case +be a matter of great difficulty among a people whose past experience has +so singularly incapacitated them for self-government; and obviously, +too, the interval of time required to reach secure ground along this +line of approach would be very considerable. Also, in view of these +conditions, obviously, this scheme for maintaining the peace of nations +by a compact of neutrals based on a compromise with an aspiring dynastic +State resolves itself into the second of the two alternatives spoken of +at the outset, viz., a neutral peace based on the elimination of Germany +as a war power, together with the elimination of any materials suitable +for the formation of a formidable coalition. And then, with Imperial +Germany supposedly eliminated or pacified, there would still remain the +Japanese establishment, to which all the arguments pertinent in the case +of Germany will apply without abatement; except that, at least hitherto, +the dynastic statesmen of Japan have not had the disposal of so massive +a body of resources, in population, industry, or raw materials.<!-- Page 118 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_118" id="Page_118">[Pg 118]</a></span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="CHAPTER_IV" id="CHAPTER_IV"></a>CHAPTER IV</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">Peace Without Honour</span></p> + + +<p>The argument therefore turns back to a choice between the two +alternatives alluded to: peace in submission to the rule of the German +dynastic establishment (and to Japan), or peace through elimination of +these enterprising Powers. The former alternative, no doubt, is +sufficiently unattractive, but it is not therefore to be put aside +without a hearing. As goes without saying, it is repugnant to the +patriotic sentiments of those peoples whom the Imperial German +establishment have elected for submission. But if this unreflecting +patriotic revulsion can once be made amenable to reason, there is always +something to be said in favor of such a plan of peaceable submission, or +at least in extenuation of it; and if it is kept in mind that the +ulterior necessity of such submission must always remain in perspective +as a condition precedent to a peaceful settlement, so long as one or +both of these enterprising Powers remains intact, it will be seen that a +sane appraisal of the merits of such a régime of peace is by no means +uncalled for. For neither of these two Powers is there a conclusive +issue of endeavour short of paramount dominion.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>There should also be some gain of insight and sobriety in recalling that +the Intellectuals of the Fatherland, who have doubtless pondered this +matter longer and more<!-- Page 119 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 119]</span> dispassionately than all other men, have spoken +very highly of the merits of such a plan of universal submission to the +rule of this German dynastic establishment. They had, no doubt, been +considering the question both long and earnestly, as to what would, in +the light of reason, eventually be to the best interest of those peoples +whose manifest destiny was eventual tutelage under the Imperial crown; +and there need also be no doubt that in that time (two years past) they +therefore spoke advisedly and out of the fulness of the heart on this +head. The pronouncements that came out of the community of Intellectuals +in that season of unembarrassed elation and artless avowal are doubtless +to be taken as an outcome of much thoughtful canvassing of what had best +be done, not as an enforced compromise with untoward necessities but as +the salutary course freely to be pursued with an eye single to the best +good of all concerned.</p> + +<p>It is true, the captious have been led to speak slightingly of the many +utterances of this tenure coming out of the community of Intellectuals, +as, e.g., the lay sermons of Professor Ostwald dating back to that +season; but no unprejudiced reader can well escape the persuasion that +these, as well as the very considerable volume of similar pronouncements +by many other men of eminent scholarship and notable for benevolent +sentiments, are faithfully to be accepted as the expressions of a +profound conviction and a consciously generous spirit. In so speaking of +the advantages to be derived by any subject people from submission to +the German Imperial rule, these Intellectuals are not to be construed as +formulating the drift of vulgar patriotic sentiment among their +compatriots at large, but rather as giving out the deliverances of their +own more sensitive spirit and maturer delibera<!-- Page 120 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 120]</span>tion, as men who are in a +position to see human affairs and interests in a larger perspective. +Such, no doubt, would be their own sense of the matter.</p> + +<p>Reflection on the analogous case of the tutelage exercised by the +American government over the subject Philippinos may contribute to a +just and temperate view of what is intended in the régime of tutelage +and submission so spoken for by the German Intellectuals,—and, it may +be added, found good by the Imperial statesmen. There would, of course, +be the difference, as against the case of the Philippinos, that whereas +the American government is after all answerable, in the last resort and +in a somewhat random fashion, to a popular opinion that runs on +democratic preconceptions, the German Imperial establishment on the +other hand is answerable to no one, except it be to God, who is +conceived to stand in somewhat the relation of a silent partner, or a +minority stockholder in this dynastic enterprise.</p> + +<p>Yet it should not be overlooked that any presumptive hard usage which +the vassal peoples might look for at the hands of the German dynasty +would necessarily be tempered with considerations of expediency as +dictated by the exigencies of usufruct. The Imperial establishment has +shown itself to be wise, indeed more wise than amiable, but wise at +least in its intentions, in the use which it has made of subject peoples +hitherto. It is true, a somewhat accentuated eagerness on the part of +the Imperial establishment to get the maximum service in a minimum of +time and at a minimum cost from these subject populations,—as, e.g., in +Silesia and Poland, in Schleswig-Holstein, in Alsace-Lorraine, or in its +African and Oceanic possessions,—has at times led to practices +altogether dubious on humanitarian grounds, at the same<!-- Page 121 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 121]</span> time that in +point of thrifty management they have gone beyond "what the traffic will +bear." Yet it is not to be overlooked—and in this connection it is a +point of some weight—that, so far as the predatory traditions of its +statecraft will permit, the Imperial establishment has in all these +matters been guided by a singularly unreserved attention to its own +material advantage. Where its management in these premises has yielded a +less profitable usufruct than the circumstances would reasonably admit, +the failure has been due to an excess of cupidity rather than the +reverse.</p> + +<p>The circumstantial evidence converges to the effect that the Imperial +establishment may confidently be counted on to manage the affairs of its +subject peoples with an eye single to its own material gain, and it may +with equal confidence be counted on that in the long run no unadvised +excesses will be practised. Of course, an excessive adventure in +atrocity and predation, due to such human infirmity in its agents or in +its directorate as has been shown in various recent episodes, is to be +looked for now and again; but these phenomena would come in by way of +fluctuating variations from the authentic routine, rather than as +systematic features of it.</p> + +<p>That superfluity of naughtiness that has given character to the current +German Imperial policy in Belgium, e.g., or that similarly has +characterised the dealings of Imperial Japan in Korea during the late +"benevolent assimilation" of that people into Japanese-Imperial +usufruct, is not fairly to be taken to indicate what such an Imperial +establishment may be expected to do with a subject people on a footing +of settled and long-term exploitation. At the outset, in both instances, +the policy of frightfulness was dictated by a well-advised view to<!-- Page 122 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 122]</span> +economy of effort in reducing the subject people to an abject state of +intimidation, according to the art of war as set forth in the manuals; +whereas latterly the somewhat profligate excesses of the government of +occupation—decently covered with diplomatic parables on benevolence and +legality—have been dictated by military convenience, particularly by +the need of forced labor and the desirability of a reduced population in +the acquired territory. So also the "personally conducted" dealings with +the Armenians by use of the Turks should probably also best be explained +as an endeavour to reduce the numbers of an undesirable population +beforehand, without incurring unnecessary blame. All these things are, +at the most, misleading indications of what the Imperial policy would be +like under settled conditions and in the absence of insubordination.</p> + +<p>By way of contrast, such as may serve to bring the specific traits of +this prospective Imperial tutelage of nations into a better light, the +Ottoman usufruct of the peoples of the Turkish dominions offers an +instructive instance. The Ottoman tutelage is today spoken of by its +apologists in terms substantially identical with the sketches of the +future presented by hopeful German patriots in the early months of the +current war. But as is so frequently the case in such circumstances, +these expressions of the officers have to be understood in a diplomatic +sense; not as touching the facts in any other than a formal way. It is +sufficiently evident that the Ottoman management of its usufruct has +throughout been ill-advised enough persistently to charge more than the +traffic would bear, probably due in great part to lack of control over +its agents or ramifications, by the central office. The Ottoman +establishment has not observed, or<!-- Page 123 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 123]</span> enforced, the plain rules of economy +in its utilisation of the subject peoples, and finds itself today +bankrupt in consequence. What may afford more of a parallel to the +prospective German tutelage of the nations is the procedure of the +Japanese establishment in Korea, Manchuria, or China; which is also duly +covered with an ostensibly decent screen of diplomatic parables, but the +nature and purpose of which is overt enough in all respects but the +nomenclature. It is not unlikely that even this Japanese usufruct and +tutelage runs on somewhat less humane and complaisant lines than a +well-advised economy of resources would dictate for the prospective +German usufruct of the Western nations.</p> + +<p>There is the essential difference between the two cases that while Japan is +over-populated, so that it becomes the part of a wise government to find +additional lands for occupancy, and that so it is constrained by its +imperial ambitions to displace much of the population in its subject +territories, the Fatherland on the other hand is under-populated—notoriously, +though not according to the letter of the diplomatic parables on this +head—and for the calculable future must continue to be under-populated; +provided that the state of the industrial arts continues subject to change +in the same general direction as hitherto, and provided that no radical +change affects the German birth-rate. So, since the Imperial government has +no need of new lands for occupancy by its home population, it will +presumably be under no inducement to take measures looking to the partial +depopulation of its subject territories.</p> + +<p>The case of Belgium and the measures looking to a reduction of its +population may raise a doubt, but probably not a well taken doubt. It is +rather that since it has<!-- Page 124 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_124" id="Page_124">[Pg 124]</a></span> become evident that the territory can not be +held, it is thought desirable to enrich the Fatherland with whatever +property can be removed, and to consume the accumulated man-power of the +Belgian people in the service of the war. It would appear that it is a +war-measure, designed to make use of the enemy's resources for his +defeat. Indeed, under conditions of settled occupation or subjection, +any degree of such depopulation would entail an economic loss, and any +well-considered administrative policy would therefore look to the +maintenance of the inhabitants of the acquired territories in +undiminished numbers and unimpaired serviceability.</p> + +<p>The resulting scheme of Imperial usufruct should accordingly be of a +considerate, not to say in effect humane, character,—always provided +that the requisite degree of submission and subservience ("law and +order") can be enforced by a system of coercion so humane as not to +reduce the number of the inhabitants or materially to lower their +physical powers. Such would, by reasonable expectation, be the character +of this projected Imperial tutelage and usufruct of the nations of +Christendom. In its working-out this German project should accordingly +differ very appreciably from the policy which its imperial ambitions +have constrained the Japanese establishment to pursue in its dealings +with the life and fortunes of its recently, and currently, acquired +subject peoples.</p> + +<p>The better to appreciate in some concrete fashion what should, by +reasonable expectation, be the terms on which life might so be carried +on <i>sub pace germanica</i>, attention may be invited to certain typical +instances of such peace by abnegation among contemporary peoples. +Perhaps at the top of the list stands India, with its many and varied<!-- Page 125 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 125]</span> +native peoples, subject to British tutelage, but, the British apologists +say, not subject to British usufruct. The margin of tolerance in this +instance is fairly wide, but its limits are sharply drawn. India is +wanted and held, not for tribute or revenue to be paid into the Imperial +treasury, nor even for exclusive trade privileges or preferences, but +mainly as a preserve to provide official occupation and emoluments for +British gentlemen not otherwise occupied or provided for; and +secondarily as a means of safeguarding lucrative British investments, +that is to say, investments by British capitalists of high and low +degree. The current British professions on the subject of this +occupation of India, and at times the shamefaced apology for it, is that +the people of India suffer no hardship by this means; the resulting +governmental establishment being no more onerous and no more expensive +to them than any equally, or even any less, competent government of +their own would necessarily be. The fact, however, remains, that India +affords a much needed and very considerable net revenue to the class of +British gentlemen, in the shape of official salaries and pensions, which +the British gentry at large can on no account forego. Narrowed to these +proportions it is readily conceivable that the British usufruct of India +should rest with no extraordinary weight on the Indian people at large, +however burdensome it may at times become to those classes who aspire to +take over the usufruct in case the British establishment can be +dislodged. This case evidently differs very appreciably from the +projected German usufruct of neighboring countries in Europe.</p> + +<p>A case that may be more nearly in point would be that of any one of the +countries subject to the Turkish rule in recent times; although these +instances scarcely show just<!-- Page 126 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 126]</span> what to expect under the projected German +régime. The Turkish rule has been notably inefficient, considered as a +working system of dynastic usufruct; whereas it is confidently expected +that the corresponding German system would show quite an exceptional +degree of efficiency for the purpose. This Turkish inefficiency has had +a two-fold effect, which should not appear in the German case. Through +administrative abuses intended to serve the personal advantage of the +irresponsible officials, the underlying peoples have suffered a +progressive exhaustion and dilapidation; whereby the central authority, +the dynastic establishment, has also grown progressively, cumulatively +weaker and therefore less able to control its agents; and, in the second +place, on the same grounds, in the pursuit of personal gain, and +prompted by personal animosities, these irresponsible agents have +persistently carried their measures of extortion beyond reasonable +bounds,—that is to say beyond the bounds which a well considered plan +of permanent usufruct would countenance. All this would be otherwise and +more sensibly arranged under German Imperial auspices.</p> + +<p>One of the nations that have fallen under Turkish rule—and Turkish +peace—affords a valuable illustration of a secondary point that is to +be considered in connection with any plan of peace by submission. The +Armenian people have in later time come partly under Russian dominion, +and so have been exposed to the Russian system of bureaucratic +exploitation; and the difference between Russian and Turkish Armenia is +instructive. According to all credible—that is unofficial—accounts, +conditions are perceptibly more tolerable in Russian Armenia. Well +informed persons relate that the cause for this more lenient, or less +extreme, administration of affairs under<!-- Page 127 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 127]</span> Russian officials is a +selective death rate among them, such that a local official who +persistently exceeds a certain ill-defined limit of tolerance is removed +by what would under other circumstances be called an untimely death. No +adequate remedy has been found, within the large limits which Russian +bureaucratic administration habitually allows itself in questions of +coercion. The Turk, on the other hand, less deterred by considerations +of long-term expediency, and, it may be, less easily influenced by +outside opinion on any point of humanity, has found a remedy in the +systematic extirpation of any village in which an illicit death occurs. +One will incline to presume that on this head the German Imperial +procedure would be more after the Russian than after the Turkish +pattern; although latterday circumstantial evidence will throw some +sinister doubt on the reasonableness of such an expectation.</p> + +<p>It is plain, however, that the Turkish remedy for this form of +insubordination is a wasteful means of keeping the peace. Plainly, to +the home office, the High Command, the extinction of a village with its +population is a more substantial loss than the unseasonable decease of +one of its administrative agents; particularly when it is called to mind +that such a decease will presumably follow only on such profligate +excesses of naughtiness as are bound to be inexcusably unprofitable to +the central authority. It may be left an open question how far a +corrective of this nature can hopefully be looked to as applicable, in +case of need, under the projected German Imperial usufruct.</p> + +<p>It may, I apprehend, be said without offense that there is no depth of +depravity below the ordinary reach of the Russian bureaucracy; but this +organisation finds itself<!-- Page 128 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 128]</span> constrained, after all, to use circumspection +and set some limits on individual excursions beyond the bounds of +decency and humanity, so soon as these excesses touch the common or +joint interest of the organisation. Any excess of atrocity, beyond a +certain margin of tolerance, on the part of any one of its members is +likely to work pecuniary mischief to the rest; and then, the +bureaucratic conduct of affairs is also, after all, in an uncertain +degree subject to some surveillance by popular sentiment at home or +abroad. The like appears not to hold true of the Turkish official +organisation. The difference may be due to a less provident spirit among +the latter, as already indicated. But a different tradition, perhaps an +outgrowth of this lack of providence and of the consequent growth of a +policy of "frightfulness," may also come in for a share in the outcome; +and there is also a characteristic difference in point of religious +convictions, which may go some way in the same direction. The followers +of Islam appear on the whole to take the tenets of their faith at their +face value—servile, intolerant and fanatic—whereas the Russian +official class may perhaps without undue reproach be considered to have +on the whole outlived the superstitious conceits to which they yield an +expedient <i>pro forma</i> observance. So that when worse comes to worst, and +the Turk finds himself at length with his back against the last +consolations of the faith that makes all things straight, he has the +assured knowledge that he is in the right as against the unbelievers; +whereas the Russian bureaucrat in a like case only knows that he is in +the wrong. The last extremity is a less conclusive argument to the man +in whose apprehension it is not the last extremity. Again, there is some +shadow of doubt falls on the question as to which of these is more +nearly in the German Imperial spirit.<!-- Page 129 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 129]</span></p> + +<p>On the whole, the case of China is more to the point. By and large, the +people of China, more particularly the people of the coastal-plains +region, have for long habitually lived under a régime of peace by +non-resistance. The peace has been broken transiently from time to time, +and local disturbances have not been infrequent; but, taken by and +large, the situation has habitually been of the peaceful order, on a +ground of non-resisting submission. But this submission has not commonly +been of a whole-hearted kind, and it has also commonly been associated +with a degree of persistent sabotage; which has clogged and retarded the +administration of governmental law and order, and has also been +conducive to a large measure of irresponsible official corruption. The +habitual scheme of things Chinese in this bearing may fairly be +described as a peace of non-resistance tempered with sabotage and +assassination. Such was the late Manchu régime, and there is no reason +in China for expecting a substantially different outcome from the +Japanese invasion that is now under way. The nature of this Japanese +incursion should be sufficiently plain. It is an enterprise in +statecraft after the order of Macchiavelli, Metternich, and Bismarck. Of +course, the conciliatory fables given out by the diplomatic service, and +by the other apologists, are to be taken at the normal discount of +one-hundred percent. The relatively large current output of such fables +may afford a hint as to the magnitude of the designs which the fables +are intended to cover.</p> + +<p>The Chinese people have had a more extended experience in peace of this +order than all others, and their case should accordingly be instructive +beyond all others. Not that a European peace by non-resistance need be +expected to run very closely on the Chinese lines, but there<!-- Page 130 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_130" id="Page_130">[Pg 130]</a></span> should be +a reasonable expectation that the large course of things would be +somewhat on the same order in both cases. Neither the European +traditions and habitual temperament nor the modern state of the +industrial arts will permit one to look for anything like a close +parallel in detail; but it remains true, when all is said, that the +Chinese experience of peace under submission to alien masters affords +the most instructive illustration of such a régime, as touches its +practicability, its methods, its cultural value, and its effect on the +fortunes of the subject peoples and of their masters.</p> + +<p>Now, it may be said by way of preliminary generalisation that the +life-history of the Chinese people and their culture is altogether the +most imposing achievement which the records of mankind have to show; +whereas the history of their successive alien establishments of mastery +and usufruct is an unbroken sequence of incredibly shameful +episodes,—always beginning in unbounded power and vainglory, running by +way of misrule, waste and debauchery, to an inglorious finish in abject +corruption and imbecility. Always have the gains in civilisation, +industry and in the arts, been made by the subject Chinese, and always +have their alien masters contributed nothing to the outcome but misrule, +waste, corruption and decay. And yet in the long run, with all this +handicap and misrule, the Chinese people have held their place and made +headway in those things to which men look with affection and esteem when +they come to take stock of what things are worth while. It would be a +hopeless task to count up how many dynasties of masterful barbarians, +here and there, have meanwhile come up and played their ephemeral role +of vainglorious nuisance and gone under<!-- Page 131 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_131" id="Page_131">[Pg 131]</a></span> in shame and confusion, and +dismissed with the invariable verdict of "Good Riddance!"</p> + +<p>It may at first sight seem a singular conjuncture of circumstances, but +it is doubtless a consequence of the same conjuncture, that the Chinese +people have also kept their hold through all history on the Chinese +lands. They have lived and multiplied and continued to occupy the land, +while their successive alien masters have come and gone. So that today, +as the outcome of conquest, and of what would be rated as defeat, the +people continue to be Chinese, with an unbroken pedigree as well as an +unbroken line of home-bred culture running through all the ages of +history. In the biological respect the Chinese plan of non-resistance +has proved eminently successful.</p> + +<p>And, by the way, much the same, though not in the same degree, is true +for the Armenian people; who have continued to hold their hill country +through good days and evil, apparently without serious or enduring +reduction of their numbers and without visible lapse into barbarism, +while the successive disconnected dynasties of their conquering rulers +have come and gone, leaving nothing but an ill name. "This fable +teaches" that a diligent attention to the growing of crops and children +is the sure and appointed way to the maintenance of a people and its +culture even under the most adverse conditions, and that eventual death +and shameful destruction inexorably wait on any "ruling race." Hitherto +the rule has not failed. The rule, indeed, is grounded in the heritable +traits of human nature, from which there is no escape.</p> + +<p>For its long-term biological success, as well as for the continued +integrity of a people's culture, a peace of non-resistance, under good +or evil auspices, is more to be desired than imperial dominion. But +these things are not<!-- Page 132 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 132]</span> all that modern peoples live for, perhaps it is +safe to say that in no case are these chief among the things for which +civilised Europeans are willing to live. They urgently need also freedom +to live their own life in their own way, or rather to live within the +bonds of convention which they have come in for by use and wont, or at +least they believe that such freedom is essential to any life that shall +be quite worth while. So also they have a felt need of security from +arbitrary interference in their pursuit of a livelihood and in the free +control of their own pecuniary concerns. And they want a discretionary +voice in the management of their joint interests, whether as a nation or +in a minor civil group. In short, they want personal, pecuniary and +political liberty, free from all direction or inhibition from without. +They are also much concerned to maintain favorable economic conditions +for themselves and their children. And last, but chiefly rather than +least, they commonly are hide-bound patriots inspired with an +intractable felt need of national prestige.</p> + +<p>It is an assemblage of peoples in such a frame of mind to whom the +pacifists are proposing, in effect, a plan for eventual submission to an +alien dynasty, under the form of a neutral peace compact to include the +warlike Powers. There is little likelihood of such a scheme being found +acceptable, with popular sentiment running as it now does in the +countries concerned. And yet, if the brittle temper in which any such +proposal is rejected by popular opinion in these countries today could +be made to yield sufficiently to reflection and deliberate appraisal, it +is by no means a foregone conclusion that its acceptance would not be +the best way out of a critical situation. The cost of disabling and +eliminating the warlike Power whose dominion is<!-- Page 133 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 133]</span> feared, or even of +staving off the day of surrender, is evidently serious enough. The +merits of the alternative should be open to argument, and should, +indeed, be allowed due consideration. And any endeavour to present them +without heat should presumably find a hearing. It appears to have been +much of the fault of the pacifists who speak for the Peace League that +they have failed or refused to recognise these ulterior consequences of +the plan which they advocate; so that they appear either not to know +what they are talking about, or to avoid talking about what they know.</p> + +<p>It will be evident from beforehand that the grave difficulty to be met +in any advocacy of peace on terms of non-resistant subjection to an +alien dynastic rule—"peace at any price"—is a difficulty of the +psychological order. Whatever may be conceived to hold true for the +Chinese people, such submission is repugnant to the sentiments of the +Western peoples. Which in turn evidently is due to the prevalence of +certain habitual preconceptions among modern civilised men,—certain +acquired traits of temper and bias, of the nature of fixed ideas. That +something in the way of a reasonably contented and useful life is +possible under such a régime as is held in prospect, and even some +tolerable degree of well-being, is made evident in the Chinese case. But +the Chinese tolerance of such a régime goes to argue that they are +charged with fewer preconceptions at variance with the exigencies of +life under these conditions. So, it is commonly accepted, and presumably +to be accepted, that the Chinese people at large have little if any +effectual sense of nationality; their patriotism appears to be nearly a +negligible quantity. This would appear to an outsider to have been their +besetting weakness, to which their successful subjection by various and<!-- Page 134 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_134" id="Page_134">[Pg 134]</a></span> +sundry ambitious aliens has been due. But it appears also to have been +the infirmity by grace of which this people have been obliged to learn +the ways of submission, and so have had the fortune to outlive their +alien masters, all and sundry, and to occupy the land and save the +uncontaminated integrity of their long-lived civilisation.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Some account of the nature and uses of this spirit of patriotism that is +held of so great account among Western nations has already been set out +in an earlier passage. One or two points in the case, that bear on the +argument here, may profitably be recalled. The patriotic spirit, or the +tie of nationalism, is evidently of the nature of habit, whatever +proclivity to the formation of such a habit may be native to mankind. +More particularly is it a matter of habit—it might even be called a +matter of fortuitous habit—what particular national establishment a +given human subject will become attached to on reaching what is called +"years of discretion" and so becoming a patriotic citizen.</p> + +<p>The analogy of the clam may not be convincing, but it may at least serve +to suggest what may be the share played by habituation in the matter of +national attachment. The young clam, after having passed the +free-swimming phase of his life, as well as the period of attachment to +the person of a carp or similar fish, drops to the bottom and attaches +himself loosely in the place and station in life to which he has been +led; and he loyally sticks to his particular patch of ooze and sand +through good fortune and evil. It is, under Providence, something of a +fortuitous matter where the given clam shall find a resting place for +the sole of his foot, but it is also, after all, "his own, his native +land" etc. It lies in the<!-- Page 135 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 135]</span> nature of a clam to attach himself after this +fashion, loosely, to the bottom where he finds a living, and he would +not be a "good clam and true" if he failed to do so; but the particular +spot for which he forms this attachment is not of the essence of the +case. At least, so they say.</p> + +<p>It may be, as good men appear to believe or know, that all men of sound, +or at least those of average, mind will necessarily be of a patriotic +temper and be attached by ties of loyalty to some particular national +establishment, ordinarily the particular establishment which is formally +identified with the land in which they live; although it is always +possible that a given individual may be an alien in the land, and so may +owe allegiance to and be ruled by a patriotic attachment to another +national establishment, to which the conventionalities governing his +special case have assigned him as his own proper nation. The analogy of +the clam evidently does not cover the case. The patriotic citizen is +attached to his own proper nationality not altogether by the accident of +domicile, but rather by the conventions, legal or customary, which +assign him to this or that national establishment according to certain +principles of use and wont.</p> + +<p>Mere legal citizenship or allegiance does not decide the matter either; +at least not by any means unavoidably; as appears in the case of the +Chinese subject under Manchu or Japanese rule; and as appears perhaps +more perspicuously in the case of the "hyphenate" American citizen, +whose formal allegiance is to the nation in whose land he prefers to +live, all the while that his patriotic affection centers on his +spiritual Fatherland in whose fortunes he has none but a non-resident +interest. Indeed, the particular national tie that will bind the +affections<!-- Page 136 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 136]</span>—that is to say the effectual patriotic attachment—of any +given individual may turn out on closer scrutiny to be neither that of +domicile or of formal legal allegiance, nor that of putative origin or +pedigree, but only a reflex of certain national animosities; which may +also turn out on examination to rest on putative grounds—as illustrated +by a subsidiary class of hyphenate American citizens whose affections +have come to be bound up in the national fortunes of one foreign Power +for the simple, but sufficient, reason that, on conventional grounds, +they bear malice against another equally foreign Power.</p> + +<p>Evidently there is much sophistication, not to say conventionalised +affectation, in all this national attachment and allegiance. It will +perhaps not do to say that it is altogether a matter of sophistication. +Yet it may not exceed the premises to say that the particular choice, +the concrete incidence, of this national attachment is in any given case +a matter of sophistication, largely tempered with fortuity. One is born +into a given nationality—or, in case of dynastic allegiance, into +service and devotion to a (fortuitously) given sovereign—or at least so +it is commonly believed. Still one can without blame, and without +excessive shame, shift one's allegiance on occasion. What is not +countenanced among civilised men is to shift out of allegiance to any +given nationality or dynasty without shifting into the like complication +of gainless obligations somewhere else. Such a shifting of national or +dynastic base is not quite reputable, though it is also not precisely +disreputable. The difficulty in the case appears to be a moral +difficulty, not a mental or a pecuniary one, and assuredly not a +physical difficulty, since the relation in question is not a physical +relation. It would appear to be of the moral order of things, in that +sense of the term in which<!-- Page 137 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 137]</span> conventional proprieties are spoken of as +moral. That is to say, it is a question of conforming to current +expectations under a code of conventional proprieties. Like much of the +conventional code of behavior this patriotic attachment has the benefit +of standardised decorum, and its outward manifestations are enjoined by +law. All of which goes to show how very seriously the whole matter is +regarded.</p> + +<p>And yet it is also a matter of common notoriety that large aggregates of +men, not to speak of sporadic individuals, will on occasion shift their +allegiance with the most felicitous effect and with no sensible loss of +self-respect or of their good name. Such a shift is to be seen in +multiple in the German nation within the past half-century, when, for +instance, the Hanoverians, the Saxons, and even the Holsteiners in very +appreciable numbers, not to mention the subjects of minuscular +principalities whose names have been forgotten in the shuffle, all +became good and loyal subjects of the Empire and of the Imperial +dynasty,—good and loyal without reservation, as has abundantly +appeared. So likewise within a similar period the inhabitants of the +Southern States repudiated their allegiance to the Union, putting in its +place an equivalent loyalty to their new-made country; and then, when +the new national establishment slipped out from under their feet they +returned as whole-heartedly as need be to their earlier allegiance. In +each of these moves, taken with deliberation, it is not to be doubted +that this body of citizens have been moved by an unimpeachable spirit of +patriotic honour. No one who is in any degree conversant with the facts +is likely to question the declaration that it would be a perversion, not +to say an inversion, of fact to rate their patriotic devotion to the +Union today lower<!-- Page 138 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 138]</span> than that of any other section of the country or any +other class or condition of men.</p> + +<p>But there is more, and in a sense worse, to be found along the same +general line of evidence touching this sublimated sentiment of group +solidarity that is called nationalism. The nation, of course, is large; +the larger the better, it is believed. It is so large, indeed, that +considered as a group or community of men living together it has no +sensible degree of homogeneity in any of their material circumstances or +interests; nor is anything more than an inconsiderable fraction of the +aggregate population, territory, industry, or daily life known to any +one of these patriotic citizens except by remote and highly dubious +hearsay. The one secure point on which there is a (constructive) +uniformity is the matter of national allegiance; which grows stronger +and more confident with every increase in aggregate mass and volume. It +is also not doubtful, e.g., that if the people of the British Dominions +in North America should choose to throw in their national lot with the +Union, all sections and classes, except those whose pecuniary interest +in a protective tariff might be conceived to suffer, would presently +welcome them; nor is it doubtful that American nationality would cover +the new and larger aggregate as readily as the old. Much the same will +hold true with respect to the other countries colonised under British +auspices. And there is no conclusive reason for drawing the limit of +admissible national extension at that point.</p> + +<p>So much, however, is fairly within the possibilities of the calculable +future; its realisation would turn in great measure on the +discontinuance of certain outworn or disserviceable institutional +arrangements; as, e.g., the remnants of a decayed monarchy, and the +legally protected<!-- Page 139 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 139]</span> vested interests of certain business enterprises and +of certain office-holding classes. What more and farther might +practicably be undertaken in this way, in the absence of marplot +office-holders, office-seekers, sovereigns, priests and monopolistic +business concerns sheltered under national animosities and restraints of +trade, would be something not easy to assign a limit to. All the minor +neutrals, that cluster about the North Sea, could unquestionably be +drawn into such a composite nationality, in the absence, or with due +disregard, of those classes, families and individuals whose pecuniary or +invidious gain is dependent on or furthered by the existing division of +these peoples.</p> + +<p>The projected defensive league of neutrals is, in effect, an inchoate +coalescence of the kind. Its purpose is the safeguarding of the common +peace and freedom, which is also the avowed purpose and justification of +all those modern nations that have outlived the régime of dynastic +ambition and so of enterprise in dominion for dominion's sake, and have +passed into the neutral phase of nationality; or it should perhaps +rather be said that such is the end of endeavour and the warrant of +existence and power for these modern national establishments in so far +as they have outlived and repudiated such ambitions of a dynastic or a +quasi-dynastic order, and so have taken their place as intrinsically +neutral commonwealths.</p> + +<p>It is only in the common defense (or in the defense of the like +conditions of life for their fellowmen elsewhere) that the citizens of +such a commonwealth can without shame entertain or put in evidence a +spirit of patriotic solidarity; and it is only by specious and +sophistical appeal to the national honour—a conceit surviving out of +the dynastic past—that the populace of such a commonwealth can be +stirred to anything beyond a defense of<!-- Page 140 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_140" id="Page_140">[Pg 140]</a></span> their own proper liberties or +the liberties of like-minded men elsewhere, in so far as they are not +still imbued with something of the dynastic animus and the chauvinistic +animosities which they have formally repudiated in repudiating the +feudalistic principles of the dynastic State.</p> + +<p>The "nation," without the bond of dynastic loyalty, is after all a +make-shift idea, an episodic half-way station in the sequence, and +loyalty, in any proper sense, to the nation as such is so much of a +make-believe, that in the absence of a common defense to be safeguarded +any such patriotic conceit must lose popular assurance and, with the +passing of generations, fall insensibly into abeyance as an archaic +affectation. The pressure of danger from without is necessary to keep +the national spirit alert and stubborn, in case the pressure from +within, that comes of dynastic usufruct working for dominion, has been +withdrawn. With further extension of the national boundaries, such that +the danger of gratuitous infraction from without grows constantly less +menacing, while the traditional régime of international animosities +falls more and more remotely into the background, the spirit of +nationalism is fairly on the way to obsolescence through disuse. In +other words, the nation, as a commonwealth, being a partisan +organisation for a defensive purpose, becomes <i>functa officio</i> in +respect of its nationalism and its patriotic ties in somewhat the same +measure as the national coalition grows to such a size that partisanship +is displaced by a cosmopolitan security.</p> + +<p>Doubtless the falling into abeyance through disuse of so pleasing a +virtue as patriotic devotion will seem an impossibly distasteful +consummation; and about tastes there is no disputing, but tastes are +mainly creations of habit. Except for the disquieting name of the thing, +there<!-- Page 141 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 141]</span> is today little stands in the way of a cosmopolitan order of +human intercourse unobtrusively displacing national allegiance; except +for vested interests in national offices and international +discriminations, and except for those peoples among whom national life +still is sufficiently bound up with dynastic ambition.</p> + +<p>In an earlier passage the patriotic spirit has been defined as a sense +of partisan solidarity in point of prestige, and sufficient argument has +been spent in confirming the definition and showing its implications. +With the passing of all occasion for a partisan spirit as touches the +common good, through coalescence of the parts between which partisan +discrepancies have hitherto been kept up, there would also have passed +all legitimate occasion for or provocation to an intoxication of +invidious prestige on national lines,—and there is no prestige that is +not of an invidious nature, that being, indeed, the whole of its nature. +He would have to be a person of praeternatural patriotic sensibilities +who could fall into an emotional state by reason of the national +prestige of such a coalition commonwealth as would be made up, e.g., of +the French and English-speaking peoples, together with those other +neutrally and peaceably inclined European communities that are of a +sufficiently mature order to have abjured dynastic ambitions of +dominion, and perhaps including the Chinese people as well. Such a +coalition may now fairly be said to be within speaking distance, and +with its consummation, even in the inchoate shape of a defensive league +of neutrals, the eventual abeyance of that national allegiance and +national honour that bulks so large in the repertory of current +eloquence would also come in prospect.<!-- Page 142 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_142" id="Page_142">[Pg 142]</a></span></p> + +<p>All this is by no means saying that love of country, and of use and wont +as it runs in one's home area and among one's own people, would suffer +decay, or even abatement. The provocation to nostalgia would presumably +be as good as ever. It is even conceivable that under such a +(contemplated) régime of unconditional security, attachment to one's own +habitat and social circumstances might grow to something more than is +commonly seen in the precarious situation in which the chances of a +quiet life are placed today. But nostalgia is not a bellicose distemper, +nor does it make for gratuitous disturbance of peaceable alien peoples; +neither is it the spirit in which men lend themselves to warlike +enterprise looking to profitless dominion abroad. Men make patriotic +sacrifices of life and substance in spite of home-sickness rather than +by virtue of it.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The aim of this long digression has been to show that patriotism, of +that bellicose kind that seeks satisfaction in inflicting damage and +discomfort on the people of other nations, is not of the essence of +human life; that it is of the nature of habit, induced by circumstances +in the past and handed on by tradition and institutional arrangements +into the present; and that men can, without mutilation, divest +themselves of it, or perhaps rather be divested of it by force of +circumstances which will set the current of habituation the contrary +way.</p> + +<p>The change of habituation necessary to bring about such a decay of the +bellicose national spirit would appear to be of a negative order, at +least in the main. It would be an habituation to unconditional peace and +security; in other words, to the absence of provocation, rather than a +coercive training away from the bellicose temper. This bellicose temper, +as it affects men collectively, appears to<!-- Page 143 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 143]</span> be an acquired trait; and it +should logically disappear in time in the absence of those conditions by +impact of which it has been acquired. Such obsolescence of patriotism, +however, would not therefore come about abruptly or swiftly, since the +patriotic spirit has by past use and wont, and by past indoctrination, +been so thoroughly worked into the texture of the institutional fabric +and into the commonsense taste and morality, that its effectual +obsolescence will involve a somewhat comprehensive displacement and +mutation throughout the range of institutions and popular conceits that +have been handed down. And institutional changes take time, being +creations of habit. Yet, again, there is the qualification to this last, +that since the change in question appears to be a matter, not of +acquiring a habit and confirming it in the shape of an article of +general use and wont, but of forgetting what once was learned, the time +and experience to be allowed for its decay need logically not equal that +required for its acquirement, either in point of duration or in point of +the strictness of discipline necessary to inculcate it.</p> + +<p>While the spirit of nationalism is such an acquired trait, and while it +should therefore follow that the chief agency in divesting men of it +must be disuse of the discipline out of which it has arisen, yet a +positive, and even something of a drastic discipline to the contrary +effect need not be altogether ineffectual in bringing about its +obsolescence. The case of the Chinese people seems to argue something of +the sort. Not that the Chinese are simply and neutrally unpatriotic; +they appear also to be well charged with disloyalty to their alien +rulers. But along with a sense of being on the defensive in their common +concerns, there is also the fact that they appear not to be appreciably +patriotic in the proper sense; they<!-- Page 144 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_144" id="Page_144">[Pg 144]</a></span> are not greatly moved by a spirit +of nationality. And this failure of the national spirit among them can +scarcely be set down to a neutral disuse of that discipline which has on +the other hand induced a militant nationalism in the peoples of +Christendom; it should seem more probable, at least, that this relative +absence of a national ambition is traceable in good part to its having +been positively bred out of them by the stern repression of all such +aspirations under the autocratic rule of their alien masters.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Peace on terms of submission and non-resistance to the ordinary +exactions and rulings of those Imperial authorities to whom such +submission may become necessary, then, will be contingent on the virtual +abeyance of the spirit of national pride in the peoples who so are to +come under Imperial rule. A sufficient, by no means necessarily a total, +elimination or decadence of this proclivity will be the condition +precedent of any practicable scheme for a general peace on this footing. +How large an allowance of such animus these prospectively subject +peoples might still carry, without thereby assuring the defeat of any +such plan, would in great measure depend on the degree of clemency or +rigor with which the superior authority might enforce its rule. It is +not that a peace plan of this nature need precisely be considered to +fall outside the limits of possibility, on account of this necessary +condition, but it is at the best a manifestly doubtful matter. Advocates +of a negotiated peace should not fail to keep in mind and make public +that the plan which they advocate carries with it, as a sequel or +secondary phase, such an unconditional surrender and a consequent régime +of non-resistance, and that there still is grave doubt whether the +peoples of these Western nations are at pres<!-- Page 145 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_145" id="Page_145">[Pg 145]</a></span>ent in a sufficiently +tolerant frame of mind, or can in the calculable future come in for such +a tolerantly neutral attitude in point of national pride, as to submit +in any passable fashion to any alien Imperial rule.</p> + +<p>If the spiritual difficulty presented by this prevalent spirit of +national pride—sufficiently stubborn still, however inane a conceit it +may seem on sober reflection—if this animus of factional +insubordination could be overcome or in some passable measure be +conciliated or abated, there is much to be said in favor of such a plan +of peaceable submission to an extraneous and arbitrary authority, and +therefore also for that plan of negotiated peace by means of which +events would be put in train for its realisation.</p> + +<p>Any passably dispassionate consideration of the projected régime will +come unavoidably to the conclusion that the prospectively subject +peoples should have no legitimate apprehension of loss or disadvantage +in the material respect. It is, of course, easy for an unreflecting +person to jump to the conclusion that subjection to an alien power must +bring grievous burdens, in the way of taxes and similar impositions. But +reflection will immediately show that no appreciable increase, over the +economic burdens already carried by the populace under their several +national establishments, could come of such a move.</p> + +<p>As bearing on this question it is well to call to mind that the +contemplated imperial dominion is designed to be very wide-reaching and +with very ample powers. Its nearest historical analogue, of course, is +the Roman imperial dominion—in the days of the Antonines—and that the +nearest analogue to the projected German peace is the Roman peace, in +the days of its best security. There is every warrant for the +presumption that the contem<!-- Page 146 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 146]</span>plated Imperial dominion is to be +substantially all-inclusive. Indeed there is no stopping place for the +projected enterprise short of an all-inclusive dominion. And there will +consequently be no really menacing outside power to be provided against. +Consequently there will be but little provision necessary for the common +defense, as compared, e.g., with the aggregate of such provision found +necessary for self-defense on the part of the existing nations acting in +severalty and each jealously guarding its own national integrity. +Indeed, compared with the burden of competitive armament to which the +peoples of Europe have been accustomed, the need of any armed force +under the new régime should be an inconsiderable matter, even when there +is added to the necessary modicum of defensive preparation the more +imperative and weightier provision of force with which to keep the peace +at home.</p> + +<p>Into the composition of this necessary modicum of armed force slight if +any contingents of men would be drawn from the subject peoples, for the +reason that no great numbers would be needed; as also because no devoted +loyalty to the dynasty could reasonably be looked for among them, even +if no positive insecurity were felt to be involved in their employment. +On this head the projected scheme unambiguously commends itself as a +measure of economy, both in respect of the pecuniary burdens demanded +and as regards the personal annoyance of military service.</p> + +<p>As a further count, it is to be presumed that the burden of the Imperial +government and its bureaucratic administration—what would be called the +cost of maintenance and repairs of the dynastic establishment and its +apparatus of control—would be borne by the subject peoples. Here again +one is warranted in looking for a sub<!-- Page 147 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 147]</span>stantial economy to be effected by +such a centralised authority, and a consequent lighter aggregate burden +on the subjects. Doubtless, the "overhead charges" would not be reduced +to their practicable minimum. Such a governmental establishment, with +its bureaucratic personnel, its "civil list" and its privileged classes, +would not be conducted on anything like a parsimonious footing. There is +no reason to apprehend any touch of modesty in the exactions of such a +dynastic establishment for itself or in behalf of its underlying +hierarchy of gentlefolk.</p> + +<p>There is also to be counted in, in the concrete instance on which the +argument here turns, a more or less considerable burden of contributions +toward the maintenance and augmentation of that culture that has been +the topic of so many encomiums. At this point it should be recalled that +it is the pattern of Periclean Athens that is continually in mind in +these encomiums. Which brings up, in this immediate connection, the +dealings of Periclean Athens with the funds of the League, and the +source as well as the destination of these surplus funds. Out of it all +came the works on the Acropolis, together with much else of intellectual +and artistic life that converged upon and radiated from this Athenian +center of culture. The vista of <i>Denkmäler</i> that so opens to the vision +of a courageous fancy is in itself such a substance of things hoped for +as should stir the heart of all humane persons.<a name="FNanchor_8_8" id="FNanchor_8_8"></a><a href="#Footnote_8_8" class="fnanchor">[8]</a> The cost of this +subvention of Culture would doubtless be appreciable, but those grave +men who have spent most thought on this prospective cultural gain to be +had from the projected Imperial rule appear to entertain no doubt as to +its being worth all that it would cost.<!-- Page 148 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 148]</span></p> + +<p>Any one who is inclined to rate the prospective pecuniary costs and +losses high would doubtless be able to find various and sundry items of +minor importance to add to this short list of general categories on the +side of cost; but such additional items, not fairly to be included under +these general captions, would after all be of minor importance, in the +aggregate or in detail, and would not appreciably affect the grand +balance of pecuniary profit and loss to be taken account of in any +appraisal of the projected Imperial régime. There should evidently be +little ground to apprehend that its installation would entail a net loss +or a net increase of pecuniary burdens. There is, of course, the +ill-defined and scarcely definable item of expenditure under the general +head of Gentility, Dignity, Distinction, Magnificence, or whatever term +may seem suitable to designate that consumption of goods and services +that goes to maintain the high repute of the Court and to keep the +underlying gentlefolk in countenance. In its pecuniary incidence this +line of (necessary) expenditure belongs under the rubric of Conspicuous +Waste; and one will always have to face the disquieting flexibility of +this item of expenditure. The consumptive demand of this kind is in an +eminent degree "indefinitely extensible," as the phrasing of the +economists would have it, and as various historical instances of courtly +splendor and fashionable magnificence will abundantly substantiate. +There is a constant proclivity to advance this conventional "standard of +living" to the limit set by the available means; and yet these +conventional necessities will ordinarily not, in the aggregate, take up +all the available means; although now and again, as under the <i>Ancien +Régime</i>, and perhaps in Imperial Rome, the standard of splendid living +may also exceed the current means in<!-- Page 149 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 149]</span> hand and lead to impoverishment of +the underlying community.</p> + +<p>An analysis of the circumstances governing this flexibility of the +conventional standard of living and of pecuniary magnificence can not be +gone into here. In the case under consideration it will have to be left +as an indeterminate but considerable item in the burden of cost which +the projected Imperial rule may be counted on to impose on the +underlying peoples. The cost of the Imperial court, nobility, and civil +service, therefore, would be a matter of estimate, on which no close +agreement would be expected; and yet, here as in an earlier connection, +it seems a reasonable expectation that sufficient dignity and +magnificence could be put in evidence by such a large-scale +establishment at a lower aggregate cost than the aggregate of +expenditures previously incurred for the like ends by various nations +working in severalty and at cross purposes.</p> + +<p>Doubtless it would be altogether a mistaken view of this production of +dignity by means of a lavish expenditure on superfluities, to believe +that the same principle of economy should apply here as was found +applicable in the matter of armament for defense. With the installation +of a collective national establishment, to include substantially all the +previously competing nations, the need of defensive armament should in +all reason decline to something very inconsiderable indeed. But it would +be hasty to conclude that with the coalescence of these nations under +one paramount control the need of creating notoriety and prestige for +this resulting central establishment by the consumption of decorative +superfluities would likewise decline. The need of such dignity and +magnificence is only in part, perhaps a minor part, of a defensive +character. For the<!-- Page 150 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_150" id="Page_150">[Pg 150]</a></span> greater part, no doubt, the motive to this +conspicuously wasteful consumption is personal vanity, in Imperial +policy as well as in the private life of fashion,—or perhaps one should +more deferentially say that it is a certain range of considerations +which would be identified as personal vanity in case they were met with +among men beneath the Imperial level. And so far as the creation of this +form of "good-will" by this manner of advertising is traceable to such, +or equivalent, motives of a personal incidence, the provocation to +economy along this line would presumably not be a notable factor in the +case. And one returns perforce to the principle already spoken of above, +that the consumptive need of superfluities is indefinitely extensible, +with the resulting inference that nothing conclusive is to be said as to +the prospective magnitude of this item in the Imperial bill of expense, +or of the consequent pecuniary burdens which it would impose on the +underlying peoples.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>So far the argument has run on the pecuniary incidence of this projected +Imperial dominion as it falls on the underlying community as a whole, +with no attempt to discriminate between the divergent interests of the +different classes and conditions of men that go to make up any modern +community. The question in hand is a question of pecuniary burdens, and +therefore of the pecuniary interests of these several distinguishable +classes or conditions of men. In all these modern nations that now stand +in the article of decision between peace by submission or a doubtful and +melancholy alternative,—in all of them men are by statute and custom +inviolably equal before the law, of course; they are ungraded and +masterless men before the law. But these same peoples are also alike<!-- Page 151 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 151]</span> in +the respect that pecuniary duties and obligations among them are +similarly sacred and inviolable under the dispassionate findings of the +law. This pecuniary equality is, in effect, an impersonal equality +between pecuniary magnitudes; from which it follows that these citizens +of the advanced nations are not ungraded men in the pecuniary respect; +nor are they masterless, in so far as a greater pecuniary force will +always, under this impersonal equality of the law, stand in a relation +of mastery toward a lesser one.</p> + +<p>Class distinctions, except pecuniary distinctions, have fallen away. But +all these modern nations are made up of pecuniary classes, differing +from one another by minute gradations in the marginal cases, but +falling, after all, and in the large, into two broadly and securely +distinguishable pecuniary categories: those who have more and those who +have less. Statisticians have been at pains to ascertain that a +relatively very small numerical minority of the citizens in these modern +nations own all but a relatively very small proportion of the aggregate +wealth in the country. So that it appears quite safe to say that in such +a country as America, e.g., something less than ten percent of the +inhabitants own something more than ninety percent of the country's +wealth. It would scarcely be a wild overstraining of its practical +meaning to say that this population is made up of two classes: those who +own the country's wealth, and those who do not. In strict accuracy, as +before the law, this characterisation will not hold; whereas in +practical effect, it is a sufficiently close approximation. This latter +class, who have substantially no other than a fancied pecuniary interest +in the nation's material fortunes, are the category often spoken of as +The Common Man. It is not necessary, nor is it desired,<!-- Page 152 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 152]</span> to find a +corresponding designation for the other category, those who own.</p> + +<p>The articulate recognition of this division into contrasted pecuniary +classes or conditions, with correspondingly (at least potentially) +divergent pecuniary interests, need imply no degree of approval or +disapproval of the arrangement which is so recognised. The recognition +of it is necessary to a perspicuous control of the argument, as bears on +the possible systematic and inherent discrepancy among these men in +respect of their material interests under the projected Imperial rule. +Substantially, it is a distinction between those who have and those who +have not, and in a question of prospective pecuniary loss the man who +has nothing to lose is differently placed from the one who has. It would +perhaps seem flippant, and possibly lacking in the courtesy due one's +prospective lord paramount, to say with the poet, <i>Cantabit vacuus coram +latrone viator</i>.</p> + +<p>But the whole case is not so simple. It is only so long as the projected +pecuniary inroad is conceived as a simple sequestration of wealth in +hand, that such a characterisation can be made to serve. The Imperial +aim is not a passing act of pillage, but a perpetual usufruct; and the +whole question takes on a different and more complex shape when it so +touches the enduring conditions of life and livelihood. The citizen who +has nothing, or who has no capitalisable source of unearned income, yet +has a pecuniary interest in a livelihood to be gained from day to day, +and he is yet vulnerable in the pecuniary respect in that his livelihood +may with the utmost facility be laid under contribution by various and +sundry well-tried contrivances. Indeed, the common man who depends for +his livelihood on his daily earnings is in a more immediately<!-- Page 153 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 153]</span> +precarious position than those who have something appreciable laid up +against a rainy day, in the shape of a capitalised source of income. +Only that it is still doubtful if his position is precarious in such a +fashion as to lay him open to a notable increase of hardship, or to loss +of the amenities of life, in the same relative degree as his well-to-do +neighbour.</p> + +<p>In point of fact it may well be doubted if this common man has anything +to apprehend in the way of added hardship or loss of creature comforts +under the contemplated régime of Imperial tutelage. He would presumably +find himself in a precarious case under the arbitrary and irresponsible +authority of an alien master working through an alien master class. The +doubt which presents itself is as to whether this common man would be +more precariously placed, or would come in for a larger and surer sum of +hard usage and scant living, under this projected order of things, than +what he already is exposed to in his pecuniary relations with his +well-to-do compatriots under the current system of law and order.</p> + +<p>Under this current régime of law and order, according to the equitable +principles of Natural Rights, the man without means has no pecuniary +rights which his well-to-do pecuniary master is bound to respect. This +may have been an unintended, as it doubtless was an unforeseen, outcome +of the move out of feudalism and prescriptive rights and immunities, +into the system of individual liberty and manhood franchise; but as +commonly happens in case of any substantial change in the scheme of +institutional arrangements, unforeseen consequences come in along with +those that have been intended. In that period of history when Western +Europe was gathering that experience out of which the current habitual +scheme<!-- Page 154 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 154]</span> of law and order has come, the right of property and free +contract was a complement and safeguard to that individual initiative +and masterless equality of men for which the spokesmen of the new era +contended. That it is no longer so at every turn, or even in the main, +in later time, is in great part due to changes of the pecuniary order, +that have come on since then, and that seem not to have cast their +shadow before.</p> + +<p>In all good faith, and with none but inconsequential reservations, the +material fortunes of modern civilised men—together with much else—have +so been placed on a pecuniary footing, with little to safeguard them at +any point except the inalienable right of pecuniary self-direction and +initiative, in an environment where virtually all the indispensable +means of pecuniary self-direction and initiative are in the hands of +that contracted category of owners spoken of above. A numerical +minority—under ten percent of the population—constitutes a conclusive +pecuniary majority—over ninety percent of the means—under a system of +law and order that turns on the inalienable right of owners to dispose +of the means in hand as may suit their convenience and profit,—always +barring recourse to illegal force or fraud. There is, however, a very +appreciable margin of legal recourse to force and of legally protected +fraud available in case of need. Of course the expedients here referred +to as legally available force and fraud in the defense of pecuniary +rights and the pursuit of pecuniary gain are not force and fraud <i>de +jure</i> but only <i>de facto</i>. They are further, and well known, +illustrations of how the ulterior consequences of given institutional +arrangements and given conventionalised principles (habits of thought) +of conduct may in time come to run at cross purposes with the initial +purpose<!-- Page 155 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 155]</span> that led to the acceptance of these institutions and to the +confirmation and standardisation of these habitual norms of conduct. For +the time being, however, they are "fundamentally and eternally right and +good."</p> + +<p>Being a pecuniary majority—what may be called a majority of the +corporate stock—of the nation, it is also fundamentally and eternally +right and good that the pecuniary interests of the owners of the +material means of life should rule unabated in all those matters of +public policy that touch on the material fortunes of the community at +large. Barring a slight and intermittent mutter of discontent, this +arrangement has also the cordial approval of popular sentiment in these +modern democratic nations. One need only recall the paramount importance +which is popularly attached to the maintenance and extension of the +nation's trade—for the use of the investors—or the perpetuation of a +protective tariff—for the use of the protected business concerns—or, +again, the scrupulous regard with which such a body of public servants +as the Interstate Commerce Commission will safeguard the legitimate +claim of the railway companies to a "reasonable" rate of earnings on the +capitalised value of the presumed earning-capacity of their property.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Again, in view of the unaccustomed freedom with which it is here +necessary to speak of these delicate matters, it may be in place to +disclaim all intention to criticise the established arrangements on +their merits as details of public policy. All that comes in question +here, touching these and the like features of the established law and +order, is the bearing of all this on the material fortunes of the common +man under the current régime, as contrasted with what he would +reasonably have to look for<!-- Page 156 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_156" id="Page_156">[Pg 156]</a></span> under the projected régime of Imperial +tutelage that would come in, consequent upon this national surrender to +Imperial dominion.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>In these democratic countries public policy is guided primarily by +considerations of business expediency, and the administration, as well +as the legislative power, is in the hands of businessmen, chosen +avowedly on the ground of their businesslike principles and ability. +There is no power in such a community that can over-rule the exigencies +of business, nor would popular sentiment countenance any exercise of +power that should traverse these exigencies, or that would act to +restrain trade or discourage the pursuit of gain. An apparent exception +to the rule occurs in wartime, when military exigencies may over-rule +the current demands of business traffic; but the exception is in great +part only apparent, in that the warlike operations are undertaken in +whole or in part with a view to the protection or extension of business +traffic.</p> + +<p>National surveillance and regulation of business traffic in these +countries hitherto, ever since and in so far as the modern democratic +order of things has taken effect, has uniformly been of the nature of +interference with trade and investment in behalf of the nation's +mercantile community at large, as seen in port and shipping regulations +and in the consular service, or in behalf of particular favored groups +or classes of business concerns, as in protective tariffs and subsidies. +In all this national management of pecuniary affairs, under modern +democratic principles, the common man comes into the case only as raw +material of business traffic,—as consumer or as laborer. He is one of +the industrial agencies by use of which the businessman who employs him +supplies himself with<!-- Page 157 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 157]</span> goods for the market, or he is one of the units +of consumptive demand that make up this market in which the business man +sells his goods, and so "realises" on his investment. He is, of course, +free, under modern principles of the democratic order, to deal or not to +deal with this business community, whether as laborer or as consumer, or +as small-scale producer engaged in purveying materials or services on +terms defined by the community of business interests engaged on so large +a scale as to count in their determination. That is to say, he is free +<i>de jure</i> to take or leave the terms offered. <i>De facto</i> he is only free +to take them—with inconsequential exceptions—the alternative being +obsolescence by disuse, not to choose a harsher name for a distasteful +eventuality.</p> + +<p>The general ground on which the business system, as it works under the +over-ruling exigencies of the so-called "big business," so defines the +terms of life for the common man, who works and buys, is the ground +afforded by the principle of "charging what the traffic will bear;" that +is to say, fixing the terms of hiring, buying and selling at such a +figure as will yield the largest net return to the business concerns in +whom, collectively or in severalty, the discretion vests. Discretion in +these premises does not vest in any business concern that does not +articulate with the system of "big business," or that does not dispose +of resources sufficient to make it a formidable member of the system. +Whether these concerns act in severalty or by collusion and conspiracy, +in so defining the pecuniary terms of life for the community at large, +is substantially an idle question, so far as bears on the material +interest of the common man. The base-line is still what the traffic will +bear, and it is still adhered to, so nearly as the human infirmity of +the discretionary captains of industry will<!-- Page 158 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_158" id="Page_158">[Pg 158]</a></span> admit, whether the due +approximation to this base-line is reached by a process of competitive +bidding or by collusive advisement.</p> + +<p>The generalisation so offered, touching the material conditions of life +for the common man under the modern rule of big business, may seem +unwarrantably broad. It may be worth while to take note of more than one +point in qualification of it, chiefly to avoid the appearance of having +overlooked any of the material circumstances of the case. The "system" +of large business, working its material consequences through the system +of large-scale industry, but more particularly by way of the large-scale +and wide-reaching business of trade in the proper sense, draws into the +net of its control all parts of the community and all its inhabitants, +in some degree of dependence. But there is always, hitherto, an +appreciable fraction of the inhabitants—as, e.g., outlying agricultural +sections that are in a "backward" state—who are by no means closely +bound in the orderly system of business, or closely dependent on the +markets. They may be said to enjoy a degree of independence, by virtue +of their foregoing as much as may be of the advantages offered by modern +industrial specialisation. So also there are the minor and interstitial +trades that are still carried on by handicraft methods; these, too, are +still somewhat loosely held in the fabric of the business system. There +is one thing and another in this way to be taken account of in any +exhaustive survey, but the accounting for them will after all amount to +nothing better than a gleaning of remnants and partial exceptions, such +as will in no material degree derange the general proposition in hand.</p> + +<p>Again, there runs through the length and breadth of this business +community a certain measure of incom<!-- Page 159 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 159]</span>petence or inefficiency of +management, as seen from the point of view of the conceivable perfect +working of the system as a whole. It may be due to a slack attention +here and there; or to the exigencies of business strategy which may +constrain given business concerns to an occasional attitude of "watchful +waiting" in the hope of catching a rival off his guard; or to a lack of +perfect mutual understanding among the discretionary businessmen, due +sometimes to an over-careful guarding of trade secrets or advance +information; or, as also happens, and quite excusably, to a lack of +perfect mutual confidence among these businessmen, as to one another's +entire good faith or good-will. The system is after all a competitive +one, in the sense that each of the discretionary directors of business +is working for his own pecuniary gain, whether in cooperation with his +fellows or not. "An honest man will bear watching." As in other +collusive organisations for gain, confederates are apt to fall out when +it comes to a division of what is in hand. In one way and another the +system is beset with inherent infirmities, which hinder its perfect +work; and in so far it will fall short of the full realisation of that +rule of business that inculcates charging what the traffic will bear, +and also in so far the pressure which the modern system of business +management brings to bear on the common man will also fall short of the +last straw—perhaps even of the next-to-the-last. Again it turns out to +be a question not of the failure of the general proposition as +formulated, but rather as to the closeness of approximation to its +theoretically perfect work. It may be remarked by the way that vigilant +and impartial surveillance of this system of business enterprise by an +external authority interested only in aggregate results, rather than in +the differential gains<!-- Page 160 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 160]</span> of the interested individuals, might hopefully +be counted on to correct some of these shortcomings which the system +shows when running loose under the guidance of its own multifarious +incentives.</p> + +<p>On the opposite side of the account, it is also worth noting that, while +modern business management may now and again fall short of what the +traffic will bear, it happens more commonly that its exactions will +exceed that limit. This will particularly be true in businessmen's +dealings with hired labour, as also and perhaps with equally +far-reaching consequences in an excessive recourse to sophistications +and adulterants and an excessively parsimonious provision for the +safety, health or comfort of their customers—as, e.g., in passenger +traffic by rail, water or tramway. The discrepancy to which attention is +invited here is due to a discrepancy between business expediency, that +is expediency for the purpose of gain by a given businessman, on the one +hand, and serviceability to the common good, on the other hand. The +business concern's interest in the traffic in which it engages is a +short-term interest, or an interest in the short-term returns, as +contrasted with the long-term or enduring interest which the community +at large has in the public service over which any such given business +concern disposes. The business incentive is that afforded by the +prospective net pecuniary gain from the traffic, substantially an +interest in profitable sales; while the community at large, or the +common man that goes to make up such a community, has a material +interest in this traffic only as regards the services rendered and the +enduring effects that follow from it.</p> + +<p>The businessman has not, or at least is commonly not influenced by, any +interest in the ulterior consequences<!-- Page 161 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 161]</span> of the transactions in which he +is immediately engaged. This appears to hold true in an accentuated +degree in the domain of that large-scale business that draws its gains +from the large-scale modern industry and is managed on the modern +footing of corporation finance. This modern fashion of business +organisation and management apparently has led to a substantial +shortening of the term over which any given investor maintains an +effective interest in any given corporate enterprise, in which his +investments may be placed for the time being. With the current practice +of organising industrial and mercantile enterprises on a basis of +vendible securities, and with the nearly complete exemption from +personal responsibility and enduring personal attachment to any one +corporate enterprise which this financial expedient has brought, it has +come about that in the common run of cases the investor, as well as the +directorate, in any given enterprise, has an interest only for the time +being. The average term over which it is (pecuniarily) incumbent on the +modern businessman to take account of the working of any given +enterprise has shortened so far that the old-fashioned accountability, +that once was depended on to dictate a sane and considerate management +with a view to permanent good-will, has in great measure become +inoperative.</p> + +<p>By and large, it seems unavoidable that the pecuniary interests of the +businessmen on the one hand and the material interests of the community +on the other hand are diverging in a more and more pronounced degree, +due to institutional circumstances over which no prompt control can be +had without immediate violation of that scheme of personal rights in +which the constitution of modern democratic society is grounded. The +quandary in which these communities find themselves, as an out<!-- Page 162 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 162]</span>come of +their entrance upon "the simple and obvious system of Natural Liberty," +is shown in a large and instructive way by what is called "labor +trouble," and in a more recondite but no less convincing fashion by the +fortunes of the individual workman under the modern system.</p> + +<p>The cost of production of a modern workman has constantly increased, +with the advance of the industrial arts. The period of preparation, of +education and training, necessary to turn out competent workmen, has +been increasing; and the period of full workmanlike efficiency has been +shortening, in those industries that employ the delicate and exacting +processes of the modern technology. The shortening of this working-life +of the workman is due both to a lengthening of the necessary period of +preparation, and to the demand of these processes for so full a use of +the workman's forces that even the beginning of senescence will count as +a serious disability,—in many occupations as a fatal disability. It is +also a well ascertained fact that effectual old age will be brought on +at an earlier period by overwork; overwork shortens the working +life-time of the workman. Thorough speeding-up ("Scientific +Management"?) will unduly shorten this working life-time, and so it may, +somewhat readily, result in an uneconomical consumption of the +community's man-power, by consuming the workmen at a higher rate of +speed, a higher pressure, with a more rapid rate of deterioration, than +would give the largest net output of product per unit of man-power +available, or per unit of cost of production of such man-power.</p> + +<p>On this head the guiding incentives of the businessman and the material +interest of the community at large—not to speak of the selfish interest +of the individual workman<!-- Page 163 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 163]</span>—are systematically at variance. The cost of +production of workmen does not fall on the business concern which +employs them, at least not in such definite fashion as to make it appear +that the given business concern or businessman has a material interest +in the economical consumption of the man-power embodied in this given +body of employees. Some slight and exceptional qualification of this +statement is to be noted, in those cases where the processes in use are +such as to require special training, not to be had except by a working +habituation to these processes in the particular industrial plant in +question. So far as such special training, to be had only as employees +of the given concern, is a necessary part of the workman's equipment for +this particular work, so far the given employer bears a share and an +interest in the cost of production of the workmen employed; and so far, +therefore, the employer has also a pecuniary interest in the economical +use of his employees; which usually shows itself in the way of some +special precautions being taken to prevent the departure of these +workmen so long as there is a clear pecuniary loss involved in replacing +them with men who have not yet had the special training required. +Evidently this qualifying consideration covers no great proportion of +the aggregate man-power consumed in industrial enterprises under +business management. And apart from the instances, essentially +exceptional, where such a special consideration comes in, the +businessmen in charge will, quite excusably as things go, endeavour to +consume the man-power of which they dispose in the persons of their +employees, not at the rate that would be most economical to the +community at large, in view of the cost of their replacement, nor at +such a rate as would best suit the taste or the viability of the<!-- Page 164 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 164]</span> +particular workman, but at such a rate as will yield the largest net +pecuniary gain to the employer.</p> + +<p>There is on record an illustrative, and indeed an illustrious, instance +of such cannily gainful consumption of man-power carried out +systematically and with consistently profitable effect in one of the +staple industries of the country. In this typical, though exceptionally +thoroughgoing and lucrative enterprise, the set rule of the management +was, to employ none but select workmen, in each respective line of work; +to procure such select workmen and retain them by offering wages +slightly over the ordinary standard; to work them at the highest pace +and pressure attainable with such a picked body; and to discharge them +on the first appearance of aging or of failing powers. In the rules of +the management was also included the negative proviso that the concern +assumed no responsibility for the subsequent fortunes of discharged +workmen, in the way of pension, insurance or the like.</p> + +<p>This enterprise was highly successful and exceedingly profitable, even +beyond the high average of profits among enterprises in the same line of +business. Out of it came one of the greater and more illustrious +fortunes that have been accumulated during the past century; a fortune +which has enabled one of the most impressive and most gracious of this +generation's many impressive philanthropists, never weary in well-doing; +but who, through this cannily gainful consumption of man-power, has been +placed in the singular position of being unable, in spite of avowedly +unremitting endeavour, to push his continued disbursements in the +service of humanity up to the figure of his current income. The case in +question is one of the most meritorious known to the records of<!-- Page 165 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_165" id="Page_165">[Pg 165]</a></span> modern +business, and while it will conveniently serve to illustrate many an +other, and perhaps more consequential truth come to realisation in the +march of Triumphant Democracy, it will also serve to show the +gainfulness of an unreservedly canny consumption of man-power with an +eye single to one's own net gain in terms of money.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Evidently this is a point in the articulation of the modern economic +system where a sufficiently ruthless outside authority, not actuated by +a primary regard for the pecuniary interests of the employers, might +conceivably with good effect enforce a more economical consumption of +the country's man-power. It is not a matter on which one prefers to +dwell, but it can do no harm to take note of the fact for once in a way, +that these several national establishments of the democratic order, as +they are now organised and administered, do somewhat uniformly and +pervasively operate with an effectual view to the advantage of a class, +so far as may plausibly be done. They are controlled by and administered +in behalf of those elements of the population that, for the purpose in +hand, make up a single loose-knit class,—the class that lives by income +rather than by work. It may be called the class of the business +interests, or of capital, or of gentlemen. It all comes to much the +same, for the purpose in hand.</p> + +<p>The point in speaking of this contingent whose place in the economy of +human affairs it is to consume, or to own, or to pursue a margin of +profit, is simply that of contrasting this composite human contingent +with the common man; whose numbers account for some nine-tenths or more +of the community, while his class accounts for something less than +one-tenth of the invested wealth,<!-- Page 166 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 166]</span> and appreciably less than that +proportion of the discretionary national establishment,—the government, +national or local, courts, attorneys, civil service, diplomatic and +consular, military and naval. The arrangement may be called a +gentlemen's government, if one would rather have it that way; but a +gentleman is necessarily one who lives on free income from invested +wealth—without such a source of free, that is to say unearned, income +he becomes a decayed gentleman. Again, pushing the phrasing back a step +farther toward the ground facts, there are those who would speak of the +current establishments as "capitalistic;" but this term is out of line +in that it fails to touch the human element in the case, and +institutions, such as governmental establishments and their functioning, +are after all nothing but the accustomed ways and means of human +behaviour; so that "capitalistic" becomes a synonym for "businessmen's" +government so soon as it is designated in terms of the driving +incentives and the personnel. It is an organisation had with a view to +the needs of business (i.e. pecuniary) enterprise, and is made up of +businessmen and gentlemen, which comes to much the same, since a +gentleman is only a businessman in the second or some later generation. +Except for the slightly odious suggestion carried by the phrase, one +might aptly say that the gentleman, in this bearing, is only a +businessman gone to seed.</p> + +<p>By and large, and taking the matter naively at the simple face value of +the material gain or loss involved, it should seem something of an idle +question to the common man whether his collective affairs are to be +managed by a home-bred line of businessmen and their successive filial +generations of gentlemen, with a view to accelerate the velocity and +increase the volume of com<!-- Page 167 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 167]</span>petitive gain and competitive spending, on +the one hand, or by an alien line of officials, equally aloof from his +common interests, and managing affairs with a view to the usufruct of +his productive powers in furtherance of the Imperial dominion.</p> + +<p>Not that the good faith or the generous intentions of these governments +of gentlemen is questioned or is in any degree questionable; what is +here spoken of is only the practical effect of the policies which they +pursue, doubtless with benevolent intentions and well-placed +complacency. In effect, things being as they are today in the civilised +world's industry and trade, it happens, as in some sort an unintended +but all-inclusive accident, that the guidance of affairs by business +principles works at cross purposes with the material interests of the +common man.</p> + +<p>So ungraceful a view of the sacred core of this modern democratic +organisation will need whatever evidence can be cited to keep it in +countenance. Therefore indulgence is desired for one further count in +this distasteful recital of ineptitudes inherent in this institutional +scheme of civilised life. This count comes under the head of what may be +called capitalistic sabotage. "Sabotage" is employed to designate a +wilful retardation, interruption or obstruction of industry by +peaceable, and ordinarily by legally defensible, measures. In its +present application, particularly, there is no design to let the term +denote or insinuate a recourse to any expedients or any line of conduct +that is in any degree legally dubious, or that is even of questionable +legitimacy.</p> + +<p>Sabotage so understood, as not comprising recourse to force or fraud, is +a necessary and staple expedient of business management, and its +employment is grounded in<!-- Page 168 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 168]</span> the elementary and indefeasible rights of +ownership. It is simply that the businessman, like any other owner, is +vested with the right freely to use or not to use his property for any +given purpose. His decision, for reasons of his own, not to employ the +property at his disposal in a particular way at a particular time, is +well and blamelessly within his legitimate discretion, under the rights +of property as universally accepted and defended by modern nations. In +the particular instance of the American nation he is protected in this +right by a constitutional provision that he must not be deprived of his +property without due process of law. When the property at his disposal +is in the shape of industrial plant or industrial material, means of +transportation or stock of goods awaiting distribution, then his +decision not to employ this property, or to limit its use to something +less than full capacity, in the way for which it is adapted, becomes +sabotage, normally and with negligible exceptions. In so doing he +hinders, retards or obstructs the working of the country's industrial +forces by so much. It is a matter of course and of absolute necessity to +the conduct of business, that any discretionary businessman must be free +to deal or not to deal in any given case; to limit or to withhold the +equipment under his control, without reservation. Business discretion +and business strategy, in fact, has no other means by which to work out +its aims. So that, in effect, all business sagacity reduces itself in +the last analysis to a judicious use of sabotage. Under modern +conditions of large business, particularly, the relation of the +discretionary businessman to industry is that of authoritative +permission and of authoritative limitation or stoppage, and on his +shrewd use of this authority depends the gainfulness of his enterprise.<!-- Page 169 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 169]</span></p> + +<p>If this authority were exercised with an eye single to the largest and +most serviceable output of goods and services, or to the most economical +use of the country's material resources and man-power, regardless of +pecuniary consequences, the course of management so carried out would be +not sabotage but industrial strategy. But business is carried on for +pecuniary gain, not with an unreserved view to the largest and most +serviceable output or to the economical use of resources. The volume and +serviceability of the output must wait unreservedly on the very +particular pecuniary question of what quantity and what degree of +serviceability will yield the largest net return in terms of price. +Uneconomical use of equipment, labor and resources is necessarily an +everyday matter under these circumstances, as in the duplication of +plant and processes between rival concerns, and in the wasteful use of +all resources that do not involve expenditure on the part of the given +concern.</p> + +<p>It has been the traditional dogma among economists and publicists in +these modern communities that free competition between the businessmen +in charge will indefeasibly act to bring the productiveness of industry +to the highest practicable pitch and would lead to the most unreserved +and vigilant endeavour to serve the community's material needs at all +points. The reasons for the failure of this genial expectation, +particularly under latterday business management, might be shown in some +detail, if that were needed to enforce the argument as it runs in the +present connection. But a summary indication of the commoner varieties +and effects of sabotage as it is systematically applied in the +businesslike conduct of industry will serve the purpose as well and with +less waste of words and patience.<!-- Page 170 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 170]</span></p> + +<p>It is usual to notice, and not unusual to deplore the duplication of +plant and appliances in many lines of industry, due to competitive +management, as in factories engaged in the same class of manufacture, in +parallel or otherwise competing railways and boat lines, in retail +merchandising, and in some degree also in the wholesale trade. The +result, of course, is sabotage; in the sense that this volume of +appliances, materials and workmen are not employed to the best advantage +for the community. One effect of the arrangement is an increased +necessary cost of the goods and services supplied by these means. The +reason for it is competition for gain to be got from the traffic. That +all this is an untoward state of things is recognised on all hands; but +no lively regret is commonly spent on the matter, since it is commonly +recognised that under the circumstances there is no help for it except +at the cost of a more untoward remedy.</p> + +<p>The competitive system having been tried and found good—or at least so +it is assumed—it is felt that the system will have to be accepted with +the defects of its qualities. Its characteristic qualities are held to +be good, acceptable to the tastes of modern men whose habits of thought +have been standardised in its terms; and it would be only reluctantly +and by tardy concession that these modern men could bring themselves to +give up that scheme of "Natural Liberty" within the framework of which +runs this competitive system of business management and its wasteful +manifolding of half-idle equipment and nugatory work. The common man, at +the worst, comforts himself and his neighbour with the sage reflection +that "It might have been worse." The businessmen, on the other hand, +have also begun to take note of this<!-- Page 171 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 171]</span> systematic waste by duplication +and consequent incompetence, and have taken counsel how to intercept the +waste and divert it to their own profit. The businessmen's remedy is +consolidation of competing concerns, and monopoly control.</p> + +<p>To the common man, with his preconceptions on the head of "restraint of +trade," the proposed remedy seems more vicious than the evil it is +designed to cure. The fault of the remedy plainly is not that the +mismanagement of affairs due to competitive business can not be +corrected by recourse to monopoly, but only that the community, it is +presumed, would still suffer all the burdens and discomforts of the +régime of competition and sabotage, with, possibly, further +inconveniences and impositions at the hands of the businesslike +monopoly; which, men are agreed, may fairly be depended on to use its +advantage unsparingly under the business principle of charging what the +traffic will bear.</p> + +<p>There is also this other singular phenomenon in this modern industrial +world, that something not very far short of one-half the industrial +equipment systematically lies idle for something approaching one-half +the time, or is worked only to one-half its capacity half the time; not +because of competition between these several industrial concerns, but +because business conditions will not allow its continued productive use; +because the volume of product that would be turned out if the equipment +were working uninterruptedly at its full capacity could not be sold at +remunerative prices. From time to time one establishment and another +will shut down during a period of slack times, for the same reason.</p> + +<p>This state of things is singular only as seen from the point of view of +the community's material interest, not<!-- Page 172 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 172]</span> that it is in any degree +unfamiliar or that any serious fault is found with the captains of +industry for so shutting off the industrial process and letting the +industrial equipment lie waste. As all men know, the exigencies of +business will not tolerate production to supply the community's needs +under these circumstances; although, as is equally notorious, these +slack times, when production of goods is unadvisable on grounds of +business expediency, are commonly times of wide-spread privation, "hard +times," in the community at large, when the failure of the supply is +keenly felt.</p> + +<p>It is not that the captains of industry are at fault in so failing, or +refusing, to supply the needs of the community under these +circumstances, but only that they are helpless under the exigencies of +business. They can not supply the goods except for a price, indeed not +except for a remunerative price, a price which will add something to the +capital values which they are venturing in their various enterprises. So +long as the exigencies of price and of pecuniary gain rule the case, +there is manifestly no escaping this enforced idleness of the country's +productive forces.</p> + +<p>It may not be out of place also to remark, by way of parenthesis, that +this highly productive state of the industrial arts, which is embodied +in the industrial plant and processes that so are systematically and +advisedly retarded or arrested under the rule of business, is at the +same time the particular pride of civilised men and the most tangible +achievement of the civilised world.</p> + +<p>A conservative estimate of this one item of capitalistic sabotage could +scarcely appraise it at less than a twenty-five percent reduction from +the normally possible productive capacity of the community, at an +average over<!-- Page 173 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 173]</span> any considerable period; and a somewhat thorough review of +the pertinent facts would probably persuade any impartial observer that, +one year with another, such businesslike enforced idleness of plant and +personnel lowers the actual output of the country's industry by +something nearer fifty percent of its ordinary capacity when fully +employed. To many, such an assertion may seem extravagant, but with +further reflection on the well-known facts in the case it will seem less +so in proportion as the unfamiliarity of it wears off.</p> + +<p>However, the point of attention in the case is not the precise, nor the +approximate, percentages of this arrest and retardation, this partial +neutralisation of modern improvements in the industrial arts; it is only +the notorious fact that such arrest occurs, systematically and +advisedly, under the rule of business exigencies, and that there is no +corrective to be found for it that will comport with those fundamental +articles of the democratic faith on which the businessmen necessarily +proceed. Any effectual corrective would break the framework of +democratic law and order, since it would have to traverse the +inalienable right of men who are born free and equal, each freely to +deal or not to deal in any pecuniary conjuncture that arises.</p> + +<p>But it is at the same time plain enough that this, in the larger sense +untoward, discrepancy between productive capacity and current productive +output can readily be corrected, in some appreciable degree at least, by +any sufficient authority that shall undertake to control the country's +industrial forces without regard to pecuniary profit and loss. Any +authority competent to take over the control and regulate the conduct of +the community's industry with a view to maximum output as counted by<!-- Page 174 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_174" id="Page_174">[Pg 174]</a></span> +weight and tale, rather than by net aggregate price-income over +price-cost, can readily effect an appreciable increase in the effectual +productive capacity; but it can be done only by violating that +democratic order of things within which business enterprise runs. The +several belligerent nations of Europe are showing that it can be done, +that the sabotage of business enterprise can be put aside by +sufficiently heroic measures. And they are also showing that they are +all aware, and have always been aware, that the conduct of industry on +business principles is incompetent to bring the largest practicable +output of goods and services; incompetent to such a degree, indeed, as +not to be tolerable in a season of desperate need, when the nation +requires the full use of its productive forces, equipment and man-power, +regardless of the pecuniary claims of individuals.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Now, the projected Imperial dominion is a power of the character +required to bring a sufficient corrective to bear, in case of need, on +this democratic situation in which the businessmen in charge necessarily +manage the country's industry at cross purposes with the +community's—that is the common man's—material interest. It is an +extraneous power, to whom the continued pecuniary gain of these nations' +businessmen is a minor consideration, a negligible consideration in case +it shall appear that the Imperial usufruct of the underlying nation's +productive forces is in any degree impaired by the businessmen's +management of it for their own net gain. It is difficult to see on what +grounds of self-interest such an Imperial government could consent to +tolerate the continued management of these underlying nations' +industries on business principles, that is to say on the principle of +the<!-- Page 175 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 175]</span> maximum pecuniary gain to the businesslike managers; and recent +experience seems to teach that no excessive, that is to say no +inconvenient, degree of consideration for vested rights, and the like, +would long embarrass the Imperial government in its administration of +its usufruct.</p> + +<p>It should be a reasonable expectation that, without malice and with an +unprejudiced view to its own usufruct of these underlying countries, the +Imperial establishment would take due care that no systematically, and +in its view gratuitously, uneconomical methods should continue in the +ordinary conduct of their industry. Among other considerations of weight +in this connection is the fact that a contented, well-fed, and not +wantonly over-worked populace is a valuable asset in such a case. +Similarly, by contraries, as an asset in usufruct to such an alien +power, a large, wealthy, spendthrift, body of gentlefolk, held in high +esteem by the common people, would have but a slight value, conceivably +even a negative value, in such a case. A wise administration would +presumably look to their abatement, rather than otherwise. At this point +the material interest of the common man would seem to coincide with that +of the Imperial establishment. Still, his preconceived notions of the +wisdom and beneficence of his gentlefolk would presumably hinder his +seeing the matter in that reasonable light.</p> + +<p>Under the paramount surveillance of such an alien power, guided solely +by its own interest in the usufruct of the country and its population, +it is to be presumed that class privileges and discrimination would be +greatly abated if not altogether discontinued. The point is in some +doubt, partly because this alien establishment whose dominion is in +question is itself grounded in class prerogatives and discrimination, +and so, not improbably,<!-- Page 176 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 176]</span> it would carry over into its supervision of the +underlying nations something of a bias in favor of class privileges. And +a similar order of things might also result by choice of a class-system +as a convenient means of control and exploitation. The latter +consideration is presumably the more cogent, since the Imperial +establishment in question is already, by ancient habit, familiar with +the method of control by class and privilege; and, indeed, unfamiliar +with any other method. Such a government, which governs without +effectual advice or formal consent of the governed, will almost +necessarily rest its control of the country on an interested class, of +sufficient strength and bound by sufficiently grave interest to abet the +Imperial establishment effectually in all its adventures and +enterprises.</p> + +<p>But such a privileged order, that is to be counted in to share dynastic +usufruct and liabilities, in good days and evil, will be of a +feudalistic complexion rather than something after the fashion of a +modern business community doing business by investment and pecuniary +finesse. It would still be a reasonable expectation that discrimination +between pecuniary classes should fall away under this projected alien +tutelage; more particularly all such discrimination as is designed to +benefit any given class or interest at the cost of the whole, as, e.g., +protective tariffs, monopolistic concessions and immunities, engrossing +of particular lines of material resources, and the like.</p> + +<p>The character of the economic policy to be pursued should not be +difficult of apprehension, if only these underlying peoples are +conceived as an estate in tail within the dynastic line of descent. The +Imperial establishment which so is prospectively to take over the +surveillance of these modern peoples under this projected enterprise<!-- Page 177 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 177]</span> in +dominion, may all the more readily be conceived as handling its new and +larger resources somewhat unreservedly as an estate to be administered +with a shrewd eye to the main chance, since such has always been its +relation to the peoples and territories whose usufruct it already +enjoys. It is only that the circumstances of the case will admit a freer +and more sagacious application of those principles of usufruct that lie +at the root of the ancient Culture of the Fatherland.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>This excessively long, and yet incomplete, review of the presumptive +material advantages to accrue to the common man under a régime of peace +by unconditional surrender to an alien dynasty, brings the argument +apparently to the conclusion that such an eventuality might be fortunate +rather than the reverse; or at least that it has its compensations, even +if it is not something to be desired. Such should particularly appear to +be the presumption in case one is at all inclined to make much of the +cultural gains to be brought in under the new régime. And more +particularly should a policy of non-resistant submission to the +projected new order seem expedient in view of the exceedingly high, not +to say prohibitive, cost of resistance, or even of materially retarding +its fulfillment.<!-- Page 178 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_178" id="Page_178">[Pg 178]</a></span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="CHAPTER_V" id="CHAPTER_V"></a>CHAPTER V</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">Peace and Neutrality</span></p> + + +<p>Considered simply on the face of the tangible material interests +involved, the choice of the common man in these premises should seem +very much of a foregone conclusion, if he could persuade himself to a +sane and perspicuous consideration of these statistically apparent +merits of the case alone. It is at least safely to be presumed that he +has nothing to lose, in a material way, and there is reason to look for +some slight gain in creature comforts and in security of life and limb, +consequent upon the elimination, or at least the partial +disestablishment, of pecuniary necessity as the sole bond and criterion +of use and wont in economic concerns.</p> + +<p>But man lives not by bread alone. In point of fact, and particularly as +touches the springs of action among that common run that do not +habitually formulate their aspirations and convictions in extended and +grammatically defensible documentary form, and the drift of whose +impulses therefore is not masked or deflected by the illusive +consistencies of set speech,—as touches the common run, particularly, +it will hold true with quite an unacknowledged generality that the +material means of life are, after all, means only; and that when the +question of what things are worth while is brought to the final test, it +is not these means, nor the life conditioned on these means, that are +seen to serve as the decisive criterion; but always<!-- Page 179 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 179]</span> it is some +ulterior, immaterial end, in the pursuit of which these material means +find their ulterior ground of valuation. Neither the overt testimony nor +the circumstantial evidence to this effect is unequivocal; but seen in +due perspective, and regard being had chiefly to the springs of +concerted action as shown in any massive movement of this common run of +mankind, there is, after all, little room to question that the things +which commend themselves as indefeasibly worth while are the things of +the human spirit.</p> + +<p>These ideals, aspirations, aims, ends of endeavour, are by no means of a +uniform or homogeneous character throughout the modern communities, +still less throughout the civilised world, or throughout the checkered +range of classes and conditions of men; but, with such frequency and +amplitude that it must be taken as a major premise in any attempted +insight into human behaviour, it will hold true that they are of a +spiritual, immaterial nature.</p> + +<p>The caution may, parenthetically, not be out of place, that this +characterisation of the ulterior springs of action as essentially not of +the nature of creature comforts, need be taken in no wider extension +than that which so is specifically given it. It will be found to apply +as touches the conduct of the common run; what modification of it might +be required to make it at all confidently applicable to the case of one +and another of those classes into whose scheme of life creature comforts +enter with more pronounced effect may be more of a delicate point. But +since it is the behaviour, and the grounds of behaviour, of the common +run that are here in question, the case of their betters in this respect +may conveniently be left on one side.<!-- Page 180 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 180]</span></p> + +<p>The question in hand touches the behavior of the common man, taken in +the aggregate, in face of the quandary into which circumstances have led +him; since the question of what these modern peoples will do is after +all a question of what the common man in the aggregate will do, of his +own motion or by persuasion. His betters may be in a position to guide, +persuade, cajole, mislead, and victimise him; for among the many +singular conceits that beset the common man is the persuasion that his +betters are in some way better than he, wiser, more beneficent. But the +course that may so be chosen, with or without guidance or persuasion +from the superior classes, as well as the persistence and energy with +which this course is pursued, is conditioned on the frame of mind of the +common run.</p> + +<p>Just what will be the nature and the concrete expression of these ideal +aspirations that move the common run is a matter of habitual +preconceptions; and habits of thought vary from one people to another +according to the diversity of experience to which they have been +exposed. Among the Western nations the national prestige has come to +seem worth while as an ulterior end, perhaps beyond all else that is +comprised in the secular scheme of things desirable to be had or to be +achieved. And in the apprehension of such of them as have best preserved +the habits of thought induced by a long experience in feudal subjection, +the service of the sovereign or the dynasty still stands over as the +substantial core of the cultural scheme, upon which sentiment and +endeavour converge. In the past ages of the democratic peoples, as well +as in the present-day use and wont among subjects of the dynastic +States—as e.g., Japan or Germany—men are known to have resolutely +risked, and lost, their life for<!-- Page 181 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 181]</span> the sake of the sovereign's renown, or +even to save the sovereign's life; whereas, of course, even the +slightest and most nebulous reflection would make it manifest that in +point of net material utility the sovereign's decease is an idle matter +as compared with the loss of an able-bodied workman. The sovereign may +always be replaced, with some prospect of public advantage, or failing +that, it should be remarked that a regency or inter-regnum will commonly +be a season of relatively economical administration. Again, religious +enthusiasm, and the furtherance of religious propaganda, may come to +serve the same general purpose as these secular ideals, and will perhaps +serve it just as well. Certain "principles," of personal liberty and of +opportunity for creative self-direction and an intellectually worthy +life, perhaps may also become the idols of the people, for which they +will then be willing to risk their material fortune; and where this has +happened, as among the democratic peoples of Christendom, it is not +selfishly for their own personal opportunity to live untroubled under +the light of these high principles that these opinionated men are ready +to contend, but rather impersonally for the human right which under +these principles is the due of all mankind, and particularly of the +incoming and of later generations.</p> + +<p>On these and the like intangible ends the common man is set with such +inveterate predilection that he will, on provocation, stick at nothing +to put the project through. For such like ends the common man will lay +down his life; at least, so they say. There may always be something of +rhetorical affectation in it all; but, after all, there is sufficient +evidence to hand of such substance and tenacity in the common man's hold +on these ideal aspirations, on these idols of his human spirit, as to +warrant the as<!-- Page 182 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 182]</span>sertion that he is, rather commonly, prepared to go to +greater lengths in the furtherance of these immaterial gains that are to +inure to someone else than for any personal end of his own, in the way +of creature comforts or even of personal renown.</p> + +<p>For such ends the common man, in democratic Christendom is, on +provocation, willing to die; or again, the patient and perhaps more +far-seeing common man of pagan China is willing to live for these idols +of an inveterate fancy, through endless contumely and hard usage. The +conventional Chinese preconceptions, in the way of things that are worth +while in their own right, appear to differ from those current in the +Occident in such a way that the preconceived ideal is not to be realised +except by way of continued life. The common man's accountability to the +cause of humanity, in China, is of so intimately personal a character +that he can meet it only by tenaciously holding his place in the +sequence of generations; whereas among the peoples of Christendom there +has arisen out of their contentious past a preconception to the effect +that this human duty to mankind is of the nature of a debt, which can be +cancelled by bankruptcy proceedings, so that the man who unprofitably +dies fighting for the cause has thereby constructively paid the +reckoning in full.</p> + +<p>Evidently, if the common man of these modern nations that are +prospectively to be brought under tutelage of the Imperial government +could be brought to the frame of mind that is habitual with his Chinese +counterpart, there should be a fair hope that pacific counsels would +prevail and that Christendom would so come in for a régime of peace by +submission under this Imperial tutelage. But there are always these +preconceptions of self-will and in<!-- Page 183 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 183]</span>subordination to be counted with +among these nations, and there is the ancient habit of a contentious +national solidarity in defense of the nation's prestige, more urgent +among these peoples than any sentiment of solidarity with mankind at +large, or any ulterior gain in civilisation that might come of continued +discipline in the virtues of patience and diligence under distasteful +circumstances.</p> + +<p>The occidental conception of manhood is in some considerable measure +drawn in negative terms. So much so that whenever a question of the +manly virtues comes under controversy it presently appears that at least +the indispensable minimum, and indeed the ordinary marginal modicum, of +what is requisite to a worthy manner of life is habitually formulated in +terms of what not. This appearance is doubtless misleading if taken +without the universally understood postulate on the basis of which +negative demands are formulated. There is a good deal of what would be +called historical accident in all this. The indispensable demands of +this modern manhood take the form of refusal to obey extraneous +authority on compulsion; of exemption from coercive direction and +subservience; of insubordination, in short. But it is always understood +as a matter of course that this insubordination is a refusal to submit +to irresponsible or autocratic rule. Stated from the positive side it +would be freedom from restraint by or obedience to any authority not +constituted by express advice and consent of the governed. And as near +as it may be formulated, when reduced to the irreducible minimum of +concrete proviso, this is the final substance of things which neither +shame nor honour will permit the modern civilised man to yield. To no +arrangement for the abrogation of this minimum of free initiative and +self-direction will he consent to be<!-- Page 184 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 184]</span> a party, whether it touches the +conditions of life for his own people who are to come after, or as +touches the fortunes of such aliens as are of a like mind on this head +and are unable to make head against invasion of these human rights from +outside.</p> + +<p>As has just been remarked, the negative form so often taken by these +demands is something of an historical accident, due to the fact that +these modern peoples came into their highly esteemed system of Natural +Liberty out of an earlier system of positive checks on self-direction +and initiative; a system, in effect, very much after the fashion of that +Imperial jurisdiction that still prevails in the dynastic States—as, +e.g., Germany or Japan—whose projected dominion is now the immediate +object of apprehension and repugnance. How naively the negative +formulation gained acceptance, and at the same time how intrinsic to the +new dispensation was the aspiration for free initiative, appears in the +confident assertion of its most genial spokesman, that when these +positive checks are taken away, "The simple and obvious system of +Natural Liberty establishes itself of its own accord."</p> + +<p>The common man, in these modern communities, shows a brittle temper when +any overt move is made against this heritage of civil liberty. He may +not be altogether well advised in respect of what liberties he will +defend and what he will submit to; but the fact is to be counted with in +any projected peace, that there is always this refractory residue of +terms not open to negotiation or compromise. Now it also happens, also +by historical accident, that these residual principles of civil liberty +have come to blend and coalesce with a stubborn preconception of +national integrity and national prestige. So that in the workday +apprehension of the common man, not given to<!-- Page 185 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_185" id="Page_185">[Pg 185]</a></span> analytic excursions, any +infraction of the national integrity or any abatement of the national +prestige has come to figure as an insufferable infringement on his +personal liberty and on those principles of humanity that make up the +categorical articles of the secular creed of Christendom. The fact may +be patent on reflection that the common man's substantial interest in +the national integrity is slight and elusive, and that in sober common +sense the national prestige has something less than a neutral value to +him; but this state of the substantially pertinent facts is not greatly +of the essence of the case, since his preconceptions in these premises +do not run to that effect, and since they are of too hard and fast a +texture to suffer any serious abatement within such a space of time as +can come in question here and now.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The outlook for a speedy settlement of the world's peace on a plan of +unconditional surrender to the projected Imperial dominion seems +unpromisingly dubious, in view of the stubborn temper shown by these +modern peoples wherever their preconceived ideas of right and honest +living appear to be in jeopardy; and the expediency of entering into any +negotiated compact of diplomatic engagements and assurances designed to +serve as groundwork to an eventual enterprise of that kind must +therefore also be questionable in a high degree. It is even doubtful if +any allowance of time can be counted on to bring these modern peoples to +a more reasonable, more worldly-wise, frame of mind; so that they would +come to see their interest in such an arrangement, or would divest +themselves of their present stubborn and perhaps fantastic prejudice +against an autocratic régime of the kind spoken for. At least for the +present any such hope of<!-- Page 186 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 186]</span> a peaceable settlement seems illusive. What +may be practicable in this way in the course of time is of course still +more obscure; but argument on the premises which the present affords +does not point to a substantially different outcome in the calculable +future.</p> + +<p>For the immediate future—say, within the life-time of the oncoming +generation—the spiritual state of the peoples concerned in this +international quandary is not likely to undergo so radical a change as +to seriously invalidate an argument that proceeds on the present lie of +the land in this respect. Preconceptions are a work of habit impinging +on a given temperamental bent; and where, as in these premises, the +preconceptions have taken on an institutionalised form, have become +conventionalised and commonly accepted, and so have been woven into the +texture of popular common sense, they must needs be a work of protracted +and comprehensive habituation impinging on a popular temperamental bent +of so general a prevalence that it may be called congenital to the +community at large. A heritable bent pervading the group within which +inheritance runs, does not change, so long as the racial complexion of +the group remains passably intact; a conventionalised, commonly +established habit of mind will change only slowly, commonly not without +the passing of at least one generation, and only by grace of a +sufficiently searching and comprehensive discipline of experience. For +good or ill, the current situation is to be counted on not to lose +character over night or with a revolution of the seasons, so far as +concerns these spiritual factors that make or mar the fortunes of +nations.</p> + +<p>At the same time these spiritual assets, being of the nature of habit, +are also bound to change character more or less radically, by insensible +shifting of ground, but<!-- Page 187 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_187" id="Page_187">[Pg 187]</a></span> incontinently,—provided only that the +conditions of life, and therefore the discipline of experience, undergo +any substantial change. So the immediate interest shifts to the +presumptive rate and character of those changes that are in prospect, +due to the unremitting change of circumstances under which these modern +peoples live and to the discipline of which they are unavoidably +exposed. For the present and for the immediate future the current state +of things is a sufficiently stable basis of argument; but assurance as +to the sufficiency of the premises afforded by the current state of +things thins out in proportion as the perspective of the argument runs +out into the succeeding years. The bearing of it all is two-fold, of +course. This progressive, cumulative habituation under changing +circumstances affects the case both of those democratic peoples whose +fortunes are in the hazard, and also of those dynastic States by whom +the projected enterprise in dominion is to be carried into effect.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The case of the two formidable dynastic States whose names have been +coupled together in what has already been said is perhaps the more +immediately interesting in the present connection. As matters stand, and +in the measure in which they continue so to stand, the case of these is +in no degree equivocal. The two dynastic establishments seek dominion, +and indeed they seek nothing else, except incidentally to and in +furtherance of the main quest. As has been remarked before, it lies in +the nature of a dynastic State to seek dominion, that being the whole of +its nature in so far as it runs true to form. But a dynastic State, like +any other settled, institutionalised community of men, rests on and +draws its effectual driving force from the habit of mind of its +underlying community,<!-- Page 188 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 188]</span> the common man in the aggregate, his +preconceptions and ideals as to what things are worth while. Without a +suitable spiritual ground of this kind such a dynastic State passes out +of the category of formidable Powers and into that of precarious +despotism.</p> + +<p>In both of the two States here in question the dynastic establishment +and its bodyguard of officials and gentlefolk may be counted on to +persevere in the faith that now animates them, until an uneasy +displacement of sentiment among the underlying populace may in time +induce them judiciously to shift their footing. Like the ruling classes +elsewhere, they are of a conservative temper and may be counted on so to +continue. They are also not greatly exposed to the discipline of +experience that makes for adaptive change in habits of life, and +therefore in the correlated habits of thought. It is always the common +man that is effectually reached by any exacting or wide-reaching change +in the conditions of life. He is relatively unsheltered from any forces +that make for adaptive change, as contrasted with the case of his +betters; and however sluggish and reluctant may be his response to such +discipline as makes for a displacement of outworn preconceptions, yet it +is always out of the mass of this common humanity that those movements +of disaffection and protest arise, which lead, on occasion, to any +material realignment of the institutional fabric or to any substantial +shift in the line of policy to be pursued under the guidance of their +betters.</p> + +<p>The common mass of humanity, it may be said in parenthesis, is of course +not a homogeneous body. Uncommon men, in point of native gifts of +intelligence, sensibility, or personal force, will occur as frequently, +in proportion to the aggregate numbers, among the common<!-- Page 189 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 189]</span> mass as among +their betters. Since in any one of these nations of Christendom, with +their all-inclusive hybridisation, the range, frequency and amplitude of +variations in hereditary endowment is the same throughout all classes. +Class differentiation is a matter of habit and convention; and in +distinction from his betters the common man is common only in point of +numbers and in point of the more general and more exacting conditions to +which he is exposed. He is in a position to be more hardly ridden by the +discipline of experience, and is at the same time held more consistently +to such a body of preconceptions, and to such changes only in this body +of preconceptions, as fall in with the drift of things in a larger mass +of humanity. But all the while it is the discipline which impinges on +the sensibilities of this common mass that shapes the spiritual attitude +and temper of the community and so defines what may and what may not be +undertaken by the constituted leaders. So that, in a way, these dynastic +States are at the mercy of that popular sentiment whose creatures they +are, and are subject to undesired changes of direction and efficiency in +their endeavors, contingent on changes in the popular temper; over which +they have only a partial, and on the whole a superficial control.</p> + +<p>A relatively powerful control and energetic direction of the popular +temper is and has been exercised by these dynastic establishments, with +a view to its utilisation in the pursuit of the dynastic enterprise; and +much has visibly been accomplished in that way; chiefly, perhaps, by +military discipline in subordination to personal authority, and also by +an unsparing surveillance of popular education, with a view to fortify +the preconceptions handed down from the passing order as well as to +eliminate all subversive innovation. Yet in spite of all the +well-con<!-- Page 190 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 190]</span>ceived and shrewdly managed endeavors of the German Imperial +system in this direction, e.g., there has been evidence of an obscurely +growing uneasiness, not to say disaffection, among the underlying mass. +So much so that hasty observers, and perhaps biased, have reached the +inference that one of the immediate contributory causes that led to the +present war was the need of a heroic remedy to correct this untoward +drift of sentiment.</p> + +<p>For the German people the government of the present dynastic incumbent +has done all that could (humanly speaking) be expected in the way of +endeavoring to conserve the passing order and to hold the popular +imagination to the received feudalistic ideals of loyal service. And yet +the peoples of the Empire are already caught in the net of that newer +order which they are now endeavoring to break by force of arms. They are +inextricably implicated in the cultural complex of Christendom; and +within this Western culture those peoples to whom it fell to lead the +exodus out of the Egypt of feudalism have come quite naturally to set +the pace in all the larger conformities of civilised life. Within the +confines of Christendom today, for good or ill, whatever usage or +customary rule of conduct falls visibly short of the precedent set by +these cultural pioneers is felt to fall beneath the prescriptive +commonplace level of civilisation. Failure to adopt and make use of +those tried institutional expedients on which these peoples of the +advance guard have set their mark of authentication is today +presumptively a mistake and an advantage foregone; and a people who are +denied the benefit of these latterday ways and means of civic life are +uneasy with a sense of grievance at the hands of their rulers. Besides +which, the fashion in articles of institutional equipage so set by the +authentic pioneers of<!-- Page 191 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 191]</span> culture has also come to be mandatory, as a +punctilio of the governmental proprieties; so that no national +establishment which aspires to a decorous appearance in the eyes of the +civilised world can longer afford to be seen without them. The forms at +least must be observed. Hence the "representative" and pseudo-representative +institutions of these dynastic States.</p> + +<p>These dynastic States among the rest have partly followed the dictates +of civilised fashion, partly yielded to the, more or less intelligent, +solicitations of their subjects, or the spokesmen of their subjects, and +have installed institutional apparatus of this modern pattern—more in +point of form than of substance, perhaps. Yet in time the adoption of +the forms is likely to have an effect, if changing circumstances favor +their taking effect. Such has on the whole been the experience of those +peoples who have gone before along this trail of political advance. As +instance the growth of discretionary powers under the hands of +parliamentary representatives in those cases where the movement has gone +on longest and farthest; and these instances should not be considered +idle, as intimations of what may presumptively be looked for under the +Imperial establishments of Germany or Japan. It may be true that +hitherto, along with the really considerable volume of imitative +gestures of discretionary deliberation delegated to these parliamentary +bodies, they have as regards all graver matters brought to their notice +only been charged with a (limited) power to talk. It may be true that, +for the present, on critical or weighty measures the parliamentary +discretion extends no farther than respectfully to say: "<i>Ja wohl</i>!" But +then, <i>Ja wohl</i> is also something; and there is no telling where it may +all lead to in the long course of years. One has<!-- Page 192 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_192" id="Page_192">[Pg 192]</a></span> a vague apprehension +that this "<i>Ja wohl</i>!" may some day come to be a customarily necessary +form of authentication, so that with-holding it (<i>Behüt' es Gott</i>!) may +even come to count as an effectual veto on measures so pointedly +neglected. More particularly will the formalities of representation and +self-government be likely to draw the substance of such like "free +institutions" into the effectual conduct of public affairs if it turns +out that the workday experiences of these people takes a turn more +conducive to habits of insubordination than has been the case hitherto.</p> + +<p>Indications are, again, not wanting, that even in the Empire the +discipline of workday experience is already diverging from that line +that once trained the German subjects into the most loyal and unrepining +subservience to dynastic ambitions. Of course, just now, under the +shattering impact of warlike atrocities and patriotic clamour, the +workday spirit of insubordination and critical scrutiny is gone out of +sight and out of hearing.</p> + +<p>Something of this inchoate insubordination has showed itself repeatedly +during the present reign, sufficient to provoke many shrewd protective +measures on the side of the dynastic establishment, both by way of +political strategy and by arbitrary control. Disregarding many minor and +inconsequential divisions of opinion and counsel among the German people +during this eventful reign, the political situation has been moving on +the play of three, incipiently divergent, strains of interest and +sentiment: (a) the dynasty (together with the Agrarians, of whom in a +sense the dynasty is a part); (b) the businessmen, or commercial +interest (including investors); and (c) the industrial workmen. +Doubtless it would be easier to overstate than to indicate with any nice +precision what<!