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| committer | Roger Frank <rfrank@pglaf.org> | 2025-10-15 05:06:52 -0700 |
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diff --git a/.gitattributes b/.gitattributes new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6833f05 --- /dev/null +++ b/.gitattributes @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +* text=auto +*.txt text +*.md text diff --git a/19911-8.txt b/19911-8.txt new file mode 100644 index 0000000..36c9442 --- /dev/null +++ b/19911-8.txt @@ -0,0 +1,3116 @@ +The Project Gutenberg EBook of The Practical Values of Space Exploration, by +Committee on Science and Astronautics + +This eBook is for the use of anyone anywhere at no cost and with +almost no restrictions whatsoever. You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: The Practical Values of Space Exploration + Report of the Committee on Science and Astronautics, U.S. + House of Representatives, Eighty-Sixth Congress, Second + Session + +Author: Committee on Science and Astronautics + +Release Date: November 24, 2006 [EBook #19911] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ISO-8859-1 + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK SPACE EXPLORATION *** + + + + +Produced by Audrey Longhurst, Janet Blenkinship and the +Online Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net + + + + + + + +Union Calendar No. 928 + +86th Congress, 2d Session House Report No. 2091 + + + + +THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION + + +REPORT + +OF THE + +COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES +EIGHTY-SIXTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION + +PURSUANT TO + +H. Res. 133 + +[Serial I] + +July 5, 1960.--Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on the +State of the Union and ordered to be printed + + +UNITED STATES + +GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE + +58231° WASHINGTON: 1960 + + + + + +COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS + + + OVERTON BROOKS, Louisiana, _Chairman_ + + John W. McCormack, Massachusetts + George P. Miller, California + Olin E. Teague, Texas + Victor L. Anfuso, New York + B. F. Sisk, California + Erwin Mitchell, Georgia + James M. Quigley, Pennsylvania + Leonard G. Wolf, Iowa + Joseph E. Karth, Minnesota + Ken Hechler, West Virginia + Emilio Q. Daddario, Connecticut + Walter H. Moeller, Ohio + David S. King, Utah + J. Edward Roush, Indiana + Thomas G. Morris, New Mexico + Joseph W. Martin, JR. Massachusetts + James G. Fulton, Pennsylvania + Gordon L. McDonough, California + J. Edgar Chenoweth, Colorado + Frank C. Osmers, JR. New Jersey + William K. Van Pelt, Wisconsin + A. D. Baumhart, JR. Ohio + Perkins Bass, New Hampshire + R. Walter Riehlman, New York + + CHARLES F. DUCANDER, _Executive Director and Chief Counsel_ + DR. CHARLES S. SHELDON II, _Technical Director_ + SPENCER M. BERESFORD, _Special Counsel_ + PHILIP B. YEAGER, _Special Consultant_ + JOHN A. CARSTARPHEN, Jr., _Chief Clerk_ + FRANK R. HAMMILL, Jr., _Counsel_ + RAYMOND WILCOVE, _Staff Consultant_ + RICHARD P. HINES, _Staff Consultant_ + Lt. Col. FRANCIS J. DILLON, Jr., _Staff Consultant_ + Comdr. HOWARD J. SILBERSTEIN, _Staff Consultant_ + + + + +LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL + + + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, + COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS, + _Washington, D.C., July 1, 1960._ + + Hon. OVERTON BROOKS, + _Chairman, Committee on Science and Astronautics._ + +DEAR MR. CHAIRMAN: I am forwarding herewith for your +consideration a staff study, "The Practical Values of Space +Exploration." + +This study was undertaken pursuant to your request for information +covering the various utilities of the national space effort. The study +has been prepared by Philip B. Yeager and reviewed by other members of +the professional staff. + + CHARLES F. DUCANDER, + _Executive Director and Chief Counsel._ + + + + +LETTER OF SUBMITTAL + + + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, + COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS, + _Washington, D.C., July 5, 1960._ + + Hon. SAM RAYBURN, + _Speaker of the House of Representatives, + Washington, D.C._ + +DEAR MR. SPEAKER: By direction of the Committee on Science and +Astronautics, I submit the following report on "The Practical Values of +Space Exploration" for the consideration of the 86th Congress. + + OVERTON BROOKS, _Chairman_. + + + + + CONTENTS + + + Introduction 1 + + I. The unseen values 3 + Some examples of the unexpected 3 + The ultimate values 5 + Steering a middle road 6 + The time for space 7 + + II. National security values 9 + The military uses 9 + Our position in the international community 12 + Space as a substitute for war 15 + + III. The economic values 17 + U.S. expenditures on space 17 + The spread of economic benefits 18 + Creation of new industries 19 + Research 19 + New power sources 20 + New water sources and uses 21 + Noise and human engineering 22 + High speed-light weight computers 22 + Solid state physics 23 + Economic alliances 24 + Private enterprise in space 24 + Jobs 27 + Automation and disarmament 28 + + IV. Values for everyday living 31 + Technological benefits 31 + Food and agriculture 35 + Communications 36 + Weather prediction and modification 37 + Health benefits 39 + Education benefits 42 + The demand 42 + + V. Long-range values 45 + Trouble spots 45 + Population 45 + Water shortage 46 + Soil erosion 46 + Added leisure 47 + Intensified nationalism 48 + Limitations on space research 48 + Fundamental knowledge about life 51 + Psychological and spiritual values 52 + Maturing of the race 53 + + + + ++---------------------------------------------------------------+ +| 86TH CONGRESS | +| _2d Session_ | +| | +| HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | +| | +| REPORT | +| NO. 2091 | +| | +| | +| | +| | +|THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION | +| | +| * * * * * | +| | +|JULY 5, 1960.--Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on| +|the State of the Union and ordered to be printed | +| | +| * * * * * | +| | +|Mr. BROOKS of Louisiana, from the Committee on Science and | +|Astronautics, submitted the following | +| | +| REPORT | +| | +| [Pursuant to H. Res. 133] | +| | ++---------------------------------------------------------------+ + + + + +THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION + + + + +INTRODUCTION + + +This report has been undertaken for a special reason. It is to explain +to the taxpayer just why so many of his dollars are going into the +American effort to explore space, and to indicate what he can expect in +return which is of value to him. + +Such an explanation, even after 2 years of relatively high-geared +activity in the space exploration field, appears to be warranted. There +is still a segment of the U.S. population which has little, if any, +notion of the values that the space program has for the average citizen. +To these people the expenditure of billions of dollars on missiles, +rockets, satellites, Moon probes, and other space activities remains +something of a mystery--particularly when so many other worthy projects +throughout the land may be slowed or stalled for lack of funds. + +If, therefore, the practical value of the American space program is +being questioned, it is a question which needs to be answered. + +It is interesting to note that the problem is not unique to the United +States. In the Soviet Union, which counts itself as the world's prime +investigator of space, there is likewise an element of citizenry which +finds itself puzzled over the U.S.S.R.'s penchant for the interplanetary +reaches. + +"What do sputniks give to a person like me?" a Russian workman +complained in a letter which _Pravda_ published on its front page. "So +much money is spent on sputniks it makes people gasp. If there were no +sputniks the Government could cut the cost of cloth for an overcoat in +half and put a few electric flatirons in the stores. Rockets, rockets, +rockets. Who needs them now?"[1] + +It goes without saying that the workman was severely chastised by the +Soviet newspaper, but his point was made. + +No matter where taxpayers live they want to know--and are entitled to +know--what good a program of space exploration is to them. + +During the 1960's it is expected that the U.S. Government will spend +anywhere from $30 to $50 billion on space exploration for all purposes, +civilian and military. It is the intent of this report to delineate in +lay language, and in terms which will be meaningful to those who have +not followed the American space program closely, the reasons for this +great investment and the probable returns. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 1.--A single shot of the 8-barreled +Saturn of the future will cost millions of dollars, maybe tens of +millions. What makes it worthwhile for the taxpayer?] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[1] Associated Press dispatch, dateline Moscow, June 12, 1960. + + + + +I. The Unseen Values + + +The United States has not embarked upon its formidable program of space +exploration in order to make or perpetuate a gigantic astronautic +boondoggle. There are good reasons, hard reasons for this program. But, +in essence, they all boil down to the fact that the program is expected +to produce a number of highly valuable payoffs. It not only is expected +to do so, it is doing so right now. + +Many of the beneficial results can be identified. + +Those already showing up are detailed in the sections of this report +which follow. They include the most urgent and precious of all +commodities--national security. Beyond that, they also include a +strengthened national economy, new jobs and job categories, better +living, fresh consumer goods, improved education, increased health, +stimulated business enterprise and a host of long-range values which may +ultimately make the immediate benefits pale into relative +insignificance. + +Practical uses such as those just listed mean the taxpayer is more than +getting his money's worth from American space exploration--and getting a +sizable chunk of it today. + +Nevertheless, if we can depend on the history of scientific adventure +and progress, on its consistent tendencies of the past, then we can be +reasonably sure that the greatest, finest benefits to come from our +ventures into space are yet unseen. + +These are the unpredictable values, the ones which none of us has yet +thought of. + +Inevitably they lag behind the basic research discoveries needed to make +them possible, and often the discoveries are slow to be put to work +after they are made. Investors, even governments, are human, and before +they invest in something they normally want to know: What good is it? + +We can be sure that many American taxpayers of the future will be asking +"what good is it?" in regard to various phases of the space program. + +There was an occasion when the great Scottish physicist, James Clerk +Maxwell, was asked this question concerning one of his classic +discoveries in electromagnetism. Maxwell replied: "What good is a baby?" + +Now, as then, it takes time for new knowledge to develop and become +useful after its conception and birth. + + +SOME EXAMPLES OF THE UNEXPECTED + +A graphic illustration of "unseen" benefits in regard to atomic energy +has been expressed by an experienced researcher in this way: + + I remember a conversation I had with one of our nuclear scientists + when I was a member of the Weapons Systems Evaluations Group almost + 10 years ago. We were talking about the possible peaceful + applications of fission. We really could think of little that + could be done with it other than making fissionable material into a + form of destructive power. There had been some discussion about + harnessing the power of fission, but this seemed to us to be quite + remote. It seemed difficult to conceive of the atomic bomb as + anything but sheer power used for destructive purposes. Yet today + the products of fission applied to peaceful uses are many. The use + of isotopes in industry, medicine, agriculture are well known. Food + irradiation, nuclear power reactors, now reactors for shipboard + use, are with us, and it is hardly the beginning. I frequently ask + myself, of late, what 10 years from now will be the commercial, + shall we call it, applications of our missile and rocket + programs.[2] + +There are innumerable examples of the way in which invention or +discovery, or sometimes just simple human curiosity, result in useful +payoff. And frequently no one suspects the direction the payoff finally +takes. The point, of course, is that _any_ knowledge eventually pays +dividends. The things we learn from our national space program will +produce benefits in ways entirely unrelated to missiles or +interplanetary travel. (See secs. III and IV.) The reverse is also true; +knowledge gained in areas quite remote from outer space can have genuine +value for the advance of space exploration. + +Investigation into the skin of a fish provides a good case in point. + +A German inventor who migrated to California after World War II had long +been interested in ways to reduce the drag of friction produced by air +or water on the surface of objects passing through them. One day, while +watching a group of porpoises cavort past a speeding ship with the +greatest of ease, it occurred to him that the skin of these animals, if +closely studied, might shed light on ways of cutting surface friction. +It was many years before the inventor was able to enlist the aid of +aquarium managers in securing porpoise skins for study. In 1955, +however, he obtained the necessary skins and found that dolphins, in +fact, owe much of their great speed to a unique skin which markedly +reduces the effect of turbulence against it. From this knowledge has +come the recent development of a diaphragm-damping fluid surface which +has real potential not only for underwater high-speed bodies, such as +submarines, torpedoes and underwater missiles, but for any vehicle where +fast-moving gases or fluids may cause drag.[3] + +The implications of this knowledge for satellites near Earth or for +reentering spacecraft are obvious. + +Sometimes a reverse twist in reasoning by a speculative mind will result +in enormous practical utility. + +In Cambridge, Mass., a sanitary engineer teaching at the Massachusetts +Institute of Technology began to wonder about the principles of +adhesion--why things stick to each other. Do they only stick together +because some sticky substance is holding them, or are there other +reasons? "If a person is sick," he asked himself, "is it because a cause +of sickness is present or because a cause of health is absent? We now +know that in infectious diseases the first alternative is true; the +patient is ill because he harbors pathogenic germs. The opposite case +prevails in deficiency diseases, where necessary vitamins are absent +from food and illness is brought about by this absence. To which of the +classes does adhesion belong? When we cannot produce a dependable bond, +are we dealing with the lack of some adhesive force or with existence of +an obstacle to sticking?" + +Operating on the theory that adhesion might result not only from the +presence of a sticky agent but from the removal of all impediments to +sticking, this scientist has now managed to produce strong adhesion +between the least sticky of substances--polyethylene plastics. He has +done it by studying the molecular structure of polyethylenes and +removing all impurities which normally find their way into the +manufacture of such material. The next step: "We hope to prepare +adhesive joints in which a noble gas acts as an adhesive. Noble gases +are the least active substances known to chemistry; if they can adhere, +it is clear that no specific forces are needed for adhesiveness."[4] + +No great imagination is required to perceive the meaning which this new +knowledge, if proved out, will have for our everyday lives--to say +nothing of its usefulness in the making of astronautic equipment. + + +THE ULTIMATE VALUES + +In any event, it is apparent that where research is concerned--and +especially space research with its broad scale of inquiry--we cannot +always see the value of scientific endeavor on the basis of its +beginning. We cannot always account for what we have purchased with each +research dollar. + +The Government stated this proposition when it first undertook to put +the space program on a priority basis: + + Scientific research has never been amenable to rigorous cost + accounting in advance. Nor, for that matter, has exploration of any + sort. But if we have learned one lesson, it is that research and + exploration have a remarkable way of paying off--quite apart from + the fact that they demonstrate that man is alive and insatiably + curious. And we all feel richer for knowing what explorers and + scientists have learned about the universe in which we live.[5] + +In this statement there is political support for what the historian, the +anthropologist, the psychologist consider to be established fact--that +some innate force in the human being makes him _know_, whatever his +formal beliefs or whatever his unconscious philosophy, that he _must_ +progress. Progress is the core of his destiny. + +This is a concept which, in connection with space exploration, has been +recognized for many years. One of the earliest and most perceptive of +the space "buffs" stated it before the British Interplanetary Society in +1946 in these words: "* * * our civilization is no more than the sum of +all the dreams that earlier ages have brought to fulfillment. And so it +must always be, for if men cease to dream, if they turn their backs upon +the wonder of the universe, the story of our race will be coming to an +end".[6] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 2.--In the years immediately ahead, the +orbiting observatory or the manned satellite will uncover crucial +information about the nature of the universe.] + + +STEERING A MIDDLE ROAD + +In any endeavor which is as futuristic as space exploration it is not +difficult to become lost in the land of the starry-eyed prognosticators. +Conversely, it is also easy to find oneself lining up with the debunkers +and the champions of the status quo, for their arguments and views give +the impression of being hard-headed, sensible. + +If one must err in either direction, however, it is probably safer, +where space is concerned, to err in the direction of the enthusiasts. +This is because (and subsequent parts of this report will show it) the +Nation cannot afford not to be in the vanguard of the space explorers. + +Events today move with facility and lightning rapidity. Today, more than +ever, time is on the side of the expeditious. We can no longer take the +risk of giving much support to the scoffers--to that breed of +unimaginative souls who thought Robert Fulton was a fool for harnessing +a paddlewheel to a boiler, who thought Henry Ford was a fool for putting +an internal combustion engine on wheels, who thought Samuel Langley was +a fool for designing a contraption to fly through the air. + +There are always those who will say it cannot be done. Even in this era +of sophisticated flight there have been those who said the sound barrier +would never be broken. It was. Others said later that space vehicles +would never get through the heat barrier. They have. Now, some say men +will never overcome the radiation barrier in space. But we can be sure +they will. + +It is undoubtedly wise for the layman, in terms of the benefits he can +expect from the space program in the foreseeable future, to steer a +reasonable course between the two extremes. Yet one cannot help +remembering that the secret of taking practical energy from the atom, a +secret which the human race had been trying to learn for thousands of +years, was accomplished in less than a decade from the moment when men +first determined that it was possible to split an atom. It is difficult +to forget that even after World War II some of our most respected +scientists sold short the idea of developing long-range missiles. +Impractical, they said; visionary. But 6 years after the United States +went to work seriously on missiles, an operational ICBM with a +9,000-mile range was an accomplished fact. + + +THE TIME FOR SPACE + +All of the glowing predictions being made on behalf of space exploration +will not be here tomorrow or the next day. Yet this seems less important +than that we recognize the significance of our moment of history. + +We may think of that moment as a new age--the age of space and the +atom--to follow the historic ages of stone, bronze, and iron. We may +think of it in terms of theories, of succeeding from those of Copernicus +to those of Newton and thence to Freud and now Einstein. We may think of +our time as the time of exploiting the new fourth state of matter: +plasma, or the ion. Or we may think of it in terms of revolutions, as +passing from the industrial cycle of steam through the railroad-steel +cycle, through the electricity-automobile cycle, into the burgeoning +technological revolution of today. + +However we think of it, it is a dawning period and one which--in its +scope and potential--promises to dwarf much of what has gone before. +Those who have given careful thought to the matter are convinced that +while some caution is in order, the new era is not one to be approached +with timidity, inhibited imagination or too much convention. Neither is +there any point in trying to hold off the tempo of this oncoming age or, +in any other way, to evade it. + +Mark Twain once listened to the complaints of an old riverboat pilot who +was having trouble making the switch from sail to steam. The old pilot +wanted no part of the newfangled steam contraptions. "Maybe so," replied +Twain, "but when it's steamboat time, you steam."[7] + +Today is space time and man is going to explore it. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 3.--The versatile Atlas can be used +either for launching man into space or to carry a nuclear warhead as far +as 9,000 miles.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[2] Gavin, Lt. Gen. James M., U.S. Army (retired), speech to the +American Rocket Society, New York City, Nov. 19, 1958. + +[3] Kramer, Max O., "The Dolphins' Secret," New Scientist, May 5, 1960, +pp. 1118-1120. + +[4] Bikerman, Dr. Jacob J., reported in New Scientist, Mar. 3, 1960, p. +535. + +[5] "Introduction to Outer Space," a statement by the President, the +White House, Mar. 26, 1958. + +[6] Clarke, Arthur C., "The Challenge of the Spaceships," Harper & +Bros., New York, 1955, p. 15. + +[7] Related by T. Keith Glennan, Administrator, National Aeronautics and +Space Administration, in an address before the Worcester (Mass.) +Economic Club, Feb. 15, 1960. + + + + +II. NATIONAL SECURITY VALUES + + +There is no longer doubt that space exploration holds genuine +significance for the security and well-being of the United States as a +nation. + +It does so in at least three ways. One results from the uses which our +Armed Forces can make of the knowledge gained from space exploration. A +second results from the influence and prestige which America can exert +within the world community because of her prowess in space exploration. +A third results from the possibility that space exploration, eventually, +may prove so immense and important a challenge that it will channel the +prime energies of powerful nations toward its own end and thus reduce +the current emphasis on developing means of destruction. + +The first two values definitely exist. The third seems to be a +reasonable hope. + + +THE MILITARY USES + +From the beginning it has been recognized that space exploration, the +research connected therewith, and the ability to operate therein is of +more than passing interest to the military. + +Congress recognized the fact when it passed the National Aeronautics and +Space Act of 1958 and directed that "activities peculiar to or primarily +associated with the development of weapons systems, military operations, +or the defense of the United States * * * shall be the responsibility +of, and shall be directed by, the Department of Defense."[8] In the +amendments to the Space Act proposed in 1960, this directive was +strengthened: "The Department of Defense shall undertake such activities +in space, and such research and development connected therewith, as may +be necessary for the defense of the United States."[9] + +It is possible to argue, and indeed it has been argued, that ballistic +missiles such as IRBM's and ICBM's are not really "space" weapons, that +they are simply an extension of the traditional art of artillery. For +the purposes of this report, however, the argument appears to be largely +a semantic one. Such missiles do traverse space, they are guided through +space, and they employ the same engines and principles which are +presently used for purposes of scientific space exploration. While more +advanced "space" weapons may evolve in the future, the missile as we +know it today cannot very well be divorced from our thinking about space +and its practical uses. + +Going on this assumption, and casting an eye in the direction of the +Iron Curtain, it is obvious that the Soviet Union is going all-out to +exploit space for military purposes. + +Military men have known for years that the tremendously powerful booster +which the Soviets have been using to launch their massive sputniks was +originally designed to carry the primitive heavy version of the A-bomb +across continents. + +If there was ever doubt of the extent to which the Soviets intend to +make space a selected medium for military purposes it was erased when +Premier Khrushchev made his address to the Supreme Soviet early in 1960. +He commented in part: + + Our state has at its disposal powerful rocket equipment. The + military air force and navy have lost their previous importance in + view of the modern development of military equipment. This type of + armament is not being reduced but replaced. Almost the entire + military air force is being replaced by rocket equipment. We have + by now sharply cut, and it seems will continue sharply to cut and + even discontinue the manufacture of bombers and other obsolete + equipment. In the navy, the submarine fleet assumes great + importance, while surface ships can no longer play the part they + once did. In our country the armed forces have been to a + considerable extent transferred to rocket and nuclear arms. These + arms are being perfected and will continue to be perfected until + they are banned.[10] + +While it is difficult to assess the actual extent of the Soviet +preoccupation with missiles, it has been reported that the Russians are +building upward of 100 IRBM and ICBM bases to be manned by about 200,000 +men. Most of these, at least the intermediate range bases, are said to +be along Russia's Baltic coast, in East Germany, in the southern Ukraine +and in the Carpathian Mountains.[11] + +In any event, the space age is clearly "here" so far as the military are +concerned, and U.S. forces--particularly since the development of the +much lighter atomic warheads--have been likewise diligent in their space +efforts. This is because many military minds are now agreed that: + + We are moving inevitably into a time of astropower. We face a + threat beyond imagination, should events ever lead to open conflict + in a world of hypersonic velocities and a raging atom chained as + our slave. We must be strong, we must be able to change to meet + change. What may come against our beloved America will not be + signaled by one light from the North Church steeple, if they come + by land, or two, if they come by sea. Never again. They will come + through space, and their light of warning will be the blinding + terror of a thermonuclear fireball.[12] + +It is important to note, in connection with military matters, that pure +rocket power, is not the only avenue to success in space use. The +American Atlas missile, for example, which can carry a nuclear warhead +and which operates on considerably less thrust than the powerful Soviet +boosters thus far demonstrated, has nevertheless shown the capability of +negotiating a 9,000-mile trek and landing in the target area. This is +about 1,500 miles farther than any Soviet shots revealed to the public +in the 2-1/2-year period following the first sputnik. It is also a +sufficient range to permit reaching almost any likely target on the +globe. + +From the military point of view, the meaning thus brought out is that +sophistication of missiles together with reliability and ease of +handling is more important than pure power. + +When we begin to consider both the civil and military aspects of space +use in the decades ahead, however, rocket power acquires fresh +importance. It is, as one expert says, "the key to space supremacy."[13] +Not only is much heavier thrust required for ventures farther out into +space, but probably thrust developed by different means as well, such as +atom, ion, or even photon power. + +This suggests the possibilities of weapons which today are considered to +be "way out" or "blue sky"--in short, farfetched. Yet they include the +ideas of men with solid scientific training as well as vision. For +example, Germany's great rocket pioneer, Prof. Hermann Oberth, "has +proposed that a giant mirror in space (some 60 miles in diameter) could +be used militarily to burn an enemy country on Earth. For peaceful +purposes, however, such a space mirror could be used to melt icebergs +and alter temperatures."[14] Another reputable German scientist who has +been working for a number of years on photon (electromagnetic ray) power +as a source of propulsion, declares that if such power is possible so is +"the idea of a 'death ray,' a weapon beam which burns or melts targets, +such as enemy missiles, on which it is trained. The idea has been +familiar in science fiction for a long time and has been scorned often +enough. Yet, if the photon rocket is possible so is the ray gun."[15] + +Still another proposal, one made to the Congress, involves use of the +Moon as a military base. "It could, at some future date, be used as a +secure base to deter aggression. Lunar launching sites, perhaps located +on the far side of the Moon, which could never be viewed directly from +the Earth, could launch missiles earthward. They could be guided +accurately during flight and to impact, and thus might serve peaceful +ends by deterring any would-be aggressor."[16] + +In spite of the fact that ideas such as these are being sponsored by +competent and responsible scientists, other scientists equally competent +and responsible sometimes cry them down as impractical, impossible or +even childish. One engineer, for instance, describes maneuverable manned +space vehicles as having "no military value," bases on the Moon as +having no military or communications use, and the idea of high velocity +photon-power for space travel as "a fantasy strictly for immature +science fiction." He also characterizes the reconnaissance satellite, +which U.S. military authorities have long since programmed and even +launched, as being "definitely submarginal * * *. A fraction of the cost +of a reconnaissance satellite could accomplish wonders in conventional +information gathering."[17] + +Controversies such as these are difficult for the person who is neither +a scientist nor a military expert to judge. One is inclined to recall, +though, the treatment received by General Billy Mitchell for his +devotion to nonconventional bombing concepts; the fact that the utility +of the rocket as developed by America's pioneer, Dr. Robert H. Goddard, +was generally ignored during World War II; the fact that it took a +personal letter from Albert Einstein to President Roosevelt to get the +Manhattan Project underway. + +Yet today the bomber, the missile, and the nuclear weapon form the +backbone of our military posture. + +In other words, history seems to support the proposition that no matter +how remote or unlikely new discoveries and approaches may first appear, +the military eventually finds a way to use them. + +Will it be any different with space exploration? + + +OUR POSITION IN THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY + +Like the military values of space research, the practical value of space +exploration in terms of world prestige has also been acknowledged almost +from the beginning of the satellite era. + +The White House, in its initial statement on the national space program, +declared: + + It is useful to distinguish among (the) factors which give + importance, urgency, and inevitability to the advancement of space + technology (one of which) is the factor of national prestige. To be + strong and bold in space technology will enhance the prestige of + the United States among the peoples of the world and create added + confidence in our scientific, technological, industrial, and + military strength.[18] + +Only recently, however, has the full impact and meaning of this phase of +our national space program come to be widely recognized. It has been +stated, perhaps in its most forceful and succinct form, by an American +official in a unique position to know. The Director of the U.S. +Information Agency, part of whose job is to keep track of the esteem in +which America is held abroad, has told Congress: + + Our space program may be considered as a measure of our vitality + and our ability to compete with a formidable rival and as a + criterion of our ability to maintain technological eminence worthy + of emulation by other peoples.[19] + +This element of space exploration takes on particular significance in +light of the current international struggle to influence the minds of +men, in light of the rising tide of nationalism throughout the world, +and in light of the intensification of the cold war as demonstrated by +the now-famous U-2 incident and the hardening attitude of oriental +communism. + +In the words of an influential newspaper: + + Wholly apart from the intellectual compulsions that now drive man + to move higher and higher into the high heavens, it seems clear + that our country can be niggardly in this field only at the risk of + being completely and forever outclassed by Russia--a gamble that + could have the most fearful political, economic, and military + consequences.[20] + +Incidentally, there is another prestige factor to be considered. This is +what might be called the chain-reaction factor: the likelihood that +technological preeminence in the space field will attract top talent +from other parts of the world to the banner of the country which +develops it, and thus constantly nourish and replenish the efforts of +that country. It is a consideration which has not received general +attention, although it has been discussed before some of the world's +leading space scientists.[21] + +Here again, as with the military situation, the Soviets are making every +effort to exploit their dexterity in space. They are pursuing the +prestige gambit directly and indirectly. In the first category, for +example, they give top priority to space exhibits in important public +forums--as their duplicate sputniks strategically placed at the world's +fair and the United Nations attest. Premier Khrushchev's delight in +making gifts to foreigners of miniature Soviet pennants similar to that +carried in Lunik II--which hit the Moon--is another instance.[22] + +The indirect drive for prestige via space technology is far more +important. It has been described by a congressional committee as +follows: + + It is difficult to escape the conclusion that the Soviet Union in + the last several years has demonstrated a great skill in + coordinating its progress in missilery, its success in space + missions, and its foreign policy and world image. Shots seem to + have been timed to maximize the effects of visits of Soviet leaders + and to punctuate Soviet statements and positions in international + negotiations. This is not to equate their space activities with + hollow propaganda. Empty claims do not have a positive effect for + long. Nor is there any firm evidence that it has been possible for + political policymakers to call their shots at times inconsistent + with good scientific and technical needs. The conclusion is rather + that the many elements of scientific, technical, military, + political, and psychological policy are all weighed, and tests + which make a full contribution to such a combined strategy are + carried out and supported with appropriate publicity.[23] + +There is also evidence that scientific endeavor by the Russians for +prestige purposes is having repercussions on internal policy. Great +emphasis is currently being placed on the demonstrable usefulness of +scientific effort--to the extent that Soviet colleges, research +institutions, examining boards, and academies of science have been +directed to be more exacting in conferring scientific degrees and +titles. Newness and usefulness are requisite, but, at the same time, +degrees may now be awarded for other than dissertations; inventions and +textbooks of major importance may also earn a degree for their +authors.[24] + +Within the prestige context, it is true that the United States must +labor under certain handicaps because of the nature of its democratic +system. + +No effort is made in the American space program to hide the failures +which result from its highly complex character. Our burnups, misfires, +explosions, fizzles, and lost or wayward vehicles are well publicized. +Those of the Soviet Union rarely are. Even though most nations are well +aware that the Russians must be having their troubles, too, the +appearance of uniform success fostered by the U.S.S.R. inevitably +contributes to an image of scientific superiority. In addition, the +Soviets have developed a habit of striving for spectacular "firsts," +most of which undoubtedly are undertaken almost as much for prestige +reasons as for scientific ones. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 4.--Symbolic of the American effort in +space is this Thor-Able rocket, shown here launching the Tiros weather +satellite into a near-perfect orbit. This same vehicle, which launched +the record-breaking 23 million-mile communication probe--Pioneer V--has +contributed enormously to U.S. prestige abroad.] + +Still, the United States has not done badly from the prestige angle. So +far as the world's scientific fraternity is concerned, it may even be +well in the lead. + +In the first 30 or so months following the opening of the space age, as +signaled by the launching of Sputnik I in October 1957, the United +States put 21 satellites into orbit out of 42 attempts. Two out of five +deep-space probes were successful. The degree of success for all major +launchings ran better than 50 percent. The American effort has been +based on a broad scope of inquiry and includes long-range +communications, weather reporting, navigation and surveillance vehicles, +as well as information-gathering satellites. + +During the same period the Soviets launched four Earth satellites, one +deep-space probe, one lunar-impact probe and one satellite into a much +elongated Earth orbit which circled and photographed the Moon. Most of +their vehicles have been substantially heavier than those launched by +the United States, although complete information on their scientific +purposes and the result obtained has never been disclosed. + +The world political value of such programs cannot be discounted. To the +extent that the welfare of the United States depends upon its stature in +the eyes of the rest of the world (which is believed considerable) and +to the extent that the scientific capability of the United States +influences such stature (which is also believed considerable) our space +venture has very marked practical utility. It may even mean the +difference between freedom and dictatorship, between survival and +oblivion. + + +SPACE AS A SUBSTITUTE FOR WAR + +A natural outgrowth of the military and prestige facets of space +exploration is the question of whether this activity, in time, will +replace the forces which have historically driven nations into armed +conflict. + +Any number of social scientists and historians have speculated that this +might occur. The theory is that the conquest of space may prove to be +the moral equivalent of war by substituting for certain material and +psychological needs usually supplied through war; that the absorption of +energies, resources, imagination, and aggressiveness in pursuit of the +space adventure may become an effective way of maintaining peace. + +Put another way, nations might become "extroverted" to the point where +their urge to overcome the unknown would dwarf their historic desires +for power, wealth, and recognition--attributes which have so often led +to war in the past. + +The fact that the United Nations, late in 1959, agreed to set up a +permanent Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space attests to the +hopes and potential of such a development. + +Of course, whether this condition will actually develop is anybody's +guess. But in a world where brute force is becoming increasingly +dangerous and catastrophic, the bare possibility of such a result should +not be ignored by those who may be contemplating the values of space +exploration. It could be the highest value of them all. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 5.--Today's assembly lines for +automobiles and aircraft are being supplemented by the growing +astronautics industry, here shown turning out capsules for manned space +flight.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[8] Public Law 85-568, 85th Cong. + +[9] H. Rept. 1633, 86th Cong., 2d sess., p. 6. + +[10] Speech to the Supreme Soviet, Jan. 14, 1960. + +[11] Associated Press dispatch, dateline London, Dec. 2, 1959. + +[12] Scott, Brig. Gen. Robert L., USAF (retired), Space Age, February +1959, p. 63. + +[13] Ostrander, Maj. Gen. Don R., USAF, before the American Rocket +Society, Los Angeles, May 10, 1960. + +[14] Cox, Donald and Stoiko, Michael, Spacepower, John C. Winston Co., +Philadelphia, 1958, p. 16. + +[15] Saenger, Dr. Eugen, New Scientist, Sept. 10, 1959, p. 383. + +[16] Boushey, Brig. Gen. H. A., USAF, Hearings before the House Select +Committee on Astronautics and Space Exploration, Apr. 23, 1958. + +[17] Pierce, Dr. J. R., "The Dream World of Space," Industrial Research, +December 1959, p. 58. + +[18] 5 supra. + +[19] Allen, George V, testimony before the House Committee on Science +and Astronautics, Jan. 22, 1960. + +[20] Editorial in the Washington Evening Star, Apr. 4, 1960. + +[21] Remarks of Hon. Aubrey Jones, Minister of Supply, to the +International Astronautical Federation, London, Sept. 1, 1959. + +[22] Associated Press dispatch, dateline Rangoon, Feb. 18, 1960. + +[23] "Space, Missiles, and the Nation," report of the House Committee on +Science and Astronautics, May 18, 1960, p. 53. + +[24] The New Scientist, Mar. 3, 1960, p. 547. + + + + +III. THE ECONOMIC VALUES + + +We in the United States believe that we have the world's highest +standard of living. Our current wealth, prosperity, consumer goods and +gross national product are at a peak hitherto unreached by any country. + +Nevertheless, economists who see the steady preponderant outflow of +goods and capital from the United States and who study the rising rate +of economic capability in other countries can find little room for +complacence in the present status of things. They are also well aware of +the Soviet Union's announced intent of beating the United States at its +own game: economic expansion. + +Military historians are likewise aware that even strong economies, when +they become static, do not guarantee safety. On the contrary, they seem +likely to induce a dangerous national apathy. + + This syndrome is familiar in history. Carthage suffered from it. + Carthage enjoyed enormous prosperity and was flourishing when she + was destroyed by her Roman competitor. Much later, Rome had a gross + national product without precedence. Her wealth and splendor were + unsurpassed when the Vandals and Visigoths began their onslaughts. + Neither Rome's great engineering skills, its architectural + grandeur, its great laws, nor, in the last analysis, its gross + national product, could prevail against the barbarians. Their GNP + was negligible; nevertheless they ransacked the mighty Roman + Empire. + + The gross national product is no insurance of survival. It is not a + sign of military strength, and indeed, it may not even be + sufficient for the economic battle.[25] + +Thus from the point of view of economic stimulus and continued +commercial dynamism, space exploration should be--and is proving to +be--a godsend. + + +U.S. EXPENDITURES ON SPACE + +It is impossible to arrive at accurate figures which might help indicate +the extent of this effort in dollars and cents. But we do know that the +U.S. Government is presently putting about $3.5 billion annually into +the research and development phases. How much more may be going into the +purchase of completed space hardware is difficult to say; certainly it +is a higher figure still. The National Aeronautics and Space +Administration, in presenting its 10-year plan to Congress recently, +indicated that this agency alone expects to average between $1.5 and $2 +billion a year during the next decade. + +The amount of effort going into space-related programs on the part of +private industry, measured in dollars, again can only be roughly +estimated. But it is a sizable figure and is known to be growing. It may +amount to half the governmental research and development outlay. + +These figures add up to a very important segment of the national +economy, and the fact that they represent a highly active and +progressive segment is particularly heartening to the economic experts +of the Nation. + + +THE SPREAD OF ECONOMIC BENEFITS + +One of the most useful characteristics of the space program is that its +needs "spread across the entire industrial spectrum--electronics, +metals, fuels, ceramics, machinery, plastics, instruments, textiles, +thermals, cryogenics, and a thousand other areas."[26] The benefits from +space exploration thus have a way of filtering into almost every area of +the American economy, either directly or indirectly. "Perhaps the +greatest economic treasure is the advanced technology required for more +and more difficult space missions. This new technology is advancing at a +meteoric rate. Its benefits are spreading throughout our whole +industrial and economic system."[27] + +A graphic example of the manner in which the technological and economic +benefits from the space program can grow may be seen from the +development of the X-15. This rocket craft, designed to "fly" beyond the +Earth's atmosphere at altitudes up to 100 miles, is the product of 400 +different firms and contractors. + +Inasmuch as other nations, those which generally have lagged behind the +United States in technical know-how, are now rapidly bringing their +technology up to date--this windfall from our space program is +especially opportune. It is providing the incentive to American industry +to remain in the world's technological van. And it is emphasizing that +economic leadership is a dynamic thing, that U.S. mass-production +techniques which have enabled the Nation to compete so well in foreign +markets are no longer, of themselves, sufficient guarantee of superior +economic position. + +While America's space exploration program, on a formal basis, came into +being as recently as October 1958, its impact on the national economy +has probably been sharper than that of any single new program ever +conceived. For there are now at least 5,000 companies or research +organizations engaged in the missile-space industry. And more than 3,200 +different space-related products have been required and are being +produced to date.[28] + +One can only speculate on the economic effect which the space program is +having on investments or on investors who have no other connection with +it. It seems significant, however, that the stock market pages in recent +months have come to devote a good deal of attention to "space issues." +Financially speaking, space has thus become a major category. That it +has done so in such a short period would seem to have marked +implications for the future. + +In brief, space exploration is becoming almost an industry in itself, +and there are those who believe it destined to become the largest +industrial spur in the Nation before too many years have gone by. + +One expert, an experienced hand not only in astronautics but in the +business world as well, describes the outlook in this fashion: "A great +industrial change is taking place in the United States. The aircraft +industry, which long considered missiles as a small department, now +finds itself becoming a part of the large missile and space flight +industry. It is an elemental evolution. An industrial change is upon us +comparable to the advent of mercantilism."[29] He has predicted that +within a decade or so the astronautics industry will be larger than the +automotive industry of the entire world. + +While such predictions may be overly optimistic, they can scarcely be +dismissed as irresponsible in the light of what has already happened. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 6.--Booster engines of tomorrow, such as +this mockup of the 1,500,000 pound thrust single engine, will place +broad requirements on men and materials.] + + +CREATION OF NEW INDUSTRIES + +Whether or not we think of the missile-space business as being a +self-contained industry, the requirements and exigencies of space +exploration can be expected to result in the creation of new or greatly +strengthened industrial branches, for example: + + +_Research_ + +This phase of the American economy is having a phenomenal growth. Not +only have many established industries now placed research high on their +organizational charts, but hundreds, perhaps thousands, of new +businesses are springing up which are entirely devoted to research and +development. R. & D., as it is called, is their stock in trade, their +only product. And space exploration appears to have given them their +greatest boost. + +One recent study on the subject regards research as the fourth major +industrial revolution to take place in American history, following the +advents of steam mechanization, steel, electricity-and-internal +combustion engines. + + The fourth industrial revolution, ours, is unique in the number of + people working on it, its complexity, and its power to push the + economy at a rate previously impossible. + + Today between 5,000 and 50,000 _technical entrepreneurs_ (top R. & + D. engineers, leading scientists, and highly effective technical + managers) are directly analogous to an estimated 50 to 500 men in + all of the first three periods. Thus about 100 times the effort in + terms of qualitative (effective, creative, patent-producing) + manpower is being spent on the fourth revolution as on the other + three combined. + + Total manpower, of course, is much more than that: there are + probably 700,000 engineers and industrially oriented scientists in + the United States today, as against 2,000 even as late as Edison's + first high voltage light bulb. Whereas Edison worked with 20 to 100 + scientists in his laboratory, and Fulton labored alone, there are + 5,000 industrial laboratories today employing from 20 to 7,300 + technical men each.[30] + + +_New power sources_ + +One of the greatest demands of spacecraft of the future will be for new +sources of power. While rocket propulsion power is part of this picture, +the power needed to operate space vehicles after launching may prove to +be the larger and more important need. Progress has already been made in +this direction by use of special kinds of batteries and solar cells +which convert the sun's rays into electric current. But these will need +supplementing or replacing eventually as greater power becomes +necessary. + +It would be rash to predict the outcome of this complicated field, but +certain very promising methods can be listed. + +One is the fuel cell, which converts fuel directly into electric power +without the necessity for machinery or working parts. Much progress has +been made on the fuel cell in recent months. In England a 40-cell unit +has been used to drive a forklift truck and to do electric welding. It +develops up to 5 kilowatts.