-- Page 193 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 193]</span> has been the nature, and especially the degree, of this +alienation of sentiment and divergence of conscious interest among these +several elements. It is not that there has at any point been a +perceptible faltering in respect of loyalty to the crown as such. But +since the crown belongs, by origin, tradition, interest and spiritual +identity, in the camp of the Agrarians, the situation has been such as +would inevitably take on a character of disaffection toward the dynastic +establishment, in the conceivable absence of that strong surviving +sentiment of dynastic loyalty that still animates all classes and +conditions of men in the Fatherland. It would accordingly, again, be an +overstatement to say that the crown has been standing precariously at +the apex of a political triangle, the other two corners of which are +occupied by these two divided and potentially recalcitrant elements of +the body politic, held apart by class antipathy and divergent pecuniary +interest, and held in check by divided counsels; but something after +that fashion is what would have resulted under similar conditions of +strain in any community where the modern spirit of insubordination has +taken effect in any large measure.</p> + +<p>Both of these elements of incipient disturbance in the dynastic economy, +the modern commercial and working classes, are creatures of the new era; +and they are systematically out of line with the received dynastic +tradition of fealty, both in respect of their pecuniary interests and in +respect of that discipline of experience to which their workday +employment subjects them. They are substantially the same two classes or +groupings that came forward in the modernisation of the British +community, with a gradual segregation of interest and a consequent +induced solidarity of class sentiment and class animosi<!-- Page 194 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 194]</span>ties. But with +the difference that in the British case the movement of changing +circumstances was slow enough to allow a fair degree of habituation to +the altered economic conditions; whereas in the German case the move +into modern economic conditions has been made so precipitately as to +have carried the mediaeval frame of mind over virtually intact into this +era of large business and machine industry. In the Fatherland the +commercial and industrial classes have been called on to play their part +without time to learn their lines.</p> + +<p>The case of the English-speaking peoples, who have gone over this course +of experience in more consecutive fashion than any others, teaches that +in the long run, if these modern economic conditions persist, one or the +other or both of these creatures of the modern era must prevail, and +must put the dynastic establishment out of commission; although the +sequel has not yet been seen in this British case, and there is no +ground afforded for inference as to which of the two will have the +fortune to survive and be invested with the hegemony. Meantime the +opportunity of the Imperial establishment to push its enterprise in +dominion lies in the interval of time so required for the discipline of +experience under modern conditions to work out through the growth of +modern habits of thought into such modern (i.e. civilised) institutional +forms and such settled principles of personal insubordination as will +put any effectual dynastic establishment out of commission. The same +interval of time, that must so be allowed for the decay of the dynastic +spirit among the German people under the discipline of life by the +methods of modern trade and industry, marks the period during which no +peace compact will be practicable, except with the elimination of the +Imperial establishment as a pos<!-- Page 195 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 195]</span>sible warlike power. All this, of +course, applies to the case of Japan as well, with the difference that +while the Japanese people are farther in arrears, they are also a +smaller, less formidable body, more exposed to outside forces, and their +mediaevalism is of a more archaic and therefore more precarious type.</p> + +<p>What length of time will be required for this decay of the dynastic +spirit among the people of the Empire is, of course, impossible to say. +The factors of the case are not of a character to admit anything like +calculation of the rate of movement; but in the nature of the factors +involved it is also contained that something of a movement in this +direction is unavoidable, under Providence. As a preliminary +consideration, these peoples of the Empire and its allies, as well as +their enemies in the great war, will necessarily come out of their +warlike experience in a more patriotic and more vindictive frame of mind +than that in which they entered on this adventure. Fighting makes for +malevolence. The war is itself to be counted as a set-back. A very large +proportion of those who have lived through it will necessarily carry a +warlike bent through life. By that much, whatever it may count for, the +decay of the dynastic spirit—or the growth of tolerance and equity in +national sentiment, if one chooses to put it that way—will be retarded +from beforehand. So also the Imperial establishment, or whatever is left +of it, may be counted on to do everything in its power to preserve the +popular spirit of loyalty and national animosity, by all means at its +disposal; since the Imperial establishment finally rests on the +effectual body of national animosity. What hindrance will come in from +this agency of retardation can at least vaguely be guessed at, in the +light of<!-- Page 196 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_196" id="Page_196">[Pg 196]</a></span> what has been accomplished in that way under the strenuously +reactionary rule of the present reign.</p> + +<p>Again, there is the chance, as there always is a chance of human folly, +that the neighboring peoples will undertake, whether jointly or +severally, to restrict or prohibit trade relations between the people of +the Empire and their enemies in the present war; thereby fomenting +international animosity, as well as contributing directly to the +economic readiness for war both on their own part and on that of the +Empire. This is also, and in an eminent degree, an unknown factor in the +case, on which not even a reasonable guess can be made beforehand. These +are, all and several, reactionary agencies, factors of retardation, +making for continuation of the current international situation of +animosity, distrust, chicane, trade rivalry, competitive armament, and +eventual warlike enterprise.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>To offset these agencies of conservatism there is nothing much that can +be counted on but that slow, random, and essentially insidious working +of habituation that tends to the obsolescence of the received +preconceptions; partly by supplanting them with something new, but more +effectually by their falling into disuse and decay. There is, it will +have to be admitted, little of a positive character that can be done +toward the installation of a régime of peace and good-will. The +endeavours of the pacifists should suffice to convince any dispassionate +observer of the substantial futility of creative efforts looking to such +an end. Much can doubtless be done in the way of precautionary measures, +mostly of a negative character, in the way especially of removing +sources of infection and (possibly) of so sterilising the apparatus of +national life that its working shall neither maintain animosities and +in<!-- Page 197 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_197" id="Page_197">[Pg 197]</a></span>terests at variance with the conditions of peace nor contribute to +their spread and growth.</p> + +<p>There is necessarily little hope or prospect that any national +establishment will contribute materially or in any direct way to the +obsolescence of warlike sentiments and ambitions; since such +establishments are designed for the making of war by keeping national +jealousies intact, and their accepted place in affairs is that of +preparation for eventual hostilities, defensive or offensive. Except for +the contingency of eventual hostilities, no national establishment could +be kept in countenance. They would all fall into the decay of desuetude, +just as has happened to the dynastic establishments among those peoples +who have (passably) lost the spirit of dynastic aggression.</p> + +<p>The modern industrial occupations, the modern technology, and that +modern empirical science that runs so close to the frontiers of +technology, all work at cross purposes with the received preconceptions +of the nationalist order; and in a more pronounced degree they are at +cross purposes with that dynastic order of preconceptions that converges +on Imperial dominion. The like is true, with a difference, of the ways, +means and routine of business enterprise as it is conducted in the +commercialised communities of today. The working of these agencies runs +to this effect not by way of deliberate and destructive antagonism, but +almost wholly by force of systematic, though unintended and incidental, +neglect of those values, standards, verities, and grounds of +discrimination and conviction that make up the working realities of the +national spirit and of dynastic ambition. The working concepts of this +new, essentially mechanistic, order of human interests, do not +necessarily clash with those of the old order, essentially the order of +personages and<!-- Page 198 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 198]</span> personalities; the two are incommensurable, and they are +incompatible only in the sense and degree implied in that state of the +case. The profoundest and most meritorious truths of dynastic politics +can on no provocation and by no sleight of hand be brought within the +logic of that system of knowledge and appraisal of values by which the +mechanistic technology proceeds. Within the premises of this modern +mechanistic industry and science all the best values and verities of the +dynastic order are simply "incompetent, irrelevant and impertinent."</p> + +<p>There is accordingly no unavoidable clash and no necessary friction +between the two schemes of knowledge or the two habits of mind that +characterise the two contrasted cultural eras. It is only that a given +individual—call him the common man—will not be occupied with both of +these incommensurable systems of logic and appreciation at the same time +or bearing on the same point; and further that in proportion as his +waking hours and his mental energy are fully occupied within the lines +of one of these systems of knowledge, design and employment, in much the +same measure he will necessarily neglect the other, and in time he will +lose proficiency and interest in its pursuits and its conclusions. The +man who is so held by his daily employment and his life-long attention +within the range of habits of thought that are valid in the mechanistic +technology, will, on an average and in the long run, lose his grip on +the spiritual virtues of national prestige and dynastic primacy; "for +they are foolishness unto him; neither can he know them, because they +are spiritually discerned."</p> + +<p>Not that the adepts in this modern mechanistic system of knowledge and +design may not also be very good patriots and devoted servants of the +dynasty. The artless<!-- Page 199 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 199]</span> and, on the whole, spontaneous riot of dynastic +avidity displayed to the astonished eyes of their fellow craftsmen in +the neutral countries by the most eminent scientists of the Fatherland +during the early months of the war should be sufficient warning that the +archaic preconceptions do not hurriedly fly out of the window when the +habits of thought of the mechanistic order come in at the door. But with +the passage of time, pervasively, by imperceptible displacement, by the +decay of habitual disuse, as well as by habitual occupation with these +other and unrelated ways and means of knowledge and belief, dynastic +loyalty and the like conceptions in the realm of religion and magic pass +out of the field of attention and fall insensibly into the category of +the lost arts. Particularly will this be true of the common man, who +lives, somewhat characteristically, in the mass and in the present, and +whose waking hours are somewhat fully occupied with what he has to do.</p> + +<p>With the commercial interests the Imperial establishment can probably +make such terms as to induce their support of the dynastic enterprise, +since they can apparently always be made to believe that an extension of +the Imperial dominion will bring correspondingly increased opportunities +of trade. It is doubtless a mistake, but it is commonly believed by the +interested parties, which is just as good for the purpose as if it were +true. And it should be added that in this, as in other instances of the +quest of larger markets, the costs are to be paid by someone else than +the presumed commercial beneficiaries; which brings the matter under the +dearest principle known to businessmen: that of getting something for +nothing. It will not be equally easy to keep the affections of the +common man loyal to the dynastic enterprise when he<!-- Page 200 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 200]</span> begins to lose his +grip on the archaic faith in dynastic dominion and comes to realise that +he has also—individually and in the mass—no material interest even in +the defense of the Fatherland, much less in the further extension of +Imperial rule.</p> + +<p>But the time when this process of disillusionment and decay of ideals +shall have gone far enough among the common run to afford no secure +footing in popular sentiment for the contemplated Imperial +enterprise,—this time is doubtless far in the future, as compared with +the interval of preparation required for a new onset. Habituation takes +time, particularly such habituation as can be counted on to derange the +habitual bent of a great population in respect of their dearest +preconceptions. It will take a very appreciable space of time even in +the case of a populace so accessible to new habits of thought as the +German people are by virtue of their slight percentage of illiteracy, +the very large proportion engaged in those modern industries that +constantly require some intelligent insight into mechanistic facts, the +density of population and the adequate means of communication, and the +extent to which the whole population is caught in the web of +mechanically standardised processes that condition their daily life at +every turn. As regards their technological situation, and their exposure +to the discipline of industrial life, no other population of nearly the +same volume is placed in a position so conducive to a rapid acquirement +of the spirit of the modern era. But, also, no other people comparable +with the population of the Fatherland has so large and well-knit a body +of archaic preconceptions to unlearn. Their nearest analogue, of course, +is the Japanese nation.<!-- Page 201 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 201]</span></p> + +<p>In all this there is, of course, no inclination to cast a slur on the +German people. In point of racial characteristics there is no difference +between them and their neighbours. And there is no reason to question +their good intentions. Indeed, it may safely be asserted that no people +is more consciously well-meaning than the children of the Fatherland. It +is only that, with their archaic preconceptions of what is right and +meritorious, their best intentions spell malevolence when projected into +the civilised world as it stands today. And by no fault of theirs. Nor +is it meant to be intimated that their rate of approach to the accepted +Occidental standard of institutional maturity will be unduly slow or +unduly reluctant, so soon as the pertinent facts of modern life begin +effectively to shape their habits of thought. It is only that, human +nature—and human second nature—being what it always has been, the rate +of approach of the German people to a passably neutral complexion in +matters of international animosity and aggression must necessarily be +slow enough to allow ample time for the renewed preparation of a more +unsparing and redoubtable endeavour on the part of the Imperial +establishment.</p> + +<p>What makes this German Imperial establishment redoubtable, beyond +comparison, is the very simple but also very grave combination of +circumstances whereby the German people have acquired the use of the +modern industrial arts in the highest state of efficiency, at the same +time that they have retained unabated the fanatical loyalty of feudal +barbarism.<a name="FNanchor_9_9" id="FNanchor_9_9"></a><a href="#Footnote_9_9" class="fnanchor">[9]</a> So long, and in so far, as this conjunction of forces +holds there is no outlook<!-- Page 202 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_202" id="Page_202">[Pg 202]</a></span> for peace except on the elimination of +Germany as a power capable of disturbing the peace.</p> + +<p>It may seem invidious to speak so recurrently of the German Imperial +establishment as the sole potential disturber of the peace in Europe. +The reason for so singling out the Empire for this invidious +distinction—of merit or demerit, as one may incline to take it—is that +the facts run that way. There is, of course, other human material, and +no small volume of it in the aggregate, that is of much the same +character, and serviceable for the same purposes as the resources and +man-power of the Empire. But this other material can come effectually +into bearing as a means of disturbance only in so far as it clusters +about the Imperial dynasty and marches under his banners. In so speaking +of the Imperial establishment as the sole enemy of a European peace, +therefore, these outlying others are taken for granted, very much as one +takes the nimbus for granted in speaking of one of the greater saints of +God.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>So the argument returns to the alternative: Peace by unconditional +surrender and submission, or peace by elimination of Imperial Germany +(and Japan). There is no middle course apparent. The old-fashioned—that +is to say nineteenth-century—plan of competitive defensive armament and +a balance of powers has been tried, and it has not proved to be a +success, even so early in the twentieth century. This plan offers a +substitute (<i>Ersatz</i>) for peace; but even as such it has become +impracticable. The modern, or rather the current late-modern, state of +the industrial arts does not tolerate it. Technological knowledge has +thrown the advantage in military affairs definitively to the offensive, +particularly to the<!-- Page 203 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_203" id="Page_203">[Pg 203]</a></span> offensive that is prepared beforehand with the +suitable appliances and with men ready matured in that rigorous and +protracted training by which alone they can become competent to make +warlike use of these suitable appliances provided by the modern +technology. At the same time, and by grace of the same advance in +technology, any well-designed offensive can effectually reach any given +community, in spite of distance or of other natural obstacles. The era +of defensive armaments and diplomatic equilibration, as a substitute for +peace, has been definitively closed by the modern state of the +industrial arts.</p> + +<p>Of the two alternatives spoken of above, the former—peace by submission +under an alien dynasty—is presumably not a practicable solution, as has +appeared in the course of the foregoing argument.</p> + +<p>The modern nations are not spiritually ripe for it. Whether they have +reached even that stage of national sobriety, or neutrality, that would +enable them to live at peace among themselves after elimination of the +Imperial Powers is still open to an uneasy doubt. It would be by a +precarious margin that they can be counted on so to keep the peace in +the absence of provocation from without the pale. Their predilection for +peace goes to no greater lengths than is implied in the formula: Peace +with Honour; which assuredly does not cover a peace of non-resistance, +and which, in effect, leaves the distinction between an offensive and a +defensive war somewhat at loose ends. The national prestige is still a +live asset in the mind of these peoples; and the limit of tolerance in +respect of this patriotic animosity appears to be drawn appreciably +closer than the formula cited above would necessarily presume. They will +fight on provocation,<!-- Page 204 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 204]</span> and the degree of provocation required to upset +the serenity of these sportsmanlike modern peoples is a point on which +the shrewdest guesses may diverge. Still, opinion runs more and more +consistently to the effect that if these modern—say the French and the +English-speaking—peoples were left to their own devices the peace might +fairly be counted on to be kept between them indefinitely, barring +unforeseen contingencies.</p> + +<p>Experience teaches that warlike enterprise on a moderate scale and as a +side interest is by no means incompatible with such a degree of neutral +animus as these peoples have yet acquired,—e.g., the Spanish-American +war, which was made in America, or the Boer war, which was made in +England. But these wars, in spite of the dimensions which they presently +took on, were after all of the nature of episodes,—the one chiefly an +extension of sportsmanship, which engaged the best attention of only the +more sportsmanlike elements, the other chiefly engineered by certain +business interests with a callous view to getting something for nothing. +Both episodes came to be serious enough, both in their immediate +incidence and in their consequences; but neither commanded the +deliberate and cordial support of the community at large. There is a +meretricious air over both; and there is apparent a popular inclination +to condone rather than to take pride in these <i>faits accomplis</i>. The one +excursion was a product of sportsmanlike bravado, fed on boyish +exuberance, fomented for mercenary objects by certain business interests +and place-hunting politicians, and incited by meretricious newspapers +with a view to increase their circulation. The other was set afoot by +interested businessmen, backed by politicians, seconded by newspapers, +and borne by the community<!-- Page 205 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_205" id="Page_205">[Pg 205]</a></span> at large, in great part under +misapprehension and stung by wounded pride.</p> + +<p>Opinions will diverge widely as to the chances of peace in a community +of nations among whom episodes of this character, and of such +dimensions, have been somewhat more than tolerated in the immediate +past. But the consensus of opinion in these same countries appears to be +setting with fair consistency to the persuasion that the popular spirit +shown in these and in analogous conjunctures in the recent past gives +warrant that peace is deliberately desired and is likely to be +maintained, barring unforeseen contingencies.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>In the large, the measures conducive to the perpetuation of peace, and +necessary to be taken, are simple and obvious; and they are largely of a +negative character, exploits of omission and neglect. Under modern +conditions, and barring aggression from without, the peace is kept by +avoiding the breaking of it. It does not break of itself,—in the +absence of such national establishments as are organised with the sole +ulterior view of warlike enterprise. A policy of peace is obviously a +policy of avoidance,—avoidance of offense and of occasion for +annoyance.</p> + +<p>What is required to insure the maintenance of peace among pacific +nations is the neutralisation of all those human relations out of which +international grievances are wont to arise. And what is necessary to +assure a reasonable expectation of continued peace is the neutralisation +of so much of these relations as the patriotic self-conceit and +credulity of these peoples will permit. These two formulations are by no +means identical; indeed, the disparity between what could advantageously +be dispensed with in the way of national rights and pretensions, and<!-- Page 206 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 206]</span> +what the common run of modern patriots could be induced to relinquish, +is probably much larger than any sanguine person would like to believe. +It should be plain on slight reflection that the greater part, indeed +substantially the whole, of those material interests and demands that +now engage the policy of the nations, and that serve on occasion to set +them at variance, might be neutralised or relinquished out of hand, +without detriment to any one of the peoples concerned.</p> + +<p>The greater part of these material interests over which the various +national establishments keep watch and hold pretensions are, in point of +historical derivation, a legacy from the princely politics of what is +called the "Mercantilist" period; and they are uniformly of the nature +of gratuitous interference or discrimination between the citizens of the +given nation and outsiders. Except (doubtfully) in the English case, +where mercantilist policies are commonly believed to have been adopted +directly for the benefit of the commercial interest, measures of this +nature are uniformly traceable to the endeavours of the crown and its +officers to strengthen the finances of the prince and give him an +advantage in warlike enterprise. They are kept up essentially for the +same eventual end of preparation for war. So, e.g., protective tariffs, +and the like discrimination in shipping, are still advocated as a means +of making the nation self-supporting, self-contained, self-sufficient; +with a view to readiness in the event of hostilities.</p> + +<p>A nation is in no degree better off in time of peace for being +self-sufficient. In point of patent fact no nation can be industrially +self-sufficient except at the cost of foregoing some of the economic +advantages of that specialisation of industry which the modern state of +the in<!-- Page 207 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 207]</span>dustrial arts enforces. In time of peace there is no benefit +comes to the community at large from such restraint of trade with the +outside world, or to any class or section of the community except those +commercial concerns that are favored by the discrimination; and these +invariably gain their special advantage at the cost of their +compatriots. Discrimination in trade—export, import or shipping—has no +more beneficial effect when carried out publicly by the national +authorities than when effected surreptitiously and illegally by a +private conspiracy in restraint of trade within a group of interested +business concerns.</p> + +<p>Hitherto the common man has found it difficult to divest himself of an +habitual delusion on this head, handed down out of the past and +inculcated by interested politicians, to the effect that in some +mysterious way he stands to gain by limiting his own opportunities. But +the neutralisation of international trade, or the abrogation of all +discrimination in trade, is the beginning of wisdom as touches the +perpetuation of peace. The first effect of such a neutral policy would +be wider and more intricately interlocking trade relations, coupled with +a further specialisation and mutual dependence of industry between the +several countries concerned; which would mean, in terms of international +comity, a lessened readiness for warlike operations all around.</p> + +<p>It used to be an argument of the free-traders that the growth of +international commercial relations under a free-trade policy would +greatly conduce to a spirit of mutual understanding and forbearance +between the nations. There may or may not be something appreciable in +the contention; it has been doubted, and there is no considerable +evidence to be had in support of it. But<!-- Page 208 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 208]</span> what is more to the point is +the tangible fact that such specialisation of industry and consequent +industrial interdependence would leave all parties to this relation less +capable, materially and spiritually, to break off amicable relations. So +again, in time of peace and except with a view to eventual hostilities, +it would involve no loss, and presumably little pecuniary gain, to any +country, locality, town or class, if all merchant shipping were +registered indiscriminately under neutral colors and sailed under the +neutral no-man's flag, responsible indiscriminately to the courts where +they touched or where their business was transacted.</p> + +<p>Neither producers, shippers, merchants nor consumers have any slightest +interest in the national allegiance of the carriers of their freight, +except such as may artificially be induced by discriminatory shipping +regulations. In all but the name—in time of peace—the world's merchant +shipping already comes near being so neutralised, and the slight further +simplification required to leave it on a neutral peace footing would be +little else than a neglect of such vexatious discrimination as is still +in force. If no nation could claim the allegiance, and therefore the +usufruct, of any given item of merchant shipping in case of eventual +hostilities, on account of the domicile of the owners or the port of +registry, that would create a further handicap on eventual warlike +enterprise and add so much to the margin of tolerance. At the same time, +in the event of hostilities, shipping sailing under the neutral no-man's +flag and subject to no national allegiance would enjoy such immunities +as still inure to neutral shipping. It is true, neutrality has not +carried many immunities lately.</p> + +<p>Cumulatively effective usage and the exigencies of a large, varied, +shifting and extensive maritime trade have<!-- Page 209 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 209]</span> in the course of time +brought merchant shipping to something approaching a neutral footing. +For most, one might venture to say for virtually all, routine purposes +of business and legal liability the merchant shipping comes under the +jurisdiction of the local courts, without reservation. It is true, there +still are formalities and reservations which enable questions arising +out of incidents in the shipping trade to become subject of +international conference and adjustment, but they are after all not such +as would warrant the erection of national apparatus to take care of them +in case they were not already covered by usage to that effect. The +visible drift of usage toward neutralisation in merchant shipping, in +maritime trade, and in international commercial transactions, together +with the similarly visible feasibility of a closer approach to +unreserved neutralisation of this whole range of traffic, suggests that +much the same line of considerations should apply as regards the +personal and pecuniary rights of citizens traveling or residing abroad. +The extreme,—or, as seen from the present point of view, the +ultimate—term in the relinquishment of national pretensions along this +line would of course be the neutralisation of citizenship.</p> + +<p>This is not so sweeping a move as a patriotically-minded person might +imagine on the first alarm, so far as touches the practical status of +the ordinary citizen in his ordinary relations, and particularly among +the English-speaking peoples. As an illustrative instance, citizenship +has sat somewhat lightly on the denizens of the American republic, and +with no evident damage to the community at large or to the inhabitants +in detail. Naturalisation has been easy, and has been sought with no +more eagerness, on the whole, than the notably low terms of its +acquirement would indicate. Without loss or discomfort many<!-- Page 210 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 210]</span> law-abiding +aliens have settled in this country and spent the greater part of a +life-time under its laws without becoming citizens, and no one the worse +or the wiser for it. Not infrequently the decisive inducement to +naturalisation on the part of immigrant aliens has been, and is, the +desirability of divesting themselves of their rights of citizenship in +the country of their origin. Not that the privilege and dignity of +citizenship, in this or in any other country, is to be held of little +account. It is rather that under modern civilised conditions, and among +a people governed by sentiments of humanity and equity, the stranger +within our gates suffers no obloquy and no despiteful usage for being a +stranger. It may be admitted that of late, with the fomentation of a +more accentuated nationalism by politicians seeking a <i>raison d'être</i>, +additional difficulties have been created in the way of naturalisation +and the like incidents. Still, when all is told of the average American +citizen, <i>qua</i> citizen, there is not much to tell. The like is true +throughout the English-speaking peoples, with inconsequential allowance +for local color. A definitive neutralisation of citizenship within the +range of these English-speaking countries would scarcely ripple the +surface of things as they are—in time of peace.</p> + +<p>All of which has not touched the sore and sacred spot in the received +scheme of citizenship and its rights and liabilities. It is in the event +of hostilities that the liabilities of the citizen at home come into the +foreground, and it is as a source of patriotic grievance looking to +warlike retaliation that the rights of the citizen abroad chiefly come +into the case.</p> + +<p>If, as was once, almost inaudibly, hinted by a well-regarded statesman, +the national establishment should<!-- Page 211 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 211]</span> refuse to jeopardise the public peace +for the safeguarding of the person and property of citizens who go out +<i>in partes infidelium</i> on their own private concerns, and should so +leave them under the uncurbed jurisdiction of the authorities in those +countries into which they have intruded, the result might in many cases +be hardship to such individuals. This would, of course, be true almost +exclusively of such instances only as occur in such localities as are, +temporarily or permanently, outside the pale of modern law and order. +And, it may be in place to remark, instances of such hardship, with the +accompanying hazard of national complications, would, no doubt, greatly +diminish in frequency consequent upon the promulgation of such a +disclaimer of national responsibility for the continued well-being of +citizens who so expatriate themselves in the pursuit of their own +advantage or amusement. Meantime, let it not seem inconsiderate to +recall that to the community at large the deplorable case of such +expatriates under hardship involves no loss or gain in the material +respect; and that, except for the fortuitous circumstance of his being a +compatriot, the given individual's personal or pecuniary fortune in +foreign parts has no special claim on his compatriots' sympathy or +assistance; from which it follows also that with the definitive +neutralisation of citizenship as touches expatriates, the sympathy which +is now somewhat unintelligently confined to such cases, on what may +without offense be called extraneous grounds, would somewhat more +impartially and humanely extend to fellowmen in distress, regardless of +nativity or naturalisation.</p> + +<p>What is mainly to the point here, however, is the fact that if +citizenship were so neutralised within the range of neutral countries +here contemplated, one further source<!-- Page 212 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 212]</span> of provocation to international +jealousy and distrust would drop out of the situation. And it is not +easy to detect any element of material loss involved in such a move. In +the material respect no individual would be any the worse off, with the +doubtful and dubious exception of the expatriate fortune-hunter, who +aims to fish safely in troubled waters at his compatriots' expense. But +the case stands otherwise as regards the balance of immaterial assets. +The scaffolding of much highly-prized sentiment would collapse, and the +world of poetry and pageantry—particularly that of the tawdrier and +more vendible poetry and pageantry—would be poorer by so much. The Man +Without a Country would lose his pathetic appeal, or would at any rate +lose much of it. It may be, of course, that in the sequel there would +result no net loss even in respect of these immaterial assets of +sentimental animation and patriotic self-complacency, but it is after +all fairly certain that something would be lost, and it is by no means +clear what if anything would come in to fill its place.</p> + +<p>An historical parallel may help to illustrate the point. In the movement +out of what may be called the royal age of dynasties and chivalric +service, those peoples who have moved out of that age and out of its +spiritual atmosphere have lost much of the conscious magnanimity and +conviction of merit that once characterised that order of things, as it +still continues to characterise the prevalent habit of mind in the +countries that still continue under the archaic order of dynastic +mastery and service. But it is also to be noted that these peoples who +so have moved out of the archaic order appear to be well content with +this change of spiritual atmosphere, and they are even fairly well +persuaded, in the common run, that the move<!-- Page 213 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_213" id="Page_213">[Pg 213]</a></span> has brought them some net +gain in the way of human dignity and neighbourly tolerance, such as to +offset any loss incurred on the heroic and invidious side of life. Such +is the tempering force of habit. Whereas, e.g., on the other hand, the +peoples of these surviving dynastic States, to which it is necessary +continually to recur, who have not yet moved out of that realm of +heroics, find themselves unable to see anything in such a prospective +shift but net loss and headlong decay of the spirit; that modicum of +forbearance and equity that is requisite to the conduct of life in a +community of ungraded masterless men is seen by these stouter stomachs +as a loosening of the moral fiber and a loss of nerve.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>What is here tentatively projected under the phrase, "neutralization of +citizenship," is only something a little more and farther along the same +general line of movement which these more modern peoples have been +following in all that sequence of institutional changes that has given +them their present distinctive character of commonwealths, as contrasted +with the dynastic States of the mediaeval order. What may be in +prospect—if such a further move away from the mediaeval landmarks is to +take effect—may best be seen in the light of the later moves in the +same direction hitherto, more particularly as regards the moral and +aesthetic merits at large of such an institutional mutation. As touches +this last previous shifting of ground along this line, just spoken of, +the case stands in this singular but significant posture, in respect of +the spiritual values and valuations involved: These peoples who have, +even in a doubtful measure, made this transition from the archaic +institutional scheme, of fealty and dynastic exploit and coercion, to +the newer scheme of<!-- Page 214 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 214]</span> the ungraded commonwealth, are convinced, to the +point of martyrdom, that anything like a return to the old order is +morally impossible as well as insufferably shameful and irksome; whereas +those people, of the retarded division of the race, who have had no +experience of this new order, are equally convinced that it is all quite +incompatible with a worthy life.</p> + +<p>Evidently, there should be no disputing about tastes. Evidently, too, +these retarded others will not move on into the later institutional +phase, of the ungraded commonwealth, by preconceived choice; but only, +if at all, by such schooling of experience as will bring them insensibly +to that frame of mind out of which the ideal of the ungraded +commonwealth emerges by easy generalisation of workday practice. +Meantime, having not yet experienced that phase of sentiment and opinion +on civic rights and immunities that is now occupied by their +institutionally maturer neighbours, the subjects of the Imperial +Fatherland, e.g., in spite of the most laudable intentions and the best +endeavour, are, by failure of this experience, unable to comprehend +either the ground of opposition to their well-meaning projects of +dominion or the futility of trying to convert these their elder brothers +to their own prescriptive acceptation of what is worth while. In time, +and with experience, this retarded division of Christendom may come to +the same perspective on matters of national usage and ideals as has been +enforced on the more modern peoples by farther habituation. So, also, in +time and with experience, if the drift of circumstance shall turn out to +set that way, the further move away from mediaeval discriminations and +constraint and into the unspectacular scheme of neutralisation may come +to seem as right, good and beautiful as the democratic common<!-- Page 215 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 215]</span>wealth now +seems to the English-speaking peoples, or as the Hohenzollern Imperial +State now seems to the subjects of the Fatherland. There is, in effect, +no disputing about tastes.</p> + +<p>There is little that is novel, and nothing that is to be rated as +constructive innovation, in this sketch of what might not inaptly be +called peace by neglect. The legal mind, which commonly takes the +initiative in counsels on what to do, should scarcely be expected to +look in that direction for a way out, or to see its way out in that +direction in any case; so that it need occasion no surprise if the many +current projects of pacification turn on ingenious and elaborate +provisions of apparatus and procedure, rather than on that simpler line +of expedients which the drift of circumstance, being not possessed of a +legal mind, has employed in the sequence of institutional change +hitherto. The legal mind that dominates in the current deliberations on +peace is at home in exhaustive specifications and meticulous +demarkations, and it is therefore prone to seek a remedy for the burden +of supernumerary devices by recourse to further excesses of regulation.</p> + +<p>This trait of the legal mind is not a bad fault at the worst, and the +quality in which this defect inheres is of the greatest moment in any +project of constructive engineering on the legal and political plane. +But it is less to the purpose, indeed it is at cross purposes, in such a +conjuncture as the present; when the nations are held up in their quest +of peace chiefly by an accumulation of institutional apparatus that has +out-stayed its usefulness. It is the fortune even of good institutions +to become imbecile with the change of conditioning circumstances, and it +then becomes a question of their disestablishment, not<!-- Page 216 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 216]</span> of their +rehabilitation. If there is anywhere a safe negative conclusion, it is +that an institution grown mischievous by obsolescence need not be +replaced by a substitute.</p> + +<p>Instances of such mischievous institutional arrangements, obsolete or in +process of obsolescence, would be, e.g., the French monarchy of the +ancient régime, the Spanish Inquisition, the British corn laws and the +"rotten boroughs," the Barbary pirates, the Turkish rule in Armenia, the +British crown, the German Imperial Dynasty, the European balance of +powers, the Monroe Doctrine. In some sense, at least in the sense and +degree implied in their selective survival, these various articles of +institutional furniture, and many like them, have once presumably been +suitable to some end, in the days of their origin and vigorous growth; +and they have at least in some passable fashion met some felt want; but +if they ever had a place and use in the human economy they have in time +grown imbecile and mischievous by force of changing circumstances, and +the question is not how to replace them with something else to the same +purpose after their purpose is outworn. A man who loses a wart off the +end of his nose does not apply to the <i>Ersatz</i> bureau for a convenient +substitute.</p> + +<p>Now, a large proportion, perhaps even substantially the whole, of the +existing apparatus of international rights, pretensions, +discriminations, covenants and provisos, visibly fall in that class, in +so far as concerns their material serviceability to the nation at large, +and particularly as regards any other than a warlike purpose, offensive +or defensive. Of course, the national dignity and diplomatic punctilio, +and the like adjuncts and instrumentalities of the national honour, all +have their prestige value; and they are not likely to be given up out of +hand. In point<!-- Page 217 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 217]</span> of fact, however solicitous for a lasting peace these +patriotically-minded modern peoples may be, it is doubtful if they could +be persuaded to give up any appreciable share of these appurtenances of +national jealousy even when their retention implies an imminent breach +of the peace. Yet it is plain that the peace will be secure in direct +proportion to the measure in which national discrimination and prestige +are allowed to pass into nothingness and be forgot.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>By so much as it might amount to, such neutralisation of outstanding +interests between these pacific nations should bring on a degree of +coalescence of these nationalities. In effect, they are now held apart +in many respects by measures of precaution against their coming to a +common plan of use and wont. The degree of coalescence would scarcely be +extreme; more particularly it could not well become onerous, since it +would rest on convenience, inclination and the neglect of artificial +discrepancies. The more intimate institutions of modern life, that +govern human conduct locally and in detail, need not be affected, or not +greatly affected, for better or worse. Yet something appreciable in that +way might also fairly be looked for in time.</p> + +<p>The nature, reach and prescriptive force of this prospective coalescence +through neutralisation may perhaps best be appreciated in the light of +what has already come to pass, without design or mandatory guidance, in +those lines of human interest where the national frontiers interpose no +bar, or at least no decisive bar, whether by force of unconcern or +through impotence. Fashions of dress, equipage and decorous usage, e.g., +run with some uniformity throughout these modern nations, and indeed<!-- Page 218 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 218]</span> +with some degree of prescriptive force. There is, of course, nothing +mandatory, in the simpler sense, about all this; nor is the degree of +conformity extreme or uniform throughout. But it is a ready-made +generalisation that only those communities are incorporated in this +cosmopolitan coalescence of usage that are moved by their own +incitement, and only so far as they have an effectually felt need of +conformity in these premises. It is true, a dispassionate outsider, if +such there be, would perhaps be struck by the degree of such painstaking +conformity to canons of conduct which it frequently must cost serious +effort even to ascertain in such detail as the case calls for. +Doubtless, or at least presumably, conformity under the jurisdiction of +the fashions, and in related provinces of decorum, is obligatory in a +degree that need not be looked for throughout the scheme of use and wont +at large, even under the advisedly established non-interference of the +authorities. Still, on a point on which the evidence hitherto is +extremely scant it is the part of discretion to hold no settled opinion.</p> + +<p>A more promising line of suggestion is probably that afforded by the +current degree of contact and consistency among the modern nations in +respect of science and scholarship, as also in the aesthetic or the +industrial arts. Local color and local pride, with one thing and another +in the way of special incitement or inhibition, may come in to vary the +run of things, or to blur or hinder a common understanding and mutual +furtherance and copartnery in these matters of taste and intellect. Yet +it is scarcely misleading to speak of the peoples of Christendom as one +community in these respects. The sciences and the arts are held as a +joint stock among these peoples, in their elements, and measurably also +in their working-out. It is<!-- Page 219 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_219" id="Page_219">[Pg 219]</a></span> true, these interests and achievements of +the race are not cultivated with the same assiduity or with identical +effect throughout; but it is equally true that no effectual bar could +profitably be interposed, or would be tolerated in the long run in this +field, where men have had occasion to learn that unlimited collusion is +more to the purpose than a clannish discrimination.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>It is, no doubt, beyond reasonable hope that these democratic peoples +could be brought forthwith to concerted action on the lines of such a +plan of peace by neutralisation of all outstanding national pretensions. +Both the French and the English-speaking peoples are too eagerly set on +national aims and national prestige, to allow such a plan to come to a +hearing, even if something of the kind should be spoken for by their +most trusted leaders. By settled habit they are thinking in terms of +nationality, and just now they are all under the handicap of an inflamed +national pride. Advocacy of such a plan, of course, does not enter +seriously into the purpose of this inquiry; which is concerned with the +conditions under which peace is sought today, with the further +conditions requisite to its perpetuation, and with the probable effects +of such a peace on the fortunes of these peoples in case peace is +established and effectually maintained.</p> + +<p>It is a reasonable question, and one to which a provisional answer may +be found, whether the drift of circumstances in the present and for the +immediate future may be counted on to set in the direction of a +progressive neutralisation of the character spoken of above, and +therefore possibly toward a perpetuation of that peace that is to follow +the present season of war. So also is it an open and interesting +question whether the drift in that direc<!-- Page 220 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 220]</span>tion, if such is the set of it, +can be counted on to prove sufficiently swift and massive, so as not to +be overtaken and overborne by the push of agencies that make for +dissension and warlike enterprise.</p> + +<p>Anything like a categorical answer to these questions would have to be a +work of vaticination or of effrontery,—possibly as much to the point +the one as the other. But there are certain conditions precedent to a +lasting peace as the outcome of events now in train, and there are +certain definable contingencies conditioned on such current facts as the +existing state of the industrial arts and the state of popular +sentiment, together with the conjuncture of circumstances under which +these factors will come into action.</p> + +<p>The state of the industrial arts, as it bears on the peace and its +violation, has been spoken of above. It is of such a character that a +judiciously prepared offensive launched by any Power of the first rank +at an opportune time can reach and lay waste any given country of the +habitable globe. The conclusive evidence of this is at hand, and it is +the major premise underlying all current proposals and projects of +peace, as well as the refusal of the nations now on the defensive to +enter into negotiations looking to an "inconclusive peace." This state +of the case is not commonly recognised in so many words, but it is well +enough understood. So that all peace projects that shall hope to find a +hearing must make up their account with it, and must show cause why they +should be judged competent to balk any attempted offensive. In an +inarticulate or inchoate fashion, perhaps, but none the less with +ever-increasing certitude and increasing apprehension, this state of the +case is also coming to be an article of popular "knowledge and belief," +wherever much or little<!-- Page 221 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_221" id="Page_221">[Pg 221]</a></span> thought is spent on the outlook for peace. It +has already had a visible effect in diminishing the exclusiveness of +nationalities and turning the attention of the pacific peoples to the +question of feasible ways and means of international cooperation in case +of need; but it has not hitherto visibly lessened the militant spirit +among these nations, nor has it lowered the tension of their national +pride, at least not yet; rather the contrary, in fact.</p> + +<p>The effect, upon the popular temper, of this inchoate realisation of the +fatality that so lies in the modern state of the industrial arts, varies +from one country to another, according to the varying position in which +they are placed, or in which they conceive themselves to be placed. +Among the belligerent nations it has put the spur of fear to their need +of concerted action as well as to their efforts to strengthen the +national defense. But the state of opinion and sentiment abroad in the +nation in time of war is no secure indication of what it will be after +the return to peace. The American people, the largest and most +immediately concerned of the neutral nations, should afford more +significant evidence of the changes in the popular attitude likely to +follow from a growing realisation of this state of the case, that the +advantage has passed definitively to any well prepared and resolute +offensive, and that no precautions of diplomacy and no practicable +measures of defensive armament will any longer give security,—provided +always that there is anywhere a national Power actuated by designs of +imperial dominion.</p> + +<p>It is, of course, only little by little that the American people and +their spokesmen have come to realise their own case under this +late-modern situation, and hitherto only in an imperfect degree. Their +first response to the stimulus has been a display of patriotic +self-sufficiency<!-- Page 222 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 222]</span> and a move to put the national defense on a +war-footing, such as would be competent to beat off all aggression. +Those elements of the population who least realise the gravity of the +situation, and who are at the same time commercially interested in +measures of armament or in military preferment, have not begun to shift +forward beyond this position of magniloquence and resolution; nor is +there as yet much intimation that they see beyond it, although there is +an ever-recurring hint that they in a degree appreciate the practical +difficulty of persuading a pacific people to make adequate preparation +beforehand, in equipment and trained man-power, for such a plan of +self-sufficient self-defense. But increasingly among those who are, by +force of temperament or insight or by lack of the pecuniary and the +placeman's interest, less confident of an appeal to the nation's +prowess, there is coming forward an evident persuasion that warlike +preparations—"preparedness"—alone and carried through by the Republic +in isolation, will scarcely serve the turn.</p> + +<p>There are at least two lines of argument, or of persuasion, running to +the support of such a view; readiness for a warlike defense, by +providing equipment and trained men, might prove a doubtfully effectual +measure even when carried to the limit of tolerance that will always be +reached presently in any democratic country; and then, too, there is +hope of avoiding the necessity of such warlike preparation, at least in +the same extreme degree, by means of some practicable working +arrangement to be effected with other nations who are in the same case. +Hitherto the farthest reach of these pacific schemes for maintaining the +peace, or for the common defense, has taken the shape of a projected +league of neutral nations to keep the peace by enforcement of specified +interna<!-- Page 223 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 223]</span>tional police regulations or by compulsory arbitration of +international disputes. It is extremely doubtful how far, if at all, +popular sentiment of any effectual force falls in with this line of +precautionary measures. Yet it is evident that popular sentiment, and +popular apprehension, has been stirred profoundly by the events of the +past two years, and the resulting change that is already visible in the +prevailing sentiment as regards the national defense would argue that +more far-reaching changes in the same connection are fairly to be looked +for within a reasonable allowance of time.</p> + +<p>In this American case the balance of effectual public opinion hitherto +is to all appearance quite in doubt, but it is also quite unsettled. The +first response has been a display of patriotic emotion and national +self-assertion. The further, later and presumably more deliberate, +expressions of opinion carry a more obvious note of apprehension and +less of stubborn or unreflecting national pride. It may be too early to +anticipate a material shift of base, to a more neutral, or less +exclusively national footing in matters of the common defense.</p> + +<p>The national administration has been moving at an accelerated rate in +the direction not of national isolation and self-reliance resting on a +warlike equipment formidable enough to make or break the peace at +will—such as the more truculent and irresponsible among the politicians +have spoken for—but rather in the direction of moderating or curtailing +all national pretensions that are not of undoubted material consequence, +and of seeking a common understanding and concerted action with those +nationalities whose effectual interests in the matters of peace and war +coincide with the American. The administration has grown visibly more +pacific in the course of<!-- Page 224 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 224]</span> its exacting experience,—more resolutely, one +might even say more aggressively pacific; but the point of chief +attention in all this strategy of peace has also visibly been shifting +somewhat from the maintenance of a running equilibrium between +belligerents and a keeping of the peace from day to day, to the ulterior +and altogether different question of what is best to be done toward a +conclusive peace at the close of hostilities, and the ways and means of +its subsequent perpetuation.</p> + +<p>This latter is, in effect, an altogether different question from that of +preserving neutrality and amicable relations in the midst of importunate +belligerents, and it may even, conceivably, perhaps not unlikely, come +to involve a precautionary breach of the current peace and a taking of +sides in the war with an urgent view to a conclusive outcome. It would +be going too far to impute to the administration, at the present stage, +such an aggressive attitude in its pursuit of a lasting peace as could +be called a policy of defensive offense; but it will shock no one's +sensibilities to say that such a policy, involving a taking of sides and +a renouncing of national isolation, is visibly less remote from the +counsels of the administration today than it has been at any earlier +period.</p> + +<p>In this pacific attitude, increasingly urgent and increasingly +far-reaching and apprehensive, the administration appears to be speaking +for the common man rather than for the special interests or the +privileged classes. Such would appear, on the face of the returns, to be +the meaning of the late election. It is all the more significant on that +account, since in the long run it is after all the common man that will +have to pass on the expediency of any settled line of policy and to bear +the material burden of carrying it into effect.<!-- Page 225 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 225]</span></p> + +<p>It may seem rash to presume that a popularly accredited administration +in a democratic country must approximately reflect the effectual changes +of popular sentiment and desire. Especially would it seem rash to anyone +looking on from the point of view of an undemocratic nation, and +therefore prone to see the surface fluctuations of excitement and +shifting clamor. But those who are within the democratic pale will know +that any administration in such a country, where official tenure and +continued incumbency of the party rest on a popular vote,—any such +administration is a political organisation and is guided by political +expediency, in the tawdry sense of the phrase. Such a political +situation has the defects of its qualities, as has been well and +frequently expounded by its critics, but it has also the merits of its +shortcomings. In a democracy of this modern order any incumbent of high +office is necessarily something of a politician, quite indispensably so; +and a politician at the same time necessarily is something of a +demagogue. He yields to the popular drift, or to the set of opinion and +demands among the effective majority on whom he leans; and he can not +even appear to lead, though he may surreptitiously lead opinion in +adroitly seeming to reflect it and obey it. Ostensible leadership, such +as has been staged in this country from time to time, has turned out to +be ostensible only. The politician must be adroit; but if he is also to +be a statesman he must be something more. He is under the necessity of +guessing accurately what the drift of events and opinion is going to be +on the next reach ahead; and in taking coming events by the forelock he +may be able to guide and shape the drift of opinion and sentiment +somewhat to his own liking. But all the while he must keep within the +lines of the long-term set of the<!-- Page 226 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 226]</span> current as it works out in the habits +of thought of the common man.</p> + +<p>Such foresight and flexibility is necessary to continued survival, but +flexibility of convictions alone does not meet the requirements. Indeed, +it has been tried. It is only the minor politicians—the most numerous +and long-lived, it is true—who can hold their place in the crevices of +the party organisation, and get their livelihood from the business of +party politics, without some power of vision and some hazard of +forecast. It results from this state of the case that the drift of +popular sentiment and the popular response to the stimulus of current +events is reflected more faithfully and more promptly by the short-lived +administrations of a democracy than by the stable and formally +irresponsible governmental establishments of the older order. It should +also be noted that these democratic administrations are in a less +advantageous position for the purpose of guiding popular sentiment and +shaping it to their own ends.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Now, it happens that at no period within the past half-century has the +course of events moved with such celerity or with so grave a bearing on +the common good and the prospective contingencies of national life as +during the present administration. This apparent congruity of the +administration's policy with the drift of popular feeling and belief +will incline anyone to put a high rating on the administration's course +of conduct, in international relations as well as in national measures +that have a bearing on international relations, as indicating the course +taken by sentiment and second thought in the community at large,—for, +in effect, whether or not in set form, the community at large reflects +on any matters of such gravity<!-- Page 227 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 227]</span> and urgency as to force themselves upon +the attention of the common man.</p> + +<p>Two main lines of reflection have visibly been enforced on the +administration by the course of events in the international field. There +has been a growing apprehension, mounting in the later months to +something like the rank of a settled conviction, that the Republic has +been marked down for reduction to a vassal state by the dynastic Empire +now engaged with its European adversaries. In so saying that the +Republic has been marked down for subjection it is not intended to +intimate that deliberate counsel has been had by the Imperial +establishment on that prospective enterprise; still less that a +resolution to such effect, with specification of ways and means, has +been embodied in documentary form and deposited for future reference in +the Imperial archives. All that is intended, and all that is necessary +to imply, is that events are in train to such effect that the +subjugation of the American republic will necessarily find its place in +the sequence presently, provided that the present Imperial adventure is +brought to a reasonably auspicious issue; though it does not follow that +this particular enterprise need be counted on as the next large +adventure in dominion to be undertaken when things again fall into +promising shape. This latter point would, of course, depend on the +conjuncture of circumstances, chief of which would have to be the +exigencies of imperial dominion shaping the policy of the Empire's +natural and necessary ally in the Far East. All this has evidently been +coming more and more urgently into the workday deliberations of the +American administration. Of course, it is not spoken of in set terms to +this effect in official utterances, perhaps not even within doors; that +sort of thing is not done.<!-- Page 228 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 228]</span> But it can do no harm to use downright +expressions in a scientific discussion of these phenomena, with a view +to understanding the current drift of things in this field.</p> + +<p>Beyond this is the similar apprehension, similarly though more slowly +and reluctantly rising to the level of settled conviction, that the +American commonwealth is not fit to take care of its own case +single-handed. This apprehension is enforced more and more unmistakably +with every month that passes on the theatre of war. And it is reenforced +by the constantly more obvious reflection that the case of the American +commonwealth in this matter is the same as that of the democratic +countries of Europe, and of the other European colonies. It is not, or +at least one may believe it is not yet, that in the patriotic +apprehension of the common man, or of the administration which speaks +for him, the resources of the country would be inadequate to meet any +contingencies of the kind that might arise, whether in respect of +industrial capacity or in point of man-power, if these resources were +turned to this object with the same singleness of purpose and the same +drastic procedure that marks the course of a national establishment +guided by no considerations short of imperial dominion. The doubt +presents itself rather as an apprehension that the cost would be +extravagantly high, in all respects in which cost can be counted; which +is presently seconded, on very slight reflection and review of +experience, by recognition of the fact that a democracy is, in point of +fact, not to be persuaded to stand under arms interminably in mere +readiness for a contingency, however distasteful the contingency may be.</p> + +<p>In point of fact, a democratic commonwealth is moved by other interests +in the main, and the common defense is a secondary consideration, not a +primary interest,<!-- Page 229 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 229]</span>—unless in the exceptional case of a commonwealth so +placed under the immediate threat of invasion as to have the common +defense forced into the place of paramount consequence in its workday +habits of thought. The American republic is not so placed. Anyone may +satisfy himself by reasonable second thought that the people of this +nation are not to be counted on to do their utmost in time of peace to +prepare for war. They may be persuaded to do much more than has been +their habit, and adventurous politicians may commit them to much more +than the people at large would wish to undertake, but when all is done +that can be counted on for a permanency, up to the limit of popular +tolerance, it would be a bold guess that should place the result at more +than one-half of what the country is capable of. Particularly would the +people's patience balk at the extensive military training requisite to +put the country in an adequate position of defense against a sudden and +well-prepared offensive. It is otherwise with a dynastic State, to the +directorate of which all other interests are necessarily secondary, +subsidiary, and mainly to be considered only in so far as they are +contributory to the nation's readiness for warlike enterprise.</p> + +<p>America at the same time is placed in an extra-hazardous position, +between the two seas beyond which to either side lie the two Imperial +Powers whose place in the modern economy of nations it is to disturb the +peace in an insatiable quest of dominion. This position is no longer +defensible in isolation, under the later state of the industrial arts, +and the policy of isolation that has guided the national policy hitherto +is therefore falling out of date. The question is as to the manner of +its renunciation, rather than the fact of it. It may end in a defensive +co<!-- Page 230 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 230]</span>partnership with other nations who are placed on the defensive by the +same threatening situation, or it may end in a bootless struggle for +independence, but the choice scarcely extends beyond this alternative. +It will be said, of course, that America is competent to take care of +itself and its Monroe doctrine in the future as in the past. But that +view, spoken for cogently by thoughtful men and by politicians looking +for party advantage, overlooks the fact that the modern technology has +definitively thrown the advantage to the offensive, and that intervening +seas can no longer be counted on as a decisive obstacle. On this latter +head, what was reasonably true fifteen years ago is doubtful today, and +it is in all reasonable expectation invalid for the situation fifteen +years hence.</p> + +<p>The other peoples that are of a neutral temper may need the help of +America sorely enough in their endeavours to keep the peace, but +America's need of cooperation is sorer still, for the Republic is coming +into a more precarious place than any of the others. America is also, at +least potentially, the most democratic of the greater Powers, and is +handicapped with all the disabilities of a democratic commonwealth in +the face of war. America is also for the present, and perhaps for the +calculable future, the most powerful of these greater Powers, in point +of conceivably available resources, though not in actually available +fighting-power; and the entrance of America unreservedly into a neutral +league would consequently be decisive both of the purposes of the league +and of its efficiency for the purpose; particularly if the +neutralisation of interests among the members of the league were carried +so far as to make withdrawal and independent action disadvantageous.<!-- Page 231 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 231]</span></p> + +<p>On the establishment of such a neutral league, with such neutralisation +of national interests as would assure concerted action in time of +stress, the need of armament on the part of the American republic would +disappear, at least to the extent that no increase of armed force would +be advisable. The strength of the Republic lies in its large and varied +resources and the unequalled industrial capacity of its population,—a +capacity which is today seriously hampered by untoward business +interests and business methods sheltered under national discrimination, +but which would come more nearly to its own so soon as these national +discriminations were corrected or abrogated in the neutralisation of +national pretensions. The neutrally-minded countries of Europe have been +constrained to learn the art of modern war, as also to equip themselves +with the necessary appliances, sufficient to meet all requirements for +keeping the peace through such a period as can or need be taken into +account,—provided the peace that is to come on the conclusion of the +present war shall be placed on so "conclusive" a footing as will make it +anything substantially more than a season of recuperation for that +warlike Power about whose enterprise in dominion the whole question +turns. Provided that suitably "substantial guarantees" of a reasonable +quiescence on the part of this Imperial Power are had, there need be no +increase of the American armament. Any increased armament would in that +case amount to nothing better than an idle duplication of plant and +personnel already on hand and sufficient to meet the requirements.</p> + +<p>To meet the contingencies had in view in its formation, such a league +would have to be neutralised to the point that all pertinent national +pretensions would fall into vir<!-- Page 232 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 232]</span>tual abeyance, so that all the necessary +resources at the disposal of the federated nations would automatically +come under the control of the league's appointed authorities without +loss of time, whenever the need might arise. That is to say, national +interests and pretensions would have to give way to a collective control +sufficient to insure prompt and concerted action. In the face of such a +neutral league Imperial Japan alone would be unable to make a really +serious diversion or to entertain much hope of following up its quest of +dominion. The Japanese Imperial establishment might even be persuaded +peaceably to let its unoffending neighbours live their own life +according to their own light. It is, indeed, possibly the apprehension +of some such contingency that has hurried the rapacity of the Island +Empire into the headlong indecencies of the past year or two.<!-- Page 233 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_233" id="Page_233">[Pg 233]</a></span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="CHAPTER_VI" id="CHAPTER_VI"></a>CHAPTER VI</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">Elimination of the Unfit</span></p> + + +<p>It may seem early (January 1917) to offer a surmise as to what must be +the manner of league into which the pacific nations are to enter and by +which the peace will be kept, in case such a move is to be made. But the +circumstances that are to urge such a line of action, and that will +condition its carrying out in case it is entered on, have already come +into bearing and should, on the whole, no longer be especially obscure +to anyone who will let the facts of the case rather than his own +predilections decide what he will believe. By and large, the pressure of +these conditioning circumstances may be seen, and the line of least +resistance under this pressure may be calculated, with due allowance of +a margin of error owing to unknown contingencies of time and minor +variables.</p> + +<p>Time is of the essence of the case. So that what would have been +dismissed as idle vapour two years ago has already become subject of +grave deliberation today, and may rise to paramount urgency that far +hence. Time is needed to appreciate and get used to any innovation of +appreciable gravity, particularly where the innovation depends in any +degree on a change in public sentiment, as in this instance. The present +outlook would seem to be that no excess of time is allowed in these +premises; but it should also be noted that events are moving with +unexampled celerity, and are impinging on the popular ap<!-- Page 234 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_234" id="Page_234">[Pg 234]</a></span>prehension with +unexampled force,—unexampled on such a scale. It is hoped that a +recital of these circumstances that provoke to action along this line +will not seem unwarrantably tedious, and that a tentative definition of +the line of least resistance under pressure of these circumstances may +not seem unwarrantably presumptuous.</p> + +<p>The major premise in the case is the felt need of security from +aggression at the hands of Imperial Germany and its auxiliary Powers; +seconded by an increasingly uneasy apprehension as to the prospective +line of conduct on the part of Imperial Japan, bent on a similar quest +of dominion. There is also the less articulate apprehension of what, if +anything, may be expected from Imperial Russia; an obscure and scarcely +definable factor, which comes into the calculation chiefly by way of +reenforcing the urgency of the situation created by the dynastic +ambitions of these other two Imperial States. Further, the pacific +nations, the leading ones among them being the French and +English-speaking peoples, are coming to recognise that no one among them +can provide for its own security single-handed, even at the cost of +their utmost endeavour in the way of what is latterly called +"preparedness;" and they are at the same time unwilling to devote their +force unreservedly to warlike preparation, having nothing to gain. The +solution proposed is a league of the pacific nations, commonly spoken of +at the present stage as a league to enforce peace, or less ambitiously +as a league to enforce arbitration. The question being left somewhat at +loose ends, whether the projected league is to include the two or three +Imperial Powers whose pacific intentions are, euphemistically, open to +doubt.</p> + +<p>Such is the outline of the project and its premises. An attempt to fill +in this outline will, perhaps, conduce to<!-- Page 235 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 235]</span> an appreciation of what is +sought and of what the conditioning circumstances will enforce in the +course of its realisation. As touches the fear of aggression, it has +already been indicated, perhaps with unnecessary iteration, that these +two Imperial Powers are unable to relinquish the quest of dominion +through warlike enterprise, because as dynastic States they have no +other ulterior aim; as has abundantly appeared in the great volume of +expository statements that have come out of the Fatherland the past few +years, official, semi-official, inspired, and spontaneous. "Assurance of +the nation's future" is not translatable into any other terms. The +Imperial dynasty has no other ground to stand on, and can not give up +the enterprise so long as it can muster force for any formidable +diversion, to get anything in the way of dominion by seizure, threat or +chicane.</p> + +<p>This is coming to be informally and loosely, but none the less +definitively, realised by the pacific nations; and the realisation of it +is gaining in clearness and assurance as time passes. And it is backed +by the conviction that, in the nature of things, no engagement on the +part of such a dynastic State has any slightest binding force, beyond +the material constraint that would enforce it from the outside. So the +demand has been diplomatically phrased as a demand for "substantial +guarantees." Any gain in resources on the part of these Powers is to be +counted as a gain in the ways and means of disturbing the peace, without +reservation.</p> + +<p>The pacific nations include among them two large items, both of which +are indispensable to the success of the project, the United States and +the United Kingdom. The former brings in its train, virtually without +exception or question, the other American republics, none of which<!-- Page 236 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 236]</span> can +practicably go in or stay out except in company and collusion with the +United States. The United Kingdom after the same fashion, and with +scarcely less assurance, may be counted on to carry the British +colonies. Evidently, without both of these groups the project would not +even make a beginning. Beyond this is to be counted in as elements of +strength, though scarcely indispensable, France, Belgium, the +Netherlands and the Scandinavian countries. The other west-European +nations would in all probability be found in the league, although so far +as regards its work and its fortunes their adhesion would scarcely be a +matter of decisive consequence; they may therefore be left somewhat on +one side in any consideration of the circumstances that would shape the +league, its aims and its limitations. The Balkan states, in the wider +acceptance, they that frequent the Sign of the Double Cross, are +similarly negligible in respect of the organisation of such a league or +its resources and the mutual concessions necessary to be made between +its chief members. Russia is so doubtful a factor, particularly as +regards its place and value in industry, culture and politics, in the +near future, as to admit nothing much more than a doubt on what its +relation to the situation will be. The evil intentions of the +Imperial-bureaucratic establishment are probably no more to be +questioned than the good intentions of the underlying peoples of Russia. +China will have to be taken in, if for no other reason than the use to +which the magnificent resources of that country would be turned by its +Imperial neighbour in the absence of insurmountable interference from +outside. But China will come in on any terms that include neutrality and +security.<!-- Page 237 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_237" id="Page_237">[Pg 237]</a></span></p> + +<p>The question then arises as to the Imperial Powers whose dynastic +enterprise is primarily to be hedged against by such a league. +Reflection will show that if the league is to effect any appreciable +part of its purpose, these Powers will also be included in the league, +or at least in its jurisdiction. A pacific league not including these +Powers, or not extending its jurisdiction and surveillance to them and +their conduct, would come to the same thing as a coalition of nations in +two hostile groups, the one standing on the defensive against the +warlike machinations of the other, and both groups bidding for the favor +of those minor Powers whose traditions and current aspirations run to +national (dynastic) aggrandizement by way of political intrigue. It +would come to a more articulate and accentuated form of that balance of +power that has latterly gone bankrupt in Europe, with the most corrupt +and unreliable petty monarchies of eastern Europe vested with a casting +vote; and it would also involve a system of competitive armaments of the +same general character as what has also shown itself bankrupt. It would, +in other words, mean a virtual return to the <i>status quo ante</i>, but with +an overt recognition of its provisional character, and with the lines of +division more sharply drawn. That is to say, it would amount to +reinstating the situation which the projected league is intended to +avert. It is evidently contained in the premises that the projected +league must be all-inclusive, at least as regards its jurisdiction and +surveillance. The argument will return to this point presently.</p> + +<p>The purpose of the projected league is peace and security, commonly +spoken of under patriotic preconceptions as "national" peace and +security. This will have to mean a competent enforcement of peace, on +such a footing of<!-- Page 238 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 238]</span> overmastering force at the disposal of the associated +pacific nations as to make security a matter of ordinary routine. It is +true, the more genial spokesmen of the project are given to the view +that what is to come of it all is a comity of neutral nations, amicably +adjusting their own relations among themselves in a spirit of peace and +good-will. But this view is over-sanguine, in that it overlooks the +point that into this prospective comity of nations Imperial Germany (and +Imperial Japan) fit like a drunken savage with a machine gun. It also +overlooks the patent fatality that these two are bound to come into a +coalition at the next turn, with whatever outside and subsidiary +resources they can draw on; provided only that a reasonable opening for +further enterprise presents itself. The league, in other terms, must be +in a position to enforce peace by overmastering force, and to anticipate +any move at cross purposes with the security of the pacific nations.</p> + +<p>This end can be reached by either one of two ways. If the dynastic +States are left to their own devices, it will be incumbent on the +associated nations to put in the field a standing force sufficient to +prevent a recourse to arms; which means competitive armament and +universal military rule. Or the dynastic States may be taken into +partnership and placed under such surveillance and constraint as to +practically disarm them; which would admit virtual disarmament of the +federated nations. The former arrangement has nothing in its favour, +except the possibility that no better or less irksome arrangement can be +had under existing circumstances; that is to say that the pacific +nations may not be able to bring these dynastic states to terms of +disarmament under surveillance. They assuredly can not except by force; +and<!-- Page 239 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_239" id="Page_239">[Pg 239]</a></span> this is the precise point on which the continued hostilities in +Europe turn today. In diplomatic parable the German Imperial spokesmen +say that they can accept (or as they prefer to phrase it, grant) no +terms that do not fully safeguard the Future of the Fatherland; and in +similarly diplomatic parable the spokesmen of the Entente insist that +Prussian militarism must be permanently put out of commission; but it +all means the same thing, viz. that the Imperial establishment is to be +(or is not to be) disabled beyond the possibility of its entering on a +similar warlike enterprise again, when it has had time for recuperation. +The dynastic statesmen, and the lay subjects of the Imperial +establishment, are strenuously set on securing a fair opportunity for +recuperation and a wiser endeavour to achieve that dominion which the +present adventure promises to defeat; while the Entente want no +recurrence, and are persuaded that a recurrence can be avoided only on +the footing of a present collapse of the Imperial power and a +scrupulously enforced prostration of it henceforth.</p> + +<p>Without the definitive collapse of the Imperial power no pacific league +of nations can come to anything much more than armistice. On the basis +of such a collapse the league may as well administer its affairs +economically by way of an all-around reduction of armaments, as by the +costlier and more irksome way of "preparedness." But a sensible +reduction of armaments on the part of the neutral nations implies +disarmament of the dynastic States. Which would involve a neutral +surveillance of the affairs of these dynastic States in such detail and +with such exercise of authority as would reduce their governments to the +effective status of local administrative officials. Out of which, in +turn, would arise complications that<!-- Page 240 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_240" id="Page_240">[Pg 240]</a></span> would lead to necessary +readjustments all along the line. It would involve the virtual, if not +also the formal, abolition of the monarchy, since the monarchy has no +other use than that of international war and intrigue; or at least it +would involve the virtual abrogation of its powers, reducing it to the +same status of <i>faineantise</i> as now characterises the British crown. +Evidently this means a serious intermeddling in the domestic concerns +and arrangements of the Fatherland, such as is not admissible under the +democratic principle that any people must be left free to follow their +own inclinations and devices in their own concerns; at the same time +that this degree of interference is imperative if the peace is to be +kept on any other footing than that of eternal vigilance and superior +armed force, with a people whose own inclinations and devices are of the +kind now grown familiar in the German case,—all of which also applies, +with accentuation, in the case of Imperial Japan.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Some such policy of neutral surveillance in the affairs of these peoples +whose pacific temper is under suspicion, is necessarily involved in a +plan to enforce peace by concert of the pacific nations, and it will +necessarily carry implications and farther issues, touching not only +these supposedly recalcitrant peoples, but also as regards the pacific +nations themselves. Assuming always that the prime purpose and +consistent aim of the projected league is the peace and security of +those pacific nations on whose initiative it is to be achieved, then it +should be reasonable to assume that the course of procedure in its +organisation, administration and further adaptations and adjustments +must follow the logic of necessities leading to that end. He who wills +the end must make up his account with the means.<!-- Page 241 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 241]</span></p> + +<p>The end in this case is peace and security; which means, for practical +purposes, peace and good-will. Ill-will is not a secure foundation of +peace. Even the military strategists of the Imperial establishment +recommend a programme of "frightfulness" only as a convenient military +expedient, essentially a provisional basis of tranquility. In the long +run and as a permanent peace measure it is doubtless not to the point. +Security is finally to be had among or between modern peoples only on +the ground of a common understanding and an impartially common basis of +equity, or something approaching that basis as nearly as circumstances +will permit. Which means that in so far as the projected peace-compact +is to take effect in any enduring way, and leave the federated nations +some degree of freedom from persistent apprehension and animosity, as +well as from habitual insecurity of life and limb, the league must not +only be all-inclusive, but it must be inclusively uniform in all its +requirements and regulations.</p> + +<p>The peoples of the quondam Imperial nations must come into the league on +a footing of formal equality with the rest. This they can not do without +the virtual abdication of their dynastic governmental establishments and +a consequent shift to a democratic form of organisation, and a formal +abrogation of class privileges and prerogatives.</p> + +<p>However, a virtual abdication or cancelment of the dynastic rule, such +as to bring it formally into the same class with the British crown, +would scarcely meet the requirements in the case of the German Imperial +establishment; still more patently not in the case of Imperial Japan. +If, following the outlines of the decayed British crown, one or the +other of these Imperial establishments<!-- Page 242 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 242]</span> were by formal enactment reduced +to a state of nominal desuetude, the effect would be very appreciably +different from what happens in the British community, where the crown +has lost its powers by failure of the requisite subordination on the +part of the people, and not by a formal abdication of rights. In the +German case, and even more in the Japanese case, the strength of the +Imperial establishment lies in the unimpaired loyalty of the populace; +which would remain nearly intact at the outset, and would thin out only +by insensible degrees in the sequel; so that if only the Imperial +establishment were left formally standing it would command the fealty of +the common run in spite of any formal abrogation of its powers, and the +course of things would, in effect, run as before the break. In effect, +to bring about a shift to a democratic basis the dynastic slate would +have to be wiped very clean indeed. And this shift would be +indispensable to the successful conduct of such a pacific league of +nations, since any other than an effectually democratic national +establishment is to be counted on unfailingly to intrigue for dynastic +aggrandizement, through good report and evil.</p> + +<p>In a case like that of Imperial Germany, with its federated States and +subsidiaries, where royalty and nobility still are potent preconceptions +investing the popular imagination, and where loyal abnegation in the +presence of authority still is the chief and staple virtue of the common +man,—in all such cases virtual abdication of the dynastic initiative +under constitutional forms can be had only by a formal and scrupulously +complete abrogation of all those legal and customary arrangements on +which this irresponsible exercise of authority has rested and through +which it has taken effect. Neutralisation in these in<!-- Page 243 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 243]</span>stances will mean +reduction to an unqualified democratic footing; which will, at least at +the outset, not be acceptable to the common people, and will be wholly +intolerable to the ruling classes. Such a régime, therefore, while it is +indispensable as a working basis for a neutral league of peace, would +from the outset have to be enforced against the most desperate +resistance of the ruling classes, headed by the dynastic statesmen and +warlords, and backed by the stubborn loyalty of the subject populace. It +would have to mean the end of things for the ruling classes and the most +distasteful submission to an alien scheme of use and wont for the +populace. And yet it is also an indispensable element in any scheme of +pacification that aims at permanent peace and security. In time, it may +well be believed, the people of the Fatherland might learn to do well +enough without the gratuitous domination of their ruling classes, but at +the outset it would be a heartfelt privation.</p> + +<p>It follows that a league to enforce peace would have to begin its régime +with enforcing peace on terms of the unconditional surrender of the +formidable warlike nations; which could be accomplished only by the +absolute and irretrievable defeat of these Powers as they now stand. The +question will, no doubt, present itself, Is the end worth the cost? That +question can, of course, not be answered in absolute terms, inasmuch as +it resolves itself into a question of taste and prepossession. An answer +to it would also not be greatly to the purpose here, since it would have +no particular bearing on the course of action likely to be pursued by +these pacific nations in their quest of a settled peace. It is more to +the point to ask what is likely to be the practical decision of these<!-- Page 244 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_244" id="Page_244">[Pg 244]</a></span> +peoples on that head when the question finally presents itself in a +concrete form.</p> + +<p>Again it is necessary to call to mind that any momentous innovation +which rests on popular sentiment will take time; that consequently +anything like a plébiscite on the question today would scarcely give a +safe index of what the decision is likely to be when presently put to +the test; and that as things go just now, swiftly and urgent, any +time-allowance counts at something more than its ordinary workday +coefficient. What can apparently be said with some degree of confidence +is that just now, during these two years past, sentiment has been moving +in the direction indicated, and that any growing inclination of the kind +is being strongly reenforced by a growing realisation that nothing but +heroic remedies will avail at this juncture. If it comes to be currently +recognised that a settled peace can be had only at the cost of +eradicating privilege and royalty from the warlike nations, it would +seem reasonable to expect, from their present state of mind, that the +pacific nations will scarcely hesitate to apply that remedy,—provided +always that the fortunes of war fall out as that measure would require, +and provided also that the conflict lasts long enough and severe enough +to let them make up their mind to anything so drastic.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>There is a certain side issue bearing on this question of the ulterior +probabilities of popular sentiment and national policy as to what is to +be done with the warlike nations in the event that the allied nations +who fight for neutrality have the disposal of such matters. This side +issue may seem remote, and it may not unlikely be overlooked among the +mass of graver and more tangible con<!-- Page 245 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 245]</span>siderations. It was remarked above +that the United Kingdom is one of the two chief pillars of the projected +house of peace; and it may be added without serious fear of +contradiction or annoyance that the United Kingdom is also the one among +these pacific nations that comes nearest being capable, in the event of +such an emergency, to take care of its own case single-handed. For +better or worse, British adhesion to the project is indispensable, and +the British are in a position virtually to name their own terms of +adhesion. The British commonwealth—a very inclusive phrase in this +connection—must form the core of the pacific league, if any, and +British sentiment will have a very great place in the terms of its +formation and in the terms which it will be inclined to offer the +Imperial coalition at the settlement.</p> + +<p>Now, it happens that the British community entered on this war as a +democratic monarchy ruled and officered by a body of gentlemen—doubtless +the most correct and admirable muster of gentlemen, of anything approaching +its volume, that the modern world can show. But the war has turned out not +to be a gentlemen's war. It has on the contrary been a war of technological +exploits, reenforced with all the beastly devices of the heathen. It is a +war in which all the specific traits of the well-bred and gently-minded man +are a handicap; in which veracity, gallantry, humanity, liberality are +conducive to nothing but defeat and humiliation. The death-rate among the +British gentlemen-officers in the early months, and for many months, ran +extravagantly high, for the most part because they were gallant +gentlemen as well as officers imbued with the good, old class spirit of +<i>noblesse oblige</i>, that has made half the tradition and more than half +the working theory of the British officer in the field,—good,<!-- Page 246 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 246]</span> but old, +hopelessly out of date. That generation of officers died, for the most +part; being unfit to survive or to serve the purpose under these modern +conditions of warfare, to which their enemy on the other hand had +adapted themselves with easy facility from beforehand. The gentlemanly +qualifications, and the material apparatus of gentility, and, it will +perhaps have to be admitted, the gentlemen, have fallen into the +background, or perhaps rather have measurably fallen into abeyance, +among the officers of the line. There may be more doubt as to the state +of things in respect of the gentility of the staff, but the best that +can confidently be said is that it is a point in doubt.</p> + +<p>It is hoped that one may say without offense that in the course of time +the personnel has apparently worked down to the level of vulgarity +defined by the ways and means of this modern warfare; which means the +level on which runs a familiar acquaintance with large and complex +mechanical apparatus, railway and highway transport and power, +reenforced concrete, excavations and mud, more particularly mud, +concealment and ambush, and unlimited deceit and ferocity. It is not +precisely that persons of pedigree and gentle breeding have ceased to +enter or seek entrance to employment as officers, still less that +measures have been taken to restrain their doing so or to eliminate from +the service those who have come into it—though there may present itself +a doubt on this point as touches the more responsible discretionary +positions—but only that the stock of suitable gentlemen, uncommonly +large as it is, has been overdrawn; that those who have latterly gone +into service, or stayed in, have perforce divested themselves of their +gentility in some appreciable measure, particularly as regards class +distinction, and have fallen<!-- Page 247 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 247]</span> on their feet in the more commonplace role +of common men.</p> + +<p>Serviceability in this modern warfare is conditioned on much the same +traits of temperament and training that make for usefulness in the +modern industrial processes, where large-scale coordinations of movement +and an effective familiarity with precise and far-reaching mechanical +processes is an indispensable requirement,—indispensable in the same +measure as the efficient conduct of this modern machine industry is +indispensable. But the British gentleman, in so far as he runs true to +type, is of no use to modern industry; quite the contrary, in fact. +Still, the British gentleman is, in point of heredity, the same thing +over again as the British common man; so that, barring the misdirected +training that makes him a gentleman, and which can largely be undone +under urgent need and pressure, he can be made serviceable for such uses +as the modern warfare requires. Meantime the very large demand for +officers, and the insatiable demand for capable officers, has brought +the experienced and capable common man into the case and is in a fair +way to discredit gentility as a necessary qualification of field +officers.</p> + +<p>But the same process of discredit and elimination is also extending to +the responsible officials who have the administration of things in hand. +Indeed, the course of vulgarisation among the responsible officials has +now been under way for some appreciable time and with very perceptible +effect, and the rate of displacement appears to be gathering velocity +with every month that passes. Here, as in the field operations, it also +appears that gentlemanly methods, standards, preconceptions, and +knowledge of men and things, is no longer to the purpose. Here, too,<!-- Page 248 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 248]</span> it +is increasingly evident that this is not a gentlemen's war. And the +traditional qualifications that have sufficed in the past, at least to +the extent of enabling the British management to "muddle through," as +they are proudly in the habit of saying,—these qualifications are of +slight account in this technological conjuncture of the nation's +fortunes. It would perhaps be an under-statement to say that these +gentlemanly qualifications are no longer of any account, for the purpose +immediately in hand, and it would doubtless not do to say that they are +wholly and unreservedly disserviceable as things run today; but captious +critics might find at least a precarious footing of argument on such a +proposition.</p> + +<p>Through the course of the nineteenth century the British government had +progressively been taking on the complexion of a "gentlemen's +agreement;" a government by gentlemen, for gentlemen, and of gentlemen, +too, beyond what could well be alleged in any other known instance, +though never wholly so. No government could be a government of gentlemen +exclusively, since there is no pecuniary profit in gentlemen as such, +and therefore no object in governing them; more particularly could there +never be any incentive in it for gentlemen, whose livelihood is, in the +nature of the case, drawn from some one else. A gentlemen's government +can escape death by inanition only in so far as it serves the material +interest of its class, as contrasted with the underlying population from +which the class draws its livelihood. This British arrangement of a +government by prudent and humane gentlemen with a view to the +conservation of that state of things that best conduced to the material +well-being of their own class, has on the whole had the loyal support of +the underlying populace, with an occasional floundering<!-- Page 249 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 249]</span> protest. But +the protest has never taken the shape of an expressed distrust of +gentlemen, considered as the staple ways and means of government; nor +has the direction of affairs ever descended into the hands of any other +or lower class or condition of men.</p> + +<p>On the whole, this British arrangement for the control of national +affairs by a body of interested gentlemen-investors has been, and +perhaps still is, just as well at home in the affectionate +preconceptions of the nineteenth-century British as the corresponding +German usufruct by self-appointed swaggering aristocrats has been among +the underlying German population, or as the American arrangement of +national control by business men for business ends. The British and the +American arrangements run very much to the same substantial effect, of +course, inasmuch as the British gentlemen represent, as a class, the +filial generations of a business community, and their aims and standards +of conduct continue to be such as are enforced by the pecuniary +interests on which their gentility is conditioned. They continue to draw +the ways and means of a worthy life from businesslike arrangements of a +"vested" character, made and provided with a view to their nourishment +and repose. Their resulting usufruct of the community's productive +efforts rests on a vested interest of a pecuniary sort, sanctioned by +the sacred rights of property; very much as the analogous German +dynastic and aristocratic usufruct rests on personal prerogative, +sanctioned by the sacred rights of authentic prescription, without +afterthought. The two, it will be noted are very much alike, in effect, +"under the skin." The great distinguishing mark being that the German +usufructuary gentlemen are, in theory at least, gentlemen-adventurers of +prowess and proud words, whose<!-- Page 250 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 250]</span> place in the world's economy it is to +glorify God and disturb the peace; whereas their British analogues are +gentlemen-investors, of blameless propriety, whose place it is more +simply to glorify God and enjoy Him forever.</p> + +<p>All this arrangement of a usufruct with a view to the reputable +consumption of the community's superfluous production has had the +cordial support of British sentiment, perhaps fully as cordial as the +German popular subservience in the corresponding German scheme; both +being well embedded in the preconceptions of the common man. But the war +has put it all to a rude test, and has called on the British gentlemen's +executive committee to take over duties for which it was not designed. +The exigencies of this war of technological exploits have been almost +wholly, and very insistently, of a character not contemplated in the +constitution of such an executive committee of gentlemen-investors +designed to safeguard class interests and promote their pecuniary class +advantage by a blamelessly inconspicuous and indirect management of +national affairs. The methods are of the class known colloquially among +the vulgar-spoken American politicians as "pussyfooting" and +"log-rolling"; but always with such circumstance of magnitude, +authenticity and well-bred deference to precedent, as to give the +resulting routine of subreption, trover and conversion, an air not only +of benevolent consideration but of austere morality.</p> + +<p>But the most austere courtesy and the most authentically dispassionate +division of benefits will not meet the underbred exigencies of a war +conducted on the mechanistic lines of the modern state of the industrial +arts. So the blameless, and for the purpose imbecile, executive +committee of gentlemen-investors has been insensibly los<!-- Page 251 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_251" id="Page_251">[Pg 251]</a></span>ing the +confidence and the countenance of the common man; who, when all is said, +will always have to do what is to be done. The order of gentlemanly +parleying and brokery has, therefore, with many apprehensions of +calamity, been reluctantly and tardily giving ground before something +that is of a visibly underbred order. Increasingly underbred, and +thereby insensibly approaching the character of this war situation, but +accepted with visible reluctance and apprehension both by the ruling +class and by the underlying population. The urgent necessity of going to +such a basis, and of working out the matter in hand by an unblushing +recourse to that matter-of-fact logic of mechanical efficiency, which +alone can touch the difficulties of the case, but which has no respect +of persons,—this necessity has been present from the outset and has +been vaguely apprehended for long past, but it is only tardily and after +the chastening of heavy penalties on this gentlemanly imbecility that a +substantial move in that direction has been made. It has required much +British resolution to overcome the night-fear of going out into the +unhallowed ground of matter-of-fact, where the farthest earlier +excursions of the governmental agencies had taken them no farther than +such financial transactions as are incident to the accomplishment of +anything whatever in a commercial nation. And then, too, there is a +pecuniary interest in being interested in financial transactions.</p> + +<p>This shifting of discretionary control out of the hands of the gentlemen +into those of the underbred common run, who know how to do what is +necessary to be done in the face of underbred exigencies, may +conceivably go far when it has once been started, and it may go forward +at an accelerated rate if the pressure of necessity lasts long enough. +If time be given for habituation to<!-- Page 252 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_252" id="Page_252">[Pg 252]</a></span> this manner of directorate in +national affairs, so that the common man comes to realise how it is +feasible to get along without gentlemen-investors holding the +discretion, the outcome may conceivably be very grave. It is a point in +doubt, but it is conceivable that in such a case the gentlemanly +executive committee administering affairs in the light of the +gentlemanly pecuniary interest, will not be fully reinstated in the +discretionary control of the United Kingdom for an appreciable number of +years after the return of peace. Possibly, even, the régime may be +permanently deranged, and there is even a shadowy doubt possible to be +entertained as to whether the vested pecuniary rights, on which the +class of gentlemen rests, may not suffer some derangement, in case the +control should pass into the hands of the underbred and unpropertied for +so long a season as to let the common man get used to thinking that the +vested interests and the sacred rights of gentility are so much ado +about nothing.</p> + +<p>Such an outcome would be extreme, but as a remote contingency it is to +be taken into account. The privileged classes of the United Kingdom +should by this time be able to see the danger there may be for them and +their vested interests, pecuniary and moral, in an excessive +prolongation of the war; in such postponement of peace as would afford +time for a popular realisation of their incompetence and +disserviceability as touches the nation's material well-being under +modern conditions. To let the nation's war experience work to such an +outcome, the season of war would have to be prolonged beyond what either +the hopes or the fears of the community have yet contemplated; but the +point is after all worth noting, as being within the premises of the +case, that there is herein a remote contingency of losing, at least for +a time, that unformulated<!-- Page 253 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 253]</span> clause in the British constitution which has +hitherto restricted the holding of responsible office to men of pedigree +and of gentle breeding, or at least of very grave pecuniary weight; so +grave as to make the incumbents virtual gentlemen, with a virtual +pedigree, and with a virtual gentleman's accentuated sense of class +interest. Should such an eventuality overtake British popular sentiment +and belief there is also the remote contingency that the rights of +ownership and investment would lose a degree of sanctity.</p> + +<p>It seems necessary to note a further, and in a sense more improbable, +line of disintegration among modern fixed ideas. Among the best +entrenched illusions of modern economic preconceptions, and in economic +as well as legal theory, has been the indispensability of funds, and the +hard and fast limitation of industrial operations by the supply or +with-holding of funds. The war experience has hitherto gone tentatively +to show that funds and financial transactions, of credit, bargain, sale +and solvency, may be dispensed with under pressure of necessity; and +apparently without seriously hindering that run of mechanical fact, on +which interest in the present case necessarily centers, and which must +be counted on to give the outcome. Latterly the case is clearing up a +little further, on further experience and under further pressure of +technological exigencies, to the effect that financial arrangements are +indispensable in this connection only because and in so far as it has +been arranged to consider them indispensable; as in international trade. +They are an indispensable means of intermediation only in so far as +pecuniary interests are to be furthered or safeguarded in the +intermediation. When, as has happened with the belligerents in the +present instance, the national establishment<!-- Page 254 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 254]</span> becomes substantially +insolvent, it is beginning to appear that its affairs can be taken care +of with less difficulty and with better effect without the use of +financial expedients. Of course, it takes time to get used to doing +things by the more direct method and without the accustomed +circumlocution of accountancy, or the accustomed allowance for profits +to go to interested parties who, under the financial régime, hold a +power of discretionary permission in all matters that touch the use of +the industrial arts. Under these urgent material exigencies, investment +comes to have much of the appearance of a gratuitous drag and drain on +the processes of industry.</p> + +<p>Here, again, is a sinister contingency; sinister, that is, for those +vested rights of ownership by force of which the owners of "capital" are +enabled to permit or withhold the use of the industrial arts by the +community at large, on pain of privation in case the accustomed toll to +the owners of capital is not paid. It is, of course, not intended to +find fault with this arrangement; which has the sanction of "time +immemorial" and of a settled persuasion that it lies at the root of all +civilised life and intercourse. It is only that in case of extreme need +this presumed indispensable expedient of industrial control has broken +down, and that experience is proving it to be, in these premises, an +item of borrowed trouble. Should experience continue to run on the same +lines for an appreciable period and at a high tension, it is at least +conceivable that the vested right of owners to employ unlimited sabotage +in the quest of profits might fall so far into disrepute as to leave +them under a qualified doubt on the return of "normal" conditions. The +common man, in other words, who gathers nothing but privation and +anxiety from the owners' discretionary sabotage, may conceivably stand +to lose his<!-- Page 255 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_255" id="Page_255">[Pg 255]</a></span> preconception that the vested rights of ownership are the +cornerstone of his life, liberty and pursuit of happiness.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The considerations recited in this lengthy excursion on the war +situation and its probable effects on popular habits of thought in the +United Kingdom go to say that when peace comes to be negotiated, with +the United Kingdom as the chief constituent and weightiest spokesman of +the allied nations and of the league of pacific neutrals, the +representatives of British aims and opinions are likely to speak in a +different, chastened, and disillusioned fashion, as contrasted with what +the British attitude was at the beginning of hostilities. The +gentlemanly British animus of arrogant self-sufficiency will have been +somewhat sobered, perhaps somewhat subdued. Concession to the claims and +pretensions of the other pacific nations is likely to go farther than +might once have been expected, particularly in the way of concession to +any demand for greater international comity and less international +discrimination; essentially concession looking to a reduction of +national pretensions and an incipient neutralisation of national +interests. Coupled with this will presumably be a less conciliatory +attitude toward the members of the dynastic coalition against whom the +war has been fought, owing to a more mature realisation of the +impossibility of a lasting peace negotiated with a Power whose +substantial core is a warlike and irresponsible dynastic establishment. +The peace negotiations are likely to run on a lower level of diplomatic +deference to constituted authorities, and with more of a view to the +interests and sentiments of the underlying population, than was evident +in the futile negotiations had at the outbreak of hostilities. The +gentle art of diplomacy, that engages the talents of exalted person<!-- Page 256 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 256]</span>ages +and well-bred statesmen, has been somewhat discredited; and if it turns +out that the vulgarisation of the directorate in the United Kingdom and +its associated allies and neutrals will have time to go on to something +like dominance and authenticity, then the deference which the spokesmen +of these nations are likely to show for the prescriptive rights of +dynasty, nobility, bureaucracy, or even of pecuniary aristocracy, in the +countries that make up the party of the second part, may be expected to +have shrunk appreciably, conceivably even to such precarious dimensions +as to involve the virtual neglect or possible downright abrogation of +them, in sum and substance.</p> + +<p>Indeed, the chances of a successful pacific league of neutrals to come +out of the current situation appear to be largely bound up with the +degree of vulgarisation due to overtake the several directorates of the +belligerent nations as well as the popular habits of thought in these +and in the neutral countries, during the further course of the war. It +is too broad a generalisation, perhaps, to say that the longer the war +lasts the better are the chances of such a neutral temper in the +interested nations as will make a pacific league practicable, but the +contrary would appear a much less defensible proposition. It is, of +course, the common man that has the least interest in warlike +enterprise, if any, and it is at the same time the common man that bears +the burden of such enterprise and has also the most immediate interest +in keeping the peace. If, slowly and pervasively, in the course of hard +experience, he learns to distrust the conduct of affairs by his betters, +and learns at the same move to trust to his own class to do what is +necessary and to leave undone what is not, his deference to his betters +is likely to suffer a decline, such<!-- Page 257 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 257]</span> as should show itself in a somewhat +unguarded recourse to democratic ways and means.</p> + +<p>In short, there is in this progressive vulgarisation of effectual use +and wont and of sentiment, in the United Kingdom and elsewhere, some +slight ground for the hope, or the apprehension, that no peace will be +made with the dynastic Powers of the second part until they cease to be +dynastic Powers and take on the semblance of democratic commonwealths, +with dynasties, royalties and privileged classes thrown in the discard.</p> + +<p>This would probably mean some prolongation of hostilities, until the +dynasties and privileged classes had completely exhausted their +available resources; and, by the same token, until the privileged +classes in the more modern nations among the belligerents had also been +displaced from direction and discretion by those underbred classes on +whom it is incumbent to do what is to be done; or until a juncture were +reached that comes passably near to such a situation. On the contingency +of such a course of events and some such outcome appears also to hang +the chance of a workable pacific league. Without further experience of +the futility of upper-class and pecuniary control, to discredit +precedent and constituted authority, it is scarcely conceivable, e.g., +that the victorious allies would go the length of coercively discarding +the German Imperial dynasty and the kept classes that with it constitute +the Imperial State, and of replacing it with a democratic organisation +of the people in the shape of a modern commonwealth; and without a +change of that nature, affecting that nation and such of its allies as +would remain on the map, no league of pacific neutrals would be able to +manage its affairs, even for a time, except on a war-footing that would +involve a competitive armament<!-- Page 258 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_258" id="Page_258">[Pg 258]</a></span> against future dynastic enterprises from +the same quarter. Which comes to saying that a lasting peace is possible +on no other terms than the disestablishment of the Imperial dynasty and +the abrogation of all feudalistic remnants of privilege in the +Fatherland and its allies, together with the reduction of those +countries to the status of commonwealths made up of ungraded men.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>It is easy to speculate on what the conditions precedent to such a +pacific league of neutrals must of necessity be; but it is not therefore +less difficult to make a shrewd guess as to the chances of these +conditions being met. Of these conditions precedent, the chief and +foremost, without which any other favorable circumstances are +comparatively idle, is a considerable degree of neutralisation, +extending to virtually all national interests and pretensions, but more +particularly to all material and commercial interests of the federated +peoples; and, indispensably and especially, such neutralisation would +have to extend to the nations from whom aggression is now apprehended, +as, e.g., the German people. But such neutralisation could not +conceivably reach the Fatherland unless that nation were made over in +the image of democracy, since the Imperial State is, by force of the +terms, a warlike and unneutral power. This would seem to be the +ostensibly concealed meaning of the allied governments in proclaiming +that their aim is to break German militarism without doing harm to the +German people.</p> + +<p>As touches the neutralisation of the democratically rehabilitated +Fatherland, or in default of that, as touches the peace terms to be +offered the Imperial government, the prime article among the +stipulations would seem to be abolition of all trade discrimination +against Germany or<!-- Page 259 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_259" id="Page_259">[Pg 259]</a></span> by Germany against any other nationality. Such +stipulation would, of course, cover all manner of trade +discrimination,—e.g., import, export and excise tariff, harbor and +registry dues, subsidy, patent right, copyright, trade mark, tax +exemption whether partial or exclusive, investment preferences at home +and abroad,—in short it would have to establish a thoroughgoing +neutralisation of trade relations in the widest acceptation of the term, +and to apply in perpetuity. The like applies, of course, to all that +fringe of subsidiary and outlying peoples on whom Imperial Germany +relies for much of its resources in any warlike enterprise. Such a move +also disposes of the colonial question in a parenthesis, so far as +regards any special bond of affiliation between the Empire, or the +Fatherland, and any colonial possessions that are now thought desirable +to be claimed. Under neutralisation, colonies would cease to be +"colonial possessions," being necessarily included under the general +abrogation of commercial discriminations, and also necessarily exempt +from special taxation or specially favorable tax rates.</p> + +<p>Colonies there still would be, though it is not easy to imagine what +would be the meaning of a "German Colony" in such a case. Colonies would +be free communities, after the fashion of New Zealand or Australia, but +with the further sterilisation of the bond between colony and mother +country involved in the abolition of all appointive offices and all +responsibility to the crown or the imperial government. Now, there are +no German colonies in this simpler British sense of the term, which +implies nothing more than community of blood, institutions and language, +together with that sense of solidarity between the colony and the mother +country which this community of pedigree and institutions will +necessarily bring; but<!-- Page 260 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 260]</span> while there are today no German colonies, in the +sense of the term so given, there is no reason to presume that no such +German colonies would come into bearing under the conditions of this +prospective régime of neutrality installed by such a pacific league, +when backed by the league's guarantee that no colony from the Fatherland +will be exposed to the eventual risk of coming under the discretionary +tutelage of the German Imperial establishment and so falling into a +relation of step-childhood to the Imperial dynasty.</p> + +<p>As is well known, and as has by way of superfluous commonplace been set +forth by a sometime Colonial Secretary of the Empire, the decisive +reason for there being no German colonies in existence is the +consistently impossible colonial policy of the German government, +looking to the usufruct of the colonies by the government, and the fear +of further arbitrary control and nepotic discrimination at the pleasure +of the self-seeking dynastic establishment. It is only under Imperial +rule that no German colony, in this modern sense of the term, is +possible; and only because Imperial rule does not admit of a free +community being formed by colonists from the Fatherland; or of an +ostensibly free community of that kind ever feeling secure from +unsolicited interference with its affairs.</p> + +<p>The nearest approach to a German Colony, as contrasted with a "Colonial +Possession," hitherto have been the very considerable, number of +escaped German subjects who have settled in English-speaking or +Latin-speaking countries, particularly in North and South America. And +considering that the chief common trait among them is their successful +evasion of the Imperial government's heavy hand, they show an admirable +filial piety toward the<!-- Page 261 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 261]</span> Imperial establishment; though troubled with no +slightest regret at having escaped from the Imperial surveillance and no +slightest inclination to return to the shelter of the Imperial tutelage. +A colloquialism—"hyphenate"—has latterly grown up to meet the need of +a term to designate these evasive and yet patriotic colonists. It is +scarcely misleading to say that the German-American hyphenate, e.g., in +so far as he runs true to form, is still a German subject with his +heart, but he is an American citizen with his head. All of which goes to +argue that if the Fatherland were to fall into such a state of +democratic tolerance that no recidivist need carry a defensive hyphen to +shield him from the importunate attentions of the Imperial government, +German colonies would also come into bearing; although, it is true, they +would have no value to the German government.</p> + +<p>In the Imperial colonial policy colonies are conceived to stand to their +Imperial guardian or master in a relation between that of a step-child +and that of an indentured servant; to be dealt with summarily and at +discretion and to be made use of without scruple. The like attitude +toward colonies was once familiar matter-of-course with the British and +Spanish statesmen. The British found the plan unprofitable, and also +unworkable, and have given it up. The Spanish, having no political +outlook but the dynastic one, could of course not see their way to +relinquish the only purpose of their colonial enterprise, except in +relinquishing their colonial possessions. The German (Imperial) colonial +policy is and will be necessarily after the Spanish pattern, and +necessarily, too, with the Spanish results.</p> + +<p>Under the projected neutral scheme there would be no colonial policy, +and of course, no inducement to the ac<!-- Page 262 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 262]</span>quisition of colonies, since +there would be no profit to be derived, or to be fancied, in the case. +But while no country, as a commonwealth, has any material interest in +the acquisition or maintenance of colonies, it is otherwise as regards +the dynastic interests of an Imperial government; and it is also +otherwise, at least in the belief of the interested parties, as regards +special businessmen or business concerns who are in a position to gain +something by help of national discrimination in their favor. As regards +the pecuniary interests of favored businessmen or business concerns, and +of investors favored by national discrimination in colonial relations, +the case falls under the general caption of trade discrimination, and +does not differ at all materially from such expedients as a protective +tariff, a ship subsidy, or a bounty on exports. But as regards the +warlike, that is to say dynastic, interest of an Imperial government the +case stands somewhat different.</p> + +<p>Colonial Possessions in such a case yield no material benefit to the +country at large, but their possession is a serviceable plea for warlike +preparations with which to retain possession of the colonies in the face +of eventualities, and it is also a serviceable means of stirring the +national pride and keeping alive a suitable spirit of patriotic +animosity. The material service actually to be derived from such +possessions in the event of war is a point in doubt, with the +probabilities apparently running against their being of any eventual net +use. But there need be no question that such possessions, under the hand +of any national establishment infected with imperial ambitions, are a +fruitful source of diplomatic complications, excuses for armament, +international grievances, and eventual aggression. A pacific league of +neutrals can evidently not<!-- Page 263 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_263" id="Page_263">[Pg 263]</a></span> tolerate the retention of colonial +possessions by any dynastic State that may be drawn into the league or +under its jurisdiction, as, e.g., the German Empire in case it should be +left on an Imperial footing. Whereas, in case the German peoples are +thrown back on a democratic status, as neutralised commonwealths without +a crown or a military establishment, the question of their colonial +possessions evidently falls vacant.</p> + +<p>As to the neutralisation of trade relations apart from the question of +colonies, and as bears on the case of Germany under the projected +jurisdiction of a pacific league of neutrals, the considerations to be +taken account of are of much the same nature. As it would have to take +effect, e.g., in the abolition of commercial and industrial +discriminations between Germany and the pacific nations, such +neutralisation would doubtless confer a lasting material benefit on the +German people at large; and it is not easy to detect any loss or +detriment to be derived from such a move so long as peace prevails. +Protective, that is to say discriminating, export, import, or excise +duties, harbor and registry dues, subsidies, tax exemptions and trade +preferences, and all the like devices of interference with trade and +industry, are unavoidably a hindrance to the material interests of any +people on whom they are imposed or who impose these disabilities on +themselves. So that exemption from these things by a comprehensive +neutralisation of trade relations would immediately benefit all the +nations concerned, in respect of their material well-being in times of +peace. There is no exception and no abatement to be taken account of +under this general statement, as is well known to all men who are +conversant with these matters.<!-- Page 264 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 264]</span></p> + +<p>But it is otherwise as regards the dynastic interest in the case, and as +regards any national interest in warlike enterprise. It is doubtless +true that all restraint of trade between nations, and between classes or +localities within the national frontiers, unavoidably acts to weaken and +impoverish the people on whose economic activities this restraint is +laid; and to the extent to which this effect is had it will also be true +that the country which so is hindered in its work will have a less +aggregate of resources to place at the disposal of its enterprising +statesmen for imperialist ends. But these restraints may yet be useful +for dynastic, that is to say warlike, ends by making the country more +nearly a "self-contained economic whole." A country becomes a +"self-contained economic whole" by mutilation, in cutting itself off +from the industrial system in which industrially it belongs, but in +which it is unwilling nationally to hold its place. National frontiers +are industrial barriers. But as a result of such mutilation of its +industrial life such a country is better able—it has been believed—to +bear the shock of severing its international trade relations entirely, +as is likely to happen in case of war.</p> + +<p>In a large country, such as America or Russia, which comprises within +its national boundaries very extensive and very varied resources and a +widely distributed and diversified population, the mischief suffered +from restraints of trade that hinder industrial relations with the world +at large will of course be proportionately lessened. Such a country +comes nearer being a miniature industrial world; although none of the +civilised nations, large or small, can carry on its ordinary industrial +activities and its ordinary manner of life without drawing on foreign +parts to some appreciable extent. But a country of small terri<!-- Page 265 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 265]</span>torial +extent and of somewhat narrowly restricted natural resources, as, e.g., +Germany or France, can even by the most drastic measures of restraint +and mutilation achieve only a very mediocre degree of industrial +isolation and "self-sufficiency,"—as has, e.g., appeared in the present +war. But in all cases, though in varying measure, the mitigated +isolation so enforced by these restraints on trade will in their degree +impair the country's industrial efficiency and lower the people's +material well-being; yet, if the restrictions are shrewdly applied this +partial isolation and partial "self-sufficiency" will go some way toward +preparing the nation for the more thorough isolation that follows on the +outbreak of hostilities.</p> + +<p>The present plight of the German people under war conditions may serve +to show how nearly that end may be attained, and yet how inadequate even +the most unreserved measures of industrial isolation must be in face of +the fact that the modern state of the industrial arts necessarily draws +on the collective resources of the world at large. It may well be +doubted, on an impartial view, if the mutilation of the country's +industrial system by such measures of isolation does not after all +rather weaken the nation even for warlike ends; but then, the +discretionary authorities in the dynastic States are always, and it may +be presumed necessarily, hampered with obsolete theories handed down +from that cameralistic age, when the little princes of the Fatherland +were making dynastic history. So, e.g., the current, nineteenth and +twentieth century, economic policy of the Prussian-Imperial statesmen is +still drawn on lines within which Frederick II, called the Great, would +have felt well at home.</p> + +<p>Like other preparation for hostilities this reduction of the country to +the status of a self-contained economic or<!-- Page 266 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_266" id="Page_266">[Pg 266]</a></span>ganisation is costly, but +like other preparation for hostilities it also puts the nation in a +position of greater readiness to break off friendly relations with its +neighbors. It is a war measure, commonly spoken for by its advocates as +a measure of self-defense; but whatever the merits of the +self-defenders' contention, this measure is a war measure. As such it +can reasonably claim no hearing in the counsels of a pacific league of +neutrals, whose purpose it is to make war impracticable. Particularly +can there be no reasonable question of admitting a policy of trade +discrimination and isolation on the part of a nation which has, for +purposes of warlike aggression, pursued such a policy in the past, and +which it is the immediate purpose of the league to bind over to keep the +peace.</p> + +<p>There has been a volume of loose talk spent on the justice and +expediency of boycotting the trade of the peoples of the Empire after +the return of peace, as a penalty and as a preventive measure designed +to retard their recovery of strength with which to enter on a further +warlike enterprise. Such a measure would necessarily be somewhat futile; +since "Business is business," after all, and the practical limitations +imposed on an unprofitable boycott by the moral necessity to buy cheap +and sell dear that rests on all businessmen would surreptitiously +mitigate it to the point of negligibility. It is inconceivable—or it +would be inconceivable in the absence of imbecile politicians and +self-seeking businessmen—that measures looking to the trade isolation +of any one of these countries could be entertained as a point of policy +to be pursued by a league of neutrals. And it is only in so far as +patriotic jealousy and vindictive sentiments are allowed to displace the +aspiration for peace and security, that such measures can claim +consideration. Considered as a pen<!-- Page 267 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 267]</span>alty to be imposed on the erring +nations who set this warlike adventure afoot, it should be sufficiently +plain that such a measure as a trade boycott could not touch the chief +offenders, or even their responsible abettors. It would, rather, play +into the hands of the militarist interests by keeping alive the spirit +of national jealousy and international hatred, out of which wars arise +and without which warlike enterprise might hopefully be expected to +disappear out of the scheme of human intercourse. The punishment would +fall, as all economic burdens and disabilities must always fall, on the +common man, the underlying population.</p> + +<p>The chief relation of this common run, this underlying population of +German subjects, to the inception and pursuit of this Imperial warlike +enterprise, is comprised in the fact that they are an underlying +population of subjects, held in usufruct by the Imperial establishment +and employed at will. It is true, they have lent themselves unreservedly +to the uses for which the dynasty has use for them, and they have +entered enthusiastically into the warlike adventure set afoot by the +dynastic statesmen; but that they have done so is their misfortune +rather than their fault. By use and wont and indoctrination they have +for long been unremittingly, and helplessly, disciplined into a spirit +of dynastic loyalty, national animosity and servile abnegation; until it +would be nothing better than a pathetic inversion of all the equities of +the case to visit the transgressions of their masters upon the common +run; whose fault lies, after all, in their being an underlying +population of subjects, who have not had a chance to reach that +spiritual level on which they could properly be held accountable for the +uses to which they are turned. It is true, men are ordinarily punished +for their misfor<!-- Page 268 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 268]</span>tunes; but the warlike enterprise of the Imperial +dynasty has already brought what might fairly be rated as a good measure +of punishment on this underlying populace, whose chief fault and chief +misfortune lies in an habitual servile abnegation of those traits of +initiative and discretion in man that constitute him an agent +susceptible of responsibility or retribution.</p> + +<p>It would be all the more of a pathetic mockery to visit the +transgressions of their masters on these victims of circumstance and +dynastic mendacity, since the conventionalities of international equity +will scarcely permit the high responsible parties in the case to be +chastised with any penalty harsher than a well-mannered figure of +speech. To serve as a deterrent, the penalty must strike the point where +vests the discretion; but servile use and wont is still too well intact +in these premises to let any penalty touch the guilty core of a +profligate dynasty. Under the wear and tear of continued war and its +incident continued vulgarisation of the directorate and responsible +staff among the pacific allies, the conventional respect of persons is +likely to suffer appreciable dilapidation; but there need be no +apprehension of such a loss of decent respect for personages as would +compromise the creature comforts of that high syndicate of personages on +whose initiative the Fatherland entered upon this enterprise in +dominion.</p> + +<p>Bygone shortcomings and transgressions can have no reasonable place in +the arrangements by which a pacific league of neutrals designs to keep +the peace. Neither can bygone prerogatives and precedents of +magnificence and of mastery, except in so far as they unavoidably must +come into play through the inability of men to divest themselves of +their ingrained preconceptions, by virtue of which<!-- Page 269 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_269" id="Page_269">[Pg 269]</a></span> a Hohenzollern or a +Hapsburger is something more formidable and more to be considered than a +recruiting sergeant or a purveyor of light literature. The league can do +its work of pacification only by elaborately forgetting differences and +discrepancies of the kind that give rise to international grievances. +Which is the same as saying that the neutralisation of national +discriminations and pretensions will have to go all the way, if it is to +serve. But this implies, as broadly as need be, that the pacific nations +who make the league and provisionally administer its articles of +agreement and jurisdiction, can not exempt themselves from any of the +leveling measures of neutralisation to which the dynastic suspects among +them are to be subject. It would mean a relinquishment of all those +undemocratic institutional survivals out of which international +grievances are wont to arise. As a certain Danish adage would have it, +the neutrals of the league must all be shorn over the same comb.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>What is to be shorn over this one comb of neutralisation and democracy +is all those who go into the pacific league of neutrals and all who come +under its jurisdiction, whether of their own choice or by the +necessities of the case. It is of the substance of the case that those +peoples who have been employed in the campaigns of the German-Imperial +coalition are to come in on terms of impartial equality with those who +have held the ground against them; to come under the jurisdiction, and +prospectively into the copartnery, of the league of neutrals—all on the +presumption that the Imperial coalition will be brought to make peace on +terms of unconditional surrender.</p> + +<p>Let it not seem presumptuous to venture on a recital of summary +specifications intended to indicate the nature of<!-- Page 270 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 270]</span> those concrete +measures which would logically be comprised in a scheme of pacification +carried out with such a view to impartial equality among the peoples who +are to make up the projected league. There is a significant turn of +expression that recurs habitually in the formulation of terms put forth +by the spokesmen of the Entente belligerents, where it is insisted that +hostilities are carried on not against the German people or the other +peoples associated with them, but only against the Imperial +establishments and their culpable aids and abettors in the enterprise. +So it is further insisted that there is no intention to bring pains and +penalties on these peoples, who so have been made use of by their +masters, but only on the culpable master class whose tools these peoples +have been. And later, just now (January 1917), and from a responsible +and disinterested spokesman for the pacific league, there comes the +declaration that a lasting peace at the hands of such a league can be +grounded only in a present "peace without victory."</p> + +<p>The mutual congruity of these two declarations need not imply collusion, +but they are none the less complementary propositions and they are none +the less indicative of a common trend of convictions among the men who +are best able to speak for those pacific nations that are looked to as +the mainstay of the prospective league. They both converge to the point +that the objective to be achieved is not victory for the Entente +belligerents but defeat for the German-Imperial coalition; that the +peoples underlying the defeated governments are not to be dealt with as +vanquished enemies but as fellows in undeserved misfortune brought on by +their culpable masters; and that no advantage is designed to be taken of +these peoples, and no gratuitous hardship to be imposed on them.<!-- Page 271 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 271]</span> Their +masters are evidently to be put away, not as defeated antagonists but as +a public nuisance to be provided against as may seem expedient for the +peace and security of those nations whom they have been molesting.</p> + +<p>Taking this position as outlined, it should not be extremely difficult +to forecast the general line of procedure which it would logically +demand,—barring irrelevant regard for precedents and overheated +resentment, and provided that the makers of these peace terms have a +free hand and go to their work with an eye single to the establishment +of an enduring peace. The case of Germany would be typical of all the +rest; and the main items of the bill in this case would seem logically +to run somewhat as follows:</p> + +<p>(1) The definitive elimination of the Imperial establishment, together +with the monarchical establishments of the several states of the Empire +and the privileged classes;</p> + +<p>(2) Removal or destruction of all warlike equipment, military and naval, +defensive and offensive;</p> + +<p>(3) Cancelment of the public debt, of the Empire and of its +members—creditors of the Empire being accounted accessory to the +culpable enterprise of the Imperial government;</p> + +<p>(4) Confiscation of such industrial equipment and resources as have +contributed to the carrying on of the war, as being also accessory;</p> + +<p>(5) Assumption by the league at large of all debts incurred, by the +Entente belligerents or by neutrals, for the prosecution or by reason of +the war, and distribution of the obligation so assumed, impartially +among the members of the league, including the peoples of the defeated +nations;<!-- Page 272 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 272]</span></p> + +<p>(6) Indemnification for all injury done to civilians in the invaded +territories; the means for such indemnification to be procured by +confiscation of all estates in the defeated countries exceeding a +certain very modest maximum, calculated on the average of property +owned, say, by the poorer three-fourths of the population,—the kept +classes being properly accounted accessory to the Empire's culpable +enterprise.</p> + +<p>The proposition to let the war debt be shared by all members of the +league on a footing of impartial equality may seem novel, and perhaps +extravagant. But all projects put forth for safeguarding the world's +peace by a compact among the pacific nations run on the patent, though +often tacit, avowal that the Entente belligerents are spending their +substance and pledging their credit for the common cause. Among the +Americans, the chief of the neutral nations, this is coming to be +recognised more and more overtly. So that, in this instance at least, no +insurmountable reluctance to take over their due share of the common +burden should fairly be looked for, particularly when it appears that +the projected league, if it is organised on a footing of neutrality, +will relieve the republic of virtually all outlay for their own defense.</p> + +<p>Of course, there is, in all this, no temerarious intention to offer +advice as to what should be done by those who have it to do, or even to +sketch the necessary course which events are bound to take. As has been +remarked in another passage, that would have to be a work of prophesy or +of effrontery, both of which, it is hoped, lie equally beyond the +horizon of this inquiry; which is occupied with the question of what +conditions will logically have to be met in order to an enduring peace, +not what will be the nature and outcome of negotiations entered into<!-- Page 273 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_273" id="Page_273">[Pg 273]</a></span> by +astute delegates pursuing the special advantage, each of his own nation. +And yet the peremptory need of reaching some practicable arrangement +whereby the peace may be kept, goes to say that even the most astute +negotiations will in some degree be controlled by that need, and may +reasonably be expected to make some approach to the simple and obvious +requirements of the situation.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Therefore the argument returns to the United Kingdom and the probable +limit of tolerance of that people, in respect of what they are likely to +insist on as a necessary measure of democratisation in the nations of +the second part, and what measure of national abnegation they are likely +to accommodate themselves to. The United Kingdom is indispensable to the +formation of a pacific league of neutrals. And the British terms of +adhesion, or rather of initiation of such a league, therefore, will have +to constitute the core of the structure, on which details may be +adjusted and to which concessive adjustments will have to be made by all +the rest. This is not saying that the projected league must or will be +dominated by the United Kingdom or administered in the British interest. +Indeed, it can not well be made to serve British particular interests in +any appreciable degree, except at the cost of defeat to its main +purpose; since the purposes of an enduring peace can be served only by +an effectual neutralisation of national claims and interests. But it +would mean that the neutralisation of national interests and +discriminations to be effected would have to be drawn on lines +acceptable to British taste in these matters, and would have to go +approximately so far as would be dictated by the British notions of what +is expedient, and not much farther. The pacific league of neutrals would +have much of a British<!-- Page 274 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 274]</span> air, but "British" in this connection is to be +taken as connoting the English-speaking countries rather than as +applying to the United Kingdom alone; since the entrance of the British +into the league would involve the entrance of the British colonies, and, +indeed, of the American republic as well.</p> + +<p>The temper and outlook of this British community, therefore, becomes a +matter of paramount importance in any attempted analysis of the +situation resulting after the war, or of any prospective course of +conduct to be entered on by the pacific nations. And the question +touches not so much the temper and preconceptions of the British +community as known in recent history, but rather as it is likely to be +modified by the war experience. So that the practicability of a neutral +league comes to turn, in great measure, on the effect which this war +experience is having on the habits of thought of the British people, or +on that section of the British population which will make up the +effectual majority when the war closes. The grave interest that attaches +to this question must serve as justification for pursuing it farther, +even though there can be no promise of a definite or confident answer to +be found beforehand.</p> + +<p>Certain general assertions may be made with some confidence. The +experiences of the war, particularly among the immediate participants +and among their immediate domestic connections—a large and increasing +proportion of the people at large—are plainly impressing on them the +uselessness and hardship of such a war. There can be no question but +they are reaching a conviction that a war of this modern kind and scale +is a thing to be avoided if possible. They are, no doubt, willing to go +to very considerable lengths to make a repetition of it impossible, and<!-- Page 275 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 275]</span> +they may reasonably be expected to go farther along that line before +peace returns. But the lengths to which they are ready to go may be in +the way of concessions, or in the way of contest and compulsion. There +need be no doubt but a profound and vindictive resentment runs through +the British community, and there is no reason to apprehend that this +will be dissipated in the course of further hostilities; although it +should fairly be expected to lose something of its earlier exuberant +malevolence and indiscrimination, more particularly if hostilities +continue for some time. It is not too much to expect, that this popular +temper of resentment will demand something very tangible in the way of +summary vengeance on those who have brought the hardships of war upon +the nation.</p> + +<p>The manner of retribution which would meet the popular demand for +"justice" to be done on the enemy is likely to be affected by the +fortunes of war, as also the incidence of it. Should the governmental +establishment and the discretion still vest in the gentlemanly classes +at the close of hostilities, the retribution is likely to take the +accustomed gentlemanly shape of pecuniary burdens imposed on the people +of the defeated country, together with diplomatically specified +surrender of territorial and colonial possessions, and the like; such as +to leave the <i>de facto</i> enemy courteously on one side, and to yield +something in the way of pecuniary benefit to the gentlemen-investors in +charge, and something more in the way of new emoluments of office to the +office-holding class included in the same order of gentlemen. The +retribution in the case would manifestly fall on the underlying +population in the defeated country, without seriously touching the +responsible parties, and would leave the defeated nation with a new +grievance to nourish its patriotic animosity and with<!-- Page 276 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 276]</span> a new incentive +to a policy of watchful waiting for a chance of retaliation.</p> + +<p>But it is to be noted that under the stress of the war there is going +forward in the British community a progressive displacement of +gentlemanly standards and official procedure by standards and procedure +of a visibly underbred character, a weakening of the hold of the +gentlemanly classes on the control of affairs and a weakening of the +hold which the sacred rights of property, investment and privilege have +long had over the imagination of the British people. Should hostilities +continue, and should the exigencies of the war situation continue to +keep the futility of these sacred rights, as well as the fatuity of +their possessors, in the public eye, after the same fashion as hitherto, +it would not be altogether unreasonable to expect that the discretion +would pass into the hands of the underbred, or into the hands of men +immediately and urgently accountable to the underbred. In such a case, +and with a constantly growing popular realisation that the directorate +and responsible enemy in the war is the Imperial dynasty and its +pedigreed aids and abettors, it is conceivable that the popular +resentment would converge so effectually on these responsible +instigators and directors of misfortune as to bring the incidence of the +required retribution effectually to bear on them. The outcome might, not +inconceivably, be the virtual erasure of the Imperial dynasty, together +with the pedigreed-class rule on which it rests and the apparatus of +irresponsible coercion through which it works, in the Fatherland and in +its subsidiaries and dependencies.</p> + +<p>With a sufficiently urgent realisation of their need of peace and +security, and with a realisation also that the way to avoid war is to +avoid the ways and means of in<!-- Page 277 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 277]</span>ternational jealousy and of the national +discriminations out of which international jealousy grows, it is +conceivable that a government which should reflect the British temper +and the British hopes might go so far in insisting on a neutralisation +of the peoples of the Fatherland as would leave them without the +dynastic apparatus with which warlike enterprise is set afoot, and so +leave them also perforce in a pacific frame of mind. In time, in the +absence of their dearly beloved leavings of feudalism, an enforced +reliance on their own discretion and initiative, and an enforced respite +from the rant and prance of warlike swagger, would reasonably be +expected to grow into a popular habit. The German people are by no means +less capable of tolerance and neighbourly decorum than their British or +Scandinavian neighbours of the same blood,—if they can only be left to +their own devices, untroubled by the maggoty conceit of national +domination.</p> + +<p>There is no intention herewith to express an expectation that this +out-and-out neutralisation of the Fatherland's international relations +and of its dynastic government will come to pass on the return of peace, +or that the German people will, as a precaution against recurrent +Imperial rabies, be organised on a democratic pattern by constraint of +the pacific nations of the league. The point is only that this measure +of neutralisation appears to be the necessary condition, in the absence +of which no such neutral league can succeed, and that so long as the war +goes on there is something of a chance that the British community may in +time reach a frame of mind combining such settled determination to +safeguard the peace at all costs, with such a degree of disregard for +outworn conventions, that their spokesmen in the negotiations may push +the neutralisation of these peoples to that length.<!-- Page 278 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 278]</span></p> + +<p>The achievement of such an outcome would evidently take time as well as +harsh experience, more time and harsher experience, perhaps, than one +likes to contemplate.</p> + +<p>Most men, therefore, would scarcely rate the chance of such an outcome +at all high. And yet it is to be called to mind that the war has lasted +long and the effect of its demands and its experience has already gone +far, and that the longer it lasts the greater are the chances of its +prolongation and of its continued hardships, at least to the extent that +with every month of war that passes the prospect of the allied nations +making peace on any terms short of unconditional surrender grows less. +And unconditional surrender is the first step in the direction of an +unconditional dispossession of the Imperial establishment and its war +prophets,—depending primarily on the state of mind of the British +people at the time. And however unlikely, it is also always possible, as +some contend, that in the course of further war experience the common +man in the Fatherland may come to reflect on the use and value of the +Imperial establishment, with the result of discarding and disowning it +and all its works. Such an expectation would doubtless underrate the +force of ancient habit, and would also involve a misapprehension of the +psychological incidence of a warlike experience. The German people have +substantially none of those preconceptions of independence and +self-direction to go on, in the absence of which an effectual revulsion +against dynastic rule can not come to pass.</p> + +<p>Embedded in the common sense of the British population at large is a +certain large and somewhat sullen sense of fair dealing. In this they +are not greatly different from their neighbours, if at all, except that +the body of common<!-- Page 279 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 279]</span> sense in which this British sense of fair dealing +lies embedded is a maturer fashion of common sense than that which +serves to guide the workday life of many of their neighbours. And the +maturity in question appears to be chiefly a matter of their having +unlearned, divested themselves of, or been by force of disuse divested +of, an exceptionally large proportion of that burden of untoward +conceits which western Europe, and more particularly middle Europe, at +large has carried over from the Middle Ages. They have had time and +occasion to forget more of what the exigencies of modern life make it +expedient to have forgotten. And yet they are reputed slow, +conservative. But they have been well placed for losing much of what +would be well lost.</p> + +<p>Among other things, their preconception of national animosity is not +secure, in the absence of provocation. They are now again in a position +to learn to do without some of the useless legacy out of the +past,—useless, that is, for life as it runs today, however it may be +rated in the setting in which it was all placed in that past out of +which it has come. And the question is whether now, under the pressure +of exigencies that make for a disestablishment of much cumbersome +inherited apparatus for doing what need not be done, they will be ruled +by their sense of expediency and of fair dealing to the extent of +cancelling out of their own scheme of life so much of this legacy of +conventional preconceptions as has now come visibly to hinder their own +material well-being, and at the same time to defeat that peace and +security for which they have shown themselves willing to fight. It is, +of course, a simpler matter to fight than it is to put away a +preconceived, even if it is a bootless, superstition; as, e.g., the +prestige of hereditary wealth, hereditary gentil<!-- Page 280 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_280" id="Page_280">[Pg 280]</a></span>ity, national +vainglory, and perhaps especially national hatred. But if the school is +hard enough and the discipline protracted enough there is no reason in +the nature of things why the common run of the British people should not +unlearn these futilities that once were the substance of things under an +older and outworn order. They have already shown their capacity for +divesting themselves of outworn institutional bonds, in discarding the +main substance of dynastic rule; and when they now come to face the +exigencies of this new situation it should cause no great surprise if +they are able to see their way to do what further is necessary to meet +these exigencies.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>At the hands of this British commonwealth the new situation requires the +putting away of the German Imperial establishment and the military +caste; the reduction of the German peoples to a footing of unreserved +democracy with sufficient guarantees against national trade +discriminations; surrender of all British tutelage over outlying +possessions, except what may go to guarantee their local autonomy; +cancelment of all extra-territorial pretensions of the several nations +entering into the league; neutralisation of the several national +establishments, to comprise virtual disarmament, as well as cancelment +of all restrictions on trade and of all national defense of +extra-territorial pecuniary claims and interests on the part of +individual citizens. The naval control of the seas will best be left in +British hands. No people has a graver or more immediate interest in the +freedom and security of the sea-borne trade; and the United Kingdom has +shown that it is to be trusted in that matter. And then it may well be +that neither the national pride nor the apprehensions of the British +people would allow them to surren<!-- Page 281 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_281" id="Page_281">[Pg 281]</a></span>der it; whereas, if the league is to +be formed it will have to be on terms to which the British people are +willing to adhere. A certain provision of armed force will also be +needed to keep the governments of unneutral nations in check,—and for +the purpose in hand all effectively monarchical countries are to be +counted as congenitally unneutral, whatever their formal professions and +whether they are members of the league or not. Here again it will +probably appear that the people of the United Kingdom, and of the +English-speaking countries at large, will not consent to this armed +force and its discretionary use passing out of British hands, or rather +out of French-British hands; and here again the practical decision will +have to wait on the choice of the British people, all the more because +the British community has no longer an interest, real or fancied, in the +coercive use of this force for their own particular ends. No other power +is to be trusted, except France, and France is less well placed for the +purpose and would assuredly also not covet so invidious an honour and so +thankless an office.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The theory, i.e. the logical necessities, of such a pacific league of +neutral nations is simple enough, in its elements. War is to be avoided +by a policy of avoidance. Which signifies that the means and the motives +to warlike enterprise and warlike provocation are to be put away, so far +as may be. If what may be, in this respect, does not come up to the +requirements of the case, the experiment, of course, will fail. The +preliminary requirement,—elimination of the one formidable dynastic +State in Europe,—has been spoken of. Its counterpart in the Far East +will cease to be formidable on the decease of its natural ally in +Central Europe, in so<!-- Page 282 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 282]</span> far as touches the case of such a projected +league. The ever increasingly dubious empire of the Czar would appear to +fall in the same category. So that the pacific league's fortunes would +seem to turn on what may be called its domestic or internal +arrangements.</p> + +<p>Now, the means of warlike enterprise, as well as of unadvised +embroilment, is always in the last analysis the patriotic spirit of the +nation. Given this patriotic spirit in sufficient measure, both the +material equipment and the provocation to hostilities will easily be +found. It should accordingly appear to be the first care of such a +pacific league to reduce the sources of patriotic incitement to the +practicable minimum. This can be done, in such measure as it can be done +at all, by neutralisation of national pretensions. The finished outcome +in this respect, such as would assure perpetual peace among the peoples +concerned, would of course be an unconditional neutralisation of +citizenship, as has already been indicated before. The question which, +in effect, the spokesmen for a pacific league have to face is as to how +nearly that outcome can be brought to pass. The rest of what they may +undertake, or may come to by way of compromise and stipulation, is +relatively immaterial and of relatively transient consequence.</p> + +<p>A neutralisation of citizenship has of course been afloat in a somewhat +loose way in the projects of socialistic and other "undesirable" +agitators, but nothing much has come of it. Nor have specific projects +for its realisation been set afoot. That anything conclusive along that +line could now be reached would seem extremely doubtful, in view of the +ardent patriotic temper of all these peoples, heightened just now by the +experience of war. Still, an undesigned and unguided drift in that +direction has been visible<!-- Page 283 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 283]</span> in all those nations that are accounted the +vanguard among modern civilised peoples, ever since the dynastic rule +among them began to be displaced by a growth of "free" institutions, +that is to say institutions resting on an accepted ground of +insubordination and free initiative.</p> + +<p>The patriotism of these peoples, or their national spirit, is after all +and at the best an attenuated and impersonalised remnant of dynastic +loyalty, and it amounts after all, in effect, to nothing much else than +a residual curtailment or partial atrophy of that democratic habit of +mind that embodies itself in the formula: Live and let live. It is, no +doubt, both an ancient and a very meritorious habit. It is easily +acquired and hard to put away. The patriotic spirit and the national +life (prestige) on which it centers are the subject of untiring eulogy; +but hitherto its encomiasts have shown no cause and put forward no claim +to believe that it all is of any slightest use for any purpose that does +not take it and its paramount merit for granted. It is doubtless a very +meritorious habit; at least so they all say. But under the circumstances +of modern civilised life it is fruitful of no other net material result +than damage and discomfort. Still it is virtually ubiquitous among +civilised men, and in an admirable state of repair; and for the +calculable future it is doubtless to be counted in as an enduring +obstacle to a conclusive peace, a constant source of anxiety and +unremitting care.</p> + +<p>The motives that work out through this national spirit, by use of this +patriotic ardor, fall under two heads: dynastic ambition, and business +enterprise. The two categories have the common trait that neither the +one nor the other comprises anything that is of the slightest material +benefit to the community at large; but both have<!-- Page 284 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 284]</span> at the same time a +high prestige value in the conventional esteem of modern men. The +relation of dynastic ambition to warlike enterprise, and the uses of +that usufruct of the nation's resources and man-power which the nation's +patriotism places at the disposal of the dynastic establishment, have +already been spoken of at length above, perhaps at excessive length, in +the recurrent discussion of the dynastic State and its quest of dominion +for dominion's sake. What measures are necessary to be taken as regards +the formidable dynastic States that threaten the peace, have also been +outlined, perhaps with excessive freedom.</p> + +<p>But it remains to call attention to that mitigated form of dynastic rule +called a constitutional monarchy. Instances of such a constitutional +monarchy, designed to conserve the well-beloved abuses of dynastic rule +under a cover of democratic formalities, or to bring in effectual +democratic insubordination under cover of the ancient dignities of an +outworn monarchical system,—the characterisation may run either way +according to the fancy of the speaker, and to much the same practical +effect in either case,—instances illustrative of this compromise +monarchy at work today are to be had, as felicitously as anywhere, in +the Balkan states; perhaps the case of Greece will be especially +instructive. At the other, and far, end of the line will be found such +other typical instances as the British, the Dutch, or, in pathetic and +droll miniature, the Norwegian.</p> + +<p>There is, of course, a wide interval between the grotesque effrontery +that wears the Hellenic crown and the undeviatingly decorous +self-effacement of the Dutch sovereign; and yet there is something of a +common complexion runs through the whole range of establishments,<!-- Page 285 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 285]</span> all +the way from the quasi-dynastic to the pseudo-dynastic. For reasons +unavoidable and persistent, though not inscribed in the constituent law, +the governmental establishment associated with such a royal concern will +be made up of persons drawn from the kept classes, the nobility or +lesser gentlefolk, and will be imbued with the spirit of these "better" +classes rather than that of the common run.</p> + +<p>With what may be uncanny shrewdness, or perhaps mere tropismatic +response to the unreasoned stimulus of a "consciousness of kind," the +British government—habitually a syndicate of gentlefolk—has uniformly +insisted on the installation of a constitutional monarchy at the +formation of every new national organisation in which that government +has had a discretionary voice. And the many and various constitutional +governments so established, commonly under British auspices in some +degree, have invariably run true to form, in some appreciable degree. +They may be quasi-dynastic or pseudo-dynastic, but at this nearest +approach to democracy they always, and unavoidably, include at least a +circumlocution office of gentlefolk, in the way of a ministry and court +establishment, whose place in the economy of the nation's affairs it is +to adapt the run of these affairs to the needs of the kept classes.</p> + +<p>There need be no imputation of sinister designs to these gentlefolk, who +so are elected by force of circumstances to guard and guide the nation's +interests. As things go, it will doubtless commonly be found that they +are as well-intentioned as need be. But a well-meaning gentleman of good +antecedents means well in a gentlemanly way and in the light of good +antecedents. Which comes unavoidably to an effectual bias in favor of +those interests<!-- Page 286 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 286]</span> which honorable gentlemen of good antecedents have at +heart. And among these interests are the interests of the kept classes, +as contrasted with that common run of the population from which their +keep is drawn.</p> + +<p>Under the auspices, even if they are only the histrionic and decorative +auspices, of so decorous an article of institutional furniture as +royalty, it follows of logical necessity that the personnel of the +effectual government must also be drawn from the better classes, whose +place and station and high repute will make their association with the +First Gentleman of the Realm not too insufferably incongruous. And then, +the popular habit of looking up to this First Gentleman with that +deference that royalty commands, also conduces materially to the +attendant habitual attitude of deference to gentility more at large.</p> + +<p>Even in so democratic a country, and with so exanimate a crown as is to +be found in the United Kingdom, the royal establishment visibly, and +doubtless very materially, conduces to the continued tenure of the +effectual government by representatives of the kept classes; and it +therefore counts with large effect toward the retardation of the +country's further move in the direction of democratic insubordination +and direct participation in the direction of affairs by the underbred, +who finally pay the cost. And on the other hand, even so moderately +royal an establishment as the Norwegian has apparently a sensible effect +in the way of gathering the reins somewhat into the hands of the better +classes, under circumstances of such meagerness as might be expected to +preclude anything like a "better" class, in the conventional acceptation +of that term. It would appear that even the extreme of pseudo-dynastic +royalty, sterilised to the last degree, is something of an effectual +hindrance to democratic rule,<!-- Page 287 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 287]</span> and in so far also a hindrance to the +further continued neutralisation of nationalist pretensions, as also an +effectual furtherance of upper-class rule for upper-class ends.</p> + +<p>Now, a government by well-meaning gentlemen-investors will, at the +nearest, come no nearer representing the material needs and interests of +the common run than a parable comes to representing the concrete facts +which it hopes to illuminate. And as bears immediately on the point in +hand, these gentlemanly administrators of the nation's affairs who so +cluster about the throne, vacant though it may be of all but the bodily +presence of majesty, are after all gentlemen, with a gentlemanly sense +of punctilio touching the large proprieties and courtesies of political +life. The national honor is a matter of punctilio, always; and out of +the formal exigencies of the national honor arise grievances to be +redressed; and it is grievances of this character that commonly afford +the formal ground of a breach of the peace. An appeal on patriotic +grounds of wounded national pride, to the common run who have no trained +sense of punctilio, by the gentlemanly responsible class who have such a +sense, backed by assurances that the national prestige or the national +interests are at stake, will commonly bring a suitable response. It is +scarcely necessary that the common run should know just what the stir is +about, so long as they are informed by their trusted betters that there +is a grievance to redress. In effect, it results that the democratic +nation's affairs are administered by a syndicate composed of the least +democratic class in the population.</p> + +<p>Excepting what is to be excepted, it will commonly hold true today that +these gentlemanly governments are<!-- Page 288 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 288]</span> conducted in a commendably clean and +upright fashion, with a conscious rectitude and a benevolent intention. +But they are after all, in effect, class governments, and they +unavoidably carry the bias of their class. The gentlemanly officials and +law-givers come, in the main, from the kept classes, whose living comes +to them in the way of income from investments, at home or in foreign +parts, or from an equivalent source of accumulated wealth or official +emolument. The bias resulting from this state of the case need not be of +an intolerant character in order to bring its modicum of mischief into +the national policy, as regards amicable relations with other +nationalities. A slight bias running on a ground of conscious right and +unbroken usage may go far. So, e.g., anyone of these gentlemanly +governments is within its legitimate rights, or rather within its +imperative duty, in defending the foreign investments of its citizens +and enforcing due payment of its citizens' claims to income or principal +of such property as they may hold in foreign parts; and it is within its +ordinary lines of duty in making use of the nation's resources—that is +to say of the common man and his means of livelihood—in enforcing such +claims held by the investing classes. The community at large has no +interest in the enforcement of such claims; it is evidently a class +interest, and as evidently protected by a code of rights, duties and +procedure that has grown out of a class bias, at the cost of the +community at large.</p> + +<p>This bias favoring the interests of invested wealth may also, and indeed +it commonly does, take the aggressive form of aggressively forwarding +enterprise in investment abroad, particularly in commercially backward +countries abroad, by extension of the national jurisdiction and the +active countenancing of concessions in foreign<!-- Page 289 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 289]</span> parts, by subventions, +or by creation of offices to bring suitable emoluments to the younger +sons of deserving families. The protective tariffs to which recourse is +sometimes had, are of the same general nature and purpose. Of course, it +is in this latter, aggressive or excursive, issue of the well-to-do bias +in favor of investment and invested wealth that its most pernicious +effect on international relations is traceable.</p> + +<p>Free income, that is to say income not dependent on personal merit or +exertion of any kind, is the breath of life to the kept classes; and as +a corollary of the "First Law of Nature," therefore, the invested wealth +which gives a legally equitable claim to such income has in their eyes +all the sanctity that can be given by Natural Right. Investment—often +spoken of euphemistically as "savings"—is consequently a meritorious +act, conceived to be very serviceable to the community at large, and +properly to be furthered by all available means. Invested wealth is so +much added to the aggregate means at the community's disposal, it is +believed. Of course, in point of fact, income from investment in the +hands of these gentlefolk is a means of tracelessly consuming that much +of the community's yearly product; but to the kept classes, who see the +matter from the point of view of the recipient, the matter does not +present itself in that light. To them it is the breath of life. Like +other honorable men they are faithful to their bread; and by authentic +tradition the common man, in whose disciplined preconceptions the kept +classes are his indispensable betters, is also imbued with the +uncritical faith that the invested wealth which enables these betters +tracelessly to consume a due share of the yearly product is an addition +to the aggregate means in hand.<!-- Page 290 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 290]</span></p> + +<p>The advancement of commercial and other business enterprise beyond the +national frontiers is consequently one of the duties not to be +neglected, and with which no trifling can be tolerated. It is so bound +up with national ideals, under any gentlemanly government, that any +invasion or evasion of the rights of investors in foreign parts, or of +other business involved in dealings with foreign parts, immediately +involves not only the material interest of the nation but the national +honour as well. Hence international jealousies and eventual embroilment.</p> + +<p>The constitutional monarchy that commonly covers a modern democratic +community is accordingly a menace to the common peace, and any pacific +league of neutrals will be laying up trouble and prospective defeat for +itself in allowing such an institution to stand over in any instance. +Acting with a free hand, if such a thing were possible, the projected +league should logically eliminate all monarchical establishments, +constitutional or otherwise, from among its federated nations. It is +doubtless not within reason to look for such a move in the negotiations +that are to initiate the projected league of neutrals; but the point is +called to mind here chiefly as indicating one of the difficult passages +which are to be faced in any attempted formation of such a league, as +well as one of the abiding sources of international irritation with +which the league's jurisdiction will be burdened so long as a decisive +measure of the kind is not taken.</p> + +<p>The logic of the whole matter is simple enough, and the necessary +measures to be taken to remedy it are no less simple—barring +sentimental objections which will probably prove insuperable. A +monarchy, even a sufficiently inane monarchy, carries the burden of a +gentlemanly governmental establishment—a government by and<!-- Page 291 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 291]</span> for the +kept classes; such a government will unavoidably direct the affairs of +state with a view to income on invested wealth, and will see the +material interests of the country only in so far as they present +themselves under the form of investment and business enterprise designed +to eventuate in investment; these are the only forms of material +interest that give rise to international jealousies, discriminations and +misunderstanding, at the same time that they are interests of +individuals only and have no material use or value to the community at +large. Given a monarchical establishment and the concomitant gentlemanly +governmental corps, there is no avoiding this sinister prime mover of +international rivalry, so long as the rights of invested wealth continue +in popular apprehension to be held inviolable.</p> + +<p>Quite obviously there is a certain <i>tu quoque</i> ready to the hand of +these "gentlemen of the old school" who see in the constitutional +monarchy a God-given shelter from the unreserved vulgarisation of life +at the hands of the unblest and unbalanced underbred and underfed. The +formally democratic nations, that have not retained even a +pseudo-dynastic royalty, are not much more fortunately placed in respect +of national discrimination in trade and investment. The American +republic will obviously come into the comparison as the type-form of +economic policy in a democratic commonwealth. There is little to choose +between the economic policy pursued by such republics as France or +America on the one side and their nearest counterparts among the +constitutional monarchies on the other. It is even to be admitted out of +hand that the comparison does no credit to democratic institutions as +seen at work in these republics. They are, in fact, somewhat the crudest +and most singularly foolish in their<!-- Page 292 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_292" id="Page_292">[Pg 292]</a></span> economic policy of any peoples in +Christendom. And in view of the amazing facility with which these +democratic commonwealths are always ready to delude themselves in +everything that touches their national trade policies, it is obvious +that any league of neutrals whose fortunes are in any degree contingent +on their reasonable compliance with a call to neutralise their trade +regulations for the sake of peace, will have need of all the persuasive +power it can bring to bear.</p> + +<p>However, the powers of darkness have one less line of defense to shelter +them and their work of malversation in these commonwealths than in the +constitutional monarchies. The American national establishment, e.g., +which may be taken as a fairly characteristic type-form in this bearing, +is a government of businessmen for business ends; and there is no tabu +of axiomatic gentility or of certified pedigree to hedge about this +working syndicate of business interests. So that it is all nearer by one +remove to the disintegrating touch of the common man and his commonplace +circumstances. The businesslike régime of these democratic politicians +is as undeviating in its advocacy and aid of enterprise in pursuit of +private gain under shelter of national discrimination as the +circumstances will permit; and the circumstances will permit them to do +much and go far; for the limits of popular gullibility in all things +that touch the admirable feats of business enterprise are very wide in +these countries. There is a sentimental popular belief running to the +curious effect that because the citizens of such a commonwealth are +ungraded equals before the law, therefore somehow they can all and +several become wealthy by trading at the expense of their neighbours.<!-- Page 293 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 293]</span></p> + +<p>Yet, the fact remains that there is only the one line of defense in +these countries where the business interests have not the countenance of +a time-honored order of gentlefolk, with the sanction of royalty in the +background. And this fact is further enhanced by one of its immediate +consequences. Proceeding upon the abounding faith which these peoples +have in business enterprise as a universal solvent, the unreserved +venality and greed of their businessmen—unhampered by the gentleman's +<i>noblesse oblige</i>—have pushed the conversion of public law to private +gain farther and more openly here than elsewhere. The outcome has been +divers measures in restraint of trade or in furtherance of profitable +abuses, of such a crass and flagrant character that if once the popular +apprehension is touched by matter-of-fact reflection on the actualities +of this businesslike policy the whole structure should reasonably be +expected to crumble. If the present conjuncture of circumstances should, +e.g., present to the American populace a choice between exclusion from +the neutral league, and a consequent probable and dubious war of +self-defense, on the one hand; as against entrance into the league, and +security at the cost of relinquishing their national tariff in restraint +of trade, on the other hand, it is always possible that the people might +be brought to look their protective tariff in the face and recognise it +for a commonplace conspiracy in restraint of trade, and so decide to +shuffle it out of the way as a good riddance. And the rest of the +Republic's businesslike policy of special favors would in such a case +stand a chance of going in the discard along with the protective tariff, +since the rest is of substantially the same disingenuous character.<!-- Page 294 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_294" id="Page_294">[Pg 294]</a></span></p> + +<p>Not that anyone need entertain a confident expectation of such an +exploit of common sense on the part of the American voters. There is +little encouragement for such a hope in their past career of gullibility +on this head. But this is again a point of difficulty to be faced in +negotiations looking to such a pacific league of neutrals. Without a +somewhat comprehensive neutralisation of national trade regulations, the +outlook for lasting peace would be reduced by that much; there would be +so much material for international jealousy and misunderstanding left +standing over and requiring continued readjustment and compromise, +always with the contingency of a breach that much nearer. The +infatuation of the Americans with their protective tariff and other +businesslike discriminations is a sufficiently serious matter in this +connection, and it is always possible that their inability to give up +this superstition might lead to their not adhering to this projected +neutral league. Yet it is at least to be said that the longer the time +that passes before active measures are taken toward the organisation of +such a league—that is to say, in effect, the longer the great war +lasts—the more amenable is the temper of the Americans likely to be, +and the more reluctantly would they see themselves excluded. Should the +war be protracted to some such length as appears to be promised by +latterday pronunciamentos from the belligerents, or to something +passably approaching such a duration; and should the Imperial designs +and anomalous diplomacy of Japan continue to force themselves on the +popular attention at the present rate; at the same time that the +operations in Europe continue to demonstrate the excessive cost of +defense against a well devised and resolute offensive; then it should +reasonably be expected that the Americans might come to<!-- Page 295 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 295]</span> such a +realisation of their own case as to let no minor considerations of trade +discrimination stand in the way of their making common cause with the +other pacific nations.</p> + +<p>It appears already to be realised in the most responsible quarter that +America needs the succor of the other pacific nations, with a need that +is not to be put away or put off; as it is also coming to be realised +that the Imperial Powers are disturbers of the peace, by force of their +Imperial character. Of course, the politicians who seek their own +advantage in the nation's embarrassment are commonly unable to see the +matter in that light. But it is also apparent that the popular sentiment +is affected with the same apprehension, more and more as time passes and +the aims and methods of the Imperial Powers become more patent.</p> + +<p>Hitherto the spokesmen of a pacific federation of nations have spoken +for a league of such an (indeterminate) constitution as to leave all the +federated nations undisturbed in all their conduct of their own affairs, +domestic or international; probably for want of second thought as to the +complications of copartnership between them in so grave and unwonted an +enterprise. They have also spoken of America's share in the project as +being that of an interested outsider, whose interest in any +precautionary measures of this kind is in part a regard for his own +tranquility as a disinterested neighbour, but in greater part a humane +solicitude for the well-being of civilised mankind at large. In this +view, somewhat self-complacent it is to be admitted, America is +conceived to come into the case as initiator and guide, about whom the +pacific nations are to cluster as some sort of queen-bee.</p> + +<p>Now, there is not a little verisimilitude in this conception of America +as a sort of central office and a tower<!-- Page 296 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 296]</span> of strength in the projected +federation of neutral nations, however pharisaical an appearance it may +all have in the self-complacent utterances of patriotic Americans. The +American republic is, after all, the greatest of the pacific nations of +Christendom, in resources, population and industrial capacity; and it is +also not to be denied that the temper of this large population is, on +the whole, as pacific as that of any considerable people—outside of +China. The adherence of the American republic would, in effect, double +the mass and powers of the projected league, and would so place it +beyond all hazard of defeat from without, or even of serious outside +opposition to its aims.</p> + +<p>Yet it will not hold true that America is either disinterested or +indispensable. The unenviable position of the indispensable belongs to +the United Kingdom, and carries with it the customary suspicion of +interested motives that attaches to the stronger party in a bargain. To +America, on the other hand, the league is indispensable, as a refuge +from otherwise inevitable dangers ahead; and it is only a question of a +moderate allowance of time for the American voters to realise that +without an adequate copartnership with the other pacific nations the +outlook of the Republic is altogether precarious. Single-handed, America +can not defend itself, except at a prohibitive cost; whereas in +copartnership with these others the national defense becomes a virtually +negligible matter. It is for America a choice between a policy of +extravagant armament and aggressive diplomacy, with a doubtful issue, on +the one side, and such abatement of national pretensions as would +obviate bootless contention, on the other side.<!-- Page 297 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 297]</span></p> + +<p>Yet, it must be admitted, the patriotic temper of the American people is +of such a susceptible kind as to leave the issue in doubt. Not that the +Americans will not endeavor to initiate some form of compact for the +keeping of the peace, when hostilities are concluded; barring unforeseen +contingencies, it is virtually a foregone conclusion that the attempt +will be made, and that the Americans will take an active part in its +promotion. But the doubt is as to their taking such a course as will +lead to a compact of the kind needed to safeguard the peace of the +country. The business interests have much to say in the counsels of the +Americans, and these business interests look to short-term +gains—American business interests particularly—to be derived from the +country's necessities. It is likely to appear that the business +interests, through representatives in Congress and elsewhere, will +disapprove of any peace compact that does not involve an increase of the +national armament and a prospective demand for munitions and an +increased expenditure of the national funds.</p> + +<p>With or without the adherence of America, the pacific nations of Europe +will doubtless endeavour to form a league or alliance designed to keep +the peace. If America does not come into the arrangement it may well +come to nothing much more than a further continued defensive alliance of +the belligerent nations now opposed to the German coalition. In any case +it is still a point in doubt whether the league so projected is to be +merely a compact of defensive armament against a common enemy—in which +case it will necessarily be transient, perhaps ephemeral—or a more +inclusive coalition of a closer character designed to avoid any breach +of the peace, by disarmament and by disallowance and disclaimer of such +national pre<!-- Page 298 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 298]</span>tensions and punctilio as the patriotic sentiment of the +contracting parties will consent to dispense with. The nature of the +resulting peace, therefore, as well as its chances of duration, will in +great measure be conditioned on the fashion of peace-compact on which it +is to rest; which will be conditioned in good part on the degree in +which the warlike coalition under German Imperial control is effectually +to be eliminated from the situation as a prospective disturber of the +peace; which, in turn, is a question somewhat closely bound up with the +further duration of the war, as has already been indicated in an earlier +passage.<!-- Page 299 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_299" id="Page_299">[Pg 299]</a></span></p> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h4><a name="CHAPTER_VII" id="CHAPTER_VII"></a>CHAPTER VII</h4> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">Peace and the Price System</span></p> + + +<p>Evidently the conception of peace on which its various spokesmen are +proceeding is by no means the same for all of them. In the current +German conception, e.g., as seen in the utterances of its many and +urgent spokesmen, peace appears to be of the general nature of a truce +between nations, whose God-given destiny it is, in time, to adjust a +claim to precedence by wager of battle. They will sometimes speak of it, +euphemistically, with a view to conciliation, as "assurance of the +national future," in which the national future is taken to mean an +opportunity for the extension of the national dominion at the expense of +some other national establishment. In the same connection one may recall +the many eloquent passages on the State and its paramount place and +value in the human economy. The State is useful for disturbing the +peace. This German notion may confidently be set down as the lowest of +the current conceptions of peace; or perhaps rather as the notion of +peace reduced to the lowest terms at which it continues to be +recognisable as such. Next beyond in that direction lies the notion of +armistice; which differs from this conception of peace chiefly in +connoting specifically a definite and relatively short interval between +warlike operations.</p> + +<p>The conception of peace as being a period of preparation for war has +many adherents outside the Fatherland,<!-- Page 300 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 300]</span> of course. Indeed, it has +probably a wider vogue and a readier acceptance among men who interest +themselves in questions of peace and war than any other. It goes hand in +hand with that militant nationalism that is taken for granted, +conventionally, as the common ground of those international relations +that play a part in diplomatic intercourse. It is the diplomatist's +<i>métier</i> to talk war in parables of peace. This conception of peace as a +precarious interval of preparation has come down to the present out of +the feudal age and is, of course, best at home where the feudal range of +preconceptions has suffered least dilapidation; and it carries the +feudalistic presumption that all national establishments are competitors +for dominion, after the scheme of Macchiavelli. The peace which is had +on this footing, within the realm, is a peace of subjection, more or +less pronounced according as the given national establishment is more or +less on the militant order; a warlike organisation being necessarily of +a servile character, in the same measure in which it is warlike.</p> + +<p>In much the same measure and with much the same limitations as the +modern democratic nations have departed from the feudal system of civil +relations and from the peculiar range of conceptions which characterise +that system, they have also come in for a new or revised conception of +peace. Instead of its being valued chiefly as a space of time in which +to prepare for war, offensive or defensive, among these democratic and +provisionally pacific nations it has come to stand in the common +estimation as the normal and stable manner of life, good and commendable +in its own right. These modern, pacific, commonwealths stand on the +defensive, habitually. They are still pugnaciously national, but they +have unlearned so much of the feudal preconceptions as to leave them in<!-- Page 301 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 301]</span> +a defensive attitude, under the watch-word: Peace with honour. Their +quasi-feudalistic national prestige is not to be trifled with, though it +has lost so much of its fascination as ordinarily not to serve the +purposes of an aggressive enterprise, at least not without some shrewd +sophistication at the hands of militant politicians and their diplomatic +agents. Of course, an exuberant patriotism may now and again take on the +ancient barbarian vehemence and lead such a provisionally pacific nation +into an aggressive raid against a helpless neighbour; but it remains +characteristically true, after all, that these peoples look on the +country's peace as the normal and ordinary course of things, which each +nation is to take care of for itself and by its own force.</p> + +<p>The ideal of the nineteenth-century statesmen was to keep the peace by a +balance of power; an unstable equilibrium of rivalries, in which it was +recognised that eternal vigilance was the price of peace by +equilibration. Since then, by force of the object-lesson of the +twentieth-century wars, it has become evident that eternal vigilance +will no longer keep the peace by equilibration, and the balance of power +has become obsolete. At the same time things have so turned that an +effective majority of the civilised nations now see their advantage in +peace, without further opportunity to seek further dominion. These +nations have also been falling into the shape of commonwealths, and so +have lost something of their national spirit.</p> + +<p>With much reluctant hesitation and many misgivings, the statesmen of +these pacific nations are accordingly busying themselves with schemes +for keeping the peace on the unfamiliar footing of a stable equilibrium; +the method preferred on the whole being an equilibration of +make-believe, in imitation of the obsolete balance of power.<!-- Page 302 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 302]</span> There is a +meticulous regard for national jealousies and discriminations, which it +is thought necessary to keep intact. Of course, on any one of these +slightly diversified plans of keeping the peace on a stable footing of +copartnery among the pacific nations, national jealousies and national +integrity no longer have any substantial meaning. But statesmen think +and plan in terms of precedent; which comes to thinking and planning in +terms of make-believe, when altered circumstances have made the +precedents obsolete. So one comes to the singular proposal of the +statesmen, that the peace is to be kept in concert among these pacific +nations by a provision of force with which to break it at will. The +peace that is to be kept on this footing of national discriminations and +national armaments will necessarily be of a precarious kind; being, in +effect, a statesmanlike imitation of the peace as it was once kept even +more precariously by the pacific nations in severalty.</p> + +<p>Hitherto the movement toward peace has not gone beyond this conception +of it, as a collusive safeguarding of national discrepancies by force of +arms. Such a peace is necessarily precarious, partly because armed force +is useful for breaking the peace, partly because the national +discrepancies, by which these current peace-makers set such store, are a +constant source of embroilment. What the peace-makers might logically be +expected to concern themselves about would be the elimination of these +discrepancies that make for embroilment. But what they actually seem +concerned about is their preservation. A peace by collusive neglect of +those remnants of feudalistic make-believe that still serve to divide +the pacific nations has hitherto not seriously come under advisement.<!-- Page 303 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_303" id="Page_303">[Pg 303]</a></span></p> + +<p>Evidently, hitherto, and for the calculable future, peace is a relative +matter, a matter of more or less, whichever of the several working +conceptions spoken of above may rule the case. Evidently, too, a peace +designed to strengthen the national establishment against eventual war, +will count to a different effect from a collusive peace of a defensive +kind among the pacific peoples, designed by its projectors to conserve +those national discrepancies on which patriotic statesmen like to dwell. +Different from both would be the value of a peace by neglect of such +useless national discriminations as now make for embroilment. A +protracted season of peace should logically have a somewhat different +cultural value according to the character of the public policy to be +pursued under its cover. So that a safe and sane conservation of the +received law and order should presumably best be effected under cover of +a collusive peace of the defensive kind, which is designed to retain +those national discrepancies intact that count for so much in the +national life of today, both as a focus of patriotic sentiment and as an +outlet for national expenditures. This plan would involve the least +derangement of the received order among the democratic peoples, although +the plan might itself undergo some change in the course of time.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Among the singularities of the latterday situation, in this connection, +and brought out by the experiences of the great war, is a close +resemblance between latterday warlike operations and the ordinary +processes of industry. Modern warfare and modern industry alike are +carried on by technological processes subject to surveillance and +direction by mechanical engineers, or perhaps rather experts in +engineering science of the mechanistic kind.<!-- Page 304 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 304]</span> War is not now a matter of +the stout heart and strong arm. Not that these attributes do not have +their place and value in modern warfare; but they are no longer the +chief or decisive factors in the case. The exploits that count in this +warfare are technological exploits; exploits of technological science, +industrial appliances, and technological training. As has been remarked +before, it is no longer a gentlemen's war, and the gentleman, as such, +is no better than a marplot in the game as it is played.</p> + +<p>Certain consequences follow from this state of the case. Technology and +industrial experience, in large volume and at a high proficiency, are +indispensable to the conduct of war on the modern plan, as well as a +large, efficient and up-to-date industrial community and industrial +plant to supply the necessary material of this warfare. At the same time +the discipline of the campaign, as it impinges on the rank and file as +well as on the very numerous body of officers and technicians, is not at +cross purposes with the ordinary industrial employments of peace, or not +in the same degree as has been the case in the past, even in the recent +past. The experience of the campaign does not greatly unfit the men who +survive for industrial uses; nor does it come in as a sheer interruption +of their industrial training, or break the continuity of that range of +habits of thought which modern industry of the technological order +induces; not in the same degree as was the case under the conditions of +war as carried on in the nineteenth century. The cultural, and +particularly the technological, incidence of this modern warfare should +evidently be appreciably different from what has been experienced in the +past, and from what this past experience has induced students of these +matters to look for among the psychological effects of warlike +experience.<!-- Page 305 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 305]</span></p> + +<p>It remains true that the discipline of the campaign, however impersonal +it may tend to become, still inculcates personal subordination and +unquestioning obedience; and yet the modern tactics and methods of +fighting bear somewhat more on the individual's initiative, discretion, +sagacity and self-possession than once would have been true. Doubtless +the men who come out of this great war, the common men, will bring home +an accentuated and acrimonious patriotism, a venomous hatred of the +enemies whom they have missed killing; but it may reasonably be doubted +if they come away with a correspondingly heightened admiration and +affection for their betters who have failed to make good as foremen in +charge of this teamwork in killing. The years of the war have been +trying to the reputation of officials and officers, who have had to meet +uncharted exigencies with not much better chance of guessing the way +through than their subalterns have had.</p> + +<p>By and large, it is perhaps not to be doubted that the populace now +under arms will return from the experience of the war with some net gain +in loyalty to the nation's honour and in allegiance to their masters; +particularly the German subjects,—the like is scarcely true for the +British; but a doubt will present itself as to the magnitude of this net +gain in subordination, or this net loss in self-possession. A doubt may +be permitted as to whether the common man in the countries of the +Imperial coalition, e.g., will, as the net outcome of this war +experience, be in a perceptibly more pliable frame of mind as touches +his obligations toward his betters and subservience to the irresponsible +authority exercised by the various governmental agencies, than he was at +the outbreak of the war. At that time, there is reason to believe, there +was an ominous, though scarcely threatening, murmur of dis<!-- Page 306 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_306" id="Page_306">[Pg 306]</a></span>content +beginning to be heard among the working classes of the industrial towns. +It is fair to presume, however, that the servile discipline of the +service and the vindictive patriotism bred of the fight should combine +to render the populace of the Fatherland more amenable to the +irresponsible rule of the Imperial dynasty and its subaltern royal +establishments, in spite of any slight effect of a contrary character +exercised by the training in technological methods and in self-reliance, +with which this discipline of the service has been accompanied. As to +the case of the British population, under arms or under compulsion of +necessity at home, something has already been said in an earlier +passage; and much will apparently depend, in their case, on the further +duration of the war. The case of the other nationalities involved, both +neutrals and belligerents, is even more obscure in this bearing, but it +is also of less immediate consequence for the present argument.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>The essentially feudal virtues of loyalty and bellicose patriotism would +appear to have gained their great ascendency over all men's spirit +within the Western civilisation by force of the peculiarly consistent +character of the discipline of life under feudal conditions, whether in +war or peace; and to the same uniformity of these forces that shaped the +workday habits of thought among the feudal nations is apparently due +that profound institutionalisation of the preconceptions of patriotism +and loyalty, by force of which these preconceptions still hold the +modern peoples in an unbreakable web of prejudice, after the conditions +favoring their acquirement have in great part ceased to operate. These +preconceptions of national solidarity and international enmity have come +down from<!-- Page 307 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 307]</span> the past as an integral part of the unwritten constitution +underlying all these modern nations, even those which have departed most +widely from the manner of life to which the peoples owe these ancient +preconceptions. Hitherto, or rather until recent times, the workday +experience of these peoples has not seriously worked at cross purposes +with the patriotic spirit and its bias of national animosity; and what +discrepancy there has effectively been between the discipline of workday +life and the received institutional preconceptions on this head, has +hitherto been overborne by the unremitting inculcation of these virtues +by interested politicians, priests and publicists, who speak habitually +for the received order of things.</p> + +<p>That order of things which is known on its political and civil side as +the feudal system, together with that era of the dynastic States which +succeeds the feudal age technically so called, was, on its industrial or +technological side, a system of trained man-power organised on a plan of +subordination of man to man. On the whole, the scheme and logic of that +life, whether in its political (warlike) or its industrial doings, +whether in war or peace, runs on terms of personal capacity, proficiency +and relations. The organisation of the forces engaged and the +constraining rules according to which this organisation worked, were of +the nature of personal relations, and the impersonal factors in the case +were taken for granted. Politics and war were a field for personal +valor, force and cunning, in practical effect a field for personal force +and fraud. Industry was a field in which the routine of life, and its +outcome, turned on "the skill, dexterity and judgment of the individual +workman," in the words of Adam Smith.<!-- Page 308 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 308]</span></p> + +<p>The feudal age passed, being done to death by handicraft industry, +commercial traffic, gunpowder, and the state-making politicians. But the +political States of the statemakers, the dynastic States as they may +well be called, continued the conduct of political life on the personal +plane of rivalry and jealousy between dynasties and between their +States; and in spite of gunpowder and the new military engineering, +warfare continued also to be, in the main and characteristically, a +field in which man-power and personal qualities decided the outcome, by +virtue of personal "skill, dexterity and judgment." Meantime industry +and its technology by insensible degrees underwent a change in the +direction of impersonalisation, particularly in those countries in which +state-making and its warlike enterprise had ceased, or were ceasing, to +be the chief interests and the controlling preconception of the people.</p> + +<p>The logic of the new, mechanical industry which has supplanted +handicraft in these countries, is a mechanistic logic, which proceeds in +terms of matter-of-fact strains, masses, velocities, and the like, +instead of the "skill, dexterity and judgment" of personal agents. The +new industry does not dispense with the personal agencies, nor can it +even be said to minimise the need of skill, dexterity and judgment in +the personal agents employed, but it does take them and their attributes +for granted as in some sort a foregone premise to its main argument. The +logic of the handicraft system took the impersonal agencies for granted; +the machine industry takes the skill, dexterity and judgment of the +workmen for granted. The processes of thought, and therefore the +consistent habitual discipline, of the former ran in terms of the +personal agents engaged, and of the personal relations of discretion, +control and<!-- Page 309 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 309]</span> subordination necessary to the work; whereas the +mechanistic logic of the modern technology, more and more consistently, +runs in terms of the impersonal forces engaged, and inculcates an +habitual predilection for matter-of-fact statement, and an habitual +preconception that the findings of material science alone are +conclusive.</p> + +<p>In those nations that have made up the advance guard of Western +civilisation in its movement out of feudalism, the disintegrating effect +of this matter-of-fact animus inculcated by the later state of the +industrial arts has apparently acted effectively, in some degree, to +discredit those preconceptions of personal discrimination on which +dynastic rule is founded. But in no case has the discipline of this +mechanistic technology yet wrought its perfect work or come to a +definitive conclusion. Meantime war and politics have on the whole +continued on the ancient plane; it may perhaps be fair to say that +politics has so continued because warlike enterprise has continued still +to be a matter of such personal forces as skill, dexterity and judgment, +valor and cunning, personal force and fraud. Latterly, gradually, but +increasingly, the technology of war, too, has been shifting to the +mechanistic plane; until in the latest phases of it, somewhere about the +turn of the century, it is evident that the logic of warfare too has +come to be the same mechanistic logic that makes the modern state of the +industrial arts.</p> + +<p>What, if anything, is due by consequence to overtake the political +strategy and the political preconceptions of the new century, is a +question that will obtrude itself, though with scant hope of finding a +ready answer. It may even seem a rash, as well as an ungraceful, +undertaking to inquire into the possible manner and degree of +prospective decay to which the received political ideals and virtues<!-- Page 310 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_310" id="Page_310">[Pg 310]</a></span> +would appear to be exposed by consequence of this derangement of the +ancient discipline to which men have been subjected. So much, however, +would seem evident, that the received virtues and ideals of patriotic +animosity and national jealousy can best be guarded against untimely +decay by resolutely holding to the formal observance of all outworn +punctilios of national integrity and discrimination, in spite of their +increasing disserviceability,—as would be done, e.g., or at least +sought to be done, in the installation of a league of neutral nations to +keep the peace and at the same time to safeguard those "national +interests" whose only use is to divide these nations and keep them in a +state of mutual envy and distrust.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Those peoples who are subject to the constraining governance of this +modern state of the industrial arts, as all modern peoples are in much +the same measure in which they are "modern," are, therefore, exposed to +a workday discipline running at cross purposes with the received law and +order as it takes effect in national affairs; and to this is to be added +that, with warlike enterprise also shifted to this same +mechanistic-technological ground, war can no longer be counted on so +confidently as before to correct all the consequent drift away from the +ancient landmarks of dynastic, pseudo-dynastic, and national enterprise +in dominion.</p> + +<p>As has been noted above, modern warfare not only makes use of, and +indeed depends on, the modern industrial technology at every turn of the +operations in the field, but it draws on the ordinary industrial +resources of the countries at war in a degree and with an urgency never +equalled. No nation can hope to make a stand in modern warfare, much +less to make headway in warlike<!-- Page 311 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 311]</span> enterprise, without the most +thoroughgoing exploitation of the modern industrial arts. Which +signifies for the purpose in hand that any Power that harbors an +imperial ambition must take measures to let its underlying population +acquire the ways and means of the modern machine industry, without +reservation; which in turn signifies that popular education must be +taken care of to such an extent as may be serviceable in this manner of +industry and in the manner of life which this industrial system +necessarily imposes; which signifies, of course, that only the +thoroughly trained and thoroughly educated nations have a chance of +holding their place as formidable Powers in this latterday phase of +civilisation. What is needed is the training and education that go to +make proficiency in the modern fashion of technology and in those +material sciences that conduce to technological proficiency of this +modern order. It is a matter of course that in these premises any +appreciable illiteracy is an intolerable handicap. So is also any +training which discourages habitual self-reliance and initiative, or +which acts as a check on skepticism; for the skeptical frame of mind is +a necessary part of the intellectual equipment that makes for advance, +invention and understanding in the field of technological proficiency.</p> + +<p>But these requirements, imperatively necessary as a condition of warlike +success, are at cross purposes with that unquestioning respect of +persons and that spirit of abnegation that alone can hold a people to +the political institutions of the old order and make them a willing +instrument in the hands of the dynastic statesmen. The dynastic State is +apparently caught in a dilemma. The necessary preparation for warlike +enterprise on the modern plan can apparently be counted on, in the long +run, to disintegrate the<!-- Page 312 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 312]</span> foundations of the dynastic State. But it is +only in the long run that this effect can be counted on; and it is +perhaps not securely to be counted on even in a moderately long run of +things as they have run hitherto, if due precautions are taken by the +interested statesmen,—as would seem to be indicated by the successful +conservation of archaic traits in the German peoples during the past +half century under the archaising rule of the Hohenzollern. It is a +matter of habituation, which takes time, and which can at the same time +be neutralised in some degree by indoctrination.</p> + +<p>Still, when all is told, it will probably have to be conceded that, +e.g., such a nation as Russia will fall under this rule of inherent +disability imposed by the necessary use of the modern industrial arts. +Without a fairly full and free command of these modern industrial +methods on the part of the Russian people, together with the virtual +disappearance of illiteracy, and with the facile and far-reaching system +of communication which it all involves, the Russian Imperial +establishment would not be a formidable power or a serious menace to the +pacific nations; and it is not easy to imagine how the Imperial +establishment could retain its hold and its character under the +conditions indicated.</p> + +<p>The case of Japan, taken by itself, rests on somewhat similar lines as +these others. In time, and in this case the time-allowance should +presumably not be anything very large, the Japanese people are likely to +get an adequate command of the modern technology; which would, here as +elsewhere, involve the virtual disappearance of the present high +illiteracy, and the loss, in some passable measure, of the current +superstitiously crass nationalism of that people. There are indications +that something of<!-- Page 313 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_313" id="Page_313">[Pg 313]</a></span> that kind, and of quite disquieting dimensions, is +already under way; though with no indication that any consequent +disintegrating habits of thought have yet invaded the sacred close of +Japanese patriotic devotion.</p> + +<p>Again, it is a question of time and habituation. With time and +habituation the emperor may insensibly cease to be of divine pedigree, +and the syndicate of statesmen who are doing business under his +signature may consequently find their measures of Imperial expansion +questioned by the people who pay the bills. But so long as the Imperial +syndicate enjoy their present immunity from outside obstruction, and can +accordingly carry on an uninterrupted campaign of cumulative predation +in Korea, China and Manchuria, the patriotic infatuation is less likely +to fall off, and by so much the decay of Japanese loyalty will be +retarded. Yet, even if allowed anything that may seem at all probable in +the way of a free hand for aggression against their hapless neighbours, +the skepticism and insubordination to personal rule that seems +inseparable in the long run from addiction to the modern industrial arts +should be expected presently to overtake the Japanese spirit of loyal +servitude. And the opportunity of Imperial Japan lies in the interval. +So also does the menace of Imperial Japan as a presumptive disturber of +the peace at large.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>At the cost of some unavoidable tedium, the argument as regards these +and similar instances may be summarised. It appears, in the (possibly +doubtful) light of the history of democratic institutions and of modern +technology hitherto, as also from the logical character of this +technology and its underlying material sciences, that consistent +addiction to the peculiar habits of thought involved in its<!-- Page 314 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 314]</span> carrying on +will presently induce a decay of those preconceptions in which dynastic +government and national ambitions have their ground. Continued addiction +to this modern scheme of industrial life should in time eventuate in a +decay of militant nationalism, with a consequent lapse of warlike +enterprise. At the same time, popular proficiency in the modern +industrial arts, with all that that implies in the way of intelligence +and information, is indispensable as a means to any successful warlike +enterprise on the modern plan. The menace of warlike aggression from +such dynastic States, e.g., as Imperial Germany and Imperial Japan is +due to their having acquired a competent use of this modern technology, +while they have not yet had time to lose that spirit of dynastic loyalty +which they have carried over from an archaic order of things, out of +which they have emerged at a very appreciably later period (last half of +the nineteenth century) than those democratic peoples whose peace they +now menace. As has been said, they have taken over this modern state of +the industrial arts without having yet come in for the defects of its +qualities. This modern technology, with its underlying material +sciences, is a novel factor in the history of human culture, in that +addiction to its use conduces to the decay of militant patriotism, at +the same time that its employment so greatly enhances the warlike +efficiency of even a pacific people, at need, that they can not be +seriously molested by any other peoples, however valorous and numerous, +who have not a competent use of this technology. A peace at large among +the civilised nations, by loss of the militant temper through addiction +to this manner of arts of peace, therefore, carries no risk of +interruption by an inroad of warlike barbarians,—always provided that +those existing archaic peoples who might pass<!-- Page 315 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_315" id="Page_315">[Pg 315]</a></span> muster as barbarians are +brought into line with the pacific nations on a footing of peace and +equality. The disparity in point of outlook as between the resulting +peace at large by neglect of bootless animosities, on the one hand, and +those historic instances of a peaceable civilisation that have been +overwhelmed by warlike barbarian invasions, on the other hand, should be +evident.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>It is always possible, indeed it would scarcely be surprising to find, +that the projected league of neutrals or of nations bent on peace can +not be brought to realisation at this juncture; perhaps not for a long +time yet. But it should at the same time seem reasonable to expect that +the drift toward a peaceable settlement of national discrepancies such +as has been visible in history for some appreciable time past will, in +the absence of unforeseen hindrances, work out to some such effect in +the course of further experience under modern conditions. And whether +the projected peace compact at its inception takes one form or another, +provided it succeeds in its main purpose, the long-term drift of things +under its rule should logically set toward some ulterior settlement of +the general character of what has here been spoken of as a peace by +neglect or by neutralisation of discrepancies.</p> + +<p>It should do so, in the absence of unforeseen contingencies; more +particularly if there were no effectual factor of dissension included in +the fabric of institutions within the nation. But there should also, +e.g., be no difficulty in assenting to the forecast that when and if +national peace and security are achieved and settled beyond recall, the +discrepancy in fact between those who own the country's wealth and those +who do not is presently due to come to an issue. Any attempt to forecast +the form which this<!-- Page 316 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 316]</span> issue is to take, or the manner, incidents, +adjuncts and sequelae of its determination, would be a bolder and a more +ambiguous, undertaking. Hitherto attempts to bring this question to an +issue have run aground on the real or fancied jeopardy to paramount +national interests. How, if at all, this issue might affect national +interests and international relations, would obviously depend in the +first instance on the state of the given national establishment and the +character of the international engagements entered into in the formation +of this projected pacific league. It is always conceivable that the +transactions involving so ubiquitous an issue might come to take on an +international character and that they might touch the actual or fanciful +interests of these diverse nations with such divergent effect as to +bring on a rupture of the common understanding between them and of the +peace-compact in which the common understanding is embodied.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>In the beginning, that is to say in the beginnings out of which this +modern era of the Western civilisation has arisen, with its scheme of +law and custom, there grew into the scheme of law and custom, by settled +usage, a right of ownership and of contract in disposal of +ownership,—which may or may not have been a salutary institutional +arrangement on the whole, under the circumstances of the early days. +With the later growth of handicraft and the petty trade in Western +Europe this right of ownership and contract came to be insisted on, +standardised under legal specifications, and secured against molestation +by the governmental interests; more particularly and scrupulously among +those peoples that have taken the lead in working out that system of +free or popular institutions that marks the modern civilised nations. So +it<!-- Page 317 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 317]</span> has come to be embodied in the common law of the modern world as an +inviolable natural right. It has all the prescriptive force of legally +authenticated immemorial custom.</p> + +<p>Under the system of handicraft and petty trade this right of property +and free contract served the interest of the common man, at least in +much of its incidence, and acted in its degree to shelter industrious +and economical persons from hardship and indignity at the hands of their +betters. There seems reason to believe, as is commonly believed, that so +long as that relatively direct and simple scheme of industry and trade +lasted, the right of ownership and contract was a salutary custom, in +its bearing on the fortunes of the common man. It appears also, on the +whole, to have been favorable to the fuller development of the +handicraft technology, as well as to its eventual outgrowth into the new +line of technological expedients and contrivances that presently gave +rise to the machine industry and the large-scale business enterprise.</p> + +<p>The standard theories of economic science have assumed the rights of +property and contract as axiomatic premises and ultimate terms of +analysis; and their theories are commonly drawn in such a form as would +fit the circumstances of the handicraft industry and the petty trade, +and such as can be extended to any other economic situation by shrewd +interpretation. These theories, as they run from Adam Smith down through +the nineteenth century and later, appear tenable, on the whole, when +taken to apply to the economic situation of that earlier time, in +virtually all that they have to say on questions of wages, capital, +savings, and the economy and efficiency of management and production by +the methods of private enterprise resting on these rights of ownership +and contract and<!-- Page 318 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 318]</span> governed by the pursuit of private gain. It is when +these standard theories are sought to be applied to the later situation, +which has outgrown the conditions of handicraft, that they appear +nugatory or meretricious. The "competitive system" which these standard +theories assume as a necessary condition of their own validity, and +about which they are designed to form a defensive hedge, would, under +those earlier conditions of small-scale enterprise and personal contact, +appear to have been both a passably valid assumption as a premise and a +passably expedient scheme of economic relations and traffic. At that +period of its life-history it can not be said consistently to have +worked hardship to the common man; rather the reverse. And the common +man in that time appears to have had no misgivings about the excellence +of the scheme or of that article of Natural Rights that underlies it.</p> + +<p>This complexion of things, as touches the effectual bearing of the +institution of property and the ancient customary rights of ownership, +has changed substantially since the time of Adam Smith. The "competitive +system," which he looked to as the economic working-out of that "simple +and obvious system of natural liberty" that always engaged his best +affections, has in great measure ceased to operate as a routine of +natural liberty, in fact; particularly in so far as touches the fortunes +of the common man, the impecunious mass of the people. <i>De jure</i>, of +course, the competitive system and its inviolable rights of ownership +are a citadel of Natural Liberty; but <i>de facto</i> the common man is now, +and has for some time been, feeling the pinch of it. It is law, and +doubtless it is good law, grounded in immemorial usage and authenticated +with statute and precedent. But circumstances have so chang<!-- Page 319 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_319" id="Page_319">[Pg 319]</a></span>ed that this +good old plan has in a degree become archaic, perhaps unprofitable, or +even mischievous, on the whole, and especially as touches the conditions +of life for the common man. At least, so the common man in these modern +democratic and commercial countries is beginning to apprehend the +matter.</p> + +<p>Some slight and summary characterisation of these changing circumstances +that have affected the incidence of the rights of property during modern +times may, therefore, not be out of place; with a view to seeing how far +and why these rights may be due to come under advisement and possible +revision, in case a state of settled peace should leave men's attention +free to turn to these internal, as contrasted with national interests.</p> + +<p>Under that order of handicraft and petty trade that led to the +standardisation of these rights of ownership in the accentuated form +which belongs to them in modern law and custom, the common man had a +practicable chance of free initiative and self-direction in his choice +and pursuit of an occupation and a livelihood, in so far as rights of +ownership bore on his case. At that period the workman was the main +factor in industry and, in the main and characteristically, the question +of his employment was a question of what he would do. The material +equipment of industry—the "plant," as it has come to be called—was +subject of ownership, then as now; but it was then a secondary factor +and, notoriously, subsidiary to the immaterial equipment of skill, +dexterity and judgment embodied in the person of the craftsman. The body +of information, or general knowledge, requisite to a workmanlike +proficiency as handicraftsman was sufficiently slight and simple to fall +within the ordinary reach of the working class, without special +schooling; and the material<!-- Page 320 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_320" id="Page_320">[Pg 320]</a></span> equipment necessary to the work, in the way +of tools and appliances, was also slight enough, ordinarily, to bring it +within the reach of the common man. The stress fell on the acquirement +of that special personal skill, dexterity and judgment that would +constitute the workman a master of his craft. Given a reasonable measure +of pertinacity, the common man would be able to compass the material +equipment needful to the pursuit of his craft, and so could make his way +to a livelihood; and the inviolable right of ownership would then serve +to secure him the product of his own industry, in provision for his own +old-age and for a fair start in behalf of his children. At least in the +popular conception, and presumably in some degree also in fact, the +right of property so served as a guarantee of personal liberty and a +basis of equality. And so its apologists still look on the institution.</p> + +<p>In a very appreciable degree this complexion of things and of popular +conceptions has changed since then; although, as would be expected, the +change in popular conceptions has not kept pace with the changing +circumstances. In all the characteristic and controlling lines of +industry the modern machine technology calls for a very considerable +material equipment; so large an equipment, indeed, that this plant, as +it is called, always represents a formidable amount of invested wealth; +and also so large that it will, typically, employ a considerable number +of workmen per unit of plant. On the transition to the machine +technology the plant became the unit of operation, instead of the +workman, as had previously been the case; and with the further +development of this modern technology, during the past hundred and fifty +years or so, the unit of operation and control has increasingly come to +be not the individual or isolated plant but rather an articulated group +<!-- Page 321 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 321]</span> +of such plants working together as a balanced system and keeping pace in +common, under a collective business management; and coincidently the +individual workman has been falling into the position of an auxiliary +factor, nearly into that of an article of supply, to be charged up as an +item of operating expenses. Under this later and current system, +discretion and initiative vest not in the workman but in the owners of +the plant, if anywhere. So that at this point the right of ownership has +ceased to be, in fact, a guarantee of personal liberty to the common +man, and has come to be, or is coming to be, a guarantee of dependence. +All of which engenders a feeling of unrest and insecurity, such as to +instill a doubt in the mind of the common man as to the continued +expediency of this arrangement and of the prescriptive rights of +property on which the arrangement rests.</p> + +<p>There is also an insidious suggestion, carrying a sinister note of +discredit, that comes in from ethnological science at this point; which +is adapted still further to derange the common man's faith in this +received institution of ownership and its control of the material +equipment of industry. To students interested in human culture it is a +matter of course that this material equipment is a means of utilising +the state of the industrial arts; that it is useful in industry and +profitable to its owners only because and in so far as it is a creation +of the current technological knowledge and enables its owner to +appropriate the usufruct of the current industrial arts. It is likewise +a matter of course that this technological knowledge, that so enables +the material equipment to serve the purposes of production and of +private gain, is a free gift of the community at large to the owners of +industrial plant;<!-- Page 322 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_322" id="Page_322">[Pg 322]</a></span> and, under latterday conditions, to them exclusively. +The state of the industrial arts is a joint heritage of the community at +large, but where, as in the modern countries, the work to be done by +this technology requires a large material equipment, the usufruct of +this joint heritage passes, in effect, into the hands of the owners of +this large material equipment.</p> + +<p>These owners have, ordinarily, contributed nothing to the technology, +the state of the industrial arts, from which their control of the +material equipment of industry enables them to derive a gain. Indeed, no +class or condition of men in the modern community—with the possible +exception of politicians and the clergy—can conceivably contribute less +to the community's store of technological knowledge than the large +owners of invested wealth. By one of those singular inversions due to +production being managed for private gain, it happens that these +investors are not only not given to the increase and diffusion of +technological knowledge, but they have a well-advised interest in +retarding or defeating improvements in the industrial arts in detail. +Improvements, innovations that heighten productive efficiency in the +general line of production in which a given investment is placed, are +commonly to be counted on to bring "obsolescence by supersession" to the +plant already engaged in that line; and therefore to bring a decline in +its income-yielding capacity, and so in its capital or investment value.</p> + +<p>Invested capital yields income because it enjoys the usufruct of the +community's technological knowledge; it has an effectual monopoly of +this usufruct because this machine technology requires large material +appliances with which to do its work; the interest of the owners of +established industrial plant will not tolerate innovations de<!-- Page 323 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 323]</span>signed to +supersede these appliances. The bearing of ownership on industry and on +the fortunes of the common man is accordingly, in the main, the bearing +which it has by virtue of its monopoly control of the industrial arts, +and its consequent control of the conditions of employment and of the +supply of vendible products. It takes effect chiefly by inhibition and +privation; stoppage of production in case it brings no suitable profit +to the investor, refusal of employment and of a livelihood to the +workmen in case their product does not command a profitable price in the +market.</p> + +<p>The expediency of so having the nation's industry managed on a footing +of private ownership in the pursuit of private gain, by persons who can +show no equitable personal claim to even the most modest livelihood, and +whose habitual method of controlling industry is sabotage—refusal to +let production go on except it affords them an unearned income—the +expediency of all this is coming to be doubted by those who have to pay +the cost of it. And it does not go far to lessen their doubts to find +that the cost which they pay is commonly turned to no more urgent or +useful purpose than a conspicuously wasteful consumption of +superfluities by the captains of sabotage and their domestic +establishments.</p> + +<p>This may not seem a veracious and adequate account of these matters; it +may, in effect, fall short of the formulation: The truth, the whole +truth, and nothing but the truth; nor does the question here turn on its +adequacy as a statement of fact. Without prejudice to the question of +its veracity and adequacy, it is believed to be such an account of these +matters as will increasingly come easy and seem convincing to the common +man who, in an ever increasing degree, finds himself pinched with +privation and<!-- Page 324 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 324]</span> insecurity by a run of facts which will consistently bear +this construction, and who perforce sees these facts from the prejudiced +standpoint of a loser. To such a one, there is reason to believe, the +view so outlined will seem all the more convincing the more attentively +the pertinent facts and their bearing on his fortunes are considered. +How far the contrary prejudice of those whose interest or training +inclines them the other way may lead them to a different construction of +these pertinent facts, does not concern the present argument; which has +to do with this run of facts only as they bear on the prospective frame +of mind of that unblest mass of the population who will have opportunity +to present their proposals when peace at large shall have put national +interests out of their preferential place in men's regard.</p> + +<p>At the risk of what may seem an excessively wide digression, there is +something further to be said of the capitalistic sabotage spoken of +above. The word has by usage come to have an altogether ungraceful air +of disapproval. Yet it signifies nothing more vicious than a deliberate +obstruction or retardation of industry, usually by legitimate means, for +the sake of some personal or partisan advantage. This morally colorless +meaning is all that is intended in its use here. It is extremely common +in all industry that is designed to supply merchantable goods for the +market. It is, in fact, the most ordinary and ubiquitous of all +expedients in business enterprise that has to do with supplying the +market, being always present in the businessman's necessary +calculations; being not only a usual and convenient recourse but quite +indispensable as an habitual measure of business sagacity. So that no +personal blame can attach to its employment by any given businessman or +business concern. It is only when measures<!-- Page 325 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 325]</span> of this nature are resorted +to by employees, to gain some end of their own, that such conduct +becomes (technically) reprehensible.</p> + +<p>Any businesslike management of industry is carried on for gain, which is +to be got only on condition of meeting the terms of the market. The +price system under which industrial business is carried on will not +tolerate production in excess of the market demand, or without due +regard to the expenses of production as determined by the market on the +side of the supplies required. Hence any business concern must adjust +its operations, by due acceleration, retardation or stoppage, to the +market conditions, with a view to what the traffic will bear; that is to +say, with a view to what will yield the largest obtainable net gain. So +long as the price system rules, that is to say so long as industry is +managed on investment for a profit, there is no escaping this necessity +of adjusting the processes of industry to the requirements of a +remunerative price; and this adjustment can be taken care of only by +well-advised acceleration or curtailment of the processes of industry; +which answers to the definition of sabotage. Wise business management, +and more particularly what is spoken of as safe and sane business +management, therefore, reduces itself in the main to a sagacious use of +sabotage; that is to say a sagacious limitation of productive processes +to something less than the productive capacity of the means in hand.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>To anyone who is inclined to see these matters of usage in the light of +their history and to appraise them as phenomena of habituation, +adaptation and supersession in the sequence of cultural proliferation, +there should be no difficulty in appreciating that this institution of +ownership<!-- Page 326 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_326" id="Page_326">[Pg 326]</a></span> that makes the core of the modern institutional structure is +a precipitate of custom, like any other item of use and wont; and that, +like any other article of institutional furniture, it is subject to the +contingencies of supersession and obsolescence. If prevalent habits of +thought, enforced by the prevalent exigencies of life and livelihood, +come to change in such a way as to make life under the rule imposed by +this institution seem irksome, or intolerable, to the mass of the +population; and if at the same time things turn in such a way as to +leave no other and more urgent interest or exigency to take precedence +of this one and hinder its being pushed to an issue; then it should +reasonably follow that contention is due to arise between the unblest +mass on whose life it is a burden and the classes who live by it. But it +is, of course, impossible to state beforehand what will be the precise +line of cleavage or what form the division between the two parties in +interest will take. Yet it is contained in the premises that, barring +unforeseen contingencies of a formidable magnitude, such a cleavage is +due to follow as a logical sequel of an enduring peace at large. And it +is also well within the possibilities of the case that this issue may +work into an interruption or disruption of the peace between the +nations.</p> + +<p>In this connection it may be called to mind that the existing +governmental establishments in these pacific nations are, in all cases, +in the hands of the beneficiary, or kept classes,—beneficiaries in the +sense in which a distinction to that effect comes into the premises of +the case at this point. The responsible officials and their chief +administrative officers,—so much as may at all reasonably be called the +"Government" or the "Administration,"—are quite invariably and +characteristically drawn from these<!-- Page 327 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 327]</span> beneficiary classes; nobles, +gentlemen, or business men, which all comes to the same thing for the +purpose in hand; the point of it all being that the common man does not +come within these precincts and does not share in these counsels that +assume to guide the destiny of the nations.</p> + +<p>Of course, sporadically and ephemerally, a man out of the impecunious +and undistinguished mass may now and again find his way within the +gates; and more frequently will a professed "Man of the People" sit in +council. But that the rule holds unbroken and inviolable is sufficiently +evident in the fact that no community will let the emoluments of office +for any of its responsible officials, even for those of a very scant +responsibility, fall to the level of the habitual livelihood of the +undistinguished populace, or indeed to fall below what is esteemed to be +a seemly income for a gentleman. Should such an impecunious one be +thrown up into a place of discretion in the government, he will +forthwith cease to be a common man and will be inducted into the rank of +gentleman,—so far as that feat can be achieved by taking thought or by +assigning him an income adequate to a reputably expensive manner of +life. So obvious is the antagonism between a vulgar station in life and +a position of official trust, that many a "selfmade man" has advisedly +taken recourse to governmental position, often at some appreciable cost, +from no apparent motive other than its known efficacy as a Levitical +corrective for a humble origin. And in point of fact, neither here nor +there have the underbred majority hitherto learned to trust one of their +own kind with governmental discretion; which has never yet, in the +popular conviction, ceased to be a perquisite of the gently-bred and the +well-to-do.<!-- Page 328 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_328" id="Page_328">[Pg 328]</a></span></p> + +<p>Let it be presumed that this state of things will continue without +substantial alteration, so far as regards the complexion of the +governmental establishments of these pacific nations, and with such +allowance for overstatement in the above characterisation as may seem +called for. These governmental establishments are, by official position +and by the character of their personnel, committed more or less +consistently to the maintenance of the existing law and order. And +should no substantial change overtake them as an effect of the war +experience, the pacific league under discussion would be entered into by +and between governments of this complexion. Should difficulties then +arise between those who own and those who do not, in any one of these +countries, it would become a nice question whether the compact to +maintain the peace and national integrity of the several nations +comprised in the league should be held to cover the case of internal +dissensions and possible disorders partaking of the character of revolt +against the established authorities or against the established +provisions of law. A strike of the scope and character of the one +recently threatened, and narrowly averted, on the American railroads, +e.g., might easily give rise to disturbances sufficiently formidable to +raise a question of the peace league's jurisdiction; particularly if +such a disturbance should arise in a less orderly and less isolated +country than the American republic; so as unavoidably to carry the +effects of the disturbance across the national frontiers along the lines +of industrial and commercial intercourse and correlation. It is always +conceivable that a national government standing on a somewhat +conservative maintenance of the received law and order might feel itself +bound by its conception of the peace to make common cause with the +keepers of estab<!-- Page 329 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 329]</span>lished rights in neighboring states, particularly if +the similar interests of their own nation were thought to be placed in +jeopardy by the course of events.</p> + +<p>Antecedently it seems highly probable that the received rights of +ownership and disposal of property, particularly of investment, will +come up for advisement and revision so soon as a settled state of peace +is achieved. And there should seem to be little doubt but this revision +would go toward, or at least aim at the curtailment or abrogation of +these rights; very much after the fashion in which the analogous vested +rights of feudalism and the dynastic monarchy have been revised and in +great part curtailed or abrogated in the advanced democratic countries. +Not much can confidently be said as to the details of such a prospective +revision of legal rights, but the analogy of that procedure by which +these other vested rights have been reduced to a manageable disability, +suggests that the method in the present case also would be by way of +curtailment, abrogation and elimination. Here again, as in analogous +movements of disuse and disestablishment, there would doubtless be much +conservative apprehension as to the procuring of a competent substitute +for the supplanted methods of doing what is no longer desirable to be +done; but here as elsewhere, in a like conjuncture, the practicable way +out would presumably be found to lie along the line of simple disuse and +disallowance of class prerogative. Taken at its face value, without +unavoidable prejudice out of the past, this question of a substitute to +replace the current exploitation of the industrial arts for private gain +by capitalistic sabotage is not altogether above a suspicion of +drollery.</p> + +<p>Yet it is not to be overlooked that private enterprise on the basis of +private ownership is the familiar and ac<!-- Page 330 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_330" id="Page_330">[Pg 330]</a></span>cepted method of conducting +industrial affairs, and that it has the sanction of immemorial usage, in +the eyes of the common man, and that it is reenforced with the urgency +of life and death in the apprehension of the kept classes. It should +accordingly be a possible outcome of such a peace as would put away +international dissension, that the division of classes would come on in +a new form, between those who stand on their ancient rights of +exploitation and mastery, and those who are unwilling longer to submit. +And it is quite within the possibilities of the case that the division +of opinion on these matters might presently shift back to the old +familiar ground of international hostilities; undertaken partly to put +down civil disturbances in given countries, partly by the more archaic, +or conservative, peoples to safeguard the institutions of the received +law and order against inroads from the side of the iconoclastic ones.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>In the apprehension of those who are speaking for peace between the +nations and planning for its realisation, the outlook is that of a +return to, or a continuance of, the state of things before the great war +came on, with peace and national security added, or with the danger of +war eliminated. Nothing appreciable in the way of consequent innovation, +certainly nothing of a serious character, is contemplated as being among +the necessary consequences of such a move into peace and security. +National integrity and autonomy are to be preserved on the received +lines, and international division and discrimination is to be managed as +before, and with the accustomed incidents of punctilio and pecuniary +equilibration. Internationally speaking, there is to dawn an era of +diplomacy without afterthought, whatever that might conceivably mean.<!-- Page 331 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 331]</span></p> + +<p>There is much in the present situation that speaks for such an +arrangement, particularly as an initial phase of the perpetual peace +that is aimed at, whatever excursive variations might befall presently, +in the course of years. The war experience in the belligerent countries +and the alarm that has disturbed the neutral nations have visibly raised +the pitch of patriotic solidarity in all these countries; and patriotism +greatly favors the conservation of established use and wont; more +particularly is it favorable to the established powers and policies of +the national government. The patriotic spirit is not a spirit of +innovation. The chances of survival, and indeed of stabilisation, for +the accepted use and wont and for the traditional distinctions of class +and prescriptive rights, should therefore seem favorable, at any rate in +the first instance.</p> + +<p>Presuming, therefore, as the spokesmen of such a peace-compact are +singularly ready to presume, that the era of peace and good-will which +they have in view is to be of a piece with the most tranquil decades of +the recent past, only more of the same kind, it becomes a question of +immediate interest to the common man, as well as to all students of +human culture, how the common man is to fare under this régime of law +and order,—the mass of the population whose place it is to do what is +to be done, and thereby to carry forward the civilisation of these +pacific nations. It may not be out of place to recall, by way of +parenthesis, that it is here taken for granted as a matter of course +that all governmental establishments are necessarily conservative in all +their dealings with this heritage of culture, except so far as they may +be reactionary. Their office is the stabilisation of archaic +institutions, the measure of archaism varying from one to another.<!-- Page 332 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 332]</span></p> + +<p>With due stabilisation and with a sagacious administration of the +established scheme of law and order, the common man should find himself +working under conditions and to results of the familiar kind; but with +the difference that, while legal usage and legal precedent remain +unchanged, the state of the industrial arts can confidently be expected +to continue its advance in the same general direction as before, while +the population increases after the familiar fashion, and the investing +business community pursues its accustomed quest of competitive gain and +competitive spending in the familiar spirit and with cumulatively +augmented means. Stabilisation of the received law and order will not +touch these matters; and for the present it is assumed that these +matters will not derange the received law and order. The assumption may +seem a violent one to the students of human culture, but it is a simple +matter of course to the statesmen.</p> + +<p>To this piping time of peace the nearest analogues in history would seem +to be the Roman peace, say, of the days of the Antonines, and passably +the British peace of the Victorian era. Changes in the scheme of law and +order supervened in both of these instances, but the changes were, after +all, neither unconscionably large nor were they of a subversive nature. +The scheme of law and order, indeed, appears in neither instance to have +changed so far as the altered circumstances would seem to have called +for. To the common man the Roman peace appears to have been a peace by +submission, not widely different from what the case of China has +latterly brought to the appreciation of students. The Victorian peace, +which can be appreciated more in detail, was of a more genial character, +as regards the fortunes of the common man. It started from a reasonably +low level of hardship<!-- Page 333 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 333]</span> and <i>de facto</i> iniquity, and was occupied with +many prudent endeavours to improve the lot of the unblest majority; but +it is to be admitted that these prudent endeavours never caught up with +the march of circumstances. Not that these prudent measures of +amelioration were nugatory, but it is clear that they were not an +altogether effectual corrective of the changes going on; they were, in +effect, systematically so far in arrears as always to leave an uncovered +margin of discontent with current conditions. It is a fact of history +that very appreciable sections of the populace were approaching an +attitude of revolt against what they considered to be intolerable +conditions when that era closed. Much of what kept them within bounds, +that is to say within legal bounds, was their continued loyalty to the +nation; which was greatly, and for the purpose needfully, reenforced by +a lively fear of warlike aggression from without. Now, under the +projected <i>pax orbis terrarum</i> all fear of invasion, it is hopefully +believed, will be removed; and with the disappearance of this fear +should also disappear the drag of national loyalty on the counsels of +the underbred.</p> + +<p>If this British peace of the nineteenth century is to be taken as a +significant indication of what may be looked for under a régime of peace +at large, with due allowance for what is obviously necessary to be +allowed for, then what is held in promise would appear to be an era of +unexampled commercial prosperity, of investment and business enterprise +on a scale hitherto not experienced. These developments will bring their +necessary consequences affecting the life of the community, and some of +the consequences it should be possible to foresee. The circumstances +conditioning this prospective era of peace and prosperity will +necessarily differ from the corresponding<!-- Page 334 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 334]</span> circumstances that +conditioned the Victorian peace, and many of these points of difference +it is also possible to forecast in outline with a fair degree of +confidence. It is in the main these economic factors going to condition +the civilisation of the promised future that will have to be depended on +to give the cue to any student interested in the prospective unfolding +of events.</p> + +<p>The scheme of law and order governing all modern nations, both in the +conduct of their domestic affairs and in their national policies, is in +its controlling elements the scheme worked out through British (and +French) experience in the eighteenth century and earlier, as revised and +further accommodated in the nineteenth century. Other peoples, +particularly the Dutch, have of course had their part in the derivation +and development of this modern scheme of institutional principles, but +it has after all been a minor part; so that the scheme at large would +not differ very materially, if indeed it should differ sensibly, from +what it is, even if the contribution of these others had not been had. +The backward nations, as e.g., Germany, Russia, Spain, etc., have of +course contributed substantially nothing but retardation and +maladjustment to this modern scheme of civil life; whatever may be due +to students resident in those countries, in the way of scholarly +formulation. This nineteenth century scheme it is proposed to carry over +into the new era; and the responsible spokesmen of the projected new +order appear to contemplate no provision touching this scheme of law and +order, beyond the keeping of it intact in all substantial respects.</p> + +<p>When and in so far as the projected peace at large takes effect, +international interests will necessarily fall somewhat into the +background, as being no longer a matter of<!-- Page 335 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 335]</span> precarious equilibration, +with heavy penalties in the balance; and diplomacy will consequently +become even more of a make-believe than today—something after the +fashion of a game of bluff played with irredeemable "chips." Commercial, +that is to say business, enterprise will consequently come in for a more +undivided attention and be carried on under conditions of greater +security and of more comprehensive trade relations. The population of +the pacified world may be expected to go on increasing somewhat as in +the recent past; in which connection it is to be remarked that not more +than one-half, presumably something less than one-half, of the available +agricultural resources have been turned to account for the civilised +world hitherto. The state of the industrial arts, including means of +transport and communication, may be expected to develop farther in the +same general direction as before, assuming always that peace conditions +continue to hold. Popular intelligence, as it is called,—more properly +popular education,—may be expected to suffer a further advance; +necessarily so, since it is a necessary condition of any effectual +advance in the industrial arts,—every appreciable technological advance +presumes, as a requisite to its working-out in industry, an augmented +state of information and of logical facility in the workmen under whose +hands it is to take effect.</p> + +<p>Of the prescriptive rights carried over into the new era, under the +received law and order, the rights of ownership alone may be expected to +have any material significance for the routine of workday life; the +other personal rights that once seemed urgent will for everyday purposes +have passed into a state of half-forgotten matter-of-course. As now, but +in an accentuated degree, the rights of ownership will, in effect, +coincide and coalesce with the<!-- Page 336 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 336]</span> rights of investment and business +management. The market—that is to say the rule of the price-system in +all matters of production and livelihood—may be expected to gain in +volume and inclusiveness; so that virtually all matters of industry and +livelihood will turn on questions of market price, even beyond the +degree in which that proposition holds today. The progressive extension +and consolidation of investments, corporate solidarity, and business +management may be expected to go forward on the accustomed lines, as +illustrated by the course of things during the past few decades. Market +conditions should accordingly, in a progressively increased degree, fall +under the legitimate discretionary control of businessmen, or syndicates +of businessmen, who have the disposal of large blocks of invested +wealth,—"big business," as it is called, should reasonably be expected +to grow bigger and to exercise an increasingly more unhampered control +of market conditions, including the money market and the labor market.</p> + +<p>With such improvements in the industrial arts as may fairly be expected +to come forward, and with the possible enhancement of industrial +efficiency which should follow from a larger scale of organisation, a +wider reach of transport and communication, and an increased +population,—with these increasing advantages on the side of productive +industry, the per-capita product as well as the total product should be +increased in a notable degree, and the conditions of life should +possibly become notably easier and more attractive, or at least more +conducive to efficiency and personal comfort, for all concerned. Such +would be the first and unguarded inference to be drawn from the premises +of the case as they offer themselves in the large; and something of that +kind is apparently what<!-- Page 337 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 337]</span> floats before the prophetic vision of the +advocates of a league of nations for the maintenance of peace at large. +These premises, and the inferences so drawn from them, may be further +fortified and amplified in the same sense on considering that certain +very material economies also become practicable, and should take effect +"in the absence of disturbing causes," on the establishment of such a +peace at large. It will of course occur to all thoughtful persons that +armaments must be reduced, perhaps to a minimum, and that the cost of +these things, in point of expenditures as well as of man-power spent in +the service, would consequently fall off in a corresponding measure. So +also, as slight further reflection will show, would the cost of the +civil service presumably fall off very appreciably; more particularly +the cost of this service per unit of service rendered. Some such climax +of felicities might be looked for by hopeful persons, in the absence of +disturbing causes.</p> + +<p>Under the new dispensation the standard of living, that is to say the +standard of expenditure, would reasonably be expected to advance in a +very appreciable degree, at least among the wealthy and well-to-do; and +by pressure of imitative necessity a like effect would doubtless also be +had among the undistinguished mass. It is not a question of the standard +of living considered as a matter of the subsistence minimum, or even a +standard of habitually prevalent creature comfort, particularly not +among the wealthy and well-to-do. These latter classes have long since +left all question of material comfort behind in their accepted standards +of living and in the continued advance of these standards. For these +classes who are often spoken of euphemistically as being "in easy +circumstances," it is altogether a question of a standard of re<!-- Page 338 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 338]</span>putable +expenditure, to be observed on pain of lost self-respect and of lost +reputation at large. As has been remarked in an earlier passage, wants +of this kind are indefinitely extensible. So that some doubt may well be +entertained as to whether the higher productive efficiency spoken of +will necessarily make the way of life easier, in view of this need of a +higher standard of expenditure, even when due account is taken of the +many economies which the new dispensation is expected to make +practicable.</p> + +<p>One of the effects to be looked for would apparently be an increased +pressure on the part of aspiring men to get into some line of business +enterprise; since it is only in business, as contrasted with the +industrial occupations, that anyone can hope to find the relatively +large income required for such an expensive manner of life as will bring +any degree of content to aspirants for pecuniary good repute. So it +should follow that the number of businessmen and business concerns would +increase up to the limit of what the traffic could support, and that the +competition between these rival, and in a sense over-numerous, concerns +would push the costs of competition to the like limit. In this respect +the situation would be of much the same character as what it now is, +with the difference that the limit of competitive expenditures would be +rather higher than at present, to answer to the greater available margin +of product that could be devoted to this use; and that the competing +concerns would be somewhat more numerous, or at least that the aggregate +expenditure on competitive enterprise would be somewhat larger; as, +e.g., costs of advertising, salesmanship, strategic litigation, +procuration of legislative and municipal grants and connivance, and the +like.<!-- Page 339 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 339]</span></p> + +<p>It is always conceivable, though it may scarcely seem probable, that +these incidents of increased pressure of competition in business traffic +might eventually take up all the slack, and leave no net margin of +product over what is available under the less favorable conditions of +industry that prevail today; more particularly when this increased +competition for business gains is backed by an increased pressure of +competitive spending for purposes of a reputable appearance. All this +applies in retail trade and in such lines of industry and public service +as partakes of the nature of retail trade, in the respect that +salesmanship and the costs of salesmanship enter into their case in an +appreciable measure; this is an extensive field, it is true, and +incontinently growing more extensive with the later changes in the +customary methods of marketing products; but it is by no means anything +like the whole domain of industrial business, and by no means a field in +which business is carried on without interference of a higher control +from outside its own immediate limits.</p> + +<p>All this generously large and highly expensive and profitable field of +trade and of trade-like industry, in which the businessmen in charge +deal somewhat directly with a large body of customers, is always subject +to limitations imposed by the condition of the market; and the condition +of the market is in part not under the control of these businessmen, but +is also in part controlled by large concerns in the background; which in +their turn are after all also not precisely free agents; in fact not +much more so than their cousins in the retail trade, being confined in +all their motions by the constraint of the price-system that dominates +the whole and gathers them all in its impersonal and inexorable net.<!-- Page 340 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 340]</span></p> + +<p>There is a colloquial saying among businessmen, that they are not doing +business for their health; which being interpreted means that they are +doing business for a price. It is out of a discrepancy in price, between +purchase and sale, or between transactions which come to the same result +as purchase and sale, that the gains of business are drawn; and it is in +terms of price that these gains are rated, amassed and funded. It is +necessary, for a business concern to achieve a favorable balance in +terms of price; and the larger the balance in terms of price the more +successful the enterprise. Such a balance can not be achieved except by +due regard to the conditions of the market, to the effect that dealings +must not go on beyond what will yield a favorable balance in terms of +price between income and outgo. As has already been remarked above, the +prescriptive and indispensable recourse in all this conduct of business +is sabotage, limitation of supply to bring a remunerative price result.</p> + +<p>The new dispensation offers two new factors bearing on this businesslike +need of a sagacious sabotage, or rather it brings a change of +coefficients in two factors already familiar in business management: a +greater need, for gainful business, of resorting to such limitation of +traffic; and a greater facility of ways and means for enforcing the +needed restriction. So, it is confidently to be expected that in the +prospective piping time of peace the advance in the industrial arts will +continue at an accelerated rate; which may confidently be expected to +affect the practicable increased production of merchantable goods; from +which it follows that it will act to depress the prices of these goods; +from which it follows that if a profitable business is to be done in the +conduct<!-- Page 341 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 341]</span> of productive industry a greater degree of continence than +before will have to be exercised in order not to let prices fall to an +unprofitable figure; that is to say, the permissible output must be held +short of the productive capacity of such industry by a wider margin than +before. On the other hand, it is well known out of the experience of the +past few decades that a larger coalition of invested capital, +controlling a larger proportion of the output, can more effectually +limit the supply to a salutary maximum, such as will afford reasonable +profits. And with the new dispensation affording a freer scope for +business enterprise on conditions of greater security, larger coalitions +than before are due to come into bearing. So that the means will be at +hand competently to meet this more urgent need of a stricter limitation +of the output, in spite of any increased productive capacity conferred +on the industrial community by any conceivable advance in the industrial +arts. The outcome to be looked for should apparently be such an +effectual recourse to capitalistic sabotage as will neutralise any added +advantage that might otherwise accrue to the community from its +continued improvements in technology.</p> + +<p>In spite of this singularly untoward conjuncture of circumstances to be +looked for, there need be no serious apprehension that capitalistic +sabotage, with a view to maintaining prices and the rate of profits, +will go all the way, to the result indicated, at least not on the +grounds so indicated alone. There is in the modern development of +technology, and confidently to be counted on, a continued flow of new +contrivances and expedients designed to supersede the old; and these are +in fact successful, in greater or less measure, in finding their way +into profitable use, on such terms as to displace older appliances,<!-- Page 342 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 342]</span> +underbid them in the market, and render them obsolete or subject to +recapitalisation on a lowered earning-capacity. So far as this +unremitting flow of innovations has its effect, that is to say so far as +it can not be hindered from having an effect, it acts to lower the +effectual cost of products to the consumer. This effect is but a partial +and somewhat uncertain one, but it is always to be counted in as a +persistent factor, of uncertain magnitude, that will affect the results +in the long run.</p> + +<p>As has just been spoken of above, large coalitions of invested wealth +are more competent to maintain, or if need be to advance, prices than +smaller coalitions acting in severalty, or even when acting in +collusion. This state of the case has been well illustrated by the very +successful conduct of such large business organisations during the past +few decades; successful, that is, in earning large returns on the +investments engaged. Under the new dispensation, as has already been +remarked, coalitions should reasonably be expected to grow to a larger +size and achieve a greater efficiency for the same purpose.</p> + +<p>The large gains of the large corporate coalitions are commonly ascribed +by their promoters, and by sympathetic theoreticians of the ancient +line, to economies of production made practicable by a larger scale of +production; an explanation which is disingenuous only so far as it needs +be. What is more visibly true on looking into the workings of these +coalitions in detail is that they are enabled to maintain prices at a +profitable, indeed at a strikingly profitable, level by such a control +of the output as would be called sabotage if it were put in practice by +interested workmen with a view to maintain wages. The effects of this +sagacious sabotage become visible in the large earnings of these +investments and the large gains<!-- Page 343 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 343]</span> which, now and again, accrue to their +managers. Large fortunes commonly are of this derivation.</p> + +<p>In cases where no recapitalisation has been effected for a considerable +series of years the yearly earnings of such businesslike coalitions have +been known to approach fifty percent on the capitalised value. Commonly, +however, when earnings rise to a striking figure, the business will be +recapitalised on the basis of its earning-capacity, by issue of a stock +dividend, by reincorporation in a new combination with an increased +capitalisation, and the like. Such augmentation of capital not unusually +has been spoken of by theoretical writers and publicists as an increase +of the community's wealth, due to savings; an analysis of any given case +is likely to show that its increased capital value represents an +increasingly profitable procedure for securing a high price above cost, +by stopping the available output short of the productive capacity of the +industries involved. Loosely speaking, and within the limits of what the +traffic will bear, the gains in such a case are proportioned to the +deficiency by which the production or supply under control falls short +of productive capacity. So that the capitalisation in the case comes to +bear a rough proportion to the material loss which this organisation of +sabotage is enabled to inflict on the community at large; and instead of +its being a capitalisation of serviceable means of production it may, +now and again, come to little else than a capitalisation of chartered +sabotage.</p> + +<p>Under the new dispensation of peace and security at large this manner of +capitalisation and business enterprise might reasonably be expected to +gain something in scope and security of operation. Indeed, there are few +things within the range of human interest on which an opinion<!-- Page 344 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_344" id="Page_344">[Pg 344]</a></span> may more +confidently be formed beforehand. If the rights of property, in their +extent and amplitude, are maintained intact as they are before the law +today, the hold which business enterprise on the large scale now has on +the affairs and fortunes of the community at large is bound to grow +firmer and to be used more unreservedly for private advantage under the +new conditions contemplated.</p> + +<p>The logical result should be an accelerated rate of accumulation of the +country's wealth in the hands of a relatively very small class of +wealthy owners, with a relatively inconsiderable semi-dependent middle +class of the well-to-do, and with the mass of the population even more +nearly destitute than they are today. At the same time it is scarcely to +be avoided that this wholly dependent and impecunious mass of the +population must be given an appreciably better education than they have +today. The argument will return to the difficulties that are liable to +arise out of this conjuncture of facts, in the way of discontent and +possible disturbance.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Meantime, looking to the promise of the pacific future in the light of +the pacific past, certain further consequences, particularly +consequences of the economic order, that may reasonably be expected to +follow will also merit attention. The experience of the Victorian peace +is almost as pointed in its suggestion on this head as if it had been an +experiment made <i>ad hoc</i>; but with the reservation that the scale of +economic life, after all, was small in the Victorian era, and its pace +was slack, compared with what the twentieth century should have to offer +under suitable conditions of peace and pecuniary security. In the light +of this most instructive modern instance,<!