[31] In the United States a 30-cell portable +powerplant developing 200 watts has been delivered to the Army and +Marine Corps,[32] while a 1,000-unit cell has been developed in the +Midwest which provides 15 kilowatts and drives a tractor.[33] + +Another method is plasma power, or power generated through the use of +hot ionized gas. Such gas acts as a conductor of electricity and when +employed as a "magnetohydrodynamics" generator it can be used for a +variety of purposes. It has the advantage of being simple, rugged, and +efficient. Some day it may also prove very economical. Already 10 +municipal areas along the Mason-Dixon line are preparing to experiment +with electric power derived from this source.[34] It has been estimated +that "as much as 1 million watts could be generated by shooting a stream +of plasma at speeds three times that of sound through a magnetic field +only 3 feet long and with the magnetic poles 6 inches apart."[35] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 7.--The possible power source for space +ships of the future, the ion jet, has significant counterpart uses for +the commercial world.] + +Another possible source is photoelectric power. While a number of very +difficult problems block the practical generation of this kind of power, +the astronautics research division of one American company has now +succeeded in increasing the efficiency of photoelectric cells by a +factor of more than 300.[36] So the possibilities in this area are +looking up. As discussed in section II, photon power derived from the +ejection of electromagnetic rays may someday prove a source for +accelerating vehicles once they have escaped from Earth's gravity. + +Another possibility, of course, is atomic energy about which much has +been said and written. If, as some scientists believe, extensive space +exploration by manned crews will depend on harnessing this great source +of energy--both for booster purposes and for operating spacecraft in the +distant parts of our interplanetary system--this fact alone may assure +that the obstacles to practical nuclear energy are overcome faster and +more completely than would otherwise be the case. It is interesting to +note that the science of controlling nuclear fusion (as opposed to +fission) has come so far in the past several years that 11 private power +companies are pooling their resources to advance this state of the +art.[37] + + +_New water sources and uses_ + +A look into the future indicates very strongly that water will become a +major world problem, possibly by the beginning of the 1970's, which is +likely to be another "dry" decade. Present water supplies, coupled with +the increasing population and the many new uses for water, are barely +adequate now. In another 10 years the situation could be critical. + +Part of our national space program includes studies on how to use and +reuse water to the best advantage of the human in space. A number of +avenues are being followed, including vaporization of volatiles in +biological wastes.[38] + +From research of this kind it is more than possible that knowledge will +evolve which will prove useful in the practical production of fresh +water from other chemical compounds or mixtures, including seawater. +More than that, it could lead to new ways for extracting much needed +materials from the sea. Seawater contains 40 basic elements, 19 in +relatively copious amounts. These elements run from 18,980 parts parts +per million of chlorine to 0,0000002 part per billion of radium. Yet, so +far, we have learned to extract only bromine and magnesium in useful +amounts.[39] Conversely, the study of how marine animals extract rare +elements from the seawater, such as the extraction of copper compounds +by the octopus, could provide astronautic researchers with important +clues for keeping man alive in space. + + +_Noise and human engineering_ + +This is a field in which research has been going on seriously for only a +few years. Most of it has developed since World War II. Human +engineering is involved primarily with the reaction of people to their +immediate surroundings and how to arrange those surroundings in order to +permit the most comfortable and efficient functioning within them. + +The noise aspect of human engineering, as it may develop from the +problems of astronauts operating in a silent world, could lead to a +variety of innovations for improving the performance of workers or even +the general attitude of people living in urban areas. In today's world, +where humans are subjected to so many different kinds, degrees, and +sources of noise, psychologists consider the matter to be of no small +importance. + + +_High speed-light weight computers_ + + Space vehicles now need electronic computers for determining the + moment of launch, for fixing orbits, for navigation, and for + processing collected data. Computers will precede man into space. + They will take over guidance and decision functions beyond limits + of human physiology, psychology, versatility, and reaction + time.[40] + +The trend in this direction is marked and space exploration is +accelerating it. Because of weight and size limitations, and due to the +genius of research, the giant electronic brain of today will soon +disappear and be replaced with an apparatus only a small fraction of its +present size. The implications for the business and professional world +are great. And a not inconsiderable side effect, according to many +modern technicians, will be the flood of brainpower released from +time-consuming chores and thus made available for more basic, creative +thought. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 8.--The needs of tomorrow's spacemen will +lead to marked advances in human engineering and psychology.] + + +_Solid state physics_ + +Few areas of effort are advancing this extremely promising art faster +than space exploration, which places a premium on light weight and small +size. The miniaturization of equipment being placed in U.S. satellites, +for example, has been one of the contemporary wonders of the world of +science. + +A big part of this march toward tiny equipment is in the field of +electronics, where the process is called microminiaturization, molecular +electronics, micromodular engineering or a number of other terms. In +essence it refers to the greatly reduced size of equipment through +"integrated circuits," coupled functions, the building of complicated +components into a single molecular design and so on. + +The art has proceeded to the point where complete radios can be reduced +to the size of a lump of sugar. + +Clearly, this trend holds almost unlimited utility for the home, the +factory, the marketplace, the highway, the hospital or just about any +other arena one cares to name. So great is the promise that virtually +every electronics company in the country is undertaking "to take the +state of the art into fundamentally new areas" and there exploit its +many possibilities.[41] + + +ECONOMIC ALLIANCES + +It may be that our national space exploration program will also result +in stronger economic alliances, not only within our own national borders +but on an international basis. Interesting speculation to this effect +has been advanced by a prominent official of the National Aeronautics +and Space Administration: + + I think we may expect that the combined influence of jet aircraft + and satellite communications systems will enable us to integrate + the now somewhat distant States of Hawaii and Alaska with the rest + of the States as thoroughly as the East and West are already + integrated. Second, and in many ways a more intriguing possibility, + is the prospect of developing a truly international economic + organization. It is quite apparent that even today a large fraction + of the economy of the United States is dependent upon foreign + trade. Some nations of the world, such as England or Japan, are + almost entirely dependent upon foreign trade for their basic + standard of living; however, current foreign trade practices are + necessarily based on a somewhat leisurely pattern enforced by our + current communications capacity. Whether we will be able to + increase the efficiency and effectiveness of our activities in + foreign trade through the use of the new communications facilities + now foreseen will of course depend upon our political ability to + work out viable arrangements for our mutual benefit with our + oversea friends. + + One of the lessons of history in the fields of communications is + that an increase in capability has never gone unused. The + capability of doing new things has always resulted in it being + found profitable to use this capability in all fields, both + commercial and governmental.[42] + + +PRIVATE ENTERPRISE IN SPACE + +Up to now space exploration has been more or less the exclusive domain +of the Federal Government. It seems likely that this situation will not +change much in the near future. But the question finally arises: Is the +nature of space such that the traditional American concept of private +enterprise can have no place in it? + +On this score there is debate. Recently, however, there have been +indications that businessmen feel they will be able to conduct certain +business operations and services in space. + + The space frontier will inevitably increase the scale of thinking + and risk taking by business. When we are dealing with space, we + are dealing with a technology that requires a planetary scale to + stage it; decades of time to develop it; and much bigger + investments to get across the threshold of economic return than is + customary in business today. Business must now think in + international terms, and in terms of the next business generation. + It must step up to the big risks with the same vision that enabled + an earlier generation of builders to push railroad tracks out + across the wilderness and lay the foundations of our modern + economy.[43] + +Incidentally, it should be pointed out that space exploration is already +encouraging the formation of business of all sizes. Myriads of small +businesses have sprung up, many of them "suppliers of specialty +equipment for the larger concerns that have responsibility for major +components and systems."[44] + +To what extent will private enterprise become involved? Here is one +view: + + As the years pass by, and space apparatus becomes more reliable, + and the work of obtaining scientific data from space acquires a + more routine character--certainly many of the necessary operating + facilities could be put on a self-liquidating, private-industry + basis. + + Probably the first opportunities for private investment will come + in the commercial use of satellites. Looking even further into the + future of space exploration, perhaps there would be economic + justification for a privately owned launching service that would + put objects into space for the peaceful purposes of friendly + governments, international agencies, industry, and the + universities. + + The base itself, from which the commercial launching service would + operate, might be modeled after a port authority. Such a + nonmilitary, international space port could develop as a center for + many private enterprises related to space operations. These might + include service and maintenance facilities; data-processing + services; space communication centers; laboratory facilities; + standardized equipment for satellites and other space vehicles; + fuel supplies; medical services; biological services; and general + supplies. + + Moving away from the idea of a commercial space port, must all + future tracking stations, observatories, and data-processing + stations be Government owned? How about experimental stations for + the simulation of space environments? How about laboratories and + stations actually constructed in space? Or will privately owned + facilities one day offer these services on an international basis + to governments, industries, universities, and international + agencies? + + Most likely the first businesses suitable for commercial operation, + using space technologies, will be worldwide communication by + satellite, private weather forecasting, and high-speed Earth + transport by rocket.[45] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 9.--The electric and electronic needs of +the space program are requiring more and more skilled labor.] + + +JOBS + +There probably is no reliable way to gage the number of Americans who +are employed today because of the national space effort, nor to estimate +accurately the number who are likely to be employed in the years ahead. + +This much can be said, though. They already number in the tens of +thousands, probably in the hundreds of thousands. + +The Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration +has reported that his agency presently employs 18,000 persons. And he +adds "in spite of the size of this organization, we estimate that +approximately 75 percent of our budget will be expended through +contracts with industry, educational institutions, and other +nongovernmental groups." + +Thus the number of persons privately employed who are working on NASA +projects is, of itself, a high figure. The number employed in, by, or +for the Department of Defense on missiles or space-related projects is +undoubtedly higher. + +In addition to these must be added the men and women employed by private +industry in a capacity not directly related to the space program but +whose jobs have been created nonetheless by its stimulus. + + The fact is that the military and peaceful needs of the space + program are already employing a significant percentage of the + industrial work force, and will make up an even larger proportion + of total employment and production of the country as the years go + by. The aircraft industry, for example, is broadening its scope to + include missile and space technologies. Much of the electronics + industry is devoted to missile and space needs. The communications, + chemical, and metallurgical industries are increasingly involved. + These industries are already among the largest employers in the + United States, and they are the major employers of the Nation's + technical manpower. Hence we are not speaking of a minor element in + the national economy, but of its leading growth industries.[46] + +This phase of the space program's value should not be eyed merely from +the standpoint of scientists and the labor market. It has major +significance for the professions--for doctors, lawyers, architects, +teachers, and engineers. All of these will be vitally concerned with +space exploration in the future. The doctor with space medicine and its +results; the lawyer with business relations and a vastly increased need +for knowledge in international law; the architect with the construction +of spaceports and data and tracking facilities; the teacher with the +booming demand for new types of space-engendered curricula. + +As for the engineer-- + + In this pyramid of scientific and engineering effort there will be + found requirements for the services of almost every type of + scientist and engineer to a greater or less degree. In the + forefront, of course, are the aerospace and astronautical engineers + but the development of the Saturn launching vehicle has also + enlisted the cooperation of civil, mechanical, electrical, + metallurgical, chemical, automotive, structural, radio, and + electronics engineers. Much of their work relates to ground + handling equipment, special automotive and barge equipment, + checkout equipment, and all the other devices needed to support the + design, construction, testing, launching, and data gathering.[47] + + +AUTOMATION AND DISARMAMENT + +Finally, an economic value of extreme importance could be the ultimate +role of the space program in modifying the threat to labor which is +inherent in automation and disarmament. Space exploration, opening up +new and profitable vistas, could take up much of the slack thus imposed +and do it at a higher and more intellectual job level. + +Automation, as we know, is already in the process. In agriculture alone +it has bitten deeply into the laboring force and yet produces greater +crops than ever.[48] It is gathering strength in many other fields. + +Disarmament is a long way from being a reality. But all nations of the +world are striving for it, or at least giving lipservice to its +principles, so it may one day emerge as a reality. If this happens, +space exploration again may be a most important element in taking up the +slack which a prominent reduction in defense activity could not help but +bring about. + +Indeed, there are some who already foresee a complete substitution of +space for defense, and who prognosticate that in the 1990's "the economy +of nations is now based on the astronautics industry, instead of +war."[49] Certainly, some new economic force would be crucial to nations +deprived of the need for devising and manufacturing weapons. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 10.--A host of new materials, skills, and +engineering techniques are bound up in the construction of rocket +engines such as this first stage booster.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[25] Gavin, James M., address to the International Bankers Association, +Bal Harbour, Fla., Dec. 2, 1958. + +[26] Mitchell, Hon. Erwin, in the House of Representatives, June 2, +1960. + +[27] Dryden, Dr. Hugh L., Deputy Administrator, NASA, Penrose lecture +before the American Philosophical Society, Philadelphia, Apr. 21, 1960. + +[28] Missile-Space Directory, Missiles and Rockets, May 30, 1960, pp. +86-359. + +[29] Haley, Andrew G., general counsel and past president of the +International Astronautical Federation, "Rocketry and Space +Exploration." Van Nostrand Co., Princeton, N.J., 1958 p. 156. + +[30] Ruzic, Neil P., "The Technical Entrepreneur," Industrial Research, +May 1980, p.10. + +[31] Bacon, F. T., "The Fuel Cell, Power Source of the Future," New +Scientist, Aug. 17, 1959, p.272. + +[32] Science Service dispatch, dateline Lynn, Mass., Apr. 25, 1950. + +[33] Sharp, James M., "The Application of Fuel Cells in the Natural Gas +Industry," Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, Tex., Mar. 4, +1960, pp. 2-3. + +[34] Lear, John, "Towns To Be Lit by Plasma," New Scientist, Nov. 19, +1959, p. 1006. + +[35] Pursglove S. David, Industrial Research, March 1950 p. 19. + +[36] Ibid. + +[37] Ibid., p. 18. + +[38] Space Business Daily, June 13, 1960. + +[39] Cox, Dr. R. A., "The Chemistry of Seawater," New Scientist, Sept. +24, 19459, p. 518. + +[40] Hines, L. J., Space Age News, Apr. 25, 1960, p. 4. + +[41] Gaertner, W. W., "Functional Microelectronics," Missile Design and +Development, March 1960, p. 34. + +[42] Stewart, Dr. Homer J., address to the American Bar Association, +Miami Beach, Aug. 25, 1959. + +[43] Cordiner, Ralph J., "Competitive Private Enterprise in Space," +lecture at U.C.L.A., May 4, 1960 + +[44] Ibid. + +[45] Ibid. + +[46] Ibid. + +[47] 27 supra. + +[48] See "The Problem of Plenty," U.S. News & World Report, Apr. 13, +1959, p. 97. + +[49] Markuwitz, Meyer M., and Gentieu, Norman P., "The Rocket, A Past +and Future History," Industrial Research, December 1959, p. 78. + + + + +IV. VALUES FOR EVERYDAY LIVING + + +The so-called side effects of the space exploration program are showing +a remarkable ability to produce innovations which, in turn, improve the +quality of everyday work and everyday living throughout the United +States. + +In setting forth specific ways and means in which the space program is +producing practical uses, it must be kept in mind that no attempt is +made here to separate uses resulting from the civil phases of the +program from those developed by the military phases. Inasmuch as the two +are closely intertwined, it would seem impractical to do so. And, in +instances where the same or similar research is being conducted by a +single contractor on behalf of both phases, it is usually impossible to +do so. + + +TECHNOLOGICAL BENEFITS + +This category of the practical uses of the space program is impressive +indeed. + +Most of us are familiar with the plans which the United States has for +using artificial satellites in ways which will be beneficial to all +mankind. These include the satellite used for worldwide communications, +for global television, for quick and accurate navigation, and for much +improved weather prediction and weather understanding. + +Here, however, is a summary of space-related developments about which +the American public has heard considerably less: + + First, there is the high-speed computer. Developed initially to + meet military demands for faster calculation, the computer is an + integral part of American industry, making it possible to do many + operations with a high degree of efficiency and accuracy. + Thermoelectric devices for heating and cooling, now adapted for + commercial applications, were originally designed to provide energy + sources for space vehicles. The glass industry, as a result of work + done during and after the Second World War on lenses and plastics, + promises substantial gains in the consumer fields of optics and + foods. Pyroceram, developed for missile radomes, is now being used + in the manufacture of pots and pans. Materials suitable for use in + the nuclear preservation of food may make us even better fed than + we already are. + + Medical research, and our health problems, can use such things as + film resistance thermometers. Electronic equipment capable of + measuring low-level electrical signals is being adapted to measure + body temperature and blood flow. In a dramatic breakthrough, + illustrating the unexpected benefits of research, it has been found + that a derivative of hydrazine, developed as a liquid missile + propellant, is useful in treating certain mental illnesses and + tuberculosis. + + Of course, the aeronautics industry has benefited tremendously. + Engines, automatic pilots, radar systems, flight equipment, capable + of meeting the high standards required by space vehicles represent + a great improvement over our already excellent aircraft. + + A plasma arc torch (has been) developed for fabricating ultrahard + materials and coatings by mass production methods. The torch, an + outgrowth of plasma technology, develops heats of 30,000 degrees + and can work within tolerances of two-thousandths of an inch. + Another application from the missile field, which shows real + possibilities, is a reliable flow meter that has no packings or + bearings. This was first developed for measuring liquefied gases + and should have a very wide industrial usefulness. It may even lead + to improvements in marine devices for measuring distance and + velocity. + + Ground-to-air missiles that ride a beam to their targets must + measure the distance to the target plane with an accuracy of a few + feet in several miles. This principle, now being applied to + surveying techniques, has revolutionized the surveying industry. + + The solenoid valve, which seats itself softly enough to eliminate + vibration, has been applied very satisfactorily to home-heating + systems. + + The use of the jet drilling for mining is another, and worthy of + amplification. Missiles are already working the economically + unminable taconite ore of the Mesabi Range, have helped build the + St. Lawrence Seaway, and are bringing down costs in quarrying. + + It is estimated that taconite will be supplying about a third of + our ores in less than 20 years. Until 1947 we were unable to mine + this very hard rock, and then suitable rotary and churn drills were + produced. Jet drilling, now available, cracks and crumbles stone + layers by thermally induced expansion and is somewhere between 3 + and 5 times faster than rotaries. + + Jet piercing can take us far deeper into the earth than we have + been able to go so far, to new sources of ore and hydrocarbons. + + In stone quarrying, jet spalling and channeling are proven + techniques. Stone quarrying has been expensive and wasteful + heretofore. Rocket flame equipment allows cutting along the natural + cleavage planes, or crystal boundaries--hence cuts stone thin + without danger of cracking and, in addition, produces a fine finish + that cannot be obtained when cutting by steel or abrasive tools. + + Scientific literature is beginning to contain speculations on using + the principle of the missile engine to save unstable intermediate + products of the chemical processes. The high heats achieved in the + rocket engine can, perhaps, be utilized to produce desired products + that would be lost by slow cooling. But the high rate of cooling + accomplished by expanding gases through the engine nozzle, it is + thought, would save these unstable compounds. + + Infrared has come into its own through missile electronics. + Infrared--since it cannot be jammed--appears to be challenging + radar for use in guidance devices, tracking systems, and + reconnaissance vehicles. Infrared is being used industrially to + measure the compositions of fluids in complex processes of chemical + petroleum refining and distilling. Infrared cameras are used in + analyzing metallurgical material processing operations, to aid in + accuracy and quality control. The entire infrared field should be + significantly assisted in its growth and application through our + missile-space programs. + + Another very promising outcome from missile development is a + computer converter that can quickly transform analogue + signals--such as pressure measurements--into digital form. + + In the near future, when guidance devices permit soft landing, + rocket cargo and passenger transport will become feasible. Mail may + become almost as swift as telephone. + + We are making rapid progress in the economics of space travel: + payload costs for Vanguard were about $1 billion a pound; for the + near future launchings, payload cost should be about $1,000 per + pound. When payload costs are about a hundred dollars a pound we + may expect commercial space flight.[50] + +Hundreds of other examples of the space program's value for everyday +living could be cited. + +One with wide possibilities is a new welding process by using a +high-powered electron beam gun, developed for the fabrication of +spaceships and other space vehicles. This method permits welding joints +capable of withstanding temperatures up to 3,000° F.; it can be used on +metals such as molybdenum and pure tungsten. And, its developers say, it +results in welded joints that have deep penetration and narrow weld +beads that are virtually free of contamination.[51] + +Another ingenius application, resulting from the Navy's space research +program, has significant utility for medicine and surgery. This is a +glass fiber device which, when placed in the mouth during dental work or +in the area of surgical incision, permits a much magnified televising of +the operation. It holds considerable promise for teaching techniques in +many fields.[52] + +Another example is a finely woven stainless steel cloth designed for +parachuting space vehicles back to Earth. The cloth is made of fine wire +of great strength which can withstand tremendous temperatures and +chemical contamination. The wire from which the cloth is woven is about +one-fifth the thickness of a human hair and is believed to have marked +potential for industry and consumers alike. + +Here is an additional list of examples:[53] + + Microminiature transmitters and receivers--used by police and + doctors. + + Target drone autopilot--used as an inexpensive pilot assist and + safety device for private aircraft. + + Inert thread sealing compound--- used by pump manufacturers serving + process industries. + + Satellite scan devices--used in infrared appliances, e.g., lamps, + roasters, switches, ovens. + + Automatic control components--used as proximity switches, plugs, + valves, cylinders; other components already are an integral part of + industrial conveyor systems. + + Missile accelerometers, torquemeters, strain gage equipment--used + in auto crash tests, motor testing, shipbuilding and bridge + construction. + + Space recording equipment automatically stopped and started by + sound of voice--used widely as conference recorder. + + Armalite radar--used as proximity warning device for aircraft. + + Miniature electronics and bearings--used for portable radio and + television; excessively small roller, needle and ball bearings used + for such equipment as air-turbine dental drills. + + Epoxy missile resin--used for plastic tooling, metal bonding, + adhesive, and casting and laminating applications. + + Silicones for motor insulation and subzero lubricants--used in new + glassmaking techniques for myriad products. + + Ribbon glass for capacitors--used widely in electronics field. + + Radar bulbs--used in air traffic control equipment. + + Ribbon cable for missiles--used in the communications industry. + + Automatic gun cameras--used in banks, toll booths, etc. + + Fluxless aluminum soldering--used for kitchen utensil repair, + gutters, flashings, antennas, electrical joints, auto repairing, + farm machinery, etc. + + Lightweight hydraulic pumps--used in automated machinery and + pneumatic control systems. + + Voice interruption priority system--used for assembly line + production control. + + Examples such as the foregoing, it might be pointed out, do not + generally emphasize an area in which space exploration is making + one of its greatest contributions. This is the creation of new + materials, metals, fabrics, alloys, and compounds that are finding + their way rapidly into the commercial market. + + Less demonstrable but equally (and perhaps more) significant areas + which may expect to benefit from space exploration are set out + beginning on page 35. + +[Illustration. FIGURE 11.--Vital information about the forces +which cause weather can be learned from meteorological satellites such +as these. Even a slight increase in the accuracy of weather prediction +will be worth millions of dollars annually.] + + +FOOD AND AGRICULTURE + +An extremely difficult problem bound up with space travel of any +duration is that of food. Astronauts will not be able to take large +supplies of food on their voyages and probably will have to reuse what +they do take. Learning how to do this is no easy matter. Some doubt if +it can be done. Others are optimistic. + + The body of scientists now working directly on space feeding and + nutrition is working effectively at a rate only attained by high + motivation. But this motivation suffices and their efforts will + ultimately provide at least a partially closed space feeding system + by the time it is critically needed and, eventually, an ideal one + for long voyages of man into the remoter reaches of outer + space.[54] + +If the optimists are right, it is conceivable that the information gamed +from this research will have profound influence on food and agricultural +processes in the future. The use and growth of synthetics or new foods, +and their effects on the soil, could prove invaluable as the worlds +population climbs and the demand for food multiplies. Better +understanding of weather processes, as provided through space +exploration, will also be valuable in terms of agriculture. Long-range +accurate weather prediction would be worth millions of dollars in proper +crops planted and crop damage avoided. + +Meanwhile, as in other technological areas, space research is providing +specific new tools for the food and agriculture industry. Infrared food +blanching, for instance, is highly effective in preparing foods for +canning or freezing. The development of a new forage harvester based on +principles of aerodynamics uncovered by missile engineers is another +example. + + +COMMUNICATIONS + +This is a field of enormous promise, and its practicality has already +been demonstrated to the extent of placing satellites into precise +orbits, such as Tiros (weather) and Transit (navigation), and of +communicating at long distances--23 million miles in the case of Pioneer +V. As a result: + + Government and industry technicians are rapidly developing new + Earth satellites to beam not only television programs but radio + broadcasts and phone conversations to every spot on Earth that's + equipped to receive them. Thus this space project, far more than + most, will touch the ordinary citizen. The goal: a workable, + worldwide communications system in space before this decade is + over. It will be, declares one researcher, "the ultimate in + communications."[55] + +Incidentally, the first worldwide communications system of this type, +and whether it is conducted in English or Russian, may have crucial +prestige and propaganda ramifications. + +Such facilities should be possible through a system of carefully placed +satellites so that radio signals can be relayed to any part of the globe +at any time. + +Moreover they appear to be essential when one considers that within the +next 20 years existing techniques are apt to be stretched beyond +reasonable economic limits by demands for long distance communications. +It is difficult to see how transoceanic television will otherwise be +possible when it is realized that there is presently a capacity of less +than 100 telephone channels across the Atlantic and a single television +channel is equivalent in band width to 1,000 telephone channels. It +appears that a system utilizing satellites is the most promising +solution to this problem.[56] + +More esoteric communications systems may also arise from space research. + + In some future year when a cruising space vehicle communicates with + another space vehicle or its orbiting station, it may use a beam of + light instead of conventional radio. Not that radio will be + inoperative under the airless conditions of space--rather the + reverse--but there is reason to believe that communication by + sunlight not only will be cheaper but will entail carrying much + simpler and lighter equipment for certain specialized space + applications. (The Air Force) is developing an experimental system + that will collect sun rays, run them through a modulator, direct + the resultant light wave in a controlled beam to a receiver. There + the wave will be put through a detector, transposed into an + electrical impulse and be amplified to a speaker. Depending on the + type of modulator used, either the digital (dot-dash) message or a + voice message can be sent.[57] + +Might not such a system find practical usage on Earth, particularly in +sunny, arid lands? + + +WEATHER PREDICTION AND MODIFICATION + +Meteorological satellites should make possible weather observations over +the entire globe. Today, only 20 percent of the globe is covered by any +regular observational and reporting systems. If we can solve the +problems of handling the vast amounts of data that will be received, +develop methods for timely analysis of the data and the notification of +weather bureaus throughout the world, we should be able to improve by a +significant degree the accuracy of weather predictions. An improvement +of only 10 percent in accuracy could result in savings totaling hundreds +of millions of dollars annually to farmers, builders, airlines, +shipping, the tourist trade, and many other enterprises. + +Perhaps even greater savings will come from warning systems devised for +hurricanes and tornadoes. + +The slight knowledge which humans actually have of weather forces can be +seen from the fact that at present we do not even know exactly how rain +begins.[58] Learning to predict it and to modify it, through space +application, might help slow down the soil erosion of arable land--that +"geological inevitability * * * which man can only hasten or +postpone."[59] It is noteworthy that the two leading nations in space +research, the United States and the U.S.S.R., are among the most +affected by soil erosion. + +The "leg up" which the United States has in this particular phase of +space research is illustrated by the acute photographic talents of the +Tiros satellite and their meaning to weather experts. The following +description of some of the earliest pictures by the Director of the +Office of Meteorological Research, U.S. Weather Bureau, is illuminating. + + This picture, labeled "No. 1," was the storm that was picked up in + the early orbits of Tiros on the first day of launch, April 1. This + shows the storm 120 miles east of Cape Cod, with dry continental + air streaming off the United States, not shown by clouds, and off + the coast the moist air streaming up to the north, counterclockwise + around the center, producing widespread clouds and precipitation as + far north as the Gulf of St. Lawrence. + + On that same day mention was made of a storm in the Midwest. That + is illustrated by photograph No. 2. This was centered over + southeast Nebraska, a rather extensive storm. Again, we have a + clear air portion shown by a dark area, the ground underneath, + which has less brightness than the clouds, the cold air from Canada + streaming into that area, not characterized by clouds, and to the + east the moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, in this general + neighborhood, streaming around into that center and producing + rather widespread rains. In this case near the Gulf of Mexico, + where the cloud is extremely bright, indicating that the clouds are + very high, thunderstorms were found in that area. + + [Illustration: FIGURE 12.--Storm center over Nebraska + photographed by the first U.S. weather satellite, Tiros, on April + 1, 1960. The extent of the picture can be seen from the + accompanying weather map.] + + It is a sort of situation in which tornadoes are to be found in + this very bright cloudy area, especially this time of year in the + Midwest. + + A third vortex was observed, also April 1, in the Gulf of Alaska, + 500 miles southeast of Kodiak Island. The vortex circulation is + clearly evidenced by the clouds which form in a circular array, and + the large clear area in the center of the storm. + + No. 4 picture refers to a very big storm 1,500 miles in diameter + located 300 miles west of Ireland on April 2. This is a very old + storm which was whirling around, had no fronts associated with it. + It has long since wound up around the center. There is a rather + well-marked structure to the clouds that you can see. It is quite + different from the pictures in the first two. These are storms + mostly over the continental area or just off the coast. The storms + over the oceans seem to show more of a banded structure. By that I + mean circular bands of clouds, of width perhaps ranging from 20 + miles to a few hundred miles, spiraling around the center in a + counterclockwise manner.[60] + + +HEALTH BENEFITS + +Of all the problems contingent upon space flight it is doubtful if any +are more perplexing than the biological ones. In fact, it now appears +quite likely that the limiting factor on manned space exploration will +be less the nature of physical laws or the shortcoming of space vehicle +systems than the vulnerability of the human body. + +In order to place humans in space for any extended period, we must solve +a host of highly complicated biological equations which demand intensive +basic research. The other side of the coin, however, is that when +scientific breakthroughs do occur in this area, they will probably be +among the most beneficial to come from the space program. + +An idea of what is going on in the space medicine field can be obtained +from this summary: + + Engineers already have equipped man with the vehicle for space + travel. Medical researchers now are investigating many factors + incident to the maintenance of space life--to make possible man's + flight into the depths of space. Placing man in a wholly new + environment requires knowledge far beyond our current grasp of + human biology. + + Here are some of the problems under investigation: The + determination of man's reactions; the necessity of operating in a + completely closed system compatible with man's physiological + requirements (oxygen and carbon dioxide content, food, barometric + pressure, humidity and temperature control); explosive + decompression; psychophysiological difficulties of spatial + disorientation as a result of weightlessness; toxicology of + metabolites and propellants; effects of cosmic, solar, and nuclear + ionizing radiation and protective shielding and treatment; effects + on man's circulatory system from accelerative and decelerative g. + forces; the establishment of a thermoneutral range for man to exist + through preflight, flight, and reentry; regeneration of water and + food.[61] + +In addition, intensive efforts are being brought to bear on such +problems as the effect on humans who are deprived of their sensory +perceptions, or whose sensory systems are overloaded, or who are exposed +to excessive boredom or anxiety or sense of unreality, or who must do +their job under hypnosis or hypothermia (cooling of warm-blooded +animals). + +A recent space medicine symposium heard this theory advanced by a +prominent medical scholar: + + Attractive, indeed, for the space traveler would be the choice of + hibernating during long periods when there was nothing he had to + do. With the increase of speeds and the lowering of metabolism, + consideration of flights running several hundred or even thousands + of years cannot be offhandedly dismissed as mere fantasy. During + prolonged flights of many months or years there will be very little + to see and that of negligible interest. The most practical way of + dealing with the problem might well be to have the pilot sleep 23 + of the 24 hours.[62] + +Lowering the body temperature would be one way of inducing the necessary +deep sleep. + +Another possibility of handling some of the biological problems of space +flight, suggested by another physician, would be for astronauts to +discard the 24-hour Earth day and establish a longer rhythm for their +lives.[63] + +At any rate, and while we may not now see just how it will come about, +knowledge gained from experiments such as these may result in important +medical and psychological advances. + +In the drug and technological area of medicine, concrete benefits have +already resulted from the national space program. These include, as +already mentioned, a drug developed from a missile propellant to treat +mental ills, a means of rapidly lowering blood temperature in +operations, and a small efficient valve which could replace the valve in +a human heart. + +Particularly gratifying, from the standpoint of medical value is the +Army's work toward an anti-radiation drug which could be taken before +exposure to reduce the biological effects of radiation.[64] Such a drug, +which is of special interest to astronauts who might be required to +subject themselves to varying belts of radiation, might be of even +greater use in the cause of civil defense. + +A final and far-reaching phase of the health side of space exploration +deals with the basic nature of biology itself--how and under what +conditions life grows. Up to now biological science has been largely +"the rationalization of particular facts and we have had all too limited +a basis for the construction and testing of meaningful axioms to support +a theory of life."[65] Through research made possible by the space +program it may be possible to alter this condition. "The dynamics of +celestial bodies, as can be observed from the Earth, is the richest +inspiration for the generalization of our concepts of mass and energy +throughout the universe. The spectra of the stars likewise testify to +the universality of our concepts in chemistry. But biology has lacked +tools of such extension, and life until now has meant only terrestrial +life."[66] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 13.--Biological reactions uncovered in +space medicine studies, such as this centrifuge experiment, may lead to +important health discoveries.] + +The secrets which this research may divulge and their meaning for human +health can only be imagined. But they certainly would not be minor. + + +EDUCATION BENEFITS + +No enterprise has so stirred human imagination as the reach of man +toward the exploration of space. New worlds to explore. New distances to +travel--3,680 million miles to Pluto, the outermost planet of our solar +system, 8 years journey at 50,000 miles per hour when we attain such a +capability. Innumerable problems ahead. New knowledge needed in almost +every branch of science and technology from magneto fluid dynamics to +cosmology, from materials to biology and psychology.[67] + +"New knowledge needed" means better and stronger education is essential. +And not only in the physical sciences. In the social sciences and the +arts as well. + + Certainly man's space adventure can help profoundly to make a finer + creature of him, but only if his adventures on Earth can do so as + well. Essentially what this means to a social psychologist is that + we must somehow raise our level of education to the point where + most men most of the time can appreciate and actively absorb the + implications of knowledge and developments in all areas + sufficiently to let them enrich their personal philosophies. + Obviously this kind of education is only in part a scientific + one.[68] + +Moreover, the technical and management aspects of the space program +involve collaboration with nonscientific persons such as businessmen, +bankers, and public officials in assessing worthwhile objectives and in +judging the technical and economic feasibility of projects designed to +accomplish these objectives.[69] Consequently each type must educate the +other in his own specialty if an effective, stepped-up space program is +to be achieved. + + +_The demand_ + +Apparently the demand for specific formal education in the science of +astronautics is increasing faster than it is being supplied. Although +many colleges and universities have been setting up courses dealing with +astronautics, the state of the art does not seem to have crystallized to +the extent that it permits fashioning a career in the field at the +educational level. Of course, discontent is created. One publication has +editorialized: + + We have received a surprising number of letters from young people + who actually want to know how and where they can get started in a + career in astronautics. These, for the most part, are high school + students--and, evidently, they couldn't get the information they + wanted from their own school. * * * Isn't the age of space yet + important enough for all the high schools to sponsor interest in + our space programs and to point out the need for a constant flow of + young brains?[70] + +The answer undoubtedly is that such grassroots demand will bring about +increased academic curricula in astronautics in direct proportion to its +magnitude. + +Meanwhile, the availability of work for persons with a background in +space-related subjects can be gaged to some extent by observing the +variety of personnel requirements on major space exploration projects. + +A single American firm, for example, uses 49 different professional +specialists in its work for the National Aeronautics and Space +Administration and in its space work for the Department of Defense.[71] +Multiplied by the thousands of companies which are doing similar work, +the list gives an idea of the astronautic demand confronting the +Nation's educational institutions: + + Acoustician + Aerodynamicist + Aeronautical engineer + Agricultural engineer + Astrodynamicist + Astronomer + Astrophysicist + Biochemist + Biophysicist + Ceramics specialist + Chemist + Computer specialist + Crystallographer + Development engineer + Doctor of medicine + Electrical engineer + Electronic engineer + Experimental physicist + Flight engineer + Gyroscopics specialist + Hydraulic engineer + Information theory analyst + Inorganic chemist + Logical designer + Magnetic device engineer + Mathematician + Mechanical applications engineer + Mechanical engineer + Mechanisms specialist + Medical electronic engineer + Metallurgical engineer + Methods engineer + Nuclear physicist + Oceanographer + Organic chemist + Physical chemist + Pneumatic engineer + Process engineer + Production engineer + Project engineer + Psychologist + Reliability engineer + Sociologist + Solid state physicist + Structural engineer + System analyst + Theoretical physicist + Thermodynamicist + Transducer engineer + +[Illustration: FIGURE 14.--Exploration within the solar system +means a wealth of new knowledge which could lead to learning the secrets +of life.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[50] 25 supra. See also address to the American Bankers Association, +Oct. 28, 1958. + +[51] Space Business Daily, June 17, 1960. + +[52] Feldman, George J., cited in a letter to the House Committee on +Science and Astronautics, Apr. 29, 1960. + +[53] From Michelson, Edward J., "How Missile-Space Spending Enriches the +Peacetime Economy," Missiles and Rockets, Sept. 14, 1959, pp. 13-17. + +[54] Tischer, R. G., "A Search for the Spaceman's Food," Space Journal, +December 1959, p. 46. + +[55] Kraar, Louis, Wall Street Journal, May 4, 1960. + +[56] 7 supra. + +[57] Release No. 38-60, Air Research and Development Command, May 2, +1960. + +[58] Lear, John, "Where Does Rain Begin?" New Scientist, Mar. 24, 1960, +p. 724. + +[59] "Wind and Soil," New Scientist, May 26, 1960, p. 1327. + +[60] Wexler, Dr. Harry. Press conference conducted by the National +Aeronautics and Space Administration, Apr. 22, 1960. + +[61] Lockheed, Missiles and Space Division, medical research, Sunnyvale, +Calif. + +[62] Lewis, Dr. F. J., before the Space Flight Symposium, San Antonio, +Tex., May 28, 1960. + +[63] Kleitman, Prof. Nathaniel, before the Space Flight Symposium, San +Antonio, Tex., May 26, 1960. + +[64] Taylor, Lt. Col. Richard R., USA (MC), testimony before the House +Committee on Science and Astronautics, June 15, 1960. + +[65] Lederberg, Joshua, "Exobiology-Experimental Approaches to Life +Beyond Earth," Science in Space, ch. IX, National Academy of Sciences, +Washington, D.C., February 1960. + +[66] Ibid. + +[67] Dryden, Dr. Hugh L., speech before the Engineering Society of +Cincinnati, Feb. 18, 1960. + +[68] Michael, Donald N., "Space Exploration and the Values of Man," +Space Journal, September 1959, p. 15. + +[69] 67 supra. + +[70] Space Age, August 1959, p. 3. + +[71] Minneapolis-Honeywell, Military Products Group. + + + + +V. LONG-RANGE VALUES + +In assessing the _practical_ values of space exploration it does not +seem logical to limit considerations to those values which are immediate +or near-future ones. The worth of a present activity may be doubled or +trebled because of its long-range potential. + +Such values may not be practical within the context of today's usage, +but they may be extremely practical if we are willing to concede that +those of us living today have an interest in and a responsibility for +what happens on Earth in the decades and centuries to come. + + +TROUBLE SPOTS + +Thinking along these lines it is not difficult to conjure up a picture +of some of the difficult physical and social problems which will be +facing the Earth in the years which stretch ahead. The foregoing +sections of this report, for example, have already indicated extensive +difficulties inherent in at least five major categories. + + (1) Bursting population. + (2) Acute water shortage. + (3) Soil erosion and disappearance. + (4) Too much leisure. + (5) Intensified nationalism. + +In each area it is probable that space exploration will ultimately play +an important role. + + +_Population_ + +Social scientists have been warning for years of the drastic social +upheavals which must inevitably accompany an "exploding" population. It +is a problem the complexity of which grows in geometric progression as +time goes on. In the United States nearly 300 years were required to +produce 90 million people. In the past 60 years this number has doubled. +The implications are obvious. They are only too plain to urban and +suburban planners who endeavor to cope with the antlike construction and +activity of the human race as it burgeons with each succeeding year. + +Of course, this is not a domestic matter but a global one. Its +seriousness has been described as follows: "Projection of the post-World +War II rate of increase gives a population of 50 billions (the highest +estimate of the population-carrying capacity of the globe ever +calculated by a responsible scholar) in less than 200 years."