-- Page 345 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 345]</span> there should appear to be in +prospect a growth of well-bred families resting on invested wealth and +so living on unearned incomes; larger incomes and consequently a more +imposingly well-bred body of gentlefolk, sustained and vouched for by a +more munificent expenditure on superfluities, than the modern world has +witnessed hitherto. Doubtless the resulting growth of gentlemen and +gentlewomen would be as perfect after their kind as these unexampled +opportunities of gentle breeding might be expected to engender; so that +even their British precursors on the trail of respectability would fall +somewhat into insignificance by comparison, whether in respect of +gentlemanly qualities or in point of cost per unit.</p> + +<p>The moral, and even more particularly the aesthetic, value of such a +line of gentlefolk, and of the culture which they may be expected to +place on view,—this cultural side of the case, of course, is what one +would prefer to dwell on, and on the spiritual gains that might be +expected to accrue to humanity at large from the steady contemplation of +this meritorious respectability so displayed at such a cost.</p> + +<p>But the prosaic necessity of the argument turns back to the economic and +civil bearing of this prospective development, this virtual bifurcation +of the pacified nation into a small number of gentlemen who own the +community's wealth and consume its net product in the pursuit of +gentility, on the one hand, and an unblest mass of the populace who do +the community's work on a meager livelihood tapering down toward the +subsistence minimum, on the other hand. Evidently, this prospective +posture of affairs may seem "fraught with danger to the common weal," as +a public spirited citizen might phrase it. Or, as it would be expressed +in less eloquent words, it<!-- Page 346 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 346]</span> appears to comprise elements that should +make for a change. At the same time it should be recalled, and the +statement will command assent on slight reflection, that there is no +avoiding substantially such a posture of affairs under the promised +régime of peace and security, provided only that the price-system stands +over intact, and the current rights of property continue to be held +inviolate. If the known principles of competitive gain and competitive +spending should need enforcement to that effect by an illustrative +instance, the familiar history of the Victorian peace is sufficient to +quiet all doubts.</p> + +<p>Of course, the resulting articulation of classes in the community will +not be expected to fall into such simple lines of sheer contrast as this +scheme would indicate. The class of gentlefolk, the legally constituted +wasters, as they would be rated from the economic point of view, can not +be expected personally to take care of so large a consumption of +superfluities as this posture of affairs requires at their hands. They +would, as the Victorian peace teaches, necessarily have the assistance +of a trained corps of experts in unproductive consumption, the first and +most immediate of whom would be those whom the genial phrasing of Adam +Smith designates "menial servants." Beyond these would come the +purveyors of superfluities, properly speaking, and the large, indeed +redundant, class of tradespeople of high and low degree,—dependent in +fact but with an illusion of semi-dependence; and farther out again the +legal and other professional classes of the order of stewards, whose +duty it will be to administer the sources of income and receive, +apportion and disburse the revenues so devoted to a traceless +extinguishment.<!-- Page 347 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 347]</span></p> + +<p>There would, in other words, be something of a "substantial middle +class," dependent on the wealthy and on their expenditure of wealth, but +presumably imbued with the Victorian middle-class illusion that they are +of some account in their own right. Under the due legal forms and +sanctions this, somewhat voluminous, middle-class population would +engage in the traffic which is their perquisite, and would continue to +believe, in some passable fashion, that they touch the substance of +things at something nearer than the second remove. They would in great +part appear to be people of "independent means," and more particularly +would they continue in the hope of so appearing and of some time making +good the appearance. Hence their fancied, and therefore their +sentimental, interest would fall out on the side of the established law +and order; and they would accordingly be an element of stability in the +commonwealth, and would throw in their weight, and their voice, to +safeguard that private property and that fabric of prices and credit +through which the "income stream" flows to the owners of preponderant +invested wealth.</p> + +<p>Judged on the state of the situation as it runs in our time, and +allowing for the heightened efficiency of large-scale investment and +consolidated management under the prospective conditions of added +pecuniary security, it is to be expected that the middle-class +population with "independent means" should come in for a somewhat meager +livelihood, provided that they work faithfully at their business of +managing pecuniary traffic to the advantage of their pecuniary +betters,—meager, that is to say, when allowance is made for the +conventionally large expenditure on reputable appearances which is +necessarily to be included in their standard of living. It lies in the +nature<!-- Page 348 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_348" id="Page_348">[Pg 348]</a></span> of this system of large-scale investment and enterprise that the +(pecuniarily) minor agencies engaged on a footing of ostensible +independence will come in for only such a share in the aggregate gains +of the community as it is expedient for the greater business interests +to allow them as an incentive to go on with their work as purveyors of +traffic to these greater business interests.</p> + +<p>The current, and still more this prospective, case of the +quasi-self-directing middle class may fairly be illustrated by the case +of the American farmers, of the past and present. The American farmer +rejoices to be called "The Independent Farmer." He once was independent, +in a meager and toil-worn fashion, in the days before the price-system +had brought him and all his works into the compass of the market; but +that was some time ago. He now works for the market, ordinarily at +something like what is called a "living wage," provided he has +"independent means" enough to enable him by steady application to earn a +living wage; and of course, the market being controlled by the paramount +investment interests in the background, his work, in effect, inures to +their benefit; except so much as it may seem necessary to allow him as +incentive to go on. Also of course, these paramount investment interests +are in turn controlled in all their manoeuvres by the impersonal +exigencies of the price-system, which permits no vagaries in violation +of the rule that all traffic must show a balance of profit in terms of +price.</p> + +<p>The Independent Farmer still continues to believe that in some occult +sense he still is independent in what he will do and what not; or +perhaps rather that he can by shrewd management retain or regain a +tolerable measure of such independence, after the fashion of what is +held to have<!-- Page 349 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 349]</span> been the posture of affairs in the days before the coming +of corporation finance; or at least he believes that he ought to have, +or to regain or reclaim, some appreciable measure of such independence; +which ought then, by help of the "independent means" which he still +treasures, to procure him an honest and assured livelihood in return for +an honest year's work. Latterly he, that is the common run of the +farmers, has been taking note of the fact that he is, as he apprehends +it, at a disadvantage in the market; and he is now taking recourse to +concerted action for the purpose of what might be called "rigging the +market" to his own advantage. In this he overlooks the impregnable +position which the party of the second part, the great investment +interests, occupy; in fact, he is counting without his host. Hitherto he +has not been convinced of his own helplessness. And with a fine fancy he +still imagines that his own interest is on the side of the propertied +and privileged classes; so that the farmer constituency is the chief +pillar of conservative law and order, particularly in all that touches +the inviolable rights of property and at every juncture where a division +comes on between those who live by investment and those who live by +work. In pecuniary effect, the ordinary American farmer, who legally +owns a moderate farm of the common sort, belongs among those who work +for a livelihood; such a livelihood as the investment interests find it +worth while to allow him under the rule of what the traffic will bear; +but in point of sentiment and class consciousness he clings to a belated +stand on the side of those who draw a profit from his work.</p> + +<p>So it is also with the menial servants and the middle-class people of +"independent means," who are, however, in a position to see more clearly +their dependence on the<!-- Page 350 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_350" id="Page_350">[Pg 350]</a></span> owners of predominant wealth. And such, with a +further accentuation of the anomaly, may reasonably be expected to be +the further run of these relations under the promised régime of peace +and security. The class of well-kept gentlefolk will scarcely be called +on to stand alone, in case of a division between those who live by +investment and those who live by work; inasmuch as, for the calculable +future, it should seem a reasonable expectation that this very +considerable fringe of dependents and pseudo-independents will abide by +their time-tried principles of right and honest living, through good +days and evil, and cast in their lot unreservedly with that reputable +body to whom the control of trade and industry by investment assigns the +usufruct of the community's productive powers.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Something has already been said of the prospective breeding of pedigreed +gentlefolk under the projected régime of peace. Pedigree, for the +purpose in hand, is a pecuniary attribute and is, of course, a product +of funded wealth, more or less ancient. Virtually ancient pedigree can +be procured by well-advised expenditure on the conspicuous amenities; +that is to say pedigree effectually competent as a background of current +gentility. Gentlefolk of such syncopated pedigree may have to walk +circumspectly, of course; but their being in this manner put on their +good behavior should tend to heighten their effectual serviceability as +gentlefolk, by inducing a single-mindedness of gentility beyond what can +fairly be expected of those who are already secure in their tenure.</p> + +<p>Except conventionally, there is no hereditary difference between the +standard gentlefolk and, say, their "menial servants," or the general +population of the farms<!-- Page 351 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 351]</span> and the industrial towns. This is a +well-established commonplace among ethnological students; which has, of +course, nothing to say with respect to the conventionally distinct lines +of descent of the "Best Families." These Best Families are nowise +distinguishable from the common run in point of hereditary traits; the +difference that makes the gentleman and the gentlewoman being wholly a +matter of habituation during the individual's life-time. It is something +of a distasteful necessity to call attention to this total absence of +native difference between the well-born and the common, but it is a +necessity of the argument in hand, and the recalling of it may, +therefore, be overlooked for once in a way. There is no harm and no +annoyance intended. The point of it all is that, on the premises which +this state of the case affords, the body of gentlefolk created by such +an accumulation of invested wealth will have no less of an effectual +cultural value than they would have had if their virtually ancient +pedigree had been actual.</p> + +<p>At this point, again, the experience of the Victorian peace and the +functioning of its gentlefolk come in to indicate what may fairly be +hoped for in this way under this prospective régime of peace at large. +But with the difference that the scale of things is to be larger, the +pace swifter, and the volume and dispersion of this prospective leisure +class somewhat wider. The work of this leisure class—and there is +neither paradox nor inconsistency in the phrase—should be patterned on +the lines worked out by their prototypes of the Victorian time, but with +some appreciable accentuation in the direction of what chiefly +characterised the leisure class of that era of tranquility. The +characteristic feature to which attention naturally turns at this +suggestion is the tranquility<!-- Page 352 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 352]</span> that has marked that body of gentlefolk +and their code of clean and honest living. Another word than +"tranquility" might be hit upon to designate this characteristic animus, +but any other word that should at all adequately serve the turn would +carry a less felicitous suggestion of those upper-class virtues that +have constituted the substantial worth of the Victorian gentleman. The +conscious worth of these gentlefolk has been a beautifully complete +achievement. It has been an achievement of "faith without works," of +course; but, needless to say, that is as it should be, also of course. +The place of gentlefolk in the economy of Nature is tracelessly to +consume the community's net product, and in doing so to set a standard +of decent expenditure for the others emulatively to work up to as near +as may be. It is scarcely conceivable that this could have been done in +a more unobtrusively efficient manner, or with a more austerely virtuous +conviction of well-doing, than by the gentlefolk bred of the Victorian +peace. So also, in turn, it is not to be believed that the prospective +breed of gentlefolk derivable from the net product of the pacific +nations under the promised régime of peace at large will prove in any +degree less effective for the like ends. More will be required of them +in the way of a traceless consumption of superfluities and an unexampled +expensive standard of living. But this situation that so faces them may +be construed as a larger opportunity, quite as well as a more difficult +task.</p> + +<p>A theoretical exposition of the place and cultural value of a leisure +class in modern life would scarcely be in place here; and it has also +been set out in some detail elsewhere.<a name="FNanchor_10_10" id="FNanchor_10_10"></a><a href="#Footnote_10_10" class="fnanchor">[10]</a> For the purpose in hand it +may be sufficient to<!-- Page 353 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 353]</span> recall that the canons of taste and the standards +of valuation worked out and inculcated by leisure-class life have in all +ages run, with unbroken consistency, to pecuniary waste and personal +futility. In its economic bearing, and particularly in its immediate +bearing on the material well-being of the community at large, the +leadership of the leisure class can scarcely be called by a less +derogatory epithet than "untoward." But that is not the whole of the +case, and the other side should be heard. The leisure-class life of +tranquility, running detached as it does above the turmoil out of which +the material of their sustenance is derived, enables a growth of all +those virtues that mark, or make, the gentleman; and that affect the +life of the underlying community throughout, pervasively, by imitation; +leading to a standardisation of the everyday proprieties on a +presumably, higher level of urbanity and integrity than might be +expected to result in the absence of this prescriptive model.</p> + +<p><i>Integer vitae scelerisque purus</i>, the gentleman of assured station +turns a placid countenance to all those petty vexations of breadwinning +that touch him not. Serenely and with an impassive fortitude he faces +those common vicissitudes of life that are impotent to make or mar his +material fortunes and that can neither impair his creature comforts nor +put a slur on his good repute. So that without afterthought he deals +fairly in all everyday conjunctures of give and take; for they are at +the most inconsequential episodes to him, although the like might spell +irremediable disaster to his impecunious counterfoil among the common +men who have the community's work to do. In short, he is a gentleman, in +the best acceptation of the word,—unavoidably, by force of +circumstance. As such his example is of invaluable consequence to the<!-- Page 354 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_354" id="Page_354">[Pg 354]</a></span> +underlying community of common folk, in that it keeps before their eyes +an object lesson in habitual fortitude and visible integrity such as +could scarcely have been created except under such shelter from those +disturbances that would go to mar habitual fortitude and integrity. +There can be little doubt but the high example of the Victorian +gentlefolk has had much to do with stabilising the animus of the British +common man on lines of integrity and fair play. What else and more in +the way of habitual preconceptions he may, by competitive imitation, owe +to the same high source is not immediately in question here.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>Recalling once more that the canon of life whereby folk are gentlefolk +sums itself up in the requirements of pecuniary waste and personal +futility, and that these requirements are indefinitely extensible, at +the same time that the management of the community's industry by +investment for a profit enables the owners of invested wealth to divert +to their own use the community's net product, wherewith to meet these +requirements, it follows that the community at large which provides this +output of product will be allowed so much as is required by their +necessary standard of living,—with an unstable margin of error in the +adjustment. This margin of error should tend continually to grow +narrower as the businesslike management of industry grows more efficient +with experience; but it will also continually be disturbed in the +contrary sense by innovations of a technological nature that require +continual readjustment. This margin is probably not to be got rid of, +though it may be expected to become less considerable under more settled +conditions.<!-- Page 355 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_355" id="Page_355">[Pg 355]</a></span></p> + +<p>It should also not be overlooked that the standard of living here spoken +of as necessarily to be allowed the working population by no means +coincides with the "physical subsistence minimum," from which in fact it +always departs by something appreciable. The necessary standard of +living of the working community is in fact made up of two +distinguishable factors: the subsistence minimum, and the requirements +of decorously wasteful consumption—the "decencies of life." These +decencies are no less requisite than the physical necessaries, in point +of workday urgency, and their amount is a matter of use and wont. This +composite standard of living is a practical minimum, below which +consumption will not fall, except by a fluctuating margin of error; the +effect being the same, in point of necessary consumption, as if it were +all of the nature of a physical subsistence minimum.</p> + +<p>Loosely speaking, the arrangement should leave nothing appreciable over, +after the requirements of genteel waste and of the workday standard of +consumption have been met. From which in turn it should follow that the +rest of what is comprised under the general caption of "culture" will +find a place only in the interstices of leisure-class expenditure and +only at the hands of aberrant members of the class of the gently-bred. +The working population should have no effectual margin of time, energy +or means for other pursuits than the day's work in the service of the +price-system; so that aberrant individuals in this class, who might by +native propensity incline, e.g., to pursue the sciences or the fine +arts, should have (virtually) no chance to make good. It would be a +virtual suppression of such native gifts among the common folk, not a +definitive and all-inclusive suppression. The state of<!-- Page 356 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 356]</span> the case under +the Victorian peace may, again, be taken in illustration of the point; +although under the presumably more effectual control to be looked for in +the pacific future the margin might reasonably be expected to run +somewhat narrower, so that this virtual suppression of cultural talent +among the common men should come nearer a complete suppression.</p> + +<p>The working of that free initiative that makes the advance of +civilisation, and also the greater part of its conservation, would in +effect be allowed only in the erratic members of the kept classes; where +at the same time it would have to work against the side-draught of +conventional usage, which discountenances any pursuit that is not +visibly futile according to some accepted manner of futility. Now under +the prospective perfect working of the price-system, bearers of the +banners of civilisation could effectually be drawn only from the kept +classes, the gentlefolk who alone would have the disposal of such free +income as is required for work that has no pecuniary value. And +numerically the gentlefolk are an inconsiderable fraction of the +population. The supply of competently gifted bearers of the community's +culture would accordingly be limited to such as could be drawn by +self-selection from among this inconsiderable proportion of the +community at large.</p> + +<p>It may be recalled that in point of heredity, and therefore in point of +native fitness for the maintenance and advance of civilisation, there is +no difference between the gentlefolk and the populace at large; or at +least there is no difference of such a nature as to count in abatement +of the proposition set down above. Some slight, but after all +inconsequential, difference there may be, but such difference as there +is, if any, rather counts against the<!-- Page 357 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 357]</span> gentlefolk as keepers of the +cultural advance. The gentlefolk are derived from business; the +gentleman represents a filial generation of the businessman; and if the +class typically is gifted with any peculiar hereditary traits, +therefore, they should presumably be such as typically mark the +successful businessman—astute, prehensile, unscrupulous. For a +generation or two, perhaps to the scriptural third and fourth +generation, it is possible that a diluted rapacity and cunning may +continue to mark the businessman's well-born descendants; but these are +not serviceable traits for the conservation and advancement of the +community's cultural heritage. So that no consideration of special +hereditary fitness in the well-born need be entertained in this +connection.</p> + +<p>As to the limitation imposed by the price-system on the supply of +candidates suited by native gift for the human work of civilisation; it +would no doubt, be putting the figure extravagantly high to say that the +gentlefolk, properly speaking, comprise as much as ten percent of the +total population; perhaps something less than one-half of that +percentage would still seem a gross overstatement. But, to cover loose +ends and vagrant cases, the gentlefolk may for the purpose be credited +with so high a percentage of the total population. If ten percent be +allowed, as an outside figure, it follows that the community's +scientists, artists, scholars, and the like individuals given over to +the workday pursuits of the human spirit, are by conventional +restriction to be drawn from one-tenth of the current supply of persons +suited by native gift for these pursuits. Or as it may also be +expressed, in so far as the projected scheme takes effect it should +result in the suppression of nine (or more) out of every ten persons +available for the constructive work of civilisa<!-- Page 358 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 358]</span>tion. The cultural +consequences to be looked for, therefore, should be quite markedly of +the conservative order.</p> + +<p>Of course, in actual effect, the retardation or repression of +civilisation by this means, as calculated on these premises, should +reasonably be expected to count up to something appreciably more than +nine-tenths of the gains that might presumably be achieved in the +conceivable absence of the price-system and the régime of investment. +All work of this kind has much of the character of teamwork; so that the +efforts of isolated individuals count for little, and a few working in +more or less of concert and understanding will count for proportionally +much less than many working in concert. The endeavours of the +individuals engaged count cumulatively, to such effect that doubling +their forces will more than double the aggregate efficiency; and +conversely, reducing the number will reduce the effectiveness of their +work by something more than the simple numerical proportion. Indeed, an +undue reduction of numbers in such a case may lead to the total defeat +of the few that are left, and the best endeavours of a dwindling remnant +may be wholly nugatory. There is needed a sense of community and +solidarity, without which the assurance necessary to the work is bound +to falter and dwindle out; and there is also needed a degree of popular +countenance, not to be had by isolated individuals engaged in an +unconventional pursuit of things that are neither to be classed as +spendthrift decorum nor as merchantable goods. In this connection an +isolated one does not count for one, and more than the critical minimum +will count for several per capita. It is a case where the "minimal dose" +is wholly inoperative.</p> + +<p>There is not a little reason to believe that consequent upon the +installation of the projected régime of peace<!-- Page 359 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 359]</span> at large and secure +investment the critical point in the repression of talent will very +shortly be reached and passed, so that the principle of the "minimal +dose" will come to apply. The point may readily be illustrated by the +case of many British and American towns and neighbourhoods during the +past few decades; where the dominant price-system and its commercial +standards of truth and beauty have over-ruled all inclination to +cultural sanity and put it definitively in abeyance. The cultural, or +perhaps the conventional, residue left over in these cases where +civilisation has gone stale through inefficiency of the minimal dose is +not properly to be found fault with; it is of a blameless character, +conventionally; nor is there any intention here to cast aspersion on the +desolate. The like effects of the like causes are to be seen in the +American colleges and universities, where business principles have +supplanted the pursuit of learning, and where the commercialisation of +aims, ideals, tastes, occupations and personnel is following much the +same lines that have led so many of the country towns effectually +outside the cultural pale. The American university or college is coming +to be an outlier of the price-system, in point of aims, standards and +personnel; hitherto the tradition of learning as a trait of +civilisation, as distinct from business, has not been fully displaced, +although it is now coming to face the passage of the minimal dose. The +like, in a degree, is apparently true latterly for many English, and +still more evidently for many German schools.</p> + +<p>In these various instances of what may be called dry-rot or local blight +on the civilised world's culture the decline appears to be due not to a +positive infection of a malignant sort, so much as to a failure of the +active cultural ferment, which has fallen below the critical point<!-- Page 360 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_360" id="Page_360">[Pg 360]</a></span> of +efficacy; perhaps through an unintended refusal of a livelihood to +persons given over to cultivating the elements of civilisation; perhaps +through the conventional disallowance of the pursuit of any other ends +than competitive gain and competitive spending. Evidently it is +something much more comprehensive in this nature that is reasonably to +be looked for under the prospective régime of peace, in case the +price-system gains that farther impetus and warrant which it should come +in for if the rights of ownership and investment stand over intact, and +so come to enjoy the benefit of a further improved state of the +industrial arts and a further enlarged scale of operation and enhanced +rate of turnover.</p> + +<hr style='width: 45%;' /> + +<p>To turn back to the point from which this excursion branched off. It has +been presumed all the while that the technological equipment, or the +state of the industrial arts, must continue to advance under the +conditions offered by this régime of peace at large. But the last few +paragraphs will doubtless suggest that such a single-minded addiction to +competitive gain and competitive spending as the stabilised and +amplified price-system would enjoin, must lead to an effectual +retardation, perhaps to a decline, of those material sciences on which +modern technology draws; and that the state of the industrial arts +should therefore cease to advance, if only the scheme of investment and +businesslike sabotage can be made sufficiently secure. That such may be +the outcome is a contingency which the argument will have to meet and to +allow for; but it is after all a contingency that need not be expected +to derange the sequence of events, except in the way of retardation. +Even without further advance in technological expedients or in the<!-- Page 361 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 361]</span> +relevant material sciences, there will still necessarily ensue an +effectual advance in the industrial arts, in the sense that further +organisation and enlargement of the material equipment and industrial +processes on lines already securely known and not to be forgotten must +bring an effectually enhanced efficiency of the industrial process as a +whole.</p> + +<p>In illustration, it is scarcely to be assumed even as a tentative +hypothesis that the system of transport and communication will not +undergo extension and improvement on the lines already familiar, even in +the absence of new technological contrivances. At the same time a +continued increase of population is to be counted on; which has, for the +purpose in hand, much the same effect as an advance in the industrial +arts. Human contact and mutual understanding will necessarily grow wider +and closer, and will have its effect on the habits of thought prevalent +in the communities that are to live under the promised régime of peace. +The system of transport and communication having to handle a more +voluminous and exacting traffic, in the service of a larger and more +compact population, will have to be organised and administered on +mechanically drawn schedules of time, place, volume, velocity, and +price, of a still more exacting accuracy than hitherto. The like will +necessarily apply throughout the industrial occupations that employ +extensive plant or processes, or that articulate with industrial +processes of that nature; which will necessarily comprise a larger +proportion of the industrial process at large than hitherto.</p> + +<p>As has already been remarked more than once in the course of the +argument, a population that lives and does its work, and such play as is +allowed it, in and by an exactingly articulate mechanical system of this +kind will<!-- Page 362 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 362]</span> necessarily be an "intelligent" people, in the colloquial +sense of the word; that is to say it will necessarily be a people that +uses printed matter freely and that has some familiarity with the +elements of those material sciences that underlie this mechanically +organised system of appliances and processes. Such a population lives by +and within the framework of the mechanistic logic, and is in a fair way +to lose faith in any proposition that can not be stated convincingly in +terms of this mechanistic logic. Superstitions are liable to lapse by +neglect or disuse in such a community; that is to say propositions of a +non-mechanistic complexion are liable to insensible disestablishment in +such a case; "superstition" in these premises coming to signify whatever +is not of this mechanistic, or "materialistic" character. An exception +to this broad characterisation of non-mechanistic propositions as +"superstition" would be matters that are of the nature of an immediate +deliverance of the senses or of the aesthetic sensibilities.</p> + +<p>By a simile it might be said that what so falls under the caption of +"superstition" in such a case is subject to decay by inanition. It +should not be difficult to conceive the general course of such a decay +of superstitions under this unremitting discipline of mechanistic habits +of life. The recent past offers an illustration, in the unemotional +progress of decay that has overtaken religious beliefs in the more +civilised countries, and more particularly among the intellectually +trained workmen of the mechanical industries. The elimination of such +non-mechanistic propositions of the faith has been visibly going on, but +it has not worked out on any uniform plan, nor has it overtaken any +large or compact body of people consistently or abruptly, being of the +nature of obsolescence rather<!-- Page 363 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 363]</span> than of set repudiation. But in a slack +and unreflecting fashion the divestment has gone on until the aggregate +effect is unmistakable.</p> + +<p>A similar divestment of superstitions is reasonably to be looked for +also in that domain of preconceptions that lies between the supernatural +and the mechanistic. Chief among these time-warped preconceptions—or +superstitions—that so stand over out of the alien past among these +democratic peoples is the institution of property. As is true of +preconceptions touching the supernatural verities, so here too the +article of use and wont in question will not bear formulation in +mechanistic terms and is not congruous with that mechanistic logic that +is incontinently bending the habits of thought of the common man more +and more consistently to its own bent. There is, of course, the +difference that while no class—apart from the servants of the +church—have a material interest in the continued integrity of the +articles of the supernatural faith, there is a strong and stubborn +material interest bound up with the maintenance of this article of the +pecuniary faith; and the class in whom this material interest vests are +also, in effect, invested with the coercive powers of the law.</p> + +<p>The law, and the popular preconceptions that give the law its binding +force, go to uphold the established usage and the established +prerogatives on this head; and the disestablishment of the rights of +property and investment therefore is not a simple matter of obsolescence +through neglect. It may confidently be counted on that all the apparatus +of the law and all the coercive agencies of law and order, will be +brought in requisition to uphold the ancient rights of ownership, +whenever any move is made toward their disallowance or restriction. But +then,<!-- Page 364 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 364]</span> on the other hand, the movement to disallow or diminish the +prerogatives of ownership is also not to take the innocuous shape of +unstudied neglect. So soon, or rather so far, as the common man comes to +realise that these rights of ownership and investment uniformly work to +his material detriment, at the same time that he has lost the "will to +believe" in any argument that does not run in terms of the mechanistic +logic, it is reasonable to expect that he will take a stand on this +matter; and it is more than likely that the stand taken will be of an +uncompromising kind,—presumably something in the nature of the stand +once taken by recalcitrant Englishmen in protest against the +irresponsible rule of the Stuart sovereign. It is also not likely that +the beneficiaries under these proprietary rights will yield their ground +at all amicably; all the more since they are patently within their +authentic rights in insisting on full discretion in the disposal of +their own possessions; very much as Charles I or James II once were +within their prescriptive right,—which had little to say in the +outcome.</p> + +<p>Even apart from "time immemorial" and the patent authenticity of the +institution, there were and are many cogent arguments to be alleged in +favor of the position for which the Stuart sovereigns and their +spokesmen contended. So there are and will be many, perhaps more, cogent +reasons to be alleged for the maintenance of the established law and +order in respect of the rights of ownership and investment. Not least +urgent, nor least real, among these arguments is the puzzling question +of what to put in the place of these rights and of the methods of +control based on them, very much as the analogous question puzzled the +public-spirited men of the Stuart times. All of which goes to argue that +there may<!-- Page 365 --><span class='pagenum'>[Pg 365]</span> be expected to arise a conjuncture of perplexities and +complications, as well as a division of interests and claims. To which +should be added that the division is likely to come to a head so soon as +the balance of forces between the two parties in interest becomes +doubtful, so that either party comes to surmise that the success of its +own aims may depend on its own efforts. And as happens where two +antagonistic parties are each convinced of the justice of its cause, and +in the absence of an umpire, the logical recourse is the wager of +battle.</p> + +<p>Granting the premises, there should be no reasonable doubt as to this +eventual cleavage between those who own and those who do not; and of the +premises the only item that is not already an accomplished fact is the +installation of peace at large. The rest of what goes into the argument +is the well-known modern state of the industrial arts, and the equally +well-known price-system; which, in combination, give its character to +the modern state of business enterprise. It is only an unusually broad +instance of an institutional arrangement which has in the course of time +and changing conditions come to work at cross purposes with that +underlying ground of institutional arrangements that takes form in the +commonplace aphorism, Live and let live. With change setting in the +direction familiar to all men today, it is only a question of limited +time when the discrepancy will reach a critical pass, and the +installation of peace may be counted on to hasten this course of things.</p> + +<p>That a decision will be sought by recourse to forcible measures, is also +scarcely open to question; since the established law and order provides +for a resort to coercion in the enforcement of these prescriptive +rights, and since both parties in interest, in this as in other cases, +are<!-- Page 366 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_366" id="Page_366">[Pg 366]</a></span> persuaded of the justice of their claims. A decision either way is +an intolerable iniquity in the eyes of the losing side. History teaches +that in such a quarrel the recourse has always been to force.</p> + +<p>History teaches also, but with an inflection of doubt, that the outworn +institution in such a conjuncture faces disestablishment. At least, so +men like to believe. What the experience of history does not leave in +doubt is the grave damage, discomfort and shame incident to the +displacement of such an institutional discrepancy by such recourse to +force. What further appears to be clear in the premises, at least to the +point of a strong presumption, is that in the present case the decision, +or the choice, lies between two alternatives: either the price-system +and its attendant business enterprise will yield and pass out; or the +pacific nations will conserve their pecuniary scheme of law and order at +the cost of returning to a war footing and letting their owners preserve +the rights of ownership by force of arms.</p> + +<p>The reflection obviously suggests itself that this prospect of +consequences to follow from the installation of peace at large might +well be taken into account beforehand by those who are aiming to work +out an enduring peace. It has appeared in the course of the argument +that the preservation of the present pecuniary law and order, with all +its incidents of ownership and investment, is incompatible with an +unwarlike state of peace and security. This current scheme of +investment, business, and sabotage, should have an appreciably better +chance of survival in the long run if the present conditions of warlike +preparation and national insecurity were maintained, or if the projected +peace were left in a somewhat problematical state, sufficiently +precarious to keep national animosi<!-- Page 367 --><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_367" id="Page_367">[Pg 367]</a></span>ties alert, and thereby to the +neglect of domestic interests, particularly of such interests as touch +the popular well-being. On the other hand, it has also appeared that the +cause of peace and its perpetuation might be materially advanced if +precautions were taken beforehand to put out of the way as much as may +be of those discrepancies of interest and sentiment between nations and +between classes which make for dissension and eventual hostilities.</p> + +<p>So, if the projectors of this peace at large are in any degree inclined +to seek concessive terms on which the peace might hopefully be made +enduring, it should evidently be part of their endeavours from the +outset to put events in train for the present abatement and eventual +abrogation of the rights of ownership and of the price-system in which +these rights take effect. A hopeful beginning along this line would +manifestly be the neutralisation of all pecuniary rights of citizenship, +as has been indicated in an earlier passage. On the other hand, if peace +is not desired at the cost of relinquishing the scheme of competitive +gain and competitive spending, the promoters of peace should logically +observe due precaution and move only so far in the direction of a +peaceable settlement as would result in a sufficiently unstable +equilibrium of mutual jealousies; such as might expeditiously be upset +whenever discontent with pecuniary affairs should come to threaten this +established scheme of pecuniary prerogatives.</p> + +<h4>Footnotes</h4> +<div class='footnotes'> +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_1_1" id="Footnote_1_1"></a><a href="#FNanchor_1_1"><span class="label">[1]</span></a> A modern nation constitutes a State only in respect of or +with ulterior bearing on the question of International peace or war.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_2_2" id="Footnote_2_2"></a><a href="#FNanchor_2_2"><span class="label">[2]</span></a> The partial and dubious exception of the Scandinavian +countries or of Switzerland need raise no question on this head.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_3_3" id="Footnote_3_3"></a><a href="#FNanchor_3_3"><span class="label">[3]</span></a> Cf., e.g., Eduard Meyer, <i>England: its political +organisation and development</i>. ch. ii.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_4_4" id="Footnote_4_4"></a><a href="#FNanchor_4_4"><span class="label">[4]</span></a> For a more extended discussion of this matter, cf. +<i>Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution</i>, ch. i. and +Supplementary Notes i. and ii.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_5_5" id="Footnote_5_5"></a><a href="#FNanchor_5_5"><span class="label">[5]</span></a> Cf. <i>Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution</i>, as +above.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_6_6" id="Footnote_6_6"></a><a href="#FNanchor_6_6"><span class="label">[6]</span></a> All this, which should be plain without demonstration, has +been repeatedly shown in the expositions of various peace advocates, +typically by Mr. Angell.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_7_7" id="Footnote_7_7"></a><a href="#FNanchor_7_7"><span class="label">[7]</span></a> "To us the state is the most indispensable as well as the +highest requisite to our earthly existence.... All individualistic +endeavor ... must be unreservedly subordinated to this lofty claim.... +The state ... eventually is of infinitely more value than the sum of all +the individuals within its jurisdiction." "This conception of the state, +which is as much a part of our life as is the blood in our veins, is +nowhere to be found in the English Constitution, and is quite foreign to +English thought, and to that of America as well."—Eduard Meyer, +<i>England, its Political Organisation and Development and the War against +Germany</i>, translated by H.S. White. Boston 1916. pp. 30-31.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_8_8" id="Footnote_8_8"></a><a href="#FNanchor_8_8"><span class="label">[8]</span></a> <i>Denk 'mall</i></p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_9_9" id="Footnote_9_9"></a><a href="#FNanchor_9_9"><span class="label">[9]</span></a> For an extended discussion of this point, see <i>Imperial +Germany and the Industrial Revolution</i>, especially ch. v. and vi.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_10_10" id="Footnote_10_10"></a><a href="#FNanchor_10_10"><span class="label">[10]</span></a> Cf. <i>The Theory of the Leisure Class</i>, especially ch. +v.-ix. and xiv.</p></div></div> +<h3>BOOKS BY THORSTEIN VEBLEN</h3> + + +<p class='center' style='margin-bottom: 15em;'> +THE THEORY OF THE LEISURE CLASS<br /> +<br /> +THE THEORY OF BUSINESS ENTERPRISE<br /> +<br /> +THE INSTINCT OF WORKMANSHIP<br /> +<br /> +IMPERIAL GERMANY<br /> +AND THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION<br /> +<br /> +THE NATURE OF PEACE<br /> +AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION<br /> +<br /> +THE HIGHER LEARNING IN AMERICA<br /> +</p> + + + + + + + +<pre> + + + + + +End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace +And The Terms Of Its Perpetuation, by Thorstein Veblen + +*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE NATURE OF PEACE *** + +***** This file should be named 20694-h.htm or 20694-h.zip ***** +This and all associated files of various formats will be found in: + http://www.gutenberg.org/2/0/6/9/20694/ + +Produced by Irma pehar, Graeme Mackreth and the Online +Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net. 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You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace And The Terms Of Its Perpetuation + +Author: Thorstein Veblen + +Release Date: February 27, 2007 [EBook #20694] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ASCII + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE NATURE OF PEACE *** + + + + +Produced by Irma Spehar, Graeme Mackreth and the Online +Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net. (This +file made using scans of public domain works at the +University of Georgia.) + + + + + + + +AN INQUIRY INTO + +THE NATURE OF PEACE + +AND + +THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + +BY + +THORSTEIN VEBLEN + + +New York +B.W. HUEBSCH +1919 + +_All rights reserved_ + + + + +COPYRIGHT, 1917. +BY THE MACMILLAN COMPANY. + +Published April, 1917: +Reprinted August, 1917. + +New edition published by +B.W. HUEBSCH. +January, 1919. + + + + +PREFACE + + +It is now some 122 years since Kant wrote the essay, _Zum ewigen +Frieden_. Many things have happened since then, although the Peace to +which he looked forward with a doubtful hope has not been among them. +But many things have happened which the great critical philosopher, and +no less critical spectator of human events, would have seen with +interest. To Kant the quest of an enduring peace presented itself as an +intrinsic human duty, rather than as a promising enterprise. Yet through +all his analysis of its premises and of the terms on which it may be +realised there runs a tenacious persuasion that, in the end, the regime +of peace at large will be installed. Not as a deliberate achievement of +human wisdom, so much as a work of Nature the Designer of +things--_Natura daedala rerum_. + +To any attentive reader of Kant's memorable essay it will be apparent +that the title of the following inquiry--On the nature of peace and the +terms of its perpetuation--is a descriptive translation of the caption +under which he wrote. That such should be the case will not, it is +hoped, be accounted either an unseemly presumption or an undue +inclination to work under a borrowed light. The aim and compass of any +disinterested inquiry in these premises is still the same as it was in +Kant's time; such, indeed, as he in great part made it,--viz., a +systematic knowledge of things as they are. Nor is the light of Kant's +leading to be dispensed with as touches the ways and means of +systematic knowledge, wherever the human realities are in question. + +Meantime, many things have also changed since the date of Kant's essay. +Among other changes are those that affect the direction of inquiry and +the terms of systematic formulation. _Natura daedala rerum_ is no longer +allowed to go on her own recognizances, without divulging the ways and +means of her workmanship. And it is such a line of extension that is +here attempted, into a field of inquiry which in Kant's time still lay +over the horizon of the future. + +The quest of perpetual peace at large is no less a paramount and +intrinsic human duty today than it was, nor is it at all certain that +its final accomplishment is nearer. But the question of its pursuit and +of the conditions to be met in seeking this goal lies in a different +shape today; and it is this question that concerns the inquiry which is +here undertaken,--What are the terms on which peace at large may +hopefully be installed and maintained? What, if anything, is there in +the present situation that visibly makes for a realisation of these +necessary terms within the calculable future? And what are the +consequences presumably due to follow in the nearer future from the +installation of such a peace at large? And the answer to these questions +is here sought not in terms of what ought dutifully to be done toward +the desired consummation, but rather in terms of those known factors of +human behaviour that can be shown by analysis of experience to control +the conduct of nations in conjunctures of this kind. + +February 1917 + + + + +CONTENTS + + +CHAPTER I + +INTRODUCTORY: ON THE STATE AND ITS RELATION TO WAR +AND PEACE 1 + +The inquiry is not concerned with the intrinsic merits +of peace or war, 2. + +--But with the nature, causes and consequences of the +preconceptions favoring peace or war, 3. + +--A breach of the peace is an act of the government, +or State, 3. + +--Patriotism is indispensable to furtherance of warlike +enterprise, 4. + +--All the peoples of Christendom are sufficiently patriotic, 6. + +--Peace established by the State, an armistice--the State +is an instrumentality for making peace, not for perpetuating it, 7. + +--The governmental establishments and their powers in all +the Christian nations are derived from the feudal establishments +of the Middle Ages, 9. + +--Still retain the right of coercively controlling the actions +of their citizens, 11. + +--Contrast of Icelandic Commonwealth, 12. + +--The statecraft of the past half century has been +one of competitive preparedness, 14. + +--Prussianised Germany has forced the pace in this +competitive preparedness, 20. + +--An avowedly predatory enterprise no longer meets +with approval, 21. + +--When a warlike enterprise has been entered upon, it +will have the support of popular sentiment even if it +is an aggressive war, 22. + +--The moral indignation of both parties to the quarrel +is to be taken for granted, 23. + +--The spiritual forces of any Christian nation may be +mobilised for war by either of two pleas: (1) The +preservation or furtherance of the community's material +interests, real or fancied, and (2) vindication of the +National Honour; as perhaps also perpetuation of the +national "Culture," 23. + + +CHAPTER II + +ON THE NATURE AND USES OF PATRIOTISM 31 + +The nature of Patriotism, 31. + +--Is a spirit of Emulation, 33. + +--Must seem moral, if only to a biased populace, 33. + +--The common man is sufficiently patriotic but is hampered +with a sense of right and honest dealing, 38. + +--Patriotism is at cross purposes with modern life, 38. + +--Is an hereditary trait? 41. + +--Variety of racial stocks in Europe, 43. + +--Patriotism a ubiquitous trait, 43. + +--Patriotism disserviceable, yet men hold to it, 46. + +--Cultural evolution of Europeans, 48. + +--Growth of a sense of group solidarity, 49. + +--Material interests of group falling into abeyance +as class divisions have grown up, until prestige +remains virtually the sole community interest, 51. + +--Based upon warlike prowess, physical magnitude and +pecuniary traffic of country, 54. + +--Interests of the master class are at cross purposes +with the fortunes of the common man, 57. + +--Value of superiors is a "prestige value," 57. + +--The material benefits which this ruling class contribute +are: defense against aggression, and promotion of the +community's material gain, 60. + +--The common defense is a remedy for evils due to the +patriotic spirit, 61. + +--The common defense the usual blind behind which events +are put in train for eventual hostilities, 62. + +--All the nations of warring Europe convinced that they +are fighting a defensive war, 62. + +--Which usually takes the form of a defense of the National +Honour, 63. + +--Material welfare is of interest to the Dynastic statesman +only as it conduces to political success, 64. + +--The policy of national economic self-sufficiency, 67. + +--The chief material use of patriotism is its use to a +limited number of persons in their quest of private gain, 67. + +--And has the effect of dividing the nations on lines of +rivalry, 76. + + +CHAPTER III + +ON THE CONDITIONS OF A LASTING PEACE 77 + +The patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding +source of contention among nations, 77. + +--Hence any calculus of the Chances of Peace will be +a reckoning of forces which may be counted on to keep +a patriotic nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace, 78. + +--The question of peace and war at large is a question of +peace and war among the Powers, which are of two contrasted +kinds: those which may safely be counted on spontaneously +to take the offensive and those which will fight on provocation, 79. + +--War not a question of equity but of opportunity, 81. + +--The Imperial designs of Germany and Japan as the prospective +cause of war, 82. + +--Peace can be maintained in two ways: submission to +their dominion, or elimination of these two Powers; +No middle course open, 84. + +--Frame of mind of states; men and popular sentiment in +a Dynastic State, 84. + +--Information, persuasion and reflection will not subdue +national animosities and jealousies; Peoples of Europe +are racially homogeneous along lines of climatic latitude, 88. + +--But loyalty is a matter of habituation, 89. + +--Derivation and current state of German nationalism, 94. + +--Contrasted with the animus of the citizens of a commonwealth, +103;--A neutral peace-compact may be practicable in the +absence of Germany and Japan, but it has no chance in +their presence, 106. + +--The national life of Germany: the Intellectuals, 108. + +--Summary of chapter, 116. + + +CHAPTER IV + +PEACE WITHOUT HONOUR 118 + +Submission to the Imperial Power one of the conditions +precedent to a peaceful settlement, 118. + +--Character of the projected tutelage, 118. + +--Life under the _Pax Germanica_ contrasted with +the Ottoman and Russian rule, 124. + +--China and biological and cultural success, 130. + +--Difficulty of non-resistant subjection is of a psychological +order, 131. + +--Patriotism of the bellicose kind is of the nature of +habit, 134. + +--And men may divest themselves of it, 140. + +--A decay of the bellicose national spirit must be of +the negative order, the disuse of the discipline out +of which it has arisen, 142. + +--Submission to Imperial authorities necessitates +abeyance of national pride among the other peoples, 144. + +--Pecuniary merits of the projected Imperial dominion, 145. + +--Pecuniary class distinctions in the commonwealths and +the pecuniary burden on the common man, 150. + +--Material conditions of life for the common man under +the modern rule of big business, 156. + +--The competitive regime, "what the traffic will bear," +and the life and labor of the common man, 158. + +--Industrial sabotage by businessmen, 165. + +--Contrasted with the Imperial usufruct and its material +advantages to the common man, 174. + + +CHAPTER V + +PEACE AND NEUTRALITY 178 + +Personal liberty, not creature comforts, the ulterior +springs of action of the common man of the democratic +nations, 178. + +--No change of spiritual state to be looked for in the +life-time of the oncoming generation, 185. + +--The Dynastic spirit among the peoples of the Empire +will, under the discipline of modern economic conditions, +fall into decay, 187. + +--Contrast of class divisions in Germany and England, 192. + +--National establishments are dependent for their +continuance upon preparation for hostilities, 196. + +--The time required for the people of the Dynastic +States to unlearn their preconceptions will be longer +than the interval required for a new onset, 197. + +--There can be no neutral course between peace by +unconditional surrender and submission or peace by +the elimination of Imperial Germany and Japan, 202. + +--Peace by submission not practicable for the modern +nations, 203. + +--Neutralisation of citizenship, 205. + +--Spontaneous move in that direction not to be looked for, 213. + +--Its chances of success, 219. + +--The course of events in America, 221. + + +CHAPTER VI + +ELIMINATION OF THE UNFIT 233 + +A league of neutrals, its outline, 233. + +--Need of security from aggression of Imperial Germany, 234. + +--Inclusion of the Imperial States in the league, 237. + +--Necessity of elimination of Imperial military clique, 239. + +--Necessity of intermeddling in internal affairs of Germany even +if not acceptable to the German people, 240. + +--Probability of pacific nations taking measures to insure peace, 244-298. + +--The British gentleman and his control of the English government, 244. + +--The shifting of control out of the hands of the gentleman into +those of the underbred common man, 251. + +--The war situation and its probable effect on popular habits +of thought in England, 252. + +--The course of such events and their bearing on the chances +of a workable pacific league, 255. + +--Conditions precedent to a successful pacific league +of neutrals, 258. + +--Colonial possessions, 259. + +--Neutralisation of trade relations, 263. + +--Futility of economic boycott, 266. + +--The terms of settlement, 269. + +--The effect of the war and the chances of the British people +being able to meet the exigencies of peace, 273. + +--Summary of the terms of settlement, 280. + +--Constitutional monarchies and the British gentlemanly +government, 281. + +--The American national establishment, a government +by businessmen, and its economic policy, 292. + +--America and the league, 294. + + +CHAPTER VII + +PEACE AND THE PRICE SYSTEM 299 + +The different conceptions of peace, 299. + +--Psychological effects of the war, 303. + +--The handicraft system and the machine industry, +and their psychological effect on political preconceptions, 306. + +--The machine technology and the decay of patriotic loyalty, 310. + +--Summary, 313. + +--Ownership and the right of contract, 315. + +--Standardised under handicraft system, 319. + +--Ownership and the machine industry. 320. + +--Business control and sabotage, 322. + +--Governments of pacific nations controlled by privileged classes, 326. + +--Effect of peace on the economic situation, 328. + +--Economic aspects of a regime of peace, especially as related +to the development of classes, 330. + +--The analogy of the Victorian Peace, 344. + +--The case of the American Farmer, 348. + +--The leisure class, 350. + +--The rising standard of living, 354. + +--Culture, 355. + +--The eventual cleavage of classes, those who own and those +who do not, 360. + +--Conditioned by peace at large, 366. + +--Necessary conditions of a lasting peace, 367. + + +AN INQUIRY INTO THE NATURE OF PEACE AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + + + + +ON THE NATURE OF PEACE AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + + + + +CHAPTER I + +INTRODUCTORY: ON THE STATE AND ITS RELATION TO WAR AND PEACE + + +To many thoughtful men ripe in worldly wisdom it is known of a verity +that war belongs indefeasibly in the Order of Nature. Contention, with +manslaughter, is indispensable in human intercourse, at the same time +that it conduces to the increase and diffusion of the manly virtues. So +likewise, the unspoiled youth of the race, in the period of adolescence +and aspiring manhood, also commonly share this gift of insight and back +it with a generous commendation of all the martial qualities; and women +of nubile age and no undue maturity gladly meet them half way. + +On the other hand, the mothers of the people are commonly unable to see +the use of it all. It seems a waste of dear-bought human life, with a +large sum of nothing to show for it. So also many men of an elderly +turn, prematurely or otherwise, are ready to lend their countenance to +the like disparaging appraisal; it may be that the spirit of prowess in +them runs at too low a tension, or they may have outlived the more vivid +appreciation of the spiritual values involved. There are many, also, +with a turn for exhortation, who find employment for their best +faculties in attesting the well-known atrocities and futility of war. + +Indeed, not infrequently such advocates of peace will devote their +otherwise idle powers to this work of exhortation without stipend or +subsidy. And they uniformly make good their contention that the +currently accepted conception of the nature of war--General Sherman's +formula--is substantially correct. All the while it is to be admitted +that all this axiomatic exhortation has no visible effect on the course +of events or on the popular temper touching warlike enterprise. Indeed, +no equal volume of speech can be more incontrovertible or less +convincing than the utterances of the peace advocates, whether +subsidised or not. "War is Bloodier than Peace." This would doubtless be +conceded without argument, but also without prejudice. Hitherto the +pacifists' quest of a basis for enduring peace, it must be admitted, has +brought home nothing tangible--with the qualification, of course, that +the subsidised pacifists have come in for the subsidy. So that, after +searching the recesses of their imagination, able-bodied pacifists whose +loquacity has never been at fault hitherto have been brought to ask: +"What Shall We Say?" + + * * * * * + +Under these circumstances it will not be out of place to inquire into +the nature of this peace about which swings this wide orbit of opinion +and argument. At the most, such an inquiry can be no more gratuitous and +no more nugatory than the controversies that provoke it. The intrinsic +merits of peace at large, as against those of warlike enterprise, it +should be said, do not here come in question. That question lies in the +domain of preconceived opinion, so that for the purposes of this +inquiry it will have no significance except as a matter to be inquired +into; the main point of the inquiry being the nature, causes and +consequences of such a preconception favoring peace, and the +circumstances that make for a contrary preconception in favor of war. + +By and large, any breach of the peace in modern times is an official act +and can be taken only on initiative of the governmental establishment, +the State. The national authorities may, of course, be driven to take +such a step by pressure of warlike popular sentiment. Such, e.g., is +presumed to have been the case in the United States' attack on Spain +during the McKinley administration; but the more that comes to light of +the intimate history of that episode, the more evident does it become +that the popular war sentiment to which the administration yielded had +been somewhat sedulously "mobilised" with a view to such yielding and +such a breach. So also in the case of the Boer war, the move was made +under sanction of a popular war spirit, which, again, did not come to a +head without shrewd surveillance and direction. And so again in the +current European war, in the case, e.g., of Germany, where the +initiative was taken, the State plainly had the full support of popular +sentiment, and may even be said to have precipitated the war in response +to this urgent popular aspiration; and here again it is a matter of +notoriety that the popular sentiment had long been sedulously nursed and +"mobilised" to that effect, so that the populace was assiduously kept in +spiritual readiness for such an event. The like is less evident as +regards the United Kingdom, and perhaps also as regards the other +Allies. + +And such appears to have been the common run of the facts as regards all +the greater wars of the last one hundred years,--what may be called the +"public" wars of this modern era, as contrasted with the "private" or +administrative wars which have been carried on in a corner by one and +another of the Great Powers against hapless barbarians, from time to +time, in the course of administrative routine. + +It is also evident from the run of the facts as exemplified in these +modern wars that while any breach of the peace takes place only on the +initiative and at the discretion of the government, or State,[1] it is +always requisite in furtherance of such warlike enterprise to cherish +and eventually to mobilise popular sentiment in support of any warlike +move. Due fomentation of a warlike animus is indispensable to the +procuring and maintenance of a suitable equipment with which eventually +to break the peace, as well as to ensure a diligent prosecution of such +enterprise when once it has been undertaken. Such a spirit of militant +patriotism as may serviceably be mobilised in support of warlike +enterprise has accordingly been a condition precedent to any people's +entry into the modern Concert of Nations. This Concert of Nations is a +Concert of Powers, and it is only as a Power that any nation plays its +part in the concert, all the while that "power" here means eventual +warlike force. + +[Footnote 1: A modern nation constitutes a State only in respect of or +with ulterior bearing on the question of International peace or war.] + +Such a people as the Chinese, e.g., not pervaded with an adequate +patriotic spirit, comes into the Concert of Nations not as a Power but +as a bone of contention. Not that the Chinese fall short in any of the +qualities that conduce to efficiency and welfare in time of peace, but +they appear, in effect, to lack that certain "solidarity of prowess" by +virtue of which they should choose to be (collectively) formidable +rather than (individually) fortunate and upright; and the modern +civilised nations are not in a position, nor in a frame of mind, to +tolerate a neighbor whose only claim on their consideration falls under +the category of peace on earth and good-will among men. China appears +hitherto not to have been a serviceable people for warlike ends, except +in so far as the resources of that country have been taken over and +converted to warlike uses by some alien power working to its own ends. +Such have been the several alien dynasties that have seized upon that +country from time to time and have achieved dominion by usufruct of its +unwarlike forces. Such has been the nature of the Manchu empire of the +recent past, and such is the evident purpose of the prospective Japanese +usufruct of the same country and its populace. Meantime the Chinese +people appear to be incorrigibly peaceable, being scarcely willing to +fight in any concerted fashion even when driven into a corner by +unprovoked aggression, as in the present juncture. Such a people is very +exceptional. Among civilised nations there are, broadly speaking, none +of that temper, with the sole exception of the Chinese,--if the Chinese +are properly to be spoken of as a nation. + +Modern warfare makes such large and direct use of the industrial arts, +and depends for its successful prosecution so largely on a voluminous +and unremitting supply of civilian services and wrought goods, that any +inoffensive and industrious people, such as the Chinese, could doubtless +now be turned to good account by any warlike power that might have the +disposal of their working forces. To make their industrial efficiency +count in this way toward warlike enterprise and imperial dominion, the +usufruct of any such inoffensive and unpatriotic populace would have to +fall into the hands of an alien governmental establishment. And no alien +government resting on the support of a home population trained in the +habits of democracy or given over to ideals of common honesty in +national concerns could hopefully undertake the enterprise. This work of +empire-building out of unwarlike materials could apparently be carried +out only by some alien power hampered by no reserve of scruple, and +backed by a servile populace of its own, imbued with an impeccable +loyalty to its masters and with a suitably bellicose temper, as, e.g., +Imperial Japan or Imperial Germany. + +However, for the commonplace national enterprise the common run will do +very well. Any populace imbued with a reasonable measure of patriotism +will serve as ways and means to warlike enterprise under competent +management, even if it is not habitually prone to a bellicose temper. +Rightly managed, ordinary patriotic sentiment may readily be mobilised +for warlike adventure by any reasonably adroit and single-minded body of +statesmen,--of which there is abundant illustration. All the peoples of +Christendom are possessed of a sufficiently alert sense of nationality, +and by tradition and current usage all the national governments of +Christendom are warlike establishments, at least in the defensive sense; +and the distinction between the defensive and the offensive in +international intrigue is a technical matter that offers no great +difficulty. None of these nations is of such an incorrigibly peaceable +temper that they can be counted on to keep the peace consistently in the +ordinary course of events. + +Peace established by the State, or resting in the discretion of the +State, is necessarily of the nature of an armistice, in effect +terminable at will and on short notice. It is maintained only on +conditions, stipulated by express convention or established by custom, +and there is always the reservation, tacit or explicit, that recourse +will be had to arms in case the "national interests" or the punctilios +of international etiquette are traversed by the act or defection of any +rival government or its subjects. The more nationally-minded the +government or its subject populace, the readier the response to the call +of any such opportunity for an unfolding of prowess. The most peaceable +governmental policy of which Christendom has experience is a policy of +"watchful waiting," with a jealous eye to the emergence of any occasion +for national resentment; and the most irretrievably shameful dereliction +of duty on the part of any civilised government would be its eventual +insensibility to the appeal of a "just war." Under any governmental +auspices, as the modern world knows governments, the keeping of the +peace comes at its best under the precept, "Speak softly and carry a big +stick." But the case for peace is more precarious than the wording of +the aphorism would indicate, in as much as in practical fact the "big +stick" is an obstacle to soft speech. Evidently, in the light of recent +history, if the peace is to be kept it will have to come about +irrespective of governmental management,--in spite of the State rather +than by its good offices. At the best, the State, or the government, is +an instrumentality for making peace, not for perpetuating it. + + * * * * * + +Anyone who is interested in the nature and derivation of governmental +institutions and establishments in Europe, in any but the formal +respect, should be able to satisfy his curiosity by looking over the +shoulders of the professed students of Political Science. Quite properly +and profitably that branch of scholarship is occupied with the authentic +pedigree of these institutions, and with the documentary instruments in +the case; since Political Science is, after all, a branch of theoretical +jurisprudence and is concerned about a formally competent analysis of +the recorded legal powers. The material circumstances from which these +institutions once took their beginning, and the exigencies which have +governed the rate and direction of their later growth and mutation, as +well as the _de facto_ bearing of the institutional scheme on the +material welfare or the cultural fortunes of the given community,--while +all these matters of fact may be germane to the speculations of +Political Theory, they are not intrinsic to its premises, to the logical +sequence of its inquiry, or to its theoretical findings. The like is +also true, of course, as regards that system of habits of thought, that +current frame of mind, in which any given institutional scheme +necessarily is grounded, and without the continued support of which any +given scheme of governmental institutions or policy would become +nugatory and so would pass into the province of legal fiction. All these +are not idle matters in the purview of the student of Political Science, +but they remain after all substantially extraneous to the structure of +political theory; and in so far as matters of this class are to be +brought into the case at all, the specialists in the field can not +fairly be expected to contribute anything beyond an occasional _obiter +dictum_. There can be no discourteous presumption, therefore, in +accepting the general theorems of current political theory without +prejudice, and looking past the received theoretical formulations for a +view of the substantial grounds on which the governmental establishments +have grown into shape, and the circumstances, material and spiritual, +that surround their continued working and effect. + +By lineal descent the governmental establishments and the powers with +which they are vested, in all the Christian nations, are derived from +the feudal establishments of the Middle Ages; which, in turn, are of a +predatory origin and of an irresponsible character.[2] In nearly all +instances, but more particularly among the nations that are accounted +characteristically modern, the existing establishments have been greatly +altered from the mediaeval pattern, by concessive adaptation to later +exigencies or by a more or less revolutionary innovation. The degree of +their modernity is (conventionally) measured, roughly, by the degree in +which they have departed from the mediaeval pattern. Wherever the +unavoidable concessions have been shrewdly made with a view to +conserving the autonomy and irresponsibility of the governmental +establishment, or the "State," and where the state of national sentiment +has been led to favor this work of conservation, as, e.g., in the case +of Austria, Spain or Prussia, there the modern outcome has been what may +be called a Dynastic State. Where, on the other hand, the run of +national sentiment has departed notably from the ancient holding ground +of loyal abnegation, and has enforced a measure of revolutionary +innovation, as in the case of France or of the English-speaking peoples, +there the modern outcome has been an (ostensibly) democratic +commonwealth of ungraded citizens. But the contrast so indicated is a +contrast of divergent variants rather than of opposites. These two +type-forms may be taken as the extreme and inclusive limits of variation +among the governmental establishments with which the modern world is +furnished.[3] + +[Footnote 2: The partial and dubious exception of the Scandinavian +countries or of Switzerland need raise no question on this head.] + +[Footnote 3: Cf., e.g., Eduard Meyer, _England: its political +organisation and development_. ch. ii.] + +The effectual difference between these two theoretically contrasted +types of governmental establishments is doubtless grave enough, and for +many purposes it is consequential, but it is after all not of such a +nature as need greatly detain the argument at this point. The two differ +less, in effect, in that range of their functioning which comes in +question here than in their bearing on the community's fortunes apart +from questions of war and peace. In all cases there stand over in this +bearing certain primary characteristics of the ancient regime, which all +these modern establishments have in common, though not all in an equal +degree of preservation and effectiveness. They are, e.g., all vested +with certain attributes of "sovereignty." In all cases the citizen still +proves on closer attention to be in some measure a "subject" of the +State, in that he is invariably conceived to owe a "duty" to the +constituted authorities in one respect and another. All civilised +governments take cognizance of Treason, Sedition, and the like; and all +good citizens are not only content but profoundly insistent on the clear +duty of the citizen on this head. The bias of loyalty is not a matter on +which argument is tolerated. By virtue of this bias of loyalty, or +"civic duty"--which still has much of the color of feudal +allegiance--the governmental establishment is within its rights in +coercively controlling and directing the actions of the citizen, or +subject, in those respects that so lie within his duty; as also in +authoritatively turning his abilities to account for the purposes that +so lie within the governmental discretion, as, e.g., the Common Defense. + +These rights and powers still remain to the governmental establishment +even at the widest democratic departure from that ancient pattern of +masterful tutelage and usufruct that marked the old-fashioned +patrimonial State,--and that still marks the better preserved ones among +its modern derivatives. And so intrinsic to these governmental +establishments are these discretionary powers, and by so unfailing a +popular bias are they still accounted a matter of course and of +axiomatic necessity, that they have invariably been retained also among +the attributes of those democratic governments that trace their origin +to a revolutionary break with the old order. + +To many, all this will seem a pedantic taking note of commonplaces,--as +if it were worth while remarking that the existing governments are +vested with the indispensable attributes of government. Yet history +records an instance at variance with this axiomatic rule, a rule which +is held to be an unavoidable deliverance of common sense. And it is by +no means an altogether unique instance. It may serve to show that these +characteristic and unimpeachable powers that invest all current +governmental establishments are, after all, to be rated as the marks of +a particular species of governments, and not characteristics of the +genus of governmental establishments at large. These powers answer to an +acquired bias, not to an underlying trait of human nature; a matter of +habit, not of heredity. + +Such an historical instance is the so-called Republic, or Commonwealth, +of Iceland--tenth to thirteenth centuries. Its case is looked on by +students of history as a spectacular anomaly, because it admitted none +of these primary powers of government in its constituted authorities. +And yet, for contrast with these matter-of-course preconceptions of +these students of history, it is well to note that in the deliberations +of those ancients who installed the Republic for the management of their +joint concerns, any inclusion of such powers in its competency appears +never to have been contemplated, not even to the extent of its being +rejected. This singularity--as it would be rated by modern statesmen and +students--was in no degree a new departure in state-making on the part +of the founders of the Republic. They had no knowledge of such powers, +duties and accountabilities, except as unwholesome features of a novel +and alien scheme of irresponsible oppression that was sought to be +imposed on them by Harald Fairhair, and which they incontinently made it +their chief and immediate business to evade. They also set up no joint +or collective establishment with powers for the Common Defense, nor does +it appear that such a notion had occurred to them. + +In the history of its installation there is no hint that the men who set +up this Icelandic Commonwealth had any sense of the need, or even of the +feasibility, of such a coercive government as would be involved in +concerted preparation for the common defense. Subjection to personal +rule, or to official rule in any degree of attenuation, was not +comprised in their traditional experience of citizenship; and it was +necessarily out of the elements comprised in this traditional experience +that the new structure would have to be built up. The new commonwealth +was necessarily erected on the premises afforded by the received scheme +of use and wont; and this received scheme had come down out of +pre-feudal conditions, without having passed under the discipline of +that regime of coercion which the feudal system had imposed on the rest +of Europe, and so had established as an "immemorial usage" and a "second +nature" among the populations of Christendom. The resulting character of +the Icelandic Commonwealth is sufficiently striking when contrasted with +the case of the English commonwealth of the seventeenth century, or the +later French and American republics. These, all and several, came out of +a protracted experience in feudalistic state-making and State policy; +and the common defense--frequently on the offensive--with its necessary +coercive machinery and its submissive loyalty, consequently would take +the central place in the resulting civic structure. + +To close the tale of the Icelandic commonwealth it may be added that +their republic of insubordinate citizens presently fell into default, +systematic misuse, under the disorders brought on by an accumulation of +wealth, and that it died of legal fiction and constitutional formalities +after some experience at the hands of able and ambitious statesmen in +contact with an alien government drawn on the coercive plan. The clay +vessel failed to make good among the iron pots, and so proved its +unfitness to survive in the world of Christian nations,--very much as +the Chinese are today at the mercy of the defensive rapacity of the +Powers. + + And the mercy that we gave them + Was to sink them in the sea, + Down on the coast of High Barbarie. + +No doubt, it will be accepted as an axiomatic certainty that the +establishment of a commonwealth after the fashion of the Icelandic +Republic, without coercive authority or provision for the common +defense, and without a sense of subordination or collective +responsibility among its citizens, would be out of all question under +existing circumstances of politics and international trade. Nor would +such a commonwealth be workable on the scale and at the pace imposed by +modern industrial and commercial conditions, even apart from +international jealousy and ambitions, provided the sacred rights of +ownership were to be maintained in something like their current shape. +And yet something of a drift of popular sentiment, and indeed something +of deliberate endeavour, setting in the direction of such a harmless and +helpless national organisation is always visible in Western Europe, +throughout modern times; particularly through the eighteenth and the +early half of the nineteenth centuries; and more particularly among the +English-speaking peoples and, with a difference, among the French. The +Dutch and the Scandinavian countries answer more doubtfully to the same +characterisation. + +The movement in question is known to history as the Liberal, +Rationalistic, Humanitarian, or Individualistic departure. Its ideal, +when formulated, is spoken of as the System of Natural Rights; and its +goal in the way of a national establishment has been well characterised +by its critics as the Police State, or the Night-Watchman State. The +gains made in this direction, or perhaps better the inroads of this +animus in national ideals, are plainly to be set down as a shift in the +direction of peace and amity; but it is also plain that the shift of +ground so initiated by this strain of sentiment has never reached a +conclusion and never has taken effect in anything like an effectual +working arrangement. Its practical consequences have been of the nature +of abatement and defection in the pursuit of national ambitions and +dynastic enterprise, rather than a creative work of installing any +institutional furniture suitable to its own ends. It has in effect gone +no farther than what would be called an incipient correction of abuses. +The highest rise, as well as the decline, of this movement lie within +the nineteenth century. + +In point of time, the decay of this amiable conceit of _laissez-faire_ +in national policy coincides with the period of great advance in the +technology of transport and communication in the nineteenth century. +Perhaps, on a larger outlook, it should rather be said that the run of +national ambitions and animosities had, in the eighteenth and nineteenth +centuries, suffered a degree of decay through the diffusion of this +sentimental predilection for Natural Liberty, and that this decline of +the manlier aspirations was then arrested and corrected by help of these +improvements in the technological situation; which enabled a closer and +more coercive control to be exercised over larger areas, and at the same +time enabled a more massive aggregate of warlike force to strike more +effectively at a greater distance. This whole episode of the rise and +decline of _laissez-faire_ in modern history is perhaps best to be +conceived as a transient weakening of nationalism, by neglect; rather +than anything like the growth of a new and more humane ideal of national +intercourse. Such would be the appraisal to be had at the hands of those +who speak for a strenuous national life and for the arbitrament of +sportsmanlike contention in human affairs. And the latterday growth of +more militant aspirations, together with the more settled and sedulous +attention to a development of control and of formidable armaments, such +as followed on through the latter half of the nineteenth century, would +then be rated as a resumption of those older aims and ideals that had +been falling somewhat into abeyance in the slack-water days of +Liberalism. + +There is much to be said for this latter view; and, indeed, much has +been said for it, particularly by the spokesmen of imperialist politics. +This bias of Natural Liberty has been associated in history with the +English-speaking peoples, more intimately and more extensively than with +any other. Not that this amiable conceit is in any peculiar degree a +race characteristic of this group of peoples; nor even that the history +of its rise and decline runs wholly within the linguistic frontiers +indicated by this characterisation. The French and the Dutch have borne +their share, and at an earlier day Italian sentiment and speculation +lent its impulsion to the same genial drift of faith and aspiration. +But, by historical accident, its center of gravity and of diffusion has +lain with the English-speaking communities during the period when this +bias made history and left its impress on the institutional scheme of +the Western civilisation. By grace of what may, for the present purpose, +be called historical accident, it happens that the interval of history +during which the bias of Natural Liberty made visible headway was also a +period during which these English-speaking peoples, among whom its +effects are chiefly visible, were relatively secure from international +disturbance, by force of inaccessibility. Little strain was put upon +their sense of national solidarity or national prowess; so little, +indeed, that there was some danger of their patriotic animosity falling +into decay by disuse; and then they were also busy with other things. +Peaceable intercourse, it is true, was relatively easy, active and +far-reaching--eighteenth and nineteenth centuries--as compared with what +had been the case before that time; but warlike intercourse on such a +scale as would constitute a substantial menace to any large nation was +nearly out of the question, so far as regards the English-speaking +peoples. The available means of aggression, as touches the case of these +particular communities, were visibly and consciously inadequate as +compared with the means of defense. The means of internal or +intra-national control or coercion were also less well provided by the +state of the arts current at that time than the means of peaceable +intercourse. These means of transport and communication were, at that +stage of their development, less well suited for the purposes of +far-reaching warlike strategy and the exercise of surveillance and +coercion over large spaces than for the purposes of peaceable traffic. + +But the continued improvement in the means of communication during the +nineteenth century presently upset that situation, and so presently +began to neutralise the geographical quarantine which had hedged about +these communities that were inclined to let well enough alone. The +increasing speed and accuracy of movement in shipping, due to the +successful introduction of steam, as well as the concomitant increasing +size of the units of equipment, all runs to this effect and presently +sets at naught the peace barriers of sea and weather. So also the +development of railways and their increasing availability for strategic +uses, together with the far-reaching coordination of movement made +possible by their means and by the telegraph; all of which is further +facilitated by the increasing mass and density of population. +Improvements in the technology of arms and armament worked to the like +effect, of setting the peace of any community on an increasingly +precarious footing, through the advantage which this new technology gave +to a ready equipment and a rapid mobilisation. The new state of the +industrial arts serviceable for warlike enterprise put an increasingly +heavy premium on readiness for offense or defense, but more particularly +it all worked increasingly to the advantage of the offensive. It put the +Fabian strategy out of date, and led to the doctrine of a defensive +offense. + +Gradually it came true, with the continued advance in those industrial +arts that lend themselves to strategic uses, and it came also to be +realised, that no corner of the earth was any longer secure by mere +favor of distance and natural difficulty, from eventual aggression at +the hands of any provident and adventurous assailant,--even by help of a +modicum of defensive precaution. The fear of aggression then came +definitively to take the place of international good-will and became the +chief motive in public policy, so fast and so far as the state of the +industrial arts continued to incline the balance of advantage to the +side of the aggressor. All of which served greatly to strengthen the +hands of those statesmen who, by interest or temperament, were inclined +to imperialistic enterprise. Since that period all armament has +conventionally been accounted defensive, and all statesmen have +professed that the common defense is their chief concern. Professedly +all armament has been designed to keep the peace; so much of a shadow of +the peaceable bias there still stands over. + +Throughout this latest phase of modern civilisation the avowed fear of +aggression has served as apology, possibly as provocation in fact, to +national armaments; and throughout the same period any analysis of the +situation will finally run the chain of fear back to Prussia as the +putative or actual, center of disturbance and apprehension. No doubt, +Prussian armament has taken the lead and forced the pace among the +nations of Christendom; but the Prussian policy, too, has been +diligently covered with the same decorous plea of needful provision for +the common defense and an unremitting solicitude for international +peace,--to which has been added the canny afterthought of the "defensive +offense." + +It is characteristic of this era of armed peace that in all these +extensive preparations for breaking the peace any formal avowal of other +than a defensive purpose has at all times been avoided as an +insufferable breach of diplomatic decorum. It is likewise characteristic +of the same era that armaments have unremittingly been increased, beyond +anything previously known; and that all men have known all the while +that the inevitable outcome of this avowedly defensive armament must +eventually be war on an unprecedented scale and of unexampled ferocity. +It would be neither charitable nor otherwise to the point to call +attention to the reflection which this state of the case throws on the +collective sagacity or the good faith of the statesmen who have had the +management of affairs. It is not practicable to imagine how such an +outcome as the present could have been brought about by any degree of +stupidity or incapacity alone, nor is it easier to find evidence that +the utmost sagacity of the statecraft engaged has had the slightest +mitigating effect on the evil consummation to which the whole case has +been brought. It has long been a commonplace among observers of public +events that these professedly defensive warlike preparations have in +effect been preparations for breaking the peace; against which, at +least ostensibly, a remedy had been sought in the preparation of still +heavier armaments, with full realisation that more armament would +unfailingly entail a more unsparing and more disastrous war,--which sums +up the statecraft of the past half century. + +Prussia, and afterwards Prussianised Germany, has come in for the +distinction of taking the lead and forcing the pace in this competitive +preparation--or "preparedness"--for war in time of peace. That such has +been the case appears in good part to be something of a fortuitous +circumstance. The season of enterprising force and fraud to which that +country owes its induction into the concert of nations is an episode of +recent history; so recent, indeed, that the German nation has not yet +had time to live it down and let it be forgotten; and the Imperial State +is consequently burdened with an irritably uneasy sense of odium and an +established reputation for unduly bad faith. From which it has followed, +among other things, that the statesmen of the Empire have lived in the +expectation of having their unforgotten derelictions brought home, and +so have, on the one hand, found themselves unable to credit any pacific +intentions professed by the neighboring Powers, while on the other hand +they have been unable to gain credence for their own voluble professions +of peace and amity. So it has come about that, by a fortuitous +conjuncture of scarcely relevant circumstances, Prussia and the Empire +have been thrown into the lead in the race of "preparedness" and have +been led assiduously to hasten a breach which they could ill afford. It +is, to say the least, extremely doubtful if the event would have been +substantially different in the absence of that special provocation to +competitive preparedness that has been injected into the situation by +this German attitude; but the rate of approach to a warlike climax has +doubtless been hastened by the anticipatory policy of preparedness which +the Prussian dynasty has seen itself constrained to pursue. Eventually, +the peculiar circumstances of its case--embarrassment at home and +distaste and discredit abroad--have induced the Imperial State to take +the line of a defensive offense, to take war by the forelock and +retaliate on presumptive enemies for prospective grievances. But in any +case, the progressive improvement in transport and communication, as +well as in the special technology of warfare, backed by greatly enhanced +facilities for indoctrinating the populace with militant +nationalism,--these ways and means, working under the hand of patriotic +statesmen must in course of the past century have brought the peace of +Europe to so precarious a footing as would have provoked a material +increase in the equipment for national defense; which would unavoidably +have led to competitive armament and an enhanced international distrust +and animosity, eventually culminating in hostilities. + + * * * * * + +It may well be that the plea of defensive preparation advanced by the +statesmen, Prussian and others, in apology for competitive armaments is +a diplomatic subterfuge,--there are indications that such has commonly +been the case; but even if it commonly is visibly disingenuous, the need +of making such a plea to cover more sinister designs is itself an +evidence that an avowedly predatory enterprise no longer meets with the +requisite popular approval. Even if an exception to this rule be +admitted in the recent attitude of the German people, it is to be +recalled that the exception was allowed to stand only transiently, and +that presently the avowal of a predatory design in this case was +urgently disclaimed in the face of adversity. Even those who speak most +fluently for the necessity of war, and for its merits as a needed +discipline in the manly virtues, are constrained by the prevailing +sentiment to deprecate its necessity. + +Yet it is equally evident that when once a warlike enterprise has been +entered upon so far as to commit the nation to hostilities, it will have +the cordial support of popular sentiment even if it is patently an +aggressive war. Indeed, it is quite a safe generalisation that when +hostilities have once been got fairly under way by the interested +statesmen, the patriotic sentiment of the nation may confidently be +counted on to back the enterprise irrespective of the merits of the +quarrel. But even if the national sentiment is in this way to be counted +in as an incidental matter of course, it is also to be kept in mind in +this connection that any quarrel so entered upon by any nation will +forthwith come to have the moral approval of the community. Dissenters +will of course be found, sporadically, who do not readily fall in with +the prevailing animus; but as a general proposition it will still hold +true that any such quarrel forthwith becomes a just quarrel in the eyes +of those who have so been committed to it. + +A corollary following from this general theorem may be worth noting in +the same connection. Any politician who succeeds in embroiling his +country in a war, however nefarious, becomes a popular hero and is +reputed a wise and righteous statesman, at least for the time being. +Illustrative instances need perhaps not, and indeed can not gracefully, +be named; most popular heroes and reputed statesmen belong in this +class. + +Another corollary, which bears more immediately on the question in hand, +follows also from the same general proposition: Since the ethical values +involved in any given international contest are substantially of the +nature of afterthought or accessory, they may safely be left on one side +in any endeavour to understand or account for any given outbreak of +hostilities. The moral indignation of both parties to the quarrel is to +be taken for granted, as being the statesman's chief and necessary ways +and means of bringing any warlike enterprise to a head and floating it +to a creditable finish. It is a precipitate of the partisan animosity +that inspires both parties and holds them to their duty of +self-sacrifice and devastation, and at its best it will chiefly serve as +a cloak of self-righteousness to extenuate any exceptionally profligate +excursions in the conduct of hostilities. + +Any warlike enterprise that is hopefully to be entered on must have the +moral sanction of the community, or of an effective majority in the +community. It consequently becomes the first concern of the warlike +statesman to put this moral force in train for the adventure on which he +is bent. And there are two main lines of motivation by which the +spiritual forces of any Christian nation may so be mobilised for warlike +adventure: (1) The preservation or furtherance of the community's +material interests, real or fancied, and (2) vindication of the national +honour. To these should perhaps be added as a third, the advancement and +perpetuation of the nation's "Culture;" that is to say, of its habitual +scheme of use and wont. It is a nice question whether, in practical +effect, the aspiration to perpetuate the national Culture is +consistently to be distinguished from the vindication of the national +honour. There is perhaps the distinction to be made that "the +perpetuation of the national Culture" lends a readier countenance to +gratuitous aggression and affords a broader cover for incidental +atrocities, since the enemies of the national Culture will necessarily +be conceived as an inferior and obstructive people, falling beneath the +rules of commonplace decorum. + +Those material interests for which modern nations are in the habit of +taking to arms are commonly of a fanciful character, in that they +commonly have none but an imaginary net value to the community at large. +Such are, e.g., the national trade or the increase of the national +territory. These and the like may serve the warlike or dynastic +ambitions of the nation's masters; they may also further the interests +of office-holders, and more particularly of certain business houses or +businessmen who stand to gain some small advantage by help of the powers +in control; but it all signifies nothing more to the common man than an +increased bill of governmental expense and a probable increase in the +cost of living. + +That a nation's trade should be carried in vessels owned by its citizens +or registered in its ports will doubtless have some sentimental value to +the common run of its citizens, as is shown by the fact that +disingenuous politicians always find it worth their while to appeal to +this chauvinistic predilection. But it patently is all a completely idle +question, in point of material advantage, to anyone but the owners of +the vessels; and to these owners it is also of no material consequence +under what flag their investments sail, except so far as the government +in question may afford them some preferential opportunity for +gain,--always at the cost of their fellow citizens. The like is equally +true as regards the domicile and the national allegiance of the +businessmen who buy and sell the country's imports and exports. The +common man plainly has no slightest material interest in the nationality +or the place of residence of those who conduct this traffic; though all +the facts go to say that in some puzzle-headed way the common man +commonly persuades himself that it does make some occult sort of +difference to him; so that he is commonly willing to pay something +substantial toward subsidising businessmen of his own nationality, in +the way of a protective tariff and the like. + +The only material advantage to be derived from such a preferential trade +policy arises in the case of international hostilities, in which case +the home-owned vessels and merchants may on occasion count toward +military readiness; although even in that connection their value is +contingent and doubtful. But in this way they may contribute in their +degree to a readiness to break off peaceable relations with other +countries. It is only for warlike purposes, that is to say for the +dynastic ambitions of warlike statesmen, that these preferential +contrivances in economic policy have any substantial value; and even in +that connection their expediency is always doubtful. They are a source +of national jealousy, and they may on occasion become a help to military +strategy when this national jealousy eventuates in hostilities. + +The run of the facts touching this matter of national trade policy is +something as follows: At the instance of businessmen who stand to gain +by it, and with the cordial support of popular sentiment, the +constituted authorities sedulously further the increase of shipping and +commerce under protection of the national power. At the same time they +spend substance and diplomatic energy in an endeavor to extend the +international market facilities open to the country's businessmen, with +a view always to a preferential advantage in favor of these +businessmen, also with the sentimental support of the common man and at +his cost. To safeguard these commercial interests, as well as +property-holdings of the nation's citizens in foreign parts, the nation +maintains naval, military, consular and diplomatic establishments, at +the common expense. The total gains derivable from these commercial and +investment interests abroad, under favorable circumstances, will never +by any chance equal the cost of the governmental apparatus installed to +further and safeguard them. These gains, such as they are, go to the +investors and businessmen engaged in these enterprises; while the costs +incident to the adventure are borne almost wholly by the common man, who +gets no gain from it all. Commonly, as in the case of a protective +tariff or a preferential navigation law, the cost to the common man is +altogether out of proportion to the gain which accrues to the +businessmen for whose benefit he carries the burden. The only other +class, besides the preferentially favored businessmen, who derive any +material benefit from this arrangement is that of the office-holders who +take care of this governmental traffic and draw something in the way of +salaries and perquisites; and whose cost is defrayed by the common man, +who remains an outsider in all but the payment of the bills. The common +man is proud and glad to bear this burden for the benefit of his +wealthier neighbors, and he does so with the singular conviction that in +some occult manner he profits by it. All this is incredible, but it is +everyday fact. + +In case it should happen that these business interests of the nation's +businessmen interested in trade or investments abroad are jeopardised by +a disturbance of any kind in these foreign parts in which these +business interests lie, then it immediately becomes the urgent concern +of the national authorities to use all means at hand for maintaining the +gainful traffic of these businessmen undiminished, and the common man +pays the cost. Should such an untoward situation go to such sinister +lengths as to involve actual loss to these business interests or +otherwise give rise to a tangible grievance, it becomes an affair of the +national honour; whereupon no sense of proportion as between the +material gains at stake and the cost of remedy or retaliation need +longer be observed, since the national honour is beyond price. The +motivation in the case shifts from the ground of material interest to +the spiritual ground of the moral sentiments. + +In this connection "honour" is of course to be taken in the euphemistic +sense which the term has under the _code duello_ governing "affairs of +honour." It carries no connotation of honesty, veracity, equity, +liberality, or unselfishness. This national honour is of the nature of +an intangible or immaterial asset, of course; it is a matter of +prestige, a sportsmanlike conception; but that fact must not be taken to +mean that it is of any the less substantial effect for purposes of a +_casus belli_ than the material assets of the community. Quite the +contrary: "Who steals my purse, steals trash," etc. In point of fact, it +will commonly happen that any material grievance must first be converted +into terms of this spiritual capital, before it is effectually turned to +account as a stimulus to warlike enterprise. + +Even among a people with so single an eye to the main chance as the +American community it will be found true, on experiment or on review of +the historical evidence, that an offense against the national honour +commands a profounder and more unreserved resentment than any +infraction of the rights of person or property simply. This has latterly +been well shown in connection with the manoeuvres of the several +European belligerents, designed to bend American neutrality to the +service of one side or the other. Both parties have aimed to intimidate +and cajole; but while the one party has taken recourse to effrontery and +has made much and ostentatious use of threats and acts of violence +against person and property, the other has constantly observed a +deferential attitude toward American national self-esteem, even while +engaged on a persistent infraction of American commercial rights. The +first named line of diplomacy has convicted itself of miscarriage and +has lost the strategic advantage, as against the none too adroit finesse +of the other side. The statesmen of this European war power were so ill +advised as to enter on a course of tentatively cumulative intimidation, +by threats and experimentally graduated crimes against the property and +persons of American citizens, with a view to coerce American cupidity +and yet to avoid carrying these manoeuvres of terrorism far enough to +arouse an unmanageable sense of outrage. The experiment has served to +show that the breaking point in popular indignation will be reached +before the terrorism has gone far enough to raise a serious question of +pecuniary caution. + +This national honour, which so is rated a necessary of life, is an +immaterial substance in a peculiarly high-wrought degree, being not only +not physically tangible but also not even capable of adequate statement +in pecuniary terms,--as would be the case with ordinary immaterial +assets. It is true, where the point of grievance out of which a question +of the national honour arises is a pecuniary discrepancy, the national +honour can not be satisfied without a pecuniary accounting; but it needs +no argument to convince all right-minded persons that even at such a +juncture the national honour that has been compromised is indefinitely +and indefinably more than what can be made to appear on an accountant's +page. It is a highly valued asset, or at least a valued possession, but +it is of a metaphysical, not of a physical nature, and it is not known +to serve any material or otherwise useful end apart from affording a +practicable grievance consequent upon its infraction. + +This national honour is subject to injury in divers ways, and so may +yield a fruitful grievance even apart from offences against the person +or property of the nation's businessmen; as, e.g., through neglect or +disregard of the conventional punctilios governing diplomatic +intercourse, or by disrespect or contumelious speech touching the Flag, +or the persons of national officials, particularly of such officials as +have only a decorative use, or the costumes worn by such officials, or, +again, by failure to observe the ritual prescribed for parading the +national honour on stated occasions. When duly violated the national +honour may duly be made whole again by similarly immaterial +instrumentalities; as, e.g., by recital of an appropriate formula of +words, by formal consumption of a stated quantity of ammunition in the +way of a salute, by "dipping" an ensign, and the like,--procedure which +can, of course, have none but a magical efficacy. The national honour, +in short, moves in the realm of magic, and touches the frontiers of +religion. + +Throughout this range of duties incumbent on the national defense, it +will be noted, the offenses or discrepancies to be guarded against or +corrected by recourse to arms have much of a ceremonial character. +Whatever may be the material accidents that surround any given concrete +grievance that comes up for appraisal and redress, in bringing the case +into the arena for trial by combat it is the spiritual value of the +offense that is played up and made the decisive ground of action, +particularly in so far as appeal is made to the sensibilities of the +common man, who will have to bear the cost of the adventure. And in such +a case it will commonly happen that the common man is unable, without +advice, to see that any given hostile act embodies a sacrilegious +infraction of the national honour. He will at any such conjuncture +scarcely rise to the pitch of moral indignation necessary to float a +warlike reprisal, until the expert keepers of the Code come in to +expound and certify the nature of the transgression. But when once the +lesion to the national honour has been ascertained, appraised and duly +exhibited by those persons whose place in the national economy it is to +look after all that sort of thing, the common man will be found nowise +behindhand about resenting the evil usage of which he so, by force of +interpretation, has been a victim. + + + + +CHAPTER II + +ON THE NATURE AND USES OF PATRIOTISM + + +Patriotism may be defined as a sense of partisan solidarity in respect +of prestige. What the expert psychologists, and perhaps the experts in +Political Science, might find it necessary to say in the course of an +exhaustive analysis and definition of this human faculty would +presumably be something more precise and more extensive. There is no +inclination here to forestall definition, but only to identify and +describe the concept that loosely underlies the colloquial use of this +term, so far as seems necessary to an inquiry into the part played by +the patriotic animus in the life of modern peoples, particularly as it +bears on questions of war and peace. + +On any attempt to divest this concept of all extraneous or adventitious +elements it will be found that such a sense of an undivided joint +interest in a collective body of prestige will always remain as an +irreducible minimum. This is the substantial core about which many and +divers subsidiary interests cluster, but without which these other +clustering interests and aspirations will not, jointly or severally, +make up a working palladium of the patriotic spirit. + +It is true, seen in some other light or rated in some other bearing or +connection, one and another of these other interests, ideals, +aspirations, beatitudes, may well be adjudged nobler, wiser, possibly +more urgent than the national prestige; but in the forum of patriotism +all these other necessaries of human life--the glory of God and the good +of man--rise by comparison only to the rank of subsidiaries, +auxiliaries, amenities. He is an indifferent patriot who will let "life, +liberty and the pursuit of happiness" cloud the issue and get in the way +of the main business in hand. + +There once were, we are told, many hardy and enterprising spirits banded +together along the Spanish Main for such like ends, just as there are in +our day an even greater number of no less single-minded spirits bent on +their own "life, liberty and pursuit of happiness," according to their +light, in the money-markets of the modern world; but for all their +admirable qualities and splendid achievements, their passionate quest of +these amenities has not entitled these Gentlemen Adventurers to claim +rank as patriots. The poet says: + + "Strike for your altars and your fires! + Strike for the green graves of your sires! + God and your native land!" + +But, again, a temperate scrutiny of the list of desiderata so enumerated +in the poet's flight, will quickly bring out the fact that any or all of +them might drop out of the situation without prejudice to the plain call +of patriotic duty. In the last resort, when the patriotic spirit falls +back on its naked self alone, it is not reflection on the merits of +these good and beautiful things in Nature that gives him his cue and +enforces the ultimate sacrifice. Indeed it is something infinitely more +futile and infinitely more urgent,--provided only that the man is imbued +with the due modicum of patriotic devotion; as, indeed, men commonly +are. It is not faith, hope or charity that abide as the irreducible +minimum of virtue in the patriot's scheme of things; particularly not +that charity that has once been highly spoken of as being the greatest +of these. It may be that, viewed in the light of reason, as Doctor +Katzenberger would say, patriotic devotion is the most futile thing in +the world; but, for good or ill, the light of reason has nothing to do +with the case,--no more than "The flowers that bloom in the spring." + +The patriotic spirit is a spirit of emulation, evidently, at the same +time that it is emulation shot through with a sense of solidarity. It +belongs under the general caption of sportsmanship, rather than of +workmanship. Now, any enterprise in sportsmanship is bent on an +invidious success, which must involve as its major purpose the defeat +and humiliation of some competitor, whatever else may be comprised in +its aim. Its aim is a differential gain, as against a rival; and the +emulative spirit that comes under the head of patriotism commonly, if +not invariably, seeks this differential advantage by injury of the rival +rather than by an increase of home-bred well-being. + +Indeed, well-being is altogether out of the perspective, except as +underpinning for an edifice of national prestige. It is, at least, a +safe generalisation that the patriotic sentiment never has been known to +rise to the consummate pitch of enthusiastic abandon except when bent on +some work of concerted malevolence. Patriotism is of a contentious +complexion, and finds its full expression in no other outlet than +warlike enterprise; its highest and final appeal is for the death, +damage, discomfort and destruction of the party of the second part. + +It is not that the spirit of patriotism will tolerate no other +sentiments bearing on matters of public interest, but only that it will +tolerate none that traverse the call of the national prestige. Like +other men, the patriot may be moved by many and divers other +considerations, besides that of the national prestige; and these other +considerations may be of the most genial and reasonable kind, or they +may also be as foolish and mischievous as any comprised in the range of +human infirmities. He may be a humanitarian given over to the kindliest +solicitude for the common good, or a religious devotee hedged about in +all his motions by the ever present fear of God, or taken up with +artistic, scholarly or scientific pursuits; or, again, he may be a +spendthrift devotee of profane dissipation, whether in the slums or on +the higher levels of gentility, or he may be engaged on a rapacious +quest of gain, as a businessman within the law or as a criminal without +its benefit, or he may spend his best endeavors in advancing the +interests of his class at the cost of the nation at large. All that is +understood as a matter of course and is beside the point. In so far as +he is a complete patriot these other interests will fall away from him +when the one clear call of patriotic duty comes to enlist him in the +cause of the national prestige. There is, indeed, nothing to hinder a +bad citizen being a good patriot; nor does it follow that a good +citizen--in other respects--may not be a very indifferent patriot. + +Many and various other preferences and considerations may coincide with +the promptings of the patriotic spirit, and so may come in to coalesce +with and fortify its driving force; and it is usual for patriotic men to +seek support for their patriotic impulses in some reasoned purpose of +this extraneous kind that is believed to be served by following the call +of the national prestige,--it may be a presumptive increase and +diffusion of culture at large, or the spread and enhancement of a +presumptively estimable religious faith, or a prospective liberation of +mankind from servitude to obnoxious masters and outworn institutions; +or, again, it may be the increase of peace and material well-being among +men, within the national frontiers or impartially throughout the +civilised world. There are, substantially, none of the desirable things +in this world that are not so counted on by some considerable body of +patriots to be accomplished by the success of their own particular +patriotic aspirations. What they will not come to an understanding about +is the particular national ascendency with which the attainment of these +admirable ends is conceived to be bound up. + +The ideals, needs and aims that so are brought into the patriotic +argument to lend a color of rationality to the patriotic aspiration in +any given case will of course be such ideals, needs and aims as are +currently accepted and felt to be authentic and self-legitimating among +the people in whose eyes the given patriotic enterprise is to find +favor. So one finds that, e.g., among the followers of Islam, devout and +resolute, the patriotic statesman (that is to say the politician who +designs to make use of the popular patriotic fervor) will in the last +resort appeal to the claims and injunctions of the faith. In a similar +way the Prussian statesman bent on dynastic enterprise will conjure in +the name of the dynasty and of culture and efficiency; or, if worse +comes to worst, an outbreak will be decently covered with a plea of +mortal peril and self-defense. Among English-speaking peoples much is to +be gained by showing that the path of patriotic glory is at the same +time the way of equal-handed justice under the rule of free +institutions; at the same time, in a fully commercialised community, +such as the English-speaking commonly are, material benefits in the way +of trade will go far to sketch in a background of decency for any +enterprise that looks to the enhancement of the national prestige. + +But any promise of gain, whether in the nation's material or immaterial +assets, will not of itself carry full conviction to the commonplace +modern citizen; or even to such modern citizens as are best endowed with +a national spirit. By and large, and overlooking that appreciable +contingent of morally defective citizens that is to be counted on in any +hybrid population, it will hold true that no contemplated enterprise or +line of policy will fully commend itself to the popular sense of merit +and expediency until it is given a moral turn, so as to bring it to +square with the dictates of right and honest dealing. On no terms short +of this will it effectually coalesce with the patriotic aspiration. To +give the fullest practical effect to the patriotic fervor that animates +any modern nation, and so turn it to use in the most effective way, it +is necessary to show that the demands of equity are involved in the +case. Any cursory survey of modern historical events bearing on this +point, among the civilised peoples, will bring out the fact that no +concerted and sustained movement of the national spirit can be had +without enlisting the community's moral convictions. The common man must +be persuaded that right is on his side. "Thrice is he armed who knows +his quarrel just." The grounds of this conviction may often be tawdry +enough, but the conviction is a necessary factor in the case. + +The requisite moral sanction may be had on various grounds, and, on the +whole, it is not an extremely difficult matter to arrange. In the +simplest and not infrequent case it may turn on a question of equity in +respect of trade or investment as between the citizens or subjects of +the several rival nations; the Chinese "Open Door" affords as sordid an +example as may be desired. Or it may be only an envious demand for a +share in the world's material resources--"A Place in the Sun," as a +picturesque phrase describes it; or "The Freedom of the Seas," as +another equally vague and equally invidious demand for international +equity phrases it. These demands are put forward with a color of +demanding something in the way of equitable opportunity for the +commonplace peaceable citizen; but quite plainly they have none but a +fanciful bearing on the fortunes of the common man in time of peace, and +they have a meaning to the nation only as a fighting unit; apart from +their prestige value, these things are worth fighting for only as +prospective means of fighting. The like appeal to the moral +sensibilities may, again, be made in the way of a call to self-defense, +under the rule of Live and let live; or it may also rest on the more +tenuous obligation to safeguard the national integrity of a weaker +neighbor, under a broader interpretation of the same equitable rule of +Live and let live. But in one way or another it is necessary to set up +the conviction that the promptings of patriotic ambition have the +sanction of moral necessity. + +It is not that the line of national policy or patriotic enterprise so +entered upon with the support of popular sentiment need be right and +equitable as seen in dispassionate perspective from the outside, but +only that it should be capable of being made to seem right and equitable +to the biased populace whose moral convictions are requisite to its +prosecution; which is quite another matter. Nor is it that any such +patriotic enterprise is, in fact, entered on simply or mainly on these +moral grounds that so are alleged in its justification, but only that +some such colorable ground of justification or extenuation is necessary +to be alleged, and to be credited by popular belief. + +It is not that the common man is not sufficiently patriotic, but only +that he is a patriot hampered with a plodding and uneasy sense of right +and honest dealing, and that one must make up one's account with this +moral bias in looking to any sustained and concerted action that draws +on the sentiment of the common man for its carrying on. But the moral +sense in the case may be somewhat easily satisfied with a modicum of +equity, in case the patriotic bias of the people is well pronounced, or +in case it is reenforced with a sufficient appeal to self-interest. In +those cases where the national fervor rises to an excited pitch, even +very attenuated considerations of right and justice, such as would under +ordinary conditions doubtfully bear scrutiny as extenuating +circumstances, may come to serve as moral authentication for any +extravagant course of action to which the craving for national prestige +may incite. The higher the pitch of patriotic fervor, the more tenuous +and more thread-bare may be the requisite moral sanction. By cumulative +excitation some very remarkable results have latterly been attained +along this line. + + * * * * * + +Patriotism is evidently a spirit of particularism, of aliency and +animosity between contrasted groups of persons; it lives on invidious +comparison, and works out in mutual hindrance and jealousy between +nations. It commonly goes the length of hindering intercourse and +obstructing traffic that would patently serve the material and cultural +well-being of both nationalities; and not infrequently, indeed +normally, it eventuates in competitive damage to both. + +All this holds true in the world of modern civilisation, at the same +time that the modern civilised scheme of life is, notoriously, of a +cosmopolitan character, both in its cultural requirements and in its +economic structure. Modern culture is drawn on too large a scale, is of +too complex and multiform a character, requires the cooperation of too +many and various lines of inquiry, experience and insight, to admit of +its being confined within national frontiers, except at the cost of +insufferable crippling and retardation. The science and scholarship that +is the peculiar pride of civilised Christendom is not only +international, but rather it is homogeneously cosmopolitan; so that in +this bearing there are, in effect, no national frontiers; with the +exception, of course, that in a season of patriotic intoxication, such +as the current war has induced, even the scholars and scientists will be +temporarily overset by their patriotic fervour. Indeed, with the best +efforts of obscurantism and national jealousy to the contrary, it +remains patently true that modern culture is the culture of Christendom +at large, not the culture of one and another nation in severalty within +the confines of Christendom. It is only as and in so far as they partake +in and contribute to the general run of Western civilisation at large +that the people of any one of these nations of Christendom can claim +standing as a cultured nation; and even any distinctive variation from +this general run of civilised life, such as may give a "local colour" of +ideals, tastes and conventions, will, in point of cultural value, have +to be rated as an idle detail, a species of lost motion, that serves no +better purpose than a transient estrangement. + +So also, the modern state of the industrial arts is of a like +cosmopolitan character, in point of scale, specialisation, and the +necessary use of diversified resources, of climate and raw materials. +None of the countries of Europe, e.g., is competent to carry on its +industry by modern technological methods without constantly drawing on +resources outside of its national boundaries. Isolation in this +industrial respect, exclusion from the world market, would mean +intolerable loss of efficiency, more pronounced the more fully the given +country has taken over this modern state of the industrial arts. +Exclusion from the general body of outlying resources would seriously +cripple any one or all of them, and effectually deprive them of the +usufruct of this technology; and partial exclusion, by prohibitive or +protective tariffs and the like, unavoidably results in a partial +lowering of the efficiency of each, and therefore a reduction of the +current well-being among them all together. + +Into this cultural and technological system of the modern world the +patriotic spirit fits like dust in the eyes and sand in the bearings. +Its net contribution to the outcome is obscuration, distrust, and +retardation at every point where it touches the fortunes of modern +mankind. Yet it is forever present in the counsels of the statesmen and +in the affections of the common man, and it never ceases to command the +regard of all men as the prime attribute of manhood and the final test +of the desirable citizen. It is scarcely an exaggeration to say that no +other consideration is allowed in abatement of the claims of patriotic +loyalty, and that such loyalty will be allowed to cover any multitude of +sins. When the ancient philosopher described Man as a "political animal," +this, in effect, was what he affirmed; and today the ancient maxim is as +good as new. The patriotic spirit is at cross purposes with modern life, +but in any test case it is found that the claims of life yield before +those of patriotism; and any voice that dissents from this order of things +is as a voice crying in the wilderness. + + * * * * * + +To anyone who is inclined to moralise on the singular discrepancies of +human life this state of the case will be fruitful of much profound +speculation. The patriotic animus appears to be an enduring trait of +human nature, an ancient heritage that has stood over unshorn from time +immemorial, under the Mendelian rule of the stability of racial types. +It is archaic, not amenable to elimination or enduring suppression, and +apparently not appreciably to be mitigated by reflection, education, +experience or selective breeding. + +Throughout the historical period, and presumably through an incalculable +period of the unrecorded past, patriotic manslaughter has consistently +been weeding out of each successive generation of men the most patriotic +among them; with the net result that the level of patriotic ardor today +appears to be no lower than it ever was. At the same time, with the +advance of population, of culture and of the industrial arts, patriotism +has grown increasingly disserviceable; and it is to all appearance as +ubiquitous and as powerful as ever, and is held in as high esteem. + +The continued prevalence of this archaic animus among the modern +peoples, as well as the fact that it is universally placed high among +the virtues, must be taken to argue that it is, in its elements, an +hereditary trait, of the nature of an inborn impulsive propensity, +rather than a product of habituation. It is, in substance, not +something that can be learned and unlearned. From one generation to +another, the allegiance may shift from one nationality to another, but +the fact of unreflecting allegiance at large remains. And it all argues +also that no sensible change has taken effect in the hereditary +endowment of the race, at least in this respect, during the period known +by record or by secure inference,--say, since the early Neolithic in +Europe; and this in spite of the fact that there has all this while been +opportunity for radical changes in the European population by +cross-breeding, infiltration and displacement of the several racial +stocks that go to make up this population. Hence, on slight reflection +the inference has suggested itself and has gained acceptance that this +trait of human nature must presumably have been serviceable to the +peoples of the earlier time, on those levels of savagery or of the lower +barbarism on which the ancestral stocks of the European population first +made good their survival and proved their fitness to people that quarter +of the earth. Such, indeed, is the common view; so common as to pass for +matter-of-course, and therefore habitually to escape scrutiny. + +Still it need not follow, as more patient reflection will show. All the +European peoples show much the same animus in this respect; whatever +their past history may have been, and whatever the difference in past +experience that might be conceived to have shaped their temperament. Any +difference in the pitch of patriotic conceit and animosity, between the +several nationalities or the several localities, is by no means wide, +even in cases where the racial composition of the population is held to +be very different, as, e.g., between the peoples on the Baltic seaboard +and those on the Mediterranean. In point of fact, in this matter of +patriotic animus there appears to be a wider divergence, +temperamentally, between individuals within any one of these communities +than between the common run in any one community and the corresponding +common run in any other. But even such divergence of individual temper +in respect of patriotism as is to be met with, first and last, is after +all surprisingly small in view of the scope for individual variation +which this European population would seem to offer. + + * * * * * + +These peoples of Europe, all and several, are hybrids compounded out of +the same run of racial elements, but mixed in varying proportions. On +any parallel of latitude--taken in the climatic rather than in the +geometric sense--the racial composition of the west-European population +will be much the same, virtually identical in effect, although always of +a hybrid complexion; whereas on any parallel of longitude--also in the +climatic sense--the racial composition will vary progressively, but +always within the limits of the same general scheme of hybridisation,--the +variation being a variation in the proportion in which the several racial +elements are present in any given case. But in no case does a notable +difference in racial composition coincide with a linguistic or national +frontier. But in point of patriotic animus these European peoples are one +as good as another, whether the comparison be traced on parallels of +latitude or of longitude. And the inhabitants of each national territory, +or of each detail locality, appear also to run surprisingly uniform in +respect of their patriotic spirit. + +Heredity in any such community of hybrids will, superficially, appear to +run somewhat haphazard. There will, of course, be no traceable +difference between social or economic classes, in point of heredity,--as +is visibly the case in Christendom. But variation--of an apparently +haphazard description--will be large and ubiquitous among the +individuals of such a populace. Indeed, it is a matter of course and of +easy verification that individual variation within such a hybrid stock +will greatly exceed the extreme differences that may subsist between the +several racial types that have gone to produce the hybrid stock. Such is +the case of the European peoples. The inhabitants vary greatly among +themselves, both in physical and in mental traits, as would be expected; +and the variation between individuals in point of patriotic animus +should accordingly also be expected to be extremely wide,--should, in +effect, greatly exceed the difference, if any, in this respect between +the several racial elements engaged in the European population. Some +appreciable difference in this respect there appears to be, between +individuals; but individual divergence from the normal or average +appears always to be of a sporadic sort,--it does not run on class +lines, whether of occupation, status or property, nor does it run at all +consistently from parent to child. When all is told the argument returns +to the safe ground that these variations in point of patriotic animus +are sporadic and inconsequential, and do not touch the general +proposition that, one with another, the inhabitants of Europe and the +European Colonies are sufficiently patriotic, and that the average +endowment in this respect runs with consistent uniformity across all +differences of time, place and circumstance. It would, in fact, be +extremely hazardous to affirm that there is a sensible difference in the +ordinary pitch of patriotic sentiment as between any two widely diverse +samples of these hybrid populations, in spite of the fact that the +diversity in visible physical traits may be quite pronounced. + +In short, the conclusion seems safe, on the whole, that in this respect +the several racial stocks that have gone to produce the existing +populations of Christendom have all been endowed about as richly one as +another. Patriotism appears to be a ubiquitous trait, at least among the +races and peoples of Christendom. From which it should follow, that +since there is, and has from the beginning been, no differential +advantage favoring one racial stock or one fashion of hybrid as against +another, in this matter of patriotic animus, there should also be no +ground of selective survival or selective elimination on this account as +between these several races and peoples. So that the undisturbed and +undiminished prevalence of this trait among the European population, +early or late, argues nothing as to its net serviceability or +disserviceability under any of the varying conditions of culture and +technology to which these Europeans have been subjected, first and last; +except that it has, in any case, not proved so disserviceable under the +conditions prevailing hitherto as to result in the extinction of these +Europeans, one with another.[4] + +[Footnote 4: For a more extended discussion of this matter, cf. +_Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution_, ch. i. and +Supplementary Notes i. and ii.] + +The patriotic frame of mind has been spoken of above as if it were an +hereditary trait, something after the fashion of a Mendelian unit +character. Doubtless this is not a competent account of the matter; but +the present argument scarcely needs a closer analysis. Still, in a +measure to quiet title and avoid annoyance, it may be noted that this +patriotic animus is of the nature of a "frame of mind" rather than a +Mendelian unit character; that it so involves a concatenation of +several impulsive propensities (presumably hereditary); and that both +the concatenation and the special mode and amplitude of the response are +a product of habituation, very largely of the nature of conventionalised +use and wont. What is said above, therefore, goes little farther than +saying that the underlying aptitudes requisite to this patriotic frame +of mind are heritable, and that use and wont as bearing on this point +run with sufficient uniformity to bring a passably uniform result. It +may be added that in this concatenation spoken of there seems to be +comprised, ordinarily, that sentimental attachment to habitat and custom +that is called love of home, or in its accentuated expression, +home-sickness; so also an invidious self-complacency, coupled with a +gregarious bent which gives the invidious comparison a group content; +and further, commonly if not invariably, a bent of abnegation, +self-abasement, subservience, or whatever it may best be called, that +inclines the bearer unreasoningly and unquestioningly to accept and +serve a prescriptive ideal given by custom or by customary authority. + + * * * * * + +The conclusion would therefore provisionally run to the effect that +under modern conditions the patriotic animus is wholly a disserviceable +trait in the spiritual endowment of these peoples,--in so far as bears +on the material conditions of life unequivocally, and as regards the +cultural interests more at large presumptively; whereas there is no +assured ground for a discriminating opinion as touches its possible +utility or disutility at any remote period in the past. There is, of +course, always room for the conservative estimate that, as the +possession of this spiritual trait has not hitherto resulted in the +extinction of the race, so it may also in the calculable future +continue to bring no more grievous results than a degree of mischief, +without even stopping or greatly retarding the increase of population. + +All this, of course, is intended to apply only so far as it goes. It +must not be taken as intending to say any least word in derogation of +those high qualities that inspire the patriotic citizen. In its +economic, biological and cultural incidence patriotism appears to be an +untoward trait of human nature; which has, of course, nothing to say as +to its moral excellence, its aesthetic value, or its indispensability to +a worthy life. No doubt, it is in all these respects deserving of all +the esteem and encomiums that fall to its share. Indeed, its well-known +moral and aesthetic value, as well as the reprobation that is visited on +any shortcomings in this respect, signify, for the purposes of the +present argument, nothing more than that the patriotic animus meets the +unqualified approval of men because they are, all and several, infected +with it. It is evidence of the ubiquitous, intimate and ineradicable +presence of this quality in human nature; all the more since it +continues untiringly to be held in the highest esteem in spite of the +fact that a modicum of reflection should make its disserviceability +plain to the meanest understanding. No higher praise of moral +excellence, and no profounder test of loyalty, can be asked than this +current unreserved commendation of a virtue that makes invariably for +damage and discomfort. The virtuous impulse must be deep-seated and +indefeasible that drives men incontinently to do good that evil may come +of it. "Though He slay me, yet will I trust in Him." + +In the light--and it is a dim and wavering light--of the archaeological +evidence, helped out by circumstantial evidence from such parallel or +analogous instances as are afforded by existing communities on a +comparable level of culture, one may venture more or less confidently on +a reconstruction of the manner of life among the early Europeans, of +early neolithic times and later.[5] And so one may form some conception +of the part played by this patriotic animus among those beginnings, +when, if not the race, at least its institutions were young; and when +the native temperament of these peoples was tried out and found fit to +survive through the age-long and slow-moving eras of stone and bronze. +In this connection, it appears safe to assume that since early neolithic +times no sensible change has taken effect in the racial complexion of +the European peoples; and therefore no sensible change in their +spiritual and mental make-up. So that in respect of the spiritual +elements that go to make up this patriotic animus the Europeans of today +will be substantially identical with the Europeans of that early time. +The like is true as regards those other traits of temperament that come +in question here, as being included among the stable characteristics +that still condition the life of these peoples under the altered +circumstances of the modern age. + +[Footnote 5: Cf. _Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution_, as +above.] + +The difference between prehistoric Europe and the present state of these +peoples resolves itself on analysis into a difference in the state of +the industrial arts, together with such institutional changes as have +come on in the course of working out this advance in the industrial +arts. The habits and the exigencies of life among these peoples have +greatly changed; whereas in temperament and capacities the peoples that +now live by and under the rule of this altered state of the industrial +arts are the same as they were. It is to be noted, therefore, that the +fact of their having successfully come through the long ages of +prehistory by the use of this mental and spiritual endowment can not be +taken to argue that these peoples are thereby fit to meet the exigencies +of this later and gravely altered age; nor will it do to assume that +because these peoples have themselves worked out this modern culture and +its technology, therefore it must all be suitable for their use and +conducive to their biological success. The single object lesson of the +modern urban community, with its endless requirements in the way of +sanitation, police, compulsory education, charities,--all this and many +other discrepancies in modern life should enjoin caution on anyone who +is inclined off-hand to hold that because modern men have created these +conditions, therefore these must be the most suitable conditions of life +for modern mankind. + +In the beginning, that is to say in the European beginning, men lived in +small and close groups. Control was close within the group, and the +necessity of subordinating individual gains and preferences to the +common good was enjoined on the group by the exigencies of the case, on +pain of common extinction. The situation and usages of existing Eskimo +villages may serve to illustrate and enforce the argument on this head. +The solidarity of sentiment necessary to support the requisite +solidarity of action in the case would be a prime condition of survival +in any racial stock exposed to the conditions which surrounded these +early Europeans. This needful sense of solidarity would touch not simply +or most imperatively the joint prestige of the group, but rather the +joint material interests; and would enforce a spirit of mutual support +and dependence. Which would be rather helped than hindered by a jealous +attitude of joint prestige; so long as no divergent interests of members +within the group were in a position to turn this state of the common +sentiment to their own particular advantage. + +This state of the case will have lasted for a relatively long time; long +enough to have tested the fitness of these peoples for that manner of +life,--longer, no doubt, than the interval that has elapsed since +history began. Special interests--e.g., personal and family +interests--will have been present and active in these days of the +beginning; but so long as the group at large was small enough to admit +of a close neighborly contact throughout its extent and throughout the +workday routine of life, at the same time that it was too small and +feeble to allow any appreciable dissipation of its joint energies in +such pursuit of selfish gains as would run counter to the paramount +business of the common livelihood, so long the sense of a common +livelihood and a joint fortune would continue to hold any particularist +ambitions effectually in check. Had it fallen out otherwise, the story +of the group in question would have been ended, and another and more +suitably endowed type of men would have taken the place vacated by its +extinction. + +With a sensible advance in the industrial arts the scale of operations +would grow larger, and the group more numerous and extensive. The margin +between production and subsistence would also widen and admit additional +scope for individual ambitions and personal gains. And as this process +of growth and increasing productive efficiency went on, the control +exercised by neighborly surveillance, through the sentiment of the +common good as against the self-seeking pursuits of individuals and +sub-groups, would gradually slacken; until by progressive disuse it +would fall into a degree of abeyance; to be called into exercise and +incite to concerted action only in the face of unusual exigencies +touching the common fortunes of the group at large, or on persuasion +that the collective interest of the group at large was placed in +jeopardy in the molestation of one and another of its members from +without. The group's prestige at least would be felt to suffer in the +defeat or discourtesy suffered by any of its members at the hands of any +alien; and, under compulsion of the ancient sense of group solidarity, +whatever material hardship or material gain might so fall to individual +members in their dealings with the alien would pass easy scrutiny as +material detriment or gain inuring to the group at large,--in the +apprehension of men whose sense of community interest is inflamed with a +jealous disposition to safeguard their joint prestige. + +With continued advance in the industrial arts the circumstances +conditioning life will undergo a progressive change of such a character +that the joint interest of the group at large, in the material respect, +will progressively be less closely bound up with the material fortunes +of any particular member or members; until in the course of time and +change there will, in effect, in ordinary times be no general and +inclusive community of material interest binding the members together in +a common fortune and working for a common livelihood. As the rights of +ownership begin to take effect, so that the ownership of property and +the pursuit of a livelihood under the rules of ownership come to govern +men's economic relations, these material concerns will cease to be a +matter of undivided joint interest, and will fall into the shape of +interest in severalty. So soon and so far as this institution of +ownership or property takes effect, men's material interests cease to +run on lines of group solidarity. Solely, or almost solely, in the +exceptional case of defense against a predatory incursion from outside, +do the members of the group have a common interest of a material kind. +Progressively as the state of the arts advances, the industrial +organisation advances to a larger scale and a more extensive +specialisation, with increasing divergence among individual interests +and individual fortunes; and intercourse over larger distances grows +easier and makes a larger grouping practicable; which enables a larger, +prompter and more effective mobilisation of forces with which to defend +or assert any joint claims. But by the same move it also follows, or at +least it appears uniformly to have followed in the European case, that +the accumulation of property and the rights of ownership have +progressively come into the first place among the material interests of +these peoples; while anything like a community of usufruct has +imperceptibly fallen into the background, and has presently gone +virtually into abeyance, except as an eventual recourse _in extremis_ +for the common defense. Property rights have displaced community of +usufruct; and invidious distinctions as between persons, sub-groups, and +classes have displaced community of prestige in the workday routine of +these peoples; and the distinctions between contrasted persons or +classes have come to rest, in an ever increasing degree, directly or +indirectly, on invidious comparisons in respect of pecuniary standing +rather than on personal affiliation with the group at large. + +So, with the advance of the industrial arts a differentiation of a new +character sets in and presently grows progressively more pronounced and +more effectual, giving rise to a regrouping on lines that run regardless +of those frontiers that divide one community from another for purposes +of patriotic emulation. So far as it comes chiefly and typically in +question here, this regrouping takes place on two distinct but somewhat +related principles of contrast: that of wealth and poverty, and that of +master and servant, or authority and obedience. The material interests +of the population in this way come to be divided between the group of +those who own and those who command, on the one hand, and of those who +work and who obey, on the other hand. + +Neither of these two contrasted categories of persons have any direct +material interest in the maintenance of the patriotic community; or at +any rate no such interest as should reasonably induce them to spend +their own time and substance in support of the political (patriotic) +organisation within which they live. It is only in so far as one or +another of these interests looks for a more than proportionate share in +any prospective gain from the joint enterprise, that the group or class +in question can reasonably be counted on to bear its share in the joint +venture. And it is only when and in so far as their particular material +or self-regarding interest is reenforced by patriotic conceit, that they +can be counted on to spend themselves in furtherance of the patriotic +enterprise, without the assurance of a more than proportionate share in +any gains that may be held in prospect from any such joint enterprise; +and it is only in its patriotic bearing that the political community +continues to be a joint venture. That is to say, in more generalised +terms, through the development of the rights of property, and of such +like prescriptive claims of privilege and prerogative, it has come +about that other community interests have fallen away, until the +collective prestige remains as virtually the sole community interest +which can hold the sentiment of the group in a bond of solidarity. + +To one or another of these several interested groups or classes within +the community the political organisation may work a benefit; but only to +one or another, not to each and several, jointly or collectively. Since +by no chance will the benefit derived from such joint enterprise on the +part of the community at large equal the joint cost; in as much as all +joint enterprise of the kind that looks to material advantage works by +one or another method of inhibition and takes effect, if at all, by +lowering the aggregate efficiency of the several countries concerned, +with a view to the differential gain of one at the cost of another. So, +e.g., a protective tariff is plainly a conspiracy in restraint of trade, +with a view to benefit the conspirators by hindering their competitors. +The aggregate cost to the community at large of such an enterprise in +retardation is always more than the gains it brings to those who may +benefit by it. + +In so speaking of the uses to which the common man's patriotic devotion +may be turned, there is no intention to underrate its intrinsic value as +a genial and generous trait of human nature. Doubtless it is best and +chiefly to be appreciated as a spiritual quality that beautifies and +ennobles its bearer, and that endows him with the full stature of +manhood, quite irrespective of ulterior considerations. So it is to be +conceded without argument that this patriotic animus is a highly +meritorious frame of mind, and that it has an aesthetic value scarcely +to be overstated in the farthest stretch of poetic license. But the +question of its serviceability to the modern community, in any other +than this decorative respect, and particularly its serviceability to the +current needs of the common man in such a modern community, is not +touched by such an admission; nor does this recognition of its generous +spiritual nature afford any help toward answering a further question as +to how and with what effect this animus may be turned to account by +anyone who is in position to make use of the forces which it sets free. + +Among Christian nations there still is, on the whole, a decided +predilection for that ancient and authentic line of national repute that +springs from warlike prowess. This repute for warlike prowess is what +first comes to mind among civilised peoples when speaking of national +greatness. And among those who have best preserved this warlike ideal of +worth, the patriotic ambition is likely to converge on the prestige of +their sovereign; so that it takes the concrete form of personal loyalty +to a master, and so combines or coalesces with a servile habit of mind. + +But peace hath its victories no less renowned than war, it is said; and +peaceable folk of a patriotic temper have learned to make the best of +their meager case and have found self-complacency in these victories of +the peaceable order. So it may broadly be affirmed that all nations look +with complacency on their own peculiar Culture--the organised complex of +habits of thought and of conduct by which their own routine of life is +regulated--as being in some way worthier than the corresponding habits +of their neighbors. The case of the German Culture has latterly come +under a strong light in this way. But while it may be that no other +nation has been so naive as to make a concerted profession of faith to +the effect that their own particular way of life is altogether +commendable and is the only fashion of civilisation that is fit to +survive; yet it will scarcely be an extravagance to assert that in their +own secret mind these others, too, are blest with much the same +consciousness of unique worth. Conscious virtue of this kind is a good +and sufficient ground for patriotic inflation, so far as it goes. It +commonly does not go beyond a defensive attitude, however. Now and +again, as in the latterday German animation on this head, these +phenomena of national use and wont may come to command such a degree of +popular admiration as will incite to an aggressive or proselyting +campaign. + +In all this there is nothing of a self-seeking or covetous kind. The +common man who so lends himself to the aggressive enhancement of the +national Culture and its prestige has nothing of a material kind to gain +from the increase of renown that so comes to his sovereign, his +language, his countrymen's art or science, his dietary, or his God. +There are no sordid motives in all this. These spiritual assets of +self-complacency are, indeed, to be rated as grounds of high-minded +patriotism without afterthought. These aspirations and enthusiasms would +perhaps be rated as Quixotic by men whose horizon is bounded by the main +chance; but they make up that substance of things hoped for that +inflates those headlong patriotic animosities that stir universal +admiration. + +So also, men find an invidious distinction in such matters of physical +magnitude as their country's area, the number of its population, the +size of its cities, the extent of its natural resources, its aggregate +wealth and its wealth per capita, its merchant marine and its foreign +trade. As a ground of invidious complacency these phenomena of physical +magnitude and pecuniary traffic are no better and no worse than such +immaterial assets as the majesty of the sovereign or the perfections of +the language. They are matters in which the common man is concerned +only by the accident of domicile, and his only connection with these +things is an imaginary joint interest in their impressiveness. To these +things he has contributed substantially nothing, and from them he +derives no other merit or advantage than a patriotic inflation. He takes +pride in these things in an invidious way, and there is no good reason +why he should not; just as there is also no good reason why he should, +apart from the fact that the common man is so constituted that he, +mysteriously, takes pride in these things that concern him not. + + * * * * * + +Of the several groups or classes of persons within the political +frontiers, whose particular interests run systematically at cross +purposes with those of the community at large under modern conditions, +the class of masters, rulers, authorities,--or whatever term may seem +most suitable to designate that category of persons whose characteristic +occupation is to give orders and command deference,--of the several +orders and conditions of men these are, in point of substantial motive +and interest, most patently at variance with all the rest, or with the +fortunes of the common man. The class will include civil and military +authorities and whatever nobility there is of a prescriptive and +privileged kind. The substantial interest of these classes in the common +welfare is of the same kind as the interest which a parasite has in the +well-being of his host; a sufficiently substantial interest, no doubt, +but there is in this relation nothing like a community of interest. Any +gain on the part of the community at large will materially serve the +needs of this group of personages, only in so far as it may afford them +a larger volume or a wider scope for what has in latterday colloquial +phrase been called "graft." These personages are, of course, not to be +spoken of with disrespect or with the slightest inflection of +discourtesy. They are all honorable men. Indeed they afford the +conventional pattern of human dignity and meritorious achievement, and +the "Fountain of Honor" is found among them. The point of the argument +is only that their material or other self-regarding interests are of +such a nature as to be furthered by the material wealth of the +community, and more particularly by the increasing volume of the body +politic; but only with the proviso that this material wealth and this +increment of power must accrue without anything like a corresponding +cost to this class. At the same time, since this class of the superiors +is in some degree a specialised organ of prestige, so that their value, +and therefore their tenure, both in the eyes of the community and in +their own eyes, is in the main a "prestige value" and a tenure by +prestige; and since the prestige that invests their persons is a shadow +cast by the putative worth of the community at large, it follows that +their particular interest in the joint prestige is peculiarly alert and +insistent. But it follows also that these personages cannot of their own +substance or of their own motion contribute to this collective prestige +in the same proportion in which it is necessary for them to draw on it +in support of their own prestige value. It would, in other words, be a +patent absurdity to call on any of the current ruling classes, +dynasties, nobility, military and diplomatic corps, in any of the +nations of Europe, e.g., to preserve their current dignity and command +the deference that is currently accorded them, by recourse to their own +powers and expenditure of their own substance, without the usufruct of +the commonalty whose organ of dignity they are. The current prestige +value which they enjoy is beyond their unaided powers to create or +maintain, without the usufruct of the community. Such an enterprise does +not lie within the premises of the case. + +In this bearing, therefore, the first concern with which these +personages are necessarily occupied is the procurement and retention of +a suitable usufruct in the material resources and good-will of a +sufficiently large and industrious population. The requisite good-will +in these premises is called loyalty, and its retention by the line of +personages that so trade on prestige rests on a superinduced association +of ideas, whereby the national honour comes to be confounded in popular +apprehension with the prestige of these personages who have the keeping +of it. But the potentates and the establishments, civil and military, on +whom this prestige value rests will unavoidably come into invidious +comparison with others of their kind; and, as invariably happens in +matters of invidious comparison, the emulative needs of all the +competitors for prestige are "indefinitely extensible," as the phrase of +the economists has it. Each and several of them incontinently needs a +further increment of prestige, and therefore also a further increment of +the material assets in men and resources that are needful as ways and +means to assert and augment the national honor. + +It is true, the notion that their prestige value is in any degree +conditioned by the material circumstances and the popular imagination of +the underlying nation is distasteful to many of these vicars of the +national honour. They will incline rather to the persuasion that this +prestige value is a distinctive attribute, of a unique order, intrinsic +to their own persons. But, plainly, any such detached line of magnates, +notables, kings and mandarins, resting their notability on nothing more +substantial than a slightly sub-normal intelligence and a moderately +scrofulous habit of body could not long continue to command that eager +deference that is accounted their due. Such a picture of majesty would +be sadly out of drawing. There is little conviction and no great dignity +to be drawn from the unaided pronouncement: + + "We're here because, + We're here because, + We're here because + We're here," + +even when the doggerel is duly given the rhetorical benefit of a "Tenure +by the Grace of God." The personages that carry this dignity require the +backing of a determined and patriotic populace in support of their +prestige value, and they commonly have no great difficulty in procuring +it. And their prestige value is, in effect, proportioned to the volume +of material resources and patriotic credulity that can be drawn on for +its assertion. It is true, their draught on the requisite sentimental +and pecuniary support is fortified with large claims of serviceability +to the common good, and these claims are somewhat easily, indeed +eagerly, conceded and acted upon; although the alleged benefit to the +common good will scarcely be visible except in the light of glory shed +by the blazing torch of patriotism. + +In so far as it is of a material nature the benefit which the +constituted authorities so engage to contribute to the common good, or +in other words to confer on the common man, falls under two heads: +defense against aggression from without; and promotion of the +community's material gain. It is to be presumed that the constituted +authorities commonly believe more or less implicitly in their own +professions in so professing to serve the needs of the common man in +these respects. The common defense is a sufficiently grave matter, and +doubtless it claims the best affections and endeavour of the citizen; +but it is not a matter that should claim much attention at this point in +the argument, as bearing on the service rendered the common man by the +constituted authorities, taken one with another. Any given governmental +establishment at home is useful in this respect only as against another +governmental establishment elsewhere. So that on the slightest +examination it resolves itself into a matter of competitive patriotic +enterprise, as between the patriotic aspirations of different +nationalities led by different governmental establishments; and the +service so rendered by the constituted authorities in the aggregate +takes on the character of a remedy for evils of their own creation. It +is invariably a defense against the concerted aggressions of other +patriots. Taken in the large, the common defense of any given nation +becomes a detail of the competitive struggle between rival nationalities +animated with a common spirit of patriotic enterprise and led by +authorities constituted for this competitive purpose. + +Except on a broad basis of patriotic devotion, and except under the +direction of an ambitious governmental establishment, no serious +international aggression is to be had. The common defense, therefore, is +to be taken as a remedy for evils arising out of the working of the +patriotic spirit that animates mankind, as brought to bear under a +discretionary authority; and in any balance to be struck between the +utility and disutility of this patriotic spirit and of its service in +the hands of the constituted authorities, it will have to be cancelled +out as being at the best a mitigation of some of the disorders brought +on by the presence of national governments resting on patriotic loyalty +at large. + +But this common defense is by no means a vacant rubric in any attempted +account of modern national enterprise. It is the commonplace and +conclusive plea of the dynastic statesmen and the aspiring warlords, and +it is the usual blind behind which events are put in train for eventual +hostilities. Preparation for the common defense also appears unfailingly +to eventuate in hostilities. With more or less _bona fides_ the +statesmen and warriors plead the cause of the common defense, and with +patriotic alacrity the common man lends himself to the enterprise aimed +at under that cover. In proportion as the resulting equipment for +defense grows great and becomes formidable, the range of items which a +patriotically biased nation are ready to include among the claims to be +defended grows incontinently larger, until by the overlapping of +defensive claims between rival nationalities the distinction between +defense and aggression disappears, except in the biased fancy of the +rival patriots. + +Of course, no reflections are called for here on the current American +campaign of "Preparedness." Except for the degree of hysteria it appears +to differ in no substantial respect from the analogous course of +auto-intoxication among the nationalities of Europe, which came to a +head in the current European situation. It should conclusively serve the +turn for any self-possessed observer to call to mind that all the +civilised nations of warring Europe are, each and several, convinced +that they are fighting a defensive war. + +The aspiration of all right-minded citizens is presumed to be "Peace +with Honour." So that first, as well as last, among those national +interests that are to be defended, and in the service of which the +substance and affections of the common man are enlisted under the aegis +of the national prowess, comes the national prestige, as a matter of +course. And the constituted authorities are doubtless sincere and +single-minded in their endeavors to advance and defend the national +honour, particularly those constituted authorities that hold their place +of authority on grounds of fealty; since the national prestige in such a +case coalesces with the prestige of the nation's ruler in much the same +degree in which the national sovereignty devolves upon the person of its +ruler. In so defending or advancing the national prestige, such a +dynastic or autocratic overlord, together with the other privileged +elements assisting and dependent on him, is occupied with his own +interest; his own tenure is a tenure by prestige, and the security of +his tenure lies in the continued maintenance of that popular fancy that +invests his person with this national prestige and so constitutes him +and his retinue of notables and personages its keeper. + +But it is uniformly insisted by the statesmen--potentates, notables, +kings and mandarins--that this aegis of the national prowess in their +hands covers also many interests of a more substantial and more tangible +kind. These other, more tangible interests of the community have also a +value of a direct and personal sort to the dynasty and its hierarchy of +privileged subalterns, in that it is only by use of the material forces +of the nation that the dynastic prestige can be advanced and maintained. +The interest of such constituted authorities in the material welfare of +the nation is consequently grave and insistent; but it is evidently an +interest of a special kind and is subject to strict and peculiar +limitations. The common good, in the material respect, interests the +dynastic statesman only as a means to dynastic ends; that is to say, +only in so far as it can be turned to account in the achievement of +dynastic aims. These aims are "The Kingdom, the Power and the Glory," as +the sacred formula phrases the same conception in another bearing. + +That is to say, the material welfare of the nation is a means to the +unfolding of the dynastic power; provided always that this material +welfare is not allowed to run into such ramifications as will make the +commonwealth an unwieldy instrument in the hands of the dynastic +statesmen. National welfare is to the purpose only in so far as it +conduces to political success, which is always a question of warlike +success in the last resort. The limitation which this consideration +imposes on the government's economic policy are such as will make the +nation a self-sufficient or self-balanced economic commonwealth. It must +be a self-balanced commonwealth at least in such measure as will make it +self-sustaining in case of need, in all those matters that bear directly +on warlike efficiency. + +Of course, no community can become fully self-sustaining under modern +conditions, by use of the modern state of the industrial arts, except by +recourse to such drastic measures of repression as would reduce its +total efficiency in an altogether intolerable degree. This will hold +true even of those nations who, like Russia or the United States, are +possessed of extremely extensive territories and extremely large and +varied resources; but it applies with greatly accentuated force to +smaller and more scantily furnished territorial units. Peoples living +under modern conditions and by use of the modern state of the industrial +arts necessarily draw on all quarters of the habitable globe for +materials and products which they can procure to the best advantage +from outside their own special field so long as they are allowed access +to these outlying sources of supply; and any arbitrary limitation on +this freedom of traffic makes the conditions of life that much harder, +and lowers the aggregate efficiency of the community by that much. +National self-sufficiency is to be achieved only by a degree of economic +isolation; and such a policy of economic isolation involves a degree of +impoverishment and lowered efficiency, but it will also leave the nation +readier for warlike enterprise on such a scale as its reduced efficiency +will compass. + +So that the best that can be accomplished along this line by the +dynastic statesmen is a shrewd compromise, embodying such a degree of +isolation and inhibition as will leave the country passably +self-sufficient in case of need, without lowering the national +efficiency to such a point as to cripple its productive forces beyond +what will be offset by the greater warlike readiness that is so +attained. The point to which such a policy of isolation and sufficiency +will necessarily be directed is that measure of inhibition that will +yield the most facile and effective ways and means of warlike +enterprise, the largest product of warlike effectiveness to be had on +multiplying the nation's net efficiency into its readiness to take the +field. + +Into any consideration of this tactical problem a certain subsidiary +factor enters, in that the patriotic temper of the nation is always more +or less affected by such an economic policy. The greater the degree of +effectual isolation and discrimination embodied in the national policy, +the greater will commonly be its effect on popular sentiment in the way +of national animosity and spiritual self-sufficiency; which may be an +asset of great value for the purposes of warlike enterprise. + +Plainly, any dynastic statesman who should undertake to further the +common welfare regardless of its serviceability for warlike enterprise +would be defeating his own purpose. He would, in effect, go near to +living up to his habitual professions touching international peace, +instead of professing to live up to them, as the exigencies of his +national enterprise now conventionally require him to do. In effect, he +would be _functus officio_. + +There are two great administrative instruments available for this work +of repression and national self-sufficiency at the hands of the +imperialistic statesman: the protective tariff, and commercial +subvention. The two are not consistently to be distinguished from one +another at all points, and each runs out into a multifarious convolution +of variegated details; but the principles involved are, after all, +fairly neat and consistent. The former is of the nature of a conspiracy +in restraint of trade by repression; the latter, a conspiracy to the +like effect by subsidised monopoly; both alike act to check the pursuit +of industry in given lines by artificially increasing the cost of +production for given individuals or classes of producers, and both alike +impose a more than proportionate cost on the community within which they +take effect. Incidentally, both of these methods of inhibition bring a +degree, though a less degree, of hardship, to the rest of the industrial +world. + +All this is matter of course to all economic students, and it should, +reasonably, be plain to all intelligent persons; but its voluble denial +by interested parties, as well as the easy credulity with which +patriotic citizens allow themselves to accept the sophistries offered in +defense of these measures of inhibition, has made it seem worth while +here to recall these commonplaces of economic science. + +The ground of this easy credulity is not so much infirmity of intellect +as it is an exuberance of sentiment, although it may reasonably be +believed that its more pronounced manifestations--as, e.g., the high +protective tariff--can be had only by force of a formidable cooperation +of the two. The patriotic animus is an invidious sentiment of joint +prestige; and it needs no argument or documentation to bear out the +affirmation that its bias will lend a color of merit and expediency to +any proposed measure that can, however speciously, promise an increase +of national power or prestige. So that when the statesmen propose a +policy of inhibition and mitigated isolation on the professed ground +that such a policy will strengthen the nation economically by making it +economically self-supporting, as well as ready for any warlike +adventure, the patriotic citizen views the proposed measures through the +rosy haze of national aspirations and lets the will to believe persuade +him that whatever conduces to a formidable national battle-front will +also contribute to the common good. At the same time all these national +conspiracies in restraint of trade are claimed, with more or less +reason, to inflict more or less harm on rival nationalities with whom +economic relations are curtailed; and patriotism being an invidious +sentiment, the patriotic citizen finds comfort in the promise of +mischief to these others, and is all the more prone to find all kinds of +merit in proposals that look to such an invidious outcome. In any +community imbued with an alert patriotic spirit, the fact that any given +circumstance, occurrence or transaction can be turned to account as a +means of invidious distinction or invidious discrimination against +humanity beyond the national pale, will always go far to procure +acceptance of it as being also an article of substantial profit to the +community at large, even though the slightest unbiased scrutiny would +find it of no ascertainable use in any other bearing than that of +invidious mischief. And whatever will bear interpretation as an +increment of the nation's power or prowess, in comparison with rival +nationalities, will always be securely counted as an item of joint +credit, and will be made to serve the collective conceit as an invidious +distinction; and patriotic credulity will find it meritorious also in +other respects. + +So, e.g., it is past conception that such a patent imbecility as a +protective tariff should enlist the support of any ordinarily +intelligent community except by the help of some such chauvinistic +sophistry. So also, the various royal establishments of Europe, e.g., +afford an extreme but therefore all the more convincing illustration of +the same logical fallacy. These establishments and personages are great +and authentic repositories of national prestige, and they are therefore +unreflectingly presumed by their several aggregations of subjects to be +of some substantial use also in some other bearing; but it would be a +highly diverting exhibition of credulity for any outsider to fall into +that amazing misconception. But the like is manifestly true of +commercial turnover and export trade among modern peoples; although on +this head the infatuation is so ingrained and dogmatic that even a rank +outsider is expected to accept the fallacy without reflection, on pain +of being rated as unsafe or unsound. Such matters again, as the +dimensions of the national territory, or the number of the population +and the magnitude of the national resources, are still and have perhaps +always been material for patriotic exultation, and are fatuously +believed to have some great significance for the material fortunes of +the common man; although it should be plain on slight reflection that +under modern conditions of ownership, these things, one and all, are of +no consequence to the common man except as articles of prestige to +stimulate his civic pride. The only conjuncture under which these and +the like national holdings can come to have a meaning as joint or +collective assets would arise in case of a warlike adventure carried to +such extremities as would summarily cancel vested rights of ownership +and turn them to warlike uses. While the rights of ownership hold, the +common man, who does not own these things, draws no profit from their +inclusion in the national domain; indeed, he is at some cost to +guarantee their safe tenure by their rightful owners. + +In so pursuing their quest of the Kingdom, the Power and the Glory, by +use of the national resources and by sanction of the national spirit, +the constituted authorities also assume the guardianship of sundry +material interests that are presumed to touch the common good; such as +security of person and property in dealings with aliens, whether at home +or abroad; security of investment and trade, and vindication of their +citizens before the law in foreign parts; and, chiefly and ubiquitously, +furtherance and extension of the national trade into foreign parts, +particularly of the export trade, on terms advantageous to the traders +of the nation. + +The last named of these advantages is the one on which stress is apt to +fall in the argument of all those who advocate an unfolding of national +power, as being a matter of vital material benefit to the common man. +The other items indicated above, it is plain on the least reflection, +are matters of slight if any material consequence to him. The common +man--that is ninety-nine and a fraction in one hundred of the nation's +common men--has no dealings with aliens in foreign parts, as capitalist, +trader, missionary or wayfaring man, and has no occasion for security of +person or property under circumstances that raise any remotest question +of the national prowess or the national prestige; nor does he seek or +aspire to trade to foreign parts on any terms, equitable or otherwise, +or to invest capital among aliens under foreign rule, or to exploit +concessions or take orders, for acceptance or delivery; nor, indeed, +does he at all commonly come into even that degree of contact with +abroad that is implied in the purchase of foreign securities. Virtually +the sole occasion on which he comes in touch with the world beyond the +frontier is when, and if, he goes away from home as an emigrant, and so +ceases to enjoy the tutelage of the nation's constituted authorities. +But the common man, in point of fact, is a home-keeping body, who +touches foreign parts and aliens outside the national frontiers only at +the second or third remove, if at all, in the occasional purchase of +foreign products, or in the sale of goods that may find their way abroad +after he has lost sight of them. The exception to this general rule +would be found in the case of those under-sized nations that are too +small to contain the traffic in which their commonplace population are +engaged, and that have neither national prowess nor national prestige to +fall back on in a conceivable case of need,--and whose citizens, +individually, appear to be as fortunately placed in their workday +foreign relations, without a background of prowess and prestige, as the +citizens of the great powers who are most abundantly provided in these +respects. + +With wholly negligible exceptions, these matters touch the needs or the +sensibilities of the common man only through the channel of the +national honour, which may be injured in the hardships suffered by his +compatriots in foreign parts, or which may, again, be repaired or +enhanced by the meritorious achievements of the same compatriots; of +whose existence he will commonly have no other or more substantial +evidence, and in whose traffic he has no share other than this vicarious +suffering of vague and remote indignity or vainglory by force of the +wholly fortuitous circumstance that they are (inscrutably) his +compatriots. These immaterial goods of vicarious prestige are, of +course, not to be undervalued, nor is the fact to be overlooked or +minimised that they enter into the sum total of the common citizen's +"psychic income," for whatever they may foot up to; but evidently their +consideration takes us back to the immaterial category of prestige +value, from which the argument just now was hopefully departing with a +view to consideration of the common man's material interest in that +national enterprise about which patriotic aspirations turn. + +These things, then, are matters in which the common man has an interest +only as they have a prestige value. But there need be no question as to +their touching his sensibilities and stirring him to action, and even to +acts of bravery and self-sacrifice. Indignity or ill treatment of his +compatriots in foreign parts, even when well deserved, as is not +infrequently the case, are resented with a vehemence that is greatly to +the common man's credit, and greatly also to the gain of those patriotic +statesmen who find in such grievances their safest and most reliable raw +materials for the production of international difficulty. That he will +so respond to the stimulus of these, materially speaking irrelevant, +vicissitudes of good or ill that touch the fortunes of his compatriots, +as known to him by hearsay, bears witness, of course, to the high +quality of his manhood; but it falls very far short of arguing that +these promptings of his patriotic spirit have any value as traits that +count toward his livelihood or his economic serviceability in the +community in which he lives. It is all to his credit, and it goes to +constitute him a desirable citizen, in the sense that he is properly +amenable to the incitements of patriotic emulation; but it is none the +less to be admitted, however reluctantly, that this trait of impulsively +vicarious indignation or vainglory is neither materially profitable to +himself nor an asset of the slightest economic value to the community in +which he lives. Quite the contrary, in fact. So also is it true that the +common man derives no material advantage from the national success along +this line, though he commonly believes that it all somehow inures to his +benefit. It would seem that an ingrown bias of community interest, +blurred and driven by a jealously sensitive patriotic pride, bends his +faith uncritically to match his inclination. His persuasion is a work of +preconception rather than of perception. + +But the most substantial and most unqualified material benefit currently +believed to be derivable from a large unfolding of national prowess and +a wide extension of the national domain is an increased volume of the +nation's foreign trade, particularly of the export trade. "Trade follows +the Flag." And this larger trade and enhanced profit is presumed to +inure to the joint benefit of the citizens. Such is the profession of +faith of the sagacious statesmen and such is also the unreflecting +belief of the common man. + +It may be left an open question if an unfolding of national prowess and +prestige increases the nation's trade, whether in imports or in +exports. There is no available evidence that it has any effect of the +kind. What is not an open question is the patent fact that such an +extension of trade confers no benefit on the common man, who is not +engaged in the import or export business. More particularly does it +yield him no advantage at all commensurate with the cost involved in any +endeavour so to increase the volume of trade by increasing the nation's +power and extending its dominion. The profits of trade go not to the +common man at large but to the traders whose capital is invested; and it +is a completely idle matter to the common citizen whether the traders +who profit by the nation's trade are his compatriots or not.[6] + +[Footnote 6: All this, which should be plain without demonstration, has +been repeatedly shown in the expositions of various peace advocates, +typically by Mr. Angell.] + +The pacifist argument on the economic futility of national ambitions +will commonly rest its case at this point; having shown as unreservedly +as need be that national ambition and all its works belong of right +under that rubric of the litany that speaks of Fire, Flood and +Pestilence. But an hereditary bent of human nature is not to be put out +of the way with an argument showing that it has its disutilities. So +with the patriotic animus; it is a factor to be counted with, rather +than to be exorcised. + +As has been remarked above, in the course of time and change the advance +of the industrial arts and of the institutions of ownership have taken +such a turn that the working system of industry and business no longer +runs on national lines and, indeed, no longer takes account of national +frontiers,--except in so far as the national policies and legislation, +arbitrarily and partially, impose these frontiers on the workings of +trade and industry. The effect of such regulation for political ends is, +with wholly negligible exceptions, detrimental to the efficient working +of the industrial system under modern conditions; and it is therefore +detrimental to the material interests of the common citizen. But the +case is not the same as regards the interests of the traders. Trade is a +competitive affair, and it is to the advantage of the traders engaged in +any given line of business to extend their own markets and to exclude +competing traders. Competition may be the soul of trade, but monopoly is +necessarily the aim of every trader. And the national organisation is of +service to its traders in so far as it shelters them, wholly or partly, +from the competition of traders of other nationalities, or in so far as +it furthers their enterprise by subvention or similar privileges as +against their competitors, whether at home or abroad. The gain that so +comes to the nation's traders from any preferential advantage afforded +them by national regulations, or from any discrimination against traders +of foreign nationality, goes to the traders as private gain. It is of no +benefit to any of their compatriots; since there is no community of +usufruct that touches these gains of the traders. So far as concerns his +material advantage, it is an idle matter to the common citizen whether +he deals with traders of his own nationality or with aliens; both alike +will aim to buy cheap and sell dear, and will charge him "what the +traffic will bear." Nor does it matter to him whether the gains of this +trade go to aliens or to his compatriots; in either case equally they +immediately pass beyond his reach, and are equally removed from any +touch of joint interest on his part. Being private property, under +modern law and custom he has no use of them, whether a national frontier +does or does not intervene between his domicile and that of their owner. + +These are facts that every man of sound mind knows and acts on without +doubt or hesitation in his own workday affairs. He would scarcely even +find amusement in so futile a proposal as that his neighbor should share +his business profits with him for no better reason than that he is a +compatriot. But when the matter is presented as a proposition in +national policy and embroidered with an invocation of his patriotic +loyalty the common citizen will commonly be found credulous enough to +accept the sophistry without abatement. His archaic sense of group +solidarity will still lead him at his own cost to favor his trading +compatriots by the imposition of onerous trade regulations for their +private advantage, and to interpose obstacles in the way of alien +traders. All this ingenious policy of self-defeat is greatly helped out +by the patriotic conceit of the citizens; who persuade themselves to see +in it an accession to the power and prestige of their own nation and a +disadvantage to rival nationalities. It is, indeed, more than doubtful +if such a policy of self-defeat as is embodied in current international +trade discriminations could be insinuated into the legislation of any +civilized nation if the popular intelligence were not so clouded with +patriotic animosity as to let a prospective detriment to their foreign +neighbors count as a gain to themselves. + +So that the chief material use of the patriotic bent in modern +populations, therefore, appears to be its use to a limited class of +persons engaged in foreign trade, or in business that comes in +competition with foreign industry. It serves their private gain by +lending effectual countenance to such restraint of international trade +as would not be tolerated within the national domain. In so doing it has +also the secondary and more sinister effect of dividing the nations on +lines of rivalry and setting up irreconcilable claims and ambitions, of +no material value but of far-reaching effect in the way of provocation +to further international estrangement and eventual breach of the peace. + +How all this falls in with the schemes of militant statesmen, and +further reacts on the freedom and personal fortunes of the common man, +is an extensive and intricate topic, though not an obscure one; and it +has already been spoken of above, perhaps as fully as need be. + + + + +CHAPTER III + +ON THE CONDITIONS OF A LASTING PEACE + + +The considerations set out in earlier chapters have made it appear that +the patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding source of +contention among nations. Except for their patriotism a breach of the +peace among modern peoples could not well be had. So much will doubtless +be assented to as a matter of course. It is also a commonplace of +current aphoristic wisdom that both parties to a warlike adventure in +modern times stand to lose, materially; whatever nominal--that is to say +political--gains may be made by one or the other. It has also appeared +from these considerations recited in earlier passages that this +patriotic spirit prevails throughout, among all civilised peoples, and +that it pervades one nation about as ubiquitously as another. Nor is +there much evidence of a weakening of this sinister proclivity with the +passage of time or the continued advance in the arts of life. The only +civilized nations that can be counted on as habitually peaceable are +those who are so feeble or are so placed as to be cut off from hope of +gain through contention. Vainglorious arrogance may run at a higher +tension among the more backward and boorish nations; but it is not +evident that the advance guard among the civilised peoples are imbued +with a less complete national self-complacency. If the peace is to be +kept, therefore, it will have to be kept by and between peoples made up, +in effect, of complete patriots; which comes near being a contradiction +in terms. Patriotism is useful for breaking the peace, not for keeping +it. It makes for national pretensions and international jealously and +distrust, with warlike enterprise always in perspective; as a way to +national gain or a recourse in case of need. And there is commonly no +settled demarkation between these two contrasted needs that urge a +patriotic people forever to keep one eye on the chance of a recourse to +arms. + +Therefore any calculus of the Chances of Peace appears to become a +reckoning of the forces which may be counted on to keep a patriotic +nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace for the time being. As has +just been remarked above, among civilised peoples only those nations can +be counted on consistently to keep the peace who are so feeble or +otherwise so placed as to be cut off from hope of national gain. And +these can apparently be so counted on only as regards aggression, not as +regards the national defense, and only in so far as they are not drawn +into warlike enterprise, collectively, by their more competent +neighbors. Even the feeblest and most futile of them feels in honour +bound to take up arms in defense of such national pretensions as they +still may harbour; and all of them harbour such pretensions. In certain +extreme cases, which it might seem invidious to specify more explicitly, +it is not easy to discover any specific reasons for the maintenance of a +national establishment, apart from the vindication of certain national +pretensions which would quietly lapse in the absence of a national +establishment on whom their vindication is incumbent. + +Of the rest, the greater nations that are spoken of as Powers no such +general statement will hold. These are the peoples who stand, in +matters of national concern, on their own initiative; and the question +of peace and war at large is in effect, a question of peace and war +among these Powers. They are not so numerous that they can be sifted +into distinct classes, and yet they differ among themselves in such a +way that they may, for the purpose in hand, fairly be ranged under two +distinguishable if not contrasted heads: those which may safely be +counted on spontaneously to take the offensive, and those which will +fight on provocation. Typically of the former description are Germany +and Japan. Of the latter are the French and British, and less +confidently the American republic. In any summary statement of this kind +Russia will have to be left on one side as a doubtful case, for reasons +to which the argument may return at a later point; the prospective +course of things in Russia is scarcely to be appraised on the ground of +its past. Spain and Italy, being dubious Powers at the best, need not +detain the argument; they are, in the nature of things, subsidiaries who +wait on the main chance. And Austria, with whatever the name may cover, +is for the immediate purpose to be counted under the head of Germany. + +There is no invidious comparison intended in so setting off these two +classes of nations in contrast to one another. It is not a contrast of +merit and demerit or of prestige. Imperial Germany and Imperial Japan +are, in the nature of things as things go, bent in effect on a +disturbance of the peace,--with a view to advance the cause of their own +dominion. On a large view of the case, such as many German statesmen +were in the habit of professing in the years preceding the great war, it +may perhaps appear reasonable to say--as they were in the habit of +saying--that these Imperial Powers are as well within the lines of fair +and honest dealing in their campaign of aggression as the other Powers +are in taking a defensive attitude against their aggression. Some sort +of international equity has been pleaded in justification of their +demand for an increased share of dominion. At least it has appeared that +these Imperial statesmen have so persuaded themselves after very mature +deliberation; and they have showed great concern to persuade others of +the equity of their Imperial claim to something more than the law would +allow. These sagacious, not to say astute, persons have not only reached +a conviction to this effect, but they have become possessed of this +conviction in such plenary fashion that, in the German case, they have +come to admit exceptions or abatement of the claim only when and in so +far as the campaign of equitable aggression on which they had entered +has been proved impracticable by the fortunes of war. + +With some gift for casuistry one may, at least conceivably, hold that +the felt need of Imperial self-aggrandisement may become so urgent as to +justify, or at least to condone, forcible dispossession of weaker +nationalities. This might, indeed it has, become a sufficiently +perplexing question of casuistry, both as touches the punctilios of +national honour and as regards an equitable division between rival +Powers in respect of the material means of mastery. So in private life +it may become a moot question--in point of equity--whether the craving +of a kleptomaniac may not on occasion rise to such an intolerable pitch +of avidity as to justify him in seizing whatever valuables he can safely +lay hands on, to ease the discomfort of ungratified desire. In private +life any such endeavour to better oneself at one's neighbors' cost is +not commonly reprobated if it takes effect on a decently large scale +and shrewdly within the flexibilities of the law or with the connivance +of its officers. Governing international endeavours of this class there +is no law so inflexible that it can not be conveniently made over to fit +particular circumstances. And in the absence of law the felt need of a +formal justification will necessarily appeal to the unformulated +equities of the case, with some such outcome as alluded to above. All +that, of course, is for the diplomatists to take care of. + +But any speculation on the equities involved in the projected course of +empire to which these two enterprising nations are committing themselves +must run within the lines of diplomatic parable, and will have none but +a speculative interest. It is not a matter of equity. Accepting the +situation as it stands, it is evident that any peace can only have a +qualified meaning, in the sense of armistice, so long as there is +opportunity for national enterprise of the character on which these two +enterprising national establishments are bent, and so long as these and +the like national establishments remain. So, taking the peaceable +professions of their spokesmen at a discount of one hundred percent, as +one necessarily must, and looking to the circumstantial evidence of the +case, it is abundantly plain that at least these two imperial Powers may +be counted on consistently to manoeuvre for warlike advantage so long as +any peace compact holds, and to break the peace so soon as the strategy +of Imperial enterprise appears to require it. + +There has been much courteous make-believe of amiable and upright +solicitude on this head the past few years, both in diplomatic +intercourse and among men out of doors; and since make-believe is a +matter of course in diplomatic intercourse it is right and seemly, of +course, that no overt recognition of unavowed facts should be allowed +to traverse this run of make-believe within the precincts of diplomatic +intercourse. But in any ingenuous inquiry into the nature of peace and +the conditions of its maintenance there can be no harm in conveniently +leaving the diplomatic make-believe on one side and looking to the +circumstances that condition the case, rather than to the formal +professions designed to mask the circumstances. + + * * * * * + +Chief among the relevant circumstances in the current situation are the +imperial designs of Germany and Japan. These two national establishments +are very much alike. So much so that for the present purpose a single +line of analysis will passably cover both cases. The same line of +analysis will also apply, with slight adaptation, to more than one of +the other Powers, or near-Powers, of the modern world; but in so far as +such is held to be the case, that is not a consideration that weakens +the argument as applied to these two, which are to be taken as the +consummate type-form of a species of national establishments. They are, +between them, the best instance there is of what may be called a +Dynastic State. + +Except as a possible corrective of internal disorders and discontent, +neither of the two States "desires" war; but both are bent on dominion, +and as the dominion aimed at is not to be had except by fighting for it, +both in effect are incorrigibly bent on warlike enterprise. And in +neither case will considerations of equity, humanity, decency, veracity, +or the common good be allowed to trouble the quest of dominion. As lies +in the nature of the dynastic State, imperial dominion, in the ambitions +of both, is beyond price; so that no cost is too high so long as +ultimate success attends the imperial enterprise. So much is commonplace +knowledge among all men who are at all conversant with the facts. + +To anyone who harbors a lively sentimental prejudice for or against +either or both of the two nations so spoken of, or for or against the +manner of imperial enterprise to which both are committed, it may seem +that what has just been said of them and their relation to the world's +peace runs on something of a bias and conveys something of dispraise and +reprobation. Such is not the intention, however, though the appearance +is scarcely to be avoided. It is necessary for the purposes of the +argument unambiguously to recognise the nature of these facts with which +the inquiry is concerned; and any plain characterisation of the facts +will unavoidably carry a fringe of suggestions of this character, +because current speech is adapted for their reprobation. The point aimed +at is not this inflection of approval or disapproval. The facts are to +be taken impersonally for what they are worth in their causal bearing on +the chance of peace or war; not at their sentimental value as traits of +conduct to be appraised in point of their goodness or expediency. + +So seen without prejudice, then, if that may be, this Imperial +enterprise of these two Powers is to be rated as the chief circumstance +bearing on the chances of peace and conditioning the terms on which any +peace plan must be drawn. Evidently, in the presence of these two +Imperial Powers any peace compact will be in a precarious case; equally +so whether either or both of them are parties to such compact or not. No +engagement binds a dynastic statesman in case it turns out not to +further the dynastic enterprise. The question then recurs: How may peace +be maintained within the horizon of German or Japanese ambitions? There +are two obvious alternatives, neither of which promises an easy way out +of the quandary in which the world's peace is placed by their presence: +Submission to their dominion, or Elimination of these two Powers. Either +alternative would offer a sufficiently deterrent outlook, and yet any +project for devising some middle course of conciliation and amicable +settlement, which shall be practicable and yet serve the turn, scarcely +has anything better to promise. The several nations now engaged on a war +with the greater of these Imperial Powers hold to a design of +elimination, as being the only measure that merits hopeful +consideration. The Imperial Power in distress bespeaks peace and +good-will. + +Those advocates, whatever their nationality, who speak for negotiation +with a view to a peace compact which is to embrace these States intact, +are aiming, in effect, to put things in train for ultimate submission to +the mastery of these Imperial Powers. In these premises an amicable +settlement and a compact of perpetual peace will necessarily be +equivalent to arranging a period of recuperation and recruiting for a +new onset of dynastic enterprise. For, in the nature of the case, no +compact binds the dynastic statesman, and no consideration other than +the pursuit of Imperial dominion commands his attention. + +There is, of course, no intention to decry this single-mindedness that +is habitually put in evidence by the dynastic statesmen. Nor should it +be taken as evidence of moral obliquity in them. It is rather the result +of a peculiar moral attitude or bent, habitual to such statesmen, and in +its degree also habitual to their compatriots, and is indispensably +involved in the Imperial frame of mind. The consummation of Imperial +mastery being the highest and ubiquitously ulterior end of all +endeavour, its pursuit not only relieves its votaries from the +observance of any minor obligations that run counter to its needs, but +it also imposes a moral obligation to make the most of any opportunity +for profitable deceit and chicanery that may offer. In short, the +dynastic statesman is under the governance of a higher morality, binding +him to the service of his nation's ambition--or in point of fact, to the +personal service of his dynastic master--to which it is his dutiful +privilege loyally to devote all his powers of force and fraud. + +Democratically-minded persons, who are not moved by the call of loyalty +to a gratuitous personal master, may have some difficulty in +appreciating the force and the moral austerity of this spirit of +devotion to an ideal of dynastic aggrandisement, and in seeing how its +paramount exigence will set aside all meticulous scruples of personal +rectitude and veracity, as being a shabby with-holding of service due. + +To such of these doubters as still have retained some remnants of their +religious faith this attitude of loyalty may perhaps be made +intelligible by calling to mind the analogous self-surrender of the +religious devotee. And in this connection it may also be to the purpose +to recall that in point of its genesis and derivation that unreserved +self-abasement and surrender to the divine ends and guidance, which is +the chief grace and glory of the true believer, is held by secular +students of these matters to be only a sublimated analogue or +counterfeit of this other dutiful abasement that constitutes loyalty to +a temporal master. The deity is currently spoken of as The Heavenly +King, under whose dominion no sinner has a right that He is bound to +respect; very much after the fashion in which no subject of a dynastic +state has a right which the State is bound to respect. Indeed, all these +dynastic establishments that so seek the Kingdom, the Power and the +Glory are surrounded with a penumbra of divinity, and it is commonly a +bootless question where the dynastic powers end and the claims of +divinity begin. There is something of a coalescence.[7] + +[Footnote 7: "To us the state is the most indispensable as well as the +highest requisite to our earthly existence.... All individualistic +endeavor ... must be unreservedly subordinated to this lofty claim.... +The state ... eventually is of infinitely more value than the sum of all +the individuals within its jurisdiction." "This conception of the state, +which is as much a part of our life as is the blood in our veins, is +nowhere to be found in the English Constitution, and is quite foreign to +English thought, and to that of America as well."--Eduard Meyer, +_England, its Political Organisation and Development and the War against +Germany_, translated by H.S. White. Boston 1916. pp. 30-31.] + +The Kaiser holds dominion by divine grace and is accountable to none but +God, if to Him. The whole case is in a still better state of repair as +touches the Japanese establishment, where the Emperor is a lineal +descendant of the supreme deity, Amaterazu (_o mi Kami_), and where, by +consequence, there is no line of cleavage between a divine and a secular +mastery. Pursuant to this more unqualified authenticity of autocratic +rule, there is also to be found in this case a correspondingly +unqualified devotion in the subjects and an unqualified subservience to +dynastic ends on the part of the officers of the crown. The coalescence +of dynastic rule with the divine order is less complete in the German +case, but all observers bear witness that it all goes far enough also in +the German case. This state of things is recalled here as a means of +making plain that the statesmen of these Imperial Powers must in the +nature of the case, and without blame, be drawn out from under the +customary restraint of those principles of vulgar morality that are +embodied in the decalogue. It is not that the subject, or--what comes to +the same thing--the servant of such a dynastic State may not be upright, +veracious and humane in private life, but only that he must not be +addicted to that sort of thing in such manner or degree as might hinder +his usefulness for dynastic purposes. These matters of selfishly +individual integrity and humanity have no weight as against the +exigencies of the dynastic enterprise. + +These considerations may not satisfy all doubters as to the moral +sufficiency of these motives that so suffice to decide the dynastic +statesmen on their enterprise of aggression by force and fraud; but it +should be evident that so long as these statesmen continue in the frame +of mind spoken of, and so long as popular sentiment in these countries +continues, as hitherto, to lend them effectual support in the pursuit of +such Imperial enterprise, so long it must also remain true that no +enduring peace can be maintained within the sweep of their Imperial +ambition. Any peace compact would necessarily be, in effect, an +armistice terminable at will and serving as a season of preparation to +meet a deferred opportunity. For the peaceable nations it would, in +effect, be a respite and a season of preparation for eventual submission +to the Imperial rule. + +By advocates of such a negotiated compact of perpetual peace it has been +argued that the populace underlying these Imperial Powers will readily +be brought to realise the futility and inexpediency of such dynastic +enterprise, if only the relevant facts are brought to their knowledge, +and that so these Powers will be constrained to keep the peace by +default of popular support for their warlike projects. What is required, +it is believed by these sanguine persons, is that information be +competently conveyed to the common people of these warlike nations, +showing them that they have nothing to apprehend in the way of +aggression or oppressive measures from the side of their more peaceable +neighbours; whereupon their warlike animus will give place to a +reasonable and enlightened frame of mind. This argument runs tacitly or +explicitly, on the premise that these peoples who have so +enthusiastically lent themselves to the current warlike enterprise are +fundamentally of the same racial complexion and endowed with the same +human nature as their peaceable neighbours, who would be only too glad +to keep the peace on any terms of tolerable security from aggression. If +only a fair opportunity is offered for the interested peoples to come to +an understanding, it is held, a good understanding will readily be +reached; at least so far as to result in a reasonable willingness to +submit questions in dispute to an intelligent canvass and an equitable +arbitration. + +Projects for a negotiated peace compact, to include the dynastic States, +can hold any prospect of a happy issue only if this line of argument, or +its equivalent, is pertinent and conclusive; and the argument is to the +point only in so far as its premises are sound and will carry as far as +the desired conclusion. Therefore a more detailed attention to the +premises on which it runs will be in place, before any project of the +kind is allowed to pass inspection. + +As to homogeneity of race and endowment among the several nations in +question, the ethnologists, who are competent to speak of that matter, +are ready to assert that this homogeneity goes much farther among the +nations of Europe than any considerable number of peace advocates would +be ready to claim. In point of race, and broadly speaking, there is +substantially no difference between these warring nations, along any +east-and-west line; while the progressive difference in racial +complexion that is always met with along any north-and-south line, +nowhere coincides with a national or linguistic frontier. In no case +does a political division between these nations mark or depend on a +difference of race or of hereditary endowment. And, to give full +measure, it may be added that also in no case does a division of classes +within any one of these nations, into noble and base, patrician and +plebeian, lay and learned, innocent and vicious, mark or rest on any +slightest traceable degree of difference in race or in heritable +endowment. On the point of racial homogeneity there is no fault to find +with the position taken. + +If the second postulate in this groundwork of premises on which the +advocates of negotiable peace base their hopes were as well taken there +need be no serious misgiving as to the practicability of such a plan. +The plan counts on information, persuasion and reflection to subdue +national animosities and jealousies, at least in such measure as would +make them amenable to reason. The question of immediate interest on this +head, therefore, would be as to how far this populace may be accessible +to the contemplated line of persuasion. At present they are, +notoriously, in a state of obsequious loyalty to the dynasty, +single-minded devotion to the fortunes of the Fatherland, and +uncompromising hatred of its enemies. In this frame of mind there is +nothing that is new, except the degree of excitement. The animus, it +will be recalled, was all there and on the alert when the call came, so +that the excitement came on with the sweep of a conflagration on the +first touch of a suitable stimulus. The German people at large was +evidently in a highly unstable equilibrium, so that an unexampled +enthusiasm of patriotic self-sacrifice followed immediately on the first +incitement to manslaughter, very much as if the nation had been held +under an hypnotic spell. One need only recall the volume of overbearing +magniloquence that broke out all over the place in that beginning, when +The Day was believed to be dawning. + +Such a popular frame of mind is not a transient episode, to be created +at short notice and put aside for a parcel of salutary advice. The +nation that will make such a massive concerted move with the alacrity +shown in this instance must be living in a state of alert readiness for +just such an onset. Yet this is not to be set down as anything in the +way of a racial trait specifically distinguishing the German people from +those other adjacent nationalities that are incapable of a similarly +swift and massive response to the appeal of patriotism. These adjacent +nationalities are racially identical with the German people, but they do +not show the same warlike abandon in nearly the same degree. + +But for all that, it is a national trait, not to be acquired or put away +by taking thought. It is just here that the line of definition runs: it +is a national trait, not a racial one. It is not Nature, but it is +Second Nature. But a national trait, while it is not heritable in the +simple sense of that term, has the same semblance, or the same degree, +of hereditary persistence that belongs to the national institutions, +usages, conventionalities, beliefs, which distinguish the given nation +from its neighbors. In this instance it may be said more specifically +that this eager loyalty is a heritage of the German people at large in +the same sense and with the same degree of permanence as the institution +of an autocratic royalty has among them, or a privileged nobility. +Indeed, it is the institutional counterfoil of these establishments. It +is of an institutional character, just as the corresponding sense of +national solidarity and patriotic devotion is among the neighboring +peoples with whom the German nation comes in comparison. And an +institution is an historical growth, with just so much of a character of +permanence and continuity of transmission as is given it by the +circumstances out of which it has grown. Any institution is a product of +habit, or perhaps more accurately it is a body of habits of thought +bearing on a given line of conduct, which prevails with such generality +and uniformity throughout the group as to have become a matter of common +sense. + +Such an article of institutional furniture is an outcome of usage, not +of reflection or deliberate choice; and it has consequently a character +of self-legitimation, so that it stands in the accredited scheme of +things as intrinsically right and good, and not merely as a shrewdly +chosen expedient _ad interim_. It affords a norm of life, inosculating +with a multiplicity of other norms, with which it goes to make up a +balanced scheme of ends, ways and means governing human conduct; and no +one such institutional item, therefore, is materially to be disturbed, +discarded or abated except at the cost of serious derangement to the +balanced scheme of things in which it belongs as an integral +constituent. Nor can such a detail norm of conduct and habitual +propensity come into bearing and hold its place, except by force of +habituation which is at the same time consonant with the common run of +habituation to which the given community is subject. It follows that +the more rigorous, comprehensive, unremitting and long-continued the +habituation to which a given institutional principle owes its vogue, the +more intimately and definitively will it be embedded in the common sense +of the community, the less chance is there of its intrinsic necessity +being effectually questioned or doubted, and the less chance is there of +correcting it or abating its force in case circumstances should so +change as to make its continued rule visibly inexpedient. Its abatement +will be a work not of deliberation and design, but of defection through +disuse. + +Not that reflection and sane counsel will count for nothing in these +premises, but only that these exertions of intelligence will count for +relatively very little by comparison with the run of habituation as +enforced by the circumstances conditioning any given case; and further, +that wise counsel and good resolutions can take effect in the way of +amending any untoward institutional bent only by way of suitable +habituation, and only at such a rate of change as the circumstances +governing habituation will allow. It is, at the best, slow work to shift +the settled lines of any community's scheme of common sense. Now, +national solidarity, and more particularly an unquestioning loyalty to +the sovereign and the dynasty, is a matter of course and of commonsense +necessity with the German people. It is not necessary to call to mind +that the Japanese nation, which has here been coupled with the German, +are in the same case, only more so. + +Doubtless it would be exceeding the premises to claim that it should +necessarily take the German people as long-continued and as harsh a +schooling to unlearn their excess of chauvinism, their servile stooping +to gratuitous authority, and their eager subservience to the dynastic +ambitions of their masters, as that which has in the course of history +induced these habits in them. But it would seem reasonable to expect +that there should have to be some measure of proportion between what it +has cost them in time and experience to achieve their current frame of +mind in this bearing and what it would cost to divest themselves of it. +It is a question of how long a time and how exacting a discipline would +be required so far to displace the current scheme of commonsense values +and convictions in force in the Fatherland as to neutralise their +current high-wrought principles of servility, loyalty and national +animosity; and on the solution of this difficulty appear to depend the +chances of success for any proposed peace compact to which the German +nation shall be made a party, on terms of what is called an "honorable +peace." + +The national, or rather the dynastic and warlike, animus of this people +is of the essence of their social and political institutions. Without +such a groundwork of popular sentiment neither the national +establishment, nor the social order on which it rests and through which +it works, could endure. And with this underlying national sentiment +intact nothing but a dynastic establishment of a somewhat ruthless +order, and no enduring system of law and order not based on universal +submission to personal rule, could be installed. Both the popular animus +and the correlative coercive scheme of law and order are of historical +growth. Both have been learned, acquired, and are in no cogent sense +original with the German people. But both alike and conjointly have come +out of a very protracted, exacting and consistent discipline of mastery +and subjection, running virtually unbroken over the centuries that have +passed since the region that is now the Fatherland first passed under +the predaceous rule of its Teutonic invaders,--for no part of the +"Fatherland" is held on other tenure than that of forcible seizure in +ancient times by bands of invaders, with the negligible exception of +Holstein and a slight extent of territory adjoining that province to the +south and south-west. Since the time when such peoples as were overtaken +in this region by the Germanic barbarian invasions, and were reduced to +subjection and presently merged with their alien masters, the same +general fashion of law and order that presently grew out of that +barbarian conquest has continued to govern the life of those peoples, +with relatively slight and intermittent relaxation of its rigors. +Contrasted with its beginnings, in the shameful atrocities of the Dark +Ages and the prehistoric phases of this German occupation, the later +stages of this system of coercive law and order in the Fatherland will +appear humane, not to say genial; but as compared with the degree of +mitigation which the like order of things presently underwent elsewhere +in western Europe, it has throughout the historical period preserved a +remarkable degree of that character of arrogance and servility which it +owes to its barbarian and predatory beginnings. + + * * * * * + +The initial stages of this Germanic occupation of the Fatherland are +sufficiently obscure under the cloud of unrecorded antiquity that covers +them; and then, an abundance of obscurantism has also been added by the +vapours of misguided vanity that have surrounded so nearly all +historical inquiry on the part of patriotic German scholars. Yet there +are certain outstanding features in the case, in history and prehistory, +that are too large or too notorious to be set aside or to be covered +over, and these may suffice to show the run of circumstances which have +surrounded the German peoples and shaped their civil and political +institutions, and whose discipline has guided German habits of thought +and preserved the German spirit of loyalty in the shape in which it +underlies the dynastic State of the present day. + +Among the most engaging of those fables that make the conventional +background of German history is the academic legend of a free +agricultural village community made up of ungraded and masterless men. +It is not necessary here to claim that such a village community never +played a part in the remoter prehistoric experiences out of which the +German people, or their ruling classes, came into the territory of the +Fatherland; such a claim might divert the argument. But it is +sufficiently patent to students of those matters today that no such +community of free and ungraded men had any part in the Germanic +beginnings; that is to say, in the early experiences of the Fatherland +under German rule. The meager and ambiguous remarks of Tacitus on the +state of domestic and civil economy among the inhabitants of Germany +need no longer detain anyone, in the presence of the available +archaeological and historical evidence. The circumstantial evidence of +the prehistoric antiquities which touch this matter, as well as the +slight allusions of historical records in antiquity, indicate +unambiguously enough that when the Germanic immigrants moved into the +territories of the Fatherland they moved in as invaders, or rather as +marauders, and made themselves masters of the people already living on +the land. And history quite as unambiguously declares that when the +Fatherland first comes under its light it presents a dark and bloody +ground of tumultuous contention and intrigue; where princes and +princelings, captains of war and of rapine as well as the captains of +superstition, spend the substance of an ignominiously sordid and servile +populace in an endless round of mutual raiding, treachery, +assassinations and supersession. + +Taken at their face value, the recorded stories of that early time would +leave one to infer that the common people, whose industry supported this +superstructure of sordid mastery, could have survived only by oversight. +But touched as it is with poetic license and devoted to the admirable +life of the master class--admirable in their own eyes and in those of +their chroniclers, as undoubtedly also in the eyes of the subject +populace--the history of that time doubtless plays up the notable +exploits and fortunes of its conspicuous personages, somewhat to the +neglect of the obscure vicissitudes of life and fortune among that human +raw material by use of which the admirable feats of the master class +were achieved, and about the use of which the dreary traffic of greed +and crime went on among the masters. + +Of the later history, what covers, say, the last one thousand years, +there is no need to speak at length. With transient, episodic, +interruptions it is for the Fatherland a continuation out of these +beginnings, leading out into a more settled system of subjection and +mastery and a progressively increased scale of princely enterprise, +resting on an increasingly useful and increasingly loyal populace. In +all this later history the posture of things in the Fatherland is by no +means unique, nor is it even strikingly peculiar, by contrast with the +rest of western Europe, except in degree. It is of the same general kind +as the rest of what has gone to make the historical advance of medieval +and modern times; but it differs from the generality in a more sluggish +movement and a more tenacious adherence to what would be rated as the +untoward features of mediaevalism. The approach to a modern scheme of +institutions and modern conceptions of life and of human values has been +slow, and hitherto incomplete, as compared with those communities that +have, for good or ill, gone farthest along the ways of modernity. +Habituation to personal subjection and subservience under the rigorous +and protracted discipline of standardised service and fealty has +continued later, and with later and slighter mitigation, in the +Fatherland; so as better to have conserved the spiritual attitude of the +feudal order. Law and order in the Fatherland has in a higher degree +continued to mean unquestioning obedience to a personal master and +unquestioning subservience to the personal ambitions of the master. And +since freedom, in the sense of discretionary initiative on the part of +the common man, does not fit into the framework of such a system of +dependence on personal authority and surveillance, any degree of such +free initiative will be "licence" in the eyes of men bred into the +framework of this system; whereas "liberty," as distinct from "licence," +is not a matter of initiative and self-direction, but of latitude in the +service of a master. Hence no degree of curtailment in this delegated +"liberty" will be resented or repudiated by popular indignation, so long +as the master to whom service is due can give assurance that it is +expedient for his purposes. + +The age-long course of experience and institutional discipline out of +which the current German situation has come may be drawn schematically +to the following effect: In the beginning a turmoil of conquest, rapine, +servitude, and contention between rival bands of marauders and their +captains, gradually, indeed imperceptibly, fell into lines of settled +and conventionalised exploitation; with repeated interruptions due to +new incursions and new combinations of rapacious chieftains. Out of it +all in the course of time came a feudal regime, under which personal +allegiance and service to petty chiefs was the sole and universal +accredited bond of solidarity. As the outcome of further unremitting +intrigue and contention among feudal chiefs, of high and low degree, the +populace fell into larger parcels, under the hands of feudal lords of +larger dominion, and the bias of allegiance and service came to hold +with some degree of permanence and uniformity, or at least of +consistency, over a considerable reach of country, including its +inhabitants. With the rise of States came allegiance to a dynasty, as +distinguished from the narrower and more ephemeral allegiance to the +semi-detached person of a victorious prince; and the relative permanence +of territorial frontiers under this rule gave room for an effectual +recrudescence of the ancient propensity to a sentimental group +solidarity; in which the accredited territorial limits of the dynastic +dominion served to outline the group that so was felt to belong together +under a joint dispensation and with something of a joint interest in +matters of fame and fortune. As the same notion is more commonly and +more suggestively expressed, a sense of nationality arose within the +sweep of the dynastic rule. This sense of community interest that is +called nationality so came in to reenforce the sense of allegiance to +the dynastic establishment and so has coalesced with it to produce that +high-wrought loyalty to the State, that draws equally on the sentiment +of community interest in the nation and on the prescriptive docility to +the dynastic head. The sense of national solidarity and of feudal +loyalty and service have coalesced, to bring this people to that climax +of patriotic devotion beyond which there lies no greater height along +this way. But this is also as far as the German people have gone; and it +is scarcely to be claimed that the Japanese have yet reached this stage; +they would rather appear to be, essentially, subjects of the emperor, +and only inchoately a Japanese nation. Of the German people it seems +safe to say that they have achieved such a coalescence of unimpaired +feudal fealty to a personal master and a full-blown sense of national +solidarity, without any perceptible slackening in either strand of the +double tie which so binds them in the service of the dynastic State. + +Germany, in other words, is somewhat in arrears, as compared with those +Europeans that have gone farthest along this course of institutional +growth, or perhaps rather institutional permutation. It is not that this +retardation of the German people in this matter of national spirit is to +be counted as an infirmity, assuredly not as a handicap in the pursuit +of that national prestige on which all patriotic endeavour finally +converges. For this purpose the failure to distinguish between the +ambitions of the dynastic statesmen and the interests of the +commonwealth is really a prodigious advantage, which their rivals, of +more mature growth politically, have lost by atrophy of this same +dynastic axiom of subservience. These others, of whom the French and the +English-speaking peoples make up the greater part and may be taken as +the typical instance, have had a different history, in part. The +discipline of experience has left a somewhat different residue of habits +of thought embedded in their institutional equipment and effective as +axiomatic premises in their further apprehension of what is worth while, +and why. + +It is not that the difference between these two contrasted strains of +the Western civilisation is either profound or very pronounced; it is +perhaps rather to be stated as a difference of degree than of kind; a +retardation of spiritual growth, in respect of the prevalent and +controlling habits of thought on certain heads, in the one case as +against the other. Therefore any attempt to speak with sufficient +definition, so as to bring out this national difference of animus in any +convincing way, will unavoidably have an appearance of overstatement, if +not also of bias. And in any case, of course, it is not to be expected +that the national difference here spoken for can be brought home to the +apprehension of any unspoiled son of the Fatherland, since it does not +lie within that perspective. + +It is not of the nature of a divergence, but rather a differential in +point of cultural maturity, due to a differential in the rate of +progression through that sequence of institutional phases through which +the civilised peoples of Europe, jointly and severally, have been led by +force of circumstance. In this movement out of the Dark Ages and onward, +circumstances have fallen out differently for those Europeans that +chanced to live within the confines of the Fatherland, different with +such effect as to have in the present placed these others at a farther +remove from the point of departure, leaving them furnished with less of +that archaic frame of mind that is here in question. Possessed of less, +but by no means shorn of all--perhaps not of the major part--of that +barbaric heritage. + +Circumstances have so fallen out that these--typically the French and +the English-speaking peoples--have left behind and partly forgotten that +institutional phase in which the people of Imperial Germany now live and +move and have their being. The French partly because they--that is the +common people of the French lands--entered the procession with a very +substantial lead, having never been put back to a point abreast of their +neighbors across the Rhine, in that phase of European civilisation from +which the peoples of the Fatherland tardily emerged into the feudal age. +So, any student who shall set out to account for the visible lead which +the French people still so obstinately maintain in the advance of +European culture, will have to make up his account with this notable +fact among the premises of his inquiry, that they have had a shorter +course to cover and have therefore, in the sporting phrase, had the +inside track. They measure from a higher datum line. Among the +advantages which so have come, in a sense unearned, to the French +people, is their uninterrupted retention, out of Roman--and perhaps +pre-Roman--times, of the conception of a commonwealth, a community of +men with joint and mutual interests apart from any superimposed +dependence on a joint feudal superior. The French people therefore +became a nation, with unobtrusive facility, so soon as circumstances +permitted, and they are today the oldest "nation" in Europe. They +therefore were prepared from long beforehand, with an adequate principle +(habit of thought) of national cohesion and patriotic sentiment, to make +the shift from a dynastic State to a national commonwealth whenever the +occasion for such a move should arise; that is to say, whenever the +dynastic State, by a suitable conjunction of infirmity and irksomeness, +should pass the margin of tolerance in this people's outraged sense of +national shame. The case of the German people in their latterday +attitude toward dynastic vagaries may afford a term of comparison. These +appear yet incapable of distinguishing between national shame and +dynastic ambition. + +By a different course and on lines more nearly parallel with the +life-history of the German peoples, the English-speaking peoples have +reached what is for the present purpose much the same ground as the +French, in that they too have made the shift from the dynastic State to +the national commonwealth. The British started late, but the discipline +of servitude and unmitigated personal rule in their case was relatively +brief and relatively ineffectual; that is to say, as compared with what +their German cousins had to endure and to learn in the like connection. +So that the British never learned the lesson of dynastic loyalty fully +by heart; at least not the populace; whatever may be true for the +privileged classes, the gentlemen, whose interests were on the side of +privilege and irresponsible mastery. Here as in the French case it was +the habits of thought of the common man, not of the class of gentlemen, +that made the obsolescence of the dynastic State a foregone conclusion +and an easy matter--as one speaks of easy achievement in respect of +matters of that magnitude. It is now some two and a half centuries since +this shift in the national point of view overtook the English-speaking +community. Perhaps it would be unfair to say that that period, or that +period plus what further time may yet have to be added, marks the +interval by which German habits of thought in these premises are in +arrears, but it is not easy to find secure ground for a different and +more moderate appraisal. + +The future, of course, is not to be measured in terms of the past, and +the tempo of the present and of the calculable future is in many +bearings very different from that which has ruled even in the recent +historical past. But then, on the other hand, habituation always +requires time; more particularly such habituation as is to take effect +throughout a populous nation and is counted on to work a displacement of +a comprehensive institutional system and of a people's outlook on life. + +Germany is still a dynastic State. That is to say, its national +establishment is, in effect, a self-appointed and irresponsible +autocracy which holds the nation in usufruct, working through an +appropriate bureaucratic organisation, and the people is imbued with +that spirit of abnegation and devotion that is involved in their +enthusiastically supporting a government of that character. Now, it is +in the nature of a dynastic State to seek dominion, that being the whole +of its nature. And a dynastic establishment which enjoys the unqualified +usufruct of such resources as are placed at its disposal by the +feudalistic loyalty of the German people runs no chance of keeping the +peace, except on terms of the unconditional surrender of all those whom +it may concern. No solemn engagement and no pious resolution has any +weight in the balance against a cultural fatality of this magnitude. + + * * * * * + +This account of the derivation and current state of German nationalism +will of course appear biased to anyone who has been in the habit of +rating German Culture high in all its bearings, and to whom at the same +time the ideals of peace and liberty appeal. Indeed, such a critic, +gifted with the due modicum of asperity, might well be provoked to call +it all a more or less ingenious diatribe of partisan malice. But it can +be so construed only by those who see the question at issue as a point +of invidious distinction between this German animus on the one hand and +the corresponding frame of mind of the neighboring peoples on the other +hand. There may also appear to the captious to be some air of +deprecation about the characterisation here offered of the past history +of political traffic within the confines of the Fatherland. All of +which, of course, touches neither the veracity of the characterisation +nor the purpose with which so ungrateful a line of analysis and +exposition has been entered upon. It is to be regretted if facts that +may flutter the emotions of one and another among the sensitive and +unreflecting can not be drawn into such an inquiry without having their +cogency discounted beforehand on account of the sentimental value +imputed to them. Of course no offense is intended and no invidious +comparison is aimed at. + +Even if the point of it all were an invidious comparison it would +immediately have to be admitted that the net showing in favor of these +others, e.g., the French or the English-speaking peoples, is by no means +so unreservedly to their credit as such a summary statement of the +German case might seem to imply. As bearing on the chances of a peace +contingent upon the temper of the contracting nationalities, it is by no +means a foregone conclusion that such a peace compact would hold +indefinitely even if it depended solely on the pacific animus of these +others that have left the dynastic State behind. These others, in fact, +are also not yet out of the woods. They may not have the same gift of +gratuitous and irresponsible truculence as their German cousins, in the +same alarming degree; but as was said in an earlier passage, they too +are ready to fight on provocation. They are patriotic to a degree; +indeed to such a degree that anything which visibly touches the national +prestige will readily afford a _casus belli_. But it remains true that +the popular temper among them is of the defensive order; perhaps of an +unnecessarily enthusiastic defensive order, but after all in such a +frame of mind as leaves them willing to let well enough alone, to live +and let live. + +And herein appears to lie the decisive difference between those peoples +whose patriotic affections center about the fortunes of an impersonal +commonwealth and those in whom is superadded a fervent aspiration for +dynastic ascendency. The latter may be counted on to break the peace +when a promising opportunity offers. + +The contrast may be illustrated, though not so sharply as might be +desirable, in the different temper shown by the British people in the +Boer war on the one hand, as compared with the popularity of the +French-Prussian war among the German people on the other hand. Both were +aggressive wars, and both were substantially unprovoked. Diplomatically +speaking, of course, sufficient provocation was found in either case, as +how should it not? But in point of substantial provocation and of +material inducement, both were about equally gratuitous. In either case +the war could readily have been avoided without material detriment to +the community and without perceptible lesion to the national honour. +Both were "engineered" on grounds shamelessly manufactured _ad hoc_ by +interested parties; in the one case by a coterie of dynastic statesmen, +in the other by a junta of commercial adventurers and imperialistic +politicians. In neither case had the people any interest of gain or loss +in the quarrel, except as it became a question of national prestige. But +both the German and the British community bore the burden and fought the +campaign to a successful issue for those interested parties who had +precipitated the quarrel. The British people at large, it is true, bore +the burden; which comes near being all that can be said in the way of +popular approval of this war, which political statesmen have since then +rated as one of the most profitable enterprises in which the forces of +the realm have been engaged. On the subject of this successful war the +common man is still inclined to cover his uneasy sense of decency with a +recital of extenuating circumstances. What parallels all this in the +German case is an outbreak of patriotic abandon and an admirable spirit +of unselfish sacrifice in furtherance of the dynastic prestige, an +intoxication of patriotic blare culminating in the triumphant coronation +at Versailles. Nor has the sober afterthought of the past forty-six +years cast a perceptible shadow of doubt across the glorious memory of +that patriotic debauch. + +Such is the difference of animus between a body of patriotic citizens in +a modern commonwealth on the one hand and the loyal subjects of a +dynastic State on the other hand. There need be no reflections on the +intrinsic merits of either. Seen in dispassionate perspective from +outside the turmoil, there is not much to choose, in point of sane and +self-respecting manhood, between the sluggish and shamefaced abettor of +a sordid national crime, and a ranting patriot who glories in serving as +cat's-paw to a syndicate of unscrupulous politicians bent on dominion +for dominion's sake. But the question here is not as to the relative +merits or the relative manhood contents of the two contrasted types of +patriot. Doubtless both and either have manhood enough and to spare; at +least, so they say. But the point in question is the simpler and nowise +invidious one, as to the availability of both or either for the +perpetuation of the world's peace under a compact of vigilant +neutrality. Plainly the German frame of mind admits of no neutrality; +the quest of dominion is not compatible with neutrality, and the +substantial core of German national life is still the quest of dominion +under dynastic tutelage. How it stands with the spirit that has +repeatedly come in sight in the international relations of the British +community is a question harder to answer. + +It may be practicable to establish a peace of neutrals on the basis of +such national spirit as prevails among these others--the French and +English-speaking peoples, together with the minor nationalities that +cluster about the North Sea--because their habitual attitude is that of +neutrality, on the whole and with allowance for a bellicose minority in +all these countries. By and large, these peoples have come to the +tolerant attitude that finds expression in the maxim, Live and let live. +But they are all and several sufficiently patriotic. It may, indeed, +prove that they are more than sufficiently patriotic for the purposes of +a neutral peace. They stand for peace, but it is "peace with honour;" +which means, in more explicit terms, peace with undiminished national +prestige. Now, national prestige is a very particular commodity, as has +been set out in earlier passages of this inquiry; and a peace which is +to be kept only on terms of a jealous maintenance of the national honour +is likely to be in a somewhat precarious case. If, and when, the +national honour is felt to require an enhanced national ascendancy, the +case for a neutral peace immediately becomes critical. And the greater +the number and diversity of pretensions and interests that are conceived +to be bound up with the national honour, the more unstable will the +resulting situation necessarily be. + +The upshot of all this recital of considerations appears to be that a +neutral peace compact may, or it may not, be practicable in the absence +of such dynastic States as Germany and Japan; whereas it has no chance +in the presence of these enterprising national establishments. + +No one will be readier or more voluble in exclaiming against the falsity +of such a discrimination as is here attempted, between the democratic +and the dynastic nations of the modern world, than the spokesmen of +these dynastic Powers. No one is more outspoken in professions of +universal peace and catholic amity than these same spokesmen of the +dynastic Powers; and nowhere is there more urgent need of such +professions. Official and "inspired" professions are, of course, to be +overlooked; at least, so charity would dictate. But there have, in the +historic present, been many professions of this character made also by +credible spokesmen of the German, and perhaps of the Japanese, people, +and in all sincerity. By way of parenthesis it should be said that this +is not intended to apply to expressions of conviction and intention that +have come out of Germany these two years past (December 1916). Without +questioning the credibility of these witnesses that have borne witness +to the pacific and genial quality of national sentiment in the German +people, it will yet be in place to recall the run of facts in the +national life of Germany in this historical present and the position of +these spokesmen in the German community. + + * * * * * + +The German nation is of a peculiar composition in respect of its social +structure. So far as bears on the question in hand, it is made up of +three distinctive constituent factors, or perhaps rather categories or +conditions of men. The populace is of course the main category, and in +the last resort always the main and decisive factor. Next in point of +consequence as well as of numbers and initiative is the personnel of the +control,--the ruling class, the administration, the official community, +the hierarchy of civil and political servants, or whatever designation +may best suit; the category comprises that pyramidal superstructure of +privilege and control whereof the sovereign is the apex, and in whom, +under any dynastic rule, is in effect vested the usufruct of the +populace. These two classes or conditions of men, the one of which +orders and the other obeys, make up the working structure of the nation, +and they also between them embody the national life and carry forward +the national work and aim. Intermediate between them, or rather beside +them and overlapping the commissure, is a third category whose life +articulates loosely with both the others at the same time that it still +runs along in a semi-detached way. This slighter but more visible, and +particularly more audible, category is made up of the "Intellectuals," +as a late, and perhaps vulgar, designation would name them. + +These are they who chiefly communicate with the world outside, and at +the same time they do what is academically called thinking. They are in +intellectual contact and communication with the world at large, in a +contact of give and take, and they think and talk in and about those +concepts that go in under the caption of the humanities in the world at +large. The category is large enough to constitute an intellectual +community, indeed a community of somewhat formidable magnitude, taken in +absolute terms, although in percentages of the population at large their +numbers will foot up to only an inconsiderable figure. Their contact +with the superior class spoken of above is fairly close, being a +contact, in the main, of service on the one side and of control on the +other. With the populace their contact and communion is relatively +slight, the give and take in the case being neither intimate nor +far-reaching. More particularly is there a well-kept limit of moderation +on any work of indoctrination or intellectual guidance which this class +may carry down among the people at large, dictated and enforced by +dynastic expediency. This category, of the Intellectuals, is +sufficiently large to live its own life within itself, without drawing +on the spiritual life of the community at large, and of sufficiently +substantial quality to carry its own peculiar scheme of intellectual +conventions and verities. Of the great and highly meritorious place and +work of these Intellectuals in the scheme of German culture it is +needless to speak. What is to the point is that they are the accredited +spokesmen of the German nation in all its commonplace communication with +the rest of civilised Europe. + +The Intellectuals have spoken with conviction and sincerity of the +spiritual state of the German people, but in so doing, and in so far as +bears on the character of German nationalism, they have been in closer +contact, intellectually and sympathetically, with the intellectual and +spiritual life of civilised Europe at large than with the movements of +the spirit among the German populace. And their canvassing of the +concepts which so have come under their attention from over the national +frontiers has been carried forward--so far, again, as bears on the +questions that are here in point--with the German-dynastic principles, +logic and mechanism of execution under their immediate observation and +supplying the concrete materials for inquiry. Indeed, it holds true, by +and large, that nothing else than this German-dynastic complement of +ways and means has, or can effectually, come under their observation in +such a degree of intimacy as to give body and definition to the somewhat +abstract theorems on cultural aims and national preconceptions that have +come to them from outside. In short, they have borrowed these +theoretical formulations from abroad, without the concrete apparatus of +ways and means in which these theorems are embodied in their foreign +habitat, and have so found themselves construing these theoretical +borrowings in the only concrete terms of which they have had first-hand +and convincing knowledge. Such an outcome would be fairly unavoidable, +inasmuch as these Intellectuals, however much they are, in the spirit, +citizens of the cosmopolitan republic of knowledge and intelligence, +they are after all, _in propria persona_, immediately and unremittingly +subjects of the German-dynastic State; so that all their detail thinking +on the aims, ways and means of life, in all its civil and political +bearings, is unavoidably shaped by the unremitting discipline of their +workday experience under this dynastic scheme. The outcome has been that +while they have taken up, as they have understood them, the concepts +that rule the civic life of these other, maturer nations, they have +apprehended and developed these theorems of civic life in the terms and +by the logic enforced in that system of control and surveillance known +to them by workday experience,--the only empirical terms at hand. + +The apex of growth and the center of diffusion as regards the modern +culture in respect of the ideals and logic of civic life--other phases +of this culture than this its civil aspect do not concern the point here +in question--this apex of growth and center of diffusion lie outside the +Fatherland, in an environment alien to the German institutional scheme. +Yet so intrinsic to the cultural drift of modern mankind are these aims +and this logic, that in taking over and further enriching the +intellectual heritage of this modern world the Intellectuals of the +Fatherland have unavoidably also taken over those conceptions of civil +initiative and masterless self-direction that rule the logic of life in +a commonwealth of ungraded men. They have taken these over and +assimilated them as best their experience would permit. But workday +experience and its exigencies are stubborn things; and in this process +of assimilation of these alien conceptions of right and honest living, +it is the borrowed theorems concerning civic rights and duties that have +undergone adaptation and revision, not the concrete system of ways and +means in which these principles, so accepted, are to be put in practice. +Necessarily so, since in the German scheme of law and order the major +premise is the dynastic State, whereas the major premise of the modern +civilised scheme of civic life is the absence of such an organ. So, the +development and elaboration of these modern principles of civic +liberty--and this elaboration has taken on formidable dimensions--under +the hand of the German Intellectuals has uniformly run out into +Pickwickian convolutions, greatly suggestive of a lost soul seeking a +place to rest. With unquestionably serious purpose and untiring +endeavour, they have sought to embody these modern civilised +preconceptions in terms afforded by, or in terms compatible with, the +institutions of the Fatherland; and they have been much concerned and +magniloquently elated about the German spirit of freedom that so was to +be brought to final and consummate realisation in the life of a free +people. But at no point and in no case have either the proposals or +their carrying out taken shape as a concrete application of the familiar +principle of popular self-direction. It has always come to something in +the way of a concessive or expedient mitigation of the antagonistic +principle of personal authority. Where the forms of self-government or +of individual self-direction have concessively been installed, under the +Imperial rule, they have turned out to be an imitative structure with +some shrewd provision for their coercion or inhibition at the discretion +of an irresponsible authority. + +Neither the sound intelligence nor the good faith of these Intellectuals +of the Fatherland is to be impugned. That the--necessarily vague and +circumlocutory--expositions of civic institutions and popular liberty +which they have so often and so largely promulgated should have been +used as a serviceable blind of dynastic statecraft is not to be set down +to their discredit. Circumstances over which they could have no control, +since they were circumstances that shaped their own habits of thought, +have placed it beyond their competence to apprehend or to formulate +these alien principles (habits of thought) concretely in those alien +institutional details and by the alien logic with which they could have +no working acquaintance. + +To one and another this conception of cultural solidarity within the +nation, and consequent cultural aliency between nations, due to the +different habits of life and of thought enforced by the two diverse +institutional systems, may be so far unfamiliar as to carry no +conviction. It may accordingly not seem out of place to recall that the +institutional system of any given community, particularly for any +community living under a home-bred and time-tried system of its own, +will necessarily be a balanced system of interdependent and mutually +concordant parts working together in one comprehensive plan of law and +order. Through such an institutional system, as, e.g., the German +Imperial organisation, there will run a degree of logical consistency, +consonant with itself throughout, and exerting a consistent discipline +throughout the community; whereby there is enforced a consistent drift +or bent in the prevalent habits of life, and a correlative bent in the +resulting habits of thought prevalent in the community. It is, in fact, +this possession of a common scheme of use and wont, and a consequent +common outlook and manner of thinking, that constitutes the most +intrinsic bond of solidarity in any nationality, and that finally marks +it off from any other. + +It is equally a matter of course that any other given community, living +under the rule of a substantially different, or divergent, system of +institutions, will be exposed to a course of workday discipline running +to a different, perhaps divergent, effect; and that this other community +will accordingly come in for a characteristically different discipline +and fall under the rule of a different commonsense outlook. Where an +institutional difference of this kind is somewhat large and consistent, +so as to amount in effect to a discrepancy, as may fairly be said of the +difference between Imperial Germany and its like on the one hand, and +the English-speaking nations on the other hand, there the difference in +everyday conceptions may readily make the two peoples mutually +unintelligible to one another, on those points of institutional +principle that are involved in the discrepancy. This is the state of the +case as between the German people, including the Intellectuals, and the +peoples against whom their preconceptions of national destiny have +arrayed them. And the many vivid expressions of consternation, +abhorrence and incredulity that have come out of this community of +Intellectuals in the course of the past two years of trial and error, +bear sufficient testimony to the rigorous constraint which these German +preconceptions and their logic exercise over the Intellectuals, no less +than over the populace. + +Conversely, of course, it is nearly as impracticable for those who have +grown up under the discipline of democratic institutions to comprehend +the habitual outlook of the commonplace German patriot on national +interests and aims; not quite, perhaps, because the discipline of use +and wont and indoctrination is neither so rigorous nor so consistent in +their case. But there is, after all, prevalent among them a sufficiently +evident logical inability to understand and appreciate the paramount +need of national, that is to say dynastic, ascendancy that actuates all +German patriots; just as these same patriots are similarly unable to +consider national interests in any other light than that of dynastic +ascendancy. + +Going simply on the face value of the available evidence, any outsider +might easily fall into the error of believing that when the great +adventure of the war opened up before them, as well as when presently +the shock of baffled endeavour brought home its exasperating futility, +the Intellectuals of the Fatherland distinguished themselves above all +other classes and conditions of men in the exuberance of their patriotic +abandon. Such a view would doubtless be almost wholly erroneous. It is +not that the Intellectuals reached a substantially superior pitch of +exaltation, but only that, being trained in the use of language, they +were able to express their emotions with great facility. There seems no +reason to believe that the populace fell short of the same measure in +respect of their prevalent frame of mind. + +To return to the workings of the Imperial dynastic State and the forces +engaged. It plainly appears that the Intellectuals are to be counted as +supernumeraries, except so far as they serve as an instrument of +publicity and indoctrination in the hands of the discretionary +authorities. The working factors in the case are the dynastic +organisation of control, direction and emolument, and the populace at +large by use of whose substance the traffic in dynastic ascendancy and +emolument is carried on. These two are in fairly good accord, on the +ancient basis of feudal loyalty. Hitherto there is no evident ground for +believing that this archaic tie that binds the populace to the dynastic +ambitions has at all perceptibly weakened. And the possibility of +dynastic Germany living at peace with the world under any compact, +therefore translates itself into the possibility of the German people's +unlearning its habitual deference and loyalty to the dynasty. + +As its acquirement has been a work of protracted habituation, so can its +obsolescence also come about only through more or less protracted +habituation under a system of use and wont of a different or divergent +order. The elements of such a systematic discipline running to an effect +at cross purposes with this patriotic animus are not absent from the +current situation in the Fatherland; the discipline of the modern +industrial system, for instance, runs to such a divergent effect; but +this, and other conceivable forces which may reenforce it, will after +all take time, if they are to work a decisive change in the current +frame of mind of the patriotic German community. During the interval +required for such a change in the national temper, the peace of the +world would be conditioned on the inability of the dynastic State to +break it. So that the chances of success for any neutral peace league +will vary inversely as the available force of Imperial Germany, and it +could be accounted secure only in the virtual elimination of the +Imperial State as a national Power. + +If the gradual obsolescence of the spirit of militant loyalty in the +German people, through disuse under a regime of peace, industry, self +government and free trade, is to be the agency by force of which +dynastic imperialism is to cease, the chance of a neutral peace will +depend on the thoroughness with which such a regime of self-direction +can be installed in this case, and on the space of time required for +such obsolescence through disuse. Obviously, the installation of a +workable regime of self-government on peaceable lines would in any case +be a matter of great difficulty among a people whose past experience has +so singularly incapacitated them for self-government; and obviously, +too, the interval of time required to reach secure ground along this +line of approach would be very considerable. Also, in view of these +conditions, obviously, this scheme for maintaining the peace of nations +by a compact of neutrals based on a compromise with an aspiring dynastic +State resolves itself into the second of the two alternatives spoken of +at the outset, viz., a neutral peace based on the elimination of Germany +as a war power, together with the elimination of any materials suitable +for the formation of a formidable coalition. And then, with Imperial +Germany supposedly eliminated or pacified, there would still remain the +Japanese establishment, to which all the arguments pertinent in the case +of Germany will apply without abatement; except that, at least hitherto, +the dynastic statesmen of Japan have not had the disposal of so massive +a body of resources, in population, industry, or raw materials. + + + + +CHAPTER IV + +PEACE WITHOUT HONOUR + + +The argument therefore turns back to a choice between the two +alternatives alluded to: peace in submission to the rule of the German +dynastic establishment (and to Japan), or peace through elimination of +these enterprising Powers. The former alternative, no doubt, is +sufficiently unattractive, but it is not therefore to be put aside +without a hearing. As goes without saying, it is repugnant to the +patriotic sentiments of those peoples whom the Imperial German +establishment have elected for submission. But if this unreflecting +patriotic revulsion can once be made amenable to reason, there is always +something to be said in favor of such a plan of peaceable submission, or +at least in extenuation of it; and if it is kept in mind that the +ulterior necessity of such submission must always remain in perspective +as a condition precedent to a peaceful settlement, so long as one or +both of these enterprising Powers remains intact, it will be seen that a +sane appraisal of the merits of such a regime of peace is by no means +uncalled for. For neither of these two Powers is there a conclusive +issue of endeavour short of paramount dominion. + + * * * * * + +There should also be some gain of insight and sobriety in recalling that +the Intellectuals of the Fatherland, who have doubtless pondered this +matter longer and more dispassionately than all other men, have spoken +very highly of the merits of such a plan of universal submission to the +rule of this German dynastic establishment. They had, no doubt, been +considering the question both long and earnestly, as to what would, in +the light of reason, eventually be to the best interest of those peoples +whose manifest destiny was eventual tutelage under the Imperial crown; +and there need also be no doubt that in that time (two years past) they +therefore spoke advisedly and out of the fulness of the heart on this +head. The pronouncements that came out of the community of Intellectuals +in that season of unembarrassed elation and artless avowal are doubtless +to be taken as an outcome of much thoughtful canvassing of what had best +be done, not as an enforced compromise with untoward necessities but as +the salutary course freely to be pursued with an eye single to the best +good of all concerned. + +It is true, the captious have been led to speak slightingly of the many +utterances of this tenure coming out of the community of Intellectuals, +as, e.g., the lay sermons of Professor Ostwald dating back to that +season; but no unprejudiced reader can well escape the persuasion that +these, as well as the very considerable volume of similar pronouncements +by many other men of eminent scholarship and notable for benevolent +sentiments, are faithfully to be accepted as the expressions of a +profound conviction and a consciously generous spirit. In so speaking of +the advantages to be derived by any subject people from submission to +the German Imperial rule, these Intellectuals are not to be construed as +formulating the drift of vulgar patriotic sentiment among their +compatriots at large, but rather as giving out the deliverances of their +own more sensitive spirit and maturer deliberation, as men who are in a +position to see human affairs and interests in a larger perspective. +Such, no doubt, would be their own sense of the matter. + +Reflection on the analogous case of the tutelage exercised by the +American government over the subject Philippinos may contribute to a +just and temperate view of what is intended in the regime of tutelage +and submission so spoken for by the German Intellectuals,--and, it may +be added, found good by the Imperial statesmen. There would, of course, +be the difference, as against the case of the Philippinos, that whereas +the American government is after all answerable, in the last resort and +in a somewhat random fashion, to a popular opinion that runs on +democratic preconceptions, the German Imperial establishment on the +other hand is answerable to no one, except it be to God, who is +conceived to stand in somewhat the relation of a silent partner, or a +minority stockholder in this dynastic enterprise. + +Yet it should not be overlooked that any presumptive hard usage which +the vassal peoples might look for at the hands of the German dynasty +would necessarily be tempered with considerations of expediency as +dictated by the exigencies of usufruct. The Imperial establishment has +shown itself to be wise, indeed more wise than amiable, but wise at +least in its intentions, in the use which it has made of subject peoples +hitherto. It is true, a somewhat accentuated eagerness on the part of +the Imperial establishment to get the maximum service in a minimum of +time and at a minimum cost from these subject populations,--as, e.g., in +Silesia and Poland, in Schleswig-Holstein, in Alsace-Lorraine, or in its +African and Oceanic possessions,--has at times led to practices +altogether dubious on humanitarian grounds, at the same time that in +point of thrifty management they have gone beyond "what the traffic will +bear." Yet it is not to be overlooked--and in this connection it is a +point of some weight--that, so far as the predatory traditions of its +statecraft will permit, the Imperial establishment has in all these +matters been guided by a singularly unreserved attention to its own +material advantage. Where its management in these premises has yielded a +less profitable usufruct than the circumstances would reasonably admit, +the failure has been due to an excess of cupidity rather than the +reverse. + +The circumstantial evidence converges to the effect that the Imperial +establishment may confidently be counted on to manage the affairs of its +subject peoples with an eye single to its own material gain, and it may +with equal confidence be counted on that in the long run no unadvised +excesses will be practised. Of course, an excessive adventure in +atrocity and predation, due to such human infirmity in its agents or in +its directorate as has been shown in various recent episodes, is to be +looked for now and again; but these phenomena would come in by way of +fluctuating variations from the authentic routine, rather than as +systematic features of it. + +That superfluity of naughtiness that has given character to the current +German Imperial policy in Belgium, e.g., or that similarly has +characterised the dealings of Imperial Japan in Korea during the late +"benevolent assimilation" of that people into Japanese-Imperial +usufruct, is not fairly to be taken to indicate what such an Imperial +establishment may be expected to do with a subject people on a footing +of settled and long-term exploitation. At the outset, in both instances, +the policy of frightfulness was dictated by a well-advised view to +economy of effort in reducing the subject people to an abject state of +intimidation, according to the art of war as set forth in the manuals; +whereas latterly the somewhat profligate excesses of the government of +occupation--decently covered with diplomatic parables on benevolence and +legality--have been dictated by military convenience, particularly by +the need of forced labor and the desirability of a reduced population in +the acquired territory. So also the "personally conducted" dealings with +the Armenians by use of the Turks should probably also best be explained +as an endeavour to reduce the numbers of an undesirable population +beforehand, without incurring unnecessary blame. All these things are, +at the most, misleading indications of what the Imperial policy would be +like under settled conditions and in the absence of insubordination. + +By way of contrast, such as may serve to bring the specific traits of +this prospective Imperial tutelage of nations into a better light, the +Ottoman usufruct of the peoples of the Turkish dominions offers an +instructive instance. The Ottoman tutelage is today spoken of by its +apologists in terms substantially identical with the sketches of the +future presented by hopeful German patriots in the early months of the +current war. But as is so frequently the case in such circumstances, +these expressions of the officers have to be understood in a diplomatic +sense; not as touching the facts in any other than a formal way. It is +sufficiently evident that the Ottoman management of its usufruct has +throughout been ill-advised enough persistently to charge more than the +traffic would bear, probably due in great part to lack of control over +its agents or ramifications, by the central office. The Ottoman +establishment has not observed, or enforced, the plain rules of economy +in its utilisation of the subject peoples, and finds itself today +bankrupt in consequence. What may afford more of a parallel to the +prospective German tutelage of the nations is the procedure of the +Japanese establishment in Korea, Manchuria, or China; which is also duly +covered with an ostensibly decent screen of diplomatic parables, but the +nature and purpose of which is overt enough in all respects but the +nomenclature. It is not unlikely that even this Japanese usufruct and +tutelage runs on somewhat less humane and complaisant lines than a +well-advised economy of resources would dictate for the prospective +German usufruct of the Western nations. + +There is the essential difference between the two cases that while Japan +is over-populated, so that it becomes the part of a wise government to +find additional lands for occupancy, and that so it is constrained by its +imperial ambitions to displace much of the population in its subject +territories, the Fatherland on the other hand is under-populated-- +notoriously, though not according to the letter of the diplomatic +parables on this head--and for the calculable future must continue to be +under-populated; provided that the state of the industrial arts +continues subject to change in the same general direction as hitherto, +and provided that no radical change affects the German birth-rate. So, +since the Imperial government has no need of new lands for occupancy by +its home population, it will presumably be under no inducement to take +measures looking to the partial depopulation of its subject territories. + +The case of Belgium and the measures looking to a reduction of its +population may raise a doubt, but probably not a well taken doubt. It is +rather that since it has become evident that the territory can not be +held, it is thought desirable to enrich the Fatherland with whatever +property can be removed, and to consume the accumulated man-power of the +Belgian people in the service of the war. It would appear that it is a +war-measure, designed to make use of the enemy's resources for his +defeat. Indeed, under conditions of settled occupation or subjection, +any degree of such depopulation would entail an economic loss, and any +well-considered administrative policy would therefore look to the +maintenance of the inhabitants of the acquired territories in +undiminished numbers and unimpaired serviceability. + +The resulting scheme of Imperial usufruct should accordingly be of a +considerate, not to say in effect humane, character,--always provided +that the requisite degree of submission and subservience ("law and +order") can be enforced by a system of coercion so humane as not to +reduce the number of the inhabitants or materially to lower their +physical powers. Such would, by reasonable expectation, be the character +of this projected Imperial tutelage and usufruct of the nations of +Christendom. In its working-out this German project should accordingly +differ very appreciably from the policy which its imperial ambitions +have constrained the Japanese establishment to pursue in its dealings +with the life and fortunes of its recently, and currently, acquired +subject peoples. + +The better to appreciate in some concrete fashion what should, by +reasonable expectation, be the terms on which life might so be carried +on _sub pace germanica_, attention may be invited to certain typical +instances of such peace by abnegation among contemporary peoples. +Perhaps at the top of the list stands India, with its many and varied +native peoples, subject to British tutelage, but, the British apologists +say, not subject to British usufruct. The margin of tolerance in this +instance is fairly wide, but its limits are sharply drawn. India is +wanted and held, not for tribute or revenue to be paid into the Imperial +treasury, nor even for exclusive trade privileges or preferences, but +mainly as a preserve to provide official occupation and emoluments for +British gentlemen not otherwise occupied or provided for; and +secondarily as a means of safeguarding lucrative British investments, +that is to say, investments by British capitalists of high and low +degree. The current British professions on the subject of this +occupation of India, and at times the shamefaced apology for it, is that +the people of India suffer no hardship by this means; the resulting +governmental establishment being no more onerous and no more expensive +to them than any equally, or even any less, competent government of +their own would necessarily be. The fact, however, remains, that India +affords a much needed and very considerable net revenue to the class of +British gentlemen, in the shape of official salaries and pensions, which +the British gentry at large can on no account forego. Narrowed to these +proportions it is readily conceivable that the British usufruct of India +should rest with no extraordinary weight on the Indian people at large, +however burdensome it may at times become to those classes who aspire to +take over the usufruct in case the British establishment can be +dislodged. This case evidently differs very appreciably from the +projected German usufruct of neighboring countries in Europe. + +A case that may be more nearly in point would be that of any one of the +countries subject to the Turkish rule in recent times; although these +instances scarcely show just what to expect under the projected German +regime. The Turkish rule has been notably inefficient, considered as a +working system of dynastic usufruct; whereas it is confidently expected +that the corresponding German system would show quite an exceptional +degree of efficiency for the purpose. This Turkish inefficiency has had +a two-fold effect, which should not appear in the German case. Through +administrative abuses intended to serve the personal advantage of the +irresponsible officials, the underlying peoples have suffered a +progressive exhaustion and dilapidation; whereby the central authority, +the dynastic establishment, has also grown progressively, cumulatively +weaker and therefore less able to control its agents; and, in the second +place, on the same grounds, in the pursuit of personal gain, and +prompted by personal animosities, these irresponsible agents have +persistently carried their measures of extortion beyond reasonable +bounds,--that is to say beyond the bounds which a well considered plan +of permanent usufruct would countenance. All this would be otherwise and +more sensibly arranged under German Imperial auspices. + +One of the nations that have fallen under Turkish rule--and Turkish +peace--affords a valuable illustration of a secondary point that is to +be considered in connection with any plan of peace by submission. The +Armenian people have in later time come partly under Russian dominion, +and so have been exposed to the Russian system of bureaucratic +exploitation; and the difference between Russian and Turkish Armenia is +instructive. According to all credible--that is unofficial--accounts, +conditions are perceptibly more tolerable in Russian Armenia. Well +informed persons relate that the cause for this more lenient, or less +extreme, administration of affairs under Russian officials is a +selective death rate among them, such that a local official who +persistently exceeds a certain ill-defined limit of tolerance is removed +by what would under other circumstances be called an untimely death. No +adequate remedy has been found, within the large limits which Russian +bureaucratic administration habitually allows itself in questions of +coercion. The Turk, on the other hand, less deterred by considerations +of long-term expediency, and, it may be, less easily influenced by +outside opinion on any point of humanity, has found a remedy in the +systematic extirpation of any village in which an illicit death occurs. +One will incline to presume that on this head the German Imperial +procedure would be more after the Russian than after the Turkish +pattern; although latterday circumstantial evidence will throw some +sinister doubt on the reasonableness of such an expectation. + +It is plain, however, that the Turkish remedy for this form of +insubordination is a wasteful means of keeping the peace. Plainly, to +the home office, the High Command, the extinction of a village with its +population is a more substantial loss than the unseasonable decease of +one of its administrative agents; particularly when it is called to mind +that such a decease will presumably follow only on such profligate +excesses of naughtiness as are bound to be inexcusably unprofitable to +the central authority. It may be left an open question how far a +corrective of this nature can hopefully be looked to as applicable, in +case of need, under the projected German Imperial usufruct. + +It may, I apprehend, be said without offense that there is no depth of +depravity below the ordinary reach of the Russian bureaucracy; but this +organisation finds itself constrained, after all, to use circumspection +and set some limits on individual excursions beyond the bounds of +decency and humanity, so soon as these excesses touch the common or +joint interest of the organisation. Any excess of atrocity, beyond a +certain margin of tolerance, on the part of any one of its members is +likely to work pecuniary mischief to the rest; and then, the +bureaucratic conduct of affairs is also, after all, in an uncertain +degree subject to some surveillance by popular sentiment at home or +abroad. The like appears not to hold true of the Turkish official +organisation. The difference may be due to a less provident spirit among +the latter, as already indicated. But a different tradition, perhaps an +outgrowth of this lack of providence and of the consequent growth of a +policy of "frightfulness," may also come in for a share in the outcome; +and there is also a characteristic difference in point of religious +convictions, which may go some way in the same direction. The followers +of Islam appear on the whole to take the tenets of their faith at their +face value--servile, intolerant and fanatic--whereas the Russian +official class may perhaps without undue reproach be considered to have +on the whole outlived the superstitious conceits to which they yield an +expedient _pro forma_ observance. So that when worse comes to worst, and +the Turk finds himself at length with his back against the last +consolations of the faith that makes all things straight, he has the +assured knowledge that he is in the right as against the unbelievers; +whereas the Russian bureaucrat in a like case only knows that he is in +the wrong. The last extremity is a less conclusive argument to the man +in whose apprehension it is not the last extremity. Again, there is some +shadow of doubt falls on the question as to which of these is more +nearly in the German Imperial spirit. + +On the whole, the case of China is more to the point. By and large, the +people of China, more particularly the people of the coastal-plains +region, have for long habitually lived under a regime of peace by +non-resistance. The peace has been broken transiently from time to time, +and local disturbances have not been infrequent; but, taken by and +large, the situation has habitually been of the peaceful order, on a +ground of non-resisting submission. But this submission has not commonly +been of a whole-hearted kind, and it has also commonly been associated +with a degree of persistent sabotage; which has clogged and retarded the +administration of governmental law and order, and has also been +conducive to a large measure of irresponsible official corruption. The +habitual scheme of things Chinese in this bearing may fairly be +described as a peace of non-resistance tempered with sabotage and +assassination. Such was the late Manchu regime, and there is no reason +in China for expecting a substantially different outcome from the +Japanese invasion that is now under way. The nature of this Japanese +incursion should be sufficiently plain. It is an enterprise in +statecraft after the order of Macchiavelli, Metternich, and Bismarck. Of +course, the conciliatory fables given out by the diplomatic service, and +by the other apologists, are to be taken at the normal discount of +one-hundred percent. The relatively large current output of such fables +may afford a hint as to the magnitude of the designs which the fables +are intended to cover. + +The Chinese people have had a more extended experience in peace of this +order than all others, and their case should accordingly be instructive +beyond all others. Not that a European peace by non-resistance need be +expected to run very closely on the Chinese lines, but there should be +a reasonable expectation that the large course of things would be +somewhat on the same order in both cases. Neither the European +traditions and habitual temperament nor the modern state of the +industrial arts will permit one to look for anything like a close +parallel in detail; but it remains true, when all is said, that the +Chinese experience of peace under submission to alien masters affords +the most instructive illustration of such a regime, as touches its +practicability, its methods, its cultural value, and its effect on the +fortunes of the subject peoples and of their masters. + +Now, it may be said by way of preliminary generalisation that the +life-history of the Chinese people and their culture is altogether the +most imposing achievement which the records of mankind have to show; +whereas the history of their successive alien establishments of mastery +and usufruct is an unbroken sequence of incredibly shameful +episodes,--always beginning in unbounded power and vainglory, running by +way of misrule, waste and debauchery, to an inglorious finish in abject +corruption and imbecility. Always have the gains in civilisation, +industry and in the arts, been made by the subject Chinese, and always +have their alien masters contributed nothing to the outcome but misrule, +waste, corruption and decay. And yet in the long run, with all this +handicap and misrule, the Chinese people have held their place and made +headway in those things to which men look with affection and esteem when +they come to take stock of what things are worth while. It would be a +hopeless task to count up how many dynasties of masterful barbarians, +here and there, have meanwhile come up and played their ephemeral role +of vainglorious nuisance and gone under in shame and confusion, and +dismissed with the invariable verdict of "Good Riddance!" + +It may at first sight seem a singular conjuncture of circumstances, but +it is doubtless a consequence of the same conjuncture, that the Chinese +people have also kept their hold through all history on the Chinese +lands. They have lived and multiplied and continued to occupy the land, +while their successive alien masters have come and gone. So that today, +as the outcome of conquest, and of what would be rated as defeat, the +people continue to be Chinese, with an unbroken pedigree as well as an +unbroken line of home-bred culture running through all the ages of +history. In the biological respect the Chinese plan of non-resistance +has proved eminently successful. + +And, by the way, much the same, though not in the same degree, is true +for the Armenian people; who have continued to hold their hill country +through good days and evil, apparently without serious or enduring +reduction of their numbers and without visible lapse into barbarism, +while the successive disconnected dynasties of their conquering rulers +have come and gone, leaving nothing but an ill name. "This fable +teaches" that a diligent attention to the growing of crops and children +is the sure and appointed way to the maintenance of a people and its +culture even under the most adverse conditions, and that eventual death +and shameful destruction inexorably wait on any "ruling race." Hitherto +the rule has not failed. The rule, indeed, is grounded in the heritable +traits of human nature, from which there is no escape. + +For its long-term biological success, as well as for the continued +integrity of a people's culture, a peace of non-resistance, under good +or evil auspices, is more to be desired than imperial dominion. But +these things are not all that modern peoples live for, perhaps it is +safe to say that in no case are these chief among the things for which +civilised Europeans are willing to live. They urgently need also freedom +to live their own life in their own way, or rather to live within the +bonds of convention which they have come in for by use and wont, or at +least they believe that such freedom is essential to any life that shall +be quite worth while. So also they have a felt need of security from +arbitrary interference in their pursuit of a livelihood and in the free +control of their own pecuniary concerns. And they want a discretionary +voice in the management of their joint interests, whether as a nation or +in a minor civil group. In short, they want personal, pecuniary and +political liberty, free from all direction or inhibition from without. +They are also much concerned to maintain favorable economic conditions +for themselves and their children. And last, but chiefly rather than +least, they commonly are hide-bound patriots inspired with an +intractable felt need of national prestige. + +It is an assemblage of peoples in such a frame of mind to whom the +pacifists are proposing, in effect, a plan for eventual submission to an +alien dynasty, under the form of a neutral peace compact to include the +warlike Powers. There is little likelihood of such a scheme being found +acceptable, with popular sentiment running as it now does in the +countries concerned. And yet, if the brittle temper in which any such +proposal is rejected by popular opinion in these countries today could +be made to yield sufficiently to reflection and deliberate appraisal, it +is by no means a foregone conclusion that its acceptance would not be +the best way out of a critical situation. The cost of disabling and +eliminating the warlike Power whose dominion is feared, or even of +staving off the day of surrender, is evidently serious enough. The +merits of the alternative should be open to argument, and should, +indeed, be allowed due consideration. And any endeavour to present them +without heat should presumably find a hearing. It appears to have been +much of the fault of the pacifists who speak for the Peace League that +they have failed or refused to recognise these ulterior consequences of +the plan which they advocate; so that they appear either not to know +what they are talking about, or to avoid talking about what they know. + +It will be evident from beforehand that the grave difficulty to be met +in any advocacy of peace on terms of non-resistant subjection to an +alien dynastic rule--"peace at any price"--is a difficulty of the +psychological order. Whatever may be conceived to hold true for the +Chinese people, such submission is repugnant to the sentiments of the +Western peoples. Which in turn evidently is due to the prevalence of +certain habitual preconceptions among modern civilised men,--certain +acquired traits of temper and bias, of the nature of fixed ideas. That +something in the way of a reasonably contented and useful life is +possible under such a regime as is held in prospect, and even some +tolerable degree of well-being, is made evident in the Chinese case. But +the Chinese tolerance of such a regime goes to argue that they are +charged with fewer preconceptions at variance with the exigencies of +life under these conditions. So, it is commonly accepted, and presumably +to be accepted, that the Chinese people at large have little if any +effectual sense of nationality; their patriotism appears to be nearly a +negligible quantity. This would appear to an outsider to have been their +besetting weakness, to which their successful subjection by various and +sundry ambitious aliens has been due. But it appears also to have been +the infirmity by grace of which this people have been obliged to learn +the ways of submission, and so have had the fortune to outlive their +alien masters, all and sundry, and to occupy the land and save the +uncontaminated integrity of their long-lived civilisation. + + * * * * * + +Some account of the nature and uses of this spirit of patriotism that is +held of so great account among Western nations has already been set out +in an earlier passage. One or two points in the case, that bear on the +argument here, may profitably be recalled. The patriotic spirit, or the +tie of nationalism, is evidently of the nature of habit, whatever +proclivity to the formation of such a habit may be native to mankind. +More particularly is it a matter of habit--it might even be called a +matter of fortuitous habit--what particular national establishment a +given human subject will become attached to on reaching what is called +"years of discretion" and so becoming a patriotic citizen. + +The analogy of the clam may not be convincing, but it may at least serve +to suggest what may be the share played by habituation in the matter of +national attachment. The young clam, after having passed the +free-swimming phase of his life, as well as the period of attachment to +the person of a carp or similar fish, drops to the bottom and attaches +himself loosely in the place and station in life to which he has been +led; and he loyally sticks to his particular patch of ooze and sand +through good fortune and evil. It is, under Providence, something of a +fortuitous matter where the given clam shall find a resting place for +the sole of his foot, but it is also, after all, "his own, his native +land" etc. It lies in the nature of a clam to attach himself after this +fashion, loosely, to the bottom where he finds a living, and he would +not be a "good clam and true" if he failed to do so; but the particular +spot for which he forms this attachment is not of the essence of the +case. At least, so they say. + +It may be, as good men appear to believe or know, that all men of sound, +or at least those of average, mind will necessarily be of a patriotic +temper and be attached by ties of loyalty to some particular national +establishment, ordinarily the particular establishment which is formally +identified with the land in which they live; although it is always +possible that a given individual may be an alien in the land, and so may +owe allegiance to and be ruled by a patriotic attachment to another +national establishment, to which the conventionalities governing his +special case have assigned him as his own proper nation. The analogy of +the clam evidently does not cover the case. The patriotic citizen is +attached to his own proper nationality not altogether by the accident of +domicile, but rather by the conventions, legal or customary, which +assign him to this or that national establishment according to certain +principles of use and wont. + +Mere legal citizenship or allegiance does not decide the matter either; +at least not by any means unavoidably; as appears in the case of the +Chinese subject under Manchu or Japanese rule; and as appears perhaps +more perspicuously in the case of the "hyphenate" American citizen, +whose formal allegiance is to the nation in whose land he prefers to +live, all the while that his patriotic affection centers on his +spiritual Fatherland in whose fortunes he has none but a non-resident +interest. Indeed, the particular national tie that will bind the +affections--that is to say the effectual patriotic attachment--of any +given individual may turn out on closer scrutiny to be neither that of +domicile or of formal legal allegiance, nor that of putative origin or +pedigree, but only a reflex of certain national animosities; which may +also turn out on examination to rest on putative grounds--as illustrated +by a subsidiary class of hyphenate American citizens whose affections +have come to be bound up in the national fortunes of one foreign Power +for the simple, but sufficient, reason that, on conventional grounds, +they bear malice against another equally foreign Power. + +Evidently there is much sophistication, not to say conventionalised +affectation, in all this national attachment and allegiance. It will +perhaps not do to say that it is altogether a matter of sophistication. +Yet it may not exceed the premises to say that the particular choice, +the concrete incidence, of this national attachment is in any given case +a matter of sophistication, largely tempered with fortuity. One is born +into a given nationality--or, in case of dynastic allegiance, into +service and devotion to a (fortuitously) given sovereign--or at least so +it is commonly believed. Still one can without blame, and without +excessive shame, shift one's allegiance on occasion. What is not +countenanced among civilised men is to shift out of allegiance to any +given nationality or dynasty without shifting into the like complication +of gainless obligations somewhere else. Such a shifting of national or +dynastic base is not quite reputable, though it is also not precisely +disreputable. The difficulty in the case appears to be a moral +difficulty, not a mental or a pecuniary one, and assuredly not a +physical difficulty, since the relation in question is not a physical +relation. It would appear to be of the moral order of things, in that +sense of the term in which conventional proprieties are spoken of as +moral. That is to say, it is a question of conforming to current +expectations under a code of conventional proprieties. Like much of the +conventional code of behavior this patriotic attachment has the benefit +of standardised decorum, and its outward manifestations are enjoined by +law. All of which goes to show how very seriously the whole matter is +regarded. + +And yet it is also a matter of common notoriety that large aggregates of +men, not to speak of sporadic individuals, will on occasion shift their +allegiance with the most felicitous effect and with no sensible loss of +self-respect or of their good name. Such a shift is to be seen in +multiple in the German nation within the past half-century, when, for +instance, the Hanoverians, the Saxons, and even the Holsteiners in very +appreciable numbers, not to mention the subjects of minuscular +principalities whose names have been forgotten in the shuffle, all +became good and loyal subjects of the Empire and of the Imperial +dynasty,--good and loyal without reservation, as has abundantly +appeared. So likewise within a similar period the inhabitants of the +Southern States repudiated their allegiance to the Union, putting in its +place an equivalent loyalty to their new-made country; and then, when +the new national establishment slipped out from under their feet they +returned as whole-heartedly as need be to their earlier allegiance. In +each of these moves, taken with deliberation, it is not to be doubted +that this body of citizens have been moved by an unimpeachable spirit of +patriotic honour. No one who is in any degree conversant with the facts +is likely to question the declaration that it would be a perversion, not +to say an inversion, of fact to rate their patriotic devotion to the +Union today lower than that of any other section of the country or any +other class or condition of men. + +But there is more, and in a sense worse, to be found along the same +general line of evidence touching this sublimated sentiment of group +solidarity that is called nationalism. The nation, of course, is large; +the larger the better, it is believed. It is so large, indeed, that +considered as a group or community of men living together it has no +sensible degree of homogeneity in any of their material circumstances or +interests; nor is anything more than an inconsiderable fraction of the +aggregate population, territory, industry, or daily life known to any +one of these patriotic citizens except by remote and highly dubious +hearsay. The one secure point on which there is a (constructive) +uniformity is the matter of national allegiance; which grows stronger +and more confident with every increase in aggregate mass and volume. It +is also not doubtful, e.g., that if the people of the British Dominions +in North America should choose to throw in their national lot with the +Union, all sections and classes, except those whose pecuniary interest +in a protective tariff might be conceived to suffer, would presently +welcome them; nor is it doubtful that American nationality would cover +the new and larger aggregate as readily as the old. Much the same will +hold true with respect to the other countries colonised under British +auspices. And there is no conclusive reason for drawing the limit of +admissible national extension at that point. + +So much, however, is fairly within the possibilities of the calculable +future; its realisation would turn in great measure on the +discontinuance of certain outworn or disserviceable institutional +arrangements; as, e.g., the remnants of a decayed monarchy, and the +legally protected vested interests of certain business enterprises and +of certain office-holding classes. What more and farther might +practicably be undertaken in this way, in the absence of marplot +office-holders, office-seekers, sovereigns, priests and monopolistic +business concerns sheltered under national animosities and restraints of +trade, would be something not easy to assign a limit to. All the minor +neutrals, that cluster about the North Sea, could unquestionably be +drawn into such a composite nationality, in the absence, or with due +disregard, of those classes, families and individuals whose pecuniary or +invidious gain is dependent on or furthered by the existing division of +these peoples. + +The projected defensive league of neutrals is, in effect, an inchoate +coalescence of the kind. Its purpose is the safeguarding of the common +peace and freedom, which is also the avowed purpose and justification of +all those modern nations that have outlived the regime of dynastic +ambition and so of enterprise in dominion for dominion's sake, and have +passed into the neutral phase of nationality; or it should perhaps +rather be said that such is the end of endeavour and the warrant of +existence and power for these modern national establishments in so far +as they have outlived and repudiated such ambitions of a dynastic or a +quasi-dynastic order, and so have taken their place as intrinsically +neutral commonwealths. + +It is only in the common defense (or in the defense of the like +conditions of life for their fellowmen elsewhere) that the citizens of +such a commonwealth can without shame entertain or put in evidence a +spirit of patriotic solidarity; and it is only by specious and +sophistical appeal to the national honour--a conceit surviving out of +the dynastic past--that the populace of such a commonwealth can be +stirred to anything beyond a defense of their own proper liberties or +the liberties of like-minded men elsewhere, in so far as they are not +still imbued with something of the dynastic animus and the chauvinistic +animosities which they have formally repudiated in repudiating the +feudalistic principles of the dynastic State. + +The "nation," without the bond of dynastic loyalty, is after all a +make-shift idea, an episodic half-way station in the sequence, and +loyalty, in any proper sense, to the nation as such is so much of a +make-believe, that in the absence of a common defense to be safeguarded +any such patriotic conceit must lose popular assurance and, with the +passing of generations, fall insensibly into abeyance as an archaic +affectation. The pressure of danger from without is necessary to keep +the national spirit alert and stubborn, in case the pressure from +within, that comes of dynastic usufruct working for dominion, has been +withdrawn. With further extension of the national boundaries, such that +the danger of gratuitous infraction from without grows constantly less +menacing, while the traditional regime of international animosities +falls more and more remotely into the background, the spirit of +nationalism is fairly on the way to obsolescence through disuse. In +other words, the nation, as a commonwealth, being a partisan +organisation for a defensive purpose, becomes _functa officio_ in +respect of its nationalism and its patriotic ties in somewhat the same +measure as the national coalition grows to such a size that partisanship +is displaced by a cosmopolitan security. + +Doubtless the falling into abeyance through disuse of so pleasing a +virtue as patriotic devotion will seem an impossibly distasteful +consummation; and about tastes there is no disputing, but tastes are +mainly creations of habit. Except for the disquieting name of the thing, +there is today little stands in the way of a cosmopolitan order of +human intercourse unobtrusively displacing national allegiance; except +for vested interests in national offices and international +discriminations, and except for those peoples among whom national life +still is sufficiently bound up with dynastic ambition. + +In an earlier passage the patriotic spirit has been defined as a sense +of partisan solidarity in point of prestige, and sufficient argument has +been spent in confirming the definition and showing its implications. +With the passing of all occasion for a partisan spirit as touches the +common good, through coalescence of the parts between which partisan +discrepancies have hitherto been kept up, there would also have passed +all legitimate occasion for or provocation to an intoxication of +invidious prestige on national lines,--and there is no prestige that is +not of an invidious nature, that being, indeed, the whole of its nature. +He would have to be a person of praeternatural patriotic sensibilities +who could fall into an emotional state by reason of the national +prestige of such a coalition commonwealth as would be made up, e.g., of +the French and English-speaking peoples, together with those other +neutrally and peaceably inclined European communities that are of a +sufficiently mature order to have abjured dynastic ambitions of +dominion, and perhaps including the Chinese people as well. Such a +coalition may now fairly be said to be within speaking distance, and +with its consummation, even in the inchoate shape of a defensive league +of neutrals, the eventual abeyance of that national allegiance and +national honour that bulks so large in the repertory of current +eloquence would also come in prospect. + +All this is by no means saying that love of country, and of use and wont +as it runs in one's home area and among one's own people, would suffer +decay, or even abatement. The provocation to nostalgia would presumably +be as good as ever. It is even conceivable that under such a +(contemplated) regime of unconditional security, attachment to one's own +habitat and social circumstances might grow to something more than is +commonly seen in the precarious situation in which the chances of a +quiet life are placed today. But nostalgia is not a bellicose distemper, +nor does it make for gratuitous disturbance of peaceable alien peoples; +neither is it the spirit in which men lend themselves to warlike +enterprise looking to profitless dominion abroad. Men make patriotic +sacrifices of life and substance in spite of home-sickness rather than +by virtue of it. + + * * * * * + +The aim of this long digression has been to show that patriotism, of +that bellicose kind that seeks satisfaction in inflicting damage and +discomfort on the people of other nations, is not of the essence of +human life; that it is of the nature of habit, induced by circumstances +in the past and handed on by tradition and institutional arrangements +into the present; and that men can, without mutilation, divest +themselves of it, or perhaps rather be divested of it by force of +circumstances which will set the current of habituation the contrary +way. + +The change of habituation necessary to bring about such a decay of the +bellicose national spirit would appear to be of a negative order, at +least in the main. It would be an habituation to unconditional peace and +security; in other words, to the absence of provocation, rather than a +coercive training away from the bellicose temper. This bellicose temper, +as it affects men collectively, appears to be an acquired trait; and it +should logically disappear in time in the absence of those conditions by +impact of which it has been acquired. Such obsolescence of patriotism, +however, would not therefore come about abruptly or swiftly, since the +patriotic spirit has by past use and wont, and by past indoctrination, +been so thoroughly worked into the texture of the institutional fabric +and into the commonsense taste and morality, that its effectual +obsolescence will involve a somewhat comprehensive displacement and +mutation throughout the range of institutions and popular conceits that +have been handed down. And institutional changes take time, being +creations of habit. Yet, again, there is the qualification to this last, +that since the change in question appears to be a matter, not of +acquiring a habit and confirming it in the shape of an article of +general use and wont, but of forgetting what once was learned, the time +and experience to be allowed for its decay need logically not equal that +required for its acquirement, either in point of duration or in point of +the strictness of discipline necessary to inculcate it. + +While the spirit of nationalism is such an acquired trait, and while it +should therefore follow that the chief agency in divesting men of it +must be disuse of the discipline out of which it has arisen, yet a +positive, and even something of a drastic discipline to the contrary +effect need not be altogether ineffectual in bringing about its +obsolescence. The case of the Chinese people seems to argue something of +the sort. Not that the Chinese are simply and neutrally unpatriotic; +they appear also to be well charged with disloyalty to their alien +rulers. But along with a sense of being on the defensive in their common +concerns, there is also the fact that they appear not to be appreciably +patriotic in the proper sense; they are not greatly moved by a spirit +of nationality. And this failure of the national spirit among them can +scarcely be set down to a neutral disuse of that discipline which has on +the other hand induced a militant nationalism in the peoples of +Christendom; it should seem more probable, at least, that this relative +absence of a national ambition is traceable in good part to its having +been positively bred out of them by the stern repression of all such +aspirations under the autocratic rule of their alien masters. + + * * * * * + +Peace on terms of submission and non-resistance to the ordinary +exactions and rulings of those Imperial authorities to whom such +submission may become necessary, then, will be contingent on the virtual +abeyance of the spirit of national pride in the peoples who so are to +come under Imperial rule. A sufficient, by no means necessarily a total, +elimination or decadence of this proclivity will be the condition +precedent of any practicable scheme for a general peace on this footing. +How large an allowance of such animus these prospectively subject +peoples might still carry, without thereby assuring the defeat of any +such plan, would in great measure depend on the degree of clemency or +rigor with which the superior authority might enforce its rule. It is +not that a peace plan of this nature need precisely be considered to +fall outside the limits of possibility, on account of this necessary +condition, but it is at the best a manifestly doubtful matter. Advocates +of a negotiated peace should not fail to keep in mind and make public +that the plan which they advocate carries with it, as a sequel or +secondary phase, such an unconditional surrender and a consequent regime +of non-resistance, and that there still is grave doubt whether the +peoples of these Western nations are at present in a sufficiently +tolerant frame of mind, or can in the calculable future come in for such +a tolerantly neutral attitude in point of national pride, as to submit +in any passable fashion to any alien Imperial rule. + +If the spiritual difficulty presented by this prevalent spirit of +national pride--sufficiently stubborn still, however inane a conceit it +may seem on sober reflection--if this animus of factional +insubordination could be overcome or in some passable measure be +conciliated or abated, there is much to be said in favor of such a plan +of peaceable submission to an extraneous and arbitrary authority, and +therefore also for that plan of negotiated peace by means of which +events would be put in train for its realisation. + +Any passably dispassionate consideration of the projected regime will +come unavoidably to the conclusion that the prospectively subject +peoples should have no legitimate apprehension of loss or disadvantage +in the material respect. It is, of course, easy for an unreflecting +person to jump to the conclusion that subjection to an alien power must +bring grievous burdens, in the way of taxes and similar impositions. But +reflection will immediately show that no appreciable increase, over the +economic burdens already carried by the populace under their several +national establishments, could come of such a move. + +As bearing on this question it is well to call to mind that the +contemplated imperial dominion is designed to be very wide-reaching and +with very ample powers. Its nearest historical analogue, of course, is +the Roman imperial dominion--in the days of the Antonines--and that the +nearest analogue to the projected German peace is the Roman peace, in +the days of its best security. There is every warrant for the +presumption that the contemplated Imperial dominion is to be +substantially all-inclusive. Indeed there is no stopping place for the +projected enterprise short of an all-inclusive dominion. And there will +consequently be no really menacing outside power to be provided against. +Consequently there will be but little provision necessary for the common +defense, as compared, e.g., with the aggregate of such provision found +necessary for self-defense on the part of the existing nations acting in +severalty and each jealously guarding its own national integrity. +Indeed, compared with the burden of competitive armament to which the +peoples of Europe have been accustomed, the need of any armed force +under the new regime should be an inconsiderable matter, even when there +is added to the necessary modicum of defensive preparation the more +imperative and weightier provision of force with which to keep the peace +at home. + +Into the composition of this necessary modicum of armed force slight if +any contingents of men would be drawn from the subject peoples, for the +reason that no great numbers would be needed; as also because no devoted +loyalty to the dynasty could reasonably be looked for among them, even +if no positive insecurity were felt to be involved in their employment. +On this head the projected scheme unambiguously commends itself as a +measure of economy, both in respect of the pecuniary burdens demanded +and as regards the personal annoyance of military service. + +As a further count, it is to be presumed that the burden of the Imperial +government and its bureaucratic administration--what would be called the +cost of maintenance and repairs of the dynastic establishment and its +apparatus of control--would be borne by the subject peoples. Here again +one is warranted in looking for a substantial economy to be effected by +such a centralised authority, and a consequent lighter aggregate burden +on the subjects. Doubtless, the "overhead charges" would not be reduced +to their practicable minimum. Such a governmental establishment, with +its bureaucratic personnel, its "civil list" and its privileged classes, +would not be conducted on anything like a parsimonious footing. There is +no reason to apprehend any touch of modesty in the exactions of such a +dynastic establishment for itself or in behalf of its underlying +hierarchy of gentlefolk. + +There is also to be counted in, in the concrete instance on which the +argument here turns, a more or less considerable burden of contributions +toward the maintenance and augmentation of that culture that has been +the topic of so many encomiums. At this point it should be recalled that +it is the pattern of Periclean Athens that is continually in mind in +these encomiums. Which brings up, in this immediate connection, the +dealings of Periclean Athens with the funds of the League, and the +source as well as the destination of these surplus funds. Out of it all +came the works on the Acropolis, together with much else of intellectual +and artistic life that converged upon and radiated from this Athenian +center of culture. The vista of _Denkmaeler_ that so opens to the vision +of a courageous fancy is in itself such a substance of things hoped for +as should stir the heart of all humane persons.[8] The cost of this +subvention of Culture would doubtless be appreciable, but those grave +men who have spent most thought on this prospective cultural gain to be +had from the projected Imperial rule appear to entertain no doubt as to +its being worth all that it would cost. + +[Footnote 8: _Denk 'mall_] + +Any one who is inclined to rate the prospective pecuniary costs and +losses high would doubtless be able to find various and sundry items of +minor importance to add to this short list of general categories on the +side of cost; but such additional items, not fairly to be included under +these general captions, would after all be of minor importance, in the +aggregate or in detail, and would not appreciably affect the grand +balance of pecuniary profit and loss to be taken account of in any +appraisal of the projected Imperial regime. There should evidently be +little ground to apprehend that its installation would entail a net loss +or a net increase of pecuniary burdens. There is, of course, the +ill-defined and scarcely definable item of expenditure under the general +head of Gentility, Dignity, Distinction, Magnificence, or whatever term +may seem suitable to designate that consumption of goods and services +that goes to maintain the high repute of the Court and to keep the +underlying gentlefolk in countenance. In its pecuniary incidence this +line of (necessary) expenditure belongs under the rubric of Conspicuous +Waste; and one will always have to face the disquieting flexibility of +this item of expenditure. The consumptive demand of this kind is in an +eminent degree "indefinitely extensible," as the phrasing of the +economists would have it, and as various historical instances of courtly +splendor and fashionable magnificence will abundantly substantiate. +There is a constant proclivity to advance this conventional "standard of +living" to the limit set by the available means; and yet these +conventional necessities will ordinarily not, in the aggregate, take up +all the available means; although now and again, as under the _Ancien +Regime_, and perhaps in Imperial Rome, the standard of splendid living +may also exceed the current means in hand and lead to impoverishment of +the underlying community. + +An analysis of the circumstances governing this flexibility of the +conventional standard of living and of pecuniary magnificence can not be +gone into here. In the case under consideration it will have to be left +as an indeterminate but considerable item in the burden of cost which +the projected Imperial rule may be counted on to impose on the +underlying peoples. The cost of the Imperial court, nobility, and civil +service, therefore, would be a matter of estimate, on which no close +agreement would be expected; and yet, here as in an earlier connection, +it seems a reasonable expectation that sufficient dignity and +magnificence could be put in evidence by such a large-scale +establishment at a lower aggregate cost than the aggregate of +expenditures previously incurred for the like ends by various nations +working in severalty and at cross purposes. + +Doubtless it would be altogether a mistaken view of this production of +dignity by means of a lavish expenditure on superfluities, to believe +that the same principle of economy should apply here as was found +applicable in the matter of armament for defense. With the installation +of a collective national establishment, to include substantially all the +previously competing nations, the need of defensive armament should in +all reason decline to something very inconsiderable indeed. But it would +be hasty to conclude that with the coalescence of these nations under +one paramount control the need of creating notoriety and prestige for +this resulting central establishment by the consumption of decorative +superfluities would likewise decline. The need of such dignity and +magnificence is only in part, perhaps a minor part, of a defensive +character. For the greater part, no doubt, the motive to this +conspicuously wasteful consumption is personal vanity, in Imperial +policy as well as in the private life of fashion,--or perhaps one should +more deferentially say that it is a certain range of considerations +which would be identified as personal vanity in case they were met with +among men beneath the Imperial level. And so far as the creation of this +form of "good-will" by this manner of advertising is traceable to such, +or equivalent, motives of a personal incidence, the provocation to +economy along this line would presumably not be a notable factor in the +case. And one returns perforce to the principle already spoken of above, +that the consumptive need of superfluities is indefinitely extensible, +with the resulting inference that nothing conclusive is to be said as to +the prospective magnitude of this item in the Imperial bill of expense, +or of the consequent pecuniary burdens which it would impose on the +underlying peoples. + + * * * * * + +So far the argument has run on the pecuniary incidence of this projected +Imperial dominion as it falls on the underlying community as a whole, +with no attempt to discriminate between the divergent interests of the +different classes and conditions of men that go to make up any modern +community. The question in hand is a question of pecuniary burdens, and +therefore of the pecuniary interests of these several distinguishable +classes or conditions of men. In all these modern nations that now stand +in the article of decision between peace by submission or a doubtful and +melancholy alternative,--in all of them men are by statute and custom +inviolably equal before the law, of course; they are ungraded and +masterless men before the law. But these same peoples are also alike in +the respect that pecuniary duties and obligations among them are +similarly sacred and inviolable under the dispassionate findings of the +law. This pecuniary equality is, in effect, an impersonal equality +between pecuniary magnitudes; from which it follows that these citizens +of the advanced nations are not ungraded men in the pecuniary respect; +nor are they masterless, in so far as a greater pecuniary force will +always, under this impersonal equality of the law, stand in a relation +of mastery toward a lesser one. + +Class distinctions, except pecuniary distinctions, have fallen away. But +all these modern nations are made up of pecuniary classes, differing +from one another by minute gradations in the marginal cases, but +falling, after all, and in the large, into two broadly and securely +distinguishable pecuniary categories: those who have more and those who +have less. Statisticians have been at pains to ascertain that a +relatively very small numerical minority of the citizens in these modern +nations own all but a relatively very small proportion of the aggregate +wealth in the country. So that it appears quite safe to say that in such +a country as America, e.g., something less than ten percent of the +inhabitants own something more than ninety percent of the country's +wealth. It would scarcely be a wild overstraining of its practical +meaning to say that this population is made up of two classes: those who +own the country's wealth, and those who do not. In strict accuracy, as +before the law, this characterisation will not hold; whereas in +practical effect, it is a sufficiently close approximation. This latter +class, who have substantially no other than a fancied pecuniary interest +in the nation's material fortunes, are the category often spoken of as +The Common Man. It is not necessary, nor is it desired, to find a +corresponding designation for the other category, those who own. + +The articulate recognition of this division into contrasted pecuniary +classes or conditions, with correspondingly (at least potentially) +divergent pecuniary interests, need imply no degree of approval or +disapproval of the arrangement which is so recognised. The recognition +of it is necessary to a perspicuous control of the argument, as bears on +the possible systematic and inherent discrepancy among these men in +respect of their material interests under the projected Imperial rule. +Substantially, it is a distinction between those who have and those who +have not, and in a question of prospective pecuniary loss the man who +has nothing to lose is differently placed from the one who has. It would +perhaps seem flippant, and possibly lacking in the courtesy due one's +prospective lord paramount, to say with the poet, _Cantabit vacuus coram +latrone viator_. + +But the whole case is not so simple. It is only so long as the projected +pecuniary inroad is conceived as a simple sequestration of wealth in +hand, that such a characterisation can be made to serve. The Imperial +aim is not a passing act of pillage, but a perpetual usufruct; and the +whole question takes on a different and more complex shape when it so +touches the enduring conditions of life and livelihood. The citizen who +has nothing, or who has no capitalisable source of unearned income, yet +has a pecuniary interest in a livelihood to be gained from day to day, +and he is yet vulnerable in the pecuniary respect in that his livelihood +may with the utmost facility be laid under contribution by various and +sundry well-tried contrivances. Indeed, the common man who depends for +his livelihood on his daily earnings is in a more immediately +precarious position than those who have something appreciable laid up +against a rainy day, in the shape of a capitalised source of income. +Only that it is still doubtful if his position is precarious in such a +fashion as to lay him open to a notable increase of hardship, or to loss +of the amenities of life, in the same relative degree as his well-to-do +neighbour. + +In point of fact it may well be doubted if this common man has anything +to apprehend in the way of added hardship or loss of creature comforts +under the contemplated regime of Imperial tutelage. He would presumably +find himself in a precarious case under the arbitrary and irresponsible +authority of an alien master working through an alien master class. The +doubt which presents itself is as to whether this common man would be +more precariously placed, or would come in for a larger and surer sum of +hard usage and scant living, under this projected order of things, than +what he already is exposed to in his pecuniary relations with his +well-to-do compatriots under the current system of law and order. + +Under this current regime of law and order, according to the equitable +principles of Natural Rights, the man without means has no pecuniary +rights which his well-to-do pecuniary master is bound to respect. This +may have been an unintended, as it doubtless was an unforeseen, outcome +of the move out of feudalism and prescriptive rights and immunities, +into the system of individual liberty and manhood franchise; but as +commonly happens in case of any substantial change in the scheme of +institutional arrangements, unforeseen consequences come in along with +those that have been intended. In that period of history when Western +Europe was gathering that experience out of which the current habitual +scheme of law and order has come, the right of property and free +contract was a complement and safeguard to that individual initiative +and masterless equality of men for which the spokesmen of the new era +contended. That it is no longer so at every turn, or even in the main, +in later time, is in great part due to changes of the pecuniary order, +that have come on since then, and that seem not to have cast their +shadow before. + +In all good faith, and with none but inconsequential reservations, the +material fortunes of modern civilised men--together with much else--have +so been placed on a pecuniary footing, with little to safeguard them at +any point except the inalienable right of pecuniary self-direction and +initiative, in an environment where virtually all the indispensable +means of pecuniary self-direction and initiative are in the hands of +that contracted category of owners spoken of above. A numerical +minority--under ten percent of the population--constitutes a conclusive +pecuniary majority--over ninety percent of the means--under a system of +law and order that turns on the inalienable right of owners to dispose +of the means in hand as may suit their convenience and profit,--always +barring recourse to illegal force or fraud. There is, however, a very +appreciable margin of legal recourse to force and of legally protected +fraud available in case of need. Of course the expedients here referred +to as legally available force and fraud in the defense of pecuniary +rights and the pursuit of pecuniary gain are not force and fraud _de +jure_ but only _de facto_. They are further, and well known, +illustrations of how the ulterior consequences of given institutional +arrangements and given conventionalised principles (habits of thought) +of conduct may in time come to run at cross purposes with the initial +purpose that led to the acceptance of these institutions and to the +confirmation and standardisation of these habitual norms of conduct. For +the time being, however, they are "fundamentally and eternally right and +good." + +Being a pecuniary majority--what may be called a majority of the +corporate stock--of the nation, it is also fundamentally and eternally +right and good that the pecuniary interests of the owners of the +material means of life should rule unabated in all those matters of +public policy that touch on the material fortunes of the community at +large. Barring a slight and intermittent mutter of discontent, this +arrangement has also the cordial approval of popular sentiment in these +modern democratic nations. One need only recall the paramount importance +which is popularly attached to the maintenance and extension of the +nation's trade--for the use of the investors--or the perpetuation of a +protective tariff--for the use of the protected business concerns--or, +again, the scrupulous regard with which such a body of public servants +as the Interstate Commerce Commission will safeguard the legitimate +claim of the railway companies to a "reasonable" rate of earnings on the +capitalised value of the presumed earning-capacity of their property. + + * * * * * + +Again, in view of the unaccustomed freedom with which it is here +necessary to speak of these delicate matters, it may be in place to +disclaim all intention to criticise the established arrangements on +their merits as details of public policy. All that comes in question +here, touching these and the like features of the established law and +order, is the bearing of all this on the material fortunes of the common +man under the current regime, as contrasted with what he would +reasonably have to look for under the projected regime of Imperial +tutelage that would come in, consequent upon this national surrender to +Imperial dominion. + + * * * * * + +In these democratic countries public policy is guided primarily by +considerations of business expediency, and the administration, as well +as the legislative power, is in the hands of businessmen, chosen +avowedly on the ground of their businesslike principles and ability. +There is no power in such a community that can over-rule the exigencies +of business, nor would popular sentiment countenance any exercise of +power that should traverse these exigencies, or that would act to +restrain trade or discourage the pursuit of gain. An apparent exception +to the rule occurs in wartime, when military exigencies may over-rule +the current demands of business traffic; but the exception is in great +part only apparent, in that the warlike operations are undertaken in +whole or in part with a view to the protection or extension of business +traffic. + +National surveillance and regulation of business traffic in these +countries hitherto, ever since and in so far as the modern democratic +order of things has taken effect, has uniformly been of the nature of +interference with trade and investment in behalf of the nation's +mercantile community at large, as seen in port and shipping regulations +and in the consular service, or in behalf of particular favored groups +or classes of business concerns, as in protective tariffs and subsidies. +In all this national management of pecuniary affairs, under modern +democratic principles, the common man comes into the case only as raw +material of business traffic,--as consumer or as laborer. He is one of +the industrial agencies by use of which the businessman who employs him +supplies himself with goods for the market, or he is one of the units +of consumptive demand that make up this market in which the business man +sells his goods, and so "realises" on his investment. He is, of course, +free, under modern principles of the democratic order, to deal or not to +deal with this business community, whether as laborer or as consumer, or +as small-scale producer engaged in purveying materials or services on +terms defined by the community of business interests engaged on so large +a scale as to count in their determination. That is to say, he is free +_de jure_ to take or leave the terms offered. _De facto_ he is only free +to take them--with inconsequential exceptions--the alternative being +obsolescence by disuse, not to choose a harsher name for a distasteful +eventuality. + +The general ground on which the business system, as it works under the +over-ruling exigencies of the so-called "big business," so defines the +terms of life for the common man, who works and buys, is the ground +afforded by the principle of "charging what the traffic will bear;" that +is to say, fixing the terms of hiring, buying and selling at such a +figure as will yield the largest net return to the business concerns in +whom, collectively or in severalty, the discretion vests. Discretion in +these premises does not vest in any business concern that does not +articulate with the system of "big business," or that does not dispose +of resources sufficient to make it a formidable member of the system. +Whether these concerns act in severalty or by collusion and conspiracy, +in so defining the pecuniary terms of life for the community at large, +is substantially an idle question, so far as bears on the material +interest of the common man. The base-line is still what the traffic will +bear, and it is still adhered to, so nearly as the human infirmity of +the discretionary captains of industry will admit, whether the due +approximation to this base-line is reached by a process of competitive +bidding or by collusive advisement. + +The generalisation so offered, touching the material conditions of life +for the common man under the modern rule of big business, may seem +unwarrantably broad. It may be worth while to take note of more than one +point in qualification of it, chiefly to avoid the appearance of having +overlooked any of the material circumstances of the case. The "system" +of large business, working its material consequences through the system +of large-scale industry, but more particularly by way of the large-scale +and wide-reaching business of trade in the proper sense, draws into the +net of its control all parts of the community and all its inhabitants, +in some degree of dependence. But there is always, hitherto, an +appreciable fraction of the inhabitants--as, e.g., outlying agricultural +sections that are in a "backward" state--who are by no means closely +bound in the orderly system of business, or closely dependent on the +markets. They may be said to enjoy a degree of independence, by virtue +of their foregoing as much as may be of the advantages offered by modern +industrial specialisation. So also there are the minor and interstitial +trades that are still carried on by handicraft methods; these, too, are +still somewhat loosely held in the fabric of the business system. There +is one thing and another in this way to be taken account of in any +exhaustive survey, but the accounting for them will after all amount to +nothing better than a gleaning of remnants and partial exceptions, such +as will in no material degree derange the general proposition in hand. + +Again, there runs through the length and breadth of this business +community a certain measure of incompetence or inefficiency of +management, as seen from the point of view of the conceivable perfect +working of the system as a whole. It may be due to a slack attention +here and there; or to the exigencies of business strategy which may +constrain given business concerns to an occasional attitude of "watchful +waiting" in the hope of catching a rival off his guard; or to a lack of +perfect mutual understanding among the discretionary businessmen, due +sometimes to an over-careful guarding of trade secrets or advance +information; or, as also happens, and quite excusably, to a lack of +perfect mutual confidence among these businessmen, as to one another's +entire good faith or good-will. The system is after all a competitive +one, in the sense that each of the discretionary directors of business +is working for his own pecuniary gain, whether in cooperation with his +fellows or not. "An honest man will bear watching." As in other +collusive organisations for gain, confederates are apt to fall out when +it comes to a division of what is in hand. In one way and another the +system is beset with inherent infirmities, which hinder its perfect +work; and in so far it will fall short of the full realisation of that +rule of business that inculcates charging what the traffic will bear, +and also in so far the pressure which the modern system of business +management brings to bear on the common man will also fall short of the +last straw--perhaps even of the next-to-the-last. Again it turns out to +be a question not of the failure of the general proposition as +formulated, but rather as to the closeness of approximation to its +theoretically perfect work. It may be remarked by the way that vigilant +and impartial surveillance of this system of business enterprise by an +external authority interested only in aggregate results, rather than in +the differential gains of the interested individuals, might hopefully +be counted on to correct some of these shortcomings which the system +shows when running loose under the guidance of its own multifarious +incentives. + +On the opposite side of the account, it is also worth noting that, while +modern business management may now and again fall short of what the +traffic will bear, it happens more commonly that its exactions will +exceed that limit. This will particularly be true in businessmen's +dealings with hired labour, as also and perhaps with equally +far-reaching consequences in an excessive recourse to sophistications +and adulterants and an excessively parsimonious provision for the +safety, health or comfort of their customers--as, e.g., in passenger +traffic by rail, water or tramway. The discrepancy to which attention is +invited here is due to a discrepancy between business expediency, that +is expediency for the purpose of gain by a given businessman, on the one +hand, and serviceability to the common good, on the other hand. The +business concern's interest in the traffic in which it engages is a +short-term interest, or an interest in the short-term returns, as +contrasted with the long-term or enduring interest which the community +at large has in the public service over which any such given business +concern disposes. The business incentive is that afforded by the +prospective net pecuniary gain from the traffic, substantially an +interest in profitable sales; while the community at large, or the +common man that goes to make up such a community, has a material +interest in this traffic only as regards the services rendered and the +enduring effects that follow from it. + +The businessman has not, or at least is commonly not influenced by, any +interest in the ulterior consequences of the transactions in which he +is immediately engaged. This appears to hold true in an accentuated +degree in the domain of that large-scale business that draws its gains +from the large-scale modern industry and is managed on the modern +footing of corporation finance. This modern fashion of business +organisation and management apparently has led to a substantial +shortening of the term over which any given investor maintains an +effective interest in any given corporate enterprise, in which his +investments may be placed for the time being. With the current practice +of organising industrial and mercantile enterprises on a basis of +vendible securities, and with the nearly complete exemption from +personal responsibility and enduring personal attachment to any one +corporate enterprise which this financial expedient has brought, it has +come about that in the common run of cases the investor, as well as the +directorate, in any given enterprise, has an interest only for the time +being. The average term over which it is (pecuniarily) incumbent on the +modern businessman to take account of the working of any given +enterprise has shortened so far that the old-fashioned accountability, +that once was depended on to dictate a sane and considerate management +with a view to permanent good-will, has in great measure become +inoperative. + +By and large, it seems unavoidable that the pecuniary interests of the +businessmen on the one hand and the material interests of the community +on the other hand are diverging in a more and more pronounced degree, +due to institutional circumstances over which no prompt control can be +had without immediate violation of that scheme of personal rights in +which the constitution of modern democratic society is grounded. The +quandary in which these communities find themselves, as an outcome of +their entrance upon "the simple and obvious system of Natural Liberty," +is shown in a large and instructive way by what is called "labor +trouble," and in a more recondite but no less convincing fashion by the +fortunes of the individual workman under the modern system. + +The cost of production of a modern workman has constantly increased, +with the advance of the industrial arts. The period of preparation, of +education and training, necessary to turn out competent workmen, has +been increasing; and the period of full workmanlike efficiency has been +shortening, in those industries that employ the delicate and exacting +processes of the modern technology. The shortening of this working-life +of the workman is due both to a lengthening of the necessary period of +preparation, and to the demand of these processes for so full a use of +the workman's forces that even the beginning of senescence will count as +a serious disability,--in many occupations as a fatal disability. It is +also a well ascertained fact that effectual old age will be brought on +at an earlier period by overwork; overwork shortens the working +life-time of the workman. Thorough speeding-up ("Scientific +Management"?) will unduly shorten this working life-time, and so it may, +somewhat readily, result in an uneconomical consumption of the +community's man-power, by consuming the workmen at a higher rate of +speed, a higher pressure, with a more rapid rate of deterioration, than +would give the largest net output of product per unit of man-power +available, or per unit of cost of production of such man-power. + +On this head the guiding incentives of the businessman and the material +interest of the community at large--not to speak of the selfish interest +of the individual workman--are systematically at variance. The cost of +production of workmen does not fall on the business concern which +employs them, at least not in such definite fashion as to make it appear +that the given business concern or businessman has a material interest +in the economical consumption of the man-power embodied in this given +body of employees. Some slight and exceptional qualification of this +statement is to be noted, in those cases where the processes in use are +such as to require special training, not to be had except by a working +habituation to these processes in the particular industrial plant in +question. So far as such special training, to be had only as employees +of the given concern, is a necessary part of the workman's equipment for +this particular work, so far the given employer bears a share and an +interest in the cost of production of the workmen employed; and so far, +therefore, the employer has also a pecuniary interest in the economical +use of his employees; which usually shows itself in the way of some +special precautions being taken to prevent the departure of these +workmen so long as there is a clear pecuniary loss involved in replacing +them with men who have not yet had the special training required. +Evidently this qualifying consideration covers no great proportion of +the aggregate man-power consumed in industrial enterprises under +business management. And apart from the instances, essentially +exceptional, where such a special consideration comes in, the +businessmen in charge will, quite excusably as things go, endeavour to +consume the man-power of which they dispose in the persons of their +employees, not at the rate that would be most economical to the +community at large, in view of the cost of their replacement, nor at +such a rate as would best suit the taste or the viability of the +particular workman, but at such a rate as will yield the largest net +pecuniary gain to the employer. + +There is on record an illustrative, and indeed an illustrious, instance +of such cannily gainful consumption of man-power carried out +systematically and with consistently profitable effect in one of the +staple industries of the country. In this typical, though exceptionally +thoroughgoing and lucrative enterprise, the set rule of the management +was, to employ none but select workmen, in each respective line of work; +to procure such select workmen and retain them by offering wages +slightly over the ordinary standard; to work them at the highest pace +and pressure attainable with such a picked body; and to discharge them +on the first appearance of aging or of failing powers. In the rules of +the management was also included the negative proviso that the concern +assumed no responsibility for the subsequent fortunes of discharged +workmen, in the way of pension, insurance or the like. + +This enterprise was highly successful and exceedingly profitable, even +beyond the high average of profits among enterprises in the same line of +business. Out of it came one of the greater and more illustrious +fortunes that have been accumulated during the past century; a fortune +which has enabled one of the most impressive and most gracious of this +generation's many impressive philanthropists, never weary in well-doing; +but who, through this cannily gainful consumption of man-power, has been +placed in the singular position of being unable, in spite of avowedly +unremitting endeavour, to push his continued disbursements in the +service of humanity up to the figure of his current income. The case in +question is one of the most meritorious known to the records of modern +business, and while it will conveniently serve to illustrate many an +other, and perhaps more consequential truth come to realisation in the +march of Triumphant Democracy, it will also serve to show the +gainfulness of an unreservedly canny consumption of man-power with an +eye single to one's own net gain in terms of money. + + * * * * * + +Evidently this is a point in the articulation of the modern economic +system where a sufficiently ruthless outside authority, not actuated by +a primary regard for the pecuniary interests of the employers, might +conceivably with good effect enforce a more economical consumption of +the country's man-power. It is not a matter on which one prefers to +dwell, but it can do no harm to take note of the fact for once in a way, +that these several national establishments of the democratic order, as +they are now organised and administered, do somewhat uniformly and +pervasively operate with an effectual view to the advantage of a class, +so far as may plausibly be done. They are controlled by and administered +in behalf of those elements of the population that, for the purpose in +hand, make up a single loose-knit class,--the class that lives by income +rather than by work. It may be called the class of the business +interests, or of capital, or of gentlemen. It all comes to much the +same, for the purpose in hand. + +The point in speaking of this contingent whose place in the economy of +human affairs it is to consume, or to own, or to pursue a margin of +profit, is simply that of contrasting this composite human contingent +with the common man; whose numbers account for some nine-tenths or more +of the community, while his class accounts for something less than +one-tenth of the invested wealth, and appreciably less than that +proportion of the discretionary national establishment,--the government, +national or local, courts, attorneys, civil service, diplomatic and +consular, military and naval. The arrangement may be called a +gentlemen's government, if one would rather have it that way; but a +gentleman is necessarily one who lives on free income from invested +wealth--without such a source of free, that is to say unearned, income +he becomes a decayed gentleman. Again, pushing the phrasing back a step +farther toward the ground facts, there are those who would speak of the +current establishments as "capitalistic;" but this term is out of line +in that it fails to touch the human element in the case, and +institutions, such as governmental establishments and their functioning, +are after all nothing but the accustomed ways and means of human +behaviour; so that "capitalistic" becomes a synonym for "businessmen's" +government so soon as it is designated in terms of the driving +incentives and the personnel. It is an organisation had with a view to +the needs of business (i.e. pecuniary) enterprise, and is made up of +businessmen and gentlemen, which comes to much the same, since a +gentleman is only a businessman in the second or some later generation. +Except for the slightly odious suggestion carried by the phrase, one +might aptly say that the gentleman, in this bearing, is only a +businessman gone to seed. + +By and large, and taking the matter naively at the simple face value of +the material gain or loss involved, it should seem something of an idle +question to the common man whether his collective affairs are to be +managed by a home-bred line of businessmen and their successive filial +generations of gentlemen, with a view to accelerate the velocity and +increase the volume of competitive gain and competitive spending, on +the one hand, or by an alien line of officials, equally aloof from his +common interests, and managing affairs with a view to the usufruct of +his productive powers in furtherance of the Imperial dominion. + +Not that the good faith or the generous intentions of these governments +of gentlemen is questioned or is in any degree questionable; what is +here spoken of is only the practical effect of the policies which they +pursue, doubtless with benevolent intentions and well-placed +complacency. In effect, things being as they are today in the civilised +world's industry and trade, it happens, as in some sort an unintended +but all-inclusive accident, that the guidance of affairs by business +principles works at cross purposes with the material interests of the +common man. + +So ungraceful a view of the sacred core of this modern democratic +organisation will need whatever evidence can be cited to keep it in +countenance. Therefore indulgence is desired for one further count in +this distasteful recital of ineptitudes inherent in this institutional +scheme of civilised life. This count comes under the head of what may be +called capitalistic sabotage. "Sabotage" is employed to designate a +wilful retardation, interruption or obstruction of industry by +peaceable, and ordinarily by legally defensible, measures. In its +present application, particularly, there is no design to let the term +denote or insinuate a recourse to any expedients or any line of conduct +that is in any degree legally dubious, or that is even of questionable +legitimacy. + +Sabotage so understood, as not comprising recourse to force or fraud, is +a necessary and staple expedient of business management, and its +employment is grounded in the elementary and indefeasible rights of +ownership. It is simply that the businessman, like any other owner, is +vested with the right freely to use or not to use his property for any +given purpose. His decision, for reasons of his own, not to employ the +property at his disposal in a particular way at a particular time, is +well and blamelessly within his legitimate discretion, under the rights +of property as universally accepted and defended by modern nations. In +the particular instance of the American nation he is protected in this +right by a constitutional provision that he must not be deprived of his +property without due process of law. When the property at his disposal +is in the shape of industrial plant or industrial material, means of +transportation or stock of goods awaiting distribution, then his +decision not to employ this property, or to limit its use to something +less than full capacity, in the way for which it is adapted, becomes +sabotage, normally and with negligible exceptions. In so doing he +hinders, retards or obstructs the working of the country's industrial +forces by so much. It is a matter of course and of absolute necessity to +the conduct of business, that any discretionary businessman must be free +to deal or not to deal in any given case; to limit or to withhold the +equipment under his control, without reservation. Business discretion +and business strategy, in fact, has no other means by which to work out +its aims. So that, in effect, all business sagacity reduces itself in +the last analysis to a judicious use of sabotage. Under modern +conditions of large business, particularly, the relation of the +discretionary businessman to industry is that of authoritative +permission and of authoritative limitation or stoppage, and on his +shrewd use of this authority depends the gainfulness of his enterprise. + +If this authority were exercised with an eye single to the largest and +most serviceable output of goods and services, or to the most economical +use of the country's material resources and man-power, regardless of +pecuniary consequences, the course of management so carried out would be +not sabotage but industrial strategy. But business is carried on for +pecuniary gain, not with an unreserved view to the largest and most +serviceable output or to the economical use of resources. The volume and +serviceability of the output must wait unreservedly on the very +particular pecuniary question of what quantity and what degree of +serviceability will yield the largest net return in terms of price. +Uneconomical use of equipment, labor and resources is necessarily an +everyday matter under these circumstances, as in the duplication of +plant and processes between rival concerns, and in the wasteful use of +all resources that do not involve expenditure on the part of the given +concern. + +It has been the traditional dogma among economists and publicists in +these modern communities that free competition between the businessmen +in charge will indefeasibly act to bring the productiveness of industry +to the highest practicable pitch and would lead to the most unreserved +and vigilant endeavour to serve the community's material needs at all +points. The reasons for the failure of this genial expectation, +particularly under latterday business management, might be shown in some +detail, if that were needed to enforce the argument as it runs in the +present connection. But a summary indication of the commoner varieties +and effects of sabotage as it is systematically applied in the +businesslike conduct of industry will serve the purpose as well and with +less waste of words and patience. + +It is usual to notice, and not unusual to deplore the duplication of +plant and appliances in many lines of industry, due to competitive +management, as in factories engaged in the same class of manufacture, in +parallel or otherwise competing railways and boat lines, in retail +merchandising, and in some degree also in the wholesale trade. The +result, of course, is sabotage; in the sense that this volume of +appliances, materials and workmen are not employed to the best advantage +for the community. One effect of the arrangement is an increased +necessary cost of the goods and services supplied by these means. The +reason for it is competition for gain to be got from the traffic. That +all this is an untoward state of things is recognised on all hands; but +no lively regret is commonly spent on the matter, since it is commonly +recognised that under the circumstances there is no help for it except +at the cost of a more untoward remedy. + +The competitive system having been tried and found good--or at least so +it is assumed--it is felt that the system will have to be accepted with +the defects of its qualities. Its characteristic qualities are held to +be good, acceptable to the tastes of modern men whose habits of thought +have been standardised in its terms; and it would be only reluctantly +and by tardy concession that these modern men could bring themselves to +give up that scheme of "Natural Liberty" within the framework of which +runs this competitive system of business management and its wasteful +manifolding of half-idle equipment and nugatory work. The common man, at +the worst, comforts himself and his neighbour with the sage reflection +that "It might have been worse." The businessmen, on the other hand, +have also begun to take note of this systematic waste by duplication +and consequent incompetence, and have taken counsel how to intercept the +waste and divert it to their own profit. The businessmen's remedy is +consolidation of competing concerns, and monopoly control. + +To the common man, with his preconceptions on the head of "restraint of +trade," the proposed remedy seems more vicious than the evil it is +designed to cure. The fault of the remedy plainly is not that the +mismanagement of affairs due to competitive business can not be +corrected by recourse to monopoly, but only that the community, it is +presumed, would still suffer all the burdens and discomforts of the +regime of competition and sabotage, with, possibly, further +inconveniences and impositions at the hands of the businesslike +monopoly; which, men are agreed, may fairly be depended on to use its +advantage unsparingly under the business principle of charging what the +traffic will bear. + +There is also this other singular phenomenon in this modern industrial +world, that something not very far short of one-half the industrial +equipment systematically lies idle for something approaching one-half +the time, or is worked only to one-half its capacity half the time; not +because of competition between these several industrial concerns, but +because business conditions will not allow its continued productive use; +because the volume of product that would be turned out if the equipment +were working uninterruptedly at its full capacity could not be sold at +remunerative prices. From time to time one establishment and another +will shut down during a period of slack times, for the same reason. + +This state of things is singular only as seen from the point of view of +the community's material interest, not that it is in any degree +unfamiliar or that any serious fault is found with the captains of +industry for so shutting off the industrial process and letting the +industrial equipment lie waste. As all men know, the exigencies of +business will not tolerate production to supply the community's needs +under these circumstances; although, as is equally notorious, these +slack times, when production of goods is unadvisable on grounds of +business expediency, are commonly times of wide-spread privation, "hard +times," in the community at large, when the failure of the supply is +keenly felt. + +It is not that the captains of industry are at fault in so failing, or +refusing, to supply the needs of the community under these +circumstances, but only that they are helpless under the exigencies of +business. They can not supply the goods except for a price, indeed not +except for a remunerative price, a price which will add something to the +capital values which they are venturing in their various enterprises. So +long as the exigencies of price and of pecuniary gain rule the case, +there is manifestly no escaping this enforced idleness of the country's +productive forces. + +It may not be out of place also to remark, by way of parenthesis, that +this highly productive state of the industrial arts, which is embodied +in the industrial plant and processes that so are systematically and +advisedly retarded or arrested under the rule of business, is at the +same time the particular pride of civilised men and the most tangible +achievement of the civilised world. + +A conservative estimate of this one item of capitalistic sabotage could +scarcely appraise it at less than a twenty-five percent reduction from +the normally possible productive capacity of the community, at an +average over any considerable period; and a somewhat thorough review of +the pertinent facts would probably persuade any impartial observer that, +one year with another, such businesslike enforced idleness of plant and +personnel lowers the actual output of the country's industry by +something nearer fifty percent of its ordinary capacity when fully +employed. To many, such an assertion may seem extravagant, but with +further reflection on the well-known facts in the case it will seem less +so in proportion as the unfamiliarity of it wears off. + +However, the point of attention in the case is not the precise, nor the +approximate, percentages of this arrest and retardation, this partial +neutralisation of modern improvements in the industrial arts; it is only +the notorious fact that such arrest occurs, systematically and +advisedly, under the rule of business exigencies, and that there is no +corrective to be found for it that will comport with those fundamental +articles of the democratic faith on which the businessmen necessarily +proceed. Any effectual corrective would break the framework of +democratic law and order, since it would have to traverse the +inalienable right of men who are born free and equal, each freely to +deal or not to deal in any pecuniary conjuncture that arises. + +But it is at the same time plain enough that this, in the larger sense +untoward, discrepancy between productive capacity and current productive +output can readily be corrected, in some appreciable degree at least, by +any sufficient authority that shall undertake to control the country's +industrial forces without regard to pecuniary profit and loss. Any +authority competent to take over the control and regulate the conduct of +the community's industry with a view to maximum output as counted by +weight and tale, rather than by net aggregate price-income over +price-cost, can readily effect an appreciable increase in the effectual +productive capacity; but it can be done only by violating that +democratic order of things within which business enterprise runs. The +several belligerent nations of Europe are showing that it can be done, +that the sabotage of business enterprise can be put aside by +sufficiently heroic measures. And they are also showing that they are +all aware, and have always been aware, that the conduct of industry on +business principles is incompetent to bring the largest practicable +output of goods and services; incompetent to such a degree, indeed, as +not to be tolerable in a season of desperate need, when the nation +requires the full use of its productive forces, equipment and man-power, +regardless of the pecuniary claims of individuals. + + * * * * * + +Now, the projected Imperial dominion is a power of the character +required to bring a sufficient corrective to bear, in case of need, on +this democratic situation in which the businessmen in charge necessarily +manage the country's industry at cross purposes with the +community's--that is the common man's--material interest. It is an +extraneous power, to whom the continued pecuniary gain of these nations' +businessmen is a minor consideration, a negligible consideration in case +it shall appear that the Imperial usufruct of the underlying nation's +productive forces is in any degree impaired by the businessmen's +management of it for their own net gain. It is difficult to see on what +grounds of self-interest such an Imperial government could consent to +tolerate the continued management of these underlying nations' +industries on business principles, that is to say on the principle of +the maximum pecuniary gain to the businesslike managers; and recent +experience seems to teach that no excessive, that is to say no +inconvenient, degree of consideration for vested rights, and the like, +would long embarrass the Imperial government in its administration of +its usufruct. + +It should be a reasonable expectation that, without malice and with an +unprejudiced view to its own usufruct of these underlying countries, the +Imperial establishment would take due care that no systematically, and +in its view gratuitously, uneconomical methods should continue in the +ordinary conduct of their industry. Among other considerations of weight +in this connection is the fact that a contented, well-fed, and not +wantonly over-worked populace is a valuable asset in such a case. +Similarly, by contraries, as an asset in usufruct to such an alien +power, a large, wealthy, spendthrift, body of gentlefolk, held in high +esteem by the common people, would have but a slight value, conceivably +even a negative value, in such a case. A wise administration would +presumably look to their abatement, rather than otherwise. At this point +the material interest of the common man would seem to coincide with that +of the Imperial establishment. Still, his preconceived notions of the +wisdom and beneficence of his gentlefolk would presumably hinder his +seeing the matter in that reasonable light. + +Under the paramount surveillance of such an alien power, guided solely +by its own interest in the usufruct of the country and its population, +it is to be presumed that class privileges and discrimination would be +greatly abated if not altogether discontinued. The point is in some +doubt, partly because this alien establishment whose dominion is in +question is itself grounded in class prerogatives and discrimination, +and so, not improbably, it would carry over into its supervision of the +underlying nations something of a bias in favor of class privileges. And +a similar order of things might also result by choice of a class-system +as a convenient means of control and exploitation. The latter +consideration is presumably the more cogent, since the Imperial +establishment in question is already, by ancient habit, familiar with +the method of control by class and privilege; and, indeed, unfamiliar +with any other method. Such a government, which governs without +effectual advice or formal consent of the governed, will almost +necessarily rest its control of the country on an interested class, of +sufficient strength and bound by sufficiently grave interest to abet the +Imperial establishment effectually in all its adventures and +enterprises. + +But such a privileged order, that is to be counted in to share dynastic +usufruct and liabilities, in good days and evil, will be of a +feudalistic complexion rather than something after the fashion of a +modern business community doing business by investment and pecuniary +finesse. It would still be a reasonable expectation that discrimination +between pecuniary classes should fall away under this projected alien +tutelage; more particularly all such discrimination as is designed to +benefit any given class or interest at the cost of the whole, as, e.g., +protective tariffs, monopolistic concessions and immunities, engrossing +of particular lines of material resources, and the like. + +The character of the economic policy to be pursued should not be +difficult of apprehension, if only these underlying peoples are +conceived as an estate in tail within the dynastic line of descent. The +Imperial establishment which so is prospectively to take over the +surveillance of these modern peoples under this projected enterprise in +dominion, may all the more readily be conceived as handling its new and +larger resources somewhat unreservedly as an estate to be administered +with a shrewd eye to the main chance, since such has always been its +relation to the peoples and territories whose usufruct it already +enjoys. It is only that the circumstances of the case will admit a freer +and more sagacious application of those principles of usufruct that lie +at the root of the ancient Culture of the Fatherland. + + * * * * * + +This excessively long, and yet incomplete, review of the presumptive +material advantages to accrue to the common man under a regime of peace +by unconditional surrender to an alien dynasty, brings the argument +apparently to the conclusion that such an eventuality might be fortunate +rather than the reverse; or at least that it has its compensations, even +if it is not something to be desired. Such should particularly appear to +be the presumption in case one is at all inclined to make much of the +cultural gains to be brought in under the new regime. And more +particularly should a policy of non-resistant submission to the +projected new order seem expedient in view of the exceedingly high, not +to say prohibitive, cost of resistance, or even of materially retarding +its fulfillment. + + + + +CHAPTER V + +PEACE AND NEUTRALITY + + +Considered simply on the face of the tangible material interests +involved, the choice of the common man in these premises should seem +very much of a foregone conclusion, if he could persuade himself to a +sane and perspicuous consideration of these statistically apparent +merits of the case alone. It is at least safely to be presumed that he +has nothing to lose, in a material way, and there is reason to look for +some slight gain in creature comforts and in security of life and limb, +consequent upon the elimination, or at least the partial +disestablishment, of pecuniary necessity as the sole bond and criterion +of use and wont in economic concerns. + +But man lives not by bread alone. In point of fact, and particularly as +touches the springs of action among that common run that do not +habitually formulate their aspirations and convictions in extended and +grammatically defensible documentary form, and the drift of whose +impulses therefore is not masked or deflected by the illusive +consistencies of set speech,--as touches the common run, particularly, +it will hold true with quite an unacknowledged generality that the +material means of life are, after all, means only; and that when the +question of what things are worth while is brought to the final test, it +is not these means, nor the life conditioned on these means, that are +seen to serve as the decisive criterion; but always it is some +ulterior, immaterial end, in the pursuit of which these material means +find their ulterior ground of valuation. Neither the overt testimony nor +the circumstantial evidence to this effect is unequivocal; but seen in +due perspective, and regard being had chiefly to the springs of +concerted action as shown in any massive movement of this common run of +mankind, there is, after all, little room to question that the things +which commend themselves as indefeasibly worth while are the things of +the human spirit. + +These ideals, aspirations, aims, ends of endeavour, are by no means of a +uniform or homogeneous character throughout the modern communities, +still less throughout the civilised world, or throughout the checkered +range of classes and conditions of men; but, with such frequency and +amplitude that it must be taken as a major premise in any attempted +insight into human behaviour, it will hold true that they are of a +spiritual, immaterial nature. + +The caution may, parenthetically, not be out of place, that this +characterisation of the ulterior springs of action as essentially not of +the nature of creature comforts, need be taken in no wider extension +than that which so is specifically given it. It will be found to apply +as touches the conduct of the common run; what modification of it might +be required to make it at all confidently applicable to the case of one +and another of those classes into whose scheme of life creature comforts +enter with more pronounced effect may be more of a delicate point. But +since it is the behaviour, and the grounds of behaviour, of the common +run that are here in question, the case of their betters in this respect +may conveniently be left on one side. + +The question in hand touches the behavior of the common man, taken in +the aggregate, in face of the quandary into which circumstances have led +him; since the question of what these modern peoples will do is after +all a question of what the common man in the aggregate will do, of his +own motion or by persuasion. His betters may be in a position to guide, +persuade, cajole, mislead, and victimise him; for among the many +singular conceits that beset the common man is the persuasion that his +betters are in some way better than he, wiser, more beneficent. But the +course that may so be chosen, with or without guidance or persuasion +from the superior classes, as well as the persistence and energy with +which this course is pursued, is conditioned on the frame of mind of the +common run. + +Just what will be the nature and the concrete expression of these ideal +aspirations that move the common run is a matter of habitual +preconceptions; and habits of thought vary from one people to another +according to the diversity of experience to which they have been +exposed. Among the Western nations the national prestige has come to +seem worth while as an ulterior end, perhaps beyond all else that is +comprised in the secular scheme of things desirable to be had or to be +achieved. And in the apprehension of such of them as have best preserved +the habits of thought induced by a long experience in feudal subjection, +the service of the sovereign or the dynasty still stands over as the +substantial core of the cultural scheme, upon which sentiment and +endeavour converge. In the past ages of the democratic peoples, as well +as in the present-day use and wont among subjects of the dynastic +States--as e.g., Japan or Germany--men are known to have resolutely +risked, and lost, their life for the sake of the sovereign's renown, or +even to save the sovereign's life; whereas, of course, even the +slightest and most nebulous reflection would make it manifest that in +point of net material utility the sovereign's decease is an idle matter +as compared with the loss of an able-bodied workman. The sovereign may +always be replaced, with some prospect of public advantage, or failing +that, it should be remarked that a regency or inter-regnum will commonly +be a season of relatively economical administration. Again, religious +enthusiasm, and the furtherance of religious propaganda, may come to +serve the same general purpose as these secular ideals, and will perhaps +serve it just as well. Certain "principles," of personal liberty and of +opportunity for creative self-direction and an intellectually worthy +life, perhaps may also become the idols of the people, for which they +will then be willing to risk their material fortune; and where this has +happened, as among the democratic peoples of Christendom, it is not +selfishly for their own personal opportunity to live untroubled under +the light of these high principles that these opinionated men are ready +to contend, but rather impersonally for the human right which under +these principles is the due of all mankind, and particularly of the +incoming and of later generations. + +On these and the like intangible ends the common man is set with such +inveterate predilection that he will, on provocation, stick at nothing +to put the project through. For such like ends the common man will lay +down his life; at least, so they say. There may always be something of +rhetorical affectation in it all; but, after all, there is sufficient +evidence to hand of such substance and tenacity in the common man's hold +on these ideal aspirations, on these idols of his human spirit, as to +warrant the assertion that he is, rather commonly, prepared to go to +greater lengths in the furtherance of these immaterial gains that are to +inure to someone else than for any personal end of his own, in the way +of creature comforts or even of personal renown. + +For such ends the common man, in democratic Christendom is, on +provocation, willing to die; or again, the patient and perhaps more +far-seeing common man of pagan China is willing to live for these idols +of an inveterate fancy, through endless contumely and hard usage. The +conventional Chinese preconceptions, in the way of things that are worth +while in their own right, appear to differ from those current in the +Occident in such a way that the preconceived ideal is not to be realised +except by way of continued life. The common man's accountability to the +cause of humanity, in China, is of so intimately personal a character +that he can meet it only by tenaciously holding his place in the +sequence of generations; whereas among the peoples of Christendom there +has arisen out of their contentious past a preconception to the effect +that this human duty to mankind is of the nature of a debt, which can be +cancelled by bankruptcy proceedings, so that the man who unprofitably +dies fighting for the cause has thereby constructively paid the +reckoning in full. + +Evidently, if the common man of these modern nations that are +prospectively to be brought under tutelage of the Imperial government +could be brought to the frame of mind that is habitual with his Chinese +counterpart, there should be a fair hope that pacific counsels would +prevail and that Christendom would so come in for a regime of peace by +submission under this Imperial tutelage. But there are always these +preconceptions of self-will and insubordination to be counted with +among these nations, and there is the ancient habit of a contentious +national solidarity in defense of the nation's prestige, more urgent +among these peoples than any sentiment of solidarity with mankind at +large, or any ulterior gain in civilisation that might come of continued +discipline in the virtues of patience and diligence under distasteful +circumstances. + +The occidental conception of manhood is in some considerable measure +drawn in negative terms. So much so that whenever a question of the +manly virtues comes under controversy it presently appears that at least +the indispensable minimum, and indeed the ordinary marginal modicum, of +what is requisite to a worthy manner of life is habitually formulated in +terms of what not. This appearance is doubtless misleading if taken +without the universally understood postulate on the basis of which +negative demands are formulated. There is a good deal of what would be +called historical accident in all this. The indispensable demands of +this modern manhood take the form of refusal to obey extraneous +authority on compulsion; of exemption from coercive direction and +subservience; of insubordination, in short. But it is always understood +as a matter of course that this insubordination is a refusal to submit +to irresponsible or autocratic rule. Stated from the positive side it +would be freedom from restraint by or obedience to any authority not +constituted by express advice and consent of the governed. And as near +as it may be formulated, when reduced to the irreducible minimum of +concrete proviso, this is the final substance of things which neither +shame nor honour will permit the modern civilised man to yield. To no +arrangement for the abrogation of this minimum of free initiative and +self-direction will he consent to be a party, whether it touches the +conditions of life for his own people who are to come after, or as +touches the fortunes of such aliens as are of a like mind on this head +and are unable to make head against invasion of these human rights from +outside. + +As has just been remarked, the negative form so often taken by these +demands is something of an historical accident, due to the fact that +these modern peoples came into their highly esteemed system of Natural +Liberty out of an earlier system of positive checks on self-direction +and initiative; a system, in effect, very much after the fashion of that +Imperial jurisdiction that still prevails in the dynastic States--as, +e.g., Germany or Japan--whose projected dominion is now the immediate +object of apprehension and repugnance. How naively the negative +formulation gained acceptance, and at the same time how intrinsic to the +new dispensation was the aspiration for free initiative, appears in the +confident assertion of its most genial spokesman, that when these +positive checks are taken away, "The simple and obvious system of +Natural Liberty establishes itself of its own accord." + +The common man, in these modern communities, shows a brittle temper when +any overt move is made against this heritage of civil liberty. He may +not be altogether well advised in respect of what liberties he will +defend and what he will submit to; but the fact is to be counted with in +any projected peace, that there is always this refractory residue of +terms not open to negotiation or compromise. Now it also happens, also +by historical accident, that these residual principles of civil liberty +have come to blend and coalesce with a stubborn preconception of +national integrity and national prestige. So that in the workday +apprehension of the common man, not given to analytic excursions, any +infraction of the national integrity or any abatement of the national +prestige has come to figure as an insufferable infringement on his +personal liberty and on those principles of humanity that make up the +categorical articles of the secular creed of Christendom. The fact may +be patent on reflection that the common man's substantial interest in +the national integrity is slight and elusive, and that in sober common +sense the national prestige has something less than a neutral value to +him; but this state of the substantially pertinent facts is not greatly +of the essence of the case, since his preconceptions in these premises +do not run to that effect, and since they are of too hard and fast a +texture to suffer any serious abatement within such a space of time as +can come in question here and now. + + * * * * * + +The outlook for a speedy settlement of the world's peace on a plan of +unconditional surrender to the projected Imperial dominion seems +unpromisingly dubious, in view of the stubborn temper shown by these +modern peoples wherever their preconceived ideas of right and honest +living appear to be in jeopardy; and the expediency of entering into any +negotiated compact of diplomatic engagements and assurances designed to +serve as groundwork to an eventual enterprise of that kind must +therefore also be questionable in a high degree. It is even doubtful if +any allowance of time can be counted on to bring these modern peoples to +a more reasonable, more worldly-wise, frame of mind; so that they would +come to see their interest in such an arrangement, or would divest +themselves of their present stubborn and perhaps fantastic prejudice +against an autocratic regime of the kind spoken for. At least for the +present any such hope of a peaceable settlement seems illusive. What +may be practicable in this way in the course of time is of course still +more obscure; but argument on the premises which the present affords +does not point to a substantially different outcome in the calculable +future. + +For the immediate future--say, within the life-time of the oncoming +generation--the spiritual state of the peoples concerned in this +international quandary is not likely to undergo so radical a change as +to seriously invalidate an argument that proceeds on the present lie of +the land in this respect. Preconceptions are a work of habit impinging +on a given temperamental bent; and where, as in these premises, the +preconceptions have taken on an institutionalised form, have become +conventionalised and commonly accepted, and so have been woven into the +texture of popular common sense, they must needs be a work of protracted +and comprehensive habituation impinging on a popular temperamental bent +of so general a prevalence that it may be called congenital to the +community at large. A heritable bent pervading the group within which +inheritance runs, does not change, so long as the racial complexion of +the group remains passably intact; a conventionalised, commonly +established habit of mind will change only slowly, commonly not without +the passing of at least one generation, and only by grace of a +sufficiently searching and comprehensive discipline of experience. For +good or ill, the current situation is to be counted on not to lose +character over night or with a revolution of the seasons, so far as +concerns these spiritual factors that make or mar the fortunes of +nations. + +At the same time these spiritual assets, being of the nature of habit, +are also bound to change character more or less radically, by insensible +shifting of ground, but incontinently,--provided only that the +conditions of life, and therefore the discipline of experience, undergo +any substantial change. So the immediate interest shifts to the +presumptive rate and character of those changes that are in prospect, +due to the unremitting change of circumstances under which these modern +peoples live and to the discipline of which they are unavoidably +exposed. For the present and for the immediate future the current state +of things is a sufficiently stable basis of argument; but assurance as +to the sufficiency of the premises afforded by the current state of +things thins out in proportion as the perspective of the argument runs +out into the succeeding years. The bearing of it all is two-fold, of +course. This progressive, cumulative habituation under changing +circumstances affects the case both of those democratic peoples whose +fortunes are in the hazard, and also of those dynastic States by whom +the projected enterprise in dominion is to be carried into effect. + + * * * * * + +The case of the two formidable dynastic States whose names have been +coupled together in what has already been said is perhaps the more +immediately interesting in the present connection. As matters stand, and +in the measure in which they continue so to stand, the case of these is +in no degree equivocal. The two dynastic establishments seek dominion, +and indeed they seek nothing else, except incidentally to and in +furtherance of the main quest. As has been remarked before, it lies in +the nature of a dynastic State to seek dominion, that being the whole of +its nature in so far as it runs true to form. But a dynastic State, like +any other settled, institutionalised community of men, rests on and +draws its effectual driving force from the habit of mind of its +underlying community, the common man in the aggregate, his +preconceptions and ideals as to what things are worth while. Without a +suitable spiritual ground of this kind such a dynastic State passes out +of the category of formidable Powers and into that of precarious +despotism. + +In both of the two States here in question the dynastic establishment +and its bodyguard of officials and gentlefolk may be counted on to +persevere in the faith that now animates them, until an uneasy +displacement of sentiment among the underlying populace may in time +induce them judiciously to shift their footing. Like the ruling classes +elsewhere, they are of a conservative temper and may be counted on so to +continue. They are also not greatly exposed to the discipline of +experience that makes for adaptive change in habits of life, and +therefore in the correlated habits of thought. It is always the common +man that is effectually reached by any exacting or wide-reaching change +in the conditions of life. He is relatively unsheltered from any forces +that make for adaptive change, as contrasted with the case of his +betters; and however sluggish and reluctant may be his response to such +discipline as makes for a displacement of outworn preconceptions, yet it +is always out of the mass of this common humanity that those movements +of disaffection and protest arise, which lead, on occasion, to any +material realignment of the institutional fabric or to any substantial +shift in the line of policy to be pursued under the guidance of their +betters. + +The common mass of humanity, it may be said in parenthesis, is of course +not a homogeneous body. Uncommon men, in point of native gifts of +intelligence, sensibility, or personal force, will occur as frequently, +in proportion to the aggregate numbers, among the common mass as among +their betters. Since in any one of these nations of Christendom, with +their all-inclusive hybridisation, the range, frequency and amplitude of +variations in hereditary endowment is the same throughout all classes. +Class differentiation is a matter of habit and convention; and in +distinction from his betters the common man is common only in point of +numbers and in point of the more general and more exacting conditions to +which he is exposed. He is in a position to be more hardly ridden by the +discipline of experience, and is at the same time held more consistently +to such a body of preconceptions, and to such changes only in this body +of preconceptions, as fall in with the drift of things in a larger mass +of humanity. But all the while it is the discipline which impinges on +the sensibilities of this common mass that shapes the spiritual attitude +and temper of the community and so defines what may and what may not be +undertaken by the constituted leaders. So that, in a way, these dynastic +States are at the mercy of that popular sentiment whose creatures they +are, and are subject to undesired changes of direction and efficiency in +their endeavors, contingent on changes in the popular temper; over which +they have only a partial, and on the whole a superficial control. + +A relatively powerful control and energetic direction of the popular +temper is and has been exercised by these dynastic establishments, with +a view to its utilisation in the pursuit of the dynastic enterprise; and +much has visibly been accomplished in that way; chiefly, perhaps, by +military discipline in subordination to personal authority, and also by +an unsparing surveillance of popular education, with a view to fortify +the preconceptions handed down from the passing order as well as to +eliminate all subversive innovation. Yet in spite of all the +well-conceived and shrewdly managed endeavors of the German Imperial +system in this direction, e.g., there has been evidence of an obscurely +growing uneasiness, not to say disaffection, among the underlying mass. +So much so that hasty observers, and perhaps biased, have reached the +inference that one of the immediate contributory causes that led to the +present war was the need of a heroic remedy to correct this untoward +drift of sentiment. + +For the German people the government of the present dynastic incumbent +has done all that could (humanly speaking) be expected in the way of +endeavoring to conserve the passing order and to hold the popular +imagination to the received feudalistic ideals of loyal service. And yet +the peoples of the Empire are already caught in the net of that newer +order which they are now endeavoring to break by force of arms. They are +inextricably implicated in the cultural complex of Christendom; and +within this Western culture those peoples to whom it fell to lead the +exodus out of the Egypt of feudalism have come quite naturally to set +the pace in all the larger conformities of civilised life. Within the +confines of Christendom today, for good or ill, whatever usage or +customary rule of conduct falls visibly short of the precedent set by +these cultural pioneers is felt to fall beneath the prescriptive +commonplace level of civilisation. Failure to adopt and make use of +those tried institutional expedients on which these peoples of the +advance guard have set their mark of authentication is today +presumptively a mistake and an advantage foregone; and a people who are +denied the benefit of these latterday ways and means of civic life are +uneasy with a sense of grievance at the hands of their rulers. Besides +which, the fashion in articles of institutional equipage so set by the +authentic pioneers of culture has also come to be mandatory, as a +punctilio of the governmental proprieties; so that no national +establishment which aspires to a decorous appearance in the eyes of the +civilised world can longer afford to be seen without them. The forms at +least must be observed. Hence the "representative" and +pseudo-representative institutions of these dynastic States. + +These dynastic States among the rest have partly followed the dictates +of civilised fashion, partly yielded to the, more or less intelligent, +solicitations of their subjects, or the spokesmen of their subjects, and +have installed institutional apparatus of this modern pattern--more in +point of form than of substance, perhaps. Yet in time the adoption of +the forms is likely to have an effect, if changing circumstances favor +their taking effect. Such has on the whole been the experience of those +peoples who have gone before along this trail of political advance. As +instance the growth of discretionary powers under the hands of +parliamentary representatives in those cases where the movement has gone +on longest and farthest; and these instances should not be considered +idle, as intimations of what may presumptively be looked for under the +Imperial establishments of Germany or Japan. It may be true that +hitherto, along with the really considerable volume of imitative +gestures of discretionary deliberation delegated to these parliamentary +bodies, they have as regards all graver matters brought to their notice +only been charged with a (limited) power to talk. It may be true that, +for the present, on critical or weighty measures the parliamentary +discretion extends no farther than respectfully to say: "_Ja wohl_!" But +then, _Ja wohl_ is also something; and there is no telling where it may +all lead to in the long course of years. One has a vague apprehension +that this "_Ja wohl_!" may some day come to be a customarily necessary +form of authentication, so that with-holding it (_Behuet' es Gott_!) may +even come to count as an effectual veto on measures so pointedly +neglected. More particularly will the formalities of representation and +self-government be likely to draw the substance of such like "free +institutions" into the effectual conduct of public affairs if it turns +out that the workday experiences of these people takes a turn more +conducive to habits of insubordination than has been the case hitherto. + +Indications are, again, not wanting, that even in the Empire the +discipline of workday experience is already diverging from that line +that once trained the German subjects into the most loyal and unrepining +subservience to dynastic ambitions. Of course, just now, under the +shattering impact of warlike atrocities and patriotic clamour, the +workday spirit of insubordination and critical scrutiny is gone out of +sight and out of hearing. + +Something of this inchoate insubordination has showed itself repeatedly +during the present reign, sufficient to provoke many shrewd protective +measures on the side of the dynastic establishment, both by way of +political strategy and by arbitrary control. Disregarding many minor and +inconsequential divisions of opinion and counsel among the German people +during this eventful reign, the political situation has been moving on +the play of three, incipiently divergent, strains of interest and +sentiment: (a) the dynasty (together with the Agrarians, of whom in a +sense the dynasty is a part); (b) the businessmen, or commercial +interest (including investors); and (c) the industrial workmen. +Doubtless it would be easier to overstate than to indicate with any nice +precision what has been the nature, and especially the degree, of this +alienation of sentiment and divergence of conscious interest among these +several elements. It is not that there has at any point been a +perceptible faltering in respect of loyalty to the crown as such. But +since the crown belongs, by origin, tradition, interest and spiritual +identity, in the camp of the Agrarians, the situation has been such as +would inevitably take on a character of disaffection toward the dynastic +establishment, in the conceivable absence of that strong surviving +sentiment of dynastic loyalty that still animates all classes and +conditions of men in the Fatherland. It would accordingly, again, be an +overstatement to say that the crown has been standing precariously at +the apex of a political triangle, the other two corners of which are +occupied by these two divided and potentially recalcitrant elements of +the body politic, held apart by class antipathy and divergent pecuniary +interest, and held in check by divided counsels; but something after +that fashion is what would have resulted under similar conditions of +strain in any community where the modern spirit of insubordination has +taken effect in any large measure. + +Both of these elements of incipient disturbance in the dynastic economy, +the modern commercial and working classes, are creatures of the new era; +and they are systematically out of line with the received dynastic +tradition of fealty, both in respect of their pecuniary interests and in +respect of that discipline of experience to which their workday +employment subjects them. They are substantially the same two classes or +groupings that came forward in the modernisation of the British +community, with a gradual segregation of interest and a consequent +induced solidarity of class sentiment and class animosities. But with +the difference that in the British case the movement of changing +circumstances was slow enough to allow a fair degree of habituation to +the altered economic conditions; whereas in the German case the move +into modern economic conditions has been made so precipitately as to +have carried the mediaeval frame of mind over virtually intact into this +era of large business and machine industry. In the Fatherland the +commercial and industrial classes have been called on to play their part +without time to learn their lines. + +The case of the English-speaking peoples, who have gone over this course +of experience in more consecutive fashion than any others, teaches that +in the long run, if these modern economic conditions persist, one or the +other or both of these creatures of the modern era must prevail, and +must put the dynastic establishment out of commission; although the +sequel has not yet been seen in this British case, and there is no +ground afforded for inference as to which of the two will have the +fortune to survive and be invested with the hegemony. Meantime the +opportunity of the Imperial establishment to push its enterprise in +dominion lies in the interval of time so required for the discipline of +experience under modern conditions to work out through the growth of +modern habits of thought into such modern (i.e. civilised) institutional +forms and such settled principles of personal insubordination as will +put any effectual dynastic establishment out of commission. The same +interval of time, that must so be allowed for the decay of the dynastic +spirit among the German people under the discipline of life by the +methods of modern trade and industry, marks the period during which no +peace compact will be practicable, except with the elimination of the +Imperial establishment as a possible warlike power. All this, of +course, applies to the case of Japan as well, with the difference that +while the Japanese people are farther in arrears, they are also a +smaller, less formidable body, more exposed to outside forces, and their +mediaevalism is of a more archaic and therefore more precarious type. + +What length of time will be required for this decay of the dynastic +spirit among the people of the Empire is, of course, impossible to say. +The factors of the case are not of a character to admit anything like +calculation of the rate of movement; but in the nature of the factors +involved it is also contained that something of a movement in this +direction is unavoidable, under Providence. As a preliminary +consideration, these peoples of the Empire and its allies, as well as +their enemies in the great war, will necessarily come out of their +warlike experience in a more patriotic and more vindictive frame of mind +than that in which they entered on this adventure. Fighting makes for +malevolence. The war is itself to be counted as a set-back. A very large +proportion of those who have lived through it will necessarily carry a +warlike bent through life. By that much, whatever it may count for, the +decay of the dynastic spirit--or the growth of tolerance and equity in +national sentiment, if one chooses to put it that way--will be retarded +from beforehand. So also the Imperial establishment, or whatever is left +of it, may be counted on to do everything in its power to preserve the +popular spirit of loyalty and national animosity, by all means at its +disposal; since the Imperial establishment finally rests on the +effectual body of national animosity. What hindrance will come in from +this agency of retardation can at least vaguely be guessed at, in the +light of what has been accomplished in that way under the strenuously +reactionary rule of the present reign. + +Again, there is the chance, as there always is a chance of human folly, +that the neighboring peoples will undertake, whether jointly or +severally, to restrict or prohibit trade relations between the people of +the Empire and their enemies in the present war; thereby fomenting +international animosity, as well as contributing directly to the +economic readiness for war both on their own part and on that of the +Empire. This is also, and in an eminent degree, an unknown factor in the +case, on which not even a reasonable guess can be made beforehand. These +are, all and several, reactionary agencies, factors of retardation, +making for continuation of the current international situation of +animosity, distrust, chicane, trade rivalry, competitive armament, and +eventual warlike enterprise. + + * * * * * + +To offset these agencies of conservatism there is nothing much that can +be counted on but that slow, random, and essentially insidious working +of habituation that tends to the obsolescence of the received +preconceptions; partly by supplanting them with something new, but more +effectually by their falling into disuse and decay. There is, it will +have to be admitted, little of a positive character that can be done +toward the installation of a regime of peace and good-will. The +endeavours of the pacifists should suffice to convince any dispassionate +observer of the substantial futility of creative efforts looking to such +an end. Much can doubtless be done in the way of precautionary measures, +mostly of a negative character, in the way especially of removing +sources of infection and (possibly) of so sterilising the apparatus of +national life that its working shall neither maintain animosities and +interests at variance with the conditions of peace nor contribute to +their spread and growth. + +There is necessarily little hope or prospect that any national +establishment will contribute materially or in any direct way to the +obsolescence of warlike sentiments and ambitions; since such +establishments are designed for the making of war by keeping national +jealousies intact, and their accepted place in affairs is that of +preparation for eventual hostilities, defensive or offensive. Except for +the contingency of eventual hostilities, no national establishment could +be kept in countenance. They would all fall into the decay of desuetude, +just as has happened to the dynastic establishments among those peoples +who have (passably) lost the spirit of dynastic aggression. + +The modern industrial occupations, the modern technology, and that +modern empirical science that runs so close to the frontiers of +technology, all work at cross purposes with the received preconceptions +of the nationalist order; and in a more pronounced degree they are at +cross purposes with that dynastic order of preconceptions that converges +on Imperial dominion. The like is true, with a difference, of the ways, +means and routine of business enterprise as it is conducted in the +commercialised communities of today. The working of these agencies runs +to this effect not by way of deliberate and destructive antagonism, but +almost wholly by force of systematic, though unintended and incidental, +neglect of those values, standards, verities, and grounds of +discrimination and conviction that make up the working realities of the +national spirit and of dynastic ambition. The working concepts of this +new, essentially mechanistic, order of human interests, do not +necessarily clash with those of the old order, essentially the order of +personages and personalities; the two are incommensurable, and they are +incompatible only in the sense and degree implied in that state of the +case. The profoundest and most meritorious truths of dynastic politics +can on no provocation and by no sleight of hand be brought within the +logic of that system of knowledge and appraisal of values by which the +mechanistic technology proceeds. Within the premises of this modern +mechanistic industry and science all the best values and verities of the +dynastic order are simply "incompetent, irrelevant and impertinent." + +There is accordingly no unavoidable clash and no necessary friction +between the two schemes of knowledge or the two habits of mind that +characterise the two contrasted cultural eras. It is only that a given +individual--call him the common man--will not be occupied with both of +these incommensurable systems of logic and appreciation at the same time +or bearing on the same point; and further that in proportion as his +waking hours and his mental energy are fully occupied within the lines +of one of these systems of knowledge, design and employment, in much the +same measure he will necessarily neglect the other, and in time he will +lose proficiency and interest in its pursuits and its conclusions. The +man who is so held by his daily employment and his life-long attention +within the range of habits of thought that are valid in the mechanistic +technology, will, on an average and in the long run, lose his grip on +the spiritual virtues of national prestige and dynastic primacy; "for +they are foolishness unto him; neither can he know them, because they +are spiritually discerned." + +Not that the adepts in this modern mechanistic system of knowledge and +design may not also be very good patriots and devoted servants of the +dynasty. The artless and, on the whole, spontaneous riot of dynastic +avidity displayed to the astonished eyes of their fellow craftsmen in +the neutral countries by the most eminent scientists of the Fatherland +during the early months of the war should be sufficient warning that the +archaic preconceptions do not hurriedly fly out of the window when the +habits of thought of the mechanistic order come in at the door. But with +the passage of time, pervasively, by imperceptible displacement, by the +decay of habitual disuse, as well as by habitual occupation with these +other and unrelated ways and means of knowledge and belief, dynastic +loyalty and the like conceptions in the realm of religion and magic pass +out of the field of attention and fall insensibly into the category of +the lost arts. Particularly will this be true of the common man, who +lives, somewhat characteristically, in the mass and in the present, and +whose waking hours are somewhat fully occupied with what he has to do. + +With the commercial interests the Imperial establishment can probably +make such terms as to induce their support of the dynastic enterprise, +since they can apparently always be made to believe that an extension of +the Imperial dominion will bring correspondingly increased opportunities +of trade. It is doubtless a mistake, but it is commonly believed by the +interested parties, which is just as good for the purpose as if it were +true. And it should be added that in this, as in other instances of the +quest of larger markets, the costs are to be paid by someone else than +the presumed commercial beneficiaries; which brings the matter under the +dearest principle known to businessmen: that of getting something for +nothing. It will not be equally easy to keep the affections of the +common man loyal to the dynastic enterprise when he begins to lose his +grip on the archaic faith in dynastic dominion and comes to realise that +he has also--individually and in the mass--no material interest even in +the defense of the Fatherland, much less in the further extension of +Imperial rule. + +But the time when this process of disillusionment and decay of ideals +shall have gone far enough among the common run to afford no secure +footing in popular sentiment for the contemplated Imperial +enterprise,--this time is doubtless far in the future, as compared with +the interval of preparation required for a new onset. Habituation takes +time, particularly such habituation as can be counted on to derange the +habitual bent of a great population in respect of their dearest +preconceptions. It will take a very appreciable space of time even in +the case of a populace so accessible to new habits of thought as the +German people are by virtue of their slight percentage of illiteracy, +the very large proportion engaged in those modern industries that +constantly require some intelligent insight into mechanistic facts, the +density of population and the adequate means of communication, and the +extent to which the whole population is caught in the web of +mechanically standardised processes that condition their daily life at +every turn. As regards their technological situation, and their exposure +to the discipline of industrial life, no other population of nearly the +same volume is placed in a position so conducive to a rapid acquirement +of the spirit of the modern era. But, also, no other people comparable +with the population of the Fatherland has so large and well-knit a body +of archaic preconceptions to unlearn. Their nearest analogue, of course, +is the Japanese nation. + +In all this there is, of course, no inclination to cast a slur on the +German people. In point of racial characteristics there is no difference +between them and their neighbours. And there is no reason to question +their good intentions. Indeed, it may safely be asserted that no people +is more consciously well-meaning than the children of the Fatherland. It +is only that, with their archaic preconceptions of what is right and +meritorious, their best intentions spell malevolence when projected into +the civilised world as it stands today. And by no fault of theirs. Nor +is it meant to be intimated that their rate of approach to the accepted +Occidental standard of institutional maturity will be unduly slow or +unduly reluctant, so soon as the pertinent facts of modern life begin +effectively to shape their habits of thought. It is only that, human +nature--and human second nature--being what it always has been, the rate +of approach of the German people to a passably neutral complexion in +matters of international animosity and aggression must necessarily be +slow enough to allow ample time for the renewed preparation of a more +unsparing and redoubtable endeavour on the part of the Imperial +establishment. + +What makes this German Imperial establishment redoubtable, beyond +comparison, is the very simple but also very grave combination of +circumstances whereby the German people have acquired the use of the +modern industrial arts in the highest state of efficiency, at the same +time that they have retained unabated the fanatical loyalty of feudal +barbarism.