[72] A +European professor of medicine adds that any surge in human longevity at +this time is quite undesirable from the standpoint of making elderly +persons useful or cared for. "The problems posed by the explosive growth +of populations * * * are so great that it is quite reassuring to know +that biologists and medical men have so far been unsuccessful in +increasing the _maximum_ lifespan of the human species * * * and * * * +it would be a calamity for the social and economic structure of a +country if the mean lifespan were suddenly to increase from 65 to 85 +years."[73] + +Some anthropologists pessimistically wonder if man is going to prove +like the locust by populating himself into near extinction from time to +time. + +Without subscribing to this view, one must nevertheless take notice of +the difficulties posed by population increase, not merely those of food, +shelter, education, and the like but also those resulting from cellular, +cramped, close living. + +Whichever phase of the problem is studied, it seems not unreasonable to +conclude that space research will help find a solution. New ways to +produce food, new materials for better shelter, new stimuli for +education--all of these are coming from our space program. As for the +matter of adequate living room, space research may result in ways to +permit an easy and efficient scattering of the population without +hurting its mobility. This might result from the development of small +subsidiary types of craft, or "gocarts," originally designed for local +exploration on other planets. Such craft, whether they operated by air +cushion, nuclear energy, gravitational force, power cell, or whatever, +conceivably would permit Earth's population to spread out without the +need for expensive new roads--which, by the way, take millions of acres +of land out of productive use. + +A development of this sort, together with new power sources to replace +the fossil fuels on which factory, home, and vehicle now depend, might +also all but eliminate the growing smog and air-pollution blight. + + +_Water shortage_ + +A direct result of the population increase, multiplied by the many new +uses for which water is being used in home appliances, etc., and plus +the greatly increased demand for standard uses such as indoor plumbing, +irrigation, and factory processing, is the likelihood that water +shortage will be high on the list of future problems. Ways to conserve +and reuse water, together with economical desalting of sea water, will +be essential in the decades ahead. Space research may provide part of +the answer here, too. (See New Water Sources and Uses, sec. III.) + + +_Soil erosion_ + +The Russian steppes of Kazakhstan are providing the world with a great +contemporary dust bowl, reminiscent of the middle 1930's when dust from +the Great Plains stretched from Texas to Saskatchewan. Questionable +agriculture policies, drought, and strong easterly winds are among the +forces blamed for the trials of southern Russia.[74] So great is the +extent of this disturbance that the dust cloud has been identified in +photographs taken by American weather satellites. + +Of course, "wind erosion is only one of the processes whereby the +Earth's arable land is diminishing and the deserts increasing; erosion +by water can also sweep away the soil."[75] But insofar as the current +dust bowl of the Soviet steppes has "diminished food resources at a time +when the number of mouths to feed is increasing so rapidly, the world is +the poorer."[76] + +What can space research do about this vital trend, which again seems +destined to accelerate in the future? + +While we cannot be sure, we can conjecture that improved soil +conservation might turn out to be the greatest benefit of weather +understanding and modification. Agriculture policies might be adapted to +the long-range patterns uncovered by weather satellites and, eventually, +through better understanding of the making of weather, it may be +possible to modify weather forces in a manner which will preserve the +soil. + +In a more remote vein, it may be that knowledge gained from a first-hand +study of the Moon or other planets in the solar system will eventually +contribute to the conservation of soil on Earth in ways as yet +unimagined. + + +_Added leisure_ + +Acquiring more time for leisure sounds good. Very much more leisure than +most people now have, however, is apt to present trouble in itself. +Since it appears that the time is not far away when those living in the +highly developed countries will no longer have to concentrate their +prime energies on the traditional quest for food, clothing, and shelter, +a potentially dangerous vacuum may be the result. At least the +psychologists seem agreed that people must feel a useful purpose in +their lives and have ways to pursue it. + + Above all, leisure makes a challenge to the human spirit. Athens, + in her Golden Age, displayed a genius for the creative use of + leisure which can be seen as complementary, and indeed superior, to + her genius for military and commercial ventures. There have also + been such periods of all-pervasive inspiration in the history of + other peoples * * *. The doubling of our standard of living will + present a growing challenge to the human spirit and produce graver + consequences, should we fail to meet it. We neglect the proper use + of leisure at our peril.[77] + +In other words, the answer to the problem does not lie solely with the +golf course, the yacht club, the theater, or the lengthened vacation. +Much more will be required. + +The intellectual stimulus of space exploration and research, which +undoubtedly will divide into numerous branches like capillary streaks +from a bolt of lightning, should be markedly useful in helping to fill +this vacuum. Space research would seem particularly applicable in this +role since it deals with fundamental knowledge and concepts which are +satisfying in terms of psychological needs and sense of purpose. + + +_Intensified nationalism_ + +Ever since World War II the era of colonialism has been on the wane. +Many nations have proclaimed, won, or wrested their independence during +that period. Others appear to be on the verge of doing so. At any rate, +it is clear that in the decades ahead the world is going to see the rise +of even more independent nations with strong nationalistic feelings. + +History implies that developments of this sort are often accompanied by +international unrest--because of the normal ebullience of national +adolescence and the desire to be accepted by the world community, as +well as a variety of concomitant political and economical upheavals. + +For whatever trials may lie ahead on this score, space exploration may +prove to be much needed oil on rough water. + +Ambitious, advanced, sophisticated space exploration in the future is +almost certain to require a high degree of international cooperation and +perhaps even a pooling of resources and funds to some degree. Already +America has found it expedient, in some cases mandatory, to depend on +facilities in other countries for her ventures into space. A good +example is the close cooperation between the United States and tracking +bases located in Canada, Australia, South Africa, and elsewhere. An even +better one is the important part played in U.S. efforts by England's +giant radio telescope at Jodrell Bank. Most of our launches are followed +by this equipment and much of the best scientific information gained +from it. In the case of Pioneer V, Jodrell Bank was essential to keep in +touch with the satellite at the longer distances and, moreover, was +actually required to separate the fourth stage of the launch vehicle and +direct the payload toward its Venus orbit. + +Mutual need and cooperation thus fostered by space exploration can be +expected to siphon off some of the political tensions of the future, +especially as more and more nations become interested in space and +inaugurate complex programs of their own. + + +LIMITATIONS ON SPACE RESEARCH + +There are some who are convinced that the exploration of space is +rigidly limited and that the landing of men on extraterrestrial bodies +other than the Moon is quite improbable. They are sure that extensive +travel outside the solar system is impossible. + +Admittedly, the problems of such travel are enormous. But are they +incapable of solution? + + Twenty-six million miles to Venus, 49 million miles to Mars, 3,680 + million miles from the Sun to Pluto at the outer edge of the solar + system. The nearest of the stars is 25 million, million miles away, + and travel to it at 10 miles per second would require 80,000 years. + Is the travel of man to the stars a futile dream? Each generation + of man builds on the shoulders of the past. The exploration of + space has begun; who now can set limits to its future + accomplishments?[78] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 15.--Need for international cooperation +in the U.S. space program is illustrated by this map showing the areas +from which help must be procured for projects already planned or +underway.] + +That is the thought of one of the Nation's most expert space scientists. + + +_"Who now can set limits * * * ?"_ + +It seems to mesh curiously well with one of the most interesting +phenomena of our day--the emergence of a breed of engineers, +technicians, teachers, and scientists who do not recognize limits and +who refuse to concede that something cannot be so because it fails to +fit conventional patterns or conform to the physical laws of the +universe as we now know them. Of this there is growing evidence. + +For many years it has been an accepted "fact," for instance, that the +Moon is a dead world with no life upon it. The suggestion made by the +great 16th century mathematician, Johannes Kepler, that some life might +exist on the Moon was debunked into silence long since. Yet today a +fellow of the British Royal Astronomical Society writes that the first +men to arrive on the Moon may find not only plant life but possibly +animal life. "The fact that terrestrial organisms may be unable to +survive in the surroundings of another planet is by itself no more +significant than that fishes and other marine animals die when exposed +to the air. From their point of view air is uninhabitable because they +have failed to equip themselves with lungs."[79] And he adds that his +surmise "leaves out of account the possibilities of the Moon's +underground world, which are incalculable, for there water, the vital +gases, congenial temperatures, and increased pressures will all be +present. Only sunlight is absent." + +Then there is Project Ozma, the search for life on other planets or in +other star systems, which began in April 1960 at Green Bank, W. Va. It +is being undertaken by the National Radio-Astronomy Observatory and +consists of carefully directed listening by radio-telescope for signs of +intelligent broadcasts originating outside Earth. + +At Stanford University another astronomer is concentrating the efforts +of part of his laboratory on behalf of a similar idea. The chances are, +he believes, "that the superior races of other planets in other galaxies +have already developed a communications network among themselves, and +have entered a joint program to scan all the other solar systems looking +for signs of awakening civilization among the backward planets. Each of +the advanced communities might pick as its probe assignment a single +other solar system--and one such probe may well be circling our Sun +right now on a routine check for life."[80] Unexplained delayed echoes +of earthly radio transmissions received in the past, it is thought, +could be evidence of such a scheme. + +Are goings-on such as these nonsense? + +Here is the answer given by one hard-headed science writer: + + Centuries may pass before there is any sign of intelligence outside + the Earth. But the advantages of communication with another + civilization that has survived our present dilemmas are far too + great to permit the experiment to be abandoned.[81] + +The results of recent and more orthodox experiments have already done +much to shake the complacency of scientists in regard to their concepts +of space. Investigations have disclosed that, far from being a complete +vacuum, space is relatively full of matter and energy. Hydrogen gas, +radiation belts, cosmic particles, solar disturbances of unknown nature, +micrometeorites--and, from Pioneer V, proof of a 5-million ampere +electromagnetic ring centered about 40,000 miles away.[82] The director +of the Smithsonian Astrophysical Laboratory in Cambridge, Mass.,[83] has +said that more and more startling astrophysical information was gathered +during the first few weeks of the space age than had been accumulated in +the preceding century. + +In brief, it is becoming the vogue in science to refuse to say +"impossible" to anything. On the contrary, the watchword for tomorrow is +shaping up as "take _nothing_ for granted." + + +FUNDAMENTAL KNOWLEDGE ABOUT LIFE + +Everything learned from space exploration thus far indicates that the +knowledge lying in wait for those who manage to observe the universe +from outside Earth's atmosphere will be far grander than anything +uncovered to date. + +We may finally learn the origin of our universe and the method of its +functioning. A good part of this knowledge may be no farther away than +the next 3 to 5 years. Satellite telescopes now under construction are +expected to elicit far more information than even the 200-inch giant at +Mount Palomar. One such observatory satellite, to be launched in 1963 or +before, "will permit a telescope of about 10 feet in length to point at +heavenly bodies within a tenth of a second of arc for periods up to an +hour. Present plans call for an orbit between 400 and 500 miles, as a +lifetime of at least 6 months is required to observe the entire +celestial field."[84] + +Perhaps, and sooner than we think, we shall find a clue to the destiny +of all intelligent life. + +Perhaps the theory advanced by a noted eastern astronomer will turn out +to be true--that biological evolution on the habitable planets of the +universe may be the result of contamination left by space travelers +arriving from (and leaving for) other worlds. In other words, the +fruition of life on the various planets of the millions of solar systems +might be the product of a wandering group of astronautic Johnny +Appleseeds who leave the grains of life behind them. "Space travel +between galaxies has to be possible for this, but of course this needs +to be only quite a rare event. In a time of about 3.3 billion years, the +most advanced form of life occurring in a galaxy must be able to reach a +neighboring one."[85] + +The notion seems fantastic. + +But when we look clear to the end of Earth's road (and assuming the +astrophysicists are right in their theories about the evolution and +ultimate death of our solar system) we know that Earth will one day +become uninhabitable. Life on Earth must then perish or move elsewhere. +If we further assume that mankind will not want to die with his planet +and if we acknowledge that other worlds may have been through this +entire cycle in eons past--perhaps the notion is not so unreasonable +after all. + +Whatever the truth is on this score, space exploration will certainly be +of "practical" value to our descendants when that dim, far-off day +arrives. + + +PSYCHOLOGICAL AND SPIRITUAL VALUES + +Long before the arrival of that millennium, however, the knowledge and +understanding awaiting us through the medium of space exploration is +certain to have profound effects on the human race psychologically and +spiritually. + +It already has had effects on humans of all ages. + +Adults, who are paying the taxes to support the space exploration +program and reaping its practical values, are also thinking of +themselves, their country, and their world in broader, more +knowledgeable terms. + +In a sense, children may be even more deeply involved. + + There is a special group which may play a useful role in spreading + the new values growing from the exploration of space, and this is + the children who play at spaceman today. Whether or not they take + this interest with them beyond childhood remains to be seen. + However, the unique fact in the present situation is that never + before have children rehearsed a role that really will not exist + until they are adults. To be sure all of them will not fulfill this + childhood role, but the fact that the reality lies ahead rather + than in the past (as with cowboys and Indians) may stimulate them + to retain a sensitivity for the various meanings man in space can + have for our future.[86] + +Put it another way--if it is true, as a modern Chinese philosopher has +said, that the search for knowledge is a form of play, "then the +spaceship, when it comes, will be the ultimate toy that may lead mankind +from its cloistered nursery out into the playground of the stars."[87] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 16.--Space vehicles of the future may +look like this artist's drawing of an electrical propulsion craft. The +nuclear reactor is located at the extreme left, followed by a neutron +shield, heat exchanger, gamma-ray shield and propellant. The center tank +houses turbogenerating equipment. Excessive heat is dissipated in the +large radiator. At the extreme right are two crew cabins, landing +vehicle and a ring-shaped accelerator.] + + +MATURING OF THE RACE + +The psychological and spiritual changes necessitated by this evolution +may be at a cost far beyond dollars--because many of us will be hard put +to negotiate them, especially if they come too rapidly. + +Nevertheless, negotiating them must also be placed in the category of +"practical" values--for in the long run it seems to be an essential part +of the maturing of mankind. + + The years ahead will face us with many sputniks and thereby will + require of our citizens stern, costly, and imaginative + participation in programs to meet and surmount the many complex + challenges with which our growing technology confronts us. To + succeed in space and to succeed on Earth, we must somehow learn to + make the larger world of ideas, so brilliantly exemplified by the + satellites, the immediate environment of the individual. There is a + race we must run--the race for an enlightened and involved + public.[88] + +So if we can accept the wrenches which space exploration is apt to apply +to our time, pocketbook, energy, and thinking, the values and rewards as +outlined in this report should gather headway and grow continuously +greater. + + Space technology is probably the fastest moving, typically + free-enterprise and democratic industry yet created. It puts a + premium not on salesmanship, but on what it needs + most--intellectual production, the research payoff. Unlike any + other existing industry, space functions on hope and future + possibilities, conquest of real estate unseen, of near vacuum + unexplored. At once it obliterates the economic reason for war, the + threat of overpopulation, or cultural stagnation; it offers to + replace guesswork with the scientific method for archeological, + philosophical, and religious themes.[89] + +Such conclusions seem a bit rosy. But sober study indicates that they +may not be too "far out" after all. + +FOOTNOTES: + +[72] Hauser, Philip M., "Demographic Dimensions of World Politics," +Science, June 3, 1960, p. 1642. + +[73] Bacq, Prof. Z. M., "Medicine in the 1960's," New Scientist, Jan. +21, 1960, p. 130. + +[74] 59 supra. + +[75] Ibid. + +[76] Ibid. + +[77] "The Challenge of Leisure," M. G. Scott, Ltd., London, August 1959, +p. 20. + +[78] 27 supra. + +[79] Firsoff, Dr. V. A., "The Strange World of the Moon," Basic Books, +London, 1959. + +[80] Reported by David Perlman, San Francisco Chronicle, June 7, 1960. + +[81] Lear, John, "Is Anybody There?," New Scientist, Apr. 14, 1960, p. +933. + +[82] Aviation Week, May 9, 1960, p 32. + +[83] Whipple, Dr. Fred L. + +[84] Western Aviation, June 1960, p. 16. + +[85] Gold, Dr. Thomas, "Cosmic Garbage," address to the Space Scientists +Symposium, Los Angeles, December 1959. + +[86] 68 supra, pp. 12, 13. + +[87] 6 supra, pp. 3, 4. + +[88] Michael, D. N., "Sputniks & Public Opinion," Air Force, June 1960, +p. 75. + +[89] Industrial Research, December 1959, pp. 8, 9. + + + + + + +End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of The Practical Values of Space +Exploration, by Committee on Science and Astronautics + +*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK SPACE EXPLORATION *** + +***** This file should be named 19911-8.txt or 19911-8.zip ***** +This and all associated files of various formats will be found in: + http://www.gutenberg.org/1/9/9/1/19911/ + +Produced by Audrey Longhurst, Janet Blenkinship and the +Online Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net + + +Updated editions will replace the previous one--the old editions +will be renamed. + +Creating the works from public domain print editions means that no +one owns a United States copyright in these works, so the Foundation +(and you!) can copy and distribute it in the United States without +permission and without paying copyright royalties. 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You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: The Practical Values of Space Exploration + Report of the Committee on Science and Astronautics, U.S. + House of Representatives, Eighty-Sixth Congress, Second + Session + +Author: Committee on Science and Astronautics + +Release Date: November 24, 2006 [EBook #19911] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ISO-8859-1 + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK SPACE EXPLORATION *** + + + + +Produced by Audrey Longhurst, Janet Blenkinship and the +Online Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net + + + + + + +</pre> + + + +<blockquote><p><span class="left"> </span><span class="right"><b>Union Calendar No. 928</b></span><br /></p> + +<p><span class="left"><b>86th Congress, 2d Session</b></span><span class="right"><b>House Report No. 2091</b></span><br /></p> +</blockquote> + + +<h1>THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF<br />SPACE EXPLORATION</h1> + + +<h2>REPORT</h2> + +<h4>OF THE</h4> + +<h3>COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS<br />U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES<br /> +EIGHTY-SIXTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION</h3> + +<h4>PURSUANT TO</h4> + +<h2>H. Res. 133</h2> + +<h4>[Serial I]</h4> + +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img001.jpg" alt="logo" title="logo" /></div> + + +<p class='center'>July 5, 1960.—Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on the +State of the Union and ordered to be printed</p> + + +<p class='center'>UNITED STATES<br /> +GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE<br /> +58231° WASHINGTON: 1960</p> + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> + + +<h4>COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS</h4> + +<div class='center'> +<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0" summary="COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS"> +<tr><td align='left'>OVERTON BROOKS, Louisiana, <i>Chairman</i></td></tr> +<tr><td> </td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>John W. McCormack, Massachusetts</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>George P. Miller, California</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Olin E. Teague, Texas</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Victor L. Anfuso, New York</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>B. F. Sisk, California</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Erwin Mitchell, Georgia</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>James M. Quigley, Pennsylvania</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Leonard G. Wolf, Iowa</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Joseph E. Karth, Minnesota</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Ken Hechler, West Virginia</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Emilio Q. Daddario, Connecticut</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Walter H. Moeller, Ohio</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>David S. King, Utah</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>J. Edward Roush, Indiana</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Thomas G. Morris, New Mexico</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Joseph W. Martin, Jr. Massachusetts</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>James G. Fulton, Pennsylvania</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Gordon L. McDonough, California</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>J. Edgar Chenoweth, Colorado</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Frank C. Osmers, Jr. New Jersey</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>William K. Van Pelt, Wisconsin</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>A. D. Baumhart, Jr. Ohio</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Perkins Bass, New Hampshire</td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>R. Walter Riehlman, New York</td></tr> +<tr><td> </td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Charles F. Ducander, <i>Executive Director and Chief Counsel</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Dr. Charles S. Sheldon II, <i>Technical Director</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Spencer M. Beresford, <i>Special Counsel</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Philip B. Yeager, <i>Special Consultant</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>John A. Carstarphen, Jr., <i>Chief Clerk</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Frank R. Hammill, Jr., <i>Counsel</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Raymond Wilcove, <i>Staff Consultant</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Richard P. Hines, <i>Staff Consultant</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Lt. Col. Francis J. Dillon, Jr., <i>Staff Consultant</i></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>Comdr. Howard J. Silberstein, <i>Staff Consultant</i></td></tr> +</table></div> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<p><br /></p> +<blockquote><h3>LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL<br /><br /></h3> + + +<p class='author'> +<span class="smcap">House of Representatives,</span><br /> +Committee on Science and Astronautics,<br /> +<i>Washington, D.C., July 1, 1960.</i><br /><br /> +</p> + +<p> +<span style="margin-left: 2em;">Hon. <span class="smcap">Overton Brooks</span>,</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 2em;"><i>Chairman, Committee on Science and Astronautics.</i></span><br /> +</p> + +<p><span class="smcap">Dear Mr. Chairman:</span> I am forwarding herewith for your +consideration a staff study, "The Practical Values of Space +Exploration."</p> + +<p>This study was undertaken pursuant to your request for information +covering the various utilities of the national space effort. The study +has been prepared by Philip B. Yeager and reviewed by other members of +the professional staff.</p> + +<p class='author'> +<span class="smcap">Charles F. Ducander</span>,<br /> +<i>Executive Director and Chief Counsel.</i> +</p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<p><br /></p> +<h3>LETTER OF SUBMITTAL<br /><br /></h3> + + +<p class='author'> +<span class="smcap">House of Representatives,</span><br /> +Committee on Science and Astronautics,<br /> +<i>Washington, D.C., July 5, 1960.</i><br /><br /> +</p> + +<p> +<span style="margin-left: 2em;">Hon. <span class="smcap">Sam Rayburn</span>,</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 2em;"><i>Speaker of the House of Representatives,</i></span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 2em;"><i>Washington, D.C.</i></span><br /> +</p> + +<p><span class="smcap">Dear Mr. Speaker:</span> By direction of the Committee on Science and +Astronautics, I submit the following report on "The Practical Values of +Space Exploration" for the consideration of the 86th Congress.</p> + +<p class='author'> +<span class="smcap">Overton Brooks</span>, <i>Chairman</i>.<br /> +</p></blockquote> + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2>CONTENTS</h2> + + + + +<table border="0" cellpadding="2" width="65%" cellspacing="0" summary="Contents"> +<tr><td align='left'>Introduction</td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_1'><b>1</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 1em;">I. The unseen values</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_3'><b>3</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Some examples of the unexpected</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_3'><b>3</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">The ultimate values</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_5'><b>5</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Steering a middle road</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_6'><b>6</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">The time for space</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_7'><b>7</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>II. National security values</td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_9'><b>9</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">The military uses</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_9'><b>9</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Our position in the international community</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_12'><b>12</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Space as a substitute for war</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_15'><b>15</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>III. The economic values</td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_17'><b>17</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">U.S. expenditures on space</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_17'><b>17</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">The spread of economic benefits</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_18'><b>18</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Creation of new industries</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_19'><b>19</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Research</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_19'><b>19</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">New power sources</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_20'><b>20</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">New water sources and uses</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_21'><b>21</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Noise and human engineering</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_22'><b>22</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">High speed-light weight computers</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_22'><b>22</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Solid state physics</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_23'><b>23</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Economic alliances</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_24'><b>24</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Private enterprise in space</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_24'><b>24</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Jobs</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_27'><b>27</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Automation and disarmament</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_28'><b>28</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>IV. Values for everyday living</td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_31'><b>31</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Technological benefits</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_31'><b>31</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Food and agriculture</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_35'><b>35</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Communications</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_36'><b>36</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Weather prediction and modification</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_37'><b>37</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Health benefits</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_39'><b>39</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Education benefits</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_42'><b>42</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">The demand</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_42'><b>42</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'>V. Long-range values</td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_45'><b>45</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Trouble spots</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_45'><b>45</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Population</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_45'><b>45</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Water shortage</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_46'><b>46</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Soil erosion</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_46'><b>46</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Added leisure</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_47'><b>47</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 4em;">Intensified nationalism</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_48'><b>48</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Limitations on space research</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_48'><b>48</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Fundamental knowledge about life</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_51'><b>51</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Psychological and spiritual values</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_52'><b>52</b></a></td></tr> +<tr><td align='left'><span style="margin-left: 3em;">Maturing of the race</span></td><td align='right'><a href='#Page_53'><b>53</b></a></td></tr> +</table> + +<p><br /><br /></p> + + +<div class='bd'> +<blockquote><table border="0" cellpadding="2" width="80%" cellspacing="0" summary="86th Congress"> +<tr><td align='left'><span class="smcap">86th Congress<br /><i>2d Session</i></span></td><td align='left'>HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES</td><td align='left'>Report<br />No. 2091</td></tr> +</table> + +<h3>THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION</h3> + +<hr style="width: 25%;" /> + +<p class='center'><span class="smcap">July 5, 1960.</span>—Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on +the State of the Union and ordered to be printed</p> + +<hr style="width: 25%;" /> + +<p class='center'>Mr. <span class="smcap">Brooks</span> of Louisiana, from the Committee on Science and +Astronautics, submitted the following</p> + +<h3> +REPORT</h3> + + +<p class='center'>[Pursuant to H. Res. 133] +<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_1" id="Page_1">[Pg 1]</a></span></p> +</blockquote></div> + + + +<p><br /><br /></p> + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> + +<p><br /><br /></p> +<h2>THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION</h2> +<p><br /><br /></p> + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2><span class="smcap">Introduction</span></h2> + + +<p>This report has been undertaken for a special reason. It is to explain +to the taxpayer just why so many of his dollars are going into the +American effort to explore space, and to indicate what he can expect in +return which is of value to him.</p> + +<p>Such an explanation, even after 2 years of relatively high-geared +activity in the space exploration field, appears to be warranted. There +is still a segment of the U.S. population which has little, if any, +notion of the values that the space program has for the average citizen. +To these people the expenditure of billions of dollars on missiles, +rockets, satellites, Moon probes, and other space activities remains +something of a mystery—particularly when so many other worthy projects +throughout the land may be slowed or stalled for lack of funds.</p> + +<p>If, therefore, the practical value of the American space program is +being questioned, it is a question which needs to be answered.</p> + +<p>It is interesting to note that the problem is not unique to the United +States. In the Soviet Union, which counts itself as the world's prime +investigator of space, there is likewise an element of citizenry which +finds itself puzzled over the U.S.S.R.'s penchant for the interplanetary +reaches.</p> + +<p>"What do sputniks give to a person like me?" a Russian workman +complained in a letter which <i>Pravda</i> published on its front page. "So +much money is spent on sputniks it makes people gasp. If there were no +sputniks the Government could cut the cost of cloth for an overcoat in +half and put a few electric flatirons in the stores. Rockets, rockets, +rockets. Who needs them now?"<a name="FNanchor_1_1" id="FNanchor_1_1"></a><a href="#Footnote_1_1" class="fnanchor">[1]</a></p> + +<p>It goes without saying that the workman was severely chastised by the +Soviet newspaper, but his point was made.</p> + +<p>No matter where taxpayers live they want to know—and are entitled to +know—what good a program of space exploration is to them.</p> + +<p>During the 1960's it is expected that the U.S. Government will spend +anywhere from $30 to $50 billion on space exploration for all purposes, +civilian and military. It is the intent of this report to delineate in +lay language, and in terms which will be meaningful to those who have +not followed the American space program closely, the reasons for this +great investment and the probable returns.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_2" id="Page_2">[Pg 2]</a></span></p> + +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img002.jpg" width="503" height="550" alt="Figure 1." title="Figure 1." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 1.—A single shot of the 8-barreled +Saturn of the future will cost millions of dollars, maybe tens of +millions. What makes it worthwhile for the taxpayer?</h4></blockquote> +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_3" id="Page_3">[Pg 3]</a></span></p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2><a name="I_The_Unseen_Values" id="I_The_Unseen_Values"></a>I. The Unseen Values</h2> + + +<p>The United States has not embarked upon its formidable program of space +exploration in order to make or perpetuate a gigantic astronautic +boondoggle. There are good reasons, hard reasons for this program. But, +in essence, they all boil down to the fact that the program is expected +to produce a number of highly valuable payoffs. It not only is expected +to do so, it is doing so right now.</p> + +<p>Many of the beneficial results can be identified.</p> + +<p>Those already showing up are detailed in the sections of this report +which follow. They include the most urgent and precious of all +commodities—national security. Beyond that, they also include a +strengthened national economy, new jobs and job categories, better +living, fresh consumer goods, improved education, increased health, +stimulated business enterprise and a host of long-range values which may +ultimately make the immediate benefits pale into relative +insignificance.</p> + +<p>Practical uses such as those just listed mean the taxpayer is more than +getting his money's worth from American space exploration—and getting a +sizable chunk of it today.</p> + +<p>Nevertheless, if we can depend on the history of scientific adventure +and progress, on its consistent tendencies of the past, then we can be +reasonably sure that the greatest, finest benefits to come from our +ventures into space are yet unseen.</p> + +<p>These are the unpredictable values, the ones which none of us has yet +thought of.</p> + +<p>Inevitably they lag behind the basic research discoveries needed to make +them possible, and often the discoveries are slow to be put to work +after they are made. Investors, even governments, are human, and before +they invest in something they normally want to know: What good is it?</p> + +<p>We can be sure that many American taxpayers of the future will be asking +"what good is it?" in regard to various phases of the space program.</p> + +<p>There was an occasion when the great Scottish physicist, James Clerk +Maxwell, was asked this question concerning one of his classic +discoveries in electromagnetism. Maxwell replied: "What good is a baby?"</p> + +<p>Now, as then, it takes time for new knowledge to develop and become +useful after its conception and birth.</p> + + +<h3>SOME EXAMPLES OF THE UNEXPECTED</h3> + +<p>A graphic illustration of "unseen" benefits in regard to atomic energy +has been expressed by an experienced researcher in this way:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>I remember a conversation I had with one of our nuclear scientists +when I was a member of the Weapons Systems Evaluations Group almost +10 years ago. We were talking about the possible peaceful +applications of fission. We<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_4" id="Page_4">[Pg 4]</a></span> really could think of little that +could be done with it other than making fissionable material into a +form of destructive power. There had been some discussion about +harnessing the power of fission, but this seemed to us to be quite +remote. It seemed difficult to conceive of the atomic bomb as +anything but sheer power used for destructive purposes. Yet today +the products of fission applied to peaceful uses are many. The use +of isotopes in industry, medicine, agriculture are well known. Food +irradiation, nuclear power reactors, now reactors for shipboard +use, are with us, and it is hardly the beginning. I frequently ask +myself, of late, what 10 years from now will be the commercial, +shall we call it, applications of our missile and rocket +programs.<a name="FNanchor_2_2" id="FNanchor_2_2"></a><a href="#Footnote_2_2" class="fnanchor">[2]</a></p></div> + +<p>There are innumerable examples of the way in which invention or +discovery, or sometimes just simple human curiosity, result in useful +payoff. And frequently no one suspects the direction the payoff finally +takes. The point, of course, is that <i>any</i> knowledge eventually pays +dividends. The things we learn from our national space program will +produce benefits in ways entirely unrelated to missiles or +interplanetary travel. (See secs. III and IV.) The reverse is also true; +knowledge gained in areas quite remote from outer space can have genuine +value for the advance of space exploration.</p> + +<p>Investigation into the skin of a fish provides a good case in point.</p> + +<p>A German inventor who migrated to California after World War II had long +been interested in ways to reduce the drag of friction produced by air +or water on the surface of objects passing through them. One day, while +watching a group of porpoises cavort past a speeding ship with the +greatest of ease, it occurred to him that the skin of these animals, if +closely studied, might shed light on ways of cutting surface friction. +It was many years before the inventor was able to enlist the aid of +aquarium managers in securing porpoise skins for study. In 1955, +however, he obtained the necessary skins and found that dolphins, in +fact, owe much of their great speed to a unique skin which markedly +reduces the effect of turbulence against it. From this knowledge has +come the recent development of a diaphragm-damping fluid surface which +has real potential not only for underwater high-speed bodies, such as +submarines, torpedoes and underwater missiles, but for any vehicle where +fast-moving gases or fluids may cause drag.<a name="FNanchor_3_3" id="FNanchor_3_3"></a><a href="#Footnote_3_3" class="fnanchor">[3]</a></p> + +<p>The implications of this knowledge for satellites near Earth or for +reentering spacecraft are obvious.</p> + +<p>Sometimes a reverse twist in reasoning by a speculative mind will result +in enormous practical utility.</p> + +<p>In Cambridge, Mass., a sanitary engineer teaching at the Massachusetts +Institute of Technology began to wonder about the principles of +adhesion—why things stick to each other. Do they only stick together +because some sticky substance is holding them, or are there other +reasons? "If a person is sick," he asked himself, "is it because a cause +of sickness is present or because a cause of health is absent? We now +know that in infectious diseases the first alternative is true;<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_5" id="Page_5">[Pg 5]</a></span> the +patient is ill because he harbors pathogenic germs. The opposite case +prevails in deficiency diseases, where necessary vitamins are absent +from food and illness is brought about by this absence. To which of the +classes does adhesion belong? When we cannot produce a dependable bond, +are we dealing with the lack of some adhesive force or with existence of +an obstacle to sticking?"</p> + +<p>Operating on the theory that adhesion might result not only from the +presence of a sticky agent but from the removal of all impediments to +sticking, this scientist has now managed to produce strong adhesion +between the least sticky of substances—polyethylene plastics. He has +done it by studying the molecular structure of polyethylenes and +removing all impurities which normally find their way into the +manufacture of such material. The next step: "We hope to prepare +adhesive joints in which a noble gas acts as an adhesive. Noble gases +are the least active substances known to chemistry; if they can adhere, +it is clear that no specific forces are needed for adhesiveness."<a name="FNanchor_4_4" id="FNanchor_4_4"></a><a href="#Footnote_4_4" class="fnanchor">[4]</a></p> + +<p>No great imagination is required to perceive the meaning which this new +knowledge, if proved out, will have for our everyday lives—to say +nothing of its usefulness in the making of astronautic equipment.</p> + + +<h3>THE ULTIMATE VALUES</h3> + +<p>In any event, it is apparent that where research is concerned—and +especially space research with its broad scale of inquiry—we cannot +always see the value of scientific endeavor on the basis of its +beginning. We cannot always account for what we have purchased with each +research dollar.</p> + +<p>The Government stated this proposition when it first undertook to put +the space program on a priority basis:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Scientific research has never been amenable to rigorous cost +accounting in advance. Nor, for that matter, has exploration of any +sort. But if we have learned one lesson, it is that research and +exploration have a remarkable way of paying off—quite apart from +the fact that they demonstrate that man is alive and insatiably +curious. And we all feel richer for knowing what explorers and +scientists have learned about the universe in which we live.<a name="FNanchor_5_5" id="FNanchor_5_5"></a><a href="#Footnote_5_5" class="fnanchor">[5]</a></p></div> + +<p>In this statement there is political support for what the historian, the +anthropologist, the psychologist consider to be established fact—that +some innate force in the human being makes him <i>know</i>, whatever his +formal beliefs or whatever his unconscious philosophy, that he <i>must</i> +progress. Progress is the core of his destiny.</p> + +<p>This is a concept which, in connection with space exploration, has been +recognized for many years. One of the earliest and most perceptive of +the space "buffs" stated it before the British Interplanetary Society in +1946 in these words: " * * * our civilization is no more than the sum of +all the dreams that earlier ages have brought to fulfillment. And so it +must always be, for if men cease to dream, if they turn their backs upon +the wonder of the universe, the story of our race will be coming to an +end".<a name="FNanchor_6_6" id="FNanchor_6_6"></a><a href="#Footnote_6_6" class="fnanchor">[6]</a><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_6" id="Page_6">[Pg 6]</a></span></p> +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img06.jpg" width="500" height="361" alt="Figure 2." title="Figure 2." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 2.—In the years immediately ahead, the +orbiting observatory or the manned satellite will uncover crucial +information about the nature of the universe.</h4></blockquote> +<p><br /></p> + +<h3>STEERING A MIDDLE ROAD</h3> + +<p>In any endeavor which is as futuristic as space exploration it is not +difficult to become lost in the land of the starry-eyed prognosticators. +Conversely, it is also easy to find oneself lining up with the debunkers +and the champions of the status quo, for their arguments and views give +the impression of being hard-headed, sensible.</p> + +<p>If one must err in either direction, however, it is probably safer, +where space is concerned, to err in the direction of the enthusiasts. +This is because (and subsequent parts of this report will show it) the +Nation cannot afford not to be in the vanguard of the space explorers.</p> + +<p>Events today move with facility and lightning rapidity. Today, more than +ever, time is on the side of the expeditious. We can no longer take the +risk of giving much support to the scoffers—to that breed of +unimaginative souls who thought Robert Fulton was a fool for harnessing +a paddlewheel to a boiler, who thought Henry Ford was a fool for putting +an internal combustion engine on wheels, who thought Samuel Langley was +a fool for designing a contraption to fly through the air.</p> + +<p>There are always those who will say it cannot be done. Even in this era +of sophisticated flight there have been those who said the sound barrier +would never be broken. It was. Others said later that space vehicles +would never get through the heat barrier. They have. Now, some say men +will never overcome the radiation barrier in space. But we can be sure +they will.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_7" id="Page_7">[Pg 7]</a></span></p> + +<p>It is undoubtedly wise for the layman, in terms of the benefits he can +expect from the space program in the foreseeable future, to steer a +reasonable course between the two extremes. Yet one cannot help +remembering that the secret of taking practical energy from the atom, a +secret which the human race had been trying to learn for thousands of +years, was accomplished in less than a decade from the moment when men +first determined that it was possible to split an atom. It is difficult +to forget that even after World War II some of our most respected +scientists sold short the idea of developing long-range missiles. +Impractical, they said; visionary. But 6 years after the United States +went to work seriously on missiles, an operational ICBM with a +9,000-mile range was an accomplished fact.</p> + + +<h3>THE TIME FOR SPACE</h3> + +<p>All of the glowing predictions being made on behalf of space exploration +will not be here tomorrow or the next day. Yet this seems less important +than that we recognize the significance of our moment of history.</p> + +<p>We may think of that moment as a new age—the age of space and the +atom—to follow the historic ages of stone, bronze, and iron. We may +think of it in terms of theories, of succeeding from those of Copernicus +to those of Newton and thence to Freud and now Einstein. We may think of +our time as the time of exploiting the new fourth state of matter: +plasma, or the ion. Or we may think of it in terms of revolutions, as +passing from the industrial cycle of steam through the railroad-steel +cycle, through the electricity-automobile cycle, into the burgeoning +technological revolution of today.