[9] So long, and in so far, as this conjunction of forces +holds there is no outlook for peace except on the elimination of +Germany as a power capable of disturbing the peace. + +[Footnote 9: For an extended discussion of this point, see _Imperial +Germany and the Industrial Revolution_, especially ch. v. and vi.] + +It may seem invidious to speak so recurrently of the German Imperial +establishment as the sole potential disturber of the peace in Europe. +The reason for so singling out the Empire for this invidious +distinction--of merit or demerit, as one may incline to take it--is that +the facts run that way. There is, of course, other human material, and +no small volume of it in the aggregate, that is of much the same +character, and serviceable for the same purposes as the resources and +man-power of the Empire. But this other material can come effectually +into bearing as a means of disturbance only in so far as it clusters +about the Imperial dynasty and marches under his banners. In so speaking +of the Imperial establishment as the sole enemy of a European peace, +therefore, these outlying others are taken for granted, very much as one +takes the nimbus for granted in speaking of one of the greater saints of +God. + + * * * * * + +So the argument returns to the alternative: Peace by unconditional +surrender and submission, or peace by elimination of Imperial Germany +(and Japan). There is no middle course apparent. The old-fashioned--that +is to say nineteenth-century--plan of competitive defensive armament and +a balance of powers has been tried, and it has not proved to be a +success, even so early in the twentieth century. This plan offers a +substitute (_Ersatz_) for peace; but even as such it has become +impracticable. The modern, or rather the current late-modern, state of +the industrial arts does not tolerate it. Technological knowledge has +thrown the advantage in military affairs definitively to the offensive, +particularly to the offensive that is prepared beforehand with the +suitable appliances and with men ready matured in that rigorous and +protracted training by which alone they can become competent to make +warlike use of these suitable appliances provided by the modern +technology. At the same time, and by grace of the same advance in +technology, any well-designed offensive can effectually reach any given +community, in spite of distance or of other natural obstacles. The era +of defensive armaments and diplomatic equilibration, as a substitute for +peace, has been definitively closed by the modern state of the +industrial arts. + +Of the two alternatives spoken of above, the former--peace by submission +under an alien dynasty--is presumably not a practicable solution, as has +appeared in the course of the foregoing argument. + +The modern nations are not spiritually ripe for it. Whether they have +reached even that stage of national sobriety, or neutrality, that would +enable them to live at peace among themselves after elimination of the +Imperial Powers is still open to an uneasy doubt. It would be by a +precarious margin that they can be counted on so to keep the peace in +the absence of provocation from without the pale. Their predilection for +peace goes to no greater lengths than is implied in the formula: Peace +with Honour; which assuredly does not cover a peace of non-resistance, +and which, in effect, leaves the distinction between an offensive and a +defensive war somewhat at loose ends. The national prestige is still a +live asset in the mind of these peoples; and the limit of tolerance in +respect of this patriotic animosity appears to be drawn appreciably +closer than the formula cited above would necessarily presume. They will +fight on provocation, and the degree of provocation required to upset +the serenity of these sportsmanlike modern peoples is a point on which +the shrewdest guesses may diverge. Still, opinion runs more and more +consistently to the effect that if these modern--say the French and the +English-speaking--peoples were left to their own devices the peace might +fairly be counted on to be kept between them indefinitely, barring +unforeseen contingencies. + +Experience teaches that warlike enterprise on a moderate scale and as a +side interest is by no means incompatible with such a degree of neutral +animus as these peoples have yet acquired,--e.g., the Spanish-American +war, which was made in America, or the Boer war, which was made in +England. But these wars, in spite of the dimensions which they presently +took on, were after all of the nature of episodes,--the one chiefly an +extension of sportsmanship, which engaged the best attention of only the +more sportsmanlike elements, the other chiefly engineered by certain +business interests with a callous view to getting something for nothing. +Both episodes came to be serious enough, both in their immediate +incidence and in their consequences; but neither commanded the +deliberate and cordial support of the community at large. There is a +meretricious air over both; and there is apparent a popular inclination +to condone rather than to take pride in these _faits accomplis_. The one +excursion was a product of sportsmanlike bravado, fed on boyish +exuberance, fomented for mercenary objects by certain business interests +and place-hunting politicians, and incited by meretricious newspapers +with a view to increase their circulation. The other was set afoot by +interested businessmen, backed by politicians, seconded by newspapers, +and borne by the community at large, in great part under +misapprehension and stung by wounded pride. + +Opinions will diverge widely as to the chances of peace in a community +of nations among whom episodes of this character, and of such +dimensions, have been somewhat more than tolerated in the immediate +past. But the consensus of opinion in these same countries appears to be +setting with fair consistency to the persuasion that the popular spirit +shown in these and in analogous conjunctures in the recent past gives +warrant that peace is deliberately desired and is likely to be +maintained, barring unforeseen contingencies. + + * * * * * + +In the large, the measures conducive to the perpetuation of peace, and +necessary to be taken, are simple and obvious; and they are largely of a +negative character, exploits of omission and neglect. Under modern +conditions, and barring aggression from without, the peace is kept by +avoiding the breaking of it. It does not break of itself,--in the +absence of such national establishments as are organised with the sole +ulterior view of warlike enterprise. A policy of peace is obviously a +policy of avoidance,--avoidance of offense and of occasion for +annoyance. + +What is required to insure the maintenance of peace among pacific +nations is the neutralisation of all those human relations out of which +international grievances are wont to arise. And what is necessary to +assure a reasonable expectation of continued peace is the neutralisation +of so much of these relations as the patriotic self-conceit and +credulity of these peoples will permit. These two formulations are by no +means identical; indeed, the disparity between what could advantageously +be dispensed with in the way of national rights and pretensions, and +what the common run of modern patriots could be induced to relinquish, +is probably much larger than any sanguine person would like to believe. +It should be plain on slight reflection that the greater part, indeed +substantially the whole, of those material interests and demands that +now engage the policy of the nations, and that serve on occasion to set +them at variance, might be neutralised or relinquished out of hand, +without detriment to any one of the peoples concerned. + +The greater part of these material interests over which the various +national establishments keep watch and hold pretensions are, in point of +historical derivation, a legacy from the princely politics of what is +called the "Mercantilist" period; and they are uniformly of the nature +of gratuitous interference or discrimination between the citizens of the +given nation and outsiders. Except (doubtfully) in the English case, +where mercantilist policies are commonly believed to have been adopted +directly for the benefit of the commercial interest, measures of this +nature are uniformly traceable to the endeavours of the crown and its +officers to strengthen the finances of the prince and give him an +advantage in warlike enterprise. They are kept up essentially for the +same eventual end of preparation for war. So, e.g., protective tariffs, +and the like discrimination in shipping, are still advocated as a means +of making the nation self-supporting, self-contained, self-sufficient; +with a view to readiness in the event of hostilities. + +A nation is in no degree better off in time of peace for being +self-sufficient. In point of patent fact no nation can be industrially +self-sufficient except at the cost of foregoing some of the economic +advantages of that specialisation of industry which the modern state of +the industrial arts enforces. In time of peace there is no benefit +comes to the community at large from such restraint of trade with the +outside world, or to any class or section of the community except those +commercial concerns that are favored by the discrimination; and these +invariably gain their special advantage at the cost of their +compatriots. Discrimination in trade--export, import or shipping--has no +more beneficial effect when carried out publicly by the national +authorities than when effected surreptitiously and illegally by a +private conspiracy in restraint of trade within a group of interested +business concerns. + +Hitherto the common man has found it difficult to divest himself of an +habitual delusion on this head, handed down out of the past and +inculcated by interested politicians, to the effect that in some +mysterious way he stands to gain by limiting his own opportunities. But +the neutralisation of international trade, or the abrogation of all +discrimination in trade, is the beginning of wisdom as touches the +perpetuation of peace. The first effect of such a neutral policy would +be wider and more intricately interlocking trade relations, coupled with +a further specialisation and mutual dependence of industry between the +several countries concerned; which would mean, in terms of international +comity, a lessened readiness for warlike operations all around. + +It used to be an argument of the free-traders that the growth of +international commercial relations under a free-trade policy would +greatly conduce to a spirit of mutual understanding and forbearance +between the nations. There may or may not be something appreciable in +the contention; it has been doubted, and there is no considerable +evidence to be had in support of it. But what is more to the point is +the tangible fact that such specialisation of industry and consequent +industrial interdependence would leave all parties to this relation less +capable, materially and spiritually, to break off amicable relations. So +again, in time of peace and except with a view to eventual hostilities, +it would involve no loss, and presumably little pecuniary gain, to any +country, locality, town or class, if all merchant shipping were +registered indiscriminately under neutral colors and sailed under the +neutral no-man's flag, responsible indiscriminately to the courts where +they touched or where their business was transacted. + +Neither producers, shippers, merchants nor consumers have any slightest +interest in the national allegiance of the carriers of their freight, +except such as may artificially be induced by discriminatory shipping +regulations. In all but the name--in time of peace--the world's merchant +shipping already comes near being so neutralised, and the slight further +simplification required to leave it on a neutral peace footing would be +little else than a neglect of such vexatious discrimination as is still +in force. If no nation could claim the allegiance, and therefore the +usufruct, of any given item of merchant shipping in case of eventual +hostilities, on account of the domicile of the owners or the port of +registry, that would create a further handicap on eventual warlike +enterprise and add so much to the margin of tolerance. At the same time, +in the event of hostilities, shipping sailing under the neutral no-man's +flag and subject to no national allegiance would enjoy such immunities +as still inure to neutral shipping. It is true, neutrality has not +carried many immunities lately. + +Cumulatively effective usage and the exigencies of a large, varied, +shifting and extensive maritime trade have in the course of time +brought merchant shipping to something approaching a neutral footing. +For most, one might venture to say for virtually all, routine purposes +of business and legal liability the merchant shipping comes under the +jurisdiction of the local courts, without reservation. It is true, there +still are formalities and reservations which enable questions arising +out of incidents in the shipping trade to become subject of +international conference and adjustment, but they are after all not such +as would warrant the erection of national apparatus to take care of them +in case they were not already covered by usage to that effect. The +visible drift of usage toward neutralisation in merchant shipping, in +maritime trade, and in international commercial transactions, together +with the similarly visible feasibility of a closer approach to +unreserved neutralisation of this whole range of traffic, suggests that +much the same line of considerations should apply as regards the +personal and pecuniary rights of citizens traveling or residing abroad. +The extreme,--or, as seen from the present point of view, the +ultimate--term in the relinquishment of national pretensions along this +line would of course be the neutralisation of citizenship. + +This is not so sweeping a move as a patriotically-minded person might +imagine on the first alarm, so far as touches the practical status of +the ordinary citizen in his ordinary relations, and particularly among +the English-speaking peoples. As an illustrative instance, citizenship +has sat somewhat lightly on the denizens of the American republic, and +with no evident damage to the community at large or to the inhabitants +in detail. Naturalisation has been easy, and has been sought with no +more eagerness, on the whole, than the notably low terms of its +acquirement would indicate. Without loss or discomfort many law-abiding +aliens have settled in this country and spent the greater part of a +life-time under its laws without becoming citizens, and no one the worse +or the wiser for it. Not infrequently the decisive inducement to +naturalisation on the part of immigrant aliens has been, and is, the +desirability of divesting themselves of their rights of citizenship in +the country of their origin. Not that the privilege and dignity of +citizenship, in this or in any other country, is to be held of little +account. It is rather that under modern civilised conditions, and among +a people governed by sentiments of humanity and equity, the stranger +within our gates suffers no obloquy and no despiteful usage for being a +stranger. It may be admitted that of late, with the fomentation of a +more accentuated nationalism by politicians seeking a _raison d'etre_, +additional difficulties have been created in the way of naturalisation +and the like incidents. Still, when all is told of the average American +citizen, _qua_ citizen, there is not much to tell. The like is true +throughout the English-speaking peoples, with inconsequential allowance +for local color. A definitive neutralisation of citizenship within the +range of these English-speaking countries would scarcely ripple the +surface of things as they are--in time of peace. + +All of which has not touched the sore and sacred spot in the received +scheme of citizenship and its rights and liabilities. It is in the event +of hostilities that the liabilities of the citizen at home come into the +foreground, and it is as a source of patriotic grievance looking to +warlike retaliation that the rights of the citizen abroad chiefly come +into the case. + +If, as was once, almost inaudibly, hinted by a well-regarded statesman, +the national establishment should refuse to jeopardise the public peace +for the safeguarding of the person and property of citizens who go out +_in partes infidelium_ on their own private concerns, and should so +leave them under the uncurbed jurisdiction of the authorities in those +countries into which they have intruded, the result might in many cases +be hardship to such individuals. This would, of course, be true almost +exclusively of such instances only as occur in such localities as are, +temporarily or permanently, outside the pale of modern law and order. +And, it may be in place to remark, instances of such hardship, with the +accompanying hazard of national complications, would, no doubt, greatly +diminish in frequency consequent upon the promulgation of such a +disclaimer of national responsibility for the continued well-being of +citizens who so expatriate themselves in the pursuit of their own +advantage or amusement. Meantime, let it not seem inconsiderate to +recall that to the community at large the deplorable case of such +expatriates under hardship involves no loss or gain in the material +respect; and that, except for the fortuitous circumstance of his being a +compatriot, the given individual's personal or pecuniary fortune in +foreign parts has no special claim on his compatriots' sympathy or +assistance; from which it follows also that with the definitive +neutralisation of citizenship as touches expatriates, the sympathy which +is now somewhat unintelligently confined to such cases, on what may +without offense be called extraneous grounds, would somewhat more +impartially and humanely extend to fellowmen in distress, regardless of +nativity or naturalisation. + +What is mainly to the point here, however, is the fact that if +citizenship were so neutralised within the range of neutral countries +here contemplated, one further source of provocation to international +jealousy and distrust would drop out of the situation. And it is not +easy to detect any element of material loss involved in such a move. In +the material respect no individual would be any the worse off, with the +doubtful and dubious exception of the expatriate fortune-hunter, who +aims to fish safely in troubled waters at his compatriots' expense. But +the case stands otherwise as regards the balance of immaterial assets. +The scaffolding of much highly-prized sentiment would collapse, and the +world of poetry and pageantry--particularly that of the tawdrier and +more vendible poetry and pageantry--would be poorer by so much. The Man +Without a Country would lose his pathetic appeal, or would at any rate +lose much of it. It may be, of course, that in the sequel there would +result no net loss even in respect of these immaterial assets of +sentimental animation and patriotic self-complacency, but it is after +all fairly certain that something would be lost, and it is by no means +clear what if anything would come in to fill its place. + +An historical parallel may help to illustrate the point. In the movement +out of what may be called the royal age of dynasties and chivalric +service, those peoples who have moved out of that age and out of its +spiritual atmosphere have lost much of the conscious magnanimity and +conviction of merit that once characterised that order of things, as it +still continues to characterise the prevalent habit of mind in the +countries that still continue under the archaic order of dynastic +mastery and service. But it is also to be noted that these peoples who +so have moved out of the archaic order appear to be well content with +this change of spiritual atmosphere, and they are even fairly well +persuaded, in the common run, that the move has brought them some net +gain in the way of human dignity and neighbourly tolerance, such as to +offset any loss incurred on the heroic and invidious side of life. Such +is the tempering force of habit. Whereas, e.g., on the other hand, the +peoples of these surviving dynastic States, to which it is necessary +continually to recur, who have not yet moved out of that realm of +heroics, find themselves unable to see anything in such a prospective +shift but net loss and headlong decay of the spirit; that modicum of +forbearance and equity that is requisite to the conduct of life in a +community of ungraded masterless men is seen by these stouter stomachs +as a loosening of the moral fiber and a loss of nerve. + + * * * * * + +What is here tentatively projected under the phrase, "neutralization of +citizenship," is only something a little more and farther along the same +general line of movement which these more modern peoples have been +following in all that sequence of institutional changes that has given +them their present distinctive character of commonwealths, as contrasted +with the dynastic States of the mediaeval order. What may be in +prospect--if such a further move away from the mediaeval landmarks is to +take effect--may best be seen in the light of the later moves in the +same direction hitherto, more particularly as regards the moral and +aesthetic merits at large of such an institutional mutation. As touches +this last previous shifting of ground along this line, just spoken of, +the case stands in this singular but significant posture, in respect of +the spiritual values and valuations involved: These peoples who have, +even in a doubtful measure, made this transition from the archaic +institutional scheme, of fealty and dynastic exploit and coercion, to +the newer scheme of the ungraded commonwealth, are convinced, to the +point of martyrdom, that anything like a return to the old order is +morally impossible as well as insufferably shameful and irksome; whereas +those people, of the retarded division of the race, who have had no +experience of this new order, are equally convinced that it is all quite +incompatible with a worthy life. + +Evidently, there should be no disputing about tastes. Evidently, too, +these retarded others will not move on into the later institutional +phase, of the ungraded commonwealth, by preconceived choice; but only, +if at all, by such schooling of experience as will bring them insensibly +to that frame of mind out of which the ideal of the ungraded +commonwealth emerges by easy generalisation of workday practice. +Meantime, having not yet experienced that phase of sentiment and opinion +on civic rights and immunities that is now occupied by their +institutionally maturer neighbours, the subjects of the Imperial +Fatherland, e.g., in spite of the most laudable intentions and the best +endeavour, are, by failure of this experience, unable to comprehend +either the ground of opposition to their well-meaning projects of +dominion or the futility of trying to convert these their elder brothers +to their own prescriptive acceptation of what is worth while. In time, +and with experience, this retarded division of Christendom may come to +the same perspective on matters of national usage and ideals as has been +enforced on the more modern peoples by farther habituation. So, also, in +time and with experience, if the drift of circumstance shall turn out to +set that way, the further move away from mediaeval discriminations and +constraint and into the unspectacular scheme of neutralisation may come +to seem as right, good and beautiful as the democratic commonwealth now +seems to the English-speaking peoples, or as the Hohenzollern Imperial +State now seems to the subjects of the Fatherland. There is, in effect, +no disputing about tastes. + +There is little that is novel, and nothing that is to be rated as +constructive innovation, in this sketch of what might not inaptly be +called peace by neglect. The legal mind, which commonly takes the +initiative in counsels on what to do, should scarcely be expected to +look in that direction for a way out, or to see its way out in that +direction in any case; so that it need occasion no surprise if the many +current projects of pacification turn on ingenious and elaborate +provisions of apparatus and procedure, rather than on that simpler line +of expedients which the drift of circumstance, being not possessed of a +legal mind, has employed in the sequence of institutional change +hitherto. The legal mind that dominates in the current deliberations on +peace is at home in exhaustive specifications and meticulous +demarkations, and it is therefore prone to seek a remedy for the burden +of supernumerary devices by recourse to further excesses of regulation. + +This trait of the legal mind is not a bad fault at the worst, and the +quality in which this defect inheres is of the greatest moment in any +project of constructive engineering on the legal and political plane. +But it is less to the purpose, indeed it is at cross purposes, in such a +conjuncture as the present; when the nations are held up in their quest +of peace chiefly by an accumulation of institutional apparatus that has +out-stayed its usefulness. It is the fortune even of good institutions +to become imbecile with the change of conditioning circumstances, and it +then becomes a question of their disestablishment, not of their +rehabilitation. If there is anywhere a safe negative conclusion, it is +that an institution grown mischievous by obsolescence need not be +replaced by a substitute. + +Instances of such mischievous institutional arrangements, obsolete or in +process of obsolescence, would be, e.g., the French monarchy of the +ancient regime, the Spanish Inquisition, the British corn laws and the +"rotten boroughs," the Barbary pirates, the Turkish rule in Armenia, the +British crown, the German Imperial Dynasty, the European balance of +powers, the Monroe Doctrine. In some sense, at least in the sense and +degree implied in their selective survival, these various articles of +institutional furniture, and many like them, have once presumably been +suitable to some end, in the days of their origin and vigorous growth; +and they have at least in some passable fashion met some felt want; but +if they ever had a place and use in the human economy they have in time +grown imbecile and mischievous by force of changing circumstances, and +the question is not how to replace them with something else to the same +purpose after their purpose is outworn. A man who loses a wart off the +end of his nose does not apply to the _Ersatz_ bureau for a convenient +substitute. + +Now, a large proportion, perhaps even substantially the whole, of the +existing apparatus of international rights, pretensions, +discriminations, covenants and provisos, visibly fall in that class, in +so far as concerns their material serviceability to the nation at large, +and particularly as regards any other than a warlike purpose, offensive +or defensive. Of course, the national dignity and diplomatic punctilio, +and the like adjuncts and instrumentalities of the national honour, all +have their prestige value; and they are not likely to be given up out of +hand. In point of fact, however solicitous for a lasting peace these +patriotically-minded modern peoples may be, it is doubtful if they could +be persuaded to give up any appreciable share of these appurtenances of +national jealousy even when their retention implies an imminent breach +of the peace. Yet it is plain that the peace will be secure in direct +proportion to the measure in which national discrimination and prestige +are allowed to pass into nothingness and be forgot. + + * * * * * + +By so much as it might amount to, such neutralisation of outstanding +interests between these pacific nations should bring on a degree of +coalescence of these nationalities. In effect, they are now held apart +in many respects by measures of precaution against their coming to a +common plan of use and wont. The degree of coalescence would scarcely be +extreme; more particularly it could not well become onerous, since it +would rest on convenience, inclination and the neglect of artificial +discrepancies. The more intimate institutions of modern life, that +govern human conduct locally and in detail, need not be affected, or not +greatly affected, for better or worse. Yet something appreciable in that +way might also fairly be looked for in time. + +The nature, reach and prescriptive force of this prospective coalescence +through neutralisation may perhaps best be appreciated in the light of +what has already come to pass, without design or mandatory guidance, in +those lines of human interest where the national frontiers interpose no +bar, or at least no decisive bar, whether by force of unconcern or +through impotence. Fashions of dress, equipage and decorous usage, e.g., +run with some uniformity throughout these modern nations, and indeed +with some degree of prescriptive force. There is, of course, nothing +mandatory, in the simpler sense, about all this; nor is the degree of +conformity extreme or uniform throughout. But it is a ready-made +generalisation that only those communities are incorporated in this +cosmopolitan coalescence of usage that are moved by their own +incitement, and only so far as they have an effectually felt need of +conformity in these premises. It is true, a dispassionate outsider, if +such there be, would perhaps be struck by the degree of such painstaking +conformity to canons of conduct which it frequently must cost serious +effort even to ascertain in such detail as the case calls for. +Doubtless, or at least presumably, conformity under the jurisdiction of +the fashions, and in related provinces of decorum, is obligatory in a +degree that need not be looked for throughout the scheme of use and wont +at large, even under the advisedly established non-interference of the +authorities. Still, on a point on which the evidence hitherto is +extremely scant it is the part of discretion to hold no settled opinion. + +A more promising line of suggestion is probably that afforded by the +current degree of contact and consistency among the modern nations in +respect of science and scholarship, as also in the aesthetic or the +industrial arts. Local color and local pride, with one thing and another +in the way of special incitement or inhibition, may come in to vary the +run of things, or to blur or hinder a common understanding and mutual +furtherance and copartnery in these matters of taste and intellect. Yet +it is scarcely misleading to speak of the peoples of Christendom as one +community in these respects. The sciences and the arts are held as a +joint stock among these peoples, in their elements, and measurably also +in their working-out. It is true, these interests and achievements of +the race are not cultivated with the same assiduity or with identical +effect throughout; but it is equally true that no effectual bar could +profitably be interposed, or would be tolerated in the long run in this +field, where men have had occasion to learn that unlimited collusion is +more to the purpose than a clannish discrimination. + + * * * * * + +It is, no doubt, beyond reasonable hope that these democratic peoples +could be brought forthwith to concerted action on the lines of such a +plan of peace by neutralisation of all outstanding national pretensions. +Both the French and the English-speaking peoples are too eagerly set on +national aims and national prestige, to allow such a plan to come to a +hearing, even if something of the kind should be spoken for by their +most trusted leaders. By settled habit they are thinking in terms of +nationality, and just now they are all under the handicap of an inflamed +national pride. Advocacy of such a plan, of course, does not enter +seriously into the purpose of this inquiry; which is concerned with the +conditions under which peace is sought today, with the further +conditions requisite to its perpetuation, and with the probable effects +of such a peace on the fortunes of these peoples in case peace is +established and effectually maintained. + +It is a reasonable question, and one to which a provisional answer may +be found, whether the drift of circumstances in the present and for the +immediate future may be counted on to set in the direction of a +progressive neutralisation of the character spoken of above, and +therefore possibly toward a perpetuation of that peace that is to follow +the present season of war. So also is it an open and interesting +question whether the drift in that direction, if such is the set of it, +can be counted on to prove sufficiently swift and massive, so as not to +be overtaken and overborne by the push of agencies that make for +dissension and warlike enterprise. + +Anything like a categorical answer to these questions would have to be a +work of vaticination or of effrontery,--possibly as much to the point +the one as the other. But there are certain conditions precedent to a +lasting peace as the outcome of events now in train, and there are +certain definable contingencies conditioned on such current facts as the +existing state of the industrial arts and the state of popular +sentiment, together with the conjuncture of circumstances under which +these factors will come into action. + +The state of the industrial arts, as it bears on the peace and its +violation, has been spoken of above. It is of such a character that a +judiciously prepared offensive launched by any Power of the first rank +at an opportune time can reach and lay waste any given country of the +habitable globe. The conclusive evidence of this is at hand, and it is +the major premise underlying all current proposals and projects of +peace, as well as the refusal of the nations now on the defensive to +enter into negotiations looking to an "inconclusive peace." This state +of the case is not commonly recognised in so many words, but it is well +enough understood. So that all peace projects that shall hope to find a +hearing must make up their account with it, and must show cause why they +should be judged competent to balk any attempted offensive. In an +inarticulate or inchoate fashion, perhaps, but none the less with +ever-increasing certitude and increasing apprehension, this state of the +case is also coming to be an article of popular "knowledge and belief," +wherever much or little thought is spent on the outlook for peace. It +has already had a visible effect in diminishing the exclusiveness of +nationalities and turning the attention of the pacific peoples to the +question of feasible ways and means of international cooperation in case +of need; but it has not hitherto visibly lessened the militant spirit +among these nations, nor has it lowered the tension of their national +pride, at least not yet; rather the contrary, in fact. + +The effect, upon the popular temper, of this inchoate realisation of the +fatality that so lies in the modern state of the industrial arts, varies +from one country to another, according to the varying position in which +they are placed, or in which they conceive themselves to be placed. +Among the belligerent nations it has put the spur of fear to their need +of concerted action as well as to their efforts to strengthen the +national defense. But the state of opinion and sentiment abroad in the +nation in time of war is no secure indication of what it will be after +the return to peace. The American people, the largest and most +immediately concerned of the neutral nations, should afford more +significant evidence of the changes in the popular attitude likely to +follow from a growing realisation of this state of the case, that the +advantage has passed definitively to any well prepared and resolute +offensive, and that no precautions of diplomacy and no practicable +measures of defensive armament will any longer give security,--provided +always that there is anywhere a national Power actuated by designs of +imperial dominion. + +It is, of course, only little by little that the American people and +their spokesmen have come to realise their own case under this +late-modern situation, and hitherto only in an imperfect degree. Their +first response to the stimulus has been a display of patriotic +self-sufficiency and a move to put the national defense on a +war-footing, such as would be competent to beat off all aggression. +Those elements of the population who least realise the gravity of the +situation, and who are at the same time commercially interested in +measures of armament or in military preferment, have not begun to shift +forward beyond this position of magniloquence and resolution; nor is +there as yet much intimation that they see beyond it, although there is +an ever-recurring hint that they in a degree appreciate the practical +difficulty of persuading a pacific people to make adequate preparation +beforehand, in equipment and trained man-power, for such a plan of +self-sufficient self-defense. But increasingly among those who are, by +force of temperament or insight or by lack of the pecuniary and the +placeman's interest, less confident of an appeal to the nation's +prowess, there is coming forward an evident persuasion that warlike +preparations--"preparedness"--alone and carried through by the Republic +in isolation, will scarcely serve the turn. + +There are at least two lines of argument, or of persuasion, running to +the support of such a view; readiness for a warlike defense, by +providing equipment and trained men, might prove a doubtfully effectual +measure even when carried to the limit of tolerance that will always be +reached presently in any democratic country; and then, too, there is +hope of avoiding the necessity of such warlike preparation, at least in +the same extreme degree, by means of some practicable working +arrangement to be effected with other nations who are in the same case. +Hitherto the farthest reach of these pacific schemes for maintaining the +peace, or for the common defense, has taken the shape of a projected +league of neutral nations to keep the peace by enforcement of specified +international police regulations or by compulsory arbitration of +international disputes. It is extremely doubtful how far, if at all, +popular sentiment of any effectual force falls in with this line of +precautionary measures. Yet it is evident that popular sentiment, and +popular apprehension, has been stirred profoundly by the events of the +past two years, and the resulting change that is already visible in the +prevailing sentiment as regards the national defense would argue that +more far-reaching changes in the same connection are fairly to be looked +for within a reasonable allowance of time. + +In this American case the balance of effectual public opinion hitherto +is to all appearance quite in doubt, but it is also quite unsettled. The +first response has been a display of patriotic emotion and national +self-assertion. The further, later and presumably more deliberate, +expressions of opinion carry a more obvious note of apprehension and +less of stubborn or unreflecting national pride. It may be too early to +anticipate a material shift of base, to a more neutral, or less +exclusively national footing in matters of the common defense. + +The national administration has been moving at an accelerated rate in +the direction not of national isolation and self-reliance resting on a +warlike equipment formidable enough to make or break the peace at +will--such as the more truculent and irresponsible among the politicians +have spoken for--but rather in the direction of moderating or curtailing +all national pretensions that are not of undoubted material consequence, +and of seeking a common understanding and concerted action with those +nationalities whose effectual interests in the matters of peace and war +coincide with the American. The administration has grown visibly more +pacific in the course of its exacting experience,--more resolutely, one +might even say more aggressively pacific; but the point of chief +attention in all this strategy of peace has also visibly been shifting +somewhat from the maintenance of a running equilibrium between +belligerents and a keeping of the peace from day to day, to the ulterior +and altogether different question of what is best to be done toward a +conclusive peace at the close of hostilities, and the ways and means of +its subsequent perpetuation. + +This latter is, in effect, an altogether different question from that of +preserving neutrality and amicable relations in the midst of importunate +belligerents, and it may even, conceivably, perhaps not unlikely, come +to involve a precautionary breach of the current peace and a taking of +sides in the war with an urgent view to a conclusive outcome. It would +be going too far to impute to the administration, at the present stage, +such an aggressive attitude in its pursuit of a lasting peace as could +be called a policy of defensive offense; but it will shock no one's +sensibilities to say that such a policy, involving a taking of sides and +a renouncing of national isolation, is visibly less remote from the +counsels of the administration today than it has been at any earlier +period. + +In this pacific attitude, increasingly urgent and increasingly +far-reaching and apprehensive, the administration appears to be speaking +for the common man rather than for the special interests or the +privileged classes. Such would appear, on the face of the returns, to be +the meaning of the late election. It is all the more significant on that +account, since in the long run it is after all the common man that will +have to pass on the expediency of any settled line of policy and to bear +the material burden of carrying it into effect. + +It may seem rash to presume that a popularly accredited administration +in a democratic country must approximately reflect the effectual changes +of popular sentiment and desire. Especially would it seem rash to anyone +looking on from the point of view of an undemocratic nation, and +therefore prone to see the surface fluctuations of excitement and +shifting clamor. But those who are within the democratic pale will know +that any administration in such a country, where official tenure and +continued incumbency of the party rest on a popular vote,--any such +administration is a political organisation and is guided by political +expediency, in the tawdry sense of the phrase. Such a political +situation has the defects of its qualities, as has been well and +frequently expounded by its critics, but it has also the merits of its +shortcomings. In a democracy of this modern order any incumbent of high +office is necessarily something of a politician, quite indispensably so; +and a politician at the same time necessarily is something of a +demagogue. He yields to the popular drift, or to the set of opinion and +demands among the effective majority on whom he leans; and he can not +even appear to lead, though he may surreptitiously lead opinion in +adroitly seeming to reflect it and obey it. Ostensible leadership, such +as has been staged in this country from time to time, has turned out to +be ostensible only. The politician must be adroit; but if he is also to +be a statesman he must be something more. He is under the necessity of +guessing accurately what the drift of events and opinion is going to be +on the next reach ahead; and in taking coming events by the forelock he +may be able to guide and shape the drift of opinion and sentiment +somewhat to his own liking. But all the while he must keep within the +lines of the long-term set of the current as it works out in the habits +of thought of the common man. + +Such foresight and flexibility is necessary to continued survival, but +flexibility of convictions alone does not meet the requirements. Indeed, +it has been tried. It is only the minor politicians--the most numerous +and long-lived, it is true--who can hold their place in the crevices of +the party organisation, and get their livelihood from the business of +party politics, without some power of vision and some hazard of +forecast. It results from this state of the case that the drift of +popular sentiment and the popular response to the stimulus of current +events is reflected more faithfully and more promptly by the short-lived +administrations of a democracy than by the stable and formally +irresponsible governmental establishments of the older order. It should +also be noted that these democratic administrations are in a less +advantageous position for the purpose of guiding popular sentiment and +shaping it to their own ends. + + * * * * * + +Now, it happens that at no period within the past half-century has the +course of events moved with such celerity or with so grave a bearing on +the common good and the prospective contingencies of national life as +during the present administration. This apparent congruity of the +administration's policy with the drift of popular feeling and belief +will incline anyone to put a high rating on the administration's course +of conduct, in international relations as well as in national measures +that have a bearing on international relations, as indicating the course +taken by sentiment and second thought in the community at large,--for, +in effect, whether or not in set form, the community at large reflects +on any matters of such gravity and urgency as to force themselves upon +the attention of the common man. + +Two main lines of reflection have visibly been enforced on the +administration by the course of events in the international field. There +has been a growing apprehension, mounting in the later months to +something like the rank of a settled conviction, that the Republic has +been marked down for reduction to a vassal state by the dynastic Empire +now engaged with its European adversaries. In so saying that the +Republic has been marked down for subjection it is not intended to +intimate that deliberate counsel has been had by the Imperial +establishment on that prospective enterprise; still less that a +resolution to such effect, with specification of ways and means, has +been embodied in documentary form and deposited for future reference in +the Imperial archives. All that is intended, and all that is necessary +to imply, is that events are in train to such effect that the +subjugation of the American republic will necessarily find its place in +the sequence presently, provided that the present Imperial adventure is +brought to a reasonably auspicious issue; though it does not follow that +this particular enterprise need be counted on as the next large +adventure in dominion to be undertaken when things again fall into +promising shape. This latter point would, of course, depend on the +conjuncture of circumstances, chief of which would have to be the +exigencies of imperial dominion shaping the policy of the Empire's +natural and necessary ally in the Far East. All this has evidently been +coming more and more urgently into the workday deliberations of the +American administration. Of course, it is not spoken of in set terms to +this effect in official utterances, perhaps not even within doors; that +sort of thing is not done. But it can do no harm to use downright +expressions in a scientific discussion of these phenomena, with a view +to understanding the current drift of things in this field. + +Beyond this is the similar apprehension, similarly though more slowly +and reluctantly rising to the level of settled conviction, that the +American commonwealth is not fit to take care of its own case +single-handed. This apprehension is enforced more and more unmistakably +with every month that passes on the theatre of war. And it is reenforced +by the constantly more obvious reflection that the case of the American +commonwealth in this matter is the same as that of the democratic +countries of Europe, and of the other European colonies. It is not, or +at least one may believe it is not yet, that in the patriotic +apprehension of the common man, or of the administration which speaks +for him, the resources of the country would be inadequate to meet any +contingencies of the kind that might arise, whether in respect of +industrial capacity or in point of man-power, if these resources were +turned to this object with the same singleness of purpose and the same +drastic procedure that marks the course of a national establishment +guided by no considerations short of imperial dominion. The doubt +presents itself rather as an apprehension that the cost would be +extravagantly high, in all respects in which cost can be counted; which +is presently seconded, on very slight reflection and review of +experience, by recognition of the fact that a democracy is, in point of +fact, not to be persuaded to stand under arms interminably in mere +readiness for a contingency, however distasteful the contingency may be. + +In point of fact, a democratic commonwealth is moved by other interests +in the main, and the common defense is a secondary consideration, not a +primary interest,--unless in the exceptional case of a commonwealth so +placed under the immediate threat of invasion as to have the common +defense forced into the place of paramount consequence in its workday +habits of thought. The American republic is not so placed. Anyone may +satisfy himself by reasonable second thought that the people of this +nation are not to be counted on to do their utmost in time of peace to +prepare for war. They may be persuaded to do much more than has been +their habit, and adventurous politicians may commit them to much more +than the people at large would wish to undertake, but when all is done +that can be counted on for a permanency, up to the limit of popular +tolerance, it would be a bold guess that should place the result at more +than one-half of what the country is capable of. Particularly would the +people's patience balk at the extensive military training requisite to +put the country in an adequate position of defense against a sudden and +well-prepared offensive. It is otherwise with a dynastic State, to the +directorate of which all other interests are necessarily secondary, +subsidiary, and mainly to be considered only in so far as they are +contributory to the nation's readiness for warlike enterprise. + +America at the same time is placed in an extra-hazardous position, +between the two seas beyond which to either side lie the two Imperial +Powers whose place in the modern economy of nations it is to disturb the +peace in an insatiable quest of dominion. This position is no longer +defensible in isolation, under the later state of the industrial arts, +and the policy of isolation that has guided the national policy hitherto +is therefore falling out of date. The question is as to the manner of +its renunciation, rather than the fact of it. It may end in a defensive +copartnership with other nations who are placed on the defensive by the +same threatening situation, or it may end in a bootless struggle for +independence, but the choice scarcely extends beyond this alternative. +It will be said, of course, that America is competent to take care of +itself and its Monroe doctrine in the future as in the past. But that +view, spoken for cogently by thoughtful men and by politicians looking +for party advantage, overlooks the fact that the modern technology has +definitively thrown the advantage to the offensive, and that intervening +seas can no longer be counted on as a decisive obstacle. On this latter +head, what was reasonably true fifteen years ago is doubtful today, and +it is in all reasonable expectation invalid for the situation fifteen +years hence. + +The other peoples that are of a neutral temper may need the help of +America sorely enough in their endeavours to keep the peace, but +America's need of cooperation is sorer still, for the Republic is coming +into a more precarious place than any of the others. America is also, at +least potentially, the most democratic of the greater Powers, and is +handicapped with all the disabilities of a democratic commonwealth in +the face of war. America is also for the present, and perhaps for the +calculable future, the most powerful of these greater Powers, in point +of conceivably available resources, though not in actually available +fighting-power; and the entrance of America unreservedly into a neutral +league would consequently be decisive both of the purposes of the league +and of its efficiency for the purpose; particularly if the +neutralisation of interests among the members of the league were carried +so far as to make withdrawal and independent action disadvantageous. + +On the establishment of such a neutral league, with such neutralisation +of national interests as would assure concerted action in time of +stress, the need of armament on the part of the American republic would +disappear, at least to the extent that no increase of armed force would +be advisable. The strength of the Republic lies in its large and varied +resources and the unequalled industrial capacity of its population,--a +capacity which is today seriously hampered by untoward business +interests and business methods sheltered under national discrimination, +but which would come more nearly to its own so soon as these national +discriminations were corrected or abrogated in the neutralisation of +national pretensions. The neutrally-minded countries of Europe have been +constrained to learn the art of modern war, as also to equip themselves +with the necessary appliances, sufficient to meet all requirements for +keeping the peace through such a period as can or need be taken into +account,--provided the peace that is to come on the conclusion of the +present war shall be placed on so "conclusive" a footing as will make it +anything substantially more than a season of recuperation for that +warlike Power about whose enterprise in dominion the whole question +turns. Provided that suitably "substantial guarantees" of a reasonable +quiescence on the part of this Imperial Power are had, there need be no +increase of the American armament. Any increased armament would in that +case amount to nothing better than an idle duplication of plant and +personnel already on hand and sufficient to meet the requirements. + +To meet the contingencies had in view in its formation, such a league +would have to be neutralised to the point that all pertinent national +pretensions would fall into virtual abeyance, so that all the necessary +resources at the disposal of the federated nations would automatically +come under the control of the league's appointed authorities without +loss of time, whenever the need might arise. That is to say, national +interests and pretensions would have to give way to a collective control +sufficient to insure prompt and concerted action. In the face of such a +neutral league Imperial Japan alone would be unable to make a really +serious diversion or to entertain much hope of following up its quest of +dominion. The Japanese Imperial establishment might even be persuaded +peaceably to let its unoffending neighbours live their own life +according to their own light. It is, indeed, possibly the apprehension +of some such contingency that has hurried the rapacity of the Island +Empire into the headlong indecencies of the past year or two. + + + + +CHAPTER VI + +ELIMINATION OF THE UNFIT + + +It may seem early (January 1917) to offer a surmise as to what must be +the manner of league into which the pacific nations are to enter and by +which the peace will be kept, in case such a move is to be made. But the +circumstances that are to urge such a line of action, and that will +condition its carrying out in case it is entered on, have already come +into bearing and should, on the whole, no longer be especially obscure +to anyone who will let the facts of the case rather than his own +predilections decide what he will believe. By and large, the pressure of +these conditioning circumstances may be seen, and the line of least +resistance under this pressure may be calculated, with due allowance of +a margin of error owing to unknown contingencies of time and minor +variables. + +Time is of the essence of the case. So that what would have been +dismissed as idle vapour two years ago has already become subject of +grave deliberation today, and may rise to paramount urgency that far +hence. Time is needed to appreciate and get used to any innovation of +appreciable gravity, particularly where the innovation depends in any +degree on a change in public sentiment, as in this instance. The present +outlook would seem to be that no excess of time is allowed in these +premises; but it should also be noted that events are moving with +unexampled celerity, and are impinging on the popular apprehension with +unexampled force,--unexampled on such a scale. It is hoped that a +recital of these circumstances that provoke to action along this line +will not seem unwarrantably tedious, and that a tentative definition of +the line of least resistance under pressure of these circumstances may +not seem unwarrantably presumptuous. + +The major premise in the case is the felt need of security from +aggression at the hands of Imperial Germany and its auxiliary Powers; +seconded by an increasingly uneasy apprehension as to the prospective +line of conduct on the part of Imperial Japan, bent on a similar quest +of dominion. There is also the less articulate apprehension of what, if +anything, may be expected from Imperial Russia; an obscure and scarcely +definable factor, which comes into the calculation chiefly by way of +reenforcing the urgency of the situation created by the dynastic +ambitions of these other two Imperial States. Further, the pacific +nations, the leading ones among them being the French and +English-speaking peoples, are coming to recognise that no one among them +can provide for its own security single-handed, even at the cost of +their utmost endeavour in the way of what is latterly called +"preparedness;" and they are at the same time unwilling to devote their +force unreservedly to warlike preparation, having nothing to gain. The +solution proposed is a league of the pacific nations, commonly spoken of +at the present stage as a league to enforce peace, or less ambitiously +as a league to enforce arbitration. The question being left somewhat at +loose ends, whether the projected league is to include the two or three +Imperial Powers whose pacific intentions are, euphemistically, open to +doubt. + +Such is the outline of the project and its premises. An attempt to fill +in this outline will, perhaps, conduce to an appreciation of what is +sought and of what the conditioning circumstances will enforce in the +course of its realisation. As touches the fear of aggression, it has +already been indicated, perhaps with unnecessary iteration, that these +two Imperial Powers are unable to relinquish the quest of dominion +through warlike enterprise, because as dynastic States they have no +other ulterior aim; as has abundantly appeared in the great volume of +expository statements that have come out of the Fatherland the past few +years, official, semi-official, inspired, and spontaneous. "Assurance of +the nation's future" is not translatable into any other terms. The +Imperial dynasty has no other ground to stand on, and can not give up +the enterprise so long as it can muster force for any formidable +diversion, to get anything in the way of dominion by seizure, threat or +chicane. + +This is coming to be informally and loosely, but none the less +definitively, realised by the pacific nations; and the realisation of it +is gaining in clearness and assurance as time passes. And it is backed +by the conviction that, in the nature of things, no engagement on the +part of such a dynastic State has any slightest binding force, beyond +the material constraint that would enforce it from the outside. So the +demand has been diplomatically phrased as a demand for "substantial +guarantees." Any gain in resources on the part of these Powers is to be +counted as a gain in the ways and means of disturbing the peace, without +reservation. + +The pacific nations include among them two large items, both of which +are indispensable to the success of the project, the United States and +the United Kingdom. The former brings in its train, virtually without +exception or question, the other American republics, none of which can +practicably go in or stay out except in company and collusion with the +United States. The United Kingdom after the same fashion, and with +scarcely less assurance, may be counted on to carry the British +colonies. Evidently, without both of these groups the project would not +even make a beginning. Beyond this is to be counted in as elements of +strength, though scarcely indispensable, France, Belgium, the +Netherlands and the Scandinavian countries. The other west-European +nations would in all probability be found in the league, although so far +as regards its work and its fortunes their adhesion would scarcely be a +matter of decisive consequence; they may therefore be left somewhat on +one side in any consideration of the circumstances that would shape the +league, its aims and its limitations. The Balkan states, in the wider +acceptance, they that frequent the Sign of the Double Cross, are +similarly negligible in respect of the organisation of such a league or +its resources and the mutual concessions necessary to be made between +its chief members. Russia is so doubtful a factor, particularly as +regards its place and value in industry, culture and politics, in the +near future, as to admit nothing much more than a doubt on what its +relation to the situation will be. The evil intentions of the +Imperial-bureaucratic establishment are probably no more to be +questioned than the good intentions of the underlying peoples of Russia. +China will have to be taken in, if for no other reason than the use to +which the magnificent resources of that country would be turned by its +Imperial neighbour in the absence of insurmountable interference from +outside. But China will come in on any terms that include neutrality and +security. + +The question then arises as to the Imperial Powers whose dynastic +enterprise is primarily to be hedged against by such a league. +Reflection will show that if the league is to effect any appreciable +part of its purpose, these Powers will also be included in the league, +or at least in its jurisdiction. A pacific league not including these +Powers, or not extending its jurisdiction and surveillance to them and +their conduct, would come to the same thing as a coalition of nations in +two hostile groups, the one standing on the defensive against the +warlike machinations of the other, and both groups bidding for the favor +of those minor Powers whose traditions and current aspirations run to +national (dynastic) aggrandizement by way of political intrigue. It +would come to a more articulate and accentuated form of that balance of +power that has latterly gone bankrupt in Europe, with the most corrupt +and unreliable petty monarchies of eastern Europe vested with a casting +vote; and it would also involve a system of competitive armaments of the +same general character as what has also shown itself bankrupt. It would, +in other words, mean a virtual return to the _status quo ante_, but with +an overt recognition of its provisional character, and with the lines of +division more sharply drawn. That is to say, it would amount to +reinstating the situation which the projected league is intended to +avert. It is evidently contained in the premises that the projected +league must be all-inclusive, at least as regards its jurisdiction and +surveillance. The argument will return to this point presently. + +The purpose of the projected league is peace and security, commonly +spoken of under patriotic preconceptions as "national" peace and +security. This will have to mean a competent enforcement of peace, on +such a footing of overmastering force at the disposal of the associated +pacific nations as to make security a matter of ordinary routine. It is +true, the more genial spokesmen of the project are given to the view +that what is to come of it all is a comity of neutral nations, amicably +adjusting their own relations among themselves in a spirit of peace and +good-will. But this view is over-sanguine, in that it overlooks the +point that into this prospective comity of nations Imperial Germany (and +Imperial Japan) fit like a drunken savage with a machine gun. It also +overlooks the patent fatality that these two are bound to come into a +coalition at the next turn, with whatever outside and subsidiary +resources they can draw on; provided only that a reasonable opening for +further enterprise presents itself. The league, in other terms, must be +in a position to enforce peace by overmastering force, and to anticipate +any move at cross purposes with the security of the pacific nations. + +This end can be reached by either one of two ways. If the dynastic +States are left to their own devices, it will be incumbent on the +associated nations to put in the field a standing force sufficient to +prevent a recourse to arms; which means competitive armament and +universal military rule. Or the dynastic States may be taken into +partnership and placed under such surveillance and constraint as to +practically disarm them; which would admit virtual disarmament of the +federated nations. The former arrangement has nothing in its favour, +except the possibility that no better or less irksome arrangement can be +had under existing circumstances; that is to say that the pacific +nations may not be able to bring these dynastic states to terms of +disarmament under surveillance. They assuredly can not except by force; +and this is the precise point on which the continued hostilities in +Europe turn today. In diplomatic parable the German Imperial spokesmen +say that they can accept (or as they prefer to phrase it, grant) no +terms that do not fully safeguard the Future of the Fatherland; and in +similarly diplomatic parable the spokesmen of the Entente insist that +Prussian militarism must be permanently put out of commission; but it +all means the same thing, viz. that the Imperial establishment is to be +(or is not to be) disabled beyond the possibility of its entering on a +similar warlike enterprise again, when it has had time for recuperation. +The dynastic statesmen, and the lay subjects of the Imperial +establishment, are strenuously set on securing a fair opportunity for +recuperation and a wiser endeavour to achieve that dominion which the +present adventure promises to defeat; while the Entente want no +recurrence, and are persuaded that a recurrence can be avoided only on +the footing of a present collapse of the Imperial power and a +scrupulously enforced prostration of it henceforth. + +Without the definitive collapse of the Imperial power no pacific league +of nations can come to anything much more than armistice. On the basis +of such a collapse the league may as well administer its affairs +economically by way of an all-around reduction of armaments, as by the +costlier and more irksome way of "preparedness." But a sensible +reduction of armaments on the part of the neutral nations implies +disarmament of the dynastic States. Which would involve a neutral +surveillance of the affairs of these dynastic States in such detail and +with such exercise of authority as would reduce their governments to the +effective status of local administrative officials. Out of which, in +turn, would arise complications that would lead to necessary +readjustments all along the line. It would involve the virtual, if not +also the formal, abolition of the monarchy, since the monarchy has no +other use than that of international war and intrigue; or at least it +would involve the virtual abrogation of its powers, reducing it to the +same status of _faineantise_ as now characterises the British crown. +Evidently this means a serious intermeddling in the domestic concerns +and arrangements of the Fatherland, such as is not admissible under the +democratic principle that any people must be left free to follow their +own inclinations and devices in their own concerns; at the same time +that this degree of interference is imperative if the peace is to be +kept on any other footing than that of eternal vigilance and superior +armed force, with a people whose own inclinations and devices are of the +kind now grown familiar in the German case,--all of which also applies, +with accentuation, in the case of Imperial Japan. + + * * * * * + +Some such policy of neutral surveillance in the affairs of these peoples +whose pacific temper is under suspicion, is necessarily involved in a +plan to enforce peace by concert of the pacific nations, and it will +necessarily carry implications and farther issues, touching not only +these supposedly recalcitrant peoples, but also as regards the pacific +nations themselves. Assuming always that the prime purpose and +consistent aim of the projected league is the peace and security of +those pacific nations on whose initiative it is to be achieved, then it +should be reasonable to assume that the course of procedure in its +organisation, administration and further adaptations and adjustments +must follow the logic of necessities leading to that end. He who wills +the end must make up his account with the means. + +The end in this case is peace and security; which means, for practical +purposes, peace and good-will. Ill-will is not a secure foundation of +peace. Even the military strategists of the Imperial establishment +recommend a programme of "frightfulness" only as a convenient military +expedient, essentially a provisional basis of tranquility. In the long +run and as a permanent peace measure it is doubtless not to the point. +Security is finally to be had among or between modern peoples only on +the ground of a common understanding and an impartially common basis of +equity, or something approaching that basis as nearly as circumstances +will permit. Which means that in so far as the projected peace-compact +is to take effect in any enduring way, and leave the federated nations +some degree of freedom from persistent apprehension and animosity, as +well as from habitual insecurity of life and limb, the league must not +only be all-inclusive, but it must be inclusively uniform in all its +requirements and regulations. + +The peoples of the quondam Imperial nations must come into the league on +a footing of formal equality with the rest. This they can not do without +the virtual abdication of their dynastic governmental establishments and +a consequent shift to a democratic form of organisation, and a formal +abrogation of class privileges and prerogatives. + +However, a virtual abdication or cancelment of the dynastic rule, such +as to bring it formally into the same class with the British crown, +would scarcely meet the requirements in the case of the German Imperial +establishment; still more patently not in the case of Imperial Japan. +If, following the outlines of the decayed British crown, one or the +other of these Imperial establishments were by formal enactment reduced +to a state of nominal desuetude, the effect would be very appreciably +different from what happens in the British community, where the crown +has lost its powers by failure of the requisite subordination on the +part of the people, and not by a formal abdication of rights. In the +German case, and even more in the Japanese case, the strength of the +Imperial establishment lies in the unimpaired loyalty of the populace; +which would remain nearly intact at the outset, and would thin out only +by insensible degrees in the sequel; so that if only the Imperial +establishment were left formally standing it would command the fealty of +the common run in spite of any formal abrogation of its powers, and the +course of things would, in effect, run as before the break. In effect, +to bring about a shift to a democratic basis the dynastic slate would +have to be wiped very clean indeed. And this shift would be +indispensable to the successful conduct of such a pacific league of +nations, since any other than an effectually democratic national +establishment is to be counted on unfailingly to intrigue for dynastic +aggrandizement, through good report and evil. + +In a case like that of Imperial Germany, with its federated States and +subsidiaries, where royalty and nobility still are potent preconceptions +investing the popular imagination, and where loyal abnegation in the +presence of authority still is the chief and staple virtue of the common +man,--in all such cases virtual abdication of the dynastic initiative +under constitutional forms can be had only by a formal and scrupulously +complete abrogation of all those legal and customary arrangements on +which this irresponsible exercise of authority has rested and through +which it has taken effect. Neutralisation in these instances will mean +reduction to an unqualified democratic footing; which will, at least at +the outset, not be acceptable to the common people, and will be wholly +intolerable to the ruling classes. Such a regime, therefore, while it is +indispensable as a working basis for a neutral league of peace, would +from the outset have to be enforced against the most desperate +resistance of the ruling classes, headed by the dynastic statesmen and +warlords, and backed by the stubborn loyalty of the subject populace. It +would have to mean the end of things for the ruling classes and the most +distasteful submission to an alien scheme of use and wont for the +populace. And yet it is also an indispensable element in any scheme of +pacification that aims at permanent peace and security. In time, it may +well be believed, the people of the Fatherland might learn to do well +enough without the gratuitous domination of their ruling classes, but at +the outset it would be a heartfelt privation. + +It follows that a league to enforce peace would have to begin its regime +with enforcing peace on terms of the unconditional surrender of the +formidable warlike nations; which could be accomplished only by the +absolute and irretrievable defeat of these Powers as they now stand. The +question will, no doubt, present itself, Is the end worth the cost? That +question can, of course, not be answered in absolute terms, inasmuch as +it resolves itself into a question of taste and prepossession. An answer +to it would also not be greatly to the purpose here, since it would have +no particular bearing on the course of action likely to be pursued by +these pacific nations in their quest of a settled peace. It is more to +the point to ask what is likely to be the practical decision of these +peoples on that head when the question finally presents itself in a +concrete form. + +Again it is necessary to call to mind that any momentous innovation +which rests on popular sentiment will take time; that consequently +anything like a plebiscite on the question today would scarcely give a +safe index of what the decision is likely to be when presently put to +the test; and that as things go just now, swiftly and urgent, any +time-allowance counts at something more than its ordinary workday +coefficient. What can apparently be said with some degree of confidence +is that just now, during these two years past, sentiment has been moving +in the direction indicated, and that any growing inclination of the kind +is being strongly reenforced by a growing realisation that nothing but +heroic remedies will avail at this juncture. If it comes to be currently +recognised that a settled peace can be had only at the cost of +eradicating privilege and royalty from the warlike nations, it would +seem reasonable to expect, from their present state of mind, that the +pacific nations will scarcely hesitate to apply that remedy,--provided +always that the fortunes of war fall out as that measure would require, +and provided also that the conflict lasts long enough and severe enough +to let them make up their mind to anything so drastic. + + * * * * * + +There is a certain side issue bearing on this question of the ulterior +probabilities of popular sentiment and national policy as to what is to +be done with the warlike nations in the event that the allied nations +who fight for neutrality have the disposal of such matters. This side +issue may seem remote, and it may not unlikely be overlooked among the +mass of graver and more tangible considerations. It was remarked above +that the United Kingdom is one of the two chief pillars of the projected +house of peace; and it may be added without serious fear of +contradiction or annoyance that the United Kingdom is also the one among +these pacific nations that comes nearest being capable, in the event of +such an emergency, to take care of its own case single-handed. For +better or worse, British adhesion to the project is indispensable, and +the British are in a position virtually to name their own terms of +adhesion. The British commonwealth--a very inclusive phrase in this +connection--must form the core of the pacific league, if any, and +British sentiment will have a very great place in the terms of its +formation and in the terms which it will be inclined to offer the +Imperial coalition at the settlement. + +Now, it happens that the British community entered on this war as a +democratic monarchy ruled and officered by a body of gentlemen--doubtless +the most correct and admirable muster of gentlemen, of anything approaching +its volume, that the modern world can show. But the war has turned out not +to be a gentlemen's war. It has on the contrary been a war of technological +exploits, reenforced with all the beastly devices of the heathen. It is a +war in which all the specific traits of the well-bred and gently-minded man +are a handicap; in which veracity, gallantry, humanity, liberality are +conducive to nothing but defeat and humiliation. The death-rate among the +British gentlemen-officers in the early months, and for many months, ran +extravagantly high, for the most part because they were gallant +gentlemen as well as officers imbued with the good, old class spirit of +_noblesse oblige_, that has made half the tradition and more than half +the working theory of the British officer in the field,--good, but old, +hopelessly out of date. That generation of officers died, for the most +part; being unfit to survive or to serve the purpose under these modern +conditions of warfare, to which their enemy on the other hand had +adapted themselves with easy facility from beforehand. The gentlemanly +qualifications, and the material apparatus of gentility, and, it will +perhaps have to be admitted, the gentlemen, have fallen into the +background, or perhaps rather have measurably fallen into abeyance, +among the officers of the line. There may be more doubt as to the state +of things in respect of the gentility of the staff, but the best that +can confidently be said is that it is a point in doubt. + +It is hoped that one may say without offense that in the course of time +the personnel has apparently worked down to the level of vulgarity +defined by the ways and means of this modern warfare; which means the +level on which runs a familiar acquaintance with large and complex +mechanical apparatus, railway and highway transport and power, +reenforced concrete, excavations and mud, more particularly mud, +concealment and ambush, and unlimited deceit and ferocity. It is not +precisely that persons of pedigree and gentle breeding have ceased to +enter or seek entrance to employment as officers, still less that +measures have been taken to restrain their doing so or to eliminate from +the service those who have come into it--though there may present itself +a doubt on this point as touches the more responsible discretionary +positions--but only that the stock of suitable gentlemen, uncommonly +large as it is, has been overdrawn; that those who have latterly gone +into service, or stayed in, have perforce divested themselves of their +gentility in some appreciable measure, particularly as regards class +distinction, and have fallen on their feet in the more commonplace role +of common men. + +Serviceability in this modern warfare is conditioned on much the same +traits of temperament and training that make for usefulness in the +modern industrial processes, where large-scale coordinations of movement +and an effective familiarity with precise and far-reaching mechanical +processes is an indispensable requirement,--indispensable in the same +measure as the efficient conduct of this modern machine industry is +indispensable. But the British gentleman, in so far as he runs true to +type, is of no use to modern industry; quite the contrary, in fact. +Still, the British gentleman is, in point of heredity, the same thing +over again as the British common man; so that, barring the misdirected +training that makes him a gentleman, and which can largely be undone +under urgent need and pressure, he can be made serviceable for such uses +as the modern warfare requires. Meantime the very large demand for +officers, and the insatiable demand for capable officers, has brought +the experienced and capable common man into the case and is in a fair +way to discredit gentility as a necessary qualification of field +officers. + +But the same process of discredit and elimination is also extending to +the responsible officials who have the administration of things in hand. +Indeed, the course of vulgarisation among the responsible officials has +now been under way for some appreciable time and with very perceptible +effect, and the rate of displacement appears to be gathering velocity +with every month that passes. Here, as in the field operations, it also +appears that gentlemanly methods, standards, preconceptions, and +knowledge of men and things, is no longer to the purpose. Here, too, it +is increasingly evident that this is not a gentlemen's war. And the +traditional qualifications that have sufficed in the past, at least to +the extent of enabling the British management to "muddle through," as +they are proudly in the habit of saying,--these qualifications are of +slight account in this technological conjuncture of the nation's +fortunes. It would perhaps be an under-statement to say that these +gentlemanly qualifications are no longer of any account, for the purpose +immediately in hand, and it would doubtless not do to say that they are +wholly and unreservedly disserviceable as things run today; but captious +critics might find at least a precarious footing of argument on such a +proposition. + +Through the course of the nineteenth century the British government had +progressively been taking on the complexion of a "gentlemen's +agreement;" a government by gentlemen, for gentlemen, and of gentlemen, +too, beyond what could well be alleged in any other known instance, +though never wholly so. No government could be a government of gentlemen +exclusively, since there is no pecuniary profit in gentlemen as such, +and therefore no object in governing them; more particularly could there +never be any incentive in it for gentlemen, whose livelihood is, in the +nature of the case, drawn from some one else. A gentlemen's government +can escape death by inanition only in so far as it serves the material +interest of its class, as contrasted with the underlying population from +which the class draws its livelihood. This British arrangement of a +government by prudent and humane gentlemen with a view to the +conservation of that state of things that best conduced to the material +well-being of their own class, has on the whole had the loyal support of +the underlying populace, with an occasional floundering protest. But +the protest has never taken the shape of an expressed distrust of +gentlemen, considered as the staple ways and means of government; nor +has the direction of affairs ever descended into the hands of any other +or lower class or condition of men. + +On the whole, this British arrangement for the control of national +affairs by a body of interested gentlemen-investors has been, and +perhaps still is, just as well at home in the affectionate +preconceptions of the nineteenth-century British as the corresponding +German usufruct by self-appointed swaggering aristocrats has been among +the underlying German population, or as the American arrangement of +national control by business men for business ends. The British and the +American arrangements run very much to the same substantial effect, of +course, inasmuch as the British gentlemen represent, as a class, the +filial generations of a business community, and their aims and standards +of conduct continue to be such as are enforced by the pecuniary +interests on which their gentility is conditioned. They continue to draw +the ways and means of a worthy life from businesslike arrangements of a +"vested" character, made and provided with a view to their nourishment +and repose. Their resulting usufruct of the community's productive +efforts rests on a vested interest of a pecuniary sort, sanctioned by +the sacred rights of property; very much as the analogous German +dynastic and aristocratic usufruct rests on personal prerogative, +sanctioned by the sacred rights of authentic prescription, without +afterthought. The two, it will be noted are very much alike, in effect, +"under the skin." The great distinguishing mark being that the German +usufructuary gentlemen are, in theory at least, gentlemen-adventurers of +prowess and proud words, whose place in the world's economy it is to +glorify God and disturb the peace; whereas their British analogues are +gentlemen-investors, of blameless propriety, whose place it is more +simply to glorify God and enjoy Him forever. + +All this arrangement of a usufruct with a view to the reputable +consumption of the community's superfluous production has had the +cordial support of British sentiment, perhaps fully as cordial as the +German popular subservience in the corresponding German scheme; both +being well embedded in the preconceptions of the common man. But the war +has put it all to a rude test, and has called on the British gentlemen's +executive committee to take over duties for which it was not designed. +The exigencies of this war of technological exploits have been almost +wholly, and very insistently, of a character not contemplated in the +constitution of such an executive committee of gentlemen-investors +designed to safeguard class interests and promote their pecuniary class +advantage by a blamelessly inconspicuous and indirect management of +national affairs. The methods are of the class known colloquially among +the vulgar-spoken American politicians as "pussyfooting" and +"log-rolling"; but always with such circumstance of magnitude, +authenticity and well-bred deference to precedent, as to give the +resulting routine of subreption, trover and conversion, an air not only +of benevolent consideration but of austere morality. + +But the most austere courtesy and the most authentically dispassionate +division of benefits will not meet the underbred exigencies of a war +conducted on the mechanistic lines of the modern state of the industrial +arts. So the blameless, and for the purpose imbecile, executive +committee of gentlemen-investors has been insensibly losing the +confidence and the countenance of the common man; who, when all is said, +will always have to do what is to be done. The order of gentlemanly +parleying and brokery has, therefore, with many apprehensions of +calamity, been reluctantly and tardily giving ground before something +that is of a visibly underbred order. Increasingly underbred, and +thereby insensibly approaching the character of this war situation, but +accepted with visible reluctance and apprehension both by the ruling +class and by the underlying population. The urgent necessity of going to +such a basis, and of working out the matter in hand by an unblushing +recourse to that matter-of-fact logic of mechanical efficiency, which +alone can touch the difficulties of the case, but which has no respect +of persons,--this necessity has been present from the outset and has +been vaguely apprehended for long past, but it is only tardily and after +the chastening of heavy penalties on this gentlemanly imbecility that a +substantial move in that direction has been made. It has required much +British resolution to overcome the night-fear of going out into the +unhallowed ground of matter-of-fact, where the farthest earlier +excursions of the governmental agencies had taken them no farther than +such financial transactions as are incident to the accomplishment of +anything whatever in a commercial nation. And then, too, there is a +pecuniary interest in being interested in financial transactions. + +This shifting of discretionary control out of the hands of the gentlemen +into those of the underbred common run, who know how to do what is +necessary to be done in the face of underbred exigencies, may +conceivably go far when it has once been started, and it may go forward +at an accelerated rate if the pressure of necessity lasts long enough. +If time be given for habituation to this manner of directorate in +national affairs, so that the common man comes to realise how it is +feasible to get along without gentlemen-investors holding the +discretion, the outcome may conceivably be very grave. It is a point in +doubt, but it is conceivable that in such a case the gentlemanly +executive committee administering affairs in the light of the +gentlemanly pecuniary interest, will not be fully reinstated in the +discretionary control of the United Kingdom for an appreciable number of +years after the return of peace. Possibly, even, the regime may be +permanently deranged, and there is even a shadowy doubt possible to be +entertained as to whether the vested pecuniary rights, on which the +class of gentlemen rests, may not suffer some derangement, in case the +control should pass into the hands of the underbred and unpropertied for +so long a season as to let the common man get used to thinking that the +vested interests and the sacred rights of gentility are so much ado +about nothing. + +Such an outcome would be extreme, but as a remote contingency it is to +be taken into account. The privileged classes of the United Kingdom +should by this time be able to see the danger there may be for them and +their vested interests, pecuniary and moral, in an excessive +prolongation of the war; in such postponement of peace as would afford +time for a popular realisation of their incompetence and +disserviceability as touches the nation's material well-being under +modern conditions. To let the nation's war experience work to such an +outcome, the season of war would have to be prolonged beyond what either +the hopes or the fears of the community have yet contemplated; but the +point is after all worth noting, as being within the premises of the +case, that there is herein a remote contingency of losing, at least for +a time, that unformulated clause in the British constitution which has +hitherto restricted the holding of responsible office to men of pedigree +and of gentle breeding, or at least of very grave pecuniary weight; so +grave as to make the incumbents virtual gentlemen, with a virtual +pedigree, and with a virtual gentleman's accentuated sense of class +interest. Should such an eventuality overtake British popular sentiment +and belief there is also the remote contingency that the rights of +ownership and investment would lose a degree of sanctity. + +It seems necessary to note a further, and in a sense more improbable, +line of disintegration among modern fixed ideas. Among the best +entrenched illusions of modern economic preconceptions, and in economic +as well as legal theory, has been the indispensability of funds, and the +hard and fast limitation of industrial operations by the supply or +with-holding of funds. The war experience has hitherto gone tentatively +to show that funds and financial transactions, of credit, bargain, sale +and solvency, may be dispensed with under pressure of necessity; and +apparently without seriously hindering that run of mechanical fact, on +which interest in the present case necessarily centers, and which must +be counted on to give the outcome. Latterly the case is clearing up a +little further, on further experience and under further pressure of +technological exigencies, to the effect that financial arrangements are +indispensable in this connection only because and in so far as it has +been arranged to consider them indispensable; as in international trade. +They are an indispensable means of intermediation only in so far as +pecuniary interests are to be furthered or safeguarded in the +intermediation. When, as has happened with the belligerents in the +present instance, the national establishment becomes substantially +insolvent, it is beginning to appear that its affairs can be taken care +of with less difficulty and with better effect without the use of +financial expedients. Of course, it takes time to get used to doing +things by the more direct method and without the accustomed +circumlocution of accountancy, or the accustomed allowance for profits +to go to interested parties who, under the financial regime, hold a +power of discretionary permission in all matters that touch the use of +the industrial arts. Under these urgent material exigencies, investment +comes to have much of the appearance of a gratuitous drag and drain on +the processes of industry. + +Here, again, is a sinister contingency; sinister, that is, for those +vested rights of ownership by force of which the owners of "capital" are +enabled to permit or withhold the use of the industrial arts by the +community at large, on pain of privation in case the accustomed toll to +the owners of capital is not paid. It is, of course, not intended to +find fault with this arrangement; which has the sanction of "time +immemorial" and of a settled persuasion that it lies at the root of all +civilised life and intercourse. It is only that in case of extreme need +this presumed indispensable expedient of industrial control has broken +down, and that experience is proving it to be, in these premises, an +item of borrowed trouble. Should experience continue to run on the same +lines for an appreciable period and at a high tension, it is at least +conceivable that the vested right of owners to employ unlimited sabotage +in the quest of profits might fall so far into disrepute as to leave +them under a qualified doubt on the return of "normal" conditions. The +common man, in other words, who gathers nothing but privation and +anxiety from the owners' discretionary sabotage, may conceivably stand +to lose his preconception that the vested rights of ownership are the +cornerstone of his life, liberty and pursuit of happiness. + + * * * * * + +The considerations recited in this lengthy excursion on the war +situation and its probable effects on popular habits of thought in the +United Kingdom go to say that when peace comes to be negotiated, with +the United Kingdom as the chief constituent and weightiest spokesman of +the allied nations and of the league of pacific neutrals, the +representatives of British aims and opinions are likely to speak in a +different, chastened, and disillusioned fashion, as contrasted with what +the British attitude was at the beginning of hostilities. The +gentlemanly British animus of arrogant self-sufficiency will have been +somewhat sobered, perhaps somewhat subdued. Concession to the claims and +pretensions of the other pacific nations is likely to go farther than +might once have been expected, particularly in the way of concession to +any demand for greater international comity and less international +discrimination; essentially concession looking to a reduction of +national pretensions and an incipient neutralisation of national +interests. Coupled with this will presumably be a less conciliatory +attitude toward the members of the dynastic coalition against whom the +war has been fought, owing to a more mature realisation of the +impossibility of a lasting peace negotiated with a Power whose +substantial core is a warlike and irresponsible dynastic establishment. +The peace negotiations are likely to run on a lower level of diplomatic +deference to constituted authorities, and with more of a view to the +interests and sentiments of the underlying population, than was evident +in the futile negotiations had at the outbreak of hostilities. The +gentle art of diplomacy, that engages the talents of exalted personages +and well-bred statesmen, has been somewhat discredited; and if it turns +out that the vulgarisation of the directorate in the United Kingdom and +its associated allies and neutrals will have time to go on to something +like dominance and authenticity, then the deference which the spokesmen +of these nations are likely to show for the prescriptive rights of +dynasty, nobility, bureaucracy, or even of pecuniary aristocracy, in the +countries that make up the party of the second part, may be expected to +have shrunk appreciably, conceivably even to such precarious dimensions +as to involve the virtual neglect or possible downright abrogation of +them, in sum and substance. + +Indeed, the chances of a successful pacific league of neutrals to come +out of the current situation appear to be largely bound up with the +degree of vulgarisation due to overtake the several directorates of the +belligerent nations as well as the popular habits of thought in these +and in the neutral countries, during the further course of the war. It +is too broad a generalisation, perhaps, to say that the longer the war +lasts the better are the chances of such a neutral temper in the +interested nations as will make a pacific league practicable, but the +contrary would appear a much less defensible proposition. It is, of +course, the common man that has the least interest in warlike +enterprise, if any, and it is at the same time the common man that bears +the burden of such enterprise and has also the most immediate interest +in keeping the peace. If, slowly and pervasively, in the course of hard +experience, he learns to distrust the conduct of affairs by his betters, +and learns at the same move to trust to his own class to do what is +necessary and to leave undone what is not, his deference to his betters +is likely to suffer a decline, such as should show itself in a somewhat +unguarded recourse to democratic ways and means. + +In short, there is in this progressive vulgarisation of effectual use +and wont and of sentiment, in the United Kingdom and elsewhere, some +slight ground for the hope, or the apprehension, that no peace will be +made with the dynastic Powers of the second part until they cease to be +dynastic Powers and take on the semblance of democratic commonwealths, +with dynasties, royalties and privileged classes thrown in the discard. + +This would probably mean some prolongation of hostilities, until the +dynasties and privileged classes had completely exhausted their +available resources; and, by the same token, until the privileged +classes in the more modern nations among the belligerents had also been +displaced from direction and discretion by those underbred classes on +whom it is incumbent to do what is to be done; or until a juncture were +reached that comes passably near to such a situation. On the contingency +of such a course of events and some such outcome appears also to hang +the chance of a workable pacific league. Without further experience of +the futility of upper-class and pecuniary control, to discredit +precedent and constituted authority, it is scarcely conceivable, e.g., +that the victorious allies would go the length of coercively discarding +the German Imperial dynasty and the kept classes that with it constitute +the Imperial State, and of replacing it with a democratic organisation +of the people in the shape of a modern commonwealth; and without a +change of that nature, affecting that nation and such of its allies as +would remain on the map, no league of pacific neutrals would be able to +manage its affairs, even for a time, except on a war-footing that would +involve a competitive armament against future dynastic enterprises from +the same quarter. Which comes to saying that a lasting peace is possible +on no other terms than the disestablishment of the Imperial dynasty and +the abrogation of all feudalistic remnants of privilege in the +Fatherland and its allies, together with the reduction of those +countries to the status of commonwealths made up of ungraded men. + + * * * * * + +It is easy to speculate on what the conditions precedent to such a +pacific league of neutrals must of necessity be; but it is not therefore +less difficult to make a shrewd guess as to the chances of these +conditions being met. Of these conditions precedent, the chief and +foremost, without which any other favorable circumstances are +comparatively idle, is a considerable degree of neutralisation, +extending to virtually all national interests and pretensions, but more +particularly to all material and commercial interests of the federated +peoples; and, indispensably and especially, such neutralisation would +have to extend to the nations from whom aggression is now apprehended, +as, e.g., the German people. But such neutralisation could not +conceivably reach the Fatherland unless that nation were made over in +the image of democracy, since the Imperial State is, by force of the +terms, a warlike and unneutral power. This would seem to be the +ostensibly concealed meaning of the allied governments in proclaiming +that their aim is to break German militarism without doing harm to the +German people. + +As touches the neutralisation of the democratically rehabilitated +Fatherland, or in default of that, as touches the peace terms to be +offered the Imperial government, the prime article among the +stipulations would seem to be abolition of all trade discrimination +against Germany or by Germany against any other nationality. Such +stipulation would, of course, cover all manner of trade +discrimination,--e.g., import, export and excise tariff, harbor and +registry dues, subsidy, patent right, copyright, trade mark, tax +exemption whether partial or exclusive, investment preferences at home +and abroad,--in short it would have to establish a thoroughgoing +neutralisation of trade relations in the widest acceptation of the term, +and to apply in perpetuity. The like applies, of course, to all that +fringe of subsidiary and outlying peoples on whom Imperial Germany +relies for much of its resources in any warlike enterprise. Such a move +also disposes of the colonial question in a parenthesis, so far as +regards any special bond of affiliation between the Empire, or the +Fatherland, and any colonial possessions that are now thought desirable +to be claimed. Under neutralisation, colonies would cease to be +"colonial possessions," being necessarily included under the general +abrogation of commercial discriminations, and also necessarily exempt +from special taxation or specially favorable tax rates. + +Colonies there still would be, though it is not easy to imagine what +would be the meaning of a "German Colony" in such a case. Colonies would +be free communities, after the fashion of New Zealand or Australia, but +with the further sterilisation of the bond between colony and mother +country involved in the abolition of all appointive offices and all +responsibility to the crown or the imperial government. Now, there are +no German colonies in this simpler British sense of the term, which +implies nothing more than community of blood, institutions and language, +together with that sense of solidarity between the colony and the mother +country which this community of pedigree and institutions will +necessarily bring; but while there are today no German colonies, in the +sense of the term so given, there is no reason to presume that no such +German colonies would come into bearing under the conditions of this +prospective regime of neutrality installed by such a pacific league, +when backed by the league's guarantee that no colony from the Fatherland +will be exposed to the eventual risk of coming under the discretionary +tutelage of the German Imperial establishment and so falling into a +relation of step-childhood to the Imperial dynasty. + +As is well known, and as has by way of superfluous commonplace been set +forth by a sometime Colonial Secretary of the Empire, the decisive +reason for there being no German colonies in existence is the +consistently impossible colonial policy of the German government, +looking to the usufruct of the colonies by the government, and the fear +of further arbitrary control and nepotic discrimination at the pleasure +of the self-seeking dynastic establishment. It is only under Imperial +rule that no German colony, in this modern sense of the term, is +possible; and only because Imperial rule does not admit of a free +community being formed by colonists from the Fatherland; or of an +ostensibly free community of that kind ever feeling secure from +unsolicited interference with its affairs. + +The nearest approach to a German Colony, as contrasted with a "Colonial +Possession," hitherto have been the very considerable, number of +escaped German subjects who have settled in English-speaking or +Latin-speaking countries, particularly in North and South America. And +considering that the chief common trait among them is their successful +evasion of the Imperial government's heavy hand, they show an admirable +filial piety toward the Imperial establishment; though troubled with no +slightest regret at having escaped from the Imperial surveillance and no +slightest inclination to return to the shelter of the Imperial tutelage. +A colloquialism--"hyphenate"--has latterly grown up to meet the need of +a term to designate these evasive and yet patriotic colonists. It is +scarcely misleading to say that the German-American hyphenate, e.g., in +so far as he runs true to form, is still a German subject with his +heart, but he is an American citizen with his head. All of which goes to +argue that if the Fatherland were to fall into such a state of +democratic tolerance that no recidivist need carry a defensive hyphen to +shield him from the importunate attentions of the Imperial government, +German colonies would also come into bearing; although, it is true, they +would have no value to the German government. + +In the Imperial colonial policy colonies are conceived to stand to their +Imperial guardian or master in a relation between that of a step-child +and that of an indentured servant; to be dealt with summarily and at +discretion and to be made use of without scruple. The like attitude +toward colonies was once familiar matter-of-course with the British and +Spanish statesmen. The British found the plan unprofitable, and also +unworkable, and have given it up. The Spanish, having no political +outlook but the dynastic one, could of course not see their way to +relinquish the only purpose of their colonial enterprise, except in +relinquishing their colonial possessions. The German (Imperial) colonial +policy is and will be necessarily after the Spanish pattern, and +necessarily, too, with the Spanish results. + +Under the projected neutral scheme there would be no colonial policy, +and of course, no inducement to the acquisition of colonies, since +there would be no profit to be derived, or to be fancied, in the case. +But while no country, as a commonwealth, has any material interest in +the acquisition or maintenance of colonies, it is otherwise as regards +the dynastic interests of an Imperial government; and it is also +otherwise, at least in the belief of the interested parties, as regards +special businessmen or business concerns who are in a position to gain +something by help of national discrimination in their favor. As regards +the pecuniary interests of favored businessmen or business concerns, and +of investors favored by national discrimination in colonial relations, +the case falls under the general caption of trade discrimination, and +does not differ at all materially from such expedients as a protective +tariff, a ship subsidy, or a bounty on exports. But as regards the +warlike, that is to say dynastic, interest of an Imperial government the +case stands somewhat different. + +Colonial Possessions in such a case yield no material benefit to the +country at large, but their possession is a serviceable plea for warlike +preparations with which to retain possession of the colonies in the face +of eventualities, and it is also a serviceable means of stirring the +national pride and keeping alive a suitable spirit of patriotic +animosity. The material service actually to be derived from such +possessions in the event of war is a point in doubt, with the +probabilities apparently running against their being of any eventual net +use. But there need be no question that such possessions, under the hand +of any national establishment infected with imperial ambitions, are a +fruitful source of diplomatic complications, excuses for armament, +international grievances, and eventual aggression. A pacific league of +neutrals can evidently not tolerate the retention of colonial +possessions by any dynastic State that may be drawn into the league or +under its jurisdiction, as, e.g., the German Empire in case it should be +left on an Imperial footing. Whereas, in case the German peoples are +thrown back on a democratic status, as neutralised commonwealths without +a crown or a military establishment, the question of their colonial +possessions evidently falls vacant. + +As to the neutralisation of trade relations apart from the question of +colonies, and as bears on the case of Germany under the projected +jurisdiction of a pacific league of neutrals, the considerations to be +taken account of are of much the same nature. As it would have to take +effect, e.g., in the abolition of commercial and industrial +discriminations between Germany and the pacific nations, such +neutralisation would doubtless confer a lasting material benefit on the +German people at large; and it is not easy to detect any loss or +detriment to be derived from such a move so long as peace prevails. +Protective, that is to say discriminating, export, import, or excise +duties, harbor and registry dues, subsidies, tax exemptions and trade +preferences, and all the like devices of interference with trade and +industry, are unavoidably a hindrance to the material interests of any +people on whom they are imposed or who impose these disabilities on +themselves. So that exemption from these things by a comprehensive +neutralisation of trade relations would immediately benefit all the +nations concerned, in respect of their material well-being in times of +peace. There is no exception and no abatement to be taken account of +under this general statement, as is well known to all men who are +conversant with these matters. + +But it is otherwise as regards the dynastic interest in the case, and as +regards any national interest in warlike enterprise. It is doubtless +true that all restraint of trade between nations, and between classes or +localities within the national frontiers, unavoidably acts to weaken and +impoverish the people on whose economic activities this restraint is +laid; and to the extent to which this effect is had it will also be true +that the country which so is hindered in its work will have a less +aggregate of resources to place at the disposal of its enterprising +statesmen for imperialist ends. But these restraints may yet be useful +for dynastic, that is to say warlike, ends by making the country more +nearly a "self-contained economic whole." A country becomes a +"self-contained economic whole" by mutilation, in cutting itself off +from the industrial system in which industrially it belongs, but in +which it is unwilling nationally to hold its place. National frontiers +are industrial barriers. But as a result of such mutilation of its +industrial life such a country is better able--it has been believed--to +bear the shock of severing its international trade relations entirely, +as is likely to happen in case of war. + +In a large country, such as America or Russia, which comprises within +its national boundaries very extensive and very varied resources and a +widely distributed and diversified population, the mischief suffered +from restraints of trade that hinder industrial relations with the world +at large will of course be proportionately lessened. Such a country +comes nearer being a miniature industrial world; although none of the +civilised nations, large or small, can carry on its ordinary industrial +activities and its ordinary manner of life without drawing on foreign +parts to some appreciable extent. But a country of small territorial +extent and of somewhat narrowly restricted natural resources, as, e.g., +Germany or France, can even by the most drastic measures of restraint +and mutilation achieve only a very mediocre degree of industrial +isolation and "self-sufficiency,"--as has, e.g., appeared in the present +war. But in all cases, though in varying measure, the mitigated +isolation so enforced by these restraints on trade will in their degree +impair the country's industrial efficiency and lower the people's +material well-being; yet, if the restrictions are shrewdly applied this +partial isolation and partial "self-sufficiency" will go some way toward +preparing the nation for the more thorough isolation that follows on the +outbreak of hostilities. + +The present plight of the German people under war conditions may serve +to show how nearly that end may be attained, and yet how inadequate even +the most unreserved measures of industrial isolation must be in face of +the fact that the modern state of the industrial arts necessarily draws +on the collective resources of the world at large. It may well be +doubted, on an impartial view, if the mutilation of the country's +industrial system by such measures of isolation does not after all +rather weaken the nation even for warlike ends; but then, the +discretionary authorities in the dynastic States are always, and it may +be presumed necessarily, hampered with obsolete theories handed down +from that cameralistic age, when the little princes of the Fatherland +were making dynastic history. So, e.g., the current, nineteenth and +twentieth century, economic policy of the Prussian-Imperial statesmen is +still drawn on lines within which Frederick II, called the Great, would +have felt well at home. + +Like other preparation for hostilities this reduction of the country to +the status of a self-contained economic organisation is costly, but +like other preparation for hostilities it also puts the nation in a +position of greater readiness to break off friendly relations with its +neighbors. It is a war measure, commonly spoken for by its advocates as +a measure of self-defense; but whatever the merits of the +self-defenders' contention, this measure is a war measure. As such it +can reasonably claim no hearing in the counsels of a pacific league of +neutrals, whose purpose it is to make war impracticable. Particularly +can there be no reasonable question of admitting a policy of trade +discrimination and isolation on the part of a nation which has, for +purposes of warlike aggression, pursued such a policy in the past, and +which it is the immediate purpose of the league to bind over to keep the +peace. + +There has been a volume of loose talk spent on the justice and +expediency of boycotting the trade of the peoples of the Empire after +the return of peace, as a penalty and as a preventive measure designed +to retard their recovery of strength with which to enter on a further +warlike enterprise. Such a measure would necessarily be somewhat futile; +since "Business is business," after all, and the practical limitations +imposed on an unprofitable boycott by the moral necessity to buy cheap +and sell dear that rests on all businessmen would surreptitiously +mitigate it to the point of negligibility. It is inconceivable--or it +would be inconceivable in the absence of imbecile politicians and +self-seeking businessmen--that measures looking to the trade isolation +of any one of these countries could be entertained as a point of policy +to be pursued by a league of neutrals. And it is only in so far as +patriotic jealousy and vindictive sentiments are allowed to displace the +aspiration for peace and security, that such measures can claim +consideration. Considered as a penalty to be imposed on the erring +nations who set this warlike adventure afoot, it should be sufficiently +plain that such a measure as a trade boycott could not touch the chief +offenders, or even their responsible abettors. It would, rather, play +into the hands of the militarist interests by keeping alive the spirit +of national jealousy and international hatred, out of which wars arise +and without which warlike enterprise might hopefully be expected to +disappear out of the scheme of human intercourse. The punishment would +fall, as all economic burdens and disabilities must always fall, on the +common man, the underlying population. + +The chief relation of this common run, this underlying population of +German subjects, to the inception and pursuit of this Imperial warlike +enterprise, is comprised in the fact that they are an underlying +population of subjects, held in usufruct by the Imperial establishment +and employed at will. It is true, they have lent themselves unreservedly +to the uses for which the dynasty has use for them, and they have +entered enthusiastically into the warlike adventure set afoot by the +dynastic statesmen; but that they have done so is their misfortune +rather than their fault. By use and wont and indoctrination they have +for long been unremittingly, and helplessly, disciplined into a spirit +of dynastic loyalty, national animosity and servile abnegation; until it +would be nothing better than a pathetic inversion of all the equities of +the case to visit the transgressions of their masters upon the common +run; whose fault lies, after all, in their being an underlying +population of subjects, who have not had a chance to reach that +spiritual level on which they could properly be held accountable for the +uses to which they are turned. It is true, men are ordinarily punished +for their misfortunes; but the warlike enterprise of the Imperial +dynasty has already brought what might fairly be rated as a good measure +of punishment on this underlying populace, whose chief fault and chief +misfortune lies in an habitual servile abnegation of those traits of +initiative and discretion in man that constitute him an agent +susceptible of responsibility or retribution. + +It would be all the more of a pathetic mockery to visit the +transgressions of their masters on these victims of circumstance and +dynastic mendacity, since the conventionalities of international equity +will scarcely permit the high responsible parties in the case to be +chastised with any penalty harsher than a well-mannered figure of +speech. To serve as a deterrent, the penalty must strike the point where +vests the discretion; but servile use and wont is still too well intact +in these premises to let any penalty touch the guilty core of a +profligate dynasty. Under the wear and tear of continued war and its +incident continued vulgarisation of the directorate and responsible +staff among the pacific allies, the conventional respect of persons is +likely to suffer appreciable dilapidation; but there need be no +apprehension of such a loss of decent respect for personages as would +compromise the creature comforts of that high syndicate of personages on +whose initiative the Fatherland entered upon this enterprise in +dominion. + +Bygone shortcomings and transgressions can have no reasonable place in +the arrangements by which a pacific league of neutrals designs to keep +the peace. Neither can bygone prerogatives and precedents of +magnificence and of mastery, except in so far as they unavoidably must +come into play through the inability of men to divest themselves of +their ingrained preconceptions, by virtue of which a Hohenzollern or a +Hapsburger is something more formidable and more to be considered than a +recruiting sergeant or a purveyor of light literature. The league can do +its work of pacification only by elaborately forgetting differences and +discrepancies of the kind that give rise to international grievances. +Which is the same as saying that the neutralisation of national +discriminations and pretensions will have to go all the way, if it is to +serve. But this implies, as broadly as need be, that the pacific nations +who make the league and provisionally administer its articles of +agreement and jurisdiction, can not exempt themselves from any of the +leveling measures of neutralisation to which the dynastic suspects among +them are to be subject. It would mean a relinquishment of all those +undemocratic institutional survivals out of which international +grievances are wont to arise. As a certain Danish adage would have it, +the neutrals of the league must all be shorn over the same comb. + + * * * * * + +What is to be shorn over this one comb of neutralisation and democracy +is all those who go into the pacific league of neutrals and all who come +under its jurisdiction, whether of their own choice or by the +necessities of the case. It is of the substance of the case that those +peoples who have been employed in the campaigns of the German-Imperial +coalition are to come in on terms of impartial equality with those who +have held the ground against them; to come under the jurisdiction, and +prospectively into the copartnery, of the league of neutrals--all on the +presumption that the Imperial coalition will be brought to make peace on +terms of unconditional surrender. + +Let it not seem presumptuous to venture on a recital of summary +specifications intended to indicate the nature of those concrete +measures which would logically be comprised in a scheme of pacification +carried out with such a view to impartial equality among the peoples who +are to make up the projected league. There is a significant turn of +expression that recurs habitually in the formulation of terms put forth +by the spokesmen of the Entente belligerents, where it is insisted that +hostilities are carried on not against the German people or the other +peoples associated with them, but only against the Imperial +establishments and their culpable aids and abettors in the enterprise. +So it is further insisted that there is no intention to bring pains and +penalties on these peoples, who so have been made use of by their +masters, but only on the culpable master class whose tools these peoples +have been. And later, just now (January 1917), and from a responsible +and disinterested spokesman for the pacific league, there comes the +declaration that a lasting peace at the hands of such a league can be +grounded only in a present "peace without victory." + +The mutual congruity of these two declarations need not imply collusion, +but they are none the less complementary propositions and they are none +the less indicative of a common trend of convictions among the men who +are best able to speak for those pacific nations that are looked to as +the mainstay of the prospective league. They both converge to the point +that the objective to be achieved is not victory for the Entente +belligerents but defeat for the German-Imperial coalition; that the +peoples underlying the defeated governments are not to be dealt with as +vanquished enemies but as fellows in undeserved misfortune brought on by +their culpable masters; and that no advantage is designed to be taken of +these peoples, and no gratuitous hardship to be imposed on them. Their +masters are evidently to be put away, not as defeated antagonists but as +a public nuisance to be provided against as may seem expedient for the +peace and security of those nations whom they have been molesting. + +Taking this position as outlined, it should not be extremely difficult +to forecast the general line of procedure which it would logically +demand,--barring irrelevant regard for precedents and overheated +resentment, and provided that the makers of these peace terms have a +free hand and go to their work with an eye single to the establishment +of an enduring peace. The case of Germany would be typical of all the +rest; and the main items of the bill in this case would seem logically +to run somewhat as follows: + +(1) The definitive elimination of the Imperial establishment, together +with the monarchical establishments of the several states of the Empire +and the privileged classes; + +(2) Removal or destruction of all warlike equipment, military and naval, +defensive and offensive; + +(3) Cancelment of the public debt, of the Empire and of its +members--creditors of the Empire being accounted accessory to the +culpable enterprise of the Imperial government; + +(4) Confiscation of such industrial equipment and resources as have +contributed to the carrying on of the war, as being also accessory; + +(5) Assumption by the league at large of all debts incurred, by the +Entente belligerents or by neutrals, for the prosecution or by reason of +the war, and distribution of the obligation so assumed, impartially +among the members of the league, including the peoples of the defeated +nations; + +(6) Indemnification for all injury done to civilians in the invaded +territories; the means for such indemnification to be procured by +confiscation of all estates in the defeated countries exceeding a +certain very modest maximum, calculated on the average of property +owned, say, by the poorer three-fourths of the population,--the kept +classes being properly accounted accessory to the Empire's culpable +enterprise. + +The proposition to let the war debt be shared by all members of the +league on a footing of impartial equality may seem novel, and perhaps +extravagant. But all projects put forth for safeguarding the world's +peace by a compact among the pacific nations run on the patent, though +often tacit, avowal that the Entente belligerents are spending their +substance and pledging their credit for the common cause. Among the +Americans, the chief of the neutral nations, this is coming to be +recognised more and more overtly. So that, in this instance at least, no +insurmountable reluctance to take over their due share of the common +burden should fairly be looked for, particularly when it appears that +the projected league, if it is organised on a footing of neutrality, +will relieve the republic of virtually all outlay for their own defense. + +Of course, there is, in all this, no temerarious intention to offer +advice as to what should be done by those who have it to do, or even to +sketch the necessary course which events are bound to take. As has been +remarked in another passage, that would have to be a work of prophesy or +of effrontery, both of which, it is hoped, lie equally beyond the +horizon of this inquiry; which is occupied with the question of what +conditions will logically have to be met in order to an enduring peace, +not what will be the nature and outcome of negotiations entered into by +astute delegates pursuing the special advantage, each of his own nation. +And yet the peremptory need of reaching some practicable arrangement +whereby the peace may be kept, goes to say that even the most astute +negotiations will in some degree be controlled by that need, and may +reasonably be expected to make some approach to the simple and obvious +requirements of the situation. + + * * * * * + +Therefore the argument returns to the United Kingdom and the probable +limit of tolerance of that people, in respect of what they are likely to +insist on as a necessary measure of democratisation in the nations of +the second part, and what measure of national abnegation they are likely +to accommodate themselves to. The United Kingdom is indispensable to the +formation of a pacific league of neutrals. And the British terms of +adhesion, or rather of initiation of such a league, therefore, will have +to constitute the core of the structure, on which details may be +adjusted and to which concessive adjustments will have to be made by all +the rest. This is not saying that the projected league must or will be +dominated by the United Kingdom or administered in the British interest. +Indeed, it can not well be made to serve British particular interests in +any appreciable degree, except at the cost of defeat to its main +purpose; since the purposes of an enduring peace can be served only by +an effectual neutralisation of national claims and interests. But it +would mean that the neutralisation of national interests and +discriminations to be effected would have to be drawn on lines +acceptable to British taste in these matters, and would have to go +approximately so far as would be dictated by the British notions of what +is expedient, and not much farther. The pacific league of neutrals would +have much of a British air, but "British" in this connection is to be +taken as connoting the English-speaking countries rather than as +applying to the United Kingdom alone; since the entrance of the British +into the league would involve the entrance of the British colonies, and, +indeed, of the American republic as well. + +The temper and outlook of this British community, therefore, becomes a +matter of paramount importance in any attempted analysis of the +situation resulting after the war, or of any prospective course of +conduct to be entered on by the pacific nations. And the question +touches not so much the temper and preconceptions of the British +community as known in recent history, but rather as it is likely to be +modified by the war experience. So that the practicability of a neutral +league comes to turn, in great measure, on the effect which this war +experience is having on the habits of thought of the British people, or +on that section of the British population which will make up the +effectual majority when the war closes. The grave interest that attaches +to this question must serve as justification for pursuing it farther, +even though there can be no promise of a definite or confident answer to +be found beforehand. + +Certain general assertions may be made with some confidence. The +experiences of the war, particularly among the immediate participants +and among their immediate domestic connections--a large and increasing +proportion of the people at large--are plainly impressing on them the +uselessness and hardship of such a war. There can be no question but +they are reaching a conviction that a war of this modern kind and scale +is a thing to be avoided if possible. They are, no doubt, willing to go +to very considerable lengths to make a repetition of it impossible, and +they may reasonably be expected to go farther along that line before +peace returns. But the lengths to which they are ready to go may be in +the way of concessions, or in the way of contest and compulsion. There +need be no doubt but a profound and vindictive resentment runs through +the British community, and there is no reason to apprehend that this +will be dissipated in the course of further hostilities; although it +should fairly be expected to lose something of its earlier exuberant +malevolence and indiscrimination, more particularly if hostilities +continue for some time. It is not too much to expect, that this popular +temper of resentment will demand something very tangible in the way of +summary vengeance on those who have brought the hardships of war upon +the nation. + +The manner of retribution which would meet the popular demand for +"justice" to be done on the enemy is likely to be affected by the +fortunes of war, as also the incidence of it. Should the governmental +establishment and the discretion still vest in the gentlemanly classes +at the close of hostilities, the retribution is likely to take the +accustomed gentlemanly shape of pecuniary burdens imposed on the people +of the defeated country, together with diplomatically specified +surrender of territorial and colonial possessions, and the like; such as +to leave the _de facto_ enemy courteously on one side, and to yield +something in the way of pecuniary benefit to the gentlemen-investors in +charge, and something more in the way of new emoluments of office to the +office-holding class included in the same order of gentlemen. The +retribution in the case would manifestly fall on the underlying +population in the defeated country, without seriously touching the +responsible parties, and would leave the defeated nation with a new +grievance to nourish its patriotic animosity and with a new incentive +to a policy of watchful waiting for a chance of retaliation. + +But it is to be noted that under the stress of the war there is going +forward in the British community a progressive displacement of +gentlemanly standards and official procedure by standards and procedure +of a visibly underbred character, a weakening of the hold of the +gentlemanly classes on the control of affairs and a weakening of the +hold which the sacred rights of property, investment and privilege have +long had over the imagination of the British people. Should hostilities +continue, and should the exigencies of the war situation continue to +keep the futility of these sacred rights, as well as the fatuity of +their possessors, in the public eye, after the same fashion as hitherto, +it would not be altogether unreasonable to expect that the discretion +would pass into the hands of the underbred, or into the hands of men +immediately and urgently accountable to the underbred. In such a case, +and with a constantly growing popular realisation that the directorate +and responsible enemy in the war is the Imperial dynasty and its +pedigreed aids and abettors, it is conceivable that the popular +resentment would converge so effectually on these responsible +instigators and directors of misfortune as to bring the incidence of the +required retribution effectually to bear on them. The outcome might, not +inconceivably, be the virtual erasure of the Imperial dynasty, together +with the pedigreed-class rule on which it rests and the apparatus of +irresponsible coercion through which it works, in the Fatherland and in +its subsidiaries and dependencies. + +With a sufficiently urgent realisation of their need of peace and +security, and with a realisation also that the way to avoid war is to +avoid the ways and means of international jealousy and of the national +discriminations out of which international jealousy grows, it is +conceivable that a government which should reflect the British temper +and the British hopes might go so far in insisting on a neutralisation +of the peoples of the Fatherland as would leave them without the +dynastic apparatus with which warlike enterprise is set afoot, and so +leave them also perforce in a pacific frame of mind. In time, in the +absence of their dearly beloved leavings of feudalism, an enforced +reliance on their own discretion and initiative, and an enforced respite +from the rant and prance of warlike swagger, would reasonably be +expected to grow into a popular habit. The German people are by no means +less capable of tolerance and neighbourly decorum than their British or +Scandinavian neighbours of the same blood,--if they can only be left to +their own devices, untroubled by the maggoty conceit of national +domination. + +There is no intention herewith to express an expectation that this +out-and-out neutralisation of the Fatherland's international relations +and of its dynastic government will come to pass on the return of peace, +or that the German people will, as a precaution against recurrent +Imperial rabies, be organised on a democratic pattern by constraint of +the pacific nations of the league. The point is only that this measure +of neutralisation appears to be the necessary condition, in the absence +of which no such neutral league can succeed, and that so long as the war +goes on there is something of a chance that the British community may in +time reach a frame of mind combining such settled determination to +safeguard the peace at all costs, with such a degree of disregard for +outworn conventions, that their spokesmen in the negotiations may push +the neutralisation of these peoples to that length. + +The achievement of such an outcome would evidently take time as well as +harsh experience, more time and harsher experience, perhaps, than one +likes to contemplate. + +Most men, therefore, would scarcely rate the chance of such an outcome +at all high. And yet it is to be called to mind that the war has lasted +long and the effect of its demands and its experience has already gone +far, and that the longer it lasts the greater are the chances of its +prolongation and of its continued hardships, at least to the extent that +with every month of war that passes the prospect of the allied nations +making peace on any terms short of unconditional surrender grows less. +And unconditional surrender is the first step in the direction of an +unconditional dispossession of the Imperial establishment and its war +prophets,--depending primarily on the state of mind of the British +people at the time. And however unlikely, it is also always possible, as +some contend, that in the course of further war experience the common +man in the Fatherland may come to reflect on the use and value of the +Imperial establishment, with the result of discarding and disowning it +and all its works. Such an expectation would doubtless underrate the +force of ancient habit, and would also involve a misapprehension of the +psychological incidence of a warlike experience. The German people have +substantially none of those preconceptions of independence and +self-direction to go on, in the absence of which an effectual revulsion +against dynastic rule can not come to pass. + +Embedded in the common sense of the British population at large is a +certain large and somewhat sullen sense of fair dealing. In this they +are not greatly different from their neighbours, if at all, except that +the body of common sense in which this British sense of fair dealing +lies embedded is a maturer fashion of common sense than that which +serves to guide the workday life of many of their neighbours. And the +maturity in question appears to be chiefly a matter of their having +unlearned, divested themselves of, or been by force of disuse divested +of, an exceptionally large proportion of that burden of untoward +conceits which western Europe, and more particularly middle Europe, at +large has carried over from the Middle Ages. They have had time and +occasion to forget more of what the exigencies of modern life make it +expedient to have forgotten. And yet they are reputed slow, +conservative. But they have been well placed for losing much of what +would be well lost. + +Among other things, their preconception of national animosity is not +secure, in the absence of provocation. They are now again in a position +to learn to do without some of the useless legacy out of the +past,--useless, that is, for life as it runs today, however it may be +rated in the setting in which it was all placed in that past out of +which it has come. And the question is whether now, under the pressure +of exigencies that make for a disestablishment of much cumbersome +inherited apparatus for doing what need not be done, they will be ruled +by their sense of expediency and of fair dealing to the extent of +cancelling out of their own scheme of life so much of this legacy of +conventional preconceptions as has now come visibly to hinder their own +material well-being, and at the same time to defeat that peace and +security for which they have shown themselves willing to fight. It is, +of course, a simpler matter to fight than it is to put away a +preconceived, even if it is a bootless, superstition; as, e.g., the +prestige of hereditary wealth, hereditary gentility, national +vainglory, and perhaps especially national hatred. But if the school is +hard enough and the discipline protracted enough there is no reason in +the nature of things why the common run of the British people should not +unlearn these futilities that once were the substance of things under an +older and outworn order. They have already shown their capacity for +divesting themselves of outworn institutional bonds, in discarding the +main substance of dynastic rule; and when they now come to face the +exigencies of this new situation it should cause no great surprise if +they are able to see their way to do what further is necessary to meet +these exigencies. + + * * * * * + +At the hands of this British commonwealth the new situation requires the +putting away of the German Imperial establishment and the military +caste; the reduction of the German peoples to a footing of unreserved +democracy with sufficient guarantees against national trade +discriminations; surrender of all British tutelage over outlying +possessions, except what may go to guarantee their local autonomy; +cancelment of all extra-territorial pretensions of the several nations +entering into the league; neutralisation of the several national +establishments, to comprise virtual disarmament, as well as cancelment +of all restrictions on trade and of all national defense of +extra-territorial pecuniary claims and interests on the part of +individual citizens. The naval control of the seas will best be left in +British hands. No people has a graver or more immediate interest in the +freedom and security of the sea-borne trade; and the United Kingdom has +shown that it is to be trusted in that matter. And then it may well be +that neither the national pride nor the apprehensions of the British +people would allow them to surrender it; whereas, if the league is to +be formed it will have to be on terms to which the British people are +willing to adhere. A certain provision of armed force will also be +needed to keep the governments of unneutral nations in check,--and for +the purpose in hand all effectively monarchical countries are to be +counted as congenitally unneutral, whatever their formal professions and +whether they are members of the league or not. Here again it will +probably appear that the people of the United Kingdom, and of the +English-speaking countries at large, will not consent to this armed +force and its discretionary use passing out of British hands, or rather +out of French-British hands; and here again the practical decision will +have to wait on the choice of the British people, all the more because +the British community has no longer an interest, real or fancied, in the +coercive use of this force for their own particular ends. No other power +is to be trusted, except France, and France is less well placed for the +purpose and would assuredly also not covet so invidious an honour and so +thankless an office. + + * * * * * + +The theory, i.e. the logical necessities, of such a pacific league of +neutral nations is simple enough, in its elements. War is to be avoided +by a policy of avoidance. Which signifies that the means and the motives +to warlike enterprise and warlike provocation are to be put away, so far +as may be. If what may be, in this respect, does not come up to the +requirements of the case, the experiment, of course, will fail. The +preliminary requirement,--elimination of the one formidable dynastic +State in Europe,--has been spoken of. Its counterpart in the Far East +will cease to be formidable on the decease of its natural ally in +Central Europe, in so far as touches the case of such a projected +league. The ever increasingly dubious empire of the Czar would appear to +fall in the same category. So that the pacific league's fortunes would +seem to turn on what may be called its domestic or internal +arrangements. + +Now, the means of warlike enterprise, as well as of unadvised +embroilment, is always in the last analysis the patriotic spirit of the +nation. Given this patriotic spirit in sufficient measure, both the +material equipment and the provocation to hostilities will easily be +found. It should accordingly appear to be the first care of such a +pacific league to reduce the sources of patriotic incitement to the +practicable minimum. This can be done, in such measure as it can be done +at all, by neutralisation of national pretensions. The finished outcome +in this respect, such as would assure perpetual peace among the peoples +concerned, would of course be an unconditional neutralisation of +citizenship, as has already been indicated before. The question which, +in effect, the spokesmen for a pacific league have to face is as to how +nearly that outcome can be brought to pass. The rest of what they may +undertake, or may come to by way of compromise and stipulation, is +relatively immaterial and of relatively transient consequence. + +A neutralisation of citizenship has of course been afloat in a somewhat +loose way in the projects of socialistic and other "undesirable" +agitators, but nothing much has come of it. Nor have specific projects +for its realisation been set afoot. That anything conclusive along that +line could now be reached would seem extremely doubtful, in view of the +ardent patriotic temper of all these peoples, heightened just now by the +experience of war. Still, an undesigned and unguided drift in that +direction has been visible in all those nations that are accounted the +vanguard among modern civilised peoples, ever since the dynastic rule +among them began to be displaced by a growth of "free" institutions, +that is to say institutions resting on an accepted ground of +insubordination and free initiative. + +The patriotism of these peoples, or their national spirit, is after all +and at the best an attenuated and impersonalised remnant of dynastic +loyalty, and it amounts after all, in effect, to nothing much else than +a residual curtailment or partial atrophy of that democratic habit of +mind that embodies itself in the formula: Live and let live. It is, no +doubt, both an ancient and a very meritorious habit. It is easily +acquired and hard to put away. The patriotic spirit and the national +life (prestige) on which it centers are the subject of untiring eulogy; +but hitherto its encomiasts have shown no cause and put forward no claim +to believe that it all is of any slightest use for any purpose that does +not take it and its paramount merit for granted. It is doubtless a very +meritorious habit; at least so they all say. But under the circumstances +of modern civilised life it is fruitful of no other net material result +than damage and discomfort. Still it is virtually ubiquitous among +civilised men, and in an admirable state of repair; and for the +calculable future it is doubtless to be counted in as an enduring +obstacle to a conclusive peace, a constant source of anxiety and +unremitting care. + +The motives that work out through this national spirit, by use of this +patriotic ardor, fall under two heads: dynastic ambition, and business +enterprise. The two categories have the common trait that neither the +one nor the other comprises anything that is of the slightest material +benefit to the community at large; but both have at the same time a +high prestige value in the conventional esteem of modern men. The +relation of dynastic ambition to warlike enterprise, and the uses of +that usufruct of the nation's resources and man-power which the nation's +patriotism places at the disposal of the dynastic establishment, have +already been spoken of at length above, perhaps at excessive length, in +the recurrent discussion of the dynastic State and its quest of dominion +for dominion's sake. What measures are necessary to be taken as regards +the formidable dynastic States that threaten the peace, have also been +outlined, perhaps with excessive freedom. + +But it remains to call attention to that mitigated form of dynastic rule +called a constitutional monarchy. Instances of such a constitutional +monarchy, designed to conserve the well-beloved abuses of dynastic rule +under a cover of democratic formalities, or to bring in effectual +democratic insubordination under cover of the ancient dignities of an +outworn monarchical system,--the characterisation may run either way +according to the fancy of the speaker, and to much the same practical +effect in either case,--instances illustrative of this compromise +monarchy at work today are to be had, as felicitously as anywhere, in +the Balkan states; perhaps the case of Greece will be especially +instructive. At the other, and far, end of the line will be found such +other typical instances as the British, the Dutch, or, in pathetic and +droll miniature, the Norwegian. + +There is, of course, a wide interval between the grotesque effrontery +that wears the Hellenic crown and the undeviatingly decorous +self-effacement of the Dutch sovereign; and yet there is something of a +common complexion runs through the whole range of establishments, all +the way from the quasi-dynastic to the pseudo-dynastic. For reasons +unavoidable and persistent, though not inscribed in the constituent law, +the governmental establishment associated with such a royal concern will +be made up of persons drawn from the kept classes, the nobility or +lesser gentlefolk, and will be imbued with the spirit of these "better" +classes rather than that of the common run. + +With what may be uncanny shrewdness, or perhaps mere tropismatic +response to the unreasoned stimulus of a "consciousness of kind," the +British government--habitually a syndicate of gentlefolk--has uniformly +insisted on the installation of a constitutional monarchy at the +formation of every new national organisation in which that government +has had a discretionary voice. And the many and various constitutional +governments so established, commonly under British auspices in some +degree, have invariably run true to form, in some appreciable degree. +They may be quasi-dynastic or pseudo-dynastic, but at this nearest +approach to democracy they always, and unavoidably, include at least a +circumlocution office of gentlefolk, in the way of a ministry and court +establishment, whose place in the economy of the nation's affairs it is +to adapt the run of these affairs to the needs of the kept classes. + +There need be no imputation of sinister designs to these gentlefolk, who +so are elected by force of circumstances to guard and guide the nation's +interests. As things go, it will doubtless commonly be found that they +are as well-intentioned as need be. But a well-meaning gentleman of good +antecedents means well in a gentlemanly way and in the light of good +antecedents. Which comes unavoidably to an effectual bias in favor of +those interests which honorable gentlemen of good antecedents have at +heart. And among these interests are the interests of the kept classes, +as contrasted with that common run of the population from which their +keep is drawn. + +Under the auspices, even if they are only the histrionic and decorative +auspices, of so decorous an article of institutional furniture as +royalty, it follows of logical necessity that the personnel of the +effectual government must also be drawn from the better classes, whose +place and station and high repute will make their association with the +First Gentleman of the Realm not too insufferably incongruous. And then, +the popular habit of looking up to this First Gentleman with that +deference that royalty commands, also conduces materially to the +attendant habitual attitude of deference to gentility more at large. + +Even in so democratic a country, and with so exanimate a crown as is to +be found in the United Kingdom, the royal establishment visibly, and +doubtless very materially, conduces to the continued tenure of the +effectual government by representatives of the kept classes; and it +therefore counts with large effect toward the retardation of the +country's further move in the direction of democratic insubordination +and direct participation in the direction of affairs by the underbred, +who finally pay the cost. And on the other hand, even so moderately +royal an establishment as the Norwegian has apparently a sensible effect +in the way of gathering the reins somewhat into the hands of the better +classes, under circumstances of such meagerness as might be expected to +preclude anything like a "better" class, in the conventional acceptation +of that term. It would appear that even the extreme of pseudo-dynastic +royalty, sterilised to the last degree, is something of an effectual +hindrance to democratic rule, and in so far also a hindrance to the +further continued neutralisation of nationalist pretensions, as also an +effectual furtherance of upper-class rule for upper-class ends. + +Now, a government by well-meaning gentlemen-investors will, at the +nearest, come no nearer representing the material needs and interests of +the common run than a parable comes to representing the concrete facts +which it hopes to illuminate. And as bears immediately on the point in +hand, these gentlemanly administrators of the nation's affairs who so +cluster about the throne, vacant though it may be of all but the bodily +presence of majesty, are after all gentlemen, with a gentlemanly sense +of punctilio touching the large proprieties and courtesies of political +life. The national honor is a matter of punctilio, always; and out of +the formal exigencies of the national honor arise grievances to be +redressed; and it is grievances of this character that commonly afford +the formal ground of a breach of the peace. An appeal on patriotic +grounds of wounded national pride, to the common run who have no trained +sense of punctilio, by the gentlemanly responsible class who have such a +sense, backed by assurances that the national prestige or the national +interests are at stake, will commonly bring a suitable response. It is +scarcely necessary that the common run should know just what the stir is +about, so long as they are informed by their trusted betters that there +is a grievance to redress. In effect, it results that the democratic +nation's affairs are administered by a syndicate composed of the least +democratic class in the population. + +Excepting what is to be excepted, it will commonly hold true today that +these gentlemanly governments are conducted in a commendably clean and +upright fashion, with a conscious rectitude and a benevolent intention. +But they are after all, in effect, class governments, and they +unavoidably carry