</p> + +<p>However we think of it, it is a dawning period and one which—in its +scope and potential—promises to dwarf much of what has gone before. +Those who have given careful thought to the matter are convinced that +while some caution is in order, the new era is not one to be approached +with timidity, inhibited imagination or too much convention. Neither is +there any point in trying to hold off the tempo of this oncoming age or, +in any other way, to evade it.</p> + +<p>Mark Twain once listened to the complaints of an old riverboat pilot who +was having trouble making the switch from sail to steam. The old pilot +wanted no part of the newfangled steam contraptions. "Maybe so," replied +Twain, "but when it's steamboat time, you steam."<a name="FNanchor_7_7" id="FNanchor_7_7"></a><a href="#Footnote_7_7" class="fnanchor">[7]</a></p> + +<p>Today is space time and man is going to explore it.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_8" id="Page_8">[Pg 8]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img08.jpg" width="442" height="550" alt="Figure 3." title="Figure 3." /></div> + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 3.—The versatile Atlas can be used +either for launching man into space or to carry a nuclear warhead as far +as 9,000 miles.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_9" id="Page_9">[Pg 9]</a></span></p> + + + + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2><a name="II_National_Security_Values" id="II_National_Security_Values"></a>II. <span class="smcap">National Security Values</span></h2> + + +<p>There is no longer doubt that space exploration holds genuine +significance for the security and well-being of the United States as a +nation.</p> + +<p>It does so in at least three ways. One results from the uses which our +Armed Forces can make of the knowledge gained from space exploration. A +second results from the influence and prestige which America can exert +within the world community because of her prowess in space exploration. +A third results from the possibility that space exploration, eventually, +may prove so immense and important a challenge that it will channel the +prime energies of powerful nations toward its own end and thus reduce +the current emphasis on developing means of destruction.</p> + +<p>The first two values definitely exist. The third seems to be a +reasonable hope.</p> + + +<h3>THE MILITARY USES</h3> + +<p>From the beginning it has been recognized that space exploration, the +research connected therewith, and the ability to operate therein is of +more than passing interest to the military.</p> + +<p>Congress recognized the fact when it passed the National Aeronautics and +Space Act of 1958 and directed that "activities peculiar to or primarily +associated with the development of weapons systems, military operations, +or the defense of the United States * * * shall be the responsibility +of, and shall be directed by, the Department of Defense."<a name="FNanchor_8_8" id="FNanchor_8_8"></a><a href="#Footnote_8_8" class="fnanchor">[8]</a> In the +amendments to the Space Act proposed in 1960, this directive was +strengthened: "The Department of Defense shall undertake such activities +in space, and such research and development connected therewith, as may +be necessary for the defense of the United States."<a name="FNanchor_9_9" id="FNanchor_9_9"></a><a href="#Footnote_9_9" class="fnanchor">[9]</a></p> + +<p>It is possible to argue, and indeed it has been argued, that ballistic +missiles such as IRBM's and ICBM's are not really "space" weapons, that +they are simply an extension of the traditional art of artillery. For +the purposes of this report, however, the argument appears to be largely +a semantic one. Such missiles do traverse space, they are guided through +space, and they employ the same engines and principles which are +presently used for purposes of scientific space exploration. While more +advanced "space" weapons may evolve in the future, the missile as we +know it today cannot very well be divorced from our thinking about space +and its practical uses.</p> + +<p>Going on this assumption, and casting an eye in the direction of the +Iron Curtain, it is obvious that the Soviet Union is going all-out to +exploit space for military purposes.</p> + +<p>Military men have known for years that the tremendously powerful booster +which the Soviets have been using to launch their massive sputniks was +originally designed to carry the primitive heavy version of the A-bomb +across continents.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_10" id="Page_10">[Pg 10]</a></span></p> + +<p>If there was ever doubt of the extent to which the Soviets intend to +make space a selected medium for military purposes it was erased when +Premier Khrushchev made his address to the Supreme Soviet early in 1960. +He commented in part:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Our state has at its disposal powerful rocket equipment. The +military air force and navy have lost their previous importance in +view of the modern development of military equipment. This type of +armament is not being reduced but replaced. Almost the entire +military air force is being replaced by rocket equipment. We have +by now sharply cut, and it seems will continue sharply to cut and +even discontinue the manufacture of bombers and other obsolete +equipment. In the navy, the submarine fleet assumes great +importance, while surface ships can no longer play the part they +once did. In our country the armed forces have been to a +considerable extent transferred to rocket and nuclear arms. These +arms are being perfected and will continue to be perfected until +they are banned.<a name="FNanchor_10_10" id="FNanchor_10_10"></a><a href="#Footnote_10_10" class="fnanchor">[10]</a></p></div> + +<p>While it is difficult to assess the actual extent of the Soviet +preoccupation with missiles, it has been reported that the Russians are +building upward of 100 IRBM and ICBM bases to be manned by about 200,000 +men. Most of these, at least the intermediate range bases, are said to +be along Russia's Baltic coast, in East Germany, in the southern Ukraine +and in the Carpathian Mountains.<a name="FNanchor_11_11" id="FNanchor_11_11"></a><a href="#Footnote_11_11" class="fnanchor">[11]</a></p> + +<p>In any event, the space age is clearly "here" so far as the military are +concerned, and U.S. forces—particularly since the development of the +much lighter atomic warheads—have been likewise diligent in their space +efforts. This is because many military minds are now agreed that:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>We are moving inevitably into a time of astropower. We face a +threat beyond imagination, should events ever lead to open conflict +in a world of hypersonic velocities and a raging atom chained as +our slave. We must be strong, we must be able to change to meet +change. What may come against our beloved America will not be +signaled by one light from the North Church steeple, if they come +by land, or two, if they come by sea. Never again. They will come +through space, and their light of warning will be the blinding +terror of a thermonuclear fireball.<a name="FNanchor_12_12" id="FNanchor_12_12"></a><a href="#Footnote_12_12" class="fnanchor">[12]</a></p></div> + +<p>It is important to note, in connection with military matters, that pure +rocket power, is not the only avenue to success in space use. The +American Atlas missile, for example, which can carry a nuclear warhead +and which operates on considerably less thrust than the powerful Soviet +boosters thus far demonstrated, has nevertheless shown the capability of +negotiating a 9,000-mile trek and landing in the target area. This is +about 1,500 miles farther than any Soviet shots revealed to the public +in the 2½-year period following the first sputnik. It is also a +sufficient range to permit reaching almost any likely target on the +globe.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_11" id="Page_11">[Pg 11]</a></span></p> + +<p>From the military point of view, the meaning thus brought out is that +sophistication of missiles together with reliability and ease of +handling is more important than pure power.</p> + +<p>When we begin to consider both the civil and military aspects of space +use in the decades ahead, however, rocket power acquires fresh +importance. It is, as one expert says, "the key to space supremacy."<a name="FNanchor_13_13" id="FNanchor_13_13"></a><a href="#Footnote_13_13" class="fnanchor">[13]</a> +Not only is much heavier thrust required for ventures farther out into +space, but probably thrust developed by different means as well, such as +atom, ion, or even photon power.</p> + +<p>This suggests the possibilities of weapons which today are considered to +be "way out" or "blue sky"—in short, farfetched. Yet they include the +ideas of men with solid scientific training as well as vision. For +example, Germany's great rocket pioneer, Prof. Hermann Oberth, "has +proposed that a giant mirror in space (some 60 miles in diameter) could +be used militarily to burn an enemy country on Earth. For peaceful +purposes, however, such a space mirror could be used to melt icebergs +and alter temperatures."<a name="FNanchor_14_14" id="FNanchor_14_14"></a><a href="#Footnote_14_14" class="fnanchor">[14]</a> Another reputable German scientist who has +been working for a number of years on photon (electromagnetic ray) power +as a source of propulsion, declares that if such power is possible so is +"the idea of a 'death ray,' a weapon beam which burns or melts targets, +such as enemy missiles, on which it is trained. The idea has been +familiar in science fiction for a long time and has been scorned often +enough. Yet, if the photon rocket is possible so is the ray gun."<a name="FNanchor_15_15" id="FNanchor_15_15"></a><a href="#Footnote_15_15" class="fnanchor">[15]</a></p> + +<p>Still another proposal, one made to the Congress, involves use of the +Moon as a military base. "It could, at some future date, be used as a +secure base to deter aggression. Lunar launching sites, perhaps located +on the far side of the Moon, which could never be viewed directly from +the Earth, could launch missiles earthward. They could be guided +accurately during flight and to impact, and thus might serve peaceful +ends by deterring any would-be aggressor."<a name="FNanchor_16_16" id="FNanchor_16_16"></a><a href="#Footnote_16_16" class="fnanchor">[16]</a></p> + +<p>In spite of the fact that ideas such as these are being sponsored by +competent and responsible scientists, other scientists equally competent +and responsible sometimes cry them down as impractical, impossible or +even childish. One engineer, for instance, describes maneuverable manned +space vehicles as having "no military value," bases on the Moon as +having no military or communications use, and the idea of high velocity +photon-power for space travel as "a fantasy strictly for immature +science fiction." He also characterizes the reconnaissance satellite, +which U.S. military authorities have long since programmed and even +launched, as being "definitely submarginal * * *. A fraction of the cost +of a reconnaissance satellite could accomplish wonders in conventional +information gathering."<a name="FNanchor_17_17" id="FNanchor_17_17"></a><a href="#Footnote_17_17" class="fnanchor">[17]</a></p> + +<p>Controversies such as these are difficult for the person who is neither +a scientist nor a military expert to judge. One is inclined to recall, +though, the treatment received by General Billy Mitchell for his +devotion to nonconventional bombing concepts; the fact that the utility +of the rocket as developed by America's pioneer, Dr. Robert H. Goddard, +was generally ignored during World War II; the fact that it<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_12" id="Page_12">[Pg 12]</a></span> took a +personal letter from Albert Einstein to President Roosevelt to get the +Manhattan Project underway.</p> + +<p>Yet today the bomber, the missile, and the nuclear weapon form the +backbone of our military posture.</p> + +<p>In other words, history seems to support the proposition that no matter +how remote or unlikely new discoveries and approaches may first appear, +the military eventually finds a way to use them.</p> + +<p>Will it be any different with space exploration?</p> + + +<h3>OUR POSITION IN THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY</h3> + +<p>Like the military values of space research, the practical value of space +exploration in terms of world prestige has also been acknowledged almost +from the beginning of the satellite era.</p> + +<p>The White House, in its initial statement on the national space program, +declared:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>It is useful to distinguish among (the) factors which give +importance, urgency, and inevitability to the advancement of space +technology (one of which) is the factor of national prestige. To be +strong and bold in space technology will enhance the prestige of +the United States among the peoples of the world and create added +confidence in our scientific, technological, industrial, and +military strength.<a name="FNanchor_18_18" id="FNanchor_18_18"></a><a href="#Footnote_18_18" class="fnanchor">[18]</a></p></div> + +<p>Only recently, however, has the full impact and meaning of this phase of +our national space program come to be widely recognized. It has been +stated, perhaps in its most forceful and succinct form, by an American +official in a unique position to know. The Director of the U.S. +Information Agency, part of whose job is to keep track of the esteem in +which America is held abroad, has told Congress:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Our space program may be considered as a measure of our vitality +and our ability to compete with a formidable rival and as a +criterion of our ability to maintain technological eminence worthy +of emulation by other peoples.<a name="FNanchor_19_19" id="FNanchor_19_19"></a><a href="#Footnote_19_19" class="fnanchor">[19]</a></p></div> + +<p>This element of space exploration takes on particular significance in +light of the current international struggle to influence the minds of +men, in light of the rising tide of nationalism throughout the world, +and in light of the intensification of the cold war as demonstrated by +the now-famous U-2 incident and the hardening attitude of oriental +communism.</p> + +<p>In the words of an influential newspaper:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Wholly apart from the intellectual compulsions that now drive man +to move higher and higher into the high heavens, it seems clear +that our country can be niggardly in this field only at the risk of +being completely and forever outclassed by Russia—a gamble that +could have the most fearful political, economic, and military +consequences.<a name="FNanchor_20_20" id="FNanchor_20_20"></a><a href="#Footnote_20_20" class="fnanchor">[20]</a></p></div> + +<p>Incidentally, there is another prestige factor to be considered. This is +what might be called the chain-reaction factor: the likelihood that +technological preeminence in the space field will attract top talent<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_13" id="Page_13">[Pg 13]</a></span> +from other parts of the world to the banner of the country which +develops it, and thus constantly nourish and replenish the efforts of +that country. It is a consideration which has not received general +attention, although it has been discussed before some of the world's +leading space scientists.<a name="FNanchor_21_21" id="FNanchor_21_21"></a><a href="#Footnote_21_21" class="fnanchor">[21]</a></p> + +<p>Here again, as with the military situation, the Soviets are making every +effort to exploit their dexterity in space. They are pursuing the +prestige gambit directly and indirectly. In the first category, for +example, they give top priority to space exhibits in important public +forums—as their duplicate sputniks strategically placed at the world's +fair and the United Nations attest. Premier Khrushchev's delight in +making gifts to foreigners of miniature Soviet pennants similar to that +carried in Lunik II—which hit the Moon—is another instance.<a name="FNanchor_22_22" id="FNanchor_22_22"></a><a href="#Footnote_22_22" class="fnanchor">[22]</a></p> + +<p>The indirect drive for prestige via space technology is far more +important. It has been described by a congressional committee as +follows:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>It is difficult to escape the conclusion that the Soviet Union in +the last several years has demonstrated a great skill in +coordinating its progress in missilery, its success in space +missions, and its foreign policy and world image. Shots seem to +have been timed to maximize the effects of visits of Soviet leaders +and to punctuate Soviet statements and positions in international +negotiations. This is not to equate their space activities with +hollow propaganda. Empty claims do not have a positive effect for +long. Nor is there any firm evidence that it has been possible for +political policymakers to call their shots at times inconsistent +with good scientific and technical needs. The conclusion is rather +that the many elements of scientific, technical, military, +political, and psychological policy are all weighed, and tests +which make a full contribution to such a combined strategy are +carried out and supported with appropriate publicity.<a name="FNanchor_23_23" id="FNanchor_23_23"></a><a href="#Footnote_23_23" class="fnanchor">[23]</a></p></div> + +<p>There is also evidence that scientific endeavor by the Russians for +prestige purposes is having repercussions on internal policy. Great +emphasis is currently being placed on the demonstrable usefulness of +scientific effort—to the extent that Soviet colleges, research +institutions, examining boards, and academies of science have been +directed to be more exacting in conferring scientific degrees and +titles. Newness and usefulness are requisite, but, at the same time, +degrees may now be awarded for other than dissertations; inventions and +textbooks of major importance may also earn a degree for their +authors.<a name="FNanchor_24_24" id="FNanchor_24_24"></a><a href="#Footnote_24_24" class="fnanchor">[24]</a></p> + +<p>Within the prestige context, it is true that the United States must +labor under certain handicaps because of the nature of its democratic +system.</p> + +<p>No effort is made in the American space program to hide the failures +which result from its highly complex character. Our burnups, misfires, +explosions, fizzles, and lost or wayward vehicles are well publicized. +Those of the Soviet Union rarely are. Even though most nations are well +aware that the Russians must be having their troubles,<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_14" id="Page_14">[Pg 14]</a></span> too, the +appearance of uniform success fostered by the U.S.S.R. inevitably +contributes to an image of scientific superiority. In addition, the +Soviets have developed a habit of striving for spectacular "firsts," +most of which undoubtedly are undertaken almost as much for prestige +reasons as for scientific ones.</p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img014.jpg" width="434" height="550" alt="Figure 4." title="Figure 4." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 4.—Symbolic of the American effort in +space is this Thor-Able rocket, shown here launching the Tiros weather +satellite into a near-perfect orbit. This same vehicle, which launched +the record-breaking 23 million-mile communication probe—Pioneer V—has +contributed enormously to U.S. prestige abroad.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_15" id="Page_15">[Pg 15]</a></span></p> + +<p>Still, the United States has not done badly from the prestige angle. So +far as the world's scientific fraternity is concerned, it may even be +well in the lead.</p> + +<p>In the first 30 or so months following the opening of the space age, as +signaled by the launching of Sputnik I in October 1957, the United +States put 21 satellites into orbit out of 42 attempts. Two out of five +deep-space probes were successful. The degree of success for all major +launchings ran better than 50 percent. The American effort has been +based on a broad scope of inquiry and includes long-range +communications, weather reporting, navigation and surveillance vehicles, +as well as information-gathering satellites.</p> + +<p>During the same period the Soviets launched four Earth satellites, one +deep-space probe, one lunar-impact probe and one satellite into a much +elongated Earth orbit which circled and photographed the Moon. Most of +their vehicles have been substantially heavier than those launched by +the United States, although complete information on their scientific +purposes and the result obtained has never been disclosed.</p> + +<p>The world political value of such programs cannot be discounted. To the +extent that the welfare of the United States depends upon its stature in +the eyes of the rest of the world (which is believed considerable) and +to the extent that the scientific capability of the United States +influences such stature (which is also believed considerable) our space +venture has very marked practical utility. It may even mean the +difference between freedom and dictatorship, between survival and +oblivion.</p> + + +<h3>SPACE AS A SUBSTITUTE FOR WAR</h3> + +<p>A natural outgrowth of the military and prestige facets of space +exploration is the question of whether this activity, in time, will +replace the forces which have historically driven nations into armed +conflict.</p> + +<p>Any number of social scientists and historians have speculated that this +might occur. The theory is that the conquest of space may prove to be +the moral equivalent of war by substituting for certain material and +psychological needs usually supplied through war; that the absorption of +energies, resources, imagination, and aggressiveness in pursuit of the +space adventure may become an effective way of maintaining peace.</p> + +<p>Put another way, nations might become "extroverted" to the point where +their urge to overcome the unknown would dwarf their historic desires +for power, wealth, and recognition—attributes which have so often led +to war in the past.</p> + +<p>The fact that the United Nations, late in 1959, agreed to set up a +permanent Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space attests to the +hopes and potential of such a development.</p> + +<p>Of course, whether this condition will actually develop is anybody's +guess. But in a world where brute force is becoming increasingly +dangerous and catastrophic, the bare possibility of such a result should +not be ignored by those who may be contemplating the values of space +exploration. It could be the highest value of them all.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_16" id="Page_16">[Pg 16]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img016.jpg" width="342" height="500" alt="Figure 5." title="Figure 5." /></div> + + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 5.—Today's assembly lines for +automobiles and aircraft are being supplemented by the growing +astronautics industry, here shown turning out capsules for manned space +flight.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_17" id="Page_17">[Pg 17]</a></span></p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2>III. <span class="smcap">The Economic Values</span></h2> + + +<p>We in the United States believe that we have the world's highest +standard of living. Our current wealth, prosperity, consumer goods and +gross national product are at a peak hitherto unreached by any country.</p> + +<p>Nevertheless, economists who see the steady preponderant outflow of +goods and capital from the United States and who study the rising rate +of economic capability in other countries can find little room for +complacence in the present status of things. They are also well aware of +the Soviet Union's announced intent of beating the United States at its +own game: economic expansion.</p> + +<p>Military historians are likewise aware that even strong economies, when +they become static, do not guarantee safety. On the contrary, they seem +likely to induce a dangerous national apathy.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>This syndrome is familiar in history. Carthage suffered from it. +Carthage enjoyed enormous prosperity and was flourishing when she +was destroyed by her Roman competitor. Much later, Rome had a gross +national product without precedence. Her wealth and splendor were +unsurpassed when the Vandals and Visigoths began their onslaughts. +Neither Rome's great engineering skills, its architectural +grandeur, its great laws, nor, in the last analysis, its gross +national product, could prevail against the barbarians. Their GNP +was negligible; nevertheless they ransacked the mighty Roman +Empire.</p> + +<p>The gross national product is no insurance of survival. It is not a +sign of military strength, and indeed, it may not even be +sufficient for the economic battle.<a name="FNanchor_25_25" id="FNanchor_25_25"></a><a href="#Footnote_25_25" class="fnanchor">[25]</a></p></div> + +<p>Thus from the point of view of economic stimulus and continued +commercial dynamism, space exploration should be—and is proving to +be—a godsend.</p> + + +<h3>U.S. EXPENDITURES ON SPACE</h3> + +<p>It is impossible to arrive at accurate figures which might help indicate +the extent of this effort in dollars and cents. But we do know that the +U.S. Government is presently putting about $3.5 billion annually into +the research and development phases. How much more may be going into the +purchase of completed space hardware is difficult to say; certainly it +is a higher figure still. The National Aeronautics and Space +Administration, in presenting its 10-year plan to Congress recently, +indicated that this agency alone expects to average between $1.5 and $2 +billion a year during the next decade.</p> + +<p>The amount of effort going into space-related programs on the part of +private industry, measured in dollars, again can only be roughly +estimated. But it is a sizable figure and is known to be growing. It may +amount to half the governmental research and development outlay.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_18" id="Page_18">[Pg 18]</a></span></p> + +<p>These figures add up to a very important segment of the national +economy, and the fact that they represent a highly active and +progressive segment is particularly heartening to the economic experts +of the Nation.</p> + + +<h3>THE SPREAD OF ECONOMIC BENEFITS</h3> + +<p>One of the most useful characteristics of the space program is that its +needs "spread across the entire industrial spectrum—electronics, +metals, fuels, ceramics, machinery, plastics, instruments, textiles, +thermals, cryogenics, and a thousand other areas."<a name="FNanchor_26_26" id="FNanchor_26_26"></a><a href="#Footnote_26_26" class="fnanchor">[26]</a> The benefits from +space exploration thus have a way of filtering into almost every area of +the American economy, either directly or indirectly. "Perhaps the +greatest economic treasure is the advanced technology required for more +and more difficult space missions. This new technology is advancing at a +meteoric rate. Its benefits are spreading throughout our whole +industrial and economic system."<a name="FNanchor_27_27" id="FNanchor_27_27"></a><a href="#Footnote_27_27" class="fnanchor">[27]</a></p> + +<p>A graphic example of the manner in which the technological and economic +benefits from the space program can grow may be seen from the +development of the X-15. This rocket craft, designed to "fly" beyond the +Earth's atmosphere at altitudes up to 100 miles, is the product of 400 +different firms and contractors.</p> + +<p>Inasmuch as other nations, those which generally have lagged behind the +United States in technical know-how, are now rapidly bringing their +technology up to date—this windfall from our space program is +especially opportune. It is providing the incentive to American industry +to remain in the world's technological van. And it is emphasizing that +economic leadership is a dynamic thing, that U.S. mass-production +techniques which have enabled the Nation to compete so well in foreign +markets are no longer, of themselves, sufficient guarantee of superior +economic position.</p> + +<p>While America's space exploration program, on a formal basis, came into +being as recently as October 1958, its impact on the national economy +has probably been sharper than that of any single new program ever +conceived. For there are now at least 5,000 companies or research +organizations engaged in the missile-space industry. And more than 3,200 +different space-related products have been required and are being +produced to date.<a name="FNanchor_28_28" id="FNanchor_28_28"></a><a href="#Footnote_28_28" class="fnanchor">[28]</a></p> + +<p>One can only speculate on the economic effect which the space program is +having on investments or on investors who have no other connection with +it. It seems significant, however, that the stock market pages in recent +months have come to devote a good deal of attention to "space issues." +Financially speaking, space has thus become a major category. That it +has done so in such a short period would seem to have marked +implications for the future.</p> + +<p>In brief, space exploration is becoming almost an industry in itself, +and there are those who believe it destined to become the largest +industrial spur in the Nation before too many years have gone by.</p> + +<p>One expert, an experienced hand not only in astronautics but in the +business world as well, describes the outlook in this fashion: "A great +industrial change is taking place in the United States. The aircraft +industry, which long considered missiles as a small department, now +finds itself becoming a part of the large missile and space<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_19" id="Page_19">[Pg 19]</a></span> flight +industry. It is an elemental evolution. An industrial change is upon us +comparable to the advent of mercantilism."<a name="FNanchor_29_29" id="FNanchor_29_29"></a><a href="#Footnote_29_29" class="fnanchor">[29]</a> He has predicted that +within a decade or so the astronautics industry will be larger than the +automotive industry of the entire world.</p> + +<p>While such predictions may be overly optimistic, they can scarcely be +dismissed as irresponsible in the light of what has already happened.</p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img019.jpg" width="500" height="389" alt="Figure 6." title="Figure 6." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 6.—Booster engines of tomorrow, such as +this mockup of the 1,500,000 pound thrust single engine, will place +broad requirements on men and materials.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<h3>CREATION OF NEW INDUSTRIES</h3> + +<p>Whether or not we think of the missile-space business as being a +self-contained industry, the requirements and exigencies of space +exploration can be expected to result in the creation of new or greatly +strengthened industrial branches, for example:</p> + + +<p><i>Research</i></p> + +<p>This phase of the American economy is having a phenomenal growth. Not +only have many established industries now placed research high on their +organizational charts, but hundreds, perhaps thousands, of new +businesses are springing up which are entirely devoted to research and +development. R. & D., as it is called, is their stock in trade, their +only product. And space exploration appears to have given them their +greatest boost.</p> + +<p>One recent study on the subject regards research as the fourth major +industrial revolution to take place in American history, following<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_20" id="Page_20">[Pg 20]</a></span> the +advents of steam mechanization, steel, electricity-and-internal +combustion engines.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>The fourth industrial revolution, ours, is unique in the number of +people working on it, its complexity, and its power to push the +economy at a rate previously impossible.</p> + +<p>Today between 5,000 and 50,000 <i>technical entrepreneurs</i> (top R. & +D. engineers, leading scientists, and highly effective technical +managers) are directly analogous to an estimated 50 to 500 men in +all of the first three periods. Thus about 100 times the effort in +terms of qualitative (effective, creative, patent-producing) +manpower is being spent on the fourth revolution as on the other +three combined.</p> + +<p>Total manpower, of course, is much more than that: there are +probably 700,000 engineers and industrially oriented scientists in +the United States today, as against 2,000 even as late as Edison's +first high voltage light bulb. Whereas Edison worked with 20 to 100 +scientists in his laboratory, and Fulton labored alone, there are +5,000 industrial laboratories today employing from 20 to 7,300 +technical men each.<a name="FNanchor_30_30" id="FNanchor_30_30"></a><a href="#Footnote_30_30" class="fnanchor">[30]</a></p></div> + + +<p><i>New power sources</i></p> + +<p>One of the greatest demands of spacecraft of the future will be for new +sources of power. While rocket propulsion power is part of this picture, +the power needed to operate space vehicles after launching may prove to +be the larger and more important need. Progress has already been made in +this direction by use of special kinds of batteries and solar cells +which convert the sun's rays into electric current. But these will need +supplementing or replacing eventually as greater power becomes +necessary.</p> + +<p>It would be rash to predict the outcome of this complicated field, but +certain very promising methods can be listed.</p> + +<p>One is the fuel cell, which converts fuel directly into electric power +without the necessity for machinery or working parts. Much progress has +been made on the fuel cell in recent months. In England a 40-cell unit +has been used to drive a forklift truck and to do electric welding. It +develops up to 5 kilowatts.<a name="FNanchor_31_31" id="FNanchor_31_31"></a><a href="#Footnote_31_31" class="fnanchor">[31]</a> In the United States a 30-cell portable +powerplant developing 200 watts has been delivered to the Army and +Marine Corps,<a name="FNanchor_32_32" id="FNanchor_32_32"></a><a href="#Footnote_32_32" class="fnanchor">[32]</a> while a 1,000-unit cell has been developed in the +Midwest which provides 15 kilowatts and drives a tractor.<a name="FNanchor_33_33" id="FNanchor_33_33"></a><a href="#Footnote_33_33" class="fnanchor">[33]</a></p> + +<p>Another method is plasma power, or power generated through the use of +hot ionized gas. Such gas acts as a conductor of electricity and when +employed as a "magnetohydrodynamics" generator it can be used for a +variety of purposes. It has the advantage of being simple, rugged, and +efficient. Some day it may also prove very economical. Already 10 +municipal areas along the Mason-Dixon line are preparing to experiment +with electric power derived from this source.<a name="FNanchor_34_34" id="FNanchor_34_34"></a><a href="#Footnote_34_34" class="fnanchor">[34]</a> It has been estimated +that "as much as 1 million watts could be generated by shooting a stream +of plasma at speeds three times that of sound through a magnetic field +only 3 feet long and with the magnetic poles 6 inches apart."<a name="FNanchor_35_35" id="FNanchor_35_35"></a><a href="#Footnote_35_35" class="fnanchor">[35]</a><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_21" id="Page_21">[Pg 21]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img021.jpg" width="500" height="313" alt="Figure 7." title="Figure 7." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 7.—The possible power source for space +ships of the future, the ion jet, has significant counterpart uses for +the commercial world.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<p>Another possible source is photoelectric power. While a number of very +difficult problems block the practical generation of this kind of power, +the astronautics research division of one American company has now +succeeded in increasing the efficiency of photoelectric cells by a +factor of more than 300.<a name="FNanchor_36_36" id="FNanchor_36_36"></a><a href="#Footnote_36_36" class="fnanchor">[36]</a> So the possibilities in this area are +looking up. As discussed in section II, photon power derived from the +ejection of electromagnetic rays may someday prove a source for +accelerating vehicles once they have escaped from Earth's gravity.</p> + +<p>Another possibility, of course, is atomic energy about which much has +been said and written. If, as some scientists believe, extensive space +exploration by manned crews will depend on harnessing this great source +of energy—both for booster purposes and for operating spacecraft in the +distant parts of our interplanetary system—this fact alone may assure +that the obstacles to practical nuclear energy are overcome faster and +more completely than would otherwise be the case. It is interesting to +note that the science of controlling nuclear fusion (as opposed to +fission) has come so far in the past several years that 11 private power +companies are pooling their resources to advance this state of the +art.<a name="FNanchor_37_37" id="FNanchor_37_37"></a><a href="#Footnote_37_37" class="fnanchor">[37]</a></p> + + +<p><i>New water sources and uses</i></p> + +<p>A look into the future indicates very strongly that water will become a +major world problem, possibly by the beginning of the 1970's, which is +likely to be another "dry" decade. Present water supplies, coupled with +the increasing population and the many new uses for water, are barely +adequate now. In another 10 years the situation could be critical.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_22" id="Page_22">[Pg 22]</a></span></p> + +<p>Part of our national space program includes studies on how to use and +reuse water to the best advantage of the human in space. A number of +avenues are being followed, including vaporization of volatiles in +biological wastes.<a name="FNanchor_38_38" id="FNanchor_38_38"></a><a href="#Footnote_38_38" class="fnanchor">[38]</a></p> + +<p>From research of this kind it is more than possible that knowledge will +evolve which will prove useful in the practical production of fresh +water from other chemical compounds or mixtures, including seawater. +More than that, it could lead to new ways for extracting much needed +materials from the sea. Seawater contains 40 basic elements, 19 in +relatively copious amounts. These elements run from 18,980 parts parts +per million of chlorine to 0,0000002 part per billion of radium. Yet, so +far, we have learned to extract only bromine and magnesium in useful +amounts.<a name="FNanchor_39_39" id="FNanchor_39_39"></a><a href="#Footnote_39_39" class="fnanchor">[39]</a> Conversely, the study of how marine animals extract rare +elements from the seawater, such as the extraction of copper compounds +by the octopus, could provide astronautic researchers with important +clues for keeping man alive in space.</p> + + +<p><i>Noise and human engineering</i></p> + +<p>This is a field in which research has been going on seriously for only a +few years. Most of it has developed since World War II. Human +engineering is involved primarily with the reaction of people to their +immediate surroundings and how to arrange those surroundings in order to +permit the most comfortable and efficient functioning within them.</p> + +<p>The noise aspect of human engineering, as it may develop from the +problems of astronauts operating in a silent world, could lead to a +variety of innovations for improving the performance of workers or even +the general attitude of people living in urban areas. In today's world, +where humans are subjected to so many different kinds, degrees, and +sources of noise, psychologists consider the matter to be of no small +importance.</p> + + +<p><i>High speed-light weight computers</i></p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Space vehicles now need electronic computers for determining the +moment of launch, for fixing orbits, for navigation, and for +processing collected data. Computers will precede man into space. +They will take over guidance and decision functions beyond limits +of human physiology, psychology, versatility, and reaction +time.<a name="FNanchor_40_40" id="FNanchor_40_40"></a><a href="#Footnote_40_40" class="fnanchor">[40]</a></p></div> + +<p>The trend in this direction is marked and space exploration is +accelerating it. Because of weight and size limitations, and due to the +genius of research, the giant electronic brain of today will soon +disappear and be replaced with an apparatus only a small fraction of its +present size. The implications for the business and professional world +are great. And a not inconsiderable side effect, according to many +modern technicians, will be the flood of brainpower released from +time-consuming chores and thus made available for more basic, creative +thought.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_23" id="Page_23">[Pg 23]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img023.jpg" width="451" height="550" alt="Figure 8." title="Figure 8." /></div> + + +<h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 8.—The needs of tomorrow's spacemen will +lead to marked advances in human engineering and psychology.</h4> +<p><br /></p> + +<p><i>Solid state physics</i></p> + +<p>Few areas of effort are advancing this extremely promising art faster +than space exploration, which places a premium on light weight and small +size. The miniaturization of equipment being placed in U.S. satellites, +for example, has been one of the contemporary wonders of the world of +science.</p> + +<p>A big part of this march toward tiny equipment is in the field of +electronics, where the process is called microminiaturization, molecular +electronics, micromodular engineering or a number of other terms. In +essence it refers to the greatly reduced size of equipment through +"integrated circuits," coupled functions, the building of complicated +components into a single molecular design and so on.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_24" id="Page_24">[Pg 24]</a></span></p> + +<p>The art has proceeded to the point where complete radios can be reduced +to the size of a lump of sugar.</p> + +<p>Clearly, this trend holds almost unlimited utility for the home, the +factory, the marketplace, the highway, the hospital or just about any +other arena one cares to name. So great is the promise that virtually +every electronics company in the country is undertaking "to take the +state of the art into fundamentally new areas" and there exploit its +many possibilities.<a name="FNanchor_41_41" id="FNanchor_41_41"></a><a href="#Footnote_41_41" class="fnanchor">[41]</a></p> + + +<h3>ECONOMIC ALLIANCES</h3> + +<p>It may be that our national space exploration program will also result +in stronger economic alliances, not only within our own national borders +but on an international basis. Interesting speculation to this effect +has been advanced by a prominent official of the National Aeronautics +and Space Administration:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>I think we may expect that the combined influence of jet aircraft +and satellite communications systems will enable us to integrate +the now somewhat distant States of Hawaii and Alaska with the rest +of the States as thoroughly as the East and West are already +integrated. Second, and in many ways a more intriguing possibility, +is the prospect of developing a truly international economic +organization. It is quite apparent that even today a large fraction +of the economy of the United States is dependent upon foreign +trade. Some nations of the world, such as England or Japan, are +almost entirely dependent upon foreign trade for their basic +standard of living; however, current foreign trade practices are +necessarily based on a somewhat leisurely pattern enforced by our +current communications capacity. Whether we will be able to +increase the efficiency and effectiveness of our activities in +foreign trade through the use of the new communications facilities +now foreseen will of course depend upon our political ability to +work out viable arrangements for our mutual benefit with our +oversea friends.</p> + +<p>One of the lessons of history in the fields of communications is +that an increase in capability has never gone unused. The +capability of doing new things has always resulted in it being +found profitable to use this capability in all fields, both +commercial and governmental.<a name="FNanchor_42_42" id="FNanchor_42_42"></a><a href="#Footnote_42_42" class="fnanchor">[42]</a></p></div> + + +<h3>PRIVATE ENTERPRISE IN SPACE</h3> + +<p>Up to now space exploration has been more or less the exclusive domain +of the Federal Government. It seems likely that this situation will not +change much in the near future. But the question finally arises: Is the +nature of space such that the traditional American concept of private +enterprise can have no place in it?</p> + +<p>On this score there is debate. Recently, however, there have been +indications that businessmen feel they will be able to conduct certain +business operations and services in space.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>The space frontier will inevitably increase the scale of thinking +and risk taking by business. When we are dealing with<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_25" id="Page_25">[Pg 25]</a></span> space, we +are dealing with a technology that requires a planetary scale to +stage it; decades of time to develop it; and much bigger +investments to get across the threshold of economic return than is +customary in business today. Business must now think in +international terms, and in terms of the next business generation. +It must step up to the big risks with the same vision that enabled +an earlier generation of builders to push railroad tracks out +across the wilderness and lay the foundations of our modern +economy.<a name="FNanchor_43_43" id="FNanchor_43_43"></a><a href="#Footnote_43_43" class="fnanchor">[43]</a></p></div> + +<p>Incidentally, it should be pointed out that space exploration is already +encouraging the formation of business of all sizes. Myriads of small +businesses have sprung up, many of them "suppliers of specialty +equipment for the larger concerns that have responsibility for major +components and systems."<a name="FNanchor_44_44" id="FNanchor_44_44"></a><a href="#Footnote_44_44" class="fnanchor">[44]</a></p> + +<p>To what extent will private enterprise become involved? Here is one +view:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>As the years pass by, and space apparatus becomes more reliable, +and the work of obtaining scientific data from space acquires a +more routine character—certainly many of the necessary operating +facilities could be put on a self-liquidating, private-industry +basis.</p> + +<p>Probably the first opportunities for private investment will come +in the commercial use of satellites. Looking even further into the +future of space exploration, perhaps there would be economic +justification for a privately owned launching service that would +put objects into space for the peaceful purposes of friendly +governments, international agencies, industry, and the +universities.</p> + +<p>The base itself, from which the commercial launching service would +operate, might be modeled after a port authority. Such a +nonmilitary, international space port could develop as a center for +many private enterprises related to space operations. These might +include service and maintenance facilities; data-processing +services; space communication centers; laboratory facilities; +standardized equipment for satellites and other space vehicles; +fuel supplies; medical services; biological services; and general +supplies.</p> + +<p>Moving away from the idea of a commercial space port, must all +future tracking stations, observatories, and data-processing +stations be Government owned? How about experimental stations for +the simulation of space environments? How about laboratories and +stations actually constructed in space? Or will privately owned +facilities one day offer these services on an international basis +to governments, industries, universities, and international +agencies?</p> + +<p>Most likely the first businesses suitable for commercial operation, +using space technologies, will be worldwide communication by +satellite, private weather forecasting, and high-speed Earth +transport by rocket.<a name="FNanchor_45_45" id="FNanchor_45_45"></a><a href="#Footnote_45_45" class="fnanchor">[45]</a></p></div><p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_26" id="Page_26">[Pg 26]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img026.jpg" width="550" height="355" alt="Figure 9." title="Figure 9." /></div> + + + +<h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 9.—The electric and electronic needs of +the space program are requiring more and more skilled labor.</h4> + +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_27" id="Page_27">[Pg 27]</a></span></p> + + +<h3>JOBS</h3> + +<p>There probably is no reliable way to gage the number of Americans who +are employed today because of the national space effort, nor to estimate +accurately the number who are likely to be employed in the years ahead.</p> + +<p>This much can be said, though. They already number in the tens of +thousands, probably in the hundreds of thousands.</p> + +<p>The Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration +has reported that his agency presently employs 18,000 persons. And he +adds "in spite of the size of this organization, we estimate that +approximately 75 percent of our budget will be expended through +contracts with industry, educational institutions, and other +nongovernmental groups."</p> + +<p>Thus the number of persons privately employed who are working on NASA +projects is, of itself, a high figure. The number employed in, by, or +for the Department of Defense on missiles or space-related projects is +undoubtedly higher.</p> + +<p>In addition to these must be added the men and women employed by private +industry in a capacity not directly related to the space program but +whose jobs have been created nonetheless by its stimulus.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>The fact is that the military and peaceful needs of the space +program are already employing a significant percentage of the +industrial work force, and will make up an even larger proportion +of total employment and production of the country as the years go +by. The aircraft industry, for example, is broadening its scope to +include missile and space technologies. Much of the electronics +industry is devoted to missile and space needs. The communications, +chemical, and metallurgical industries are increasingly involved. +These industries are already among the largest employers in the +United States, and they are the major employers of the Nation's +technical manpower. Hence we are not speaking of a minor element in +the national economy, but of its leading growth industries.<a name="FNanchor_46_46" id="FNanchor_46_46"></a><a href="#Footnote_46_46" class="fnanchor">[46]</a></p></div> + +<p>This phase of the space program's value should not be eyed merely from +the standpoint of scientists and the labor market. It has major +significance for the professions—for doctors, lawyers, architects, +teachers, and engineers. All of these will be vitally concerned with +space exploration in the future. The doctor with space medicine and its +results; the lawyer with business relations and a vastly increased need +for knowledge in international law; the architect with the construction +of spaceports and data and tracking facilities; the teacher with the +booming demand for new types of space-engendered curricula.</p> + +<p>As for the engineer—</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>In this pyramid of scientific and engineering effort there will be +found requirements for the services of almost every type of +scientist and engineer to a greater or less degree. In the +forefront, of course, are the aerospace and astronautical engineers +but the development of the Saturn<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_28" id="Page_28">[Pg 28]</a></span> launching vehicle has also +enlisted the cooperation of civil, mechanical, electrical, +metallurgical, chemical, automotive, structural, radio, and +electronics engineers. Much of their work relates to ground +handling equipment, special automotive and barge equipment, +checkout equipment, and all the other devices needed to support the +design, construction, testing, launching, and data gathering.<a name="FNanchor_47_47" id="FNanchor_47_47"></a><a href="#Footnote_47_47" class="fnanchor">[47]</a></p></div> + + +<h3>AUTOMATION AND DISARMAMENT</h3> + +<p>Finally, an economic value of extreme importance could be the ultimate +role of the space program in modifying the threat to labor which is +inherent in automation and disarmament. Space exploration, opening up +new and profitable vistas, could take up much of the slack thus imposed +and do it at a higher and more intellectual job level.</p> + +<p>Automation, as we know, is already in the process. In agriculture alone +it has bitten deeply into the laboring force and yet produces greater +crops than ever.<a name="FNanchor_48_48" id="FNanchor_48_48"></a><a href="#Footnote_48_48" class="fnanchor">[48]</a> It is gathering strength in many other fields.</p> + +<p>Disarmament is a long way from being a reality. But all nations of the +world are striving for it, or at least giving lipservice to its +principles, so it may one day emerge as a reality. If this happens, +space exploration again may be a most important element in taking up the +slack which a prominent reduction in defense activity could not help but +bring about.</p> + +<p>Indeed, there are some who already foresee a complete substitution of +space for defense, and who prognosticate that in the 1990's "the economy +of nations is now based on the astronautics industry, instead of +war."<a name="FNanchor_49_49" id="FNanchor_49_49"></a><a href="#Footnote_49_49" class="fnanchor">[49]</a> Certainly, some new economic force would be crucial to nations +deprived of the need for devising and manufacturing weapons.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_30" id="Page_30">[Pg 30]</a></span><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_29" id="Page_29">[Pg 29]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img030.jpg" width="550" height="433" alt="Figure 10." title="Figure 10." /></div> + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 10.—A host of new materials, skills, and +engineering techniques are bound up in the construction of rocket +engines such as this first stage booster.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_31" id="Page_31">[Pg 31]</a></span></p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2><a name="IV_Values_for_Everyday_Living" id="IV_Values_for_Everyday_Living"></a>IV. <span class="smcap">Values for Everyday Living</span></h2> + + +<p>The so-called side effects of the space exploration program are showing +a remarkable ability to produce innovations which, in turn, improve the +quality of everyday work and everyday living throughout the United +States.</p> + +<p>In setting forth specific ways and means in which the space program is +producing practical uses, it must be kept in mind that no attempt is +made here to separate uses resulting from the civil phases of the +program from those developed by the military phases. Inasmuch as the two +are closely intertwined, it would seem impractical to do so. And, in +instances where the same or similar research is being conducted by a +single contractor on behalf of both phases, it is usually impossible to +do so.</p> + + +<h3>TECHNOLOGICAL BENEFITS</h3> + +<p>This category of the practical uses of the space program is impressive +indeed.</p> + +<p>Most of us are familiar with the plans which the United States has for +using artificial satellites in ways which will be beneficial to all +mankind. These include the satellite used for worldwide communications, +for global television, for quick and accurate navigation, and for much +improved weather prediction and weather understanding.</p> + +<p>Here, however, is a summary of space-related developments about which +the American public has heard considerably less:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>First, there is the high-speed computer. Developed initially to +meet military demands for faster calculation, the computer is an +integral part of American industry, making it possible to do many +operations with a high degree of efficiency and accuracy. +Thermoelectric devices for heating and cooling, now adapted for +commercial applications, were originally designed to provide energy +sources for space vehicles. The glass industry, as a result of work +done during and after the Second World War on lenses and plastics, +promises substantial gains in the consumer fields of optics and +foods. Pyroceram, developed for missile radomes, is now being used +in the manufacture of pots and pans. Materials suitable for use in +the nuclear preservation of food may make us even better fed than +we already are.</p> + +<p>Medical research, and our health problems, can use such things as +film resistance thermometers. Electronic equipment capable of +measuring low-level electrical signals is being adapted to measure +body temperature and blood flow. In a dramatic breakthrough, +illustrating the unexpected benefits of research, it has been found +that a derivative of hydrazine, developed as a liquid missile +propellant, is useful in treating certain mental illnesses and +tuberculosis.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_32" id="Page_32">[Pg 32]</a></span></p> + +<p>Of course, the aeronautics industry has benefited tremendously. +Engines, automatic pilots, radar systems, flight equipment, capable +of meeting the high standards required by space vehicles represent +a great improvement over our already excellent aircraft.</p> + +<p>A plasma arc torch (has been) developed for fabricating ultrahard +materials and coatings by mass production methods. The torch, an +outgrowth of plasma technology, develops heats of 30,000 degrees +and can work within tolerances of two-thousandths of an inch. +Another application from the missile field, which shows real +possibilities, is a reliable flow meter that has no packings or +bearings. This was first developed for measuring liquefied gases +and should have a very wide industrial usefulness. It may even lead +to improvements in marine devices for measuring distance and +velocity.</p> + +<p>Ground-to-air missiles that ride a beam to their targets must +measure the distance to the target plane with an accuracy of a few +feet in several miles. This principle, now being applied to +surveying techniques, has revolutionized the surveying industry.</p> + +<p>The solenoid valve, which seats itself softly enough to eliminate +vibration, has been applied very satisfactorily to home-heating +systems.</p> + +<p>The use of the jet drilling for mining is another, and worthy of +amplification. Missiles are already working the economically +unminable taconite ore of the Mesabi Range, have helped build the +St. Lawrence Seaway, and are bringing down costs in quarrying.</p> + +<p>It is estimated that taconite will be supplying about a third of +our ores in less than 20 years. Until 1947 we were unable to mine +this very hard rock, and then suitable rotary and churn drills were +produced. Jet drilling, now available, cracks and crumbles stone +layers by thermally induced expansion and is somewhere between 3 +and 5 times faster than rotaries.</p> + +<p>Jet piercing can take us far deeper into the earth than we have +been able to go so far, to new sources of ore and hydrocarbons.</p> + +<p>In stone quarrying, jet spalling and channeling are proven +techniques. Stone quarrying has been expensive and wasteful +heretofore. Rocket flame equipment allows cutting along the natural +cleavage planes, or crystal boundaries—hence cuts stone thin +without danger of cracking and, in addition, produces a fine finish +that cannot be obtained when cutting by steel or abrasive tools.</p> + +<p>Scientific literature is beginning to contain speculations on using +the principle of the missile engine to save unstable intermediate +products of the chemical processes. The high heats achieved in the +rocket engine can, perhaps, be utilized to produce desired products +that would be lost by slow cooling. But the high rate of cooling +accomplished by expanding gases through the engine nozzle, it is +thought, would save these unstable compounds.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_33" id="Page_33">[Pg 33]</a></span></p> + +<p>Infrared has come into its own through missile electronics. +Infrared—since it cannot be jammed—appears to be challenging +radar for use in guidance devices, tracking systems, and +reconnaissance vehicles. Infrared is being used industrially to +measure the compositions of fluids in complex processes of chemical +petroleum refining and distilling. Infrared cameras are used in +analyzing metallurgical material processing operations, to aid in +accuracy and quality control. The entire infrared field should be +significantly assisted in its growth and application through our +missile-space programs.</p> + +<p>Another very promising outcome from missile development is a +computer converter that can quickly transform analogue +signals—such as pressure measurements—into digital form.</p> + +<p>In the near future, when guidance devices permit soft landing, +rocket cargo and passenger transport will become feasible. Mail may +become almost as swift as telephone.</p> + +<p>We are making rapid progress in the economics of space travel: +payload costs for Vanguard were about $1 billion a pound; for the +near future launchings, payload cost should be about $1,000 per +pound. When payload costs are about a hundred dollars a pound we +may expect commercial space flight.<a name="FNanchor_50_50" id="FNanchor_50_50"></a><a href="#Footnote_50_50" class="fnanchor">[50]</a></p></div> + +<p>Hundreds of other examples of the space program's value for everyday +living could be cited.</p> + +<p>One with wide possibilities is a new welding process by using a +high-powered electron beam gun, developed for the fabrication of +spaceships and other space vehicles. This method permits welding joints +capable of withstanding temperatures up to 3,000° F.; it can be used on +metals such as molybdenum and pure tungsten. And, its developers say, it +results in welded joints that have deep penetration and narrow weld +beads that are virtually free of contamination.<a name="FNanchor_51_51" id="FNanchor_51_51"></a><a href="#Footnote_51_51" class="fnanchor">[51]</a></p> + +<p>Another ingenius application, resulting from the Navy's space research +program, has significant utility for medicine and surgery. This is a +glass fiber device which, when placed in the mouth during dental work or +in the area of surgical incision, permits a much magnified televising of +the operation. It holds considerable promise for teaching techniques in +many fields.<a name="FNanchor_52_52" id="FNanchor_52_52"></a><a href="#Footnote_52_52" class="fnanchor">[52]</a></p> + +<p>Another example is a finely woven stainless steel cloth designed for +parachuting space vehicles back to Earth. The cloth is made of fine wire +of great strength which can withstand tremendous temperatures and +chemical contamination. The wire from which the cloth is woven is about +one-fifth the thickness of a human hair and is believed to have marked +potential for industry and consumers alike.</p> + +<p>Here is an additional list of examples:<a name="FNanchor_53_53" id="FNanchor_53_53"></a><a href="#Footnote_53_53" class="fnanchor">[53]</a></p> +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_34" id="Page_34">[Pg 34]</a></span></p> +<div class="blockquot"><p>Microminiature transmitters and receivers—used by police and +doctors.</p> + +<p>Target drone autopilot—used as an inexpensive pilot assist and +safety device for private aircraft.</p> + +<p>Inert thread sealing compound—- used by pump manufacturers serving +process industries.</p> + +<p>Satellite scan devices—used in infrared appliances, e.g., lamps, +roasters, switches, ovens.</p> + +<p>Automatic control components—used as proximity switches, plugs, +valves, cylinders; other components already are an integral part of +industrial conveyor systems.</p> + +<p>Missile accelerometers, torquemeters, strain gage equipment—used +in auto crash tests, motor testing, shipbuilding and bridge +construction.</p> + +<p>Space recording equipment automatically stopped and started by +sound of voice—used widely as conference recorder.</p> + +<p>Armalite radar—used as proximity warning device for aircraft.</p> + +<p>Miniature electronics and bearings—used for portable radio and +television; excessively small roller, needle and ball bearings used +for such equipment as air-turbine dental drills.</p> + +<p>Epoxy missile resin—used for plastic tooling, metal bonding, +adhesive, and casting and laminating applications.</p> + +<p>Silicones for motor insulation and subzero lubricants—used in new +glassmaking techniques for myriad products.</p> + +<p>Ribbon glass for capacitors—used widely in electronics field.</p> + +<p>Radar bulbs—used in air traffic control equipment.</p> + +<p>Ribbon cable for missiles—used in the communications industry.</p> + +<p>Automatic gun cameras—used in banks, toll booths, etc.</p> + +<p>Fluxless aluminum soldering—used for kitchen utensil repair, +gutters, flashings, antennas, electrical joints, auto repairing, +farm machinery, etc.</p> + +<p>Lightweight hydraulic pumps—used in automated machinery and +pneumatic control systems.</p> + +<p>Voice interruption priority system—used for assembly line +production control.</p> + +<p>Examples such as the foregoing, it might be pointed out, do not +generally emphasize an area in which space exploration is making +one of its greatest contributions. This is the creation of new +materials, metals, fabrics, alloys, and compounds that are finding +their way rapidly into the commercial market.</p> + +<p>Less demonstrable but equally (and perhaps more) significant areas +which may expect to benefit from space exploration are set out +beginning on page 35.</p></div><p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_35" id="Page_35">[Pg 35]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img035.jpg" width="500" height="318" alt="Figure 11." title="Figure 11." /></div> + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 11.—Vital information about the forces +which cause weather can be learned from meteorological satellites such +as these. Even a slight increase in the accuracy of weather prediction +will be worth millions of dollars annually.</h4></blockquote> +<p><br /></p> + +<h3>FOOD AND AGRICULTURE</h3> + +<p>An extremely difficult problem bound up with space travel of any +duration is that of food. Astronauts will not be able to take large +supplies of food on their voyages and probably will have to reuse what +they do take. Learning how to do this is no easy matter. Some doubt if +it can be done. Others are optimistic.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>The body of scientists now working directly on space feeding and +nutrition is working effectively at a rate only attained by high +motivation. But this motivation suffices and their efforts will +ultimately provide at least a partially closed space feeding system +by the time it is critically needed and, eventually, an ideal one +for long voyages of man into the remoter reaches of outer +space.<a name="FNanchor_54_54" id="FNanchor_54_54"></a><a href="#Footnote_54_54" class="fnanchor">[54]</a></p></div> + +<p>If the optimists are right, it is conceivable that the information gamed +from this research will have profound influence on food and agricultural +processes in the future. The use and growth of synthetics or new foods, +and their effects on the soil, could prove invaluable as the worlds +population climbs and the demand for food multiplies. Better +understanding of weather processes, as provided through space +exploration, will also be valuable in terms of agriculture. Long-range +accurate weather prediction would be worth millions of dollars in proper +crops planted and crop damage avoided.</p> + +<p>Meanwhile, as in other technological areas, space research is providing +specific new tools for the food and agriculture industry. Infrared food +blanching, for instance, is highly effective in preparing foods for +canning or freezing. The development of a new forage harvester based on +principles of aerodynamics uncovered by missile engineers is another +example.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_36" id="Page_36">[Pg 36]</a></span></p> + + +<h3>COMMUNICATIONS</h3> + +<p>This is a field of enormous promise, and its practicality has already +been demonstrated to the extent of placing satellites into precise +orbits, such as Tiros (weather) and Transit (navigation), and of +communicating at long distances—23 million miles in the case of Pioneer +V. As a result:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Government and industry technicians are rapidly developing new +Earth satellites to beam not only television programs but radio +broadcasts and phone conversations to every spot on Earth that's +equipped to receive them. Thus this space project, far more than +most, will touch the ordinary citizen. The goal: a workable, +worldwide communications system in space before this decade is +over. It will be, declares one researcher, "the ultimate in +communications."<a name="FNanchor_55_55" id="FNanchor_55_55"></a><a href="#Footnote_55_55" class="fnanchor">[55]</a></p></div> + +<p>Incidentally, the first worldwide communications system of this type, +and whether it is conducted in English or Russian, may have crucial +prestige and propaganda ramifications.</p> + +<p>Such facilities should be possible through a system of carefully placed +satellites so that radio signals can be relayed to any part of the globe +at any time.</p> + +<p>Moreover they appear to be essential when one considers that within the +next 20 years existing techniques are apt to be stretched beyond +reasonable economic limits by demands for long distance communications. +It is difficult to see how transoceanic television will otherwise be +possible when it is realized that there is presently a capacity of less +than 100 telephone channels across the Atlantic and a single television +channel is equivalent in band width to 1,000 telephone channels. It +appears that a system utilizing satellites is the most promising +solution to this problem.<a name="FNanchor_56_56" id="FNanchor_56_56"></a><a href="#Footnote_56_56" class="fnanchor">[56]</a></p> + +<p>More esoteric communications systems may also arise from space research.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>In some future year when a cruising space vehicle communicates with +another space vehicle or its orbiting station, it may use a beam of +light instead of conventional radio. Not that radio will be +inoperative under the airless conditions of space—rather the +reverse—but there is reason to believe that communication by +sunlight not only will be cheaper but will entail carrying much +simpler and lighter equipment for certain specialized space +applications. (The Air Force) is developing an experimental system +that will collect sun rays, run them through a modulator, direct +the resultant light wave in a controlled beam to a receiver. There +the wave will be put through a detector, transposed into an +electrical impulse and be amplified to a speaker. Depending on the +type of modulator used, either the digital (dot-dash) message or a +voice message can be sent.<a name="FNanchor_57_57" id="FNanchor_57_57"></a><a href="#Footnote_57_57" class="fnanchor">[57]</a></p></div> + +<p>Might not such a system find practical usage on Earth, particularly in +sunny, arid lands?<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_37" id="Page_37">[Pg 37]</a></span></p> + + +<h3>WEATHER PREDICTION AND MODIFICATION</h3> + +<p>Meteorological satellites should make possible weather observations over +the entire globe. Today, only 20 percent of the globe is covered by any +regular observational and reporting systems. If we can solve the +problems of handling the vast amounts of data that will be received, +develop methods for timely analysis of the data and the notification of +weather bureaus throughout the world, we should be able to improve by a +significant degree the accuracy of weather predictions. An improvement +of only 10 percent in accuracy could result in savings totaling hundreds +of millions of dollars annually to farmers, builders, airlines, +shipping, the tourist trade, and many other enterprises.</p> + +<p>Perhaps even greater savings will come from warning systems devised for +hurricanes and tornadoes.</p> + +<p>The slight knowledge which humans actually have of weather forces can be +seen from the fact that at present we do not even know exactly how rain +begins.<a name="FNanchor_58_58" id="FNanchor_58_58"></a><a href="#Footnote_58_58" class="fnanchor">[58]</a> Learning to predict it and to modify it, through space +application, might help slow down the soil erosion of arable land—that +"geological inevitability * * * which man can only hasten or +postpone."<a name="FNanchor_59_59" id="FNanchor_59_59"></a><a href="#Footnote_59_59" class="fnanchor">[59]</a> It is noteworthy that the two leading nations in space +research, the United States and the U.S.S.R., are among the most +affected by soil erosion.</p> + +<p>The "leg up" which the United States has in this particular phase of +space research is illustrated by the acute photographic talents of the +Tiros satellite and their meaning to weather experts. The following +description of some of the earliest pictures by the Director of the +Office of Meteorological Research, U.S. Weather Bureau, is illuminating.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>This picture, labeled "No. 1," was the storm that was picked up in +the early orbits of Tiros on the first day of launch, April 1. This +shows the storm 120 miles east of Cape Cod, with dry continental +air streaming off the United States, not shown by clouds, and off +the coast the moist air streaming up to the north, counterclockwise +around the center, producing widespread clouds and precipitation as +far north as the Gulf of St. Lawrence.</p> + +<p>On that same day mention was made of a storm in the Midwest. That +is illustrated by photograph No. 2. This was centered over +southeast Nebraska, a rather extensive storm. Again, we have a +clear air portion shown by a dark area, the ground underneath, +which has less brightness than the clouds, the cold air from Canada +streaming into that area, not characterized by clouds, and to the +east the moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, in this general +neighborhood, streaming around into that center and producing +rather widespread rains. In this case near the Gulf of Mexico, +where the cloud is extremely bright, indicating that the clouds are +very high, thunderstorms were found in that area.</p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img038.jpg" width="272" height="500" alt="Figure 12." title="Figure 12." /></div> + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 12.—Storm center over Nebraska +photographed by the first U.S. weather satellite, Tiros, on April +1, 1960. The extent of the picture can be seen from the +accompanying weather map.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<p>It is a sort of situation in which tornadoes are to be found in +this very bright cloudy area, especially this time of year in the +Midwest.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_39" id="Page_39">[Pg 39]</a></span><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_38" id="Page_38">[Pg 38]</a></span></p> + +<p>A third vortex was observed, also April 1, in the Gulf of Alaska, +500 miles southeast of Kodiak Island. The vortex circulation is +clearly evidenced by the clouds which form in a circular array, and +the large clear area in the center of the storm.</p> + +<p>No. 4 picture refers to a very big storm 1,500 miles in diameter +located 300 miles west of Ireland on April 2. This is a very old +storm which was whirling around, had no fronts associated with it. +It has long since wound up around the center. There is a rather +well-marked structure to the clouds that you can see. It is quite +different from the pictures in the first two. These are storms +mostly over the continental area or just off the coast. The storms +over the oceans seem to show more of a banded structure. By that I +mean circular bands of clouds, of width perhaps ranging from 20 +miles to a few hundred miles, spiraling around the center in a +counterclockwise manner.<a name="FNanchor_60_60" id="FNanchor_60_60"></a><a href="#Footnote_60_60" class="fnanchor">[60]</a></p></div> + + +<h3>HEALTH BENEFITS</h3> + +<p>Of all the problems contingent upon space flight it is doubtful if any +are more perplexing than the biological ones. In fact, it now appears +quite likely that the limiting factor on manned space exploration will +be less the nature of physical laws or the shortcoming of space vehicle +systems than the vulnerability of the human body.</p> + +<p>In order to place humans in space for any extended period, we must solve +a host of highly complicated biological equations which demand intensive +basic research. The other side of the coin, however, is that when +scientific breakthroughs do occur in this area, they will probably be +among the most beneficial to come from the space program.</p> + +<p>An idea of what is going on in the space medicine field can be obtained +from this summary:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Engineers already have equipped man with the vehicle for space +travel. Medical researchers now are investigating many factors +incident to the maintenance of space life—to make possible man's +flight into the depths of space. Placing man in a wholly new +environment requires knowledge far beyond our current grasp of +human biology.</p> + +<p>Here are some of the problems under investigation: The +determination of man's reactions; the necessity of operating in a +completely closed system compatible with man's physiological +requirements (oxygen and carbon dioxide content, food, barometric +pressure, humidity and temperature control); explosive +decompression; psychophysiological difficulties of spatial +disorientation as a result of weightlessness; toxicology of +metabolites and propellants; effects of cosmic, solar, and nuclear +ionizing radiation and protective shielding and treatment; effects +on man's circulatory system from accelerative and decelerative g. +forces; the establishment of a thermoneutral range for man to exist +through preflight, flight, and reentry; regeneration of water and +food.<a name="FNanchor_61_61" id="FNanchor_61_61"></a><a href="#Footnote_61_61" class="fnanchor">[61]</a></p></div> + +<p>In addition, intensive efforts are being brought to bear on such +problems as the effect on humans who are deprived of their sensory<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_40" id="Page_40">[Pg 40]</a></span> +perceptions, or whose sensory systems are overloaded, or who are exposed +to excessive boredom or anxiety or sense of unreality, or who must do +their job under hypnosis or hypothermia (cooling of warm-blooded +animals).</p> + +<p>A recent space medicine symposium heard this theory advanced by a +prominent medical scholar:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Attractive, indeed, for the space traveler would be the choice of +hibernating during long periods when there was nothing he had to +do. With the increase of speeds and the lowering of metabolism, +consideration of flights running several hundred or even thousands +of years cannot be offhandedly dismissed as mere fantasy. During +prolonged flights of many months or years there will be very little +to see and that of negligible interest. The most practical way of +dealing with the problem might well be to have the pilot sleep 23 +of the 24 hours.<a name="FNanchor_62_62" id="FNanchor_62_62"></a><a href="#Footnote_62_62" class="fnanchor">[62]</a></p></div> + +<p>Lowering the body temperature would be one way of inducing the necessary +deep sleep.</p> + +<p>Another possibility of handling some of the biological problems of space +flight, suggested by another physician, would be for astronauts to +discard the 24-hour Earth day and establish a longer rhythm for their +lives.<a name="FNanchor_63_63" id="FNanchor_63_63"></a><a href="#Footnote_63_63" class="fnanchor">[63]</a></p> + +<p>At any rate, and while we may not now see just how it will come about, +knowledge gained from experiments such as these may result in important +medical and psychological advances.</p> + +<p>In the drug and technological area of medicine, concrete benefits have +already resulted from the national space program. These include, as +already mentioned, a drug developed from a missile propellant to treat +mental ills, a means of rapidly lowering blood temperature in +operations, and a small efficient valve which could replace the valve in +a human heart.</p> + +<p>Particularly gratifying, from the standpoint of medical value is the +Army's work toward an anti-radiation drug which could be taken before +exposure to reduce the biological effects of radiation.<a name="FNanchor_64_64" id="FNanchor_64_64"></a><a href="#Footnote_64_64" class="fnanchor">[64]</a> Such a drug, +which is of special interest to astronauts who might be required to +subject themselves to varying belts of radiation, might be of even +greater use in the cause of civil defense.</p> + +<p>A final and far-reaching phase of the health side of space exploration +deals with the basic nature of biology itself—how and under what +conditions life grows. Up to now biological science has been largely +"the rationalization of particular facts and we have had all too limited +a basis for the construction and testing of meaningful axioms to support +a theory of life."<a name="FNanchor_65_65" id="FNanchor_65_65"></a><a href="#Footnote_65_65" class="fnanchor">[65]</a> Through research made possible by the space +program it may be possible to alter this condition. "The dynamics of +celestial bodies, as can be observed from the Earth, is the richest +inspiration for the generalization of our concepts of mass and energy +throughout the universe. The spectra of the stars likewise testify to +the universality of our concepts in chemistry. But biology<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_42" id="Page_42">[Pg 42]</a></span><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_41" id="Page_41">[Pg 41]</a></span> has lacked +tools of such extension, and life until now has meant only terrestrial +life."<a name="FNanchor_66_66" id="FNanchor_66_66"></a><a href="#Footnote_66_66" class="fnanchor">[66]</a></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img041.jpg" width="500" height="366" alt="Figure 13." title="Figure 13." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 13.—Biological reactions uncovered in +space medicine studies, such as this centrifuge experiment, may lead to +important health discoveries.</h4></blockquote> +<p><br /></p> + +<p>The secrets which this research may divulge and their meaning for human +health can only be imagined. But they certainly would not be minor.</p> + + +<h3>EDUCATION BENEFITS</h3> + +<p>No enterprise has so stirred human imagination as the reach of man +toward the exploration of space. New worlds to explore. New distances to +travel—3,680 million miles to Pluto, the outermost planet of our solar +system, 8 years journey at 50,000 miles per hour when we attain such a +capability. Innumerable problems ahead. New knowledge needed in almost +every branch of science and technology from magneto fluid dynamics to +cosmology, from materials to biology and psychology.<a name="FNanchor_67_67" id="FNanchor_67_67"></a><a href="#Footnote_67_67" class="fnanchor">[67]</a></p> + +<p>"New knowledge needed" means better and stronger education is essential. +And not only in the physical sciences. In the social sciences and the +arts as well.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Certainly man's space adventure can help profoundly to make a finer +creature of him, but only if his adventures on Earth can do so as +well. Essentially what this means to a social psychologist is that +we must somehow raise our level of education to the point where +most men most of the time can appreciate and actively absorb the +implications of knowledge and developments in all areas +sufficiently to let them enrich their personal philosophies. +Obviously this kind of education is only in part a scientific +one.<a name="FNanchor_68_68" id="FNanchor_68_68"></a><a href="#Footnote_68_68" class="fnanchor">[68]</a></p></div> + +<p>Moreover, the technical and management aspects of the space program +involve collaboration with nonscientific persons such as businessmen, +bankers, and public officials in assessing worthwhile objectives and in +judging the technical and economic feasibility of projects designed to +accomplish these objectives.<a name="FNanchor_69_69" id="FNanchor_69_69"></a><a href="#Footnote_69_69" class="fnanchor">[69]</a> Consequently each type must educate the +other in his own specialty if an effective, stepped-up space program is +to be achieved.</p> + + +<p><i>The demand</i></p> + +<p>Apparently the demand for specific formal education in the science of +astronautics is increasing faster than it is being supplied. Although +many colleges and universities have been setting up courses dealing with +astronautics, the state of the art does not seem to have crystallized to +the extent that it permits fashioning a career in the field at the +educational level. Of course, discontent is created. One publication has +editorialized:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>We have received a surprising number of letters from young people +who actually want to know how and where they can get started in a +career in astronautics. These, for the most part, are high school +students—and, evidently, they couldn't get the information they +wanted from their own school. * * * Isn't the age of space yet +important enough for all the high schools to sponsor interest in +our space programs and to point out the need for a constant flow of +young brains?<a name="FNanchor_70_70" id="FNanchor_70_70"></a><a href="#Footnote_70_70" class="fnanchor">[70]</a></p></div><p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_43" id="Page_43">[Pg 43]</a></span></p> + +<p>The answer undoubtedly is that such grassroots demand will bring about +increased academic curricula in astronautics in direct proportion to its +magnitude.</p> + +<p>Meanwhile, the availability of work for persons with a background in +space-related subjects can be gaged to some extent by observing the +variety of personnel requirements on major space exploration projects.</p> + +<p>A single American firm, for example, uses 49 different professional +specialists in its work for the National Aeronautics and Space +Administration and in its space work for the Department of Defense.<a name="FNanchor_71_71" id="FNanchor_71_71"></a><a href="#Footnote_71_71" class="fnanchor">[71]</a> +Multiplied by the thousands of companies which are doing similar work, +the list gives an idea of the astronautic demand confronting the +Nation's educational institutions:</p> + +<p> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Acoustician</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Aerodynamicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Aeronautical engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Agricultural engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Astrodynamicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Astronomer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Astrophysicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Biochemist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Biophysicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Ceramics specialist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Chemist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Computer specialist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Crystallographer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Development engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Doctor of medicine</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Electrical engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Electronic engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Experimental physicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Flight engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Gyroscopics specialist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Hydraulic engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Information theory analyst</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Inorganic chemist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Logical designer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Magnetic device engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Mathematician</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Mechanical applications engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Mechanical engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Mechanisms specialist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Medical electronic engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Metallurgical engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Methods engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Nuclear physicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Oceanographer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Organic chemist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Physical chemist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Pneumatic engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Process engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Production engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Project engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Psychologist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Reliability engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Sociologist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Solid state physicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Structural engineer</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">System analyst</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Theoretical physicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Thermodynamicist</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">Transducer engineer</span><br /> +<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_44" id="Page_44">[Pg 44]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img044.jpg" width="550" height="395" alt="Figure 14." title="Figure 14." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 14.—Exploration within the solar system +means a wealth of new knowledge which could lead to learning the secrets +of life.</h4></blockquote> +<p><br /></p> + +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_45" id="Page_45">[Pg 45]</a></span></p> + + +<hr style="width: 65%;" /> +<h2><a name="V_Long-Range_Values" id="V_Long-Range_Values"></a>V. <span class="smcap">Long-Range Values</span></h2> + +<p>In assessing the <i>practical</i> values of space exploration it does not +seem logical to limit considerations to those values which are immediate +or near-future ones. The worth of a present activity may be doubled or +trebled because of its long-range potential.</p> + +<p>Such values may not be practical within the context of today's usage, +but they may be extremely practical if we are willing to concede that +those of us living today have an interest in and a responsibility for +what happens on Earth in the decades and centuries to come.</p> + + +<h3>TROUBLE SPOTS</h3> + +<p>Thinking along these lines it is not difficult to conjure up a picture +of some of the difficult physical and social problems which will be +facing the Earth in the years which stretch ahead. The foregoing +sections of this report, for example, have already indicated extensive +difficulties inherent in at least five major categories.</p> + +<p> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">(1) Bursting population.</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">(2) Acute water shortage.</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">(3) Soil erosion and disappearance.</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">(4) Too much leisure.</span><br /> +<span style="margin-left: 1em;">(5) Intensified nationalism.</span><br /> +</p> + +<p>In each area it is probable that space exploration will ultimately play +an important role.</p> + + +<p><i>Population</i></p> + +<p>Social scientists have been warning for years of the drastic social +upheavals which must inevitably accompany an "exploding" population. It +is a problem the complexity of which grows in geometric progression as +time goes on. In the United States nearly 300 years were required to +produce 90 million people. In the past 60 years this number has doubled. +The implications are obvious. They are only too plain to urban and +suburban planners who endeavor to cope with the antlike construction and +activity of the human race as it burgeons with each succeeding year.</p> + +<p>Of course, this is not a domestic matter but a global one. Its +seriousness has been described as follows: "Projection of the post-World +War II rate of increase gives a population of 50 billions (the highest +estimate of the population-carrying capacity of the globe ever +calculated by a responsible scholar) in less than 200 years."<a name="FNanchor_72_72" id="FNanchor_72_72"></a><a href="#Footnote_72_72" class="fnanchor">[72]</a> A +European professor of medicine adds that any surge in human longevity at +this time is quite undesirable from the standpoint of making elderly +persons useful or cared for. "The problems posed by the explosive growth +of populations * * * are so great that it is quite reassuring to know +that biologists and medical men have so far been<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_46" id="Page_46">[Pg 46]</a></span> unsuccessful in +increasing the <i>maximum</i> lifespan of the human species * * * and * * * +it would be a calamity for the social and economic structure of a +country if the mean lifespan were suddenly to increase from 65 to 85 +years."<a name="FNanchor_73_73" id="FNanchor_73_73"></a><a href="#Footnote_73_73" class="fnanchor">[73]</a></p> + +<p>Some anthropologists pessimistically wonder if man is going to prove +like the locust by populating himself into near extinction from time to +time.</p> + +<p>Without subscribing to this view, one must nevertheless take notice of +the difficulties posed by population increase, not merely those of food, +shelter, education, and the like but also those resulting from cellular, +cramped, close living.</p> + +<p>Whichever phase of the problem is studied, it seems not unreasonable to +conclude that space research will help find a solution. New ways to +produce food, new materials for better shelter, new stimuli for +education—all of these are coming from our space program. As for the +matter of adequate living room, space research may result in ways to +permit an easy and efficient scattering of the population without +hurting its mobility. This might result from the development of small +subsidiary types of craft, or "gocarts," originally designed for local +exploration on other planets. Such craft, whether they operated by air +cushion, nuclear energy, gravitational force, power cell, or whatever, +conceivably would permit Earth's population to spread out without the +need for expensive new roads—which, by the way, take millions of acres +of land out of productive use.</p> + +<p>A development of this sort, together with new power sources to replace +the fossil fuels on which factory, home, and vehicle now depend, might +also all but eliminate the growing smog and air-pollution blight.</p> + + +<p><i>Water shortage</i></p> + +<p>A direct result of the population increase, multiplied by the many new +uses for which water is being used in home appliances, etc., and plus +the greatly increased demand for standard uses such as indoor plumbing, +irrigation, and factory processing, is the likelihood that water +shortage will be high on the list of future problems. Ways to conserve +and reuse water, together with economical desalting of sea water, will +be essential in the decades ahead. Space research may provide part of +the answer here, too. (See New Water Sources and Uses, sec. III.)</p> + + +<p><i>Soil erosion</i></p> + +<p>The Russian steppes of Kazakhstan are providing the world with a great +contemporary dust bowl, reminiscent of the middle 1930's when dust from +the Great Plains stretched from Texas to Saskatchewan. Questionable +agriculture policies, drought, and strong easterly winds are among the +forces blamed for the trials of southern Russia.<a name="FNanchor_74_74" id="FNanchor_74_74"></a><a href="#Footnote_74_74" class="fnanchor">[74]</a> So great is the +extent of this disturbance that the dust cloud has been identified in +photographs taken by American weather satellites.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_47" id="Page_47">[Pg 47]</a></span></p> + +<p>Of course, "wind erosion is only one of the processes whereby the +Earth's arable land is diminishing and the deserts increasing; erosion +by water can also sweep away the soil."<a name="FNanchor_75_75" id="FNanchor_75_75"></a><a href="#Footnote_75_75" class="fnanchor">[75]</a> But insofar as the current +dust bowl of the Soviet steppes has "diminished food resources at a time +when the number of mouths to feed is increasing so rapidly, the world is +the poorer."<a name="FNanchor_76_76" id="FNanchor_76_76"></a><a href="#Footnote_76_76" class="fnanchor">[76]</a></p> + +<p>What can space research do about this vital trend, which again seems +destined to accelerate in the future?</p> + +<p>While we cannot be sure, we can conjecture that improved soil +conservation might turn out to be the greatest benefit of weather +understanding and modification. Agriculture policies might be adapted to +the long-range patterns uncovered by weather satellites and, eventually, +through better understanding of the making of weather, it may be +possible to modify weather forces in a manner which will preserve the +soil.</p> + +<p>In a more remote vein, it may be that knowledge gained from a first-hand +study of the Moon or other planets in the solar system will eventually +contribute to the conservation of soil on Earth in ways as yet +unimagined.</p> + + +<p><i>Added leisure</i></p> + +<p>Acquiring more time for leisure sounds good. Very much more leisure than +most people now have, however, is apt to present trouble in itself. +Since it appears that the time is not far away when those living in the +highly developed countries will no longer have to concentrate their +prime energies on the traditional quest for food, clothing, and shelter, +a potentially dangerous vacuum may be the result. At least the +psychologists seem agreed that people must feel a useful purpose in +their lives and have ways to pursue it.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Above all, leisure makes a challenge to the human spirit. Athens, +in her Golden Age, displayed a genius for the creative use of +leisure which can be seen as complementary, and indeed superior, to +her genius for military and commercial ventures. There have also +been such periods of all-pervasive inspiration in the history of +other peoples * * *. The doubling of our standard of living will +present a growing challenge to the human spirit and produce graver +consequences, should we fail to meet it. We neglect the proper use +of leisure at our peril.<a name="FNanchor_77_77" id="FNanchor_77_77"></a><a href="#Footnote_77_77" class="fnanchor">[77]</a></p></div> + +<p>In other words, the answer to the problem does not lie solely with the +golf course, the yacht club, the theater, or the lengthened vacation. +Much more will be required.</p> + +<p>The intellectual stimulus of space exploration and research, which +undoubtedly will divide into numerous branches like capillary streaks +from a bolt of lightning, should be markedly useful in helping to fill +this vacuum. Space research would seem particularly applicable in this +role since it deals with fundamental knowledge and concepts which are +satisfying in terms of psychological needs and sense of purpose.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_48" id="Page_48">[Pg 48]</a></span></p> + + +<p><i>Intensified nationalism</i></p> + +<p>Ever since World War II the era of colonialism has been on the wane. +Many nations have proclaimed, won, or wrested their independence during +that period. Others appear to be on the verge of doing so. At any rate, +it is clear that in the decades ahead the world is going to see the rise +of even more independent nations with strong nationalistic feelings.</p> + +<p>History implies that developments of this sort are often accompanied by +international unrest—because of the normal ebullience of national +adolescence and the desire to be accepted by the world community, as +well as a variety of concomitant political and economical upheavals.</p> + +<p>For whatever trials may lie ahead on this score, space exploration may +prove to be much needed oil on rough water.</p> + +<p>Ambitious, advanced, sophisticated space exploration in the future is +almost certain to require a high degree of international cooperation and +perhaps even a pooling of resources and funds to some degree. Already +America has found it expedient, in some cases mandatory, to depend on +facilities in other countries for her ventures into space. A good +example is the close cooperation between the United States and tracking +bases located in Canada, Australia, South Africa, and elsewhere. An even +better one is the important part played in U.S. efforts by England's +giant radio telescope at Jodrell Bank. Most of our launches are followed +by this equipment and much of the best scientific information gained +from it. In the case of Pioneer V, Jodrell Bank was essential to keep in +touch with the satellite at the longer distances and, moreover, was +actually required to separate the fourth stage of the launch vehicle and +direct the payload toward its Venus orbit.</p> + +<p>Mutual need and cooperation thus fostered by space exploration can be +expected to siphon off some of the political tensions of the future, +especially as more and more nations become interested in space and +inaugurate complex programs of their own.</p> + + +<h3>LIMITATIONS ON SPACE RESEARCH</h3> + +<p>There are some who are convinced that the exploration of space is +rigidly limited and that the landing of men on extraterrestrial bodies +other than the Moon is quite improbable. They are sure that extensive +travel outside the solar system is impossible.</p> + +<p>Admittedly, the problems of such travel are enormous. But are they +incapable of solution?</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Twenty-six million miles to Venus, 49 million miles to Mars, 3,680 +million miles from the Sun to Pluto at the outer edge of the solar +system. The nearest of the stars is 25 million, million miles away, +and travel to it at 10 miles per second would require 80,000 years. +Is the travel of man to the stars a futile dream? Each generation +of man builds on the shoulders of the past. The exploration of +space has begun; who now can set limits to its future +accomplishments?<a name="FNanchor_78_78" id="FNanchor_78_78"></a><a href="#Footnote_78_78" class="fnanchor">[78]</a></p></div><p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_49" id="Page_49">[Pg 49]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img049.jpg" width="500" height="324" alt="Figure 15." title="Figure 15." /></div> + + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 15.—Need for international cooperation +in the U.S. space program is illustrated by this map showing the areas +from which help must be procured for projects already planned or +underway.