the bias of their class. The gentlemanly officials and +law-givers come, in the main, from the kept classes, whose living comes +to them in the way of income from investments, at home or in foreign +parts, or from an equivalent source of accumulated wealth or official +emolument. The bias resulting from this state of the case need not be of +an intolerant character in order to bring its modicum of mischief into +the national policy, as regards amicable relations with other +nationalities. A slight bias running on a ground of conscious right and +unbroken usage may go far. So, e.g., anyone of these gentlemanly +governments is within its legitimate rights, or rather within its +imperative duty, in defending the foreign investments of its citizens +and enforcing due payment of its citizens' claims to income or principal +of such property as they may hold in foreign parts; and it is within its +ordinary lines of duty in making use of the nation's resources--that is +to say of the common man and his means of livelihood--in enforcing such +claims held by the investing classes. The community at large has no +interest in the enforcement of such claims; it is evidently a class +interest, and as evidently protected by a code of rights, duties and +procedure that has grown out of a class bias, at the cost of the +community at large. + +This bias favoring the interests of invested wealth may also, and indeed +it commonly does, take the aggressive form of aggressively forwarding +enterprise in investment abroad, particularly in commercially backward +countries abroad, by extension of the national jurisdiction and the +active countenancing of concessions in foreign parts, by subventions, +or by creation of offices to bring suitable emoluments to the younger +sons of deserving families. The protective tariffs to which recourse is +sometimes had, are of the same general nature and purpose. Of course, it +is in this latter, aggressive or excursive, issue of the well-to-do bias +in favor of investment and invested wealth that its most pernicious +effect on international relations is traceable. + +Free income, that is to say income not dependent on personal merit or +exertion of any kind, is the breath of life to the kept classes; and as +a corollary of the "First Law of Nature," therefore, the invested wealth +which gives a legally equitable claim to such income has in their eyes +all the sanctity that can be given by Natural Right. Investment--often +spoken of euphemistically as "savings"--is consequently a meritorious +act, conceived to be very serviceable to the community at large, and +properly to be furthered by all available means. Invested wealth is so +much added to the aggregate means at the community's disposal, it is +believed. Of course, in point of fact, income from investment in the +hands of these gentlefolk is a means of tracelessly consuming that much +of the community's yearly product; but to the kept classes, who see the +matter from the point of view of the recipient, the matter does not +present itself in that light. To them it is the breath of life. Like +other honorable men they are faithful to their bread; and by authentic +tradition the common man, in whose disciplined preconceptions the kept +classes are his indispensable betters, is also imbued with the +uncritical faith that the invested wealth which enables these betters +tracelessly to consume a due share of the yearly product is an addition +to the aggregate means in hand. + +The advancement of commercial and other business enterprise beyond the +national frontiers is consequently one of the duties not to be +neglected, and with which no trifling can be tolerated. It is so bound +up with national ideals, under any gentlemanly government, that any +invasion or evasion of the rights of investors in foreign parts, or of +other business involved in dealings with foreign parts, immediately +involves not only the material interest of the nation but the national +honour as well. Hence international jealousies and eventual embroilment. + +The constitutional monarchy that commonly covers a modern democratic +community is accordingly a menace to the common peace, and any pacific +league of neutrals will be laying up trouble and prospective defeat for +itself in allowing such an institution to stand over in any instance. +Acting with a free hand, if such a thing were possible, the projected +league should logically eliminate all monarchical establishments, +constitutional or otherwise, from among its federated nations. It is +doubtless not within reason to look for such a move in the negotiations +that are to initiate the projected league of neutrals; but the point is +called to mind here chiefly as indicating one of the difficult passages +which are to be faced in any attempted formation of such a league, as +well as one of the abiding sources of international irritation with +which the league's jurisdiction will be burdened so long as a decisive +measure of the kind is not taken. + +The logic of the whole matter is simple enough, and the necessary +measures to be taken to remedy it are no less simple--barring +sentimental objections which will probably prove insuperable. A +monarchy, even a sufficiently inane monarchy, carries the burden of a +gentlemanly governmental establishment--a government by and for the +kept classes; such a government will unavoidably direct the affairs of +state with a view to income on invested wealth, and will see the +material interests of the country only in so far as they present +themselves under the form of investment and business enterprise designed +to eventuate in investment; these are the only forms of material +interest that give rise to international jealousies, discriminations and +misunderstanding, at the same time that they are interests of +individuals only and have no material use or value to the community at +large. Given a monarchical establishment and the concomitant gentlemanly +governmental corps, there is no avoiding this sinister prime mover of +international rivalry, so long as the rights of invested wealth continue +in popular apprehension to be held inviolable. + +Quite obviously there is a certain _tu quoque_ ready to the hand of +these "gentlemen of the old school" who see in the constitutional +monarchy a God-given shelter from the unreserved vulgarisation of life +at the hands of the unblest and unbalanced underbred and underfed. The +formally democratic nations, that have not retained even a +pseudo-dynastic royalty, are not much more fortunately placed in respect +of national discrimination in trade and investment. The American +republic will obviously come into the comparison as the type-form of +economic policy in a democratic commonwealth. There is little to choose +between the economic policy pursued by such republics as France or +America on the one side and their nearest counterparts among the +constitutional monarchies on the other. It is even to be admitted out of +hand that the comparison does no credit to democratic institutions as +seen at work in these republics. They are, in fact, somewhat the crudest +and most singularly foolish in their economic policy of any peoples in +Christendom. And in view of the amazing facility with which these +democratic commonwealths are always ready to delude themselves in +everything that touches their national trade policies, it is obvious +that any league of neutrals whose fortunes are in any degree contingent +on their reasonable compliance with a call to neutralise their trade +regulations for the sake of peace, will have need of all the persuasive +power it can bring to bear. + +However, the powers of darkness have one less line of defense to shelter +them and their work of malversation in these commonwealths than in the +constitutional monarchies. The American national establishment, e.g., +which may be taken as a fairly characteristic type-form in this bearing, +is a government of businessmen for business ends; and there is no tabu +of axiomatic gentility or of certified pedigree to hedge about this +working syndicate of business interests. So that it is all nearer by one +remove to the disintegrating touch of the common man and his commonplace +circumstances. The businesslike regime of these democratic politicians +is as undeviating in its advocacy and aid of enterprise in pursuit of +private gain under shelter of national discrimination as the +circumstances will permit; and the circumstances will permit them to do +much and go far; for the limits of popular gullibility in all things +that touch the admirable feats of business enterprise are very wide in +these countries. There is a sentimental popular belief running to the +curious effect that because the citizens of such a commonwealth are +ungraded equals before the law, therefore somehow they can all and +several become wealthy by trading at the expense of their neighbours. + +Yet, the fact remains that there is only the one line of defense in +these countries where the business interests have not the countenance of +a time-honored order of gentlefolk, with the sanction of royalty in the +background. And this fact is further enhanced by one of its immediate +consequences. Proceeding upon the abounding faith which these peoples +have in business enterprise as a universal solvent, the unreserved +venality and greed of their businessmen--unhampered by the gentleman's +_noblesse oblige_--have pushed the conversion of public law to private +gain farther and more openly here than elsewhere. The outcome has been +divers measures in restraint of trade or in furtherance of profitable +abuses, of such a crass and flagrant character that if once the popular +apprehension is touched by matter-of-fact reflection on the actualities +of this businesslike policy the whole structure should reasonably be +expected to crumble. If the present conjuncture of circumstances should, +e.g., present to the American populace a choice between exclusion from +the neutral league, and a consequent probable and dubious war of +self-defense, on the one hand; as against entrance into the league, and +security at the cost of relinquishing their national tariff in restraint +of trade, on the other hand, it is always possible that the people might +be brought to look their protective tariff in the face and recognise it +for a commonplace conspiracy in restraint of trade, and so decide to +shuffle it out of the way as a good riddance. And the rest of the +Republic's businesslike policy of special favors would in such a case +stand a chance of going in the discard along with the protective tariff, +since the rest is of substantially the same disingenuous character. + +Not that anyone need entertain a confident expectation of such an +exploit of common sense on the part of the American voters. There is +little encouragement for such a hope in their past career of gullibility +on this head. But this is again a point of difficulty to be faced in +negotiations looking to such a pacific league of neutrals. Without a +somewhat comprehensive neutralisation of national trade regulations, the +outlook for lasting peace would be reduced by that much; there would be +so much material for international jealousy and misunderstanding left +standing over and requiring continued readjustment and compromise, +always with the contingency of a breach that much nearer. The +infatuation of the Americans with their protective tariff and other +businesslike discriminations is a sufficiently serious matter in this +connection, and it is always possible that their inability to give up +this superstition might lead to their not adhering to this projected +neutral league. Yet it is at least to be said that the longer the time +that passes before active measures are taken toward the organisation of +such a league--that is to say, in effect, the longer the great war +lasts--the more amenable is the temper of the Americans likely to be, +and the more reluctantly would they see themselves excluded. Should the +war be protracted to some such length as appears to be promised by +latterday pronunciamentos from the belligerents, or to something +passably approaching such a duration; and should the Imperial designs +and anomalous diplomacy of Japan continue to force themselves on the +popular attention at the present rate; at the same time that the +operations in Europe continue to demonstrate the excessive cost of +defense against a well devised and resolute offensive; then it should +reasonably be expected that the Americans might come to such a +realisation of their own case as to let no minor considerations of trade +discrimination stand in the way of their making common cause with the +other pacific nations. + +It appears already to be realised in the most responsible quarter that +America needs the succor of the other pacific nations, with a need that +is not to be put away or put off; as it is also coming to be realised +that the Imperial Powers are disturbers of the peace, by force of their +Imperial character. Of course, the politicians who seek their own +advantage in the nation's embarrassment are commonly unable to see the +matter in that light. But it is also apparent that the popular sentiment +is affected with the same apprehension, more and more as time passes and +the aims and methods of the Imperial Powers become more patent. + +Hitherto the spokesmen of a pacific federation of nations have spoken +for a league of such an (indeterminate) constitution as to leave all the +federated nations undisturbed in all their conduct of their own affairs, +domestic or international; probably for want of second thought as to the +complications of copartnership between them in so grave and unwonted an +enterprise. They have also spoken of America's share in the project as +being that of an interested outsider, whose interest in any +precautionary measures of this kind is in part a regard for his own +tranquility as a disinterested neighbour, but in greater part a humane +solicitude for the well-being of civilised mankind at large. In this +view, somewhat self-complacent it is to be admitted, America is +conceived to come into the case as initiator and guide, about whom the +pacific nations are to cluster as some sort of queen-bee. + +Now, there is not a little verisimilitude in this conception of America +as a sort of central office and a tower of strength in the projected +federation of neutral nations, however pharisaical an appearance it may +all have in the self-complacent utterances of patriotic Americans. The +American republic is, after all, the greatest of the pacific nations of +Christendom, in resources, population and industrial capacity; and it is +also not to be denied that the temper of this large population is, on +the whole, as pacific as that of any considerable people--outside of +China. The adherence of the American republic would, in effect, double +the mass and powers of the projected league, and would so place it +beyond all hazard of defeat from without, or even of serious outside +opposition to its aims. + +Yet it will not hold true that America is either disinterested or +indispensable. The unenviable position of the indispensable belongs to +the United Kingdom, and carries with it the customary suspicion of +interested motives that attaches to the stronger party in a bargain. To +America, on the other hand, the league is indispensable, as a refuge +from otherwise inevitable dangers ahead; and it is only a question of a +moderate allowance of time for the American voters to realise that +without an adequate copartnership with the other pacific nations the +outlook of the Republic is altogether precarious. Single-handed, America +can not defend itself, except at a prohibitive cost; whereas in +copartnership with these others the national defense becomes a virtually +negligible matter. It is for America a choice between a policy of +extravagant armament and aggressive diplomacy, with a doubtful issue, on +the one side, and such abatement of national pretensions as would +obviate bootless contention, on the other side. + +Yet, it must be admitted, the patriotic temper of the American people is +of such a susceptible kind as to leave the issue in doubt. Not that the +Americans will not endeavor to initiate some form of compact for the +keeping of the peace, when hostilities are concluded; barring unforeseen +contingencies, it is virtually a foregone conclusion that the attempt +will be made, and that the Americans will take an active part in its +promotion. But the doubt is as to their taking such a course as will +lead to a compact of the kind needed to safeguard the peace of the +country. The business interests have much to say in the counsels of the +Americans, and these business interests look to short-term +gains--American business interests particularly--to be derived from the +country's necessities. It is likely to appear that the business +interests, through representatives in Congress and elsewhere, will +disapprove of any peace compact that does not involve an increase of the +national armament and a prospective demand for munitions and an +increased expenditure of the national funds. + +With or without the adherence of America, the pacific nations of Europe +will doubtless endeavour to form a league or alliance designed to keep +the peace. If America does not come into the arrangement it may well +come to nothing much more than a further continued defensive alliance of +the belligerent nations now opposed to the German coalition. In any case +it is still a point in doubt whether the league so projected is to be +merely a compact of defensive armament against a common enemy--in which +case it will necessarily be transient, perhaps ephemeral--or a more +inclusive coalition of a closer character designed to avoid any breach +of the peace, by disarmament and by disallowance and disclaimer of such +national pretensions and punctilio as the patriotic sentiment of the +contracting parties will consent to dispense with. The nature of the +resulting peace, therefore, as well as its chances of duration, will in +great measure be conditioned on the fashion of peace-compact on which it +is to rest; which will be conditioned in good part on the degree in +which the warlike coalition under German Imperial control is effectually +to be eliminated from the situation as a prospective disturber of the +peace; which, in turn, is a question somewhat closely bound up with the +further duration of the war, as has already been indicated in an earlier +passage. + + + + +CHAPTER VII + +PEACE AND THE PRICE SYSTEM + + +Evidently the conception of peace on which its various spokesmen are +proceeding is by no means the same for all of them. In the current +German conception, e.g., as seen in the utterances of its many and +urgent spokesmen, peace appears to be of the general nature of a truce +between nations, whose God-given destiny it is, in time, to adjust a +claim to precedence by wager of battle. They will sometimes speak of it, +euphemistically, with a view to conciliation, as "assurance of the +national future," in which the national future is taken to mean an +opportunity for the extension of the national dominion at the expense of +some other national establishment. In the same connection one may recall +the many eloquent passages on the State and its paramount place and +value in the human economy. The State is useful for disturbing the +peace. This German notion may confidently be set down as the lowest of +the current conceptions of peace; or perhaps rather as the notion of +peace reduced to the lowest terms at which it continues to be +recognisable as such. Next beyond in that direction lies the notion of +armistice; which differs from this conception of peace chiefly in +connoting specifically a definite and relatively short interval between +warlike operations. + +The conception of peace as being a period of preparation for war has +many adherents outside the Fatherland, of course. Indeed, it has +probably a wider vogue and a readier acceptance among men who interest +themselves in questions of peace and war than any other. It goes hand in +hand with that militant nationalism that is taken for granted, +conventionally, as the common ground of those international relations +that play a part in diplomatic intercourse. It is the diplomatist's +_metier_ to talk war in parables of peace. This conception of peace as a +precarious interval of preparation has come down to the present out of +the feudal age and is, of course, best at home where the feudal range of +preconceptions has suffered least dilapidation; and it carries the +feudalistic presumption that all national establishments are competitors +for dominion, after the scheme of Macchiavelli. The peace which is had +on this footing, within the realm, is a peace of subjection, more or +less pronounced according as the given national establishment is more or +less on the militant order; a warlike organisation being necessarily of +a servile character, in the same measure in which it is warlike. + +In much the same measure and with much the same limitations as the +modern democratic nations have departed from the feudal system of civil +relations and from the peculiar range of conceptions which characterise +that system, they have also come in for a new or revised conception of +peace. Instead of its being valued chiefly as a space of time in which +to prepare for war, offensive or defensive, among these democratic and +provisionally pacific nations it has come to stand in the common +estimation as the normal and stable manner of life, good and commendable +in its own right. These modern, pacific, commonwealths stand on the +defensive, habitually. They are still pugnaciously national, but they +have unlearned so much of the feudal preconceptions as to leave them in +a defensive attitude, under the watch-word: Peace with honour. Their +quasi-feudalistic national prestige is not to be trifled with, though it +has lost so much of its fascination as ordinarily not to serve the +purposes of an aggressive enterprise, at least not without some shrewd +sophistication at the hands of militant politicians and their diplomatic +agents. Of course, an exuberant patriotism may now and again take on the +ancient barbarian vehemence and lead such a provisionally pacific nation +into an aggressive raid against a helpless neighbour; but it remains +characteristically true, after all, that these peoples look on the +country's peace as the normal and ordinary course of things, which each +nation is to take care of for itself and by its own force. + +The ideal of the nineteenth-century statesmen was to keep the peace by a +balance of power; an unstable equilibrium of rivalries, in which it was +recognised that eternal vigilance was the price of peace by +equilibration. Since then, by force of the object-lesson of the +twentieth-century wars, it has become evident that eternal vigilance +will no longer keep the peace by equilibration, and the balance of power +has become obsolete. At the same time things have so turned that an +effective majority of the civilised nations now see their advantage in +peace, without further opportunity to seek further dominion. These +nations have also been falling into the shape of commonwealths, and so +have lost something of their national spirit. + +With much reluctant hesitation and many misgivings, the statesmen of +these pacific nations are accordingly busying themselves with schemes +for keeping the peace on the unfamiliar footing of a stable equilibrium; +the method preferred on the whole being an equilibration of +make-believe, in imitation of the obsolete balance of power. There is a +meticulous regard for national jealousies and discriminations, which it +is thought necessary to keep intact. Of course, on any one of these +slightly diversified plans of keeping the peace on a stable footing of +copartnery among the pacific nations, national jealousies and national +integrity no longer have any substantial meaning. But statesmen think +and plan in terms of precedent; which comes to thinking and planning in +terms of make-believe, when altered circumstances have made the +precedents obsolete. So one comes to the singular proposal of the +statesmen, that the peace is to be kept in concert among these pacific +nations by a provision of force with which to break it at will. The +peace that is to be kept on this footing of national discriminations and +national armaments will necessarily be of a precarious kind; being, in +effect, a statesmanlike imitation of the peace as it was once kept even +more precariously by the pacific nations in severalty. + +Hitherto the movement toward peace has not gone beyond this conception +of it, as a collusive safeguarding of national discrepancies by force of +arms. Such a peace is necessarily precarious, partly because armed force +is useful for breaking the peace, partly because the national +discrepancies, by which these current peace-makers set such store, are a +constant source of embroilment. What the peace-makers might logically be +expected to concern themselves about would be the elimination of these +discrepancies that make for embroilment. But what they actually seem +concerned about is their preservation. A peace by collusive neglect of +those remnants of feudalistic make-believe that still serve to divide +the pacific nations has hitherto not seriously come under advisement. + +Evidently, hitherto, and for the calculable future, peace is a relative +matter, a matter of more or less, whichever of the several working +conceptions spoken of above may rule the case. Evidently, too, a peace +designed to strengthen the national establishment against eventual war, +will count to a different effect from a collusive peace of a defensive +kind among the pacific peoples, designed by its projectors to conserve +those national discrepancies on which patriotic statesmen like to dwell. +Different from both would be the value of a peace by neglect of such +useless national discriminations as now make for embroilment. A +protracted season of peace should logically have a somewhat different +cultural value according to the character of the public policy to be +pursued under its cover. So that a safe and sane conservation of the +received law and order should presumably best be effected under cover of +a collusive peace of the defensive kind, which is designed to retain +those national discrepancies intact that count for so much in the +national life of today, both as a focus of patriotic sentiment and as an +outlet for national expenditures. This plan would involve the least +derangement of the received order among the democratic peoples, although +the plan might itself undergo some change in the course of time. + + * * * * * + +Among the singularities of the latterday situation, in this connection, +and brought out by the experiences of the great war, is a close +resemblance between latterday warlike operations and the ordinary +processes of industry. Modern warfare and modern industry alike are +carried on by technological processes subject to surveillance and +direction by mechanical engineers, or perhaps rather experts in +engineering science of the mechanistic kind. War is not now a matter of +the stout heart and strong arm. Not that these attributes do not have +their place and value in modern warfare; but they are no longer the +chief or decisive factors in the case. The exploits that count in this +warfare are technological exploits; exploits of technological science, +industrial appliances, and technological training. As has been remarked +before, it is no longer a gentlemen's war, and the gentleman, as such, +is no better than a marplot in the game as it is played. + +Certain consequences follow from this state of the case. Technology and +industrial experience, in large volume and at a high proficiency, are +indispensable to the conduct of war on the modern plan, as well as a +large, efficient and up-to-date industrial community and industrial +plant to supply the necessary material of this warfare. At the same time +the discipline of the campaign, as it impinges on the rank and file as +well as on the very numerous body of officers and technicians, is not at +cross purposes with the ordinary industrial employments of peace, or not +in the same degree as has been the case in the past, even in the recent +past. The experience of the campaign does not greatly unfit the men who +survive for industrial uses; nor does it come in as a sheer interruption +of their industrial training, or break the continuity of that range of +habits of thought which modern industry of the technological order +induces; not in the same degree as was the case under the conditions of +war as carried on in the nineteenth century. The cultural, and +particularly the technological, incidence of this modern warfare should +evidently be appreciably different from what has been experienced in the +past, and from what this past experience has induced students of these +matters to look for among the psychological effects of warlike +experience. + +It remains true that the discipline of the campaign, however impersonal +it may tend to become, still inculcates personal subordination and +unquestioning obedience; and yet the modern tactics and methods of +fighting bear somewhat more on the individual's initiative, discretion, +sagacity and self-possession than once would have been true. Doubtless +the men who come out of this great war, the common men, will bring home +an accentuated and acrimonious patriotism, a venomous hatred of the +enemies whom they have missed killing; but it may reasonably be doubted +if they come away with a correspondingly heightened admiration and +affection for their betters who have failed to make good as foremen in +charge of this teamwork in killing. The years of the war have been +trying to the reputation of officials and officers, who have had to meet +uncharted exigencies with not much better chance of guessing the way +through than their subalterns have had. + +By and large, it is perhaps not to be doubted that the populace now +under arms will return from the experience of the war with some net gain +in loyalty to the nation's honour and in allegiance to their masters; +particularly the German subjects,--the like is scarcely true for the +British; but a doubt will present itself as to the magnitude of this net +gain in subordination, or this net loss in self-possession. A doubt may +be permitted as to whether the common man in the countries of the +Imperial coalition, e.g., will, as the net outcome of this war +experience, be in a perceptibly more pliable frame of mind as touches +his obligations toward his betters and subservience to the irresponsible +authority exercised by the various governmental agencies, than he was at +the outbreak of the war. At that time, there is reason to believe, there +was an ominous, though scarcely threatening, murmur of discontent +beginning to be heard among the working classes of the industrial towns. +It is fair to presume, however, that the servile discipline of the +service and the vindictive patriotism bred of the fight should combine +to render the populace of the Fatherland more amenable to the +irresponsible rule of the Imperial dynasty and its subaltern royal +establishments, in spite of any slight effect of a contrary character +exercised by the training in technological methods and in self-reliance, +with which this discipline of the service has been accompanied. As to +the case of the British population, under arms or under compulsion of +necessity at home, something has already been said in an earlier +passage; and much will apparently depend, in their case, on the further +duration of the war. The case of the other nationalities involved, both +neutrals and belligerents, is even more obscure in this bearing, but it +is also of less immediate consequence for the present argument. + + * * * * * + +The essentially feudal virtues of loyalty and bellicose patriotism would +appear to have gained their great ascendency over all men's spirit +within the Western civilisation by force of the peculiarly consistent +character of the discipline of life under feudal conditions, whether in +war or peace; and to the same uniformity of these forces that shaped the +workday habits of thought among the feudal nations is apparently due +that profound institutionalisation of the preconceptions of patriotism +and loyalty, by force of which these preconceptions still hold the +modern peoples in an unbreakable web of prejudice, after the conditions +favoring their acquirement have in great part ceased to operate. These +preconceptions of national solidarity and international enmity have come +down from the past as an integral part of the unwritten constitution +underlying all these modern nations, even those which have departed most +widely from the manner of life to which the peoples owe these ancient +preconceptions. Hitherto, or rather until recent times, the workday +experience of these peoples has not seriously worked at cross purposes +with the patriotic spirit and its bias of national animosity; and what +discrepancy there has effectively been between the discipline of workday +life and the received institutional preconceptions on this head, has +hitherto been overborne by the unremitting inculcation of these virtues +by interested politicians, priests and publicists, who speak habitually +for the received order of things. + +That order of things which is known on its political and civil side as +the feudal system, together with that era of the dynastic States which +succeeds the feudal age technically so called, was, on its industrial or +technological side, a system of trained man-power organised on a plan of +subordination of man to man. On the whole, the scheme and logic of that +life, whether in its political (warlike) or its industrial doings, +whether in war or peace, runs on terms of personal capacity, proficiency +and relations. The organisation of the forces engaged and the +constraining rules according to which this organisation worked, were of +the nature of personal relations, and the impersonal factors in the case +were taken for granted. Politics and war were a field for personal +valor, force and cunning, in practical effect a field for personal force +and fraud. Industry was a field in which the routine of life, and its +outcome, turned on "the skill, dexterity and judgment of the individual +workman," in the words of Adam Smith. + +The feudal age passed, being done to death by handicraft industry, +commercial traffic, gunpowder, and the state-making politicians. But the +political States of the statemakers, the dynastic States as they may +well be called, continued the conduct of political life on the personal +plane of rivalry and jealousy between dynasties and between their +States; and in spite of gunpowder and the new military engineering, +warfare continued also to be, in the main and characteristically, a +field in which man-power and personal qualities decided the outcome, by +virtue of personal "skill, dexterity and judgment." Meantime industry +and its technology by insensible degrees underwent a change in the +direction of impersonalisation, particularly in those countries in which +state-making and its warlike enterprise had ceased, or were ceasing, to +be the chief interests and the controlling preconception of the people. + +The logic of the new, mechanical industry which has supplanted +handicraft in these countries, is a mechanistic logic, which proceeds in +terms of matter-of-fact strains, masses, velocities, and the like, +instead of the "skill, dexterity and judgment" of personal agents. The +new industry does not dispense with the personal agencies, nor can it +even be said to minimise the need of skill, dexterity and judgment in +the personal agents employed, but it does take them and their attributes +for granted as in some sort a foregone premise to its main argument. The +logic of the handicraft system took the impersonal agencies for granted; +the machine industry takes the skill, dexterity and judgment of the +workmen for granted. The processes of thought, and therefore the +consistent habitual discipline, of the former ran in terms of the +personal agents engaged, and of the personal relations of discretion, +control and subordination necessary to the work; whereas the +mechanistic logic of the modern technology, more and more consistently, +runs in terms of the impersonal forces engaged, and inculcates an +habitual predilection for matter-of-fact statement, and an habitual +preconception that the findings of material science alone are +conclusive. + +In those nations that have made up the advance guard of Western +civilisation in its movement out of feudalism, the disintegrating effect +of this matter-of-fact animus inculcated by the later state of the +industrial arts has apparently acted effectively, in some degree, to +discredit those preconceptions of personal discrimination on which +dynastic rule is founded. But in no case has the discipline of this +mechanistic technology yet wrought its perfect work or come to a +definitive conclusion. Meantime war and politics have on the whole +continued on the ancient plane; it may perhaps be fair to say that +politics has so continued because warlike enterprise has continued still +to be a matter of such personal forces as skill, dexterity and judgment, +valor and cunning, personal force and fraud. Latterly, gradually, but +increasingly, the technology of war, too, has been shifting to the +mechanistic plane; until in the latest phases of it, somewhere about the +turn of the century, it is evident that the logic of warfare too has +come to be the same mechanistic logic that makes the modern state of the +industrial arts. + +What, if anything, is due by consequence to overtake the political +strategy and the political preconceptions of the new century, is a +question that will obtrude itself, though with scant hope of finding a +ready answer. It may even seem a rash, as well as an ungraceful, +undertaking to inquire into the possible manner and degree of +prospective decay to which the received political ideals and virtues +would appear to be exposed by consequence of this derangement of the +ancient discipline to which men have been subjected. So much, however, +would seem evident, that the received virtues and ideals of patriotic +animosity and national jealousy can best be guarded against untimely +decay by resolutely holding to the formal observance of all outworn +punctilios of national integrity and discrimination, in spite of their +increasing disserviceability,--as would be done, e.g., or at least +sought to be done, in the installation of a league of neutral nations to +keep the peace and at the same time to safeguard those "national +interests" whose only use is to divide these nations and keep them in a +state of mutual envy and distrust. + + * * * * * + +Those peoples who are subject to the constraining governance of this +modern state of the industrial arts, as all modern peoples are in much +the same measure in which they are "modern," are, therefore, exposed to +a workday discipline running at cross purposes with the received law and +order as it takes effect in national affairs; and to this is to be added +that, with warlike enterprise also shifted to this same +mechanistic-technological ground, war can no longer be counted on so +confidently as before to correct all the consequent drift away from the +ancient landmarks of dynastic, pseudo-dynastic, and national enterprise +in dominion. + +As has been noted above, modern warfare not only makes use of, and +indeed depends on, the modern industrial technology at every turn of the +operations in the field, but it draws on the ordinary industrial +resources of the countries at war in a degree and with an urgency never +equalled. No nation can hope to make a stand in modern warfare, much +less to make headway in warlike enterprise, without the most +thoroughgoing exploitation of the modern industrial arts. Which +signifies for the purpose in hand that any Power that harbors an +imperial ambition must take measures to let its underlying population +acquire the ways and means of the modern machine industry, without +reservation; which in turn signifies that popular education must be +taken care of to such an extent as may be serviceable in this manner of +industry and in the manner of life which this industrial system +necessarily imposes; which signifies, of course, that only the +thoroughly trained and thoroughly educated nations have a chance of +holding their place as formidable Powers in this latterday phase of +civilisation. What is needed is the training and education that go to +make proficiency in the modern fashion of technology and in those +material sciences that conduce to technological proficiency of this +modern order. It is a matter of course that in these premises any +appreciable illiteracy is an intolerable handicap. So is also any +training which discourages habitual self-reliance and initiative, or +which acts as a check on skepticism; for the skeptical frame of mind is +a necessary part of the intellectual equipment that makes for advance, +invention and understanding in the field of technological proficiency. + +But these requirements, imperatively necessary as a condition of warlike +success, are at cross purposes with that unquestioning respect of +persons and that spirit of abnegation that alone can hold a people to +the political institutions of the old order and make them a willing +instrument in the hands of the dynastic statesmen. The dynastic State is +apparently caught in a dilemma. The necessary preparation for warlike +enterprise on the modern plan can apparently be counted on, in the long +run, to disintegrate the foundations of the dynastic State. But it is +only in the long run that this effect can be counted on; and it is +perhaps not securely to be counted on even in a moderately long run of +things as they have run hitherto, if due precautions are taken by the +interested statesmen,--as would seem to be indicated by the successful +conservation of archaic traits in the German peoples during the past +half century under the archaising rule of the Hohenzollern. It is a +matter of habituation, which takes time, and which can at the same time +be neutralised in some degree by indoctrination. + +Still, when all is told, it will probably have to be conceded that, +e.g., such a nation as Russia will fall under this rule of inherent +disability imposed by the necessary use of the modern industrial arts. +Without a fairly full and free command of these modern industrial +methods on the part of the Russian people, together with the virtual +disappearance of illiteracy, and with the facile and far-reaching system +of communication which it all involves, the Russian Imperial +establishment would not be a formidable power or a serious menace to the +pacific nations; and it is not easy to imagine how the Imperial +establishment could retain its hold and its character under the +conditions indicated. + +The case of Japan, taken by itself, rests on somewhat similar lines as +these others. In time, and in this case the time-allowance should +presumably not be anything very large, the Japanese people are likely to +get an adequate command of the modern technology; which would, here as +elsewhere, involve the virtual disappearance of the present high +illiteracy, and the loss, in some passable measure, of the current +superstitiously crass nationalism of that people. There are indications +that something of that kind, and of quite disquieting dimensions, is +already under way; though with no indication that any consequent +disintegrating habits of thought have yet invaded the sacred close of +Japanese patriotic devotion. + +Again, it is a question of time and habituation. With time and +habituation the emperor may insensibly cease to be of divine pedigree, +and the syndicate of statesmen who are doing business under his +signature may consequently find their measures of Imperial expansion +questioned by the people who pay the bills. But so long as the Imperial +syndicate enjoy their present immunity from outside obstruction, and can +accordingly carry on an uninterrupted campaign of cumulative predation +in Korea, China and Manchuria, the patriotic infatuation is less likely +to fall off, and by so much the decay of Japanese loyalty will be +retarded. Yet, even if allowed anything that may seem at all probable in +the way of a free hand for aggression against their hapless neighbours, +the skepticism and insubordination to personal rule that seems +inseparable in the long run from addiction to the modern industrial arts +should be expected presently to overtake the Japanese spirit of loyal +servitude. And the opportunity of Imperial Japan lies in the interval. +So also does the menace of Imperial Japan as a presumptive disturber of +the peace at large. + + * * * * * + +At the cost of some unavoidable tedium, the argument as regards these +and similar instances may be summarised. It appears, in the (possibly +doubtful) light of the history of democratic institutions and of modern +technology hitherto, as also from the logical character of this +technology and its underlying material sciences, that consistent +addiction to the peculiar habits of thought involved in its carrying on +will presently induce a decay of those preconceptions in which dynastic +government and national ambitions have their ground. Continued addiction +to this modern scheme of industrial life should in time eventuate in a +decay of militant nationalism, with a consequent lapse of warlike +enterprise. At the same time, popular proficiency in the modern +industrial arts, with all that that implies in the way of intelligence +and information, is indispensable as a means to any successful warlike +enterprise on the modern plan. The menace of warlike aggression from +such dynastic States, e.g., as Imperial Germany and Imperial Japan is +due to their having acquired a competent use of this modern technology, +while they have not yet had time to lose that spirit of dynastic loyalty +which they have carried over from an archaic order of things, out of +which they have emerged at a very appreciably later period (last half of +the nineteenth century) than those democratic peoples whose peace they +now menace. As has been said, they have taken over this modern state of +the industrial arts without having yet come in for the defects of its +qualities. This modern technology, with its underlying material +sciences, is a novel factor in the history of human culture, in that +addiction to its use conduces to the decay of militant patriotism, at +the same time that its employment so greatly enhances the warlike +efficiency of even a pacific people, at need, that they can not be +seriously molested by any other peoples, however valorous and numerous, +who have not a competent use of this technology. A peace at large among +the civilised nations, by loss of the militant temper through addiction +to this manner of arts of peace, therefore, carries no risk of +interruption by an inroad of warlike barbarians,--always provided that +those existing archaic peoples who might pass muster as barbarians are +brought into line with the pacific nations on a footing of peace and +equality. The disparity in point of outlook as between the resulting +peace at large by neglect of bootless animosities, on the one hand, and +those historic instances of a peaceable civilisation that have been +overwhelmed by warlike barbarian invasions, on the other hand, should be +evident. + + * * * * * + +It is always possible, indeed it would scarcely be surprising to find, +that the projected league of neutrals or of nations bent on peace can +not be brought to realisation at this juncture; perhaps not for a long +time yet. But it should at the same time seem reasonable to expect that +the drift toward a peaceable settlement of national discrepancies such +as has been visible in history for some appreciable time past will, in +the absence of unforeseen hindrances, work out to some such effect in +the course of further experience under modern conditions. And whether +the projected peace compact at its inception takes one form or another, +provided it succeeds in its main purpose, the long-term drift of things +under its rule should logically set toward some ulterior settlement of +the general character of what has here been spoken of as a peace by +neglect or by neutralisation of discrepancies. + +It should do so, in the absence of unforeseen contingencies; more +particularly if there were no effectual factor of dissension included in +the fabric of institutions within the nation. But there should also, +e.g., be no difficulty in assenting to the forecast that when and if +national peace and security are achieved and settled beyond recall, the +discrepancy in fact between those who own the country's wealth and those +who do not is presently due to come to an issue. Any attempt to forecast +the form which this issue is to take, or the manner, incidents, +adjuncts and sequelae of its determination, would be a bolder and a more +ambiguous, undertaking. Hitherto attempts to bring this question to an +issue have run aground on the real or fancied jeopardy to paramount +national interests. How, if at all, this issue might affect national +interests and international relations, would obviously depend in the +first instance on the state of the given national establishment and the +character of the international engagements entered into in the formation +of this projected pacific league. It is always conceivable that the +transactions involving so ubiquitous an issue might come to take on an +international character and that they might touch the actual or fanciful +interests of these diverse nations with such divergent effect as to +bring on a rupture of the common understanding between them and of the +peace-compact in which the common understanding is embodied. + + * * * * * + +In the beginning, that is to say in the beginnings out of which this +modern era of the Western civilisation has arisen, with its scheme of +law and custom, there grew into the scheme of law and custom, by settled +usage, a right of ownership and of contract in disposal of +ownership,--which may or may not have been a salutary institutional +arrangement on the whole, under the circumstances of the early days. +With the later growth of handicraft and the petty trade in Western +Europe this right of ownership and contract came to be insisted on, +standardised under legal specifications, and secured against molestation +by the governmental interests; more particularly and scrupulously among +those peoples that have taken the lead in working out that system of +free or popular institutions that marks the modern civilised nations. So +it has come to be embodied in the common law of the modern world as an +inviolable natural right. It has all the prescriptive force of legally +authenticated immemorial custom. + +Under the system of handicraft and petty trade this right of property +and free contract served the interest of the common man, at least in +much of its incidence, and acted in its degree to shelter industrious +and economical persons from hardship and indignity at the hands of their +betters. There seems reason to believe, as is commonly believed, that so +long as that relatively direct and simple scheme of industry and trade +lasted, the right of ownership and contract was a salutary custom, in +its bearing on the fortunes of the common man. It appears also, on the +whole, to have been favorable to the fuller development of the +handicraft technology, as well as to its eventual outgrowth into the new +line of technological expedients and contrivances that presently gave +rise to the machine industry and the large-scale business enterprise. + +The standard theories of economic science have assumed the rights of +property and contract as axiomatic premises and ultimate terms of +analysis; and their theories are commonly drawn in such a form as would +fit the circumstances of the handicraft industry and the petty trade, +and such as can be extended to any other economic situation by shrewd +interpretation. These theories, as they run from Adam Smith down through +the nineteenth century and later, appear tenable, on the whole, when +taken to apply to the economic situation of that earlier time, in +virtually all that they have to say on questions of wages, capital, +savings, and the economy and efficiency of management and production by +the methods of private enterprise resting on these rights of ownership +and contract and governed by the pursuit of private gain. It is when +these standard theories are sought to be applied to the later situation, +which has outgrown the conditions of handicraft, that they appear +nugatory or meretricious. The "competitive system" which these standard +theories assume as a necessary condition of their own validity, and +about which they are designed to form a defensive hedge, would, under +those earlier conditions of small-scale enterprise and personal contact, +appear to have been both a passably valid assumption as a premise and a +passably expedient scheme of economic relations and traffic. At that +period of its life-history it can not be said consistently to have +worked hardship to the common man; rather the reverse. And the common +man in that time appears to have had no misgivings about the excellence +of the scheme or of that article of Natural Rights that underlies it. + +This complexion of things, as touches the effectual bearing of the +institution of property and the ancient customary rights of ownership, +has changed substantially since the time of Adam Smith. The "competitive +system," which he looked to as the economic working-out of that "simple +and obvious system of natural liberty" that always engaged his best +affections, has in great measure ceased to operate as a routine of +natural liberty, in fact; particularly in so far as touches the fortunes +of the common man, the impecunious mass of the people. _De jure_, of +course, the competitive system and its inviolable rights of ownership +are a citadel of Natural Liberty; but _de facto_ the common man is now, +and has for some time been, feeling the pinch of it. It is law, and +doubtless it is good law, grounded in immemorial usage and authenticated +with statute and precedent. But circumstances have so changed that this +good old plan has in a degree become archaic, perhaps unprofitable, or +even mischievous, on the whole, and especially as touches the conditions +of life for the common man. At least, so the common man in these modern +democratic and commercial countries is beginning to apprehend the +matter. + +Some slight and summary characterisation of these changing circumstances +that have affected the incidence of the rights of property during modern +times may, therefore, not be out of place; with a view to seeing how far +and why these rights may be due to come under advisement and possible +revision, in case a state of settled peace should leave men's attention +free to turn to these internal, as contrasted with national interests. + +Under that order of handicraft and petty trade that led to the +standardisation of these rights of ownership in the accentuated form +which belongs to them in modern law and custom, the common man had a +practicable chance of free initiative and self-direction in his choice +and pursuit of an occupation and a livelihood, in so far as rights of +ownership bore on his case. At that period the workman was the main +factor in industry and, in the main and characteristically, the question +of his employment was a question of what he would do. The material +equipment of industry--the "plant," as it has come to be called--was +subject of ownership, then as now; but it was then a secondary factor +and, notoriously, subsidiary to the immaterial equipment of skill, +dexterity and judgment embodied in the person of the craftsman. The body +of information, or general knowledge, requisite to a workmanlike +proficiency as handicraftsman was sufficiently slight and simple to fall +within the ordinary reach of the working class, without special +schooling; and the material equipment necessary to the work, in the way +of tools and appliances, was also slight enough, ordinarily, to bring it +within the reach of the common man. The stress fell on the acquirement +of that special personal skill, dexterity and judgment that would +constitute the workman a master of his craft. Given a reasonable measure +of pertinacity, the common man would be able to compass the material +equipment needful to the pursuit of his craft, and so could make his way +to a livelihood; and the inviolable right of ownership would then serve +to secure him the product of his own industry, in provision for his own +old-age and for a fair start in behalf of his children. At least in the +popular conception, and presumably in some degree also in fact, the +right of property so served as a guarantee of personal liberty and a +basis of equality. And so its apologists still look on the institution. + +In a very appreciable degree this complexion of things and of popular +conceptions has changed since then; although, as would be expected, the +change in popular conceptions has not kept pace with the changing +circumstances. In all the characteristic and controlling lines of +industry the modern machine technology calls for a very considerable +material equipment; so large an equipment, indeed, that this plant, as +it is called, always represents a formidable amount of invested wealth; +and also so large that it will, typically, employ a considerable number +of workmen per unit of plant. On the transition to the machine +technology the plant became the unit of operation, instead of the +workman, as had previously been the case; and with the further +development of this modern technology, during the past hundred and fifty +years or so, the unit of operation and control has increasingly come to +be not the individual or isolated plant but rather an articulated group +of such plants working together as a balanced system and keeping pace in +common, under a collective business management; and coincidently the +individual workman has been falling into the position of an auxiliary +factor, nearly into that of an article of supply, to be charged up as an +item of operating expenses. Under this later and current system, +discretion and initiative vest not in the workman but in the owners of +the plant, if anywhere. So that at this point the right of ownership has +ceased to be, in fact, a guarantee of personal liberty to the common +man, and has come to be, or is coming to be, a guarantee of dependence. +All of which engenders a feeling of unrest and insecurity, such as to +instill a doubt in the mind of the common man as to the continued +expediency of this arrangement and of the prescriptive rights of +property on which the arrangement rests. + +There is also an insidious suggestion, carrying a sinister note of +discredit, that comes in from ethnological science at this point; which +is adapted still further to derange the common man's faith in this +received institution of ownership and its control of the material +equipment of industry. To students interested in human culture it is a +matter of course that this material equipment is a means of utilising +the state of the industrial arts; that it is useful in industry and +profitable to its owners only because and in so far as it is a creation +of the current technological knowledge and enables its owner to +appropriate the usufruct of the current industrial arts. It is likewise +a matter of course that this technological knowledge, that so enables +the material equipment to serve the purposes of production and of +private gain, is a free gift of the community at large to the owners of +industrial plant; and, under latterday conditions, to them exclusively. +The state of the industrial arts is a joint heritage of the community at +large, but where, as in the modern countries, the work to be done by +this technology requires a large material equipment, the usufruct of +this joint heritage passes, in effect, into the hands of the owners of +this large material equipment. + +These owners have, ordinarily, contributed nothing to the technology, +the state of the industrial arts, from which their control of the +material equipment of industry enables them to derive a gain. Indeed, no +class or condition of men in the modern community--with the possible +exception of politicians and the clergy--can conceivably contribute less +to the community's store of technological knowledge than the large +owners of invested wealth. By one of those singular inversions due to +production being managed for private gain, it happens that these +investors are not only not given to the increase and diffusion of +technological knowledge, but they have a well-advised interest in +retarding or defeating improvements in the industrial arts in detail. +Improvements, innovations that heighten productive efficiency in the +general line of production in which a given investment is placed, are +commonly to be counted on to bring "obsolescence by supersession" to the +plant already engaged in that line; and therefore to bring a decline in +its income-yielding capacity, and so in its capital or investment value. + +Invested capital yields income because it enjoys the usufruct of the +community's technological knowledge; it has an effectual monopoly of +this usufruct because this machine technology requires large material +appliances with which to do its work; the interest of the owners of +established industrial plant will not tolerate innovations designed to +supersede these appliances. The bearing of ownership on industry and on +the fortunes of the common man is accordingly, in the main, the bearing +which it has by virtue of its monopoly control of the industrial arts, +and its consequent control of the conditions of employment and of the +supply of vendible products. It takes effect chiefly by inhibition and +privation; stoppage of production in case it brings no suitable profit +to the investor, refusal of employment and of a livelihood to the +workmen in case their product does not command a profitable price in the +market. + +The expediency of so having the nation's industry managed on a footing +of private ownership in the pursuit of private gain, by persons who can +show no equitable personal claim to even the most modest livelihood, and +whose habitual method of controlling industry is sabotage--refusal to +let production go on except it affords them an unearned income--the +expediency of all this is coming to be doubted by those who have to pay +the cost of it. And it does not go far to lessen their doubts to find +that the cost which they pay is commonly turned to no more urgent or +useful purpose than a conspicuously wasteful consumption of +superfluities by the captains of sabotage and their domestic +establishments. + +This may not seem a veracious and adequate account of these matters; it +may, in effect, fall short of the formulation: The truth, the whole +truth, and nothing but the truth; nor does the question here turn on its +adequacy as a statement of fact. Without prejudice to the question of +its veracity and adequacy, it is believed to be such an account of these +matters as will increasingly come easy and seem convincing to the common +man who, in an ever increasing degree, finds himself pinched with +privation and insecurity by a run of facts which will consistently bear +this construction, and who perforce sees these facts from the prejudiced +standpoint of a loser. To such a one, there is reason to believe, the +view so outlined will seem all the more convincing the more attentively +the pertinent facts and their bearing on his fortunes are considered. +How far the contrary prejudice of those whose interest or training +inclines them the other way may lead them to a different construction of +these pertinent facts, does not concern the present argument; which has +to do with this run of facts only as they bear on the prospective frame +of mind of that unblest mass of the population who will have opportunity +to present their proposals when peace at large shall have put national +interests out of their preferential place in men's regard. + +At the risk of what may seem an excessively wide digression, there is +something further to be said of the capitalistic sabotage spoken of +above. The word has by usage come to have an altogether ungraceful air +of disapproval. Yet it signifies nothing more vicious than a deliberate +obstruction or retardation of industry, usually by legitimate means, for +the sake of some personal or partisan advantage. This morally colorless +meaning is all that is intended in its use here. It is extremely common +in all industry that is designed to supply merchantable goods for the +market. It is, in fact, the most ordinary and ubiquitous of all +expedients in business enterprise that has to do with supplying the +market, being always present in the businessman's necessary +calculations; being not only a usual and convenient recourse but quite +indispensable as an habitual measure of business sagacity. So that no +personal blame can attach to its employment by any given businessman or +business concern. It is only when measures of this nature are resorted +to by employees, to gain some end of their own, that such conduct +becomes (technically) reprehensible. + +Any businesslike management of industry is carried on for gain, which is +to be got only on condition of meeting the terms of the market. The +price system under which industrial business is carried on will not +tolerate production in excess of the market demand, or without due +regard to the expenses of production as determined by the market on the +side of the supplies required. Hence any business concern must adjust +its operations, by due acceleration, retardation or stoppage, to the +market conditions, with a view to what the traffic will bear; that is to +say, with a view to what will yield the largest obtainable net gain. So +long as the price system rules, that is to say so long as industry is +managed on investment for a profit, there is no escaping this necessity +of adjusting the processes of industry to the requirements of a +remunerative price; and this adjustment can be taken care of only by +well-advised acceleration or curtailment of the processes of industry; +which answers to the definition of sabotage. Wise business management, +and more particularly what is spoken of as safe and sane business +management, therefore, reduces itself in the main to a sagacious use of +sabotage; that is to say a sagacious limitation of productive processes +to something less than the productive capacity of the means in hand. + + * * * * * + +To anyone who is inclined to see these matters of usage in the light of +their history and to appraise them as phenomena of habituation, +adaptation and supersession in the sequence of cultural proliferation, +there should be no difficulty in appreciating that this institution of +ownership that makes the core of the modern institutional structure is +a precipitate of custom, like any other item of use and wont; and that, +like any other article of institutional furniture, it is subject to the +contingencies of supersession and obsolescence. If prevalent habits of +thought, enforced by the prevalent exigencies of life and livelihood, +come to change in such a way as to make life under the rule imposed by +this institution seem irksome, or intolerable, to the mass of the +population; and if at the same time things turn in such a way as to +leave no other and more urgent interest or exigency to take precedence +of this one and hinder its being pushed to an issue; then it should +reasonably follow that contention is due to arise between the unblest +mass on whose life it is a burden and the classes who live by it. But it +is, of course, impossible to state beforehand what will be the precise +line of cleavage or what form the division between the two parties in +interest will take. Yet it is contained in the premises that, barring +unforeseen contingencies of a formidable magnitude, such a cleavage is +due to follow as a logical sequel of an enduring peace at large. And it +is also well within the possibilities of the case that this issue may +work into an interruption or disruption of the peace between the +nations. + +In this connection it may be called to mind that the existing +governmental establishments in these pacific nations are, in all cases, +in the hands of the beneficiary, or kept classes,--beneficiaries in the +sense in which a distinction to that effect comes into the premises of +the case at this point. The responsible officials and their chief +administrative officers,--so much as may at all reasonably be called the +"Government" or the "Administration,"--are quite invariably and +characteristically drawn from these beneficiary classes; nobles, +gentlemen, or business men, which all comes to the same thing for the +purpose in hand; the point of it all being that the common man does not +come within these precincts and does not share in these counsels that +assume to guide the destiny of the nations. + +Of course, sporadically and ephemerally, a man out of the impecunious +and undistinguished mass may now and again find his way within the +gates; and more frequently will a professed "Man of the People" sit in +council. But that the rule holds unbroken and inviolable is sufficiently +evident in the fact that no community will let the emoluments of office +for any of its responsible officials, even for those of a very scant +responsibility, fall to the level of the habitual livelihood of the +undistinguished populace, or indeed to fall below what is esteemed to be +a seemly income for a gentleman. Should such an impecunious one be +thrown up into a place of discretion in the government, he will +forthwith cease to be a common man and will be inducted into the rank of +gentleman,--so far as that feat can be achieved by taking thought or by +assigning him an income adequate to a reputably expensive manner of +life. So obvious is the antagonism between a vulgar station in life and +a position of official trust, that many a "selfmade man" has advisedly +taken recourse to governmental position, often at some appreciable cost, +from no apparent motive other than its known efficacy as a Levitical +corrective for a humble origin. And in point of fact, neither here nor +there have the underbred majority hitherto learned to trust one of their +own kind with governmental discretion; which has never yet, in the +popular conviction, ceased to be a perquisite of the gently-bred and the +well-to-do. + +Let it be presumed that this state of things will continue without +substantial alteration, so far as regards the complexion of the +governmental establishments of these pacific nations, and with such +allowance for overstatement in the above characterisation as may seem +called for. These governmental establishments are, by official position +and by the character of their personnel, committed more or less +consistently to the maintenance of the existing law and order. And +should no substantial change overtake them as an effect of the war +experience, the pacific league under discussion would be entered into by +and between governments of this complexion. Should difficulties then +arise between those who own and those who do not, in any one of these +countries, it would become a nice question whether the compact to +maintain the peace and national integrity of the several nations +comprised in the league should be held to cover the case of internal +dissensions and possible disorders partaking of the character of revolt +against the established authorities or against the established +provisions of law. A strike of the scope and character of the one +recently threatened, and narrowly averted, on the American railroads, +e.g., might easily give rise to disturbances sufficiently formidable to +raise a question of the peace league's jurisdiction; particularly if +such a disturbance should arise in a less orderly and less isolated +country than the American republic; so as unavoidably to carry the +effects of the disturbance across the national frontiers along the lines +of industrial and commercial intercourse and correlation. It is always +conceivable that a national government standing on a somewhat +conservative maintenance of the received law and order might feel itself +bound by its conception of the peace to make common cause with the +keepers of established rights in neighboring states, particularly if +the similar interests of their own nation were thought to be placed in +jeopardy by the course of events. + +Antecedently it seems highly probable that the received rights of +ownership and disposal of property, particularly of investment, will +come up for advisement and revision so soon as a settled state of peace +is achieved. And there should seem to be little doubt but this revision +would go toward, or at least aim at the curtailment or abrogation of +these rights; very much after the fashion in which the analogous vested +rights of feudalism and the dynastic monarchy have been revised and in +great part curtailed or abrogated in the advanced democratic countries. +Not much can confidently be said as to the details of such a prospective +revision of legal rights, but the analogy of that procedure by which +these other vested rights have been reduced to a manageable disability, +suggests that the method in the present case also would be by way of +curtailment, abrogation and elimination. Here again, as in analogous +movements of disuse and disestablishment, there would doubtless be much +conservative apprehension as to the procuring of a competent substitute +for the supplanted methods of doing what is no longer desirable to be +done; but here as elsewhere, in a like conjuncture, the practicable way +out would presumably be found to lie along the line of simple disuse and +disallowance of class prerogative. Taken at its face value, without +unavoidable prejudice out of the past, this question of a substitute to +replace the current exploitation of the industrial arts for private gain +by capitalistic sabotage is not altogether above a suspicion of +drollery. + +Yet it is not to be overlooked that private enterprise on the basis of +private ownership is the familiar and accepted method of conducting +industrial affairs, and that it has the sanction of immemorial usage, in +the eyes of the common man, and that it is reenforced with the urgency +of life and death in the apprehension of the kept classes. It should +accordingly be a possible outcome of such a peace as would put away +international dissension, that the division of classes would come on in +a new form, between those who stand on their ancient rights of +exploitation and mastery, and those who are unwilling longer to submit. +And it is quite within the possibilities of the case that the division +of opinion on these matters might presently shift back to the old +familiar ground of international hostilities; undertaken partly to put +down civil disturbances in given countries, partly by the more archaic, +or conservative, peoples to safeguard the institutions of the received +law and order against inroads from the side of the iconoclastic ones. + + * * * * * + +In the apprehension of those who are speaking for peace between the +nations and planning for its realisation, the outlook is that of a +return to, or a continuance of, the state of things before the great war +came on, with peace and national security added, or with the danger of +war eliminated. Nothing appreciable in the way of consequent innovation, +certainly nothing of a serious character, is contemplated as being among +the necessary consequences of such a move into peace and security. +National integrity and autonomy are to be preserved on the received +lines, and international division and discrimination is to be managed as +before, and with the accustomed incidents of punctilio and pecuniary +equilibration. Internationally speaking, there is to dawn an era of +diplomacy without afterthought, whatever that might conceivably mean. + +There is much in the present situation that speaks for such an +arrangement, particularly as an initial phase of the perpetual peace +that is aimed at, whatever excursive variations might befall presently, +in the course of years. The war experience in the belligerent countries +and the alarm that has disturbed the neutral nations have visibly raised +the pitch of patriotic solidarity in all these countries; and patriotism +greatly favors the conservation of established use and wont; more +particularly is it favorable to the established powers and policies of +the national government. The patriotic spirit is not a spirit of +innovation. The chances of survival, and indeed of stabilisation, for +the accepted use and wont and for the traditional distinctions of class +and prescriptive rights, should therefore seem favorable, at any rate in +the first instance. + +Presuming, therefore, as the spokesmen of such a peace-compact are +singularly ready to presume, that the era of peace and good-will which +they have in view is to be of a piece with the most tranquil decades of +the recent past, only more of the same kind, it becomes a question of +immediate interest to the common man, as well as to all students of +human culture, how the common man is to fare under this regime of law +and order,--the mass of the population whose place it is to do what is +to be done, and thereby to carry forward the civilisation of these +pacific nations. It may not be out of place to recall, by way of +parenthesis, that it is here taken for granted as a matter of course +that all governmental establishments are necessarily conservative in all +their dealings with this heritage of culture, except so far as they may +be reactionary. Their office is the stabilisation of archaic +institutions, the measure of archaism varying from one to another. + +With due stabilisation and with a sagacious administration of the +established scheme of law and order, the common man should find himself +working under conditions and to results of the familiar kind; but with +the difference that, while legal usage and legal precedent remain +unchanged, the state of the industrial arts can confidently be expected +to continue its advance in the same general direction as before, while +the population increases after the familiar fashion, and the investing +business community pursues its accustomed quest of competitive gain and +competitive spending in the familiar spirit and with cumulatively +augmented means. Stabilisation of the received law and order will not +touch these matters; and for the present it is assumed that these +matters will not derange the received law and order. The assumption may +seem a violent one to the students of human culture, but it is a simple +matter of course to the statesmen. + +To this piping time of peace the nearest analogues in history would seem +to be the Roman peace, say, of the days of the Antonines, and passably +the British peace of the Victorian era. Changes in the scheme of law and +order supervened in both of these instances, but the changes were, after +all, neither unconscionably large nor were they of a subversive nature. +The scheme of law and order, indeed, appears in neither instance to have +changed so far as the altered circumstances would seem to have called +for. To the common man the Roman peace appears to have been a peace by +submission, not widely different from what the case of China has +latterly brought to the appreciation of students. The Victorian peace, +which can be appreciated more in detail, was of a more genial character, +as regards the fortunes of the common man. It started from a reasonably +low level of hardship and _de facto_ iniquity, and was occupied with +many prudent endeavours to improve the lot of the unblest majority; but +it is to be admitted that these prudent endeavours never caught up with +the march of circumstances. Not that these prudent measures of +amelioration were nugatory, but it is clear that they were not an +altogether effectual corrective of the changes going on; they were, in +effect, systematically so far in arrears as always to leave an uncovered +margin of discontent with current conditions. It is a fact of history +that very appreciable sections of the populace were approaching an +attitude of revolt against what they considered to be intolerable +conditions when that era closed. Much of what kept them within bounds, +that is to say within legal bounds, was their continued loyalty to the +nation; which was greatly, and for the purpose needfully, reenforced by +a lively fear of warlike aggression from without. Now, under the +projected _pax orbis terrarum_ all fear of invasion, it is hopefully +believed, will be removed; and with the disappearance of this fear +should also disappear the drag of national loyalty on the counsels of +the underbred. + +If this British peace of the nineteenth century is to be taken as a +significant indication of what may be looked for under a regime of peace +at large, with due allowance for what is obviously necessary to be +allowed for, then what is held in promise would appear to be an era of +unexampled commercial prosperity, of investment and business enterprise +on a scale hitherto not experienced. These developments will bring their +necessary consequences affecting the life of the community, and some of +the consequences it should be possible to foresee. The circumstances +conditioning this prospective era of peace and prosperity will +necessarily differ from the corresponding circumstances that +conditioned the Victorian peace, and many of these points of difference +it is also possible to forecast in outline with a fair degree of +confidence. It is in the main these economic factors going to condition +the civilisation of the promised future that will have to be depended on +to give the cue to any student interested in the prospective unfolding +of events. + +The scheme of law and order governing all modern nations, both in the +conduct of their domestic affairs and in their national policies, is in +its controlling elements the scheme worked out through British (and +French) experience in the eighteenth century and earlier, as revised and +further accommodated in the nineteenth century. Other peoples, +particularly the Dutch, have of course had their part in the derivation +and development of this modern scheme of institutional principles, but +it has after all been a minor part; so that the scheme at large would +not differ very materially, if indeed it should differ sensibly, from +what it is, even if the contribution of these others had not been had. +The backward nations, as e.g., Germany, Russia, Spain, etc., have of +course contributed substantially nothing but retardation and +maladjustment to this modern scheme of civil life; whatever may be due +to students resident in those countries, in the way of scholarly +formulation. This nineteenth century scheme it is proposed to carry over +into the new era; and the responsible spokesmen of the projected new +order appear to contemplate no provision touching this scheme of law and +order, beyond the keeping of it intact in all substantial respects. + +When and in so far as the projected peace at large takes effect, +international interests will necessarily fall somewhat into the +background, as being no longer a matter of precarious equilibration, +with heavy penalties in the balance; and diplomacy will consequently +become even more of a make-believe than today--something after the +fashion of a game of bluff played with irredeemable "chips." Commercial, +that is to say business, enterprise will consequently come in for a more +undivided attention and be carried on under conditions of greater +security and of more comprehensive trade relations. The population of +the pacified world may be expected to go on increasing somewhat as in +the recent past; in which connection it is to be remarked that not more +than one-half, presumably something less than one-half, of the available +agricultural resources have been turned to account for the civilised +world hitherto. The state of the industrial arts, including means of +transport and communication, may be expected to develop farther in the +same general direction as before, assuming always that peace conditions +continue to hold. Popular intelligence, as it is called,--more properly +popular education,--may be expected to suffer a further advance; +necessarily so, since it is a necessary condition of any effectual +advance in the industrial arts,--every appreciable technological advance +presumes, as a requisite to its working-out in industry, an augmented +state of information and of logical facility in the workmen under whose +hands it is to take effect. + +Of the prescriptive rights carried over into the new era, under the +received law and order, the rights of ownership alone may be expected to +have any material significance for the routine of workday life; the +other personal rights that once seemed urgent will for everyday purposes +have passed into a state of half-forgotten matter-of-course. As now, but +in an accentuated degree, the rights of ownership will, in effect, +coincide and coalesce with the rights of investment and business +management. The market--that is to say the rule of the price-system in +all matters of production and livelihood--may be expected to gain in +volume and inclusiveness; so that virtually all matters of industry and +livelihood will turn on questions of market price, even beyond the +degree in which that proposition holds today. The progressive extension +and consolidation of investments, corporate solidarity, and business +management may be expected to go forward on the accustomed lines, as +illustrated by the course of things during the past few decades. Market +conditions should accordingly, in a progressively increased degree, fall +under the legitimate discretionary control of businessmen, or syndicates +of businessmen, who have the disposal of large blocks of invested +wealth,--"big business," as it is called, should reasonably be expected +to grow bigger and to exercise an increasingly more unhampered control +of market conditions, including the money market and the labor market. + +With such improvements in the industrial arts as may fairly be expected +to come forward, and with the possible enhancement of industrial +efficiency which should follow from a larger scale of organisation, a +wider reach of transport and communication, and an increased +population,--with these increasing advantages on the side of productive +industry, the per-capita product as well as the total product should be +increased in a notable degree, and the conditions of life should +possibly become notably easier and more attractive, or at least more +conducive to efficiency and personal comfort, for all concerned. Such +would be the first and unguarded inference to be drawn from the premises +of the case as they offer themselves in the large; and something of that +kind is apparently what floats before the prophetic vision of the +advocates of a league of nations for the maintenance of peace at large. +These premises, and the inferences so drawn from them, may be further +fortified and amplified in the same sense on considering that certain +very material economies also become practicable, and should take effect +"in the absence of disturbing causes," on the establishment of such a +peace at large. It will of course occur to all thoughtful persons that +armaments must be reduced, perhaps to a minimum, and that the cost of +these things, in point of expenditures as well as of man-power spent in +the service, would consequently fall off in a corresponding measure. So +also, as slight further reflection will show, would the cost of the +civil service presumably fall off very appreciably; more particularly +the cost of this service per unit of service rendered. Some such climax +of felicities might be looked for by hopeful persons, in the absence of +disturbing causes. + +Under the new dispensation the standard of living, that is to say the +standard of expenditure, would reasonably be expected to advance in a +very appreciable degree, at least among the wealthy and well-to-do; and +by pressure of imitative necessity a like effect would doubtless also be +had among the undistinguished mass. It is not a question of the standard +of living considered as a matter of the subsistence minimum, or even a +standard of habitually prevalent creature comfort, particularly not +among the wealthy and well-to-do. These latter classes have long since +left all question of material comfort behind in their accepted standards +of living and in the continued advance of these standards. For these +classes who are often spoken of euphemistically as being "in easy +circumstances," it is altogether a question of a standard of reputable +expenditure, to be observed on pain of lost self-respect and of lost +reputation at large. As has been remarked in an earlier passage, wants +of this kind are indefinitely extensible. So that some doubt may well be +entertained as to whether the higher productive efficiency spoken of +will necessarily make the way of life easier, in view of this need of a +higher standard of expenditure, even when due account is taken of the +many economies which the new dispensation is expected to make +practicable. + +One of the effects to be looked for would apparently be an increased +pressure on the part of aspiring men to get into some line of business +enterprise; since it is only in business, as contrasted with the +industrial occupations, that anyone can hope to find the relatively +large income required for such an expensive manner of life as will bring +any degree of content to aspirants for pecuniary good repute. So it +should follow that the number of businessmen and business concerns would +increase up to the limit of what the traffic could support, and that the +competition between these rival, and in a sense over-numerous, concerns +would push the costs of competition to the like limit. In this respect +the situation would be of much the same character as what it now is, +with the difference that the limit of competitive expenditures would be +rather higher than at present, to answer to the greater available margin +of product that could be devoted to this use; and that the competing +concerns would be somewhat more numerous, or at least that the aggregate +expenditure on competitive enterprise would be somewhat larger; as, +e.g., costs of advertising, salesmanship, strategic litigation, +procuration of legislative and municipal grants and connivance, and the +like. + +It is always conceivable, though it may scarcely seem probable, that +these incidents of increased pressure of competition in business traffic +might eventually take up all the slack, and leave no net margin of +product over what is available under the less favorable conditions of +industry that prevail today; more particularly when this increased +competition for business gains is backed by an increased pressure of +competitive spending for purposes of a reputable appearance. All this +applies in retail trade and in such lines of industry and public service +as partakes of the nature of retail trade, in the respect that +salesmanship and the costs of salesmanship enter into their case in an +appreciable measure; this is an extensive field, it is true, and +incontinently growing more extensive with the later changes in the +customary methods of marketing products; but it is by no means anything +like the whole domain of industrial business, and by no means a field in +which business is carried on without interference of a higher control +from outside its own immediate limits. + +All this generously large and highly expensive and profitable field of +trade and of trade-like industry, in which the businessmen in charge +deal somewhat directly with a large body of customers, is always subject +to limitations imposed by the condition of the market; and the condition +of the market is in part not under the control of these businessmen, but +is also in part controlled by large concerns in the background; which in +their turn are after all also not precisely free agents; in fact not +much more so than their cousins in the retail trade, being confined in +all their motions by the constraint of the price-system that dominates +the whole and gathers them all in its impersonal and inexorable net. + +There is a colloquial saying among businessmen, that they are not doing +business for their health; which being interpreted means that they are +doing business for a price. It is out of a discrepancy in price, between +purchase and sale, or between transactions which come to the same result +as purchase and sale, that the gains of business are drawn; and it is in +terms of price that these gains are rated, amassed and funded. It is +necessary, for a business concern to achieve a favorable balance in +terms of price; and the larger the balance in terms of price the more +successful the enterprise. Such a balance can not be achieved except by +due regard to the conditions of the market, to the effect that dealings +must not go on beyond what will yield a favorable balance in terms of +price between income and outgo. As has already been remarked above, the +prescriptive and indispensable recourse in all this conduct of business +is sabotage, limitation of supply to bring a remunerative price result. + +The new dispensation offers two new factors bearing on this businesslike +need of a sagacious sabotage, or rather it brings a change of +coefficients in two factors already familiar in business management: a +greater need, for gainful business, of resorting to such limitation of +traffic; and a greater facility of ways and means for enforcing the +needed restriction. So, it is confidently to be expected that in the +prospective piping time of peace the advance in the industrial arts will +continue at an accelerated rate; which may confidently be expected to +affect the practicable increased production of merchantable goods; from +which it follows that it will act to depress the prices of these goods; +from which it follows that if a profitable business is to be done in the +conduct of productive industry a greater degree of continence than +before will have to be exercised in order not to let prices fall to an +unprofitable figure; that is to say, the permissible output must be held +short of the productive capacity of such industry by a wider margin than +before. On the other hand, it is well known out of the experience of the +past few decades that a larger coalition of invested capital, +controlling a larger proportion of the output, can more effectually +limit the supply to a salutary maximum, such as will afford reasonable +profits. And with the new dispensation affording a freer scope for +business enterprise on conditions of greater security, larger coalitions +than before are due to come into bearing. So that the means will be at +hand competently to meet this more urgent need of a stricter limitation +of the output, in spite of any increased productive capacity conferred +on the industrial community by any conceivable advance in the industrial +arts. The outcome to be looked for should apparently be such an +effectual recourse to capitalistic sabotage as will neutralise any added +advantage that might otherwise accrue to the community from its +continued improvements in technology. + +In spite of this singularly untoward conjuncture of circumstances to be +looked for, there need be no serious apprehension that capitalistic +sabotage, with a view to maintaining prices and the rate of profits, +will go all the way, to the result indicated, at least not on the +grounds so indicated alone. There is in the modern development of +technology, and confidently to be counted on, a continued flow of new +contrivances and expedients designed to supersede the old; and these are +in fact successful, in greater or less measure, in finding their way +into profitable use, on such terms as to displace older appliances, +underbid them in the market, and render them obsolete or subject to +recapitalisation on a lowered earning-capacity. So far as this +unremitting flow of innovations has its effect, that is to say so far as +it can not be hindered from having an effect, it acts to lower the +effectual cost of products to the consumer. This effect is but a partial +and somewhat uncertain one, but it is always to be counted in as a +persistent factor, of uncertain magnitude, that will affect the results +in the long run. + +As has just been spoken of above, large coalitions of invested wealth +are more competent to maintain, or if need be to advance, prices than +smaller coalitions acting in severalty, or even when acting in +collusion. This state of the case has been well illustrated by the very +successful conduct of such large business organisations during the past +few decades; successful, that is, in earning large returns on the +investments engaged. Under the new dispensation, as has already been +remarked, coalitions should reasonably be expected to grow to a larger +size and achieve a greater efficiency for the same purpose. + +The large gains of the large corporate coalitions are commonly ascribed +by their promoters, and by sympathetic theoreticians of the ancient +line, to economies of production made practicable by a larger scale of +production; an explanation which is disingenuous only so far as it needs +be. What is more visibly true on looking into the workings of these +coalitions in detail is that they are enabled to maintain prices at a +profitable, indeed at a strikingly profitable, level by such a control +of the output as would be called sabotage if it were put in practice by +interested workmen with a view to maintain wages. The effects of this +sagacious sabotage become visible in the large earnings of these +investments and the large gains which, now and again, accrue to their +managers. Large fortunes commonly are of this derivation. + +In cases where no recapitalisation has been effected for a considerable +series of years the yearly earnings of such businesslike coalitions have +been known to approach fifty percent on the capitalised value. Commonly, +however, when earnings rise to a striking figure, the business will be +recapitalised on the basis of its earning-capacity, by issue of a stock +dividend, by reincorporation in a new combination with an increased +capitalisation, and the like. Such augmentation of capital not unusually +has been spoken of by theoretical writers and publicists as an increase +of the community's wealth, due to savings; an analysis of any given case +is likely to show that its increased capital value represents an +increasingly profitable procedure for securing a high price above cost, +by stopping the available output short of the productive capacity of the +industries involved. Loosely speaking, and within the limits of what the +traffic will bear, the gains in such a case are proportioned to the +deficiency by which the production or supply under control falls short +of productive capacity. So that the capitalisation in the case comes to +bear a rough proportion to the material loss which this organisation of +sabotage is enabled to inflict on the community at large; and instead of +its being a capitalisation of serviceable means of production it may, +now and again, come to little else than a capitalisation of chartered +sabotage. + +Under the new dispensation of peace and security at large this manner of +capitalisation and business enterprise might reasonably be expected to +gain something in scope and security of operation. Indeed, there are few +things within the range of human interest on which an opinion may more +confidently be formed beforehand. If the rights of property, in their +extent and amplitude, are maintained intact as they are before the law +today, the hold which business enterprise on the large scale now has on +the affairs and fortunes of the community at large is bound to grow +firmer and to be used more unreservedly for private advantage under the +new conditions contemplated. + +The logical result should be an accelerated rate of accumulation of the +country's wealth in the hands of a relatively very small class of +wealthy owners, with a relatively inconsiderable semi-dependent middle +class of the well-to-do, and with the mass of the population even more +nearly destitute than they are today. At the same time it is scarcely to +be avoided that this wholly dependent and impecunious mass of the +population must be given an appreciably better education than they have +today. The argument will return to the difficulties that are liable to +arise out of this conjuncture of facts, in the way of discontent and +possible disturbance. + + * * * * * + +Meantime, looking to the promise of the pacific future in the light of +the pacific past, certain further consequences, particularly +consequences of the economic order, that may reasonably be expected to +follow will also merit attention. The experience of the Victorian peace +is almost as pointed in its suggestion on this head as if it had been an +experiment made _ad hoc_; but with the reservation that the scale of +economic life, after all, was small in the Victorian era, and its pace +was slack, compared with what the twentieth century should have to offer +under suitable conditions of peace and pecuniary security. In the light +of this most instructive modern instance, there should appear to be in +prospect a growth of well-bred families resting on invested wealth and +so living on unearned incomes; larger incomes and consequently a more +imposingly well-bred body of gentlefolk, sustained and vouched for by a +more munificent expenditure on superfluities, than the modern world has +witnessed hitherto. Doubtless the resulting growth of gentlemen and +gentlewomen would be as perfect after their kind as these unexampled +opportunities of gentle breeding might be expected to engender; so that +even their British precursors on the trail of respectability would fall +somewhat into insignificance by comparison, whether in respect of +gentlemanly qualities or in point of cost per unit. + +The moral, and even more particularly the aesthetic, value of such a +line of gentlefolk, and of the culture which they may be expected to +place on view,--this cultural side of the case, of course, is what one +would prefer to dwell on, and on the spiritual gains that might be +expected to accrue to humanity at large from the steady contemplation of +this meritorious respectability so displayed at such a cost. + +But the prosaic necessity of the argument turns back to the economic and +civil bearing of this prospective development, this virtual bifurcation +of the pacified nation into a small number of gentlemen who own the +community's wealth and consume its net product in the pursuit of +gentility, on the one hand, and an unblest mass of the populace who do +the community's work on a meager livelihood tapering down toward the +subsistence minimum, on the other hand. Evidently, this prospective +posture of affairs may seem "fraught with danger to the common weal," as +a public spirited citizen might phrase it. Or, as it would be expressed +in less eloquent words, it appears to comprise elements that should +make for a change. At the same time it should be recalled, and the +statement will command assent on slight reflection, that there is no +avoiding substantially such a posture of affairs under the promised +regime of peace and security, provided only that the price-system stands +over intact, and the current rights of property continue to be held +inviolate. If the known principles of competitive gain and competitive +spending should need enforcement to that effect by an illustrative +instance, the familiar history of the Victorian peace is sufficient to +quiet all doubts. + +Of course, the resulting articulation of classes in the community will +not be expected to fall into such simple lines of sheer contrast as this +scheme would indicate. The class of gentlefolk, the legally constituted +wasters, as they would be rated from the economic point of view, can not +be expected personally to take care of so large a consumption of +superfluities as this posture of affairs requires at their hands. They +would, as the Victorian peace teaches, necessarily have the assistance +of a trained corps of experts in unproductive consumption, the first and +most immediate of whom would be those whom the genial phrasing of Adam +Smith designates "menial servants." Beyond these would come the +purveyors of superfluities, properly speaking, and the large, indeed +redundant, class of tradespeople of high and low degree,--dependent in +fact but with an illusion of semi-dependence; and farther out again the +legal and other professional classes of the order of stewards, whose +duty it will be to administer the sources of income and receive, +apportion and disburse the revenues so devoted to a traceless +extinguishment. + +There would, in other words, be something of a "substantial middle +class," dependent on the wealthy and on their expenditure of wealth, but +presumably imbued with the Victorian middle-class illusion that they are +of some account in their own right. Under the due legal forms and +sanctions this, somewhat voluminous, middle-class population would +engage in the traffic which is their perquisite, and would continue to +believe, in some passable fashion, that they touch the substance of +things at something nearer than the second remove. They would in great +part appear to be people of "independent means," and more particularly +would they continue in the hope of so appearing and of some time making +good the appearance. Hence their fancied, and therefore their +sentimental, interest would fall out on the side of the established law +and order; and they would accordingly be an element of stability in the +commonwealth, and would throw in their weight, and their voice, to +safeguard that private property and that fabric of prices and credit +through which the "income stream" flows to the owners of preponderant +invested wealth. + +Judged on the state of the situation as it runs in our time, and +allowing for the heightened efficiency of large-scale investment and +consolidated management under the prospective conditions of added +pecuniary security, it is to be expected that the middle-class +population with "independent means" should come in for a somewhat meager +livelihood, provided that they work faithfully at their business of +managing pecuniary traffic to the advantage of their pecuniary +betters,--meager, that is to say, when allowance is made for the +conventionally large expenditure on reputable appearances which is +necessarily to be included in their standard of living. It lies in the +nature of this system of large-scale investment and enterprise that the +(pecuniarily) minor agencies engaged on a footing of ostensible +independence will come in for only such a share in the aggregate gains +of the community as it is expedient for the greater business interests +to allow them as an incentive to go on with their work as purveyors of +traffic to these greater business interests. + +The current, and still more this prospective, case of the +quasi-self-directing middle class may fairly be illustrated by the case +of the American farmers, of the past and present. The American farmer +rejoices to be called "The Independent Farmer." He once was independent, +in a meager and toil-worn fashion, in the days before the price-system +had brought him and all his works into the compass of the market; but +that was some time ago. He now works for the market, ordinarily at +something like what is called a "living wage," provided he has +"independent means" enough to enable him by steady application to earn a +living wage; and of course, the market being controlled by the paramount +investment interests in the background, his work, in effect, inures to +their benefit; except so much as it may seem necessary to allow him as +incentive to go on. Also of course, these paramount investment interests +are in turn controlled in all their manoeuvres by the impersonal +exigencies of the price-system, which permits no vagaries in violation +of the rule that all traffic must show a balance of profit in terms of +price. + +The Independent Farmer still continues to believe that in some occult +sense he still is independent in what he will do and what not; or +perhaps rather that he can by shrewd management retain or regain a +tolerable measure of such independence, after the fashion of what is +held to have been the posture of affairs in the days before the coming +of corporation finance; or at least he believes that he ought to have, +or to regain or reclaim, some appreciable measure of such independence; +which ought then, by help of the "independent means" which he still +treasures, to procure him an honest and assured livelihood in return for +an honest year's work. Latterly he, that is the common run of the +farmers, has been taking note of the fact that he is, as he apprehends +it, at a disadvantage in the market; and he is now taking recourse to +concerted action for the purpose of what might be called "rigging the +market" to his own advantage. In this he overlooks the impregnable +position which the party of the second part, the great investment +interests, occupy; in fact, he is counting without his host. Hitherto he +has not been convinced of his own helplessness. And with a fine fancy he +still imagines that his own interest is on the side of the propertied +and privileged classes; so that the farmer constituency is the chief +pillar of conservative law and order, particularly in all that touches +the inviolable rights of property and at every juncture where a division +comes on between those who live by investment and those who live by +work. In pecuniary effect, the ordinary American farmer, who legally +owns a moderate farm of the common sort, belongs among those who work +for a livelihood; such a livelihood as the investment interests find it +worth while to allow him under the rule of what the traffic will bear; +but in point of sentiment and class consciousness he clings to a belated +stand on the side of those who draw a profit from his work. + +So it is also with the menial servants and the middle-class people of +"independent means," who are, however, in a position to see more clearly +their dependence on the owners of predominant wealth. And such, with a +further accentuation of the anomaly, may reasonably be expected to be +the further run of these relations under the promised regime of peace +and security. The class of well-kept gentlefolk will scarcely be called +on to stand alone, in case of a division between those who live by +investment and those who live by work; inasmuch as, for the calculable +future, it should seem a reasonable expectation that this very +considerable fringe of dependents and pseudo-independents will abide by +their time-tried principles of right and honest living, through good +days and evil, and cast in their lot unreservedly with that reputable +body to whom the control of trade and industry by investment assigns the +usufruct of the community's productive powers. + + * * * * * + +Something has already been said of the prospective breeding of pedigreed +gentlefolk under the projected regime of peace. Pedigree, for the +purpose in hand, is a pecuniary attribute and is, of course, a product +of funded wealth, more or less ancient. Virtually ancient pedigree can +be procured by well-advised expenditure on the conspicuous amenities; +that is to say pedigree effectually competent as a background of current +gentility. Gentlefolk of such syncopated pedigree may have to walk +circumspectly, of course; but their being in this manner put on their +good behavior should tend to heighten their effectual serviceability as +gentlefolk, by inducing a single-mindedness of gentility beyond what can +fairly be expected of those who are already secure in their tenure. + +Except conventionally, there is no hereditary difference between the +standard gentlefolk and, say, their "menial servants," or the general +population of the farms and the industrial towns. This is a +well-established commonplace among ethnological students; which has, of +course, nothing to say with respect to the conventionally distinct lines +of descent of the "Best Families." These Best Families are nowise +distinguishable from the common run in point of hereditary traits; the +difference that makes the gentleman and the gentlewoman being wholly a +matter of habituation during the individual's life-time. It is something +of a distasteful necessity to call attention to this total absence of +native difference between the well-born and the common, but it is a +necessity of the argument in hand, and the recalling of it may, +therefore, be overlooked for once in a way. There is no harm and no +annoyance intended. The point of it all is that, on the premises which +this state of the case affords, the body of gentlefolk created by such +an accumulation of invested wealth will have no less of an effectual +cultural value than they would have had if their virtually ancient +pedigree had been actual. + +At this point, again, the experience of the Victorian peace and the +functioning of its gentlefolk come in to indicate what may fairly be +hoped for in this way under this prospective regime of peace at large. +But with the difference that the scale of things is to be larger, the +pace swifter, and the volume and dispersion of this prospective leisure +class somewhat wider. The work of this leisure class--and there is +neither paradox nor inconsistency in the phrase--should be patterned on +the lines worked out by their prototypes of the Victorian time, but with +some appreciable accentuation in the direction of what chiefly +characterised the leisure class of that era of tranquility. The +characteristic feature to which attention naturally turns at this +suggestion is the tranquility that has marked that body of gentlefolk +and their code of clean and honest living. Another word than +"tranquility" might be hit upon to designate this characteristic animus, +but any other word that should at all adequately serve the turn would +carry a less felicitous suggestion of those upper-class virtues that +have constituted the substantial worth of the Victorian gentleman. The +conscious worth of these gentlefolk has been a beautifully complete +achievement. It has been an achievement of "faith without works," of +course; but, needless to say, that is as it should be, also of course. +The place of gentlefolk in the economy of Nature is tracelessly to +consume the community's net product, and in doing so to set a standard +of decent expenditure for the others emulatively to work up to as near +as may be. It is scarcely conceivable that this could have been done in +a more unobtrusively efficient manner, or with a more austerely virtuous +conviction of well-doing, than by the gentlefolk bred of the Victorian +peace. So also, in turn, it is not to be believed that the prospective +breed of gentlefolk derivable from the net product of the pacific +nations under the promised regime of peace at large will prove in any +degree less effective for the like ends. More will be required of them +in the way of a traceless consumption of superfluities and an unexampled +expensive standard of living. But this situation that so faces them may +be construed as a larger opportunity, quite as well as a more difficult +task. + +A theoretical exposition of the place and cultural value of a leisure +class in modern life would scarcely be in place here; and it has also +been set out in some detail elsewhere.[10] For the purpose in hand it +may be sufficient to recall that the canons of taste and the standards +of valuation worked out and inculcated by leisure-class life have in all +ages run, with unbroken consistency, to pecuniary waste and personal +futility. In its economic bearing, and particularly in its immediate +bearing on the material well-being of the community at large, the +leadership of the leisure class can scarcely be called by a less +derogatory epithet than "untoward." But that is not the whole of the +case, and the other side should be heard. The leisure-class life of +tranquility, running detached as it does above the turmoil out of which +the material of their sustenance is derived, enables a growth of all +those virtues that mark, or make, the gentleman; and that affect the +life of the underlying community throughout, pervasively, by imitation; +leading to a standardisation of the everyday proprieties on a +presumably, higher level of urbanity and integrity than might be +expected to result in the absence of this prescriptive model. + +[Footnote 10: Cf. _The Theory of the Leisure Class_, especially ch. +v.-ix. and xiv.] + +_Integer vitae scelerisque purus_, the gentleman of assured station +turns a placid countenance to all those petty vexations of breadwinning +that touch him not. Serenely and with an impassive fortitude he faces +those common vicissitudes of life that are impotent to make or mar his +material fortunes and that can neither impair his creature comforts nor +put a slur on his good repute. So that without afterthought he deals +fairly in all everyday conjunctures of give and take; for they are at +the most inconsequential episodes to him, although the like might spell +irremediable disaster to his impecunious counterfoil among the common +men who have the community's work to do. In short, he is a gentleman, in +the best acceptation of the word,--unavoidably, by force of +circumstance. As such his example is of invaluable consequence to the +underlying community of common folk, in that it keeps before their eyes +an object lesson in habitual fortitude and visible integrity such as +could scarcely have been created except under such shelter from those +disturbances that would go to mar habitual fortitude and integrity. +There can be little doubt but the high example of the Victorian +gentlefolk has had much to do with stabilising the animus of the British +common man on lines of integrity and fair play. What else and more in +the way of habitual preconceptions he may, by competitive imitation, owe +to the same high source is not immediately in question here. + + * * * * * + +Recalling once more that the canon of life whereby folk are gentlefolk +sums itself up in the requirements of pecuniary waste and personal +futility, and that these requirements are indefinitely extensible, at +the same time that the management of the community's industry by +investment for a profit enables the owners of invested wealth to divert +to their own use the community's net product, wherewith to meet these +requirements, it follows that the community at large which provides this +output of product will be allowed so much as is required by their +necessary standard of living,--with an unstable margin of error in the +adjustment. This margin of error should tend continually to grow +narrower as the businesslike management of industry grows more efficient +with experience; but it will also continually be disturbed in the +contrary sense by innovations of a technological nature that require +continual readjustment. This margin is probably not to be got rid of, +though it may be expected to become less considerable under more settled +conditions. + +It should also not be overlooked that the standard of living here spoken +of as necessarily to be allowed the working population by no means +coincides with the "physical subsistence minimum," from which in fact it +always departs by something appreciable. The necessary standard of +living of the working community is in fact made up of two +distinguishable factors: the subsistence minimum, and the requirements +of decorously wasteful consumption--the "decencies of life." These +decencies are no less requisite than the physical necessaries, in point +of workday urgency, and their amount is a matter of use and wont. This +composite standard of living is a practical minimum, below which +consumption will not fall, except by a fluctuating margin of error; the +effect being the same, in point of necessary consumption, as if it were +all of the nature of a physical subsistence minimum. + +Loosely speaking, the arrangement should leave nothing appreciable over, +after the requirements of genteel waste and of the workday standard of +consumption have been met. From which in turn it should follow that the +rest of what is comprised under the general caption of "culture" will +find a place only in the interstices of leisure-class expenditure and +only at the hands of aberrant members of the class of the gently-bred. +The working population should have no effectual margin of time, energy +or means for other pursuits than the day's work in the service of the +price-system; so that aberrant individuals in this class, who might by +native propensity incline, e.g., to pursue the sciences or the fine +arts, should have (virtually) no chance to make good. It would be a +virtual suppression of such native gifts among the common folk, not a +definitive and all-inclusive suppression. The state of the case under +the Victorian peace may, again, be taken in illustration of the point; +although under the presumably more effectual control to be looked for in +the pacific future the margin might reasonably be expected to run +somewhat narrower, so that this virtual suppression of cultural talent +among the common men should come nearer a complete suppression. + +The working of that free initiative that makes the advance of +civilisation, and also the greater part of its conservation, would in +effect be allowed only in the erratic members of the kept classes; where +at the same time it would have to work against the side-draught of +conventional usage, which discountenances any pursuit that is not +visibly futile according to some accepted manner of futility. Now under +the prospective perfect working of the price-system, bearers of the +banners of civilisation could effectually be drawn only from the kept +classes, the gentlefolk who alone would have the disposal of such free +income as is required for work that has no pecuniary value. And +numerically the gentlefolk are an inconsiderable fraction of the +population. The supply of competently gifted bearers of the community's +culture would accordingly be limited to such as could be drawn by +self-selection from among this inconsiderable proportion of the +community at large. + +It may be recalled that in point of heredity, and therefore in point of +native fitness for the maintenance and advance of civilisation, there is +no difference between the gentlefolk and the populace at large; or at +least there is no difference of such a nature as to count in abatement +of the proposition set down above. Some slight, but after all +inconsequential, difference there may be, but such difference as there +is, if any, rather counts against the gentlefolk as keepers of the +cultural advance. The gentlefolk are derived from business; the +gentleman represents a filial generation of the businessman; and if the +class typically is gifted with any peculiar hereditary traits, +therefore, they should presumably be such as typically mark the +successful businessman--astute, prehensile, unscrupulous. For a +generation or two, perhaps to the scriptural third and fourth +generation, it is possible that a diluted rapacity and cunning may +continue to mark the businessman's well-born descendants; but these are +not serviceable traits for the conservation and advancement of the +community's cultural heritage. So that no consideration of special +hereditary fitness in the well-born need be entertained in this +connection. + +As to the limitation imposed by the price-system on the supply of +candidates suited by native gift for the human work of civilisation; it +would no doubt, be putting the figure extravagantly high to say that the +gentlefolk, properly speaking, comprise as much as ten percent of the +total population; perhaps something less than one-half of that +percentage would still seem a gross overstatement. But, to cover loose +ends and vagrant cases, the gentlefolk may for the purpose be credited +with so high a percentage of the total population. If ten percent be +allowed, as an outside figure, it follows that the community's +scientists, artists, scholars, and the like individuals given over to +the workday pursuits of the human spirit, are by conventional +restriction to be drawn from one-tenth of the current supply of persons +suited by native gift for these pursuits. Or as it may also be +expressed, in so far as the projected scheme takes effect it should +result in the suppression of nine (or more) out of every ten persons +available for the constructive work of civilisation. The cultural +consequences to be looked for, therefore, should be quite markedly of +the conservative order. + +Of course, in actual effect, the retardation or repression of +civilisation by this means, as calculated on these premises, should +reasonably be expected to count up to something appreciably more than +nine-tenths of the gains that might presumably be achieved in the +conceivable absence of the price-system and the regime of investment. +All work of this kind has much of the character of teamwork; so that the +efforts of isolated individuals count for little, and a few working in +more or less of concert and understanding will count for proportionally +much less than many working in concert. The endeavours of the +individuals engaged count cumulatively, to such effect that doubling +their forces will more than double the aggregate efficiency; and +conversely, reducing the number will reduce the effectiveness of their +work by something more than the simple numerical proportion. Indeed, an +undue reduction of numbers in such a case may lead to the total defeat +of the few that are left, and the best endeavours of a dwindling remnant +may be wholly nugatory. There is needed a sense of community and +solidarity, without which the assurance necessary to the work is bound +to falter and dwindle out; and there is also needed a degree of popular +countenance, not to be had by isolated individuals engaged in an +unconventional pursuit of things that are neither to be classed as +spendthrift decorum nor as merchantable goods. In this connection an +isolated one does not count for one, and more than the critical minimum +will count for several per capita. It is a case where the "minimal dose" +is wholly inoperative. + +There is not a little reason to believe that consequent upon the +installation of the projected regime of peace at large and secure +investment the critical point in the repression of talent will very +shortly be reached and passed, so that the principle of the "minimal +dose" will come to apply. The point may readily be illustrated by the +case of many British and American towns and neighbourhoods during the +past few decades; where the dominant price-system and its commercial +standards of truth and beauty have over-ruled all inclination to +cultural sanity and put it definitively in abeyance. The cultural, or +perhaps the conventional, residue left over in these cases where +civilisation has gone stale through inefficiency of the minimal dose is +not properly to be found fault with; it is of a blameless character, +conventionally; nor is there any intention here to cast aspersion on the +desolate. The like effects of the like causes are to be seen in the +American colleges and universities, where business principles have +supplanted the pursuit of learning, and where the commercialisation of +aims, ideals, tastes, occupations and personnel is following much the +same lines that have led so many of the country towns effectually +outside the cultural pale. The American university or college is coming +to be an outlier of the price-system, in point of aims, standards and +personnel; hitherto the tradition of learning as a trait of +civilisation, as distinct from business, has not been fully displaced, +although it is now coming to face the passage of the minimal dose. The +like, in a degree, is apparently true latterly for many English, and +still more evidently for many German schools. + +In these various instances of what may be called dry-rot or local blight +on the civilised world's culture the decline appears to be due not to a +positive infection of a malignant sort, so much as to a failure of the +active cultural ferment, which has fallen below the critical point of +efficacy; perhaps through an unintended refusal of a livelihood to +persons given over to cultivating the elements of civilisation; perhaps +through the conventional disallowance of the pursuit of any other ends +than competitive gain and competitive spending. Evidently it is +something much more comprehensive in this nature that is reasonably to +be looked for under the prospective regime of peace, in case the +price-system gains that farther impetus and warrant which it should come +in for if the rights of ownership and investment stand over intact, and +so come to enjoy the benefit of a further improved state of the +industrial arts and a further enlarged scale of operation and enhanced +rate of turnover. + + * * * * * + +To turn back to the point from which this excursion branched off. It has +been presumed all the while that the technological equipment, or the +state of the industrial arts, must continue to advance under the +conditions offered by this regime of peace at large. But the last few +paragraphs will doubtless suggest that such a single-minded addiction to +competitive gain and competitive spending as the stabilised and +amplified price-system would enjoin, must lead to an effectual +retardation, perhaps to a decline, of those material sciences on which +modern technology draws; and that the state of the industrial arts +should therefore cease to advance, if only the scheme of investment and +businesslike sabotage can be made sufficiently secure. That such may be +the outcome is a contingency which the argument will have to meet and to +allow for; but it is after all a contingency that need not be expected +to derange the sequence of events, except in the way of retardation. +Even without further advance in technological expedients or in the +relevant material sciences, there will still necessarily ensue an +effectual advance in the industrial arts, in the sense that further +organisation and enlargement of the material equipment and industrial +processes on lines already securely known and not to be forgotten must +bring an effectually enhanced efficiency of the industrial process as a +whole. + +In illustration, it is scarcely to be assumed even as a tentative +hypothesis that the system of transport and communication will not +undergo extension and improvement on the lines already familiar, even in +the absence of new technological contrivances. At the same time a +continued increase of population is to be counted on; which has, for the +purpose in hand, much the same effect as an advance in the industrial +arts. Human contact and mutual understanding will necessarily grow wider +and closer, and will have its effect on the habits of thought prevalent +in the communities that are to live under the promised regime of peace. +The system of transport and communication having to handle a more +voluminous and exacting traffic, in the service of a larger and more +compact population, will have to be organised and administered on +mechanically drawn schedules of time, place, volume, velocity, and +price, of a still more exacting accuracy than hitherto. The like will +necessarily apply throughout the industrial occupations that employ +extensive plant or processes, or that articulate with industrial +processes of that nature; which will necessarily comprise a larger +proportion of the industrial process at large than hitherto. + +As has already been remarked more than once in the course of the +argument, a population that lives and does its work, and such play as is +allowed it, in and by an exactingly articulate mechanical system of this +kind will necessarily be an "intelligent" people, in the colloquial +sense of the word; that is to say it will necessarily be a people that +uses printed matter freely and that has some familiarity with the +elements of those material sciences that underlie this mechanically +organised system of appliances and processes. Such a population lives by +and within the framework of the mechanistic logic, and is in a fair way +to lose faith in any proposition that can not be stated convincingly in +terms of this mechanistic logic. Superstitions are liable to lapse by +neglect or disuse in such a community; that is to say propositions of a +non-mechanistic complexion are liable to insensible disestablishment in +such a case; "superstition" in these premises coming to signify whatever +is not of this mechanistic, or "materialistic" character. An exception +to this broad characterisation of non-mechanistic propositions as +"superstition" would be matters that are of the nature of an immediate +deliverance of the senses or of the aesthetic sensibilities. + +By a simile it might be said that what so falls under the caption of +"superstition" in such a case is subject to decay by inanition. It +should not be difficult to conceive the general course of such a decay +of superstitions under this unremitting discipline of mechanistic habits +of life. The recent past offers an illustration, in the unemotional +progress of decay that has overtaken religious beliefs in the more +civilised countries, and more particularly among the intellectually +trained workmen of the mechanical industries. The elimination of such +non-mechanistic propositions of the faith has been visibly going on, but +it has not worked out on any uniform plan, nor has it overtaken any +large or compact body of people consistently or abruptly, being of the +nature of obsolescence rather than of set repudiation. But in a slack +and unreflecting fashion the divestment has gone on until the aggregate +effect is unmistakable. + +A similar divestment of superstitions is reasonably to be looked for +also in that domain of preconceptions that lies between the supernatural +and the mechanistic. Chief among these time-warped preconceptions--or +superstitions--that so stand over out of the alien past among these +democratic peoples is the institution of property. As is true of +preconceptions touching the supernatural verities, so here too the +article of use and wont in question will not bear formulation in +mechanistic terms and is not congruous with that mechanistic logic that +is incontinently bending the habits of thought of the common man more +and more consistently to its own bent. There is, of course, the +difference that while no class--apart from the servants of the +church--have a material interest in the continued integrity of the +articles of the supernatural faith, there is a strong and stubborn +material interest bound up with the maintenance of this article of the +pecuniary faith; and the class in whom this material interest vests are +also, in effect, invested with the coercive powers of the law. + +The law, and the popular preconceptions that give the law its binding +force, go to uphold the established usage and the established +prerogatives on this head; and the disestablishment of the rights of +property and investment therefore is not a simple matter of obsolescence +through neglect. It may confidently be counted on that all the apparatus +of the law and all the coercive agencies of law and order, will be +brought in requisition to uphold the ancient rights of ownership, +whenever any move is made toward their disallowance or restriction. But +then, on the other hand, the movement to disallow or diminish the +prerogatives of ownership is also not to take the innocuous shape of +unstudied neglect. So soon, or rather so far, as the common man comes to +realise that these rights of ownership and investment uniformly work to +his material detriment, at the same time that he has lost the "will to +believe" in any argument that does not run in terms of the mechanistic +logic, it is reasonable to expect that he will take a stand on this +matter; and it is more than likely that the stand taken will be of an +uncompromising kind,--presumably something in the nature of the stand +once taken by recalcitrant Englishmen in protest against the +irresponsible rule of the Stuart sovereign. It is also not likely that +the beneficiaries under these proprietary rights will yield their ground +at all amicably; all the more since they are patently within their +authentic rights in insisting on full discretion in the disposal of +their own possessions; very much as Charles I or James II once were +within their prescriptive right,--which had little to say in the +outcome. + +Even apart from "time immemorial" and the patent authenticity of the +institution, there were and are many cogent arguments to be alleged in +favor of the position for which the Stuart sovereigns and their +spokesmen contended. So there are and will be many, perhaps more, cogent +reasons to be alleged for the maintenance of the established law and +order in respect of the rights of ownership and investment. Not least +urgent, nor least real, among these arguments is the puzzling question +of what to put in the place of these rights and of the methods of +control based on them, very much as the analogous question puzzled the +public-spirited men of the Stuart times. All of which goes to argue that +there may be expected to arise a conjuncture of perplexities and +complications, as well as a division of interests and claims. To which +should be added that the division is likely to come to a head so soon as +the balance of forces between the two parties in interest becomes +doubtful, so that either party comes to surmise that the success of its +own aims may depend on its own efforts. And as happens where two +antagonistic parties are each convinced of the justice of its cause, and +in the absence of an umpire, the logical recourse is the wager of +battle. + +Granting the premises, there should be no reasonable doubt as to this +eventual cleavage between those who own and those who do not; and of the +premises the only item that is not already an accomplished fact is the +installation of peace at large. The rest of what goes into the argument +is the well-known modern state of the industrial arts, and the equally +well-known price-system; which, in combination, give its character to +the modern state of business enterprise. It is only an unusually broad +instance of an institutional arrangement which has in the course of time +and changing conditions come to work at cross purposes with that +underlying ground of institutional arrangements that takes form in the +commonplace aphorism, Live and let live. With change setting in the +direction familiar to all men today, it is only a question of limited +time when the discrepancy will reach a critical pass, and the +installation of peace may be counted on to hasten this course of things. + +That a decision will be sought by recourse to forcible measures, is also +scarcely open to question; since the established law and order provides +for a resort to coercion in the enforcement of these prescriptive +rights, and since both parties in interest, in this as in other cases, +are persuaded of the justice of their claims. A decision either way is +an intolerable iniquity in the eyes of the losing side. History teaches +that in such a quarrel the recourse has always been to force. + +History teaches also, but with an inflection of doubt, that the outworn +institution in such a conjuncture faces disestablishment. At least, so +men like to believe. What the experience of history does not leave in +doubt is the grave damage, discomfort and shame incident to the +displacement of such an institutional discrepancy by such recourse to +force. What further appears to be clear in the premises, at least to the +point of a strong presumption, is that in the present case the decision, +or the choice, lies between two alternatives: either the price-system +and its attendant business enterprise will yield and pass out; or the +pacific nations will conserve their pecuniary scheme of law and order at +the cost of returning to a war footing and letting their owners preserve +the rights of ownership by force of arms. + +The reflection obviously suggests itself that this prospect of +consequences to follow from the installation of peace at large might +well be taken into account beforehand by those who are aiming to work +out an enduring peace. It has appeared in the course of the argument +that the preservation of the present pecuniary law and order, with all +its incidents of ownership and investment, is incompatible with an +unwarlike state of peace and security. This current scheme of +investment, business, and sabotage, should have an appreciably better +chance of survival in the long run if the present conditions of warlike +preparation and national insecurity were maintained, or if the projected +peace were left in a somewhat problematical state, sufficiently +precarious to keep national animosities alert, and thereby to the +neglect of domestic interests, particularly of such interests as touch +the popular well-being. On the other hand, it has also appeared that the +cause of peace and its perpetuation might be materially advanced if +precautions were taken beforehand to put out of the way as much as may +be of those discrepancies of interest and sentiment between nations and +between classes which make for dissension and eventual hostilities. + +So, if the projectors of this peace at large are in any degree inclined +to seek concessive terms on which the peace might hopefully be made +enduring, it should evidently be part of their endeavours from the +outset to put events in train for the present abatement and eventual +abrogation of the rights of ownership and of the price-system in which +these rights take effect. A hopeful beginning along this line would +manifestly be the neutralisation of all pecuniary rights of citizenship, +as has been indicated in an earlier passage. On the other hand, if peace +is not desired at the cost of relinquishing the scheme of competitive +gain and competitive spending, the promoters of peace should logically +observe due precaution and move only so far in the direction of a +peaceable settlement as would result in a sufficiently unstable +equilibrium of mutual jealousies; such as might expeditiously be upset +whenever discontent with pecuniary affairs should come to threaten this +established scheme of pecuniary prerogatives. + + +BOOKS BY THORSTEIN VEBLEN + + +THE THEORY OF THE LEISURE CLASS + +THE THEORY OF BUSINESS ENTERPRISE + +THE INSTINCT OF WORKMANSHIP + +IMPERIAL GERMANY +AND THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION + +THE NATURE OF PEACE +AND THE TERMS OF ITS PERPETUATION + +THE HIGHER LEARNING IN AMERICA + + + + + +End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Peace +And The Terms Of Its Perpetuation, by Thorstein Veblen + +*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE NATURE OF PEACE *** + +***** This file should be named 20694.txt or 20694.zip ***** +This and all associated files of various formats will be found in: + http://www.gutenberg.org/2/0/6/9/20694/ + +Produced by Irma Spehar, Graeme Mackreth and the Online +Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net. 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