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + +<p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_50" id="Page_50">[Pg 50]</a></span></p> + +<p>That is the thought of one of the Nation's most expert space scientists.</p> + + +<p>"<i>Who now can set limits</i> * * * ?"</p> + +<p>It seems to mesh curiously well with one of the most interesting +phenomena of our day—the emergence of a breed of engineers, +technicians, teachers, and scientists who do not recognize limits and +who refuse to concede that something cannot be so because it fails to +fit conventional patterns or conform to the physical laws of the +universe as we now know them. Of this there is growing evidence.</p> + +<p>For many years it has been an accepted "fact," for instance, that the +Moon is a dead world with no life upon it. The suggestion made by the +great 16th century mathematician, Johannes Kepler, that some life might +exist on the Moon was debunked into silence long since. Yet today a +fellow of the British Royal Astronomical Society writes that the first +men to arrive on the Moon may find not only plant life but possibly +animal life. "The fact that terrestrial organisms may be unable to +survive in the surroundings of another planet is by itself no more +significant than that fishes and other marine animals die when exposed +to the air. From their point of view air is uninhabitable because they +have failed to equip themselves with lungs."<a name="FNanchor_79_79" id="FNanchor_79_79"></a><a href="#Footnote_79_79" class="fnanchor">[79]</a> And he adds that his +surmise "leaves out of account the possibilities of the Moon's +underground world, which are incalculable, for there water, the vital +gases, congenial temperatures, and increased pressures will all be +present. Only sunlight is absent."</p> + +<p>Then there is Project Ozma, the search for life on other planets or in +other star systems, which began in April 1960 at Green Bank, W. Va. It +is being undertaken by the National Radio-Astronomy Observatory and +consists of carefully directed listening by radio-telescope for signs of +intelligent broadcasts originating outside Earth.</p> + +<p>At Stanford University another astronomer is concentrating the efforts +of part of his laboratory on behalf of a similar idea. The chances are, +he believes, "that the superior races of other planets in other galaxies +have already developed a communications network among themselves, and +have entered a joint program to scan all the other solar systems looking +for signs of awakening civilization among the backward planets. Each of +the advanced communities might pick as its probe assignment a single +other solar system—and one such probe may well be circling our Sun +right now on a routine check for life."<a name="FNanchor_80_80" id="FNanchor_80_80"></a><a href="#Footnote_80_80" class="fnanchor">[80]</a> Unexplained delayed echoes +of earthly radio transmissions received in the past, it is thought, +could be evidence of such a scheme.</p> + +<p>Are goings-on such as these nonsense?</p> + +<p>Here is the answer given by one hard-headed science writer:</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Centuries may pass before there is any sign of intelligence outside +the Earth. But the advantages of communication with another +civilization that has survived our present dilemmas are far too +great to permit the experiment to be abandoned.<a name="FNanchor_81_81" id="FNanchor_81_81"></a><a href="#Footnote_81_81" class="fnanchor">[81]</a></p></div><p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_51" id="Page_51">[Pg 51]</a></span></p> + +<p>The results of recent and more orthodox experiments have already done +much to shake the complacency of scientists in regard to their concepts +of space. Investigations have disclosed that, far from being a complete +vacuum, space is relatively full of matter and energy. Hydrogen gas, +radiation belts, cosmic particles, solar disturbances of unknown nature, +micrometeorites—and, from Pioneer V, proof of a 5-million ampere +electromagnetic ring centered about 40,000 miles away.<a name="FNanchor_82_82" id="FNanchor_82_82"></a><a href="#Footnote_82_82" class="fnanchor">[82]</a> The director +of the Smithsonian Astrophysical Laboratory in Cambridge, Mass.,<a name="FNanchor_83_83" id="FNanchor_83_83"></a><a href="#Footnote_83_83" class="fnanchor">[83]</a> has +said that more and more startling astrophysical information was gathered +during the first few weeks of the space age than had been accumulated in +the preceding century.</p> + +<p>In brief, it is becoming the vogue in science to refuse to say +"impossible" to anything. On the contrary, the watchword for tomorrow is +shaping up as "take <i>nothing</i> for granted."</p> + + +<h3>FUNDAMENTAL KNOWLEDGE ABOUT LIFE</h3> + +<p>Everything learned from space exploration thus far indicates that the +knowledge lying in wait for those who manage to observe the universe +from outside Earth's atmosphere will be far grander than anything +uncovered to date.</p> + +<p>We may finally learn the origin of our universe and the method of its +functioning. A good part of this knowledge may be no farther away than +the next 3 to 5 years. Satellite telescopes now under construction are +expected to elicit far more information than even the 200-inch giant at +Mount Palomar. One such observatory satellite, to be launched in 1963 or +before, "will permit a telescope of about 10 feet in length to point at +heavenly bodies within a tenth of a second of arc for periods up to an +hour. Present plans call for an orbit between 400 and 500 miles, as a +lifetime of at least 6 months is required to observe the entire +celestial field."<a name="FNanchor_84_84" id="FNanchor_84_84"></a><a href="#Footnote_84_84" class="fnanchor">[84]</a></p> + +<p>Perhaps, and sooner than we think, we shall find a clue to the destiny +of all intelligent life.</p> + +<p>Perhaps the theory advanced by a noted eastern astronomer will turn out +to be true—that biological evolution on the habitable planets of the +universe may be the result of contamination left by space travelers +arriving from (and leaving for) other worlds. In other words, the +fruition of life on the various planets of the millions of solar systems +might be the product of a wandering group of astronautic Johnny +Appleseeds who leave the grains of life behind them. "Space travel +between galaxies has to be possible for this, but of course this needs +to be only quite a rare event. In a time of about 3.3 billion years, the +most advanced form of life occurring in a galaxy must be able to reach a +neighboring one."<a name="FNanchor_85_85" id="FNanchor_85_85"></a><a href="#Footnote_85_85" class="fnanchor">[85]</a></p> + +<p>The notion seems fantastic.<span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_52" id="Page_52">[Pg 52]</a></span></p> + +<p>But when we look clear to the end of Earth's road (and assuming the +astrophysicists are right in their theories about the evolution and +ultimate death of our solar system) we know that Earth will one day +become uninhabitable. Life on Earth must then perish or move elsewhere. +If we further assume that mankind will not want to die with his planet +and if we acknowledge that other worlds may have been through this +entire cycle in eons past—perhaps the notion is not so unreasonable +after all.</p> + +<p>Whatever the truth is on this score, space exploration will certainly be +of "practical" value to our descendants when that dim, far-off day +arrives.</p> + + +<h3>PSYCHOLOGICAL AND SPIRITUAL VALUES</h3> + +<p>Long before the arrival of that millennium, however, the knowledge and +understanding awaiting us through the medium of space exploration is +certain to have profound effects on the human race psychologically and +spiritually.</p> + +<p>It already has had effects on humans of all ages.</p> + +<p>Adults, who are paying the taxes to support the space exploration +program and reaping its practical values, are also thinking of +themselves, their country, and their world in broader, more +knowledgeable terms.</p> + +<p>In a sense, children may be even more deeply involved.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>There is a special group which may play a useful role in spreading +the new values growing from the exploration of space, and this is +the children who play at spaceman today. Whether or not they take +this interest with them beyond childhood remains to be seen. +However, the unique fact in the present situation is that never +before have children rehearsed a role that really will not exist +until they are adults. To be sure all of them will not fulfill this +childhood role, but the fact that the reality lies ahead rather +than in the past (as with cowboys and Indians) may stimulate them +to retain a sensitivity for the various meanings man in space can +have for our future.<a name="FNanchor_86_86" id="FNanchor_86_86"></a><a href="#Footnote_86_86" class="fnanchor">[86]</a></p></div> + +<p>Put it another way—if it is true, as a modern Chinese philosopher has +said, that the search for knowledge is a form of play, "then the +spaceship, when it comes, will be the ultimate toy that may lead mankind +from its cloistered nursery out into the playground of the stars."<a name="FNanchor_87_87" id="FNanchor_87_87"></a><a href="#Footnote_87_87" class="fnanchor">[87]</a><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_53" id="Page_53">[Pg 53]</a></span></p> + +<p><br /></p> +<div class="figcenter"><img src="images/img053.jpg" width="500" height="324" alt="Figure 16." title="Figure 16." /></div> + +<blockquote><h4><span class="smcap">Figure</span> 16.—Space vehicles of the future may +look like this artist's drawing of an electrical propulsion craft. The +nuclear reactor is located at the extreme left, followed by a neutron +shield, heat exchanger, gamma-ray shield and propellant. The center tank +houses turbogenerating equipment. Excessive heat is dissipated in the +large radiator. At the extreme right are two crew cabins, landing +vehicle and a ring-shaped accelerator.</h4></blockquote> + +<p><br /></p> + + +<h3>MATURING OF THE RACE</h3> + +<p>The psychological and spiritual changes necessitated by this evolution +may be at a cost far beyond dollars—because many of us will be hard put +to negotiate them, especially if they come too rapidly.</p> + +<p>Nevertheless, negotiating them must also be placed in the category of +"practical" values—for in the long run it seems to be an essential part +of the maturing of mankind.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>The years ahead will face us with many sputniks and thereby will +require of our citizens stern, costly, and imaginative +participation in programs to meet and surmount the many complex +challenges with which our growing technology confronts us. To +succeed in space and to succeed on Earth, we must somehow learn to +make the larger world of ideas, so brilliantly exemplified by the +satellites, the immediate environment of the individual. There is a +race we must run—the race for an enlightened and involved +public.<a name="FNanchor_88_88" id="FNanchor_88_88"></a><a href="#Footnote_88_88" class="fnanchor">[88]</a></p></div><p><span class='pagenum'><a name="Page_54" id="Page_54">[Pg 54]</a></span></p> + +<p>So if we can accept the wrenches which space exploration is apt to apply +to our time, pocketbook, energy, and thinking, the values and rewards as +outlined in this report should gather headway and grow continuously +greater.</p> + +<div class="blockquot"><p>Space technology is probably the fastest moving, typically +free-enterprise and democratic industry yet created. It puts a +premium not on salesmanship, but on what it needs +most—intellectual production, the research payoff. Unlike any +other existing industry, space functions on hope and future +possibilities, conquest of real estate unseen, of near vacuum +unexplored. At once it obliterates the economic reason for war, the +threat of overpopulation, or cultural stagnation; it offers to +replace guesswork with the scientific method for archeological, +philosophical, and religious themes.<a name="FNanchor_89_89" id="FNanchor_89_89"></a><a href="#Footnote_89_89" class="fnanchor">[89]</a></p></div> + +<p>Such conclusions seem a bit rosy. But sober study indicates that they +may not be too "far out" after all.</p> + +<div class="footnotes"><h3>FOOTNOTES:</h3> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_1_1" id="Footnote_1_1"></a><a href="#FNanchor_1_1"><span class="label">[1]</span></a> Associated Press dispatch, dateline Moscow, June 12, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_2_2" id="Footnote_2_2"></a><a href="#FNanchor_2_2"><span class="label">[2]</span></a> Gavin, Lt. Gen. James M., U.S. Army (retired), speech to +the American Rocket Society, New York City, Nov. 19, 1958.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_3_3" id="Footnote_3_3"></a><a href="#FNanchor_3_3"><span class="label">[3]</span></a> Kramer, Max O., "The Dolphins' Secret," New Scientist, May +5, 1960, pp. 1118-1120.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_4_4" id="Footnote_4_4"></a><a href="#FNanchor_4_4"><span class="label">[4]</span></a> Bikerman, Dr. Jacob J., reported in New Scientist, Mar. 3, +1960, p. 535.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_5_5" id="Footnote_5_5"></a><a href="#FNanchor_5_5"><span class="label">[5]</span></a> "Introduction to Outer Space," a statement by the +President, the White House, Mar. 26, 1958.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_6_6" id="Footnote_6_6"></a><a href="#FNanchor_6_6"><span class="label">[6]</span></a> Clarke, Arthur C., "The Challenge of the Spaceships," +Harper & Bros., New York, 1955, p. 15.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_7_7" id="Footnote_7_7"></a><a href="#FNanchor_7_7"><span class="label">[7]</span></a> Related by T. Keith Glennan, Administrator, National +Aeronautics and Space Administration, in an address before the Worcester +(Mass.) Economic Club, Feb. 15, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_8_8" id="Footnote_8_8"></a><a href="#FNanchor_8_8"><span class="label">[8]</span></a> Public Law 85-568, 85th Cong.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_9_9" id="Footnote_9_9"></a><a href="#FNanchor_9_9"><span class="label">[9]</span></a> H. Rept. 1633, 86th Cong., 2d sess., p. 6.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_10_10" id="Footnote_10_10"></a><a href="#FNanchor_10_10"><span class="label">[10]</span></a> Speech to the Supreme Soviet, Jan. 14, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_11_11" id="Footnote_11_11"></a><a href="#FNanchor_11_11"><span class="label">[11]</span></a> Associated Press dispatch, dateline London, Dec. 2, 1959.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_12_12" id="Footnote_12_12"></a><a href="#FNanchor_12_12"><span class="label">[12]</span></a> Scott, Brig. Gen. Robert L., USAF (retired), Space Age, +February 1959, p. 63.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_13_13" id="Footnote_13_13"></a><a href="#FNanchor_13_13"><span class="label">[13]</span></a> Ostrander, Maj. Gen. Don R., USAF, before the American +Rocket Society, Los Angeles, May 10, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_14_14" id="Footnote_14_14"></a><a href="#FNanchor_14_14"><span class="label">[14]</span></a> Cox, Donald and Stoiko, Michael, Spacepower, John C. +Winston Co., Philadelphia, 1958, p. 16.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_15_15" id="Footnote_15_15"></a><a href="#FNanchor_15_15"><span class="label">[15]</span></a> Saenger, Dr. Eugen, New Scientist, Sept. 10, 1959, p. +383.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_16_16" id="Footnote_16_16"></a><a href="#FNanchor_16_16"><span class="label">[16]</span></a> Boushey, Brig. Gen. H. A., USAF, Hearings before the House +Select Committee on Astronautics and Space Exploration, Apr. 23, 1958.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_17_17" id="Footnote_17_17"></a><a href="#FNanchor_17_17"><span class="label">[17]</span></a> Pierce, Dr. J. R., "The Dream World of Space," Industrial +Research, December 1959, p. 58.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_18_18" id="Footnote_18_18"></a><a href="#FNanchor_18_18"><span class="label">[18]</span></a> 5 supra.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_19_19" id="Footnote_19_19"></a><a href="#FNanchor_19_19"><span class="label">[19]</span></a> Allen, George V, testimony before the House Committee on +Science and Astronautics, Jan. 22, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_20_20" id="Footnote_20_20"></a><a href="#FNanchor_20_20"><span class="label">[20]</span></a> Editorial in the Washington Evening Star, Apr. 4, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_21_21" id="Footnote_21_21"></a><a href="#FNanchor_21_21"><span class="label">[21]</span></a> Remarks of Hon. Aubrey Jones, Minister of Supply, to the +International Astronautical Federation, London, Sept. 1, 1959.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_22_22" id="Footnote_22_22"></a><a href="#FNanchor_22_22"><span class="label">[22]</span></a> Associated Press dispatch, dateline Rangoon, Feb. 18, +1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_23_23" id="Footnote_23_23"></a><a href="#FNanchor_23_23"><span class="label">[23]</span></a> "Space, Missiles, and the Nation," report of the House +Committee on Science and Astronautics, May 18, 1960, p. 53.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_24_24" id="Footnote_24_24"></a><a href="#FNanchor_24_24"><span class="label">[24]</span></a> The New Scientist, Mar. 3, 1960, p. 547.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_25_25" id="Footnote_25_25"></a><a href="#FNanchor_25_25"><span class="label">[25]</span></a> Gavin, James M., address to the International Bankers +Association, Bal Harbour, Fla., Dec. 2, 1958.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_26_26" id="Footnote_26_26"></a><a href="#FNanchor_26_26"><span class="label">[26]</span></a> Mitchell, Hon. Erwin, in the House of Representatives, +June 2, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_27_27" id="Footnote_27_27"></a><a href="#FNanchor_27_27"><span class="label">[27]</span></a> Dryden, Dr. Hugh L., Deputy Administrator, NASA, Penrose +lecture before the American Philosophical Society, Philadelphia, Apr. +21, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_28_28" id="Footnote_28_28"></a><a href="#FNanchor_28_28"><span class="label">[28]</span></a> Missile-Space Directory, Missiles and Rockets, May 30, +1960, pp. 86-359.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_29_29" id="Footnote_29_29"></a><a href="#FNanchor_29_29"><span class="label">[29]</span></a> Haley, Andrew G., general counsel and past president of +the International Astronautical Federation, "Rocketry and Space +Exploration." Van Nostrand Co., Princeton, N.J., 1958 p. 156.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_30_30" id="Footnote_30_30"></a><a href="#FNanchor_30_30"><span class="label">[30]</span></a> Ruzic, Neil P., "The Technical Entrepreneur," Industrial +Research, May 1980, p.10.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_31_31" id="Footnote_31_31"></a><a href="#FNanchor_31_31"><span class="label">[31]</span></a> Bacon, F. T., "The Fuel Cell, Power Source of the Future," +New Scientist, Aug. 17, 1959, p.272.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_32_32" id="Footnote_32_32"></a><a href="#FNanchor_32_32"><span class="label">[32]</span></a> Science Service dispatch, dateline Lynn, Mass., Apr. 25, +1950.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_33_33" id="Footnote_33_33"></a><a href="#FNanchor_33_33"><span class="label">[33]</span></a> Sharp, James M., "The Application of Fuel Cells in the +Natural Gas Industry," Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, Tex., +Mar. 4, 1960, pp. 2-3.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_34_34" id="Footnote_34_34"></a><a href="#FNanchor_34_34"><span class="label">[34]</span></a> Lear, John, "Towns To Be Lit by Plasma," New Scientist, +Nov. 19, 1959, p. 1006.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_35_35" id="Footnote_35_35"></a><a href="#FNanchor_35_35"><span class="label">[35]</span></a> Pursglove S. David, Industrial Research, March 1950 p. +19.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_36_36" id="Footnote_36_36"></a><a href="#FNanchor_36_36"><span class="label">[36]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_37_37" id="Footnote_37_37"></a><a href="#FNanchor_37_37"><span class="label">[37]</span></a> Ibid., p. 18.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_38_38" id="Footnote_38_38"></a><a href="#FNanchor_38_38"><span class="label">[38]</span></a> Space Business Daily, June 13, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_39_39" id="Footnote_39_39"></a><a href="#FNanchor_39_39"><span class="label">[39]</span></a> Cox, Dr. R. A., "The Chemistry of Seawater," New +Scientist, Sept. 24, 19459, p. 518.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_40_40" id="Footnote_40_40"></a><a href="#FNanchor_40_40"><span class="label">[40]</span></a> Hines, L. J., Space Age News, Apr. 25, 1960, p. 4.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_41_41" id="Footnote_41_41"></a><a href="#FNanchor_41_41"><span class="label">[41]</span></a> Gaertner, W. W., "Functional Microelectronics," Missile +Design and Development, March 1960, p. 34.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_42_42" id="Footnote_42_42"></a><a href="#FNanchor_42_42"><span class="label">[42]</span></a> Stewart, Dr. Homer J., address to the American Bar +Association, Miami Beach, Aug. 25, 1959.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_43_43" id="Footnote_43_43"></a><a href="#FNanchor_43_43"><span class="label">[43]</span></a> Cordiner, Ralph J., "Competitive Private Enterprise in +Space," lecture at U.C.L.A., May 4, 1960</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_44_44" id="Footnote_44_44"></a><a href="#FNanchor_44_44"><span class="label">[44]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_45_45" id="Footnote_45_45"></a><a href="#FNanchor_45_45"><span class="label">[45]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_46_46" id="Footnote_46_46"></a><a href="#FNanchor_46_46"><span class="label">[46]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_47_47" id="Footnote_47_47"></a><a href="#FNanchor_47_47"><span class="label">[47]</span></a> 27 supra.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_48_48" id="Footnote_48_48"></a><a href="#FNanchor_48_48"><span class="label">[48]</span></a> See "The Problem of Plenty," U.S. News & World Report, +Apr. 13, 1959, p. 97.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_49_49" id="Footnote_49_49"></a><a href="#FNanchor_49_49"><span class="label">[49]</span></a> Markuwitz, Meyer M., and Gentieu, Norman P., "The Rocket, +A Past and Future History," Industrial Research, December 1959, p. 78.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_50_50" id="Footnote_50_50"></a><a href="#FNanchor_50_50"><span class="label">[50]</span></a> 25 supra. See also address to the American Bankers +Association, Oct. 28, 1958.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_51_51" id="Footnote_51_51"></a><a href="#FNanchor_51_51"><span class="label">[51]</span></a> Space Business Daily, June 17, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_52_52" id="Footnote_52_52"></a><a href="#FNanchor_52_52"><span class="label">[52]</span></a> Feldman, George J., cited in a letter to the House +Committee on Science and Astronautics, Apr. 29, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_53_53" id="Footnote_53_53"></a><a href="#FNanchor_53_53"><span class="label">[53]</span></a> From Michelson, Edward J., "How Missile-Space Spending +Enriches the Peacetime Economy," Missiles and Rockets, Sept. 14, 1959, +pp. 13-17.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_54_54" id="Footnote_54_54"></a><a href="#FNanchor_54_54"><span class="label">[54]</span></a> Tischer, R. G., "A Search for the Spaceman's Food," Space +Journal, December 1959, p. 46.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_55_55" id="Footnote_55_55"></a><a href="#FNanchor_55_55"><span class="label">[55]</span></a> Kraar, Louis, Wall Street Journal, May 4, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_56_56" id="Footnote_56_56"></a><a href="#FNanchor_56_56"><span class="label">[56]</span></a> 7 supra.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_57_57" id="Footnote_57_57"></a><a href="#FNanchor_57_57"><span class="label">[57]</span></a> Release No. 38-60, Air Research and Development Command, +May 2, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_58_58" id="Footnote_58_58"></a><a href="#FNanchor_58_58"><span class="label">[58]</span></a> Lear, John, "Where Does Rain Begin?" New Scientist, Mar. +24, 1960, p. 724.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_59_59" id="Footnote_59_59"></a><a href="#FNanchor_59_59"><span class="label">[59]</span></a> "Wind and Soil," New Scientist, May 26, 1960, p. 1327.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_60_60" id="Footnote_60_60"></a><a href="#FNanchor_60_60"><span class="label">[60]</span></a> Wexler, Dr. Harry. Press conference conducted by the +National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Apr. 22, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_61_61" id="Footnote_61_61"></a><a href="#FNanchor_61_61"><span class="label">[61]</span></a> Lockheed, Missiles and Space Division, medical research, +Sunnyvale, Calif.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_62_62" id="Footnote_62_62"></a><a href="#FNanchor_62_62"><span class="label">[62]</span></a> Lewis, Dr. F. J., before the Space Flight Symposium, San +Antonio, Tex., May 28, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_63_63" id="Footnote_63_63"></a><a href="#FNanchor_63_63"><span class="label">[63]</span></a> Kleitman, Prof. Nathaniel, before the Space Flight +Symposium, San Antonio, Tex., May 26, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_64_64" id="Footnote_64_64"></a><a href="#FNanchor_64_64"><span class="label">[64]</span></a> Taylor, Lt. Col. Richard R., USA (MC), testimony before +the House Committee on Science and Astronautics, June 15, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_65_65" id="Footnote_65_65"></a><a href="#FNanchor_65_65"><span class="label">[65]</span></a> Lederberg, Joshua, "Exobiology-Experimental Approaches to +Life Beyond Earth," Science in Space, ch. IX, National Academy of +Sciences, Washington, D.C., February 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_66_66" id="Footnote_66_66"></a><a href="#FNanchor_66_66"><span class="label">[66]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_67_67" id="Footnote_67_67"></a><a href="#FNanchor_67_67"><span class="label">[67]</span></a> Dryden, Dr. Hugh L., speech before the Engineering Society +of Cincinnati, Feb. 18, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_68_68" id="Footnote_68_68"></a><a href="#FNanchor_68_68"><span class="label">[68]</span></a> Michael, Donald N., "Space Exploration and the Values of +Man," Space Journal, September 1959, p. 15.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_69_69" id="Footnote_69_69"></a><a href="#FNanchor_69_69"><span class="label">[69]</span></a> 67 supra.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_70_70" id="Footnote_70_70"></a><a href="#FNanchor_70_70"><span class="label">[70]</span></a> Space Age, August 1959, p. 3.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_71_71" id="Footnote_71_71"></a><a href="#FNanchor_71_71"><span class="label">[71]</span></a> Minneapolis-Honeywell, Military Products Group.</p></div> + + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_72_72" id="Footnote_72_72"></a><a href="#FNanchor_72_72"><span class="label">[72]</span></a> Hauser, Philip M., "Demographic Dimensions of World +Politics," Science, June 3, 1960, p. 1642.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_73_73" id="Footnote_73_73"></a><a href="#FNanchor_73_73"><span class="label">[73]</span></a> Bacq, Prof. Z. M., "Medicine in the 1960's," New +Scientist, Jan. 21, 1960, p. 130.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_74_74" id="Footnote_74_74"></a><a href="#FNanchor_74_74"><span class="label">[74]</span></a> 59 supra.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_75_75" id="Footnote_75_75"></a><a href="#FNanchor_75_75"><span class="label">[75]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_76_76" id="Footnote_76_76"></a><a href="#FNanchor_76_76"><span class="label">[76]</span></a> Ibid.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_77_77" id="Footnote_77_77"></a><a href="#FNanchor_77_77"><span class="label">[77]</span></a> "The Challenge of Leisure," M. G. Scott, Ltd., London, +August 1959, p. 20.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_78_78" id="Footnote_78_78"></a><a href="#FNanchor_78_78"><span class="label">[78]</span></a> 27 supra.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_79_79" id="Footnote_79_79"></a><a href="#FNanchor_79_79"><span class="label">[79]</span></a> Firsoff, Dr. V. A., "The Strange World of the Moon," Basic +Books, London, 1959.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_80_80" id="Footnote_80_80"></a><a href="#FNanchor_80_80"><span class="label">[80]</span></a> Reported by David Perlman, San Francisco Chronicle, June +7, 1960.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_81_81" id="Footnote_81_81"></a><a href="#FNanchor_81_81"><span class="label">[81]</span></a> Lear, John, "Is Anybody There?," New Scientist, Apr. 14, +1960, p. 933.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_82_82" id="Footnote_82_82"></a><a href="#FNanchor_82_82"><span class="label">[82]</span></a> Aviation Week, May 9, 1960, p 32.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_83_83" id="Footnote_83_83"></a><a href="#FNanchor_83_83"><span class="label">[83]</span></a> Whipple, Dr. Fred L.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_84_84" id="Footnote_84_84"></a><a href="#FNanchor_84_84"><span class="label">[84]</span></a> Western Aviation, June 1960, p. 16.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_85_85" id="Footnote_85_85"></a><a href="#FNanchor_85_85"><span class="label">[85]</span></a> Gold, Dr. Thomas, "Cosmic Garbage," address to the Space +Scientists Symposium, Los Angeles, December 1959.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_86_86" id="Footnote_86_86"></a><a href="#FNanchor_86_86"><span class="label">[86]</span></a> 68 supra, pp. 12, 13.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_87_87" id="Footnote_87_87"></a><a href="#FNanchor_87_87"><span class="label">[87]</span></a> 6 supra, pp. 3, 4.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_88_88" id="Footnote_88_88"></a><a href="#FNanchor_88_88"><span class="label">[88]</span></a> Michael, D. N., "Sputniks & Public Opinion," Air Force, +June 1960, p. 75.</p></div> + +<div class="footnote"><p><a name="Footnote_89_89" id="Footnote_89_89"></a><a href="#FNanchor_89_89"><span class="label">[89]</span></a> Industrial Research, December 1959, pp. 8, 9.</p></div> + +</div> + + + + + + + +<pre> + + + + + +End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of The Practical Values of Space +Exploration, by Committee on Science and Astronautics + +*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK SPACE EXPLORATION *** + +***** This file should be named 19911-h.htm or 19911-h.zip ***** +This and all associated files of various formats will be found in: + http://www.gutenberg.org/1/9/9/1/19911/ + +Produced by Audrey Longhurst, Janet Blenkinship and the +Online Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net + + +Updated editions will replace the previous one--the old editions +will be renamed. + +Creating the works from public domain print editions means that no +one owns a United States copyright in these works, so the Foundation +(and you!) can copy and distribute it in the United States without +permission and without paying copyright royalties. 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You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: The Practical Values of Space Exploration + Report of the Committee on Science and Astronautics, U.S. + House of Representatives, Eighty-Sixth Congress, Second + Session + +Author: Committee on Science and Astronautics + +Release Date: November 24, 2006 [EBook #19911] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ASCII + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK SPACE EXPLORATION *** + + + + +Produced by Audrey Longhurst, Janet Blenkinship and the +Online Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net + + + + + + + +Union Calendar No. 928 + +86th Congress, 2d Session House Report No. 2091 + + + + +THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION + + +REPORT + +OF THE + +COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES +EIGHTY-SIXTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION + +PURSUANT TO + +H. Res. 133 + +[Serial I] + +July 5, 1960.--Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on the +State of the Union and ordered to be printed + + +UNITED STATES + +GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE + +58231 deg. WASHINGTON: 1960 + + + + + +COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS + + + OVERTON BROOKS, Louisiana, _Chairman_ + + John W. McCormack, Massachusetts + George P. Miller, California + Olin E. Teague, Texas + Victor L. Anfuso, New York + B. F. Sisk, California + Erwin Mitchell, Georgia + James M. Quigley, Pennsylvania + Leonard G. Wolf, Iowa + Joseph E. Karth, Minnesota + Ken Hechler, West Virginia + Emilio Q. Daddario, Connecticut + Walter H. Moeller, Ohio + David S. King, Utah + J. Edward Roush, Indiana + Thomas G. Morris, New Mexico + Joseph W. Martin, JR. Massachusetts + James G. Fulton, Pennsylvania + Gordon L. McDonough, California + J. Edgar Chenoweth, Colorado + Frank C. Osmers, JR. New Jersey + William K. Van Pelt, Wisconsin + A. D. Baumhart, JR. Ohio + Perkins Bass, New Hampshire + R. Walter Riehlman, New York + + CHARLES F. DUCANDER, _Executive Director and Chief Counsel_ + DR. CHARLES S. SHELDON II, _Technical Director_ + SPENCER M. BERESFORD, _Special Counsel_ + PHILIP B. YEAGER, _Special Consultant_ + JOHN A. CARSTARPHEN, Jr., _Chief Clerk_ + FRANK R. HAMMILL, Jr., _Counsel_ + RAYMOND WILCOVE, _Staff Consultant_ + RICHARD P. HINES, _Staff Consultant_ + Lt. Col. FRANCIS J. DILLON, Jr., _Staff Consultant_ + Comdr. HOWARD J. SILBERSTEIN, _Staff Consultant_ + + + + +LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL + + + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, + COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS, + _Washington, D.C., July 1, 1960._ + + Hon. OVERTON BROOKS, + _Chairman, Committee on Science and Astronautics._ + +DEAR MR. CHAIRMAN: I am forwarding herewith for your +consideration a staff study, "The Practical Values of Space +Exploration." + +This study was undertaken pursuant to your request for information +covering the various utilities of the national space effort. The study +has been prepared by Philip B. Yeager and reviewed by other members of +the professional staff. + + CHARLES F. DUCANDER, + _Executive Director and Chief Counsel._ + + + + +LETTER OF SUBMITTAL + + + HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, + COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND ASTRONAUTICS, + _Washington, D.C., July 5, 1960._ + + Hon. SAM RAYBURN, + _Speaker of the House of Representatives, + Washington, D.C._ + +DEAR MR. SPEAKER: By direction of the Committee on Science and +Astronautics, I submit the following report on "The Practical Values of +Space Exploration" for the consideration of the 86th Congress. + + OVERTON BROOKS, _Chairman_. + + + + + CONTENTS + + + Introduction 1 + + I. The unseen values 3 + Some examples of the unexpected 3 + The ultimate values 5 + Steering a middle road 6 + The time for space 7 + + II. National security values 9 + The military uses 9 + Our position in the international community 12 + Space as a substitute for war 15 + + III. The economic values 17 + U.S. expenditures on space 17 + The spread of economic benefits 18 + Creation of new industries 19 + Research 19 + New power sources 20 + New water sources and uses 21 + Noise and human engineering 22 + High speed-light weight computers 22 + Solid state physics 23 + Economic alliances 24 + Private enterprise in space 24 + Jobs 27 + Automation and disarmament 28 + + IV. Values for everyday living 31 + Technological benefits 31 + Food and agriculture 35 + Communications 36 + Weather prediction and modification 37 + Health benefits 39 + Education benefits 42 + The demand 42 + + V. Long-range values 45 + Trouble spots 45 + Population 45 + Water shortage 46 + Soil erosion 46 + Added leisure 47 + Intensified nationalism 48 + Limitations on space research 48 + Fundamental knowledge about life 51 + Psychological and spiritual values 52 + Maturing of the race 53 + + + + ++---------------------------------------------------------------+ +| 86TH CONGRESS | +| _2d Session_ | +| | +| HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | +| | +| REPORT | +| NO. 2091 | +| | +| | +| | +| | +|THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION | +| | +| * * * * * | +| | +|JULY 5, 1960.--Committed to the Committee of the Whole House on| +|the State of the Union and ordered to be printed | +| | +| * * * * * | +| | +|Mr. BROOKS of Louisiana, from the Committee on Science and | +|Astronautics, submitted the following | +| | +| REPORT | +| | +| [Pursuant to H. Res. 133] | +| | ++---------------------------------------------------------------+ + + + + +THE PRACTICAL VALUES OF SPACE EXPLORATION + + + + +INTRODUCTION + + +This report has been undertaken for a special reason. It is to explain +to the taxpayer just why so many of his dollars are going into the +American effort to explore space, and to indicate what he can expect in +return which is of value to him. + +Such an explanation, even after 2 years of relatively high-geared +activity in the space exploration field, appears to be warranted. There +is still a segment of the U.S. population which has little, if any, +notion of the values that the space program has for the average citizen. +To these people the expenditure of billions of dollars on missiles, +rockets, satellites, Moon probes, and other space activities remains +something of a mystery--particularly when so many other worthy projects +throughout the land may be slowed or stalled for lack of funds. + +If, therefore, the practical value of the American space program is +being questioned, it is a question which needs to be answered. + +It is interesting to note that the problem is not unique to the United +States. In the Soviet Union, which counts itself as the world's prime +investigator of space, there is likewise an element of citizenry which +finds itself puzzled over the U.S.S.R.'s penchant for the interplanetary +reaches. + +"What do sputniks give to a person like me?" a Russian workman +complained in a letter which _Pravda_ published on its front page. "So +much money is spent on sputniks it makes people gasp. If there were no +sputniks the Government could cut the cost of cloth for an overcoat in +half and put a few electric flatirons in the stores. Rockets, rockets, +rockets. Who needs them now?"[1] + +It goes without saying that the workman was severely chastised by the +Soviet newspaper, but his point was made. + +No matter where taxpayers live they want to know--and are entitled to +know--what good a program of space exploration is to them. + +During the 1960's it is expected that the U.S. Government will spend +anywhere from $30 to $50 billion on space exploration for all purposes, +civilian and military. It is the intent of this report to delineate in +lay language, and in terms which will be meaningful to those who have +not followed the American space program closely, the reasons for this +great investment and the probable returns. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 1.--A single shot of the 8-barreled +Saturn of the future will cost millions of dollars, maybe tens of +millions. What makes it worthwhile for the taxpayer?] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[1] Associated Press dispatch, dateline Moscow, June 12, 1960. + + + + +I. The Unseen Values + + +The United States has not embarked upon its formidable program of space +exploration in order to make or perpetuate a gigantic astronautic +boondoggle. There are good reasons, hard reasons for this program. But, +in essence, they all boil down to the fact that the program is expected +to produce a number of highly valuable payoffs. It not only is expected +to do so, it is doing so right now. + +Many of the beneficial results can be identified. + +Those already showing up are detailed in the sections of this report +which follow. They include the most urgent and precious of all +commodities--national security. Beyond that, they also include a +strengthened national economy, new jobs and job categories, better +living, fresh consumer goods, improved education, increased health, +stimulated business enterprise and a host of long-range values which may +ultimately make the immediate benefits pale into relative +insignificance. + +Practical uses such as those just listed mean the taxpayer is more than +getting his money's worth from American space exploration--and getting a +sizable chunk of it today. + +Nevertheless, if we can depend on the history of scientific adventure +and progress, on its consistent tendencies of the past, then we can be +reasonably sure that the greatest, finest benefits to come from our +ventures into space are yet unseen. + +These are the unpredictable values, the ones which none of us has yet +thought of. + +Inevitably they lag behind the basic research discoveries needed to make +them possible, and often the discoveries are slow to be put to work +after they are made. Investors, even governments, are human, and before +they invest in something they normally want to know: What good is it? + +We can be sure that many American taxpayers of the future will be asking +"what good is it?" in regard to various phases of the space program. + +There was an occasion when the great Scottish physicist, James Clerk +Maxwell, was asked this question concerning one of his classic +discoveries in electromagnetism. Maxwell replied: "What good is a baby?" + +Now, as then, it takes time for new knowledge to develop and become +useful after its conception and birth. + + +SOME EXAMPLES OF THE UNEXPECTED + +A graphic illustration of "unseen" benefits in regard to atomic energy +has been expressed by an experienced researcher in this way: + + I remember a conversation I had with one of our nuclear scientists + when I was a member of the Weapons Systems Evaluations Group almost + 10 years ago. We were talking about the possible peaceful + applications of fission. We really could think of little that + could be done with it other than making fissionable material into a + form of destructive power. There had been some discussion about + harnessing the power of fission, but this seemed to us to be quite + remote. It seemed difficult to conceive of the atomic bomb as + anything but sheer power used for destructive purposes. Yet today + the products of fission applied to peaceful uses are many. The use + of isotopes in industry, medicine, agriculture are well known. Food + irradiation, nuclear power reactors, now reactors for shipboard + use, are with us, and it is hardly the beginning. I frequently ask + myself, of late, what 10 years from now will be the commercial, + shall we call it, applications of our missile and rocket + programs.[2] + +There are innumerable examples of the way in which invention or +discovery, or sometimes just simple human curiosity, result in useful +payoff. And frequently no one suspects the direction the payoff finally +takes. The point, of course, is that _any_ knowledge eventually pays +dividends. The things we learn from our national space program will +produce benefits in ways entirely unrelated to missiles or +interplanetary travel. (See secs. III and IV.) The reverse is also true; +knowledge gained in areas quite remote from outer space can have genuine +value for the advance of space exploration. + +Investigation into the skin of a fish provides a good case in point. + +A German inventor who migrated to California after World War II had long +been interested in ways to reduce the drag of friction produced by air +or water on the surface of objects passing through them. One day, while +watching a group of porpoises cavort past a speeding ship with the +greatest of ease, it occurred to him that the skin of these animals, if +closely studied, might shed light on ways of cutting surface friction. +It was many years before the inventor was able to enlist the aid of +aquarium managers in securing porpoise skins for study. In 1955, +however, he obtained the necessary skins and found that dolphins, in +fact, owe much of their great speed to a unique skin which markedly +reduces the effect of turbulence against it. From this knowledge has +come the recent development of a diaphragm-damping fluid surface which +has real potential not only for underwater high-speed bodies, such as +submarines, torpedoes and underwater missiles, but for any vehicle where +fast-moving gases or fluids may cause drag.[3] + +The implications of this knowledge for satellites near Earth or for +reentering spacecraft are obvious. + +Sometimes a reverse twist in reasoning by a speculative mind will result +in enormous practical utility. + +In Cambridge, Mass., a sanitary engineer teaching at the Massachusetts +Institute of Technology began to wonder about the principles of +adhesion--why things stick to each other. Do they only stick together +because some sticky substance is holding them, or are there other +reasons? "If a person is sick," he asked himself, "is it because a cause +of sickness is present or because a cause of health is absent? We now +know that in infectious diseases the first alternative is true; the +patient is ill because he harbors pathogenic germs. The opposite case +prevails in deficiency diseases, where necessary vitamins are absent +from food and illness is brought about by this absence. To which of the +classes does adhesion belong? When we cannot produce a dependable bond, +are we dealing with the lack of some adhesive force or with existence of +an obstacle to sticking?" + +Operating on the theory that adhesion might result not only from the +presence of a sticky agent but from the removal of all impediments to +sticking, this scientist has now managed to produce strong adhesion +between the least sticky of substances--polyethylene plastics. He has +done it by studying the molecular structure of polyethylenes and +removing all impurities which normally find their way into the +manufacture of such material. The next step: "We hope to prepare +adhesive joints in which a noble gas acts as an adhesive. Noble gases +are the least active substances known to chemistry; if they can adhere, +it is clear that no specific forces are needed for adhesiveness."[4] + +No great imagination is required to perceive the meaning which this new +knowledge, if proved out, will have for our everyday lives--to say +nothing of its usefulness in the making of astronautic equipment. + + +THE ULTIMATE VALUES + +In any event, it is apparent that where research is concerned--and +especially space research with its broad scale of inquiry--we cannot +always see the value of scientific endeavor on the basis of its +beginning. We cannot always account for what we have purchased with each +research dollar. + +The Government stated this proposition when it first undertook to put +the space program on a priority basis: + + Scientific research has never been amenable to rigorous cost + accounting in advance. Nor, for that matter, has exploration of any + sort. But if we have learned one lesson, it is that research and + exploration have a remarkable way of paying off--quite apart from + the fact that they demonstrate that man is alive and insatiably + curious. And we all feel richer for knowing what explorers and + scientists have learned about the universe in which we live.[5] + +In this statement there is political support for what the historian, the +anthropologist, the psychologist consider to be established fact--that +some innate force in the human being makes him _know_, whatever his +formal beliefs or whatever his unconscious philosophy, that he _must_ +progress. Progress is the core of his destiny. + +This is a concept which, in connection with space exploration, has been +recognized for many years. One of the earliest and most perceptive of +the space "buffs" stated it before the British Interplanetary Society in +1946 in these words: "* * * our civilization is no more than the sum of +all the dreams that earlier ages have brought to fulfillment. And so it +must always be, for if men cease to dream, if they turn their backs upon +the wonder of the universe, the story of our race will be coming to an +end".[6] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 2.--In the years immediately ahead, the +orbiting observatory or the manned satellite will uncover crucial +information about the nature of the universe.] + + +STEERING A MIDDLE ROAD + +In any endeavor which is as futuristic as space exploration it is not +difficult to become lost in the land of the starry-eyed prognosticators. +Conversely, it is also easy to find oneself lining up with the debunkers +and the champions of the status quo, for their arguments and views give +the impression of being hard-headed, sensible. + +If one must err in either direction, however, it is probably safer, +where space is concerned, to err in the direction of the enthusiasts. +This is because (and subsequent parts of this report will show it) the +Nation cannot afford not to be in the vanguard of the space explorers. + +Events today move with facility and lightning rapidity. Today, more than +ever, time is on the side of the expeditious. We can no longer take the +risk of giving much support to the scoffers--to that breed of +unimaginative souls who thought Robert Fulton was a fool for harnessing +a paddlewheel to a boiler, who thought Henry Ford was a fool for putting +an internal combustion engine on wheels, who thought Samuel Langley was +a fool for designing a contraption to fly through the air. + +There are always those who will say it cannot be done. Even in this era +of sophisticated flight there have been those who said the sound barrier +would never be broken. It was. Others said later that space vehicles +would never get through the heat barrier. They have. Now, some say men +will never overcome the radiation barrier in space. But we can be sure +they will. + +It is undoubtedly wise for the layman, in terms of the benefits he can +expect from the space program in the foreseeable future, to steer a +reasonable course between the two extremes. Yet one cannot help +remembering that the secret of taking practical energy from the atom, a +secret which the human race had been trying to learn for thousands of +years, was accomplished in less than a decade from the moment when men +first determined that it was possible to split an atom. It is difficult +to forget that even after World War II some of our most respected +scientists sold short the idea of developing long-range missiles. +Impractical, they said; visionary. But 6 years after the United States +went to work seriously on missiles, an operational ICBM with a +9,000-mile range was an accomplished fact. + + +THE TIME FOR SPACE + +All of the glowing predictions being made on behalf of space exploration +will not be here tomorrow or the next day. Yet this seems less important +than that we recognize the significance of our moment of history. + +We may think of that moment as a new age--the age of space and the +atom--to follow the historic ages of stone, bronze, and iron. We may +think of it in terms of theories, of succeeding from those of Copernicus +to those of Newton and thence to Freud and now Einstein. We may think of +our time as the time of exploiting the new fourth state of matter: +plasma, or the ion. Or we may think of it in terms of revolutions, as +passing from the industrial cycle of steam through the railroad-steel +cycle, through the electricity-automobile cycle, into the burgeoning +technological revolution of today. + +However we think of it, it is a dawning period and one which--in its +scope and potential--promises to dwarf much of what has gone before. +Those who have given careful thought to the matter are convinced that +while some caution is in order, the new era is not one to be approached +with timidity, inhibited imagination or too much convention. Neither is +there any point in trying to hold off the tempo of this oncoming age or, +in any other way, to evade it. + +Mark Twain once listened to the complaints of an old riverboat pilot who +was having trouble making the switch from sail to steam. The old pilot +wanted no part of the newfangled steam contraptions. "Maybe so," replied +Twain, "but when it's steamboat time, you steam."[7] + +Today is space time and man is going to explore it. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 3.--The versatile Atlas can be used +either for launching man into space or to carry a nuclear warhead as far +as 9,000 miles.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[2] Gavin, Lt. Gen. James M., U.S. Army (retired), speech to the +American Rocket Society, New York City, Nov. 19, 1958. + +[3] Kramer, Max O., "The Dolphins' Secret," New Scientist, May 5, 1960, +pp. 1118-1120. + +[4] Bikerman, Dr. Jacob J., reported in New Scientist, Mar. 3, 1960, p. +535. + +[5] "Introduction to Outer Space," a statement by the President, the +White House, Mar. 26, 1958. + +[6] Clarke, Arthur C., "The Challenge of the Spaceships," Harper & +Bros., New York, 1955, p. 15. + +[7] Related by T. Keith Glennan, Administrator, National Aeronautics and +Space Administration, in an address before the Worcester (Mass.) +Economic Club, Feb. 15, 1960. + + + + +II. NATIONAL SECURITY VALUES + + +There is no longer doubt that space exploration holds genuine +significance for the security and well-being of the United States as a +nation. + +It does so in at least three ways. One results from the uses which our +Armed Forces can make of the knowledge gained from space exploration. A +second results from the influence and prestige which America can exert +within the world community because of her prowess in space exploration. +A third results from the possibility that space exploration, eventually, +may prove so immense and important a challenge that it will channel the +prime energies of powerful nations toward its own end and thus reduce +the current emphasis on developing means of destruction. + +The first two values definitely exist. The third seems to be a +reasonable hope. + + +THE MILITARY USES + +From the beginning it has been recognized that space exploration, the +research connected therewith, and the ability to operate therein is of +more than passing interest to the military. + +Congress recognized the fact when it passed the National Aeronautics and +Space Act of 1958 and directed that "activities peculiar to or primarily +associated with the development of weapons systems, military operations, +or the defense of the United States * * * shall be the responsibility +of, and shall be directed by, the Department of Defense."[8] In the +amendments to the Space Act proposed in 1960, this directive was +strengthened: "The Department of Defense shall undertake such activities +in space, and such research and development connected therewith, as may +be necessary for the defense of the United States."[9] + +It is possible to argue, and indeed it has been argued, that ballistic +missiles such as IRBM's and ICBM's are not really "space" weapons, that +they are simply an extension of the traditional art of artillery. For +the purposes of this report, however, the argument appears to be largely +a semantic one. Such missiles do traverse space, they are guided through +space, and they employ the same engines and principles which are +presently used for purposes of scientific space exploration. While more +advanced "space" weapons may evolve in the future, the missile as we +know it today cannot very well be divorced from our thinking about space +and its practical uses. + +Going on this assumption, and casting an eye in the direction of the +Iron Curtain, it is obvious that the Soviet Union is going all-out to +exploit space for military purposes. + +Military men have known for years that the tremendously powerful booster +which the Soviets have been using to launch their massive sputniks was +originally designed to carry the primitive heavy version of the A-bomb +across continents. + +If there was ever doubt of the extent to which the Soviets intend to +make space a selected medium for military purposes it was erased when +Premier Khrushchev made his address to the Supreme Soviet early in 1960. +He commented in part: + + Our state has at its disposal powerful rocket equipment. The + military air force and navy have lost their previous importance in + view of the modern development of military equipment. This type of + armament is not being reduced but replaced. Almost the entire + military air force is being replaced by rocket equipment. We have + by now sharply cut, and it seems will continue sharply to cut and + even discontinue the manufacture of bombers and other obsolete + equipment. In the navy, the submarine fleet assumes great + importance, while surface ships can no longer play the part they + once did. In our country the armed forces have been to a + considerable extent transferred to rocket and nuclear arms. These + arms are being perfected and will continue to be perfected until + they are banned.[10] + +While it is difficult to assess the actual extent of the Soviet +preoccupation with missiles, it has been reported that the Russians are +building upward of 100 IRBM and ICBM bases to be manned by about 200,000 +men. Most of these, at least the intermediate range bases, are said to +be along Russia's Baltic coast, in East Germany, in the southern Ukraine +and in the Carpathian Mountains.[11] + +In any event, the space age is clearly "here" so far as the military are +concerned, and U.S. forces--particularly since the development of the +much lighter atomic warheads--have been likewise diligent in their space +efforts. This is because many military minds are now agreed that: + + We are moving inevitably into a time of astropower. We face a + threat beyond imagination, should events ever lead to open conflict + in a world of hypersonic velocities and a raging atom chained as + our slave. We must be strong, we must be able to change to meet + change. What may come against our beloved America will not be + signaled by one light from the North Church steeple, if they come + by land, or two, if they come by sea. Never again. They will come + through space, and their light of warning will be the blinding + terror of a thermonuclear fireball.[12] + +It is important to note, in connection with military matters, that pure +rocket power, is not the only avenue to success in space use. The +American Atlas missile, for example, which can carry a nuclear warhead +and which operates on considerably less thrust than the powerful Soviet +boosters thus far demonstrated, has nevertheless shown the capability of +negotiating a 9,000-mile trek and landing in the target area. This is +about 1,500 miles farther than any Soviet shots revealed to the public +in the 2-1/2-year period following the first sputnik. It is also a +sufficient range to permit reaching almost any likely target on the +globe. + +From the military point of view, the meaning thus brought out is that +sophistication of missiles together with reliability and ease of +handling is more important than pure power. + +When we begin to consider both the civil and military aspects of space +use in the decades ahead, however, rocket power acquires fresh +importance. It is, as one expert says, "the key to space supremacy."[13] +Not only is much heavier thrust required for ventures farther out into +space, but probably thrust developed by different means as well, such as +atom, ion, or even photon power. + +This suggests the possibilities of weapons which today are considered to +be "way out" or "blue sky"--in short, farfetched. Yet they include the +ideas of men with solid scientific training as well as vision. For +example, Germany's great rocket pioneer, Prof. Hermann Oberth, "has +proposed that a giant mirror in space (some 60 miles in diameter) could +be used militarily to burn an enemy country on Earth. For peaceful +purposes, however, such a space mirror could be used to melt icebergs +and alter temperatures."[14] Another reputable German scientist who has +been working for a number of years on photon (electromagnetic ray) power +as a source of propulsion, declares that if such power is possible so is +"the idea of a 'death ray,' a weapon beam which burns or melts targets, +such as enemy missiles, on which it is trained. The idea has been +familiar in science fiction for a long time and has been scorned often +enough. Yet, if the photon rocket is possible so is the ray gun."[15] + +Still another proposal, one made to the Congress, involves use of the +Moon as a military base. "It could, at some future date, be used as a +secure base to deter aggression. Lunar launching sites, perhaps located +on the far side of the Moon, which could never be viewed directly from +the Earth, could launch missiles earthward. They could be guided +accurately during flight and to impact, and thus might serve peaceful +ends by deterring any would-be aggressor."[16] + +In spite of the fact that ideas such as these are being sponsored by +competent and responsible scientists, other scientists equally competent +and responsible sometimes cry them down as impractical, impossible or +even childish. One engineer, for instance, describes maneuverable manned +space vehicles as having "no military value," bases on the Moon as +having no military or communications use, and the idea of high velocity +photon-power for space travel as "a fantasy strictly for immature +science fiction." He also characterizes the reconnaissance satellite, +which U.S. military authorities have long since programmed and even +launched, as being "definitely submarginal * * *. A fraction of the cost +of a reconnaissance satellite could accomplish wonders in conventional +information gathering."[17] + +Controversies such as these are difficult for the person who is neither +a scientist nor a military expert to judge. One is inclined to recall, +though, the treatment received by General Billy Mitchell for his +devotion to nonconventional bombing concepts; the fact that the utility +of the rocket as developed by America's pioneer, Dr. Robert H. Goddard, +was generally ignored during World War II; the fact that it took a +personal letter from Albert Einstein to President Roosevelt to get the +Manhattan Project underway. + +Yet today the bomber, the missile, and the nuclear weapon form the +backbone of our military posture. + +In other words, history seems to support the proposition that no matter +how remote or unlikely new discoveries and approaches may first appear, +the military eventually finds a way to use them. + +Will it be any different with space exploration? + + +OUR POSITION IN THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY + +Like the military values of space research, the practical value of space +exploration in terms of world prestige has also been acknowledged almost +from the beginning of the satellite era. + +The White House, in its initial statement on the national space program, +declared: + + It is useful to distinguish among (the) factors which give + importance, urgency, and inevitability to the advancement of space + technology (one of which) is the factor of national prestige. To be + strong and bold in space technology will enhance the prestige of + the United States among the peoples of the world and create added + confidence in our scientific, technological, industrial, and + military strength.[18] + +Only recently, however, has the full impact and meaning of this phase of +our national space program come to be widely recognized. It has been +stated, perhaps in its most forceful and succinct form, by an American +official in a unique position to know. The Director of the U.S. +Information Agency, part of whose job is to keep track of the esteem in +which America is held abroad, has told Congress: + + Our space program may be considered as a measure of our vitality + and our ability to compete with a formidable rival and as a + criterion of our ability to maintain technological eminence worthy + of emulation by other peoples.[19] + +This element of space exploration takes on particular significance in +light of the current international struggle to influence the minds of +men, in light of the rising tide of nationalism throughout the world, +and in light of the intensification of the cold war as demonstrated by +the now-famous U-2 incident and the hardening attitude of oriental +communism. + +In the words of an influential newspaper: + + Wholly apart from the intellectual compulsions that now drive man + to move higher and higher into the high heavens, it seems clear + that our country can be niggardly in this field only at the risk of + being completely and forever outclassed by Russia--a gamble that + could have the most fearful political, economic, and military + consequences.[20] + +Incidentally, there is another prestige factor to be considered. This is +what might be called the chain-reaction factor: the likelihood that +technological preeminence in the space field will attract top talent +from other parts of the world to the banner of the country which +develops it, and thus constantly nourish and replenish the efforts of +that country. It is a consideration which has not received general +attention, although it has been discussed before some of the world's +leading space scientists.[21] + +Here again, as with the military situation, the Soviets are making every +effort to exploit their dexterity in space. They are pursuing the +prestige gambit directly and indirectly. In the first category, for +example, they give top priority to space exhibits in important public +forums--as their duplicate sputniks strategically placed at the world's +fair and the United Nations attest. Premier Khrushchev's delight in +making gifts to foreigners of miniature Soviet pennants similar to that +carried in Lunik II--which hit the Moon--is another instance.[22] + +The indirect drive for prestige via space technology is far more +important. It has been described by a congressional committee as +follows: + + It is difficult to escape the conclusion that the Soviet Union in + the last several years has demonstrated a great skill in + coordinating its progress in missilery, its success in space + missions, and its foreign policy and world image. Shots seem to + have been timed to maximize the effects of visits of Soviet leaders + and to punctuate Soviet statements and positions in international + negotiations. This is not to equate their space activities with + hollow propaganda. Empty claims do not have a positive effect for + long. Nor is there any firm evidence that it has been possible for + political policymakers to call their shots at times inconsistent + with good scientific and technical needs. The conclusion is rather + that the many elements of scientific, technical, military, + political, and psychological policy are all weighed, and tests + which make a full contribution to such a combined strategy are + carried out and supported with appropriate publicity.[23] + +There is also evidence that scientific endeavor by the Russians for +prestige purposes is having repercussions on internal policy. Great +emphasis is currently being placed on the demonstrable usefulness of +scientific effort--to the extent that Soviet colleges, research +institutions, examining boards, and academies of science have been +directed to be more exacting in conferring scientific degrees and +titles. Newness and usefulness are requisite, but, at the same time, +degrees may now be awarded for other than dissertations; inventions and +textbooks of major importance may also earn a degree for their +authors.[24] + +Within the prestige context, it is true that the United States must +labor under certain handicaps because of the nature of its democratic +system. + +No effort is made in the American space program to hide the failures +which result from its highly complex character. Our burnups, misfires, +explosions, fizzles, and lost or wayward vehicles are well publicized. +Those of the Soviet Union rarely are. Even though most nations are well +aware that the Russians must be having their troubles, too, the +appearance of uniform success fostered by the U.S.S.R. inevitably +contributes to an image of scientific superiority. In addition, the +Soviets have developed a habit of striving for spectacular "firsts," +most of which undoubtedly are undertaken almost as much for prestige +reasons as for scientific ones. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 4.--Symbolic of the American effort in +space is this Thor-Able rocket, shown here launching the Tiros weather +satellite into a near-perfect orbit. This same vehicle, which launched +the record-breaking 23 million-mile communication probe--Pioneer V--has +contributed enormously to U.S. prestige abroad.] + +Still, the United States has not done badly from the prestige angle. So +far as the world's scientific fraternity is concerned, it may even be +well in the lead. + +In the first 30 or so months following the opening of the space age, as +signaled by the launching of Sputnik I in October 1957, the United +States put 21 satellites into orbit out of 42 attempts. Two out of five +deep-space probes were successful. The degree of success for all major +launchings ran better than 50 percent. The American effort has been +based on a broad scope of inquiry and includes long-range +communications, weather reporting, navigation and surveillance vehicles, +as well as information-gathering satellites. + +During the same period the Soviets launched four Earth satellites, one +deep-space probe, one lunar-impact probe and one satellite into a much +elongated Earth orbit which circled and photographed the Moon. Most of +their vehicles have been substantially heavier than those launched by +the United States, although complete information on their scientific +purposes and the result obtained has never been disclosed. + +The world political value of such programs cannot be discounted. To the +extent that the welfare of the United States depends upon its stature in +the eyes of the rest of the world (which is believed considerable) and +to the extent that the scientific capability of the United States +influences such stature (which is also believed considerable) our space +venture has very marked practical utility. It may even mean the +difference between freedom and dictatorship, between survival and +oblivion. + + +SPACE AS A SUBSTITUTE FOR WAR + +A natural outgrowth of the military and prestige facets of space +exploration is the question of whether this activity, in time, will +replace the forces which have historically driven nations into armed +conflict. + +Any number of social scientists and historians have speculated that this +might occur. The theory is that the conquest of space may prove to be +the moral equivalent of war by substituting for certain material and +psychological needs usually supplied through war; that the absorption of +energies, resources, imagination, and aggressiveness in pursuit of the +space adventure may become an effective way of maintaining peace. + +Put another way, nations might become "extroverted" to the point where +their urge to overcome the unknown would dwarf their historic desires +for power, wealth, and recognition--attributes which have so often led +to war in the past. + +The fact that the United Nations, late in 1959, agreed to set up a +permanent Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space attests to the +hopes and potential of such a development. + +Of course, whether this condition will actually develop is anybody's +guess. But in a world where brute force is becoming increasingly +dangerous and catastrophic, the bare possibility of such a result should +not be ignored by those who may be contemplating the values of space +exploration. It could be the highest value of them all. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 5.--Today's assembly lines for +automobiles and aircraft are being supplemented by the growing +astronautics industry, here shown turning out capsules for manned space +flight.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[8] Public Law 85-568, 85th Cong. + +[9] H. Rept. 1633, 86th Cong., 2d sess., p. 6. + +[10] Speech to the Supreme Soviet, Jan. 14, 1960. + +[11] Associated Press dispatch, dateline London, Dec. 2, 1959. + +[12] Scott, Brig. Gen. Robert L., USAF (retired), Space Age, February +1959, p. 63. + +[13] Ostrander, Maj. Gen. Don R., USAF, before the American Rocket +Society, Los Angeles, May 10, 1960. + +[14] Cox, Donald and Stoiko, Michael, Spacepower, John C. Winston Co., +Philadelphia, 1958, p. 16. + +[15] Saenger, Dr. Eugen, New Scientist, Sept. 10, 1959, p. 383. + +[16] Boushey, Brig. Gen. H. A., USAF, Hearings before the House Select +Committee on Astronautics and Space Exploration, Apr. 23, 1958. + +[17] Pierce, Dr. J. R., "The Dream World of Space," Industrial Research, +December 1959, p. 58. + +[18] 5 supra. + +[19] Allen, George V, testimony before the House Committee on Science +and Astronautics, Jan. 22, 1960. + +[20] Editorial in the Washington Evening Star, Apr. 4, 1960. + +[21] Remarks of Hon. Aubrey Jones, Minister of Supply, to the +International Astronautical Federation, London, Sept. 1, 1959. + +[22] Associated Press dispatch, dateline Rangoon, Feb. 18, 1960. + +[23] "Space, Missiles, and the Nation," report of the House Committee on +Science and Astronautics, May 18, 1960, p. 53. + +[24] The New Scientist, Mar. 3, 1960, p. 547. + + + + +III. THE ECONOMIC VALUES + + +We in the United States believe that we have the world's highest +standard of living. Our current wealth, prosperity, consumer goods and +gross national product are at a peak hitherto unreached by any country. + +Nevertheless, economists who see the steady preponderant outflow of +goods and capital from the United States and who study the rising rate +of economic capability in other countries can find little room for +complacence in the present status of things. They are also well aware of +the Soviet Union's announced intent of beating the United States at its +own game: economic expansion. + +Military historians are likewise aware that even strong economies, when +they become static, do not guarantee safety. On the contrary, they seem +likely to induce a dangerous national apathy. + + This syndrome is familiar in history. Carthage suffered from it. + Carthage enjoyed enormous prosperity and was flourishing when she + was destroyed by her Roman competitor. Much later, Rome had a gross + national product without precedence. Her wealth and splendor were + unsurpassed when the Vandals and Visigoths began their onslaughts. + Neither Rome's great engineering skills, its architectural + grandeur, its great laws, nor, in the last analysis, its gross + national product, could prevail against the barbarians. Their GNP + was negligible; nevertheless they ransacked the mighty Roman + Empire. + + The gross national product is no insurance of survival. It is not a + sign of military strength, and indeed, it may not even be + sufficient for the economic battle.[25] + +Thus from the point of view of economic stimulus and continued +commercial dynamism, space exploration should be--and is proving to +be--a godsend. + + +U.S. EXPENDITURES ON SPACE + +It is impossible to arrive at accurate figures which might help indicate +the extent of this effort in dollars and cents. But we do know that the +U.S. Government is presently putting about $3.5 billion annually into +the research and development phases. How much more may be going into the +purchase of completed space hardware is difficult to say; certainly it +is a higher figure still. The National Aeronautics and Space +Administration, in presenting its 10-year plan to Congress recently, +indicated that this agency alone expects to average between $1.5 and $2 +billion a year during the next decade. + +The amount of effort going into space-related programs on the part of +private industry, measured in dollars, again can only be roughly +estimated. But it is a sizable figure and is known to be growing. It may +amount to half the governmental research and development outlay. + +These figures add up to a very important segment of the national +economy, and the fact that they represent a highly active and +progressive segment is particularly heartening to the economic experts +of the Nation. + + +THE SPREAD OF ECONOMIC BENEFITS + +One of the most useful characteristics of the space program is that its +needs "spread across the entire industrial spectrum--electronics, +metals, fuels, ceramics, machinery, plastics, instruments, textiles, +thermals, cryogenics, and a thousand other areas."[26] The benefits from +space exploration thus have a way of filtering into almost every area of +the American economy, either directly or indirectly. "Perhaps the +greatest economic treasure is the advanced technology required for more +and more difficult space missions. This new technology is advancing at a +meteoric rate. Its benefits are spreading throughout our whole +industrial and economic system."[27] + +A graphic example of the manner in which the technological and economic +benefits from the space program can grow may be seen from the +development of the X-15. This rocket craft, designed to "fly" beyond the +Earth's atmosphere at altitudes up to 100 miles, is the product of 400 +different firms and contractors. + +Inasmuch as other nations, those which generally have lagged behind the +United States in technical know-how, are now rapidly bringing their +technology up to date--this windfall from our space program is +especially opportune. It is providing the incentive to American industry +to remain in the world's technological van. And it is emphasizing that +economic leadership is a dynamic thing, that U.S. mass-production +techniques which have enabled the Nation to compete so well in foreign +markets are no longer, of themselves, sufficient guarantee of superior +economic position. + +While America's space exploration program, on a formal basis, came into +being as recently as October 1958, its impact on the national economy +has probably been sharper than that of any single new program ever +conceived. For there are now at least 5,000 companies or research +organizations engaged in the missile-space industry. And more than 3,200 +different space-related products have been required and are being +produced to date.[28] + +One can only speculate on the economic effect which the space program is +having on investments or on investors who have no other connection with +it. It seems significant, however, that the stock market pages in recent +months have come to devote a good deal of attention to "space issues." +Financially speaking, space has thus become a major category. That it +has done so in such a short period would seem to have marked +implications for the future. + +In brief, space exploration is becoming almost an industry in itself, +and there are those who believe it destined to become the largest +industrial spur in the Nation before too many years have gone by. + +One expert, an experienced hand not only in astronautics but in the +business world as well, describes the outlook in this fashion: "A great +industrial change is taking place in the United States. The aircraft +industry, which long considered missiles as a small department, now +finds itself becoming a part of the large missile and space flight +industry. It is an elemental evolution. An industrial change is upon us +comparable to the advent of mercantilism."[29] He has predicted that +within a decade or so the astronautics industry will be larger than the +automotive industry of the entire world. + +While such predictions may be overly optimistic, they can scarcely be +dismissed as irresponsible in the light of what has already happened. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 6.--Booster engines of tomorrow, such as +this mockup of the 1,500,000 pound thrust single engine, will place +broad requirements on men and materials.] + + +CREATION OF NEW INDUSTRIES + +Whether or not we think of the missile-space business as being a +self-contained industry, the requirements and exigencies of space +exploration can be expected to result in the creation of new or greatly +strengthened industrial branches, for example: + + +_Research_ + +This phase of the American economy is having a phenomenal growth. Not +only have many established industries now placed research high on their +organizational charts, but hundreds, perhaps thousands, of new +businesses are springing up which are entirely devoted to research and +development. R. & D., as it is called, is their stock in trade, their +only product. And space exploration appears to have given them their +greatest boost. + +One recent study on the subject regards research as the fourth major +industrial revolution to take place in American history, following the +advents of steam mechanization, steel, electricity-and-internal +combustion engines. + + The fourth industrial revolution, ours, is unique in the number of + people working on it, its complexity, and its power to push the + economy at a rate previously impossible. + + Today between 5,000 and 50,000 _technical entrepreneurs_ (top R. & + D. engineers, leading scientists, and highly effective technical + managers) are directly analogous to an estimated 50 to 500 men in + all of the first three periods. Thus about 100 times the effort in + terms of qualitative (effective, creative, patent-producing) + manpower is being spent on the fourth revolution as on the other + three combined. + + Total manpower, of course, is much more than that: there are + probably 700,000 engineers and industrially oriented scientists in + the United States today, as against 2,000 even as late as Edison's + first high voltage light bulb. Whereas Edison worked with 20 to 100 + scientists in his laboratory, and Fulton labored alone, there are + 5,000 industrial laboratories today employing from 20 to 7,300 + technical men each.[30] + + +_New power sources_ + +One of the greatest demands of spacecraft of the future will be for new +sources of power. While rocket propulsion power is part of this picture, +the power needed to operate space vehicles after launching may prove to +be the larger and more important need. Progress has already been made in +this direction by use of special kinds of batteries and solar cells +which convert the sun's rays into electric current. But these will need +supplementing or replacing eventually as greater power becomes +necessary. + +It would be rash to predict the outcome of this complicated field, but +certain very promising methods can be listed. + +One is the fuel cell, which converts fuel directly into electric power +without the necessity for machinery or working parts. Much progress has +been made on the fuel cell in recent months. In England a 40-cell unit +has been used to drive a forklift truck and to do electric welding. It +develops up to 5 kilowatts.[31] In the United States a 30-cell portable +powerplant developing 200 watts has been delivered to the Army and +Marine Corps,[32] while a 1,000-unit cell has been developed in the +Midwest which provides 15 kilowatts and drives a tractor.[33] + +Another method is plasma power, or power generated through the use of +hot ionized gas. Such gas acts as a conductor of electricity and when +employed as a "magnetohydrodynamics" generator it can be used for a +variety of purposes. It has the advantage of being simple, rugged, and +efficient. Some day it may also prove very economical. Already 10 +municipal areas along the Mason-Dixon line are preparing to experiment +with electric power derived from this source.[34] It has been estimated +that "as much as 1 million watts could be generated by shooting a stream +of plasma at speeds three times that of sound through a magnetic field +only 3 feet long and with the magnetic poles 6 inches apart."[35] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 7.--The possible power source for space +ships of the future, the ion jet, has significant counterpart uses for +the commercial world.] + +Another possible source is photoelectric power. While a number of very +difficult problems block the practical generation of this kind of power, +the astronautics research division of one American company has now +succeeded in increasing the efficiency of photoelectric cells by a +factor of more than 300.[36] So the possibilities in this area are +looking up. As discussed in section II, photon power derived from the +ejection of electromagnetic rays may someday prove a source for +accelerating vehicles once they have escaped from Earth's gravity. + +Another possibility, of course, is atomic energy about which much has +been said and written. If, as some scientists believe, extensive space +exploration by manned crews will depend on harnessing this great source +of energy--both for booster purposes and for operating spacecraft in the +distant parts of our interplanetary system--this fact alone may assure +that the obstacles to practical nuclear energy are overcome faster and +more completely than would otherwise be the case. It is interesting to +note that the science of controlling nuclear fusion (as opposed to +fission) has come so far in the past several years that 11 private power +companies are pooling their resources to advance this state of the +art.[37] + + +_New water sources and uses_ + +A look into the future indicates very strongly that water will become a +major world problem, possibly by the beginning of the 1970's, which is +likely to be another "dry" decade. Present water supplies, coupled with +the increasing population and the many new uses for water, are barely +adequate now. In another 10 years the situation could be critical. + +Part of our national space program includes studies on how to use and +reuse water to the best advantage of the human in space. A number of +avenues are being followed, including vaporization of volatiles in +biological wastes.[38] + +From research of this kind it is more than possible that knowledge will +evolve which will prove useful in the practical production of fresh +water from other chemical compounds or mixtures, including seawater. +More than that, it could lead to new ways for extracting much needed +materials from the sea. Seawater contains 40 basic elements, 19 in +relatively copious amounts. These elements run from 18,980 parts parts +per million of chlorine to 0,0000002 part per billion of radium. Yet, so +far, we have learned to extract only bromine and magnesium in useful +amounts.[39] Conversely, the study of how marine animals extract rare +elements from the seawater, such as the extraction of copper compounds +by the octopus, could provide astronautic researchers with important +clues for keeping man alive in space. + + +_Noise and human engineering_ + +This is a field in which research has been going on seriously for only a +few years. Most of it has developed since World War II. Human +engineering is involved primarily with the reaction of people to their +immediate surroundings and how to arrange those surroundings in order to +permit the most comfortable and efficient functioning within them. + +The noise aspect of human engineering, as it may develop from the +problems of astronauts operating in a silent world, could lead to a +variety of innovations for improving the performance of workers or even +the general attitude of people living in urban areas. In today's world, +where humans are subjected to so many different kinds, degrees, and +sources of noise, psychologists consider the matter to be of no small +importance. + + +_High speed-light weight computers_ + + Space vehicles now need electronic computers for determining the + moment of launch, for fixing orbits, for navigation, and for + processing collected data. Computers will precede man into space. + They will take over guidance and decision functions beyond limits + of human physiology, psychology, versatility, and reaction + time.[40] + +The trend in this direction is marked and space exploration is +accelerating it. Because of weight and size limitations, and due to the +genius of research, the giant electronic brain of today will soon +disappear and be replaced with an apparatus only a small fraction of its +present size. The implications for the business and professional world +are great. And a not inconsiderable side effect, according to many +modern technicians, will be the flood of brainpower released from +time-consuming chores and thus made available for more basic, creative +thought. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 8.--The needs of tomorrow's spacemen will +lead to marked advances in human engineering and psychology.] + + +_Solid state physics_ + +Few areas of effort are advancing this extremely promising art faster +than space exploration, which places a premium on light weight and small +size. The miniaturization of equipment being placed in U.S. satellites, +for example, has been one of the contemporary wonders of the world of +science. + +A big part of this march toward tiny equipment is in the field of +electronics, where the process is called microminiaturization, molecular +electronics, micromodular engineering or a number of other terms. In +essence it refers to the greatly reduced size of equipment through +"integrated circuits," coupled functions, the building of complicated +components into a single molecular design and so on. + +The art has proceeded to the point where complete radios can be reduced +to the size of a lump of sugar. + +Clearly, this trend holds almost unlimited utility for the home, the +factory, the marketplace, the highway, the hospital or just about any +other arena one cares to name. So great is the promise that virtually +every electronics company in the country is undertaking "to take the +state of the art into fundamentally new areas" and there exploit its +many possibilities.[41] + + +ECONOMIC ALLIANCES + +It may be that our national space exploration program will also result +in stronger economic alliances, not only within our own national borders +but on an international basis. Interesting speculation to this effect +has been advanced by a prominent official of the National Aeronautics +and Space Administration: + + I think we may expect that the combined influence of jet aircraft + and satellite communications systems will enable us to integrate + the now somewhat distant States of Hawaii and Alaska with the rest + of the States as thoroughly as the East and West are already + integrated. Second, and in many ways a more intriguing possibility, + is the prospect of developing a truly international economic + organization. It is quite apparent that even today a large fraction + of the economy of the United States is dependent upon foreign + trade. Some nations of the world, such as England or Japan, are + almost entirely dependent upon foreign trade for their basic + standard of living; however, current foreign trade practices are + necessarily based on a somewhat leisurely pattern enforced by our + current communications capacity. Whether we will be able to + increase the efficiency and effectiveness of our activities in + foreign trade through the use of the new communications facilities + now foreseen will of course depend upon our political ability to + work out viable arrangements for our mutual benefit with our + oversea friends. + + One of the lessons of history in the fields of communications is + that an increase in capability has never gone unused. The + capability of doing new things has always resulted in it being + found profitable to use this capability in all fields, both + commercial and governmental.[42] + + +PRIVATE ENTERPRISE IN SPACE + +Up to now space exploration has been more or less the exclusive domain +of the Federal Government. It seems likely that this situation will not +change much in the near future. But the question finally arises: Is the +nature of space such that the traditional American concept of private +enterprise can have no place in it? + +On this score there is debate. Recently, however, there have been +indications that businessmen feel they will be able to conduct certain +business operations and services in space. + + The space frontier will inevitably increase the scale of thinking + and risk taking by business. When we are dealing with space, we + are dealing with a technology that requires a planetary scale to + stage it; decades of time to develop it; and much bigger + investments to get across the threshold of economic return than is + customary in business today. Business must now think in + international terms, and in terms of the next business generation. + It must step up to the big risks with the same vision that enabled + an earlier generation of builders to push railroad tracks out + across the wilderness and lay the foundations of our modern + economy.[43] + +Incidentally, it should be pointed out that space exploration is already +encouraging the formation of business of all sizes. Myriads of small +businesses have sprung up, many of them "suppliers of specialty +equipment for the larger concerns that have responsibility for major +components and systems."[44] + +To what extent will private enterprise become involved? Here is one +view: + + As the years pass by, and space apparatus becomes more reliable, + and the work of obtaining scientific data from space acquires a + more routine character--certainly many of the necessary operating + facilities could be put on a self-liquidating, private-industry + basis. + + Probably the first opportunities for private investment will come + in the commercial use of satellites. Looking even further into the + future of space exploration, perhaps there would be economic + justification for a privately owned launching service that would + put objects into space for the peaceful purposes of friendly + governments, international agencies, industry, and the + universities. + + The base itself, from which the commercial launching service would + operate, might be modeled after a port authority. Such a + nonmilitary, international space port could develop as a center for + many private enterprises related to space operations. These might + include service and maintenance facilities; data-processing + services; space communication centers; laboratory facilities; + standardized equipment for satellites and other space vehicles; + fuel supplies; medical services; biological services; and general + supplies. + + Moving away from the idea of a commercial space port, must all + future tracking stations, observatories, and data-processing + stations be Government owned? How about experimental stations for + the simulation of space environments? How about laboratories and + stations actually constructed in space? Or will privately owned + facilities one day offer these services on an international basis + to governments, industries, universities, and international + agencies? + + Most likely the first businesses suitable for commercial operation, + using space technologies, will be worldwide communication by + satellite, private weather forecasting, and high-speed Earth + transport by rocket.[45] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 9.--The electric and electronic needs of +the space program are requiring more and more skilled labor.] + + +JOBS + +There probably is no reliable way to gage the number of Americans who +are employed today because of the national space effort, nor to estimate +accurately the number who are likely to be employed in the years ahead. + +This much can be said, though. They already number in the tens of +thousands, probably in the hundreds of thousands. + +The Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration +has reported that his agency presently employs 18,000 persons. And he +adds "in spite of the size of this organization, we estimate that +approximately 75 percent of our budget will be expended through +contracts with industry, educational institutions, and other +nongovernmental groups." + +Thus the number of persons privately employed who are working on NASA +projects is, of itself, a high figure. The number employed in, by, or +for the Department of Defense on missiles or space-related projects is +undoubtedly higher. + +In addition to these must be added the men and women employed by private +industry in a capacity not directly related to the space program but +whose jobs have been created nonetheless by its stimulus. + + The fact is that the military and peaceful needs of the space + program are already employing a significant percentage of the + industrial work force, and will make up an even larger proportion + of total employment and production of the country as the years go + by. The aircraft industry, for example, is broadening its scope to + include missile and space technologies. Much of the electronics + industry is devoted to missile and space needs. The communications, + chemical, and metallurgical industries are increasingly involved. + These industries are already among the largest employers in the + United States, and they are the major employers of the Nation's + technical manpower. Hence we are not speaking of a minor element in + the national economy, but of its leading growth industries.[46] + +This phase of the space program's value should not be eyed merely from +the standpoint of scientists and the labor market. It has major +significance for the professions--for doctors, lawyers, architects, +teachers, and engineers. All of these will be vitally concerned with +space exploration in the future. The doctor with space medicine and its +results; the lawyer with business relations and a vastly increased need +for knowledge in international law; the architect with the construction +of spaceports and data and tracking facilities; the teacher with the +booming demand for new types of space-engendered curricula. + +As for the engineer-- + + In this pyramid of scientific and engineering effort there will be + found requirements for the services of almost every type of + scientist and engineer to a greater or less degree. In the + forefront, of course, are the aerospace and astronautical engineers + but the development of the Saturn launching vehicle has also + enlisted the cooperation of civil, mechanical, electrical, + metallurgical, chemical, automotive, structural, radio, and + electronics engineers. Much of their work relates to ground + handling equipment, special automotive and barge equipment, + checkout equipment, and all the other devices needed to support the + design, construction, testing, launching, and data gathering.[47] + + +AUTOMATION AND DISARMAMENT + +Finally, an economic value of extreme importance could be the ultimate +role of the space program in modifying the threat to labor which is +inherent in automation and disarmament. Space exploration, opening up +new and profitable vistas, could take up much of the slack thus imposed +and do it at a higher and more intellectual job level. + +Automation, as we know, is already in the process. In agriculture alone +it has bitten deeply into the laboring force and yet produces greater +crops than ever.[48] It is gathering strength in many other fields. + +Disarmament is a long way from being a reality. But all nations of the +world are striving for it, or at least giving lipservice to its +principles, so it may one day emerge as a reality. If this happens, +space exploration again may be a most important element in taking up the +slack which a prominent reduction in defense activity could not help but +bring about. + +Indeed, there are some who already foresee a complete substitution of +space for defense, and who prognosticate that in the 1990's "the economy +of nations is now based on the astronautics industry, instead of +war."[49] Certainly, some new economic force would be crucial to nations +deprived of the need for devising and manufacturing weapons. + +[Illustration: FIGURE 10.--A host of new materials, skills, and +engineering techniques are bound up in the construction of rocket +engines such as this first stage booster.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[25] Gavin, James M., address to the International Bankers Association, +Bal Harbour, Fla., Dec. 2, 1958. + +[26] Mitchell, Hon. Erwin, in the House of Representatives, June 2, +1960. + +[27] Dryden, Dr. Hugh L., Deputy Administrator, NASA, Penrose lecture +before the American Philosophical Society, Philadelphia, Apr. 21, 1960. + +[28] Missile-Space Directory, Missiles and Rockets, May 30, 1960, pp. +86-359. + +[29] Haley, Andrew G., general counsel and past president of the +International Astronautical Federation, "Rocketry and Space +Exploration." Van Nostrand Co., Princeton, N.J., 1958 p. 156. + +[30] Ruzic, Neil P., "The Technical Entrepreneur," Industrial Research, +May 1980, p.10. + +[31] Bacon, F. T., "The Fuel Cell, Power Source of the Future," New +Scientist, Aug. 17, 1959, p.272. + +[32] Science Service dispatch, dateline Lynn, Mass., Apr. 25, 1950. + +[33] Sharp, James M., "The Application of Fuel Cells in the Natural Gas +Industry," Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, Tex., Mar. 4, +1960, pp. 2-3. + +[34] Lear, John, "Towns To Be Lit by Plasma," New Scientist, Nov. 19, +1959, p. 1006. + +[35] Pursglove S. David, Industrial Research, March 1950 p. 19. + +[36] Ibid. + +[37] Ibid., p. 18. + +[38] Space Business Daily, June 13, 1960. + +[39] Cox, Dr. R. A., "The Chemistry of Seawater," New Scientist, Sept. +24, 19459, p. 518. + +[40] Hines, L. J., Space Age News, Apr. 25, 1960, p. 4. + +[41] Gaertner, W. W., "Functional Microelectronics," Missile Design and +Development, March 1960, p. 34. + +[42] Stewart, Dr. Homer J., address to the American Bar Association, +Miami Beach, Aug. 25, 1959. + +[43] Cordiner, Ralph J., "Competitive Private Enterprise in Space," +lecture at U.C.L.A., May 4, 1960 + +[44] Ibid. + +[45] Ibid. + +[46] Ibid. + +[47] 27 supra. + +[48] See "The Problem of Plenty," U.S. News & World Report, Apr. 13, +1959, p. 97. + +[49] Markuwitz, Meyer M., and Gentieu, Norman P., "The Rocket, A Past +and Future History," Industrial Research, December 1959, p. 78. + + + + +IV. VALUES FOR EVERYDAY LIVING + + +The so-called side effects of the space exploration program are showing +a remarkable ability to produce innovations which, in turn, improve the +quality of everyday work and everyday living throughout the United +States. + +In setting forth specific ways and means in which the space program is +producing practical uses, it must be kept in mind that no attempt is +made here to separate uses resulting from the civil phases of the +program from those developed by the military phases. Inasmuch as the two +are closely intertwined, it would seem impractical to do so. And, in +instances where the same or similar research is being conducted by a +single contractor on behalf of both phases, it is usually impossible to +do so. + + +TECHNOLOGICAL BENEFITS + +This category of the practical uses of the space program is impressive +indeed. + +Most of us are familiar with the plans which the United States has for +using artificial satellites in ways which will be beneficial to all +mankind. These include the satellite used for worldwide communications, +for global television, for quick and accurate navigation, and for much +improved weather prediction and weather understanding. + +Here, however, is a summary of space-related developments about which +the American public has heard considerably less: + + First, there is the high-speed computer. Developed initially to + meet military demands for faster calculation, the computer is an + integral part of American industry, making it possible to do many + operations with a high degree of efficiency and accuracy. + Thermoelectric devices for heating and cooling, now adapted for + commercial applications, were originally designed to provide energy + sources for space vehicles. The glass industry, as a result of work + done during and after the Second World War on lenses and plastics, + promises substantial gains in the consumer fields of optics and + foods. Pyroceram, developed for missile radomes, is now being used + in the manufacture of pots and pans. Materials suitable for use in + the nuclear preservation of food may make us even better fed than + we already are. + + Medical research, and our health problems, can use such things as + film resistance thermometers. Electronic equipment capable of + measuring low-level electrical signals is being adapted to measure + body temperature and blood flow. In a dramatic breakthrough, + illustrating the unexpected benefits of research, it has been found + that a derivative of hydrazine, developed as a liquid missile + propellant, is useful in treating certain mental illnesses and + tuberculosis. + + Of course, the aeronautics industry has benefited tremendously. + Engines, automatic pilots, radar systems, flight equipment, capable + of meeting the high standards required by space vehicles represent + a great improvement over our already excellent aircraft. + + A plasma arc torch (has been) developed for fabricating ultrahard + materials and coatings by mass production methods. The torch, an + outgrowth of plasma technology, develops heats of 30,000 degrees + and can work within tolerances of two-thousandths of an inch. + Another application from the missile field, which shows real + possibilities, is a reliable flow meter that has no packings or + bearings. This was first developed for measuring liquefied gases + and should have a very wide industrial usefulness. It may even lead + to improvements in marine devices for measuring distance and + velocity. + + Ground-to-air missiles that ride a beam to their targets must + measure the distance to the target plane with an accuracy of a few + feet in several miles. This principle, now being applied to + surveying techniques, has revolutionized the surveying industry. + + The solenoid valve, which seats itself softly enough to eliminate + vibration, has been applied very satisfactorily to home-heating + systems. + + The use of the jet drilling for mining is another, and worthy of + amplification. Missiles are already working the economically + unminable taconite ore of the Mesabi Range, have helped build the + St. Lawrence Seaway, and are bringing down costs in quarrying. + + It is estimated that taconite will be supplying about a third of + our ores in less than 20 years. Until 1947 we were unable to mine + this very hard rock, and then suitable rotary and churn drills were + produced. Jet drilling, now available, cracks and crumbles stone + layers by thermally induced expansion and is somewhere between 3 + and 5 times faster than rotaries. + + Jet piercing can take us far deeper into the earth than we have + been able to go so far, to new sources of ore and hydrocarbons. + + In stone quarrying, jet spalling and channeling are proven + techniques. Stone quarrying has been expensive and wasteful + heretofore. Rocket flame equipment allows cutting along the natural + cleavage planes, or crystal boundaries--hence cuts stone thin + without danger of cracking and, in addition, produces a fine finish + that cannot be obtained when cutting by steel or abrasive tools. + + Scientific literature is beginning to contain speculations on using + the principle of the missile engine to save unstable intermediate + products of the chemical processes. The high heats achieved in the + rocket engine can, perhaps, be utilized to produce desired products + that would be lost by slow cooling. But the high rate of cooling + accomplished by expanding gases through the engine nozzle, it is + thought, would save these unstable compounds. + + Infrared has come into its own through missile electronics. + Infrared--since it cannot be jammed--appears to be challenging + radar for use in guidance devices, tracking systems, and + reconnaissance vehicles. Infrared is being used industrially to + measure the compositions of fluids in complex processes of chemical + petroleum refining and distilling. Infrared cameras are used in + analyzing metallurgical material processing operations, to aid in + accuracy and quality control. The entire infrared field should be + significantly assisted in its growth and application through our + missile-space programs. + + Another very promising outcome from missile development is a + computer converter that can quickly transform analogue + signals--such as pressure measurements--into digital form. + + In the near future, when guidance devices permit soft landing, + rocket cargo and passenger transport will become feasible. Mail may + become almost as swift as telephone. + + We are making rapid progress in the economics of space travel: + payload costs for Vanguard were about $1 billion a pound; for the + near future launchings, payload cost should be about $1,000 per + pound. When payload costs are about a hundred dollars a pound we + may expect commercial space flight.[50] + +Hundreds of other examples of the space program's value for everyday +living could be cited. + +One with wide possibilities is a new welding process by using a +high-powered electron beam gun, developed for the fabrication of +spaceships and other space vehicles. This method permits welding joints +capable of withstanding temperatures up to 3,000 deg. F.; it can be used on +metals such as molybdenum and pure tungsten. And, its developers say, it +results in welded joints that have deep penetration and narrow weld +beads that are virtually free of contamination.[51] + +Another ingenius application, resulting from the Navy's space research +program, has significant utility for medicine and surgery. This is a +glass fiber device which, when placed in the mouth during dental work or +in the area of surgical incision, permits a much magnified televising of +the operation. It holds considerable promise for teaching techniques in +many fields.[52] + +Another example is a finely woven stainless steel cloth designed for +parachuting space vehicles back to Earth. The cloth is made of fine wire +of great strength which can withstand tremendous temperatures and +chemical contamination. The wire from which the cloth is woven is about +one-fifth the thickness of a human hair and is believed to have marked +potential for industry and consumers alike. + +Here is an additional list of examples:[53] + + Microminiature transmitters and receivers--used by police and + doctors. + + Target drone autopilot--used as an inexpensive pilot assist and + safety device for private aircraft. + + Inert thread sealing compound--- used by pump manufacturers serving + process industries. + + Satellite scan devices--used in infrared appliances, e.g., lamps, + roasters, switches, ovens. + + Automatic control components--used as proximity switches, plugs, + valves, cylinders; other components already are an integral part of + industrial conveyor systems. + + Missile accelerometers, torquemeters, strain gage equipment--used + in auto crash tests, motor testing, shipbuilding and bridge + construction. + + Space recording equipment automatically stopped and started by + sound of voice--used widely as conference recorder. + + Armalite radar--used as proximity warning device for aircraft. + + Miniature electronics and bearings--used for portable radio and + television; excessively small roller, needle and ball bearings used + for such equipment as air-turbine dental drills. + + Epoxy missile resin--used for plastic tooling, metal bonding, + adhesive, and casting and laminating applications. + + Silicones for motor insulation and subzero lubricants--used in new + glassmaking techniques for myriad products. + + Ribbon glass for capacitors--used widely in electronics field. + + Radar bulbs--used in air traffic control equipment. + + Ribbon cable for missiles--used in the communications industry. + + Automatic gun cameras--used in banks, toll booths, etc. + + Fluxless aluminum soldering--used for kitchen utensil repair, + gutters, flashings, antennas, electrical joints, auto repairing, + farm machinery, etc. + + Lightweight hydraulic pumps--used in automated machinery and + pneumatic control systems. + + Voice interruption priority system--used for assembly line + production control. + + Examples such as the foregoing, it might be pointed out, do not + generally emphasize an area in which space exploration is making + one of its greatest contributions. This is the creation of new + materials, metals, fabrics, alloys, and compounds that are finding + their way rapidly into the commercial market. + + Less demonstrable but equally (and perhaps more) significant areas + which may expect to benefit from space exploration are set out + beginning on page 35. + +[Illustration. FIGURE 11.--Vital information about the forces +which cause weather can be learned from meteorological satellites such +as these. Even a slight increase in the accuracy of weather prediction +will be worth millions of dollars annually.] + + +FOOD AND AGRICULTURE + +An extremely difficult problem bound up with space travel of any +duration is that of food. Astronauts will not be able to take large +supplies of food on their voyages and probably will have to reuse what +they do take. Learning how to do this is no easy matter. Some doubt if +it can be done. Others are optimistic. + + The body of scientists now working directly on space feeding and + nutrition is working effectively at a rate only attained by high + motivation. But this motivation suffices and their efforts will + ultimately provide at least a partially closed space feeding system + by the time it is critically needed and, eventually, an ideal one + for long voyages of man into the remoter reaches of outer + space.[54] + +If the optimists are right, it is conceivable that the information gamed +from this research will have profound influence on food and agricultural +processes in the future. The use and growth of synthetics or new foods, +and their effects on the soil, could prove invaluable as the worlds +population climbs and the demand for food multiplies. Better +understanding of weather processes, as provided through space +exploration, will also be valuable in terms of agriculture. Long-range +accurate weather prediction would be worth millions of dollars in proper +crops planted and crop damage avoided. + +Meanwhile, as in other technological areas, space research is providing +specific new tools for the food and agriculture industry. Infrared food +blanching, for instance, is highly effective in preparing foods for +canning or freezing. The development of a new forage harvester based on +principles of aerodynamics uncovered by missile engineers is another +example. + + +COMMUNICATIONS + +This is a field of enormous promise, and its practicality has already +been demonstrated to the extent of placing satellites into precise +orbits, such as Tiros (weather) and Transit (navigation), and of +communicating at long distances--23 million miles in the case of Pioneer +V. As a result: + + Government and industry technicians are rapidly developing new + Earth satellites to beam not only television programs but radio + broadcasts and phone conversations to every spot on Earth that's + equipped to receive them. Thus this space project, far more than + most, will touch the ordinary citizen. The goal: a workable, + worldwide communications system in space before this decade is + over. It will be, declares one researcher, "the ultimate in + communications."[55] + +Incidentally, the first worldwide communications system of this type, +and whether it is conducted in English or Russian, may have crucial +prestige and propaganda ramifications. + +Such facilities should be possible through a system of carefully placed +satellites so that radio signals can be relayed to any part of the globe +at any time. + +Moreover they appear to be essential when one considers that within the +next 20 years existing techniques are apt to be stretched beyond +reasonable economic limits by demands for long distance communications. +It is difficult to see how transoceanic television will otherwise be +possible when it is realized that there is presently a capacity of less +than 100 telephone channels across the Atlantic and a single television +channel is equivalent in band width to 1,000 telephone channels. It +appears that a system utilizing satellites is the most promising +solution to this problem.[56] + +More esoteric communications systems may also arise from space research. + + In some future year when a cruising space vehicle communicates with + another space vehicle or its orbiting station, it may use a beam of + light instead of conventional radio. Not that radio will be + inoperative under the airless conditions of space--rather the + reverse--but there is reason to believe that communication by + sunlight not only will be cheaper but will entail carrying much + simpler and lighter equipment for certain specialized space + applications. (The Air Force) is developing an experimental system + that will collect sun rays, run them through a modulator, direct + the resultant light wave in a controlled beam to a receiver. There + the wave will be put through a detector, transposed into an + electrical impulse and be amplified to a speaker. Depending on the + type of modulator used, either the digital (dot-dash) message or a + voice message can be sent.[57] + +Might not such a system find practical usage on Earth, particularly in +sunny, arid lands? + + +WEATHER PREDICTION AND MODIFICATION + +Meteorological satellites should make possible weather observations over +the entire globe. Today, only 20 percent of the globe is covered by any +regular observational and reporting systems. If we can solve the +problems of handling the vast amounts of data that will be received, +develop methods for timely analysis of the data and the notification of +weather bureaus throughout the world, we should be able to improve by a +significant degree the accuracy of weather predictions. An improvement +of only 10 percent in accuracy could result in savings totaling hundreds +of millions of dollars annually to farmers, builders, airlines, +shipping, the tourist trade, and many other enterprises. + +Perhaps even greater savings will come from warning systems devised for +hurricanes and tornadoes. + +The slight knowledge which humans actually have of weather forces can be +seen from the fact that at present we do not even know exactly how rain +begins.[58] Learning to predict it and to modify it, through space +application, might help slow down the soil erosion of arable land--that +"geological inevitability * * * which man can only hasten or +postpone."[59] It is noteworthy that the two leading nations in space +research, the United States and the U.S.S.R., are among the most +affected by soil erosion. + +The "leg up" which the United States has in this particular phase of +space research is illustrated by the acute photographic talents of the +Tiros satellite and their meaning to weather experts. The following +description of some of the earliest pictures by the Director of the +Office of Meteorological Research, U.S. Weather Bureau, is illuminating. + + This picture, labeled "No. 1," was the storm that was picked up in + the early orbits of Tiros on the first day of launch, April 1. This + shows the storm 120 miles east of Cape Cod, with dry continental + air streaming off the United States, not shown by clouds, and off + the coast the moist air streaming up to the north, counterclockwise + around the center, producing widespread clouds and precipitation as + far north as the Gulf of St. Lawrence. + + On that same day mention was made of a storm in the Midwest. That + is illustrated by photograph No. 2. This was centered over + southeast Nebraska, a rather extensive storm. Again, we have a + clear air portion shown by a dark area, the ground underneath, + which has less brightness than the clouds, the cold air from Canada + streaming into that area, not characterized by clouds, and to the + east the moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, in this general + neighborhood, streaming around into that center and producing + rather widespread rains. In this case near the Gulf of Mexico, + where the cloud is extremely bright, indicating that the clouds are + very high, thunderstorms were found in that area. + + [Illustration: FIGURE 12.--Storm center over Nebraska + photographed by the first U.S. weather satellite, Tiros, on April + 1, 1960. The extent of the picture can be seen from the + accompanying weather map.] + + It is a sort of situation in which tornadoes are to be found in + this very bright cloudy area, especially this time of year in the + Midwest. + + A third vortex was observed, also April 1, in the Gulf of Alaska, + 500 miles southeast of Kodiak Island. The vortex circulation is + clearly evidenced by the clouds which form in a circular array, and + the large clear area in the center of the storm. + + No. 4 picture refers to a very big storm 1,500 miles in diameter + located 300 miles west of Ireland on April 2. This is a very old + storm which was whirling around, had no fronts associated with it. + It has long since wound up around the center. There is a rather + well-marked structure to the clouds that you can see. It is quite + different from the pictures in the first two. These are storms + mostly over the continental area or just off the coast. The storms + over the oceans seem to show more of a banded structure. By that I + mean circular bands of clouds, of width perhaps ranging from 20 + miles to a few hundred miles, spiraling around the center in a + counterclockwise manner.[60] + + +HEALTH BENEFITS + +Of all the problems contingent upon space flight it is doubtful if any +are more perplexing than the biological ones. In fact, it now appears +quite likely that the limiting factor on manned space exploration will +be less the nature of physical laws or the shortcoming of space vehicle +systems than the vulnerability of the human body. + +In order to place humans in space for any extended period, we must solve +a host of highly complicated biological equations which demand intensive +basic research. The other side of the coin, however, is that when +scientific breakthroughs do occur in this area, they will probably be +among the most beneficial to come from the space program. + +An idea of what is going on in the space medicine field can be obtained +from this summary: + + Engineers already have equipped man with the vehicle for space + travel. Medical researchers now are investigating many factors + incident to the maintenance of space life--to make possible man's + flight into the depths of space. Placing man in a wholly new + environment requires knowledge far beyond our current grasp of + human biology. + + Here are some of the problems under investigation: The + determination of man's reactions; the necessity of operating in a + completely closed system compatible with man's physiological + requirements (oxygen and carbon dioxide content, food, barometric + pressure, humidity and temperature control); explosive + decompression; psychophysiological difficulties of spatial + disorientation as a result of weightlessness; toxicology of + metabolites and propellants; effects of cosmic, solar, and nuclear + ionizing radiation and protective shielding and treatment; effects + on man's circulatory system from accelerative and decelerative g. + forces; the establishment of a thermoneutral range for man to exist + through preflight, flight, and reentry; regeneration of water and + food.[61] + +In addition, intensive efforts are being brought to bear on such +problems as the effect on humans who are deprived of their sensory +perceptions, or whose sensory systems are overloaded, or who are exposed +to excessive boredom or anxiety or sense of unreality, or who must do +their job under hypnosis or hypothermia (cooling of warm-blooded +animals). + +A recent space medicine symposium heard this theory advanced by a +prominent medical scholar: + + Attractive, indeed, for the space traveler would be the choice of + hibernating during long periods when there was nothing he had to + do. With the increase of speeds and the lowering of metabolism, + consideration of flights running several hundred or even thousands + of years cannot be offhandedly dismissed as mere fantasy. During + prolonged flights of many months or years there will be very little + to see and that of negligible interest. The most practical way of + dealing with the problem might well be to have the pilot sleep 23 + of the 24 hours.[62] + +Lowering the body temperature would be one way of inducing the necessary +deep sleep. + +Another possibility of handling some of the biological problems of space +flight, suggested by another physician, would be for astronauts to +discard the 24-hour Earth day and establish a longer rhythm for their +lives.[63] + +At any rate, and while we may not now see just how it will come about, +knowledge gained from experiments such as these may result in important +medical and psychological advances. + +In the drug and technological area of medicine, concrete benefits have +already resulted from the national space program. These include, as +already mentioned, a drug developed from a missile propellant to treat +mental ills, a means of rapidly lowering blood temperature in +operations, and a small efficient valve which could replace the valve in +a human heart. + +Particularly gratifying, from the standpoint of medical value is the +Army's work toward an anti-radiation drug which could be taken before +exposure to reduce the biological effects of radiation.[64] Such a drug, +which is of special interest to astronauts who might be required to +subject themselves to varying belts of radiation, might be of even +greater use in the cause of civil defense. + +A final and far-reaching phase of the health side of space exploration +deals with the basic nature of biology itself--how and under what +conditions life grows. Up to now biological science has been largely +"the rationalization of particular facts and we have had all too limited +a basis for the construction and testing of meaningful axioms to support +a theory of life."[65] Through research made possible by the space +program it may be possible to alter this condition. "The dynamics of +celestial bodies, as can be observed from the Earth, is the richest +inspiration for the generalization of our concepts of mass and energy +throughout the universe. The spectra of the stars likewise testify to +the universality of our concepts in chemistry. But biology has lacked +tools of such extension, and life until now has meant only terrestrial +life."[66] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 13.--Biological reactions uncovered in +space medicine studies, such as this centrifuge experiment, may lead to +important health discoveries.] + +The secrets which this research may divulge and their meaning for human +health can only be imagined. But they certainly would not be minor. + + +EDUCATION BENEFITS + +No enterprise has so stirred human imagination as the reach of man +toward the exploration of space. New worlds to explore. New distances to +travel--3,680 million miles to Pluto, the outermost planet of our solar +system, 8 years journey at 50,000 miles per hour when we attain such a +capability. Innumerable problems ahead. New knowledge needed in almost +every branch of science and technology from magneto fluid dynamics to +cosmology, from materials to biology and psychology.[67] + +"New knowledge needed" means better and stronger education is essential. +And not only in the physical sciences. In the social sciences and the +arts as well. + + Certainly man's space adventure can help profoundly to make a finer + creature of him, but only if his adventures on Earth can do so as + well. Essentially what this means to a social psychologist is that + we must somehow raise our level of education to the point where + most men most of the time can appreciate and actively absorb the + implications of knowledge and developments in all areas + sufficiently to let them enrich their personal philosophies. + Obviously this kind of education is only in part a scientific + one.[68] + +Moreover, the technical and management aspects of the space program +involve collaboration with nonscientific persons such as businessmen, +bankers, and public officials in assessing worthwhile objectives and in +judging the technical and economic feasibility of projects designed to +accomplish these objectives.[69] Consequently each type must educate the +other in his own specialty if an effective, stepped-up space program is +to be achieved. + + +_The demand_ + +Apparently the demand for specific formal education in the science of +astronautics is increasing faster than it is being supplied. Although +many colleges and universities have been setting up courses dealing with +astronautics, the state of the art does not seem to have crystallized to +the extent that it permits fashioning a career in the field at the +educational level. Of course, discontent is created. One publication has +editorialized: + + We have received a surprising number of letters from young people + who actually want to know how and where they can get started in a + career in astronautics. These, for the most part, are high school + students--and, evidently, they couldn't get the information they + wanted from their own school. * * * Isn't the age of space yet + important enough for all the high schools to sponsor interest in + our space programs and to point out the need for a constant flow of + young brains?[70] + +The answer undoubtedly is that such grassroots demand will bring about +increased academic curricula in astronautics in direct proportion to its +magnitude. + +Meanwhile, the availability of work for persons with a background in +space-related subjects can be gaged to some extent by observing the +variety of personnel requirements on major space exploration projects. + +A single American firm, for example, uses 49 different professional +specialists in its work for the National Aeronautics and Space +Administration and in its space work for the Department of Defense.[71] +Multiplied by the thousands of companies which are doing similar work, +the list gives an idea of the astronautic demand confronting the +Nation's educational institutions: + + Acoustician + Aerodynamicist + Aeronautical engineer + Agricultural engineer + Astrodynamicist + Astronomer + Astrophysicist + Biochemist + Biophysicist + Ceramics specialist + Chemist + Computer specialist + Crystallographer + Development engineer + Doctor of medicine + Electrical engineer + Electronic engineer + Experimental physicist + Flight engineer + Gyroscopics specialist + Hydraulic engineer + Information theory analyst + Inorganic chemist + Logical designer + Magnetic device engineer + Mathematician + Mechanical applications engineer + Mechanical engineer + Mechanisms specialist + Medical electronic engineer + Metallurgical engineer + Methods engineer + Nuclear physicist + Oceanographer + Organic chemist + Physical chemist + Pneumatic engineer + Process engineer + Production engineer + Project engineer + Psychologist + Reliability engineer + Sociologist + Solid state physicist + Structural engineer + System analyst + Theoretical physicist + Thermodynamicist + Transducer engineer + +[Illustration: FIGURE 14.--Exploration within the solar system +means a wealth of new knowledge which could lead to learning the secrets +of life.] + +FOOTNOTES: + +[50] 25 supra. See also address to the American Bankers Association, +Oct. 28, 1958. + +[51] Space Business Daily, June 17, 1960. + +[52] Feldman, George J., cited in a letter to the House Committee on +Science and Astronautics, Apr. 29, 1960. + +[53] From Michelson, Edward J., "How Missile-Space Spending Enriches the +Peacetime Economy," Missiles and Rockets, Sept. 14, 1959, pp. 13-17. + +[54] Tischer, R. G., "A Search for the Spaceman's Food," Space Journal, +December 1959, p. 46. + +[55] Kraar, Louis, Wall Street Journal, May 4, 1960. + +[56] 7 supra. + +[57] Release No. 38-60, Air Research and Development Command, May 2, +1960. + +[58] Lear, John, "Where Does Rain Begin?" New Scientist, Mar. 24, 1960, +p. 724. + +[59] "Wind and Soil," New Scientist, May 26, 1960, p. 1327. + +[60] Wexler, Dr. Harry. Press conference conducted by the National +Aeronautics and Space Administration, Apr. 22, 1960. + +[61] Lockheed, Missiles and Space Division, medical research, Sunnyvale, +Calif. + +[62] Lewis, Dr. F. J., before the Space Flight Symposium, San Antonio, +Tex., May 28, 1960. + +[63] Kleitman, Prof. Nathaniel, before the Space Flight Symposium, San +Antonio, Tex., May 26, 1960. + +[64] Taylor, Lt. Col. Richard R., USA (MC), testimony before the House +Committee on Science and Astronautics, June 15, 1960. + +[65] Lederberg, Joshua, "Exobiology-Experimental Approaches to Life +Beyond Earth," Science in Space, ch. IX, National Academy of Sciences, +Washington, D.C., February 1960. + +[66] Ibid. + +[67] Dryden, Dr. Hugh L., speech before the Engineering Society of +Cincinnati, Feb. 18, 1960. + +[68] Michael, Donald N., "Space Exploration and the Values of Man," +Space Journal, September 1959, p. 15. + +[69] 67 supra. + +[70] Space Age, August 1959, p. 3. + +[71] Minneapolis-Honeywell, Military Products Group. + + + + +V. LONG-RANGE VALUES + +In assessing the _practical_ values of space exploration it does not +seem logical to limit considerations to those values which are immediate +or near-future ones. The worth of a present activity may be doubled or +trebled because of its long-range potential. + +Such values may not be practical within the context of today's usage, +but they may be extremely practical if we are willing to concede that +those of us living today have an interest in and a responsibility for +what happens on Earth in the decades and centuries to come. + + +TROUBLE SPOTS + +Thinking along these lines it is not difficult to conjure up a picture +of some of the difficult physical and social problems which will be +facing the Earth in the years which stretch ahead. The foregoing +sections of this report, for example, have already indicated extensive +difficulties inherent in at least five major categories. + + (1) Bursting population. + (2) Acute water shortage. + (3) Soil erosion and disappearance. + (4) Too much leisure. + (5) Intensified nationalism. + +In each area it is probable that space exploration will ultimately play +an important role. + + +_Population_ + +Social scientists have been warning for years of the drastic social +upheavals which must inevitably accompany an "exploding" population. It +is a problem the complexity of which grows in geometric progression as +time goes on. In the United States nearly 300 years were required to +produce 90 million people. In the past 60 years this number has doubled. +The implications are obvious. They are only too plain to urban and +suburban planners who endeavor to cope with the antlike construction and +activity of the human race as it burgeons with each succeeding year. + +Of course, this is not a domestic matter but a global one. Its +seriousness has been described as follows: "Projection of the post-World +War II rate of increase gives a population of 50 billions (the highest +estimate of the population-carrying capacity of the globe ever +calculated by a responsible scholar) in less than 200 years."[72] A +European professor of medicine adds that any surge in human longevity at +this time is quite undesirable from the standpoint of making elderly +persons useful or cared for. "The problems posed by the explosive growth +of populations * * * are so great that it is quite reassuring to know +that biologists and medical men have so far been unsuccessful in +increasing the _maximum_ lifespan of the human species * * * and * * * +it would be a calamity for the social and economic structure of a +country if the mean lifespan were suddenly to increase from 65 to 85 +years."[73] + +Some anthropologists pessimistically wonder if man is going to prove +like the locust by populating himself into near extinction from time to +time. + +Without subscribing to this view, one must nevertheless take notice of +the difficulties posed by population increase, not merely those of food, +shelter, education, and the like but also those resulting from cellular, +cramped, close living. + +Whichever phase of the problem is studied, it seems not unreasonable to +conclude that space research will help find a solution. New ways to +produce food, new materials for better shelter, new stimuli for +education--all of these are coming from our space program. As for the +matter of adequate living room, space research may result in ways to +permit an easy and efficient scattering of the population without +hurting its mobility. This might result from the development of small +subsidiary types of craft, or "gocarts," originally designed for local +exploration on other planets. Such craft, whether they operated by air +cushion, nuclear energy, gravitational force, power cell, or whatever, +conceivably would permit Earth's population to spread out without the +need for expensive new roads--which, by the way, take millions of acres +of land out of productive use. + +A development of this sort, together with new power sources to replace +the fossil fuels on which factory, home, and vehicle now depend, might +also all but eliminate the growing smog and air-pollution blight. + + +_Water shortage_ + +A direct result of the population increase, multiplied by the many new +uses for which water is being used in home appliances, etc., and plus +the greatly increased demand for standard uses such as indoor plumbing, +irrigation, and factory processing, is the likelihood that water +shortage will be high on the list of future problems. Ways to conserve +and reuse water, together with economical desalting of sea water, will +be essential in the decades ahead. Space research may provide part of +the answer here, too. (See New Water Sources and Uses, sec. III.) + + +_Soil erosion_ + +The Russian steppes of Kazakhstan are providing the world with a great +contemporary dust bowl, reminiscent of the middle 1930's when dust from +the Great Plains stretched from Texas to Saskatchewan. Questionable +agriculture policies, drought, and strong easterly winds are among the +forces blamed for the trials of southern Russia.[74] So great is the +extent of this disturbance that the dust cloud has been identified in +photographs taken by American weather satellites. + +Of course, "wind erosion is only one of the processes whereby the +Earth's arable land is diminishing and the deserts increasing; erosion +by water can also sweep away the soil."[75] But insofar as the current +dust bowl of the Soviet steppes has "diminished food resources at a time +when the number of mouths to feed is increasing so rapidly, the world is +the poorer."[76] + +What can space research do about this vital trend, which again seems +destined to accelerate in the future? + +While we cannot be sure, we can conjecture that improved soil +conservation might turn out to be the greatest benefit of weather +understanding and modification. Agriculture policies might be adapted to +the long-range patterns uncovered by weather satellites and, eventually, +through better understanding of the making of weather, it may be +possible to modify weather forces in a manner which will preserve the +soil. + +In a more remote vein, it may be that knowledge gained from a first-hand +study of the Moon or other planets in the solar system will eventually +contribute to the conservation of soil on Earth in ways as yet +unimagined. + + +_Added leisure_ + +Acquiring more time for leisure sounds good. Very much more leisure than +most people now have, however, is apt to present trouble in itself. +Since it appears that the time is not far away when those living in the +highly developed countries will no longer have to concentrate their +prime energies on the traditional quest for food, clothing, and shelter, +a potentially dangerous vacuum may be the result. At least the +psychologists seem agreed that people must feel a useful purpose in +their lives and have ways to pursue it. + + Above all, leisure makes a challenge to the human spirit. Athens, + in her Golden Age, displayed a genius for the creative use of + leisure which can be seen as complementary, and indeed superior, to + her genius for military and commercial ventures. There have also + been such periods of all-pervasive inspiration in the history of + other peoples * * *. The doubling of our standard of living will + present a growing challenge to the human spirit and produce graver + consequences, should we fail to meet it. We neglect the proper use + of leisure at our peril.[77] + +In other words, the answer to the problem does not lie solely with the +golf course, the yacht club, the theater, or the lengthened vacation. +Much more will be required. + +The intellectual stimulus of space exploration and research, which +undoubtedly will divide into numerous branches like capillary streaks +from a bolt of lightning, should be markedly useful in helping to fill +this vacuum. Space research would seem particularly applicable in this +role since it deals with fundamental knowledge and concepts which are +satisfying in terms of psychological needs and sense of purpose. + + +_Intensified nationalism_ + +Ever since World War II the era of colonialism has been on the wane. +Many nations have proclaimed, won, or wrested their independence during +that period. Others appear to be on the verge of doing so. At any rate, +it is clear that in the decades ahead the world is going to see the rise +of even more independent nations with strong nationalistic feelings. + +History implies that developments of this sort are often accompanied by +international unrest--because of the normal ebullience of national +adolescence and the desire to be accepted by the world community, as +well as a variety of concomitant political and economical upheavals. + +For whatever trials may lie ahead on this score, space exploration may +prove to be much needed oil on rough water. + +Ambitious, advanced, sophisticated space exploration in the future is +almost certain to require a high degree of international cooperation and +perhaps even a pooling of resources and funds to some degree. Already +America has found it expedient, in some cases mandatory, to depend on +facilities in other countries for her ventures into space. A good +example is the close cooperation between the United States and tracking +bases located in Canada, Australia, South Africa, and elsewhere. An even +better one is the important part played in U.S. efforts by England's +giant radio telescope at Jodrell Bank. Most of our launches are followed +by this equipment and much of the best scientific information gained +from it. In the case of Pioneer V, Jodrell Bank was essential to keep in +touch with the satellite at the longer distances and, moreover, was +actually required to separate the fourth stage of the launch vehicle and +direct the payload toward its Venus orbit. + +Mutual need and cooperation thus fostered by space exploration can be +expected to siphon off some of the political tensions of the future, +especially as more and more nations become interested in space and +inaugurate complex programs of their own. + + +LIMITATIONS ON SPACE RESEARCH + +There are some who are convinced that the exploration of space is +rigidly limited and that the landing of men on extraterrestrial bodies +other than the Moon is quite improbable. They are sure that extensive +travel outside the solar system is impossible. + +Admittedly, the problems of such travel are enormous. But are they +incapable of solution? + + Twenty-six million miles to Venus, 49 million miles to Mars, 3,680 + million miles from the Sun to Pluto at the outer edge of the solar + system. The nearest of the stars is 25 million, million miles away, + and travel to it at 10 miles per second would require 80,000 years. + Is the travel of man to the stars a futile dream? Each generation + of man builds on the shoulders of the past. The exploration of + space has begun; who now can set limits to its future + accomplishments?[78] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 15.--Need for international cooperation +in the U.S. space program is illustrated by this map showing the areas +from which help must be procured for projects already planned or +underway.] + +That is the thought of one of the Nation's most expert space scientists. + + +_"Who now can set limits * * * ?"_ + +It seems to mesh curiously well with one of the most interesting +phenomena of our day--the emergence of a breed of engineers, +technicians, teachers, and scientists who do not recognize limits and +who refuse to concede that something cannot be so because it fails to +fit conventional patterns or conform to the physical laws of the +universe as we now know them. Of this there is growing evidence. + +For many years it has been an accepted "fact," for instance, that the +Moon is a dead world with no life upon it. The suggestion made by the +great 16th century mathematician, Johannes Kepler, that some life might +exist on the Moon was debunked into silence long since. Yet today a +fellow of the British Royal Astronomical Society writes that the first +men to arrive on the Moon may find not only plant life but possibly +animal life. "The fact that terrestrial organisms may be unable to +survive in the surroundings of another planet is by itself no more +significant than that fishes and other marine animals die when exposed +to the air. From their point of view air is uninhabitable because they +have failed to equip themselves with lungs."[79] And he adds that his +surmise "leaves out of account the possibilities of the Moon's +underground world, which are incalculable, for there water, the vital +gases, congenial temperatures, and increased pressures will all be +present. Only sunlight is absent." + +Then there is Project Ozma, the search for life on other planets or in +other star systems, which began in April 1960 at Green Bank, W. Va. It +is being undertaken by the National Radio-Astronomy Observatory and +consists of carefully directed listening by radio-telescope for signs of +intelligent broadcasts originating outside Earth. + +At Stanford University another astronomer is concentrating the efforts +of part of his laboratory on behalf of a similar idea. The chances are, +he believes, "that the superior races of other planets in other galaxies +have already developed a communications network among themselves, and +have entered a joint program to scan all the other solar systems looking +for signs of awakening civilization among the backward planets. Each of +the advanced communities might pick as its probe assignment a single +other solar system--and one such probe may well be circling our Sun +right now on a routine check for life."[80] Unexplained delayed echoes +of earthly radio transmissions received in the past, it is thought, +could be evidence of such a scheme. + +Are goings-on such as these nonsense? + +Here is the answer given by one hard-headed science writer: + + Centuries may pass before there is any sign of intelligence outside + the Earth. But the advantages of communication with another + civilization that has survived our present dilemmas are far too + great to permit the experiment to be abandoned.[81] + +The results of recent and more orthodox experiments have already done +much to shake the complacency of scientists in regard to their concepts +of space. Investigations have disclosed that, far from being a complete +vacuum, space is relatively full of matter and energy. Hydrogen gas, +radiation belts, cosmic particles, solar disturbances of unknown nature, +micrometeorites--and, from Pioneer V, proof of a 5-million ampere +electromagnetic ring centered about 40,000 miles away.[82] The director +of the Smithsonian Astrophysical Laboratory in Cambridge, Mass.,[83] has +said that more and more startling astrophysical information was gathered +during the first few weeks of the space age than had been accumulated in +the preceding century. + +In brief, it is becoming the vogue in science to refuse to say +"impossible" to anything. On the contrary, the watchword for tomorrow is +shaping up as "take _nothing_ for granted." + + +FUNDAMENTAL KNOWLEDGE ABOUT LIFE + +Everything learned from space exploration thus far indicates that the +knowledge lying in wait for those who manage to observe the universe +from outside Earth's atmosphere will be far grander than anything +uncovered to date. + +We may finally learn the origin of our universe and the method of its +functioning. A good part of this knowledge may be no farther away than +the next 3 to 5 years. Satellite telescopes now under construction are +expected to elicit far more information than even the 200-inch giant at +Mount Palomar. One such observatory satellite, to be launched in 1963 or +before, "will permit a telescope of about 10 feet in length to point at +heavenly bodies within a tenth of a second of arc for periods up to an +hour. Present plans call for an orbit between 400 and 500 miles, as a +lifetime of at least 6 months is required to observe the entire +celestial field."[84] + +Perhaps, and sooner than we think, we shall find a clue to the destiny +of all intelligent life. + +Perhaps the theory advanced by a noted eastern astronomer will turn out +to be true--that biological evolution on the habitable planets of the +universe may be the result of contamination left by space travelers +arriving from (and leaving for) other worlds. In other words, the +fruition of life on the various planets of the millions of solar systems +might be the product of a wandering group of astronautic Johnny +Appleseeds who leave the grains of life behind them. "Space travel +between galaxies has to be possible for this, but of course this needs +to be only quite a rare event. In a time of about 3.3 billion years, the +most advanced form of life occurring in a galaxy must be able to reach a +neighboring one."[85] + +The notion seems fantastic. + +But when we look clear to the end of Earth's road (and assuming the +astrophysicists are right in their theories about the evolution and +ultimate death of our solar system) we know that Earth will one day +become uninhabitable. Life on Earth must then perish or move elsewhere. +If we further assume that mankind will not want to die with his planet +and if we acknowledge that other worlds may have been through this +entire cycle in eons past--perhaps the notion is not so unreasonable +after all. + +Whatever the truth is on this score, space exploration will certainly be +of "practical" value to our descendants when that dim, far-off day +arrives. + + +PSYCHOLOGICAL AND SPIRITUAL VALUES + +Long before the arrival of that millennium, however, the knowledge and +understanding awaiting us through the medium of space exploration is +certain to have profound effects on the human race psychologically and +spiritually. + +It already has had effects on humans of all ages. + +Adults, who are paying the taxes to support the space exploration +program and reaping its practical values, are also thinking of +themselves, their country, and their world in broader, more +knowledgeable terms. + +In a sense, children may be even more deeply involved. + + There is a special group which may play a useful role in spreading + the new values growing from the exploration of space, and this is + the children who play at spaceman today. Whether or not they take + this interest with them beyond childhood remains to be seen. + However, the unique fact in the present situation is that never + before have children rehearsed a role that really will not exist + until they are adults. To be sure all of them will not fulfill this + childhood role, but the fact that the reality lies ahead rather + than in the past (as with cowboys and Indians) may stimulate them + to retain a sensitivity for the various meanings man in space can + have for our future.[86] + +Put it another way--if it is true, as a modern Chinese philosopher has +said, that the search for knowledge is a form of play, "then the +spaceship, when it comes, will be the ultimate toy that may lead mankind +from its cloistered nursery out into the playground of the stars."[87] + +[Illustration: FIGURE 16.--Space vehicles of the future may +look like this artist's drawing of an electrical propulsion craft. The +nuclear reactor is located at the extreme left, followed by a neutron +shield, heat exchanger, gamma-ray shield and propellant. The center tank +houses turbogenerating equipment. Excessive heat is dissipated in the +large radiator. At the extreme right are two crew cabins, landing +vehicle and a ring-shaped accelerator.] + + +MATURING OF THE RACE + +The psychological and spiritual changes necessitated by this evolution +may be at a cost far beyond dollars--because many of us will be hard put +to negotiate them, especially if they come too rapidly. + +Nevertheless, negotiating them must also be placed in the category of +"practical" values--for in the long run it seems to be an essential part +of the maturing of mankind. + + The years ahead will face us with many sputniks and thereby will + require of our citizens stern, costly, and imaginative + participation in programs to meet and surmount the many complex + challenges with which our growing technology confronts us. To + succeed in space and to succeed on Earth, we must somehow learn to + make the larger world of ideas, so brilliantly exemplified by the + satellites, the immediate environment of the individual. There is a + race we must run--the race for an enlightened and involved + public.[88] + +So if we can accept the wrenches which space exploration is apt to apply +to our time, pocketbook, energy, and thinking, the values and rewards as +outlined in this report should gather headway and grow continuously +greater. + + Space technology is probably the fastest moving, typically + free-enterprise and democratic industry yet created. It puts a + premium not on salesmanship, but on what it needs + most--intellectual production, the research payoff. Unlike any + other existing industry, space functions on hope and future + possibilities, conquest of real estate unseen, of near vacuum + unexplored. At once it obliterates the economic reason for war, the + threat of overpopulation, or cultural stagnation; it offers to + replace guesswork with the scientific method for archeological, + philosophical, and religious themes.[89] + +Such conclusions seem a bit rosy. But sober study indicates that they +may not be too "far out" after all. + +FOOTNOTES: + +[72] Hauser, Philip M., "Demographic Dimensions of World Politics," +Science, June 3, 1960, p. 1642. + +[73] Bacq, Prof. Z. M., "Medicine in the 1960's," New Scientist, Jan. +21, 1960, p. 130. + +[74] 59 supra. + +[75] Ibid. + +[76] Ibid. + +[77] "The Challenge of Leisure," M. G. Scott, Ltd., London, August 1959, +p. 20. + +[78] 27 supra. + +[79] Firsoff, Dr. V. A., "The Strange World of the Moon," Basic Books, +London, 1959. + +[80] Reported by David Perlman, San Francisco Chronicle, June 7, 1960. + +[81] Lear, John, "Is Anybody There?," New Scientist, Apr. 14, 1960, p. +933. + +[82] Aviation Week, May 9, 1960, p 32. + +[83] Whipple, Dr. Fred L. + +[84] Western Aviation, June 1960, p. 16. + +[85] Gold, Dr. Thomas, "Cosmic Garbage," address to the Space Scientists +Symposium, Los Angeles, December 1959. + +[86] 68 supra, pp. 12, 13. + +[87] 6 supra, pp. 3, 4. + +[88] Michael, D. N., "Sputniks & Public Opinion," Air Force, June 1960, +p. 75. + +[89] Industrial Research, December 1959, pp. 8, 9. + + + + + + +End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of The Practical Values of Space +Exploration, by Committee on Science and Astronautics + +*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK SPACE EXPLORATION *** + +***** This file should be named 19911.txt or 19911.zip ***** +This and all associated files of various formats will be found in: + http://www.gutenberg.org/1/9/9/1/19911/ + +Produced by Audrey Longhurst, Janet Blenkinship and the +Online Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net + + +Updated editions will replace the previous one--the old editions +will be renamed. + +Creating the works from public domain print editions means that no +one owns a United States copyright in these works, so the Foundation +(and you!) can copy and distribute it in the United States without +permission and without paying copyright royalties. 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